Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Preview & Odds

Written by rocketman | March 28, 2016

NBA Action on Monday night and we will see the Dallas Mavericks take on the Denver Nuggets at the Pepsi Center in Denver, Colorado. Local TV will carry this game, which has a start time of 8:00 pm EST.

Current betting odds for this game have the have the Nuggets listed as 1.5 point favorites, while the total has been set at 213.5.

The Dallas Mavericks are just not playing well right now as they come in on a three game slide with all three games coming on the road, where they are now just 15-20 on the road. Last night they took on a bad kings team and were throttled by a score of 133-111. The Mavs have now allowed 124 ppg in their last 5 games overall, while allowing at least 128 points in three of those games. Dallas is now just 35-38 on the year and in the 9th slot in the Western Conference, but they do trail Houston by just a half a game for the 8th slot and Utah by just a game for the 7th slot. This race should go down to the wire. The Mavs are led by Dirk Nowitzki, who averages 18.7 ppg, while Deron Williams is 2nd at 14.0 ppg, but Williams will miss this game due to an abdominal strain. Wesley Matthews is next at 12.3 ppg, while David Lee has been solid in his 16 games since joining the team as he has averaged 10.8 ppg and 8.1 rpg. Jose Juan Barea rounds out the double digit scorers at 10.1 ppg. The Mavs check in at 11th in the league in scoring, putting up 103.3 ppg,  while also ranking 18th in shooting overall, 20th from long range and 4th from the charity stripe. The defensive numbers are not super as they are 19th in points allowed, giving up 104.2 ppg, while also ranking 17th defensive FG% overall, but they are solid at defending the arc where they are 10th. On the road the Mavericks have averaged 101.0 ppg on 43.9% shooting, while allowing 105.2 ppg on 45.5% shooting.

Trends: The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record overall. The Over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 vs. the Northwest, while the Under is 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Denver Nuggets have not had a good year at all as they are just 31-43 so far, including just 17-19 at home. They are well out of the playoffs. The Nuggets do come in off a 105-90 loss at the Clippers, but still they have played a little better of late as they have won 3 of their last 5 games. The Nuggets are missing Danilo Gallinari till at least mid-April and that is a big loss as he is the team’s leading scorer at 19.5. Will Barton is next at 14.7 ppg, while D.J. Augustine is the team’s best long range threat at 45.3%, while averaging 13.4 ppg, which is 3rd on the team. Kenneth Faried is next at 12.9, but is listed as questionable for this game, while Emmanuel Mudiay (12.2 ppg), Gary Harris (12.2 ppg) and Nikola Jokic round out the double digit scorers for a very balanced offensive team.  Overall the Nuggets are 17th in the league in scoring, putting up 102.3 ppg,  while also ranking 22nd in shooting overall, 24th from long range and 15th from the charity stripe. The defensive numbers are not that good as they come in ranked 23rd in points allowed, giving up 104.9 ppg, while also ranking 22nd defensive FG% overall and 28th in 3-point defense. At home the Nuggets have averaged 104.7 ppg on 44.5% shooting, while allowing 105.9 ppg on 46.2% shooting.

Trends: The Nuggets are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS loss, but just 3-7 ATS the last 10 at home in the series and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Southwest The Over is 6-1 in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest, while the Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

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