#334 - Wisconsin -2.5 to 3  *8 EST

Why Wisconsin?  A Tough defense gives Penn State fits.  Look no further than the Michigan game earlier this year, and even though Penn State has some injury issues on defense, they did not on offense in that game.  Wisconsin has that type of defense, a shutdown defense when they bring their “A” game and they will bring it big time against Penn State.  Penn State is not creative on offense and run a straight forward attack, typical Big 10 style offense, and Wisconsin will shut them down.  Wisconsin unsure at QB with Hornibrook because of a concussion and Penn St RB Barkley nursing an ankle injury and not 100%, in big games you take the defense and at a short number under 3 at the time of release, I will side with defense winning a championship. 

Play 1 Unit on Wisconsin

#330 - Wyoming +7 to 7.5   *7:45 EST 

Every sharp in Vegas on the Cowboys for good reason.  They already beat SDSU in here once and I think they do it again, as the Cowboys are undefeated at home this year and this is SDSU’s second trip here in 2 weeks, and those So Cal boys are not fond of cold weather either.  With Wyoming already winning the Mountain West division they are in before a no show in a bad loss at New Mexico, rest assured they will be dialed in for this one.  Head Coach Bohl is not a stranger to big games as he put North Dakota St on the Map and was a DC at Nebraska.    Both teams lost ugly last week, this game lost all interest to many and the line is too high.  Wyoming QB Allen the best QB in the game, and remember Boise St and Air Force as well as SDSU all went down here.  

Play 1 Unit on Wyoming 

#317 - Oklahoma State +11 to 12   *12:30 EST

Bedlam here and anything goes in this one.  The number is high because they play in Norman this time around, but this is for all the marbles in the Big 12 and I expect Okie State to give OU all they want in what should be one of the better games of the day. OU has had issues with the type of attack OSU runs and I expect the Cowboys to put up plenty of points here and stay within the number.  Sharps hit this hard and heavy in Vegas all week driving it down from 13 but getting double digits here is worth a play.

Play 1 Unit on Oklahoma State

#326 - Navy -3   12 Noon EST

Temple is no joke and I respect their spread record, but Navy is rolling and this should be a high scoring game as Navy will allow yards and points with respected Temple ground attack, but the all-around better team is the Middies who have a stud QB who just rolled SMU last week racking up more than 70 points and QB Worth for Navy the real deal, throwing for over a 100 yards and running for over a 100 yards in each of his last 3 games.  Temple could not stop triple option of Army earlier this year and allowed over 300 yards rushing, expect Navy who is better than Army to exceed that and throw in some big play pass plays and win by a TD + in this one. Navy can have lots of ball control here and clock eating with the 2nd ranked rush offense in the NCAA.  Middies 24-2 at home SU…unreal!  

Play 1 Unit on Navy

Dallas -3

Hate taking road teams on Thursday Night but the Vikings offense is woeful and their vaunted defense is suspect against good run teams.  Dallas’s success on offense is well documented, however while the Zek and Dak show grabs all the headlines, it is the offensive line and their ability to dominate the trenches that is key, and they flat out wear defenses down, especially late.  Having 3 huge threats at WR with Beasley, Bryant and Whitten makes them the best offense in football because most team cannot cover in man coverage to stop the run.  I do not see a shootout here but a rough and tuff tumble type game, and with the news that head coach Zimmer is out, who basically runs the defense and is a fiery head coach, and a good one, not sure of the chain of command in this game is going to be good for Minny.  Dallas has 10 days off before their next game so not worried about the Giants on deck after Washington last Sunday.  Short number here for a team on the rise and a consistent one who has lost just 1 spread all year, versus a very inconsistent team who really has struggled trading punches on the scoreboard against good teams. 

Play 1 Unit on Dallas

#549 - South Alabama -4 to 4.5  *8 EST

Sharps in Vegas pounded So. Alabama from 4 to 4.5 already in some spots. It opened at 5.5 and dropped like a rock and now the line is creeping back up.   South Alabama is playing with 6 time revenge, and have no beat Southern Miss since 2008 believe it or not.  So. Miss cannot shoot from the outside, 18% from 3 point range, just UNREAL.  Ken Williams from So. Alabama is a great player.  

Play 1 Unit on South Alabama 

Syracuse +6.5

I am Short on write-ups this season guys, time is crucial,  rest assured all my CBB is well handicapped and power rated, plus I post after noon CST as I also contact my 2 inside sources in Vegas who know where the sharp players are betting, and trust me these are INSIDE sources behind the counter.  That said I like Cuse and their front-court here and off an ugly game getting added value, and Wisconsin is hit and miss nightly from the floor.  Too many points here.

Play 1 Unit on Syracuse

BONUS PLAY:  Play 1/2 Unit on Pacific tonight +8.5, Nevada's best player is out.  Sharp move in Vegas. 

#523 - Butler -2.5 to 3  *9 EST 

Utah has played no one to date, their strength of schedule and RPI rating is a joke and Butler is battle tested, and just off beating Arizona in a Tourney and Butler is 6-0 and playing a team who is 4-10 ATS their last 14 games as a dog.  Huge step up in class of Utah, I will take Butler with a strong front court 1-2 punch here.  Not sold on Utah's 59 ppg on defense, again they played no one really to date at all.

Play 1 Unit on Butler  

Over 47 to 47.5 Green Bay / Philly

Green Bay's defense is a train wreck.  They have given up 153 points in their last 4 games (38 ppg) and they allow 32 ppg on the road this year.  While the packer offense is in bad shape, be careful to discount Aaron Rodgers talent, and while GB cannot run it, they will be chucking it down the field all night to keep pace.  Philly's defense at home is unreal, but Rodgers and company in desperation mode and will throw the kitchen sink at them tonight, I expect both teams in the high 20's perhaps one team in the 30's.

Play 1 Unit on the Over. 

#258 - Ravens -4

Cincy in free fall, and frankly their offense is horrific lately and now AJ Green and RB Bernard out for the season, Dalton has lost all his weapons and against this DL it will be a long day for fading Cincy.  Cincy's defense is wearing thin, gave up 400+ yards in 3 out of their last 6 games, and with no offense to extend drives, the Ravens and Flacco will wear them down late and pull away.

Play 1 Unit on Baltimore

#261 - San Fran +7.5

Miami is off back to back road games where they stayed on the West Coast and yes they are hot, but have you seen the injury report?  2 OL players out, 2 DL players out and a more than a few others banged up.  San Fran has played better the past few weeks, Kaepernick is actually playing well, RB Hyde is back in form and with a beat up Miami team who is not known in any way as a solid home team bet in the NFL, I will grab the points here.

Play 1 Unit on San Fran

#259 /260 - Over 50.5 Atlanta / Arizona

Forget the vaunted Zona defense, they do not exsist anymore and while Zona is on hard times, they will flourish against this defense and have been scoring 20 or more in 5 out of their last 6 games and Atlanta will have their points as usual with big plays on offense.  Atlanta 8-2 ATS on Overs this season.  Another shootout in the dome for Dirty Birds and their defense will allow RB Johnson to run it which sets up play action for Palmer.

Play 1 Unit on the Over

BONUS 2 Team 6 Point Teaser (points Added) - Play 1 Unit -  Tease NY Jets up to +13.5 and tease the NY Giants down to -1.  

#159 - Michigan St +12.5  *3:30 EST

Nothing comes easy and pressure is mounting for Penn State and despite the MSU's bad record this is a decent team that will give you fits.  Battled Michigan and Ohio State with respectability, and I think this one will not come easy for Penn State with a ton on the line here.  PSU may win, but I will grab the points with Sparty here as this IS their bowl game.  Penn State is beat up on the OL and that is a concern here.  

Play 1 Unit on Michigan State

#197 - Navy -7  *3:30 EST

SMU looking for a bowl bid with a win, but Navy offense too powerful and will score at will in this one.  Navy is in AAC title game but I do not see a let down here, SMU off a good effort last week but just do not have the defense to stop the Middies who are red hot, well coached, 16-6 ,ATS their last 22 games.  Navy had over 400 yards rushing against SMU last year!

Play 1 Unit on Navy 

#216 - Ohio State -6.5  *Noon EST 

OK - Much adieu about nothing here in terms of Michigan's over hyped status.  They struggled against Indiana last week for damn near the whole game, lost to a bad Iowa team and had a weak schedule which included almost losing to Wisconsin in the big house.  Urban Meyer loves the big games, coaches well in big games, Michigan with QB issues, and OSU at home here.  I say a 2 TD Win.  OSU pulls away late. 

Ohio State - 1 Unit

#141 - Arizona State - 2.5 to 3  *9:30 EST

Arizona is banged up all over the place, Rich Rod has a team with no defense, and Az State is clearly the better team at numerous positions.  When you get beat by Oregon State 42-17 it is time to re-evaluate, and Rich Rod has so many injuries he is peace milling a team together and the Wildcats were not that good to begin with.  ASU not much better with injuries but have the firepower still on offense to pull away against a team who has scored 17 or fewer in 4 out of their last 5 games.  Unreal.  Arizona 1-10 ATS their last 11!

Play 2 Units on Arizona State - Top Play 

Toledo +9.5

Nothing comes easy this time of year.  Western Michigan undefeated but my power rating is 6 between these two.  If you have not watched the MAC the past few weeks, all games were tight, Ohio U barely beat Akron at home when Akron had a WR start at QB.  It is that time of year where the noose is tight for teams with expectations.  Toledo no joke, and their QB Woodside is a huge stud that can kill you, 40 TD passes against 87 picks and over 3600+ yards with a 70% completion rate.  This will not come easy.  Gladly take the points with a Toledo team with weapons all over the place on offense including an 1100 yard rusher to balance attack and keep WMU defense on their heels, this has backdoor cover all over it.

Play 1 Unit on Toledo

Nebraska +1.5

Iowa is living off 1 win.  North Dakota St beat them in here, Michigan is overrated and Nebraska wants payback from a home loss last year.  Huskers have more offense, more playmakers, and are headed to a bowl game, and Tommy Armstrong, practiced Tuesday and Wednesday, my inside source tells me and clearly even at 90% the best QB on the field.  Huskers are a solid team, and Iowa is a fade at home, just 2-7 ATS their last 9 as Iowa City is not what it used to be.  This is quietly a hated rivalry dating back to Hayden Fry days, neither team likes each other.

Play 1 Unit on Nebraska

Steelers -7.5

Not sold on Colts beating up Tennessee, Luck has never lost to them.  Pitt is on a short week, with travel off a road game, but overall the talent on the roster for the Steelers is flat out better than Indy’s  and Pitt’s offense should shred the Colts defense. No Luck at QB, the line was 3 to open up and Luck worth a TD on the spread, that would mean 10 - now to 7.5, Steelers despite not being as good as past editions should get all over Indy.

Play 1 Unit on the Steelers. 

Dallas / Washington OVER 50

Two offensive minded teams, and coaches.  Both QB Prescott and QB Cousins are playing well, both teams can run to set up play action and both teams defense is average at best.  Both offenses capable of big plays at any time. This should be a good game, not willing to lay it with Dallas although they have covered every game this season. 

Play 1 Unit on the Over

Detroit -2.5

Take away the 14 points scored by the defense and the special teams and Minny managed 16 points against Arizona in a knockdown, drag out game and now on a short week travel to Detroit.  Advantage Detroit with home field, home cookin, a better QB and better offense, and a way of coming from behind and finding ways to win games.  Cannot bank on Minny beating a bad Zona team as a team who is on the rise after going 0-4 before that game.  Detroit gets it done.

Play 1 Unit on Detroit

OK City -3

No Russell for LA tonight with a bum knee.  I like Westbrook and company to come in here and outscore the Lakers, who have given up 113 ppg their last 5 games, and while they have been scoring a big piece of that is out tonight.

Play 1 Unit on OK City 

Oakland -6

I thought long and hard on this one, and did the match.  If you didn't notice Better QB's are winning games this time of the season and Brock Oswiller had 99 yards throwing the ball last week against Jax.  He has been a huge bust.  Derrick Carr has the weapons on offense, is the better QB and the Crabtree - Cooper Connection with a healthy Murray at RB for Oakland is a lethal combination and I do not see Houston being able to stop it or trade punches.  Houston good at running the ball and I expect the raiders to focus on stopping the run big time and force Houston's QB to make plays, and he has failed all year in big spots and that is the difference.  Houston NOT a good road team and Oakland thrives on the road, 5-0 ATS and SU.  Raiders 30+ points last 3 games and well rested and prepared off bye week.

Play 1 Unit on Oakland 

Washington -3

A real sharp side in Vegas all week, and simply put, short and Sweet - Washington has the better running game - the Better defense and they are at home and they are avenging a Playoff loss to the Packers at home last season, and the Skins have has this one circled since last season. Green Bay is exactly what you think they are, and average team at best, fading fast and a very bad defense and an offense that does not click for some reason with little or running game, so teams are teeing off on QB Rodgers.

Play 1 Unit on Washington  

#472 -Seattle -6.5

Carson Wentz and company a giant killer at home but 0-4 ATS and SU on the road.  Bad news rolling into home of the 12th man.  Seattle has had a grueling schedule as of late and that is a slight concern, but the OL is playing tons better for them, QB Wilson out dueled Tom Brady and is more mobile than he was in the first 5 weeks of the season and the vertical game by Seattle is getting better as well.  15-5 ATS at home for the Hawks as well, on the strongest home field int he NFL.  Going against the rookie who has been shaky the past 4 weeks despite a 11 point win versus Atlanta whose defense is suspect, the Seahawks defense at home is not suspect.

Play 1 Unit on Seattle

#460 - Minnesota -2 to 3

Sharp side in Vegas, tons of Pro Bettors on Vikes here according to my source, and why not.  Arizona has been bad all year, struggled to beat the lowly Niners last week, and as you may recall they also stunk it up all preseason.  They are what they are, a below average team.  Vikes offense no juggernaut but their defense at home should give the Cards more than they can handle and shut down RB Johnson as well.  Since September 25th the Cards have beaten San Fran twice and the Jets, their only wins, they tied Seattle.  Not impressed. 

Play 1 Unit on Minny

BONUS TEASERS - Side Play Teaser - (points added) -  Tease Pittsburgh down to -3 and tease Buffalo up to +9.  TOTALS TEASER (points added) - Tease the Colts / Titans Total DOWN to 46.5 and take the OVER and tease the Jags / Lions Total down to 41.5 and take the OVER

#451 - Tennessee +2.5 to 3

Outright dog winner in my opinion.  Titans getting it done BIG last week against fading Packers and Colts simply have no defense to shut down RB Murray.  Andrew Luck has never lost to Tennessee at 10-0 and don't think the Titans do know it.  Tennessee wants the top spot in this division and they have the better team, and while this should be a shootout, I like Tennessee and an improved QB Mariota with a balanced attack and a better defense to prevail.

Play 1 Unit on the Titans

#354 - Colorado St -4.5  *10:15 EST

Love CSU here against Bob Davies New Mexico Lobo’s – Senior Day, winners 7 out of their last 8 games on the ATS scale and I like them here against a PERCEIVED good Lobo team who won 5 straight but all against bad teams, weak sisters, whatever you want to call them.  This is senior day, and this win is for a bowl Bowl Game and Mike Bobo is a good coach and has the Rams rolling, and a hugely balanced attack on offense here, I do not see NM keeping up.

Play 1 Unit on Colorado State

San Diego State -10

Ok I had a top play on Wyoming last week, and they lost in 3 OT’s against deplorable and I mean deplorable UNLV, and surrendered 69 points, over 50+ in regulation.  Really?  Wyoming stud RB Hill in big trouble against Rocky Longs defense here ranked 2nd nationally at 2.9 yards per carry and Cowboy QB Allen cannot play vertical against the SDSU “D” either.  SDSU is a cover machine going 15-2 ATS their last 17 regular season games.  Did you know SDSU has the leading RB in the country at over 1700 yards rushing this season?  Didn’t think so…SDSU is a whitewash even on the road, this is a good team! 

Play 1 Unit on San Diego State

Utah –14

A Blowout – Oregon is bad, they have given it and Utah blasted these guys last year and Utah controls their density in the PAC 12 to get to a title game and they will be all over the Ducks who have NO defense and Stanford rolled them last week for almost 300 yards rushing, so what do you think Utah's RB Williams is going to do?  Roll then again.  OU’s frosh QB Herbert in for a long day on the road here with Utah's DL harassing him.  This will get ugly for Oregon and remember Utah beat them last year 62-20 in Eugene.

Play 2 Units on Utah – TOP PLAY – Double normal Wager. 

Georgia Tech -11

Virginia is bad, they benched a bad QB for another bad QB last week.  Tech rolled Virginia Tech last week in a shocker where I actually laid 14 against them and I learned my lesson.  If Bud Fosters defense could not stop them, then how does Virginia, and how does Virginia who has 2 wins all year trade punches on the scoreboard on the road?  They don’t.

Play 1 Unit on GT

#515 - Raptors -3 to 3.5   *9:05 EST

Short and Sweet, while neither play defense Toronto heads and shoulders above the Nuggets whose only win in the last week and half was against lowly Phoenix.  Raptors dropped 2 against Cavs and Warriors in back to backs, they get back on track here.  Nuggests getting pounded by good teams.

Play 1 Unit on Toronto

Carolina  -3

Three things are actually.  Panthers need to salvage some pride at home where they have been dominant and off a rare home loss to KC last time here, I expect the Panthers to pull out all the stops.  Short week plus travel on Thursday is doom for road teams, the better defense is at home as well, and Saints not the same animal away from the dome.  The Saints also off a devastating loss, and frankly the Saints are turnover prone and against an attacking defense, I expect a few turnovers to go the Panthers  way and Saints defense flat out bad.

Play 1 Unit on Carolina

#513 - Golden State -5.5 to  -6  *8:05 EST 

This line is going up bet it ASAP.  The Raptors blew their brains out last night trying to beat the Cavs and GS rolls in here on a 2 days rest after winning their last 4 games by  10, 21, 24 and 13.  The Warriors have caught their stride and against a tired defense allowing 107 their last 5 games I like them to blowout the Raptors tonight.  And when I mean tired Toronto is playing their 4th game in 6 days.

Play 1 Unit on Golden State   

#303- Ohio U (pk)   7 EST 

Frank Solich is playing for a Division Championship tonight – enough said.  Since Cen. Michigan’s miracle and illegal win against Okie State they have fallen from grace, and in the last 4 games CMU’s vaunted QB Rush has thrown for more interceptions than TD’s and Ohio U has the best defense in terms of scoring allowed in the MAC, QB Maxwell is stud, and Ohio U is playing with double revenge and have went 6-0 ATS their last 6 road games.

Play 1 Unit on Ohio U

NY Giants +1 to Pick

Two things here.  Cincy in prime time is always a fade. QB Dalton and HC Lewis in prime time has always been a fade.  Cincy has lost their mojo, even off a bye not bucking the 3 game win streak of the Giants at home here and while Cincy has AJ Green, Manning has Odell Beckham and even with Cruze out for this one, Cincy cannot run it and I think Manning passes all over Cincy in this one.  Giants have better run defense which makes Bengals one dimensional and NY has one of the better 3rd down defenses in the NFL.

Play 1 Unit on the NY Giants   

Patriots -7.5

Yeah a public side but consider that Brady and company have been on a bye week and bring back 3 starters from injury list and the Seahawks on a short week off a brutal MNF game travel across 3 time zones to play this one.  Seattle’s defense has been on the field a ton in terms of minutes and by mid second half will be exhausted in this one.  Seahawks have no running game and Wilson be we running for his life.  New England with ease by Double Digits.  I have New England as the top team in the NFL in my power ratings and 8 points better here, not counting the situation and home field.  Brady lives for games like this!

Play 1 Unit on New England

Under 40 Jets / Rams

No offense for either team, QB Fitzpatrick is playing with a strained MCL and is totally immobile against the Ram defense, and the Rams cannot score a ton against a decent Jets defense.  First one to 17 wins this game.

Play 1 Unit on the Under

New Orleans -3

OK – A second string QB for Denver basically, no CJ Anderson yet, both starting CB’s are out, DE Wolfe now out too.  Saints are playing GREAT BALL and racked up 571 yards last week and Denver cannot trade punches on the scoreboard here despite the Saints defense being less than stellar.  The Bronco’s gave up 30 first downs in Oakland last week, back to back roadies and Brees and company are averaging 33 ppg at home and have handed Seattle a loss in here.  Matt Ryan, Philip Rivers and Derrick Carr torched them already this year, expect Brees to torch them as well.  Saints 4-1 SU last 5 and have covered 10 out of their last 13 games dating back to last year.

Play 1 Unit on New Orleans

2 Unit Two Team 6 Point Teaser – Points Added – tease New England down to -1.5 and tease Philly up to +7.5

#201 - Minnesota +7   *7:30 EST

Nebraska overrated and look to be without Tommy Armstrong and their backup QB is horrific.  That said even if Armstrong Plays which as I capped this I figured he will, the 7-2 Gophers are no joke and will run it right at nebraska who is off the worst loss in the past 7 years, a 62-3 beatdown at Ohio State and the Huskers were exposed.  Also Huskers off back to back road losses and deflated.  Minny a good team, dual threat QB and well coached.  Gophers cash money on the road and this is for the Big 10 West title race and MInny 11-2-1 ATS in the Big 10 on the road their last 14 games!  3 Points one way or the other, this will not come easy for Nebraska.  If QB Armstrong for NU does not, I would bump this up an added unit, so check status on gameday, but the line will drop with that news as well.

Play 1 Unit on Minnesota

#151 - Wyoming -7.5  *3:30 EST 

Head Coach Craig Bohl took North Dakota St to new heights and his plan is working out well in Wyoming now off a huge win last week over Utah St after beating mighty Boise St the week before and no let down here as he is trying to win the MWC Championship with 5 straight covers I might ass.  I watched this team play Nebraska this year, 24017 at the beginning of the fourth quarter in Lincoln before they turned it over 4 straight times.  QB Allen is solid and UNLV has QB issues all the place and word is undecided headed into this one at that position and UNLV just got beat by 2 win San Jose last week.  Rebels 0-6 ATS against a team with a winning record.  Wyoming stays on point here and are well coached and avenging a home loss to UNLV last year! .

Play 2 Units on Wyoming

#205 -Vanderbilt +3.5  *3:30 EST

You cannot back Mizzou here as they have lost 11 straight in the SEC and in their last 2 home games have lost to Middle Tennessee St (by 6 and they were favored) and Kentucky (by 14 pts and they were favored again!) in Columbia!  Mizzou defense is horrific and injury riddled and Drew Lock, the Mizzou QB struggles against good defense's and Vandy allowing just 18 ppg their last 5, and gave high flying Auburn all they wanted last week, and Auburn is a team that could wax Mizzou by 21+.  I will take the dog here.  Mizzou a shadow of its former self under Barry Odom as head coach.    Mizzou ranked 112th against the run on defense and RB Webb for Vandy should have a big day.

Play 1 Unit on Vandy  

#143/144 - UNDER 89.5 Texas Tech / Oklahoma State  *3:30 EST 

Yeah I know Techs QB is throwing for around 700 yards a game and both schools have a high octane attack.  One issue here and there or 1 long drive that takes 5-7 minutes and this total is blown.  Gundy will want to run the ball as much as possible to keep tech off the field. RB Hill for OSU has had over a 100 yards rushing in each of the last 3 games and I expect them to run him 25+ times this Saturday and eat some clock.   This is 15 touchdowns to meet the mark, oddsmakers have this line too high.

Play 1 Unit on the UNDER

#142 - Virginia Tech -13.5 to 14  *3:30 EST

One thing about VT and their defensive coordinator Bud Foster, is they know how to stop the triple option attack.  GT is one dimensional on offense, we all know that,  and cannot play from behind and VT is rolling since their loss at Syracuse.  While the Yellow Jackets rush for over 330 yards per game, VT over the last 4 years has held them to 183 total in a 4 game average.VT QB Evans getting better each week and has a 21TD tpo 2 interception ratio.  VT at home is a 4 point advantage here as well.  Blowout in my opinion.

Play 1 Unit on Virginia Tech

North Carolina -11

I waited on this one and lost a point of value when it was at -10, but North Carolina has one of the better QB's in all of CFB in Trubisky with 19 TD passes and only 2 picks and North Carolina is rolling right now and this is a rivalry game in terms of a hoops program, but not really in football even though they are crosstown foes.  Duke CANNOT defend the pass and give up big plays consistently.

Play 1 Unit on North Carolina

#506 -  Memphis -2.5 to 3   *9 EST 

No doubt this line will go up.  Love the Griz at home who have dumped 2 straight games and have 3 days off after this game, and Denver off a 16-point win against a good Boston team now are an underdog?  It is the Nuggets 5th straight road game and 4th game in 56 days and I love to fade a team on a long road trip towards the end, and they are playing a team motivated to go into a small break with a win, and a team who has covered 7 out of their last 10 at home.  Bear in mind that big win over Boston that Denver had, 2 Boston starters were out.

Play 1 Unit on Memphis 

Under 43 Seattle / Buffalo

The Strength of both teams in their defense.  Seattle has a bad OL and a beat up QB not prone to taking off and running it as in years past.  RB McCoy for Buffalo is hampered with a hamstring issue and not 100% and Seattle’s defense at home should shut down QB Taylor and company.  Low scoring one here.

Play 1 Unit on the Under

Same Game 6 Point Teaser – Tease the Total UP to 49 and take the UNDER and Tease the Bills to +13 for a half unit 

Denver +1.5

Yeah yeah, Oakland is a good story this year, I had them on the futures bet on over 8 wins and I did that because of their schedule this year early on.  Oakland has racked up tons of points with Carr, Cooper and Crabtree, but the 2 good teams they played with good defense waxed them.  KC beat them in here and allowed just 1`0 points, and Denevers defense light years beytter than any defense they have seen all year.  Look for Denver to win by a TD or more here Sunday Night.

Play 2 Units on Denver.

Two team 6 Point Teaser (points added) - Points Added - Tease Dallas down to -1 and Tease the Tennessee Titans up to +10.5 - Play 1 Unit

Over 48.5 Dallas / Cleveland

Remember the Brownies has 20 at halftime last week in here against a good Jets defense.  Cody Kessler gets the start as Jackson is going to open up the offense downfield as they have had all year.  Add that into the fact Dallas should move the chains and score at will here against a defense that is a funnel to the end zone against the OL of Dallas and RB Elliot should have 130+ on the ground.  

Play 2 Units on the Over

NOTE:  Adding the Steelers Pick here, Line at -2.5 - The admin area of the site does not have the line up since it is still not at a few books and I am traveling till late Saturday and want this card up.  

Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 to -3 

Square as Hell, yes, but who cares, I took the square side on New England last week in a no sweat winner.  Pitt off a bye week, Big Ben is back, Pitt loaded with weapons on offense all over the place and the Ravens simply are pedestrian at best, little or no running game and QB Flacco will be ont he run all day.  Look for the Steelers to win in convincing fashion here.  Cheap line for the vastly better team who is healed up and rested.

Play 1 Unit on Pittsburgh

#415 - Nebraska +17 (or higher)   *8 EST

Look Nebraska gave Wisconsin all they wanted last week, as much as Ohio State or Michigan did when the y played the Badgers, and came out short in OT, and they catch 17+ against a struggling Ohio State team who let Penn State beat them and Northwestern almost beat them at the Shoe last week??  Really, OK.  Huskers ground attack with Newby (who is OK), plus mobile Tommy Armstrong at QB will give a banged up OSU defense fits all day, who allow over 5 yards per carry.  Too many points, Huskers make a serious game of this one, as they have no pressure like they did last week.  WR Westerkamp for NU is playing by the way, as my sportswriter source in Lincoln tells me.

Play 1 Unit on Nebraska

#411 - Alabama – 7 to 7.5  * 8 EST

LSU wins by running the ball.  Bama beats the hell out of people because they stop the run, force you to pass and then blitz the hell out of you and then wear you down and turn on the jets on offense. Last year they held the second coming of the lord himself in Baton Rouge, RB Fournette, to 31 yards.  WOW,   and they will again off a bye week, well rested and ready to storm LSU at home. Sabin LIVES for this type of game and demands his coaches to win games just like this in convincing fashion, he has done it time and time again.  Interim head coach against Sabin?  Game over.  My Vegas source tells me tons of sharp money on LSU is holding this line down under 10, so be it, I am with the public getting the best team in the NCAA at a TD or slightly higher.  

Play 2 Units on Alabama – Top Play

#554 - Tulsa -8  *8 EST 

Love Tulsa here against ECU and since East Carolina blew out offensively inept U Conn last week (I am not impressed- U Conn cannot score), this number is below 10 and a gift because there is no way that ECU trades punches on the road at Tulsa here against Tulsa’s high octane attack.  Tulsa playing with 6 time revenge as they have not beaten the Pirates since 2006.  ECU a deplorable 0-4-1 ATS on the road.  Tulsa a contender for a division title in AAC conference and this is a must win for them. 

Play 1 Unit on Tulsa

#363 - Georgia Tech +10.5   *12:30 EST 

Sharp action Vegas Play as my source in Vegas tells me this one of the biggest bets by local big betting sharps in Las Vegas this week and GT will be able to move the chains against a weak NC defense.  While I think North Carolina is clearly the better team this is always a tight game as the last 2 were decided by 10 total points and then the 4 years before that GT won all 4.  I will take the points here as NC has a ton of pressure to win out and need help to get to a title game in the ACC.  GT will go for broke and GT coach Paul Johnson is a riverboat gambler and will pull out all the stops here after a nail biter against Duke last week.

Play 1 Unit on Georgia Tech 

Atlanta -3.5 to 4

Making this short gents, the Falcons clearly better, avenging a loss to the Bucs, who played a 5 quarter game against Oakland and lost and now on 3 days rest have to play the high octane Dirty Birds.  Tampa gave up over 500 yards through the air and while Oakland had over 200 yards in penalties, Tampa still lost.  Without Martin at RB, Winston cannot carry the team alone, expect Atlanta even with travel and a short week to get revenge tonight.  Teams playing on Thursday off an OT game are 4-21 ATS and I think Tampa’s defense gets eaten up here.

Play 1 Unit on Atlanta

BONUS PLAY:   Colorado -13 Half Unit.  

Minnesota -4

The Line dropped off 6, no idea why.  Chicago and Minny, neither one is going to light up the scoreboard (under 40.5 might be worth a sniff for a half unit).  Culter back, and he is Mr. “I Don’t Care” when the going gets tough against good defenses, the Minny has a great defense, shut down corners and a hell of a pass rush for out of shape Jay Cutler tonight, and no doubt rusty.  4 in a bad number to lay on the road I know, but Chicago’s offense 15 ppg and allowing 20 ppg, with Jax coming in here and beating them, I can tell you the Vikings practice under Zimmer since last weeks debacle has been no fun and Minny will be focused.  I trust Bradford more than Cutler here.

Minnesota for 1 Unit 

#272 - Dallas -4  *8:30 EST

Bad number in what is a big game, but Dallas off a bye and Philly off a huge emotional win.  While there is hype over Carson Wentz for Philly, since the bye week he has 3 TD's and 3 Ints, and Philly's defense is getting a lot of press, however they do not stuff the run and with Dallas's OL, and Elliott who leads the NFL in rushing nice and fresh, and at home in Jerry World with a QB in Prescott that does not turn the ball over, I think Dallas jams it down their throat, they have the better rookie QB and while sometimes a  bye week kills momentum, I just do not see a Philly team winning this with Dallas controlling the game with a balanced offense and a strong running attack.  Minny has no offense, but this week they face a well rested machine that can put up yards. 

Play 1 Unit on Dallas 

#253 / 254 - OVER 52.5  - Atlanta / Green Bay

If you have Aaron Rodgers or Matt Ryan on your fantasy team, start them!  Rodgers shaky all year but faces the NFL's 31st ranked pass defense and should do his thing.  Atlanta short at RB this week, however Julio Jones against a weak secondary who has injuries will have a huge day.  Start to finish this should be a shootout with offensive firepower on display.

Play 2 Units on the OVER - Top Play

#256 - Houston -2.5

Simple Math, Houston plays better at home and play a defense that has allowed teams like Houston numerous yards.  Yes Stafford is having a great year, but Houston has had one of the toughest Schedules against stud defenses all season, New England, Minnesota and Denver (all on the road).  Never put into motion what you saw last week and overreact, as Houston looked bad on MNF against an awesome Denver defense who knew how to attack Houston's QB.  Expect a better effort and look for Houston to pound the rock and show Stafford numerous blitz packages as well.  Detroit has no running game either.  Better running game, better defense and at home on a short number.

Play 1 Unit on Houston

#263 - Oakland (pk)

Tampa has a shaky pass defense ands shaky secondary and Oakland stayed put in Florida all week and did not travel and will be dialed in for this one.  Oakland is 4-0 on the road and I am not bucking them against a Tampa team who is off a win against lowly San Fran and I have no illusions, this will be a good game and may come down to kicking and Oakland has a huge advantage there.  Cooper and Crabtree will both have big days and with RB Murray back in the lineup for Oakland, it will keep the defense honest.  Going with Del Rio here as the better coach despite the Raiders defensive woes, they can outscore Tampa, in which this may be a high scoring affair, and we all know Oakland is never say die until the last play.  Tampa 3-15 SU their last 18 at home. 

Play 1 Unit on Oakland

BONUS 2 Team 6 Point Teaser (points added)  - Tease New England DOWN to a PICK EM and tease Indy up to +8.5 - Play 1 Unit

#149 - Clemson –4.5   *8 EST

Every sharp in Vegas has hit Clemson.  One bookmaker took 330k in sharp bets alone this week as of Thursday on the Tigers and only 40k on FSU, and those were public bets.  FSU has struggled on offense all year and I am taking QB Watson over a frosh QB at FSU who is erratic and quite frankly Clemson is not as good as last year by they are a TD or more better than Florida State.

 1 Unit on Clemson 

Nebraska / Wisconsin UNDER 43

My beloved alma mater will be in Madison for this one Saturday Night and I was at NU / Purdue last week in Lincoln.  The Nebraska offense is in a funk, Armstrong is hit and miss at QB and they struggled big time against both Purdue and Indiana the week before in putting together a solid run game, pass game or an eat the clock balanced attack and against this Wisconsin defense who shut down Michigan, Ohio State and Iowa, I expect a 20-14 or less type ballgame.  Maybe a 14-10 game something along those lines.  I think NU will compete here and the outcome looks to go Wisconsin’s way in my opinion, but their offense is not good and Husker defense good enough to hold them down as well. 

Play 2 Units on the UNDER - Best of Luck.  

Temple -7

Yes, I took Cincy last week, and they cashed big over a fading and messy East Carolina team, however they are playing a Temple team here with added rest that just waxed a very good South Florida team, who in fact that same South Florida team destroyed Cincy awhile back.  A 2 headed QB Monster for Cincy with Keil and Moore trying to kickstart the offense and they will have to trade punches with a high octane offensive attack of Temple with 3 stud RB’s behind a finely tuned OL paving the way for them to steamroll the Bearcats.  Temple 7 straight covers boys, make it 8. 

Play 1 Unit on Temple 

Sat

#156 - 12 Noon est     Oklahoma State +3.5 to 4

While I stated in August that West Virginia was my Big 12 sleeper pick to make a lot of noise, and they have, mainly because of a soft schedule, they are up against it this week , although I admit Okie State has been inconsistent this season.  This is really Okie State’s season on the line and they need a big win and I think the Mountaineer’s get exposed this week in a shootout here.  OSU is stacked with talent and Mike Gundy going up against his old offensive coordinator and he knows their playbook.   This line in August on the futures was Okie St -8.5 and now they are a home dog?   I find value with the Cowboys at home catching a number over 3.   

Play 1 Unit on Okie State  

#175 - Duke +6.5  *12 Noon EST 

Paul Johnson is a bad coach, in a bad triple option system at GT and is totally one dimensional on offense and people have figured out to defend his offense, and David Cutcliff is a good and masterful head coach with a team capable of winning this outright.  Duke has beat them the past 2 years and Duke gave Louisville all they wanted their last game. Techs biggest win this year was against Vandy – they have no biz laying this number in my opinion.

Play 1 Unit on Duke

Friday N

#113 - Navy +7   *7 EST 

No respect for the team who is better getting points..oh and the better defense getting points too.  South Florida just got beat by Temple, badly.  What does Temple do?  They run the football, and with success against the 100th ranked run defense of the Bulls, and Navy will slam it down their throat all night as well, and have no doubts, QB Will Worth for the Middies is a good QB.   Gladly take the points here, and not over reacting to what I saw last week, but going on pure stats, Navy the better team and battle tested and crushed Memphis last week as an underdog, wasn’t even a game gents, it was a free play of mine.  Navy also beat Houston soundly as well. 

Play 1 Unit on Navy

Bonus Play – Play a half Unit on San Diego St -6.5 in the late game to beat Utah State. 

Jax +3.5

While the Jags have failed to live up to expectations, in a battle of bad teams, I always prefer the dog in most cases, and this one is no exception.  Jacksonville has been in tight games, 6 games overall, 2-4 SU but in 4 of those games, those contests were decided by 4 points or less.  Titans off a loss against the Colts who have no defense, and last week was embarrassing for the Jags who had an edge in yards against the high octane Raiders in mid fourth quarter, but the folly of turnovers, a fake punt that worked, and various bonehead coaching calls continued to plague them.  Jax 0-2 the past 2 years in Tennessee and want revenge, and overall they have the more talented team.  Knowing Tennessee cannot put away a game, and they are an unreal 5-18-2 ATS against teams with a losing record their last 25 against sub .500 teams, I am taking the Jags here.

Play 1 Unit on Jacksonville

Cubs -110

The thing about a hot run through the Playoffs, like KC had 2 years ago where they swept every series, is sitting around.  San Fran then jumped all over them.  The Cubs roll in after waxing LA and Kershaw in the last game and red hot Jon Lester takes the hill against a team hitting .143 as a team against southpaws their last 5.  Cannot get it done with smoke and mirrors against Chicago kids, no matter that Kluber is on the hill, the run support on the side of the Cubs.

Play 1 Unit on Chicago 

# 478- Denver -7.5  *8:30 EST 

Denver on a 2 game losing slide that I see getting reversed here and Houston banged up with key position players playing at less than 100%.  Add in the fact Denver’s defense is the best one on the field, their running game in better and also the fact that Houston has played 2 good teams all season and got blown out by both of them.  Denver with added time to prepare for this one and home field clearly worth 3 full points here.  QB Osweiler returns to his old team, the Defense may have a little extra something special for him.   Colts gave Houston a game and had them shut down on offense with the NFL’s worst defense all but for 7 minutes of that game, what do you think Denver will do to them, especially with shut down corners? 

Play 1 Unit on Denver

BONUS 2 team same game 6 Point Teaser – Side and Total - – Teaser Denver DOWN to -1.5 and Tease the Total UP to 46.5 and take the Under. 

Pats -7

Look this is square as hell, on the side of the public however no Big Ben is a HUGE deal ands worth a 7 point deduction for the Steelers, Jones at QB is no bargain.   and Brady and company clicking none other, and the Pats defense Top 3 in the NFL and is shutting down good teams, and quite frankly are they are best unit on the field this Sunday.  Pats defense is NO joke, and against this offense without their leader is a mismatch.  Without Big Ben and many 3 and outs, look for brady to pick apart the NFL's 30th ranked pass D, especially late.  

Play 1 Unit on New England

#469 - San Diego +6.5

The Falcons defense will have issues with the Chargers passing game and Rivers is tearing it up this year.  Off a brutal game against Seattle and travel and the Chargers off a long rest after beating Denver dead to rights last Thursday, I will grab the points here in what should be a shootout..  Chargers 4-2 ATS this year and could have damn near every game they were in. 

Play 1 Unit on San Diego

#455 / 456 - Under 50.5 Kansas City / New Orleans   **1 EST

New Orleans is a different animal on the road.  The have 501 yards and 36 ppg at home and on the road they manage 282 yards and 24 ppg.  Kansas City lacks offensive firepower and we all know the Andy Reid approach, Pound the rock against a weak defense, eat clock and keep Drew Brees off the field.  That was is exactly what KC did to high powered Oakland last week, pounded the rock and ate clock and held the high octane attack of Oakland to  287 yards in their own stadium.  Look for the same here on Sunday.  I have this line at 43 on a power number, that is a 7 point overlay.  Cold and Chilly in KC this weekend, I expect a lower scoring game which may in fact bring the points into play if you like New Orleans +6.5 to 7.  FYI - New Orleans would be a good half of a Teaser Play for sure.   

Play 2 Units on the Under

#455 - Saints +6 to 6.5 

Look KC will not put up a ton of points against anyone, even the Saints .  They will pound the rock like last week against Oakland and try and keep a high powered offense off the field, but Drew Brees is crafty and will in fact get off some big plays and verticles against KC who is off a huge win, but against good offensive teams KC cannot trade punches all day.  Look for KC to try and grind it out and New Orleans to hang tight here, in what should be a good game.  70 degrees and Sunny, no nasty winter weather for the dome team to contend with.  KC does not have the resume to lay this number yet.  

Play 1 Unit on New Orleans

BONUS 2 Team 6 Point Teaser (points added)- Tease Miami to +8.5 and Tease Minnesota to +9

#324  - Cincy -1.5 *7 EST

Cincinnati was a team many experts were high on with season win totals and the over this year, but they have self destructed and not lived up to expectations, however that is good for us as East Carolina comes calling this week, and the Pirates  defense is the type of defense that Cincy and a healthy QB Haden Moore can expose and rack up some points on.  Tommy Tubberville is on the hot seat at Cincy and needs a big win to get back on track, and ECU is not a good team who gives up 5.3 yards per carry and their secondary is suspect and they have managed just 2 picks all year.  Cheap number, I see the Bearcats winning by 7-10 at home in this one.  Getting this under 3 is a gift.  

Play 1 Unit on Cincinnati

#353 - Charlotte +12.5 to 13  *5:30 EST

No sold on Marshall in any way shape or form here and Charlotte will give the herd all they want in this one.  Neither team any good, and in a battle of two bad teams you always look at the points.  This is the biggest sharp money play / wise guy play in Vegas this Saturday confirmed by my Las Vegas source.  The better RB and QB are both on the side of Charlotte here, and the QB Klugh for Charlotte will have a big day against a bad secondary of Marshall (he is 70% completions on the year). 

Play 1 Unit on Charlotte

# 405 - Texas AM +18  *3:30 EST

Ok Alabama is the crème of the crop.  But Texas AM has a way of hanging around, they have beaten good teams or hung in there with them all year, and never say die. The Aggies lead the SEC in total offense and are getting no respect here, but they should be an underdog.  Alabama carrying a premium number and no matter the number Vegas hangs on them the public bets them.  A team who could put up points against them and hang around like an Ol Miss which Bama barely beat , will give them issues.  No doubt a shootout and backdoor cover here not out of the question by a long shot, and I think AM contends for 4 quarters here.  Aggie QB Knight no stranger to Bama, he was embarrassed at Oklahoma 3 years ago in the Sugar Bowl and no doubt will have something extra.  Aggie defense allows 19 and Bama's defense 15.  Both score at will it seems on offense.  Aggies cover the number.

Play 1 Unit on Texas AM

#319 - Syracuse +4.5  *12:30 EST

Lets see Syracuse ran it up against VT and pounded the vaunted Hokies whose Bud Foster's defense had no answer for last week, and that VT team beat BC 49-0!  Like Syracuse getting over the fall number of 3 here despite being on the road.  BC defense is suspect and QB Dungey and company can move the ball and chains here.  Outright win would not surprise me, after a confidence building win last week, gladly take the points.  Another sharp money move in Vegas with numerous big bettors on this Side Saturday, 

Play 1 Unit on Syracuse

BYU +7 to 7.5

I watched Boise St almost get beat by an average Colorado State last week.  Cannot ignore the brutal schedule of BYU this season, battle tested against the likes of Utah, West Virginia, Michigan St and a bevy of others and QB Hill still a huge threat anytime he has the ball.  Boise State's claim to fame is a tight win over Washington State and nothing else.  This won't come easy folks and should be a rare very good game on a Weekday in CFB.  Gladly grab the points - BYU had an extra day to prepare as well and Boise 0-6 ATS last 6 at home.  Blue carpet not the same since Petersen left for Washington.

Play 1 Unit on BYU

Chicago +7.5

Off a rough weekend for the Packers, they have serious issues on defense, especially in the secondary with 3 starters out, all CB's which is troublesome as QB Hoyer has been lighting it up with 300+ yard passing days in each of the past 3 weeks.  Green Bay looks lethargic on offense and Dallas whipped them badly 4 days ago.  Hoyer playing better than Rodgers right now which is shocking, GB lacks chemistry on offense and Rodgers accuracy has been horrible lately.   My Vegas oddsmaker contact told me this morning that all sharpo action has been on the Bears from his bigger players in Las vegas, and the line has dropped a half point because it was at 8, buit still over the key number of 7 tonight.  Not sold pon Packers defense, not sold on a banged up running game with serious injuries (Lacy and Starks out) there as well as they picked up RB Davis from KC, who was a 4th stringer for the Chiefs.   Chicago keeps it closer than the spread, although I expect a Packer win but this won;t come easy.  

Play 1 Unit on Chicago.

NY Jets +7.5 to 8.5

So without Palmer this line would have 4 to 4.5 (according to my oddsmaker source in Vegas at CG Technology)  and with Palmer is is anywhere from -7.5 to -8.5. Not sure the way Palmer has played he warrants that type of line move in all honesty.  Jets are in a slide and look to be an easy fade here, 3 losses, all 3 by double digits, but the good news QB Fitzpatrick did not have an interception last week after having 9 of them the two weeks previous.  Yeah playing Seattle and Pittsburgh is tough duty back to back for the Jets.  Not sure that a win over San Fran and putting up 33 is all that impressive as the Cards have underperformed all year, and quite frankly Carson Palmer has looked like dog doo doo all season including the preseason.  With Stanton at QB it forced the Cards to feature the run more which was a good deal against a banged up Niners defense, however the Jets defense, given some rest with some offensive production, can and will slow down RB Johnson and put plenty of heat on Palmer as well.  Arizona has Seattle and Carolina on deck, and even though rested we are betting into this number more than anything and taking the big points with the Jets who have failed to put it all together, but at days end a 2-3 team laying these points with wins over Tampa at home and San Fran to their credit is not warranted in my book.  Remember Todd Bowles was Arians defensive coordinator before taking teh Jets job and knows the cards system well. 

Play 1 Unit on the Jets 

#276 - Houston -3   *8:30 EST (seeing 2.5 at some shops) Public will love Indy....

I cannot make a case for Indy here who was outgained by hapless Chicago last week 522-396 and still won.  After a trip to London, then Da Bears and now travel, an exhausting 3 weeks for the Colts who play absolutely NO defense and folks that is a problem on the road in the NFL, bad defenses get beat.  Houston a cover machine at home, and their defense should have a big day against a weak offensive line who has allowed 21 sacks to date and a pissed off defense who got waxed last week at Houston will be dialed in to attack QB Luck.  Practice has been no fun under O'Brien this week after last weeks total meltdown in Minny, Houston more than capable at home here, especially on defense,  and I think they hold the Colts down on offense in this one and win by a TD or more at home.  This is a sharp move in Vegas this week. 

Play 1 Unit on Houston 

Chicago +122

Well ANYTIME I can get the Cubs at home int he Playoffs catching a number I am going to take it.  Another short turn for Kershaw who last pitched on 3 days rest, and while he is a stud, the Cubs might take advantage of a tired arm that will wear down later in the game.  Hendricks has better numbers in his last 3 starts, a better WHIP and a better ERA.  Cubs off a high scoring win Saturday, with 8 runs, and i think the Cubs at home here seal the deal on Sunday.  LA surrendered 5 runs in the 8th inning last night which is deflating for a team on a large stage.  

Play 1 Unit on the Cubs

#269 - Kansas City -1

This is sharp money move in Vegas.  My source in Vegas tells me the sharps hit this early all week long, a wise guy side.  Oakland is rolling but we given their last few games late in the game as they continue to win with no defense.  With San Diego winning Thursday and Oakland at the top of the standings in the AFC West, this is a HUGE game for KC who is off a bye week and they will have a healthy Jamal Charles, and he and Travis Kelce at TE should have a huge day against this defense of Oakland.  The line stinks as Oddsmakers begging you to take Oakland who is trolling, why do you think that is?  KC 10-3 ATS last 13 in Oakland, always a bitter rivalry type game, KC rested and prepared gets it done.

Play 1 Unit on KC

#257 - Pittsburgh -7

I simply cannot back Miami, who maybe one of the worst teams in the NFL against one of the best teams.  Big Ben and company should shred this defense, and if you have been living under a rock, Miami has NO protection for their QB, their offensive line is Swiss cheese, and Miami is the worst home cover team in the NFL over the last 3 years.  Pitt clearly a TD better and then some.  Square side yes, but also the right side.  If you have the Steelers left in your survivor pool, this is the week to use them.  I have been burnt on public sides this year twice, but this is a total mis-match.

Play 1 Unit on Pitt

2 Team 6 Point Teaser (points added) - Tease Tennessee Titans to -1 and the Baltimore Ravens +9.   

#251 - Cincy +8.5 to 9

Well a team who looked horrific last week at Dallas against 2 rookies, versus a team who looked awesome, the over reaction by the public as Oddsmakers make you pay for Tom Brady at home after waxing the hapless Browns.  New England is a huge public team along with Pittsburgh and Dallas every week, this number is too high as I expect the Bengals to bounce back a and make a good showing.  The Pats real strength is not heir offense, but their #3 ranked defense, however I expect QB Dalton and company to move the chains ands make this interesting. 

Play 1 Unit on Cincy

# Wisconsin +11  *8 EST

Look the Badgers played Michigan to a 14-7 game, and that was at Ann Arbor. They have had 2 weeks to prepare for OSU off a bye week here at home.  HUGE GAME.   Ohio State has played no one all year and Oklahoma is not an argument, they are 2 loss team and should have lost to Texas last week.  Ohio State beat a bad Notre Dame in a bowl game and basically has played no one since and returned only 6 starters although Barrett at QB is a returner and good, but anyone looks good throwing it all over the place against Rutgers.  Wisconsin is battle tested with a win over LSU on a nuetral site and Michigan State (not so impressive now) but none the less Camp Randall at night worth 3-4 points for home field, and Wiskey will give them all they want.  Too many points here.  If OSU makes a bunch of mistakes here they can lose.  The Badgers are no joke folks, especially at home.  Wisconsin's defense makes Indiana look like a JUCO team and Indiana held Barrett to 9 for 21 last week at home! 

Play 1 Unit on Wisconsin

#127 - Virginia Tech -20  *3:45 EST

Getting this under 24 is a gift.  Forget Beamer Ball, they Hokies are playing Foster Ball – and that means killer defense.  Qb Evans running the spread attack to perfection (46 ppg the last 3) and the Hokies face a beat and battered Syracuse team who has been shredded by spread attacks at home this year and play little offense, and VT will win this by 25-30 points in cruise control – Blowout.

Play 1 Unit on Virginia Tech

#171 - Central Michigan -2.5  *3:30 est 

Looks like a trap line but Northern Illinois is settling in with a new QB and doing better, their defense is not and they face a high octane and efficient offense in Central Michigan led by all world QB Rush who is 1 yard shy of 1800 yards passing to date and has 15 TD passes against 5 picks and these same Chippewa’s have a road win over Okie State in case you forgot, despite the controversy.  They also have a stud RB in Spalding at 5.5 yards per rush!  CMU is a good football team gents, and beaten Northern Illinois by double digits in each of the past 2 years.  The Huskies are allowing 499 yards per game against lesser competition and getting this under 3 points (released line) is an absolute gift and NIU also has 2 DB’s out for this one with injury, WOW, and while crazy things happen on the road in conference play happens this time of year, trust me I have a 7 point overlay here and that is worth doubling up on this one.  CMU ranked 35th in offensive yards in the NCAA and NIU ranked 123rd on defense in yards allowed and a 2.5 point line.  CMU struggled against Ball St last week and lost the week before, oddsmakers have over adjusted this line.

Play 2 Units on Central Michigan

#166 - Troy -17  *3:30 EST

All over Troy here who is a great team with a tough early season schedule who gave Clemson all they wanted (6 point loss – only one of the season) and they are in revenge mode here after a 10 point loss to Georgia St last year.  GSU beat up on Texas St last week who has absolutely NO defense, they face a stiff defense here and I doubt they score over 14 if that.  Troy rolls in this one.

Play 1 Unit on Troy

#117 - Eastern Michigan +7 to 7.5   *2 EST

This opened at near 10 but still value on the number of 7, as Eastern Michigan should keep pace with Ohio U and Frank Solich’s bunch this Saturday, and an outright win would not surprise me.  EMU well coached and has playmakers, and they know this is their best team in years with a solid offense with good balance, and the fact they have lost 8 straight to Ohio has them dialed in for this one.  I have won money on Solich all year but I fade him here.  Ohio U 0-3 ATS las home chalk their last 3, and EMU is 5-1 ATS this season.  QB Windham for Ohio is a good, but EMU can trade punches on the scoreboard.

Play 1 Unit on Eastern Michigan

San Diego +3

One of the biggest bettors in Las vegas hit the book early this morning with a 50 dime wager not only on the Chargers but the same amount of money on the moneyline for SD to win Straight up.  The ML in Vegas on Denver dropped from -185 to -150 on this and all books reacted.  The oddsmakers will not raise the line on the hook because sharps will crush them on it but ML did drop. This info comes courtesy of an oddsmakers I communicate with on a daily basis and this particular sharp (I cannot name him) I do follow and the guy rarely loses and is a low volume big player.  I did like SD all week but was still working up the game when this went down.   The Chargers have grabbed victory from the jaws of defeat all year and this looks way too easy to lay a short number with Denver, who got hammered last week with Atlanta at home, and frankly their QB situation is not all that stable and the Chargers Mike McCoy is really coaching for his life in this game.  Rivers the better QB, SD at home, whole season on the line in the AFC West here,  after they came up short against Oakland last week and already lost to KC after a 3 TD lead in their opener.

Play 1 Unit on San Diego

Under 6 /- Cubs and Giants

Rare to see this low of number but Two absolute studs on the hill, both shut down pitchers, heavy air in the Bay area as well, Cubs offense not all that as of late and San Frans offense iffy at best.  Pitcher dual all the way.

Play 1 Unit on the Under 

#475 - Tampa Bay + 5.5   *8:30 est 

Without Newton or Stewart, and a banged up LB Davis. despite Anderson’s past record against Tampa, I am taking the points here gents.  Sometimes when it is too good to be true in the NFL, it is not.  Look at Philly yesterday, the line stunk, was easy money and Detroit wins SU, and I drank the kool aide on that one, I will not do it again.  Carolina has looked horrific all year and now without Cam with their back against the wall it will not come easy.  Tampa can move the ball and if turnovers subside for them this could real interesting down the stretch for Tampa in this one.  The Super Bowl loser curse in full effect.

Play 1 Unit on Tampa

Bonus teaser HALF UNIT – Tease Tampa Up to +11.5  and Tease the Total UP to 52 and take the Under.

#471 -Cincy -1.5

OK Dallas has had a soft schedule, not sold on them in this game. Why do you think they are an underdog, besides the fact they have won just 1 game at home in their last 9?   Better coach, better QB for the Bengals.  Yeah I said it, Sherman has wernt to the Playoffs 5 years in a row, Jason Garrett cannot manage a clock.   Dalton is a stud, Cincy’s defense is better and Dallas will have their hands full against DL and Elliott will not run wild in this one. I will take Dalton over Prescott any day of the week, Dallas goes down here. Cincy added rest off a Thursday blowout, and Dallas off travel too.  Did I mention no Dez Bryant?  That’s a game changer.

Play 1 Unit on Cincy

#469 / 470 - Over 50.5 Oakland / San Diego

No brainer here.  Neither team has a defense.  Neither team cares either, they try and outscore you, and Oakland a huge second half team. The first game in this series the past 2 years was 59 points and 67 points, game 2 always went under, interesting fact.  The Chargers also lost their best cover corner for the season, Rivers and Carr will both have 300+ yards in a shootout.  Maybe 6 to 7 TD passes in this game combined.  

Play 1 Unit on the Over.

2 Team 6 Point Teaser – (Points Added – tease Washington UP to +10 and Tease New England DOWN to -4.5 for 1 Unit 

#461 - Philly -3

Biggest square bet on the board, biggest bet on any team at this number in Vegas this season to date, that is direct from my Las Vegas Oddsmakers mouth, most money all on 1 side in a game all year in Vegas, for good reason.  Detroit could not beat Chicago with Hoyer at QB, 2 RB’s out and half of the Bears secondary out.  WOW.  Philly off a bye and rested, and Philly DC Jim Schwartz returns back to Detroit where he was fired.  Perhaps Philly regresses a little now that teams have film on Carson Wentz, I just do not see the Lions hanging tough for 4 quarters here.  I am drinking the kool aide here. 

Play 1 Unit on Philly  

#453 - Tennessee +3.5

The hook might be enough.  Hurricane Matthew no doubt a distraction, and Miami should not be laying points to anyone as Adam Gase cannot his offense on track, Tannehill not the right QB for his system and the defense of the fish vastly over rated.  Tennessee won on the road at Detroit, Murray should have a big day running it and I cannot and will not lay points with a bad Dolphins team with NO OL right now and Dick LaBeau’s defense will blitz the dog crap out of him all day.

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#406 - San Diego State -15.5   *10:30 EST 

For the second year in a row So. Alabama upset SDSU who was ranked headed into the weekend last week.  Rocky Long has a good team at SDSU and the flat out will run it down UNLV’s throat all night long, as SDSU the best running team in the Mountain West and UNLV cannot stop the run.  An Aztec team in a foul mood at home here rolls.   SDSU 11-1 ATS in conference play last 11 and frosh Rebel QB Sneed may have looked good against Fresno last week, but he will have the kitchen sink thrown at him in passing situations this week.

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R 

#379-380   - Vandy / Kentucky UNDER 52    *4 EST 

Vandy with a tough defense and dead last in the SEC in offense.  A Huge game here with Kentucky needing this win, and since Stoops took over the defense they have fared well and gave Bama a game last week for 3 quarters and also beat SC.  Kentucky's offense not a thing of beauty by any stretch of the imagination and both teams will struggle to score.  17-13, 17-10 type ballgame here all the way.  The last 4 in this series have went under

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#393 - Southern Miss -16    *12 Noon EST Saturday

The Roadrunners of UTSA are in for a long day.  Their offense is ranked 111th in the NCAA and the Golden Eagles led by all world and NFL prospect QB Mullens are ranked 9th on offense with a veteran team putting up huge numbers on offense this season, and I have won with them every time I have put them out over the past 2 years gents.  This is a well-coached team, who has beat an SEC team badly, and flat out can get points on the board in a hurry and never let off the throttle.  UTSA allowing 25 ppg this season and scoring only 21 and the Eagles here are scoring 41 ppg and are 2-0 SU and ATS on the road this year (11-3 ATS their last 14 road games – UNREAL)  and they are putting up 539 yards a game.  Southern Miss’s only loss was to Troy due to turnovers and they out-statted them all over the place, and remember Troy damn near beat Clemson earlier this season.  UTSA got hammered my Old Dominion last week as a 6 point pup.

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#382 - Mississippi State +2.5  *12 Noon EST

COWBELL in Starkville.  And a win too. Two losses on the year and a bad season with close losses to So. Alabama and LSU by 3.  Yep the Bulldogs might as well toss it in…think again!  Look Auburn has beaten NO ONE and a lopsided blowout of UL Monroe last week does not sway me.  Auburn has lost to the only good team they played which was Texas A&M.  They beat LSU on the fluke play where Les Miles again (before he was fired) blew the clock management and Arkansas St is hardly a power house either.  MSU is a good team who lacked focus early and made stupid mistakes.  This is Auburns first road game of the season.  MSU off a bye week and lying in wait at home for this one and Mullens is the vastly better coach here, and I expect MSU QB Fitzgerald to have big day through the air and on the ground, good dual threat QB, best one in this game by far.  3 Point home field advantage as well, and this really is a make or break game for the Bulldogs. 

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