NFL Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
09-24-17 | Falcons -2.5 v. Lions | 30-26 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (477) minus the points versus the Detroit Lions (476). Detroit (2-0) finds themselves undefeated after two games with their 24-10 win in New York against the Giants for Monday Night Football. This is a team that has benefited from the maturation of quarterback Matthew Stafford who has taken this team on his shoulders since the retirement of Calvin Johnson. As a one-time doubter, Stafford’s continued development has been impressive. But he just lacks enough help from his teammates. The Lions were actually outgained by 13 net yards on Monday while managing a mere 257 yards of offense — and it will be very difficult to keep up with the potent Atlanta offense. Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing no more than 14 points in their last game. The Lions have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against NFC opponents. And in their last 7 games against NFC opponents, Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests. |
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09-24-17 | Giants +6 v. Eagles | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (479) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (480). New York (0-2) looked awful on Monday in their 24-10 loss at home to Detroit despite being a 3-point favorite. Now this Giants team has been beat up all week in the media and face a must-win game on the road against a divisional rival to salvage their season. Since 2012, teams that started the season 0-3 all ended up with losing records — and the average win total for teams txt have started 0-3 in the last five seasons is just 4.4. So Ben McAdoo and his coaching staff have their jobs on the line this week. This proud franchise has been resilient as they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight up loss — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Giants are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games after a double-digit loss at home. Don’t blame the defense as they held the Lions to only 257 yards of offense on Monday. Only 119 of those yards were in the air in that game — and the G-Men have then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing no more than 150 passing yards in their last game. New York needs to get more out of the rushing attack after accumulating a mere 97 rushing yards combined in their first two games. The Giants have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in each of their last two games. |
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09-24-17 | Saints +6 v. Panthers | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (473) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (474). New Orleans (0-2) will be playing with a sense of desperation having lost their first two games with their 36-20 loss at home to New England last week. Expect a strong bounce-back effort from this veteran team led by Drew Brees. The Saints have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Defense remains a problem for this team that surrendered an incredible 555 yards to the Patriots. There is some reasons for optimism given what the Bills’ head coach Sean McDermott did to Cam Newton last week after accumulating inside knowledge on the quarterback in his time as the Panthers’ defensive coordinator. New Orleans has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing 30 points in their last game. The Saints have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. And don’t worry about New Orleans being away from the Superdome as they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the Saints have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games against fellow NFC South opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against the Panthers. |
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09-24-17 | Ravens v. Jaguars +3.5 | 7-44 | Win | 100 | 0 h 27 m | Show | |
At 9:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Jacksonville Jaguars (462) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (461). Jacksonville (1-1) is a team bettors do not want to touch after they were throttled by Tennessee by a 37-16 score last Sunday. But while the betting world rides the Ravens, the smart play is to take the underdog in this London contest played on a neutral field. The Jaguars certainly have a situational advantage having played over in London for five straight seasons — and they have won their last two games played in Wembley Stadium. Jacksonville is also 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Jaguars have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. While Blake Bortles has regressed and does not look long for the starting QB job, this is a team with an underrated defense along with a promising young running back in Leonard Fournette. And this is a group that has already defeated another team with a great defense in the Texans in their building this season. Jacksonville has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow AFC foes. |
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09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
At 8:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (302) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (301). San Francisco (0-2) looks for their first victory of the season tonight after their tough 12-9 loss on the road in Seattle on Sunday as a 13.5-point favorite. The 49ers have now covered the point spread in 4 straight games against fellow NFC West opponents. Additionally, San Francisco typically plays this Rams’ franchise tough. Not only have they covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against “Los Angeles”, but they have also covered then point spread in 11 of their last 16 games at home against the Rams. Furthermore, the underdog has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in this series. |