5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -1.5
Bottom Line: Despite 3 consecutive defeats, the Pacers are still 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss, and I fully expect them to bounce back strong here. Friday's loss at Houston brought the Pacers the kind of humiliation that will elicit a response. The Pacers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They are 29-15 ATS under coach Frank Vogel off a road loss of 10 points or more. The Mavs picked up a much needed win over Portland last game to end a 3-game skid, but I don't see them being able to match defensive intensity with an Indiana team that has shown it can put the clamps on. The defensive effort hasn't been there for Indiana the past 2 games, and the results were ugly, so I expect them to do something about it. The Pacers are 10-2 ATS this season versus good shooting teams that make 46% of their shots or more. The Mavs are 5-17 ATS under Rick Carlisle in home games versus good defensive teams with a shooting percentage defense of 43% or better. The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound the Pacers.

4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Blazers +6
Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for Houston. It is off a gigantic 112-86 revenge win over Indiana and it has a big revenge game at Oklahoma City on deck. It has a pair of double-digit losses to the Thunder this season so it will already be looking ahead to that game, especially since it has won 2 of 3 against Portland this season and posted a 13-point win in this building in the most recent matchup. The Rockets are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 15 points or more at the half are 29-9 ATS since 1996.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs -1.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks crushed Utah last night, but they are a pathetic 1-10 ATS in road games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons and have lost in this spot by an average of 10.5 points. The Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a losing home record and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 versus the Eastern Conference. It is also worth mentioning that the Knicks are just 11-24 ATS as an underdog this season. The Cavs dropped a 3rd straight game last night, but they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. They are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games when playing without a day of rest. The Knicks embarrassed the Cavs 117-86 in late January, and that loss will provide plenty of fuel here. Pound Cleveland.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Mavs -2
Bottom Line: Playing on teams like Dallas that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 15 points or more at the half has resulted in a 140-76 (65%) ATS record since 1996. Additionally, Dallas is 10-1 ATS the last 3 seasons after trailing by 15 points or more at the half of its last game. The Mavs came out very flat in their last game against Denver but won the second half by 12 points. What they did in the second half gives them some momentum heading into this one. Mentally, they know if they can come out strong that they have an excellent chance to come away with a victory. I expect Dallas to get off to a strong start tonight against a Portland team that is giving up 105.3 ppg. You might recall that Portland won by 16 in this building in January so the Mavs will be lacking no incentive. Pound Dallas as it explodes to a double-digit win.

4* Major Atlantic Division *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +4
Bottom Line: The Celtics will go after this game with all they've got. They've lost the season's first two matchups, but I believe the third time's a charm. While the Celtics have struggled against the West, they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus the Eastern Conference, earning a cover against Indiana during this span. The Nets have been far from reliable on the road where they are 12-18. They also have a losing record against the East. Brooklyn is coming off a pair of very satisfying wins over Chicago and Memphis, and the tendency will be to coast tonight.

4* Major NBA Letdown *BLOOD BATH* on Cavs +5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are in a letdown spot following Wednesday's upset win over Indiana. The Bobcats are 4-13 ATS off an upset win at over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average of 8.2 points. Charlotte is one of the lowest scoring teams in the NBA but has topped the century mark in its last 2 games. This is noteworthy because the Bobcats are 1-10 ATS after scoring 100 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 10.5 points in this spot. The Cavs fall on the other side of the coin as they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. They've lost the season's first 2 matchups with Charlotte so I expect them to bring a little extra tonight. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a losing record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Lakers +11.5
Bottom Line: I expect the Lakers to compete hard here after giving up 132 points in a loss to New Orleans. Plus, they gave up 123 points in a 36-point loss the last time they played their city rivals so they will be out to save face. The Lakers are 12-2 ATS under coach D'Antoni after allowing 120 points or more in their previous game, winning these contests by 0.1 points on average while holding opponents to 101.9 points. Clearly, the Lakers have responded following poor defensive efforts.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Suns +6.5
Bottom Line: The Suns have been a terrific investment this season at 38-21-1 ATS. They are 21-12 ATS when catching points. Phoenix went down to the Clippers last game, but it is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games following an ATS loss. The Thunder are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the far more challenging Western Conference. They are also 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus teams that have a winning record. The Suns played the Thunder to a 7-point game on the road early in the season, and I expect them to keep this one even closer. The last time they hosted OKC, they were handed a 97-69 defeat. That loss assures us they will be highly motivated.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Celtics +5
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for the Warriors following last night's last-second victory in Indiana. This is also a highly fatigued spot for the Warriors who are playing their 6th straight road game and 3rd in 4 days. Boston has had 3 days off so it will undoubtedly be fresher. I also expect the Celtics to be motivated as they were done in by a Stephen Curry jumper with 4 seconds left back on Jan. 10. The Warriors are a poor 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a win. They are also 0-4 ATS this season in the last game of a road trip lasting at least 3 games. Boston is 5-0 in its last 5 and 8-1 in its last 9 home games in the series with the loss coming by a single point. Pound the Celtics.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Magic +6.5
Bottom Line: This one has letdown written all over it for the Rockets, who defeated the Heat last night and have the Pacers, Blazers and Thunder up next. Orlando will have the fresher legs as it has had the last 2 days off. You can bet Dwight Howard would like to turn in a giant performance inside his old home. He did just that when he visited with the Lakers last season. But this Magic team has pride and will make sure it doesn't happen again. Orlando has been outstanding at home of late. It is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games with outright wins over the Thunder and Pacers during this stretch. The Magic are also a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last meetings with the Rockets.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Pelicans +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Lakers to come out flat following last night's huge upset win in Portland. The Lakers are on a 13-28 ATS slide in home games off a road win of 3 points or less. They are also just 2-12 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. It's been a rough stretch for New Orleans, but it is also a 34-18 ATS run in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses. It is also 12-4 ATS in its last 16 road games against the Lakers.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs +7.5
Bottom Line: Cleveland has had an extra day to prepare for this contest, and it will want it more than the Spurs as it seeks revenge for the 126-96 beating it was handed at San Antonio earlier this season. The Spurs have bigger fish to fry and are already focusing on Thursday's matchup against the Heat, who defeated them in last year's NBA Finals and won the season's first matchup by double digits. Cleveland is an outstanding rebounding team, and such teams have given the Spurs big problems. The Spurs are just 4-15 ATS this season versus teams who average 53 boards per game or more. The Spurs have lost to these teams by 0.7 points on average. Additionally, the Cavs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the Western Conference. Pound Cleveland.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nets -3
Bottom Line: I believe this is a motivational mismatch. The Nets have been embarrassed by the Bulls in the first 2 matchups, which is salt in a wound that was opened up by last season's playoff loss. I expect Brooklyn to finally have its revenge tonight, and it will be aided by the fact Chicago is in a tough scheduling spot (5th game in 7 days). The Nets have been impressive at home since the calendar turned to 2014, winning 10 of 12, including 4 in a row. They have big wins over the Thunder, Heat and Spurs in 2014, and they'll get the Bulls tonight. Pound the Nets.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks +5.5
Bottom Line: Off a loss to the Bulls and out for revenge for an ugly loss in its last trip to San Antonio, Dallas will be lacking no motivation or focus. First off, the Mavericks are 40-15 ATS in their last 55 games following a game where they failed to cover. Secondly, they are 40-16 ATS in their last 56 road games, 36-15 ATS in their last 51 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Spurs are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Pound Dallas.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on 76ers +11.5
Bottom Line: I'm fading the Wizards here. They are off a huge 3OT revenge win over Toronto, and they have a revenge game against Memphis up next. Not only will they be extremely fatigued, they won't give a 76ers team with the 2nd-worst record in the league their full attention. The 76ers will be the fresher team having not played since Wednesday, and I expect them to also show some fight as they try to avoid the season sweep. Keep in mind that 2 of their 3 losses to Washington this season have come by just 7 and 8 points. Double-digit dogs off 4 or more consecutive losses and playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 77-39 ATS since 1996. This system is 9-2 ATS the last 3 seasons and 2-0 ATS this season. I feel it is ridiculous for an average team like Washington to lay this many points on the road, especially given their high level of fatigue and low level of motivation. Pound Philly.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4
Bottom Line: The Cavs are just 6-14 ATS as a favorite this season, 4-15 ATS in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons, 6-16 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons and 4-13 ATS in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. I just don't trust the Cavs laying this many points in a fatigued spot. Road teams off 2 consecutive home wins of 10 points or more that are up against a non-conference opponent are 23-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Utah.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +5.5
Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Wizards, who have lost each of first three matchups with Toronto. Washington is 7-0 ATS in road games this season versus teams that have a winning home record. This trend shows how competitive they've been on the highway against good teams. The Wizards are also 13-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. They have won by an average of 5.5 points in this spot. Pound Washington.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Nets +3
Bottom Line: Edge goes to the Nets because they will be the much fresher teams. They've had the last 2 days off and are playing just their 4th game since the break. Portland played in Denver last night, is playing its 5th game since the break and its 3rd in 4 days. The Nets are 12-3 ATS in road games when playing 4 or less games in a 10-day span over the last 2 seasons. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Bet the Nets.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +4.5
Bottom Line: This is a really bad spot for Houston, which has a big showdown in L.A. against the Clippers tomorrow. The Rockets lost both of this season's previous meetings with the Clippers so that is a game they really want. They'll want to make sure they have plenty left in the tank for tomorrow night because they know they'll need maximum energy to beat the Clippers on their home floor. This means they'll likely try to get the "W" by coasting tonight, and I expect a very poor performance on the defensive end by the Rockets as a result. The Rockets are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. The Kings are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Pound Sacramento.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks +4
Bottom Line: Both teams are playing for the 3rd time in 4 days, but the situation is worse for the Mavs as all of these games have been on the road. The Knicks are 18-6 ATS in home games under coach Woodson when playing a 3rd game in 4 days and 25-11 ATS under Woodson in home games in the second half of the season. The home team has had the edge in this matchup, going 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Knicks have won both of their home games during this stretch by an average of 8.5 points. They also won the season's first matchup in Dallas last month and have won or lost by fewer than 4 points in each of the last 3 matchups.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +2.5
Bottom Line: Plays on teams like Detroit, 42 games or more into the season, that average 98-102 ppg and are up against a team that allows 98-102 ppg has resulted in a 27-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they have combined with their opponents for 205 total points or more in 3 straight games. This system tightens up to 16-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Detroit has underachieved to this point given the level of talent it has, but it will have no problem getting up for this game considering how it was embarrassed at Golden State earlier this season. Plus, the Pistons catch a break tonight with Bogut still nursing a shoulder injury and Lee dealing with an illness. Those absences give them a huge advantage inside. Pound the Pistons.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pelicans +4
Bottom Line: This is a very difficult spot for the Clippers, who are playing a 3rd road game in 4 days and are in a letdown spot following a big win at Oklahoma City yesterday. The Pelicans got a much-needed day off yesterday and they'll go after this one with everything they've got to try to end a 3-game skid because they go right back out on the road for 5 consecutive games starting Wednesday. The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing without a day of rest while the Pelicans are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing with 1 day of rest. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win while the Pelicans are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. The Clippers are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in New Orleans.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +1
Bottom Line: The Wizards lost by 2 at home Feb. 7 in the most recent matchup, and that loss will have them extremely motivated here. Washington is 12-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game, winning by an average of 4.8 points in this spot. The Wizards are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record. And, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Wizards are the healthier team, and they'll be the hungrier team. Pound Washington.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Minnesota following a blowout win over Indiana. The T-Wolves have had the last two days off while Utah played last night, but they have a big revenge game in Portland tomorrow and that makes this a tough spot for them, especially since they won easily in two previous meetings against the Jazz this season. Minnesota's tendency will certainly be to look ahead to tomorrow. The Timberwolves are 13-27 ATS in their last 40 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win of more than 10 points. Home underdogs with a losing record that are playing 5 games or less in 14 days are 48-22 ATS the last 5 seasons. Home underdogs that have failed to cover in 2 of their last 3 games and playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 68-32 ATS since 1996. Things haven't exactly gone smoothly for the T-Wolves in Utah where they have lost 7 of the last 8 meetings. The Timberwolves are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall. Pound the Jazz.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Raptors -8
Bottom Line: The Cavs have rattled off 6 consecutive SU and ATS wins and they're catching nearly double digits? The books clearly expect their winning streak to come to an end tonight, and they're looking to trap the public in the process. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off an upset loss and playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 65-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Cavaliers are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record. The Raptors are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss, 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games and 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games versus a team with a losing record. The Cavs have some key guys hurt and must also try to adjust to playing with a new teammate (Spencer Hawes). Look for Toronto to take advantage.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BEST BET* on Warriors -1
Bottom Line: The third time will be the charm for Golden State, who has lost both previous meetings with Houston this season. A big key is that Andre Iguodala will be available to defend James Harden tonight. Iguodala missed the first two meetings. The Rockets rolled over the Lakers last night but are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bogut is likely out, which means Golden State won't have him to defend Dwight Howard. However, I look for the Warriors to take Howard out of the game by making it a track meet. Pound the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +6.5
Bottom Line: I'll grab the points with Boston considering how well it has performed on the road of late as well as the fact it will have the fresher legs. The Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing with 3 or more days' rest while the Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine to log more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Suns picked up a hard-fought OT win in Denver last night, and they have San Antonio up next so they very well could get caught looking ahead here. The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last 7 road games overall, including 4-0 ATS during this stretch versus teams like Phoenix (Miami, Portland, Golden State, LA Clippers) that have a home winning percentage greater than .600. Pound Boston.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers +12.5
Bottom Line: Playing on a team like the Lakers that is out for revenge for a road loss of 20 points or more to an opponent has resulted in a 37-13 ATS record since 1996 if they are also off an upset loss of 15 points or more. The Lakers are on an 18-6 ATS run following a blowout loss of 15 points or more while the Thunder are mired in a 6-19 ATS skid off a road win of 3 points or less. Pound LA.

5* Wiseguy NBA Pre All-Star Break Game of the Year on 76ers +8
Bottom Line: The 76ers were completely and utterly destroyed in their last two games, and they will put forth an extraordinary effort tonight in hopes of entering the All-Star break on a positive note. Utah has won its last two games with one of those being against Miami, which clearly took the night off, and the Jazz are being hugely overvalued because of it. The Jazz have been favored just 7 times all season and never by this much, and they are 1-3 ATS when laying 3 points or more. The Jazz have also won two consecutive games just five times this season and are 0-4 following the first 4 instances. Utah is just 7-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Pound the 76ers.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets -7.5
Bottom Line: Charlotte can't be trusted playing without rest. The Bobcats are just 15-38 ATS in their last 53 games when playing without a day of rest. The Bobcats kicked Dallas last night, but they are 9-22 ATS off an upset win over the last 2 seasons. Charlotte has reached the century mark in its last two games despite being one of the weaker offensive teams in the league. This bodes well for us as it is 1-9 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Mavericks +9.5
Bottom Line: This line has been inflated due to Dallas' bad showing last night, and I'll gladly take the points as its motivational level should be off the charts, especially since it was crushed by Indiana in last season's two matchups. The Mavericks are 38-14 ATS in their last 52 road games, 37-14 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS loss, 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus the Central division. Plus, the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Hawks +2
Bottom Line: The Hawks have had 2 days to regroup after losing a third straight, and they will be hungry to get back in the win column. They lost by 7 as a 5-point dog in Chicago last month, and now they are only catching 2 points? Part of the reason is the Bulls no longer have Deng, but the bottom line is the books clearly believe Atlanta has a much better chance to win this time around and I agree. I expect the Hawks to get this one. Chicago is coming off a lengthy road trip and is just 5-16-1 ATS in its last 22 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. The Bulls have also been a weak investment lately following any win and cover, going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.

5* Wiseguy NBA-Conference Game of the Week on Bobcats +4
Bottom Line: Not only is this a fatigued spot for the Mavs, who have been playing every other day and traveling following each game since Feb. 3, but it is a definite look-ahead spot with Indiana tomorrow. The Mavs have already defeated the Bobcats this season so they will be much more interested in tomorrow night's contest against a team that blasted them twice last season. The Bobcats have had the last 2 days off, and they had 3 days off prior to that so they will be very fresh. The Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Charlotte lost by 4 at home to San Antonio last game, but it is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following a loss. It's also 18-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Pound the Bobcats.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +4
Bottom Line: There is a good amount of history on our side considering February underdogs of 3.5-9.5 points that are off a home win are 72-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Pistons are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last 4 home games with all 4 wins coming by double digits. Detroit can really rebound the basketball, and that doesn't bode well for the Spurs, who are 3-13 ATS this season versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game. San Antonio has lost to these teams by 1.0 point on average. The Palace of Auburn Hills hasn't treated the Spurs well lately. They are just 3-3 in their last 6 meetings there with 2 of the wins coming by only 4 points. Pound the Pistons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +15
Bottom Line: I think the return of Chris Paul puts a momentary hitch in LA's giddy-up. It will take Paul a little time to get back in the swing of things, and it will take the team a little time to adjust to playing with him again. For LA, this game won't be about seeing how badly they can beat the 76ers, it will be about getting adjusted to playing together again. This gives Philly an excellent opportunity to cover this big number. Playing against home favorites of 10 or more points has resulted in a 61-28 ATS record since 1996 if they are off a home games where both they are their opponent cracked the century mark and if they are playing 8 games or more in a 14-day span. Pound the 76ers.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets -5
Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs of 3.5-9.5 points 42 games or more into the schedule has resulted in a 60-28 ATS record since 1996 if they have a 45.5-47.5% field goal percentage and are facing a team that allows opponents to shoot 45.5-47.5% and if they average 14.5 turnovers per game or fewer and are up against a team that forces an average of 14.5-16.5 turnovers per game. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 5.6 points on average and have lost by 8.9 points on average. This system is 8-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Bet the Nets.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Jazz +9.5
Bottom Line: The Heat are off a big win over the Clippers, and that plays majorly in our favor as Miami is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games following a SU win and 6-20 ATS in its last 26 games following an ATS win. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Suns -2
Bottom Line: The Warriors haven't shown they can be trusted to string consecutive covers together, let alone wins lately. The Warriors are just 7-15 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season, including 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. The Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. The Suns were blown out at Houston last game but are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Phoenix.

4* Major Western Conference *SUREFIRE* on Jazz +9.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz were embarrassed at home by Toronto last time out, but they've had 3 days to put that one behind them. Besides, lopsided losses have been a good motivator for Utah, which is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points. While the Mavs have been a covering machine on the road, they are a soft 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games. Plus, Dallas has had its issues with Utah, going 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Cavs +8.5
Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to Cleveland's embarrassing loss to the short-handed Lakers. The Cavs have lost 6 in a row and the firing GM Chris Grant sends a message to the coaching staff as well as the players. I believe the Cleveland organization will collectively respond as they look to save a little face. The Wizards are 0-5 ATS this season when favored by 8 or more points and have lost 4 of these games SU. The Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Eastern Conference teams. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus NBA Southeast division foes and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Washington. The underdog is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Cleveland.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -8.5
Bottom Line: Disgusted following arguably their worst game of the season, the Warriors will be ready to bury the Bulls tonight. Golden State is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. After laying an egg in back-to-back losses to New Orleans and Sacramento where they didn't reach the 80-point mark in either, the Bulls bounced back with an upset win over Phoenix. That bodes well for us as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover. Pound Golden State.

5* Wiseguy NBA Southwest Division Game of the Month on Grizzlies -2.5
Bottom Line: Playing against road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that went over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game has resulted in a 47-19 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are a winning team playing against winning team. Memphis has been a nice investment in games oddsmakers expect to be close because of how solid it is defensively. The Grizzlies are 28-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. The Grizz are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games versus a team with a winning record. Dallas has won the first two matchups of the season but both were in Dallas. The Grizzlies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games in the series with an average winning margin of 10.2 points in these contests. Pound Memphis.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, and I expect them to make it 5 straight covers as they face an Indiana team they have owned at home. The Hawks are 12-0 in their last 12 regular-season home games against the Pacers, winning these by an average of 10.6 points. Plus, Atlanta should be the fresher team as it has had the last 2 days off while Indiana is playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 3rd in 4 days. The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest. I managed to get 3.5, but 3.0 is the number that is most available at the time of this report. Because of this, I felt it worth mentioning that Atlanta is 8-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average of 6.0 points. Add up these 4 trends and we have a 28-0 angle in our favor. Pound the Hawks.

4* Major Non-Conference *POWER PLAY* on Jazz +3.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days' rest, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the Eastern Conference and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Raptors have really struggled in Utah, having dropped 7 of their last 8 there by an average of 14.9 points. Their only win there since 2006 came in double-overtime. The Raptors are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings, including 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Utah.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are expected to have Ty Lawson back in the lineup tonight, which should give them quite a boost, but I like them in this spot regardless of whether he returns. Denver has dropped 2 straight at home after a stretch where it had won 5 of 6 at home so it will be very hungry to get back in the win column tonight. The Clippers have struggled in Denver's high altitude. The Nuggets are 25-9 in their last 34 home games in the series, including 14-4 in their last 18 and 2-0 in their last 2. Denver has also had an extra day to prepare for this game, and that only helps its cause. Pound Denver.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Trailblazers -7
Bottom Line: The Blazers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Raptors, including 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings at home. Their last 4 home wins in the series have all come by double digits and by an average of 13.8 points. Portland has had 3 days to let its ugly loss to Memphis fester, and I expect it to deliver an inspired performance this evening.

4* Major *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Heat -5
Bottom Line: Playing on any team that is looking for revenge for an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 points or more and is also coming off a home loss has resulted in a 23-5 ATS record since 1996. The Heat are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +13
Bottom Line: Milwaukee is terrible, but this is a great spot to back the Bucks catching big points against a team that rarely blows anyone out. The Grizzlies are a defensive team that plays mostly in the halfcourt, and that will especially be the case tonight with Mike Conley likely to sit this one out. The Bucks have been able to stick with teams that aren't explosive offensively. We saw them play the Grizzlies to a 77-82 game last month to earn a cover. The Grizzlies are a off a revenge win against the T-Wolves and have a big one at OKC Monday so they won't be giving Milwaukee their full focus. The Grizzlies are on a 10-24 ATS slide as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1996. Playing against February double-digit favorites that have gone under the total by 54 points or more in their last 10 games has resulted in a 27-7 ATS record since 1996. Double-digit road dogs that have lost 8 or more of their last 10 games are 47-19 ATS the last 5 seasons when they're matched up with a team that has won 8 or more of their last 10 games. Lastly, double-digit road dogs in the second half of the season off a double-digit road loss are 69-29 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Milwaukee.

5* Wiseguy Western Conference Game of the Week on Jazz +5
Bottom Line: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home wins and playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 50-26 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams are losing straight up on average but only by 2.9 points. Additionally, January home dogs off a home win are 56-22 ATS the last 5 seasons (8-3 ATS this season). Also, home dogs playing 3 or less games in 10 days that failed to cover the spread last game are 75-38 ATS since 1996. Pound Utah.

4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets +5.5
Bottom Line: Oklahoma City will be looking for revenge for a 95-93 home loss to the Nets earlier this month, but Brooklyn will be equally motivated following a 1-point loss to Toronto that snapped a 5-game win streak. Consider that playing against teams that are seeking revenge for a home defeat to an opponent has resulted in a 58-26 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that is off an upset defeat to a division foe. This system is off to a 4-1 ATS start this season. Bet the Nets.

4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -11.5
Bottom Line: Playing home favorites that are playing their 2nd game in 5 days has resulted in a 29-10 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team playing 4th game in 5 days. Not only does Indiana have a significant advantage in terms of rest, it will be extremely determined because it was embarrassed in Phoenix last week.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Wizards +9
Bottom Line: We were on Washington +8.5 last night and watched the Wizards upset Golden State. I normally look to stay away from teams playing without rest, but the Wizards had two days off prior to last night's contest so I think they'll still have plenty left in the take to keep this one within the number. The Clippers cruised 113-97 in Washington last month but Chris Paul was huge in that game with 38 points and 12 assists. John Wall had 24 points and 12 assists and should really be able to take it to the Clippers tonight without having to expend as much energy on the defensive end against Paul. The Wizards are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. They are 21-7 ATS when out for revenge for a home loss over the last 2 seasons and 11-3 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss where they gave up 100 or more points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +5
Bottom Line: The Kings have been tough at home against good teams. They have home wins over Miami and Portland and just took the Pacers to OT Friday. The numbers really show how good Sacramento has been at home against good teams. It is on a 9-0 ATS run in home games versus teams that sport winning road marks, and it is on a 5-0 ATS run at home versus teams that have a road winning percentage greater than .600. Pound Sacramento.

5* Wiseguy *BEST BET* Bailout on Wizards +8.5
Bottom Line: The Wizards will be the more focused team tonight as they look for revenge for a 112-96 home loss to Golden State earlier this month. The Wizards are 30-15 ATS under coach Wittman when out for revenge for a home loss, losing these contests by only 3.0 points on average. Washington is also on a 27-11 ATS run the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a loss where it allowed 100 points or more. It has lost these contests by only 0.7 points on average. The Wizards are off a 3-point loss at Utah, but they have had 2 days to recover from that defeat, and they are on a 23-8 ATS run in road games off a close road loss of 3 points or less. Pound the Wizards.

4* Major Divisional Dominator on Spurs +1.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs haven't lost consecutive games all season. They are 10-0 following their losses, winning these games by an average of 14.8 points. They will be very motivated tonight after a poor showing against the Heat Sunday. They will be even more incensed by losses to Houston in the season's first 2 matchups. Bet San Antonio.

4* Major NBA Divisional Dominator on Knicks -6
Bottom Line: The Knicks have regained their confidence following back-to-back wins, and they'll be hungry tonight after losing the season's first 2 matchups. The Knicks were absolutely humialated 114-73 by Boston at MSG last month, and they'll be out for some serious revenge as a result. Teams playing with double revenge are 118-71 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that is off a home loss where it was held to less than 80 points. This system tightens up to 20-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, Boston is 1-10 in its last 11 road games with the losses coming by 12.6 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +10
Bottom Line: This is the final game of a 7-game road trip for the Clippers, and they will have played these games in an 11-day period. That's a lot of games and a lot of travel in not very many days. You better believe these Southern California are looking forward to getting out of the cold when they return home following this game. They'll be looking forward to getting off the road so much that they won't be focused on the task at hand, thinking they can beat the worst team in the NBA in their sleep. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover. They are also on a 48-73 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Home teams 42 games or more in that shoot 33-36.5% from 3-point range and average 14.5-16.5 turnover per game are 27-10 ATS the last 3 seasons when they are taking on a team that allows 33-36.5% shooting from 3-point range and forces 14.5-16.5 turnovers per game. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound the Bucks.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on 76ers +6
Bottom Line: The Suns won in Cleveland yesterday, but they had lost 3 straight and 4 of 5 on the road prior with the win coming by a single point. I don't think they'll have enough legs left to cover this number after playing yesterday. The 76ers have lost their last 3 home games, but 2 of those were against Miami and Oklahoma City. Nevertheless, they'll be motivated to get back in the win column. They've lost their last 2 overall and are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games following back-to-back losses. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -4.5
Bottom Line: Playing favorites that are holding opponents to 43.5-45.5% shooting on the season has resulted in a 39-17 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team allowing 45.5-47.5% shooting on the season and if both teams have +3 to +5.5 average rebounding advantage per game. Teams fitting this scenario have won by an average of 8.9 points. Golden State is indeed the better defensive team, and it will be out to prove just how good it can be defensively following a stretch of 4 poor defensive efforts in 5 games. It should be able to slow down a Portland team that will be playing its 7th game in 10 days. The Blazers put up 110 and 115 points, respectively, in their last two games, but they are 1-8 ATS this season after scoring 110 points or more in 2 straight games. The Warriors have allowed their last 2 opponents to reach the century mark, but they are 8-2 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more 2 in straight games, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. Pound Golden State.

4* Major Divisional Dominator (ESPN) on Celtics +4.5
Bottom Line: After a really poor showing last time out versus an OKC team that was playing without Kevin Durant, I expect Boston to come storming back. The Celtics lost the first meeting in Brooklyn, and they'll be motivated to make sure the return of Pierce and Garnett doesn't go as planned. This time Boston will benefit from having Rondo on the floor. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 divisional games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 following a loss. The Celtics are also a too good to ignore 13-1 ATS in Sunday home games the last 3 seasons. The Nets are just 4-15 ATS on Sunday the last 3 seasons and 15-32-1 ATS in their last 48 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The Celtics are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 home games versus a team with a losing road record.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +1
Bottom Line: This is a rough spot for Washington, which will be playing its 2nd road games in as many nights and its 3rd game in 4 days. The Jazz have had 3 full days off so they should be the more energetic team in this one. Utah took a double-digit loss at home to Minnesota last game, but it has still won 5 of 7 at home. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Jazz are 3-0 in their last 3 versus Washington and 6-1 in their last 7 at home in the series. Pound Utah.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4
Bottom Line: Road teams like Washington that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less are 46-19 ATS the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team like Phoenix that gives up 98-102 ppg. The Wizards are 17-6 ATS under coach Wittman in road games off a home loss. They are 9-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. The Suns are on a sorry 45-74 ATS slide after 2 straight wins of 10 points or more. I think Phoenix will still be patting itself on the back after knocking off Indiana. Plus, I don't see it having an answer for John Wall. Pound Washington.

4* Major Divisional Dominator on Grizzlies +6
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are the more rested team heading into this contest having not played since Monday. They will also be the hungrier side because they have lost the season's first two battles. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7.5
Bottom Line: Now is the time to go against the Thunder. They've won 5 in a row SU and ATS and are coming off back-to-back huge wins over Portland and San Antonio. They are catching all kinds of hype right now and are laying too big of a number on the road as a result. OKC is 2-11 ATS under coach Brooks after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games. The Thunder have lost by 0.3 points on average in these contests. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Celtics will be very motivated here because of the embarrassing loss they took in OKC earlier this month.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks -3.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are off a big win over the Clippers but are 7-20 ATS the last 2 seasons following an upset win, losing by an average of 6.8 points in this spot. The Knicks have lost 5 in a row, but I expect them to get up for the Bobcats in this revenge spot. Charlotte won last week 108-98, but the Knicks are 28-13 ATS under coach Woodson when out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 points or more.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7.5
Bottom Line: Portland has played over half of its games, and that sets up two strong trends tonight. Denver is 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that outscore opponents by 3.0 ppg or more. It has defeated these teams by 10.5 points on average. The Nuggets are also 8-0 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that average 103.0 ppg or more, and they have defeated these teams by an average of 7.8 points. Portland is explosive offensively, but so is Denver. I don't see a Portland team that ranks near the bottom of the NBA in scoring defense getting enough stops to cover this number, especially since it will be the more fatigued team. Denver has had 3 days of rest and is 25-9-2 ATS in its last 36 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. This is Portland's 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 7 days. Pound Denver.

4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -6
Bottom Line: I don't see an OKC team that is playing its 5th game in 7 days having enough left in the tank down the stretch to cover this number against a rested San Antonio squad. Not only will the Spurs be fresher, but they will also be hungrier because they have dropped the first two meetings of the season and were embarrassed by 13 points at home in the most recent matchup. The Spurs are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record. The favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Rockets -10
Bottom Line: Houston has been caught overlooking Sacramento twice this season, but it won't happen again. Home teams that are out for revenge for 2 upset losses to an opponent and are also off a home win are 17-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Kings will definitely be the more fatigued team tonight as this is the final game of a 6-game road trip. Sacramento is 17-42 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. The Kings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound Houston.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Jazz +3.5
Bottom Line: The Timberwolves have been wildly inconsistent this season, going 5-13 in games immediately following victories. They are are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a win and 17-37-3 ATS in their last 57 games following a win of more than 10 points. They are also a soft 11-26 ATS in their last 37 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover. The Jazz are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 2 days' rest. The Jazz have won 5 of 6 overall versus Minnesota and 7 straight at home in the series. Grab the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder -6
Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Portland, which is playing a 4th road game in 5 days. So not only will OKC be the fresher side, it will be the hungrier side as it looks to avenge losses in the season's first two meetings. The Thunder are on a 46-27 ATS run when out for revenge for an upset loss to an opponent. This trend is 26-13 ATS the last 3 seasons with an 8.7-point average margin of victory. OKC is also 47-31 ATS under coach Brooks when playing with double revenge. Portland is 5-15 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Warriors pk
Bottom Line: Indiana is the best defensive team in the league, but the "D" hasn't been as tight on the road where it is allowing 5.7 more ppg. The Pacers are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 road games, and I expect this trend to continue as they go up against a Golden State squad that ranks No. 4 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The Warriors are capable of a very strong defensive performance against an Indiana team that is offensively challenged at times. The Warriors are the far superior offensive team, and ultimately I believe their offense will be the difference. Indiana is on a 21-38 ATS slide in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings, including 3-0 ATS in the last 3. Looking back further, the home team is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings. Pound the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing on road teams like the Kings that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less has resulted in a 45-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team like the Thunder that allows 98-102 ppg. The Kings will be the more motivated side as they are off a loss and will be looking to snap a 7-game losing streak against the Thunder. Sac played the Thunder to a 2-point game at home in the first meeting, and that performance will provide it with the confidence needed to give them a game tonight. OKC is off a pair of big wins over the Rockets and Warriors and has big games against Portland and San Antonio up next so I believe it will get caught looking ahead. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Sacramento.

4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Pelicans +4
Bottom Line: The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 at home versus teams with a winning road mark so they have shown they can compete on their home floor against some of the best teams in the league. New Orleans is 11-0 ATS after 2 consecutive division games over the last 3 seasons and 11-1 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more in 3 straight games. Golden State is 1-8 ATS after a combined score of 215 points or more this season. New Orleans is the more rested team, and it will be lacking no motivation as it seeks revenge for losing the season's first 2 matchups with Golden State. The Warriors go back home after this and have a big game against Indiana Monday so this is a look-ahead spot as well.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on T-Wolves -10
Bottom Line: The Jazz are just 1-14 ATS under coach Corbin in road games following a road win, losing these contests by 10.9 points on average. They have lost by an average of 21.5 the last 2 times they've been in this spot. Minnesota has lost 3 in a row overall and 5 straight to the Jazz so it will be ready to run up the score tonight. Pound Minnesota.

4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Pistons +5.5
Bottom Line: Playing road teams that average 98-102 ppg, and have allowed 100 points or more in 2 straight games, has resulted in a 75-25 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are playing a team that allows 98-102 ppg. Off 3 consecutive satisfying wins (2 over Chicago, 1 over Miami), I look for Washington to suffer a letdown. The Pistons will be motivated by last night's ugly loss to Utah as well as losses in their last 2 meetings with Washington.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Warriors +1.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder won by double-digits in Houston last night but this will be its third game in 4 nights, and they likely won't have enough left in the tank to handle the Warriors. The Thunder are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a cover and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. Golden State is on a 47-29 ATS run as a road underdog, a 19-8 ATS run when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and a 29-16 ATS run in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent.

4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Spurs -6
Bottom Line: Plays on any team like San Antonio that averages 102.0 ppg or more has resulted in a 93-60 ATS records the last 5 seasons provided they have scored 100 points or more in 4 consecutive games and are facing a team that allows 102.0 ppg or more. Playing January home teams that are off a home win where they did not cover has resulted in a 55-24 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 24-10 ATS the last 3 seasons and 4-1 ATS this season. The numbers are in our favor, and the Spurs will be lacking no incentive as they look to end a 3-game skid in the series.

4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +4
Bottom Line: New York is 24-8 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more since 1996. The Knicks are 24-11 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back under coach Woodson as well as 18-5 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days under their current coach. Look for New York to respond following last night's ugly loss to the Pacers.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Heat -10
Bottom Line: This should be one of Miami's most motivated spots of the season following 3 consecutive defeats. Furthermore, the Heat lost in Philly earlier this season so they will be revenge-minded. Plays on any team off an upset loss to a division foe, provided it has a .600-.750 win percentage and is playing a losing team, has resulted in a 32-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 3-0 ATS this season. Additionally, plays on road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 20 points or more at the half has resulted in a 36-11 ATS record since 1996. This system is 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Miami is 8-0 ATS after having lost 3 of its last 4 games over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 20.9 points in this spot. Pound Miami.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder fit perfectly into one of my most dominant systems. Playing against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent and off a road win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 16-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Houston finds itself in a tough spot playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 5th in 7 days. Consider that Houston is 9-29 ATS in home games when playing a 5th game in 7 days since 1996. OKC will be the much fresher team as this is just its 2nd game in 5 days. Fresh legs will make all the difference. Pound the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +5.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to get behind the Bucks, who have lost 6 straight and in a roundabout way were called out by coach Larry Drew following Monday's 22-point loss in Toronto. "They played a much more physical game than we did and we just didn't respond to it," Bucks coach Larry Drew said. I fully expect the Bucks to respond with a physical game tonight. Memphis just played last night and beat Oklahoma City so it will riding high on the horse, and I expect it to complete overlook the NBA-worst Bucks. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Pound Milwaukee.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +4.5
Bottom Line: The home team is a commanding 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and Boston's home court has especially held up as it has won 10 in a row at home against the Raptors. In terms of the spread, Boston is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 home games versus Toronto.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on 76ers -115
Bottom Line: The Bobcats have struggled on the road where they are 1-6 in their last 7. They have also struggled in Philadelphia where they are 0-5 in their last 5. Charlotte won't have enough left in the tank following last night's game in New York to get the job done against a 76ers squad that has had 3 days of rest.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats -109
Bottom Line: Home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games are 35-12 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that has covered the number in 6 or 7 of its last 8 games. Charlotte has played the Knicks tough recently, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings and covering the spread in 4 of the last 5 matchups. The Bobcats are in excellent position to take down the Knicks again considering they have 2 days of rest and preparation on their side while New York just played an overtime contest last night. Pound Charlotte.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: Playing against any team that is looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 39-14 ATS record since 1996 if the team we are playing against is off a cover as a double-digit favorite. This system has gone 9-2 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver has lost 3 of 4 on the road while Utah has won 4 of 5 at home. Pound the undervalued Utah Jazz.

4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Magic +12
Bottom Line: Road underdogs of 10 points or more off a road loss of 20 points or more are 73-35 ATS since 1996 if they carry a win percentage of 25-40% and are playing a team with a winning record. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 12.4 points on average but have lost by only 9.2 points on average. This system is 4-1 ATS this season.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Bobcats +5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 versus Central division opponents, 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a defeat of more than 10 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings at Chicago. Chicago is 16-34 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +5
Bottom Line: Look for the Knicks to come out flat following their big win over Miami. The Knicks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a win, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Atlantic division foes. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night Feast on Magic +7.5
Bottom Line: Road underdogs that are off back-to-back double-digit defeats are 47-16 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that has combined with its opponents for 215 points or more in two straight games. This system is 4-1 ATS this season and 18-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Sacramento is being overvalued because it beat Portland 123-119 in its last game while the Magic lost to Portland 110-94 in their last game. Portland's win over the Magic was in response to its loss in Sacramento so I'm not buying that the Kings should be laying this many points, especially since they defeated the Magic by just 5 points in the first meeting in a game where they shot out of their minds from 3-point range (12 of 23). The Kings have been favored 10 times at home this season, and they are 0-10 ATS in those games. Take the points.

4* Major Central Division *SUREFIRE* on Bucks +4
Bottom Line: Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games are 67-36 ATS since 1996 when they are up against a team that has covered the number in 6 or 7 or their last 8 games. This system is a sweet 25-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bet the Bucks.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +8.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season, and they have no problem getting up for the Heat. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, a stretch that is very significant. Consider that New York is 11-1 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. The Knicks are also 10-1 ATS in home games under coach Woodson after covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Knicks have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with all of the wins coming by double digits and the loss coming by only 6 points. Pound New York.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Celtics +10.5
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that allowed 85 points or less last game has resulted in a 94-48 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team that allowed 110 points or more last game. This system is already 1-0 ATS this season and 9-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Playing road underdogs of 10 or more points that are off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more has resulted in a 72-34 ATS record since 1996 if they have a .250 to .400 win percentage and are playing a winning team. This system is already 3-0 ATS this season.

4* Major NBA Non-Conference *SUREFIRE* on Nets +6.5
Bottom Line: Playing January home underdogs that are off a home win has resulted in a 49-20 ATS record the last 5 seasons. The Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing with 1 day of rest, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a cover and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 versus the Pacific division. The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a cover and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings at the Nets. This is an extremely fatigued spot for the Warriors, and I can't see them covering this large of a number on the road against a Brooklyn squad that is playing with a lot of confidence right now.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Hawks +5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing with no rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 total more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Hawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games when playing on 1 days' rest. Atlanta was taken down by Indiana in last year's playoffs so it will be out for some serious revenge. The Pacers have lost 11 straight regular-season meetings in the ATL and are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings there. Pound the Hawks.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +7
Bottom Line: The home team has had a significant edge in this series, and I expect this trend to continue. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, including 2-0 ATS this season. The Jazz will be extremely motivated because they have lost each of the first two meetings. They will also be extremely fresh and well prepared because they haven't played since the 3rd. OKC has had a much more hectic schedule this month as it will be playing for the 3rd time in 4 days. The lack of rest is magnified by not having Westbrook available. Pound the Jazz.

4* Major NBA Oddsmaker Error on Bucks +9
Bottom Line: Milwaukee has had the Warriors' number. It is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. It is also 4-0 at home during this span. In terms of the spread, the Warriors are 0-5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. While Golden State would like to put an end to its struggles against the Bucks, it will have a difficult time doing so in what is a fatigued spot. This is the Warriors 4th road game in 6 days. The Bucks, meanwhile, have 2 full days of rest on their side.

4* Major NBA Central Division *SUREFIRE* on Cavs +8.5
Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Indiana, which has a pair of double-digit wins over Cleveland already this season, including one earlier this week. The Pacers will be much more concerned with their next opponent, a Toronto squad that defeated them New Year's Day. Whether Irving is able to go or not, this is a great spot to back the Cavs who are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. The Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +3.5
Bottom Line: Washington has an excellent opportunity to pull off the small upset at home against the road-weary Warriors. The Wizards are 18-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 1.3 points. Washington is also 20-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and 13-3 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Wizards.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2
Bottom Line: OKC is 8-0 ATS under coach Scott off an upset loss of 10 points or more, winning by an average of 19.5 points in this spot. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Pound OKC.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers -3.5
Bottom Line: D'Antoni's teams are 16-5 ATS lifetime after 6 or more consecutive losses. Plus, the Lakers are 16-5 ATS after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Jazz are 6-16 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Jazz are just 5-14 on the road, and their road issues will continue against an LA squad hungry to end a lengthy skid.