UPDATED OCTOBER 20, 2026 | ALL 14 WEEK 6 GAMES FINAL
NFL POWER RATINGS 2026: WEEK 7
32 teams. Complete results. A fair-margin baseline for every upcoming game.
NFL power ratings 2026 are updated through San Francisco’s 23-17 win over Washington on Monday, October 19. This complete update carries forward last week’s published ratings and applies the same result-versus-expectation formula to every completed Week 6 game. Kansas City moves into first place, while all four idle teams retain their previous numerical ratings.
Ratings are points above or below an average team on a neutral field, not standings or betting recommendations. A positive number indicates above-average estimated strength. The Week 7 projections below are model fair margins, not sportsbook spreads, and do not include a speculative point deduction for unresolved injuries.
NFL Power Ratings 2026: All 32 Teams
| Rank | Team | Rating | Weekly change | Week 6 result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Chiefs | +6.6 | +1.0 | 22-6 vs. Los Angeles Chargers |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills | +5.3 | -0.1 | 33-30 at Las Vegas Raiders |
| 3 | San Francisco 49ers | +5.2 | -0.4 | 23-17 vs. Washington Commanders |
| 4 | New England Patriots | +5.0 | -0.2 | 26-19 vs. New York Jets |
| 5 | Jacksonville Jaguars | +4.8 | -0.9 | 31-34 vs. Houston Texans (London, neutral) |
| 6 | Minnesota Vikings | +4.1 | +0.0 | Bye – rating unchanged |
| 7 | Chicago Bears | +4.0 | +0.8 | 31-23 at Atlanta Falcons |
| 8 | Baltimore Ravens | +3.6 | -1.0 | 10-13 at Cleveland Browns |
| 9 | Seattle Seahawks | +3.5 | -0.2 | 14-17 at Denver Broncos |
| 10 | Denver Broncos | +3.5 | +0.2 | 17-14 vs. Seattle Seahawks |
| 11 | Green Bay Packers | +3.4 | +0.9 | 23-13 vs. Dallas Cowboys |
| 12 | Los Angeles Rams | +3.2 | -1.5 | 16-18 vs. Arizona Cardinals |
| 13 | Cincinnati Bengals | +3.0 | +0.0 | Bye – rating unchanged |
| 14 | Pittsburgh Steelers | +2.7 | +0.9 | 26-19 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 15 | Houston Texans | +2.4 | +0.9 | 34-31 at Jacksonville Jaguars (London, neutral) |
| 16 | Detroit Lions | +2.4 | +0.0 | Bye – rating unchanged |
| 17 | Carolina Panthers | +1.5 | +1.5 | 25-14 at Philadelphia Eagles |
| 18 | Philadelphia Eagles | +0.9 | -1.5 | 14-25 vs. Carolina Panthers |
| 19 | Dallas Cowboys | +0.8 | -0.9 | 13-23 at Green Bay Packers |
| 20 | Las Vegas Raiders | -0.2 | +0.1 | 30-33 vs. Buffalo Bills |
| 21 | Washington Commanders | -0.7 | +0.4 | 17-23 at San Francisco 49ers |
| 22 | Cleveland Browns | -0.8 | +1.0 | 13-10 vs. Baltimore Ravens |
| 23 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -0.9 | -0.9 | 19-26 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 24 | New York Jets | -1.2 | +0.2 | 19-26 at New England Patriots |
| 25 | New Orleans Saints | -1.2 | +1.5 | 34-27 at New York Giants |
| 26 | Atlanta Falcons | -1.5 | -0.8 | 23-31 vs. Chicago Bears |
| 27 | Indianapolis Colts | -1.7 | -1.5 | 20-26 vs. Tennessee Titans |
| 28 | Los Angeles Chargers | -1.8 | -1.0 | 6-22 at Kansas City Chiefs |
| 29 | New York Giants | -2.0 | -1.5 | 27-34 vs. New Orleans Saints |
| 30 | Tennessee Titans | -2.1 | +1.5 | 26-20 at Indianapolis Colts |
| 31 | Arizona Cardinals | -4.3 | +1.5 | 18-16 at Los Angeles Rams |
| 32 | Miami Dolphins | -5.7 | +0.0 | Bye – rating unchanged |
Ratings are calculated from last week’s published one-decimal baseline. Calculations below retain unrounded precision; displayed ratings and changes are rounded to one decimal. Small apparent differences can therefore reflect rounding, not a different formula.
Biggest Week 6 Movers and Betting Takeaways
Arizona Cardinals: +1.50 points. 18-16 at Los Angeles Rams. The upgrade reflects performance against the entering model expectation, not an automatic endorsement at the next available price.
Carolina Panthers: +1.50 points. 25-14 at Philadelphia Eagles. The upgrade reflects performance against the entering model expectation, not an automatic endorsement at the next available price.
Tennessee Titans: +1.48 points. 26-20 at Indianapolis Colts. The upgrade reflects performance against the entering model expectation, not an automatic endorsement at the next available price.
New Orleans Saints: +1.46 points. 34-27 at New York Giants. The upgrade reflects performance against the entering model expectation, not an automatic endorsement at the next available price.
Arizona rises despite remaining near the bottom: its 18-16 road win over the Rams materially exceeded the model expectation. A low-rated team can earn an upgrade without becoming an above-average team.
San Francisco wins but slips slightly: the 23-17 final fell short of the entering model’s 8.7-point home expectation, producing a 0.35-point downgrade. Straight-up wins and power-rating improvements are not the same thing.
Byes are not upgrades: Cincinnati, Detroit, Miami and Minnesota did not play in Week 6. Their ratings stay fixed even where their rank changes because other teams moved.
Every Completed Week 6 Result
| Date (ET) | Away team | Home team | Final / venue |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 15 | Seattle Seahawks | Denver Broncos | 14-17 |
| Oct. 18 | Houston Texans | Jacksonville Jaguars | 34-31 – London, neutral |
| Oct. 18 | Chicago Bears | Atlanta Falcons | 31-23 |
| Oct. 18 | Baltimore Ravens | Cleveland Browns | 10-13 |
| Oct. 18 | Tennessee Titans | Indianapolis Colts | 26-20 |
| Oct. 18 | New York Jets | New England Patriots | 19-26 |
| Oct. 18 | New Orleans Saints | New York Giants | 34-27 |
| Oct. 18 | Carolina Panthers | Philadelphia Eagles | 25-14 |
| Oct. 18 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 26-19 |
| Oct. 18 | Arizona Cardinals | Los Angeles Rams | 18-16 |
| Oct. 18 | Los Angeles Chargers | Kansas City Chiefs | 6-22 |
| Oct. 18 | Buffalo Bills | Las Vegas Raiders | 33-30 |
| Oct. 18 | Dallas Cowboys | Green Bay Packers | 13-23 |
| Oct. 19 | Washington Commanders | San Francisco 49ers | 17-23 |
Week 7 NFL Fair Margins: October 22-26
Standard home field is two points. Pittsburgh versus New Orleans in London is neutral, so neither team receives home-field points. The team shown in the final column is the model favorite; the figure is an expected winning margin, not a quoted betting line. All dates and kickoff times use Eastern Time.
| Kickoff (ET) | Week 7 matchup | Model fair margin |
|---|---|---|
| Oct. 22, 8:15 PM | New England Patriots at Chicago Bears | Chicago Bears by 1.0 |
| Oct. 25, 9:30 AM | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints (London) | Pittsburgh Steelers by 4.0 |
| Oct. 25, 1:00 PM | San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons | San Francisco 49ers by 4.7 |
| Oct. 25, 1:00 PM | Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans | Tennessee Titans by 0.7 |
| Oct. 25, 1:00 PM | Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings | Minnesota Vikings by 7.8 |
| Oct. 25, 1:00 PM | Miami Dolphins at New York Jets | New York Jets by 6.5 |
| Oct. 25, 1:00 PM | Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers | Carolina Panthers by 4.4 |
| Oct. 25, 1:00 PM | Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens | Baltimore Ravens by 2.6 |
| Oct. 25, 1:00 PM | New York Giants at Houston Texans | Houston Texans by 6.4 |
| Oct. 25, 4:05 PM | Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals | Denver Broncos by 5.8 |
| Oct. 25, 4:25 PM | Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions | Detroit Lions by 1.0 |
| Oct. 25, 4:25 PM | Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders | Los Angeles Rams by 1.4 |
| Oct. 25, 8:20 PM | Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks | Kansas City Chiefs by 1.1 |
| Oct. 26, 8:15 PM | Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles | Philadelphia Eagles by 2.1 |
Week 7 byes: Buffalo Bills, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers, Washington Commanders.
Current Team Information and Injury Watch
San Francisco: Mike Evans exited Monday’s game with an Achilles problem. His availability for Atlanta was uncertain in the postgame update. Treat the San Francisco fair margin as a baseline pending the next practice and game-status reports, not an injury-cleared projection. October 20 injury update.
Washington: Terry McLaurin left with a knee injury; further evaluation was pending. Washington has a Week 7 bye. NFL injury update.
The result-driven model does not assign an invented numerical value to an unconfirmed absence. Before acting on any Week 7 projection, check quarterback status, offensive-line availability, defensive injuries, weather and the actual sportsbook price. Early-week information can change substantially before Sunday. Check official NFL injury reports.
How These NFL Power Ratings 2026 Are Calculated
Expected home margin equals the entering home rating minus the entering away rating, plus two points for a normal home game. Neutral-site home field is zero. Home-team adjustment equals 13% of actual home margin minus expected home margin, capped between -1.5 and +1.5 points. The visitor receives the opposite adjustment. Every game uses the same entering baseline; processing order cannot change the results. Teams on a bye are unchanged.
Example: San Francisco entered at +5.6 and Washington at -1.1. Expected home margin was 5.6 – (-1.1) + 2 = 8.7. The actual margin was six, so San Francisco changes by 0.13 x (6 – 8.7) = -0.351 and Washington by +0.351. This is a consistent margin-based system, not a claim to measure every injury, matchup or efficiency statistic.
To compare a market spread with a model margin, first identify the correct favorite and venue. Then review personnel and the price available to you. A difference is a research signal, not proof of value. This model does not project totals or guarantee results.
Turn Ratings Research Into an Expert Comparison
Use our NFL handicapper guide and the NFL expert leaderboard to compare sport-specific records, sample sizes and available releases. Then review current premium picks. A strong historical record should still be weighed against the actual line and the expert’s current NFL workload.
For another expert comparison, review Winning Cappers hot streaks. Results and release availability change; this ratings page does not carry forward unverified promotional streaks.
Explore the Winning Cappers offer: Review Rocky’s affiliate promotion and current terms. Check eligibility and offer availability on the landing page before purchase.
More NFL Betting Research
- Best NFL handicappers
- Free sports picks
- NFL expert leaderboard
- NFL picks today
- NFL public betting and market research
- Current sports betting odds
- Current premium picks
- Top cappers
NFL Power Ratings 2026: Common Questions
Who leads the Week 7 rankings? Kansas City leads at +6.6, followed by Buffalo Bills and San Francisco 49ers.
Does a higher rating mean a guaranteed winner? No. Ratings estimate strength and support matchup research. Upsets, injuries and market prices remain important.
Why did a winning team move down? The adjustment compares the actual margin with the prior model expectation. Winning by less than expected can produce a small downgrade.
When is the next complete update? After all Week 7 games are final, including Monday Night Football on October 26. Personnel-sensitive betting decisions require fresh reports before kickoff.
Sources checked October 20, 2026: ESPN Week 6 scoreboard; ESPN Week 7 schedule; official Monday night game center.
Sports betting involves risk. Ratings and expert records do not guarantee future results. Verify all lines and availability. Wager responsibly.