No Write Up today guys- pressed for time.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER 7 to 7.5 - Royals bats are hot and Toronto will not be held scoreless again.  Price is not as hot as he was early on.  

Nevada – 6 to 6.5 

Wyoming and North Texas are having a race, to see who is the absolute worst team in college football and we get Nevada here who is 9-2 ATS on the road their last 11, and off a nice bounce back win last week over New Mexico in dominating fashion, and oh yeah, New Mexico already had beaten the punchless Cowboys by 10 on the road!  QB issues, talent issues, coaching issues, lack of depth issues, and they have failed to cover a number in their last 7 games at home.  Wyoming is 120th in points scored in the NCAA and ranked 115 in rushing defense and have not had 1 game all year they stayed within single digits.  The mis-match is the Wolfpack run it for 222 yards per game and Wyoming cannot stop them..

Play 1.5 to 2 Units on Nevada

Northwestern +2.5

Iowa thin at RB and this is where Iowa’s weak schedule catches up with them.  Laying points on the road against a good team who flat out got their ass kicked last week and will be hell bent on stepping it up big time at home  Iowa has some injury issues and you have a real live dog that has the 8th ranked defense in all of college football and a damn good coach to boot.  NW allowing just 6 points per game at home, they have the best player on the field in RB Jackson as well.

Play 1 Unit on Northwestern

Tulsa +12

Anytime I have a team who racks up 588 yards a game and scores in bunches and has a stud QB, I will gladly take big points.  ECU still using 2 QB situation and they are off a brutal road trip to BYU and have had a meat grinder schedule.  Tulsa hung with Oklahoma and their QB Evans will light up a secondary that gave up 921 yards passing in the last 3 weeks, as Evans has 1800+ yards passing and only 3 picks all year.

Play 1 Unit on Tulsa 

Cincy +6.5

Cincy has not played since waxing Miami on national TV on ESPN and they have got it going on gents.  Hayden Moore for Cincy, frosh sensation QB will have a field day with this up-tempo offense against a weak, and I mean weak BYU secondary who gave up 385 yards passing to East Carolina last week.  BYU has been through a meat grinder of a schedule, numerous injuries abound including a banged up QB, and Cincy is a road warrior under Tuberville going 9-2 ATS their last 11 roadies.  Cincy has an offense that can win this SU and for sure a backdoor cover.  Off a bye and well prepared.

Play 2 Units on Cincy

Stanford -7

Look UCLA’s best player is out, they are reeling off a huge ugly loss and Stanford after opening the season with a loss to Northwestern who is a 1 loss team, have beaten up everyone in their path.  They are home here which is worth 3 point alone, they have the better QB and now defense.  Lay it.

Play 1 Unit on Stanford

Over 7.5 KC / Houston

Both teams capable of manufacturing runs and both pitchers, especially Cueto suspect to put putting runners in scoring position.  Both teams may hit the bullpen early which gives KC a leg up in this game on the side play, but at days end I expect 8 to 9 runs and could easily see a 6-3 or 6-4 type ballgame here and a late inning thriller.  KC at home , better than average October weather, little wind here today, I like the bats on both sides to be active.

Play 1 Unit on the OVER 

y.

St Louis +118

Lackey is going to win this game.  Plain and Simple.  6 home runs and only lose 8-6 last night.  Hammel is inconsistent and has been a liability since the All Star break guys.  Lackey has owned this team all season and in Game 1 destroyed them.  St Louis has the best record in MLB for a reason, it shows tonight.  The moment is going to get too big for St Louis and their youth tonight against an experienced team.

Play 1 Unit on St Louis

San Diego -3.5

Anytime I can Mike Vick, who has 5 covers when quarterbacking in his last 20 starts, I am fading him.  Pitts defense is not good, key players out obviously and I look for the Chargers with home field here to blowout the Steelers.  This line should be -5.5 or 6, I feel even though we are dealing with the hook on -3.5, it is worth the stretch.  Better QB in this game, and better defense as well.  You could but this down to -3 for -120 or 12/10 odds if you want.  Chargers third in total offense in the NFL – I do not think a Mike Vick offense can trade punches on the scoreboard all night despite some issues on the OL for the Chargers, I lean home team here.

Play 1 Unit on San Diego 

NO WRITEUP TODAY

Take Dickey who ended the season hot at a 2 ERA and 0.77 WHIP and look for the Jays to tie this up.  

Play 1 Unit on the Jays at -130ish 

No Time for writeup - Blue Jays Estrada most consistent pitcher on their staff since the All Star break and I do not see Jays going down in this series without a win.  

Play 1 Unit on Toronto -140 

Arizona -2.5

The Cards will destroy the Lions.  Frankly a short week, travel, a brutal physical game against Seattle and a heart breaking loss where the refs made a bad call but the Lions played like dog crap folks.  Bottom line is AZ’s defense way too much for the predictable Detroit offense who cannot run because they have NO offense line, and little time for Stafford to pass it and stretch the field deep.  AZ off a loss to the hands of St Louis who had +3 in turnovers but are a better team than many think, and QB Palmer and his WR’s should havr a big day here and RB Johnson getting quality yards as well.  AZ defense too much here.  AZ vastly better coached!

Play 1 Unit on Arizona

Philly -4.5

Yes, going off Monday Night you would think we would be all over the Saints, but Dallas in bad shape, and the Saints are a bad team.  Saw something in Philly last week that has me thinking even though they lost, they found something in the passing department and who better to expose than a porous Saints defense.  Look for Philly to break this wide open.

Play 1 Unit on Philly.

Cincy -3

Seattle has no offensive line and without Russel Wilson they quite frankly would be a bad football team.  RM Lynch is very questionable with hammy and doubtful and not 100% if he did play, and even though the defense is solid for Seattle they have not played a team like Cincy other than Green Bay who has this type of offensive prowess, and Green Bay smacked them around.  Cincy has a great defense second only to St Louis that Seattle saw and they lost that game as well.  I believe this Cincy team is as talented as any in the AFC, not as well coached but talented. 

Play 1 Unit on Cincy

2 team 6 Point Teaser – 1 Unit Play - Tease New England down to -2.5 and Tease the NY Giants down to -1.  Both games through Key numbers.

San Jose St -2.5

QB Decker out for UNLV and although SJSU off a brutal game against SEC Auburn which they were in for most of it, I still feel with no way for UNLV to move the ball SJSU will win this by a TD on Saturday.  Decker is 100% out, and he is the guy that makes it happen for UNLV.  Season win total was at 2, they have matched that but I do not see a team as bad as UNLV winning back to back games.  Spartans are better.

Play 1 Unit on San Jose State

SHORT AND SWEET

Miami +8

8-2 ATS is the underdog in this series.  Miami's last stand, undervalued here off a loss at CIncy and FLorida State is without main offensive weapon at RB here.  Always a hotly contested game here and I feel Miami has the vastly better QB.  Both coaches prone to huge mistakes but Hurricanes can strike quick and deep and I like their chances at a cover big time.

Play 1 Unit on Miami

BONUS PLAY - Half Unit on California +7.5 - get this in early.  

U Conn +2.5

What a gift – Central Florida is 0-5 and laying points   WOW.  U Conn had BYU tied up 10-10 late in the game last week, almost beat Missouri on the road as well.  CFU lost to Furman and Tulane to name a few as well as Florida International.  The cupboards are bare at Central Florida, U Conn is a good team with a good defense and that defense will win this game for them.  Huskies allow just 19 ppg on defense and that is against the likes of Navy, BYU and Mizzou folks.  CFU is also laced with injuries and their secondary is ranked 116th versus the pass and they have injuries there as well.

Play 1 Unit on U Conn

Purdue +3

Yep the Boilermakers – Ugly pick maybe but Minny on a back to back roadie here, they just got hammered at Northwestern big time and the Gopher offense is in toal disary and cannot get off square one, and they are shuffling QB’s as well.  RB Jones for Purdue racked up 1157 yards last week against Michigan State who is stout up front and Purdue gave them a game as well.  Home dog here, I say they bite!

Play 1 Unit on Purdue

Georgia - 2.5 to 3

What did sports bettors see last week?  The saw Bama destroy Georgia on national TV.  Well many skipped a bad Arkansas team beating up on Tennessee in their own house and Tennessee cannot close out a game to save their life and have played Florida and Arky in back to back weeks.  I see no way Tenn. Can stop the run attack and a pissed off Bulldog team here who still can and just might win the SEC East this year.  Georgia is 5-1 ATS off a SU loss, and while many are down on the Bulldogs, I still think despite a bad QB, their running game e is enough to carry them.  Georgia owns the Vols, winning and covering 5 straight, make it 6.  Short number here.  If they would have even competed with Bama this line would be 6 minimum. 

Play 1 Unit on Georgia

Central Michigan +7

Really, CMU is better in my opinion and have big strike capability under QB Rush, and while Western Michigan has had a bye week, their defense cannot stop the CMU attack and the defense of Western Michigan is allowing 35 ppg and over 6 yards per rush.  All in all I think we have the better team catching more than a TD in some spots, and this same team just upset Northern Illinois last week, a team who almost beat Ohio State 2 weeks ago!

Play 2 Units on Central Michigan – TOP PLAY

Virginia Tech -2

Are you kidding me?  VT at home, back against the wall, and left for dead on the side of the road.  Frank Beamer is not in his prime anymore but Blacksburg is worth 4 points alone, and NC State has not played anyone all year so throw all those defensive stats out the window for the Wolfpack here, they played 1 good team and got beat and Louisville no powerhouse by any stretch this year.  Catching VT off a loss at home on primetime.  Yes their OL allowed 7 sacks last week but they were unable to run it so it was predictable.  Expect Beamer and DC Bud Foster to devise a plan and get a win here.  Cheap number for a home team that is backed in a corner.

Play 1 Unit on VT 

Cubs -105
Momentum is key here and I like Lester on the hill with experience and under a 3 ERA for the post season in his career.  Both pitchers have playoff experience and know each other well from their days in Boston, but the Cards have had trouble hitting southpaws, and as a team they are .111 at the plate as a team in their last 5 games against lefties and Lester for Chicago is solid.  No home team has won a game yet in the post season and while that will change today no doubt in LA but I like the road team here and the Cubs have one of the better road records in MLB which is huge in the post season.  I think Chicago has some bad blood here and Joe Madden is the better skipper in this series and will use that as motivation as well.  
1 Unit on the CUBS 

Houston -4
We are getting near 3 points of home value here in my mind, this should be 7.  Colts OL is deplorable, 41 year old QB behind a line that cannot block and needed OT to beat Jax last week.  Houston at home off an embarrassing performance and prideful defense foaming at the mouth to atone for letting the Falcons rip them a new one, and they will tee off on Indy weak front line and make a showing here.  Oddsmakers making you lay a number over 3 with a team who got crushed last week against the Division Champs...there is a reason why.  Indy limping in here and this is last stand for Houston's season.  
Play 1 Unit on Houston 

Kansas City -137
Short and Sweet.  KC got bored in September, turned it on to get  home field.  Ventura KC's top pitcher, 45,000 rabid fans and KC picked up the pace down the stretch and trust me, they are ready for this game.  Best record in the AL, at home, defending AL Champs, enough said.  Houston off a huge emotional high and back to back roadies from NY to Houston to KC in 54 hours.  
Play 1 Unit on Kansas City

Cubs -125

Going with the potential AL Cy Young Winner Jake Arietta tonight who has broken about every single pitching record known to mankind in the second half of the season, he is damn near unhittable with a 0.75 ERA and a 12-1 record since the All Star Break.  That said the Cubs Owned the Pirates this season and I do respect Cole for Pitt on the hill tonight, but bottom line is Cubbies took 11 out of 19 against the Pirates this season and 6 out of 10 in Pittsburgh.  The pressure is off the Cubs because they are not at home here and I like their chances in an obviously low scoring game with the best pitcher in the AL on the hill, as pitching wins big games.  The Cubs bats are also better, especially the last 5 games.

Play 1 Unit on Chicago  - Go Cubbies!

Houston -109
Pitching - Astro's - Kuechel was 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two starts against the Yankees this season. He gave up three hits and struck out nine in seven shutout innings of a 15-1 victory at Yankee Stadium on Aug. 25, using only 88 pitches. In the series the Astro's played the Yanks in Yankee Stadium the last time they outscored the Yanks 21-4.  MOMENTUM - Houston has won 6 out of 7, the Yankees limped in here and dropped their last 3 to the O's and finished the season 3-7 their last 10  I like a team on a roll with nothing to lose in a ballpark they have done will in with a potential Cy Young pitcher on the hill.  Houston rolling huge, Yankees are not.  Houston hits southpaws at .333 as a team their last 5 games and face a left hander (good one) but none the less run support for Houston is here as well. 
Play 1 Unit on Houston MLB Package for Playoffs is a MERE $100 - INVEST and WIN GENTS.  13-4 last season and 13-5 the year before! 

St Louis +7 - 7.5

Yep, they damn near beat Pitt but played so bad it was unreal down the stretch.  Look for Gurley – Mason and Cunningham to grind it out on the ground and while Arizona has impressed, this is the best defense they have faced and a defense that shut down Pitt last week big time, even when Big Ben was in there.  How good is Arizona?  Well the combined record of the teams they have beaten up on is 0-9!  The Rams keep this close with defense and doubt you see a ton of scoring either.

Play 1 Unit on the Rams

2 Team 6- Point Teaser – 1 Unit Play -  Tease Denver down to -1 and Tease San Diego down to -1 to 1.5 (Lines as of Wednesday)  Both under the fall number of 3 in either case.  

NY Giants +5.5 – Top Play

Added time for the G Men to prepare for Buffalo who is off a road trip to Miami.  Before we all start bowing down to Rex Ryan, who has Buffalo played that is worth a shit?   Well New England and they blew them out in this stadium.  A struggling Indy team and a deplorable Miami team.  I would take Tom Coughlin over Rex Ryan any day of the week for a head coach and while NY has been anything but impressive, they gave 2 games away to 2 undefeated Atlanta and quite frankly Dallas would be undefeated if they had Romo, and they bounced back nicely last Thursday against the Skins.  NY is basically 3 plays away from being 3-0 and bear in mind for all the hype about Buffalo’s defense, the secondary is yielding almost 300 yards per game, and word is WR Cruz is suiting up his week.

Play 2 Units on the Giants

Cincy -4

Look I am all in on the Bengals, and they have impressed.  What gets KC in trouble is having to trade points against good teams and KC’s defense was exposed big time against Green Bay Monday Night.  KC has no OL and all world Charles cannot get loose and Alex Smith has no time to throw.  Cincy’s defense no joke, Cincy’s offense is loaded, and Dalton is playing out of his mind.  KC on a short week with travel after an ass kicking and Cincy at home rolling.  Fading Kansas City here, poor play calling by Reid and a defense that was shredded by the same style offense that Cincy runs last week.

Play 1 Unit on Cincy

Southern Miss -16

North Texas is one of the worst teams in College football and despite being down 22-0 at halftime last week, So Miss gave Nebraska all they wanted in Lincoln last week in the second half and threatened to tie the game late in the fourth.  UNT simply cannot stop anyone and Southern Miss has a strong running game, a QB with 9 TD’s and only pick, and a strong home field. North Texas gets pummeled late here.

Play 1 Unit on Southern Miss – Blowout   

Kansas State +8

Bill Snyder with 2 weeks to prepare?  Bill Snyder’s Wildcat teams are 11-2 ATS their last 13 against ranked opponents.  Okie St needed a Texas Special teams blunder to beat a bad Texas last week and again, the Old Ball Coach Snyder has another under the radar Big 12 team who will fight and claw and show up big time in this game.  Okie State has played no one guys, K State will hang tough, grab the points as I always take Snyder in spots like this over the years, it has been flat out money in the bank.

Play 1 Unit on K State

Nebraska -6.5 to 7

The Huskers have struggled this year including last week where they had a commanding 22-0 halftime lead on Southern Miss before falling apart but getting the win.  Illinois is horrific on defense, 6.9 yards per carry allowed, they allowed MTS to throw for 300 yards against them, and Husker QB Armstrong is improving weekly and the Husker running game is deep and fast and will attack Illinois and dominate this game, not to mention Armstrong’s dual threat as he has over 300 yards passing last week and 63 yards on the ground.  The Huskers also get 4 Key players back from injury including the first start of the season for burner and special teams expert Pearson el who is a huge playmaker and word out of Lincoln is he will also see time in the slot.  Huskers undervalued here at this number due to 2-2 record.  They lost to BYU on a hail mary and to Miami in OT. 

Play 2 Units on the Huskers 

Ohio U -2.5

Frank Solich OWNS Akron.  The Bobcats were a big radio play of mine last week and they should have beaten Minnesota and got nixed out of tying FG effort that still has Solich steamed.  Akron ranks 105th in offense in the NCAA and QB Vick for Ohio U is the real deal, and Ohio has numerous more threats on offense than that of the Zips.  Solich is a great coach and will not let a Big 10 matchup defeat last week deflate his team.  Ohio is a contender in the MAC this year gents.

Play 1 Unit on Ohio U

South Carolina / Mizzou UNDER 42

NO offense for Mizzou – starting a raw Frosh QB against the Ol Ball Coach and off a devastating loss to middle of the pack at best Kentucky.  No running game, a QB that will turn it over no doubt here, as his playing time has been against Kentucky, U Conn and Arky State.  Steve Spurrier found some adjustments last week at halftime and played some defense.  Both teams very bad on offense but Mizzou ‘s defense is no joke, especially at home.  Side Play to close to call here and it will come down to 2 or 3 plays, and both teams special team units stink.  This might be a real snooze fest, as Mizzou’s last home game they managed 9 points against U Conn of all people. 17-13 type slugfest here. 

Ply 1 Unit on the Under

Texas -123

Rangers wrapped up a playoff spot last night beating the Angels and tonight they can get the division with a win and face Weaver who has been deplorable with over a 5 ERA his last 3 starts all losses.  Angels back on their heels and losing ground to the Twins and they lose another tonight.  Texas at home in a big game, lots of runs here (Sniff the over) but like Texas to get it done.  Perez a southpaw gets the hill for Texas and LA hits left handers at just .224 the last 5 games. 

Play 1 Unit on Texas 

Cincy +7

Weather is 50-degress, it is 93 in Miami.  Going into this game Miami is missing 2 DB’s to injury and this is Cincy’s biggest game of the year.  Gunner Keil at QB for Cincy is out, HOWEVER his replacement Hayden last week set a school record 557 yards and 4 TD’s but threw a late pick to seal the fate of the Bearcats against Cincy .  Miami has Florida State on deck, on the road against a high flying offense who can keep pace with some defensive guys out, and Al Golden has a tendency to blow games late with poor coaching and Tubberville is no slouch coaching his team.  Home dog worth the stretch here.

Play 1 Unit on Cincy to cover in a tight one. 

OVER 7.5 Astros / Mariners

The Over in this series is 8-1-1 the last 10 games and 15-4-2 the last 21 meetings, and last night was a rare under.  The Astros in a dogfight here for post season action with the Rangers to win the division and sit 1.5 games behind the Rangers so you know they are going to bring it tonight.  Both pitchers tonight are attackable and both bullpens are nothing to brag about and I look for some scoring on both sides in this one. 

Play 1 Unit on the OVER 

Kansas City +7
The combined record of the teams Green Bay has beat is 0-4, and this is a ton of points against a capable team here as Jamal Charles should have success against the Green Bay defense.  Both Seattle and Chicago moved the chains against Green Bay and KC has 10 days off to prepare after letting Denver score 14 points in 35 seconds in a tough loss last Thursday.  KC's offense can put points up and Rodgers will face a pass rush and good secondary here and with Lacey and Adamas out I like KC to keep this very close.
Play 1 Unit on Kansas City
6 Point teaser - tease KC to +13 ands tease the total down to 43 and take the OVER - Half Unit 

Yankees -133

Short on time today - no writeup - Nova on the hill for NY, he owns teams with bad records and the Yanks in the thick of the playoff hunt here and Wild card chase - every win counts - They always dial it in for Boston in the Bronx.  Yanks dialed in here.  Cheap number

Play 1 Unit on NY Yankees  

Oakland +3.5 to 4

Cleveland starting McCown over Johnny Football – BIG MISTAKE.  Oakland has momentum off an Epic win last week over the Ravens and despite Oakland playing little defense, I expect a shootout here (think about the Over here too) and Oakland has many more offensive weapons and Carr the Best QB in this game.  Benching Manziel is a stupid idea for the Browns. 

Play 1 Unit on Oakland

OVER 46 Tenn / Indy

Both teams will score at will here.  Indy has NO secondary at all – Tennessee gave up big plays all day to Johnny Football and have little defense other than 2 pass rushers but expect QB Luck to finally break out this week, and for the Colts also to give up some points. 

Play 1 Unit on the Over

Houston -6.5

Tampa in trouble here.  Houston has underperformed all season but I expect their defense at home to rock Winston and company and the Bucs face a real defense, unlike the hapless and toothless Saints.  Expect Mallet and his WR’s (Hopkins now slated to play) to get some big plays and for Tampa to really struggle in this one big time in back to back roadies.  Look for JJ Watt to reak havoc on Sunday.  Coming out party for the Texans here. 

Play 1 Unit on Houston

Two Team 6 Point Teaser – Full 1 Unit Play - Tease Buffalo to +8.5 and tease Cincy to +8.5  Both teams through 3 key numbers – both could win outright.

Philly +2

Jets on a short week and travel off Monday Night football and flat out yes they have the better defense here but I think Philly is a team destined for better than 0-3 to start despite how bad they looked last week.  This line is an over reaction to what you saw on Monday Night which in all honesty was not an offensive showcase for NY, and also a reaction to the Eagles stinking it up against Dallas.  Fortunes turn different this week.  Jets beat a shitty Cleveland team and an Indy team who quite frankly were poorly coached and have been flat out beat by teams that were better than them at the moment. 

Play 1 Unit on Philly

Arkansas +7 to 7.5  (get the hook)

Yep – taking the Hogs at home.  This is the LAST STAND for the Razorbacks.  Texas AM has looked good this season but other than stunning Arizona State in their opener have played no one.  A closer look at the stats and the numbers for these 2 teams are almost identical.  Arkansas’s defense actually has a better number and Arky is throwing the ball for an unreal 9.7 yards per pass and running it for almost 5 yards a carry.  I say they are a wounded animal in the corner and come out with every trick in the books this week and make a stand against a rival SEC team who has played two easy games in a row and now face a pissed off Razorback crew hungry for a win.

Play 1 Unit on Arkansas

Tennessee -1

Look for UT to end a 10 year losing streak.  Florida cannot run it, as evidenced by barely over 3 yards a carry against Kentucky last week, and Florida's vaunted stop unit faces it's stiffest test to date with a dialed in and revenge hungry Tennessee looking for a breakout win. Tennessee is 6-2 ATS in this series as a visiting underdog and not sure the Florida QB position is all that solid.  Tennessee rested many starters last week against a weak sister so expect them at full strength and focus this week.

Play 1 Unit on Tennessee 

Bowling Green Pick to –1 (Tuesday Lines) Bet asap..up to 3 MAX 

Purdue stinks guys..  Bear in mind Bowling Green already hammered Big 10 Maryland on the road, and they lost by 3 in a shootout to a good Memphis team last week 44-41.  Trust me when I say shootout because that is one sided.  QB Johnson for BG is a rock star QB, he had 12 TD’s against Tennessee, Maryland and Memphis and only 1 pick.  He goes up against Purdue who is allowing 35 ppg, and they are 2-142 SU their last 14 at home and are a Big 10 bottom feeder.  No way Boilermakers trade punches on the scoreboard as while BG’s defense is suspect, they also are putting up 609 yards per game on offense.

Play 2 Units on Bowling Green 

Navy -7

U Conn blew their wad against Missouri last week, blowing a halftime lead.  Missouri’s offense right now is anemic so I put no stock into the fact that U Conn held tough with them, and Mizzou’s best offensive player was out and their QB situation is deplorable.  Navy has no such problems on offense racking up almost 500 yards a game.  U Conn goes from defending the spread attack in a heartbreaking and draining game and loss at Mizzou to playing the Triple Option attack led by QB Reynolds who is a rock star QB at running the triple option and he has 70 TD’s in his career.  Navy fired up about playing in the AAC for the first year and rocked a decent East Carolina last week.  U Conns offense is woeful, did I mention?

Play 1 Unit on Navy

Giants -3 to 3.5

Expect the NY Giants to pound the rock.  A must win for Coughlin and company here and he is flat out a better coach than Gruden all day long.  If games were 58 minutes long in the NFL the Giants would be 2-0.  Instead they GAVE AWAY 2 games and I expect them to get this done tonight against a team with a coach and QB that is not that of the Giants and the Skins face a tough running game with Jennings and Williams hitting them hard.  Cousins forced to throw will not turn out well, and Skins have no deep threat where NY is suspect.

Play 1 Unit on the NY Giants

Cleveland -130

Every win is CRUCIAL for the Tribe and they get their ace Kluber with an ERA of 2.55 his last 3 on the hill under the golden -150 number tonight and he has owned the Twins in the past  Just like a good QB in the NFL laying less than 3 points against a weaker QB, I like getting ace pitchers who perform in the clutch at cheap numbers and betting them.  This is a soft number in what should be a decent game no doubt, but with Hughes for the Twins looking like dog crap his last 3 outings, all losses and in 2 of those games he lasted no more than 3 innings and his ERA against the Tribe this year is over 8!  Did I mention the Tribe is hitting .291 against right handers.  Look for the Tribe to bounce back tonight after losing last night and they have triple revenge headed into this one.  Ask yourself – who is the better starter and who of the 2 starters gets more run support, gentlemen that is Cleveland and Kluber.

Play 3 Units on Cleveland

My MLB SPECIAL – From now through the World Series, I offer up all of it for $100 on my site.  12-4 last year in the post season and 13-5 the year before.  Low Volume – high return and experience. 

Pittsburgh -143

Going with the Pirates again in this series, JA Happ is a solid pitcher and the hot hitting Pirates facing Rusin who has over a 6 ERA his last 3 starts and to fill in for him is a bullpen that is over a 5 ERA in relief in the past 5 games.  Pirates playing for home filed in the post season and are dialed in.  Easy win again after a 9-3 white washing of the Rockies last night.  Motivation is a key factor as I stated last night, Pirates have it, the Rockies do not.

Play 1 unit on the Pirates.  

Pirates –137

Love Pitt here hanging on to a 2 game lead over the Cubs for playoff home field who look to have an easy win tonight, so expect the Pirates to get all over the Rockies in this one.  John Grey gets the start for Colorado and has made it to past 5 innings just twice in 8 games, he is 0-1 in 8 starts. AJ Burnett needs a good outing as he has not looked sharp in his last 3 games, I think he gets it done here.  Pitt highly motivated, not the Rockies. 

Play 1 Unit on Pittsburgh

Over 46.5 Colts / Jets

Indy has serious concerns in their secondary, 2 starters out, a LB out as well.  The Jets ground game in trouble here with Ivory listed as doubtful with a groin, and they relied on him in big doses last week against the Browns and he had a big day.  I think Indy’s offense gets on track here and gets the win, and I also think the Jets will rely on Decker and Marshall in the passing game to expose a weak secondary and offset a potential issue with their best RB not 100% and a questionable to play, and QB Fitzpatrick is capable.

Play 1 Unit on the Over

2 Team 6 Point Same Game Teaser – Tease Indy down to -1  and tease the Total down to 40.5 and Take the Over.  HALF UNIT 

Green Bay -3 to -3.5 (buy the hook down for -120 for insurance if u care to)

Triple revenge, NFC Championship debacle, Seattle defense gave up 31 points, that is right 31 points to ST LOUIS last week.  Green Bay has had this circled all off season, and Green Bay is the better team and while Lynch will have a big day running as GB surrendered  180 yard to Chicago on the ground, Green Bays Aaron Rodgers wants this as much as you want to win the lottery.  Shootout in Green Bay in a high scoring game, Green Bay by 10 gents.   Legion of Boom was shredded last week, Rodgers will shred them this week. 

Play 2 Units on Green Bay

Lions +3

Better team.  Minny looked lost on Monday and on a short week play a pissed off Detroit team that blew an 18 point lead at San Diego last week.  Detroit loaded on offense, Stafford a better QB by a longshot and the Lions have 3 options at RB and we all saw last week what Hyde from the 49ers did to them on the ground.  Norv Turner lost with this offense and AP got 10 touches last week, expect him to see more but Bridgewater way overrated.  Minny was hyped all year, they have issues everywhere, wow. 

Play 1 Unit on Detroit

Cincy -3

San Diego beat up in the secondary including their stud, and offensive lineman is out and Cincy flat out will expose a weak secondary with their weapons.  Yes Oakland is bad by Dalton and company put on a clinic and Cincy defense at full strength here.

Play 1 Unit on Cincy

2 TEAM 6 POINT TEASER- 1 UNIT – Tease Baltimore down to -.5 and Tease Cleveland to +7  

Houston +3

All overt the Texans here, and an insider told me in Vegas that a prominent Las Vegas Bettor put a max bet on this as well.  Carolina without their stud WR, and possibly a stud LB.  Carolina did enough to beat Jax, but I like Mallett at QB for Houston and Houston’s defense will shut down 1 dimensional Carolina on offense.  I expect Houston to win outright in a low scoring one here.  TE Olsen caught 1 ball last week and Newton will be shadowed this whole game.

Play 1 Unit on Houston

UTEP -3

Good line drop from 4 in a series UTEP has dominated.  This is a play against New Mexico State more than anything who just lost at home to Georgia State!  New Mexico State is 10-25-2 ATS their last 37 games folks and UTEP in no stellar team but they have won 6 in a row in this series and after playing big boys Arkansas and Texas Tech, they will be glad to see a team on their level, however they are flat out better.  I see a double digit win here.  UTEP HAS SCORED 42-42-41 AGAINST THE Aggies in the past 3 years, all blowout wins. 

Play 1 Unit on UTEP 

T

South Carolina +16.5

Look Georgia had a hard time beating Vandy, they have QB issues and South Carolina is left for dead folks, and while losing to Kentucky because they lost their QB in that game and still outgained Kentucky, not willing to lay it here as the Ol Ball Caoch is a better coach than Georgia’s.  Too many points in this SEC game, I will take them and the Gamecocks here to make a stand.  South Carolina’s 2nd string QB fared very well last week.  

Play 1 Unit on South Carolina

Northern Illinois +35

Yeah I am grabbing 5 TDs at the kickoff against Ohio State with Northern Illinois who has averaged 594 yards of offense over their first 2 games, and yes Murray State and UNLV are not even close to Ohio State but NIU is no slouch in these one sided games in terms of depth and talent, they are 9-1 ATS the last 10 games against Big 10 foes and they are capable of putting up 14-21 points here and easily cover this number.  NIU QB Hare is no joke and will command attention when throwing it.  David versus Goliath and Ohio State managed a 38 point win last week against Hawaii who is no where the talent of NIU, who had beaten straight up their last 3 Big 10 opponents in Northwestern, Illinois and Iowa, and this is a team who has won at least 11 games a year for the past 5 years in a row and they will not lay down.

Play 1 Unit Northern Illinois

Navy -4.5

All over the Midshipmen here and their potent ground attack by triple option expert QB Reynolds against a rebuilding from 5 of East Carolina on the road for the second straight week after a very draining game against Florida last week.  East Carolinas defense should get shredded here.  Of note is the fact this is the first year EVER in Navy’s history they belong to a conference and this is their opener, and they have had an added week to prepare for this one. 

Play 1 Unit on Navy

Rice -7.5

Already at 8 in some places, North Texas IS A BAD BALL TEAM, home or not it does not matter.  Last week SMU who was 1-11 in 2014 was my Top play against them and they blew them up, and Rice will do the same.  No offense, terrible QB situation and the offensive line of No. Texas will have issues again against the Owl Attack.  Rice head coach David Bailiff is an underrated coach and his team is always competitive even against good foes and are on a 28-14 ATS spread run.  Owls offense is enough to get over here led by QB Jackson who can flat out run this offense.  Rice scored 14 unanswered in the 4th quarter against Texas last week and although they lost by 2 TD’s, as usual a Baiiff coached team never quits.

Play 2 Units on Rice.