This game fits a totals situation that is 641-506 and the play is on the under.

Analysis: This game fits a totals situation that is 295-209 and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 640-505 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 640-505 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 185-120 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is close to 60% winners in over 500 previous games in this situation, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation that has over 1000 plays in the database and the play is on the under

This game faces a totals situation which is 639-504 and the play is on the under.

This game apllies to a pair of strike shortened season total situations which are 72-40 and 56-24 and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 294-207 and the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation that is 293-207 and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 292-206, and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 292-206, and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 292-205 ATS and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 108-71 and the play is on the under.

This game fits multiple bg situations that are 397-294 as well as 202-127 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation which is based on a strike shortened season that is 59-30, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is well tested at 637-502, with a subset based on team rest of 396-294. The play is on the under.

This game fits a 636-501 total situation, and the play is on the under, there is also an 800 game subset at 58%.

This game fits a totals situation that is 201-127 and the play is on the under

This game fits a total situation that is 634-500 and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation that is 201-127 including 10-4 this year and the play is on the under.

This game fits a total situation that is 94-47 and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation that is 42-10 and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 90-58 and the play here is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 263-193 and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 201-125 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 261-193 and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation that is 261-193 and the play is on the over

This game fits a 93-46 total situation, and the play is on the under

The Chicago Bulls head to Philadelphia tonight to take on the Sixers in what should be a playoff type atmosphere. That tends to lend itself to intensity, which translates to the best defensive effort a team can manifest, and in the case of these two teams that is pretty lethal to opposing offenses. The Sixers are allowing just 87ppg while the Bulls come in allowing a stingy 88.2ppg. The offensive numbers for the Bulls are a bit deceptive, as they are scoring just 97.7ppg which ranks 6th in the NBA. This is one of the lowest scoring years in the NBA in quite some time, and a lot of that has to do with the strike. Last year there were 11 teams that completed the season scoring 100 or more points, this year there are just 3. While the Bulls 97.7ppg is 6th best in the league this season, last year that would have ranked 21st, in the bottom 30% of the league. The Sixers are at 94.2ppg which ranks just 17th on offense, which last year woulkd of been aongst the dregs of the NBA ranking 28th of 30 teams. Bottomline here we have an intense battle, with great defenses, and limited offenses. The Sixers aside from 2 overtime games at home have played 19 here, and juast 3 teams have topped the 90 point mark. The 19 games show temas scoring a dreadful 81.4ppg against them. The Bulls have done a great job facing a team they have already played this season. Those 9 teams after the Bulls had already seen them score just 86.7ppg against them. Sixers are 21-6 to the under in their last 27 home games. This game also fits a pair of powerhuse situations, one of which is 201-123 to the under, including 10-0 to the under the last 10 times it has occured, all this season. It also fits another seperate situation that is 93-46 to the under, including 3-0 this season. Besat of all, when these 2 situations are active on the same game, the result is 67-18 on the under. This is my NBA TOTAL OF THE YEAR, and the play is on the UNDER

: This game fits a totals situation that is 260-193and the play is on the over

: This game fits a totals situation that is 93-46, and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation that is 50-17 and the play is on the OVER

This game fits a situation that is 200-123 to the under, and has won 9 straight times, play the UNDER

This game fits a 259-193 total situation, and the play is on the over

This game fits a situation that is 258-193 and the play is on the OVER

This game fits a total situation that is 41-10 and the play is on the UNDER

This game fits a situation that is 58-30 and the play is on the UNDER

This game fits a 115-77 situation, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a great under situation that is 58-29 play the under in this one.

This game fits a huge total situation that is 199-123 to the under, including 8-1 this year. Play on the under.

This game applies to a 197-123 total indicator that applies to the under in this game. Play under the total

: This game has a situation that has produced a 196-123 mark to the under. Play under in this one

There are wo high level situations in this one both pointing to the over. One is 254-190 ATS while the other is 90-50 ATS. Play on the over.

This game fits 2 big situations both pointing to the under. One is 91-46 and the other is 194-123 play the under

This game fits into a situation that has seen it go 193-123 ATS to the under, and is 7-3-1 to the under already this year, play the under in this one.

This game is being played with an over situation that is 131-84 to the over since 1990. Play the over here

These are a pair of bad teams starving for a win and I have a huge situation that is 101-62 to the over for this one, that also has an applicable subset that is 59-27 to the over. Play this one over the toal.

This game fits a situation that is 88-50-2 to the over and a qualifynng subset that is 30-13 to the over. Play on the over

these teams matchup with historical results pointing to the over as I have a situation that is 254-189 to the over and another that is 88-49 to the over. Play this one over the total.

There are countless situations in this game that all point to this one going UNDER the total

A situation that hits 63.6% of the time is pointing to the OVER in this game.

I have a huge total system that is 87-47 and tonight it is on the over

I`m riding a huge total system that wins over 67% of the time with well over 100 games in the database. Play this one over the total

Huge 87-47 situation on the OVER

Last night I had the over between these teams based on a 86-47-2 over indicator, that is active again for tonight. Play the over.

This game fits into a nice 61-33 situation that is already 1-0 this year. The play here is on the over.

: This game fits a nice 62-34 situation based on Charlottes last 2 losses and the fact that Detroit is a low scoring team. Play on the over.

: This game has a lot of clout in historical results one such situation is 20-0-2 ATS play on the over in this one

Tghis total is backed by a longterm situation that is 282-214-13 to the UNDER. Play this one under the total.

Situation here points decidedly to the under as I have a huge situation that is 51-17 to the under and is live for this game. Play on the under in this one.

The Denver Nuggets love to get up and down the court and San Antonio, who used to be a halfcourt team that plays great defense is now more of a conventional NBA team with the aging stars. This also fits an OVER situation that is 63-30. Play the over in this one.

The Milwaukee Bucks played to the best under record in the NBA last year. Last night I took them as an under play in denver and got the easy win. Tonight they are an unrested team, playing against another unrested team in the Utah Jazz, who like to get up and down the court. While the Bucks sizzled to the under a year ago, one situation presenting itself tonight reverses that notion, as it has hit on the over with better than a 60% strike rate. The public normally plays overs in all their consensus picks, but see early NBA results falling under, so what a better team than to follow the under laden Bucks to the cash window on the under, as well over 70% on the under here. WRONG NIGHT! Play this one OVER the total.

This is a great opportunity on an offensive minded Denver Nugget team playinng a slowdown halfcourt Milwaukee Bucks team. These contrasts in styles paid dividends on the Bucks last year. They had 24 games last season vs teams that were ranked in the top 10 in the NBA in points scored. They played these games tgo an average points scored by both teams of 185.1ppg. The under tally was 19-5. Just 11 of their 82 games last year topped the 200 point mark without the aid of overtime, that is 1 of every or about 12.5% of the time. When they played top 10 offenses the total points scored topped the 200 mark just 2 times in the 24 games played against them. That is 1 of 12 or about 8.5% of the time, even less than their overall season performance. They have not played any of their 3 games yet to more than 193 points. Play this one undeer the total

The New Jersey Nets have scored an average of 83.6ppg through their first 5 games on the season. That sets them up in a few nice spots playing on the over in this one. The situation for tonight`s game shws an NBA history of 89-47-2 to the over, and if their opponent is off a game that went over the total it goes to 39-17 to the over. Play this one OVER the total.

This is a nice situational angle that plays on a pair of rested teams, where their is a home dog involved off a home dog win. Thais has been a close to 70% under situation in the NBA. The play here is on the under

One of my favorite NBA angles is to play on the over when their has been shooting anomolies that ultimately revert back to the mean, but at the same time the oddsmakers have to post a total that they deem is fair based on public perception. That gives us a duel advantage going into a game. I have a base angle that plays exactly on this which is 54% winners one condition with over 2,600 games in the database. This game with 1 added condition becomes a 58.1%% chane of winning, with still over 900 games in the database, so certainly an investement oriented advantage. Tonight the play is on the over in this one.

The LA Clippers and the San Antonio Spurs are both off of decisive wins to start the season 1-0. The Spurs forced 24 Memphis turnovers in their opener, and although they shot less than 40% they came away with the easy win. The 24 turnovers included 13 steals by San Antonio. The Clippers went on the road and scored 105 against Golden St. The resistance will be far greater on the road tonight at San Antonio. This game fits a situation that has turned over 60% winners with close to 400 games in the data set, and tonight the play is on the under.

The Dallas Mavericks after falling behind in the series 2 games to one, came roaring back with 2 wins in Dallas, and now head to Miami for what could be a decisive game 6. The heat have really done a great job on LeBron James, and Miami has played great defense, despite the hiccup in game 5 where both teams just had one of those games where everything was falling. Tonight I expect the defensive pressure to return to what we saw in games 1-4. Active here for this game is an under situation that is now 21-2 ATS in the finals since 1990, with one of the losses because of overtime! I'm playing the under in this one.

Sometimes you can go to a well once to often, but there are ways of discovering if this is the case or not. I have been playing an under system for the NBA Playoff Championship round that is now 42-8 ATS, and once again is live for game 5. The oddsmakers have made an adjustment, but it isn't enough. I went back and looked at the 42-8 mark, and when oddsmakers adjusted the total down from the previous game total, it was adjusted down by an average of 1.73 points per game, and yet the record stands at 26-6 in those games. Actually one of the losses was in OT where in regulation it would have been a win, so 27-5 in regulation minutes. The bottomline is this is still valid, predictive, and profitable, and the call in game 5 is under.

The Dallas Mavericks lost a tough one at home in game 3, to fall down in their series vs the heat 2 games to 1. The resolve here will be defense. The Heat opened up game 3 with a 29 point first quarter, but managed just 59 points the rest of the way. They won the battle of the boards, and won the bench scoring, but their first quarter defensive lapses proved decisive. I look for Dallas to shut off the lanes to the paint as they did as the game went on in game 3, and keep the Heat from having a big quarter again. if you remember the Heat had 28 in the first period of game 2 as well. This game fits into one of my top playoff situations, which has now gone 39-8 ATS since 1990, and it calls for a play on the under.

The Dallas Mavericks came out of nowhere looking down the barrel of a 15 point deficit with under 6 minutes to play in game 2, facing a pending 0-2 series disadvantage, when they tightened up the defense, gave the ball to Nowitski down the stretch, scoring the last 9 and winning to even the series at 1 game apiece. They now come home for a pivital game 3. Dallas played defense like a playoff Champion down the stretch, and although Miami fell apart in the last 6 minutes, it was more of a letdown thinking they had the game won, than poor defense, they have proven they can defend with anyone. This game is likely to be defended from start to finish, and I have a situation pointing to the under that is 38-8 ATS since 1990. I'm playing the under in this one.

Looking at these teams it is easy to get romanced into offense, with the trio of stars and scorers on Miami, and the way Nowitski is playing like a man possessed. The public is in love with the over here, yet the total is moving in exactly the opposite direction, raising an immediate red flag. I have discovered a total situation that applies to this game that is markedly pointing to the under as it is 34-8 to the under, for 81% winners since 1990 in the Championship round. I'm playing this one to go under the total.

The Oklahoma City Thunder defined game 3 in 132 minutes. They could do nothing right and found themselves in a 27-12 hole, that to their credit, they almost climbed out of but against a very good Dallas team, it simply wasn't going to happen. Despite 36.5% shooting they crept back in the game. They hit just a putrid 5.9% from 3 point range, on 1-17. Dallas shot just 43.9% for the game and Dirk Nowitski finished with just 18 points. If the Thunder shoots 45% in this game, they make 6 more FG's and if they hit just 5-17 from 3, still below expectations, they are in the 100s in this game. Oklahoma City is 9-1 to the over with a total less than 200 off a loss. That moves to 6-0 to the over vs a team over ,500. The Mavs are 8-3-1 to the over in their last 12 as a road dog. Over is the play.

The Miami Heat held the Chicago Bulls to just 75 points on their own floor in game 2, to even the series at 1 game apiece. While the defenseive effort was huge, the Heat and their trio of stars was equally disappointing on the offensive end, where they scored 85, just 3 points better than their game 1 output. Sometimes you have to take note of the pcae, and trends of a series, that takes on a certain look, and this one has the look going forward of ugly, and competitive, despite the first 2 games resulting in double-digit finals. Game 3 becomes a pivital game, especially with the series even. The public can't help themselves, they see a low total, and say no way that game is not going over, and 65% have placed their money on the over here. Playoff totals of <180 following a game where 161 or less points were scored in the previous game, have gone 18-9 to the under. If the playoffs are past round one, meaning round 2 or deeper, the under becomes even more likely at 15-6. If the playoffs are even deeper, and we are in round 3 or further, the odds of an under grow, as it has been 10-1-1 to the under. I'll back the under in this one.

The Oklahoma City Thunder road a 56% shooting night in game 2 to even their series with Dallas. This has been a highly offensive series, with a lot of things happening, that has the over looking mighty tasty to gamblers. There are 70% off all total bets on the over, and I'm in the other camp. These teams have combined to shoot about 50% from the field, which isn't likely to continue for the balance of this series. There was 71 made free throws in game 1, of which Dirk Nowitski set a playoff record by going 24-24. Simply put the numbers are no longer sustainable, and at the same time, a fair line on this series opener was 194. My calculations for this game is 196.5, which is 4 full points away from where the oddsmakers have set this total, and that is with huge anticipation of knowing their clients love overs, and are going to bet this up. I would not be at all surprised that this total sees a dip when smart money hits the table, and perhaps the public will bet it back up, but the 201 where it stands now has line value. Situationally there is support by the fact that game 3 after the first 2 went over the total, has played under in the NBA playoffs to a winning percentage of 65.7%, in part because of the adjustments needed by the oddsmakers knowledge that the public is over happy. It is easier to move the public up, than down, and as an example of exactly that, if the first 2 games in a series go under the 3rd is 50-50 to go under. The oddsmakers don't have to create an unfair line on an under, there will always be plenty of over action. I have a myriad of under situations in this game, one of which is 81-46 to the under, and many more. My choice here is under the total.

The Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder put on an offensive clinic in game 1. They didn't have numbers like you'd normally see in a game that featured 233 points scored, as Oklahoma City shot 47% and Dallas 53%. The sign of things to come were the 79 free throws taken. It basically showed that these teams could not guard each other. Game 2 has a lot of over trends as it is with a 38-21-1 mark to the over from round 2 and beyond. There are a pair of situations that are highly predictive, and both perfect that apply to this game, and combined these 2 powerhouses are 30-0 ATS to the OVER! That is right, 30-0 ATS to the over! One is 20-0 and the other is 10-0 and they are both completely different. This is a very high rated game from the huge situational angles as well as the fundamental capping that supports it. The OVER is my Western Conference Finals Total of the Year! One further note: I have never lost an NBA GOY pick!

The Miami Heat dropped game 1 to the Bulls, and they weren't even close. Coach Spoelstra during a timeout was heard imploring his players, "We have to run our offense and move the ball around, isolation will not work against this team." How true that is. Look for Miami to start moving a lot on offense and get better looks in this game. Game 2 totals certainly support that logic, as they are 46-24 ATS if the total is set in the 180s. The Bulls have accomodated that thinking as well, as they are 27-13 to the over in their last 40 vs a winning team, and 11-3 to the over vs a team winning 70% plus of their games. Miami has had 15 opportunities on the road this year, playing with revenge, and are 12-3 to the over in those 15 games. Bulls after a big double-digit win are now 44-25 to the over the last 3 years, and that mark moves to 11-3 to the over if they are off of 2 straight 10+ wins. Since Spoelstra has become coach of the Heat thay have played 40-22 to the over off a loss, as well as 27-9 to the over following a game where they scored 85 or less, and 31-15 to the over after a 10+ point loss. I'm going with the over in this one.

The Dallas Mavericks have had an 8 day layoff as they open the Conference Championship round against Oklahoma City who was stretched to 3 games vs the Memphis Grizzlies. Dallas won 2 of the 3 games between these clubs this season, the lone loss came when Dirk Nowitski was a spectator, missing the game with a knee injury. These teams averaged 201.3ppg in their 3 games, so the total here in the public eye is set way to low. The public has weighed in heavy supporting the over like they already know the final score at close to 70%. That has driven the total up from the opener of 192 to 193 as of this writing, and I would not be surprised to see 194+ at tip. Teams playing off elongated rest in the NBA playoffs of 4 days or more, have played under the total to a 37-19 mark. When there is a game in the playoffs when 1 team has had 3 or more days rest than their opponent, the under is 19-9 in the playoffs. That makes a double rest situation of a combined 56-28 to the under, or 67% of the time. Round 2 and on has also seen matchups of good but not great teams (60-75% winning percentage), tip the scales to the under at a 22-14 clip. It is also worth noting that teams off of 4 or more ATS wins (Dallas) are 7-1 to the under in that same situation. One more predictive situation is when you have 1 team off a 15+ point win and the other off a 20+ point win the under has prevailed to an 8-2 mark. I'm playing the under in this one.

I am adding this play based on the fact that these teams are both better on the fefensive end of the court than the offensive end. It also has situational support as round 3 series game 1 has seen 10 games posted with a total lower than 182, and the results are 10-0 to the under! Under is the play!

The last 7 games in this series between Oklahoma City and Memphis have all featured both teams scoring over 100 points. The public looks at the results of the first 2 games, both going way over the total, and lcks in at 65% playing the over. This ignores the fair total that opened the series at 194, and has risen to push line value on the under in game 3. Teams that are tied in a playoff series and head into game 3 have seen the total go over in the first 2, are 0-7-1 to the over! Great line value here, great public fade, and even better, despite the public backing the over the total is going down! So we have both line value (6 points over the fair total of game 1), public fade support with the line moving in the opposite direction, and situational support at 7-0-1 to the under. I'll back the under here.

I spent a lot of time digging up some stuff on this game, and came to the conclusion that this is worth a play. Teams playing in the second round as a home favorite with a line of less than -9 and a total of less than 190, have played to the over to a 13-0 ATS mark the last 8 years. I also have a bigger scenerio here that shows 25-4 to the over for a game situation in this one. I'm riding on the over.

The Atlanta Hawks outplayed the Bulls in game 1, and are off and running to a 1-0 series lead. They scored 103 points in game 1, and seemed to get a lot of easy buckets inside. This sets up for a game 2 that has proven to be high scoring as the situation that the table is set for here is 25-4 to the over. Hawks at 5-2 to the over vs teams with a winning home record, while the Bulls 8-3 to the over vs a winning team in their last 11. This one goes over the total.

Looking back at how these teams have played each other one thing is clear. Oklahoma City can't handle Memphis in the paint, and Oklahoma City has done a great job their themselves, as well as both these teams getting out on the break, and getting a lot of offensive rebounds. Those situations call for a lot of points tobe scored, and the last 5 meetings have averaged 211.4ppg. Offensive rebounding has averaged 26.4 per game and fast break points have averraged 33 per game. Points in the paint, eady buckets have averaged just shy of 100 per contest! needless to say 14 of the last 17 in Oklahoma City have gone over the total, and the Thunder is over the total to a 36-14-1 mark as a favorite of 5-10.5. Over gets the call.

The Miami Heat had toruble with Boston all season until the last meeting when they destroyed them by 23. The 4 games this season between these teams saw an average of 182.8ppg, but those numbers include a 219 point game where Boston shot way over 50% from the field including from deep, and Miami also shot 50% for the game. I have a situation for this game that shows the under striking at a 99-64-1 ATS rate for 60.7%I also have another situation which has shown 14-2 to the under in the playoffs live in this game, and a third that is a perfect 9-0 to the under. I'll go with the under here which is also 7-0-1 when the Heat face a team with a winning road record at home. Game 1 went over the total simply because of 3pt shooting variance. Both teams connected on 21-43 from 3pt range, which added 18-20 ppoints to the total. Under in game 2.

The Miami Heat had toruble with Boston all season until the last meeting when they destroyed them by 23. The 4 games this season between these teams saw an average of 182.8ppg, but those numbers include a 219 point game where Boston shot way over 50% from the field including from deep, and Miami also shot 50% for the game. I have a situation for this game that shows the under striking at a 99-64-1 ATS rate for 60.7%I also have another situation which has shown 14-2 to the under in the playoffs live in this game, and a third that is a perfect 9-0 to the under. I'll go with the under here which is also 7-0-1 when the Heat face a team with a winning road record at home.

Atlanta ranks 4th in 3pt FG defense so is Orlando's shooting woes from 3 unexpected or ordinary? Here is a look at Orlando vs the top 7 teams in 3pt FG defense this season: 206-663 .310 vs everyone else .381 overall .366 What this tells me is this is not an anomolly, they struggle against every good 3pt FG defense to the tune of 5.6% below their season average which is jaded upward by their prowess vs bad 3pt shooting defenses. There is over a 7pt difference from them playing against an avg to poor 3pt shooting defense, vs a top 7 one. They are shooting 27.8% in this series, which is 3% less than their adjusted avg vs good 3pt shooting defenses. That equates to less than 1 made 3 per their 24 attp. avg in the series. Also they shot even worse against Atlanta in the regular season from 3 thasn they have in the playoffs. On the road their adjusted average eliminates the 3% of their 24 avg attempts, so what I see is the 3pt shooting isn't the reason for games going under, it is the reason why they have value playing under! A look at the totals in the 27 games they have played vs the top 7 3pt FG defenses show 20 under and 7 over!~ Of the 3 overs 2 occured because of overtime, and another by a single point. Playoffs with last 3 or more under are 65-36-1 under Orlando 8-0 under this yr vs 51-60% teams ATL 17-6 under as +3 to -3 ATL 18-4 under as home dog ATL 17-4 under vs div ATL 8-0 under last 3 years home dog 3 or less UNDER gets the call

There isn't much I didn't say about this game when I made the under my total of the year in their last matchup. Certainly nothing has changed since then, and their is a lot of line value in this one. Game 4 of a playoff series has traditionally been for the defense. NBA playoff history for the last decade has produced a 142-104 mark to the under in game 4. If the previous game went under, it swells to 76-50 to the under, over 60% winners. All the things from game 3 still apply here, I will make my call on the under in this one.

This game has been on my radar since game 2 was completed between these teams with Oklahoma City holding a 2-0 lead. I have a playoff tried and tested one condition system that has gone 20-0 ATS to the under and is live in this game! I should also note that the fair total in this game is 202 which was the total set before prior to game 1 which was bet up by gamblers. So there is also substantial line value in this game. Denver is 26-13 to the under in all games vs winning teams this year, and the defense is much better since Melo left. Oklahoma City applies to yet another situation based in part on quadruple revenge, that shows 24-5 to the under. teams that play 6 or less games in 14 days are 20-5 to the under as well. Overall teams with triple revenge, no other qualifier, are 112-83 to the under. We have both substantial line value (3 points), and huge situational value. That makes for a PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR ON THE UNDER.

Many thought the Orlando Magic would breeze past the Atlanta Hawks in their opening round playoff series. The Hawks finished the regular season in a down ward spiral that saw them close at 11-20 over their last 31 games, losing their last 6. What people forget is this team was once 33-16 winning better than 2 of every 3 games they played. the Hawks match up very well with the Magic as they are 4-2 straight up on the season, and played just 2 of the 6 in Atlanta, winning both. What has been the staple of the Hawks team is keeping Orlando from scoring. The Magic have averaged just 85.2ppg in the 6 played thus far. The Magic haven't just struggled vs the Hawks, they have struggled all season against the top 9 defenses in the league as determined by fewest points per game allowed. The Magic have posted just 86.6ppg facing the top 9 defensive teams on the road this season. (regulation minutes only). There is more to add here, as better seeds that split their first 2 games at home in round 1 of the NBA playoffs are 17-2 to the under since 2004 playing game 3 on the road. The 6 gamesd this seasdon have seen an average of just 171.8ppg scored. The Magic are also 49-24-1 to the under after an ATS loss in their last 74. These teams have paired up to play 7 straight unders in Atlanta, with 20 of the last 27 matchups failing to reach the total. Hawks sport a 16-5 mark to the under in their last 21 as a home dog. Orlando 53-33 to the under in their last 86 vs a winning team, and 18-6 under this year to a total in the 180s. The play here is on the under.

Coach Popovich has been coaching a lot of playoff games in San Antonio over the last decade plus, and a lot of games period. He knows what wins, and that is defense, and after a game where his team loses straight up to a team, when they face that team the next time around the defense is usually what they bring. Popovich has been in a revenge situation a lot and the ladst 125 times his team's have been in this spot, they have played 80-45 to the under. I'll side with the under in this one.

The Orlando Magic were plain awful against the Atlanta Hawks in game one. Their offense was limited to just 2 players as Nelson, and Howard combined for 73 of their 93 points with the rest of the Magic combining for 8-34 shooting from the field, and 2-15 from beyond the arc. Atlanta scored 68 points in the 2nd and 3rd quarters combined, and got good contributions all over the floor. This game fits a huge playoff situation, that has been 85-33 to the over the last 118 times it has come up, and tonight it says play on the over.

The regular season is winding down, and the Chicago Bulls still have a chance to secure homecourt advantage throughout the playoffs. They have gotten to this point by winning each of their last 8 games. That sets up a huge situation here based in part on that winning streak. The situation that is live for the total in this game is 85-48-1 to the over since I discovered it, with an applicable subset in this game that is a stronger 24-8 ATS to the over. I'll make my call on the over in this one.

The Denver Nuggets have been a much improved defensive team since the trade with the Knicks. While they held 13 of the last 24 opponents to 100 or less, their previous 17 games they held just 1 opponent to 100 or less. Golden St. in't the same offensive team they have been in the past. This year 29 times they have been held below 100, 20 last year, 18 the year before, and just 11 the year before that. They are 19-7 to the under without rest, while Denver, playing much better defense is 16-5-1 to the under in their last 22. I have this one at 211, so value here on the under.

This game sets up into a 92-40 situation on the over and I will play this one to top the total.

This game sets up perfectly as it fits one of my all-time best over/under systems and situations in the NBA. This game has a lifetime mark of 108-35 ATS to the over. That is 75.5% chance of winning this game. This system is also 47-11 ATS the last 58 times it has occured for a win rate of over 81%. There is no need to go into any greater detail than this as it is my strongest situation of all that has over 125 games in the trial set. Milwaukee/Cleveland OVER THE TOTAL is my NBA total of the year.

The Nets have gotten out running with Derron Williams on the floor. He has made a difference in the tempo for the Nets, and supplies them with instant offense, and a decision maker that can get open looks for his teammates as well. The Nets are averaging 102ppg in the 12 games Williams has played, fueling an offense that is otherwise scoring 93ppg. The Pistons like to open things up at home against weaker teams as they have averaged 110ppg in their last 6 at home vs a team with a losing record. This one also fits a bad team showdown under certain conditions that has favored the over to a 76-35-2 mark. Over gets the call.

The Denver Nuggets are a better team since their trade with the Knicks, and this team is playing better on the defensive end than they have in a long time. Oklahoma City has slumpe as bit of late offensively scoring 92 and 91 on a 2 game losing streak, and overall 10 of their last 13 have played to the under. The Thunder have also played to a 14-6 mark to the under as a dog in their last 20. Nuggets "new" team is now 13-3 to the under in their last 16. This game also fits an under situation that has produced over 70% winners in 1000 games. I'll back the under here.

The Washington Wizards have found the win column just 1 time all season on the road where they stand at a pathetic 1-34 for the season. There problem for the most part has been scoring. The Wizards have scored in the 70s in 3 of their last 9 road games. Washington is 35-16 to the under in their last 51 vs the West. Golden St. comes in at 19-6-1 to the under following a straight up win by more than 10 points. I'll go with the under in this one, riding a 70-35 under situation.