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Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-31-18	Celtics v. Spurs +2	Top	111-120	Win	100	3 h 6 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup San Antonio Spurs (566) BOSTON (21 - 14) at SAN ANTONIO (20 - 17) Monday, 12/31/2018 7:00 PMSIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Spurs, who are currently priced as 2-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Spurs are projected to shoot between 48 and 52% from the field and score a minimum of 111 points. Boston has been a money burning 14-47 ATS when allowing these performance metrics and 5-13 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 10 points since 2015. Spurs are a solid 21-5 ATS covering by an average of 9 points when scoring 111 or more points and shooting between 48 and 52% form the field in home tilts. Our database tells us that playing on home teams after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) has earned a very strong 31-10 ATS mark for 76% since 2014.
12-31-18	Missouri -8.5 v. Oklahoma State	Top	33-38	Loss	-110	6 h 10 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Missouri (263) MISSOURI (8 - 4) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 6)Week 16 Monday, 12/31/2018 3:45 PMLIBERTY BOWL - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TNSIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Tigers, who are currently priced as 9-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Missouri is projected to score a minimum of 28 points, gain between 475 and 525 yards, and gain a minimum of 6.8 yards per play. The Tigers are 19-3 SU winning the game by an average of 16.7 points and 15-6-21 ATS covering the spread by an average of 7 points when they score 28 or more points and gain between 474 and 525 yards. When meeting or exceeding these performance measures and installed as a favorite of 3 to 13 points, they are a perfect 6-0 SUATS winning the game by an average of 23 points and covering the spread by an average of 15.9 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 36-14 record for 72% since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an incredible offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game and after being outgained by previous opponent by 125 or more total yards. Here is a second supporting query that has earned a solid 49-24 SATS mark good for 67% since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and now facing an opponent after having won 4 out of their last 5 games.
12-31-18	Virginia Tech +7 v. Cincinnati	Top	31-35	Win	100	3 h 50 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Virginia Tech (253) VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 6) vs. CINCINNATI (10 - 2) Week 16 Monday, 12/31/2018 12:00 PM MILITARY BOWL - Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Hokies, who are priced as 6.5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results The Hokies are projected to gain 150 rushing yards and 400 total offensive yards. Cincinnati is just 13-28-2 ATS when allowing these performance measures since 2008 and 5-12-1 ATS for 29% failing to cover the spread by an average of 6 points since 2015. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 24-14 record for 63% averaging a +210 Dog wager since 2008. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences.
12-30-18	Dolphins +5 v. Bills	Top	17-42	Loss	-105	2 h 40 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Miami Dolphins (319) MIAMI (7 - 8) at BUFFALO (5 - 10) Week 17 Sunday, 12/30/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Miami Dolphins, who are currently priced as 5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results Buffalo is just 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Our database tells us that playing against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are average rushing team gaining 3.5 to 4.5 YPR and after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game and now facing a team with a poor rushing defense allowing a minimum of 4.5 YPR has earned a very strong 72-34 ATS mark for 68% since 1980.
12-30-18	Lions +9.5 v. Packers	Top	31-0	Win	100	1 h 27 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Detroit Lions (311) DETROIT (5 - 10) at GREEN BAY (6 - 8 - 1) Week 17 Sunday, 12/30/2018 1:00 PM 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Lions, who are currently priced as 8-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results The Lions are projected to gain 100 rushing yards and gain 200 passing yards. In past games where they have been installed as 4.5 to 11.5-point dogs and meeting or exceeding these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 17-10 ATS mark for 63% This DB query has produced a 56-19 ATS record for 75% over the past 38 seasons. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal losing team with a win percentage between 40% to 49% playing a losing record team. This query has not lost in the past 5 seasons and has earned a perfect 9-0 record.
12-29-18	Oklahoma +14 v. Alabama	Top	34-45	Win	100	9 h 23 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Oklahoma (253) OKLAHOMA (12 - 1) vs. ALABAMA (13 - 0)Week 16 Saturday, 12/29/2018 4:00 PMORANGE BOWL - Hard Rock Stadium - Miami, FLSIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Oklahoma, who are priced as 14-point dogs. Also, consider playing an extra 2-Star amount on the money line, which is priced at a very juicy +600. SIM Projections and Results A bit of history here for you. It was January 2, 2014 and Oklahoma installed as a 16.5 point dog to Alabama and the Sooners won the game outright 45-31. It is a LOCK that the Sooner coaching staff brought up this epic Sooner win quite a bit over the last several weeks. The following precedents match the projections for this game. Oklahoma is 11-1 against the money line (+9.6 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 2 seasons; 25-7 against the money line (+13.5 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards; 11-2 against the money line (+8.6 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt; 34-6 against the money line (+23.9 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt; 22-3 against the money line (+21.3 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points; 23-2 against the money line (+22.1 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards; 11-1 against the money line (+10.0 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 total yards per play.
12-29-18	Notre Dame v. Clemson -11.5	Top	3-30	Win	100	6 h 50 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Clemson (256) NOTRE DAME (12 - 0) vs. CLEMSON (13 - 0) Week 16 Saturday, 12/29/2018 4:00 PM GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Clemson Tigers, who are installed as 13-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Clemson is projected to contain the Irish passing attack to 6.3 or fewer yards per pass attempt and will gain over 200 rushing yards. When Clemson has been on the road or at a neutral field and has been able to meet or exceed these performance measures they are 12-1 SU winning the game by an average of 25 points and 10-3 ATS covering the spread by an average of 14.8 points. 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. When Clemson has scored a minimum of 24 points and has outrushed their opponent by more than 100 yards, they have earned a perfect 24-0 mark winning the game by an average of 24.8 points and 20-4 SATS for 83% and covering the spread by an average of 14.3 points.
12-29-18	Florida +5.5 v. Michigan	Top	41-15	Win	100	2 h 28 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Florida (249) Florida (9 - 3) vs. Michigan (10 - 2) Week 16 Saturday, 12/29/2018 12:00 PM PEACH BOWL - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Gators, who are installed as 6-point dogs. Also, consider the alternative wager consisting of a 5.5-Star play using the line and a 1.5-Star play using the Money Line, which is currently priced at +195. If you are wagering $100 per Star, the 1.5-Star Money line wager returns $292.50 ($150*1.95) should Florida win the game outright. SIM Projections and Results Florida is projected to contain the Michigan passing attack to 8 or fewer yards per pass attempt and will gain over 200 rushing yards. When Florida has been on the road or at a neutral field and has been able to meet or exceed these performance measures they are 18-2 SUATS winning the game by an average of 18.3 points and covering the spread by an average of 9.2 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 24-5 ATS mark for 83% since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a road loss against a conference rival and is a top-level team winning at least 80% of their games and playing a team having won 60% to 80% of their games. Here is the second DB system query that has produced a 22-12 record using the money line averaging a +213 DOG over the last 10 seasons. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences.
12-28-18	Spurs +4.5 v. Nuggets	Top	99-102	Win	100	5 h 51 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup San Antonio Spurs (525) SAN ANTONIO (19 - 16) at DENVER (21 - 11) Friday, 12/28/2018 9:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Spurs, who are currently priced as 4-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Spurs are projected to score between 111 and 119 points, hit between 50 and 55% form the field and make a minimum of 38% form beyond the arc. IN past games where they have achieved these performance measures they have attained an 84-2 SU mark winning by an average of 16 points and a 71-14-1 ATS mark covering the spread by an average of 9.6 points. When they have hit or exceed these measures installed as a road dog, they are 10-SUATS winning by 8 points per game and covering the spread by 11.4 points per game.
12-28-18	Syracuse -3 v. West Virginia	Top	34-18	Win	100	2 h 38 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Syracuse (243) SYRACUSE (9 - 3) vs. W VIRGINIA (8 - 3)Week 16 Friday, 12/28/2018 5:15 PMCAMPING WORLD BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FLSIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Syracuse, who are priced as 2.5-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Syracuse has had a fantastic season and they almost knocked off Clemson in Death Valley earlier this season. They put up one bad game, which was at Notre Dame scoring 3 points, but overall they averaged more than 40 points per game and were getting better as the season evolved. WVU is a team in disarray led by the unbelievable decision of their QB Will Grier to sit out this bowl game and not risk injury. That’s one way to become a disconnected team member and it certainly bring sto light the lack of coaching leadership. They lost their last two games tro Oklahoma State and then in an epoch game against Oklahoma at home 59-56. So, the SIM summary projections call for Syracuse to score at least 30 points and that their stout defense will force a minimum of 2 turnovers with the potential to force 4 or more. In past games when the Orange have scored 30 or more points and forced 2 turnovers exact they have earned a 16-2 SU mark winning by an average of 14.3 points and a 14-4 ATS mark covering the spread by an average of 12.6 points; when the opponent has turned it over by 3 turnovers, the Orange are then 8-2 ATS covering by an average of 9.1 points; when the TO have been 4, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS covering by an average eof 16.7. Overall, when they score 30 or more points and force an opponent into 2 or more turnovers, the Orange are 31-3 SU winning by an average of 17.7 points and 28-6 ATS covering by an average of 12.3 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 40-14 ATS mark since 1992. Play against any team with an excellent offensive team scoring at least 34 PPG after a loss by 3 or less points and is now facing an average defensive team allowing an average of 21 to 28 PPG and with the current game taking place after Week 6. Here is a second DB query that has recorded a 26-9 ATS mark for 74% winners since 2014. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a double digit road win and is a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record.
12-28-18	Auburn -3.5 v. Purdue	Top	63-14	Win	100	4 h 35 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Auburn (241) AUBURN (7 - 5) vs. PURDUE (6 - 6) Week 16 Friday, 12/28/2018 1:30 PM MUSIC CITY BOWL - Nissan Stadium - Nashville, TN SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Tigers, who are installed as 3.5-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score 28 or more points, gain over 200 rushing yards and average at least 6.3 yards per play. When the Tigers have gained 200 or more RY and scored 28 or more points, they have had a near-perfect 61-1 SU mark winning the game by an average of 26 points and a 43-19 ATS mark good for 70% and covering the spread by an average of 7.7 points. When they have rushed for 250 yards and scored 28 or more points, they have gone 49-1 SU winning by 26 points and 35-12-1 ATS for 75% covering the spread by an average of 8 points. Purdue is just 3-28 SU losing by 22 points on average and 7-24 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 12 points when they have allowed 28 or more points and 250 or more rushing yards. When Auburn has been installed as a slight favorite between -1 and -4.5, scoring 28 and gaining at least 250 RY, they are a perfect 6-0 SUATS winning the game by an average of 13 points and covering the spread by an average of 10 points
12-27-18	Vanderbilt -4 v. Baylor	Top	38-45	Loss	-120	10 h 40 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Vanderbilt (110) VANDERBILT (6 - 6) vs. BAYLOR (6 - 6)Thursday, 12/27/2018 9:00 PMTEXAS BOWL - NRG Stadium - Houston, TXSIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Vanderbilt, who are priced as 3.5-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Vanderbilt is projected to score a minimum of 28 points. When Vanderbilt has scored 28 or more points, they have earned an 13-4 ATS mark covering by an average of 8.7 points over the past three seasons and 81-28 ATS for 74% dating back to the start of the 1980 season. By contrast, Baylor is just 55-146-5 ATS for 27.4% failing to cover by an average of 8.7 points when allowing an opponent to score 28 or more points since 1980; 2-13 SU losing by an average of 16.5 points since last season. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 73-36 ATS mark since 2013. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and now facing an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games.
12-27-18	Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +2.5	Top	3-35	Win	100	6 h 9 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Wisconsin (238) MIAMI (7 - 5) vs. WISCONSIN (7 - 5) Week 16 Thursday, 12/27/2018 5:15 PM PINSTRIPE BOWL - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Badgers, who are installed as 2.5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Badgers to gain over 250 rushing yards and average ay least 8 yards per pass play. When the Badgers have gained 250 or more RY and averaged more than 8 YPPA, they have had a perfect 31-0 SU mark winning the game by an average of 31.5 points and a 23-7 ATS mark good for 77% and covering the spread by an average of 11.2 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 34-10 ATS mark since 2014. Play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards-per-game on the season.
12-26-18	Kings v. Clippers -5.5	Top	118-127	Win	100	6 h 19 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Clippers (586) SACRAMENTO (18 - 15) at LA CLIPPERS (19 - 14) Wednesday, 12/26/2018 10:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the LA Clippers, whom the market has priced as 5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Clippers are projected to shoot 50% or better from the field and to post a strong and quite efficient 1.75 assist-to-turnover ratio (ATR). IN past games, where the Clippers have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a 113-4 SU record winning by an average of 17 points and a 93-23-1 ASTS record good for 80% and covering the spread by an average of 9.3 points. Our vast NCAAM and NBA databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. Playing on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a game where they covered the spread and in a matchup involving two marginal teams winning between 51 and 50% of their games in the current season.
12-26-18	TCU v. California -1	Top	10-7	Loss	-108	10 h 29 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup California Golden Bears (234) TCU (6 - 6) vs. CALIFORNIA (7 - 5) Week 16 Wednesday, 12/26/2018 9:00 PM CHEEZ-IT BOWL - Chase Field - Phoenix, AZ SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Golden Bears, who are currently priced as 1-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results The defenses of both of these teams are fully capable of controlling the line of scrimmage and forcing each other’s offense into long down situations that have a significantly less chance of moving the chains with a first down. Cal has the better defense and rank 14th in the nation allowing only 32% of 3-down plays to be converted into first downs. CAL Has earned a 28-1 SU and 25-3 ATS mark covering the spread by an average of 12 points when they have gained 50 or more RY than the opponent and averaged 8 or more yards-per-pass attempt.
12-26-18	Minnesota +6 v. Georgia Tech	Top	34-10	Win	100	7 h 60 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Minnesota Gophers (231) MINNESOTA (6 - 6) vs. GEORGIA TECH (7 - 5) Week 16 Wednesday, 12/26/2018 5:15 PM QUICK LANE BOWL - Ford Field - Detroit, MI SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Gophers. who are installed as 6-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Gophers to gain over 200 rushing yards and average ay least 8 yards per pass play. When the Gophers have been installed as a dogs and then gained 200 or more RY and averaged more than 8 YPPA, they have had a perfect 5-0 SUATS mark winning the game by an Average of 12.6 points and covering the spread by 18.7 points. Our vast NCAAB and NBA databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 19-11 mark using the money line since 2009. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. This is essentially a Bowl Game with the exception of the Week 1 marquee matchups.
12-25-18	76ers +4.5 v. Celtics	Top	114-121	Loss	-101	8 h 36 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Philadelphia 76ers (561) PHILADELPHIA (22 - 12) at BOSTON (19 - 13) Tuesday, 12/25/2018 5:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the 76ers, who are currently priced as 4.5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results Our vast NCAAM and NBA databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has earned a 28-5 record for 85% since 1997. Play on any team using the money line after scoring 105 points or more in a win over a division rival and is a solid team posting a win percentage between 60% to 75% and now playing a team winning between 51 and 60% of their games during the current season. 76ers are projected to post a higher FG% than Boston and score a minimum of 111 points. When the 76ers have met or exceeded these performance measures in past games they have earned a 47-15 ATS mark good for 76% and covering the spread by an average of 7.4 points. When these games have been played on the road, the 76ers are an even stronger 24-6 ATS for 80% and covering the spread by an average of 8.9 points.
12-25-18	Bucks v. Knicks +10.5	Top	109-95	Loss	-115	3 h 8 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New York Knicks (558) MILWAUKEE (22 - 10) at NEW YORK (9 - 25) Tuesday, 12/25/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Kicks. who are installed as 9.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Bucks to shoot under 77% from the charity stripe and will have between 14 and 18 turnovers. Since the start of the 2017 season, the Bucks are just 12-23-1 ATS for 34% when they have met or under performed these measures. The Knicks are projected to equal or out shoot the Bucks based on field goal percentage. In past games where the Knicks have been installed as 7.5 or higher home dogs and shot better from the field, they have gone a near-perfect 19-1 ATS for 95% covering the spread by an average of 12.3 points. Our vast NCAAB and NBA databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 43-14 for 75.4% ATS mark since 2009. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in December after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
12-24-18	Broncos v. Raiders +2.5	Top	14-27	Win	108	11 h 17 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Oakland Raiders (132) DENVER (6 - 8) at OAKLAND (3 - 11) Week 16 Monday, 12/24/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Raiders. who are installed as 3-point home dogs and a 7-Star wager on the OVER, which is currently priced at 43 points. Also, place a 5-Star parlay on the Raiders using the line and the OVER. An alternative wager consideration is to play a 4-Star parlay using the Raiders on the money line and the OVER. Some sportsbooks offer alternative lines on certain prime time games. These lines include adjusted lines where the book will offer lines that are plus or minus 6 points on either side of the current line. For example, the total will see lines of 49.5 and 36.5 for the total. With these lines comes increased vig of approximately +200 to 220 for each side of this total. The advantage for us is that we can play the OVER 49.5 and if correct get paid $220 for a $100 wager. So, you can construct a parlay wager using the 49.5 alternative total line and the Raiders on the money line that would pay off a quite handsome $630 per $100 wager. Food for thought for sure. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Raiders to play above the majority of season averages and certainly has the potential to win this game. The Raiders are projected to gain an average of 7 to 7.5 passing yards per attempt (YPPA), gain between 6.3 and 6.8 yards per play (YPPL), score between 24 and 30 points, and gain a minimum of 350 total yards (TY). Denver is 5 -24 SU for 20 percent winners 7-18 ATS for 28% winners when they allow 350 to 400 offensive yards and allow between 24 and 30 points. Slicing the data to only show road games for Denver and the record worsens to 2 wins 14 losses for 12 and a half percent and 4 wins and 12 losses against the spread for 25% win rate and failing to cover the spread by an average eof 7.6 points. The OVER in this exact situation is 10-6 for 60%. The OVER is a perfect 7-0 when Denver has allowed 6.3 to 6.8 YPPL and 24 to 30 points in road tilts with a cover averaging 15 points. Looking at just two parameters, the Raiders have averaged 33 points when they have gained 6.3 to 6.8 YPPL and 7 to 7.5 YPPA. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 43-14 for 75.4% ATS mark since 2009. Play on all teams facing a conference foe where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.
12-23-18	Texans +2.5 v. Eagles	Top	30-32	Win	100	3 h 32 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Houston Texans (124) Houston (10 - 4) at Philadelphia (7 - 7) Week 16 Sunday, 12/23/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Texans. who are installed as 2.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Texans to be quite efficient offensively and will score 24 to 31 points, will rush the ball for more than 150 yards and will have at least a 5 minute edge in time of possession. For starters the Eagles are just 8-27 SU and 9-25-1 ATS and failing to cover the spread by an average of 7.1 points when they allow 150 or more RY and allow 24 to 31 points. When at home the record drops to a horrid 2-10 SU and 1-11 ATS failing to cover by an average of 10.4 points. Lastly, when we add in the TOP projection, the Eagles record declines to just 1-6 SUATS for 14.3%. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 29-9 ATS mark for 76% since 1980. Play on road teams in the second half of the season that are mistake-free teams averaging fewer than 1.25 TOPG and after 4 consecutive games where they committed no more than 1 turnovers and now facing a team forcing fewer than 1.25 TOPG.
12-23-18	Jaguars v. Dolphins -3.5	Top	17-7	Loss	-100	2 h 16 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Miami (110) Jacksonville (4 - 10) at Miami (7 - 7) Week 16 Sunday, 12/23/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Miami, who are priced as 3.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 52-19 ATS mark since 2009. Play on any team after 2 consecutive games where they committed no turnovers and now facing an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This query has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS this season and has covered the spread by an average of 8.6 points.
12-22-18	Kansas v. Arizona State +4	Top	76-80	Win	100	9 h 26 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Arizona State (670) Kansas (10 - 0) at Arizona State (8 - 2) Saturday, 12/22/2018 9:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on Arizona State, whom the market has priced as 3.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results ASU is coming off a horrid game shooting just 32% form the field and losing by 16 points at Vanderbilt installed as 1.5-point dog. In games coming off a horrid shooting night of 35% or less and then installed as a home dog, ASU is a rock solid 8-2 ATS. They are also quite good when playing against a team ranked in the Top-20 sporting a 10-5 ATS mark and when not ranked themselves are a solid 9-4 ATS for 69%. Slicing the data a bit further, we see that they are 5-2 ATS for 71% when installed as a home dog of 6 or fewer points and playing the opponent in the Top-20. ASU is projected to score at least 75 points and when Kansas allows between 75 and 80 points are 0-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons. In addition, when Kansas has allowed 75 to 80 points in road games they are just 2-12 ATS and when installed as a road favorite are an imperfect 0-10 ATS failing to cover by an average of 8.4 points
12-22-18	Ravens v. Chargers -4	Top	22-10	Loss	-100	13 h 34 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup San Diego Chargers (124) BALTIMORE (8 - 6) at LA CHARGERS (11 - 3) Week 16 Saturday, 12/22/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Chargers. who are installed as 4.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Chargers to score 22 to 28 points, average 7.7 yards per pass attempt (YPPA), gain a minimum of 350 total yards, and will outgain the Ravens by a minimum of 1.1 yards-per-play (YPPL). The Chargers are 14-3 SU and 12-5 ATS for 71% when outgaining their opponent by a minimum of 1.1 YPPL and averaging a minimum of 7.7 YPPA. When they outgained their opponent by a minimum of 1.1 YPPL in home games, they are an outstanding 50-11 SU and 45-16 ATS for 74% and covering the spread by an average of 8.6 points. Adding in the projection that they will gain a minimum of 350 yards produces a 41-7 SU and 36-12 ATS records. The Ravens are the best defensive team in the NFL currently and rank first in YPPA at 5.53 and TY allowed at 290.1 per game. However, the Chargers have done well against the best defenses in the league. Since 2013 when facing a stout defense allowing less than 300 yards per game in a home game have gone 4-1 SUATS and have covered the spread by an average of 14.3 points. The Ravens are just 1-12 SU and 2-11 ATS when allowing 22 to 28 points since the start of the 2016 season and when the game is on the road an imperfect 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS for 29%. When the Ravens opponent has outgained them by a minimum of 1.1 YPPL, they are just 23-48 SU and 19-50-2 ATS for 28%; 1-5 SUATS since the start of the 2016 season. When they have been outgained by a minimum of 1.1 YPPL and allowed a minimum of 7.7 YPPA, they are a miserable 6-30 SU and 10-25-1 ATS for 29%; 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS for 22% since the start of the 2013 season.
12-22-18	Houston v. Army -6.5	Top	14-70	Win	100	5 h 26 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Army (213) Houston (8 - 4) vs. Army (10 - 2) Week 16 Saturday, 12/22/2018 3:30 PM Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX. SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Army, who are priced as 6-point favorites for this bowl game. SIM Projections and Results Army has had a historic season winning 10 games and most of all defeating Navy in their last game. Army ranks first in time of possession (TOP) keeping the ball for an average of 39.15 minutes per game and Houston dead last of the 130 programs averaging just 24.80 minutes per game. Moreover, Houston ranks 128th with opponents averaging 48 rushing plays per game and 100th allowing 210 RYPG. Army ranks first averaging 65 rushes per game and second averaging 298.1 RYPG. Army is projected to gain 350 rushing yards on a minimum of 70 rushing plays. In past games where they have met this pair of standards they are 8-2 ATS covering by an average of 12.8 points. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 35-14 ATS mark since 2014. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an elite offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game (YPG), after being outgained by their previous opponent by 125 or more total yards.
12-21-18	Pelicans v. Lakers -5.5	Top	104-112	Win	100	10 h 21 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Lakers (520) New Orleans (15 - 17) at La Lakers (18 - 13) Friday, 12/21/2018 10:35 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Lakers who are currently priced as 4.5-point home favorite SIM Projections and Results Lakers are in a good position for this matchup knowing they are 49-12 for 80% wins coming off an road loss installed as a favorite and now playing at home dressed as a favorite. Lakers are projected to score at least 111 points and shoot between 50 and 55% form the field. In past games, when they have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 103-8 SU mark for 93% and winning by an average of 15.3 points and a 84-25-2 ATS mark for 77% and covering by an average of 8.5 points. Our vast and ever-growing NBA database allow me to perform thousands of automated queries that steadily learn from the results of the actual games and build an increasingly more intelligent game metrics using machine learning technologies and advanced mathematics. So, for this game, we learn that playing on home teams using the money line with teams that are off 2 of more upset road losses (installed as favorites) and now have 2 days of rest to prepare for the next opponent has produced a stout 22-3 mark for 88%. If we drill down further, we learn that if this situation includes a betting line between -1 and -4.5, the ATS record becomes a solid 22-10 mark for 68%.
12-20-18	Rockets v. Heat +3.5	Top	99-101	Win	100	9 h 38 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Miami Heat (578) HOUSTON (16 - 14) at MIAMI (13 - 16) Thursday, 12/20/2018 8:05 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Heat who are currently priced as 3.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Houston wen toff last night and made 24 3-point shots for an NBA record, but now with no rest are faced with playing a solid Miami Heat team. The league overall is making a 11 3-pointers per game with Houston ranked best average 14 per game. Teams that have averaged 11 made 3-pointers and then made 17 or more in their previous game and playing on the road next game with no rest are just 6-11 ATS for 35%. Tweaking this a bit, we find a 1-4 ATS mark for teams averaging 13 or more made 3-pointers and coming off a game making 17 3-pointers and traveling with no rest. Miami is well rested having played 3 games over the last 10 days. The following database system query has produced a solid 43-17 for 72% winners over the last five seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the month of December that are well rested teams playing 4 or less games in 10 days.
12-20-18	James Madison v. Fordham -3.5	Top	48-75	Win	100	10 h 42 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Fordham (608) James Madison (7-5) at Fordham (8 - 3) Thursday, 12/20/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on Fordham Rams, whom the market has priced as 5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Our database tells us that Fordham will score 65 or more points. Will have at least 3 more made 3-point shots then JMU and will make at least 80% of their free throw attempts. Fordham is 7-1 ATS covering by an average of 8 points when scoring 65 or more points and coming off 2 straight games where they held their opponent to less than 40% shooting. In home games, Fordham is 13-3 ATS when making 80% or more of their free thorws and scoring 65 or more points. Drilling a bit further, we discover that Fordham, when installed as a home favorite, is 10-3 ATS for 77% when scoring 65 or more points and making 3 or more 3-point shots than opponent.
12-20-18	Ohio v. Purdue -17.5	Top	67-95	Win	100	8 h 13 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Purdue (602) Ohio University (7-3) at Purdue (6 - 5) Thursday, 12/20/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on Purdue, whom the market has priced as 16-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Purdue will score at least 81 points and will make 40 to 45% of their 3-point shot attempts. IN past games over the last 3 seasons, Purdue is 22-7 ATS when scoring 81 or more points. Purdue is 15-4 ATS for 79% when making 40 to 45% of their shots from beyond the arc and scoring 81 or more points. Ohio is 2-7 ATS when allowing 81 or more points and 40 45% three point shooting. Our database queries reveal a solid 36-12 for 75% ATS winning record by playing on favorites of 10 or more points that are off 2 straight losses installed as a favorite and has a win percentage between 45 and 55% for the current season.
12-19-18	Warriors v. Jazz +3	Top	103-108	Win	100	5 h 9 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Utah Jazz (572) Golden State (21 - 10) At Utah (14 - 17) Wednesday, 12/19/2018 9:05 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Jazz who are currently priced as 3-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Utah is 3-games under 0.500 and playing an elite team to say the least, but it is a game they can win comfortably. Utah is projected to shoot between 48 and 52 percent from the field and make a minimum of 44 field goals. IN home games where they have met or exceeded these performance measures, the Jazz are an outstanding 20-4 ATS covering by an average of 10.2 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 23-4 money line record and 75% winners since 1997. Any team using the money line that is an explosive offensive team scoring 103 or more points-per-game on the season and after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. When the line has been between 3 and -3, this query improves to a perfect 8-0 SUATS covering by an average of 5.8 points.
12-17-18	Saints -6 v. Panthers	Top	12-9	Loss	-109	8 h 19 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New Orleans Saints (331) New Orleans (11 - 2) at Carolina (6 - 7) Week 15 Monday, 12/17/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Saints. who are installed as 6-point road favorites. Also, a 7-Star graded play UNDER the posted total. We recommend a maximum bet of no more than a 2-Star parlay amount using the Saints wager on the line and the UNDER. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Saints will gain 8.5 or more yards per pass attempt, will force Carolina into a minimum of 2 turnovers, will gain a minimum of 375 total yards. Saints are 22-5 SU winning by an average of 14.7 points for 82% and 42-3 ATS covering the number by an average of 11.8 points for 89% when they have passed for at least 8.5 YPPA and forced the opponent into 2 turnovers. Adding in the Divisional showdown, the Saints are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS for 88%. When they have defeated the opponent in the previous meeting, they are an even better 13-1 ATS covering by an average of 12.5 points. Supporting the play on the UNDER is the fact that the Saints are 12-1 UNDER and covering the total by an average of 8 points when on the road against a divisional foe with the week after a win in which they came back from a deficit This database situational query has returned a profitable 61-27 UNDER record for 69% over the past five seasons. The query is to play under the posted total with home teams after a 2 game road trip and with the game occurring in the last 4 weeks of the regular season.
12-16-18	Patriots -2.5 v. Steelers	Top	10-17	Loss	-109	5 h 41 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New England Patriots (327) New England (9 - 4) at Pittsburgh (7 - 5 - 1) Week 15 Sunday, 12/16/2018 4:25 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (3 to 10-star grading scale) on the New England Patriots which the market has priced them as 2.5-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Patriots to score between 22 and 28 points, rush for 3.5 to 4 yards per attempt and gain at least 250 net passing yards. The Patriots are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they rush for 3.5 to 4 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 68-38 ATS (+26.2 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992. The Steelers are just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 350 to 400 total yards over the last 2 seasons. This database situational query has produced a 30-8 mark for 79% winners since 1980. Play on road teams in Week 8 using the money line that are mistake-free teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game and after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or fewer turnovers and are now facing a team forcing 1.25 TO-per-game forced. Addressing the ATS side of this query and looking for road favorites have earned a stout 27-7 ATS mark for 79% since 1980; since the start of the 2016 season, this query has produced an 8-3 ATS mark for 73% success.
12-16-18	Cowboys +3 v. Colts	Top	0-23	Loss	-100	2 h 13 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Dallas Cowboys (313) Dallas (8 - 5) at Indianapolis (7 - 6) Week 15 Sunday, 12/16/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on Dallas who are currently priced at 3-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Dallas is on a role and the MATH projects this will continue in Indianapolis Sunday afternoon. One query reveals that Dallas is 9-1 ATS after a dominating game featured by having had at least 34 minutes in time of possession and are now installed as a road dog since 2010. Dallas has suddenly become the second best defense in the NFL based on numerous flash metrics like scoring defense. The Colts, when installed as a 3.5 point dog to a 3.5 favorite, facing a defense allowing less than 21 points after 8 games, and then gaining less than 5.0 yards-per-play, are just 5-12-1 ATS failing to cover the number by an average of 7.7 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 24-8 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 2009. Play against home teams in the second half of the season where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams posting a total yards differential between -40 and 40 yards and after outgaining opponent by 100 or more total yards.
12-16-18	Dolphins +9 v. Vikings	Top	17-41	Loss	-120	2 h 10 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Miami Dolphins (202) MIAMI (7 - 6) at MINNESOTA (6 - 6 - 1) Week 15 Sunday, 12/16/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Dolphins, who are priced as 8.5-point home favorites for this Bowl game matchup. SIM Projections and Results Dolphins are projected to score 22 to 28 points and hold Minnesota to less than 100 rushing yards. In past games where the Dolphins have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a 54-13-2 ATS mark for 81% and covering by an average of 6.7 points; 30-4-1 ATS for 88% covered by an average of 9 points and 31-4 SU for 89%. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 35-12 ATS mark for 75% since 1980. Play on road teams with a struggling defense allowing 6.0 or more yards-per-play, after allowing 400 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.
12-16-18	Packers v. Bears -5	Top	17-24	Win	100	2 h 6 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Chicago Bears (603) SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Bears. who are installed as 5.5-point home favorites. Also, a 5-Star graded play UNDER the posted total. We recommend a maximum bet of no more than a 2-Star amount using the line and the UNDER. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: GB is 0-6 ATS when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. Chicago is 7-0 ATS in home games when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is 6-0 ATS in home games when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is 6-0-1 ATS in home games when they force and commit the same number of turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is 28-7-1 ATS when scoring 22 to 28 points and allowing 225 or fewer net passing yards; 5-0 UNDER the total since the start if the 2016 season.
12-15-18	Celtics v. Pistons +2.5	Top	104-113	Win	100	7 h 15 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Detroit (506) BOSTON (18 - 10) at DETROIT (13 - 13) Saturday, 12/15/2018 7:05 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (3 to 10-star grading scale) on the Detroit Pistons which the market has priced them as 2.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Pistons to score between 111 and 117 points and shoot between 43 and 47%. When they have achieved or exceeded these performance measures they have produced a 31-13-1 ATS mark for 71%; 4-0 ATS covering by an average of 9.6 points in 2018. This database situational query has produced a 62-26 ATS mark for 71% winners since 2005. Play against favorites after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games and now facing an opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games. We also know that underdogs off back-to-back road games or more in the month of December are a solid 72-33 ATS for 69% winners.
12-15-18	Gonzaga +3 v. North Carolina	Top	90-103	Loss	-105	9 h 58 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Gonzaga (633) Gonzaga (9 - 1) at North Carolina (7 - 2) Saturday, 12/15/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on Gonzaga Zags, whom the market has priced as 2.5-point road dogs. A more aggressive wager is to play a full 10-Star amount on the money line that will return $1,300 for a Dime ($1,000) player. The MATH shows that Gonzaga should be favored by four points and underscores our appetite to take on the extra risk. As many of you already know, these types of dogs warrant a combination wager that would consist of a 7.5-Star wager on the line and a 2.5-Star wager using the Money Line. This strategy is more aggressive than the straight 10-Star play on the line but less aggressive than playing a 10-Star wager on the money line only. The decision is yours, of course, and there really is not a right or wrong answer. We definitely lean towards the 10-Star Money Line wager. SIM Projections and Results Our database tells us that UNC is a perfect 13-0 SU playing at home and coming off a home win since November 15, 2016. The machine learning tells us that this metric (history lesson) has near zero predictive value and correlation to this game tonight. In fact, the “p-value” is just 0.000061, which is pretty close to zero in our estimation. Try to laugh at that one. If you have done any handicapping on your own, you have identified perfect or near-perfect trends and then used that information to place a wager on that team believing that the trend will be your friend. Well, I spent 18 years on Wall Street at the managing director level and I can tell you that the trend is not your friend in the current stock market environment and neither is “buy the dip”, which makes me sick when I hear the CNBC talking heads make that bold forecast. So, this same contrarian discipline prevails in sports and when a trend reaches a level of 12-0 ATS, for example, it becomes a ‘play against’ situation. Such is the case in this game. Gonzaga ranks best in the nation in scoring efficiency and scoring offense at 94.1 points per game. With the faster pace normally comes more turnovers, but this is certainly not the case with the Zags, who rank 2nd-best in ball protection sporting the second-best assist-to-turnover ratio at 1.757. Gonzaga’s Brandon Clarke will have a big impact on this game. He is averaging 5 blocks per game and had a season-high 6 blocks against Duke. He creates changes in an opposing player’s shot attempts and is very quick off his feet for a 6’8” forward. UNC is just 1-4 ATS failing to cover by an average of 8 points when at home and a line from a 1-point dog to a 4.5 point favorite. Gonzaga is 8-1 ATS for 89% when on the road and ranked higher than their opponent.
12-15-18	Texans v. Jets +7	Top	29-22	Push	0	6 h 33 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New York Jets (508) Houston (9 - 4) at NY Jets (4 - 9) Week 15 Saturday, 12/15/2018 4:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7- stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the NY Jets, who are currently priced as 7-point home dogs. Consider an optional combination wager using a 5.5-Star amount on the line and a 1.5-Star amount using the Money Line, which is priced at +240. The 1.5-Star wager using the money line returns $240 per $100 wager and $360 return for the $150 ($100 per Star) wager. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls the Jets Further, Houston is an imperfect 0-11 ATS failing to cover by an average of 10 points when on the road playing on turf and having the better win percentage than the opponent. Add in the fact they are coming off a loss as a favorite and they are 0-2 SUATS failing to cover by 13.5 points. Granted. Only two game sample size, but specific to the Texans. Since the start of the 2015 season, all team sin this role have done poorly sporting a money-burning 5-12 ATS record for 29%. The following database situation query provides a solid record of 22-8 ATS for 73% since the start of the 1980 season. Play against road teams using the money line that are good rushing teams averaging between 125 and 150 RY/game and after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game and is now facing a team with a poor rushing defense allowing between 125 to 150 RY/game.
12-15-18	North Texas v. Utah State -7	Top	13-52	Win	100	22 h 6 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Utah State (202) NORTH TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. UTAH ST (10 - 2) Week 16 Saturday, 12/15/2018 2:00 PM New Mexico Bowl - Dreamstyle Stadium - Albuquerque, NM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Utah State, who are priced as 7.5-point home favorites for this Bowl game matchup. SIM Projections and Results Utah State is projected to score at least 28 points and gain an average of 6 yards-per-play. In past games, when they have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a solid 39-10-2 ATS mark for 80% and covering by an average of 10.9 points; 10-3 ATS for 77% covering by an average of 11.5 points since 2016; 5-0-1 ATS covering by 15.6 points this season.
12-15-18	Villanova +8.5 v. Kansas	Top	71-74	Win	100	5 h 55 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Villanova (603) Villanova (8 - 3) at Kansas (8 - 0) Saturday, 12/15/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Villanova. who are installed as 8.5-point road dogs. Consider an alternative wagering strategy using an 8.5-Star play on the line and a 1.5-Star play using the money line. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Villanova is projected to score 77 to 82 points, have at least 3 more rebounds than Kansas, and shoot 80% or better from the charity stripe. In past road games, where they have met or exceeded these performance measures, their record is an outstanding 4-0 SUATS covering by an average of 7 points. When Kansas has allowed 77 to 82 points and the opponent made 80% or more of their free throw shots, a dismal 1-6 ATS record has been the result. Our vast NCAAM and NBA basketball databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. Under head coach Jay Wright, Villanova has always played strong fundamental basketball and rebounding is near the top of the list. Villanova is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.
12-14-18	Thunder -1 v. Nuggets	Top	98-109	Loss	-110	7 h 13 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Oklahoma City Thunder (583) OKLAHOMA CITY (17 - 9) at DENVER (18 - 9) Friday, 12/14/2018 10:05 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Oklahoma City Thunder. who are installed as 1-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Thunder are projected to score 111 or more points and get a minimum rebounding edge of 9 more rebounds than Denver. When OKC has met or exceeded these performance measures, they have gone 43-9 SU winning by an average of 11.8 points and 38-13-1 ATS for 75% covering the spread by an average of 8.6 points. Our vast NCAAM and NBA basketball databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced query technologies we have in our data toolshed. This one has produced a 54-21-1 ATS record for 72% over the last five seasons and calls for us to play against home teams have covered the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games and is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
12-13-18	Chargers +4 v. Chiefs	Top	29-28	Win	100	5 h 55 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Chargers at Kansas City 10-Star Thursday, December 13, 2018 LA CHARGERS (10 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (11 - 2) Week 15 Thursday, 12/13/2018 8:20 PM @JohnRyanSports1 Thu, Dec. 13, 2018 as of 9:22 AM EST ATS Moneyline Total Rot# Teams Bets Bets Bets Percentage 8:20pm 301 Los Angeles Chargers 3007 42% +3.5 -105 908 43% 163 O 2691 70% 53.5 O -111 302 Kansas City Chiefs 4206 58% -3.5 -105 1223 57% 188 U 1129 30% 53.5 U -110 Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the San Diego Chargers, who are installed as 3.5-point road dogs. Also, consider an alternative combination wager comprised of an 8-Star wager using the line and a 2-Star wager using the money line. If you are wagering $100 per star (10-Star = $1,000 risk), then with a money line of 163 returns $326 if the Chargers win the game SU. The 8-Star amount would cover obviously adding $800 for a total profit of $1,126. If the Chargers lose by 3 or fewer points, the line wager wins $800, the money line wager loses $200 for a net profit of $600. Using these optimized ratios between line and money line will add significant profit to your bottom line over the course of a season. So, a Holiday reminder to stay the course maintaining the same daily discipline that has served us so well to date. Projections and situational Precedents The Chargers and Chiefs are projected to attain or exceed any specific or combination of he following performance measures in this game. Chargers Precedents v 87-20 ATS for 80.6% covering by an average of 9.7-points when they gain 8.3 or more net passing yards-per-attempt since 1990. § 8-3 ATS covering by an average of 6-points since 2016. v 101-25 ATS for 80.2% covering by an average of 10.2 points when gaining 140 or more rushing yards since 1990. § 8-2 ATS for 80% covering by an average of 10.6-points. v 12-3 ATS for 80% covering by an average of 8.5-points when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. v 27-2 SU and 26-3 ATS for 90% covering by an average of 13.5-points when they score 28 or more points and force an opponent into 2 or more turnovers since 2009. v 22-3-2 ATS for 88% covering by an average of 7.7-points when installed as a road dog facing a divisional foe and having a lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio since 1990. Kansas City Precedents v 22-3-2 ATS for 88% covering by an average of 7.7-points when installed as a road dog facing a divisional foe and having a lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio since 1990. v 24-79 ATS for 23% covering by an average of 9.5-points when they allow 28 or more points since 1990. o 1-11 ATS for 8,.3% failing to cover by an average of 15.6-points when installed as home favorite between -3 and -7.5. v 3-11 ATS for 21.4% failing to cover by an average of 11.4-points when installed as a home favorite and having 2 or more turnovers and allowing 28 or more points. Data Base Algorithm Findings Our vast NCAAM, NBA, NCAAF, NHL, MLB, and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced query technologies we have in our data toolshed. This one has produced a 48-18 ATS record for 67.4% since 1980 and calls for us to play against home favorites that is a solid rushing team gaining 4.5 or more YPR and after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game and is now facing a team with a rushing defense allowing between 3.5 to 4.5 YPR.
12-12-18	Hawks +9 v. Mavs	Top	107-114	Win	100	10 h 50 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Atlanta Hawks (551) Atlanta (6 - 20) at Dallas (14 - 11) Wednesday, 12/12/2018 8:35 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Atlanta Hawks who are installed as 9-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Atlanta is a solid 52-9 SU and 47-13-1 ATS for 78% covering by an average of 8.3 points when they shoot between 71 and 77% from the charity stripe, make 45% or more of their shot attempts, and score more than 111 points. When installed as a road dog under these parameters, they have gone 10-1 ATS covering by an average of 11.2 points. Our vast NCAAM and NBA basketball databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced query technologies we have in our data toolshed. This one has produced a 41-16 ATS record for 72% and calls for us to play on Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the month of December that is well rested playing 4 or fewer games in 10 days.
12-12-18	Columbia v. Boston College -12	Top	73-82	Loss	-110	3 h 13 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Boston College (702) COLUMBIA (3 - 6) at BOSTON COLLEGE (6 - 2) Wednesday, 12/12/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Boston College, who are priced as 14.5-point home favorites for this matchup. SIM Projections and Results BS is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Based on the projections the following precedents are valid. Columbia is just 10-29 ATS (-21.9 Units) in road games when they allow 81 or more points in a game since 1997. BC is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons and 23-6 ATS (+16.4 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game since 1997.
12-10-18	Vikings v. Seahawks -3	Top	7-21	Win	100	11 h 60 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Seattle (134) MINNESOTA (6 - 5 - 1) at SEATTLE (7 - 5) Week 14 Monday, 12/10/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Seahawks, who are installed as 3-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Minnesota has struggled running the ball this season ranking third worst averaging just 86 RYPG. They pass the ball a ton ranking eighth gaining 274.8 PYPG, and third averaging 40.9 pass attempts per game. Kirk Cousin has done his part completing 71% of his pass attempts and is second to only Drew Brees, who has completed 75% of his passes. The problem is that the Vikings are not stretching defenses vertically as evident by averaging only 6.7 yards per pass attempt that rank a dismal 22nd. This allows defenses to play far more aggressive schemes not having to respect the vertical routes. Seattle does not have elite corners and Thielen and Diggs will have advantages being defended by Justin Coleman and Shaquille Griffin respectfully. So, Seattle will play a lot more cover-2 and will focus on containing Cousins to the pocket and minimizing the times he has to extend plays. Seattle will not be concerned if Minnesota starts out running the ball somewhat effectively in a bend and don’t break defensive scheme. Our vast NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced mathematical technologies we have in our data tool shed. This one has produced a 65-30 ATS record for 68% and calls for us to play againstall teams in a conference matchup where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games. Seattle has covered 7 of their last 8 games and is facing a team that does a whole lot more throwing than running as illustrated above. More specifically, teams play against a conference foe at home and that foe averages 250 or passing yards on the season and has averaged 250 or more over their last three games are a perfect 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS covering by an average of 10.5 points.
12-10-18	Pelicans v. Celtics -4	Top	100-113	Win	100	4 h 27 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Boston (533) NEW ORLEANS (14 - 14) at BOSTON (15 - 10) Monday, 12/10/2018 7:35 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Boston Celtics who are installed as 7-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: New Orleans is 44-111 ATS when they allow 115 or more points in a game since 1995 and 30-53 ATS over the last 3 seasons. They are also a losing is 255-316 ATS (-92.6 Units) in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers since 1996. Celtics are a solid 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in up-tempo games where they attempt 88 or more shots over the last 2 seasons; 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 56-31 ATS (+15.4 Units) when their opponents make 41% to 45% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they grab 53 to 57 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 110-28 ATS (+67.7 Units) when they score 115 to 122 points in a game since 1996 and covered by an average of 7.9 points. 35-12 ATS (+16.3 Units) when they score 115 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. When Boston has allows 45% or less shooting and score 115 points or more, they are a resounding 19-1 SU winning by 18.4 points per game and 17-3 ATS covering the number by an average of 12.3 points. Our vast NCAAM and NBA basketball databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced query technologies we have in our data toolshed. This one has produced a 36-11 ATS record for 77% and calls for us to play on favorites after allowing 80 points or less and is now facing an opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games. This one has produced a 70-35 ATS record for 67% and calls for us to play against an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games and is now facing an opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more.
12-09-18	Eagles v. Cowboys -3.5	Top	23-29	Win	105	5 h 12 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Dallas Cowboys (130) PHILADELPHIA (6 - 6) at DALLAS (7 - 5) Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 4:25 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (3 to 10-star grading scale) on the Cowboys which the market has priced them as 3-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cowboys to average a minimum of 6 yards per play and will have the lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio. In past games where the Cowboys have attained these performance measures, they have produced a 76-5 winning by an average of 14.6 points and 64-15-2 ATS covering by an average of 9.2 points. Slicing the data set to include games from the start of the 2016 season shows that Dallas is a perfect 12-0 and 11-1 ATS covering by an average of 12 points. The Eagles have not done well when allowing these performance measures going just 3-30 SUATS losing by an average of 13.6 points and failing to cover by an average of 12.9 points over the past 10 seasons. When the opponent has gained a minimum of 6 YPPL and rushed the ball for a minimum of 137 yards, the Eagles are just 1-5 ATS since 2016 and 3-17 ATS over the past 10 seasons. This database situational query has produced a 22-9 mark for 71% winners since 2009. Road teams using the money line with a struggling defense allowing 6.0 or more yards-per-play, after outgaining previous opponent by 150 or more total yards. Dallas WR trio of Gallup, Cooper, and Beasley all have significant matchup advantages. Cooper has been a huge success so far and his presence stretches a defense vertically. He will be covered in man situations by Sidney Jones and Prescott will be targeting Cooper in man situations as often as possible. Eagles trio of WR will have their hands full just to get meaningful seperationg from the defender to give Wentz a chance at completing a pass. Byron Nelson is perhaps the best coverage CB in the NFC and will all but eliminate either of Algholor or Jefferies. And Chidobe Awuzie is nearly as good as Nelson in man coverage. Zach Ertz has had a great season as the league leader in receptions for a TE and will be looking to break the all-time TE receiving record in the weeks to come. This day though, will see him matched against a very good and physical safety in Jeff Heath. Given the strength of the Dallas LB and their elite speed from sideline to sideline, it will be difficult for Wentz to extend plays rolling out to either side, especially to his right where he has been exceptional this season. Dallas pressured Brees up the middle to disrupt that offense, but with Wentz, their goal will be pocket containment and force him to step up in a crowd of linemen. Dallas’ LB speed is the biggest problem facing the Eagles offense.
12-09-18	Saints -9.5 v. Bucs	Top	28-14	Win	100	3 h 15 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New Orleans Saints (113) NEW ORLEANS (10 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 7) Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Saints, who are installed as 10-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Saints are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season while the Bucs are just 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points over the last 3 seasons. Bucs are 0-24 SU and 1-23 ATS losing to the number by an average of 17.8 points when the opponent has gain 7 or more yards-per-play and the opponent had a lower (more efficient) yards-per-point ratio. Our vast NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced mathematical technologies we have in our data tool shed. This one has produced a 25-6 ATS record for 81% and calls for us to play on road favorites that are mistake-free teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game and is now facing a team that has forced 1.25 turnovers per game and after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or fewer turnovers. If the game is taking place in the second half of the season, the record improves to 28-6 ATS for 82.4% since 1980
12-09-18	Jets +5 v. Bills	Top	27-23	Win	100	2 h 29 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup NY Jets (115) NY JETS (3 - 9) at BUFFALO (4 - 8) Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Jets, who are currently priced as 4.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Jets are expected to gain 6 or more yards per play and will have a lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio than Buffalo. In past games when the Jets have accomplished this, they are a solid 34-3 SU and 32-5 ATS covering by an average of 14.8 points. In past games when the Bills have allowed these measures to an opponent, they have been a horrid 1-49 SU and 6-43-1 ATS for 12% and failing to cover by an average of 13.6 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 29-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 1997. Play on any team after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
12-09-18	Patriots -9 v. Dolphins	Top	33-34	Loss	-105	2 h 29 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New England Patriots (117) NEW ENGLAND (9 - 3) at MIAMI (6 - 6) Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the New England Patriots, whom the market has priced as 8-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Patriots will gain 250 to 300 net passing yards and 7.5 to 8 yards per pass attempt, gain a minimum of 137 rushing yards and between 400 and 450 total offensive yards. Miami is projected to gain less than 250 net passing yards and less than 7.5 passing yards per attempt. Patriots are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt since 1992; 100-19-2 ATS when they rush for a minimum of 137 yards and 18-2 ATS covering by an average of 12.3 points when on the road against a divisional opponent.
12-09-18	Falcons +4 v. Packers	Top	20-34	Loss	-110	2 h 29 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Atlanta (111) ATLANTA (4 - 8) at GREEN BAY (4 - 7 - 1) Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Falcons, who are installed as 4-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls the The following database situation query provides a solid record of 54-22 ATS for 71% since the start of the 2014 season. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they forced no turnovers and are now facing an opponent after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
12-08-18	Navy v. Army -7.5	Top	10-17	Loss	-105	4 h 20 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup ARMY (104) NAVY (3 - 9) vs. ARMY (9 - 2) Week 15 Saturday, 12/8/2018 3:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Army, who are priced as 7-point favorites for this matchup. SIM Projections and Results Army is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when they gain 150 or less net passing yards over the last 2 seasons; 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) when they gain 10 or more net passing yards-per-attempt; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 100-150 yards Further, Army is a stout 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Here is a query result that has gone 57-8 for 88% using the money line and supports Army. Play against neutral field underdogs using the money line (NAVY) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread and when playing on a Saturday. We could do this query by identifying games in December and January since the large majority of neutral field venues are related to bowl and playoff games.
12-08-18	Michigan State v. Florida +2.5	Top	63-59	Loss	-110	2 h 52 m	Show
ohn Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Florida (720) MICHIGAN ST (7 - 2) at FLORIDA (5 - 3) Saturday, 12/8/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Florida, who are installed as 3.5 point dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: MSU is just 2-11 ATS when facing an opponent sporting a win percentage between 60 and 80% in games played over the past two seasons. MSU has played well, but are just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons and 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Our vast NCAA men’s basketball databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced query technologies we have in our data toolshed. This one has produced a 65-29 ATS record for 69% and calls for us to play on an underdog after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a matchup of non-conference opponents from major division 1-A conferences.
12-07-18	76ers +1.5 v. Pistons	Top	117-111	Win	100	7 h 15 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Philadelphia 76ers PHILADELPHIA (17 - 9) at DETROIT (13 - 9) Friday, 12/7/2018 7:05 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the 76ers, who are favored by 2 points. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: 76ers are projected to score 108 to 115 points and make between 35 and 40% of their 3-point shots, and will get a minimum of 55 rebounds. IN oast games, the 76ers are 5-1 ATS covering by an average eof 11.4 points when they score 108 to 115 points and get ay least 55 total boards. When installed as a favorite and shooting 35 to 40% from beyond the arc and score 108 to 115 points has resulted in a 17-5 ATS mark. Our vast databases for the NBA enable to provide an almost endless query pipeline using advanced query technologies. This one has produced a 180-49 record using the money line for 79% and calls for us to play against underdogs using the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games and is a team winning between 51% to 60% of their games and now facing a team with a winning record. Drill down a bit further and identifying only the games that the opponent had a higher WP, produces a 144-38 mark for 80%
12-07-18	Oral Roberts +17 v. Missouri	Top	64-80	Win	100	4 h 33 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Oral Roberts (533) ORAL ROBERTS (3 - 8) at MISSOURI (5 - 3) Friday, 12/7/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Oral Roberts, who are installed as 16 point dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Missouri is just 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games. Missouri is just 5-12 ATS for 29% when they have been a double digit home favorite and shot less than 44%. Our vast NCAA men’s basketball databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced query technologies we have in our data toolshed. This one has produced a 86-43 ATS record for 67% and calls for us to play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games and is now facing an opponent after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more.
12-06-18	Jaguars +4.5 v. Titans	Top	9-30	Loss	-115	33 h 32 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Jacksonville (101 JACKSONVILLE (4 - 8) at TENNESSEE (6 - 6) Week 14 Thursday, 12/6/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Jacksonville Jaguars, whom the market has priced as 4-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Tennessee is projected to score 15 to 21 points and that JAX will rush for a minimum of 150 yards. This pair of performance measures has produced a 2-9 ATS mark and failing to cover by an average of 13 points. In road games, JAX is 10-2 ATS when rushing for a minimum of 150 yards and allowing 15 to 21 points. Our Algorithms show us that playing on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) in a game involving two average defensive teams allowing 18 to 23 PPG after 8 or more games have been played and after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points has produced a 30-8 ATS mark good for 79% since 1980. This is a database situational query using the money line that has produced a 26-7 record for 79% since 1980. Play on any team vs the money line off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival when playing on a Thursday Night.
12-06-18	Oakland +2 v. Fairfield	Top	87-86	Win	100	3 h 2 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Oakland (717) OAKLAND (4 - 5) at FAIRFIELD (2 - 6) Thursday, 12/6/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Oakland, who are priced as 2.5-point road dogs for this matchup. SIM Projections and Results Fairfield is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5; 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better; 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games when facing good shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots on the season. When Oakland has shot 45% or better and held their opponent to less than 45% shooting and made a minimum of 27 field goals, they have gone on to produce a 39-10-1 ATS mark for 80% and when these games were on the road, they have produced an incredible 21-1-1 ATS mark good for 96% covering by an average of 9.3 points.
12-05-18	TCU v. SMU +1.5	Top	67-59	Loss	-110	11 h 14 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup SMU (578) Wednesday, 12/05/2018 (577) TCU vs. (578) SMU SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the 49ers, who are currently priced as 10-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results SMU is a much better ball handling team and this will be a dominant reason they win and cover. SMU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. TCU is 1-14 SDU losing by an average of 17 points and 2-12 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 8.6 points when having at least 7 more turnovers than opponent and with the opponent making a minimum of 25 field goals. The following database system query has produced a solid 29-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 1997. Play On home teams year in the first 10 games of the season where the line is +3 to -3 (SMU) after leading their last 2 games by 10 or more points at the half and with just two starters returning from last year.
12-05-18	Oklahoma State v. Tulsa	Top	71-74	Loss	-110	9 h 17 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Oklahoma State (559) OKLAHOMA ST (4 - 3) at TULSA (5 - 3) Wednesday, 12/5/2018 8:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Oklahoma State, who are priced at pick-em for this matchup. SIM Projections and Results OSU is coming off a game where they allowed 52% shooting in a 83-77 loss at Minnesota November 30. In past games following a poor defensive show, they are a solid 25-13 ATS and 15-9 ATS when favored or pick. OSU is projected to have 7 or more total rebounds and score a minimum of 77 points. When they have met these performance measures they are a solid 27-6 ATS for 82% and covered the number by an average of 8.3 points. Plus, they are a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons.
12-05-18	Thunder v. Nets +7	Top	114-112	Win	100	5 h 37 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Brooklyn Nets (508) OKLAHOMA CITY (15 - 7) at BROOKLYN (8 - 17) Wednesday, 12/5/2018 7:35 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Brooklyn Nets, who are currently priced as 7-point home dogs. Consider an optional combination wager using a 8.5-Star amount on the line and a 1.5-Star amount using the Money Line. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls the Nets to shoot better from the field, hit a higher percentage of 3-point shots and make more free throws than OKC. In past games where the Nets have met or exceeded this trio of performance metyrics, they have gone on to a 222-35 SU record for 86% winning by 11.2 points per game and 235-21-1 ATS for 91.8% and covering the spread by an average of 11.7 points. When we add in the home dog part of this matchup, the records improve to 55-4 ATS for 93% and covering by an average of 13.2 points. The following database situation query provides a solid record of 58-17 ATS for 77% since the start of the 2014season. Play against favorites in December of 3.5 to 9.5 points after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games. This DB query is a variation of the first one and has produced a 40-11 ATS record for 78.4% since 2014. Play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, first half of the season.
12-05-18	Monmouth +15 v. Hofstra	Top	73-75	Win	100	8 h 18 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Monmouth (719) MONMOUTH (0 - 9) at HOFSTRA (5 - 3) Wednesday, 12/5/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Monmouth, who are priced as a 15-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Monmouth is winless on the season with 9 losses and are facing the Pride, who are off to a much better than expected start to their season. So, we have two teams at performance extremes with Monmouth on the negative side and Hofstra on the positive side. Neither of these performance levels are sustainable and the MATH tells us that Monmouth will play above their season averages (perhaps season best) and Hofstra will play at a below average level. The result is that the line is significantly inflated and we can benefit by taking the winless team and getting a lot more points. Our immense sports data base situational algorithms reveal a very favorable combination of parameters that have produced a 44-15 ATS result good for 75% spanning the last five seasons. Play on an underdog after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games and is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games.
12-04-18	Northeastern +12.5 v. Syracuse	Top	49-72	Loss	-105	4 h 9 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Northeastern (719) NORTHEASTERN (4 - 4) at SYRACUSE (5 - 2) Tuesday, 12/4/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Northeastern, who are priced as a 12-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: The SIM projections show that Northeastern are projected to shoot at least 3% better from the field and will convert 81% or more of their charity shots. IN past games, where NE has met or exceeded these performance measures, they have produced a 32-3 SU and 23-9-1 ATS mark good for 72% and covering by an average of 7 points per wager. Syracuse is just 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds;
12-03-18	Iowa +10.5 v. Michigan State	Top	68-90	Loss	-100	7 h 27 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Iowa (352) IOWA (6 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (6 - 2) Monday, 12/3/2018 6:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Iowa Hawkeys, who are priced as a 10-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: The SIM projections show that the Hawkeyes are projected to attempt at least 11 more free throws than the Spartans and will make at least 80% of them. In past games where the Hawkeyes have met or exceeded these performance measures, they are 15-3 SU. Further, MSU is just 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.
12-02-18	Chargers v. Steelers -3	Top	33-30	Loss	-108	7 h 57 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Pittsburgh Steelers (713) LA CHARGERS (8 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 3 - 1) Week 13 Sunday, 12/2/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Steelers, whom the market has priced as 3-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Our Algorithms show us that playing on favorites after having won 3 out of their last 4 games and now facing an opponent having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games has made steady annual profits for 10 seasons with a 34-4 SU 90% record winning by an average of 13.8 points and a 31-6-1 ATS record and 84% winners covering by an average of 8 points. If we include only teams that were favored by 2.5 points or more, the record improves to 30-2-1 ATS for 94% and covering by an average of 10.5 points and 33-0 SU winning the game by an average of 15.7 points. The last loss occurred in the 2014 season and over the last 3 seasons has gone a perfect 12-0 ATS.
12-02-18	49ers +10.5 v. Seahawks	Top	16-43	Loss	-124	4 h 5 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup San Francisco 49ers (702) SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 9) at SEATTLE (6 - 5) Week 13 Sunday, 12/2/2018 4:25 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the 49ers, who are currently priced as 10-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results The 49ers are projected to play exceedingly well and have the potential to get what would be a shocking road win over Seattle. Since 2014, the 49ers are 15-3 ATS for 83% when they have scored 24 to 31 points. They are also a solid 7-2 ATS when gaining more yards-per-play than opponents in road games installed as a dog since 2014. The following database system query has produced a solid 48-17 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 1983. Play against home favorites that are solid rushing teams gaining a minimum of 4.5 YPR and are now facing a team with an average rushing defense allowing 3.5 to 4.5 YPR and after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This database system query has produced a 38-13 ATS mark good for 75% spanning the last five seasons. Play on road teams in the month of December after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games.
12-02-18	Colts v. Jaguars +5	Top	0-6	Win	100	1 h 29 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Jacksonville (352) INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 8) Week 13 Sunday, 12/2/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Jaguars, who are priced as a 4-point home dog. Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 6-star play on the line and a 1-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for SU upset win. The money line is currently at 180, which implies a 1.8:1 return for the 1-Star portion for a grand total of 1.8-Stars or $180 for a $100 wager. Plus, the 7-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $880. If they cover, but fail to win, then the total profit is $600. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: The SIM projections show that the Jaguars will score 23 to 30 points and contain the Colts passing attack to no more than 6.5 yards-per-pass, and will outgain the Colts by a minimum of 0.5 yards-per-play. When the Jaguars have been installed as a home dog and scoring 23 to 30 points, they are a remarkable 15-2 ATS for 88% and covering the spread by an average of 8 points. This database situation query plays on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent and is off an upset loss as a road favorite and has produced a 83-43 ATS mark for 65 % since 1980.
12-02-18	Panthers -3 v. Bucs	Top	17-24	Loss	-122	1 h 12 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Carolina (355) CAROLINA (6 - 5) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 7) Week 13 Sunday, 12/2/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Panthers, who are priced as 3-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Carolina is projected to score a minimum of 28 points and when they do are 8-1 ATS in games played over the last two seasons. When TB allows 28 or more points they are just 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 2-9-1 ATS over the past 2 seasons. This DB query has attained a 38-13 ATS record good for 75% playing on road teams in December after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games.
12-01-18	Northwestern +15 v. Ohio State	Top	24-45	Loss	-105	11 h 1 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Northwestern (321) Northwestern (8 - 4) Vs. Ohio St (11 - 1) Week 14 Saturday, 12/1/2018 8:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Wildcats who are priced as 15-point neutral field dogs in this BIG-10 Championship game. SIM Projections and Results Playing on larger dogs in specific matchups has paid-off quite well over the years and the following DB query exhibits those results with a 37-88 record for JUST 30%, BUT has made 117.5 units or $11,750 per $100 wager averaging an incredible +555 dog wager. Play on underdogs of +315 or higher using the money line off 2 straight wins against conference rivals and is a solid team winning 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. In 2016, Ohio State went to Happy Valley installed as 18-point favorites in this situation and lost the game 24-21. In 2013, Texas was a 12.5-point dog facing the Sooners in the BIG-12 Championship and the Sooners lost 36-20. These are just 2 of many of these major upsets that have occurred 30% of the time under the DB query parameters and in 88% of these games, the betting consensus was largely betting the favorite and giving the DOG no chance to even cover the spread. This DB query has attained a 61-26 ATS record good for 70% playing on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games and has won 80% or more of their games and now facing a solid team winning 60% to 80% of their games.
12-01-18	Texas +9 v. Oklahoma	Top	27-39	Loss	-114	4 h 49 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Texas (311) TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 1) Week 14 Saturday, 12/1/2018 12:30 PM BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Texas, who are priced as an 8-point neutral field dog. Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 8-star play on the line and a 2-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for SU upset win. The money line is currently at 300, which implies a 3:1 return for the 2-Star portion for a grand total of 6-Stars or $600 for a $200 wager. Plus, the 8-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $1,600. If they cover, but fail to win, then the total profit is $800, which is quite attractive given the ceiling at $1600 is 60% better than just the single $1000 10-Star line play. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: The SIM projections show that Texas will gain an average of 7.3 to 8.7 yards per pass play and hold Oklahoma to less than 9.5 yards per pass play. Texas is 6-1 ATS for 85% covering by an average of 9.4 points when gaining 7.3 to 8.2 YPP since start of 2016 season. Sooners are 4-7 ATS when not gaining more than 9.5 YPP since start of 2016 season. Texas is expected to gain 170 to 235 rushing yards and in past games when they did accomplish this range of RY they are a perfect 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS covering by an average of 10.1 points. Both teams are projected to score 31 or more points. Sooners are just 5-10 ATS in this situation. Texas will have fewer turnovers and in games where noth teams score 31 or more and the Sooners lose the turnover margin, they are just 1-5 ATS failing to cover by an average of 12.6 points. Then, if the Sooners are favored by 4 or more points in this situation, their results have been an imperfect 0-10 ATS losing to the number by an average of 16.7 points since the start of the 2011 season.
11-30-18	Utah v. Washington -5	Top	3-10	Win	100	11 h 7 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Washington Huskies (306) UTAH (9 - 3) vs. WASHINGTON (9 - 3) Week 14 Friday, 11/30/2018 8:00 PM PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Levis Stadium - Santa Clara, CA SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Huskies who are priced as 5-point favorites in this PAC-12 Championship game. SIM Projections and Results In the 8-year PAC-12 Championship history, the participants have been prolific offenses and the results have been track meet types of games. This one features the tow best defenses in the PAC-12 and two of the best defenses in the nation. Washington leads the PAC-12 in scoring defense at 16.6 PPG and ranks 10th nationally. Utah ranks second-best in the PAC-12 allowing 19.3 PPG and ranks 18th nationally in scoring defense. So, this will be a game of field position that Washington will gain the upper hand by dominating both sides of the line of scrimmage. For the season, the Utes have averaged a conference-leading 205 RYPG, but over their last 4 games they have averaged 192 RY. Washington has improved their ground attack over the last 4-weeks averaging 200 RY as compared to a season average of 189 RY. More important is how the Washington defense has significantly improved down the stretch of the L4 games limiting opponents to just 97 RYPG while Utah has allowed 139 RY compared with a season average of 100 RYPG. In games where Washington has had 50 or more rushing yards than the opponent and had a lower (better) rank than the opponent and both teams were ranked, they are a perfect 3-0 ATS covering by an average of 18 points and winning the game outright by an average of 29 points.
11-30-18	Northern Illinois +4 v. Buffalo	Top	30-29	Win	100	11 h 44 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Northern Illinois (303) Northern Illinois (7 - 5) vs. Buffalo (10 - 2) Week 14 Friday, 11/30/2018 7:00 PM MAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Ford Field - Detroit, MI SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Northern Illinois, who are priced as 3.5-point neutral field dog. Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 8-star play on the line and a 2-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for SU upset win. The money line is currently at 150, which implies a 3:2return for the 2-Star portion for a grand total of 3-Stars or $300 for a $200 wager. Plus, the 8-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $1,200. If they cover, but fails to win, then the total profit is $800, which is quite attractive given the ceiling at $1200 is 20% better than just the single $1000 10-Star line play. Not steering your thoughts in this combination direction as a straight 10-Star wager using the line is a smart play as well. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: The SIM projections show that Northern Illinois will have less than 150 net passing yards. This reflects their success running the ball and the lack of need to throw the ball to the move the chains or to mount a comeback from a 2 or more scoring deficit. Buffalo is just 6-15 SU for 29% winners when allowing an opponent 150 or less net passing yards. NI is a solid 8-3 SU when gaining 150 or fewer net passing yards over the L2 seasons. Interesting too is the fact that Buffalo is 0-10 SU and just 3-7 ATS losing to the number by an average of 8.2 points when facing NI. NI is 40-19 against the money line (+21.2 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game.
11-30-18	Wizards v. 76ers -8	Top	98-123	Win	100	3 h 30 m	Show
10John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Philadelphia 786ers (702) WASHINGTON (8 - 13) at PHILADELPHIA (15 - 8) Friday, 11/30/2018 7:05 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on Philadelphia, who are currently priced as 7-point home favorite. SIM Projections and Results The 76ers are projected to make at least 80% of their free throws, enjoy at least a 10-board advantage in total rebounding and score a minimum of 110 points. In road games, the Wizards are a horrid 3-66 SU and 8-60-1 ATS when allowing 110 or more points and shooting 43% or less from the field. When out-rebounded by a margin of 10 or more boards in the same situation their record is an even worse 1-23 SU and 4-20 ATS for 16.7% winners. In home games, the 76ers are 17-0 SU and 16-1 ATS for 94% and covering by an average of 18.7 points when scoring 110 or more points, enjoying a 10 board margin, and holding the opponent to 43% or less shooting. The following database system query has produced a solid 60-26 ATS mark good for 70% winners over the past 5 seasons. Play on home teams that play an up-tempo style of play averaging 83 or more shots-per-game on the season and after game allowing a shooting percentage of 35% or less.
11-29-18	Northern Arizona +8 v. UC-Davis	Top	57-73	Loss	-110	10 h 4 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Northern Arizona (5) Northern Arizona (2 - 2) At Cal Davis (1 - 6) Thursday, 11/29/2018 10:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on Northern Arizona, who are currently priced as 8.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results NOAR is projected to make at least 76% of their free thorws and hold Cal-Davis to 44% or less shooting. NOAR is 37-14 SU and 35-6-21 ATS for 85.4% covering by an average of 7.4 points when meeting or exceeding these two performance measures. Plus, when installed as a road dog, they are 14-1 ATS covering by an average of 9 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 37-13 ATS mark good for 74% winners over the past 5 seasons. Play on an underdog after allowing 85 or more points and is now facing an opponent after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games.
11-29-18	Saints v. Cowboys +8	Top	10-13	Win	100	33 h 24 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Dallas Cowboys (509) NEW ORLEANS (10 - 1) at DALLAS (6 - 5) Week 13 Thursday, 11/29/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Cowboys, who are priced as 7.5-point road dogs. Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 8-star play on the line and a 2-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for the Cowboys SU upset win. The money line is currently at 300, which implies a 3:1 return for the 2-Star portion for a grand total of 6-Stars or $600 for a $200 wager. Plus, the 8-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $1,600. If Dallas covers and fails to win, then the total profit is $800, which is quite attractive given the ceiling at $1600 is twice that amount and 60% better than just the $1000 10-Star lione play. Not steering your thoughts in this direction as a straight 10-Star wager using the line is a solid play as well. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Dallas is projected to gain at least 50 more rushing yards and have a greater yards-per-play (YPPL) ratio. When the Saints have allowed these measures in road games, they are just 5-45 SU losing by an average of 11.5 points and 10-39-1 ATS failing to cover the number by an average eof 8.7 points. Saints have won 10 and covered in 9 straight games and this sets up as a very tough situation for them to continue their success. Teams on 10 or more game winning streaks and are installed as as road favorites are just 7-22 ATS for 24% and losing to the spread by an average of 7 points. The last time this situation happened was in 2016 with the Dallas Cowboys, so you can bet this has been discussed in detail in their meetings this week. In Week 13 of the 2016 season, they won the game but failed to cover the number on the road against the Vikings. The next week they laid a big-time egg scoring just 7 points and allowing 10 points in the fourth quarter on the road at Giants Stadium. Playing on home teams using the money line and are mistake-free teams committing 1 or less turnovers-per-game and after 2 consecutive games where they committed no turnovers has produced a highly successful 45-8 SU record good for 85% winners since 2014. When these teams are coming off a game where they enjoyed a +2 turnover margin, the record goes to 25-5 for 83.3% winning by an average of 10.9 points. Saints will have advantages, of course, with WR Thomas and Kirkwood, but they are going up against two of the better corners in the conference. Anthony Brown will defend Kirkwood and although he is barely 6-feet tall, he runs a 4.33 forty and will blanket Kirkwood all over the field. Byron Jones has the size and excellent technique to contain Thomas in man coverage situations. The fact that Dallas can bring pressure and still have confidence in their corners to minimize separation distances eliminates the double-move routes that the Saints have had major success with over their 0-game winning streak. Dallas has added Amari Cooper to their WR group and it has enabled the offense to stretch defenses vertically, which in turn opens up enhanced running lanes for Elliott and other RBs to dart through to the second level. Dallas does have an advantage in the run game and this truly is the most import key for Dallas to control game tempo, time of possession, and field position. Once the running game is established and the Saints need to bring a safety into the box, it will open up outstanding play action opportunities for Prescott to execute.
11-28-18	North Carolina +3.5 v. Michigan	Top	67-84	Loss	-102	6 h 57 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup North Carolina (761) North Carolina (6 - 1) at Michigan (6 - 0) Wednesday, 11/28/2018 9:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Tar Heels who are priced as 3.5-road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for UNC to hold Michigan to 31 to 37% 3-point shooting, will have no more than 13 turnovers, and will contain Michigan shooting to less than 44% from the field. UNC is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-1 SUATS when installed as a road dog and have less than 13 turnovers, and hold their opponent to less than 44% shooting and covering the number by an average of 11.6 points. This database situation query that has produced a 34-21 record using the Money Line good for 62% winners since the start of the 2013 season. Play against a home team using the money line after allowing 55 points or less and is now facing an opponent after scoring 75 points or more 5 straight games. These teams do even worse when they are hosting a team ranked in the Top-20 going just 7-29 for 19% losing by an average of 12 points.
11-27-18	Lakers +4 v. Nuggets	Top	85-117	Loss	-110	6 h 33 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Lakers (509) LA LAKERS (11 - 8) at DENVER (13 - 7) Tuesday, 11/27/2018 9:05 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Lakers, who are priced as 3.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Lakers are expected to make a minimum of 47% of their shot attempts and make a minimum of 38% of their 3-point attempts. When on the road and the Lakers attain these performance levels, they have gone on to a 16-6 ATS mark covering by an average of 8 points. When we add in the road dog parameter, their record soars to 14-4 ATS and covering by 8.4 points. Playing against favorites in the first half of the season of 3.5 to 9.5 points after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games has produced a successful 105-53 ATS record good for 67% winners since 2013.
11-27-18	Virginia Tech v. Penn State +4	Top	62-63	Win	100	7 h 56 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Penn State (518) VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 0) at PENN ST (3 - 2) Tuesday, 11/27/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Penn State, who are priced as 2.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for PSU to have a significant rebounding edge in this matchup and will have at least four more rebounds than V-Tech. PSU is 13-3 ATS installed as a home dog when they get four or more total rebounds than the opponent and 4-0-1 ATS covering by 10 points per game when the margin is 8 boards or more. PSU is a solid 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games in November games since 1997; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 3 seasons. PSU is coming off a game where they shot 28% from the floor in a 3-point loss to Bradley. They are 6-3 ATS as a dog following an abysmal shooting night hitting less than 30% from the field. Further, V-Tech allowed their last opponent to make less than 30% of their shot attempts. When a team that shot 30% or less is facing an opponent, who allowed 30% or less shooting in their last game, the team is 23-12 ATS for 65.7%. This database situational query has produced a 161-94 ATS mark since 2013. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IDAHO ST) that are solid 3-point shooting teams from last season that made 37% or more of their attempts.
11-26-18	Idaho State v. Pepperdine -7.5	Top	82-97	Win	100	6 h 40 m	Show
ohn Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Pepperdine (734) IDAHO ST (2 - 2) at PEPPERDINE (3 - 2) Monday, 11/26/2018 10:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Pepperdine who are priced as 7-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Pepperdine to make at least 47% of their shot attempts and score 81 or more points with a minimum of three fewer turnovers than Idaho State. IN past games, Idaho State is just 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 14-38 ATS (-27.8 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Pepperdine is 105-49 ATS (+51.1 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; PEPPERDINE is 85-40 ATS (+41.0 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game. Idaho State is just 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons; 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games; 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers This database situational query has produced a 161-94 ATS mark since 2013. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IDAHO ST) that are solid 3-point shooting teams from last season that made 37% or more of their attempts.
11-26-18	Titans +4.5 v. Texans	Top	17-34	Loss	-115	8 h 2 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Tennessee (273) Tennessee (5 - 5) at Houston (7 - 3) Week 12 Monday, 11/26/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Titans, who are priced as 4.5-point road dogs. Consider an alternative combination wager consisting of a 7.5-Star play using the line and a 2.5-Star play using the money line to exploit the upset Titan victory. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Titans are projected to have modestly more rushing yards and will have no more than 0.5 YPPL deficit than the Texans. When these two performance measuring sticks have been met or exceeded by the Titans, they have produced a stout 104-37-2 ATSD mark for 74%. When this game has been on the road, they have produced a 52-17 mark good for 75% and covering by an average of 7.9 points. Drilling the dataset a bit deeper, our queries return a 31-8 ATS record good for 80% and covering by 9.7 points per game when installed as a road dog of 1 to 7 points and 5-1 ATS since the start of the 2015 season covering by an average of 13.6 points.
11-26-18	Bucks -4.5 v. Hornets	Top	107-110	Loss	-105	3 h 60 m	Show
ohn Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Milwaukee (703) MILWAUKEE (14 - 5) at CHARLOTTE (9 - 10) Monday, 11/26/2018 7:05 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Bucks, who is currently priced as a 4.5-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projections call for Milwaukee to score at least 122 points and make a minimum of 48% of their shot attempts. Milwaukee is a solid 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they score 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) when they score 117 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Charlotte is just 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) when they allow 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when they allow 117 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Bucks are 31-3 SU and 28-6 ATS covering by an average of 8.2 points when they have scored 112 points and hit a minimum of 48% of their shots. This database situational query has produced an impeccable 28-6 ATS record over the past five seasons. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
11-25-18	Dolphins +9 v. Colts	Top	24-27	Win	100	6 h 52 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Miami Dolphins (265) MIAMI (5 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 5) Week 12 Sunday, 11/25/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Dolphins, who are priced as 8-point road dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +270. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Dolphins pull off the upset returns ($540). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Dolphins to gain 0.5 yards-per-play or fewer than the Colts. These road teams that are installed as dogs of 8 to 14.5 points are a solid 22-4 ATS for 85% covering by an average of 7.5 points since the start of the 2016 season. This database situation query that has produced a 35-19 ATS record good for 72% winners since the start of the 1980 season. Play on any team (MIAMI) in a game involving two poor defensive teams allowing 23 to 27 PPG in the 2nd half of the season and after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games.
11-25-18	49ers +2 v. Bucs	Top	9-27	Loss	-105	2 h 27 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup San Francisco (255) SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 8) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 7) Week 12 Sunday, 11/25/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the 49ers, which the market has priced them as 2.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and precedents are as follows: 49ers are expected to gain between 350 and 400 total offensive yards and average 6.0 to 6.5 yards-per-play. The 49ers are 16-4-3 ATS when they have achieved this pair of performance measures. When at home and allowing these performance measurss, the Bucs are an imperfect 0-5 ATS failing to cover by an average of 15.6 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 67-30 ATS mark good for 69% winners over the past five seasons. Play against favorites (TAMPA BAY) with a poor turnover defense forcing 1 or less turnovers-per-game and after a game where they forced no turnovers.
11-25-18	Giants +4.5 v. Eagles	Top	22-25	Win	100	2 h 54 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup NY Giants (257) NY GIANTS (3 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 6) Week 12 Sunday, 11/25/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Giants which the market has priced as 5.5-point road dogs. An added recommended play is to play a combination wager comprised of a 7.5-Star wager on the line and a 2.5-Star wager using the money line. Also play a 7-Star wager on the ‘OVER’ and consider no more than a 3-Star amount on a reverse action parlay using the Giants and the ‘over’ OR a 3-start straight parlay using the Giants and the ‘OVER’. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Giants to score more than 21 points and gain at least 6.0 YPPL. The Giants are 15-8-1 ATS for 65% when they have gained 6 to 6.5 YPPL in road games and 5-0 ‘OVER’ since 2013 covering the total by an average of 17.5 points. The Eagles are 2-10 ATS for 17% when allowing a visitor to gain 6 to 6.5 YPPL since 2008. This money line database query has produced a remarkable 24-3 record for 89% since 1980. Play on any team using the money line in the second half of the season (NY GIANTS) that are mistake-free teams averaging less than 1.25 TO-per-Game committed and is now facing a team forcing no more than 1.25 TO-per-Game and after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better. Giants are also 14-7 ATS off of B2B games achieving a turnover margin of 2 or better.
11-24-18	Auburn +25.5 v. Alabama	Top	21-52	Loss	-110	5 h 39 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Auburn (227) Auburn (7 - 4) at Alabama (11 - 0) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 3:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Tigers which the market has priced as 24.5-point road dogs. An added recommended play is to take a 1-Star wager and get Auburn on the money line, if available through your book(s). SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Alabama to gain 8 or fewer yards-per-pass and when installed as 17.5-point favorites and higher are 10-17 ATS. When combined with games where Alabama has scored 28 or fewer points, the result has been a imperfect 0-8 ATS failing to cover by 10.6 PPG, but they have won 7 of the 8 games SU. Here is a strong database situational query that has produced a 24-5 ATS result for 83% winners since 2008. Play on road underdogs (AUBURN) after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins. A second query under scores the strength of this play even more producing a 25-3 ATS mark good for 89% winners since 2008. Play on a road team after game 7 that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 to 390 YPG and after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game And is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG.
11-24-18	Michigan v. Ohio State +5	Top	39-62	Win	100	4 h 26 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Ohio State (105) Michigan (10 - 1) at Ohio St (10 - 1) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Buckeyes, who are priced as 5-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +190. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Buckeyes pull off the upset returns ($380). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Michigan is 22-61 ATS (-45.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 7.5 to 8 net passing yards-per-attempt; 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 50 or fewer yards. OSU is a solid 142-54 ATS (+82.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points. OSU is 34-0 SU and 23-9-2 ATS, and 21-12 ‘OVER’ in home games scoring 28 ro more points and passing for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-attempt. Not since October 29, 2011 has OSU been installed as a home dog. On they date, they played Wisconsin installed as 7.5-point home dogs and won the game 33-29. Dating back to 1980, our DB shows that OSU has been a home dog on 16 occasions and have gone 7-8-1 SU and 10-5-1 ATS. The last time Michigan came to Columbus as a favorite was November 20, 2004 and they were throttled 37-21. Interesting that the line for this game showed Michigan priced as a 5-point favorite just as they are for today’s game. The following database query has produced a 37-12 ATS mark good for 76% over the past 5 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO ST) in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This DB query is based on the money line and is remarkable in its’ own right sporting a 28-19 SU record and making 42.6 stars per Star unit wager since 1992. Play on home underdogs using the money line (OHIO ST) in a game involving two explosive offensive teams scoring 34 or more PPG and after scoring 42 points or more last game.
11-24-18	Florida v. Florida State +7.5	Top	41-14	Loss	-105	4 h 26 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Florida State (200) Florida (8 - 3) at Florida St (5 - 6) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Seminoles, who are priced as 7-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +240. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Seminoles pull off the upset returns ($480). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Seminoles to score a minimum 24 points and gain at least 8.5 passing yards per attempt. In FSU home games where they have attained these performance measures, they have produced a 30-3 SU record and 22-11-1 ATS mark; since the start of the 2013 season, they are 17-2 SU and 13-5-1 ATS for 72% covering by 6.3 PPG. This database situation query that has produced a 25-6 ATS record good for 81% winners since the start of the 1992 season. Play against road favorites (FLORIDA) that are solid offensive teams gaining between 5.6 to 6.2 YPP after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games and are now facing an average defense allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 YPP and after 7 or more games.
11-24-18	Syracuse v. Boston College -6.5	Top	42-21	Loss	-110	4 h 25 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Boston College (160) Syracuse (8 - 3) At Boston College (7 - 4) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on BC, which the market has priced them as 7-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and precedents are as follows: Syracuse is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons; 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games when they allow 29 to 35 points since 1992; 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992; 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points; 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) when they gain 4.5 to 5 total yards per play. BC is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 40-14 ATS (+24.6 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 35-13 ATS mark good for 73% winners over the past five seasons. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SYRACUSE) with an elite offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game and after being outgained by the previous opponent by 125 or more total yards.
11-23-18	Central Florida v. South Florida +15	Top	38-10	Loss	-105	4 h 26 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup The South Florida Bulls (105) UCF (10 - 0) at South Florida (7 - 4) Week 13 Friday, 11/23/2018 4:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Bulls, who are priced as 14.5-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 8-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +500. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Bulls pull off the upset returns 10-Stars ($1,000). SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Both teams are projected to score 28 or more points. Home dogs of 10 to 17.5 points scoring 28 or more points and their guests matching that output have produced a 240-83-10 ATS mark good for 74% covering by an average of 6.3 points. Drilling the data set a bit further to include conference games returns a 198-61-8 ATS record good for 76.4% covering by an average of 6.7 points. Finally, if the visitor ranks in the Top-10, the home dog takes real meaning with a 25-4-1 SATS record and 86% covering by an average of 8.7 points. The following database query has produced a 31-10 ATS mark good for 76% since 1992. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UCF) off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a good team with a 60 to 80 win percentage.
11-22-18	Bears -3 v. Lions	Top	23-16	Win	100	2 h 1 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup The Chicago Bears (105) Chicago (7 - 3) at Detroit (4 - 6) Week 12 Thursday, 11/22/2018 12:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Chicago Bears, who are priced as 3-point road favorites. This play is with Chase Daniels at QB. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Bears are a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Detroit is just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when they allow 8 to 8.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Bears are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games when they outgain their opponents by 0.5 to 1 yard-per-play. In Detroit home games facing a strong QB, who is completing 64% or more of his passes and are outgained by at least 0.5 YPPL has produced a poor 30-88-3 ATS mark losing to the spread by an average of 8.1 points. Since the start of the 20`15 season, the Lions are 5-14 ATS for 26% under the same performance measures. Chase Daniels will start at QB. Good news for him knowing he has excellent matchup advantages with his two WR Anthony Miller (Slot) and Taylor Gabriel. Allen Robinson is evenly matched against Lions corner Darius Slay. Miller will see more targets in this game using quick slants, hooks, bubble screens for Daniels to execute successfully. So, with the run game over-matched against the Lions defensive front, these quick hitters will serve the same purpose and put Daniels and the offense into a minimum of long downs. Detroit will have immense difficulty getting passes completed to either WR, but especially T.J. Jones, who will be covered by Amukamara. This matchup is the weakest of any WR-CB matchup on this weeks’ NFL card. They are both 6-foot tall, but Amukamara has size and speed weighing 205 pounds to Jones’ 190 and speed with a 4.38 versus 4.46 40-time. Not much difference in speed, but the size allows Amukamara to be very physical with Jones in the first 5-yards of any route. Kenny Golladay will be the other starting WR for the Lions and he will defended by one of the best in Kyle Fuller. The Lions have swapped these WR given that Golladay has lineup ‘right’ 39%, left 30%, and slot 16% of plays run, but either Bears defender has the upper hand in both matchups.
11-21-18	Pelicans v. 76ers -3.5	Top	120-121	Loss	-106	1 h 50 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Philadelphia (502) New Orleans (10 - 7) At Philadelphia (12 - 7) Wednesday, 11/21/2018 7:05 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Philadelphia 76ers, who are priced as 4point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the 76ers to score a minimum of 115 points an are 10-1 ATS when the do in games played at home over the past two seasons. This database situation query that has produced a 72-37 ATS record good for 66% winners since the start of the 1996 season. Play against underdogs after 3 or more consecutive wins and is a marginal winning team posting a 51 to 60 win percentage and now playing a winning record team. This DB query has produced a 66-28 ATS mark good for 71% winners over the last 5 seasons playing on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) in non-conference games and off an upset win as a road underdog.
11-20-18	Auburn +11.5 v. Duke	Top	72-78	Win	100	4 h 57 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Auburn Tigers (745) Auburn (4 - 0) Vs. Duke (4 - 0) Maui Invitational - Round 2 - Lahaina Civic Center - Maui, HI Tuesday, 11/20/2018 8:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Tigers, who are priced as 10-point neutral court Dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Auburn is 8-1 ATS when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Auburn is 59-16-1 ATS for 79% covering by an average of 7.11 points when they shoot no lower than 3.5% than their opponent and have at least 9 made 3-point shots. Since Auburn has been investing their resources into their basketball program and building much better teams, they are 32-6 ATS for 84% and covering by 8.4 points since the start of the 2016 season. This database situational query has produced a 27-8 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (DUKE) that are very good shooting teams from last season that made a minimum 48% of their shot attempts and after 2 straight games in the current season allowing a shooting percentage by those opponents of 37% or less. Next, this query has returned a record of 32-10 for 76% winners over the past 5 seasons. Play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (DUKE) after 3 straight wins by 15 points or more and is now facing an opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games.
11-20-18	Blazers v. Knicks +7.5	Top	118-114	Win	100	3 h 11 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup NY Knicks (706) Portland (11 - 5) At New York (4 - 13) Tuesday, 11/20/2018 7:35 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on theNY KNicks, who are priced as 8-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the This database situation query that has produced a 30-8 ATS record good for 79% winners spanning the last 5 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses. This DB query has produced a 66-28 ATS mark good for 71% winners over the last 5 seasons playing on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) in non-conference games and off an upset win as a road underdog.
11-19-18	Chiefs v. Rams -3	Top	51-54	Push	0	9 h 55 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (466) Kansas City (9 - 1) at La Rams (9 - 1) Week 11 Monday, 11/19/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Rams, who are priced as 3-point home favorites. This line may go to 3.5 from its’ current level of 3 -120 that are available at the majority of books we monitor. Lines makers really do not want to have the number ‘3’ changed and would prefer to move the vig instead. Yet, I do not think you’ll see -3 and -125 vig and instead the line will shift to -3 ½ -105. With the Rams projected to win by more than 11 points, the vig is almost irrelevant at this point and it doesn’t hurt to book the wager at -3 -120 line. An alternative is to play the money at -160, but reduce the size of your bet so you are only risking a 10-star amount. So, 10-Stars devided by 1.60 would then equal a wager of 6.25-Stars on the money line. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rams to score between 28 and 35 points, will rush for more than 140 yards and pass for more than 300. The Rams are 7-1 ATS and 8-0 SU oinstalled as a home favorite when they rush for 140 or more yards and pass for more than 300 yards. This database situational query has produced a 39-6 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2008. Play on favorites (LA RAMS) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games and is now facing an opponent having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. When these teams are home favorites, the record improves to 25-4 ATS for 86% and is also 13-2 ATS over the past five seasons. Next, this query has returned a record of 51-21 for 71% winners over the past 10 seasons and works against the Chiefs. Play against underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) that is a very hot team having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. This is the game we have all been waiting for and after the Saints put up the gaudy offensive and defensive numbers against the defending SB Champs Eagles yesterday, the Rams may have just a bit more motivation to show them and the football world what they are capable of achieving. The Rams have a significantly better defense based on our metrics and rankings and this may be more of the highlight tonight then the offenses. The Rams pass rush ranks best in the NFL and the dominant reason is that they have the personnel to cover any WR in man situations and open space. The left side of the OL is vulnerable to this aggressive pass rush. Guard Cam Irving and left tackle Eric Fisher have really struggled in blitz situations an drank near the bottom of NFL starters in this category. Of course, Mahomes has the athleticism to extend plays and avoid sacks, but few teams, if any, have the intelligent speed that the Rams defense possesses. Look for the Rams to really bring the heat in passing downs when the Chiefs are on their right hash. The Rams can execute containment on the perimeter and use the right sidelines essentially as an extra defender. This could see Mahomes make the critical mistake of throwing back across the field with high risk results. Jared Goff leads the NFL with 204 attempts having a minimum of 2.5 seconds to execute the play and has achieved a 107.3 QBR that ranks ninth best. By comparison, Mahomes ranks 9th in attempts with 2.5 or more seconds of protection, buty ranks a dismal 26th in QBR. Think KC will blitz Goff? Well, that is a very dangerous situation given that Goff has achieved a 111.9 QBR with no pressure and a 115.5 under blitz conditions. Moreover, the Rams trio of receivers of Kupp, Woods, and Cooks have gotten the most respect of any group in the NFL with defenders giving them an average cushion of 6.5 yards and all of them average more than 3.5 yards of separation on targeted pass plays. Now, Kupp is not playing and the Rams will adjust to fill that gap that he leaves in their overall production. That addition can come from many different players. Rams will look to run more two TE sets with Everett, who is an exceptional receiver and can line-up anywhere on the field. His size and speed will present an immediate matchup problem for the Chiefs defense. Josh Reynolds will certainly see more targets as well. Overall, the two TE and 4 and 5-WR sets will have these different personnel in them and Goff still has Gurley in the backfield to use as a decoy for his high percentage play action pass plays. Take the Rams
11-18-18	Eagles v. Saints -7	Top	7-48	Win	100	4 h 10 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New Orleans Saints(460) Philadelphia (4 - 5) At New Orleans (8 - 1) Week 11 Sunday, 11/18/2018 4:25 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Saints which the market has priced as 7.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Maryland to gain a minimum of seven yards per play, score 27 or more points, and gain a minimum of 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Saints in home games are 22-11-1 ATS for 67% winners when averaging 7 or more YPPL and 8.5 or more YPPL. Saints are a stellar 21-5 ATS for 81% when our rushing their visiting opponent by 50 or more yards and out passing them by 100 or more. Here is a strong database situational query that has produced a 40-16 ASTS result for 71% winners since 2008. Play against any team (PHILADELPHIA) off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite in the month of November. A second query under scores the strength of this play even more producing a 63-28 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 1980. Play on home favorites (NEW ORLEANS) tht are outrushing opponents by 40 or more YPG and after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game and are now facing an average rushing team posting a +/- 30 RYPG differential after 8 or more games.
11-18-18	Steelers v. Jaguars +6	Top	20-16	Win	100	4 h 38 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Jacksonville Jaguars (472) Pittsburgh (6 - 2 - 1) At Jacksonville (3 - 6) Week 11 Sunday, 11/18/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are priced as 5.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Jaguars to score 24 to 30 points and will hold Pittsburgh to less than 85 rushing yards. When the JaguARS HAVE MET OR EXCEEDED these performance measures in home games they have gone 17-2 SU winning by 10.5 PPG and 13-5-1 ATS for 72% covering by 7.7 points. When installed as a home dog, they have gone 4-1 SUATS covering by 11 points. When the Steelers have been involved with games rushing for less than 85 yards and allowing 24 to 30 on the road they have gone a miserable 2-13 SU losing by an average of 11.4 PPG and 3-12 ATS failing to cover by an average of 11.20 points. When they are installed as road favorites they have gone 1-7 SUATS losing by an average of 9.9 points and failing to cover by an average of 13.4 points. This database situation query that has produced a 30-8 ATS record good for 79% winners spanning the last 10 seasons. Play on any team that is a struggling offensive team scoring 14 to 18 PPG and is now facing a defensive team allowing 23 to 27 PPG and after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.
11-17-18	Ohio State v. Maryland +14.5	Top	52-51	Win	100	3 h 17 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Maryland University (350) Ohio St (9 - 1) at Maryland (5 - 5) Week 12 Saturday, 11/17/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on Maryland which the market has priced as 14.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Maryland to gain a minimum of 200 rushing yards and will score at least 28 points. Ohio State is just 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. Maryland is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games when they rush for 200 to 250 yards since 1992; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Combined RY greater than 200 yards and scoring 28 or more points, the Terrapins are 17-3 SU sinning by an average of 25 points.
11-16-18	Memphis v. SMU +7.5	Top	28-18	Loss	-105	11 h 16 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup SMU 181) Memphis (6 - 4) at SMU (5 - 5) Week 12 Friday, 11/16/2018 9:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the SMU Mustangs, who are priced as 7.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Mustangs to attain a 12.5 yards-per-point ratio or lower and that their YPPT ratio will be less (more efficient offense) than the Memphis Tigers. When installed as home dogs, SMU is a perfect 8-0 ATS covering by an average of 20 PPG when meeting or exceeded these performance measures. This database situation query that has produced a 34-8 ATS record good for 81% winners spanning the last 25 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SMU) after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games.
11-16-18	Kings v. Grizzlies -7	Top	104-112	Win	100	11 h 46 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Memphis (712) Sacramento (8 - 6) at Memphis (8 - 5) Friday, 11/16/2018 8:05 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Memphis grizzlies, who are priced as 7-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Memphis will attempt a minimum of 82 shots, will make a minimum of 38% of their 3-point shots, and will score more than 105 points. Memphis when installed as a home favorite and meeting or exceeded these performance measures have produced a 46-4 SU mark winning by 15.1 PPG and a 44-6 ATS mark goof ro 88% and covering by 9 PPG. This database situational query has produced a 82-43 ATS mark good for 65.6% winners since 2013. Play against any team after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games and now facing an opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
11-14-18	Seton Hall v. Nebraska -7.5	Top	57-80	Win	100	4 h 45 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Nebraska (736) Seton Hall (1 - 0) at Nebraska (2 - 0) Wednesday, 11/14/2018 7:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Nebraska who are priced as 7.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Nebraska will attempt between 54 and 62 shots and will make between 47 and 53% of those shot attempts and will make at least 40% of their 3-point shot attempts. Nebraska is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. This database situational query has produced a 26-6 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 1972. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEBRASKA) in a game involving two teams who had good records 60% to 80% from last season, with 3 or more starters returning from last year than opponent. Here is a second database system query that has produced a 58-24 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 2013. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that was a good offensive team from last season scoring 77 or more points-per-game.
11-14-18	Buffalo v. Ohio -2.5	Top	17-52	Win	100	10 h 7 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Ohio University (513) Buffalo (9 - 1) at Ohio U (6 - 4) Week 12 Wednesday, 11/14/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Ohio University, who is currently priced as a 2.5-point home favorite SIM Projections and Results Projections call for Ohio to score at least 28 points, have at least 200 rushing yards, and gain a minimum of 6.5 YPPL. Since 2006, Ohio is a solid 47-6 SU winning by 18.7 PPG and 40-10-2 ATS covering the spread by 8.9 PPG when scoring 28 points and gaining 200 or more rushing yards. When attaining these performance measures in home games they are 21-4-2 ATS for 84% covering by 9 PPG.
11-14-18	76ers -6 v. Magic	Top	106-111	Loss	-107	3 h 40 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Philadelphia 76ers (181) Philadelphia (9 - 6) At Orlando (6 - 8) Wednesday, 11/14/2018 7:05 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the 76ers, who are priced as 6-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Magic to shoot no better than 42% from the field and gte no more than 52 rebounds while the 76ers will have a minimum of 58 boards. 76ers are a solid 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when their opponents make 39% to 42% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) when they grab more than 58 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. Orlando is just 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) when they make 39% to 42% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. This database situation query that has produced a 39-13 ATS record good for 75% winners spanning the last 5 seasons. Play on road teams (PHILADELPHIA) after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team.