5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Raptors +13.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are a terrible 24-52 ATS in their last 76 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. They are also just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 11.0 or more points. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. With a big matchup against Portland up next, Toronto won't get LA's full attention tonight. Meanwhile, Toronto will show up ready to play off back-to-back losses. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Primetime Total (ESPN) on Bulls/Celtics UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The Chicago Bulls are a perfect 9-0 to the Under in their last 9 road games after scoring 100 points or more in 2 straight games. We are only seeing 189.3 total points scored on average in this situation. With Chicago playing back-to-back, and against a strong defensive team, I fully expect this one to come in Under the number tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Thunder +5.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder are a much better team than they have shown in their last two games, and they'll rise to the occasion against Portland tonight. I'll gladly grab the points when you consider that the Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Take the Thunder tonight.

4* Major NBA on TNT "Total" Blowout on Knicks/Bulls UNDER 205
Bottom Line: Odds makers have set the bar too high tonight. Chicago is 18-8 Under when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons. The Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings between these teams and a perfect 9-0 in the Knicks' last 9 Thursday games. Because of the betting attention that big market teams like the Bulls and Knicks receive, odds makers really look to trap the public, especially in these national TV games. I like this one to come in 10 points Under the number.

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -1
Bottom Line: The Suns swept the Spurs in the playoffs last season, but that Phoenix team had Amare Stoudemire. This one doesn't, but that won't change the fact that San Antonio will be out for some serious revenge. Nash often struggles against quicker guards, and he'll have a heck of a time sticking with Tony Parker tonight. Plus, a finally healthy Tim Duncan will have his way in the post without the younger, more athletic Stoudemire in the paint. San Antonio has the better players and it is the better defensive side. In a huge revenge spot, I'm backing the Spurs.

3* NBA Surefire on Pacers -1.5
Bottom Line: This is a terrible spot for Philly, which is playing back-to-back off an overtime loss at Washington last night. It is also playing against a team that has had its number. The Pacers just beat the 76ers by 13 points last weekend, which marked the third straight win for Indiana in the series. It is also worth noting that all 3 of those wins have come by at least 11 points. Philly is an awful 1-12 ATS in home games off a road loss since the beginning of last season, losing these contests by an average score of 101.5 to 92.5. Take the Pacers.

4* Major Monday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings -4
Bottom Line: Great spot for the Kings as they will be jacked up for their first home contest of the season against a Raptors team playing on the road for the first time. The Kings are 11-2 SU & 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games against the Raptors, winning these games by an average score of 105 to 92. Also, the favorite is a perfect 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings. I'm laying the points.

4* Major Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -9.5
Bottom Line: The Warriors don't match up well with the size and length of the Lakers, which is a big reason why LA has won 9 straight in the series. The Warriors find themselves at an even bigger disadvantage today with Stephen Curry out with an ankle injury. Playing their first road game of the season without their starting point guard spells disaster against a two-time defending NBA champs. Lay the points with LA.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Trail Blazers -4.5
Bottom Line: I'll take the rested Blazers here against a Knicks team that expended a lot of energy in last night's loss at Boston. Plays on road favorites (PORTLAND) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more, against an opponent coming off a game with a combined score of 205 points or more, are 59-27 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by 8.4 points on average. Also, the Trail Blazers are a terrific 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road favorite. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Total (ESPN) on Lakers/Suns UNDER 209.5
Bottom Line: The Suns won't have the gas to run and gun this one over the total after playing in Utah last night. Plus, the Under has been a money play on the Lakers when they have had 2 days to rest the last couple seasons. In fact, the Under is 24-9 in the Lakers' last 33 games in this situation, and we are only seeing a total of 196.6 points scored on average. The Under is also a perfect 8-0 in the Lakers' last 8 Friday night games. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA **TOP SIDE** on Hornets +1.5
Bottom Line: New Orleans on its home floor with a healthy Chris Paul has cashed a lot of tickets the last few seasons, and I believe it cashes another one here. The shorthanded Nuggets (minus Kenyon Martin and Chris Andersen) are a pathetic 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. This team is also 2-12-3 ATS in its last 17 games following a win of more than 10 points. Take the Hornets at home.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Magic -13.5
Bottom Line: Without Arenas in the lineup tonight, the Wizards will be without their best scorer. That's not good news considering they are up against one of the best teams in the entire league. Without Arenas, the Wizards will be asking a lot of rookie PG John Wall. I'm expected him to be very turnover prone early in the year as he has to carry the load. The Magic are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Magic are deep, and they'll be out to lay the wood to send a message to division rival Miami that they're still the team to beat.

5* Wiseguy NBA Late Night Bailout (ESPN) on Clippers +3
Bottom Line: I expect major improvement from the Clippers this season with former No. 1 draft pick Blake Griffin joining Chris Kaman to create a dominant front court. Plus, this is a very tough spot for Portland, playing back-to-back nights to start the season with the second game coming on the road. The Blazers haven't started 2-0 since 2004. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. I expect them to be the more energized team tonight. Take the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bobcats/Mavericks UNDER 184.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings between these teams, and I expect this trend to continue tonight. The Under is 9-1-1 in the Bobcats' last 11 games as a road underdog and 4-0-1 in the Mavericks' last 5 games as a home favorite. Charlotte boasted the No. 1 scoring defense in the league last season. Dallas made huge defensive improvements as the year went on, and I expect it to be a Top 10 defensive team this season. I'm betting the Under with these 2 strong defenses battling it out tonight.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Rockets +7.5
Bottom Line: I'm expecting a very good season out of the Houston Rockets this year, and they'll go hard after the target on LA's back tonight. Houston has a lot of young athletic guys that pose matchup problems for LA. That's why Houston played LA to a 1-point game in the first meeting last season and defeated the Lakers in the second meeting. Not having Andrew Bynum hurts the Lakers, and Kobe Bryant and Lamar Odom are both banged up to start the season. The Lakers will be in the running for another title by season's end, but tonight I like the Rockets to steal the show.

4* Major NBA Primetime Total on Heat/Celtics UNDER 189
Bottom Line: It's going to take LeBron James, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh a little while to figure out how to play with one another. These guys are all used to seeing a lot of the basketball, and now they must learn how to share it. I don't expect the Miami offense to start looking like a well-oiled machine until this dynamic is ironed out. In addition, the Heat are up against a very good defensive team tonight. The Under is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings between these teams in Boston. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Finals Game 7 "Total" Dominator on Celtics/Lakers OVER 186
Bottom Line: We've made some good money by pounding the Under in this series, but now is the time to go the other way as plays Over on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (BOSTON) - after scoring 35 points or less in the first half last game, against an opponent which played in a game with a combined score of 175 points or less, are 29-8 the last 5 seasons. We are seeing an average of 191.9 total points scored in this situation. With the intensity high, I expect to see a lot of fouls, and therefore a lot of free throw attempts, to push this one Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 7 BOMB on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: Boston's Game 6 blowout loss was an aberration. I know the Celtics will be without Perkins tonight, but they are still not getting the respect they deserve with this line. With Perkins out, Big Baby and Rasheed Wallace will get more playing time, and Boston is better offensively when those two are in the game. It takes the heart of a champion to bounce back after such a devastating defeat, and Boston certainly has that. In fact, Boston is 16-4 ATS in road games off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points since 1996, winning these games by an average of 1.1 points. And over the last 2 seasons, Boston is 8-0 ATS in road games when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent, winning in these spots by an impressive 12.3 points. The Celtics are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss period. Take the points as Boston has an excellent opportunity to pull off the upset tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Lakers -6.5/Under 189
Bottom Line: This is a must-win Game 6 for the Lakers, and I have no doubts that they will take care of business tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 at home in the playoffs, and those 9 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. Boston is responsible for that lone loss, but the Lakers are too good of a team to suffer 3 straight defeats to anyone. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against it. The reason why LA is behind in this series is because Bryant and Gasol haven't had much help. I expect Odom, Artest and Fisher to be much more comfortable on their home floor tonight, and they will provide the Lakers with the extra offensive spark they've been missing.

We've seen these two teams play to the Under each of the last 3 games, and the Under is now 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Game 5 went Under easily despite Boston shooting over 56% from the field. This is a strong reflection of how slow the pace of play has been. The Lakers weren't happy with their defensive effort in Game 5, and you can bet it will trigger a much stronger defensive performance tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in the NBA finals are 38-8 since 1996, including a perfect 4-0 over the last seasons. And we are only seeing an average of 176.3 total points scored in these games.

We'll play the Lakers -6.5 and the Under 189 as our NBA Finals Parlay of the Year. Best of Luck!

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Lakers -6.5/Under 189
Bottom Line: This is a must-win Game 6 for the Lakers, and I have no doubts that they will take care of business tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 at home in the playoffs, and those 9 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. Boston is responsible for that lone loss, but the Lakers are too good of a team to suffer 3 straight defeats to anyone. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against it. The reason why LA is behind in this series is because Bryant and Gasol haven't had much help. I expect Odom, Artest and Fisher to be much more comfortable on their home floor tonight, and they will provide the Lakers with the extra offensive spark they've been missing.

We've seen these two teams play to the Under each of the last 3 games, and the Under is now 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Game 5 went Under easily despite Boston shooting over 56% from the field. This is a strong reflection of how slow the pace of play has been. The Lakers weren't happy with their defensive effort in Game 5, and you can bet it will trigger a much strong defensive performance tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in the NBA finals are 38-8 since 1996, including a perfect 4-0 over the last seasons. And we are only seeing an average of 176.3 total points scored in these games.

We'll play the Lakers -6.5 and the Under 189 as our NBA Finals Parlay of the Year. Best of Luck!

4* Major Game 5 "Total" Dominator on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 188.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers have lowered the number again, knowing that the public would be ready to jump on the Over. That's exactly what has happened, but I have to go against the grain and stick with the Under tonight. This game is incredibly important. Of the 25 finals series' that have been tied at 2-all, the Game 5 winner has gone on to win 19 of them. With so much at stake tonight, I expect the defensive intensity to go up yet another notch. Game 4 marked the first time in this series both teams shot over 44% from the field in the same game and we only saw 185 points. With the defense expected to be even better tonight, the point production should go down. And you have to consider this: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points, in the finals, are 36-8 since 1996. We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 5 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +2.5
Bottom Line: I absolutely love the Lakers' chances of winning Game 5 outright tonight. Since 1996, the Lakers are 20-6 when tied in a playoff series. They are a perfect 3-0 in this situation in the 2010 NBA playoffs and a perfect 9-0 over the last 3 years in this spot. It is also worth noting that the Lakers are a perfect 2-0 after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season and 12-1 over the last 3 seasons in this spot. In a bounce back spot, with an extra day of rest on Bynum's knee, I'll take the Lakers and the points tonight. Best of Luck!

4* Major Game 4 "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 190.5
Bottom Line: Based on opening lines, we have seen the Under cash in 2 of the first 3 games of this series. The pace of Game 2 was on track for the Under as well, but Ray Allen had an abnormally good shooting night to push that one Over. Both teams have been great defensively in this series as the intensity has picked up each game. I expect this pattern to continue and for the result to be another Under winner. The Under is 5-1 in the Celtics' last 6 home games and 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. The Under is also 14-6-1 the last 21 times the Lakers have been an underdog. We'll ride these trends here tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game of the Year on Celtics -3.5
Bottom Line: Boston knew it had to steal Game 2 in LA if it was going to win this series and it rose to the occasion. Now, Boston knows that it must even the series tonight or it will be in serious trouble. This is a must-win game for Boston, and I expect it take care of business in front of its fired up home crowd tonight. The Celtics had an excellent opportunity to win Game 3 even though they fell behind big at one point, and even though Ray Allen went 0 for 13. I don't think Allen will get shutout again tonight. Plus, Boston relied too heavily on running plays for Allen to get him looks. Look for Rondo to be the catalyst tonight as he plays much more aggressive offensively. Also, Game 3 did a lot for KG's confidence and he should respond with another strong game. The Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat, and I fully expect this trend to continue tonight.

4* Major Game 3 "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 193
Bottom Line: We cashed in with the Under 192 on Game 1, but we missed with the Under on Game 2 as Ray Allen decided to go off from beyond the arc. Otherwise the pace of the game was very much in accordance with the Under, and I expect the pace to be even slower and for the game to be even more physical on the defensive end tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 Under in road games when revenging an upset loss over the last 2 seasons. It is also worth noting that the Under is 13-6-1 in the Lakers' last 20 games as a road underdog and 6-2 in the Celtics' last 8 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Look for this one to finish Under by double digits tonight.

5* Wiseguy Game 3 *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics -2.5
Bottom Line: Returning home with momentum and an added boost of confidence after stealing away home court, look for the Celtics to take the 2-1 series lead tonight. I expect Boston's defense to be fantastic as it feeds off the energy of the home crowd, and I also expect Kevin Garnett to finally show up on the offensive end. Look for Paul Pierce to have a bounce back game as well. Boston is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in this matchup, including 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 at home. It's also hard to bet against Bean Town in the small chalk when you consider that it is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points, including 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. Lay the points with the Celtics!

4* Major Game 2 "Total" Dominator on Celtics/Lakers UNDER 191
Bottom Line: We saw Game 1 finish at this number, and I expect Game 2 to be even lower scoring as Boston does a better job on the defensive end. Plus, this system has been good to me: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points, extremely well rested team playing 3 or less games in 10 days with a winning record on the season, playing another winning team, are 46-18 (71.9%) the last 5 seasons. We also can't overlook the fact that the Under is a perfect 5-0 in the Celtics' last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 21-6 in the Lakers' last 27 games when playing on 2 days rest. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Game 2 *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics +6
Bottom Line: Boston just didn't have it going in Game 1, but that gives it all the more motivation to show up tonight. Considering 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams have been decided by a single point, taking the points is the right call here, especially since the Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Look for Boston to respond in a big way tonight.

4* Major Game 1 *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics +5.5
Bottom Line: The last 3 meetings between these two teams have all been decided by 1 point. Expect this trend of close games to continue tonight in LA. Over the last 3 seasons, these teams have split 6 games in LA. The Lakers were favored by an average of 5.3 points in those games, but the Celtics have won by an average of 1.0 points. As a result the Celtics are 5-1 ATS in those matchups. During the same time frame, these two teams have played 12 games in all, and Boston has won 7 of them. The Lakers have been favored by an average of 1.0 points, but Boston has won by 6.0 points on average. As a result, the Celtics are 9-2-1 ATS in these games. I'm taking Boston and the points tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Celtics/Lakers UNDER 192
Bottom Line: Both of these teams know how important winning Game 1 is historically, and with this in mind I expect defense to take center stage tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 46-17 the last 5 seasons. Also, plays Under on home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (LA LAKERS) revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, against an opponent off a home win by 10 points or more, are 30-12 the last 5 seasons. It is also worth noting that the Lakers are 15-3 Under as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. I'll pound the Under in Game 1 in this matchup of 2 Top 10 defenses.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Lakers +1.5/Under 216
Bottom Line: An exhilarating Game 5 win has the Lakers in the driver's seat, and after watching Boston seal the deal last night, they will be playing with an even greater sense of urgency in this one. One of the big reasons the Lakers are winning this series is because they are winning the turnover battle. In fact, LA is 13-4-2 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers this season, winning these games by an average score of 102.1 to 93.2. We saw both teams really pick up the defensive intensity last game, and this will carry over to tonight with so much at stake. It is also worth noting that the Under is 14-5 in the above situation I outlined. I'm pounding the Lakers and the Under tonight. Best of Luck.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Lakers +1.5/Under 216
Analysis will be posted shortly

4* Major Game 6 Power Play on Celtics -3
Bottom Line: I know Wallace and Davis may not be able to go, but Boston got the break it needed with Perkins being able to play tonight. Boston was embarrassed in Game 5, and beyond that, they felt they were screwed by the officials and beat up physically by Orlando. These things will have this championship team motivated to close out this series. The Celtics are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Magic are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Lay the points w/ Boston as it responds in a big way.

5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Finals Total of the Year on Magic/Celtics UNDER 188.5
Bottom Line: Prior to the Game 5 outburst, where we saw 205 total points scored, the Magic and Celtics had finished under this number in 5 straight and 10 of their last 11. I expect both teams to tighten the screws defensively in this critical Game 6 as we cash in on the Under as a result. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston and 10-3 in the last 13 meetings overall between these two teams. The Under is 4-0 in the Celtics' last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 7-1 in the Magic's last 8 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Boston could be without Davis and Wallace tonight, so it is going to want to slow this game down to stay fresh. Plus, the Celtics will make an effort not to foul as much knowing that they could be short handed. With the clock rolling and the Celtics slowing the tempo down, we'll pound the Under here.

4* Major Game 5 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -7
Bottom Line: After LA was beaten in back-to-back games in Oklahoma City in the first round, it responded to win Game 5 by 24 points at home. I expect the defending NBA champs to come up with a similar response tonight. The Lakers have won 6 straight home games against the Suns by an average of 17.2 points, and I absolutely love the fact that LA is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games when tied in a playoff series. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Game 5 "Total" Dominator on Suns/Lakers UNDER 218
Bottom Line: So far this series has been an Overs machine, but I'm confident that changes tonight. It's all tied up 2-2, and that should have both teams really upping the intensity on defense in this pivotal Game 5. Plus, the Lakers bought into Phoenix's uptempo scheme in Games 3 and 4, taking way too many quick three-point shots. Expect them to make an extra effort to slow down the pace and get the ball inside tonight. The Lakers are 23-8 Under after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons and Phoenix is 19-7 Under after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Under tonight as the pace slows and the defensive intensity picks up.

4* Major Game 5 "Total" Dominator on Celtics/Magic OVER 186
Bottom Line: This matchup has been an Unders machine, but I'm confident we'll finally see some more scoring tonight. Orlando has not shot well in this series, but it finally got some threes to go in Game 4 (made 10). That should really give them some confidence heading back home so I expect the threes to be falling again tonight. Plus, we've seen Boston's offense come alive time and time again following a defeat. In fact, the Over is 35-17 in the Celtics; last 52 games following a S.U. loss. In addition, Boston is 10-2 Over after a loss by 6 points or less this season, and we are seeing 209 points scored on average in these games. Take the Over.

4* Major TNT Prime Time Total on Lakers/Suns UNDER 221
Bottom Line: After 3 straight high scoring games, look for both of these teams to really up the intensity on the defensive end knowing what this Game 4 means. The Lakers are 12-3 Under in road games when revenging a loss vs. an opponent over the last 2 seasons and the Suns are 13-4 Under after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. But here's the clincher: the Under is 11-0 in the Lakers' last 11 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 6-0 in the Lakers last 6 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. It's also worth noting that the Under is 7-2 in the Suns' last 9 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less points. Bet the Under.

5* Western Conference Playoffs Game of the Year on Lakers -1
Bottom Line: I don't see the Lakers leaving Phoenix empty handed. It took an absolute eruption from Stoudemire and an uncharacteristic 20-point performance from Lopez to earn a Game 3 victory, and I don't see either of those things happening again tonight as the Lakers up the intensity on the defensive end. The Lakers are the better team, and they have had the Suns' number all season. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Lakers have also won 11 of their last 15 against Phoenix over the last 3 seasons. Take LA!

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total of Magic/Celtics OVER 187
Bottom Line: Down 0-3, the Magic have nothing to lose tonight. That should enable them to relax enough to finally get something done on the offensive end. Right away, this point spread range has us considering the Over because Boston is 21-6 to the Over in its last 27 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The fact that plays Over on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (ORLANDO) - after scoring 35 points or less in the first half last game and after a combined score of 175 points or less, are 29-8 the last 5 seasons puts me over the top. It is also worth noting that Orlando is 18-8 Over after a combined score of 175 points or less over the last 2 seasons and we are seeing 200.3 total points scored on average in these games. Take the Over.

5* Wiseguy Game 4 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Magic +7
Bottom Line: Orlando won't pack it in down 0-3 after getting brutally embarrassed in Game 3. The Magic are the defending Eastern Conference Champs and they will be much too proud to return home unless it is to play Game 5. Orlando is 17-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 8.7 points in these spots. Orlando is also 14-4 ATS when revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 7.7 in these games. Plus, the fact that the Celtics are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points is a clear sign that they are being overvalued. Orlando has nothing to lose at this point and will be motivated to avoid being swept. Look for the Magic to pull off the shocker tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Suns UNDER 219
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - looking to avenge a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent, and coming off a road loss, are 75-39 since 1996. Also, plays Under on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Sunday games, are 36-13 since 1996. It is also worth noting that the Lakers are 7-0 Under in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. The Lakers shot out of their minds at home (58%), but that won't continue here. The Suns know they must play better defense to win, and I expect them to really step up their game on that end of the floor tonight. Bet the Under.

4* Major "Total" Blowout on Magic/Celtics UNDER 190
Bottom Line: The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings overall. Each of the first two games in this series have finished under the total and I expect this trend to continue as this should be the most intense defensive game of the series. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ORLANDO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 46-17 the last 5 seasons, including 10-4 this season. Plus, Orlando is 16-6 Under when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons, and 9-1 Under after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Take the Under.

5* Wiseguy 2010 NBA Playoffs Game of the Year on Magic +4
Bottom Line: Home court hasn't mattered much in this matchup when you consider that Orlando has won 11 of the 20 matchups, including 5 of the last 9 in Boston. In fact, the road team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings in this matchup straight up. From the perspective of the point spread, the road team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This corresponds to the underdog being a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Magic have been a great small underdog as they are 39-17-1 ATS in their last 57 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Magic are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. It will be extremely difficult for the Celtics to keep their focus after such a long layoff, while the time off only adds fuel to the Magic's fire as they hear all this "sweep" talk. Boston is a great team, but they aren't 4 straight wins better than Orlando. Look for the Magic to play a lot looser tonight and win this one outright. Best of Luck!

5* Wiseguy Western Conference Finals Game 2 *BLOOD BATH* on Suns +7.5
Bottom Line: The Suns haven't lost back-to-back games since Jan. 25th and 26th. That means that they are a perfect 10-0 in their last 10 games following a loss. Look for this trend to continue tonight as the Suns steal Game 2 on the road. From a point spread standpoint, the Lakers have not been good when playing with just 1 day of rest between games. In fact, they are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. Meanwhile, the Suns are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 games playing on 1 days rest. It is also worth noting that the Suns are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. The Lakers just had one of those nights in Game 1 when everything went down for them. Expect a combination of the Suns playing better defense and the Lakers coming back down to earth to play a big role in Phoenix getting the cover tonight.

5* Wiseguy Game 2 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: I don't see Boston relaxing in Game 2 after stealing Game 1. In fact, the Celtics have not relaxed since getting blown out in Game 3 of their previous series, going 4-0 SU & ATS since. During this 4-game stretch, the Celtics have been a 7-point dog twice, and they have won both of those games outright on the road. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Orlando, the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Celtics are a phenomenal 57-28-2 ATS in their last 87 games as a road underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Boston is confident and it is playing smart. Look for it to give the Magic all they want and more tonight.

4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Pounder on Lakers -6
Bottom Line: The Lakers have won 5 of 6 at home against the Suns over the last 3 seasons by an average of 12 points. In this year's two home games with Phoenix, the Lakers won by margins of 19 and 20. The Lakers are about the only team in the NBA that have proven they can control the tempo on Phoenix. Rest doesn't figure to benefit the Suns when you consider they are just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Suns are just 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this matchup. Take the Lakers in Game 1.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Suns/Lakers UNDER 211
Bottom Line: While the Suns are an explosive offensive team, they have not played Over the number on the road very often recently, and Phoenix is one team the Lakers don't want to get into a track meet with. Expect the Lakers to slow down the tempo to take advantage of their size in the half court tonight, keeping this one Under the number in the process. The Under is 7-1-1 in the Suns' last 9 road games. It is also is 11-3 in the Lakers' last 14 playoff games as a favorite. Phoenix is 11-2 Under in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and Los Angeles is 14-3 Under after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Magic UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, and I expect this trend to continue today. Boston matches up better with the Magic than just about any other team in the NBA with the exception of the Lakers. A big reason for that is because Kendrick Perkins has proven that he can play solid defense on Dwight Howard. Plus, Boston defends the 3-point line well, only allowing 5 3-point makes per game on 30.7% shooting on the road this season. The Under is 7-2-1 in the Magic's last 10 playoff games as a favorite and 7-2 in the Celtics' last 9 Conference Finals games. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Power Play on Cavs +1.5
Bottom Line: LeBron James and the Cavaliers were embarrassed in Game 5 on their home floor. The last time that happened (Game 2), James rebounded to score 38 points in a 29-point Game 3 win. I don't see this game being as lopsided, but I do see the Cavs pulling through to force a Game 7. You can bet that the NBA's MVP will show up tonight. Under coach Brown, Cleveland is 21-7 ATS in road games after a loss by 10 points, winning these games by an average of 4.0 points. Meanwhile, under coach Rivers, Boston is just 2-12 ATS in home games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, losing by an average of 0.9 points in this situation. The only time the Cavs played with any sense of urgency in this series has been when they were trailing in it. Look for that urgency to lead to a win tonight.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Prime Time Total on Cavs/Celtics UNDER 196.5
Bottom Line: Let's keep this short and sweet. The Celtics are on a 17-4 Unders tear following a blowout victory of 30 or more points, and we are only seeing an average of 182.7 points scored in these games. Plus, you can bet Cleveland will bring the "D" tonight after allowing 120 points in Game 5. I expect every shot in this one to be extremely well contested with all that is at stake. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy TNT Prime Time Total on Celtics/Cavs OVER 194
Bottom Line: The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. The Over is 5-0 in the Celtics' last 5 games following a S.U. win and 5-0 in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Over is 4-0 in the Cavaliers' last 4 games following an ATS loss and 6-1 in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. I'm expecting Cleveland to explode offensively, just like it did in Game 3, to carry this one Over!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Total of the Week on Lakers/Jazz UNDER 207
Bottom Line: After 3 straight overs in this series, the public is all over the over here despite odds makers really elevating the number. I love our chances of collecting by going against the grain tonight. Even after 3 straight overs, the Under is still 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Utah. We also need to consider that it is highly unlikely that LA, which averages only 7 3-point makes per game, goes off for 13 again. That's an extra 18 points right there. It is also highly unlikely that Kyle Korver goes off the way he did in Game 3 when he was 5 of 5 from 3-point range. The Jazz only average 5 3-point makes per game and they had 10 in Game 3. That's an extra 15 points. We saw a combined score of 221 points in Game 3, but if these teams only hit their averages from the 3-point line, we would have only seen 188. I think this gives us some nice breathing room even if these teams makes a couple more 3's than they average, which is a lot more likely than what we saw in Game 3. Pound the Under!

4* Major NBA Playoffs Side of the Night on Hawks +6
Bottom Line: The entire world is on the Magic here, just as odds makers expected would be the case, that's why we are getting good line value by catching 6 points with the home team here. Had Atlanta lost a close Game 3, I would be all over the Magic as well, but that wasn't the case. They were completely embarrassed, and I expect that the Hawks have far too much pride to go out the same way. The Hawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. But even more importantly, the Hawks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. And what most don't realize is that Orlando is only 4-12 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more this season, actually losing by an average score of 102.6 to 103.7 in these games. Take the Hawks.

4* Major Sunday NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -3
Bottom Line: The Spurs won't go down without a fight. It's just not in their DNA. Phoenix has proven its the better team this time around, but I can't see it winning 4 straight over a good Spurs team. San Antonio is 13-3 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 104.9 to 92.8 in these spots. San Antonio is also 11-2 ATS when revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite of 7 or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 105 to 94.5 in these spots. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Celtics UNDER 197
Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off an upset win as an underdog, on Sunday games, are an impressive 28-9 the last 5 seasons. Plus, Cleveland is 18-7 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing 188.9 total points scored on average in these spots. In addition, Boston is 13-5 UNDER when revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite this season, and we are only seeing 187.7 total points scored on average in this situation. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Revenger on Jazz -4.5
Bottom Line: Utah is an awesome 16-1 ATS after a road game where both it and its opponent scored 100 or more points this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 105.2 to 96.2. Plus, Utah has been money in the small chalk. The Jazz are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points and 24-5-2 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less points. We also can't overlook the fact that the Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. We saw LA slip up in OKC in round 1 and we have also seen the Lakers lose 20 road games this season. I'll take the Jazz in this must-win spot laying a small number.

4* Major NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Magic/Hawks UNDER 195
Bottom Line: This is a strong system play! Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ORLANDO) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 26-5 the last 5 seasons, 16-3 the last 3 seasons and 3-1 this season. We are only seeing 185.6 total points scored in this situation on average. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 2nd Round Game of the Year on Spurs -6.5
Bottom Line: Down 0-2, this is a must win game for the Spurs, and I expect them to take care of business wire-to-wire tonight. Right away I love the fact that plays on home favorites (SAN ANTONIO) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 77-37 ATS since 1996, including 4-1 ATS this season. San Antonio is also an awesome 12-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season, winning by an average score of 106.8 to 93.4 in these games. The Spurs are also an incredible 21-6-3 ATS in their last 30 playoff games as a favorite. Look for the Spurs to make a bold statement that this series is far from over tonight.

4* Major Total of the Night on Cavs/Celtics UNDER 191.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CLEVELAND) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 45-15 the last 5 seasons, including 9-2 this season. We are only seeing 188.5 points scored in this situation on average. Plus, the Under is 18-6 in the Cavaliers last 24 Conference Semifinals games, 26-11 in the Cavaliers last 37 games following a double-digit loss at home and 28-12 in the Celtics' last 40 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Expect a low-scoring, very intense Game 3 tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Super System Power Play on Hawks +10
Bottom Line: Plays on road underdogs (ATLANTA) revenging a road blowout loss vs. an opponent of 30 points or more are 25-10 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation have been underdogs of 8.2 points on average but are only losing by an average of 5.1 points to create excellent line value tonight. After such a lopsided defeat in Game 1, expect the Hawks to be more motivated than they have been in any other spot all season long. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs +3
Bottom Line: We saw the Spurs rebound from a close Game 1 defeat in their first round series to win Game 2 easily and I expect history to repeat itself here tonight. For as well as Nash played, and as well as the Suns shot the basketball (51.9%), the Spurs were still right there in the 4th (down 1 w/ 4 minutes and change to go). Nash won't be as effective tonight without the amount of rest he was able to get prior to Game 1. Plus, expect the Spurs to really attack him to wear him out on the defensive end. For as good as Nash can be offensively, he is an increasing liability on the defensive end. The numbers say San Antonio will respond tonight as it is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss and 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game. Plus, the Suns have not been good in the small chalk in the playoffs in recent years. In fact, they are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. Take the Spurs and the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Lakers UNDER 199
Bottom Line: Expect both teams to take their defense up a notch in Game 2, especially Utah which allowed the Lakers to shoot 53.2% in Game 1. Right away I like the fact that the Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in this series. The Lakers are an impressive 11-1 Under as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing 192 total points scored in these spots on average. The Lakers are also 17-6 Under versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season, and we are only seeing 188.8 points scored on average in these spots. The Under is 20-8 in the Lakers' last 28 playoff games as a favorite and 16-5 in their last 21 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Under is 7-1 in the Jazz and Lakers' last 8 when each team is facing a team with a winning S.U. record. I like this one to finish Under by double digits.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Side of the Night on Hawks +9
Bottom Line: Entering the playoffs, the Magic had rattled off 6 straight wins and covers. Naturally, they were overvalued in Game 1 as a result, and the Bobcats were able to get the cover. The Magic had a lengthy layoff before that first game and it showed. I expect a very similar outcome here. Orlando proceeded to win Games 2-4 straight up and ATS against the Bobcats and now it comes into this series overvalued. I expect Orlando to win Game 1, but I don't expect it to cover this number. The Hawks defeated the Magic late in the season to end a 6-game losing streak to them, and that win will certainly serve as a confidence booster here. Atlanta is 12-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) this season. The Hawks are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win of more than 10 points. Lastly, the Hawks are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Hawks and the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 2nd Round Total of the Year on Spurs/Suns OVER 203.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs had no success in slowing down the Suns during the regular season. In 3 meetings, we saw 220, 223 and 213 points scored. Plus, the last 3 meetings in Phoenix between these two clubs have finished over the number. Plays Over on home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, against an opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, are 39-15 since 1996. The average posted total in these games is 204.1 and we have seen an average of 209.9 total points scored. One thing the Spurs don't do is defend the 3-point line well. As a result, the Spurs are 7-0 Over vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=39% of their attempts this season, and we are seeing 219.3 points scored on average in this situation. Take the Over.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Side of the Night on Celtics +6.5
Bottom Line: The Cavaliers are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win while the Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. So right away I like Boston in this bounce back spot. The Celtics outplayed the Cavs for much of Game 1, and I expect them to come back even hungrier tonight after letting that one slip away. The Celtics were a good road team all season long. In fact, they are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. They are also 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog. The Cavaliers are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. Take Boston in this bounce back spot.

5* Wiseguy Game 1 Monster BEST BET on Cavaliers -7 Bottom Line: This line seems a little soft when you consider that Cleveland is on an 8-1 run at home against Boston the last 3 seasons with an average margin of victory of 11 points in those games.  I also love the fact the public is pounding Boston here to bring the line down a half point in our favor.  Plays on home favorites (CLEVELAND) - after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 45-17 ATS the last 5 seasons with an average winning margin of 10.7 points.  In addition, Plays on  favorites (CLEVELAND) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots, are 46-18 ATS the last 5 seasons with an average winning margin of 11.3 points.  Look for the Cavs to come out fast in Game 1 and make statement, just like they did against the Bulls.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Lakers/Thunder UNDER 194.5 Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), are 46-19 since 1996, including 14-3 the last 3 seasons.  We are only seeing 188.6 total points scored on average in this situation.  The Lakers are 13-3 UNDER after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season, and we are only seeing 192.7 points scored on average in these spots.  Lastly, the Lakers are 7-0 UNDER in road games after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds this season, and we are only seeing 184.8 total points scored on average in this situation.  In other words, the Lakers haven't been getting a lot of second chance opportunities.  We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Game of the Week on Hawks -2
Bottom Line: I just can't see the Bucks beating this talented Atlanta Hawks team four straight games.  History is certainly on our side when you consider that plays on road favorites revenging a home upset loss vs. an opponent are 97-47 ATS since 1996, 26-11 ATS the last 3 seasons and 6-1 ATS this season.  The favorite is winning by 5.4 points on average in this situation.  The Hawks are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points.  While Atlanta has been a big disappointment in these playoffs, it is still the better team in this series.  Expect the Hawks to show up in a big way tonight to avoid elimination.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Blazers -1
Bottom Line: This has been a matchup dominated by the home team. In fact, the home team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the Suns are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Portland. It's do-or-die time for the Blazers and I expect them to rise to the occasion at home tonight. The big key is that the Blazers have been one of the few teams that have been able to slow down the pace of the Suns. In fact, Portland is a perfect 8-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders this season, winning by 11.9 points on average in these spots. The Trail Blazers are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Roy was pretty good in his first game back, and then he really struggled last time out. Look for Roy to have a breakout game tonight, helping the Blazers extend the series.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* (TNT) on Nuggets -7
Bottom Line: We saw the way the Mavs responded in the same situation last night, and I expect a similar response from Denver here. The fact that the Jazz are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points can't be ignored. The Nuggets are 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We'll pound Denver at home tonight.

4* Major NBA Prime Time Total on Bucks/Hawks UNDER 191
Bottom Line: After a pair of poor defensive efforts in Milwaukee, look for the Hawks to bring the "D" in their return home tonight. Here's the key - Atlanta is 11-2 UNDER after 2 straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons, and we are only seeing 177 points scored on average in these games. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Side of the Night on Bulls +12
Bottom Line: Down 3-1 in the series, the Bulls have nothing to lose tonight. Expect them to play loose and to give the Cavs more than they bargained for. Cleveland couldn't have played better in Game 4 while the Bulls couldn't have played worse. I expect Chicago's embarrassing Game 4 loss to serve as extra motivation tonight. 6 of the last 9 meetings between these teams have been decided by fewer points than the number we are being faced with tonight. The Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. The Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. The Bulls are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss period. Bet the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Heat/Celtics UNDER 188
Bottom Line: Miami is 7-0 UNDER in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points this season, and we have only seen 177.6 points scored on average in these spots. Expect tonight's contest to look a lot like Game 1 when these two teams combined for just 161 points. With Miami's playoff life at stake and with the Celtics trying to close out, I expect a very intense defensive battle.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Game of the Night on Hawks -1
Bottom Line: Atlanta came out flat in Game 3 after cruising to wins in the first two games of the series. I'm confident that its Game 3 loss has gotten its attention. The Hawks are 8-1 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season, bouncing back to win by an average of 11.6 points in these spots. Atlanta should be even more focused after watching the Celtics, Mavs and Nuggets all go down on the road yesterday. Those teams will help remind the Hawks that the better team only wins if it brings the focus and energy it needs to get the job done. The Hawks are the better team in this series and I look for them to bring it tonight in this bounce back spot.

4* Major Game 4 Power Play on Denver Nuggets +2
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back defeats, look for the Nuggets to get right back in this series with a win tonight. Denver is 19-8 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 109.8 to 100.1 in these spots. In fact, the Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss of more than 10 points and 7-2-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take the Nuggets.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Blowout of the Week on Mavericks +2.5
Bottom Line: Not only do I expect Dallas to win this game outright, but I expect it to win outright with some breathing room. Dallas is 13-4 ATS in road games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 100.6 to 92.0 and I expect this one to be at least a 10-point win. The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Pound the Mavs.

4* Major Early Cash Cow (ABC) on Celtics +2
Bottom Line: Look for the Miami Heat to pack it in today knowing there's no coming back from a 0-3 deficit. Pierce's buzzer beater was the nail in the coffin for Game 3 and the series. This is a veteran Celtics team and they would love to get some extra rest before round 2. The Celtics are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Miami and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Bet Boston.

5* Wiseguy Western Conference 1st Round Game of the Year on Lakers +2
Bottom Line: This is exactly the spot where a veteran, championship team like the Lakers makes a statement. The Lakers led the entire way through the first 3 quarters in Game 3, but ended up losing the game because Kobe Bryant went cold in the 4th. Bryant, the game's best closer, will not be a popsicle tonight, I can assure you. The Lakers don't want this series to drag out. If they can get a "W" tonight, then they can go home with a chance to close it out in Game 5. I'm not going to give you any numbers here. I simply expect the Lakers to up the intensity and get the job done.

4* Major NBA Total Blowout on Magic/Bobcats UNDER 184.5
Bottom Line: This has been a very defense-oriented series, and I expect the intensity on the defensive end to go up in Game 3. We only saw 187 points in Game 1 and the Magic made 13 threes. We only saw 169 points in Game 2 and the Magic made 10 threes. I don't expect the long ball to fall as easily in Game 3 and the Under should be the result. The Under is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Charlotte. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoffs *Upset Alert* on Mavericks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Big 3 of the Spurs have been logging a lot of minutes, and I believe that will catch up with them tonight against the much deeper Mavericks. Dallas typically plays well in San Antonio and is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings there as a result. This is a revenge game and the Mavs are the best road team in the NBA so I really like their chances. The Mavs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog of 4.5 or less points. Take the Mavs.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Heat -3.5
Bottom Line: The Heat were absolutely embarrassed in Game 2, and I expect Dwayne Wade and company to save face with a convincing home win tonight. We can expect another sensational game from Wade, but the difference will be Beasley and O'Neal turning in much better efforts tonight. I would be absolutely shocked if O'Neal went 1 of 10 from the floor again. The key is that O'Neal had good looks. He just missed them. Those same shots figure to find the bottom of the net at home. Boston has struggled on the road in the playoffs in recent years, and I see no reason why those struggles won't continue. In addition, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, are 30-11 ATS the last 3 seasons. Hammer the Heat.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Side of the Night on Lakers +3.5
Bottom Line: L.A. wants to end this series ASAP so that it can get some extra rest prior to the second round. I expect the Lakers to come out extremely focused and hungry tonight, especially since they were embarrassed 75-91 the last time they were in OKC. I love the fact that the Lakers are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog. In fact, the Lakers are 33-18 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons, only losing by an average of 0.5 points in these spots. With this is mind, we gotta take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Bulls UNDER 193
Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CLEVELAND) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in April games, are 42-15 the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 3-0 this season. In addition, Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 25-4 the last 5 seasons, including 2-0 this season. The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and I expect this trend to continue tonight.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Side of the Night on Spurs +3.5
Bottom Line: I'll back the Spurs in this bounce back spot as history tells us they'll do a much better job on the defensive end tonight. In fact, the Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The Spurs are also a strong 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. The Mavericks are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points and 7-27-1 ATS in their last 35 games as a home favorite. Take the Spurs.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Bobcats/Magic UNDER 186
Bottom Line: Game 1 went over the 186.5-point total by a half point, largely because the Magic made 13 3-point shots. That's not going to happen again tonight and this one should finish well under the number as a result. The Under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings and 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Orlando. The Under is 7-0-1 in the Bobcats' last 8 games as a road underdog and 10-3-1 in the Magic's last 14 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Under is also 41-14-1 in the Magic's last 56 games following an ATS loss. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Side of the Night on Thunder +7
Bottom Line: The Lakers only beat the Thunder by 8 points in Game 1, and Kevin Durant didn't play well. I expect Durant to be much better tonight, and the Thunder should be able to take the Lakers right down to the wire as a result. The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win. Take the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 1st Round Total of the Year on Heat/Celtics OVER 179
Bottom Line: Without Garnett in the lineup, Boston is down one of its best defensive players and its emotional leader, and the Heat will take advantage. In fact, Miami is 8-0 OVER off an embarrassing road loss in which it scored less than 80 points under coach Spoelstra. The Heat have rebounded to score 105.4 points on average in these spots. In addition, Plays OVER on all teams where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points, after 1 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 ppg allowed), after 42+ games, are 20-4 the last 3 seasons. Bet the OVER!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Monster Best Bet on Jazz +7
Bottom Line: The Jazz are down another starter with Okur going down, but Utah will cover the number with its defense tonight, and Okur is a weakness in that area. Utah is an impressive s 16-4 ATS off a road loss this season, bouncing back to win by an average score of 109.4 to 99.3. If that road loss was by 10 or more points, the Jazz are 8-1 ATS in the next game this season, winning by an average score of 112.8 to 99.2 points. Notice what the opponents have scored on average in these spots. Utah has held them under the century mark. Losses have motivated this team to get after it on the defensive end and I expect no less tonight. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Super System Power Play on Bulls +11
Bottom Line: Cleveland jumped on Chicago in the first quarter in Game 1, outscoring the Bulls by 14 points. After that quarter, the Bulls actually won the last three quarters by 1 point. Knowing they played the Cavs to a standstill for the majority of Game 1 will give Chicago a lot of confidence in tonight's game. The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss. Plus, plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (CHICAGO) - revenging a road loss vs. an opponent, with a losing record, are 70-36 ATS the last 3 seasons and 12-4 ATS this season. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Bailout on Trail Blazers +8
Bottom Line: Not having Brandon Roy hurts, but Portland has proven that it can beat teams with its defense. The Suns, especially, have struggled against the physical defense of the Blazers. Look for Portland to keep this one within this generous number behind an inspired defensive effort tonight. The Trail Blazers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -7.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers were crushed by the Thunder the last time these two teams met last month. Look for the Lakers to return the favor here to take the wind out of Oklahoma City's sails early. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are an incredible 81-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Lakers are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Take the Lakers as they send a message in Game 1.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Bailout on Nuggets -5
Bottom Line: The Jazz are banged up. Boozer and Okur are both expected to go, but I don't expect either to be at full strength. The big loss is Andrei Kirilenko though. He is expected to miss more time with his calf injury. He is a guy that is long enough and athletic enough to slow down Carmelo Anthony. Without him in the lineup, Anthony will run wild. The Nuggets have been great at home all season, going 34-7 and winning by 9.0 ppg on average. The Jazz are 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Nuggets are 39-16-2 ATS in their last 57 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Nuggets.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 1st Round Game of the Year on Hawks -8
Bottom Line: Without Bogut I don't give the Bucks a chance in this series against a Hawks team that is deeper, more talented, more athletic and more experienced. The Hawks enter the playoffs with plenty of momentum. Plus, they have played their best ball against the NBA's best teams. In fact, The Hawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. The favorite is also 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Lay the points as the Hawks win this one by double digits.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Wizards UNDER 212.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 20 points or more, are 73-35 since 1996. Also, plays Under on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more, off a road loss, are 74-37 since 1996. Pound the Under.

4* Major NBA on TNT Winner on Nuggets +6
Bottom Line: The Nuggets were embarrassed in Phoenix last month and I don't see it happening again in their season finale. Denver can clinch the Northwest Division title with a win and that's what it will be gunning for. The Nuggets are 5-1-3 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 10-4-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Bulls -5.5
Bottom Line: Boston has nothing left to play for in the regular season while the Bulls must continue to win to get into the playoffs. With Boston now focused on resting and reducing the minutes of its starters, look for the motivated Bulls to roll at home tonight. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win and I fully expect this trend to continue here tonight.

5* Wiseguy Monday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Rockets +2.5
Bottom Line: Houston fell by 3 points to the Kings last month while scoring a measly 81 points so I expect the Rockets to be after some revenge here. In fact, Houston is an impressive 18-6 ATS when revenging a loss where it scored less than 85 points over the last 3 seasons, winning by 6.2 points on average in these spots. We'll take the Rockets and the points.