5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -1.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games versus a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Golden State is 8-18 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

4* Major on Lakers +11.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a win and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games when playing on 1 day of rest.

4* Major on Spurs/Lakers UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: The UNDER is 8-2 in the Spurs' last 10 road games. The UNDER is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings between these teams, including 9-3 in the last 12 in L.A.

4* Major on Bucks +9
Bottom Line: The Heat have had 3-0 leads in the first round the last 2 years - Philadelphia in 2011 and the Knicks in 2012 - but lost Game 4 each time. Milwaukee is on a 114-79 ATS run following 3 or more consecutive defeats.

4* Major on Celtics +2.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics won't roll over. This veteran team has way too much pride. Boston is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival the last 3 seasons. Teams headed up by Mike Woodson are 3-14 ATS in road playoff games.

4* Major on Knicks/Celtics OVER 180.5
Bottom Line: Plays on the OVER on any team (NY in this case) that held its last opponent to 80 points or less and is up against a team that has scored 90 points or fewer in 4 straight games are 75-36 since 1996.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks -2
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 0-11 in their last 11 games in Atlanta with these defeats coming by nearly 11 points on average. All of these losses came by at least 3 points. The home team has won 6 straight and 11 of the last 12 meetings. Pound the Hawks!

4* Major NBA Bailout on Lakers +5.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 6-0 in their last 6 and 13-1 in their last 14 home games. The Spurs are 0-7 in their last 7 on the road. Even with all of LA's injury issues, I like its chances of keeping this one within the number.

4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on Celtics -2.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics are 14-4 in their last 18 home games and 13-2 in their last 15 home games versus the Knicks. The Knicks are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game while the Celtics are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Knicks/Celtics OVER 183.5
Bottom Line: The Over is 7-3 in the Celtics' last 10 home games and 10-4 in their last 14 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game. Plays Over on any team (NY in this case) after a blowout win by 15 points or more that is matched up against an opponent that has scored 80 points or less 2 straight games are 10-2 the last 5 seasons.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Grizzlies -4.5
Bottom Line: Memphis has dropped the first two games of the series, but I expect it to get back in the series tonight at home where it is 14-1 in its last 15 games. The Grizzlies are an outstanding 25-12 ATS following 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. They are 45-24 ATS when looking for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. They are also 26-11 ATS in their last 37 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 179.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 4-0 in Memphis' last 4 home games, and we've see just 156, 178 and 169 total points scored in the last 3 of these. The Under is also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Memphis. We haven't seen more than 178 total points scored in these with three of them at 172 or less. Memphis is at its best defensively at home and should get enough stops to send this one comfortably under the number.

4* Major Game 3 *SUREFIRE* on Bucks +7.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks will put forth their best effort of the series tonight in front of their home fans. They won't be lacking any confidence as they have a 19-point win over the Heat in Milwaukee this season. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 1 day of rest.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs First Round Total of the Year on Hawks/Pacers UNDER 187
Bottom Line: These two combined for 197 points in Game 1, but Atlanta shot 50.0 percent from the field, and the Pacers were 30 of 34 from the foul line. I don't see the Hawks shooting the ball as well in Game 2 versus the NBA's top defensive team. I also don't see the Pacers living at the foul line the way they did in Game 1. They only average 24 trips per game. The Hawks have been a terrific unders bet in the first round of the playoffs, going under the number in 12 of their last 16 conference quarterfinal games. They have also been known to ratchet things up defensively following a blowout defeat, going 6-2 Under in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Road teams when total is between 180 and 189.5 points that are playing 6 or less games in 14 days and have failed to cover the spread in at least 8 of their last 10 games are 57-26 since 1996. Pound the Under!

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Nuggets -8
Bottom Line: The Nuggets won Game 1 at home despite not playing very well. I expect a stronger performance from them here against a Golden State squad that will be without All-Star forward David Lee. The Nuggets have won 24 straight at home and are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games. They are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games versus Golden State. Pound Denver.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: The Celtics blew an excellent opportunity in Game 1 by laying an egg in the 4th quarter, but I expect this veteran squad to bounce back strong. The C's have won or lost by less than 7 points in 22 of their last 27 on the road in this matchup. Take the points in what should be a close contest.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Celtics/Knicks OVER 185.5
Bottom Line: Neither team played very well offensively in Game 1, but that should change tonight. Plays "Over" on all teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (NY in this case) that are off a win against a division rival, a well rested team playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, are 259-173 since 1996. That's a long-term 60% system. The total was 185.2 on average in these contests, but we have seen teams combine for 189.1 points on average. I expect this game to be very physical as well, which means plenty of trips to the foul line for both teams. Points being scored with no time running off the clock in an over-lovers dream.

4* Major Game 2 *SUREFIRE* on Bucks +14.5
Bottom Line: The Heat rolled in Game 1, but the odds are stacked against them winning by 15+ tonight. That's because the Bucks have lost to Miami by more than 13 points just 2 times in the last 16 meetings. We'll bet the Bucks behind this 14-2 trend.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Grizzlies +5.5
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have lost their last two against the Clippers but are 30-16 ATS when playing with double revenge the last 3 seasons. Also, Memphis is 16-5 ATS lifetime under coach Hollins when out for revenge for a loss of 20 points or more to a foe. It has won by an average of 4.0 points in this situation.

4* Major NBA Total Dominator on Grizzlies/Clippers UNDER 181.5
Bottom Line: Memphis is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA so it will be out to prove that tonight after letting LA get whatever it wanted in Game 1. Memphis' defense is a big reason why it is 17-4 UNDER in its last 21 versus Western Conference foes. It's also worth mentioning that the Grizzlies are 11-3 UNDER this season when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent.

4* Major NBA Total Dominator on Bulls/Nets UNDER 183.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Bulls to pick up the "D" following a poor defensive effort in Game 1 and for this one to come in under the total because of it. They are 29-14-1 UNDER in their last 44 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 8-3 UNDER in their last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +5
Bottom Line: Chicago bounces back in Game 2. The Bulls won 3 of 4 with the Nets during the regular season. They split in Brooklyn, but the loss came by just 4 points. The Bulls have lost to the Nets by more than 4 points only twice in the last 12 meetings. Pound Chicago!

4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME POWER PLAY* on Bucks +13.5
Bottom Line: The defending champs are being overvalued in their series opener with the Bucks. Milwaukee has lost to Miami by more than 13 points just 1 time in the last 15 meetings. We'll bet the Bucks behind this 14-1 trend.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Spurs -8.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs lost their regular-season finale at home, but you won't catch me fading them here. They are 10-1 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons and have won by an average of 12.1 points in this situation. San Antonio is also 10-1 ATS at home the last 2 seasons in games played in the 2nd half of the schedule versus teams that have won between 51-60% of their games. They have defeated these teams by 14.2 points on average. Pound the Spurs.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Grizzlies +5
Bottom Line: The Clippers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Grizzlies are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Also, the road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Grizzlies have lost to the Clippers by more than 4 points just 3 times in the last 12 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets -4.5
Bottom Line: Playing favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check in off 2 or more consecutive home wins in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of 51% to 60% are 45-21 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting these parameters have been favored by 5.4 points on average but have won by 7.7 points on average. This line is a little soft. Bet Brooklyn.

4* Major Early *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: The road team has been the play between these two as it is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Plus, the Celtics are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings at New York.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Rockets +2.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers rose to the occasion with a win and cover versus San Antonio in their first game without Kobe but are an awful 8-22 ATS under coach D'Antoni following an ATS win. They have lost in this situation by an average of 1.5 points. Houston still has a chance to earn the sixth seed but could also drop to the eighth position with a loss so it definitely wants to take care of business here to avoid Oklahoma City in the first round. The Lakers will struggle tonight without Kobe against a motivated team.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -8.5
Bottom Line: All indications are the Spurs will play their big guns as they look to gain some momentum before the playoffs. They should have little trouble with an overmatched Minnesota squad as they are 16-0 in their last 16 at home in the series, winning those by 13.2 points on average.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Raptors +6
Bottom Line: The Hawks have been overvalued at home all season and that remains the case here. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. The Hawks are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. The Raptors are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 with a pair of wins over Chicago and a win over Brooklyn. They're clearly looking to finish the season strong. Pound Toronto.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats pk
Bottom Line: The Knicks have wrapped up the #2 seed in the East and are now content with calling off the dogs until the postseason begins. Carmelo Anthony, among other key players, is expected to sit this one out. The Bobcats are trying to build some momentum for next season and definitely want to notch their 20th win of the season. While the road has been hard on them all year, they have won 6 of their last 8 at home. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus Atlantic division opponents. Also, the Knicks are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Spurs/Lakers OVER 196.5
Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to the Kobe Bryant injury as these two have combined for 213, 218 and 203 total points in 3 of the last 4 meetings. The Lakers are 4-0 OVER in their last 4 and have scored at least 100 points in 9 of their last 11 games. The Spurs have given up an average of 98.5 in their last 4 games. I like L.A. to score enough to push this one over even without Bryant.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +5
Bottom Line: The Suns will be out for some serious revenge for a 31-point home loss they were handed by Minnesota last month, and they should from having the last 2 days off. Minnesota, meanwhile, will have taking the floor for the second time in as many nights and the fourth time in five days. History shows you should play against home favorites that have lost 4 of their last 5 games if they are in the second game of a back-to-back because doing so has turned in a 50-22 ATS result the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting these parameters have laid an average of 5.0 points, but they have won by only 1.3 points on average.

4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Trailblazers +10
Bottom Line: Home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games that are matched up against a team that has covered the number in at least 6 of their last 8 are 38-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Blazers are clearly being undervalued because of their losing streak and have a good opportunity to earn a cover against a fatigued OKC squad that is playing its 3rd road game in 4 days.

4* Major on Hornets +9
Bottom Line: The Hornets have lost 2 straight to the Clippers since winning the first meeting of the season, but they are 34-20 ATS the last 2 seasons when playing with double revenge.

4* Major on Bucks +6.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks can't be trusted laying this many points at home where they are 14-23 ATS on the season and 0-5 ATS in their last 5. Also, Atlanta is a soft 36-55 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.

4* Major on Cavs +5
Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Knicks, who just lost a tough overtime game in Chicago last night. They'll have a very tough time bouncing back here against a much fresher Cleveland club. NY is a soft 2-14 ATS in road games after having won 6 or 7 of its last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Year on Pacers -5.5
Bottom Line: With an opportunity to lock up the No. 3 seed in the East, I fully expect the Pacers to have their revenge against the Nets. The Nets have won this season's two prior meetings but you want to fade underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won 2 consecutive games against an opponent if they check in off an upset win in division play. That's because teams fitting these parameters are just 8-54 SU & 17-44-1 ATS the last 17 seasons. The Pacers have had 2 full days to gear up for this one. They are at home where they are 30-9 on the season, and they are the fresher, more motivated side. Pound the Pacers!

4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Warriors +4
Bottom Line: Golden State isn't getting the respect it deserves at home where it is 27-12 on the season, especially since the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Warriors won the season's prior home meeting by 5 points and lost by just 3 points the previous time they hosted the Thunder. The Warriors are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus teams that have a road winning percentage greater than .600.

4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +5
Bottom Line: Bulls have won 4 straight against the Knicks by 4 or more, including all 3 meetings this season, and aren't about to lay down here after an ugly home loss to Toronto. Nothing has ignited the Bulls like losing on their home floor. They are 22-8 ATS all-time under Tom Thibodeau following a home defeat, winning in these spots by an average of 10.0 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Knicks/Bulls UNDER 191
Bottom Line: After a stretch where the Bulls held 4 straight opponents to 94 points or less, they have given up 99+ the last 2 games and lost them both as a result. They gave up 101 at home to Toronto last game which is uncharacteristic considering the Bulls have allowed an average of only 90.3 at home this season. Their recent losses actually play in our favor as Chicago is 19-6 UNDER since Tom Thibodeau took over at home if its enters with losses in 2 of its last 3 games. The Bulls have held their opponent to 88.0 points on average in these spots. We've seen total scores of 178 and 184 in the last two matchups between these teams in the United Center, and I expect another low-scoring one tonight in a game that should have a playoff feel.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 204.5
Bottom Line: With both teams well-rested and both playing for home court advantages in the playoffs, I expect to see a very intense playoff atmosphere that greatly favors the under. The Spurs have really picked up the "D", especially on the road where they are 6-0 under in their last 6. The under is also 2-0-2 in the Spurs' last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. It's also worth noting that the under is 3-0-1 in the Nuggets' last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and 7-0-1 in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. We saw only 199 total points scored when these two last met March 27, and I expect this meeting to be lower scoring with the stakes ramped up even more. Pound the Under!

4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Jazz +3.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz will want this game just a little bit more as they are in a dog fight for the 8th and final playoff spot in the West. They are 29-10 at home this season and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. They have also won their last 2 at home versus OKC by 7 and 15 points. Home court has been huge in this series as the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +9.5
Bottom Line: Off one of its biggest wins of the season and with a big showdown against the Bulls on deck, New York won't give Washington its full attention. Plus, the Knicks are being overvalued here due to their 12-game winning streak. I'll grab the points with a Washington team that continues to compete as it is 12-4 ATS on the road as an underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET *BAILOUT* on Trailblazers +3.5
Bottom Line: Dallas really can't afford any losses the rest of the way as it trails the Lakers by 3 games for the last playoff spot in the West. While the Mavs will be motivated, this is a tough spot for them as it's their 3rd game on the road in 4 days. The Blazers will be fresher, and I expect them to give Dallas all it wants and more. It has lost to the Mavs at home by more than 3 points only once in the last 7 meetings. Dallas is on a 24-37 ATS slide after covering the number in 2 of their last 3 games while Portland is on a 28-14 ATS run in home games after failing to cover the number in 2 of their last 3. Bet the Blazers.

4* Major NBA *MOTIVATIONAL MISMATCH* on Pacers -3.5
Bottom Line: While last night's 22-point home loss to Oklahoma City is motivation enough, the Pacers can clinch their first Central Division title in nine years with a win. That's where the true motivation lies. The Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Pacers are 9-0 in their last 9 versus Washington with these wins coming by an average of 9.8 points. It's also worth mentioning that the road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Trailblazers +5.5
Bottom Line: The underdog is on a 6-1-1 ATS run in the series, and I expect this trend to continue. The Blazers have been without LaMarcus Aldridge, but he's expected to return tonight and I believe he'll give them a big lift. The Rockets have been overvalued against losing teams and are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games versus teams that have a losing record as a result. They have also failed to cover the number in 5 of their last 7 on the road.

4* Major on Suns +8
Bottom Line: Phoenix is 13-2 in its last 15 home games versus Golden State. Both of the losses came by only 2 points so the Suns are showing value here. Golden State is only 3-10 in its last 13 on the road and hasn't been on the road for a couple weeks so this is a difficult spot for the Warriors.

4* Major on Kings -2
Bottom Line: Big letdown spot for Dallas which blew a 4th-quarter lead and lost by a point at Denver last night. It will be mighty tough for the Mavs to picks themselves back up from that one. The Mavs have won the season's first 3 meetings but Sacramento is an impressive 112-78 ATS when playing with triple revenge since 1996.

4* Major Marquee Matchup on Pacers -2
Bottom Line: The Pacers have a big advantage in terms of fresh legs as they have had the last 3 days off while OKC played last night. The Pacers are a terrific 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. Indiana is 29-8 at home which is worth mentioning since the Thunder are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks +7.5
Bottom Line: I love the Bucks catching a generous number as they have won or lost by 7 points or fewer in 19 of the last 23 meetings in the series. Now that's a 19-4 trend I can get behind. The Bucks still haven't clinched a playoff spot but can do so tonight with a win and a little help so I expect them to be the more motivated side.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs +7
Bottom Line: The Mavs aren't getting nearly the respect they deserve here considering how badly they need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. Plus, the road team has absolutely dominated this series, going 8-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. The road team has won 7 of these SU with one of the losses coming by a single point. Dallas has won its last 2 in Denver by double digits, and I expect it to give the Nuggets a game tonight.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Clippers -16
Bottom Line: This may seem like a lot of points, but the Clippers have lost 3 in a row and will be ready to take out their frustrations on the Suns. Phoenix actually won the most recent meeting, but LA is 14-6 ATS this season when out for revenge for a defeat. The Clippers will be further motivated by an opportunity to set a franchise record for regular season wins. They can also clinch their first division title with a win and a loss by Golden State. Phoenix has packed it in. It's giving its young guys more minutes as it is already focused on next year.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Celtics -7.5
Bottom Line: The C's will be out for blood against a Pistons team that has defeated them 4 straight times. The Pistons enter off a road win, but they have been awful on the road this season. Consider that they are 1-8 ATS off a road win this season, losing in this situation by an average of 14.1 points. Plus, Boston is 20-9 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent. Pound Boston!

4* Major Home Court *POWER PLAY* on Raptors -3.5
Bottom Line: Major home court advantage in play here as the home team is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings. Toronto is 5-1 in its last 6 home meetings in the series.

4* Major NBA BEST BET *BAILOUT* on Mavs +3
Bottom Line: Dallas has been playing better basketball down the stretch, and I don't see LA getting enough stops to get the job done here. The Mavs are 12-3 ATS the last 2 seasons in the second half of the season versus poor defensive teams that give up 99.0 ppg or more. The Lakers are constantly overvalued at home, especially against teams that have losing records. They are just 3-15 ATS in home games in the second half of the season versus teams with a losing record the last 3 seasons.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Clippers -4
Bottom Line: The Clippers won and covered easily at Indiana in the season's first meeting and are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 versus Central division foes. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Indiana is only 4-12 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. It has lost these by an average of 6.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Blazers +9.5
Bottom Line: This is a big time bounce back spot and revenge spot for Portland, which lost Friday to Utah and was crushed Saturday by Golden State. Plays on road underdogs that are coming off a lopsided defeat of at least 20 points and are matched up against a team that has hit the century mark in 4 straight games are 50-26 (66%) ATS since 1996. These teams have faced an average line of 9.8 points but have lost by only 6.6 on average. Looks like this number is about 3 points off the mark.

4* Major Atlantic Division *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: The Celtics are being undervalued here considering they have won or lost by fewer than 7 points in 18 of the last 20 meetings in the series. Now that's an 18-2 trend I can get behind. They've lost the last 2 in the series and were embarrassed in Boston Tuesday so they will be motivated to say the least. Take the points as the Celtics take the Knicks down to the wire.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs pk
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Heat, who will be playing their 4th road game this week. That's a lot of ball and a lot of travel without much rest. The Spurs have been home since last Sunday night and have played only 2 games this week. They will be the fresher side. San Antonio will be lacking no confidence following back-to-back wins over the Nuggets and Clippers. The Spurs have beaten just about everyone at home where they are an impressive 32-4 on the season. They are 12-1 in their last 13 at home against the Heat, winning the last 2 home meetings in the series by 30 points. Pound San Antonio!

4* Major on Suns +10
Bottom Line: The value lies with the Suns as home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in at least 8 of their last 10 games are 68-34 ATS (67%) since 1996 if they're matched up against a team that has covered the number in at least 5 of its last 7 games. This system is surefire evidence of the way oddsmakers over inflate lines for hot teams against cold ones.

4* Major on Nets +4.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade the Jazz. They have won 3 in a row and have covered the number in each of their last 6, but they take a big step up in competition tonight. Plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have successfully covered the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season, are 31-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is 16-4 ATS the last 3 seasons and 5-1 ATS this season.

4* Major on Rockets pk
Bottom Line: I locked in the Rockets on the money line but would not be surprised at all if they end up as a small home dog by the time this one closes. I like Houston here regardless because I feel this is a flat spot for LA as it is coming off a tough loss in San Antonio and is playing its 4th game in 5 days. In case the Rockets ended up catching points, I should mention that they are 10-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. I should also mention that the Clippers are 2-10 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Mavericks -4
Bottom Line: Look for the Bulls to fall flat on their faces here after an epic win over Miami. The Mavs will be out for blood after getting pummeled by the Pacers. They need this game because they are 1.5 games out of the #8 spot in the West. The Mavericks are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Pound Dallas.

4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Trail Blazers -3
Bottom Line: Utah can't be trusted on the road where it has lost its last 9. The Jazz are 1-8 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season, losing by an average of 10.0 points in this situation. The Jazz lost the most recent meeting in Portland by 6 and are 9-21 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss to and opponent the last 2 seasons.

4* Major on Nuggets -6.5
Bottom Line: Denver has been tough as nails at home where it is 24-11 ATS this season. They are 14-4 ATS on the season at home where matched up against a team with a winning record and have won by an average of 9.4 points in this situation. The Nets are a soft 12-21 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

4* Major on T-Wolves +8
Bottom Line: The T-Wolves are playing their best basketball since early in the season. They lost a tough one to the Lakers Wednesday but are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss. They have a win over the Thunder at home earlier in the season, and not has come easy for OKC in the Twin Cities. The Thunder are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. Also, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

4* Major on Hornets +7
Bottom Line: I don't believe Miami will be over Wednesday's loss to the Bulls yet. It really wanted the record and coming up short puts it in a letdown spot. The Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Also, the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -4.5
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have lost their first two this week after concluding last week with a win over Boston, but that won't keep me off them here. They are 7-0 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. They have won by an average of 9.4 points in these spots. Also, the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the Rockets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis. Pound the Grizz.

5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET Bailout on Suns +2
Bottom Line: The Suns have owned the Kings in Phoenix where they are 12-1 in the last 13 meetings. The Kings won at Golden State last night, but they are still just 7-30 on the road. Plus, that win sets them up for a major letdown as it was their first of the entire season on the road versus a winning team. The Kings will be feeling pretty good about themselves, and I believe they'll already be looking ahead to Saturday's matchup with the Lakers. Suns continue their home dominance in the series tonight.

4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on Bucks +1.5
Bottom Line: Very tough spot for the short-handed Lakers, who just played last night and are playing their 3rd road games in 4 days. The Lakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Lakers are 21-44-1 ATS in their last 66 games versus a team with a losing record, 17-39 ATS in their last 56 games following a win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Lakers are also 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee. The underdog is 13-4-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings. Milwaukee just played last night too, but it has a deeper bench and this is just its 2nd game in 4 days.

4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Bulls +5.5
Bottom Line: Miami's 27-game run very well could come to an end tonight. The Heat have been down by double digits against 4 of their last 5 opponents but have been able to flip a switch. It will be much harder to flip that switch against a Bulls team that is capable of playing championship-caliber defense. The Bulls won at Miami earlier this season but were beat badly at home in the most recent meeting, which will provide added incentive. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus teams from the East.

4* Major *BIG CHALK BLOWOUT* on Thunder -13
Bottom Line: This is a game OKC wants badly. The Thunder were defeated in Washington in the first meeting and will be out for some cold, hard revenge as a result. The Thunder are 13-4 ATS this season in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent. The Thunder kicked Portland by 20 points last time out and are 12-4 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Lakers -4.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers will be lacking no motivation following 3 consecutive defeats that have shrunk their lead over Utah for the 8th spot in the West to one game. I'll gladly take them against Minnesota in this motivated spot as they are 21-0 in their last 21 against the Wolves, winning these games by an average of 11.9 points. Minnesota just earned a road win last night but hasn't won back-to-back games since mid-December. Pound LA.

4* Major Non-Conference *POWER PLAY* on Grizzlies +1
Bottom Line: Memphis will be the fresher and hungrier team tonight. The Grizzlies have had a day off and will be motivated by Monday's poor showing against the Wizards. The Knicks will be playing on consecutive days and enter this one feeling good about themselves following a big win over divisional rival Boston. The Grizzlies beat the Knicks by 10 in the season's first meeting clear back in November, but plays against all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent that's coming off a road loss are 109-64 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Bailout on Mavericks +1
Bottom Line: The Mavs are showing good value at home catching a point against LA considering they are 10-1 in their last 11 at home in the series. These 10 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. The Clippers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. Pound the Mavs.

4* Major NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics -2
Bottom Line: Boston has lost 4 in a row, but 3 of these losses were on the road and the other came to the Miami Heat in a game that it should have won. Betting against Boston at home hasn't been an option lately. The Celtics are 11-1 SU & ATS in their last 12 home games with notable wins over the Heat, Clippers, Lakers, Nuggets and Bulls during this run. Lay the deuce.

4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Lakers +1
Bottom Line: The Lakers will be very motivated after back-to-back defeats, especially since they were called out by D'Antoni after blowing an 18-point second-half lead in Friday's 103-100 home loss to Washington. They should be the much fresher team tonight as they have played just once in the last 6 days. It's also to their benefit that Stephen Curry is banged up with an ankle injury that should limit him if he is indeed able to go. The Lakers have won the season's first two meetings and 18 of the last 19. Take LA.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +6.5
Bottom Line: After getting humiliated in Denver in the first two matchups of the season, the Hornets will be hungry tonight. They are on an impressive 32-17 ATS run when out for revenge for 2 straight losses to an opponent. They've lost in this situation on average but only by 3.2 points. New Orleans gives the Nuggets all they want here. Pound the Hornets.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards +3
Bottom Line: Washington has been undervalued against quality competition at 22-10 ATS on the season versus opponents with a winning record. The Wizards are also 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games, and the home team is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. I like Washington outright in this one but will take the points for insurance.

4* Major NBA Bailout on 76ers +3
Bottom Line: The 76ers will be very motivated here because they have lost 15 in a row on the road. They will also be fresher than Sacramento as they will be playing on 2 days' rest while the Kings just played in Denver last night. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.

4* Major NBA Surefire on T-Wolves -2
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Bulls following last night's win over Indiana. Plus, Chicago is expected to be without Joakim Noah, arguably its best player. T-Wolves have won 3 of their last 4 at home with a decisive win over the Spurs during this stretch. Chicago has dropped 5 of its last 6 on the road. Lay the deuce.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rockets +1.5
Bottom Line: I'll gladly grab the points with the Rockets at home. They have won 10 of 12 at home and are 3-1 in their last 4 at home versus San Antonio with the loss coming in OT in a game where James Harden did not play. Houston has been a home dog of 6 or fewer points 10 times since the beginning of last season and has covered the number in 9 of these matchups while winning outright by an average of 2.3 points.

4* Major Early *BLOOD BATH* on Bucks -2.5
Bottom Line: Milwaukee has lost the season's first two meetings, but plays on home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are playing with double revenge against an opponent coming off a home loss by 10 points or more are 67-33 ATS since 1996.

5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division Game of the Year on Bulls -3.5
Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to lay the small number with the Bulls here as home faves of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that is coming off a win of at least 20 points against a divisional foe are 46-19 ATS the last 17 years. This system, which is 13-4 ATS the last 5 seasons, carries an average winning margin of 8.6 points. Since Thibodeau took over, the Bulls have responded well following any loss at home. They've lost their last 2 at home so I expect them to play inspired tonight. Chicago is 21-8 ATS under coach Thibs following a home loss, winning by an average of 10.2 points in this situation. Pound the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks -7.5
Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Blazers which are playing their second game in as many nights and fourth in five days. The Hawks were at home resting yesterday, and they'll go after this one hard knowing their next 4 are on the road. Portland has been awful on the road this season. It had lost 10 of 11 on the road before last night's 10-point win in Chicago. Don't expect the Blazers to build on that win as they are 2-14 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 9.9 points in this spot. The Blazers have also dropped their last 4 in Atlanta by an average of 8.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +14
Bottom Line: Road underdogs of 10 or more points that are coming off a blowout loss of 15 points or more and are up against an opponent that has had a combined score of 215 points or more in 2 straight games are 23-5 ATS since 1996. Teams in this scenario have been underdogs of 13.6 points on average but have been defeated by just an average of 9.0 points. This system is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver finds itself in a letdown spot following a big win over the Thunder while the 76ers are in bounce-back mode following a humiliating loss to the Clippers.

4* Major on Spurs -8
Bottom Line: The Spurs are well rested (had last 3 days off) and hungry as they were defeated in Golden State the last time these two met. I like them to have their revenge at home where they have won 28 in a row in the series by 17.0 point on average.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake Game of the Year on Magic +11
Bottom Line: The Knicks have gone from being a 10.5-point underdog at Utah last game to being an 11-point favorite at home. That's one of the biggest line jumps you'll ever see and it's not warranted. Carmelo Anthony returns to the lineup, but the Knicks did not perform well the last time he returned after sitting out several games. In fact, they were blown out by 29 at Golden State. Melo's return throws a hitch in the giddy-up of New York. Orlando was crushed in Indiana last night but will have no problem getting up for this one as they have lost the season's first three meetings and will be motivated to avoid the sweep. The Magic are 26-15 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Pound Orlando.

4* Major on Cavs +11.5
Bottom Line: Tough spot for Miami playing its third road game in four days, especially since it enters off an emotionally and physically draining game against Boston. The Heat are just 1-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite during their winning streak.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings +9.5
Bottom Line: The Kings have lost the season's first two matchups by double digits. However, they are 13-2 ATS lifetime under coach Smart when out for revenge for 2 straight losses of 10 points or more to a foe. They have lost in this spot on average but only by 2.8 points. Plus, Kings have won or lost by fewer than 8 points in each of their last 8 at home.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -9
Bottom Line: The Thunder were upset in Denver earlier this month on a last second shot. You can bet that defeat hasn't been sitting well. OKC typically responds following such losses. It is 8-1 ATS this season in home games when out for revenge for an upset loss on the road. It has won by an average of 12.8 points in these contests.

5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET Bailout on Suns +3
Bottom Line: Not hesitating to grab the points with the home dog here considering the home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with an average winning margin of 10.75 points. The Suns are 3-0 at home during this stretch with wins of 12, 20 and 6. This veteran Lakers team just played yesterday while the more youthful Suns have had a day off. The extra rest helps the Suns here while vets like Nash, Jamison and World Peace struggle to be at the top of their game on consecutive nights.

4* Major on Hornets +3.5
Bottom Line: Hornets have lost the season's first two matchups but are 32-16 ATS the last 2 seasons when playing with double revenge. Plus, Golden State is off a huge revenge win over Houston and has the Spurs on deck. In other words, look-ahead spot. Also can't ignore the Warriors' road woes. They're just 2-9 in their last 11 on the highway. Hornets should be the hungrier, more focused team tonight.

4* Major on Bulls +4.5
Bottom Line: Nuggets have reeled off 11 straight wins but just 4 of those came on the road and were all against sub-.500 competition. Nuggs haven't won on the road against a team with a winning record since Jan. 23. They're 15-19 away from home on the season with only six victories over teams that are currently .500 or better. Expect Denver's road struggles to continue considering how strong the home team has been in this series. The home team has won or lost by 4 points or less in 16 of the last 17 matchups.

4* Major on Bobcats +7.5
Bottom Line: Bobcats are struggling but have won 2 of 3 versus Washington this season and Wizards are only 2-8 in L10 on the road. Plus, cold underdogs that have dropped 12 or more of their last 15 ATS and are up against a team that has won at least 4 of its last 6 ATS are 67-35 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting this scenario have been dogs of 7.9 points on average but have lost by only 3.4 on average.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs +5
Bottom Line: The Thunder can't be trusted on the road laying this many points against a team playing as well as Dallas. The Thunder are 3-4 in their last 7 on the road with only 1 win coming by more than 4 points during this stretch. That was against lowly Charlotte. The Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Mavs have won 5 of their last 6 with the only loss in this stretch coming by 1 point at San Antonio. Keep in mind OKC just lost by 12 at San Antonio. The Mavericks are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. They've covered the number in 2 of 3 against OKC this season with one of those being a loss of only 3 points at home. The underdog is a potent 22-6-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. Grab the points.

4* Major on Warriors +7.5
Bottom Line: The Warriors have been incredibly resilient since Mark Jackson took over and instilled his grit and toughness. Golden just got whacked by Chicago and it has been taken out behind the woodshed 3 times by Houston this season. I expect the Warriors to be out for blood here as a result. Golden State is 25-12 ATS under Jackson in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses. They have lost these contests on average but only by 2.6 points. Take the points in what should be a tight one.

5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout Blowout on Jazz -1.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz are in great position to blow this spread out of the water. The Grizzlies are coming off a tough loss in Denver last night and will be playing their fourth road contest in five days. Utah has had two days of rest, and it will be hungry for revenge after losing the season's first two meetings. The Jazz have been tough as nails at home once again this season, and they have won nine of their last 10 at home against the Grizzlies with those nine wins coming by an average of 15.9 points.

4* Major NBA Underdog Shocker on 76ers +5
Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Pacers playing their second game in as many night and third in four days. Plus, it's on the road where they are just 14-17 on the season. Philly enters this contest with confidence after giving Miami all it wanted and more last time out. It also enters rested as it has had the last two days off. Philly has lost the season's first two meetings and was embarrassed 88-69 when Indy visited last month. The 76ers, who have a winning record at home, should have an excellent chance to pull the upset as I fully expect them to take the Pacers down to the wire. The Pacers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on two days of rest. Lastly, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.