Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles
4:30 PM EST, January 5, 2020
NFL 7-Star Bet on the Eagles

I can sum this game up with a few words and they are Home Dog and terrific defensive line. The Eagles defensive line has played fantastic football over the last four weeks and I think they are going to play at that level again in this matchup. The Seahawks and Eagles resemble M.A.S.H. units more than an NFL team given their page filling list of names on the injured list. The Seahawks to do not have a running back – at least one that is even 90% healthy or not unretired (love the poor grammar) as Marshawn Lynch is labeled. The Eagles defensive game plan will not include putting massive heat on Wilson, but rather massive containment and forcing to make throws instead of using his legs to extend plays.

Even the massive mismatches of the Seahawk wide recievers against the Eagles secondary will be minimized if the defensive line and stop the run and contain Wilson.

From the predictive side fo this game the Eagles will out gain the Seahawks by at least 80 yards in total offense and will have fewer turnovers. When the Eagles have attained this in previous home games they have gone on to a jaw-dropping 39-0 straight-up and 38-1 against-the-spread (ATS) and covered the spread by an average of 16 points!

St. Johns vs Xavier
4:00 PM EST, January 5, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Xavier Musketeers

Here are a few tip-ins:
Xavier is a solid 20-4 ATS in home games facing teams who average 40 or more rebounds-per-game on the season spanning the last 10 seasons.

Xavier is 23-10 ATS 23-10 ATS in home games when facing stout defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage defense of 39% or less.

St. Johns is just 15-31 ATS in road games after a game committing eight or fewer turnovers.

From the predictive side St. Johns is 1-8 ATS in road games when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last three seasons.

  
Here is a big-time NFL situational betting system that has earned a solid 26-7 against-the-spread (ATS) record over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play on a road team after week 8 of the regular including the playoffs that has a winning record and facing an opponent with a winning record of at least 73% and is coming off a road divisional win.

Some quick Hitters:
Saints are a winless 0-7 ATS in home games off a division game spanning the last three seasons.

Saints are 17-34 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.

From the predictive side of things the Vikings are 30-15-1 ATS as a road dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and gain more rushing yards than their opponent including a 22-2 ATS record when scoring at least 22 or more points.

Bet the Minnesota Vikings as a 7-Star Titan Bet

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots
8:15 PM EST
10-Star New England Patriots

The public sentiment is that the Brady-Belichick era is OVER and the gold-plated wheel chair has been ordered for both of them by the Kraft family. Ha Ha. But seriously, how many times over the past 20 seasons have we herd the demise and that this is the year the Patriots are not the Patriots. Granted, this will be the biggest test of coaching genius for Belichick, but he has one of the best passing defenses in the NFL. 

I have drawn upon the connection to and the similarity of being bullish on a stock to being bullish on a sports team. A stock like Apple that has been in a bullish uptrend for several months and reached all-time highs in today’s price action will have pullbacks and corrections of the major gains made this year. These price declines do not indicate that the positive trend in prices has ended, but that price levels had become too expensive and reflected too much positive optimism for the future earnings of the company. 

The New England Patriots are the sports team version of Apple. There have been many times over the years where negative news caused a severe price correction in Apple stock. Those price declines proved to be awesome buying opportunities in the face of highly negative sentiment. This is exactly where the Patriots are right now. 

In the NFL when a double-digit underdog pulls off the upset it is always shocking news to most. However, the Dolphins had gone 5-4 in their last nine games and won their last two of three games. So, it was not the same Dolphins that were shutout in the first meeting between these two teams. 

Vegas did not tell us that the Patriots would win by the point spread of 17-points last week. What the line does tell us is where the lines makers believe there will be equal action on both sides of the ledger. Sol the 17-point NFL betting line seen on the NFL odds boards reflected human betting behavior and the lines maker anticipating a ton of bets being placed on the Patriots if they released a line that was in the 14.5-point area. 

So, now the betting public has shifted gears and thrown the baby out with the bath water – no, I am not calling Tommy a baby – and the line now is cheaply priced and offers us an after Christmas deal of the year to get on the Patriots. 

Take the Focus off 42-year-old Tom Brady
Head Coach Belichick has done one thing well in every game he has prepared for in his Hall-of-Fame-like career. That one task is to create a defensive scheme that takes away the opponent’s most significant strength. Last week’s loss was an exception that he did not see coming or one that was identified, and the execution of the scheme was poor. Whatever the case, I strongly belevie that Belichick will have the scheme that will make it extraordinarily difficult for a Ryan Tannehill-led offense to move the chains and score touchdowns in the red zone. 

Let us face facts that Brady has had one of the weakest wide receiver corps of his career. In 2018 receivers dropped 25 balls for a 4.;6% drop rate and in 2019 receivers dropped 34 balls for a 5.9% drop rate. He leads the league with 40 throw-away balls as compared to just 22 last season. 

The media says that it is a combination of the offensive line, wide receivers, and a diminished skill set of a 42-year old quarterback. Well, then I ask of these brilliant minds why has the offensive line given Brady an average of 2.5 seconds of pocket time as compared to 2.4 seconds in 2018. A tenth of a second is an hour for an NFL quarterback and often the difference between a sack and a completed pass play. 

At the end of this game the Patriots will have won because of their defense. 

·       The Patriots are 20-9 against-the-spread (ATS)  and covered these games by an average of 6.53 points-per-game in games taking place in the second-half of the season and the playoffs when facing a team with a modest win percentage between 51 and 60% since 2001. 

Here is an awesome betting system that does well using the money line and against the spread and has earned a 32-4 SU record for 89% winning bets using the money line over the past 10 seasons. Play on favorites after Week 8 using the money line that are coming a off one or more consecutive ‘over’ games and is a strong defensive team allowing between 14 and 18 points-per-game and are facing an average defensive team allowing between 18 and 23 points-per-game. 

  
Some quick Hitters:
Texas is 9-2 against-the-spread in road games and are coming off a game in which they covered the spread in games played over the last two seasons. 

Baylor is just 2- 9 against-the-spread in a home game in which the total was between 130 and 139.5 in games played over the last two seasons.

Baylor head coach Drew is 2-12 ATS in home games after leading their last three games by five or more points at the half; 0-6 ATS in home games after playing four consecutive games as favorite. 

Based on the predictive summary from the machine learning tools Texas is 29-5 straight-up and 20-7 ATS in games in which they scored 70 or more points, had twice as many assists as turnovers and had the better assist-to-turnover ratio.  

Iowa State vs TCU
6:00 PM EST, January 4, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Iowa State Cyclones

 Here are a few tip-ins:
TCU is just 20-41 ATS after allowing 55 or fewer points in their previous game; 8-21 ATS for 28% when at home. 

Iowa State is a solid 7-3 ATS after winning game in which they allowed the opponent a shooting percentage in excess of 50% since 2010. 

Iowa State head coach Prohm is 27-14 ATS when facing teams who are called for 17 or less fouls-per-game.

From the predictive side Iowa State is 54-16-3 ATS in games in which they shot 45% or better from the field and made at least 75% of their free throw attempts.  

San Diego vs Santa Clara
5:00 PM EST, January 4, 2020
NCAAM Basketball 7-Star Bet on Santa Clara

Here is a situational betting query that has earned an outstanding 135-103 against-the-spread (ATS) record producing 61% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on favorites of 3.5 to 7.5 points that are outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points-per-game and after scoring 45 points or more in the first half of their last game.

If we slice the data to include just home favorites the results improve to a solid 60-35-1 ATS for 63% winning bets. 

·       Santa Clara is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS after playing three consecutive home games spanning the last two seasons.

o   6-0 ATS when playing at home. 

·       Santa Clara head coach Sendek is 10-2 ATS after scoring 75 or more points in two straight games. 

Take Santa Clara and bet them as a 7-Star Titan

Iowa vs Penn State
2:00 PM EST, January 4, 2020
7-Star Titan on Penn State

This situational query has earned a solid 78-46-3 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on neutral  and home court favorites between 2.5 and 8.5 points that have been dominating their recent opponents having won their previous game by 24 or more points and the next to last game by at least 18 points. If the team scored 90 or more points in their last game the combined system moves to 44-24-2 ATS for 65% winners since 2015.

Two teams that have opened some fellow Big Ten opponents’ eyes with their surprising success early in the season return to conference play when 25th-ranked Iowa visits No. 21 Penn State at the historic Palestra in Philadelphia. The Nittany Lions started their current four-game winning streak with an upset of then-No. 4 Maryland for their first Big Ten victory of the season. They concluded non-conference action with a 90-59 demolition of Cornell on Sunday and held a team under 60 points for the fifth time this season.

Senior Mike Watkins will provide a stiff challenge for Iowa’s Garza, who is leading the Big Ten in scoring averaging 21.6 points-per-game. The Nittany Lions' big man is coming off his fifth double-double of the season with 19 points and 10 rebounds Sunday. "He definitely is enjoying playing the game of basketball," coach Patrick Chambers told reporters of Watkins, who is 13-of-14 from the floor over his last two games and leads all Big Ten players with 3.5 blocks per game.

Senior forward Lamar Stevens leads the team in scoring (16.4) and ranks second to Watkins on the glass (7.2)

Take Penn State as a 7-Star Titan.

Georgia vs Memphis
1:00 PM EST

7-Star Bet on the Georgia Bulldogs

Let us begin with a terrific betting system that has earned a solid 37-13 against-the-spread (ATS) record producing 74% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams as an underdog including ‘pick’ after a game in which they allowed their opponent a 33% or wore shooting percentage and are now facing a home team that has been scorching from the field posting three consecutive games making at least 47% of their shot attempts from the field.

This system has earned a 64-31-1 ATS record over the past 10 seasons.

From the predictive summaries Georgia is 7-2 ATS and 10-0 SU in games in which they score 70 or more points and get 48 or more total rebounds.

Bet the Georgia Bulldogs for a 7-Star Titan Upset Alert

Let us begin with a situational betting system that has earned a solid and consistent 32-15 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 68.1% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on an underdog after being beaten by the spread by a combined total of 42 or more points over their last five games and is facing an opponent that has gone under the posted total by a combined total of 55 or more points over their last five games.

·        The Hoosiers are 15-5 ATS after two consecutive games in which the ‘UNDER’ bet won in games played over the last three seasons.

·        The Terrapins are just 4-13 AZTS after a game in which they shot 78% or better from the charity stripe in games played over the last two seasons.

Hoosier freshman phenom Trayce Jackson-Davis scored 16 of his team-high 20 points in the first half and pulled down six rebounds in the 71-64 loss to Arkansas. Devonte Green knocked down four 3-pointers en route to 14 points while Joey Brunk finished with eight points and a game-high 11 rebounds against the Razorbacks.  Look for these two players to have big games and lead the Hoosiers to an easy ATS win and potential upset win over the Terrapins.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets
8:00 PM EST, January 3, 2020
10-Star Best Bet on the 76ers

Let us start the research with an outstanding system that has earned a remarkable 36-9 against-the-spread (ATS) 80% winning betting system spanning the last five seasons. The requirements for a validated bet is that we are backing an underdog of 3 to 10 points in a non-conference game and that the team has lost three consecutive road games.

So, the 76ers have lost three road games on this four-game road trip having lost first to the Orlando Magic, then the Miami Heat, and then most recently on New Year’s Even to the Indiana Pacers.

The machine learning tools project that the 76ers wills core at least 111 points and will have the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. The 76ers are 26-5 ATS for 84% winning bets when they have met or achieved these performance measures in games played since 2015.

Wisconsin vs No. 8 Ohio State
7:00 PM EST, January 3, 2020

This is a matchup that I believe has ‘Upset Alert’ written all over and I recommend betting this game with 90% of your bet on the line and 10% on the money line. 

The story line in this matchup is on Wisconsin Badger and Ohio State transfer Micah Potter. He is a junior forward that has the size and length to contain the Buckeyes power in the post and paint areas. I think he will outplay junior forward Kaleb Wesson and be a big part of the upset win. 

Wesson will have to step up and fill the gap left by junior forward Kyle Young, who is out after having surgery to remove his appendix. Amazingly, he played well, but was extremely sick in the Buckeyes loss to No. 17 West Virginia. 

The Badgers may be just 8-5 SU on the season, but they have put together a solid streak winning four of their last five games with impressive wins over the Indiana Hoosiers and Tennessee Volunteers. They have also played the 11thmost difficult schedule of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs. Their defense is among the best in the nation ranking 26th and allowing 60.5 points-per-game on the season. 

The Badgers are led by junior forward Nate Reuvers, who is averaging a team-high 14.7 points-per-game and 5-4 rebounds-per-game. The Badgers have excellent depth and experience with 70% of the minutes played and 62% of the scoring returning from last year’s roster. 

·       The Badgers are 20-9 ATS in games following back-to-back 20 or more points wins. 

·       The Badgers are 8-4 ATS after having cover the spread in four or five of their last six games in games played over the last three seasons.

This situational query has earned a respectable 32-11 ATS record good for 74.4% winners over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on a road team that is an average offensive team that is averaging between 67 and 75 points-per-game on the season and after allowing 65 or fewer points in each of their last three games and is now facing an opponent that has a stout defense allowing an average of 63 or fewer points-per-game on the season.

No.4 Oregon vs Colorado
9:00 PM EST

This is a terrific PAC-12 Conference matchup and reflects the depth the conference does have this season. The Oregon Ducks are ranked No. 4 in the country and are a slight favorite to the unranked Colorado Buffalos.

The Buffalos have earned a great start to their season posting 11 wins in 13 games. However, they have done well against-the-spread (ATS) posting a 4-7-1 ATS record for 36% winning bets. Their two losses occurred in back-to-back games against Kansas losing 72-14 and failing to cover as 10.5-point underdogs and next against Northern Iowa by a 79-76 score and were favored by 9.5-points. They are on a current four-game win streak and have covered the spread in three of the last four games.

The Buffalos know how to defeat the Ducks having dominated them 73-51 on February 2 and have earned a 23-6 striaght-up (SU) record since that pivotal win. Although the Ducks have played terrific basketball including a perfect 5-0 SU record in December this is going to be a tough game for them to win.

·        The Buffalos are an outstanding 11-2-1 ATS when hosting an opponent that is averaging 77 or more points-per-game on the season.

·        The Buffalos are 17-9 ATS for 65% when dressed as a home dog since 2006.

o   9-3 ATS since 2010.

·        The Buffalos are 12-3 SU and 10-4-1 ATS in home games after having won four or five of their last six games since 2017.

 
 Ket us begin with a situational betting system that has earned a solid and consistent 105-58- 4 against-the-spread record good for 64.4% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on solid rushing teams averaging 4.8 rushing yards-per-attempt and are coming off a game in which they outgained their opponent by at least 125 rushing yards and now facing a team that averages between 4.3 to 4.8 rushing yards-per-attempt.

This betting system has earned a 20-11 STS record good for 64.5% winning bets in the 2019 season.

BC is 42-25 ATS when facing an opponent with a 75% or higher win percentage since 2000 including 16-2 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 12 points-per-game when scoring 28 or more points.

Creighton vs Marquette
9:00 PM EST, January 1, 2020
7-Star Titan on the Creighton

This situational query has earned a solid 77-40-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets Play on dominating elite performing home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are outscoring their opponents by 10 or more PPG and are coming off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half.

Creighton is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last three seasons. 

Sophomore guard Marcus Zegarowski was right on his team-leading scoring mark of 18.5 points by finishing with 19 in the win over Midland. Junior guard Ty-Shon Alexander also scored 19 to bounce back from a season-low five-point performance in a win at Arizona State, and he averages 16.5 points while making 34-of-78 from 3-point range. Junior guard Denzel Mahoney, a transfer who averaged 19.3 points for Southeast Missouri State two seasons ago, is averaging 12.7 points since making his debut for the Bluejays three games ago.

Baylor vs Georgia
Sugar Bowl., Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New Orleans, LA
8:45 PM EST

The bet is Georgia as a 7-Star Titan bet and the ‘UNDER’ for a 7-Star Bet. The optional plays for consideration are to bet a no more than a 3-Star amount using the reverse parlay strategy that pays 4:1. If you want the detailed info on how a reverse parlay works please contact me on Twitter at @johnRyanSports1. The other alternative is to bet a 7-Star amount on the 7-point teaser lines that would make Georgia a 3-point underdog and raise the total to 48 points – but both sides must win for the teaser bet to win.

The Georgia Bulldogs are a solid 33-17 against-the-spread (ATS) in road games when facing good rushing teams that are averaging at least 4.75 rushing yards-per-attempt; 11-2 ATS in road games after a game where they forced one or zero turnovers in games played spanning the last three seasons.

Georgia head coach Rhule is 10-1 ‘UNDER’ when facing stromg ball control teams that are averaging at least 32 minutes-per-game in all games he has coached.

 
The Auburn Tigers had a great season under the leadership of highly critiqued head coach Gus Malzahn. Perhaps their signature win over state-rival Alabama will stop the unnecessary criticism of Malzahn moving forward, which would be nice to see for the program. The Tigers lost three games and all against top seven teams in the final coaches’ poll by a combined total of 21 points. They finished the regular season with a 48-45 victory over No. 9 Alabama in the Iron Bowl to reach nine wins, which was two more than they had earned in 2018.

Auburn freshman quarterback Bo Nix made incredible progress and learned the playbook quickly in his first season. His season stats are not that impressive, but he steadily improved each week. He did not throw an interception over his last four games and only one in the last six games since throwing three interceptions against Florida. The Tigers are a young team and will only be better next season. Sophomore wide receiver Seth Williams is the top target for Nix with 55 catches for 801 yards and eight touchdowns while sophomore JaTarvious Whitlow (739 yards, nine touchdowns) and freshman D.J. Williams (387, two) , who also leads the ground attack.

From the predictive side of things, the Tigers have a high probability of scoring 28 or more points in this matchup. The Tigers are 48-22-3 Against the spread (ATS) when they have scored 28 or more points since 2010; 10-2 ATS last two season; 8-3 ATS in Bowl Games.

The Gophers are just 21-35-2 ATS when allowing an opponent to score 28 or more points since 2010; 3-6-1 ATS the last two seasons; 2-5 ATS in Bowl Games.

Plus, teams playing in bowl games that are favored by seven or more points and are ranked 10 or worse and facing an opponent that is ranked lower (greater than 10) are 6-2 ATS for 75% winning bets.

No. 11 Butler vs St. Johns
7:30 PM EST, December 31, 2019
Carnesecca Arena, Queens, NY
7-Star Titan on the Butler Bulldogs

The Red Storm will look to push the ball on offense and will look to create many fast break scoring opportunities. The Red Storm ranks 42nd in the nation of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs in scoring offense averaging 80 points-per-game and rank 140th in scoring defense allowing an average of 66.8 points-per-game.

The Bulldogs will look to control the pace of play and keep the Red Storm from getting in sync on the offensive end. Head Coach LaVall Jordan trains his team to think defense first and they have suffocated a team’s offensive power in many of their games. They rank 4th in the country in scoring defense allowing just 53.6 points-per-game. The pace of play is slow as reflected in their 244th ranking in scoring offense averaging 69.2 points-per-game. So, something must give.

The Bulldogs are a veteran-led team that has 67% of the minutes played and 65% of the scoring returning this season from the 2018-19 season. The Red Storm returns 36% of the minutes played and 40% of the scoring from last season. Before conference play begins expereince can play a huge role in games and think the Bulldogs have a huge edge in this matchup.

·        The Bulldogs are a solid 18-7-1 ATS (72%) after a game in which they held their opponent to 33% or worse shooting in games played since 2010.

o   14-5-1 ATS (74%) following a game they were favored and held the opponent to 33% or worse shooting.

Denver vs Houston
7:00 PM EST, December 31, 2019
7-Star Best Bet on the Houston Rockets

This situational query has earned a terrific 55-23-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 70% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The requirements are to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and are facing an opponent that is coming off a game in which the final score went OVER by 20 or more points and has a win percentage between 60 and 75%.

If we change the ou margin to >=30 the system goes to 26-6 ATS! 

10-Star Wager on the Kansas State Wildcats

The line for this game opened with the Kansas State Wildcats as a 2-point favorite on December 8. The ‘Pros and Joes’ immediately jumped on Navy and their bets pushed the line to ‘pick’ within the first 24 hours. Within the next day the line was moved another 2-points to its’ current price tag of Navy favored by 2.5 points on the NCAA Football odds board.

Every Bowl season there are few lines that are just not good ones that are put out by the lines makers and this was on eof them this year. The failure was incorrectly anticipating the public consensus for both teams. The betting public does not place bets on the armed forces teams when facing a Major

The books will lose money on this game. The smart money that got Navy as a 2-point dog are now buying back their bets getting the Wildcats as 2.5-point underdogs and giving them a juicy 4.5-point window to win both of their bets. The second problem for the books is that the betting consensus has now shifted in favor of the Wildcats with 53% of the bets on them and 47% on the Midshipmen. So, the books are holding most betting tickets being Navy between a 2-point dog and ‘pick’ and the Wildcats between ‘pick and 2.5 points underdogs.

The Wildcats have the edge over Navy with true freshman Joshua Youngblood, who earned Big-12 Special Teams Player of the Year and has had three returns for touchdowns in his last four games. There is a great chance he will do it again in this game so if you can fid a prop bet that he returns a kick for a touchdown bet on it.

The Wildcats defense is another game breaker as the rank best in the country in third down situations allowing opponent to convert just 25% of the third downs. The unit will look to keep Navy in third and long situations to put even more pressure on Perry to keep the chains moving.

·        The Wildcats head coach Klieman is 6-0 against-the-spread (ATS) after playing a home game.

·        The Midshipmen’s head coach Niumatalolo is 4-13 ATS after outgaining the previous opponent by 225 or more yards.

This money line system has earned a remarkable 77% winning record of 37-11 and has made the $1,000 bettor a huge $31,250 profit over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet against all teams after Week 7 with a money line of +135 to -155 (NAVY in this matchup) that are excellent rushing teams averaging 230 or more rushing-yards-per-game and is now facing an average rushing defense allowing between 140 and 190 rushing yards-per-game, and after outrushing opponent by at least 125 or more yards I their previous game.

Tulane vs No. 9 Memphis
9:00 PM EST, December 30, 2019
NCAAM: 10-Star on Memphis

This is the opening game for both teams in the AAC Conference schedule.
This situational betting system has earned a solid 51-26 against-the-spread record good for66% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on home teams that are scoring an average of 77 points-per-game and have held four consecytuve opponents to 60 or fewer points including 35-19-1 ATS for 65% winning bets when the home team is a double digit favorite.

Take Memphis and lay the paints!

Texas-Rio Grande Valley vs Oklahoma
7:00 PM EST, December 30, 2019
7-Star Best Bet on the TRGV Vaqueros

This is the first time in my life I am betting on the Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros. You may not have even heard of them, but they have run a collegiate-level basketball program for 52 seasons, are a current member of the WAC, and have been members of the Great West Conference (GWC), Sun Belt, American South Conference (ASC), Trans American Athletic Conference (TAAC) and is now known as the Atlantic Sun Conference, and as an independent. They simply have not played in games that have been put on the NCAA odds boards, but with the advances in technology it is easier for sportsbooks to provide these games.

What I like most about the Vaqueros is their ball handling and how they work the ball in the half-court sets looking to get the best possible shot in each possession. They average 14.2 assists-per-game, which is solid and ranks 133th in the country.

They are a team that will be bet on more than just this one time. They have several promising freshman on this roster that are making steady progress and with increasing contributions. They are led by Senior guard Jordan Jackson, who is averaging 14.7 points-per-game and Senior forward Lesly Varner, Jr, who is averaging 12.1 points-per-game. This Senior leadership is invaluable to the freshman and will help the team reach their season potential. I am not suggesting that will be a Tournament team this year, but I do think the program is on the right track to someday accomplishing that for the first time in their program history.

This situational query has earned a terrific 25-12-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 68% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of at least 20 points that have a losing record on the season and are now facing an opponent, who is coming off a close home win of three or fewer points.

The system has earned a 75% ATS record of 15-5 over the last five seasons. It is 2-3 ATS this season, 5-0 ATS for 2018, 3-1 ATS in 2017, 2-1 ATS in 2016, and 3-0 ATS in 2015.

Illinois vs California
4:00 PM EST, December 30, 2019
7-Star bet on Illinois

This situational betting system has earned a solid 35-30 using the Money Line good for 50% winning bets and has made the $100 bettor a robust profit of $4,120 over the last 10 seasons. The system requires us to bet on neutral field underdogs that are facing an opponent that has won two out of their last three games in a non-conference matchup. The betting system improves to  18-12 and making $3,380 for the $100 bettor when both teams are from the Power-5 Conferences.

From the predictive side of things, California is a momey-losing 9-24 straight-up (SU) and losing $3,000 per $100 bet when they have been held to between 300 and 350 total yards; 1-6 SU when they gained between 150 and 200 net passing yards  in game splayed over the last two seasons.

Oklahoma City vs Toronto
6:00 PM EST
7-Star bet on the Thunder

This situational betting system has earned a solid 42-14 against-the-spread record good for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a non-conference matchup with the host coming off a road upset win installed as an underdog.

 From the predictive side of things, the Thunder are 63-11 ATS for 85% winning bets and have covered the spread by an average of 11 points-per-game when they have shot 46% or better from the field and had the better, more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in road games.

UC Santa Barbara vs LA-Lafayette
6:00 PM EST, December 29, 2019
7-Star Best Bet on the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos

This is a tried-and-true betting system on the NCAA Hardwood that has been a perennial winner for the past 15 seasons. The system has earned a 94-54-4 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 64% winning bets and requires us to play on road teams that are favored including ‘pick’ that are coming off a game in which they covered the spread as a double-digit favorite and have had five or six days of rest .

Philadelphia vs NY Giants
4:25 PM EST
7-Star bet on the NY Giants

Wentz is coming off a monster game against the Cowboys where he did put the team on his back and carried to the victory. He threw for 319 passing yards and completed an outstanding 31 of his 40 pass attempts for an insane 77.5% complete percentage. He earned the second-highest average passing yards-per-attempt on the season at 8.48 and only the 9.56 he earned in Week1 against Washington was higher.

In a season in which he had few reliable receivers he completed 64.4% of his pass attempts for 3,750 passing yards, 26 touchdowns, and seven interceptions.

The biggest problems that Wentz and the Eagles offense faced each week was the inability to establish a significant ground attack that then would open up the play-action pass plays where Wentz would have extra time to survey the field knowing he had man-coverages. The Eagles rank 15th gaining 902 passing yards on play-action routes this season.

The Eagles running back Jordan Howard will be back in action to provide much-needed running yards. However, the Eagles took a big blow last week when Zack Ertz suffered a fractured rib. He did not practice Christmas Day and he is going to be a possible game-time decision. Anyone, who has had bruised ribs knows how painful it is to even take a breath so, I believe he will not be in action for this game.

Ertz leads the team with 135 targets, 88 receptions, and 916 receiving yards and then there is a huge drop-off to the second-best statistical receiver. So, without Ertz, Wentz now has no trusted receiver in the lineup. The Giants defense will be able to bring the safeties up to the box and attack the ground game and look to put pressure on Wentz to force throws.

This betting system is simple to use and understand. It has earned a 23-3-1 ATS record good for 89% winning bets since 1989. Play on any losing record team after Week 8 and is playing an opponent off an upset win as a home underdog and has a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season.

This betting system has earned an incredible 10-1 ATS record that has covered the spread by 10.7 points-per-game since 2010.

Dallas vs Washington
4:25 PM EST, December 29, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the Dallas Cowboys
 
This situational betting system has earned a 20-7 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on home favorites after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season and with the game taking place in the second half of the season.

Dallas suffered its fourth loss in their last five games with another brainless performance in a 17-9 setback at Philadelphia last weekend to fall a game behind the Eagles for first place in the NFC East. Even during their hapless stretch in the second-half of the season they remained in control of their playoff destiny due to the fact they play in the NFC Least Division. Now they need to win this game and get help from the Giants to upset the Eagles – which just might happen.

Not that he will be thinking about this, but Prescott needs 305 passing yards to surpass the single-season record held by Tony Romo, who had 4,903 passing yards. Facing the Redskins defense he just might due to as long as his ailing shoulder holds up in this game. So, look for him to get the ball out fast on quick-hitters and using the slant routes many times.

From the predictive side of things, the Cowboys are 15-5-1 ATS and have covered the spread by an average of eight points when they have scored more than 28 points as a home favorite of at least 7.5 points and had fewer turnovers than the opponent.  

NY Jets vs Buffalo Bills
1:00 PM EST, December 29, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the NY Jets
 
This situational betting system has earned a 46-23 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on road teams in the month of December after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games.

The Jets have won five of their last seven games but a poor start to the season was too much to overcome and sealed a ninth straight season. The league's seventh-ranked defense allowing 324.1 yards allowed per game helped the Jets to a 16-10 win over Pittsburgh last week to hurt the Steelers' playoff chances. So, the Jets have been playing to win over the second-half of the season and will do the same today.

Despite the Bills starters seeing the majority of snaps I believe that the Jets will win this game. The Bills know they are either playing at Kansas City or at Houston next week and it will be very difficult for them to to focus on today’s game sine it is truly meaningless.

New England vs Miami
1:00 PM EST, December 29, 2019
7-Star Best Bet on the New England Patriots

This situational betting system has earned a solid 35-13 against-the-spread mark (ATS) good for 65% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on home team that scored at least 35 points in the previous same-season matchup and with the foe coming off a home win.

From the predictive side of things, Patriots are 9-1 ATS when their defense has allowed 200 or fewer net passing yards in games played over the last three seasons. They are 51-14-2 ATS in home games in which they allowed not more than 75 rushing yards.

The Patriots are 35-3 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 15 points when they have allowed 75 or fewer rushing yards and outgained them by more than 150 total yards.

Pepperdine vs San Jose State
10-Star bet on Pepperdine

Here is a Terrific Betting System
This situational betting system has earned a solid 81-43-2 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 65.3% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and is 32-17 ATS for 65% over the last five seasons. The ‘UNDER’ has earned a 31-18 record good for 63.3% winning bets since 2015.

Bet on road favorites including pick after four or more consecutive wins and has earned a winning record with a win percentage between 51% to 60% and is now playing a losing record team.

San Jose State is an imperfect 0-8 ATS after three or more consecutive ‘overs; in games played over the last two seasons.

As an optional wager consider betting the ‘UNDER” and Pepperdine for not more than a 3-Star Parlay Wager. This would be in addition to the 10-Star amount placed on Pepperdine using the line.

Cal Poly-SLO vs San Diego State

7:00 PM EST, December 28, 2019

7-Star Best bet on Cal Poly-SLO

Undefeated and No. 15-ranked San Diego State wraps up its non-conference slate on Saturday, hosting Cal Poly at Viejas Arena. SDST is one of three remaining undefeated teams in the nation and will remain undefeated after this game, but this si just far too many points to give to even a struggling program like Cal Poly-SLO. 

This situational betting system for games played in December has earned a solid 70-44-5 against-the-spread mark (ATS) good for 61% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 13 or more points in games played in the month of December after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game. 

From the predictive side of things CALPO is a solid 11-3-1 ATS when installed as a 15 or more point underdog and making at least 38% of their shot attempts. 

CS-Fullerton vs UCLA
5:00 PM EST, December 28, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on CS-Fullerton
 
This situational betting system has earned a 62-30 ATS mark good for 67.4% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on underdogs of 10 or more points after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games in total and is now facing an opponent that has gone under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games.

UCLA is just 9-20 ATS when facing ball handling teams committing an average of no more than 14 turnovers-per-game over the last two seasons; 5-13 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last two seasons.

Predictive metric: CSFUL is 44-20-1 ATS when they have made 42% or better of their shots, 35% or better of their 3-point attempts, and had not more than 12 turnovers.

Iowa State vs Notre Dame
12:00 PM EST, December 28, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Iowa State
 
This is an upset alert special situation. So, if you wager $100 per 7-Star bet that I release. I highly recommend betting $70 on the line and $30 on the money line.

The Cyclones are 9-1 against-the-spread (ATS) when the have played an elite level team sporting a win percentage at 75% or higher on the season in games played over the last three seasons; 12-3 ATS when facing a teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more points-per-game on the season over the last three seasons.

Notre Dame has been a money-burning 8-20 ATS in road games after having won eight or more of their last 10 games in games played since 1992.

Cyclones head coach Campbell is a solid 15-3 ATS facing teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more points-per-game.

No. 10 Penn State vs No. 17 Memphis
12:00 PM EST, December 28, 2019
7-Star Best bet on Penn State

Memphis had its’ best season in program history winning 12 games, but their success attracted the eyes of the Florida State program and lured head coach Mike Lovell away from Memphis. PSU had another solid season losing only two games and both on the road against then-undefeated teams.

PSU has felt spited as the Rose Bowl selected Wisconsin over PSU despite having three losses and two of them to Ohio State. So, the Nittany Lions will be playing with a purpose to finish the season in the Top-10 rankings and send a message to the Rose Bowl committee.

Here is a great betting system that has earned a solid 40-12 ‘Over’ record for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. The instructions are to play ‘OVER’ after Week 7 of the regular season including bowl games and playoffs in a game between two teams that are not in the same conference and that are outgaining their opponents by 0.6 to 1.2 yards-per-play on the season.

Memphis quarterback White struggled in the AAC title game completing a season-low 45 percent of his passes. He has thrown five of his nine interceptions over the past four games and will be facing the toughest defense by far in the PSU Nittany Lions unit. Senior wide receiver Antonio Gibson, who caught the decisive TD pass in the last win, has been utilized more as a runner as the season progressed and rushed 11 times for 130 yards. Junior Damonte Coxie is White's favorite target with 68 catches for 1,144 yards, but will face the toughest corners by far and will have trouble getting separation from them.

The Lions defense is anchored by Parsons had a team-high 95 tackles and junior defensive end Yetur Gross-Matos, who declared for the NFL draft, but will suit up for the Cotton Bowl and had 8.5 sacks this season.

Lions are a perfect 7-0 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite over the last two seasons.

From the predictive toolbox the Lions are expected to score at least 28 points and gain more than six yards-per-play. The Lions are 46-10-3 ATS in games in which they scored 28 or mor epoints and gained at least six yards-per-play over the last 10 seasons.

Washington State vs Air Force
Cheez-It Bowl – Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
10:15 PM EST, December 27, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Washington State
 
Washington State and No. 24 Air Force will meet in a battle of contrasting offensive schemes. The Cougars led the nation in passing offense (444.3) and their quarterback Anthony Gordon became the first Pac-12 quarterback to throw for over 5,000 yards in Mike Leach's Air Raid offensive system. The Air Force Falcons finished third nationally averaging 292.5 yards-per-game under Troy Calhoun's triple-option attack. The Cougars efficiency through the air was offset by a defense that se[pnt too many minutes on the field. This season the game plans did not translate into wins as they finished with their lowest amount of victories since 2014.

The Falcons ended the regular season with their third-highest win total in program history and a program that was largely ignored by the media this season.

The Cougar’s Gorden may have extra motivation after being selected to the ALL-PAC-12 second-team despite being the 16th NCAA quarterback to throw for over 5,000 passing yards, the sith-highest in NCAA history with 5,228 passing yards, and the first since some guy named Patrick Mahomes did it in 2016 at Texas Tech.

Both teams cannot replicate the other’s offensive scheme, but I think the Cougars Air-Raid attack scheme is far more difficult for any team to face than a team that runs the triple-option. So, I think the Cougars have a huge edge in that department and they have the superior athleticism with their playmakers over the Falcons defensive unit.

The ‘UNDER’ opened at 67 and the “Pros and Joes” have been steadily pushing the total up to higher levels with 70 points now appearing at several sportsbooks. However, I lean as a contrarian and would make a bet on the ‘UNDER’ at a price tag of 71-points. And if it hits that level I would recommend a bet of no higher than 3-star using the money line on Washington State and the ‘UNDER’ 71-points or higher.

The Falcons are 9-25 against-the-spread facing terrible defensive teams allowing 450 or more yards-per-game in the current season. Cougars are 9-1 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70 in games played over the last three seasons; 11-2 ATS after gaining 100 or fewer rushing yards in two consecutive games over the last three seasons; 32-12 ATS 32-12 ATS in road games after allowing 14 points or less last game.

From the predictive side, the machine learning summaries calls for the Cougars to score 31 or more points. IN past games when they did score 31 or mor epoints they went 123-44-1 ATS for 74% winning bets and 38-19 ATS under head coach Mike Leach.

Philadelphia vs Orlando
7-Star bet on the Philadelphia 76ers

Here is a Terrific Betting System
This situational betting system has earned a solid 266-169-8 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 60% winning bets over the last 25 seasons.

Bet on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that is a solid team that has been outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points-per-game and after scoring 105 points or more three consecutive games. So, if you like betting a lot of games with the discipline that a system provides then this is the one for you.

 Timberwolves vs Kings
7-Star bet on the Sacramento Kings

Here is a Terrific Betting System
This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 23-6-1 against-the-spread record good for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons and is a perfect 4-0 ATS covering by an average of 11.1 points-per-game this season.  Play against road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who have been trailing by at least five points at the half in each of their last three games and are facing an opponent that has allowed 100 or more [points in each of their last four games.

The Timberwolves have been a mess and are losers of 11 consecutive games and are 1-9-1 ATS over that span, but the machine learning tools strongly point to an end of this futility tonight. The Wolves are a solid 19-11-1 ATS when allowing an opponent to shoot between 43 and 47% form the field and make between 32 and 37% of their 3-point shot attempts over the last five seasons.

Pittsburgh vs Eastern Michigan
Quick Lane Bowl - Ford Field - Detroit, MI
8:00 PM EST, December 26, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on  the Pittsburgh Panthers
 
The Pittsburgh Panthers got the the offense rolling well in 2019 after relying on the ground attack the previous three seasons. Second-year starter Kenny Pickett threw for 2,737 passing yards including four 300-yard games. He somehow managed just 10 touchdown passes against nine interceptions spanning 430 attempts. His favorite target was Maurice French, a third-team All-ACC selection who averages 8.4 receptions per contest, which is tops in the ACC and third nationally. He needs just eight catches to catch (pun intended) Larry Fitzgerald's school-record of 92 receptions set in 2003.

The Panther’s scoring defense ranked 31stallowing an average of 21.8 points per game and is led by All-ACC first team performers defensive tackle Jaylen Twyman (10.5 sacks, most by a Pitt DT since Aaron Donald had 11 in 2013) and safety Paris Ford (team-high 86 tackles, three interceptions, 14 passes defensed and three forced fumbles).

Simply, Pittsburgh is the better team on both sides of the ball and the machine learning projections are looking for Pitt to win this game by at least 17 points.

Pittsburgh will score at least 28 points in this game and are 123-62-4 ATS when they have done so; 9-3-1 ATS since the start of the 2017 season. EMU is 63-135-4 ATS when they have allowed 28 or more points; 3-10-1 ATS since the start of the 2017 season.

LA Clippers vs LA Lakers
10-Star LA Clippers

Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 34-9 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 79% winning bets. Play on an team in a game with a betting line that is three points on either side of pick-em and are outscoring their opponents by six or more points-per-game and after three consecutive games in which each team score more than 100 points.

From the predictive side of things the Lakers are 5-18 for 22% when they have shot between 32 and 37% from beyond the arc and allowed 105 or more points over the last two seasons of games.

The Lakers are 2-14 ATS for 12% wins when they have had the worse assist-to-turnover ratio and shot between 32 and 37% from beyond the arc.

Take the Clippers

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers
7-Star bet on the 76ers

Here is a Terrific Betting System
This situational betting system has earned a solid 48-20 ATS for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons.  Play on home teams with a winning record on the season and are facing another winning record team that have posted three consecutive against-ther-spread (ATS) wins as a favorite.

Milwaukee has won 21 of its last 22 games, including a 117-89 destruction of the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. They are going to have a much more difficult test against the 76ers.

Philadelphia went into a  three-game slide featured teams playing zone defense and relying on the 76ers to miss shots. And the 76ers missed shots. However, they have found a formula to defeat the zone with point guard Ben Simmons crashing the lane and collapsing defenses. Simmons finished with 16 points, a career-high 17 assists and 13 rebounds in Monday's 125-109 win at Detroit to record his 24th career triple-double. He is the best point guard in the NBA going to the rim as no other defensive guard can stop him due to his height and length. Look for him to have a huge game today.

Boston vs Toronto
12:00 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet on the Toronto Raptors

Merry Christmas.

The Boston Celtics have several players capable of taking over a game offensively, and Jayson Tatum is taking his turn to star of late. Tatum and the Celtics will try to push the current winning streak to four in a row when they visit the depleted Toronto Raptors in a Christmas Day showdown.

Tatum scored 22 of his career-high 39 points in the fourth quarter of Sunday's 119-93 win over the Charlotte Hornets and is averaging 29.7 points during the three-game winning streak. However, these types of winning ways are not sustainable and I do expect the Raptors bench to play an excellent game.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 30-13 against-the-spread (ATS) for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games and with the game being played in the month of December.

BYU Cougars vs Hawaii Warriors
8:00 PM EST, December 24, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on  the BYU Cougars
 
We took it on the chin Monday going 0-3 against-the-spread after posting a new 2019-high of just over $50,000 for the Dime bettor. Despite the terrible day, it has been a fantastic year and I am grateful for all of you – from the new clients having the trust to buy-in to my methodologies and for those that have stayed the course for more than 20 years. On Christmas Eve I want to wish all of you and your families a blessed Christmas and Holiday season.

It has been more than 20 years since these two teams were bitter rivals in the Western Athletic Conference (WAC) and this game marks the first time they have ever met in the postseason. The Rainbows had a great season where they reached the Mountain West Championship Game, but lost 31-10 to Boise State. BYU gave Boise State their only loss of this season.

The Cougars, who used three different starting quarterbacks this season due to injury, averaged 40 points-per-game during a five-game winning streak. However, that streak was snapped when they were limited to a season-low total in a 13-3 loss at San Diego State on Nov. 30. Zach Wilson, who committed three turnovers to offset a season-high 316 yards passing in the season finale, has three receivers with at least 40 receptions, with tight end Matt Bushman averaging 14.6 yards and scoring four times on 41 catches.

Linebacker Kavika Fonua has recorded a team-high 78 tackles for an opportunistic defense that tied for ninth in the nation with 15 interceptions and forced 22 turnovers to rank 18th overfall.

Looking at the numbers from our trusted database we notice that despite winning seven of their 12 games they covered the spread in just four of them. Teams playing in the post season that covered four or fewer games on the season and come into the game having not covered the spread in at least four of their previous games and coming off a straight-up (SU) loss have earned a solid 16-8 ATS for 67% winning bets.

Rainbows are a terrible 2-10 ATS when facing good passing teams that have completed 58% or more of their pass attempts in games played over the last three seasons; 0-6 ATS when facing teams that are averaging 250 or more passing-yards-per-game in games played over the last three seasons; 1-8 ATS facing offenses that have averaged at least 6.0 yards-per-play in game splayed over the last two seasons.

Take the BYU Cougars.

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings
8:20 PM EST, December 23, 2019
10-Star Titan Bet on the Minnesota Vikings
 
Here are some key points:
This situational betting system has earned a robust 29-9-2 against-the-spread (ATS) record over the past 10 seasons. The system requires us to play on favorites, after having won three out of their last four games exact (not four out of four) and is now facing an opponent that has been a hot team having won eight or more out of their last 10 games.  If the favorite has won three or four out of their last four, the results produce more games to bet and a solid 42-12-2 ATS record for 72.1% winning bets.

From the predictive Machine Learning:
Vikings are 12-27-3 ATS when they have scored 28 or more points in games played since 1989; 59-14-1 ATS for 81% winning bets as a home favorite and scoring 28 or more points; 23-7 ATS as a home favorite hosting a divisional foe and scoring 28 or more points.

Vikings are 26-4 ATS for 87% winning bets as a home favorite versus a divisional foe and scoring 28 or mor epoints and averaging at least 8.6 yards-per-pass-attempt.

Utah versus Miami
1:00 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet on the Utah Jazz

A Few Predictive Tip Ins

·       The Heat are 88-237-9 ATS in games when they allow 105 to 115 points in games played since 1995;

·       The Heat is 35-164-4 ATS for 17% wins when the opponent has scored 105 to 115 points and had the better assist-to-turnover ratio.

Georgia State vs SMU
7-Star bet on Georgia State

Here is a Terrific Betting System
This situational betting system has earned a solid 36-11 ATS for 77% winning bets over the last 20 seasons.  Play on underdogs after going over the total; by 42 points in total spanning their last five games and are facing an opponent that has gone over the total by more than six points in each of their last four games.

Xavier vs Texas Christian
7-Star Best Bet Titan on Xavier

The Big-12 Conference Xavier Musketeers have started their 2019-20 campaign in fine fashion posting a 10-2 SU record but have not well against the spread sporting a college fund draining 3-9 ATS mark.

The Big-12 Conference TCU Horned Frogs have started 8-2 SU but have not well against the spread posting a 3-6 ATS record.

The Musketeers Quentin Goodin is coming off a fantastic game scoring 25 points on 9-for-11 shooting in a 74-61 win over Western Carolina University. This is a break-out game for Goodin, who is averaging 8.4 points-per-game on the season.

The Musketeers are led by Junior forward Naji Marshall, who has a team-high 17 points-per-game including 6 rebounds-per-game. They have excellent depth and experience given that 61% of the minutes played and 65% of the points scored from last season are on this roster.

This betting system has earned a solid 40-15 ATS record spanning the last 15 seasons. The system requires us to bet on road teams that are facing an average 3-point shooting team making between 32 and 37% and are a struggling 3-point shooting team making less than 32% and after the host has had two consecutive games allowing a shooting percentage of 37% or less.

Detroit vs Denver
7-Star bet on the Denver Broncos

Here is a Terrific Betting System
This situational betting system has earned a solid 54-26 ATS for 68% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Bet on favorites of 3.5 to 10.5 points that are facing an excellent opponent that has an offense that is averaging 5.5 or more yards-per-game and after game in which they were outgained by more than 100 total yards.

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns
1:00 PM EST, December 22, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the Ravens
 
 Here are some key points:
Ravens are 6-0 ATS in road games when facing weak passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 61% or higher in the second half of each of the last two seasons; 8-1 ATS in road games facing weak defensive teams allowing a minimum of 5.65 yards-per-play over the last three seasons; 8-1 ATS in road games after covering the spread in two out of their last three games over the last three seasons.

Browns are a money-burning 6-17 ATS in home games when facing excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 64% or better in the second half of the season in each season since 1995.

From the predictive Machine Learning:
Browns are just 12-25-1 ATS as a home dog when they allow a minimum of 7.7 yards-per-pass-attempt since 1992; 8-30 ATS when allowing 7.7 yards-per-pass-attempt and having at least two more turnovers than the opponent.

Cincinnati vs Miami
1:00 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet on the Cincinnati Bengals

This is a simple to track betting query that has earned a solid 34-22 ATS record over the last 20 seasons for 61% winning bets. Play on road favorites after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season.

A Few Predictive Tip Ins

·       Dolphins are 14-35-5 ATS in home games when they rush for 75 to 100 yards since 1997.

·       Dolphins are 15-35-1 ATS when they have allowed a visitor to gain between 100 and 125 rushing yards since 1997.

Creighton vs Arizona State
8:30 PM EST
10-Star Best Bet on Creighton

This is a simple to track betting query that has earned a solid 140-87-2 ATS record over the last five seasons for 62% winning bets. The query instructs us to play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 and are off three or more consecutive home wins. So, with this gem you get a lot of games and a lot of action and a lot of dough based on the history.

A Few Predictive Tip Ins

·       Creighton is 18-3 straight-up (SU) and 15-6 ARS for 71.4% when holding their opponents to 40 to 46% shooting over the last three seasons.

·       Creighton is 25-6 SU and 23-6 ATS for 79% wins when they hold their opponent to 30% or lower 3-point shooting over the last three seasons.

o   22-4 SU and 20-4 ATS when attaining both of the performance measures above.

Boise State vs Washington
Mitsibishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl
7:30PM EST, December 21, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Washington
 
Boise State, which won its final six games, is playing in a bowl game for the 18th straight season - the fifth-longest active streak in the nation. Washington has its own impressive streak of 10 straight bowl appearances, best currently among Pac-12 programs. The schools met in the 2012 Las Vegas Bowl when Washington heaqd coach Peterson guided the Broncos to a 28-26 victory over the Huskies, then coached by Steve Sarkisian.

So, with Peterson leaving Washington and playing against the Broncos, which is the team he had previously coached qnd facing their head coach Bryan Harsin, whow worked for him for 10 seasons has its own storylines.

Junior quarterback Jacob Eason could opt for the NFL draft after the game and has passed for 2,922 yards, 22 touchdowns and eight interceptions during his first season as a college starter since 2016 at Georgia.  Senior offensive tackle Trey Adams and junior tight end Hunter Bryant are skipping the game to protect against injury Junior running back Salvon Ahmed has 1,000 yards on the ground and has produced four 100-yard outings. Junior free safety Elijah Molden has a team-best 70 tackles and his three interceptions are tied with freshman cornerback Cameron Williams for the team lead while sophomore outside linebacker Joe Tryon has racked up a team-high eight sacks.

Peterson is 14-5 ATS in road games when facing good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards-per-game. as the coach of Washington; 20-8 ATS in road games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better in all games he has coached in his career.

My Machine learning tools see a very high probability that Washington will score more than 28 points in this matchup. When they do they have gone 39--3 straight-up and 28-13-1 ATS for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Ohio State vs Kentucky
7-Star bet on the Ohio State Buckeyes

This is marquee matchup of two of the best teams in the nation competing at a neutral site. Both teams have been upset, though, in the past week, but I believe both teams will bounce back with solid efforts in a game that will be enjoyable to watch.

How Good Are the Buckeyes?
The Ohio State Buckeyes are off to a 10-1 straight-up (SU) start to their season. They have earned a solid 8-3 against-the-spread (ATS) record, and the ‘UNDER’ bet has posted an 8-3 record. Their only loss occurred last Sunday when they traveled to Big-Ten Conference foe Minnesota and lost 84-71 and failed to cover the spread by 20 points.

The Buckeyes bounced back against a weak opponent with an 80-48 win over Southeast Missouri State and covered the spread by three points. However, they looked sloppy as evidenced by their 21 turnovers and must take care of the ball against a strong Kentucky Wildcats defense.

The Wildcats are off to an 8-2 SU start to their season and have posted a 4-6 ATS record with the ‘UNDER’ bet sporting a 7-3 record. They have had a pair of three-point losses to Evansville back on November 12 and in their last game facing Utah this past Tuesday.

This year’s edition of the Wildcats is a power team and do not look to shoot the three-point shot. They rank 343rd of the 353 Division-1 programs averaging 15.3 3-point shot attempts-per-game and 334th making an average of just 27.5% of those 3-point shot attempts. This lack of perimeter shooting is more than offset by their ability draw fouls and get to the charity stripe. The Wildcats rank fifth averaging 18.2 free-throws-per-game and seventh with a 79.5% free-throw-percentage.

So, what are the Strengths in This Matchup?

The Buckeyes will look to stretch the Wildcat defense with their elite sharp shooting from beyond the arc, which in turn will open the paint are for post-ups and drives to the rim. They rank 18th with a 49% overall shooting percentage and fifth making an average of 41.6% of their three-point-shot-attempts.

The Buckeyes are the better rebounding team and I fully expect them to minimize the Wildcats second chance scoring opportunities.

The Buckeyes are led by Junior forward Kaleb Wesson, who is averaging a team-high 14.3 points-per-game, and 9.0 rebounds-per-game. The Buckeyes have great depth with eight players averaging at least eight points-per-game on the season. If the Wildcats, try to take away Wesson there will be a host of Buckeyes that can step up and score points.

Here is a Terrific Betting System
This situational betting system has earned a solid 61-25 ATS for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The system instructs us to bet on favorites of 3 to 10 points after beating the spread by 48 or more points in total over their last seven games and has a win percentage of at least 80% on the season.

Here is a final Tip-In that shows the Best Bet NCAA Basketball Pick should be on the Buckeyes as they are a solid 13-3 ATS when facing a team that averages six or more free throw-attempts-per-game then their opponents.

Memphis at Cleveland
7:05 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet on the Memphis Grizzlies

This is a simple to track betting query that has earned a solid 79-31 ATS record over the last five seasons for 68% winning bets. The query instructs us to play on away favorites in a non-conference game and facing an opponent coming off a home win of three points or less.

A Few Predictive Tip Ins

·       The Grizzlies are 97-31 ATS for 76% winning bets when they have scored between 111 and 117 points.

o   31-8 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2015.

·       The Cavs are 41-143-3 ATS for 22% wins when allowing 111 to 117 points.

o   20-45 ATS since 2015.

Bowling Green vs Norfolk State
7:00 PM EST, December 20, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Norfolk State
 
Due to available time during the holidays these reports are shorter than normal.

 BG is a money burning 2-10 against the spread (ATS) in road games following a stretch of three games in which they led ta the half by five or more points. NFST is a perfect 6-0 ATS following a dismal shooting game in which they scored 60 or fewer points and 6-0 ATS following a game in which they scored 25 or fewer points in the first half. NFST Head Coach Jones is 14-3 ATS coming off a game in which they lost by double digits.

The Bahamas Bowl
Thomas Robinson Stadium, Nassau
2:00 PM EST, December 20, 2020

This is the first Bowl Game of the season and one that I expect to be entertaining and played well by these teams. This Bowl game started in 2014 and was called the Popeyes Bahamas Bowl, in which Western Kentucky defeated Central Michigan 49-48. The 49 points scored by Western Kentucky remains the Bowl record

The Charlotte 49ers play in the East Division of C-USA and earned a 7-5 record by winning their last five games of the regular season. The 49ers went an even 5-5 against the spread (ATS) and the ‘OVER’ won the money in eight of their 12 games. Their first-year head coach Will Healy absorbed the growing pains at the start of the season has them playing at their best right now and is a reason I like them as a Best Bet.

The 49ers had two huge wins during their five-game win streak. In Week 10 they shocked Middle Tennessee State 34-20 and were lined as 2.5-point home underdogs. In Week 13 they played their best game of the season in a 24-13 win over Marshall and were lined as 6.5-point home underdogs. As a home underdog they went a perfect 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS so they relish the role they find themselves in for this Bowl game.

In a twist of fate, I suppose we have two teams that at the Pro levels have the same team name with only the Buffalo Bulls missing the ‘I’ in Bills. The Bulls play as a member of the East Division in the MAC Conference and earned a 7-5 record this season. They rewarded their bettors with a 7-5 ATS record and the ‘OVER’ bet also went 8-4 on the season.

The Bulls had two huge wins this season in which they covered the spread by 28 points. In Week 4 they pounded Temple 38-22 and were 12-point home underdogs. In Week 10 they dominated Eastern Michigan 43-14 and were lined as a 1-point road favorite.

This NCAA football betting system has earned a 38-10 ATS record good for 79.2% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The system instructs us to bet on underdogs of 3 to 10 points after having won four or more of their last six games SU and have a win percentage between 51% and 60% on the season.

This system will track teams that are on winning runs later in the season. A team cannot lose four of their first six games and have a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season. The system aligns with the positive momentum I like to see a team have that I bet on in the early bowl games.

·        Bulls head coach Leipold is 0-6 ATS in road games after outrushing the previous opponent by 125 or more yards.

·        49ers are a solid 10-2 ATS after playing three consecutive conference games spanning the last three seasons of play.

Portland State vs Loyola Marymount
10:00 PM EST, December 19, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Portland State
 
Due to available time during the holidays these reports are shorter than normal.

Let us start with a situational betting system that has hit 69% ATS for a 72-28-5 ATS record since 2007 and 32-12-1 ATS for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. Ther requirements are to play on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that have gone over the total by 33 or more points in their last five games and in a game between two teams with win percentages between 40 and 49.99% on the season.

LM is just 13-21 straight-up and 10-22 against the spread (ATS) in home games and have failed to cover the spread in a minimuk of two consecutive games. 5-13 ATS following a game in which they had five or fewer offensive rebounds.

These team trends match the machine learning projections. LM is 27-44 ATS when allowing 65 to 75 points in a home game; 5-10 ATS over the last three seasons. LM is 12-29 ATS when committing between 15 and 20 turnovers in home games since 2006. LM is 5-15 ATS when making less than 70% of their free throws and committing 15 to 20 turnovers in home games since 2006.

Utah vs Atlanta
7:35 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet on the Atlanta Hawks

This is a simple to track betting query that has earned a solid 42-23 ATS record over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play on Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Atlanta obviously) after four or more consecutive losses in games played in December.

·       The Jazz are 10-21 ATS when they have made between 43 and 47% of their shot attempts in games played over the last two sesons.

·       The Hawks are an amazing 20-1 ATS coverig the spread by an average of 10.2 points-per-game for 95% winning bets when they have had the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio by at least 0.7, scored 105 or more points, and were home dogs.

Utah Valley State vs Wyoming
9:00 PM EST.
7-Star Titan bet on the Utah Valley State Wolverines

From the predictive toolshed the Wolverines are expected to shoot 47% or higher from the field, hold the Wyoming Cowboys to between 55 and 65 points, and will have at least four more offensive rebounds.

In past Cowboy games in which they allowed these performance measures or worse they have gone 2-11 ATS for 85% winning bets.

Utah State vs South Florida
Toyota Center, Houston, TX
7:45 PM EST
7-Star Best Bet on South Florida

After a slow start to the season the South Florida Bulls have been playing better with each passing week. They are 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, and the ‘UNDER’ bet has earned a solid 7-2-1 record this season. They are on a 3-game win streak and have covered all three of these games by a combined 34.5 points.

So, we have the Aggies on a downward performance stretch and the Bulls playing increasingly better and is why I like the underdog Bulls in this matchup.

·       The Bulls are 11-1 ATS when facing excellent offensive teams that are averaging 77 or more points-per-game in games played over the last two seasons.

·       The Bulls are 18-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.

Ryan’s NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet Titan

This Titan is backed by several team-specific trends with one sporting a near-perfect 11-1 ATS record good for 92% winning bets. John Ryan is currently 40-19-1 (68%) over his last 60 basketball picks this season and 229-167 (58%) over his last 406 basketball picks with $1,000/game bettors have made $49,310 since 2-21-18 by following his advice!

Miami vs Philadelphia
NBA: 10--Star Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers

This situational betting system has earned a remarkable 45-24-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on home favorites of 6 to 10 points (76ers in this case) after going under the total by more than 20 points in their previous game and now facing an opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.

From the predictive machine learning tools the 76ers are a stout 143-40-2 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9 points-per-game for 78% winning bets when they have been at home and had the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio by a margin of at least 1.1 and had 15 or fewer turnovers over the last 25 seasons; 75-21 ATS fo r78% wining bets since 2010; 12-4 ATS for 75% over the last two seasons; 5-0 ATS this season and covering by an average of 13 points.

Eastern Tennessee State vs LSU
7:00 PM EST, December 18, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the Eastern Tennessee State
 
 Due to available time during the holidays these reports are shorter than normal. It does not in any way diminish the strength of the play identified. If you are one of the many new clients welcome on board. To refresh, a 7-Star graded play is recommended to be your normal bet size. A 5-Star is recommended to be 30% less than your 7-Star amount, and 10-Star is 30% more than your 7-Star normal bet size. The key is discipline and having a longer-term view knowing that the profits will come and it is a grind over the course of that season or calendar year.  Remember that as documented by Sports Capping (not me), Dime Players are up over $45,000 for the 2019 calendar year and there are pullbacks in the profits made

just as their pullbacks in a bullish chart picture of Apple Computer. Any questions send me a direct message to me @JohnRyanSports1

Let us start with a situational betting system that has hit 75% ATS for a 36-12 ATS record since 2006. Play on road dogs of 4.5 or more points that held their previous opponent to less than 30% shooting and is now facing an opponent that has made 47% or more of their shots in each of their last three games.  

ETST is a solid 17-5-2 ATS for 77% in road games facing good free throw shooting teams making 72% or more of their attempts over the past 15 seasons; 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2015.

Phoenix vs the Clippers
NBA: 7-Star bet on the Phoenix Suns

This situational betting system has earned a remarkable 45-22-1 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on struggling teams that have win percentage between 24 and 44 and are facing an opponent that has a WP between 60 and 75% and the opponent has exceeded the implied Vegas line by 30 or more points over their last five games.  DM me on Twitter @JohnRyanSports1 to further explanation of dps and dpa parameters.

Some Background Info:
Deandre Ayton returns from a 25-game suspension for testing positive for a diuretic when the Phoenix Suns visit the Los Angeles Clippers on Tuesday. Ayton was the NBA's third-best rookie last year but played only this season's opener before being suspended the next day.

Ayton, who averaged 16.3 points and 10.3 rebounds last season, is eager to return and has regrets about the situation. “Most of all, I disappointed everybody that’s in my circle and I started to just think to myself how my career is gonna be in that one moment, in that one call,” Ayton told Fox Sports Arizona in regard of getting the suspension call from the NBA office. Los Angeles had a four-game winning streak halted Saturday when it suffered a 109-106 road loss to the Chicago Bulls. Star forward Kawhi Leonard (knee) sat out that setback on the second end of a back-to-back and will be back on the floor against Phoenix.

Booker scored 30 points as the Suns broke a 12-game losing streak to the Clippers with a 130-122 home victory Oct. 26.e

From the predictive machine learning tools the Suns are a stout 28-9 ATS covering the spread by an average of 8 points-per-game for 76% winning bets when they have been a road dog, had the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio by a margin of at least 1.1 and had 14 or fewer turnovers.

Nebraska-Omaha vs Eastern Washington
 9:05 PM EST.

7-Star Best Bet on Eastern Washington

This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 52-14 against the spread (ATS) for 79% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are to play on home favorites of 3 to 10 points and are a dominant team outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points-per-game and after leading in their last game by 20 or more points at the half.

EWU is also a solid 10-2 ATS facing poor foul drawing teams that are attempting 18 or fewer free throws-per-game over the last three seasons.

Orlando vs Utah
8:05 PM EST.
7-Star Titan bet on the Orlando Magic

This betting system has earned a 77-40 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the last five seasons.  Play against home favorites (Utah in this case) in non-conference games, off a home no-cover (Push) or ATS loss where the team won straight up as a favorite.

From the predictive toolshed  and supporting the upset alert is the fact that the Magic are resounding 15-7 against the money line (+15.8 Units per unit wagered) when they commit three to five fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last two seasons. The Utah Jazz are a money-burning 2-6 against the money line (-9.7 Units per unit wagered) when they commit three to five more turnovers than their opponents this season.

Magic are near-perfect 16-3 ATS in road games when they commit three to five fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last three seasons.

John Ryan Sports

NORTHEASTERN VS EASTERN MICHIGAN

7:00 PM EST, DECEMBER 17, 2019

7-STAR TITAN BET ON THE NORTHEASTERN HUSKIES

 Due to available time during the holidays these reports are shorter than normal. It does not in any way diminish the strength of the play identified. If you are one of the many new clients welcome on board. To refresh, a 7-Star graded play is recommended to be your normal bet size. A 5-Star is recommended to be 30% less than your 7-Star amount, and 10-Star is 30% more than your 7-Star normal bet size. The key is discipline and having a longer-term view knowing that the profits will come and it is a grind over the course of that season or calendar year.  Remember that as documented by Sports Capping ( not me), Dime Players are up over $45,000 for the 2019 calendar year and there are bullbacks in the profits made just as their pullbacks in a bullish chart picture of Apple Computer. Any questions send me a direct message to me @JohnRyanSports1

EMU is 5-16 ATS when facing excellent 3 point shooting teams that are making44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins; 41% or more of their attempts; 22-42 ATS after playing two consecutive games as favorite; 44-68 ATS after two or more consecutive wins. 

EMU head coach Murphy is 4-15 ATS when facing very good shooting teams making a minimum of 48% of their shots as the coach of EMU.

NE has played a vastly more difficult schedule than what EMU has faced to date and that ‘seasoning’ will benefit the Huskies greatly in this matchup. 

Colts vs Saints
8:20 PM EST, December 16, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the Colts
 
 Due to available time during the holidays these reports are shorter than normal. It does not in any way diminish the strength of the play identified. If you are one of the many new clients welcome on board. To refresh, a 7-Star graded play is recommended to be your normal bet size. A 5-Star is recommended to be 30% less than your 7-Star amount, and 10-Star is 30% more than your 7-Star normal bet size. The key is discipline and having a longer-term view knowing that the profits will come and it is a grind over the course of that season or calendar year.  We did not do well yesterday in the NFL, but remember that as documented by Sports Capping ( not me), Dime Players are up over $45,000 for the 2019 calendar year. Any questions send me a direct message to me @JohnRyanSports1

This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 24-6 against the spread (ATS) record good for 80% winning bets over the last 35 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road underdogs or pick (The Colts in this matchup) off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season.  

The Colts are 17-3 ATS when coming off a win and facing an opponent that averages 6.375 or more rushing first downs-per-game and scoring an average of 27 or fewer points-per-game. When the Colts have been a dog they are a perfect 5-0 ATS in this role.

The 7-Star Best Bet is on the Colts

Dallas vs Milwaukee
8:05 PM EST.
7-Star Titan bet on the Milwaukee Bucks

This betting system has earned a 37-13 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the last five seasons.  Play against underdogs (Dallas in this matchup) after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team with a win percentage between 60% to 75% playing a team with a winning record.

Milwaukee is 8-0 ATS after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half this season.

From the predictive tool box we see that Milwaukee is 25-12 ATS when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game over the last two seasons. Milwaukee is 31-14 ATS when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3-pointers in a game over the last two seasons.

Marist vs Rider
Alumni Gymnasium
7:00 PM EST.
NCAA Betting Odds: Rider -14.5 (-110)

7-Star Best Bet on Marist Red Foxes

The Marist Red Foxes travel to New Jersey to take on the Rider Broncos in a MAAC Conference matchup. This is just too many points to be giving the one-win Red Foxes and there is significant value in betting on them tonight. I am looking at the final score being a Rider win, but by single digits.

This betting system is a solid one having earned a 59-26 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements that need to be met are that we are betting in underdog between 10 and 20 points after they have gone under the posted total by a combined 25 or more total points in their last three games, has a win percentage of 20% or lower, and is playing a team with a win percentage of at least 65% on the season.

Rider is just 5-14 ATS against conference opponents in game splayed over the last 2 two seasons.
Rider is 0-6 ATS in home games when playing only their second game in eight days over the last three seasons.

 Let us start with a situational betting system that has earned a 30-8 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last 35 seasons. Bet on road teams after they have gone under the total by 21 or more points in total over their last three games and are facing an opponent that has gone under the total by a combined 49 points in their last five games.

This betting system is 6-0 ATS over the last three seasons.

Intended air yards is a great measure of offensive performance. It measures all of the passing yards, the distance the ball travel from the line of scrimmage – not the QB hand – and for both incompleted and completed passes.

The Buffalo offense is one of the most balanced offensive attacks. They rank 14th with 3,800 yards of intended air passing yards. They have thrown a total of 422 passes and this translate into a quite impressive 9.0 yards of intended air yards per pass attempt that ranks fourth-best in the NFL. This also reflects the Bills abilities to stretch a defense using vertical crossing routes and with success.

The Steelers strength has been their defense this season where they rank third allowing 1,161 yards after the catch has been made. They average an allowed 8.3 yards of depth per pass attempt. This simply means that the average yards the ball flies through the air beyond the line of scrimmage has been 8.3 yards per-pass-attempt. So, I believe with the help of my 3,500 algorithms and machine learning tools that Buffalo will be able to dominate this game.

So, bet a 7-Star amount on the Buffalo Bills.

Minnesota vs LA Chargers
4:05 PM EST, December 15, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the LA Chargers
 
 Due to time and holiday activities these reports are shorter than normal.

This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 18-4 against the spread (ATS) record good for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on teams that have forced one or zero turnovers in four consecutive games and are facing a team that had zero turnovers in their last game and in a game that has a line between +3.5 and -3.5 points.

The straight-up record of this system is 19-5.

The Vikings are just 5-18 ATS in road games off a home ATS loss or push where the team won as a favorite.

From the machine learning projections:
Vikings are 23-40 ATS in road games when they allow 350 to 400 total yards.
The Chargers are 70-41 ATS when their defense forces two turnovers and 149-63 ATS when they have forced two or more turnovers since the 1992 season.
The Chargers are when they gain 6 or more total yards per play.
The Chargers are 7-1 ATS covering the number by an average of 13.3 points-per-game when they have gained an average eof 6.0 yards-per-carry and have forced two or more turnovers as a home dog.

NC State vs UNC Greensboro
Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC
3:00 PM EST.
7-Star Titan bet on the UNC Greensboro Spartans
 

This betting system has earned a 36-10 ATS record good for 78% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play against a favorite (NC STATE) after going over the total by more than six points in four consecutive games and is facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.

The UNC Greensboro Spartans have an excellent under rated defense and they are facing a NC State Wolfpack team that may be playing without their best offensive player. Jericole Hellems suffered a concussion from a sever crash to the floor and based on published reports will be a game-time decision. I do not think he will play given that the Wolfpack rank 18th nationally in scoring offense averaging 82.8 PPG and have solid bench players to fill in for Hellems.

It will be the Spartans defense and rebounding though that will win this game. The Spartans are 7-0 when outrebounding their opponent this season. They also rank 23rd in the nation averaging 5.5 blocks per game with Kyrin Galloway and James Dickey each averaging more than 2.0 blocks-per-game.

Due to time allotments, these reports are shorter than normal.

The 200th meeting between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers on Sunday at Lambeau Field will feature plenty of playoff implications. The Bears have won three straight and four of five to remain in the mix for a wild card spot, while the Packers are on the verge of clinching a playoff spot but have plenty of work left to lock down the NFC North and, perhaps, a first-round bye. But, Obviously I strongly believe that the Bears are going to pull off the upset win.

The Packers have been out-gained by many of their opponents and they find ways to win games. They just are not as good as that record indicates and the Bears have the talent that matches up well against he Packers. Chicago's turnaround can be tied directly to the improved play of quarterback Mitchell Trubisky, who has completed 70 percent of his passes with seven passing touchdowns and two rushing scores during the three-game winning streak.

Here is a betting system that has earned a solid 45-17 ATS record good for 73% ATS winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to BET ON road teams (CHICAGO in this matchup) after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games and with the game being played in the month of December.

Here is a second betting system that has earned a 33-11 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY in this matchup) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season.

The machine learning summary projection calls for the Packers to not score more than 20 points. The Packers are 46-139-7 ATS for 25% wins when they have scored 20 or fewer points; 1-16-1 in home games since 2010.

7-Star Best Bet on the Miami Heat
NBA: Miami vs Dallas
8:30 PM EST, December 14, 2019

Shortened report due to time today.

This situational betting system (query) has earned a solid 86-46 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Dallas in this matchup) in non-conference games with the team off a road win by 10 or more points.

Miami is a near-perfect 12-1 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last two seasons.

From the predictive bucket Miami is 16-6 ATS in road games where both teams score 105 or more points in a game over the last two seasons. Miami is 160-63 ATS when they score 106 to 111 points in a game since 1996.

 This is a matchup of Horizon Conference teams and two extremely good players that are coming off excellent games. WGB Phoenix Amari Davis shot 12-for-14 from the field and scored 25 points over 32 minutes including two assists, four rebounds, and tw0 blocked shots. Evansville Purple Aces Deandre Williams scored 37 points on 17-for-18 shooting and scored 37 points in 34 minutes including three assists, 10 rebounds, and three blocked shots. So, this will be an entertaining game to watch.

The Phoenix play faster than the Purple Aces and shoot a higher percentage. The Phoenix average 65 shot attempts per game and are making 46% of those shots. The Purple Aces average 58 shot attempts-per-game and are hitting 45% of the shots. So the shooting percentages are close, but the Phoenix attempt more of them.

The Phoenix have superior ball movement as well. They rank 11th in the nation averaging 17.1 assist-per-game. The Purple Aces rank 277th averaging just 13.8 assists-per-game and reflects too many isolation possessions with the play clocking winding down.

·        The Phoenix are 8-1 ATS in home games facing good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons.

·        Darner is 10-2 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games.

Georgia Tech’s sophomore guard Michael Devoe has scored 20-plus points five times and is shooting an ACC-best 52.9 percent from 3-point range. He did finished just 2-for-12 from the field against Syracuse. Senior forward/center James Banks III did not block a shot last week and fell from the top spot in the nation’s rankings, but entered the weekend averaging four blocks per game (third nationally) along with 11.3 points and 8.4 rebounds per game. Junior forward Moses Wright is shooting 55.6 percent from the field and has averaged 15.7 points and 10 rebounds across his past three games.

That trio of athletes is the dominant reason I see this game staying close and ending in a single-digit Kentucky win. There is a minimal probability that we will see a shocking upset, so it would be a wise idea to bet no more than a 1-Star play on the money line, which is currently priced at +900.

A Few Extra Points:

·        GT is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS in road games when facing excellent teams that are outscoring their opponents by 8or more points-per-game over the last two seasons.

·        GT is 13-3 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite.

John Ryan Sports

Memphis vs Tennessee
3:00 PM EST, December 14, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the Tennessee Volunteers
 
The No. 13 Memphis Tigers will be visiting Knoxville to play the No. 18 Tennessee Volunteers in a huge showdown in the state of Tennessee. Both teams have just a single loss with the Tigers earning eight wins and the Vols seven wins. The Tigers are 5-3-1 against the spread (ATS) and the ‘OVER’ bet is 5-4 in these games. The Vols are 4-4 ATS and the “UNDER’ bet has earned a 4-3-1 record in these games.

This game will be won by Tennessee on the glass. The Tigers remain one of the best rebounding teams in the nation, but have been out-boarded in four of their last five games.  Losing their stud James Wiseman and his 11 rebounds-per-game have hurt them significantly. The Vols have been out rebounded once in a game they won over Washington, but lost the boards 42-32. For the season, the Vols are outrebounding their opponents by an average 11 rebounds-per-game.

The Vols rank 14th-best in the nation allowing opponents to reboubd just 22% of their offensive missed shots. The Tigers thrive on the offensive glass getting second chance scoring opportunities on 34% of their possessions, but again without the presence of Wiseman, this stat has been on the decline. So, I strongly believe that the Vols will limit the Tiger’s second chance scoring opportunities and that will go a long way to the Vols winning this game by double digits.

You will see the Tigers looking to play extremely fast in this game given that they rank 11th in the nation with an average possession time of only 14.8 seconds. They rank 10th in the nation in adjusted tempo, which takes the number of possessions per game divided by the minutes and adjusted  by the preferred pace of play of their opponent and when the game was played.

The Tigers pace of play will work against them against a fundamentally solid Vols defense. Further, the Vols rank 303rd out of 353 Division-1 programs and 256th with a an average possession time of 18 seconds. The Tigers have played two teams that rank lower than the Vols in adjusted tempo. They lost to Oregon 82-74, failed to cover the spread as a four-point underdog, and hot a miserable 37.7% from the field. In the second game, which was their last game, they defeated UAB 65-57 and pushed the spread as an eight-point favorite, and shot 37.9% from the field. Bit of a trend there in the matchups I would say.

This situational betting system reinforces the bet on the Volunteers and has earned a 52-12 (81%) against the spread (ATS) record over the last five seasons and requires us to bet on  home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are top caliber teams outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points-per-game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half.

New York vs Sacramento
10:05 PM EST, December 12, 2019
7-Star Titan on the Knicks
 
This situational betting system reinforces the bet on the Knicks and has earned a 35-10 (78%) against the spread (ATS) record over the last 20 seasons and requires us to bet on road underdogs that are coming off two consecutive games allowing 100 or more points and are facing an opponent that ihas earned three straight wins by six or fewer points.

The No. 24 ranked Buffalos will take on their state rival Rams at Moby Arena in Fort Collins tonight. The game will be televised on CBSSN.

The Buffalos won their first seven games of the season and then hit abrupt wall in the form the Kansas Jayhawks losing 72-58, and failed to cover the spread by 3.5-points. In their last game, the sting of that loss was still wearing on the Buffalos as they played poorly in a 79-76 loss to Northern Iowa. So, you can trust that head coach TAD Boyle will have his team fully prepared for this game.

The Buffalos have terrific depth on their return. They have returned 94% of the minutes played and 95% of the scoring from last season’s team.

They are led by Junior guard Tyler Bey, who is averaging 13.0 points-per-game (PPG) and 13 reboubnds-per-game (RPG). They play a three guard lineup most of the time with Junior guard McKinley Wright IV averaging 12.3 PPG, 4.4 RPG, and 3.8 assists-per-game (APG) and Junior guard D’Shawn Schwartz adding 10.3 PPG, 2./7 RPG, and 1.8 APG). This trio is going to be difficult for the Rams to defend for the entire game.

A Few Extra Points:

·        Buffalos are 78-48 against the spread (ATS) after two or more consecutive losses over the last 20 seasons.

o   They went a perfect 5-0 ATS last season in this role.

·        The Rams are a money-burning 6-17 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last three seasons.

·        Buffalos are a perfect 13-0 ATS having lost their last two or more games and have failed to cover the spread in their previous three or more games.

Let us begin with this situational betting system that has earned a solid 90-52 ATS mark over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet against a road team that is outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points-per-game and is facing a host that scored 90 or fewer points in their previous game.

James Harden will put his high-scoring ways up against one the league's better defensive teams when he leads the Houston Rockets into a Friday night matchup at the Orlando Magic. Harden elevated his NBA-leading scoring average to 38.7 with 55 in a 116-110 victory at Cleveland on Wednesday.

The Cavs scored 24 consecutive points, before Harden took over the game in the fourth quarter by scoring 20 points and helping greatly to erase an 11-point deficit. But it does show that the Rockets can be defeated and I strongly believe that the Magic has that stifling style of defense that can present many problems for the Rockets dynamic offense.

·        The Magic are 23-10 ATS after having won four or five of their last six games over the last two seasons.

o   23-9 ATS after covering the spread in four or five of their last six games over the last two seasons.

·        The Magic are a solid 161-80 ATS when they score 106 to 111 points in a game spanning the last 20 seasons.

Some quick Hitters:
 Harbaugh is just 5-15 ATS in home gam,es after allowing 17 or fewer points points in B2B games as the HC of the Ravens.

John Ryan Sports

Yale vs UMASS
7:00 PM EST, December 11, 2019
7-Star Titan on UMASS
 
This situational betting system reinforces the bet on UMASS. It has earned an 89-40 (69%) against the spread (ATS) record over the last five seasons and requires us to bet on any team (UMASS in this matchup) after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games and is now facing an opponent that has gone under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games.

Some quick Hitters:
Knicks are 4-15 ATS when facing teams who are called for two or more fouls-per-game than their opponents over the last three seasons.

 Knicks are 17-39 ATS after one or more consecutive unders over the last two seasons.

Portland is 37-21 ATS in home games following a poor shooting game making 37% or less of their shot attempts.
 
From the machine learning side of things, Portland is projected to score at least 111 points and the Knicks are 13-43 ATS when they have allowed 11 or more points.

This is a Big Ten Conference matchup that will be highly competitive and will provide plenty of entertainment. This is Penn State’s shot at knocking off on eof the best teams in the conference and the nation and get their name noticed as a contender.

The Maryland Terrapins are off to a perfect 10-0 record and have earned an even 5-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record to begin the season. They were quite fortunate to come away with a win in their last game, which was the conference home opener against Illinois. They needed a huge rally to overcome a 15-point second-half deficit and made the winning free throw with just 2.1 seconds left in the game.  So, they are beatable is what we learned from that game.

Penn State is off to a surprising 7-2 start to their season and have earned a 5-3 ATS record with one the game against Wagner not having a betting line. They were hammered by Ohio State in their last game by the final score of 106-74, but the first half was competitive.

·        PSU is a rock solid 13-2 ATS after two consecutive games with 12 or fewer assists over the last three seasons.

·        PSU is 10-2 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last three seasons.

·        PSU is 20-9 ATS after playing a game as an underdog over the last three seasons.

A stat I have studied fo years is intended air yards, which is exactly what it sounds like. The total yards of all passes thrown that have been competed or not completed. The Eagles rank 13th most in the NFL with 3,863 yards. By comparison, The Bucs lead the NFL with 5,170 intended air yards on the season and 49ers – go figure – rank last with only 2,609 IAY.

What matters more is the average depth of these intended air yards. The Eagles are above average hear again averaging 8 IAY-per-attempt. The problem is that Wentz has completed 1,738 IAY – the yards the ball traveled past the line of scrimmage before being caught and does not include yards-AFTER-THE-CATCH. This illustrates how monumental the loss of WR Jackson has been to the offense as they have no one that can stretch the defense in vertical routes. So, you can throw downfield all day long, but if there is no a playmaker that can get seperation from the defender and make the catch, the rest of the offensive scheme will suffer.

The receivers and Wentz share equally in their demise. WR are rounded routes instead of squaring them off with sharp change of direction moves. Wentz is making horrible reads and has been largely inaccurate with his passes even when the receiver is open.

·        The Giants are 8-1 ATS in road games when they have allowed 22 to 28 points in games played over the last three seasons.

·        The Giants are 8-1 ATS in road games in which both teams score 20 or more points.

·        The Giants are 56-14 ATS for 80% when they have forced a host into three or more turnovers.

Some quick Hitters:
Kings are 9-0 ATS when facing good teams that are outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points-per-game this season.

Kings are a solid 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

John Ryan Sports

7-Star Best Bet on Alabama State
NCAA Hardwood: Alabama State vs South Dakota
8:00 PM EST, December 9, 2019

This situational betting system (query) has earned a solid 58-27 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points  that are average defensive teams allowing between 67 and 74 PPG and are now facing a struggling defensive team allowing between 74 and 78 PPG and are coming off a win by 15 points or more.

SDST is just  8-19 ATS facing a struggling 3 point shooting team that is making 31% or less of their attempts.

7-Star NFL Late Afternoon TItan
4:25 PM EST, December 8, 2019

This situational betting system has earned a 375-264 record good for 59% winning bets over the last 30 seasons. The requirements are to bet against road teams after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games and is a team winning 60to 75% or more of their games on the season.

KC is a money-burning 0-6 ATS when facing teams who commit one or less turnovers-per-game on the season over the last two seasons.

Patriots are 15-4 ATS facing struggling defensive teams allowing 350 or more yards-per-game over the last three seasons.

Patriots are 9-1 ATS after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game over the last three seasons.

·        The Dolphins are just 23-44 ATS when playing against a struggling team sporting a win percentage between 25% to 40%.

·        The Dolphins are 10-27 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards-per-game in their last three games.

·        The Dolphins are 41-112 ATS when they rush for less than 75 yards.

Some quick Hitters:
Colts are a money-burning 13-28 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team winning between 40% to 49% of their games.

7-Star Best Bet on the Buffalo Bills
NFL: Ravens vs Bills
1:00 PM EST, December 8, 2019

This is a trap game for ther Ravens and a classic ‘wise-guy’ bet against situation.

Play against road teams that are on an eight-game win streak in the month of December. This simple query has earned an incredible 23-4 ATS record for 85% winning bets since 1980 and is 8-0 ATS over the last five seasons.
 

7-Star bet on Cal Poly Slo
NCAAM Hardwood
10:00 PM EST, December 7, 2019

 Siena is a money-burning 3-12 ATS facing poor teams that are outscored by their opponents by 4 or more points-per-game over the last three seasons; 1-9 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as a road underdog.

From the predictive side Siena is an imperfect 0-6 ATS in road games when they grab four to nine more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last three seasons.

ACC Championship

7:30 PM EST, December 8, 2019

7-Star Titan on the Clemson Tigers

THIS SITUATIONAL QUERY HAS EARNED A SOLID 35-12-3 ATS MARK GOOD FOR 75% WINNING PICKS SINCE 2000. THE REQUIREMENTS ARE TO PLAY ON FAVORITES OF 21.5 TO 31 POINTS THAT ARE AVERAGING 200 OR MORE RUSHING YARDS-PER-GAME ON THE SEASON AND HAVE ALLOWED 125 OR FEWER RUSHING YARDS IN THREE CONSECUTIVE GAMES. 

THE FOLLOWING PRECEDENTS MATCH THE PROJECTIONS FROM THE MACHINE LEARNING RESULTS.

•The  Tigers are a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

•The Tigers are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. poor punt coverage teams, allowing >= 12 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.

•The Tigers are a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

Some quick Hitters:
Missouri is 8-1 ATS in games in which they make a minimum of 79% of their free throw attempts.

Temple is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

The betting system has earned 72% winning bets on a 50-19 ATS record and instructs us to play on An underdog (MISSOURI) after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games.

 Some quick Hitters:
Georgia is 11-1 ATS in road games after a game where they forced one or less turnovers over the last three seasons; 9-1 ATS in road games after gaining 6.25 or more yards-per-play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons; 10-2 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. Coach Smart is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after the first month of the season as the coach of Georgia.

From the predictive side we learn that Georgia is 20-6 ATS over the last three seasons and 126-56 ATS over the last 25 seasons when scoring 28 or more points. LSU is just 18-60 ATS when allowing 28 or more points over the last 25 seasons.

Georgia is 47-25 ATS when gaining at least 135 RY and scoring 35 or more points and 145-7 ATS over the last three seasons. 

The betting system has earned 77% winning bets on a 36-11 ATS record and instructs us to play on Neutral field underdogs outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards-per-game on the season.

The following precedents match the projections from the machine learning results.

·       The Sooners are 80-41 ATS when gaining at least nine yards-per-pass attempt.

o   58-24 ATS when they have gained a minimum of 10 yards-per-pas attempt.

o   Bears are a 12-39 ATS when allo1ing 10 or more passing yards-per-attempt.

·       The Sooners are 149-87 ATS when scoring 28 or more points.

o   Bears are just 61-123 ATS when allowing 28 or more points.

CSN is 18-5 ATS when facing a good ball handling team committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game over the last two seasons.

Portland State is just 1-10 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in eight days over the last two seasons.

From the predictive side that we get from the machine learning summary we see that PS is just 8-1 ATS when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last two seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Let us get right to the meat and potatoes portion of this game.
This situational query has earned a solid 109-54 ATS mark good for 67% winning picks since 2010. The requirements are to play on any team that is a good solid rushing team gaining between 190 and 230 RYPG after Week 7 and after allowing 100 or fewer RY in their last game and is now facing an opponent that is a decent rushing team that has averaged 140 to 190 rushing yards-per-game.

·        Utes are 7-0 ATS when facing below average passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse this season.

·        Utes are 30-15 ATS in road games facing excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better on the season.

·        Utes are a perfect 8-0 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in four straight games this season.

·        Whittingham is 22-3 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games as the coach of UTAH.

7-Star bet on the Golden State Warriors
NBA: GS vs Chicago
8:05 PM EST, December 6, 2019

Here is a another situational betting system that has earned a 35-10 ATS record for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) in non-conference games off three or more consecutive road losses.

Bulls are a money-burning 6-19 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Boylen is 8-24 ATS in home games when facing poor defensive teams allowing 106 or more points-per-game as the coach of the Bulls.

From the machine learning summaries, the Warriors are 8-1 ATS for 89% winning bets when they have had the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio and scored 111 or more points as a road dog since 2015.

There will be an over abundance of Bulldogs running the court tonight when the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in this inter-conference matchup. Sorry, had to write it.

LT is off to a 5-2 start and have an even 3-3 against the spread (ATS) record with one game not being lined. MS is off to a solid 6-1 start and after failing to cover the spread in their first two games, they have ripped off five consecutive covers.

LT is a member of the Conference-USA and have an extremely balanced team on the offensive end. Senior guard Kalob Ledoux leads the team in scoring averaging 12 points-per-game and is tied for the team-high averaging 3.9 rebounds-per-game. They have tremendous team leadership with four Seniors starting and ranking in the top-5 in scoring.

LT has seven players averaging 8.4 or more points-per-game and they have used 12 and 13-player rotations in recent games. I love the depth and the fact that they will be the fresher team down the stretch in the second half. They have 74% of the minutes played and 73% of the points scored from last season returning to this team.

·        LT is an amazing 13-2 using the money line after scoring 75 or more points in four consecutive games.

MS head coach Howland is just 3-10 using the money line after covering four or five of their last six games against the spread. 

No.6 Ohio State vs No. 2 North Carolina
Big Ten vs ACC Challenge
9:30 PM EST
Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC
NCAA Basketball Odds: UNC favored by 4

Even though we are barely a month into the NCAA basketball season there have been some great matchups involving the best teams in the nation. This is another one to be sure and there will be more coming this weekend. Ohio State will open their Big Ten Conference schedule hosting Penn State this Saturday and UNC will be a guest of the National Champion Virginia Cavaliers.  

The Buckeyes are off to a 7-0 start and have covered the spread in six of these games. Their defense has been incredible as they have held every opponent to less than 37.5% shooting. They are an excellent ball handling team as well and have not had more than 15 turnovers in any game and have had four games committing 11 or fewer turnovers.

UNC is off to a 6-1 start but have covered only two games to the spread. They have a solid defense that has held every opponent, but one, to 38% or worse shooting from the field. They are a perennial leader in rebounding and this season is no different. They have had problems with turnovers, however, and this will be a significant reason OSU can win this game.

·        OSU is 8-1 ATS coming off two or more consecutive home wins in games played over the last two seasons.

·        OSU is 12-3 ATS facing team that are called for three or fewer fouls-per-game than their opponents in games played over the last three seasons.