OVER 10.5 runs  Boston / Minny  (#919 /920)  * 7:10 EST

Well, Gibson for the Twins has given up 4 or runs in his last 3 outings.  He gave up 5 runs in 5 innings last time he faced Boston.  Conversely these two team have scored 45 runs combined in the last 3 games they have played including 15 runs last night.  Yes the number is high, Rodriguez for Boston has a 7.19 ERA on the season and a 7.47 ERA his last 3 – expect lots of hits and runs tonight.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER

NOTE:  My second half package in bases is $225 thru the World Series guys - great investment... 

#923 /924 - OVER 8.5 runs  Texas / LA Angels  *10:05 EST

The Angles bats are hot.  How about batting .375 against southpaws their last 5 games and they face one tonight who has over a 7 ERA in his last 3 starts.  Hector Santiago has been lights out his last 3 starts but I feel is due for a fall tonight and he is 8-3 on Overs his last 11 games against Texas.  LA is 11-4-1 on Overs their last 16 homes games and so far in 2 games this week this series has produced a total of a whopping 28 runs.

Play 2 Units on the OVER  – Listed pitchers only 

#967 - Cleveland -147  *8:15 EST

KC rocked the Tribe last night at home, but I expect the Tribe to bounce back behind Salazar tonight who has been stellar all year.  KC gives youngster Brian Flynn his first start tonight and against the Tribe off a loss, I expect him to give up some hits and runs.  A hot night in KC, steamy near 90 at game time, I expect the balls to be flying tonight in a high scoring game, and expect Cleveland to come out on top.

Play 1 Unit on Cleveland

BONUS PLAY:  White Sox . Mariners UNDER 8 runs for a half unit. 

#922 - Colorado -130   *8:40 EST - Listed Pitchers Only 

Fading Drew Smyly here of the D-Rays.  Deplorable on the road and having a flat out bad year.  In a hitters park with his road ERA is not a good spot for Tampa tonight and I like the Rockies Anderson on the hill who at home has under a 3 ERA for the season since joining the rotation.  D-Rays have managed 16 wins on the road this season out of 42 roadies! 

Play 1 Unit on the Rockies

#963 - San Fran (RUNLINE -1.5)  At -111 to -115

Bumgarner with a season ERA at 1.94 here is a take against the Padres, even on the road.  He passed on pitching in the All Star game and his last plate appearance he had 14 strikeouts. Cashner for the Pads is 1-6 in his last 7 starts, and I think still has issues with a strained neck that had him on the disabled list this season.  He gave up 8 earned runs in his last start.  Giants are hot, one of the best in MLB right now with a Top 3 pitcher, well rested, on the hill tonight. No brainer.  

Play 1 Unit on San Fran MINUS the 1.5 Runs on the runline to lower the odds.  LISTED PITCHERS ONLY 

#918 - Cleveland -132   **1:10 EST

Like the Tribe to bounce back tonight after a 1 run extra innings loss.  Two good pitchers on the hill tonight but although the Yanks Tanaka won his last 3 games, he allowed 21 hits in 19 innings and his ERA was over 4 in those wins.  Carrasco is on fire for Cleveland.  A 0.71 WHIP and an 0.81 ERA his last 3 starts, been damn near unhittable.  Rubber game with the better team at home and better pitcher.

Play 1 Unit on Cleveland

As always LISTED PITCHERS ONLY 

# 909 - St Louis – 131  *8:10 EST

I like Wacha on the hill for the Cards who is red hot and has already beaten the Brew Crew.  As a matter of fact the Cards crushed Milwaukee on April 11 when he last faced them 10-1!  Jimmy Nelson is 0-6 career against the Cards, and he takes the hill for Brewers and has an 8.49 ERA lifetime against them and also has dropped his last 4 starts overall.  With the Cards scoring 6 runs a game on the road this year, I like their chances at a cheap number.

Play 1 Unit on St. Louis

#963 /964 Cleveland / NY Yankees OVER 8.5 to 9 MAX   *7:10 EST 

Nova on the hill for the Yanks.  Over a 6 ERA in his last 3 starts, and over a 5 ERA on the road this year and Cleveland is off an ass kicking last night giving up a ton of hits and runs and will be looking to light it up tonight. The Tribe are an eye popping 44-21-1 on OVERS at home and the Yanks are 7-1 on Overs their last roadies and in this series the Over has cashed 5 out of the last 6 games in Cleveland.

Play 2 Units on the Over

#925 / 926 - Houston – Seattle UNDER 8.5  *8:10 EST 

This line should be 7.  Both games previous were way under the total with worse pitchers.  LeBlanc is hot as hell after coming over Toronto for Seattle and Fiers is hot for Houston with a 1.57 ERA his last 4 starts, and neither team is hitting worth crap right now gents.  Classic 2-1 or 3-2 type game.

Play 1 Unit on the UNDER

#966 - Toronto -153   **7:05 EST

At my maximum number to lay it on the moneyline but Chris Young for KC is a human hit machine when pitching and with Toronto’s offensive lineup, this is a no brainer.  The Jays whipped the Royals last night and I expect Young not to make it past the 4th inning, if that.  KC will struggle not to embarrass themselves here.  Too much firepower for the Blue Jays against a very weak starter and a struggling bullpen.

Play 1.5 Units on Toronto

BONUS PLAY  - Half Unit Phillies -150 (#954)  to cream the Braves. 

San Fran -115  *10:10 EST 

Fading Corbin here from Arizona against some good batters.  Short and Sweet as I am travelling for the Holiday this morning.  This line I had tabbed at -145 and it is this cheap and I am taking the Giants here to cash out at a cheap number.

Play 1 Unit on San Fran

Detroit -108

Tampa is 3-13 their last 16 games and Detroit has a pitcher on the hill in Fulmer with under a 2 ERA and the Rays last night gave up hits and runs in a demoralizing loss to Detroit, and despite their good hitting the last 5 games, the D Rays simply cannot close out a gamer and send Smyly to the hill with a 6/75 ERA his last 3 starts. The relief pitching for the D Rays is killing them, over an 11 ERA their last 5 games.

Play 1 Unit on Detroit 

#907 – Marlins -141  *7:10 EST

I love Chen on the mound here as the Marlins are catching some heat and they are 8-1 behind Chen in his last 9 starts as a team.  Atlanta in free fall going 1-5 their last 6 and they struggle against south paws, ranked 28th in MLB against them.  The Marlins on base percentage is in the Top 8 in MLB and are facing a pitcher off the DL and I like their chances big time tonight, even on the road where Chen has better numbers than he does at home.

Play 1 Unit on Miami 

#977 - SF Giants +125  *10:05 EST 

Off 2 straight losses at home to the A’s, and a 13-11 loss still fresh in their mind from last night, I like Jake Peavys chances tonight, he is in good form, under a 2 ERA his last 3 starts.  Off back to back home losses, the Giants travel to Oakland (short trip) and have no doubts, with a hot Peavy and a good road team (21-7 last 28 roadies), I like the Giants to bounce back tonight.  Both teams red hot at the plate, I like the run support for Peavy and for him to hold the A’s bats at bay. Good value with the better pitcher and double revenge on this moneyline!  

Play 1 Unit on San Fran 

#909 - Texas -108  *7:05 EST 

Cole Hamels is starting for the Rangers, who beat up NY for 9 runs last night in a high scoring game, which I doubt you see tonight with Sabathia on the hill for NY.  Hamels ERA his last 3 is 0.89 and he will have more run support than CC, as the Rangers are lighting up southpaws at a .395 batting average the last 5 games, and almost batting .300 as a team in those past 5 games overall.  Texas 14-3 on the road their last 17 – Wow!

Play 1 Unit on the Texas Rangers 

#965 - Cleveland -135  *7:10 EST 

Hottest team in MLB with 9 straight wins and a good pitcher on the hill against one of the worst teams in MLB with a guy who has started 4 games as a pitcher for the Braves and over a 7 ERA in his only home start.  The Braves have managed 11 wins at home all season and are allowing almost 5 runs a game at home.  The Tribe Roll tonight.

Play 1 Unit on Cleveland 

#922 - White Sox -133   **2:10 EST 

Two very good pitchers go at it in a rubber match today at Chicago.  Sale and Stroman tee it up today and I expect a lower scoring game than last nights 18 run score fest.  Chicago's offense not the greatest at the back end of the rotation and while Sale has a some issues, he absolutely shut down Boston's high powered offense in his last start ( allows 4 hits, 1 run and had 9 SO's in 7 innings) and I expect him to tame the Blue Jays today.  Stroman as of late has been in bad form with over a 7 ERA in JUne, but the White Sox offense is nothing to brag about so I expect a lower scoring game but Sale will get enough run support to get it done and take the series at home. 

1 Unit on the White Sox.

Play half unit on the UNDER 8.5 runs.  (Listed Pitchers Only)

Over 9 Reds and Padres

Not sold on either pitcher, nor either team.  When two bad teams face each other, it usually results in a ton of runs and wild baseball, and both teams bullpens stink, and both teams defense stinks.  They scored 17 runs last night and 8 out of the last 9 games the Padres have played have went Over the number, 8 out of their last 12 road games have went Over, and in this series the Over has cashed 4 in a row.  More of the same here.

Play 1 Unit on the Over 

St Louis –118

Seattle has no pitching staff folks, are in a free fall and have 3 starters out of rotation on their pitching roster plus other injuries and start a pitcher tonight (Wade LeBlanc) who by all admissions of their manager was quoted as saying “ he might not pitch well, but he will not go out there and panic”.  WOW!!   St Louis is coming off a sweep of the hated Cubs, on the road, including beating Arietta, and I like them with Martinez who in last 4 starts went 3-0 with a no decision and tossed a 1.23 ERA and is coming on and is 4-1 on the road with an ERA under 2 for the season.  St Louis bats should have a big night and I do not see Seattle righting the ship tonight as they have dropped 10 out of their last 12 games.

Play 1 Unit on St Louis 

#914 - Cleveland -123   *7:10 EST

Not going against the red hot Indians right now, 10 in a row at home and Archer for the D Rays stats are deplorable.  3-8 last 11 road starts and he is 0-4 his last 4 against the Tribe.  The D Rays have put 8 players on the DL in the last month!

Play 1 Unit on Cleveland

#911 - White Sox -102  *7:10 EST

Cheap number here and wanted Chris Sale yesterday but the line was fishy and passed, still kicking myself.  This is a go against Boston’s starter tonight, Rodriguez who has 2 starts at home with a 9 ERA, and since his knee injury in spring training and his return to the lineup, he has allowed teams to light him like a Christmas tree.  I like Quintana to get off the snide tonight going 0-6, despite an ERA under 3 and allowing 3 or fewer runs in 5 of those 6 losses, and tonight he WILL have run support.  Cheap number. Boston’s batting in last in MLB the last 3 games, they are ice cold at the plate gents…Chicago sweeps this series.

Play 1 Unit on the White Sox

#905 - San Fran –110  **7:05 EST

Pittsburgh is 5-16 their last 21, and after winning Monday got absolutely waxed last night 15-4.  San Fran the better team, better pitcher, better hitters, better bullpen, and Liriano has over a 6 ERA in his last 4 starts, all losses for the free falling Pirates.  Pitt also has injury issues, and they are a mess right now.

Play 1 Unit on San Fran

# 956 - Cubs -133   *8 EST 

Off a loss at home with Hammel on the hill to even up there series against their heated rivals, and Wainwright has been anything but dependable for the Cards but his recent form has been good, but this is a step up in class to his recent recovery and his low ERA in his last 3.  With Arietta on the hill tomorrow the Cubs have a win there almost for sure, so a win tonight would go a  long way to cinching this current series, and I cannot pass on Hammel at this number at home with a great team off a loss against a rival.  The setup is decent at this number for sure.  The Cubs are 50-19 their last 69 home games and I do not see them losing back to back against a hated division rival in what should be a very good game today.  Like the edge for the Cubs, and St. Louis just 3-7 their last 10 in this series.

Play 1 Unit on the Cubs

#914 - Cleveland -120  *7:10 EST 

Tomlin on fire, a 1.83 ERA his last 3 starts, and 8-1 on the year facing a free falling D Rays team who has dropped 4 straight.  Cleveland just swept the White Sox and face Smyly, whose ERA his last 3 is over 8, and he is a southpaw, and the Tribe in their last 5 have lit up lefties to the tun of a .294 batting average as a team.  Also the far better bullpen lies with Cleveland who is at home as a bonus.  I would have laid it on the road as well!

Play 1 Unit on Cleveland 

#513 . 514  - OVER 206.5 to 207  Cavs / Warriors  *8 EST

Any doubts about this?  Both teams have scorers all over the floor, LeBron has had 82 points the last 2 games, and I expect Curry and company to go ballistic at home tonight on the scoreboard.  This is not going to be a defensive battle, and Golden State doesn’t play any right now and of course the Warriors will play better at home.  I also expect a VERY confident Cavs team to keep pace and continue to spread it around and let King James do his thing and take over if need be. 

Play 1 Unit on the OVER

BONUS half Unit – Cleveland +4.5 to 5 

Thanks for all your NBA business this season, I appreciate it gents.  TG 

#511 - Golden State +2.5  *9 EST 

Look, Golden State since 2014 has been the best team ATS after a loss to cover the next game, and also have the highest number in point differential in the final score in that same time-frame when covering the next game off a loss.  Another issue is LeBron and Kyrie has a great performance with over 40 each to win Game 5, they will not have that same performance tonight and conversely NBA MVP Curry sucked from 3 point range, and I doubt the scoring duo of Golden State shoots that badly again.  Yeah, home court, but GS beat them in here last year and drank the Champagne and I say they do it again.  Deeper bench for GS counts big this deep onto the series, Green is back with a Vengeance, and Kerr has stressed since the ass kicking in the last game that defense will be a focal point tonight for the Warriors, and if Curry and Thompson get going, and Green does his thing, I think the Cavs are doomed.  Whole world betting Cleveland and the line not moving, do the math.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State.

IF this play is right, the NBA season is over and I want to thank you for your Pro Hoops business this year.  Not my best year but we finished decent.  I look forward to NFL. NCAA Football in a couple of months and hope to see you then, and of course MLB is selective but highly profitable right now.  TG 

#980 - St Louis – 120  *7:15 EST 

Houston snapped a 5 game win streak last night and trust me St Louis will not get swept at home in this 2 game series with Wainwright on the hill at home.  He has been hot, and McHugh for Houston has not and his late plate appearance got lit up like a Christmas tree on December 25 last Thursday against Texas, and was jerked out in less than 4 innings in that game!  Wainwright is 13-1 with a 1.57 ERA lifetime against the Astros!  Cards even it up.

Play 1 Unit on St Louis. 

# 916 - Tampa Bay -115   *7:10 EST 

Real simple here, Tampa’s Odorizzi is money at home on the hill and Seattle trending downwards at 3-7 their last 10 and I do not trust their young pitcher Walker on the road against the D Rays who have won 7 out of their last 10 with a strong home pitcher on the hill tonight.  Plain and Simple.  Seattle having issues getting runs their last 10 games and they will have issues again tonight.

Play 1 Unit on Tampa. 

#509 / 510

OVER 204.5 to 205  Cavs Warriors

Golden State at home will pull out all the stops, and Cleveland will try to stave off elimination and pull out all the stops.  Curry also found his karma again in Game 4 and Golden State shoots well at home.  Total shootout to try and win it, Green out does hurt GS, but their bench has been solid all season and the playoffs.

Play 1 Unit on the Over.

IF Golden State wins, I do appreciate all your support this NBA Season.  Not my best by any means, I will strive hard to kick ass next season to make up for a subpar effort in 2016.  Rare for me in the NBA, just not a great year. 

Detroit -105

Jamie Shields is a trainwreck.  Big Game Jamie tanked in KC in any game that mattered, the Padres could not wait to unload him, and now he has over a 16 ERA in his last 3 miserable starts.  Detroit heating up, quietly going 5-2 their last 7 and Boyd the pitcher in the game.

Play 1 Unit on Detroit. 

#903 /904   **2:10 EST First Pitch 

Brewers and Mets UNDER 8.5

Short and Sweet.  The last 9 games in Milwaukee, 8 have went under and we are catching 2 Red Hot Pitchers, Matz for the Mets who has a 2.41 ERA his last 3, and a red hot Davies with a 1.74 ERA in his last 3, against two teams whose run production has been weak and neither team lighting up the scoreboard.  Surprisingly this will be a good game today.  Look for a low scoring tight one here.

1 Unit on the UNDER 

Boston -137

Anyone noticing the Red Sox?   The routed Minny last night 8-1, and the Twins continue to disappoint. There are 2 pitchers today both of whom in the last 3 games have an ERA of over 5, but it is the Twins bullpen that kills them, a 6.51 ERA allowed their last 5 games. Hell the Twins starting rotation the last 5 games has a  7.90 ERA!  Boston can hit, and will get this game put away late in the game against a weak bullpen. 

Play 1 Unit on Boston. 

UNDER 207 to 206.5

Tight game here tonight, and I do not see a 30 pt blowout.  The key to Golden State winning games 1 and 2 was defense.  Thee key to the Cavs winning game 3, was defense.  Both teams will step it up tonight in what should be a physical game.

1 Unit on the Under 

!

#967 - Pirates +107   **5:10 EST - EARLY NIGHT GAME

Locke takes the hill red hot with under a 3 ERA for Pitt who won last night.  Pitt owns the Rockies, 12-2 the 14 in this series.  Colorado sends Bettis to the hill who has given up 25 hits in 14 innings his last 3, an 11.48 ERA and an UNREAL 2.40 whip, ALL IN HIS LAST 3 starts.  Wow

Play 1 Unit on the Pirates

Golden State - pk

What makes ANYONE think Cleveland can hang here.  Mis Matches all over the floor, no depth for the Cavs, lack of coaching, LeBron getting schooled and GS has put on a clinic in games 1 and 2 winning by 35 points Over the spread for Christs sake in 2 games combined.  Cleveland has not beat Golden State in 7 attempts dating back to last June (2015) and GS had covered all but 1 of those spreads.  Mis Match – Cavs at home is not worth this massive point swing by oddsmakers.

Play 2 Units on Golden State

O's -153

Right on my limit on the moneyline but worth the stretch.  KC is falling apart, can't hit, cannot p[itch, cannot do anything.  Mosoe and Gordon out is killing them and they have been outscored 38-8 in their last 7 games, just unreal and got whacked last night 9-1 and faced a pitcher with a 10 ERA and Tillman is the O's stud with 1 loss.

Play 1 Unit on Baltimore 

#961 - Kansas City +120   *7:05 EST 

Ventura on the hill gaining form and while KC is on a major slide, the bleeding stops here as KC should be able to put up some runs against Jimenez who has a Season ERA approaching 7 and in his last 3 starts has been lit up like a Christmas Tree with over a 10 ERA in those starts.  KC gets off the snide tonight and the runline is very generous.

Play 1 Unit on Kansas City 

TOP PLAY Cubs -1.5 Runs on the RUNLINE -141

Lester is going to rack the Phillies tonight.  Morgan is 1-4 with over a 7 ERA on the season and in his only appearance against the Cubs got railed for 6 runs in 4 innings and gave up 3 homers.  Enough said…Lay the runline, reduce the odds in a Cubs Blowout.

LISTED PITCHERS ONLY

Play 2 Units on the Cubs  

Under 209 Cavs / Warriors

Short and Sweet.  Cleveland has to play better defense and adjust to the bench players of Golden State and I think they will, despite Tyron Lues inability to make adjustments in Game 1.  Cleveland did a hell of a job on Curry and Thompson allowing them just 20 points combined and Golden State stepped up and played defense in Game 1 and I think this will be a close to the vest, tight game.  These 2 teams in their last 5 games combined have scored and average of 204 on offense and allowed just 195 on defense.  

Play 1 Unit on the UNDER 

#501 - Cleveland +6  *9:00 EST

Cleveland is healthy and well rested versus last year.  Golden St off a grueling  game series, and GS plays no defense.  You have a team here in the Cavs that is 19 ppg better on defense in the last 5 games catching 6 points with a motivated LeBron James.

Play 1 Unit on Cleveland to keep it close

#957 Pirates +103 7:10 EST

Short and Sweet.  Pirates send Neise to the hill with a 1.89 ERA his last 3 starts as a southpaw, and in good form, against a team hitting left handers their last 5 games at .167.  Conversely the Pirates are hitting southpaws at .288 their last 5 games and Conley for the Marlins puts runners on base with consistency and in his last 3 starts has a whopping 2.05 WHIP.  Pirates bounced back with a win in this series last night after losing the opener 10-0 and have won 19 out of the last 26 in the series and have won 11 out of their last 15 games overall.   More run support, better pitcher.

Play 1 Unit on Pittsburgh 

#909 - St Louis -143  *8:10

I am taking the Cards whose pitching is heating up against some weak bats of Milwaukee who suffered a 6-0 loss to the Cards on Monday.  Leake has been on fire as of late with a WHIP of 0.79 his last 3 and an ERA of 1.35 behind some bats who are warming up as well.  Peralta for tHe Brew Crew has over a 6 ERA on the season and a 6.32 ERA his last 3.  Run support for a red hot Mike Leake?  All over it here.

Play 1 Unit on St. Louis 

KC -103

Look MLB is cyclical, and Kansas City despite Gordon and Moose being out has had some young talent step in a light a fire.  KC was in a downturn and now they are hot as hell and in an upturn, and at home and just swept the Whiter Sox in 3 come from behind wins, which KC is known for and thrive on late inning heroics, it won them a world series and Hosmer is hot at the plate again.  KC is never out in any game and Kennedy is due for a good outing here at home.  The D Rays have lost 7 out of their last 9 and KC is on a 10-3 run.  While KC has Perez out today at catcher, I still like the way Yost is coaching up the fill in players who have some talent on defense and offense and I like KC to open this series with a home sell out win tonight. 

Play 1 Unit on KC, short number for a hot team at home! 

#915 - Boston -135   *1:05 EST

Price on the Hill against Dickey and anytime I can get David Price who has been stellar this season on the hill for less than -150 it is always worth a strong look.  The Red Sox blew 2 games in this series giving up late runs and no scoring late, but Price will hold down the Jays on runs and Boston will avoid the Sweep.

Play 2 Unit's on Boston 

#975 /976 - OVER 7.5 Runs Angels / Astros   *10 EST 

Weaver and Keuchel take the hill tonight in this game and last night the Angels scored 7 runs in a game with 9 runs total, and while Houston is not been lighting up the scoreboard, I expect Weaver to give up some hits and runs tonight as his ERA this season is up to his standards and he has a 6.50 ERA his last 3 starts, and Keuchel is far worse as of late, an 8.80 ERA his last 3 starts with a WHIP of 1.875!  Add in the fact the bullpen for LA in the last 5 games has a 7.11 ERA, and LA is hot at the plate, and I like this Over tonight.  Also would lean to LA Angles in this game.

Play 1 Unit on the Over. 

#919  Yankees -103    **7:10 EST

Going with the better pitcher pitcher and Tanaka off a 7 inning , 5 hots and 1 run outing against Oakland.  Do not think this will be a high scoring game but the run support will be with the Yankees tonight. Archer has been terrible this year with over a 5 ERA and over a 7 ERA his last 3, and although better at home, I like the Yankees to get some runs on him.

Play 1 Unit on the Yankees 

#719/720  UNDER 220.5 to 221   *9 EST Tip 

This will be a tight game as the Warriors stave off elimination.  Look for the Thunder to play big, work on rebounds, not allow second chance points and give GS all they want here.  I want nothing to do with the side play as bad as Golden State has looked on offense and laying a big number, but this should easily go under the big total here as this one will be tight to the vest and each team working the ball.

Play 1 unit on the Under

#717 - Toronto +10.5 – to 11   **8:35 EST

The Cavs are in a funk and not only have the Raptors figured out how to defend and take LeBron out of his game, Kevin Love is hurt and not contributing anyway and Toronto gets their big man Valanciunas back tonight who is offensive minded.  I like the Raptors to cover, Cleveland to win a tight one.  Nothing will come easy for Cleveland moving forward in this series.

Play 1 unit on Toronto 

#715 - Warriors -1.5   **9 EST Tip 

Great value here.  Look, this scenario has been played out for years, the NBA will favor, and the refs will favor Golden State.  The ONLY scenario the NBA wants is Golden State – Cleveland folks.  Why do you think the NBA did not suspend Green for a game with an obvious kick to the balls in the last game?   Golden State has been playing low key, the gloves come off tonight, expect both Curry and Thompson to have huge nights and for Golden State to go big in this game.  The Warriors have lost 13 all season, I do not see them losing back to back in the conference finals especially after the ass kicking they took on Sunday.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State

#957 - Cubs -105    *7:10 EST 

I love Jason Hammel off his first loss of the season where Milwaukee beat him up, going up against the Cards off a loss last night.  The Cards send Wacha to the hill who has not made it out of the 4th inning in his last 2 starts.  This one belongs to the Cubbies at a very cheap number and playing with double revenge counting a loss in the last series.  Good spot, good pitching matchup, and motivation.

Play 1 Unit on the Cubs 

Toronto +6 to 6.5  

Home team tonight who is 8-1 ATS their last 9 at home against a team with a winning road record, off a 15 point win and catching 6 points.  Yes, drinking the Kool aid as oddsmakers begging you to take the points but 6 is too many, but if the defense played the last game by the Raptors, if employed tonight, they will keep this close and the coaching staff knows this for the Raptors.  Tyrone Lue has not had to adjust anything to this point, I am not sold on him as a head coach just yet.  Cleveland’s been on a hell of run, and now is an unusual position.  I do expect James to step up here and he will have his points but Toronto’s backcourt is playing better, they were just dead tired and fatigued in the Games 1 and 2.  Have their feet now on a strong home court.

Play 1 Unit on Toronto 

OVER 197.5 Cavs / Raptors 

Cleveland's offense on fire and if the Raptors want to compete, they must trade punches on the scoreboard with their backcourt, which is capable.  ONLY way they are going to win a game.  Cleveland 11-5 with the OVER in their last 15 Conference Finals Games, and Toronto is 24-6 on Overs their last 30 times they were beat by 10 or more in their previous game.

Play 2 Units on the OVER 

#906 - Pirates -128   *4:05 EST 
Pittsburgh has taken 8 in a row from Colorado and are red hot at the plate hitting .325 as a team and they will provide run support for Niese today, although he is not the best starter in this game, the bats of Pitt will carry them against a team they have owned.  Colorado just 3-14 the last 17 meetings in this series, cheap number here with the home team in this spot. 
Play 1 Unit on Pittsburgh 

O's -114

Red hot 9-2 run for the O's and Seattle is in a slump losing 4 out of 5.  Young pitching ace Tyler Wilson takes the hill for the O's and he has been nothing short of spectacular all year and the O's offense at home is unreal and they are awesome with runners in scoring position.  Not sold on Seattle bouncing back in the rubber game with Karns pitching whose road WHIP is not good and the O's will get runners on base here as Baltimore Looks to take the series with a solid pitcher on the hill and an excellent shut down bullpen backing him up at home. 

Play 1 Unit on Baltimore 

#705 - Thunder +8.5    *9:05 est tip 

This is a tight series, and one for the record books no doubt but this number is too high.  Curry not 100% and OK City overcame great odds in Game 1 and proved to themselves and everyone this is going to be an epic series.  The total at 223 tells you oddsmakers expect a shootout and when a team who can score and has 2 superstars and are better in the paint than GS are getting damn near double digits, I will take the big points.

Play 1 Unit on OK City.   

Cleveland –10 to 10.5

Toronto has played 14 games, both series to 7 games, both series nail biters and have injury issues and fatigue issues.  Cleveland on 8 days rest, undefeated, and quite frankly the better team with the NBA’s second best player in James who is on a mission, as well as the fast paced high octane offense of the Cavs hitting on all cylinders.  Depth is going to be an issue for the raptors tonight and one of the best guards has a thumb issue.  Cleveland at home will rock the house tonight.  BIG number to lay and oddsmakers begging you to take the points with Raptors off a huge win, but Cleveland lying in wait at home with a great offense.  I am not concerned about a rusty Cavs team, they have been practicing hard my sources tell me and are amped up for this opener.   You wont see a line this big again and of you do perhaps the Raptors are a take, but not in this spot.  A  tired team coming in here. 

Play 1 Unit on Cleveland

Boston – 128

KC is free fall and Ventura is for sure in a free fall and giving up hits and runs like a Triple A player right now with over an 8 ERA his last 3 starts and  Porcello for the Red Sox is having a stellar year with only 1 loss and an ERA at 2,61 his last 3 starts against the struggling and inconsistent offense of the Royals. 

Play 1 Unit on Boston 

White Sox -145

SIMPLE - Yanks just beat up a bleeding Royals team with no pitching.  Chris Sale under -150 ANYWHERE is worth a take.  He is 7-0 going up against a pitcher whop has yet to win. Enough said.

Play 1 Unit on the White Sox

#543  San Antonio -1.5 to 2 max  **8:35 EST Tip

I am going to make this short and sweet. Forget stats and ect. You have a veteran team, deep on the bench with a legendary head coach with their back against the wall against a team they KNOW they can beat who they have overlooked and taken too lightly.  Leonard dropped his guard on defense in the 4th quarter last game, the Spurs simply pissed down their leg, and trust me, Coach Pop will have them thinking this is the Super Bowl tonight.  I like veteran experienced teams with their back against the wall laying less than a 3 pointer.  I expect Parker and Alridge to step it up and for Duncan and the rest of the boys to lead them to a win here.

Play 2 Units on San Antonio  

#539 / 540 - OVER 217 Golden St / Portland  **10:30 est tip 

They raised this line 2 points.  9 out of the last 11 in this series have went over, GS back at home and Curry going off.  I expect another shootout, and no defense.  Same OL Same OL.  Not enough line adjustment by oddsmakers. They cannot make this line high enough. 

Play 1 Unit on the Over.

#905 - Philly +104   **7:10 est Start

WOW - Braves favored???  Atlanta flat out stinks and are 1-15 at Turner Field and cannot hit right handed pitchers for crap.  They are 5-15 against right handers so far, just UNREAL.  Chancin takes the hill for the Braves with over a 7 ERA his last 3 starts.  Enough said.

Play 1 Unit on Philly

OVER 214 Blazers / Warriors

8 out of the last 10 have went over and with GS having offensive issues in Game 3, have no illusions, they will come out gunning, and as usual neither plays much defense.  Both in the 100’s with ease tonight. 

Play 1 Unit on the OVER 

Cleveland -5

More of the same.  Atlanta changed up their lineup and still could not win with a double digit lead. Cash money on the Cavs, as I see them closing out the series without a loss.

Play 1 Unit on Cleveland

Golden State -3 to 3.5

No write up here as they get tedious game to game 2 days apart.  Golden St is the better team without Curry.  period.   This is a huge line drop just like Cleveland and I do not think Portland at home is worth 5-6 points in a line move.  GS continues to roll.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State 

#517 - Cavs -2 to 2.5  **&05 est tip

Short and Sweet.  2 double digit wins as a 7 point fav or more, and Atlanta grabs 5 points on the line for playing at home?  No thanks.  LeBron and company are red hot from the floor, and while they will not match their shooting performance from Game 2, they have too much firepower that is in sync for Atlanta to contend with.

Play 1 Unit on Cleveland

Over 188 Miami / Toronto

A little bit of a zig zag thing for yesterday but Toronto's backcourt could not have played worse in game 1 and still made it to OT, however I see both teams opening up here tonight and for Toronto to play vastly better in the backcourt, which is their strength and where they have point production, and Miami will keep gunning as Wade and company try to make their mark again.

Play 1 Unit on the Over 

Over 196.5  Cavs / Hawks 

Neither team shot well, including Atlanta at under 38% in Game 1 and they still exceeded this number.  6 out of the last 8 in this series at Cleveland have went over the total and I expect BOTH teams to play better tonight and Cleveland's bench to continue to support.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER 

#963 - Seattle – 115  *3:35 est  - AFTERNOON GAME 

The line is fishy as hell, but Oakland cannot hit right handers worth a damn (left handers even worse) and King Felix is on the hill.  Anytime I can get Hernandez less than -125 it is always worth the stretch.

Play 1 Unit on Seattle 

CHICAGO CUBS - RUNLINE -1.5 Runs (lowers odds to +100)

Yeah I am lowering the odds on the Runline, because Jake Arrieta is a RUNLINE COVER MACHINE.  Imagine that Arrieta is 5-0, with an overall WHIP at 0.78 and an ERA of 1.00 on the year, and has won 19 out of his last 20 starts.  The AMAZING Stat is that in those 19 wins he has covered the runline in 18 of those wins!  Just total domination.

In his 5 wins this year the Cubbies has scored 6 runs or more in those starts.  So a shutdown pitcher with run support against a team in this last 4 starts against the Cubs have won all 4 games by a combined score of 17-2.  I like the Cubs here with ease

Cubs – Runline -1.5 at +100 

#510 - San Antonio -7.5   *9:35 est tip 

The Spurs flex their muscle this time of year, a veteran head coach, experience galore on the roster, the best defender in the NBA on Durrant.  The Spurs waxed OK City in game 1 by 32 on a floor where they rarely, and I mean rarely lose if hardly ever over the past 2 seasons.  OK City outgunned and have not even won a game in here in 2 years.  Too much firepower, experience and depth, and Coach Pop just flat out can coach circles around Billy Donovan, as evidenced in Game 1.  Spurs cruise again.  Tough to recover from an ass kicking like the Thunder took, it just takes the wind out of your sales.

Play 1 Unit on the Spurs. 

Pacers +5.5

Indian will  not go quietly in the night and while Toronto is at home in front of a sold out crowd, the Raptors have not been able to close out jack crap in the post season forever.  I like the points here in what should be a wire to wire typer game.  Buzzer beater wins it, again I will take the points.

Play 1 Unit on Indiana 

# 506 -Golden State -9    *3:30 est tip

While the Clippers were down with their two best players for most of the series against Portland which afforded the Blazers a series win, the fact Curry is out is not enough to deter me from the Warriors who are the best team in the NBA, at home, with rest, who have way too much offense for Portland to contend with here.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State

Hornets +6.5

This line dropped for a reason.  While Miami's Wade finally went off in the last game in the 4th quarter, this one goes down to the wire and I will gladly grab the points with a capable team.

Play 1 Unit on Charlotte

OK City +6.5

This will be a test for the Spurs in this series.  Leonard is solid on defense no doubt and will be tasked to slow down a red hot Durrant in this series. I do not think he can stop him totally and Westbrook and company can pick up the pace.  OK City averaged 112 ppg on offense in the round 1 series and on offense they are clicking on all cylinders.  They can score enough here to keep pace and cover the number.  These teams split 2-2 this season with the home team winning each time.  Last game was a an OT game win by the Spurs.  

Play 1 Unit on OK City 

#577 / 578 - UNDER 195.5 Clippers/ Blazers   *10:05 est tip 

No Paul – No Griffen, 4-0 ATS with the Clippers here on the Under in the post season and the last 5 in the series have went under and LA lost 50%+ of their scoring power and both teams in their last 5 games have allowed less than 98 PPG, and I doubt either team gets out of the high 80’s or low 90’s tonight as LA HAS to play defense at their highest level tonight even to have a chance at winning the game.

Play 1 Unit on the Under 

#569 - Pacers +7  **6:05 est 

This line is going to drop.  Look - Toronto is not a good playoff team and frankly George coming off a bad game and the Pacers still won.  The tighter the series gets as the conclusion of a 7 games series gets, the tighter the games get.  This is too many points, and the Raptors home court I know is strong, but their back court has been playing like dog crap and thew Pacer swill give them all they want here.

Play 1 Unit on Indiana 

# 561/ 562 - Miami / Charlotte OVER 195.5   ** 7:05 EST Tip

Charlotte got down and dirty and went Big on Miami in game 3 and caught them off guard and Miami could not adjust in time to recover.  The Heat will be ready tonight on offense, and this total is too low and an over adjustment by oddsmakers.  Both teams will come out gunning, especially Miami in this one.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER 

#555 - Golden St -8.5 to 9   *3:35 EST Tip 

Curry back - off a loss - the best team in the playoffs in a foul mood.  I smell a 20 point blowout here.  Plain and simple.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State 

San Antonio -11.5

THIS LINE WILL GO UP.  Posting on Wednesday.  If you have not watched both games in this series, then you should go to NBA TV and look for re-runs because this matchup is a total mis-match.  Memphis is short handed against about the only team who can beat Golden State in a 7 game series.  Memphis cannot score.  At home - who cares?  The Spurs are loaded with talent and experience and depth.  They are the best coached team in the NBA.  The Spurs second team was beating the hell out of Memphis in the second half of their last game.  Every stat that matters favors San Antonio huge in this game and series, and it will be a 4 game series.  No way San Antonio lets off the hammer here, they are on the road and want to close this series out asap because of the age of their veterans.  I personally have 5 dimes on this game, so if it goes down, we go down together.  Honestly this should be a 20 point + win .

Play 3 Units on the Spurs. (3x your normal wager) best of Luck - Tony G 

#537 - Golden State -5 to 5.5   **9:30 EST Tip 

Even without Curry who is questionable, the bottom line is Houston is a mess of a team, do not have chemistry and they are lazy as shit on defense and that plays into the Warriors hands.  Good value on the number with Curry questionable, but GS has plenty of firepower and Houston cannot stop anyone on defense, nor half the time they do not try including James Harden.  Best team in the NBA against a #8 seed laying less than 6 points?  I will take it all day long.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State

NOTE:  Playoff Game of the year is up and goes tomorrow night.  6-1 ATS last 7 years with this play.  

Miami -4.5

32 point win and laying less than 5.  Too many mis-matches here to go into, but experience and scoring power are both on Miami’s side.  A 3 seed should be favored over a 6 seed by 4 or 5 points, and the low post and big man game with Deng was a clear mis match as Miami just flat out manhandled the Hornets.  More of the same, and we are in Miami which is a nice 2 to3 point home court advantage.  Sometimes things are exactly what they are, Miami the vastly better team.

Play 1 unit on Miami. 

Indiana +7.5

Wow- I put the Pacers out for free on Saturday and they won by 10 as a 6 point dog and now are getting more points against a good Toronto team who simply cannot win playoff games.  That said I think the Raptors will avenge here, but gladly take the points with the Pacers and a hot Mr. George on the floor for them.

Play 1 Unit on Indiana

BONUS PLAY:  Golden State -13.  No one wants in front of this train.  

Detroit +10.5 to 11

Interesting that Detroit took 3 out of 4 in this series and just won an OT game against the Cavs as well and yet little respect from oddsmakers.  When you have 2 teams that exceed 100 ppg on offense for the season and give one of them double digits in the playoffs, I am taking the big points.  The public loves to bert LeBron and company, this line is inflated.

Play 1 Unit on Detroit. 

Boston +5.5

Both teams well coached and for all the press about Boston scoring they average a higher number than the Hawks.  Boston is very well coached and are playing with triple revenge here including a setback on the 9th on this very floor by 11 points.  I think this is a 7 games series between 2 well coached teams and the Underdog should have value no matter who it is with a spread higher than 4 points.  I will take Boston

Play 1 Unit 

Warriors +5.5

Yeah the Warriors are 0-33 at San Antonio, and the Spurs are 39-0 at home.  Coach Pop publically stated he could care less about the undefeated home record.  After a defeat by 9 to the Warriors the Spurs rested starters and lost to Denver.  They face a motivated Warriors team scoring 9 ppg more than them on offense and off a comeback win against Memphis last night. With the scoring power of Golden State I am willing to take the 5.5 points.  Do you not think the best team in NBA who is 0-33 in this venue going for a record tying 73 wins this season wants this?  It will not come easy for the mighty Spurs at home, I will grab the points.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State

Celtics +5.5

Short and sweet, this is a huge game for the #3 and #4 spot in the eastern Playoffs and Boston trounced the Bucks last night and scored 124 points.  There is no quit in this Brad Stevens coached team and this game will be a buzzer beater.  Boston has the better offense and are a killer team ATS-wise of zero days resat.  The Celtics are 4-0 ATS their last 4 against Eastern opponents and are dialed in.

Play 1 Unit on Boston 

#505 / 506 - Orlando / Detroit UNDER 208.5    *7 est tip 

The Pistons have played some defense down the stretch run and neither team is an offensive juggernaut.  This is a big game for Detroit as they are trying to keep the Bulls out of the Playoffs and I expect them to play close to the vest against a suddenly hot Orlando team.  Did I mention Detroit is worst in the NBA at free throws?  Orlando plays some good defense at home and Detroit trending Under on the road as of late.  The line has dropped from opening at 209 - get on it early.

Play 1 Unit on the Under 

#602 - North Carolina -2.5   *9:15 EST TIP 
If you listen to my radio show on Yahoo Sports or Sirius in the football season, you know I have the inside track in Vegas with knowing where the biggest sharp pro bettors are going, and they are on North Carolina.  In fact my source told me to expect a double digit win.  Both teams dominated their opponents in the Final 4 semi's, however Nova's beatdown of Oklahoma was shocking by 44 points, and the line is set to reflect that however and give the public points with a hot team and begging them to take it.  Carolina is the better team, period.  I do not expect a 70%+ shooting performance from Nova, and off a perfect game like that a false sense of security may be present, but I assure you I have Carolina winning it all in my bracket this year, and I thought play they had the best shot in the tourney outside of Michigan State who blew it in round 1, from the beginning of this tourney.  I have them winning this game with their guard play and depth and coaching by 6-8 points.  My power rating spread, despite Saturday's result is still 5.5 points and that is a 3 point overlay.  NC has five straight double digit wins, and while bucking the public here and fading a good Nova team who will not go down easy, Carolina puts it away late. The Tarheels are averaging 88 ppg their last 5 games against very good teams and remember Carolina is 25-1 SU when they exceed 80 points in a game.  
Play 1 Unit on North Carolina
NOTE:  I want to thank you for all your CBB biz this year.  A 62% regular season did not pay the usual dividends in March Madness this season and my Madness package was subpar and we apologize for that, it was a rough tourney to call ATS-wise with allot of parity both in NCAA as well as the NIT and CBI, and even straight up with lots of 1 or 2 point bad beats and ect.  It happens, no excuses, but we hope to cap off the season with a win tonight.  Again, Thanks for all the biz.  Tony G 

#811 - Nova -2    *6:05 est tip off 
As a Big 12 fan, this pains me because OU is last Big 12 standing, but I have to go with Villanova here, they hit the boards hard, play better defense and while Buddy Hield for Oklahoma is the best player on the floor, OU will have issues with the 4 guard lineup of Nova and their defense which is pretty wicked in shutting down the other 3 shooters that OU has.  Buddy will get his points but he has also not stepped up in big games throughout the season and I feel the pressure will be too great for him to carry this team alone.  Nova fundamentally sound, extremely well coached and have plenty of firepower, hits the boards aggressively and have the intangibles to win this game.    Yes OU beat Nova in Hawaii this season but Nova shot 13% from 3 point range in that game and OU 54%, and that wont happen again. I have flip flopped on this game all week but talking with my sources in las vegas all the sharp money has been hitting on Nova for the reasons above.
Play 1 Unit on Villanova
BONUS PLAY - HALF UNIT - Syracuse +9.5.   Tough call in this game but with 4 teams left standing and Syracuse beating Virginia by 7 after being down 14 at halftime against the Cavs defense, there is little respect for them on this line.  No one is here by accident no matter what you think of Syracuse, and they have a killer matchup zone defense and should be able to play a half court game with NC and slow it down and keep the score lower, and that brings big points into play.  

Miami Heat -8

Catching the Heat off a loss to LA Lakers as a 10 point favorite after LA got beat by 48 at Utah.  Miami overlooked and did not prepare for LA and now they have Sacramento as a sacrificial lamb who is playing without Cousins tonight as he is suspended for this game.  Plain and simple, Miami will come out with their ears pinned back and the Kings without Cousins are a totally different animal.  I expect Wade and the boys to have a big night and hammer home a double digit win with ease.

Play 1 Unit on Miami 

Nevada -3.5 to 4

This is a home game for the Wolfpack who beat up MSU by 9 points in the 2nd game of the Best 3 series championship.  MSU has played 4 road games out of their last 6 games and far away from home in Reno with distractions, and quite frankly dealing with some altitude fatigue as well, I like Nevada at home to get it done BIOG tonight. Nevada 15-3 SU at home and are 10-1 ATS their last 11 home games, this is a strong home floor and Nevada has better talent that this Ohio Valley team. Too much offense for Morehead St to trade punches with.

Play 1 Unit on Nevada

#714 - Valpo -2   * 7 EST Tip 

The rebounding ability of Valpo the story here, a 30 win hoops team winning by an average of 10 ppg.  I must say GW beating up San Diego State was a shock to me and allowing less than 50 points for the Aztecs was also a shocker.  Unfortunately for GW I doubt seriously that Valpo shoots 28% from the floor and 13% from 3 point range tonight as SDSU did in the semi’s and handed them the game on a silver platter, they simply played a team who sucked last game and looked good in the process.  Bryce Drew is a great head coach for Valpo (former player – his daddy a legendary coach) who is 13-5 overall SU away from their home floor this year.   

Valpo ranks 5th in the nation with offensive rebounds and 18th in the nation with defensive rebounds, and rebounding a HUGE factor in any game, especially in the post season as we all have seen throughout March Madness.  The Colonials of GW are no slouch and have a good team, and this will be a tight game, but willing to back Valpo who played a very tough BYU to the wire and are a battler tested, well coached team who rebounds well and spreads around the scoring, have a deeper bench and I feel a better defense.

Play 1 Unit on Valpo

SDSU -3

Really like this Aztec team.  I had them a time or two for free and premium plays in this tourney so far.  Big rebounding team, they beat Washington and Georgia Tech, a couple of Big 5 conference teams in convincing fashion and have won their 3 NIT games by a combined 55 points.  They can put up some points.  They are athletic at the big man position and although GW can put up some points, I do not see them matching up on the boards and if you have been watching any post season play, the team that rebounds better, wins the game and does cover some spreads as well.  I think Georgia Techs coach said it best, and that was that SDSU is playing in the wrong tourney!  That means something coming from a coach in the ACC.  They shut Washington’s high flying offense down and will do the same here.  Bigger guys, vastly better defense and well coached.

Play 1 Unit on San Diego State 

Bulls +8

Yes Chicago is in a downward spiral but getting 8 points with a team who is talented but lacking consistency, against a team they can match up well with, in a desperate fight for the playoffs provides motivation enough to cover this number.  Chicago is better at rebounding and have the motivation to play balls out here tonight.  Indiana has dropped 3 out of their last 6 games, this number is too high.

Play 1 Unit on Chicago

North Carolina -10

I cannot recall all of my Elite picks over the 24 years of capping, but I am doubtful I ever laid double digits in an elite 8 game, but it is warranted here.  NC beat the Irish by 31 in the ACC tourney.  They lost to them in their last meeting at ND in February, but that's a good thing because Roy Williams will remind them of that and dial his team in for this one.  NC is the hottest team in the tourney, winning their 3 tourney games by a combined 50 points, and they just destroyed regular season Big 10 Champs Indiana by 25 who I think is better than this ND team.  All in all ND will not hang tough the whole game and remember the Irish had 19 points at halftime against Wisconsin.  Roy Williams will let the dogs out tonight and bury ND.  NC is the best team in this tourney bar none.

Play 1 Unit on North Carolina  

#522 - Kansas -2     *8:45 tip 

Going to take the superior team here with depth.  Kansas cruised to a win over Maryland and played some good defense along the way.  The KEY to late season winning in the tourney is rebounds and KU hits the glass with authority and can mix and match players to create mis-matches.  Nova no slouch, they have been hot from the floor their last 5 ballgames no doubt and they buried Miami on Thursday, but Miami is an also ran and KU is the top tourney seed, the Big 12 regular season and Tourney champs and have a pedigree at head coach that has been in this spot before.  Look for Graham to have a better outing than his last game, and for KU to win 5-7 points here in a tight game.  Depth, rebounding, head coach and a couple of good guards who defend well.

Play 1 Unit on Kansas 

#512 - Minnesota +6.5 to 7   *8:05 est tip 

Love the T Wolves at home tonight, despite playing a road OT game last night in a win at Washington.  The T Wolves oldest starter is 26 yrs old so I am not overly worried about them being tired.  We have a scenario here where Utah is playing their 4th game in 6 days and a tough scheduling spot to lay 6.5 points against a team in their last 5 games has averaged 22 ppg on offense as compared to Utah in the same timeframe.  Utah may win but it will not come easy.  Utah battling for the 8th playoff spot and all the pressure is on them here. 

Play 1 Unit on Minnesota 

#875 - Gonzaga –4   *9:40 est tip Friday 

The Zags are built to bust up zone defenses, and have the post play to back it up, kick it back out and get uncontested shots in this game.  This is the worst matchup for Syracuse they could possibly imagine.  Gonzaga is on a roll and while Syracuse has a hall of fame coach, the Zags have a good coach of their own.  The Zags have stat edges in PPG, FG%, Free Throw %, Rebounding, Turnovers and Bench scoring.  Enough said.

Play 1.5 Units on Gonzaga

Oregon -3

This is when Duke gets crushed.  Oregon has a bench that could be a 12 seed in this tourney.  Duke has no depth – period and got by against a couple of weak teams and almost blew it against Yale of people.  The Ducks are just too deep, and those rebound numbers will balloon in favor of the Ducks. This line is public perception, second chance shot and depth, plus little travel for the Ducks here.  Oregon by 10. 

Play 2 Units on Oregon

#778 - San Diego St -4.5 to -5  *9 est tip 

I went against the Aztecs against a very good, high scoring Washington team and got scorched.  GT makes the trip way west here and SDSU is a formidable foe at home.  SDSU’s defense will give GT fits in this one, and quite frankly SDSU is playing better than any team in this tourney and right now they are my odds on favorite to win this tourney.   The Aztecs defense can hold GT superstar Hunt in check, and when that occurs, GT is average at best.  Home court here worth 2 to 3 points, willing to ;lay it with a hot team.

Play 1 Unit on San Diego State