Sports Betting NFL Football Line Moves and Top MLB Trends
Sports Betting NFL Football Line Moves and Top MLB Trends
By Doug Upstone
It’s time for Week 3 of the NFL season and nearly half the board has seen significant line movement already this early in the week. Take a gander as to what is going on and make certain to be back over the weekend for the latest updates on this action. Studying line moves can become a very profitable venture if you know what to look for.
NFL – Thursday (301) KANSAS CITY at (302) PHILADELPHIA 8:25 ET NFLN
The combination of Philadelphia having an explosive offense and a defense which can be beaten like a drum, has pushed the total from 49 to 51.5 points. Nonetheless, Kansas City has a formidable defense and is 22-11-1 UNDER the past three years. If the Chiefs control the tempo by running, this could be an easy winner.
NFL – (393) CLEVELAND at (394) MINNESOTA 1:00 ET CBS
Christian Ponder is looking less like a franchise quarterback every week, yet Minnesota is a growing favorite in a contest between a pair of 0-2 teams. The Vikings were a field goal favorite and jumped to -5.5. It is Minnesota’s home opener and Cleveland has done little on offense with Brandon Weeden, who is doubtful. If you saw how backup Jason Campbell played for the Browns last week, the line move makes sense. And this morning, Cleveland announced Brian Hoyer will start and the Browns moved to +6.
NFL – (395) TAMPA BAY at (396) NEW ENGLAND 1:00 ET FOX
The Patriots offensive woes have football bettors wondering where Tom Brady and company are headed and they dumped the total from 46 to 44. New England is averaging just 18 PPG and when you consider the defense has caused six turnovers, it is no wonder the Pats are 25th in the NFL in yards per point, far below their customary position. The Tampa Bay offense is also stalled, with QB Josh Freeman completing less than half his passes (45.2%).
NFL – (405) GREEN BAY at (406) CINCINNATI 1:00 ET FOX
Cincinnati knocked off Pittsburgh on Monday night, something they rarely do and have to prepare for Aaron Rodgers of the Packers, who leads the league in passing yards. This will be the second straight week Green Bay catches an opponent off a Monday nighter, however, the Bengals will have the benefit of playing at home. The Bengals were initially made a one-point home underdog, but this number has grown to three. It would seem there is plenty to like about a home dog who is 8-1 ATS after a win by 10 or more points the last three seasons.
NFL – (409) ATLANTA at (410) MIAMI 4:05 ET FOX
Miami has their home opener and if Dolphins cannot be excited about their team after a pair of road win upsets for a 2-0 record, maybe they should go to more Marlins games. The betting public likes what they have seen from Miami and shifted them a Pick to -2 versus Atlanta. Here’s the rub on Miami, they are a dreadful 0-8 ATS off two consecutive road wins.
NFL – (407) N.Y. GIANTS at (408) CAROLINA 1:00 ET FOX
In another confrontation of winless teams, the Giants were a three-point underdog to Carolina and quicker than a New York minute, were reduced to +1 or even a Pick at some locations. The consensus is the Giants are having their issues, yet still have better players than Carolina and are better coached. Big Blue is 24-11 ATS in road games after allowing 30 points or more.
NFL – (413) JACKSONVILLE at (414) SEATTLE 4:25 ET CBS
Jacksonville decided to stay on the West Coast after facing Oakland with Seattle up next instead of flying cross-country. This has not mattered to football fanatics who have jettisoned the Jaguars from +16.5 to +20, which one of the largest September NFL spreads in recent memory. This is a very difficult wager to make either way.
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
Justin Verlander and Detroit are 3-11 vs. AL teams scoring 4.2 or less runs a game on the season.
MLB Totals Trend
Adam Wainwright of St. Louis is 9-0 OVER in road games after giving up one or less earned runs in his last outing the past two seasons.
MLB Run Line Trend
Tyson Ross of San Diego is 2-9 as an underdog when the RL price is -135 to -190 the last two seasons.
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