3* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Timberwolves +11.5
I like the Wolves to give the Rockets a run for their money tonight with a chance to win this game so I will take the points. Houston has a revenge game with the Spurs on deck so I expect them to be looking ahead here while the Wolves are playing with triple revenge against Houston this season so they will be playing to avoid being swept. The Timberwolves are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater, 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games, and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Rockets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Rockets are overvalued. Take the points!

4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Blazers/Cavs UNDER 185.5
I would already expect a defensive battle in this one, but with Portland wearing itself out last night, I like the Under even more. Plain and simple, plays under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (PORTLAND) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 58-28 under the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH on Thunder -2
With the Bulls coming from behind to beat the Celtics last night, I don't think they'll have anything left when they head out on the road to face a Thunder team that has won 4 straight at home. And it's not as if the Thunder has just been beating powder puffs. 3 of those 4 wins are against quality opponents - the likes of Dallas, Philly, and San Antonio. The Bulls are just 10-26 on the road this season and in a terrible letdown spot. I like the Thunder by double digits!

3* NBA DOG OF THE NIGHT on Pacers +2
Hungry for a win, I like the Pacers to get the job done against a Blazers team that has struggled on the road all season. With Cleveland tomorrow night, I think you'll see the Blazers get caught looking right past the Pacers. Indiana has been no push over at home at 19-12 this season. The Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana and 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take the Pacers.

3* NBA Public Massacre on Bulls +2.5
The Celtics have lost 8 of their last 9 ATS and are really struggling without KG. Chicago is 20-11 at home this season and sniffing the playoffs. It will get up for this one like you haven't seen before this year. The Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Celtics are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing SU record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. We'll take this 24-0 ATS Angle to the bank!

4* Major NBA Underdog of the Month on Kings +12
Off a blowout win over the Blazers and with a big game against the Mavs coming up, the Hawks have no incentive to blowout a Kings team that is quietly playing very well right now. The Kings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games. They have a win over Denver and a 3-point loss to Cleveland during the stretch. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Pacific. The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Odds makers have horribly undervalued the Kings here and they will keep this one within single digits.

5* Wiseguy Western Conference GOTY on Hornets -3.5
With a chance to move into second place in the NBA Southwest to creep that much closer to San Antonio, I like the Hornets to get the job done here. The Hornets return home from a 4-game road trip out for blood after getting crushed 79-97 by the Bulls. This matchup is all about home court as both teams have 9-point wins at home this season. In fact, the Home team is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and New Orleans is 4-1 SU and ATS at home against Houston the last 3 seasons. The Rockets are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Southwest. The Hornets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. New Orleans is 9-0 ATS in home games in March over the last 2 seasons and 19-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Lay the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK on Hawks -4.5
The Hawks are rolling having won 4 in a row and they are an outstanding 24-7 in home games this season. The Blazers are only 13-18 away from home and have dropped 6 of their last 7 road games. The Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Trail Blazers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Spurs +2.5
Off a loss a loss to the Lakers, I look for a fresher Spurs team to bounce back tonight against a Rockets team which just played in Charlotte last night and then had to travel back home. Also, the Spurs will be out to avenge an embarrassing 84-103 loss when they visited here earlier in the season. The rest factor is crucial as Houston is just 1-8 ATS in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. Another thing to look at is how solid the Spurs have been on the road, going 20-12 SU and 18-13 ATS this season. The Spurs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. We'll bet San Antonio in this one.

4* Major NBA BAILOUT GOTM on Warriors -1
With Dallas looking ahead to the Lakers, look for the Warriors to jump up and bite the Mavs tonight. Golden State is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS at home against the Mavs the last 3 seasons as they have had a terrible time with Golden State's uptempo offense. The Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Mavericks are 2-12-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Golden State and 7-22-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings. All Warriors here!

4* Major NBA on TNT BEST BET on Suns +5
The Suns have now lost 5 straight and are seeing their playoff hopes slip away. They can't afford to drop another game tonight so we can expect to see maximum effort from this team. The public is all over the Cavs and that only makes me like Phoenix more tonight as Cleveland has lost each of its last 2 ATS on the road. The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix and the Home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Cavaliers are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. The Suns are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. I really like the Suns to pull off the upset tonight so I'll take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Lakers +2
This is a statement game for the Lakers after getting crushed by Portland last time out. LA has now lost its last 3 road games and this is a situation where Kobe puts the team on his back and grinds out a "W". Not having Odom in the lineup doesn't affect the Lakers at all tonight as he is usually non-existent in physical games anyhow. Look for LA to get out in transition to take Yao out of the action as much as possible. The Lakers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Houston and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Plays on road teams (LA LAKERS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 31-10 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take LA!

5* Wiseguy NBA Super System Play of the Month on Knicks/Pistons UNDER 206.5
The Knicks just played a tough, emotionally draining triple revenge game last night so it is going to be hard for them to run all over a very good defensive Pistons team which will be out for some revenge against them. Detroit is 10-0 Under revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite this season. Detroit is also 17-5 Under revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. When it comes time for revenge the Pistons turn up the intensity on defense. The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings, 4-0 in Pistons last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 4-0 in Pistons last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take the Under!

5* Wiseguy MONSTER BEST BET on Knicks +3.5
The Knicks have been dominated by the Bucks this season, losing all 3 meetings with the last 2 coming by double digits. There's no doubt that the Knicks will be motivated by those defeats against a Bucks team which will no longer have Michael Redd and Andrew Bogut in the lineup. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite while the Knicks are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog. Lastly, NY is 18-6 ATS revenging a home blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more since 1996, winning these games by an average score of 97.5 to 96.0. Knicks win outright tonight!

3* SUREFIRE on Nuggets -3.5
We took the Nuggets in a good spot last night, but it was a sad performance for the Nugs as they were handled by the Kings. Coming off one of their worst defeats of the season, in terms of how they played in relation to the importance of the game, puts Denver in an even better spot tonight against a Rockets team that has really struggled away from home, losing 5 of its last 6. Denver sees its name outside of first place today and that is going to really get this team going tonight as it knows it is in for a battle the rest of the way out. Denver returns home after 2 consecutive road games and this situation has been a very profitable one. Off back-to-back road games, the Nuggets exploded to a 16-point win at home over Portland last Thursday and we were all over it. In fact, Denver is 24-9 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Houston is just 4-15 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 3 seasons. We'll lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Wizards +4
The Wizards will get up for this one as they know it is a game they can win. We'll play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. This system is 32-9 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Magic/Pistons UNDER 187
Double System Dagger: Plays under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (ORLANDO); an extremely tired team playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. This System is 55-26 the last 5 seasons.

Also: Plays under on home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (DETROIT) after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 46-19 the last 5 seasons.

These teams haven't totaled more than 178 points in 2 prior meetings this season. With Orlando in a letdown spot after playing at Boston Sunday, I can't see the Magic putting up big numbers and the Pistons haven't done much scoring all season! Bet the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Month on Nuggets -7
The NBA Northwest is heating up with the Nuggets leading by just half a game in the division. With Utah coming on strong, the Nuggets know they cannot afford to take a night off. The road has not treated Denver well lately and this is a spot where the Nuggets will prove to themselves that they can win on the road and I expect it to be an explosive effort. Denver already has 2 blowout wins against the Kings this season and I have them collecting a third Sunday. The only thing you could say the Kings have going in their favor is that they are well rested, but that hasn't worked out well for them as they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Kings are also 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog and the road team is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Lay the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Cavs -9.5
I don't expect the Cavs to sit and sulk over last night's loss to Boston, especially LeBron James who had a rough night. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest while the Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Cavaliers are 25-6 ATS in their last 31 home games and I'll keep riding the Cavs at home tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Pistons +3
It's all clicking for the Pistons right now, having won 4 in a row and 5 straight against the number. These weren't just any wins as this run includes victories over the Magic, Celtics, and Nuggets. The Hawks are struggling, having lost 6 of their last 8. This is a huge revenge game for the Pistons who have lost 2 close ones to the Hawks already this season. The Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Bet the Pistons!

3* SUREFIRE on Rockets -5.5
The Rockets are 10-0 SU and 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 home games and I'll lay the points with Houston again tonight. This is a game where the Suns will really miss Amare Stoudemire as you figure that Shaq and Yao will play to a standstill, if Yao doesn't even gain a bit of an advantage. With no other consistent scoring presence inside for the Suns, I expect a confident Rockets team to take care of business. The Rockets already have a 12-point road win over the Suns this season and Phoenix is 0-7 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite this season, losing by 12.0 ppg in these situations. Lay the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Finals Preview on Boston Celtics -1.5
The home team has won each of the last 14 meetings between these 2 teams and I don't see that trend ending here, even without Garnett in the lineup for Boston. This is a statement game for the Celtics, who were crushed 98-83 at Cleveland in the last meeting. This is a situation where Boston can prove that it is the best team in the East with or without one of its stars. Boston is 19-9 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 96.1 to 90.5 in these games. Home court is huge in this matchup and I'll take the Celtics at home tonight.

4* Major NBA Letdown Game of the Week on Nets +9
The Nets have covered 5 in a row and I love them tonight against a Magic team that will be more worried about its next game with the Celtic. New Jersey will be very much worried about this game though as it was embarrassed 101-84 the last time these teams faced off. Expect a letdown from the Magic in this look ahead spot.

4* Major NBA on TNT BEST BET on Nuggets -5
With the Blazers having to fight from being double digits last night to squeak out a win, they will be physically and emotionally spent against a hungry Nuggets team. Denver is 23-9 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons and plays against road teams; a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 40-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. This is just a bad spot for Portland.

3* SUREFIRE on Jazz -8.5
I really like the red hot Jazz at home tonight against a Houston team which just played last night and is struggling on the road. Utah is 15-4 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 103.4 to 91.6. Lay the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA SW Division GOTY (ESPN) on Mavs -1.5
We'll take the Mavs in the perfect spot tonight. Dallas had this one circled since it was crushed 76-93 in San Antonio on Feb. 24. Tim Duncan did not play in that game and will be back tonight, but the Mavs wouldn't have it any other way as they look to prove they can beat the Spurs at their best. Only they're not, as Ginobli remains out. Josh Howard's status is uncertain for Dallas, but Jason Terry is back and playing well. What fuels Dallas' fire even more tonight is the fact that it was caught looking ahead and lost to lowly Oklahoma City last game. Play On - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 42-13 ATS since 1996. Pound the Mavs!

4* Major NBA Point Spread Blowout on Knicks pk
The Hawks run out of gas playing their 3rd game in 4 days tonight against the run and gun Knicks. Atlanta has struggled with the Knicks this season going 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS. NY won at home by 8 in late January to improve to 19-5 L24 home games against the Hawks. NY has lost 3 straight and that makes the Knicks very hungry tonight!

3* SUREFIRE on Kings +2.5
The Pacers are just 7-25 on the road this season and I'll fade them here in a letdown spot coming off a big win over the Nuggets. The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in this series. The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. Bet the Kings tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Rockets -8
The Rockets have won 9 straight at home while the Raptors have lost 6 of their last 7 on the road. The Raptors have been crushed by the Suns and the Mavs their last 2 games and while they would like to bounce back tonight, it's just not in the cards as the Rockets will be playing to avenge a terrible 21-point loss to Toronto in January. The Raptors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall, 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Rockets are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Take the Rockets tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Nets +4
The public is going to get crushed by taking the Bucks tonight. The Nets are 17-11 ATS on the road this season and have owned the Bucks to the tune of 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Nets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or less and 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Nets!

3* SUREFIRE on Thunder +5
The Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Thunder are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Southwest, 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog, 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games, and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. With the Mavs looking ahead to San Antonio next, we'll take the Thunder at home.

5* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Atlanta -4
Off a 1-point loss to Cleveland, don't expect a letdown from the Hawks here. Rather, expect an offensive explosion against one of the worst teams in the league as the Hawks look to get right back in the win column. The Hawks just beat the Wiz easily by 21 points back on Feb. 10 for their 4th straight win against them. Washington is 0-12 in division games this season while Atlanta is 9-3. The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington and the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Wizards are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less. The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Take Atlanta.

4* Major NBA Letdown Game of the Month on Pacers +2.5
Off a double digit win over the Lakers, expect a major letdown out on the road from the Nuggets tonight. Indiana is playing good ball, having covered the number in 4 of its last 5 and 7 of 11. The Pacers are 18-11 at home this season and have won 5 straight at home. Two of these recent home wins have come against the Cavs and the Magic. Indiana lost by 20 at Denver in January and the Pacers will be looking to pay the Nuggets back here. Indiana is 17-5 ATS revenging a same season loss this season. Take the Pacers.

3* SUREFIRE on Nets +4
New Orleans has really struggled away from home all season long as it is just 10-16 ATS. It has struggled even more lately and finds itself at 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Nets are a very profitable 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog of 4.5 or less points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Public is all over the Hornets here and will fry for it.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Bulls +1.5
Bulls are coming off a bad loss against lowly Washington and will be out for blood tonight against a Rockets team that has lost 3 in a row on the road to the likes of Milwaukee, Memphis, and NY. This is a letdown spot for Houston as well after a dominant performance against Cleveland. The Bulls are playing their best ball of the season with the playoffs well within reach. Take the Bulls at home.

3* SUREFIRE on Oklahoma City +10
Odds makers have overvalued the Mavs tonight. The Thunder are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 games overall, 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games as an underdog, and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Thunder are also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Mavericks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Northwest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Year on Portland -6
The Blazers have struggled on the road this season, but expect them to explode against a team they have dominated tonight. The Blazers have won 10 of 12, including six straight and three in a row at the Target Center. Portland won by 5 in Minnesota back in November, but that was back when the Wolves still had Al Jefferson. The Wolves have now dropped 6 of 7 since their leading scorer and rebounder went down. The loss of Jefferson was a big blow, one that has the Wolves packing it in. They have now lost 7 straight at home, and I expect this one to get ugly tonight as Brandon Roy looks to rebound from a poor 14 point effort in Wednesday's loss to the Spurs. The Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Timberwolves are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Trail Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Bet the Blazers!

4* Major Underdog Shocker on Wizards +5.5
Yes, the Wizards are awful, but they were just called out by interim coach Ed Tapscott about being mentally prepared for games and his words were echoed by both Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison. Expect to see the most motivated Wizards team you have seen in a while tonight. The Bulls are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Southeast and still can't be trusted as a heavy favorite as they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Bet the Wizards!

3* NBA on TNT Side of the Night on Rockets +3.5
The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Houston. The Rockets are 10-2 SU and 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 home games against the Cavs, including 2-0 SU and ATS the last 2 seasons with blowout wins of 15 and 18 points in those games. The Cavaliers are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games while the Rockets are 25-9-3 ATS in their last 37 Thursday games. Houston is 23-6 at home this season and they'll look to send a message not to sleep on them tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Total of the Year on Cavs/Rockets UNDER 186
I love the under in this matchup tonight as we have a pair of strong defensive teams which have upped their play of the defensive side of the ball even more of late. When these teams get together, it is a battle and the stats support it as the Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston. The Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less and 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Cavs have held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 80 and the Rockets have held 4 of their last 5 under 88. Houston is 18-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Bet the UNDER.

3* SUREFIRE on Nets -1.5
The Bulls are playing their best basketball of the season but I don't think they'll be able to hang with New Jersey in tonight's spot. We took them to beat the Magic last night, and that they did, but that win puts Chicago in a letdown spot here. Couple that with the Bulls playing back-to-back nights and I really like the Nets. NJ has dominated this series at home, going 4-1 SU and ATS the last 3 seasons and 17-6 SU and 16-7 ATS since 1996. Chicago is 1-9 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog over the last 2 seasons and 5-18 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take the Nets!

4* Major NBA BEST BET on Washington Wizards +5
Philly has lost 4 in a row and is 0-5 ATS in its last 5. The injuries are starting to really hurt the 76ers. The Wizards scored just 67 points in an embarrassing home loss to the Spurs last game. They've had 3 days to prepare for this one and I promise you they'll be ready to hit Philly in the mouth. Here's the angle: Plays on home teams (WASHINGTON) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 32-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points!

3* SUREFIRE on Thunder +8
The Thunder played the Lakers to a 7-point game on the road 2 weeks ago and I like them to give LA an even bigger scare tonight. LA has not won by more than 8 in any of its last 3 wins and I expect the Lakers to coast with a back-to-back spot coming up. The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5, 11-1 ATS in their last 12 Tuesday games, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog. The Lakers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points!

4* Major NBA BEST BET on Bulls +3
The Bulls are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games, playing their best ball of the season. I like them at home tonight catching a tre as they look to pay the Magic back for a lopsided defeat at the United Center back on Dec. 31. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Bet the Bulls at home tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Massacre of the Month on Kings +8.5
The Hornets are being overvalued here and we will most certainly take advantage. The public expects the Hornets to bounce back tonight following a double digit loss at Utah Saturday, and they could, but not by this large of a margin. The Hornets have dropped 5 of their last 6 road games, which include losses to lowly Minnesota and Memphis, with their only win during that stretch coming by just 2 points over the lowly Thunder. Kings have played a ton of road games, more than anyone else in the Western Conference, and that makes their record look worse than it should be. Coming off a blowout loss on the road at Dallas, I like the Kings to bounce back strong at home tonight as they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. The home team is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings and the Hornets are just 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Sacramento. In fact, the Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Kings have dominated at home winning 13 of the last 15 SU. Bet the Kings tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division GOTY (ESPN) on Pistons +9
Detroit has lost 5 in a row. This is a veteran team, and I can assure you that they would rather die then let the Cavs embarrass them today. The Pistons need this one to end their skid and to give them a confidence boost and I love them to give the Cavs a run for their money. The rest leading up to this one is important for the Pistons as it puts them in a great spot today. Detroit is 9-0 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons. The Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Odds makers have inflated this line knowing that the public would be all over the Cavs. We'll take the points!

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Jazz -7
No way New Orleans can rebound tonight after playing a tough OT game in LA last night. Utah is rolling and has had New Orleans' number. The Hornets are 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Utah and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Utah is 14-4 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 103.4 to 91.8. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Road Warrior of the Week on Nuggets -2.5
We'll play on a team where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - an explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after a win by 10 points or more. This system is 30-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. s Denver is 12-3 ATS as a road favorite this season and the Nuggets will be good for this number tonight against a Bulls team dealing with personnel changes.

3* NBA "TOTAL" Dominator on Kings/Grizzlies OVER 206
The Kings went down to Memphis 94-109 earlier this season, so the angle we play on here is revenge. Sacramento is 20-6 OVER revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The average total score in these games was 212.6. Take the Over.

5* Wiseguy ESPN GAME OF THE YEAR on Rockets -3
Houston is 20-6 at home this season, but one of those home losses have been to the Mavs, and that spells revenge here. We'll play on favorites (HOUSTON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This system is 31-8 ATS since 1996. In addition, Houston is 24-5 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 10.7 points in these spots. No McGrady for Houston tonight, but the Mavs are also without Jason Terry so I don't see any advantage for Dallas there. The key here is Houston's defense at home and revenge. Dirk struggles against stiff defenses and Houston will make him take more shots than he wants to to get his points. Take Houston at home.

3* NBA on TNT BEST BET on Spurs +1
The Pistons won the first meeting in San Antonio by 12 points back in December. These teams have gone 2 completely different directions since then and I look for San Antonio to have its revenge tonight. The Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Off a bad loss at NY, the Spurs will be ready to bounce back strong tonight!

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Nets +8
The Nets are catching way too many points here. They have already gotten their feet wet since the break while Dallas will be a little rusty in its first game back. The last time Devin Harris faced his former team he dropped 41 on them and I expect him to show them what they've been missing again tonight. NJ is 8-0 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog this season, winning by an average score of 100.1 to 95.3. Dallas is just 1-8 ATS in home games in non-conference games this season, losing by an average score of 98.6 to 98.8. The Nets will have an excellent shot to win this one outright. Take the points!

4* Major NBA BEST BET on T-Wolves/Wizards UNDER 202.5
Washington is not the same high scoring team it has been in the past but that has yet to sink in for the public. The books are begging for overs wagers tonight but we won't bite. When teams are well rested, they play better defense and the Under is 6-1 in the Timberwolves last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Washington is 16-6 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season and Minnesota is 16-6 UNDER in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Under tonight.

4* Major NBA "TOTAL" Bailout on Blazers/Warriors UNDER 217.5
This line has been jacked up because of Golden State's 144-point performance last time out but the Warriors are playing a Blazers team tonight that only allows 96.8 points per game on the road this season. The Under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings and 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Golden State. The Under is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 overall, 5-2 in Warriors last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, and 6-2 in Warriors last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Under is 7-3 in Trail Blazers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

5* Wiseguy Western Conference GOTM on Jazz +3
With tired legs having played last night, I like the Jazz, which are 20-6 at home this season and 57-10 over the last 2, to take down the Lakers. A terrible road loss at Golden State prior to this one will fuel Utah's fire. We'll play on a home team (UTAH) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest. Teams are 49-14 ATS in these spots the last 5 seasons. Take the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA Letdown GOTY on Knicks +4.5
I will fade the Warriors in a huge letdown spot tonight. The Warriors are coming off a huge win over Utah and will fall victim to a hungry Knicks team which has now lost 4 straight close games. NY plays the run and gun style and was able to beat the Warriors at home 138-125 earlier this season. I expect a similar result here. NY is 14-3 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog this season and 8-1 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog this season. Let the letdown systems begin: Golden State is 4-13 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, 1-8 ATS off a home win scoring 110 or more points this season, and 1-10 ATS off a home win this season period. Bet the Knicks!

3* SUREFIRE on Nets +5.5
The Nets played the Spurs to a 3-point game on the road on January 23rd and they have an excellent opportunity to get the outright win tonight. The Nets will be in bounce back mode off a bad loss at Orlando while the Spurs find themselves in a letdown spot following a big win over Boston. The Spurs are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. Eastern Conference and 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic. The Nets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Memphis -2
Memphis has won 3 of 4 SU and ATS and I like its chances again at home tonight with CP3 and Tyson Chandler out of the New Orleans lineup. With New Orleans taking on Boston next, we'll catch them looking ahead here. The Hornets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take the Grizz at home.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Bucks +6.5
This one is all about the numbers. Houston struggles on the road, mostly because of its methodical style of play which does not puts teams away. Because of that, the Rockets have not won a game on the road by more than 4 points since before Christmas. The Bucks are a solid 14-9 at home and will be up to the challenge tonight. The Bucks are a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. the NBA Southwest while the Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. We'll take the points!

3* SUREFIRE on Clippers +1.5
The Clippers are in an upswing while the Bobcats in a downswing. We'll take the team on the up here. The Bobcats have lost 5 straight and now must play back-to-back against a team that has punished each of its last 2 opponents. Charlotte is only 3-8 straight up in the second of back to back games this season and the road team is on a 7-0 ATS in this series. Take the Clippers!

3* Late Night NBA Bailout on Warriors +1.5
The Jazz are a terrible road team and they will not win back-to-back games on the road here against a Warriors team that has no trouble scoring the rock. Utah is 11-23 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons and 4-16 ATS in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Golden State is 22-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons and 10-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Take the points!

4* Major NBA Monster Line Mistake on Kings +7
The Thunder do not deserve to be this large of a favorite, especially not in this letdown spot after beating the Blazers. OKC has only been a favorite this large one other time this season and Memphis tied them at the end of regulation. The Grizz were burnt in OT but my point is that the books were 7 points off with that line. The Kings have an excellent shot at winning here and I'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA National TV GOTY on Cavaliers -4
It's been a great run by the Lakers on this road trip but they will finally run out of gas today. LA won round won at home, but it will not take road two where the Cavs are 23-0 SU and 18-5 ATS this season. Cleveland is one of the few teams in the NBA that has had great success against the Lakers going 4-1 SU and ATS in the last 5 and a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at home during the span. In the first meeting with LA this season, the Cavs were playing short handed. They are back at near full strength now and this will be a completely different game. The Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Pound the Cavs!

4* Major NBA Total of the Month on T-Wolves/Rockets UNDER 200.5
Houston plays exceptional defense at home and after losing on the road to lowly Memphis it will be lock down city tonight to keep this one under. Houston is 41-26 UNDER in home games over the last 2 seasons and 12-3 UNDER in home games after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons, holding its opponents to just 85.9 points in these spots while scoring just 97.1. Pound the Under.

4* Major ESPN Late Night MONSTER on Warriors +9.5
The Warriors just beat the Suns by 12 points at home two days ago. While Phoenix is in a bounce back spot, odds makers are asking the Suns to lay too many. The Suns have lost 8 of 12 and are only 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games and yet this team continues to be overvalued. The Warriors are not scared of Phoenix because its defense is bad and that allows them to score at will. The big key here is Golden State's ability to knock down three point shots. Phoenix is 5-15 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season, actually losing against these teams by 2.4 points on average. Phoenix is also 3-15 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. Take the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Massacre of the Month on Thunder +4.5
Portland is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 road games while OKC is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 home games and 10-1 ATS in its last 11 as a home dog. The Thunder are playing much better basketball than they were early on and this team is still being way undervalued because the public continues to fade away. The books are licking their chops with the public piling on Portland tonight. We'll go against the grain and pick up an easy winner.

3* SUREFIRE on Pacers +6.5
I know the Pacers just played last night, but I like their chances against the Magic tonight. Orlando played an emotionally charged game last time out in the wake of Nelson's injury, but I don't see the Magic reacting so strongly in their first road test without their starting PG. Indy has lost 3 straight and is playing one of the best road teams in the NBA and is only catching 6.5. I smell a rat. Orlando has blown the Pacers out in both home games this season, but when it came to Indy, it only won by 2. The Pacers are an offensively talented team and hungry for a win and that's why the books don't think Orlando can take it to them on the road tonight. Indy is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season, 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season, 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) off a road loss this season, and 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. Take the points.

3* NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 204.5
Plays under on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 22-6 the last 5 seasons. We only saw 175 points scored between the teams in LA in the X-mas game and I expect another low number here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Rivalry GOTY on Celtics -6
This is a huge revenge game for Boston after the Christmas Day loss in LA and the Celtics catch LA in a great spot. LA has played a lot of games in not very many nights and this one will be played back-to-back. The loss of Bynum also hurts LA against a Celtics team with superior interior depth. Garnett will be rested up and ready to make a statement after missing the last 2 games. Defensively, Boston has been at its best against the best in the NBA and you will see that again tonight. The Lakers are 0-8 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=43% - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 12-2 ATS in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Bet Boston!

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Pistons -4
Detroit has lost back-to-back games to two of the best teams in the NBA and has had 3 days to think about it. The Pistons will wash the sour taste of defeat out of their mouth in a big way tonight. Detroit has won 5 straight against the Heat and it will be hungry for another big win tonight. The Heat are 13-32-3 ATS in their last 48 games following a SU win and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Pistons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Wednesday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. I have hit all 3 of my NBA GOTM plays this season, so let your books have it with #4.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Clippers/Magic UNDER 198
The Clippers have not scored over 95 points in their last 6 games and they face a team allowing only 91.4 ppg at home this season tonight. Also, the loss of starting Magic PG Jameer Nelson affects this offense greatly. Don't expect the Magic to really be running up the score of many opponents with their engine out. Orlando is 9-1 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Both matchups at Orlando the past 3 seasons have gone Under as well. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Fool's Gold of the Month on Bucks +4.5
I'll fade the Nets at home tonight catching too many points. Yes, the Bucks lost Redd for the season, but forward Charlie Villanueva is more than picking up the slack. NJ is banged up as well with Vince Carter not at 100% and Yi, Bobby Simmons, and Najera won't play. NJ has owned this matchup and that is why this line is inflated, but Milwaukee did beat the Bucks back on January 9th and that gives them a bunch of confidence heading into this one. NJ has been fool's gold at home as it is just 9-15 SU and ATS. Milwaukee is 29-20 ATS in all games and 16-11 ATS on the road. Here's the key: NJ is 3-14 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 94.4 to 101.2, and 1-8 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog this season, losing by an average score of 95.2 to 140.3. Bet the Bucks.

4* Major NBA Big Market MONSTER on Knicks +6
New York can score with the best of the teams in the NBA and it has already showed it can hang with LA this season, playing the Lakers to a 2-point game in Tinsel Town. The Lakers bigs were instrumental in that win and without Bynum tonight, LA loses a big part of that edge. The Knicks are playing their best ball of the season, going 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. The Lakers are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 6-21 ATS in their last 27 vs. Eastern Conference. The Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Take NY!

4* Major Saturday Night NBA Bailout BLOWOUT on Blazers -9
Portland is one of the best home teams in the league and it takes on a banged up Jazz team that is playing back-to-back and has lost 8 of its last 9 on the road! Portland is 14-2 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons, 11-2 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, and 13-3 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Portland is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS at home versus the Jazz the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.

3* SUREFIRE on Nets/Hawks OVER 196.5
Great overs spot here. NJ has played its best ball on the road this season and Atlanta is very hungry for a win following 3 straight losses. Both teams are athletic and I expect to see a lot of points go up on the board tonight. 5 of the last 6 meetings in this matchup have gone over. Atlanta is 15-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score totals 209.5 in these spots. Also, Atlanta is 13-4 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score totals 212.5 in these spots. Take the over.

4* Major NBA Underdog Shocker on Wizards +10.5
First off, the 76ers are being overvalued here. This is a .500 team and not a .660 team. Washington deserves to be a larger dog against Philly than it was at Portland a few nights back. Secondly, I really like the Wizards in this spot. They are hungry for a win and they just got it handed to them by division rival Miami. Washington is 10-1 ATS in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 95.0 to 92.6 in these spots. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy Friday Night NBA Game of the Year (ESPN) on Celtics -5.5
Boston is rolling like it was early in the season, and let's face it, Detroit was no longer a threat in the East as soon as it traded away Billups. These teams have already met twice this season and Boston won each by 12 and 18 points respectively and I won't listen to any of the third time's a charm talk. Detroit has dropped 7 of 10 SU and ATS while Boston has won 9 straight and is 8-1 ATS in those games. Detroit is only 13-9 SU and 7-15 ATS in home games this season. The Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Detroit and the Road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Pistons are also 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. Pound the Celtics tonight!

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT BLOOD BATH on Suns -1.5
This is a huge statement game for the Suns to prove that they can still play with the best in the west. The Suns are rested and back at home off two huge confidence-boosting blowout road wins. The Spurs have played a lot of games on the road over the last week and a half and that catches up with them tonight against a Suns team that will look to push the tempo. The Spurs are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win, and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win. Take Phoenix.

4* Major NBA Blowout of the Week on Blazers -9
Off an emotionally and physically draining double OT win in LA last night, there's no way they Bobcats will be able to get up for this one against a Blazers team that is 16-5 at home this season. Portland has beaten each of its last 2 opponents by double digits while scoring big points and that puts them in a very nice system tonight. Portland is 12-1 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 105.2 to 91.3. Lay the points!

4* Major NBA Odds Maker Miss on Memphis +7.5
I know Memphis has lost 10 in a row, but the Thunder don't deserve this kind of respect on any court against anyone. Memphis knows it can compete with the Thunder and it will get up for this game to end its skid. OKC has been a covering machine, almost entirely as an underdog. It has been favored now in 3 of its last 4 games, losing 2 of those SU and ATS. Plays On Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 8 or more consecutive losses are 25-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA First Half Total of the Year on Hawks/Knicks OVER 207
The Knicks push the tempo at home, averaging 107.3 ppg, but they are also giving up 106.8 and the Hawks are an athletic team that will be able to run and gun right along with them. Atlanta has lost 2 straight and is coming off a game where it scored just 79 points so I'm expecting an offensive explosion. Atlanta is 14-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. The Over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings and 20-6 in the Knicks last 26 Wednesday games. Pound the OVER!

5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge GOTM on Utah Jazz -1.5
The Jazz are a little banged up but they have every incentive to lay it all on the line here to end a 3-game skid. Utah is one of the best home teams in the NBA at 17-5 and they are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last 6 home games against the Spurs. Overall, the Spurs have lost 4 straight regular season games in Salt Lake City. The Home team is a dominant 17-4 ATS in the last 21 meetings. The Spurs are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog while the Jazz are 50-24-2 ATS in their last 76 games as a home favorite. Lay the points tonight!

5* Wiseguy NBA Southeast Division GOTY on Atlanta Hawks +4
I love the Hawks in the dog role today. Atlanta is 14-4 ATS as an underdog this season and 12-4 ATS as a road underdog this season. Miami is just 6-21 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and 3-12 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Miami is also 0-9 ATS in home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons, losing these games outright by 6.3 ppg. In addition, that win being over division leader Orlando puts the Heat in an even bigger letdown spot. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Lakers -6.5
The Lakers have had this one circled since they were beaten by 1-point on a buzzer beater in San Antonio on January 14th. I have LA getting its revenge in a big way today. The Lakers are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in home games against the Spurs the last 3 seasons. The key here is that LA's offense will be too explosive for the Spurs to keep up with. LA averages 109.2 ppg at home this season while the Spurs score only 94.3 on the road. The Lakers are 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season, winning these games by an average score of 103.8 to 94.6. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Favorite of the Year on Jazz -2.5
There's no way a short handed Cavs team can bounce back after last night's barn burner and beat one of the best teams in the NBA in a big bounce back spot. The Cavaliers are 11-27-3 ATS in their last 41 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. The Jazz are 51-25-2 ATS in their last 78 home games. Utah is 11-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons and 16-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Jazz are 17-4 at home this season and I like them big tonight!

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Massacre of the Year on Warriors +6.5
The public is heavily on the Cavs here but they are betting blindly. While Cleveland is 20-0 at home, it has struggled on the road, especially of late because of its depth issues being exposed by injuries to Big Z and Delonte West. The Warriors plays much faster than Cleveland would like to play and they will be out for blood tonight after a 1-point loss to lowly OKC. Golden State is 19-6 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by 5.5 points on average. Golden State is 20-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons and 21-5-2 ATS in their last 28 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5. The Warriors are getting too many.

4* Major NBA Bounce Back Game of the Week on Pacers +1.5
The Pacers have won 3 straight at home and with TMAC and Artest out, the Rockets won't have the horses to win in the uptempo style that Indiana plays. Indiana has already won at Houston earlier this and it is in a prime bounce back spot tonight. Indiana is 13-4 ATS off a road loss this season and 12-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. The Pacers are also 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the Pacers.

3* NBA on TNT Prime Time TOTAL on Wizards/Lakers UNDER 208
With both of these teams playing last night, tired legs keep this one under the number. The Lakers have a rematch against San Antonio in a couple days and that is more their focus than the lowly Wizards tonight. Washington hasn't went over the century mark in back-to-back games in over a month, so expect the Wizards to have a letdown tonight. Washington is 12-2 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. Pound the Under!

5* Wiseguy East Coast GAME OF THE YEAR on Celtics +5
The books are giving Boston too many points tonight. The Celtics come in red hot, having won 6 straight, and have been deadly in the underdog role, going 12-2 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points the past 2 seasons. This series has been neck and neck over the past 6 games with each team winning 3 games but the Magic have failed to win any of those games by more than 3 points. This is a huge statement game for Boston to show that it is still the team to beat in the East. The Celtics have more beef inside than most teams in the NBA and that will help keep Dwight Howard in check and will get Boston the cover. Take the points!

4* Major Vegas Line Mistake of the Week on Knicks +6
The Suns do not deserve to be this big of a favorite on the road against a more than capable offensive team and yet the public continues to back them. The Suns are just 13-25 ATS this season. They are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 games. The Suns are the most overvalued team in the NBA and we will take advantage here. Phoenix is 3-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Take the points!

4* Major NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK on Bulls -3.5
Atlanta has already beaten Chicago twice this season but the third time will be a charm for the Bulls. To add fuel to the fire, the Bulls are off back-to-back losses and will be very hungry for a win on their home floor where they are a respectable 13-8 this season. The Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Hawks are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings and 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Eastern Conference and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Chicago gets the Hawks in a vulnerable spot by double digits here.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Lakers -4.5
After going down to the Spurs and Magic in back-to-back games, expect the Lakers to take care of business tonight. The Cavs have struggled on the road of late, losing 3 of their last 4 road contests. Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less against an opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 33-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Lakers are dangerous at home and they will be looking to pay back the Cavs for 4 straight losses over the last 3 seasons. Pound the Lakers!

3* NBA Early Upset Special on Bobcats +4.5
The public money is pouring in on the Spurs and that was the intention of the odds makers here as they like the Bobcats in this position and so do I. Charlotte has won 3 in a row SU and ATS while the Spurs have not looked particularly good on the road, getting crushed by Philly and struggling against the Bulls in their last two. SA is just 8-21 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons, losing outright in these spots by an average score of 93.3 to 95.4. It is also 13-24 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons, losing outright in these spots by an average score of 92.6 to 94.8. Charlotte is 15-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Taking the points is the right side!

3* Sunday NBA BEST BET on Raptors +3.5
The public is all over Phoenix here so we will gladly go against the grain once again, just like we did yesterday when the Bobcats came through for us with an outright win. The Suns have lost 2 in a row SU and 4 in a row ATS. Toronto has dropped 4 in a row SU and it will be hungry for a win today before going out on a long road trip. Phoenix is just 3-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season, 2-10 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games this season, and 13-24 ATS in all games this season. The Suns are down and odds makers are using that against the public this season. Take the Raptors!

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night UNDERDOG MONSTER on Bobcats +2.5
The Bobcats are at home and well rested and I have them taking a tired Blazers team to the cleaners Saturday night. Portland is young and therefore has not been mentally tough enough to blossom into a good road team yet. The Trail Blazers are only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Bobcats are a strong 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog period. In addition the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series. Take the Bobcats!

3* ESPN Game of the Week on Lakers -4
There's no doubting how good the Magic have been on the road this season but LA is 20-2 at home and this is a huge revenge spot for the Lakers after losing by 3 down in Orlando earlier this season. LA has won 10 of the last 11 at home in this matchup and I think we'll see a letdown from the Magic tonight as they come up against a better team on its home floor. Plays Against - Road teams (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, in non-conference games are 23-5 ATS since 1996. Pound LA!

3* SUREFIRE on Cavs -3
This line has dropped because of Delonte West's injury but I'm still going with the Cavs here as they are yet to lose at home this season. Lebron did not play particularly well last night and he will be that much more focused here as he looks to avenge an earlier season loss at New Orleans. The Cavs are 15-4 ATS at home this season and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss. Take the Cavs!

5* Eastern Conference GOTM on Wizards -2.5
Revenge is the huge factor weighing into my decision here as NY just beat the Wizards 2 days ago at MSG to mark the third times this season that they have edged out Washington by 6 points or less. Washington is overdue for a win and for one against the Knicks and they will leave it all on the floor to make it happen tonight. Washington wants to give its home fans a win and tonight presents the best opportunity before heading out on the road for four games following this one. NY is only 6-14 on the road this season and only 9-24 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The Knicks are also only 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Washington is 24-10 ATS after 6 or more consecutive losses since 1996. Pound the Wiz!

5* Wiseguy NBA Cold Hard REVENGER on Suns +1.5
Both the Lakers and the Spurs shot out of their butts last night to cost us as well as the sportsbooks as our money was on the right side. Now, it's time to get revenge and this is just the play to do it. The Suns win this game straight up so I'll gladly take any points the books give to us here. The big key here is the absence of Carmelo Anthony. The Suns have started to push the ball again and are daring teams to try to outscore them and that's just not going to happen without Melo's 20+ ppg in the lineup. Also, with Marcus Camby no longer a Nugg, the Suns have a huge advantage in the interior with both Shaq and Stoudemire. Shaq is playing as well as he has since winning a title with the Heat. Denver is just 7-18 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, losing by 6.2 ppg on average in these spots. Bet the Suns!

4* Major Western Conference GOTM on Spurs -2.5
After a home loss to Orlando, I expect the Spurs to bounce back strong tonight, sending a message to the Lakers that they will have to get through them to get back to the Finals and it's not going to be easy. The Lakers have been one of the worst covering teams in the league of late, losing 14 of their last 20 against the number. The key here is just how good the Spurs play defensively against the highest scoring teams in the NBA. SA is 18-6 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 102.8 to 91.1. Lay the points.