Sports Betting NFL Football Line Moves and Top Trends
Sports Betting NFL Football Line Moves and Top Trends
By Doug Upstone
It is on to Week 6 in the NFL and we are all over the latest Line Moves. Like always, visit this site on Sunday for the latest changes and updates in the NFL. Studying line moves can become a very profitable venture if you know what to look for.
NFL – Thursday (101) N.Y. GIANTS at (102) CHICAGO 8:25 ET NFLN
Since Monday, the total on this NFC confrontation has been like bread rising in the oven, lifting from 45 to 48. The thought process has to be each defense is unlikely to stop the other and both quarterbacks are turnover-prone, which could lead directly to points. Consider this also: Teams like the Giants, rushing for 70 yards or less a contest, against a team with rushing defense allowing 95-125 yards a game, are 9-2 OVER the past two years.
NFL – (203) OAKLAND at (204) KANSAS CITY 1:00 ET FOX
The Chiefs are a remarkable 5-0 after a 2-14 campaign and sportsbooks made Kansas City a double digit betting choice at -10. Yet, football bettors are not seeing it that way and have lowered K.C. to -8.5 or -8. Here’s why, it is impossible to ignore Oakland is 7-0 ATS mark at Arrowhead Stadium since 2006, having won the last six straight.
NFL – (211) CAROLINA at (212) MINNESOTA 1:00 ET FOX
In a case of what have you done for me lately; Carolina has gone from a three-point road favorite at Arizona to a growing underdog at Minnesota. The Panthers 38-0 drubbing of the Giants means little after losing in the desert 22-6 last Sunday. Carolina quickly went from +1 to +2.5, but keep in mind these Cats are 8-1 ATS off a road setback.
NFL – (215) PITTSBURGH at (216) N.Y. JETS 1:00 ET CBS
When the opening numbers were released Sunday night, Pittsburgh was a one-point favorite. After the Jets upset Atlanta on the road, it looked like line at Apple store for a new I-Phone release and the New York Jets flew to a two-point favorite and eventually 2.5. No question the Monday upset played directly into line moving, but so does the fact the Jets have the No. 2 total defense and the Steelers are 29th in points scored (17.2).
NFL – (221) JACKSONVILLE at (222) DENVER 4:05 ET CBS
While all the attention is on Denver being such an enormous favorite, those betting NFL football have focused their attention on the total. The original figure 51.5 has been jettisoned to 55. This contest is the biggest mismatch in the history of modern NFL sports betting, but what matters for this one is Jacksonville is 7-0 OVER in road games against teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more points.
NFL – (227) WASHINGTON at (228) DALLAS 8:30 ET NBC
For all the promise of Dallas, they own a 2-3 record. The difficult loss to Denver might ultimately sum up Tony Romo’s career in a nutshell, but those betting football are saddling up with the Cowboys, shifting them from -4.5 to -6.5. Don’t count me among the believers with Washington 11-2 ATS against Dallas, including six straight covers in Big D.
NFL – Monday (229) INDIANAPOLIS at (230) SAN DIEGO 8:40 ET ESPN
San Diego gift-wrapped a contest for Oakland with 5-0 turnover deficit in falling 27-17. What makes that loss sting is the two giveaway defeats to Houston and Tennessee, which magnifies the last performance. The Chargers are losing faith in the wagering community and have grown from a one-point home underdog to two. While the Bolts have a long history of success against the Colts, they are 0-6 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in the last game.
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
St. Louis is 14-1 in home games with an on-base percentage of .285 or worse over their last five games.
NHL Totals Trend
St. Louis is 12-1 UNDER off two or more consecutive home wins.
CFB ATS Trend
Coach Willie Taggert of South Florida is18-2 ATS in road games as a head coach in his career. (Saturday)
This website is monitored at the Sports Watch Monitor.
