4* Major Big Chalk Blowout on Celtics -15.5
Bottom Line: Boston has Miami Monday but won't get caught looking ahead here. That's because the Celtics have lost their last two with Charlotte and were humiliated 100-74 at Charlotte Tuesday. Boston will be out for some serious revenge, and it should also be the much fresher side. The C's have had two days off while the Bobcats will be playing their second road game in as many days. Charlotte has lost its last six road games by an average of 22.7 with five of those losses coming by at least 17 points.

5* Wiseguy on Cavaliers +7.5
Bottom Line: I love Cleveland's chances of keeping this one within the number considering it has had 2 days of rest and will be up against a team that just played last night. Plus, Dallas struggles on the defensive end and Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season in road games versus poor defensive teams that allow 99.0 points or more per game. Dallas like to play uptempo but the Cavs have shown they can hang with such teams, even on the road. Cleveland is 7-0 ATS this season in road games versus uptempo teams that average 83 or more shots per game. No Kyrie Irving, but Cleveland will be the much fresher side.

4* Major on Hornets +4
Bottom Line: The Wizards are a dismal 3-12 ATS the last 2 seasons as a home favorite of 6 points or less. Also, the Hornets are a potent 17-4 ATS the last 2 seasons off a road loss of 10 points or more. Washington is getting a little too much respect here against a Hornets side that has bounced-back well.

4* Major on Lakers +10
Bottom Line: Fading double-digit home favorites that exploded for 60 points or more in the first half of their last game, as long as they give up 91 ppg or less on the season, has produced a 35-11 ATS mark since 1996. Teams fitting this criteria have won by just 7.5 points on average. Also, this system is a perfect 7-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. No Kobe for LA tonight, but I still like its chances of keeping this one closer than the oddsmakers think.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Knicks +6
Bottom Line: The Knicks will be without Carmelo Anthony and could also be without Tyson Chandler, but they are still very capable of beating the Blazers. New York has been completely embarrassed in its last two games and also lost at home to the Blazers in the first meeting so it will be very motivated tonight. The Knicks are an awesome 20-7 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more since 1996. They are also 29-13 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Mavericks +9.5
Bottom Line: The Mavs have lost the season's first three meetings with the Spurs and will be very hungry as a result. Dallas is 14-6 ATS when out to avenge a same-season loss to an opponent this season. It is also 79-53 ATS in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent - since 1996. San Antonio had Tony Parker in the first 3 meetings and he averaged 20.7 points in those games. The Spurs will have a tough time covering this hefty number without him.

4* Major on Hawks +1
Bottom Line: The Lakers won and covered in Orlando last night but have been a terrible investment this season off a cover. Under D'Antoni, fading the Lakers following a cover has produced an 18-6 ATS mark.

4* Major on 76ers +9
Bottom Line: Miami has defeated Philly twice during its 19-game win streak but will have a difficult time winning this one by double digits on the road with no rest. The value clearly lies with the 76ers, who are 16-5 ATS under coach Collins when they check in with 8 losses or more in their last 10 games. They have actually won by an average of 3.4 points in this situation.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Year on Pacers -14
Bottom Line: The books are begging for money on Minnesota after it crushed the Spurs last night, but I believe Indiana will be ready to rock and roll. Fading the Wolves following a victory is currently on an unbeaten 7-0-1 ATS run. Minnesota has been blown out by 23 and 16 following its last 2 wins. Also, fading the Wolves on the road against teams that carry a home winning percentage above 60% is on a 7-0-1 ATS run. Indiana won by 23 the last time Minnesota visited, and I'm expecting a similar result.

4* Major on T-Wolves +9.5
Bottom Line: The T-Wolves will show up in a big way after getting humiliated by Dallas last time out. Rick Adelman has a proven track record of making adjustments and getting his teams to respond following lopsided losses. In fact, his teams are 64-38 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more since 1996. His teams have won by an average of 2.8 points in this situation. Also, this is a rough spot for the Spurs, who will struggle to get up for this one following last night's big win over OKC.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks +10
Bottom Line: I'll back the Hawks catching big points in what is a highly motivated spot. They've lost the first 3 meetings of the season with Miami but kept the score within single digits in 2 of those. They lost the most recent meeting by 13 but are an impressive 15-5 ATS lifetime on the road when looking for revenge for a double-digit loss under coach Drew. They have actually won by an average of 1.5 points in this situation.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors -3.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a winning home record while the Warriors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Knicks are just 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings. They won the first meeting at home by 4, but I expect a different result at Golden State where they have lost 9 of 10.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -1.5
Bottom Line: Well-rested home faves that are playing only their second game in five days are an amazing 105-65 ATS since 1996 when matched up against a team that's playing its fourth game in five days. This system has produced a 5-1 ATS result this season. The Spurs are coming off their worst loss of the year but are on a dominant 35-19 ATS run following a blowout loss of 20 points or more.

4* Major on 76ers +6.5
Bottom Line: The 76ers lost 109-89 at home in the most recent matchup, but they are on a 38-23 ATS run when looking for revenge for a loss where they gave up 100 points or more.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Heat -6.5
Bottom Line: This is a statement game for the Heat, who have lost the season's first two meetings after winning the previous three by an average of 17.3 points. I expect them to have their revenge here in impressive fashion. Miami has won 17 in a row overall and 13 straight at home, which shows you the level its playing at right now. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the Pacers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Pound Miami.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +6.5
Bottom Line: The Rockets are getting too much respect on the road tonight. We're talking about a team that's only 14-20 on the highway. Houston is just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games versus teams with a losing record, and it is only 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 road games versus teams that have a losing home record.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +4
Bottom Line: The Pistons have lost their last 3 ATS but that won't keep me off them here. They haven't lost more than 3 consecutive games ATS all season and are 28-14 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Dallas is a dismal 10-21 on the road this season, a record that does not warrant being favored here. Plus, the Mavs are an ultra-soft 19-44-1 ATS in their last 64 versus the NBA Central division.

4* Major on Bobcats +14.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder were lucky to escape New York with a win last night, and I expect a flat performance from them following such an emotionally and physically draining game. That's been the norm following close wins. They are just 10-24 ATS under Brooks after a win of 3 points or fewer. They have actually lost by an average of 3.0 points in these spots.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Clippers +4.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers just played last night but are an impressive 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. Plus, they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and even 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus teams that have a winning record at home. The Nuggets won the previous meeting, but the Clipps are 13-4 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and the Clippers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 at Denver.

4* Major Western Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Mavs -1.5
Bottom Line: Houston ended a 9-game losing streak in the series Sunday, but I expect the Mavs to have their revenge at home where they are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with a 7.2-point average margin of victory. The Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Houston is 2-11 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year on Pistons +3
Bottom Line: This is a terrible spot for the Knicks for so many reasons. It's a fatigue spot as this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. It's a letdown spot following a big comeback win against Cleveland. It's a look ahead spot with the Thunder on deck tomorrow, especially since the Knicks have made easy work of the Pistons in the first three meetings. Meanwhile, this is a strong spot for Detroit. It's had two days of rest and it will be hungry to end a six-game skid in the series. The Pistons are 30-12 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons and 11-3 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. It's unclear if Melo will play but I love Detroit here regardless.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings +5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are being overvalued on the road, where they are just 13-19, because the offense has been rolling of late. They are 1-12 ATS the last 2 seasons in road games after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. They have lost by an average of 9.2 points in this spot. The Nuggets won the season's first 2 matchups big, but the Kings are on a 12-1 ATS run when out for revenge for two consecutive double-digit defeats to an opponent.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Bobcats +13
Bottom Line: Fading double-digit favorites that have lost at least 4 of their last 6 games, if they are playing 4 or less games in 10 days, has produced a 36-13 ATS mark since 1996. Bet the Bobcats.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Timberwolves +10
Bottom Line: Playing on double-digit dogs that have won just 25% to 40% of their games and have failed to cover the number in at least two consecutive contests has produced a 175-110 ATS record since 1996. This system is 32-15 ATS the last 3 seasons and 10-4 ATS this season. I don't see Miami giving the Timberwolves its full attention following an emotionally and physically exhausting win in New York Sunday.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Hawks +6
Bottom Line: The Lakers have been a dead fade following a victory as they are a dismal 16-36 ATS in their last 52 games following a win. They check in off a 22-point win over the T-Wolves but are even a poor 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Hawks are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last 6 on the road and 19-5 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons when they enter with wins in 3 of their last 4 games.

4* Major NBA Play of the Day on Raptors +5.5
Bottom Line: The Raptors were defeated at home by Indiana last night, but they have been trustworthy on the road and with short rest. They have covered the number in 6 of their last 7 on the highway. Also, they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a days' rest. The Bucks are just 9-18 ATS at home this season and 15-27 ATS as a home favorite the last 2 seasons.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Thunder pk
Bottom Line: Road favorites that have a winning record and are off 2 consecutive home wins of 10 points or more are 60-20 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -8
Bottom Line: Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are looking for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 111-65 ATS since 1996.

4* Major NBA Bailout on T-Wolves +10.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are being overvalued at home as they so often are. They are only 10-22 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. The T-Wolves have struggled on the defensive end but the Lakers haven't been able to take advantage against such teams in terms of the spread. They are 0-9 ATS in home games in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 seasons versus poor defensive teams that allow their opponents to shoot 46% or better. The Lakers have won these games but only by 4.0 points. The Lakers haven't been hitting the offensive glass very well the past couple games and that's cause for concern. They are 0-8 ATS this season after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds.

4* Major on Jazz -4.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz are 21-7 at home where they beat Miami by 7 and OKC by 15. This just goes to show you how hard it is to beat Utah on its home floor. Also, the Jazz are 12-2 in their last 14 home meetings versus Atlanta.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Raptors -3
Bottom Line: The Cavs managed to beat Chicago last night without Kyrie Irving, but that's not something that's going to happen too often. Irving is still expected to be out tonight, and the Cavs will come back down to earth as fatigue sets in from them playing their 4th game in 5 days. The Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The Raptors are also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland, and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Toronto.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bucks/Mavs OVER 211
Bottom Line: The Bucks are rested and should have little trouble scoring on a Dallas squad that ranks near the bottom of the league in scoring defense. The Bucks are 6-1-1 over in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are also 5-2 over in their last 7 road games. The Mavs are 7-2 over in their last 9 at home and 7-0 over in their last 7 versus the East. The over is 17-4 in the last 21 meetings between these two and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Dallas. Bet the Over.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Jazz -7
Bottom Line: Utah is one of the very best home teams in the NBA and it has especially been dangerous at home versus the East. In fact, it is 13-4 ATS in home games versus Eastern Conference foes the last two seasons and has won these games by an average of 8.6 points. Boston's fatigue showed late last night against Portland and it will be even more fatigued tonight as it steps on an opponent's floor for the 5th time in 7 days. The C's are just 6-16 ATS on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +3
Bottom Line: The Hawks enter off back-to-back wins both SU and ATS and will be out to avenge last month's loss at Detroit. However, they are just 21-35 ATS when looking to avenge a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons, 6-21 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons and 24-40 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Detroit has failed to cover the number in its last two and is off an 18-point home loss to the Pacers. But, it is 16-5 ATS in home games off a home loss over the last 3 seasons, 18-7 ATS in home games after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 10-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on T-Wolves +1.5
Bottom Line: Golden State enters off back-to-back wins SU and ATS but is a poor 0-7 ATS in road games following covers in 2 or more consecutive games this season. It has fallen hard in these spots, losing by an average score of 105.1 to 91.3.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +7.5
Bottom Line: Plays on home underdogs that failed to cover the spread in their last game and are playing 3 or fewer games in 10 days are 72-36 ATS since 1996. The rest factor is huge because the Heat will be playing their third game in four days. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days rest, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast division opponents.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Blazers +9
Bottom Line: Off 6 consecutive losses both SU and ATS, now is the time to back the Blazers. February road teams that are riding a losing streak of 6 games or more are an awesome 25-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 8.7 points on average but have lost by just 3.4 points on average. The Lakers are coming off an emotional win over Boston in the wake of Jerry Buss' death, but I don't believe they can duplicate that performance against a Portland team that will be hungry to get off the snide. The Lakers are 16-39-1 ATS in their last 56 games versus a team with a losing record and 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS win. Pound Portland.

4* Major on Thunder -13
Bottom Line: Poor Minnesota. The last time it visited OKC (1/9/13), the Thunder were coming off a loss at Washington. They proceeded to crush the Wolves 106-84. This time, the Thunder are coming off 3 consecutive defeats and Minnesota will once again pay the price. The T-Wolves are on a 1-10 ATS slide in road games played in the 2nd half of the schedule versus very good shooting teams that make 48% of their attempts or more. They have lost to these teams by an average of 19.2 points.

4* Major on Nets -1.5
Bottom Line: Look for Houston to suffer a letdown on the road following a huge win over OKC last time out. The Rockets haven't been the same team on the highway where they are only 11-18 on the season. Brooklyn, on the other hand, has enjoyed its new building. It's 20-10 there this season. The home team has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.

5* Wiseguy NBA Best Bet Bailout on Spurs +3
Bottom Line: The Spurs have lost the season's first two meetings with the Clippers but both losses took place clear back in November before they hit their stride. They'll be out for revenge tonight, and I fully expect them to get it. Revenge has been a strong angle to play with the Spurs. They are 55-38 ATS under coach Popovich in road games when looking for revenge for an upset loss at home to an opponent. They are also 34-19 ATS under Pop when out for revenge for two consecutive upset losses to an opponent. They have won by an average of 7.1 points in this situation. Pound the Spurs.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Heat/Bulls UNDER 187
Bottom Line: The Heat and Bulls have been under this number in each of the last three meetings, and I expect this trend to continue. Plays Under on all teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (Chicago in this case) that are extremely well rested team playing 3 or less games in 10 days, provided they have a winning record on the season and are playing another winning team, are 33-12 the last 5 seasons. We have seen just 183.5 points scored on average in this situation. Also, Chicago is 8-0 Under this season in home games versus good ball handling teams that commit 14 or less turnovers/game. We have seen just 175.6 total points scored in these games. Both teams are fresh enough to get after it on the defensive end following the All-Star break. Plus, both teams do an excellent job of taking care of the basketball so I don't expect many easy fastbreak opportunities off of steals. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Lakers -7
Bottom Line: This veteran Boston team can't be trusted playing on consecutive days. It is just 18-33 ATS in the second game of a back-to-back over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics are also just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Lakers were kicked in Boston on the 7th so they will want to return the favor. Plus, I'm expecting a very inspired performance from them tonight as they look to win this one for the Buss family.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are 41-22 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons, including 29-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or fewer during this time frame. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls -2
Bottom Line: Plays on all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent, provided this is their third game (or fewer) in 10 days, are 40-16 ATS since 1996. Also, plays on road teams that check in off a road loss where they were held to less than 80 points, provided they are playing 6 (or fewer) games in 14 days, are 25-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Bulls are the superior team and should be able to prove that in this rested and motivated spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -4.5
Bottom Line: Right away I love the fact that the Thunder are 18-8 ATS at home this season and 20-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. It also bodes well for us that OKC lost the season's first meeting 103-97 because it is 10-2 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent this season and 11-2 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss in which it gave up 100 points or more over the last 2 seasons. It also works in our favor that the Thunder of coming off a 15-point upset loss at Utah considering they are 9-1 ATS off a upset loss this season and 13-4 ATS off an upset loss on the road over the last 2 seasons. Pound OKC!

4* Major on T-Wolves -2
Bottom Line: Expect the Jazz to suffer a letdown here following a very satisfying win over the Thunder last night. Utah is just 9-17-1 ATS in road games this season.

4* Major on Knicks -8.5
Bottom Line: This is a great spot for the Knicks, who have 2 days of rest on their side. The Raptors aren't as fortunate as this is the 2nd game of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. The Knicks were kicked at home by the Clippers in their last game, but they typically respond well. They are are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points.

4* Major on Magic +3
Bottom Line: The Magic are healthier than they've been in a while and it showed with a big win over Portland last time out. They'll be hungry tonight as they go up against an Atlanta team that has defeated them in each of the season's first two meetings. The underdog is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Cavs +7
Bottom Line: Duncan, Ginobli and Parker are all expected to be in the lineup together, and the Spurs are being overvalued as a result. This is San Antonio's third game in 4 days so it will be showing fatigue. Even the guys that have been sitting will be winded as you lose conditioning when you aren't playing. Cleveland has lost 2 in a row so it will be very focused. Plus, it was embarrassed by the Spurs in both of last season's meetings and you can bet it hasn't forgot. The Spurs are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Fade the overvalued Spurs!

4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors -4.5
Bottom Line: The Rockets are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Warriors feel like they owe Houston for the embarrassing defeat it handed them last week. Lay the points as Golden State has its revenge.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Jazz +6
Bottom Line: Utah is 19-6 at home and will be focused tonight following back-to-back defeats. The Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Thunder are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Also, the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Utah!

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Trailblazers +11.5
Bottom Line: The Trailblazers are a terrific 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Also, they are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.

4* Major on Bucks -4.5
Bottom Line: Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check in off a double-digit home win and are looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent are 94-49 ATS since 1996. Washington has lost 4 straight in Milwaukee by an average of 12 points. It has also lost 4 straight on the road by an average of 7.8 points.

4* Major on 76ers +5.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers enter this contest overvalued following yesterday's double-digit win against the Knicks. They are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games while the 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. In addition to this 11-4 ATS angle, we find that LA hasn't defeated the 76ers by more than 5 points in Philly dating back to 1997. This is a span of 15 games and the 76ers have won 12 of them straight up.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats +4.5
Bottom Line: It will be tough for Boston to bounce back physically from yesterday's triple-overtime contest. Plus, home underdogs that have failed to cover the number in 4 of their last 5 games that are matched up against a team that has cover the spread in 6 of 7 of its last 8 games are 30-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 5.4 points on average but have won outright by an average of 1.8 points. Pound Charlotte!

5* NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +8.5
Bottom Line: The Suns were embarrassed in OKC Friday, and I believe they will put forth an incredible effort as a result. They gave up 127 points on 57.5% shooting to the Thunder but are on a 38-21 ATS run after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher and a 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The Thunder have failed to cover the number in 5 of their last 7 on the road, and I believe this trend continues.

4* Major on Timberwolves +9
Bottom Line: Memphis beat Golden State last time out but that was a tired Warriors squad that was playing its 3rd game in 4 days. The Grizzlies haven't looked too good since moving Rudy Gay and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. The T-Wolves have lost 3 in a row but 2 of those came by 6 points or less. They have also lost 3 in a row on the road but 2 of those came by 8 points or less so I feel we are getting some solid line value here. Teams headed up by Rick Adelman is 58-35 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses dating back to 1996.

4* Major on Clippers +3.5
Bottom Line: I expect the Clippers to bounce back strong from the beating they took in Miami Friday. Road teams that outscore their opponents by 3.0 points or more per game are 66-35 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are coming off a blowout loss of 15 points or more.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings -1
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for Utah which just lost a tough one last night and now has to go on the road to face a Kings team that has had 4 days of rest. The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days rest and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus Utah.

4* Major on Bucks -7
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Pistons following last night's big upset win over San Antonio. The Pistons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavericks -5.5
Bottom Line: Mavs have the huge edge in terms of fresh legs. They have had 2 days' rest while Warriors will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights. Teams headed up by Rick Carlisle are 100-54 ATS lifetime when playing with 2 days' rest. Also, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days against extremely tired team - playing their 4th game in 5 days - are 25-7 ATS the last 5 seasons.

4* Major on Cavaliers +6
Bottom Line: The Cavs are playing well, and I don't think they are getting the respect they deserve at home tonight against a Denver team that is just 10-15 on foreign hardwood. The Cavs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Bulls +4
Bottom Line: It's bounce-back time for the normally solid Bulls, who were awful at the defensive end last night. The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after giving up over 125 points in their previous contest. They are also 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah.

4* Major on Suns +13
Bottom Line: The Thunder are being overvalued here because they murdered Dallas and Golden State in their last two. I expect a letdown tonight as a matchup with a Phoenix team they have defeated 8 straight times won't get the juices flowing. Keep in mind that only 2 wins have come by more than 12 points during their 8-game run in the series. Plays against home teams after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more that are matched up against an opponent that was held to 85 points or less last time out are 36-15 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +5
Bottom Line: The Spurs are being overvalued on the road because of their 11-game win streak. The Pistons have won or lost by fewer than 4 points in 11 of their last 13 home games. Plus, they have won or lost by 5 points or less in 4 of their last 5 home meetings with San Antonio. Pound the Pistons!

4* Major on Raptors +7.5
Bottom Line: The Raptors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Also, Toronto is 10-1 ATS in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Total of the Year on Bulls/Nuggets UNDER 196
Bottom Line: After a pathetic defensive performance in their last game, expect the Bulls - a team that prides itself on defense - to really get after it on the defensive end tonight. We have been able to count on the Bulls following up poor defensive efforts with strong ones since Thibodeau came to town. Chicago is 15-4 UNDER under his watch after allowing 105 points or more in its last game. It has responded by holding its opponents to just 89.4 points in this spot. We have seen only 183.4 total points scored on average in this situation. Pound the UNDER.

4* Major Western Conference Play of the Day on Hornets -6.5
Bottom Line: Hornets have the advantage at home here as they will have much fresher legs. They are on a 12-3 ATS run when they get at least 3 days of rest. The Suns, on the other hand, are on a 4-9 ATS slide when playing without a day of rest.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on 76ers -2.5
Bottom Line: This is an extremely unfavorable scheduling spot for Indiana, which will be taking the floor for the third straight night. It will likely be able to hang with the 76ers through 3 quarters but I expect it to run out of gas in the 4th. The 76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

5* Wiseguy NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month on Raptors -3
Bottom Line: Boston has won 4 in a row (all at home) but can't be trusted on the road where it is on a 3-11 ATS slide. Also, the home team is on a 6-0 ATS run in the series. Pound Toronto!

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Suns +9
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have had 3 days to try to build some chemistry with new additions Tayshaun Prince, Ed Davis and Austin Daye. That's not enough time. Plus, the intensity of a game can't be simulated in practice. I know Memphis won its first game with its new additions against Washington, but I expect it to take some time for them to jell. The Suns have a win against Memphis this season and are 47-19 against the Grizzlies since 1996. Expect Memphis to be lacking a little chemistry tonight and for the Suns to go after this one hard as they try to earn a split in the season series. Pound the Suns.

4* Major Eastern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Hawks +5
Bottom Line: Atlanta has defeated the Pacers twice this season, and I like its chances of keeping this one within the number as it will be the much fresher side. The Hawks have had 2 days off while the Pacers just played last night. The Hawks are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Kings +8
Bottom Line: The Kings will be very focused tonight following an embarrassing 39-point loss to the Knicks last time out. They match up well with the Jazz and have won, or lost by less than 8 points, in 9 straight meetings as a result. The Kings are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah.

4* Major on Timberwolves -3
Bottom Line: Minnesota finally enters a game with some momentum on its side as it ended a 6-game skid with a blowout win over New Orleans. Look for the T-Wolves to rattle off another victory against a Portland team that has lost 4 straight on the road. The Trailblazers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team that has a losing record.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats +13.5
Bottom Line: The Heat rolled in Toronto yesterday but are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Also, they are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against Charlotte. Bet the Bobcats!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Heat -4.5
Bottom Line: The Heat have never lost to the Raptors since LeBron James came aboard, and I don't expect them to start now. They will be very hungry here after losing by double digits to Indiana in their last game, and they won't take the Raptors lightly because Toronto took them to OT in Miami last week. The Heat are 8-0 lifetime against the Raptors since James came to South Beach, and they have won these games by an average of 12.6 points. It is also worth noting that all 8 of these wins came by at least 6 points. Pound Miami!

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings +11
Bottom Line: The Knicks are being overvalued against a Kings team that beat them at the end of December. The Knicks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Cavaliers +10
Bottom Line: The Cavs keep this one closer than the oddsmakers thing against an OKC squad that has recorded only 1 road win of more than 10 points in its last 6. Plus, the home team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bucks +5.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks have won 12 of their last 17 meetings with New York, and I expect them to give the Knicks a game tonight. The often-overvalued Knicks are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games while the Bucks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New York. Milwaukee is also an awesome 45-14-2 ATS in its last 61 games vs. the NBA Atlantic division. The Knicks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning record.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings +6
Bottom Line: Friday night is a big wagering night in the NBA and this plays to our advantage as oddsmakers look to take advantage of the "squares". The Kings were just kicked by 18 Wednesday in Boston and are being undervalued here as a result. Consider that road underdogs off a road loss of 10 points or more, provided they are playing on Friday night, are 93-51 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 7.9 points on average, but have lost by only 4.2 points on average. It is also worth noting that Philly is a soft 132-170 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less since 1996.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nets -3
Bottom Line: The Bulls won impressively at Milwaukee to cover the spread in their last game but are 4-13 ATS after a game in which they covered the spread this season, including 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. They are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. Also, the Bulls are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games in this series.

5* Wiseguy NBA Pre-All-Star Break Game of the Year on Magic +9.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics won big without Rondo against the Kings in their last game and are being overvalued because of it. Fading them following a victory of more than 10 points has produced an 8-1-1 ATS result in the last 10 instances. The Magic were crushed by the Knicks last time out but are an awesome 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 games following a defeat greater than 10 points. Boston has been fortunate to win both of its games since Rondo went down with a knee injury because it hasn't received very good guard play. Avery Bradley and Courtney Lee have both struggled and that will catch up with Boston tonight. Pound the Magic.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Raptors +4.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers have struggled in Toronto where they have lost three straight. The Clippers are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Toronto and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400.

5* Wiseguy "Total" Bailout on Mavs/Warriors UNDER 206
Bottom Line: Both teams have been overs machines of late and we are seeing an inflated number because of it. The Warriors still have the reputation as a high-octane offensive team, but they have put much more focus on the defensive end since Mark Jackson came aboard. They rank fifth in the NBA in field goal percentage defense this season and are 72-52 UNDER in games when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 3 seasons. Dallas has been scoring in bunches of late but it has also been shooting out of its mind. It won't get the same looks tonight against a solid defensive team. Plus, Dallas is on a 28-13 UNDERS run in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. Pound the Under!

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Grizzlies/Thunder UNDER 191.5
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies lose some scoring punch tonight with leading scorer Rudy Gay being traded away. Plus, they own the No. 1 ranked scoring defense in the NBA. This defense is the reason they are on a 19-7-1 unders run. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Suns +3
Bottom Line: The home team has had the upper hand in this series going 5-0 SU and ATS in the last 5 meetings. Also, the Lakers have lost each of their last 7 on the road.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Jazz -7.5
Bottom Line: We won't get the Jazz in a more motivated spot all season. They were embarrassed by 45 points by Houston in their last on their normally sturdy home floor, and I expect them to be flying all over the place to erase the memory of that one tonight. The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. It also bodes well for Utah that New Orleans had a tough one in LA last night as the Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. The Hornets are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Utah. Pound the Jazz!

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Timberwolves +5
Bottom Line: The Clippers, who are 1-5 ATS in their last 6, can't be trusted laying this many points on the road against a team that will be hungry to snap a 4-game skid. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Hornets +7.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 15-35-2 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a losing record and 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Hornets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Hornets are also 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings at L.A.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Trailblazers -3
Bottom Line: I like the Blazers at home in this bounce-back spot as they are on a 5-0 ATS run in games following a defeat of more than 10 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Cavaliers -1.5
Bottom Line: Love the Cavs in this spot as they will be the more energized team without a doubt. They have had 2 days to prepare and rest up for this game while the Warriors just played last night and will be playing their 4th road game in 5 days. The Cavaliers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Pound Cleveland!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +5.5
Bottom Line: Indiana has lost 3 straight games just 1 time this season and that happened clear back in early Novemeber. Besides, in that instance its third loss came by just 2 points. The Pacers have lost consecutive game twice since then and responded with 20 and 15-point victories to avoid a third straight defeat. I expect them to respond here as well. The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. Pound the Pacers!

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Magic +9.5
Bottom Line: This is a game the Magic will go after hard as they have lost each of the season's first three meetings with the Nets. Orlando is 13-5 ATS as a road underdog this season, including 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings +7.5
Bottom Line: Washington is being overvalued here because it has covered the spread in 10 consecutive games. Plus, I'm expecting a letdown from the Wizards after puting it on Chicago last game. They are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a win of more than 10 points. Also, the underdog is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Clippers -7.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to go against the Blazers. With last night's win over the Clippers, Portland covered the spread for a second straight game. Keep in mind that the Blazers are 2-15 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. They have lost these games by an average of 9.0 points.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Hornets +7.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets are showing solid value on the road catching this many points as they are 14-6 ATS as a road underdog this season and 36-19 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA National TV Game of the Month on Celtics +4
Bottom Line: The Celtics have had a great deal of success at home against the Heat, even after LeBron James arrived. Boston has won 15 of its last 17 home games in the series. Also, the Heat are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Boston. Pound the Celtics as they get off the snide in impressive fashion.

4* Major on Kings +13
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Also, the road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

4* Major on Nets +3.5
Bottom Line: I was on the Rockets as as underdog last night, but one big win isn't enough for me to lay points with them against a team I believe to be better. The Rockets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a days' rest.

5* Wiseguy NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Year on 76ers +3.5
Bottom Line: The 76ers have had 3 days to gear up for a New York team that spanked them in the season's first two matchups. Philly's level of motivation and fresh legs will be key in this one as it is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on 3 days' rest or more. The Knicks are a soft 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a game in which they covered the spread. Pound the 76ers!