Premier League, Matchweek 6
11:30 a.m. ET | 4:30 p.m. UK
Anfield, Liverpool
The Premier League returns from a three-week international break with its biggest match of the season so far. Manchester City arrive at Anfield as the only team with a perfect record, five wins from five, and sit three points clear at the top. Liverpool are unbeaten but have drawn three of their five matches, leaving them six points behind City.
City also arrive under a cloud. During the break, an independent commission found the club guilty of all charges related to serious breaches of Premier League financial rules. Here’s our full Liverpool vs Man City prediction, the numbers behind it, and the experts to follow.
The story hanging over this match
On September 29, a commission found Man City guilty of financial rule breaches covering 2009-10 to 2017-18. Sanctions will be decided at a separate hearing, and City, who deny wrongdoing, said they will appeal. Nothing changes on the pitch for this match, but watch for any market overreaction in City’s price.
Form guide
Liverpool
D
W
D
W
2-2 at Newcastle
2-2 vs Nottingham Forest
2-0 at Ipswich
0-0 vs Fulham
1-0 at Bournemouth
Manchester City
W
W
W
W
2-1 vs Bournemouth
4-1 at Crystal Palace
1-0 vs Coventry
1-0 at Manchester United
5-3 vs Sunderland
Key numbers
Betting markets breakdown
Odds will post once team news firms up after the international break. Here’s what the numbers say about each market so far.
Match result (1X2)
City are 2-0 away from home and have won all five matches. Liverpool haven’t won at Anfield yet, drawing both home games. That leans toward City, but Liverpool’s three draws in five keep the draw very much in play.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Both teams scored in 3 of City’s 5 matches and 2 of Liverpool’s 5, so 5 of 10 combined. City have kept two clean sheets, while Liverpool have kept three.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Three of City’s five matches went over 2.5 goals, compared with two of Liverpool’s five. Big-six matchups after an international break often start cagey, so the under deserves a look if the line opens at 3.
Liverpool vs Man City prediction
Our lean
Man City Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet means your stake comes back if the match ends level. It backs City’s perfect form while protecting against Liverpool’s habit of drawing.
City have been the better team in every way that matters so far: more points, more goals and wins on the road at Palace and Old Trafford. Liverpool’s attack has gone quiet at home, with two goals in two Anfield matches.
The risks are real. Anfield is the hardest away trip in the league, international breaks can bring late injuries, and nobody knows how City’s squad will respond to the verdict. Check team news before betting.
Top soccer experts to follow
These handicappers have the best documented soccer results on Winning Cappers and Rocketman Sports, as of September 30, 2026.
Winning Cappers: this season’s soccer leaders
#1 SOCCER PROFIT THIS SEASON
Tony Mejia
+$28,880
345-276 (56%)
Highest-volume winner on the board
#2 SOCCER PROFIT THIS SEASON
Mikey Balhan Sports
+$12,615
70-46 (60%)
Best win rate among the top three
#3 SOCCER PROFIT THIS SEASON
Red Dog Sports
+$7,952
62-42 (60%)
No. 2 in all-time soccer profit too
Rocketman Sports: long-term soccer winners
#1 SOCCER PROFIT SINCE 2020
Juan Carlos Flores
+$13,188
4,149-4,556 (47.7%) since June 2020
Resident soccer expert covering major and minor leagues
+14.7% ROI ON SOCCER
Hunter Price
+$5,944
189-215 (46.8%) since May 2022
Profits by finding plus-money prices
54% WINNER ON SOCCER
Steve Janus
+$3,746
368-314 (54.0%) since August 2024
Steady results at shorter prices
Get this weekend’s top soccer picks
Premier League, Champions League and more from documented handicappers, plus a free premium pick every day.
Records and standings as of September 30, 2026. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not guarantee future results. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.