3* SUREFIRE on T-Wolves +12
Bottom Line: We have a lot going for us here. This line is inflated due to Clevland's results from a season ago and the public have taken the bait thinking that the Cave will finally snap out of it tonight. While I do think Cleveland finally gets its first win of the season here, I don't expect it to cover this generous number. It's going to take time for the Cavs to adjust to life with Shaq both offensively and defensively and that is why you see Cleveland 0-2 out of the gate. The Timberwolves are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on Pacers -1
Bottom Line: The home team is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and I expect this trend to continue. Indiana is 4-0 at home against the Heat the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 9 points per game. Take Indy at home tonight to get their first win of the year.

5* Wiseguy TNT Prime Time Pounder on Spurs -4
Bottom Line: The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup and a dominant 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. Plus, the road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Spurs have won 4 straight in this series over the last 3 seasons by at least 5 points each time, with 3 of those wins coming by at least 10 points. San Antonio looked good last night in blowing out the Hornets and I like them to continue their dominance over Chicago here. The starters played low minutes last night so tired legs should not be an issue and the new acquisitions add even more quality depth to an already deep Spurs 2nd unit. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA "Total" Line Mistake on Knicks/Heat UNDER 207
Bottom Line: This line is set for the 2008-09 Knicks and not the 2009-10 team which has placed a much bigger emphasis on defense. In fact, the under is 11-1 in the Knicks last 12 vs. the Eastern Conference as it so often faced inflated lines. The Under is also 10-2 in the Knicks last 12 games as an underdog and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in this matchup in Miami. In the preseason, Miami averaged a total of 181.5 points in its games and New York averaged a total of 193.5 points in its games. I'll take the under here.

4* Major TNT Prime Time Pounder on Celtics +4.5
Bottom Line: This is a statement game for the Celtics to show Cleveland that adding Shaq is not enough to get past them this season. Shaq still has a big name in the NBA but I'm beginning to question the size of his game. There will certainly be kinks to work out in the offense in the early going. This current Boston team has played with each other for 2 years now and it adds Rasheed Wallace to give the second group an offensive lift. The Celtics enter the season 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 45-19-1 ATS in their last 65 games as a road underdog period. Take the C's tonight as I like them to win this one outright.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 5 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +3.5
The Lakers delivered a dagger to the heart of the Magic with their Game 4 OT win and I like them to take home the title tonight. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando, the Road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the Underdog is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Lakers are 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog while the Magic are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Orlando hangs tough for the majority of this game, but in the end the Lakers just have too many weapons. Plus, you can underestimate the added motivation that Mickael Pietrus gave the Lakers by putting two fists in the back of Gasol. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy 2009 NBA Finals *BLOOD BATH* of the Year on Lakers +2.5
The Lakers are 6-0 SU and ATS off a loss this postseason, winning by an average margin of 16.8 ppg in these spots. With Kobe out to prove he hasn't hit a wall, I have no doubts the Lakers bounce back strong with a win tonight. Pound LA!

4* Major Gm 3 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +4
I like the Lakers to win a close one in Orlando tonight as they get a huge confidence boost from winning Game 2 without playing their best. Plays against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. an opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 38-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. In this spot, the double revenge does not go in Orlando's favor. Take the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Lakers/Magic UNDER 198.5
Plays under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 36-11 the last 5 seasons. Expect to see another Under tonight as the defensive intensity is high in this one.

5* Wiseguy Game 2 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -6.5
Kobe Bryant and the Lakers are hungry for a title after being denied last season. There's no way they lose Game 2 at home to give the Magic any inkling of hope. You have to expect the Magic to shoot better than they did in Game 1, but I don't expect it to be a night and day difference. LA's defense was responsible for Orlando's poor shooting and that "D" is not going anywhere. LA will make Dwight Howard beat them from the free throw line (the weakest part of his game) and it will chase the rest of the Magic off the three point line with hard close outs. Plays On Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against an opponent that just scored 80 points or less are 41-16 ATS since 1996. Bet the Lakers.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 1 BLOOD BATH on Lakers -6
The experience gained in last year's Finals loss to the Celtics gives LA a big edge in Game 1 against a Magic team that has not been here before. Another huge key that not many will talk about is the layoff in between series. In this case, it hurts the Magic more as it has cooled them off, while it has helped the more veteran Lakers, who have thrived with extra rest. In fact, LA is 8-1 ATS when playing only its 2nd game in 7 days this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 110.9 to 96.3. Cash in with the Lakers!

5* Game 6 *BLOOD BATH* (TNT) on Magic -2
There's no way the Magic let this thing go back to Cleveland for a Game 7. Orlando have outplayed the Cavs in this series and LeBron won't get enough help tonight to get the job done. Here's the key: The Magic are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last 5 home games against the Cavs and 10-1 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Magic.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* of the Week on Lakers +5.5
Denver was left crying about the officiating after Game 5 and also questioned the decision of their coaching staff to double Kobe Bryant all over the floor as he was able to find his teammates time and time again. I dare the Nuggets to play Kobe straight up tonight because they can kiss their season goodbye if they do. These points are just too good to refuse with LA heading into Game 6 extremely confident, especially X-factor Lamar Odom, who is coming off his best game of the postseason. I'll back the best road team in the NBA tonight as the Lakers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Bet the Lakers!

5* Wiseguy Game 5 *BLOOD BATH* on Cavs -7
Odds makers are expecting a win and cover from Cleveland tonight. Orlando is up 3-1 in this series and has covered every game to gain the public's support. The book's have lowered the number a bucket from what we saw in the first two games in Cleveland as well to create great line value. Usually the line is increased in do-or-die games. It's desperation time for LeBron James and company and I believe that will bring out the best in them as they play with nothing to lose tonight. We also can't forget that Cleveland held big leads in each of the first two games of this series but lacked the killer instinct to put the Magic away. They won't make the same mistake with their playoff life on the line. Cleveland is 13-2 ATS off a road loss this season, winning in these spots by 12.8 ppg on average. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy Game 5 BLOOD BATH on Lakers -5.5
The Lakers are a perfect 5-0 ATS following a defeat in these playoffs and I fully expect this trend to continue tonight. Denver is just 3-25 in its last 28 games in LA against the Lakers and I can't see them getting the job done here. Pound the Lakers in this bounce back spot.

5* Wiseguy 2009 NBA Playoffs GOTY on Cavs -1.5
I know that Orlando has played better ball in this series and that it has owned the Cavs at home, but this is a desperation game for Cleveland and I expect LeBron and company to get the job done. The Cavs finished the regular season with the best record in the NBA and these team really likes the idea of winning a championship THIS YEAR. They are not going to go down without a fight. The Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite, but here's the icing on the cake - Cleveland is 13-1 ATS off a road loss this season, responding to win by an average of 13.9 points in these spots. Bet the Cavs!

5* Wiseguy Game 4 BLOOD BATH on Nuggets -4.5
I'll back the Nuggets at home in this bounce back spot as they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU defeat. Denver 12-1 ATS in the playoffs this season, 9-1 ATS in home games against Pacific division opponents this season, 17-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent this season, and 18-5 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games this season. Bet the Nuggets!

5* Wiseguy Game 3 BLOOD BATH on Cavs +1.5
The Cavs looked dead in the water until LeBron hit that miracle 24-footer to win Game 2. Now Cleveland has the momentum on its side and I expect LeBron and company to fight like hell to make sure they don't fall behind in this series again. The Underdog is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this matchup. The Cavaliers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win. Take the Cavs in Game 3.

5* Wiseguy Game 3 BLOOD BATH on Lakers +4
Plain and simple. The Lakers have bounce back from a loss each time in these playoffs with a double digit win. In fact, the Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. The Lakers are even in this series and they are yet to play really well. I think a loss will give them enough motivation to kick things in high gear tonight. Take the points as I like LA outright.

4* Major Game 2 BLOOD BATH on Magic +9
I like Orlando to take Cleveland right down to the wire in Game 2 as the Cavs have too many matchup problems against Hedo Turkoglu, Rashard Lewis, and Dwight Howard. The Magic are 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 6-0 ATS in the last 6 in Cleveland. Plus, Orlando has won 8 of the last 11 straight up, including 4 of the last 6 in Cleveland. Bet the Magic.

5* Wiseguy Game 2 Over/Under Bomb on Magic/Cavs UNDER 188.5
We've seen 7 of 11 games in this matchup go Under the number the last 3 seasons and I expect each team to make the proper defensive adjustments to keep this one Under the number tonight. We know Cleveland is going to show up on the defensive end after allowing 20 points more than their season average at home. The Under is 8-1 in Cavaliers last 9 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 14-6-1 in Cavaliers last 21 home games period. Pound the Under!

3* Game 2 BLOOD BATH on Nuggets +5.5
The Nuggets do not want to fall into a 0-2 hole knowing that history is not on their side at that point. Denver out played LA in Game 1 and I expect the Nuggets to have a win to show for it after doing the same in Game 2. Here's the key: the Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss while the Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win. Plus, the Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. I'll take in the insurance points with the Nuggets tonight!

5* Wiseguy Western Conference Finals Total of the Year on Nuggets/Lakers OVER 211
We saw 208 points in Game 1 with the Nuggets struggling from the foul line and also only getting 16 points from their bench. I expect a very high scoring affair tonight. The Over is 4-0 in the Nuggets last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, but here's the clincher: Plays Over on Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against an opponent after scoring 105 points or more are 46-14 since 1996. Pound the Over.

5* Wiseguy GAME 1 BLOOD BATH on Magic +9
We'll have our revenge over last night's NBA defeat with the Magic tonight as they have absolutely had Cleveland's number. The Magic are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland and 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Orlando has been one of the best road teams and underdog teams to play on in the NBA over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog and 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games as an underdog period. The Cavs are only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Orlando hit Boston in the mouth in its house in Game 1 and it has an excellent chance to do the same here. Bet the Magic!

5* Wiseguy Western Conference Finals GOTY on Lakers -6.5
Denver comes in off a long layoff and must play on the road where it is just 2-2 in the postseason and 6-11 in its last 17. LA owns the Nugs, having won 24 of their last 26 at home against them, and it is 7-1 SU and ATS at home against Denver the last 3 seasons. With the way LA was hit in the mouth last series in Game 1 by the Rockets, there's no way LA is going to let that happen again. Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more, playing with 3 or more days rest, are 73-37 ATS since 1996. Take the Lakers!

5* Wiseguy 2009 NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Celtics -2.5/OVER 186
The Celtics are 17-3 in Game 7's at home and 32-0 when leading a series 3-2. The only thing I could come up with for why Boston wouldn't win Game 7 was that Orlando is the younger team with fresher legs, but having 2 days off should give the Celtics plenty of time to recover. Boston is 21-6 ATS at home versus Orlando since 1996. Boston is 40-8 SU at home this season and I'll take the Celtics here as they are much more experienced in these critical Game 7 situations.

The Over is 25-8 in the Celtics last 33 games as a home favorite, 16-5-1 in their last 22 games playing on 2 days rest, and 13-3 in their last 16 games following a SU loss. Boston is also 17-6 Over in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season. The average score was BOSTON 107.7, OPPONENT 98.1. Bet the Celtics and the Over!

5* Wiseguy 2009 NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Celtics -2.5/OVER 186
The Celtics are 17-3 in Game 7's at home and 32-0 when leading a series 3-2. The only thing I could come up with for why Boston wouldn't win Game 7 was that Orlando is the younger team with fresher legs, but having 2 days off should give the Celtics plenty of time to recover. Boston is 21-6 ATS at home versus Orlando since 1996. Boston is 40-8 SU at home this season and I'll take the Celtics here as they are much more experienced in these critical Game 7 situations.

The Over is 25-8 in the Celtics last 33 games as a home favorite, 16-5-1 in their last 22 games playing on 2 days rest, and 13-3 in their last 16 games following a SU loss. Boston is also 17-6 Over in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season. The average score was BOSTON 107.7, OPPONENT 98.1. Bet the Celtics and the Over!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Fool's Gold GOTY on Magic -6.5
Boston has won 2 straight games in this series that have gone right down to the wire so the public is taking the points and at the same time taking the bait. Despite the public being on Boston the line has moved the other way and that means that odds makers are looking to get paid with a big Magic win and cover tonight. I expect Orlando to come out of the gate with an intensity and a sense of urgency in this must-win spot that the Celtics won't be able to match. Orlando was so frustrated after its Game 5 loss that star center Dwight Howard called out his coach. Expect to see him and his teammates out for blood here. History tells us to fade the hell out of Boston tonight as plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having won 3 of their last 4 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 72-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. Bet the Magic!

5* Wiseguy Western Conference Playoffs GOTY on Nuggets -8.5
Denver does not want to make the trip back to Dallas so I have no doubts that it will take care of the Mavs tonight. The Nuggets know they blew a golden opportunity to put Dallas away in Game 4 by blowing a double digit lead and they will not let this opportunity pass them by. Denver is 10-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points this season, winning by an average score of 113 to 97.9 in these games. According to closing lines, Denver is 9-0 ATS in the playoffs this season and 7-0 ATS when leading in a playoff series this season. Dallas showed a lot of heart in Game 4, but it's going to be a different story on the road when Denver hits the Mavs in the mouth early. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Public Massacre of the Year on Rockets/Lakers UNDER 198
I expect an all out battle tonight in this critical Game 5 matchup and the UNDER will be the result. The public is all over the over here, and that is right where the odds makers want it so it can get paid big. We'll side with the house. The Lakers have played to the UNDER in 5 of their last 7 and the Rockets have played to the UNDER in 6 of their last 8. The Lakers are 8-0 UNDER after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists over the last 2 seasons. LA's ball movement has not been good and you are not going to see the Lakers put up big point totals when this is the case. While most expect to see LA score more in this bounce back game, it is actually its defense which picks up in bounce back spots. The Under is 15-3-1 in the Lakers last 19 games following an ATS loss and 13-3 in the Lakers last 16 games following a SU loss. Pound the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoffs BLOOD BATH on Celtics -2
After regaining home court on a thrilling buzzer beater, Boston takes the momentum back home for Game 5. Boston is now back in position to win this series and I can't see it letting the Magic walk away with a win in front of its pumped up home crowd tonight. Expect Ray Allen to come alive and for the C's to get the job done. The Magic are just 4-13 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Boston. Here's the icing on the cake: Boston is 16-4 ATS after a win by 6 points or less this season, exploding to win in these spots by 11.2 points on average. Bet Boston.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 2nd Round GOTY on Cavs -10
Atlanta gave Cleveland its best shot in Game 3, and it just wasn't good enough as Cleveland rallied to a 15-point win. The Hawks know they can't win this series and I don't expect them to provide much opposition tonight. Cleveland felt great coming into this series because it was well rested after sweeping its first round series. It will gladly sit back and watch while Orlando and Boston battle it out. The Cavs are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS in the playoffs and have now covered 11 in a row dating back to the regular season. The Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Lay the points.

4* Major Game 4 BLOOD BATH (TNT) on Boston Celtics +5
Boston wins Game 4 outright to even this series tonight. Boston is 17-6 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, 15-5 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons, and 13-4 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take the Celtics in this bounce back spot!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "TOTAL" Line Mistake on Lakers/Rockets OVER 194
Without Yao Ming in the lineup for Houston, the Rockets will play a lot faster and that should play to the over this afternoon. Plus, I expect the Lakers to get a lot more high percentage shots at the rim without Yao clogging the lane. We've seen back-to-back games go over the number easily in this series and the total has not been adjusted enough to compensate for that or Yao's absence. The Over is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points while it is 6-2 in the Lakers last 8 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Bet the Over!

5* Wiseguy 2009 NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Cavs/Hawks UNDER 180.5
The public is all over the Over here and it is going to get absolutely burned tonight. I expect this game to be very similar to Game 3 in the Cavs 1st round series in Detroit where the Cavs scored only 79 points. They are going to get Atlanta's best shot tonight and that is very conducive to the Under. 4 of the L5 have played to the Under on Cleveland and 8 of the L11 have played to the Under on the Hawks. Here's the key: Atlanta is 19-4 UNDER when revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more this season. Plus, the Under is 15-5 in the Cavaliers last 20 Conference Semifinals games, 10-3 in the Hawks last 13 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5, and 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Pound the Under!

4* Major NBA Playoffs Total of the Night on Celtics/Magic OVER 189
Boston hasn't been as good defensively on the road in these playoffs, and I expect to see an uptempo game tonight with the Magic playing on their home floor where they are averaging 100.8 ppg this season. Since Garnett has been out, the Celtics have shifted into a strong Overs team, going 13-3 over in their last 16 games. Plays Over on Home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (ORLANDO) - after allowing 110 points or more are 30-7 since 1996. Bet the Over!

4* Major NBA Playoffs "TOTAL" HEAT CHECK on Hawks/Cavs OVER 178
I've been waiting to impatiently to play this one as I was expecting a low number and plays OVER in the second round of the playoffs in Game 2 of a playoff series are a jaw-dropping 32-6 the last 5 seasons. Pound the Over!

4* Major NBA Playoffs Total of the Night on Rockets/Lakers OVER 192.5
The Lakers played about as poorly as they can play and the Game 1 total only went under by a half-point. Odds makers have faced us with the same number again tonight and I look for the Lakers and Rockets to destroy it as LA speeds up the tempo in this one. Plays over on any team in the second round of the playoffs, in the 2nd game of a playoff series, are 28-6 the last 5 seasons. I'll go with the numbers in this one.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Total of the Week on Hawks/Cavs UNDER 180
The books are begging for action on the over with this line and they have got it from the public. We won't bite as I expect a defensive battle tonight. The Hawks haven't scored well on the road all season long, especially in the playoffs. The long layoff will likely disrupt Cleveland's offensive rhythm just like it did the Lakers' last night as well. Play Under - All teams where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 77-35 since 1996. Bet the Under.

3* SUREFIRE on Lakers -8
The Rockets are 0-4 SU and ATS versus the Lakers this season with both home winners coming by at least 12 points, and I expect this trend to continue. If Ron Artest and Shane Battier couldn't really stop Brandon Roy, there's no way they will be able to slow down Kobe. Plus, Yao Ming doesn't have a cake walk this series as Bynum and Gasol will make him work at both ends of the floor. The Lakers are 16-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. Bet LA tonight.

5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Playoffs GOTY on Celtics -2.5
Boston is 17-7 SU and 19-5 ATS at home versus Orlando since 1996. Boston is 38-7 at home this season, and I'll take the C's to prevail at home in Game 1. Only way Orlando wins this one is if they are raining threes and they haven't shot them that well in the playoffs. Boston has a huge advantage at the point with Rondo and I expect it to really feed off of a jacked up crowd still buzzing over its Game 7 win. The Magic are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest so I expect rust to be more of a factor for the Magic than lack of rest will be for Boston. The Magic are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Boston. The Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. Lay the number.

4* Major National TV Game of the Week on Nuggets -5.5
Denver has been next to unbeatable at home this season with a 36-8 home record. When you consider that the Mavericks are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this matchup and the Nuggets are 24-5-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, there's really no other way to look. Dallas looked pretty good against a slow, aged, and injured Spurs team in round one, but it won't be able to hang with the young, athletic Nuggets on the road today. Lay the number.

4* Major Game 7 Line Mistake on Bulls +6.5
With 5 of the 6 games in this series being decided by 3 or less points and with 4 of the games going into OT, we have to take the points here. This says it all for me; The Celtics are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 home games, 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Bulls are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Take the points!

3* NBA Playoffs Total of the Week on Hawks/Heat UNDER 182.5
The key to this call has to do with the pace of this series and it has not been conducive to getting up many shots. Miami is 17-5 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where they attempted 70 or less shots since 1996. The average score in this spot has totaled 176.1 points. The Under gets the call.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Double Digit Blood Bath on 76ers -5.5
The Magic haven't look good on the road with Howard and Lee in this series, and they are going to have a very difficult time without them tonight against a 76ers team which loves to attack the basket. The Magic are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The 76ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Southeast. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Underdog of the Year on Hornets +11
New Orleans' 58-point Game 4 loss sets up a great opportunity in Game 5 as it has forced odds makers to elevate the line and the public is still all over the Nuggets. We'll go against the grain with the points as the Hornets look to save face and extend the series. Plays against favorites of 10 or more points after allowing 85 points or less against an opponent after allowing 110 points or more are 73-39 ATS since 1996. I don't expect Chris Paul to go down without a stellar performance tonight and that keeps the Hornets close enough to cover this big number.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Letdown Game of the Month on Celtics -7.5
This is a huge letdown spot for the young Bulls as they head out on the road after winning a double OT thriller. Boston does not want to face elimination at Chicago in Game 6 so you can count on the Celtics taking care of business here. The close games in this series have turned the public's attention to the underdog which is exactly what the books hoped to accomplish with this line. I'm ready to go against the grain for an easy double digit victory tonight. Here's the key: Plays on Home teams - a very good team (>=+7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a loss by 6 points or less are 28-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Vegas Line Mistake on Nuggets +2.5
The Nuggets are the far superior team in this series. The Nuggets played awful in Game 3 while the Hornets played well and Denver only fell by 2. The Nuggets take Game 4 to take a commanding lead in this series. Here's the key: New Orleans is just 4-13 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game this season, losing these games outright by 5.1 ppg on average. Wrong team favored here. Bet the Nuggets!

4* Major NBA Playoffs Public Massacre on Hawks +5
After back-to-back double digit defeats, this is basically a do or die game for a Hawks team which I feel is better than the Heat. I like Atlanta to rise to the occasion tonight and the numbers say it'll do just that as it is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 and 12-4 ATS revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more this season. The public is all over the Heat tonight and they are going to get burned!

4* Major NBA Playoffs Double Digit BLOOD BATH on Orlando Magic -4
This is a do-or-die game for the Magic, and I expect them to come away with a double digit win here. Orlando is 27-9 ATS revenging a straight up loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and 14-4 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons, exploding to win in this situation by an average score of 104.2 to 92.5. Lay the points!

4* Major Saturday NBA Playoffs BLOOD BATH on Spurs +4.5
Have to back the Spurs in this bounce back spot after playing one of their worst games in franchise history. The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Mavericks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. San Antonio wins this one outright so I'll take the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs First Round GOTY on Rockets -5.5
I love the Rockets at home tonight where they are 33-8 on the season with an 8.9-point margin of victory. The Trail Blazers are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. The Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite, 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Lay the number tonight!

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT GOTY on Lakers -1.5
The Lakers have their eye on the prize and I expect them to make quick work of a Jazz team that is clearly struggling as evidenced by the fact that it has now lost 9 of its last 11 games. Not only are the Lakers more experienced and more determined this time around, they are a better team with Bynum on the floor. He is a luxury they did not have a year ago. The Jazz are an awful 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. Bet the Lakers!

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA Playoffs BEST BET on Hornets +6
The Hornets show some resiliency and bounce back strong tonight behind a big performance by Chris Paul. New Orleans has proven to be a very solid bounce back bet at 18-7 ATS in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons, 8-0 ATS off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons, and 18-5 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. I won't hesitate to grab the points in this one.

3* SUREFIRE on Magic -10.5
The Magic led by an many as 18 points in Game 1 before taking their foot off the gas pedal to give the game away. They are the much more talented team and I expect them to run up the score as they play with a greater sense of urgency tonight. Orlando is a superb 18-5 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and 13-2 ATS revenging a loss where their opponent scored 100 or more points this season. Lay the number.

3* SUREFIRE on Rockets/Blazers OVER 183.5
Portland is an unbeaten 7-0 Over as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season and 9-1 Over as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Both of these trends have seen the total score go over the 200 point mark on average. I'll bet the Over.

3* SUREFIRE on Pistons/Cavs OVER 178
Game 1 went easily over the total and I expect to see Game 2 make it easily over as well as the Pistons play much better on the offensive end tonight. Here's the key: Plays over on all teams where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points (DETROIT) off a road loss by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 70-33 over since 1996. Take the over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Revenge GOTM on Pistons +11.5
Everyone has already penciled the Cavs into the 2nd round and no one expects them not to head to Detroit up 2 games to none, but this is a veteran Pistons team that plays with a lot of pride and I fully expect them to give the Cavs a run for their money tonight. Detroit is 16-5 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons and 13-3 ATS in a road game where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points over the last 2 seasons while Cleveland is 0-9 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games since 1996. Bet the Pistons!

4* Major Game 2 Line Mistake on Mavs +6.5
The Mavs come into the playoffs playing their best ball of the season and completely dominated the Spurs in Game 1. Odds makers proceed to favor the Spurs by even more in game 2. This bounce back spot is not worth 2.5 points as I feel strongly that the Mavs take game 2 as well. The Mavericks are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in San Antonio and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. The Spurs are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. San Antonio clearly isn't the same team without Ginobli. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night NBA Playoffs BLOWOUT on Celtics -8
Derrick Rose and the Bulls played as well as they can in Game 1 while Ray Allen and Paul Pierce did not play up to their capability and the Celtics still win if Pierce hits that free throw at the end of the game. With everyone doubting Boston with Garnett out, expect the Celtics to prove that they are still title contenders with a blowout performance tonight. The Bulls are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. The Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Here's the clincher: Boston is 17-7 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons, exploding to win by an average score of 104.3 to 89.9 in these spots. Lay the number!

4* Major NBA Playoffs Parlay on Heat/Hawks UNDER 186.5/-5
Odds makers are begging for action on the over with this number, setting the total 5 points lower than we saw on any of the 4 matchups between these teams this season. The fact is that the most points these teams combined for was 174 though. Here's the key: Atlanta is 11-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a Win Pct. between 51% and 60% this season. The average total score in these games was just 180 points. This one will be played in the 80's so I'm taking the under.

The Hawks are the all around better team on both sides of the ball with a deeper bench so I'll gladly lay the points in game 1. The Hawks performed well in the postseason a year ago and they will be ready to send a message right out of the gate that they are a force to be reckoned with in these playoffs. The Hawks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Hawks are too athletic and too good defensively for the Heat to have a shot tonight. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Parlay on Heat/Hawks UNDER 186.5/-5
Odds makers are begging for action on the over with this number, setting the total 5 points lower than we saw on any of the 4 matchups between these teams this season. The fact is that the most points these teams combined for was 174 though. Here's the key: Atlanta is 11-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a Win Pct. between 51% and 60% this season. The average total score in these games was just 180 points. This one will be played in the 80's so I'm taking the under.

The Hawks are the all around better team on both sides of the ball with a deeper bench so I'll gladly lay the points in game 1. The Hawks performed well in the postseason a year ago and they will be ready to send a message right out of the gate that they are a force to be reckoned with in these playoffs. The Hawks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Hawks are too athletic and too good defensively for the Heat to have a shot tonight. Lay the points.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA Playoffs Bailout on Blazers -4.5
The Blazers come into the playoffs hitting on all cylinders and they won't be denied at home in game 1 where they are 34-7 this season. Plus, the fact that the Rockets won the last 2 meetings in this matchup only fuels their fire. Portland is 10-2 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season, winning by 10.9 points per game in these spots. Lay the points!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 1st Rd Total of the Year on Mavs/Spurs UNDER 185.5
I like the Spurs stingy defense at home coupled with the fact that Dallas has not scored as well on the road to keep this one under the number with ease. The Under is 12-4 in Mavericks last 16 road games and 12-2 in Mavericks last 14 games as an underdog. The Under is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 playoff games as a favorite and 13-6 in Spurs last 19 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in this series in San Antonio. Bet the Under in game 1.

3* Eastern Conference Playoffs Statement Game on Cavs -12
Look for the Cavs to make a serious statement in Game 1. Cleveland is winning by an average of 14.3 ppg at home this season. The Cavaliers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater and the Favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Lay the number!

4* Major Regular Season Finale (ESPN) on Mavs +1
I like the Mavs at home in this regular season finale tonight as they have a chance to keep the Rockets from a division title and to move up to a No. 6 seed. Houston has played just .500 ball on the road this season while the Mavs are a healthy 31-9 at home. The Rockets are just 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Mavericks are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss. Bet Dallas tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on 76ers -5.5
Boston has no incentive to win this game with the No. 2 seed already in the bag. Philly has a huge incentive to win, however, as it looks to end a 5-game losing streak to gain some momentum heading into the playoffs. The Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit Blood Bath on Hawks -7.5
I've spotted another double digit blood bath in the making in the Heat/Hawks matchup tonight. The Heat will be without a good amount of scoring tonight with Jermaine O'Neal expected to sit. Wade is expected to sit as well to rest up before the playoffs and the Heat have no chance without him on the floor. Even if he plays, his minutes will be limited. This is Atlanta's last home game of the season and it will be looking to send a message to the Heat tonight as they will face them in the first round. The Heat will gladly give up the decisive loss to rest its banged up players and to let the Hawks think the series will be a cake walk. The Hawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit BLOOD BATH of the Year on Rockets -8
Houston is tied with the Spurs for the top spot in the Southwest so they have plenty of motivation to win tonight. This is Houston's last home game of the season and they will be playing it with 3 days rest while the struggling Hornets just played yesterday. Houston has been unstoppable at home this season at 32-8. The Hornets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 while the Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. The public is all over the Hornets in this one, but they are failing to take into consideration how big of an edge Houston has in the fresh legs department and also how much teams get up for their last home game of the season. Total blowout tonight. Lay the points!

4* Major Sunday NBA Double Digit BLOOD BATH on Heat -6.5
Off back-to-back defeats, I expect the Heat to be out for blood Sunday. Adding to the strength of this play is the fact that the Knicks are coming off a big double digit win over the Magic as a double digit dog so we find them in a letdown spot today. Miami has plenty to play for as it is looking to pin down the No. 5 seed to avoid Boston or Orlando in the playoffs. Lay the points in this situation.

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Opinion Game of the Year on Magic -5.5
After a terrible performance against the Knicks last night, the public will be expecting the Magic to bounce back strong tonight and I have to agree with them 100 percent. This team has not been playing very well its last 4 games since crushing the Cavs and last night's loss to a non-playoff team was the wake up call the Magic needed. New Jersey is just 7-17 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 12.6 points in these games. New Jersey is 0-8 ATS in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 90.3 to 106.5. Lastly, Orlando is 10-1 ATS in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 108.2 to 95.5. The defensive intensity picks up for the Magic tonight and I expect them to take the ball much more aggressively to the hoop instead of settling for so many threes and the result will be a double digit win.

3* SUREFIRE on Spurs -3
The Spurs have won 19 straight at home against the Jazz and after a poor performance at home against the Blazers last game, I expect the Spurs to get back on track tonight. Not only have the Jazz lost these 19 straight road games to the Spurs, but they have lost them by an average of 16.1 ppg. Utah has struggled on the road all season and we will continue to fade them away from home.

4* Major NBA Underdog of the Month on Knicks +11
The Knicks have played the Magic to within 7 points in each of their 3 games against each other this season. Having lost all 3 of those games and coming off a terrible performance against the Pistons will have New York very motivated tonight. We'll play on any team after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against an opponent after a combined score of 160 points or less as this system is 23-5 ATS (82.1%) over the last 5 seasons. Great spot to back the Knicks tonight.

3* NBA on TNT Prime Time Punisher on Lakers -9
The Lakers own the Nuggets at home and they will be very motivated tonight for a couple reasons. First off, they are fighting with Cleveland for home court advantage throughout the playoffs. Secondly, they will be looking to pay Denver back after an embarrassing 79-90 defeat at Denver the last time these teams faced off. LA is 6-1 SU and ATS at home versus the Nuggets the last 3 seasons and 23-2 SU and 17-6-2 ATS at home against the Nuggets since 1996. In all, the Lakers are 10-4 SU and ATS versus Denver the last 3 seasons. The Lakers are 15-5 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season while the Nuggets are 5-16 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy 2009 NBA GOTY on Hornets -2.5
The Suns are done. We saw it when they laid down against the Mavs in a must win game last time out and got spanked 116-140. The Hornets have owned the Suns, going a perfect 8-0 ATS against them the last 3 seasons and they will be ready to roll tonight at home as they look to try to snatch the No. 4 seed in the West by season's end to lock up home court in the first round. Phoenix is 6-14 ATS as a road underdog this season, losing by an average score of 106.5 to 115. The Hornets are 23-10-2 ATS in their last 35 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day and 33-16-3 ATS in their last 52 games playing on 0 days rest so don't expect the back-to-back to give them much trouble, especially with as bad as the Suns have been defensively. Lay the points!

3* Public Massacre of the Grizzlies +7
The public is all over the Blazers here, but Memphis has shown that it is not about to roll over, going 4-0 SU and ATS in its last 4 games. Memphis was just thumped by 20 points in Portland on March 28th and I expect the Grizzlies to take exception to that tonight. The Underdog is 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings. Bet Memphis at home!

5* Wiseguy NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK on Bobcats -4.5
The Cats are still alive in the playoff race and after 3 straight losses, I expect a very motivated performance at home tonight. Charlotte has had Philly's number, going 4-1 SU and ATS at home over the last 3 seasons against the 76ers and 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS at home in the last 8 meetings in this matchup. The Home team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings. The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Atlantic and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less. Bet the Bobcats at home tonight. Good Luck!

3* SUREFIRE on Jazz +3
Utah's lack of success on the road is well documented, but the Jazz will be ready to go tonight after losing 3 in a row, including a terrible loss as a double digit favorite at home against Minnesota last game. The Hornets struggle in this matchup as Chris Paul has a tougher time going against the bigger, stronger Deron Williams. In fact, Utah has taken 7 of the 9 meetings over the last 3 seasons. We'll call on an interesting system which tells us that Utah will bring the defense tonight. Utah is 9-0 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 105.0 to 87.0. Bet the Jazz.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference GOTM on Rockets -4
Expect the Rockets to bounce back strong at home tonight after enduring back-to-back road losses. The Blazers have won 4 in a row, but they meet their match tonight as none of their last 4 opponents are even close to as good as Houston is defensively. Houston is 30-8 at home this season, winning by an average score of 100.3 to 92.0 in those games. The Rockets have also won 4 of the last 5 at home in this series. Also, plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 115-66 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the points!

4* Major Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Hawks +2.5
With Orlando coming off a huge win over Cleveland last night, it's going to be very difficult for the Magic to get up for this one. It will be no problem for the Hawks, who have lost two in a row and were drilled by the Magic the last time these teams squared off. The Hawks are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 home games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. The Magic are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the Hawks!

3* SUREFIRE on New Orleans Hornets -3.5
Plain and simple, the Warriors do not have enough healthy horses to compete with Chris Paul and company tonight. Stephen Jackson and Corey Maggette will both be out along with several other key contributors. New Orleans has rattled off 3 straight wins and I look for it to keep rolling here against one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA. Plus, Golden State's thrilling win last time out against the Kings sets it up for a terrible letdown here as it is 0-10 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Friday Night BLOWOUT on Jazz -13
Off back-to-back double digit losses to division rivals Portland and Utah, expect the Jazz to take their frustrations out on lowly Minnesota tonight. I would like the Jazz going against the Wolves at this number even if Minnesota was at full strength, but the Wolves will be without Al Jefferson, Corey Brewer, and likely Randy Foye and Craig Smith as well. Utah is 20-8 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. The Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. This one is going to be ugly. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference GOTM on Boston Celtics -4.5
Boston has its eye fixed on securing the No. 2 seed in the East as it has won 7 of its last 8 games. Boston is an unbelievable 31-6 at home this season and I like the Celtics laying a relatively small number against a Hawks team that is just 14-23 on the road. Doubt is starting to set in by now for the Hawks, which have played the Celtics tough 3 times this season but have came away empty handed in each time. Boston always takes this matchup very seriously after the Hawks took it to 7 games in the first round of the playoffs a season ago. Boston has widened its margin of victory each time it has played the Hawks this season, winning by 6 points in Atlanta on March 27th. I like Boston by double digits tonight an Atlanta team which has now lost 4 straight on the road. Atlanta is 3-12 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, losing these games badly by an average score of 88.5 to 106.4. Pound the Celtics!

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Month on 76ers -7.5
Milwaukee is just 3-11 SU and ATS in its last 14 games and there's no way the Bucks will be able to get up for this one after en emotionally draining performance against the Lakers last night. Philly is playing out the regular season to lock up home court in the first round of the playoffs so it has every reason to take care of business. The Bucks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Lay the points and this one gets ugly!

4* Major NBA Dog of the Week on Kings +8.5
The Warriors are laying too many points when you consider the injury problems they have been plagued with. The Kings beat Phoenix and then played New Orleans to a 1-point game and will have no problem scoring against one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA tonight. Plays against home teams in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (>=102 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 36-18 ATS since 1996. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Odds Maker Error on Grizzlies -2.5
The Wizards are really banged up and will be without a lot of fire power tonight. That gives Memphis a big edge at home against a Wizards team which has lost 9 of its last 10 on the road. Washington has just 5 wins on the road all season. The Wizards are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Memphis and the Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Also, the Wizards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Southwest and 5-14-2 ATS in their last 21 road games. Grizzlies should be laying a few more points here so we'll take advantage of this soft line. Pound the Grizz!

3* SUREFIRE on Bobcats +9
The Bobcats are going after the final playoff spot in the East hard and I like their chances tonight against a Boston team playing without KG and Leon Powe. The Bobcats just beat the Lakers last night and that win is going to give them an added boost of confidence. Charlotte has played its best basketball against the best teams and already has a win over the Celtics this season when Boston was at full strength. Charlotte is getting too many. Take the points.

3* SUREFIRE on 76ers -1.5
Expect a letdown from the Hawks tonight after a big win over the Lakers as they go out on the road against a hungry 76ers team off back-to-back defeats. The 76ers have already dropped one double digit defeat on the Hawks this season so this system becomes significant as play against underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 123-76 ATS since 1996. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA REVENGE GAME OF THE WEEK on Lakers -5.5
After losing by 10 points to the Hawks and only scoring 76 points, expect LA to bury the Bobcats tonight as it fights with Cleveland for home court advantage throughout the playoffs. Charlotte beat LA by 7 in Tinsel Town earlier this season so the Lakers will be out for additional revenge tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season, winning these games by 11 points on average. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy 31-0 ATS NBA Double Digit Blood Bath on Nets -4.5
There's no question about it, the Bucks have packed it in for the 2008-09 season, dropping 10 of their last 12 SU and 11 of their last 12 ATS. To add insult to injury, Milwaukee is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 meetings in New Jersey and 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings overall. Milwaukee has been miserable away from home this season at just 11-27. The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. I like the Nets to bounce back strong after a very disappointing loss to Minnesota. Lay the points!

5* NBA "TOTAL" Blowout of the Month on Spurs/Hornets OVER 177.5
Both of these teams are solid defensively so that drives this number down. Plus, the Hornets have gone under in 8 straight games so that drives the number down even more. New Orleans has lost back-to-back games and it knows it will need to speed up the tempo to beat the Spurs tonight. With the Spurs back at full strength with Ginobli back in the lineup, I expect to see a better San Antonio offensive as well. The Over is 8-1 in Spurs last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 4-0 in Spurs last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Also, plays over on teams where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games are 94-38 (71.2%) since 1996. Bet the Over!

3* Late Night NBA Bailout on Grizzlies +13
Off a huge blowout win over the Suns and with Utah up next in a big division game, expect the Blazers to get caught overlooking the Grizzlies tonight. Memphis did just play last night, but it got a big win over the Kings and any win is a huge confidence booster for this team. This season, Memphis has played Portland to 4 and 11 point games so I have no doubt the Grizzlies can keep this one within the number as well. Memphis is 17-5 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, losing by just 1.0 points in these games. Take the points!

4* Major NBA Double Digit BLOOD BATH on Bobcats -6.5
NY is just 10-24 on the road all season and stands no chance tonight playing back-to-back in a letdown spot after an upset win over the Hornets. Charlotte played last night as well, beating Philly on the road, but expect no letdown from the Bobcats as they continue to fight for the final playoff spot. The Bobcats are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic. We'll lay the points.

4* Major Friday Night NBA BEST BET on Bobcats +5.5
The Bobcats have had a day to regroup after losing to lowly Washington and they'll be ready to go tonight. Every game from here on out is a big one with the Cats trying to play their way into the postseason. The Bobcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The 76ers are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games, 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing SU record, and 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. We'll take the points.

4* Major NBA Deadly Dog of the Week on Nuggets +4.5
The Hornets are being overvalued tonight. I'll take the points with the better team here. The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 while the Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. New Orleans is not playing as well as the wins and losses indicate as they have had a very soft schedule of late. Denver wins this one outright!

3* NBA Playoffs Preview on Celtics +3.5
The Celtics have endured some injury problems but they are getting healthier. I believe Boston is still the better team in this matchup and they will be out for revenge after losing by 7 at home to the Magic earlier this month. Boston is 12-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons and 14-4 ATS in road games revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. The Magic are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. Take Boston.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Jazz -5.5
The Jazz were an 8.5-point favorite when they played the Rockets at home 20 days ago. The Jazz won that game by 7 points. With the number now set 3 points lower, I'll jump all over the Jazz here against a Rockets team coming off a highly emotional win against rival San Antonio. Utah is 18-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 106.4 to 95.5 in these spots. We'll lay the points with the Jazz at home.

3* SUREFIRE on San Antonio Spurs -10.5
I expect the Spurs to take out their frustration over back-to-back losses out of the Warriors tonight. Golden State is a terrible 6-29 on the road this season, allowing 111.9 ppg in these contests. The Spurs are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS at home against the Warriors the last 3 seasons, which includes a 123-88 win at home earlier this season. The Warriors are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Favorite is 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Home team is 18-6-1 ATS in the last 25 meetings. The Warriors are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in San Antonio. Bet San Antonio in this bounce back spot.

4* Major Monday Night NBA BEST BET on Hawks -11.5
The Cleveland Cavaliers ended Atlanta's 7 game winning streak and now the Hawks will be out for blood against a Timberwolves team which just played yesterday. Because of the injuries to key players, the Wolves have had to live and die by the 3 and that will not treat them well tonight as Atlanta is 8-0 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. The Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Hawks are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Lay the points.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA Double Digit Blood Bath on Magic -12
The Knicks have been slaughtered each of their last 2 games and they have a fresh Magic team waiting for them tonight. The Magic have all the motivation in the world to put the hurt on NY here as they chase Boston for the second best mark in the East, which would give them home court if they were to meet in the playoffs. Orlando is 14-3 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season. We'll lay the points.