5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Year on Lakers/Spurs UNDER 201.5
I liked this one when it opened and now the overs-loving public is giving us even better value by driving the line up. These teams have not exceeded a total score of 199 points in any of their last 11 matchups and with this game being played in San Antonio, where the Spurs always control the tempo, I can't see this one coming close to the number tonight. The Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in San Antonio and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The Under is 15-4 in Spurs last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 12-2 in Spurs last 14 vs. NBA Pacific. The Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 games as a road underdog. Pound the Under!

4* Major NBA REVENGER on Magic -8
One characteristic of bad teams is that they rarely put together good performance in back-to-back games. After a big outright win over Dallas, I expect the Kings to fall flat on their face tonight against one of the best road teams in the NBA. The Kings have not won back-to-back games since early November. The Magic are 26-12 ATS in all games this season and are 14-5 SU and ATS in road games this year. Orlando is playing with tons of confidence right now and it will not allow the Kings to be a road bump. Orlando is 15-4 ATS in non-conference games this season, 15-3 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season, and 14-4 ATS after playing a road game this season. We'll back the Magic tonight.

3* NBA Total of the Week on Hawks/Suns OVER 212
The Suns offense is playing as well as it has all season, scoring 100 or more points in 13 of their last 14 games and breaking the 110-point mark in 8 of those games. Phoenix is 11-1 OVER in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The average score in these games was 113.3 to 108. The Suns have decided to speed up their play again and it is working, but at the same time the defense is allowing more points because of it. I like this one to reach a total of at least 220 so we'll take the over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Year on Bulls +3
I love the Bulls in the home dog role here. Odds makers are extremely confident that Chicago will win this one outright and have given the Bulls a few insurance points as well because they know that the betting public will be all over the Blazers. While Portland has a better record on the season, it is just 8-10 on the road and only 6-12 ATS in those games. The Bulls have struggled away from home but are a strong 12-6 at the United Center. This is an extreme bounce back spot for the Bulls after losing at home to the worst team in the NBA (OKC Thunder). This is also a huge revenge spot as the Bulls were beaten severely, 116-74 in Portland on November 19. The Trail Blazers are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 Monday games while the Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. The Trail Blazers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Bulls are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Bet the Bulls!

4* Major NBA Non-Conference GOTM on Magic +3
I'll gladly take the better team catching 3 points here. Orlando is one of the best road teams in the NBA with a 13-5 SU and ATS record. The Spurs are 14-6 at home but only 8-11-1 ATS in those games. Orlando already has a 12-point home win over the Spurs this season in a game where they held San Antonio to only 78 points. Orlando is 8-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season, 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons, 14-4 ATS in non-conference games this season, and 12-1 ATS after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less over the last 3 seasons. Take the Magic.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA BLOOD BATH on T-Wolves -1
While Milwaukee has a better record on the season, it's all about what have you done for me lately when capping the NBA. The Wolves have won 4 straight and 6 in a row ATS. They also have the advantage of 3 days rest over a Bucks teams which just played last night. The Wolves have won 9 of the last 12 in this matchup and they will give your bookie a blood bath tonight.

4* Major NBA Road Warrior of the Week on Heat -4
Plain and simple, the best player in the NBA this season, Dwayne Wade, is not going to let his team go down to a Kings team that is 1-10 in its last 11 games. Miami is 4-1 SU and ATS versus the Kings over the last 3 seasons and is 19-4 ATS versus the Kings since 1996. Miami has already crushed Sac 103-77 this season and it will be 8-10 points better tonight. Lay the number.

3* Friday Night NBA Line Mistake on Thunder +7
Plain and simple, the odds makers have undervalued the Thunder yet again because they know the public will continue to fade this team, especially after it was just drilled in its last game. The reality is that the Thunder have covered 8 of their last 10 and 17 of their last 23. The Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Month on Hornets -15.5
The stars have aligned for us here. We get an undermanned Clippers team that just played on the road in San Antonio last night against a Hornets team that will be ready to take out its frustrations over a 26-point loss to Utah two days ago. I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Hornets win this one by 30. The Clippers have lost 9 in a row and are struggling mightily without Davis, Kaman, and Randolph as I highlighted yesterday. The Clippers are 1-8 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season. New Orleans is 13-2 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 18-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Pound the Hornets!

4* Major NBA Thursday Night BEST BET on Spurs -13
LA is going without Baron Davis, Chris Kaman, and Zach Randolph tonight, in other words, the majority of their scoring. The only way the Spurs don't embarrass the Clipps tonight is if they are ice cold and I don't see that happening at home. The Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Pacific and 8-1 ATS after a non-conference game this season. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA GOTM on Jazz -4
This is an exceptional spot to take one of the NBA's best home teams against a Hornets team that is in a major letdown spot following a big win over the Lakers. The Jazz are 13-4 at home this season and have beaten the Hornets 11 times in their last 14 meetings at home. The Jazz are 18-5-1 ATS in their last 24 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less and 15-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Here's the kicker: NO is 2-12 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog since 1996,losing by 13.7 ppg in these spots. In addition, the Hornets played last night and then had to travel. I'll take the fresher Jazz at home.

4* Major NBA Total of the Week on Bobcats/Cavs UNDER 182.5
This line opened at 178 and is now up 4.5 points. Odds makers hope the over keeps right on getting pounded because they know that the under is the smart money play. In two previous meetings this season, these teams have combined for just 175 and 168 points with the Bobcats scoring in the 70's both times. Both of those were blowout losses for the Cats. Charlotte is 12-4 UNDER when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season. Here's the bread winner: Cleveland is 229-26 UNDER when they allow 86 or less points in a game since 1996. The average score in these spots totals just 167.7. Take the Under.

4* Major Public Massacre of the Month on Bobcats +9
Boston is in a bit of a funk, having lost 4 of its last 6. While I think the Celtics rebound to get a win here, it won't be easy and they won't come close to covering the number. While Boston has won 6 of 9 meetings between these teams over the last 3 seasons, it is Charlotte that is 7-2 ATS in those games. Boston barely edged out the Bobcats 89-84 in Charlotte in an earlier meeting this season also. The Underdog is a perfect 11-0 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take the Bobcats!

3* Sunday NBA BEST BET on Cavs -9
Cleveland has dropped 3 of its last 4 ATS or we would be laying double digits here. It's time to jump back on the Cavs who are 23-9 ATS in all games this season. Washington played Cleveland to a tough 4-point game on X-Mas day but I expect the Cavs to send a message here. Lay the points.

3* NBA Dog of the Day on Thunder +8
Denver has not been at its best lately, losing 5 of its last 9. The Thunder continue to lose, yet they also cover, as odds makers continue to take advantage of the public fading them. We won't get caught in that trap here. The Thunder have covered the number in 15 of their last 20 and 6 of their last 7. We'll take the points.

3* NBA New Year's Eve Line Mistake on Thunder +3
The wrong team is favored in this matchup. We won't complain, we'll just take advantage. The Thunder may have a terrible record, but is has covered 14 of its last 19 games and faces a Warriors team that is just 4-16 on the road this season. The Warriors are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Non-Conference GOTW on Blazers +4.5
The public is pounding the Celtics which means that odds makers have them right where they want them. Portland has home court and rest in its favor and it will most definitely get up for a Boston team that beat them earlier this month. Recent losses by the C's to LA and Golden State will give the Blazers a little bit more confidence tonight as Boston has not looked so invincible on this road trip. Portland is 11-3 SU and 9-5 ATS at home. Portland is 31-14 ATS as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons and 20-9 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. You might even be able to get this one at a bit better line as the public pounds Boston, but I'll lock in here to get this one out to you guys. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Fave of the Week on T-Wolves -2
Minnesota has lost 9 straight and the Wolves will leave it all out on the floor to pick up a win against a team they know they can beat. Memphis is only 2-12 on the road this season and 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games as a road underdog. The Timberwolves are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home. We'll lay the points as the Wolves finally break through tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Nuggets -6.5
Denver is 15-3 ATS in home non-conference games over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 113.6 to 99.5 and 15-5 ATS on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. Denver is 10-4 at home this season and I look for a well-rested Nuggets team to finally regroup following a stretch where they dropped 4 of 5. With Melo out, we gain additional line value. While he is always missed for this team, it will not matter tonight as the Sixers are playing without their big horse Elton Brand. Make the lay.

4* Major NBA Steal of the Week on Bobcats +4.5
Charlotte is catching too many points on the road this season and why would the odds makers stop now when books are making big cash on the public going against Charlotte. While the Bobcats are only 2-9 in road games, they are 8-3 ATS and 17-12 ATS in all games this season. New Jersey is only 5-10 SU and ATS at home this year. New Jersey is only 4-13 ATS in home December games over the last 2 seasons. The Bobcats have won 3 of 4 and will have an excellent opportunity to steal this one tonight and I think they get the job done. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Rematch on Celtics +2.5
Besides the fact that Boston is playing the best ball in the NBA right now and is on pace to have the best record in NBA history, the Celtics will win this one because they are the superior defensive team. Boston allows 6.1 ppg less than the Lakers. Boston is 18-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 97 to 89.8 while LA is 5-15 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons,losing by an average score of 98.7 to 102.8. LA is also 1-12 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=43% over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 98.3 to 104.5. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Cavs -7.5
The Cavs will definitely get up for a Houston team that has also been rolling. We'll ride the best covering team in the league tonight as this line appears a little soft. The Cavs are 11-2 ATS at home this season and 21-6 ATS in all games. Cleveland is also 18-4 ATS as a favorite this season. Houston does not play uptempo hoops well and I expect the Cavs to turn this one into a track meet. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Lakers/Grizzlies OVER 203.5
The Lakers have lost back-to-back games and that will be bad news for Memphis tonight. While my lean is with LA on the side, I think the odds makers have set a decent number and where they have missed their mark is with the total. Each of the last 3 meetings in Memphis between these two teams have gone over the total. The Lakers are 9-1 OVER after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons, with these games totaling 220.4 on average. The Lakers are also 13-2 OVER after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons and 15-4 OVER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 5 or more consecutive games since 1996. In other words, the over has been the play when LA is in a bounce back spot. Pound the Over.

5* NBA Favorite of the Month on Memphis Grizzlies -2.5
Charlotte is just 1-9 on the road this season and while it has been a solid road covering team, it won't get the job done tonight against a Grizzlies squad playing good hoops. Memphis has won 4 of 5 and is 4-0-1 ATS in those games. Memphis is 2-0 SU and ATS in this matchup the past two seasons and has won 4 straight home games in this series. Charlotte is just 13-30 ATS against Southwest division opponents since 1996, losing these games by an average score of 87.6 to 98.4. Lay the points.

4* Major on Knicks -3
New York is a solid 7-4 SU and ATS at home this season and has covered the spread in 7 straight games (and 9 of L10). Milwaukee has already beaten the Knicks twice this season so they will be out for revenge here. The Bucks are only 5-12 on the road and 7-17 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NY is 7-0 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog this season and 11-1 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog this season. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on New Jersey Nets +4.5
I like the Nets in this one with Devin Harris showing his former team what they are missing out one. Dallas has lost 5 of its last 6 ATS and is just 8-18 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Dallas is 7-20 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons and only 6-16 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons period. Take the Nets as Harris' speed will be a major problem for Dallas in this game.

4* Major NBA on TNT BEST BET on Blazers -4
Just as the 76ers line moved in our favor last night, this line has as well to strengthen this play. This is a huge revenge spot for a Blazers team which now believes it can beat the Suns. The Blazers have lost 9 straight to Phoenix over the last 3 seasons including a 10-point loss on the road this year and they will be out for blood. Portland is 8-2 at home this season. It is 29-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons and 31-16 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA BEST BET on 76ers -3.5
I liked this one when the line first opened and it has moved nicely in our favor to give us even a little bit better value. First off, Milwaukee has struggled against the Atlantic Division at 13-27 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The 76ers absolutely destroyed the Bucks in the last two meetings of last season, winning 119-97 and 112-69. Odds makers know exactly how often the Bucks have been covering the number this season and that's why they have not given them enough points tonight. Lay the number with Philly.

5* NBA Western Conference GOTM on Clippers -4.5
The Clippers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series and 8-1 ATS in the last 9 road meetings. The Clippers are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the NBA Northwest, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Western Conference, and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Thunder are only 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5 and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Clippers are off back to back wins and starting to get something going. Pound LA tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Bulls -2
Charlotte has lost 7 straight, and after going down in Atlanta last night, the Bobcats will not have enough gas left in their tank to come out on top against a well rested Bulls team. The Bulls have won 11 of the last 15 meetings and are 5-2 SU and ATS against the Bobcats the last 3 seasons. The Bulls have won 3 of their last 4 games and can get back to the .500 mark with a win tonight. Take Chicago here.

3* SUREFIRE on Bobcats +7.5
Off its biggest win of the season over an unstoppable Cleveland team, I'll go against Atlanta in a letdown spot tonight. Charlotte has already played the Hawks to a 5-point game on the road this season and will be very hungry for a win after dropping 6 in a row. While Charlotte is just 1-8 on the road, it is 6-3 ATS in those games. Plays against home favorites - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-17 ATS since 1996. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA BLOOD BATH on Kings -2
Sac has won 10 of its last 12 home meetings against the Knicks and is a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at home against NY the last 2 seasons. The Kings have been playing well, splitting a home and home with the Lakers and covering the spread in both. NY is just 3-8 on the road this season and it will fall victim to a hungry Kings squad tonight. The Knicks are only 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5. Take the Kings.

4* Major Home Court Advantage CASH COW on Jazz -4.5

The Jazz are about as solid as a team can be on their home floor with a 47-7 run in tact in their building. They have the huge edge tonight against a Magic team coming in off an emotionally and physically exhausting 1-point loss to Phoenix last night. Dwight Howard left in the third quarter last night with a knee injury and it could keep him out tonight. At the very least, he will not be at full strength against a Jazz team which likes to push it up and down the floor. We'll lay the points.

4* Major NBA Total of the Week on Bulls/Grizz OVER 199.5
I liked this one when it opened and as expected it has moved even further in our favor. Chicago is all "O" and no "D" this season and is giving up 103.8 ppg on the road. The Bulls have scored 117 and 105 in back to back wins while the Grizz have scored 109 and 108 in back to back wins and this number does not account for how well these two teams are clicking right now on the offensive end. The Over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings, 7-1 in Grizzlies last 8 overall, 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, and 8-2 in Grizzlies last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Pound the Over.

3* SUREFIRE on 76ers +10.5
Philly lost by 8 at home to the Cavs to days ago, but I like them to hang even tougher in this one. Cleveland is as white hot as you can be, but they are banged up and it is very difficult to pull off the sweep in these home and home situations. Philly is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 meetings in Cleveland and 12-3 ATS in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons. I have Cleveland's run of good fortune finally ending tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Jazz -1.5
Utah was among the NBA's best home teams a season ago and it is picking up right where it left off with a 9-3 home mark right out of the gate. Utah has also already played Portland at home this season and was victorious by 7 points. The Blazers have dropped 5 in a row ATS as well. Utah is 18-5 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 104.3 to 91.8. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Punisher on Wizards +10.5
The public is too caught up with the fact that Boston is 20-2 and Washington is 4-15 to realize that the Wizards are quietly playing better basketball. The Wizards have been an underdog in each of their last five games and have covered the spread in all five. This run included a two-point loss to the Lakers and a decisive 13-point win over Detroit. Washington has won 4 straight home games against Boston and the underdog is a strong 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings. And here's the kicker, Boston is only 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a road favorite of 5-10.5 points. Take Washington.

5* Wiseguy NBA GOTM on Raptors -3.5
I love the Raptors at home tonight as they will be looking to bounce back strong following last night's blowout defeat at the hands of the Cavs. Indiana is just 2-8 on the road this season and has lost each of its last 3 road games SU and ATS. The Raptors have had Indy's number. The Pacers are just 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Toronto and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall. The Pacers are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. the Eastern Conference. Expect Bosh to go off tonight after coming off a season-low nine points. We'll take the Raptors big at home.

4* Major NBA Favorite of the Week on Suns -6
The Bucks have lost 20 straight at Phoenix and that streak will not come to an end tonight. The Bucks have been a strong covering team this season but odds makers have not given them enough points tonight. The Suns snapped a 4-game winning streak with a big win over Utah and that win gives them plenty of momentum to blowout the Bucks tonight. The Suns beat Milwaukee by 8 on the road to cover the number in an earlier season contest and I like them by at least 10 here. Lay the points.

4* Major Monday Night NBA BEST BET on LA Clippers +4.5
Now that the Clippers coaching staff has opted to play its solid starting 5 more minutes, the team is playing much better hoops. As a result, the Clipps have covered the spread in five of their last six games. The Clippers have won 4 of the last 5 against the Magic and matchup very well against them this season with Camby now aboard to defense Howard. The Home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the Magic are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles. Also, the Magic have come out of the weekends a little hung over and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Monday games as a result. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Pacers +11
Off a lopsided defeat to Boston, I look for the Pacers to bounce back strong tonight. They have the firepower to score against Cleveland and that will allow them to stay in this game. Indiana has already played the Cavs to a 4-point game in Cleveland this season. Indians is 11-1 ATS after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 109.9 to 103.4. Take the points tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Nuggets -4.5
Denver is rolling, having won 12 of its last 15. The Nugs are a healthy 12-6 against the number in all games this season and 6-2 ATS at home. The Spurs defense is not as good as it has been in year's past and that opens them up for a beatdown tonight. Denver is 11-1 ATS in home games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game since 1996, winning these games by an average score of 102.1 to 91.8. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Boston -13
I love the Celtics in this spot tonight. Indy is coming off of a huge win by 1-point over the Lakers last night and now must play at Boston tonight which will be out for revenge after getting trounced by Indy earlier this season. No way Indy can bounce back after such an emotionally and physically draining game and this line reflects that. The Pacers are only 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings with the Celtics. Boston is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Lay the number.

3* SUREFIRE on Nuggets -6.5
I like the Nuggets at home against the struggling Raptors tonight. Toronto has dropped 5 straight ATS and it takes on a Denver team that has won 11 of its last 14 games. The Raptors are a pathetic 6-24 ATS in their last 30 games playing on 1 days rest, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest. The Nuggets are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Atlantic and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Month on Lakers/Pacers OVER 212
The Lakers are putting up huge numbers, scoring better than 112 points five times during their current 7 game winning streak, and they'll help drive this thing over the number tonight. LA has gone over the number in four straight games and the Pacers have gone over in 4 of their last 5. The Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 vs. Eastern Conference and 13-3-2 in Pacers last 18 vs. Western Conference. Odds makers are begging for us to take the Under here with this line but we won't bite. Pound the over.

3* SUREFIRE on Celtics -8.5
I'll take Boston at home, where they have dominated the Magic, with two of Orlando's starting guards out. The Home team is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings. The Magic are 2-11 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Boston. The Celtics are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning SU record while the Magic are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. We'll lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Magic/Celtics U 189.5
The Under is a strong 17-5 in the Magic's last 22 road games, 21-8 in the Magic's last 29 vs. the Eastern Conference, and 5-1 in their last 6 vs. the NBA Atlantic. Boston is 27-12 Under in home games against Southeast division opponents since 1996 and the Under is also 20-7 in the Celtics' last 27 Monday games. Take the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy Western Conference GOTM on Thunder +2
I love Oklahoma City in this bounce back spot tonight against another NW Division team that's not worth a lick. The Thunder are coming off their absolute worst performance of the season and that always means better the next time out. Plays on any team after 6 or more consecutive losses, first half of the season are 64-34 ATS the last5 seasons. Minnesota is only 5-17 ATS in road games after a game with 20 or more offensive rebounds since 1996. The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Northwest including 2-0 this season. They beat Minnesota at home by 3 earlier this season for their one and only win and that gives them a lot of confidence going up against the Wolves again. We'll take the points.

4* Major NBA Total of the Month on Knicks/Pistons UNDER 209.5
Plays under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 25-6 UNDER since 1996. We'll pound this 80.6% system tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on 76ers -3.5
Philly is 5-2 at home this season and I like them to cool the Magic off tonight. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game while the Magic are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Fade the Magic in this letdown spot.

4* Major NBA Dog of the Week on Knicks +7
The Knicks are 5-2 at home this season and scoring tons of points in MSG (109.4). There new style of play under coach D'Antoni is going to have them playing much more competitive basketball as we have already seen in the early going as other teams are not conditioned to play this uptempo style the entire game. The underdog has brought home the bacon in this series 9 of the last 12 times and the Cavs are only 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Plays against road favorites (CLEVELAND) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record are 39-13 ATS since 1996. Take the Knicks.

3* SUREFIRE on Rockets -3
Houston has been very impressive on the road this season with a 6-3 SU and ATS mark. The Rockets are really playing solid basketball, winning 4 of their last 5 SU and ATS. Houston is also 3-1 SU and ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons in this series. The Rockets have a big advantage on the interior tonight and are also the superior defensive team. That is why you are going to see this team by successful on the road this year and that is why you saw them go on that long winning spree last season. Miami is 3-17 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons and 1-10 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Take the Rockets.

4* Major NBA Road Warrior of the Month on Magic -2
The Magic are on fire, winning 8 of their last 9, and this small number will be no problem for them to conquer tonight. The Magic are now 20-6 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons and I fully expect this trend of early season success to continue because of the great offensive balance that they have. Indians is only 10-22 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. We'll lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Blazers -6
Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO)after 5 straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less against an opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 30-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. After coming up short in a great effort against the Lakers, Chicago endures a letdown tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Hawks -7.5
Since winning their first 6 games, the Hawks have dropped 4 in a row. They are back at home tonight and I like them to run the 1-7 Wizards right off the court. Washington is 0-4 on the road this season and 0-3 in division games. The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA BLOWOUT of the Week on Nuggets -8.5
Denver is rolling having won 5 of 6 SU and 7 of 10 ATS this season. Bringing in an unselfish leader in Billups and shipping AI off was a great move for this team. Denver is 18-5 ATS versus Milwaukee over the last 23 meetings and 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS the last 12. Redd is likely to return tonight for Milwaukee but you'll see the rust on him. Big play tonight on the Nuggets at home.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Utah -1.5
The Jazz could be without Williams and Okur tonight, but it won't matter in my book. They have lost three in a row on the road and will return home hungry against a team they have dominated at home. Utah jumped out to a 6-1 start without Williams so this team has proven that it can win without him on the floor. Utah won two of three against Phoenix last season, and has taken six of eight in the series overall and the Jazz are a perfect 4-0 at home this season. We'll play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTAH) off 2 or more consecutive road losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team. This system is 48-21 ATS since 1996. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Oklahoma City +8.5
The Thunder is overdue for a win having lost 7 in a row and I like them to really challenge for one tonight as they return home from a two-game road trip to take on a Rockets team which has been very up and down on the road this season. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Pistons +2.5
Detroit is 11-2 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 3 seasons. The Pistons are 5-1 SU and ATS on the road this season. The Pistons are also 8-4 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games at Phoenix. We'll take the points.

4* Major NBA Beat Down of the Night on Pacers -1
Indiana is 5-2 ATS in all games this season and is rolling having won 3 straight. Indy is also 5-2 SU and ATS versus the Sixers the last 7 meetings. The 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Lay the point.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on New Orleans -1
The Hornets are at home with 4 days of rest under their belts while the Lakers played on the road last night. The jetlagged Lakers will endure their first loss of the season tonight at the hands of the fresh Hornets. The Hornets are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 vs. NBA Pacific, 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 home games, and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Lay the point.

3* SUREFIRE on Bulls -3.5
I really like the Bulls at home tonight laying a small number against a Hawks team overdue for a loss. The Bulls have beaten the Hawks 7 straight times at the United Center and I like them to prevail again here. Atlanta is 1-11 ATS in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points over the last 2 seasons, 2-11 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons, and 5-15 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Take the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference GOTM on Knicks +3.5
I love the 4-2 Knicks tonight against the 1-4 Spurs without Ginobli and Parker. NY is rolling having won 3 straight and the Spurs will not have the horses to stay with them here. San Antonio is 0-5 ATS this season and odds makers continue to overvalue this team because of the public's perception of it. Coach D'Antoni is 19-5 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher in all games he has coached since 1996, winning these games by an average score of 104.2 to 97.1. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Memphis Grizzlies +12
The Road team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series and the Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss. Plays against home favorites (PHOENIX) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 45-17 ATS since 1996. Phoenix is 4-17 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. Take Memphis.

4* Major NBA Upset of the Week on Pacers +9.5
The Pacers are getting too many points tonight and we'll make the books pay for it. Indiana is an improved team this season but the odds makers haven't bothered to adjust their lines to it yet because they know that the public is still wanting to fade this team. However, Indy is 2-0 ATS vs. the Eastern Conference this season with a blowout win over Boston and it took the Pistons down to the wire on the road. The Pacers also hung with a very good Suns team before letting the game slip away late to lose by 10. Indiana is 19-8 ATS after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Pacers have an excellent opportunity to win this game even as big dogs. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Knicks +6
Washington is 0-3 and will be really gunning for its first win of the year tonight but it is not 6 points better than the Knicks. I see this one going right down to the wire so we'll take the points. Washington is 8-20 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons and 3-14 ATS after a game where their opponent was called for 30 or more fouls over the last 3 seasons. NY has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings and is 3-1 ATS in the last 4 at Washington. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Spurs -4
After getting blown out my rival Dallas last night, the Spurs will buckle down and get their first win of the season tonight. San Antonio is 22-6 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers since 1996, winning these games by 10.1 ppg on average. I like the defensive intensity to pick up a lot tonight and for the Spurs to come out on top by a comfortable margin.

4* Major Totals BEST BET on Bobcats/Knicks OVER 203
After scoring 120 points in the opener, the Knicks have looked terrible, scoring in the 80's in consecutive games. They will break out again tonight for another big point total to push this thing over the number. All four games played at New York between these two teams the past two seasons have gone over the number. The over is already 51-34 in the last 85 games the Knicks have played and they are playing more uptempo hoops this year. The Over is 20-7 in Knicks last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game and 25-11 in Knicks last 36 overall. Bet the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Month on Mavs/Spurs UNDER 189
We'll take the under in a matchup which is always physical and very defense-oriented. It comes as no surprise that the Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. In fact, the Under is 19-8-1 in the Spurs last 28 vs. division opponents. That tells you how much this team gets up for Divisional games. The Under is 10-1 in the Mavericks last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 6-0 in the Mavericks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Dog of the Week on Grizzlies +2
A shorthanded Golden State team will struggle on the road tonight. Golden State is 15-33 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Warriors are just 8-21 ATS in their last 29 vs. the Western Conference, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. Memphis is a much improved team but the odds makers won't adjust the lines accordingly yet when they can make money off of the public perception that the Grizzlies are still bad. If their win over Orlando didn't prove it to you, there win tonight should.

3* SUREFIRE on Bobcats +6.5
Charlotte has had a lot of success at home against the Pistons and as a result is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 home meetings with Detroit. Charlotte is coming off a big confidence-boosting home win over Miami and will ride that momentum here. The Home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and playing off a day's rest has been the magical covering recipe for Charlotte which is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. Take the points.

3* Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Raptors +1
The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this matchup and I have them beating an overmatched Bucks side tonight. The Bucks are just 10-26 ATS in their last 36 vs. the NBA Atlantic, 7-20 ATS in their last 27 vs. the Eastern Conference, and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Take the Raptors tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Bulls +9
This is a huge revenge game for the Bulls who lost all four of their games to Boston last season. It's easy to see that Chicago will be much improved offensively with Rose running the point. Odds makers are feeding on the public perception that Boston will carry this season coming of a NBA title, but the reality is that the Bulls are catching too many points tonight. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Monster Mismatch of the Night on Heat -5.5
Miami has a lot of things going in its favor tonight. First off, they are at home playing a team from the opposite coast. It is tough enough to win on the road but especially when traveling across multiple time zones. Secondly, the Kings are a one-man show with no more Artest and Bibby in town and with Brad Miller serving the second game of a 5-game suspension. That leaves Kevin Martin to do all of the work and now he's a marked man across the league. Thirdly, the Heat showed against New York that they can score the basketball. Sac won't be able to keep up with the Heat tonight. In addition, Miami is 10-1 SU and ATS at home against the Kings over the last 11 meetings. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Raptors -7.5
This play is very similar to my play on the Kings/Heat in that Golden State is going to find it very tough playing across multiple time zones tonight, especially without Monte Ellis. Furthermore, the home team has brought home the bacon in this matchup, covering the spread in 6 of the last 8 games. Golden State is also 15-29 ATS after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots over the last 2 seasons. A much colder Warrior team is going to be able to keep up with the Raptors here.

4* Major NBA on TNT Game of the Week on Mavs -4
Dallas has Houston's number. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. The Mavs have also been a covering machine in divisional play. The Mavericks are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 vs. NBA Southwest. The Mavericks have dominated this series lately, having won 10 of the last 12 regular-season meetings. We saw last night that Houston still is not an explosive offensive team. The Rockets can't keep up with Dallas tonight. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Grizzlies +12
The Grizzlies are getting too many points tonight. Houston is not a team that gets out of the gate quickly and it is also not an explosive team. You don't see many blowouts from the Rockets and they will likely struggle early on as they try to fit Ron Artest into the lineup. Grizzlies keep this one close.

4* Major ESPN Game of the Week on Suns +2.5
This is a statement game for the Suns right out of the gate after getting taken out of the postseason by the Spurs a season ago. All-Star guard Manu Ginobili is out until at least mid-December while recovering from ankle surgery and that will be the difference tonight. This small line game should tell us something as San Antonio is only 6-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by 5.8 ppg on average. The Underdog is also a healthy 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Take the Suns tonight.

5* Wiseguy Western Conference Game of the Month on T-Wolves -5.5
The Timberwolves have covered well against the Pacific at 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. the NBA Pacific Division. It's going to be a tough year for the Kings without Ron Artest and Mike Bibby in the lineup. Sac will especially be weak on the interior and that's why Minnesota wins this game by double digits. Expect All-Star Al Jefferson to have a field day. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Central Division GOTM on Bulls -6
This is a statement game right out of the gate for Chicago who knows it did not live up to expectations a season ago and now has the No. 1 overall pick in the draft to run the team. Derrick Rose averaged 13.3 ppg and 5.0 apg during the preseason and should have little trouble sustaining those solid numbers. The Bulls have won five straight home games over the Bucks, and 12 of the last 14 meetings between the teams at the United Center. Milwaukee is a very poor road team and defensive team. The Bucks also have a slew of new guys who still need time to learn to play with one another. Bulls big in this one.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Elimination Game of the Year on Celtics -4
Tonight is the night that Bean Town cuts down the nets. The Lakers are 0-7 ATS in the last 7 meetings, 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 NBA Championship games, 0-8 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Celtics are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Pacific, and 14-2 ATS in their last 16 vs. the Western Conference. Boston has been unbeatable at home this postseason with their hard nosed defense. Bet Boston.

5* Wiseguy Game 5 "Total" Domination Play on Celtics/Lakers UNDER 191
Oddsmakers refuse to adjust the total much at all. Boston's defense will make sure this game goes under again. The Under is a perfect 7-0 in the Celtics last 7 road games and 4-1 in the Celtics last 5 overall. The Under is 5-0 in the Lakers last 5 home games and 8-1 in the Lakers last 9 overall. With the Celtics trying to close out the series and with LA fighting to stay alive, this one is going to be a defensive battle. Bet the Under.

4* Major Game 4 BEST BET on LA Lakers -7.5
I like the best offense in the league to get going tonight. Odom and Gasol did not show up in game 3 and I think you'll see much better from them tonight and Kobe will still be Kobe. With a win under their belt and a chance to even this series, the Lakers will be playing with extreme confidence. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - off a home no-cover where they won straight up as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 38-16 ATS the last 5 seasons. In other words, this is a home court advantage play. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Celtics/Lakers UNDER 195.5
The oddsmakers have been setting the bar too high in Lakers games all playoffs long and we will make them pay tonight with this big UNDER play. 6 of LA's last 7 games have gone UNDER. The Under is a dominant 41-14 in the Celtics last 55 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 road games, and 4-0 in the Celtics last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Under is 4-0 in the Lakers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest and 8-3 in the Lakers last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Pound the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA on ABC GOTY on Lakers pk
Kobe and the Lakers know what history says about going down 0-2. They'll make sure that doesn't happen tonight so they can go a back to LA all knotted up. The Lakers are 12-4 in the 2008 playoffs and 10-5-1 ATS in those games. LA is also a brilliant 31-16 ATS on the road this season. The Lakers are 13-3 ATS when well rested playing 3 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons, 17-7 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season, and 12-4 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. Take the Lakers tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Boston -2.5
Boston is 10-2 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season, 19-9 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Boston was 25-5 against the Western Conference this season, winning both of its matchups with the Lakers. We'll take the Celtics to dominate in game 1.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Do-or-Die GOTY on Pistons -5.5
This series was destined for seven games from the onset. The Pistons will defend their home court tonight to send this one back to Boston for a game 7 showdown. The Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games, and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Celtics are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Pound the Pistons!

5* Wiseguy Conference Finals REVENGE GOTY on Spurs +8
It's win or go home for the Spurs and you better believe that the defending champs will not go down without a fight tonight. The Spurs are 61-36 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1996 so we know that this team will not hurt itself. The Lakers are a terrible 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. the NBA Southwest and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Finals games. The Spurs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Take the Spurs in this win-or-die game catching 8 points.

5* Wiseguy Game 5 DOMINATOR on Celtics -6
Boston already gave away one game on its home court and it won't let that happen again. Detroit is a terrible 3-13 ATS in the conference finals over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 22-8 ATS after scoring 75 points or less since 1996 so I definitely expect the offense to be much better in this home game. The Celtics are also 15-6 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. I like Boston to bounce back in game 5 by a healthy margin to go up 3-2 in this series.

3* Spurs -4
The Spurs pulled even after falling into a 2-game hole in their previous series and I like them to do it again here. After winning their first two games at home, the Lakers also dropped each of their last two at Utah. The Spurs are 23-7 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, 23-10 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, and 16-7 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season. San Antonio is also 16-4 ATS in home games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season. This is actually the Spurs defense at its best as its opponents average just 89.1 ppg in these spots. San Antonio is not a team which gambles a lot, it is simply the best at staying between its man and the basket. Lay the points on the Spurs.

4* Major ESPN GOTM on Pistons -6
After coming out flat in game 3, I like the Pistons to bounce back here to even this series before it shifts back to Boston. The Celtics are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 playoff games as an underdog, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss, 13-5 ATS in their last 18 home games, and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. If Boston goes up 3-1, this thing is as good as over and Detroit knows that. Expect a great performance from the Pistons as they go into desperation mode.

3* Spurs -5
After being embarrassed in game 2 because of a fourth quarter collapse, I like the Spurs to bounce back very strong in this desperation game just as they did in game 3 against the Hornets. The Spurs are 22-7 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, 15-4 ATS in home games after 3 straight games where they made 42% of their shots or worse since 1996, and 13-3 ATS in home games as a # 3 seed in the playoffs over the last 2 seasons. Take the resilient Spurs in game 3.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Point Spread BLOWOUT of the Year on Pistons -5
Boston is yet to win a game in the 2008 NBA playoffs. If they couldn

4* Major on Spurs +7
The Spurs went down 0-2 to the Hornets and came back to win that series, but they realize that the Lakers are a different animal. If Manu Ginobli does anything at all in game 1, the Spurs win rather easily. I like San Antonio to bounce back in game 2 to even this series. Even if they aren

5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Line Mistake of the Year on Pistons +4.5
Now that Billups has a game under his belt after nearly a 2-week layoff and the rest of the Pistons got their feet wet after not playing for a week, I like Detroit's freshness to play to their benefit tonight against a Celtics team which has not had even one chance to let their legs recover. Detroit is 18-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders this season, busting out to score 98.5 ppg in these spots so I don't expect Boston to be able to hold them down again. The Pistons are 8-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders this season, 12-3 ATS after allowing 90 points or less 3 straight games this season, and 14-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. Take the Pistons big tonight as I look for them to finally beat Boston on its home court.

3* Lakers -7.5
The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and I fully expect that trend to continue. The Lakers are 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Spurs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. If you remember right, the Spurs were crushed in all of their road games against the Hornets but one. We expect the same to be the case in game 1 of this series.

4* Major Eastern Conference Finals Opener on Celtics -4.5
I like Boston to stay true to form and take care of business on its home floor. Detroit is 1-11 ATS in the conference finals over the last 3 seasons and 4-13 ATS when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 16-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season and 11-1 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season. Because Boston gets to play this game at home the quick turnaround won't be a factor at all. You'll see the Celtics on top of their game while the Pistons start out rusty. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy Game 7 Series Clincher on Spurs +4.5
Experience and freshness will help the Spurs take game 7 on the road to move into the Western Conference Finals. The Spurs exploded to a 19 point win facing elimination in game 6 and I like them to rise to the occasion again tonight. The Spurs have won 12 of the last 18 meetings between these teams and are a phenomenal 20-9 ATS in their last 29 with 3 or more days of rest. The Spurs are 24-14 ATS after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds this season and 60-36 ATS after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals since 1996. Expect San Antonio's best game of the playoffs tonight.

4* MAJOR NBA on ABC Game of the Week on Cleveland Cavs +8

Cleveland is showing their best value of the series in Game 7 at Boston. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Semifinals games and obviously 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Cleveland knows how to play the Celtics due to their tremendous defense that keeps the Cavs in every single ball game. They have been blown out just once in this series. Odds makers are expecting a blowout here, but they are badly mistaken. Take the Cavs on ABC this afternoon in Game 7.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs GOTY on Lakers +4
Kobe and the Lakers will say goodbye to the Jazz in game 6 as I like Kobe's killer instinct to take over. The Lakers are 21-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season, 13-3 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, and 14-4 ATS in road games off an home win scoring 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Neither of Utah's home wins came easy and with a chance for LA to close out this series, I like the Lakers to rise to the occasion to get the job done.