4* Major NBA Playoff Bailout on Mavs +4.5
Bottom Line: Dallas is the best road team in the NBA and I'm confident it will close out this series tonight. Brandon Roy went off in Game 4 to bring the Blazers back from 20-plus down or this series would be over. The Mavs made a statement by holding Roy to just 5 points in Game 5 and I expect them to hold him in check again. The Mavericks are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Blazers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. Dallas has made some early playoff exits in recent years but this team is different. It has some of the best depth in the NBA and that depth will be the difference tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoff "Total" Massacre on Lakers/Hornets UNDER 184
Bottom Line: We only saw 196 total points scored in Game 5 when both teams shot over 49% from the field. With the Lakers looking to close out the series and the Hornets looking to stay alive, we can expect both teams to pick up their play on the defensive end. The Lakers are 51-36 UNDER in all games this season, 23-12 UNDER after one or more consecutive overs this season and 24-13 UNDER after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. New Orleans is 52-35 UNDER in all games this season, 18-9 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and 10-3 UNDER in its last 13 home games versus a team with a winning road record. It's also worth noting that the UNDER is 9-3 in the Lakers' last 12 road games. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoff "Total" Massacre on Nuggets/Thunder UNDER 204.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder was not at all happy about its defensive performance in Game 4. It didn't defend the basket well early and didn't defend the 3-point shot well late. It also fouled way too much. Expect OKC to tighten the screws on the defensive end tonight and for the finals score to finish under the number as a result. 6 of the last 7 games between these teams have finished Under and OKC has held the Nuggets to an average of 95.5 ppg in the 6 meetings with them since the Melo trade. Take the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoff Side of the Night on Spurs -6.5
Bottom Line: Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) playing with double revenge (2 straight losses vs. an opponent), and up against a foe that is coming off an upset win over a division team, are 50-23 ATS the last 15 years. Teams fitting the parameters of this system are winning by an average of 10.4 points. Lay the points.

5* NBA Playoff Total of the Week on Pacers/Bulls OVER 187
Bottom Line: I really like the Over here as the series shifts back to Chicago where these teams have played to the Over in 5 of their last 7. Plus, Consider that plays Over on all teams when the posted total is between 180 and 189.5 points (CHICAGO) - well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a losing record - are 51-21 the last 15 years, including 2-0 already this season. We have seen an average of 192.2 total points scored with this system. Pound the Over.

4* Major NBA Playoff Super System Total on Hawks/Magic OVER 178
Bottom Line: Plays Over on all teams when the total is between 170 and 179.5 points (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams allowing 92-98 ppg, after 42+ games into the season and after a loss by 6 points or less - are 22-5 since 1996. Teams fitting the parameters of this system have combined with their opponents to score an average of 186.4 points. Pound the Over.

4* Major NBA "Total" Bailout on Thunder/Nuggets OVER 206
Bottom Line: Plays OVER on any team (Denver in this case) off a home loss to a division rival and up against an opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 74-37 (66.7%) since 1996. Also, Denver is 29-17 OVER in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and 41-26 OVER in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Over.

4* Major NBA *Monster Line Mistake* on Spurs -1
Bottom Line: This line is soft, considering San Antonio is 8-1 ATS this season in road games when out to avenge a loss to an opponent. It is winning these games by an average score of 100.4 to 95.6. The Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Grizzlies are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take the No. 1 seed in the West tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Spurs/Grizzlies OVER 189
Bottom Line: Plays on the OVER on all home teams (Memphis in this case) when the over/under line is between 180 and 189.5 points, if that team is only playing its 2nd game in 5 days and is coming off a victory by 3 or fewer points over a division rival, are 35-8 (81.4%) since 1996. Teams fitting this situation have combined with their opponents to beat the number by an average of 10.2 points. We'll take the Over.

4* Major NBA Playoff *BLOOD BATH* on Magic pk
Bottom Line: The Magic have a big edge on the interior with Dwight Howard and that edge gets even bigger with Atlanta's best post defender (Zaza Pachulia) sitting this one out with a suspension. Pachulia's decision to head-butt Jason Richardson has the Magic steamed, thinking he should have gotten stiffer punishment.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Massacre on Celtics/Knicks UNDER 195.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 22-6 in the last 28 in the 4th game of a playoff series when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points. Also, plays Under on road teams when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (BOSTON) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days - are 25-6 the last 5 seasons. Lastly, plays Under on home teams when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (NEW YORK) - revenging a home upset loss and up against an opponent off a win against a division rival - are a perfect 7-0 the last 5 seasons. Pound the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoffs *Monster Line Mistake* on Mavericks +4
Bottom Line: I really like Dallas, the deeper and more talented side, catching 4 points here. Dallas is 28-14 on the road this season and has been deadly when catching points. Consider that Dallas is 12-4 ATS as a road underdog of 6 or fewer points this season. It is winning outright in these games by an average of 1.8 points. It also can't be overlooked that Portland is a poor 88-119 ATS in its last 207 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoff "Total" Massacre on Mavs/Blazers UNDER 187
Bottom Line: Right away I like the fact that the Under is 94-52 in all Game 4's in the playoffs the last 5 seasons. The last 2 games in this series have barely gone over this number despite both teams shooting extremely well. Portland has shot out of its mind from 3-point range the last 2 games but consider that it is 15-4 UNDER in its last 19 after 2 straight games making 50% of its 3 point shots or better. We are only seeing an average of 180.2 total points scored in this situation. Also, Dallas is a rock solid 29-16 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Pound the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoff PRIMETIME PUNISHER (ESPN2) on Hawks +2
Bottom Line: The Magic are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings with the Hawks, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest, 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite of 4.5 points or less and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Atlanta has won both of its home games against the Magic this season. Take the Hawks.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoff "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Knicks OVER 191
Bottom Line: 189 total points were scored in Game 2 with the Knicks shooting just 35.6% from the field and with Amare Stoudemire going out with back spasms. Stoudemire is expected back and the Knicks will shoot better at home, where they are averaging 108.1 points on 47.2% shooting this season. The Over is 5-1 in the Celtics' last 6 playoff games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Over is 6-1 in the Knicks' last 7 home games and 14-3 in their last 17 games as a home favorite. 13 of the last 17 meetings between these teams have finished over this number. Bet the Over.

4* Major NBA Playoff "Total" Bailout on Mavs/Blazers UNDER 186
Bottom Line: The tempo was very slow in Dallas and I expect it to get even slower tonight. Game 1 finished well under the number and Game 2 would have as well had Peja not gone off from 3. Down 0-2 with their backs against the wall, you can bet the Blazers will be D-ing up tonight. The Under is 5-0 in the Trail Blazers' last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Under is also 16-7 in their last 23 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Under is also 6-1 in the Mavericks' last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Game 3 has all the makings of an ugly low-scoring affair.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoff "Total" Blowout on Heat/76ers OVER 186.5
Bottom Line: Miami, which averages 7 3-point makes a game on nearly 37% shooting, was just 3 of 15 from beyond the arc in Game 2. This is significant because the Heat are 7-0 Over this season following a game where they made 20% or fewer of their 3 point shots. We have seen an average of 211.5 total points scored in these games. I also like the fact that the Over is 5-1 in Philly's last 6 games following a double-digit defeat. This is basically a do-or-die game for Philadelphia already, considering the history of teams that fall into a 0-3 hole. Expect the 76ers to speed up the tempo at home and expect them to place an emphasis on driving the ball to the basket. That should result in more trips to the foul line. Scoring points with the clock stopped is always great for the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoff "Total" Massacre on Hornets/Lakers UNDER 188
Bottom Line: After holding New Orleans to an average of 91.0 ppg in 4 regular season meetings, The Lakers allowed Chris Paul and company to torch them for 109. Phil Jackson has proven to be great at making adjustments in the postseason and I expect him to find a way to slow Paul down tonight. It's not like they haven't done it before. The Lakers held him to only 10 points in a 102-84 home win on March 27. LA will tighten the screws defensively here and this one should come in Under the number as a result. The Under is 25-10-1 in the Lakers' last 36 games as a home favorite of 11.0 points or more and 12-3 in their last 15 games as a favorite of 11.0 points or more. Pound the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoff Blowout on Spurs -8
Bottom Line: It hasn't been an out of the ordinary thing for the Spurs to lose their first playoff game. In fact, they have lost four Game 1's in their first round series dating back to 2003 and have responded to win Game 2 by an average of 13 points. Following last year's playoff-opening loss to Dallas, the Spurs responded with a 14-point win. That came after they bounced back from a Game 1 defeat to club the Mavs by 21 in 2009. The Spurs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points while the Grizzlies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Lay the points.

5* 1st Round NBA Playoffs Game of the Year on Magic -8.5
Bottom Line: The public is all over Atlanta here because of its regular season success against Orlando and its Game 1 win, but I won't hesitate to go against the grain. Orlando, without question, will be the hungrier team tonight. Plus, I'm not about to let 1 road win in the playoffs by the Hawks to make me forget about their mediocre road play during the season and their terrible road play in the postseason in recent years. Consider that Atlanta is on a 6-20 ATS skid in road playoff games, losing them by 12.9 points on average. The Hawks are also 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Lastly, Orlando is on an impressive 15-5 ATS run in home games following a double-digit defeat. The Magic are winning these contests by an average of 14.0 points. Take the Magic.

4* Major NBA Playoffs "Total" Massacre on Knicks/Celtics OVER 193
Bottom Line: Recent history tells us to look to the Over in game 2 of a playoff series as it is 96-58 the last 5 seasons. Teams have been able to make the proper adjustments offensively between games 1 and 2 to carry the score over the number consistently. I resisted this trend in the Bulls game last night because of their uncharacteristically poor defensive performance in Game 1. They made their adjustments on the defensive end. Billups is the Knicks best decision-maker and he isn't expected to go tonight. New York has no shot in this one if they try to play halfcourt hoops against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA without him. Coach D'Antoni knows that and he'll have his club looking to push the pace to get some easy buckets. Also, the Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these teams in Boston. The Over is 8-0 in the Celtics' last 8 vs. a team with a winning record and 5-1 in the Knicks' last 6 games following a loss. Take the Over.

5* Wiseguy 1st Round NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Pacers/Bulls Under 192
Bottom Line: The Bulls ranked No. 1 in field goal percentage defense this season, allowing foes to shoot just 43%, but they allowed Indiana to shoot 46.4% in game 1. Chicago also ranked No. 1 in 3-point field goal percentage defense, holding opponents to 32.6% from deep, but it allowed Indiana to make 10 of 18 3-point shots in game 1. When asked what the Bulls need to improve on defensively in game 2, coach Thibodeau said "Everything. Every aspect from ball pressure, challenging shots, finishing the defense, getting back, getting set. Fourth-quarter defense was a lot different than the rest of the game." His team has received the message loud and clear and I expect a completely different defensive effort tonight. Pound the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Primetime Punisher on 76ers +9.5
Bottom Line: The 76ers have held 9 of their last 10 opponents under the century mark. They have held Miami under the century mark in 3 of 4 meetings this season. It will be extremely difficult for Miami to cover this number with as well as the 76ers have defended. The Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Miami is also just 5-18 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season. The Heat are only defeating these foes by 4.8 points on average. Coach Doug Collins has said he wants to see his team get to the foul line more in game 2, which will give them an excellent chance to keep this one within the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *Monster Line Mistake* on Nuggets +6
Bottom Line: Denver is 12-4 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season, winning these games by an average score of 100.4 to 100.1. It is also 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 12-2 ATS in its last 14 road games. In addition, the Nuggets are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games when playing with 3 or more days rest. The Nuggets are fresh and as healthy as they've been in a while. Plus, they will be very hungry here after a pair of April defeats to the Thunder. We'll Take the points.

4* Major NBA Playoffs "Total" Massacre on Hornets/Lakers UNDER 183
Bottom Line: New Orleans is a perfect 11-0 UNDER when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses to an opponent - this season and 11-0 UNDER in road games following a division game over the last 2 seasons. Also, the 7-0 UNDER off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points this season. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *Monster Line Mistake* on Hawks +8.5
Bottom Line: Atlanta found itself in the underdog role 4 times against the Magic this season. The Hawks covered the spread in all 4 meetings, winning 3 outright and losing the 1 by only 4 points. Atlanta is a much better defensive team this season and should prove to be better yet in the playoffs after upgrading at the point guard spot with Kirk Hinrich - known as one of the better on-ball defenders in the league. The Hawks lost their last 6 games, but they were also resting players and cutting back minutes since they really didn't have an opportunity to improve their seeding. The Magic are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Take Atlanta and the points.

4* Major NBA Playoffs "Total" Massacre on 76ers/Heat UNDER 190
Bottom Line: The Under is 6-0 in the 76ers' last 6 overall and the Heat have played to the Under in 3 straight. These teams played to the Under in 2 of 3 meetings this season and I'm expecting to see an even uglier, lower-scoring affair than we've seen yet in this Game 1. Both of these teams rank in the top 10 in field goal percentage defense and their numbers should be even better in the playoffs when the games slow down. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Jazz -4
Bottom Line: The Nuggets have no incentive to win this game as they are guaranteed the No. 5 seed in the West. As a result, coach Karl has made the decision to rest Afflalo, Nene, K-Mart, Felton and maybe even Gallinari. The reserves will see the majority of the minutes for Denver tonight and that leaves them very susceptible to a blowout, especially since the Jazz have continued to fight hard. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Bulls/Knicks UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Coach Thibodeau has said he won't rest his starters, which means I expect a strong effort from the Bulls as they look to go after home court throughout the entire playoffs and avenge a pair of losses to the Knicks. Chicago has allowed New York over the century mark in both meetings this season, so it will really be looking to tighten the screws defensively tonight. Also, Chicago is a perfect 7-0 UNDER when playing a 3rd road game in 5 days this season. We are only seeing a total of 176.6 points scored on average in these games. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Massacre on Jazz/Hornets UNDER 193.5
Bottom Line: After giving up 111 points to Memphis Sunday, expect the Hornets, which are only allowing 92.3 ppg at home this season, to really dig in here. This will be New Orleans's 3rd game in 4 days, so I expect to see a lot of half-court stuff from Chris Paul and company to save their legs. This has typically been the case in these situations as New Orleans is 20-4 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. We have only seen an average of 180.9 total points scored in this situation. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Thunder/Lakers OVER 189.5
Bottom Line: After 4 straight defeats, this is a game the Lakers really want. Expect them to be very aggressive offensively in the early going to set the tone. Plus, this one figures to be very physical with plenty of fouls, so we should see quite a bit of scoring done at the foul line without the clock moving. Both teams have been unders machines this season, but odds makers have been forced to bring this line down because of it. We saw 195 total points scored in this season's previous meeting in LA and I like this one to reach 200. Bet the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" MASSACRE on Jazz/Spurs UNDER 200
Bottom Line: First off, the Jazz are 10-1 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 since Corbin took over. Utah is also 9-1 UNDER when playing with double revenge (2 straight losses vs. an opponent) this season. We are only seen an average of 190.3 total points scored in these games. In addition, San Antonio is 12-1 UNDER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. We are only seeing an average of 184.5 total points scored in this situation. Bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" MASSACRE on Kings/Grizzlies UNDER 203
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams when the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 20 points or more - are 143-87 the last 5 seasons. Also, the Under is 5-0 in the Grizzlies' last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, 6-1 in their last 7 home games and 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy TNT Primetime Total on Celtics/Bulls UNDER 179
Bottom Line: Expect the defenses to take center stage in what will feel like a playoff game. Plays Under on all teams (CHICAGO) when the total is between 170 and 179.5 points that have won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games and 60% or more of their games on the season are 43-17 the last 5 seasons. We are only seeing an average of 171.0 total points scored in this situation. The Under is 12-3 in the Celtics' last 15 overall and 9-3 in the Bulls' last 12 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Under is also 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Chicago. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Mavericks -4.5
Bottom Line: Letdown spot for the Nuggets after coming up short in a game they really wanted against division rival Oklahoma City last night. Major bounce back spot for Dallas, meanwhile, following 3 straight defeats. Plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - playing on back-to-back days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record - are 96-55 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Week on Knicks/76ers UNDER 212.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - looking to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponents, off a road loss, are 101-51 (66.4%) since 1996. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Bet the Under as Philly brings the "D" at home, where they are only allowing 95.2 ppg this season.

4* Major NBA "Total" MASSACRE on Thunder/Nuggets UNDER 208
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams when the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER), that have gone under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 71-29 since 1996, including 8-1 this season. We are only seeing an average of 198.7 total points scored in this situation. The Under is 10-3 in the Thunder's last 13 overall and 5-1 in their last 6 road games. The Under is also 13-3 in the Nuggets' last 16 overall. Take the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Knicks UNDER 216
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games and with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season - are 30-10 (75%) since 1996. We are only seeing an average of 205.4 total points scored in this situation. We'll bet the Under.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Trail Blazers -2.5
Bottom Line: The Blazers have lost 3 times to OKC this season so they will be out for some series revenge tonight. It's extremely tough to beat any team 4 times in the same season, especially one as good as Portland. The Blazers have won their last 6 home games and are 26-10 in all home contests this season. They really "D" up at the Rose Garden, and I'm confident their defense will earn them the win and cover here. Portland is 11-2 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of its last 3 games this season. It is winning by an average score of 100.1 to 89.4 in this situation. Bet the Blazers.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Massacre on Bucks/Pacers UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: One of the most lucrative trends this season has been to take the Under in Milwaukee games following a game in which the Bucks finishes Over the totals. The Bucks are an awesome 20-6 UNDER after one or more consecutive overs this season, and we are only seeing an average of 182.2 total points scored in these games. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT "Total" MASSACRE on Mavs/Lakers UNDER 191.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers have been at their best defensively against the best competition. In fact, LA is 12-2 UNDER versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. We are only seeing an average of 186.2 total points scored in this situation. The Under is 9-4 in the Lakers' last 13 overall and 5-1 in the Mavericks' last 6 overall. We'll take the Under in what should be a lower scoring defensive battle.

4* Major NBA "Total" Bailout on Thunder/Suns UNDER 212
Bottom Line: Phoenix was killed on the glass by Sacramento last night, which is the biggest reason why it lost the game. Such terrible rebounding efforts have spurred on much better ones for Phoenix this season. In fact, the Suns are a perfect 9-0 UNDER after being outrebounded by 15 or more boards this season. We are only seeing an average of 196.1 total points scored in this situation. Look for Phoenix to get on the boards tonight to limit Oklahoma City's second chance opportunity. The Thunder should score less points as a result. Take the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Warriors/Grizzlies UNDER 210
Bottom Line This is a rare situation we can't afford to pass up. Golden State is 20-9 UNDER in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons. If the Warriors are playing their second road contest in as many days, this trend tightens up to 16-3 UNDER! The Warriors have been a money UNDERS play on the road all season. Bet the UNDER!

4* Major NBA "Total" Massacre on Suns/Kings OVER 214
Bottom Line: After a pair of lackluster games offensively, expect the Suns to get it going tonight. Phoenix is 13-2 OVER in road games when avenging a home loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. We are seeing an average of 228.3 total points scored in this situation. Bet the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Massacre on 76ers/Bulls UNDER 191.5
Bottom Line: Under coach Thibodeau, Chicago is 14-2 UNDER when out to avenge a road loss to an opponent. The Bulls have really tightened the screws defensively in these spots and we are only seeing an average of 179.1 total points scored in this situation as a result. Bet the UNDER.

4* Major NBA Total Play of the Day on Blazers/Thunder Under 192.5
Bottom Line: Under coach McMillan, Portland is an awesome 10-1 UNDER in road games when checking in off a home no-cover in which they won straight up as a favorite. We are only seeing an average of 184.9 total points scored in this situation. The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams in Oklahoma City. The Under is 7-1 in the Thunder's last 8 overall and 12-3-1 in the Trail Blazers' last 16 vs. a team with a winning SU record. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Knicks -4
Bottom Line: Big letdown spot for Charlotte after last night's big come from behind win over Boston. The Knicks, meanwhile, will be out for blood after enduring their 5th straight defeat yesterday. The Knicks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less and 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest. The Bobcats are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days rest. The Knicks are the much more talented team and should have their way with Charlotte tonight.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Blazers -4
Bottom Line: Without Duncan, the Spurs were able to hang with a defensively challenged Nuggets team the other night. I don't see them hanging here. Portland has won 5 straight at home against the Spurs, including a 13-point win last month. The Blazers have also covered the number in all 5 of those games, winning them by an average score of 99 to 89. Without Duncan, Portland has a big edge on the interior with Aldridge, who scored 40 points against the Spurs the last time he faced them. Expect another big game from him to lead to another comfortable win by Portland.

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics -13
Bottom Line: Motivated by a loss to Memphis last game and a loss to Charlotte last month, expect the Celtics to flex their muscles at home tonight. Boston knows how valuable the home court advantage is in the playoffs, so I don't expect it to just hand it over to the Bulls. A Boston team this motivated should have no problem taking it to a Charlotte squad that has dropped 10 of its last 12 with those 10 defeats coming by 17.5 points on average. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Nuggets -5
Bottom Line: San Antonio enters this match up with the best record in the NBA, however, without one of their key players with Tim Duncan nursing a bad ankle. The Nuggets have looked great at home since the Carmelo Anthony trade. They've won and covered the spread in 6-straight home games and are facing a San Antonio team who is playing in their fourth game in six days. San Antonio also comes in with just a 1-4 ATS record on the road against teams with a .600 home winning percentage or better. The Nuggets fit that description, lay the points.

4* Major Wednesday *BLOOD BATH* on New York Knicks +1
Bottom Line: This is an important spot for the Knicks, who are still fighting for a better seed in the NBA playoffs. Here we have a case of a hot team (Orlando) who hits the road to face a cold home team (New York). The rub is that the Magic's record as the visiting teams is nearly identical to the Knicks' home record. Orlando has looked good of late winning three straight (though failing to cover in all three), but those games were against less talented teams. New York has dropped three straight, but two of those games were on the road and their most recent loss came to one of the top teams in the East in the Boston Celtics. Look for the Knicks to get back on track Wednesday night.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT PRIMETIME PUNISHER on Hawks +4.5
Bottom Line: This is a game the Hawks really want after the 18-point loss they were handed in Chicago earlier this month, and they won't be lacking any confidence against a team they have defeated 6 straight times at home by an average of 14.0 ppg. The Hawks match up very well with the Bulls with their physical, athletic lineup, which is the main reason Chicago 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Monday NBA Blowout on Bulls -15.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls blew a 35-point lead and lost to the Kings at the United Center last season. That defeat, and the most recent, assures us Chicago will be in major revenge mode this evening. Chicago is a deadly 7-0 ATS in home games after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite this season. The Bulls are winning by an average of 17.3 points in this situation. Bet the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy Sunday NBA Blowout on Hawks -7
Bottom Line: I fully expect the Hawks to show up today after getting their butts kicked in their last 2. The Pistons have lost 6 in a row on the road by an average of 11.0 points. They have also lost their last 5 in Atlanta, averaging just 86.0 points in those defeats. The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Expect them to take care of business in this highly motivated spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Grizzlies -9
Bottom Line: Indiana is in for a major letdown here following last night's big OT victory over the Bulls. Memphis, meanwhile, will be out for blood following a blowout loss to the Knicks in its last game. The a lousy 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games when playing on 0 days of rest. The 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat of more than 10 points and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus the Pacers. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA GAME OF THE NIGHT on Bobcats +9.5
Bottom Line: A double-digit defeat to Houston last game and a double-digit loss to OKC earlier this season assure us the Bobcats will be hungry when they take the floor tonight. The numbers are in our favor as well. Charlotte is 24-9 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of its last 8 games over the last 3 seasons and 20-8 ATS after being held to 80 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Also, OKC is 3-12 ATS after having won 8 or more of its last 10 games over the last 2 seasons. Odds makers are spotting the Bobcats too many tonight and we'll look to take advantage. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Thunder/Heat UNDER 202.5
Bottom Line: This is without a doubt the strongest totals system I've come across this year. Plays Under on any team (MIAMI) after a huge blowout win by 30 or more, against an opponent that led in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half, are 34-7 since 1996, 17-2 the last 5 seasons and 1-0 this season. We have only seen an average of 185.0 total points scored in this system. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Bucks +5.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks have been a pure fade when valued as a home favorite this season. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 8-19 ATS in all games as a home favorite this season. The Hawks have also struggled in revenge spots like this. In fact, they are just 1-8 ATS in home games when out to avenge a loss to a foe this season. Milwaukee has already taken 2 of 3 from Atlanta this season and it will be lacking no motivation after the way it was pounded by Boston Sunday. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Lakers -6
Bottom Line: While winning 9 of their last 10, the Lakers have paid back the Spurs and the Mavs for previous losses this season. I expect them to have their revenge against Orlando tonight. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - avenging a loss to an opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 62-29 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this system are winning by an average of 8.9 points. In addition, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - avenging a loss in which it was held to less than 85 points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 32-10 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this profile are winning by an average of 11.7 points. Take the Lakers.

5* Wiseguy Sunday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics -8.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics are one of the best bounce back teams in the NBA at 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games following a SU loss. They have lost back-to-back games just 4 prior times this season, and they have responded to win the next game each time by an average of 16.0 points. Plus, Boston will benefit from the presence of Delonte West and Glen Davis. Both are expected back in the lineup today. Bet Boston.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Bucks -2
Bottom Line: I really like the Bucks in this spot. They have had 2 full days to gear up for this one and they are playing with same season double revenge. The 76ers are primed for a letdown following a huge win over Boston last night. Plus, fatigue will be an issue for them as this is their 2nd game in as many nights and their 4th in 5 days. Philly is just 12-20 on the road this season, and I believe it runs into a buzz saw tonight. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Bobcats +4.5
Bottom Line: Portland is 1-8 ATS when it has won 4 of its last 5 games this season. It is losing by an average score of 94.7 to 89.4 in this spot. Charlotte is 22-8 ATS after losing 6 or 7 of its last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. It is winning by an average score of 94.3 to 90.2 in this spot. Off a big win over Miami, the Blazers will get caught overlooking a team they crushed last week. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Mavericks -5.5
Bottom Line: Letdown city for the Knicks after last night's buzzer-beater win over Memphis. Dallas, meanwhile, is in extreme bounce back mode after completely peeing away yesterday's contest with New Orleans. Dallas have won 16 of the last 18 games in this matchup. It is also worth noting that 14 of the Mavs' last 17 wins in this series have come by at least 6 points. With Billups ruled out, the Mavs have the huge edge at the guard spots with Rodrique Beaubois, Jason Kidd, Jason Terry and Jose Barea. Plus, Tyson Chandler and Brendan Haywood should be able to hold their own down low with Stoudemire. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the NBA Atlantic, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. the Eastern Conference. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Magic -9
Bottom Line: The Magic get Dwight Howard back from suspension tonight, and they will waste no time jumping all over a Sacramento team that upset in their first game out of the All-Star break. Orlando is 20-6 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, defeating these foes by an average of 15.7 points. Also, the Magic 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take Orlando.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/Hornets UNDER 189
Bottom Line: The Hornets only managed 77 points in their last game without Chris Paul to facilitate the offense. He won't be back in the lineup tonight, and that means the offense should continue to struggle. Plus, plays Under on all teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less, are 51-24 the last 5 seasons. We are only seeing an average of 180.1 total points scored in this situation. Lastly, the Under is 12-4 in the Hornets' last 16 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA MONSTER LINE MISTAKE on Hawks +5.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are getting way too much respect from odds makers in this situation. I know they have won 7 straight out of the break, but this is a major sandwich game. LA is coming off its biggest win of the season (over San Antonio) and it will be much more concerned with 3 upcoming revenge games against Miami, Dallas and Orlando than it will a Hawks team it defeated by 24 2 weeks ago. While Atlanta won't get LA's full attention, you better believe LA will get all of Atlanta's focus. The Hawks are off consecutive losses, including an ugly loss to the Knicks. Combine that with their ugly loss at LA, and I expect this to be one of the most motivated spots for the Hawks all season. Atlanta has won 3 in a row at home against the Lakers and the last 2 wins have come by 10 and 17 points. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Letdown Game of the Month on Thunder +3
Bottom Line: After coming back from 18 down to end Dallas' 8-game win streak on Zach Randolph's buzzer-beater, the Grizzlies are primed for a major letdown today. In addition, OKC wants this game badly after falling at home to Memphis last month. Randolph has been effective against the Thunder this season, but I expect a lackluster performance from him here after logging 42-plus minutes Sunday. OKC is 8-1 ATS in road games this season when looking to avenge a loss in which it allowed its opponent to score 100 or more points. The Thunder are winning these games by an average score of 100.2 to 99.3. Expect the Thunder to earn the outright win.

4* Major (ABC) on Lakers +3
Bottom Line: The Lakers have been out to remind everyone following that they are the two-time defending champs. The Lakers have won 6 straight, and they will be extremely motivated here having lost the season's first 2 meetings with San Antonio. The Lakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Spurs, meanwhile, are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Plus, Friday's blowout win over the Heat won't do the Spurs any favors as they'll come into this one riding a little too high. Expect the Lakers to knock them down a notch with a win Sunday.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* (ABC) on Heat -5
Bottom Line: I doubt we will find a team as talented as the Heat in a more motivated spot the rest of the season. Miami has lost the season's first 2 meetings with the Bulls and it enters this contest having lost its last 3 games. Getting absolutely embarrassed by the Spurs on national TV Friday night assures us that the Heat will be extremely focused for this national TV affair. Plays on any team (MIAMI) - off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 46-22 ATS (67.6%) the last 5 seasons. Lay the points.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Clippers -1.5
Bottom Line: Expect Denver to finally endure a letdown against a Clippers team that is back to full strength. The Clippers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Denver has is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in its last 7 and LA is favored? Odds makers thing the Nuggets are going down, and I completely agree.

4* Major NBA Non-Conference *Cash Cow* on Warriors +9.5
Bottom Line: Boston is getting too much respect against a Warriors team that will be lacking no motivation following the defeat the Celtics handed them out of the All-Star break. Plus, Boston will be playing with a short bench with Glen Davis and Delonte West not expected to go. Boston is a lousy 31-44 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons, including just 14-26 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points during this span. Going back three seasons, Boston is a dismal 9-23 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. Take the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Bulls +2
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Magic, which used a ton of energy in erasing a 24-point deficit to defeat the Heat last night. Meanwhile, this is a big bounce back spot for a Bulls team that would like to wash the sour taste of Wednesday's loss to the Hawks out of its mouth. Chicago blew a 19-point lead in that contest, which will have it even more focused this evening. Chicago has become an elite defensive team under coach Thibodeau. In fact, it is an impressive 19-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game under Thibodeau, defeating these foes by an average of 7.0 points. Chicago's defense will be the difference in this one. Bet the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake (TNT) on Magic +5
Bottom Line: The Magic have had this one circled ever since they fell at home to the Heat a month ago. They enter tonight's contest in better current form, and I fully expect them to have their revenge. Dwight Howard has taken his game to another level and that spells bad news for a Miami team that is lacking a physical post presence. The Heat are a poor 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Considering the Magic have an excellent shot to win this one outright, we'll take the points.

4* Major NBA Late Night Bailout on Blazers -3
Bottom Line: The Blazers will be very hungry tonight after a poor performance against Houston Tuesday. They will be further motivated by a loss to Sacramento in January. The Blazers have won 4 in a row on the road, and they have also won their last 4 in Sacramento. The Trail Blazers are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road favorite of 4.5 points or less while the Kings are 10-29-1 ATS in their last 40 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less. Also, the Trail Blazers are 26-11-1 ATS in their last 38 games when playing on 0 days rest. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Suns/Celtics OVER 199
Bottom Line: Normally the Celtics would look to slow the game down on Phoenix, but Boston is a smaller team now following the trade of Perkins. Plus, Phoenix has played back-to-back overtime games and this will be its 4th road game in 6 days. Expect the C's to run with Phoenix tonight, as they believe they will have more stamina in this one. The result of an uptempo affair should be an easy Overs winner. The Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these teams in Boston. Bet the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Opinion *Power Play* on Bulls -3.5
Bottom Line: I'm confident the public has this one right. The Bulls are the better team and they are in good current form. Atlanta will be without star forward Josh Smith. Plus, the Bulls will be very motivated by the fact that the Hawks have taken it to them the last few seasons. Chicago is now the better team, and it will look to send a message. The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 18-6 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Bet the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy Public Burial on Grizzlies -1
Bottom Line: Memphis has played San Antonio as tough as anyone this season, and I like the Grizzlies to get the win at home against the Spurs tonight. Memphis has now played several games without Rudy Gay and has had others step up. San Antonio, meanwhile, will struggle in its first full game without Tony Parker. Without Parker on the floor, Memphis was able to erase a huge deficit in Sunday's meeting. Plus, we saw how much the Spurs struggled last season when Parker missed significant time. The Grizz are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus their division, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take Memphis in the small chalk.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Jazz +5
Bottom Line: The Celtics are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. The Jazz, meanwhile, are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less. With Kirilenko, Millsap, Jefferson and Favors, the Jazz have plenty of front court depth and talent to take Boston down to the wire tonight. The Celtics don't have nearly as much size and depth up front following their trade of Kendrick Perkins, especially since Shaq and Jermaine O'Neal are yet to return from injury. Boston's bench will be even thinner tonight with Delonte West expected to be held out with an ankle injury. Look for the Jazz to get the cover in their first home game following the All-Star break.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Lakers pk
Bottom Line: With Jeff Green no longer on the roster, and with Kendrick Perkins (the guy they traded him for) not yet able to play due to injury), the Lakers should be laying several points here. I strongly feel getting them at a pick is a gift. LA already had a big advantage in the paint over the Thunder, which is the reason why OKC traded for Perkins. I expect the Lakers to take advantage of their size in this one. LA has won 11 of the last 14 in this series. Take the Lakers.

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night *BLOOD BATH* on Trail Blazers -6.5
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Nuggets following last night's win over the Celtics. It is also tough to win in Portland and this is the first road game for the Nuggets following their blockbuster trade. Don't expect the road to bring the same good fortune. The this series has been dominated by the home team in terms of the point spread. In fact, the home team have covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 meetings. Also, Denver is just 11-23 ATS in the second games of a back-to-back over the last 2 seasons and 16-28 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Blazers fell by 19 at Denver earlier this month, so don't expect them to show the Nuggets any mercy tonight. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA *Underdog Shocker* on T-Wolves +5.5
Bottom Line: The T-Wolves have given the Hornets fits this season. They won by 15 at home in December and by 12 in New Orleans earlier this month. I love their chances again tonight as the Hornets are expected to be without David West. The Hornets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Hornets are also just 5-21 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take the points.

4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Celtics -4.5
Bottom Line: The C's have the advantage in this one as they take on a Denver team looking to break in a whole new cast of players. Last night, we played against the Knicks, as Melo and Billups made their debuts, to earn a nice cover with the Bucks +7.5. Those two did some nice things, but it was evident that New York had some chemistry issues. That's expected in the first few games with a new team, and I believe Denver will go through it tonight. Boston's last two wins over Denver have come by 16 and 14 points. Expect the well-oiled Celtics to take advantage of the new-look Nuggets in this one.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year (TNT) on Heat -2.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls have been tough to take at home this season, but this is a tough spot for them. They used a lot of energy in last night's loss to Toronto. The Bulls didn't have Noah when they defeated the Heat by 3 points last month. Miami, however, didn't have King James, and Bosh also missed the majority of that one. Motivated to avenge that loss, and with the big three intact, expect Miami to prevail this evening. Plays on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI), good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after a blowout win by 20 points or more, are an impressive 91-49 ATS since 1996. Lay the points with the Heat tonight.

4* Major Non-Conference *Cash Cow* on Hawks +3
Bottom Line: Expect the Hawks to respond in a big way following last night's brutally embarrassing loss to the Lakers. The Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. Atlanta has been a solid road team all season, and it looks like a solid investment in this motivated spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Bucks +7.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are getting way too much respect tonight. We can't expect Melo and Billups to step right in and for the Knicks to be a well-oiled machine in game 1. That's unrealistic. Plus, Milwaukee has had New York's number. The Bucks are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last 8 in the series, including 4-0 SU and ATS during this stretch at New York. It also bodes well for the Bucks that they were able to get a tune up game against the T-Wolves last night. Take the points as Milwaukee has an excellent opportunity to win this one outright.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Lakers -7
Bottom Line: The Lakers showed fatigue and apathy prior to the All-Star break, losing their last 3 games. Their last lost came to Cleveland, which owns the NBA's worst record. With plenty of time for that embarrassing loss to fester, I expect the now rested Lakers to do something about it tonight. Kobe showed that he still has some fire by putting on a show in the All-Star game to collect yet another All-Star MVP award. I expect to see more of that fire tonight. The Lakers have won their last 4 home games against the Hawks by an average of 15.3 points. We'll lay the points with LA here.

4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Punisher on Bulls -1.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls are 24-4 at home this season where they own wins over the Lakers, Celtics, Heat, Mavs and Magic. Motivated by a loss at San Antonio early in the season, expect the Bulls to add the Spurs to this list. This is the Spurs' 9th straight road game. In other words, they are very fatigued at this point and can't wait for the All-Star break. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the Bulls.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Jazz -5
Bottom Line: Utah has lost 4 straight home games, but I'm confident it won't lose a fifth. After all, the Jazz haven't lost 5 in a row at home in nearly 30 years. The Warriors have been playing some good ball, but keep in mind that they have been playing it at home. Golden State has only played 3 road games dating back to Jan. 9, and it lost all 3 of them. In fact, the Warriors are just 6-18 away from home this season, where they are losing by an average of 8.0 points. The Jazz have had no problem with Golden State in Utah. They have won 27 of the last 30 at home by an average score of 108-97. The Jazz fell by 1 point to Phoenix last night, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. The Warriors defeating the struggling Hornets last night, but they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Take Utah.

4* Major NBA Dog of the Night on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz have had 3 days to prepare following a disappointing loss to Phoenix in which they blew a double-digit halftime lead, and I expect them to do something about it this evening. Utah is a terrific 21-9 ATS following a home loss over the last 3 seasons, bouncing back to win by an average score of 103.2 to 97.7. Also, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the Jazz are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings at Phoenix. Expect Utah to have its revenge this evening.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Bulls -9
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Bobcats playing the second game of a back-to-back on the road following a big blowout win over the Lakers. This is also a big revenge spot for the Bulls, which have dropped the first two meetings of the season with Charlotte. In fact, plays on any team (CHICAGO) looking to avenge an upset loss to an opponent in a home game in which it was favored by 7 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), are an impressive 48-21 ATS since 1996. Also, Charlotte is a dismal 5-16 ATS in its last 21 road games in the second half of the season when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). It is losing these contests by an average of 13.6 points. Bet the Bulls tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: Denver is the superior team in this matchup, and I believe it will prove it tonight. The Nuggets will be very hungry this evening after blowing a 17-point lead in a loss to Memphis Sunday. Plus, a home loss to these Rockets last Monday will have the Nuggets even more focused and motivated. Denver's defense was absolutely horrendous against the Grizzlies, but that bodes well for us tonight. In fact, the Nugs are an impressive 20-7 ATS under coach Karl following a game in which they allowed a shooting percentage of 55% or higher. The Nuggets have bounced back to win by an average score of 108.0 to 101.2 in this situation. Prior to last week's defeat, Denver had either won or lost by 2 points or less to the Rockets in 7 straight meetings. Take Denver.

4* Major on Hawks -4.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are the better team in this matchup. With rest and revenge factors in their favor, expect them to prove it this evening. An embarrassing 23-point loss at Detroit in December will be fresh on the minds of the Hawks when they take the floor tonight. History tells us this is a good thing. In fact, plays on road favorites (ATLANTA) looking to avenge an upset loss, if they are coming off a home defeat, are a rock solid 99-50 ATS since 1996. This is a second game of a back-to-back for the Pistons, and their 5th game in 7 days. This is just Atlanta's 3rd game in 7 days. Take the much more rested Hawks in this revenge spot.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Warriors pk
Bottom Line: The Warriors are a respectable 17-11 at home this season where they have recent wins over Utah, Chicago and Denver. Following one of their worst defeats of the season at Phoenix, I expect Golden State to come storming back in its return home tonight. Consider that the Warriors are a ridiculous 22-5 ATS the last 2 seasons when coming off a road loss by 10 or more points. The Warriors are winning these games outright by an average score of 110.2 to 109.4. The Warriors have had 2 days to gear up for this one while OKC is being asked to play its 2nd game in 2 days. Look for Golden State to exploit OKC's fatigued legs by pushing the tempo here.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Jazz -6
Bottom Line: It's sad to see a Hall of Famer like Jerry Sloan call it quits, especially in this fashion at mid-season, but I fully expect the Jazz to be sparked tonight following his exit. We have seen the way the Bobcats and Pacers were sparked by coaching changes, and I expect the same to take place in Utah. We're also playing the revenge angle tonight. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) looking to avenge a same season loss, provided the team they playing is coming off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, are 40-14 ATS since 1996. This system is an impressive 12-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Take Utah.

5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Punisher on Knicks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks have quietly been one of the best investments in the NBA at 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 games. They have been an insanely profitable investment when catching points. The Knicks are 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Recently, the Knicks have been money in the bank following a defeat. In fact, they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. With the Lakers still riding high after last night's win over Boston, and with New York out to avenge a loss at L.A. last month, the Knicks are in prime position to take down another giant at MSG, where they have already defeated San Antonio and Miami. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Warriors +6.5
Bottom Line: Motivated by 2 prior defeats to Phoenix this season, including an embarrassing performance Monday, expect the Warriors to answer the call tonight. "We played terrible, it's embarrassing," said guard Monta Ellis. That kind of disgust often fuels a great performance, and I expect no less this evening. The Warriors are 20-9 ATS versus terrible defensive teams allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, defeating these teams by an average score of 111.4 to 109.3. The Warriors are also a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Lastly, the underdog is an impressive 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Take the points.

4* Major Primetime Punisher (TNT) on Lakers +2.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers have struggled against the upper echelon teams in the NBA this season, but I expect them to snap out of it tonight. Having just lost to Boston at home by double digits on Jan. 30, the Lakers will be extremely motivated. Plus, they will enter this contest with a great deal of confidence following back-to-back road wins over quality Western Conference opponents. Also, Shaq is not expected to play tonight. He gave the Celtics a nice boost off the bench on the defensive end in Boston's recent win over L.A. I have a feeling the C's will miss his presence in the paint against his former team. The Lakers are an impressive 13-2 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 102.4 to 94.2. Bet the Lakers.

4* Major on Bulls +1
Bottom Line: The Bulls haven't lost 3 games in a row all season, and I don't expect this trend to come to an end here against the struggling Jazz. The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 4.5 of fewer points. The Jazz are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games, 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Look for Chicago to bounce back strong tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Clippers +7.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are giving the Knicks way too much respect tonight. We're talking about a team that is just 4-9 in its last 13 games and a team that has lost 7 in a row to the Western Conference. These Clippers are not the same team the Knicks beat in L.A. in November. The Clipps have lost 4 in a row, but those 4 losses will have them mighty hungry tonight. Plus, it must be mentioned that all 4 of those defeats came to teams ranked in the top 10 in scoring defense. The Knicks, meanwhile, allow 106.0 points per contest. Just don't see New York playing good enough defense to get the job done tonight. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the Clippers.

4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Bucks -7.5
Bottom Line: Off 4 straight defeats, expect the Bucks to take out their frustrations on one of the worst road teams in the NBA tonight. Under coach Triano, Toronto is a dismal 22-42 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. It is losing these contests by an average score of 108.0 to 98.4. Also, plays on home teams (MILWAUKEE) off an upset loss by 10 points or more, playing with 2 days rest, are an impressive 49-19 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Raptors are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series, and I expect this trend to continue. Lay the points.