At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Oakland Raiders (330) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (329). Oakland (6-7) looks to bounce-back from their 26-15 loss in Kansas City last week against what now appears to be a resurgent Chiefs team after their upset win over the Chargers last night. While the Raiders are likely out of the AFC playoff picture, they can still play the role of spoiler while playing well in front of a nationally televised crowd. Oakland has not covered the point spread in two straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. The Raiders have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss to a divisional rival. And while they allowed the Chiefs to rush for 165 yards last week, they are then 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game.

10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Oakland plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (327) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the San Francisco 49ers (328). San Francisco (3-10) secured their second straight upset victory with their 26-16 win at Houston as a 1-point underdog. The 49ers seemed to have found their answer at QB with Jimmy Garoppolo under center as he completed 20 of 33 passes for 334 yards with a touchdown pass. Hey, Garoppolo is undefeated as a starter in the NFL with his victory over the Bears two weeks ago along with two starts with New England last September when Tom Brady was serving his Deflate-gate suspension. But before Garoppolo is inducted into the Hall of Fame, lets remember that he is playing for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. And while the 49ers generated 416 yards of offense last week, they are just 11-24-1 ATS in their last 36 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now San Fran returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the 49ers are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 14 games in the month of December, San Fran is 4-9-1 ATS.

Tennessee (8-5) looks to bounce-back from a very flat effort last week when they were upset in Arizona by a 12-7 score as a 2.5-point favorite. The Titans have rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after suffering an upset loss. Tennessee has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. The team stayed out west this week for this game — and I heard Mike Munchak proclaim that it was his team’s best week of practice this week. The Titans need to get back to their foundation of running the football after they managed just 65 rushing yards last week after generating 198 yards on the ground the previous week against the Titans. Tennessee is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. The defense is playing very well — they have registered 20 sacks over their last three games. Lastly, the Titans have covered the point spread in 48 of their last 76 games against teams from the NFC. 10* NFL Tennessee-San Francisco Side Special with the Tennessee Titans (327) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the San Francisco 49ers (328). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New England Patriots (325) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (326). Pittsburgh (11-2) has had this date circled since the league office put out the schedule as they are looking to avenge last year’s 36-17 loss in New England in the AFC Championship Game. But the timing for their opportunity for revenge could not be worse. For starters, the Steelers have gutted through two very difficult games against AFC North rivals. After the their very physical game against the Bengals two weeks ago, Pittsburgh rallied from an 11-point deficit in the 4th quarter to eke out a 39-38 victory over Baltimore. Recovering from this stretch is difficult enough. As it is, the Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. And in their last fifteen games after facing their arch rival in the Ravens, Pittsburgh has lost eight of these games straight-up. The mental and physical toll of those two games will be difficult to sustain now — especially with all the pressure this team feels to step up for this game given the words of head coach Mike Tomlin over the last few weeks. A big emotional letdown may happen for this team. While they have won eight straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning eight of their last ten games. Furthermore, this Steelers’ defense is far from at full strength. The season-ending injury to Ryan Shazier takes away their best defender of short and intermediate routes that this Patriots team absolutely thrives in with tight end Rob Gronkowski leading the way. In the seven quarters this team has played since losing Shazier in the Bengals game, Pittsburgh has allowed 48 points and 654 yards. Even worse, the Steelers have allowed their opponent to score a touchdown in all six of their Red Zone appearances since that Shazier injury — as opposed to not allowing a TD in thirteen of their previous twenty-five Red Zone defensive situations. Pittsburgh is also missing cornerback Joe Haden with his broken fibula who was their best cover man in their secondary. Over their last three games without Haden, the Steelers defense has allowed 28.7 PPG along with 357.7 total YPG. Haden is listed as questionable for this game but is not likely to be close to 100% even if takes the field which will leave the Pittsburgh pass defense still vulnerable after Joe Flacco torched them for 269 yards and a 7.69 Yards-Per-Attempt average. Pittsburgh has allowed their last two opponents to average 6.09 and 6.77 Yards-Per-Play without Haden and Shazier (for all but one quarter) — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing each of their last two opponents to average at least 6.0 YPP. On offense, Big Ben Roethlisberger did complete 44 of 66 passes for 506 yards against the Ravens last week — but the Steelers have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Pittsburgh is also 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last contest. And while the Steelers have not covered the point spread in their last three contests, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two straight games.

New England (10-3) should be angry and focused after they were flat on Monday in their 27-20 loss in Miami despite being a 10.5-point favorite. Casinos have been built on bettors leaving this Patriots team for dead in the Bill Belichick and Tom Brady era. New England is 42-18-1 ATS in their last 61 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games after a point spread setback. And I am not worried about the short week when considering that the Patriots are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on a Sunday after a game on Monday Night Football. Brady will be very happy to see Gronkowski return to the field after he served his suspension last week. New England managed only 248 yards against the Dolphins while only rushing the ball to 10 times for a measly 25 yards. The Patriots have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 31 games after failing to generate at least 350 yards in their last game. Brady should bounce-back as he thrives when facing a Mike Tomlin defense. When facing a team with Tomlin as either head coach or defensive coordinator, Brady has thrown 26 touchdown passes and only one interception — and that TD to interception ratio is a perfect 22-0 with Tomlin the head coach with the Steelers. Brady has won ten of his twelve career starts against Pittsburgh. Take last year’s AFC Championship Game where Brady faced a Cover-2 or Cover-3 zone defense in 39 of his 43 drop-backs. If the defense cannot create immediate pressure on Brady, he just picks the defense apart by finding voids in the zone defense. He completed 32 of 42 passes last year against the Steelers playing zone in 91% of his drop back passes. Like I said, Pittsburgh will really miss Joe Haden. On defense, this team is substantially better than they were in the first month of the season. Over their last three games, the Patriots are allowing only 15.7 PPG along with only 283.7 total YPG even after last week’s loss to the Dolphins where they allowed 362 yards (helped by having the football for over 36 minutes). New England’s seasonal defensive numbers or the analytics at sites like Football Outsiders simply fail to capture the quality of this unit at this point of the season (because they are unwilling and/or unable to the need for subjective analysis to their “objective” formulas that originate from subjective weighting systems). Lastly, the Patriots are very reliable in situations like this. New England has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games against teams with a winning record at home. They have covered the point spread in 7 straight road games as the favorite. They have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in Pittsburgh against the Steelers. They have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. The Pats have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games with the Total set at least at 49.5. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, New England has covered the point spread in 5 of these games. The end. 25* AFC Game of the Year with the New England Patriots (325) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (326). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (324) minus (or plus) the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (323). Los Angeles (9-4) had a golden opportunity last week with a 4-point lead and the ball facing an Eagles team having to rely on their backup quarterback — and they blew their chance to seize control of the NFC Playoff race by losing by a 43-35 score to Nick Foles and Philadelphia. The stat guys over at Football Outsiders remain undismayed as their laptops still rate the Rams their top team in the NFL. Perhaps is because they have yet to find a formula to measure how teams respond to pressure. In this area, both quarterback Jared Goff and head coach Sean McVay (too often busy looking for more offensive plays than managing the game) are unproven commodities — and they are both at a huge disadvantage when playing on the road against Super Bowl Champions in QB Russell Wilson and head coach Pete Carroll. The Rams put up great efficiency numbers which they combine with an elite and complete Special Teams unit. And I do appreciate the Football Outside folks taking Special Teams seriously. But efficiency numbers do not tell the entire story (as that crew is beginning to realize in the face of Time of Possession numbers that are confounding their predictions). And it is hard to for teams to rely on big plays out of their Special Teams from week-to-week. The Rams blew that game with the Eagles despite earning a touchdown from a blocked punt last week. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in five of their last eight games on the road with the Total falling in that range. LA has also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. They are just 8-18-1 ATS when playing of turf that rewards speed. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of December. Furthermore, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC West opponents. And while this team is looking to avenge a 16-10 loss to Seattle at home back on October 8th, they have then failed to cover the point spread when playing with same-season revenge in 40 of those last 56 opportunities.

Seattle (8-5) looks to bounce-back from their 30-24 loss in Jacksonville last week. The Seahawks are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a straight-up loss. Now this Seattle team returns home where they looked so good two weeks ago in defeating the supposed invincible Eagles (who just beat this Rams team). The Seahawks have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 home games after playing a game on the road where both teams scored at least 24 points. Seattle’s defense has allowed 425 and 414 points in their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 400 yards in two straight games. Wilson needs to play better after throwing three interceptions last week. But Wilson also threw for 271 yards and added another 50 yards on the ground — and the Seahawks are 24-8-3 ATS in their last 35 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Lastly, Seattle is 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games in the month of December. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Seattle Seahawks (324) minus (or plus) the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (323). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (308) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (307). Philadelphia (11-2) bounced-back from their 24-10 loss in Seattle with a defiant 43-35 win on the road in Los Angeles against the Rams. The team have accrued a Pyrrhic Victory when considering that their star quarterback Carson Wentz suffered a season-ending knee injury in that game. I think Nick Foles will fill in just fine for Wentz — but he does not have the incredible, elite play-making skills that Wentz has displayed this season. This is an awfully tough situation for the Eagles to maintain their intensity for a third straight week after two straight grueling games. Even worse for this team, this will be their third straight week on the road as well as their fourth game in their last five away from home. With Wentz going down after the team already lost offensive lineman Jason Peters and linebacker Jordan Hicks for the season, this Philly team has lost some of their best talent on both sides of the football. There are warning signs that this team is beginning to crack. They have committed six turnovers over the last three weeks while committing 28 penalties. They have covered the point spread in nine of their last ten games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 43 games after covering the point spread in at least four of their last five games. Additionally, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing on field turf. And in the last 11 road games as the favorite laying 7.5 to 10 points, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games.

New York (2-11) saw the triumphant return of Eli Manning to their starting lineup under center last week but it was the same ole Giants as they lost to the Cowboys by a 30-10 score as a 4-point home underdog. Somehow, I see head coach Steve Spagnola and Manning to lead this team to be very competitive as they try to play the role as spoilers in this contest. New York is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread loss. And while the Giants have lost three straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing at least three straight games. Lastly, in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, New York has covered the point spread 6 times. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the New York Giants (308) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (307). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (320) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (319). Arizona (6-7) has won two of their last three games after their upset 12-7 win over Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog. We had the Cardinals in that game — but this team looks due for a letdown having to travel out east for this early kick off where their internal body clock will feel like it is 10 AM. As it is, Arizona is just 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. The Cardinals did hold the Titans to just 204 yards of offense in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after allowing less than 205 lads in their last game. Arizona is also just 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. The Cards have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road. And Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a losing record.

Washington (5-8) was embarrassed last week in Los Angeles where they lost by a 30-13 score to the Chargers as a 6-point underdog. That was the second straight loss for this injury riddled Skins team. But Kirk Cousins is still healthy at quarterback — and he is the heartbeat of this team. Washington has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after suffering two straight losses. Defense has been an issue as they allowed 314 passing yards last week to the Chargers. But the Skins have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. And while they have allowed 68 combined points in their last two losses, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 25 points in two straight games. Lastly, Washington has covered the point spread in 6 off their last 9 games played on the last four weeks of the regular season. Together, these team trends produce our specific 68-19-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Kickoff with the Washington Redskins (320) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (319). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (314) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (313). Miami (6-7) pulled off their second straight upset on Monday — and they played their best game in years — by picking off the Patriots as 10.5-point underdogs in their 27-20 victory as a 10.5-point underdog. The Dolphins are prime candidates for a big letdown in this spot after such an emotional win. As it is, they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played on a Sunday on a short week after playing on Monday Night Football. Now this team goes on the road — and in the cold for these South Beachers with the temperate currently at 27 degrees as of this writing this morning — where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games away from home. Miami has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.

Miami (7-6) survived the blizzard last week by eking out a 13-7 win in overtime over the Colts. The good news for this team this week is that QB Tyrod Taylor has been upgraded to probable to take the field after going through the concussion protocol. Without Taylor available last week and in those challenging weather conditions, the Bills passed for only 92 passing yards — but they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game. Buffalo did rush for 227 yards in that game led by LeSean McCoy who seems to love rushing in cold conditions —and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. The Bills have not scored more than 16 points in three straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after failing to score at least 17 points in three straight games. Lastly, Buffalo is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. 20* NFL Blowout Bookie Buster with the Buffalo Bills (314) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (313). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (306) plus (or minus) the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (305). Kansas City (7-6) was once the toast of the league early in the season when they rattled off five straight victories — and we were bearish on them then. But now most bettors have jumped off the ole bandwagon as they have lost six of their last eight games while also only covering the point spread twice over those last eight contests. But that is an overreaction as well — and this Chiefs team should be very feisty in this rare situation where they are a home underdog. To make things even saltier for this Kansas City team, they are underdogs at home to a Chargers team that they have defeated seven straight times. I like what I saw with this Kansas City team last week where they defeated the Raiders by a 26-15 score as a 4.5-point favorite. Dominating both sides of the line of scrimmage helped the Chiefs get back to their winning ways — perhaps the entire team responded to the message head coach Andy Reid sent when he suspended starting cornerback Marcus Peters for losing control the previous week when he tossed an official’s penalty flag into the crowd. Rookie Kareem Hunt broke out of his slump by rushing the ball 25 times for 116 yards while adding another 22 yards in the air. The Chiefs rushed for 165 yards against the Raiders which helped them control the clock for 36:40 minutes — and they have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. KC held Oakland to just 70 rushing yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than 90 yards in their last contest. Additionally, the Chiefs ave covered the point spread in 5 straight games after both a straight-up win and after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Kansas City has covered the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. And in their last 9 games against AFC West opponents, the Chiefs have covered the point spread 8 times.

25* NFL Network Game of the Year with the Kansas City Chiefs plus (or minus) the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (303) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (304). Chicago (4-9) built some momentum for themselves last week with their 33-7 upset win in Cincinnati as a 6-point underdog. The Bears controlled the clock for this game as they had the football for 38:09 of this game which helped them churn out 482 yards of offense. This Time of Possession advantage helped them keep the Bengals off the field — and Cincy had just 234 yards of offense in that contest. Running back Jordan Howard ran the ball 23 times for 147 yards and two touchdowns — and this will be the formula for success against the Lions for this game. Detroit allows 116.3 rushing YPG which is 20th in the league. QB Mitch Trubisky is also playing better football as he gets more experience as the starter. Over his last two games, Trubisky has a nice 113.9 Passer Rating — and he is facing a Lions’ defense that has allowed opposing quarterbacks to dial up a strong 99.6 Passer Rating against them over their last six games. With the Chicago offense stabilizing, their strong defense can flex their muscles. For the season, the Bears rank 11th in the NFL by allowing only 325.5 total YPG. On the road, Chicago is giving up 15.8 PPG along with 317.2 total YPG. The Bears have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the month of December. Chicago is also 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. The Bears will be playing with revenge from a 27-24 loss in Detroit back on November 19th. Chicago is still 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Lions which suggests this will be another close game.

Detroit (7-6) enters this game coming off their 24-21 win in Tampa Bay last Sunday. But the Lions are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Detroit did generate 434 yards of offense in that game — but they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. But the Lions defense surrendered 440 yards to the Bucs who averaged 6.1 Yards-Per-Play — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after allowing their last opponent to average at least 6.0 YPP. Detroit returns home where they are just 2-4 this season while being outgained by -43.8 net YPG. The Lions have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home in Ford Field. Lastly, Detroit is just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games in the month of December. 10* NFL Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Chicago Bears (303) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (302) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (301). Indianapolis (3-10) has lost four straight games after they lost in Buffalo on Sunday in that blizzard by a 13-7 score in overtime. The Colts did show grit in that game by rallying from those challenging conditions to tie the game in the 4th quarter to force overtime. The Colts have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 32 of their last 46 games after a straight-up loss. Indianapolis has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. They have also 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last contest. Indy managed only 227 yards of offense in that setback on Sunday — but they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. This Colts team has still covered the point spread in 29 of their last 39 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 15 appearances on Thursday Night Football, Indianapolis is 12-2-1 ATS.

Denver (4-9) snapped their eight-game losing streak last Sunday with their 23-0 shutout upset win over the Jets as a 1-point underdog. Look for this Broncos team going absolutely nowhere this season to suffer a letdown on this short week. As it is, they are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up win. Denver is also 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. To compound matters, the Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a victory by at least two touchdowns. And in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game, Denver is just 0-3-1 ATS. Now the Broncos go back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games. Denver has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 7 games against fellow AFC opponents, the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread 6 times. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Indianapolis Colts (302) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (134) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (133). New England (10-2) enters this game coming off their 23-3 win in Buffalo last Sunday. But the team will be without tight end Rob Gronkowski in this game which takes away Tom Brady’s security blanket. Brady’s numbers are markedly better with Gronkowski on the field. In his career, Brady completes 66% of his passes while averaging a robust 8.0 Yards Per Passing Attempt with a 5.29:1 touchdown to interception ration and a QB Rating of 79. But in games without Gronkowski, Brady sees those numbers drop to a 62% completion percentage with a 7.0 YPA mark and a 2.95:1 TD to interception ratio and a QBR of 63. Furthermore, South Beach has not been Brady’s favorite place to play as the Patriots are scoring just 23.8 PPG in his fifteen starts in Miami while Brady has gotten sacked 32 times while throwing 13 interceptions. Brady was also limited in practice this week after taking some shots to the body by the Bills — and this game shapes up to be very physical after the Dolphins were very chippy a few weeks ago in their 35-17 loss in New England back on November 26th. Moving forward, the Patriots have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record on the road.

Miami (5-7) looks to build off their 35-9 win over Denver last week as a 1-point underdog. The Dolphins are then 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a point spread victory. The Miami offense has steadily improved this season. They generated 367 yards against a still solid Broncos defense last week — and they are then 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Over their last three games, the Dolphins are scoring 25.2 PPG while averaging 349.0 total YPG. Some of the improvements on offense has been the improved play of QB Jay Cutler. But  some of this success can be attributed to the development of second-year running back Kenyon Drake. The former Alabama player ran the ball 23 times last week for 120 yards. Miami looks to avenge their loss to the Patriots a few weeks ago back on their home field where they are holding their visitors to just 20.8 PPG along with only 286.0 total YPG. The Dolphins have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 4 games in the month of December, Miami has covered the point spread all 4 times. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Miami Dolphins (134) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (133). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Baltimore Ravens (131) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (132). Baltimore (7-5) has won three straight games — as well as four of their last five contests — with their 44-20 win over Detroit last Sunday. This Ravens team is playing with confidence behind an outstanding defense and an improving offense that is finding themselves after being ravaged with injuries to start the season. Joe Flacco completed 23 of 36 passes against the Lions for 269 yards with two TD passes to lead the offense for 370 total yards. Baltimore is then 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Ravens defense has allowed only 400 yards only once this season — and that was their game in London with those unique travel situations. Baltimore will be playing their revenge on their minds after losing by a 26-9 score at home to the Steelers back on October 1st. Flacco has won two of his last three starts in Pittsburgh while leading his team to score 80 combined points in that contest. Baltimore has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games against fellow AFC North opponents. The Ravens are also 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, Baltimore is 3-0-1 ATS.

Pittsburgh (10-2) comes off a physically and emotionally draining game with the Bengals last week which they survived by a 23-20 score in Cincinnati against the Bengals. And this team has a showdown with the Patriots on deck next Sunday which will likely determine the top seed in the AFC Playoffs. In fact, even if the Steelers lose this game, a win over New England next week likely gives them the tie-breaker over the Patriots. While that is not to say that Pittsburgh does not want to beat their arch rivals in this Baltimore team again — but it might impact how head coach Mike Tomlin views things if some players get hurt in this game. As it is, the Steelers are just 2-5-1 ATS when playing on a short week on a Sunday after a game on Monday Night Football. The Steelers are without some important players in this game as well. Star linebacker Ryan Shazier will not play for the rest of the season after he was carted off the field for his hit that injured his spine. The team is already without cornerback Joe Haden who has been dealing with a fibula injury for weeks — and his absence has exposed the Pittsburgh secondary to big plays that even Andy Dalton has been able to expose. Wide receiver Juju Smith-Schuster is also out for tonight as he is serving his one-game suspension for his hit and taunt on Vontaze Burfict in that game on Monday. The absence of Smith-Schuster takes away a big-play option for Big Ben Roethlisberger while his defense is giving up more and more of these plays. The Steelers have allowed nine passing plays of more than 40 yards which is 6th worst in the league this season. They have allowed their last two opponents to average 6.14 and 6.09 Yards-Per-Play in their last two games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after allowing at least 6.0 YPP in two straight games. Roethlisberger does tend to struggle against the Ravens. In his last eleven starts, he has just a 4-7 record while tossing just 13 touchdowns and throwing just as many interceptions. And while Pittsburgh has won seven straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games along with failing to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after winning at least five straight games. With this being a very challenging sandwich situation for a team that has seemed to not meet their high expectations (despite their great record), expect this to be another close game for the Steelers. 25* NFL AFC North Game of the Year with the Baltimore Ravens (131) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (132). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Philadelphia Eagles (127) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (128). Philadelphia (10-2) looks to bounce-back from their 24-10 upset loss at Seattle as a 3.5-point favorite last Sunday night. The Eagles did not rush for at least 100 yards for the first time since the opening week of the season in that game. But this team should have benefited from the playoff atmosphere from that game. This is a business trip for this Philly team that stayed out west for this game — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. The Eagles did dominate the yardage battle as they generated 425 yards against the Seahawks defense while outgaining them by +115 net yards. Philadelphia has then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Philly defense has been playing quite well as they have allowed only 69 combined yards for a 13.8 PPG average. The offense will get tight end Zach Ertz back on the field for this game after he was unable to finish the game on Sunday. The Eagles have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC opponents. Philadelphia has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 10 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, the Eagles have covered the point spread 8 times.

Los Angeles (9-3) looks to build off their 32-16 win over Arizona last week. The Rams won that game despite getting outgained by the Cardinals in that contest — a 41-yard interception return for a touchdown helped make the difference in that game. In this showdown for first place in the NFC, there a couple of concerns I have about this Los Angeles offense. For starters, QB Jared Goff lacks the mobility and athleticism of the Eagles’ Carson Wentz — and Goff will be facing a tough pass rush from the Eagles. Secondly, Todd Gurley’s productivity has decreases as he has not rushed for 100 yards in five straight games while managing only one touchdown over that span. Those are not encouraging items for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and this includes three straight failures to cover the spread when that Over/Under range tightens to the 45.5 to 49 margin. Lastly, Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of December. 20* NFL Eagles-Rams Fox-TV Special with the Philadelphia Eagles (127) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (128). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (121) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (122). Los Angeles (6-6) has won three straight games with their 19-10 win over Cleveland as a 13.5-point favorite. The Chargers were actually outgained the lowly Browns by -138 net yards as they generated only 291 yards. A +2 net turnover margin helped make up for a defense that surrendered 429 yards of offense to DeShone Kizer and company. That defense allowed five big plays of at least 25 yards in that game. Los Angeles has then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after a straight-up win — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. The Chargers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last contest. This team stays at home where they have little home field advantage given their still lack of familiarity with that field and few supporters in the LA area. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 5 games in the month of December, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in all 5 games.

Washington (5-7) has had extra time to rest and prepare for this game after their 38-14 upset loss in Dallas as a 1.5-point favorite back on November 30th. The Skins have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Washington has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Now the Skins get to play the role of spoiler in the AFC Playoffs — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the month of December. And in their last 17 games on the road, Washington has covered the point spread in 12 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 95-29-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Washington Redskins (121) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (122). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (121) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (122). Los Angeles (6-6) has won three straight games with their 19-10 win over Cleveland as a 13.5-point favorite. The Chargers were actually outgained the lowly Browns by -138 net yards as they generated only 291 yards. A +2 net turnover margin helped make up for a defense that surrendered 429 yards of offense to DeShone Kizer and company. That defense allowed five big plays of at least 25 yards in that game. Los Angeles has then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after a straight-up win — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. The Chargers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last contest. This team stays at home where they have little home field advantage given their still lack of familiarity with that field and few supporters in the LA area. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And int heir last 5 games in the month of December, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in all 5 games.

10* NFL play on Washington. Best of luck for us-- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (107) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (108). Cincinnati (5-7) plays this game coming off a short week in what resulted in a 23-20 loss at home to the Steelers. That was a very physical game with plenty of emotions involved in that heated rivalry. That sets this underachieving Bengals team to suffer a big letdown when now facing this mediocre Bears team. Cincinnati had won their previous two games to make their record look better — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after winning two of their last three games. Furthermore, the Bengals have covered the point spread in four straight contests — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in at least contests. This is a banged up football team playing on a short week. Joe Mixon, Vontaze Burfict and Dre Kilpatrick have all been declared out for this game. Furthermore, favorites laying 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range who have won two of their last three games now facing a team with a winning percentage in the 25-40% range have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of the last 37 situations (78%) where these conditions applied.

Chicago (3-9) has lost five straight games with their 15-14 loss to San Francisco last week. The Bears have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. And while they allowed 388 yards to the 49ers, they are then 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. This Chicago team will challenge the Bengals physically — they have a solid defense with a good offensive line. Chicago has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games with the Total set in the 35.5 to 42 point range — and this includes covering the point spread in four straight road games with the Total set in that range. Lastly, the Bears have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against AFC opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 43-15-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Chicago Bears (107) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Carolina Panthers (116) plus the point(s) versus the Minnesota Vikings (115). Carolina (8-4) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last week with their 31-21 loss in New Orleans as a 5.5-point favorite. The Panthers have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Carolina has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Additionally, New Orleans outgained them by 121 yards in that game — but this franchise has covered the point spread in 26 of their last 37 home games after being outgained by at least 100 yards in their last game. And while the Panthers allowed the Saints to pass for 252 yards, they are then 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. This team has been playing good football as of late with Cam Newton fully healed from a shoulder injury that slowed him down to begin the season. He is averaging a whopping 7.0 Yards-Per-Carry over his last seven contests while completing throwing to the wind those rumors in the offseason that he would not be running the ball anymore. A healthy Greg Olsen is back on the field to offer Newton his favorite passing target as well. Returning home will help after the Panthers have played their last two games on the road — and Carolina has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing their last two games on the road. And in their last 11 games with the Total set in the 35.5 to 42 point range, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 9 of these games. Carolina has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games as the underdog. Finally on the Panthers side of the equation, they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

20* NFL play with Carolina plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (107) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (108). Cincinnati (5-7) plays this game coming off a short week in what resulted in a 23-20 loss at home to the Steelers. That was a very physical game with plenty of emotions involved in that heated rivalry. That sets this underachieving Bengals team to suffer a big letdown when now facing this mediocre Bears team. Cincinnati had won their previous two games to make their record look better — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after winning two of their last three games. Furthermore, the Bengals have covered the point spread in four straight contests — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in at least contests. This is a banged up football team playing on a short week. Joe Mixon, Vontaze Burfict and Dre Kilpatrick have all been declared out for this game. Furthermore, favorites laying 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range who have won two of their last three games now facing a team with a winning percentage in the 25-40% range have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of the last 37 situations where these conditions applied.

10* NFL play on Chicago plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (130) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (129). There will be plenty of emotion in the Meadowlands this afternoon as the proverbial Prodigal Son in Eli Manning returns to the starting lineup in a stadium that will be full of Eli jerseys in the wake of the firing of Giants’ head coach Ben McAdoo along with their general manager Jerry Reese. New York (2-10) has played two straight games on the road — as well as three of their last four contests. That long game at home was an upset win over the Chiefs. I look for this team to play inspired football under this situation — especially for interim head coach Steve Spagnola who represents Big Blue as the defensive coordinator for a Super Bowl Championship with Manning under center. This also is an opportunity for this team to play spoiler against the Cowboys while avenging a 19-3 loss in Dallas back on September 10th. The Giants look to bounce-back from their 24-17 loss at Oakland last week as a 10-point underdog. New York rushed for only 65 yards in that game after managing just 84 rushing yards in Washington the week before. But the Giants are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 tams after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in two straight games. Additionally, New York scored only 7 points in the first half of their game with the Raiders — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after failing to score more than a touchdown in the first half of their last game. Furthermore, the Giants have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as the underdog.

Dallas (6-6) snapped their three-game losing streak two Thursdays ago with their 38-14 upset win over Washington as a 1.5-point underdog. We had the Cowboys in that game so we were very happy with those results. However, without Ezekiel Elliott and his dynamic skills as both a runner but also a pass catcher and a blocker out of the backfield, this is a limited football team that depends on their ability to win the Time of Possession battle to keep their defense off the field. The Cowboys managed just 275 yards — and they were outgained by the Skins. QB Dak Prescott completed only 11 of 22 passes for 102 yards in that contest — and they are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after failing to pass for more than 150 yards in their last game. Dallas also covered the point spread for the first time in four games in that contest — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two of their last three games. Furthermore, the Cowboys are a rough 10-23-1 ATS in their last 34 games played on field turf. Dallas is also 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in the month of December — and a loss in this one would probably ruin their playoff chances. That is an ominous sign when considering that the visiting team has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams. And in their last 6 trips to the Meadowlands to face the Giants, the Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. 25* NFL NFC East Underdog of the Year with the New York Giants (130) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (129). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (102) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (101). Atlanta (7-5) faces a must-win situation as they find themselves outside the NFC Playoff picture after their 14-9 upset loss as a 2-point favorite to Minnesota on Sunday. But this Falcons team also had a 7-5 record at this point last season — and they, of course, went on to play in the Super Bowl. A tough strength of schedule has contributed to their disappointing results so far relative to their sky-high expectations. Atlanta has four NFC South opponents remaining to close out their schedule — so they still likely control their own destiny. The Falcons have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Atlanta has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games against NFC opponents — and they have also covered the point spread in five of their last seven games against fellow NFC South foes. Furthermore, the Falcons have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the month of December. And in their last 7 appearances on Thursday Night Football, Atlanta has covered the point spread in 6 of these games.

New Orleans (9-3) bounced-back from their 26-20 loss in Los Angeles to the Rams by defeating the Panthers last Sunday by a 31-21 score. The Saints have covered the point spread in ten of their last twelve games after covering that 5.5-point spread against Carolina — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after covering the point spread in at least six or seven of their last eight games. But there are some areas of concern for this team underneath their great run after dropping their first two games. Over their last three games, New Orleans has allowed 78 combined points as they are surrendering 26.0 PPG over that stretch. This Saints defense is middling against the run as they are 17th in the league by allowing their opponents to average 112.8 rushing YPG. The Falcons have a healthy Devonta Freeman back to join with Tevin Coleman in the backfield which should be able to exploit this Saints’ run defense. Furthermore, New Orleans has benefited from a favorable schedule since losing their first two games. While two games with Carolina were a challenge, they got to face the Packers with our Aaron Rodgers and the Lions completely beat up on both sides of the football along with non-playoff teams like Miami, Chicago, Tampa Bay, Buffalo and Washington. Lastly, New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games played on Thursday Night Football. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Year with the Atlanta Falcons (102) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) minus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Pittsburgh (9-2) has won six straight games with their 31-28 win over Green Bay last Sunday night as a big 14-point favorite. The Steelers now face a divisional rival in the Bengals that they defeated back on October 22nd. And while Cincinnati will be playing with revenge on their minds, Pittsburgh has won thirteen of their last fifteen trips to Cincinnati while scoring 26 PPG with Ben Roethlisberger starting under center. Furthermore, the Steelers are a whopping 16-3-2 ATS in their last 21 games in Cincinnati against the Bengals. Expect a big game from Pittsburgh as they get a chance to redeem themselves on national television after almost getting upset on national TV last week. The are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. And while the Steelers offense did generate 462 yards of offense last week, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 350 yards. Furthermore, Pittsburgh has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games in the month of December.

Cincinnati (5-6) has won two straight games with their 30-16 win over Cleveland as a 7.5-point favorite last week. The Bengals cranked up their ground game by rushing for 152 yards against the Browns defense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Cincy will have a difficult time coming close to replicating that rushing effort against this Steelers defense that is 6th in the NFL by holding opponents to just 96.0 rushing YPG. Cincinnati allowed 169 rushing yards against Cleveland — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last contest. Over their last six games, the Bengals are allowing their opponents average a whopping 146.2 rushing YPG. Lastly, Cincinnati is just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) minus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (378) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (377). Seattle (7-4) will be a home underdog for just the first time in five seasons tonight. The Seahawks have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 26 home games when getting 3.5 to 7 points. Seattle enters this game coming off their 24-13 win in San Francisco last week as a 7-point favorite. The Seahawks are on the outside looking in when it comes to the NFC playoff picture — so this is a game they really need to win. While they battered with injuries, this is still a veteran team with plenty of playoff savvy led by quarterback Russell Wilson. Seattle is 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games in the month of December.

Philadelphia (10-1) has now won nine straight games with their 31-3 victory over the Bears last week. The Eagles are certainly the toast of the NFL right now while ranking number one in most Power Rankings. But they have also benefited from a sweetheart schedule. Their last four opponents of Chicago, San Francisco, Dallas and Denver have a combined 12-32 record this season. Their best win this season was probably their 28-23 win at Carolina — and that is nice accomplishment but I am just not ready to book the hotel rooms for this team for the Super Bowl just yet. Seven of their first eleven games have been at home — so this is just their fifth game in a hostile environment. When playing on field turf as opposed to grass, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games. Philadelphia has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 meetings with the Seahawks. Together, these team trends produce our specific 46-18-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Seattle Seahawks (378) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (377). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (370) minus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (369). New Orleans (8-3) looks to bounce-back from their 26-20 loss at Los Angeles agains the Rams last Sunday. The Saints’ defense surrendered 415 yards in that contest — but they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The defense should be better this week with rookie Marcus Lattimore practicing this week and likely to take the field after missing last week. Now New Orleans returns home to the Big Easy where they have covered the point spread in a decisive 22 of their last 27 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Saints have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against NFC opponents — and this includes covering the spread in four straight games against NFC South foes.

Carolina (8-3) has won four straight games with their 35-27 win in New York against the Jets last week. The Panthers defense did give up 391 yards in that contest as Carolina was actually outgained by 92 yards. Carolina is just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing at least 350 yards and they will be without defensive lineman Charles Johnson for tonight’s contest as he has been suspended by the league. The Panthers have scored 45 and 35 points in their last two games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 30 points in two straight games. Carolina has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games in the month of December. Furthermore, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played in a dome. Lastly, while Carolina is looking to avenge a 34-13 loss to the Saints back on September 24th despite being a 5-point home favorite, they have then failed to cove the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when looking to avenge an upset loss to their opponents. 20* NFL Carolina-New Orleans Fox-TV Special with the New Orleans Saints (370) minus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (369). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (374) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (373). Los Angeles (8-3) has won five of their last six games with their 26-20 win over the Saints last week. The Rams generated 415 yards of offense in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Los Angeles goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against fellow NFC West opponents. Furthermore, LA has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games in the month of December. Additionally, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record.

Arizona (5-6) enters this game coming off their 27-24 upset win over Jacksonville last week as a 6-point underdog. The Cardinals dominated this game in terms of yardage as they outgained the Jaguars by +125 yards due to a stifling defense that held Jacksonville to only 219 yards of offense. QB Blaine Gabbert played very well as he completed 22 of 38 passes for 241 yards with a two touchdowns. Arizona has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games in the month of December. Additionally, the Cardinals are looking to avenge a 33-0 loss to the Rams from their first meeting in London back on October 22nd. Arizona has covered the point spread in a decisive 40 of their last 63 games when playing with same-season revenge — and they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games when looking to avenge a loss where they did not score more than two touchdowns. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Arizona Cardinals (374) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (373). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cleveland Browns (371) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (372). Los Angeles (5-6) seems to be everyone’s sleeper team in the AFC after winning their fifth game over their last seven games with their 28-6 win in Dallas back on Thanksgiving. But it is true that a team cannot be a “sleeper” if almost everyone go Woke on them. I still remember a Philip Rivers team that has blown eight 4th quarter leads since the 2015 season — so I do not consider them reliable double-digit favorites even against the lowly Browns. The Chargers held the Cowboys to just 168 yards in that last game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 250 yards in their last game. Now Los Angeles returns home to Stub Hub Stadium where they hold zero home advantage in an empty building. As it is, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And while the LA defense has been good at times this season, they still rank last in the league by allowing 133.5 rushing YPG. Furthermore, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of December.

Cleveland (0-11) showed some encouraging signs last week despite losing in Cincinnati by a 30-16 score. They were only outgained by 44 net yards which usually keeps teams within a touchdown or so margin of their opponents. They also won the first down battle so the biggest problem for the Browns was giving up big plays. Rookie quarterback had one of his best days in the NFL by completing 18 of 31 passes for 268 yards with no interceptions while adding 39 rushing yards with a touchdown. Kizer does get wide receiver Josh Gordon as a dynamic weapon at wide receiver — and it does sound like he has turned his life around. Head coach Hue Jackson has drawn up some plays to take advantage of Gordon’s great talent. Cleveland has covered the point spread in 5 straight games against the Chargers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 40-11 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, underdogs getting more than 10 points who have lost at least seven straight NFL games now facing an opponent that has won at least two straight games have then covered the point spread in 23 of the last 30 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Cleveland Browns (371) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (372). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (367) minus the points versus the New York Jets (368). Kansas City (6-5) has lost five of their last six games with their 16-10 loss at home to Buffalo last week despite being an 8.5-point favorite. The Chiefs were practically anointed as the Super Bowl Champions early in the season — and now they are being left for dead during this current swoon. The answer is somewhere in the middle for this team regarding what are reasonable expectations. The offense is struggling under QB Alex Smith — but the problems are not really his fault under closer analysis. In that loss to the Bills last week, Kansas City receivers dropped four catchable balls in their first six drives while offensive players blew assignments and committed penalties. Quite simply, the Chiefs need to decrease their mental mistakes — which they can do this week. KC has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. The Chiefs have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after not scoring more than 14 points in their last contest. And in their last 12 games on the road, Kansas City has covered the point spread in 9 of these games. Furthermore, these Chiefs are road warriors that have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games as the favorite. One last reason for optimism for this team: their Darrelle Revis Era starts this afternoon with their recently signed cornerback not only starting but assigned as one of Andy Reid’s captain’s for this game.

New York (4-7) has lost five of their last six games with their 35-27 loss to Carolina last week. The Jets have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. New York has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after losing at least three of their last four games. QB Josh McCown did complete 19 of 36 passes for 307 yards against the Panthers defense last week — but they are then 5-15-3 ATS in their last 23 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Lastly, in their last 8 games during Week 10 through 13 of the regular season, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 80-24-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Kansas City Chiefs (367) minus the points versus the New York Jets (368). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (362) minus the points versus the Houston Texans (361). Tennessee (7-4) enters this game coming off a 20-16 win in Indianapolis last week. The Titans defense flexed their muscles by holding the Colts to just 254 total yards while sacking Indy QB Jacoby Brissett eight times. Now this team returns home where their QB Marcus Mariota has won eight of his last ten starts. The Titans have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. This team will have something to prove this week as they look to avenge a rough 57-14 loss at Houston back on October 1st. The Texans’ DeShaun Watson did most of the damage on offense in that game but he is now lost for the season with his ACL injury. The home team has covered the point spread in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams. And in the Titans last 4 games when avenging a loss by at least four touchdowns against their opponents, Tennessee has covered the point spread in 3 of those occasions.

Houston (4-7) has lost five of their last seven games with their 23-16 loss at Baltimore on Monday as a 7.5-point underdog. The Texans now stay on the road for the second straight week — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record at home. QB Tom Savage was serviceable last week by completing 22 of 37 passes for 252 yards — but he threw two interceptions without tossing a touchdown pass against the Ravens. Savage misses wide receiver Will Fuller who serves as a nice complement to take pressure of DeAndre Hopkins. Additionally, Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow AFC South opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 22-5 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Blowout Bookie Buster with the Tennessee Titans (362) minus the points versus the Houston Texans (361). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (356) minus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (355). Atlanta (7-4) has won three straight games with their 34-20 win over Tampa Bay last week. The Falcons offense is starting to hum again like it did last season as they racked up 516 yards of offense against the Buccaneers defense. Over his last five starts, QB Matt Ryan has a 9:2 touchdown to interception ratio while generating a QB Rating over 107. He completed 26 of 35 passes for 317 yards with a TD pass last week — and Atlanta has then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last contest. The Falcons have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Atlanta has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a straight-up win. Additionally, the Falcons have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against fellow NFC opponents. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, Atlanta has covered the point spread 5 times.

Minnesota (9-2) has won seven straight games while covering point spread expectations in six straight contests after their 30-23 win at Detroit back on Thanksgiving. This might be the stumbling block for this team to see their winning streak snapped. The Vikings held the Lions to just 53 rushing yards in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. On offense, QB Case Keenum led an offense that generated 408 yards against the Detroit defense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 34 of their last 52 road games after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game. While Keenum has been a pleasant surprise, he does not seem capable to outduel Ryan playing in his house if it comes down to that in the 4th quarter. He is also missing his starting right tackle Mike Remmers who is out due to the concussion protocol. Furthermore, the Vikings have an issue with their place kicker Kai Forbath who has already missed five extra points this season — so he is not particularly reliable if this is a close game. Lastly, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after winning at least six straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in six straight games. 10* NFL Minnesota-Atlanta Fox-TV Special with the Atlanta Falcons (356) minus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (355). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (363) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (364). Indianapolis (3-8) looks to avenge a 27-0 shutout loss at home to these Jaguars back on October 22nd. The Colts have covered the point spread in 3 straight games when playing with revenge from a loss at home to their opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games when avenging a loss at home by at least two touchdowns to their opponent. Additionally, Indianapolis has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when avenging a loss by at least three touchdowns against their opponents. Furthermore, the Colts have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games when avenging a loss where they failed to score more than 9 points — and this includes covering their last three games in that situation. Indianapolis has lost two straight games as well as five of their last six contests after their 20-16 loss to Tennessee last week as a 3-point underdog. The Colts have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a loss by 6 points or less. Indianapolis has also covered the point spread in a decisive 32 of their last 44 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. The Colts have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after losing three of their last four games. Indy goes back on the road — but they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Jacksonville (7-4) looks to bounce-back from their 27-24 loss at Arizona last week despite being a 6-point favorite. While this team has an outstanding defense, the Achilles’ heel of this team continues to be the play of QB Blake Bortles. The embattled quarterback completed 19 of 33 passes but for only 160 yards with zero touchdown passes and an interception. Overall, the Jags produced only 128 passing yards in that game when taking into account lost yards from sacks — and the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to pass for at leas 150 yards in their last game. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Jacksonville returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games. The Jaguars have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Jacksonville has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 38.5 to 42 point range. And in their last 6 games after playing their last two games on the road, the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests. 25* NFL AFC South Underdog of the Year with the Indianapolis Colts (363) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (364). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (302) plus (or minus) the points versus the Washington Redskins (301). Washington (5-6) enters this game coming off a 20-10 win over the New York Giants as a 7-point favorite on Thanksgiving last week — but this injury-riddled team has still lost four of their last six games. The Skins have then failed to cover the points spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. Washington has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Skins have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Furthermore, Washington out-gained the Giants by +153 net yards in that contest — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after outgaining their last opponent by at least +100 yards. This team is just 2-3 on the road where they are being outscored by -2.4 net YPG — and they are losing the yardage battle by -68.8 net YPG given their defense that is surrendering 420.8 total YPG.

Dallas (5-6) has fallen on hard times after Ezekiel Elliott began serving his six-game suspension as they ave lost three straight games after their 28-6 loss to the Chargers last Thursday on Thanksgiving. The Cowboys’ offense has been a complete disaster as they have scored only a combined 22 points while failing to reach double-digits in all three of those games. Given that, it might be very tempting to take Washington (as most bettors are) — but this is a good situation to take the contrarian play with the Cowboys. I do expect the Dallas’ offense behind QB Dak Prescott to be much better with a full week of practice under their belts. Remember, the Elliott injury came at the very worst time in terms of the schedule with the Cowboys playing three games over an twelve day period. They simply did not have much time to address the problems with the offense after that Falcons game with the Giants coming to town just four days later. Furthermore, left tackle Tyron Smith has had a full week to getting healthier after the Dallas offense spent the entire first-half in their game last Thursday avoiding running the ball to his side. The Cowboys rushed for only 79 yards against the Chargers last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. And while Dallas surrendered 434 yards in that contest, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Lastly, the Cowboys have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Dallas Cowboys (302) plus (or minus) the points versus the Washington Redskins (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (275) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (276). Houston (4-6) snapped their three-game losing streak last week with their 31-21 win over Arizona as a 2.5-point favorite. The consistent characteristic of this Texans team continues to be that head coach Bill O’Brien always has this team prepared and usually gets the most out of his talent despite seemingly always being ravaged with injuries. QB Tom Savage made some very nice throws against the Cardinals defense — he was 22 of 32 for 230 yards with two touchdown passes. Overall, Houston generated 357 yards against Arizona — and they are 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And while the Texans have lost four of their last six games, they have then covered the point spread in a decisive 41 of their last 68 games after losing four or five of their last six games. Additionally, Houston has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games played on turf. And in their last 4 road games as the underdog, the Texans have covered the point spread in 3 of these games.

Baltimore (5-5) has won two of their last three games with their 23-0 shutout at Green Bay last Sunday. The Ravens are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. And while Baltimore has covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then failed to cover point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. The Ravens allowed 75 rushing yards to the Packers which was actually the highest amount they have surrendered over their last three games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in at least two straight games. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Baltimore returns home — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing their last two games away from home. This team is not a reliable favorite when being asked to lay around a touchdown. The Ravens are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 10 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points, Baltimore has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these contests. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Houston Texans (275) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Green Bay Packers (273) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). These are too many points to pass up in this situation — even with Aaron Rodgers not playing for the Packers. Pittsburgh (8-2) finally demonstrated the vast potential that many pundits feel they possess back on November 16th when they crushed the Colts by a 40-17 score as 7-point favorites. Yet they only outgained Indianapolis by 27 yards. It was a +4 net turnover margin that helped the Steelers dominate that game. But Pittsburgh has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. And the Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games when installed as a double-digit favorite. Additionally, Pittsburgh has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games in the month of November.

Green Bay (5-5) has something to prove after being shutout last week in a 23-0 blanking at the hands of Baltimore. That Ravens team has shut out two other teams this season — so the Packers do have some company in that regard. Green Bay has lost four of their last five games as they continue to struggle without Rodgers — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing you of their last five games. The Pack has only covered the point spread once in their last five games — but they have also covered the point spread in 33 of their last 50 games on the road after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. I am not sure how they will score points against this stout Steelers defense but that is the job of Super Bowl winning head coach and offensive coordinator Mike McCarthy. QB Brett Hundley three three interceptions in that loss so eliminating those mistakes will go a long way to keep Green Bay competitive in this game. Green Bay needs to commit to running the ball more as well after managing just 75 rushing yards against the Ravens. Remember, in their previous game in Chicago against a good Bears defense, the Packers ran the ball 37 times for 160 yards in a 23-16 upset victory. The Packers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. The Green Bay defense did limit Baltimore to only 58 rushing yards — and they are then 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Packers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 road games as the underdog. While it certainly looks scary to take this Packers team without Rodgers against the mighty Steelers, it is the sound fundamental play for this situation. Lets embrace the Philadelphia 76ers and “trust the process.” 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Month on the Green Bay Packers (273) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Rams (268) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (267). New Orleans (8-2) won their eighth straight game this season in spectacular fashion as they rallied from an 18-point deficit at one point along with a 15-point hole with three minutes to go to eke out a 34-31 win in overtime over Washington. The Saints are the hottest team in the NFL but they cannot continue to live life on the edge like that. Now they play this game without their two starting cornerbacks with both Marcus Lattimore and Ken Crawley declared out for this game. Their absence will make things very difficult when facing this high-powered Rams offense that scores 30.3 PPG. The Saints may be due for a letdown here as they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after winning at least six straight contests. And while New Orleans has covered the point spread in seven of their last eight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after covering the spread in six or seven of their last eight contests. Furthermore, the Saints have scored at least 30 points in their last three games but have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games after scoring at least 25 points in their last three games. New Orleans has averaged 474.7 total YPG over those three games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after averaging at least 450 YPG over their last three contests. And in their last 4 road games when favored by no more than a field goal, the Saints have failed to cover the point spread 3 times.

Los Angeles (7-3) looks to bounce-back from their 24-7 loss in Minnesota last week that snapped a four-game winning streak. That setback should have afford rookie head coach Sean McVay a very attentive group of players this week in practice. The Rams had covered the point spread in their previous two games before that loss to the Vikings as a small 1-point underdog. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Additionally, the Rams are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 56-21-1 ATS team trends for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Los Angeles Rams (268) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (267). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (270) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (269). Jacksonville (7-3) has won four games in a row after their 19-7 win in Cleveland last week as a 7.5-point favorite. The Jaguars have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of the last 5 games after a point spread victory. Jacksonville has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Defense has been leading the way for this team — they held the Browns to only 184 yards of offense. But the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after not allowing more than 200 yards in their last game. Furthermore, Jacksonville has failed to cover the points spread in 8 of their last 9 games against fellow NFC opponents.

25* NFL Game of the Month with Arizona plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (266) plus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (265). Seattle (6-4) has lost two of their last three games with their 34-31 loss at home to Atlanta last Monday as a 1-point underdog. The Seahawks have then gone 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Seattle has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. This defense is ravaged with injuries with Richard Sherman out the year with his ACL tear and Kam Chancellor out with a neck injury which pretty much dismantles their Legion of Boom. The Seahawks did generate 360 yards against the Falcons defense but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Seattle goes back on the road where they are just 2-6-1 ATS — and they have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Seahawks are also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in the month of November. And in their last 5 games against NFC West opponents, Seattle is just 1-3-1 ATS.

San Francisco (1-9) has had an extra week to rest and prepare for this game after their 31-21 win over the Giants as a 3-point underdog back on November 12th. That was not only their first win of the season but also their first point spread victory in their last four games. The 49ers have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Rookie C.J. Beathard looked very good as he completed 19 of his 25 passes for 288 yards with two TD passes. In fact, Beathard looked so good that there are no plans to start Jimmy Garappolo in this game — but he is likely available to play in relief (and back door point spread covers). San Francisco has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The 49ers played the Seahawks very tough in Seattle back on September 17th in a narrow 12-9 loss back in the Brian Hoyer quarterbacking days. San Francisco has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC West opponents. 10* NFL Seattle-San Franciso Special with the San Francisco 49ers (266) plus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (265). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Jets (262) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (261). Carolina (7-3) is riding high coming off their bye week after a dominant 45-21 win on national television for Monday Night Football against the woeful Dolphins back on November 13th. But with a showdown with the Saints on deck next week, don’t be surprised if this Panthers’ team comes out a bit lethargic. As it is, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Cam Newton completed 21 of 35 passes for 254 yards and numerous Super Man poses — but the Panthers have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Tight end Greg Olsen is returning to the offense for this team — but they lost their rookie slot back Curtis Samuel to a season-ending injury last week which does take away an important weapon for Newton.

New York (4-6) comes off their bye week as well after their 15-10 loss in Tampa Bay back on November 12th. The Jets art then 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. New York has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after their bye week. Head coach Todd Bowles has squelched any talk of this Jets team tanking this season after a host of questionable offseason moves as his group of players play hard every week. They return home where they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games at home against teams with a winning record on the road. This season, the Jets have a winning 3-2 record at home while outgaining their opponents by +44.2 YPG. The New York defense is tough when playing on their home field as they limit their visitors to just 19.2 PPG along with totaling just 320.8 YPG. Their defense should keep them competitive in this game. Lastly, the Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 46-9-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the New York Jets (262) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (261). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (259) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (260). Atlanta (6-4) returns home after their triumphant 34-31 win in Seattle for Monday Night Football. Don’t be surprised if this Falcons team suffers a big emotional letdown after that victory. The win was huge for this organization considering that head coach Dan Quinn is a disciple of Pete Carroll while playing an integral part in winning a Super Bowl with the franchise as their defensive coordinator. Teams are often flat the week after playing the physical Seahawks — and playing on a short week after the long flight back from the northwest part of the country does not help that situation. As it is, Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 53 games at home after scoring at least 30 points. The Falcons have won and covered the point spread in two straight games after their 27-7 win over a free-falling Cowboys team without Ezekiel Elliott two weeks ago — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 43 home games after winning at least two straight games and they have failed to cover the point spread in 33 of their last 46 home games after covering the point spread in two straight contests. Additionally, the Atlanta run defense is a concern for this team as they are allowing opponents to average 4.5 Yards-Per-Carry — and their last three opponents have averaged a whopping 5.4 YPC. On the other side of the football, the Falcons will be without their top running back Devonta Freeman who remains out due to the concussion protocols. That makes Atlanta precarious favorites laying more than a touchdown. The Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games as a favorite laying 7.5 to 10 points.

Tampa Bay (4-6) has won two straight games with their 30-20 win in Miami last Sunday as a 1-point favorite. The Buccaneers have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after both a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 28 of their last 39 games on the road after a game where at least 50 points were scored. The Bucs had lost five games in a row before their recent winning streak with Jameis Winston on the bench nursing his shoulder. Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 32 road games after losing five or six of their last seven games. Lastly, the Buccaneers have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 road games with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. 20* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (259) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (260). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (112) minus the points versus the New York Giants (111). Washington (4-6) looks to bounce-back from their heartbreaking 34-31 overtime loss in New Orleans last Sunday. The Skins have rebounded to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a straight-up loss. That loss may have cost this Washington team a realistic shot of making the playoffs — but after being riddled with injuries all season, one consistent characteristic of this group which has been epitomized by QB Kirk Cousins has been their resiliency. Look for the benefit of playing this game at home on a short week to help this team tonight where they are outgaining their opponent by +60.4 net YPG. The Skins have played two straight high-scoring games where 65 and 68 combined points have been scored — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing at least two straight games where at least 30 combined points were scored. Washington did allow 375 passing yards last week to the Saints — but they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. And while the Skins have not covered the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then covered the point spread in 36 of their last 59 games after failing to cover the spread in five or six of their last seven games — including three straight. Washington has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games in the month of November. The Skins have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. And they will be looking to avenge a 19-10 upset loss to the Giants back on January 1st despite being a 9.5-point favorite in that game.

New York (2-8) responded to personal meetings and pleas from head coach Ben McAdoo last week as they pulled a 12-9 upset in overtime as a 10-point underdog to Kansas City last week. That snapped a three-game losing streak but it looks to difficult for this team to keep up that level of intensity in a lost season when now playing on the road on a short week when they all would rather be celebrating Thanksgiving. As it is, the Giants have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread win. New York has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. And while the Giants benefited from a +2 net turnover margin against the Chiefs, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a net turnover margin of +2 or more in their last game. That is not a good characteristic for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points. Furthermore, New York has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against fellow NFC opponents. Additionally, the Giants have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Lastly, while the Skins are hit hard with injuries, the situation for McAdoo’s team may be worse with Justin Pugh and D.J. Fluker out on what was already a suspect offensive line headlining their rash of injuries on both sides of the football. 25* NFL NFC East Game of the Month with the Washington Redskins (112) minus the points versus the New York Giants (111). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (110) plus (or minus) the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (109). Dallas (5-5) looks to pick themselves off the mat on a short week after their 37-9 loss on Sunday night against the Eagles. The Cowboys have rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a loss at home by at least three touchdowns. Dallas endured a -4 net turnover margin in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a game where they had a net turnover margin of -4 or worse. The Cowboys have also covered the point spread in 27 of their last 41 games after allowing at least 35 points in their last game. This loss came on the heels of their 27-7 loss in Atlanta. The Cowboys have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after two straight losses by at least two touchdowns — and they have covered the point spread in 3 straight games after failing to score double-digits in two straight games. I did wait until this morning to make my final call on this game as I awaited the status on left tackle Tyron Smith who has been the last two games. The Twitter Machine gave signs that Smith was planning on playing this afternoon — and the lack of contradicting information makes me think he will take the field to bolster this Cowboys offensive line. His presence will help both the rushing attack as well as protect QB Dak Prescott who has been sacked 12 times in the last two games. It is not often that Dallas finds themselves as home underdogs as they do given the line movement on this game — and they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 34 games as a home dog getting 7 or less points. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Cowboys have covered the point spread 5 times.

Los Angeles (4-6) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 54-34 blowout win over the Bills on Sunday. The Chargers were the beneficiaries of the Nathan Peterman Interception Show as the rookie threw five interceptions (to my grave frustration still expecting a conservative game plan from the Bills with their strong defense and rushing attack). Now everywhere I turn, this Los Angeles team is the trendy pick to catch the Kansas City Chiefs and win the AFC West. Don’t be surprised if this team suffers an emotional letdown on the road on this short week. As it is, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a straight-up win. Los Angeles is also 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Chargers gained 429 yards against the Bills defense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Run defense is a serious issue for this team as they rank last in the NFL by allowing 138.9 rushing YPG. The formula for success for Dallas is to get back to rushing the football behind a capable veteran runner in Alfred Morris against this suspect run defense that helps their opponents control the Time of Possession for over 31 Minutes Per Game. The Chargers surrendered 393 yards of offense last week — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. 20* NFL LA Chargers-Dallas CBS-TV Special with the Dallas Cowboys (110) plus (or minus) the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (109). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (107) minus the points versus the Detroit Lions (108). Detroit (6-4) has won three straight games with their 27-24 win at Chicago on Sunday as a 3-point favorite. The Lions won that game despite being outgained by 46 yards in that contest. Detroit scored on a 27-yard fumble recovery for a touchdown to overcome that yardage differential — and they were fortunate to see the Bears miss a game-tying field goal as regulation time expired. Frankly, the Lions have benefited from facing three of the worst QBs in the league right now in rookie Mitch Trubisky with the Bears along with Deshone Kizer against the winless Browns and Brett Hundley with the Packers. Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. QB Matthew Stafford has clearly raised his play to another level over the last few seasons. And the team has a great kicker in Matt Prater. But, man, that is about it. The Lions’ run defense has collapsed with the season-ending injury to defensive tackle Haloti Ngata. Over their last two games, they have allowed 423 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns — and they have allowed six rushing touchdowns over their last three games. The Detroit run defense has also allowed seventeen rushes of more than ten yards in their last two games after allowing just twelve rushes of more than ten yards in their first eight games of the season. The Bears rushed for 222 yards against them last week — and the Lions have then failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 27 home games after allowing at least 175 yards in their last game. Then on offense, this team remains completely a mess when it comes to attempting to establish a credible rushing attack. The Lions are only rushing the football in 40% of their offensive plays — and they are averaging just 3.4 Yards-Per-Carry. The lack of a fullback and their reliance on a tight end in Eric Ebron who is not a good blocker has left this team reliant on a thin offensive line and a set of running backs who lack size. This is a terrible mix when now facing a stout Vikings defense that ranks 5th in the NFL by allowing 290.5 total YPG. The Lions did gain 352 yards against Chicago last week — but they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And in their last 7 games at home, Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests.

Minnesota (8-2) will be facing a Lions’ team that defeated them last Thanksgiving by a 16-13 score. Detroit has won their last four games on Thanksgiving — but this will be motivated Vikings team that looks to destined for the playoffs that will be looking to avenge a 14-17 loss to this Lions team back on October 1st. Minnesota has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road game when playing with revenge from a loss where they scored no more than 14 points. The Vikings enter this game coming off a 24-7 win over the Rams — and they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 28 games after a straight-up win. Minnesota has also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games against teams with a winning record. Look for the Vikings ground game to run all over this Lions’ run defense that is faltering without Ngata anchoring things in the middle. The Vikings rushed for 171 yards against the Rams — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Together, these team trends produce our specific 96-22 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Minnesota-Detroit Fox-TV Special with the Minnesota Vikings (107) minus the points versus the Detroit Lions (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (476) plus (or minus) the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (475). Seattle (6-3) has won five of their last six games with their 22-16 win at Arizona back on November 9th. This Seahawks team is battered with injuries with Richard Sherman and like Kam Chancellor likely out the season. But the team still has QB Russell Wilson and the group does have the benefit of having eleven days off to rest and prepare for this game. Seattle has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And while the Seahawks have held their last two opponents to just 34 and 51 rushing yards in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 home games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in each of their last two games. Seattle is also 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in the month of November. And in their last 11 games played on Monday Night Football, the Seahawks are 8-2-1 ATS.

Atlanta (5-4) has won two of their last three games after their defeated a depleted Cowboys team last week by a 27-7 score. Dallas is simply a weak football team without the services of running back Ezekiel Elliott and left tackle Tyron Smith — so that win needs to be taken with a few grains of salt. We have the Falcons in that game (our 25* NFC Game of the Month) so were very happy with their blowout victory — but Atlanta has then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Atlanta has also played failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Additionally, the Falcons held the Cowboys to just 233 yards of offense in that victory — and they have then gone 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. And in their last 5 games on the road, Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-28-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Game of the Month is with the Seattle Seahawks (476) plus (or minus) the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (475). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (474) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (473). Dallas (5-4) limps into this game coming off an ugly 27-7 loss in Atlanta last week. I am well aware of the challenges this Cowboys team faces this week with losses of key personnel. Dallas is not only without running back Ezekiel Elliott who is serving the second game of his six-game suspension. The Cowboys are also without their best defensive player in Sean Lee along with perhaps the best left tackle in the game in Tyron Smith. Chaz Green attempted to take his place last week and failed miserably as the Falcons registered eight sacks in that game — that was one of the reasons why Atlanta was our 25* NFC Game of the Month. Green will not be relied on at left tackle in this game — but don’t be surprised if he is still on the field perhaps as a third tight end with the Cowboys looking to add blockers on the offensive line in this game. Dallas is in trouble with their missing pieces, the Elliott suspension and this now being the first of three games over the next eleven days over the Thanksgiving Holiday. Expect the Cowboys to come out as the proverbial “wounded animal” and play very well with their season on the line. Dallas has rebounded to cover the point spread in 34 of their last 52 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. And while the Cowboys had won their previous three games before their loss to Atlanta last week, they have then covered the point spread in 35 of their last 52 games after winning three of their last four games. And in their last 13 home games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points, Dallas has covered the point spread in 9 of these contests.

Philadelphia (8-1) has won seven straight games after their 51-23 win over Denver back on November 5th. The bye week may have come at the worst time for this Eagles team that has been almost universally heralded as the best team in football. As it is, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after their bye week. And while the Eagles held the Broncos to just 226 yards of offense, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 yards in their last game. Philadelphia had scored at least 34 points in their last three games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after scoring at least 30 points in three straight games. Moving forward, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the month of November. And in their last 6 games against fellow NFC foes, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. 10* NFL Philadelphia-Dallas NBC-TV Special with the Dallas Cowboys (474) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (473). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Oakland Raiders (472) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (471). Oakland (4-5) will be playing with a strong sense of desperation given their 4-5 record in the AFC playoff race. They enter this game coming off their 27-24 win in Miami back on November 5th. The Raiders should benefit from the extra week off to rest and prepare for this game — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after their bye week. Oakland did surrender 395 yards of offense against the Dolphins — but they are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Raiders did shut down the Miami rushing attack as they managed only 86 rushing yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, Oakland is 3-1-1 ATS.

New England (7-2) enters this game coming off 41-16 win at Denver last Sunday night. The Patriots have been practicing in Colorado Springs all week to get used to the higher altitude with this game being played on a neutral field in Mexico City. The Raiders have an advantage here having played and won a game in Mexico City last year against the Texans. New England has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games played in Weeks 10-13 of the regular season where they tend to become overvalued by zealous bettors. Asking the Pats to cover the point spread by at least a touchdown on a neutral field against a desperate team that was in the playoffs last year might be too much to ask. Lastly, the Raiders are supported by an empirical underdog angle that has been 75% effective over the last ten seasons. Oakland has been beaten by the point spread by 56.5 combined points over their last seven games — and underdogs in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range who have been beaten by the point spread by at least 49 points over their last seven games have then covered the point spread in 27 of the last 36 games if playing in the month of November. 10* NFL New England-Oakland CBS-TV Special with the Oakland Raiders (472) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (471). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (470) minus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (469). Denver (3-6) has lost five straight games after their embarrassing 41-16 loss to New England last Sunday night. The Broncos were only outgained by 57 yards in that game which typically indicates a closer game — but everything went wrong for this Denver team that blew this game (and our big play with the Under) due to terrible special teams play. John Elway labeled his team “soft” after that game — and his calling out his personnel should motivate the team to erase their losing streak and get back into the winning column as they are all playing for their jobs. As it is, the Broncos have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss at home by at least three touchdowns. And while Denver has not covered the point spread in six of their last seven games, the Broncos have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Denver has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. And while the “No Fly Zone” defense allowed Tom Brady to pass for 266 yards in that game, the Broncos have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Despite giving up 92 points in their last two games, this Denver defense still ranks 5th in the NFL by allowing only 293.6 total YPG.

Cincinnati (3-6) has lost two games in a row themselves with their 24-20 loss at Tennessee last week. This is the Bengals’ third straight game on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games away from home. This Cincinnati team is struggling on both sides of the football. Over their last four games, the Bengals are averaging just 227.8 total YPG. On defense, Cincy allowed the Titans to generate 180 rushing yards en route to their 416 total yards. The Bengals have ten failed to her the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Cincinnati was outrushed by 127 yards to Tennessee in that loss — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after getting outrushed by at least 75 yards. 3rd Down defense has also been an issue for this team as they have allowed their last three opponents to convert on 55.1% of their 3rd downs. This is a terrible spot for a team falling in the wrong direction on the road for a third consecutive week. 25* NFL AFC Game of the Month on the Denver Broncos (470) minus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (469). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (467) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (468). Buffalo (5-4) looks to pick themselves off the mat after their humiliating 47-10 loss at home to New Orleans last week. The Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a loss by at leas two touchdowns. Head coach Sean McDermott has decided to bench Tyrod Taylor to go with rookie Nate Peterman as his starting quarterback with the hope that the team can get off to better starts on offense with Peterman’s ability to throw the ball down the field to improve their vertical passing game. The former Pittsburgh Panthers’ QB completed 7 of 10 passes for 79 yards and a TD in relief against the Saints last week. Buffalo only had 129 passing yards last week — but they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Bills finished with just 198 yards of total offense last week — and they are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. 

Los Angeles (3-6) has lost two straight games after they blew a late lead in Jacksonville with their 20-17 loss to the Jaguars. The Chargers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. The Los Angeles defense surrendered 398 yards to Blake Bortles and the Jags’ offense — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Veteran QB Philip Rivers has passed the concussion protocol for this game — but the team has lost four games decided by 3 points or less under his leadership after losing a bunch of close games last season. The Chargers rushed for just 87 yards in that loss — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. The Chargers do return home but that has not been an advantage as they have not been able to attract a large following of fans to attend games at the StubHub Stadium. They have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. 10* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Buffalo Bills (467) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (468). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (460) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (459). Minnesota (7-2) has won five straight games with their 38-30 win at Washington as a 1-point favorite last Sunday. The Vikings have then covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 32 games after a point spread victory. Minnesota is getting inspired play from QB Case Keenum who might have played his best game as a professional last week by completing 21 of 29 passes for 304 yards and four TD passes. The Vikings have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while the stout Minnesota defense surrendered 394 yards in that contest, they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Since Week 4 of the regular season, the Vikings are allowing only 270 YPG which is second best in the NFL. Now Minnesota returns home where they have covered the pint spread in 21 of their last 27 games which includes covering the point spread in ten of their last eleven home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Los Angeles (7-2) has won four games in a row with their 33-7 win over the Texans last Sunday. The Rams generated 443 yards in that victory — but they have then failed to cove the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The final score was not indicative of just how close that game was (or could have been) with a Houston team that could not get anything going on offense with Tom Savage at QB. Los Angeles went into halftime with just a 9-7 lead — and they only won the first down battle by a 19-17 margin. The Rams have benefited from a light strength of schedule so far this year. Their two losses to Seattle and Washington featured team with explosive threats at wide receiver. This LA defense will be challenged this afternoon by Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs in Vikings’ wide receiving group. Moving forward, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 expected close gams where ethyl were listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, Los Angeles is just 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games against fellow NFC opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 118-29-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Rams-Vikings Afternoon Special with the Minnesota Vikings (460) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (459). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (452) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (451). Chicago (3-6) looks to bounce-back from their 23-16 upset loss at home to Green Bay last week as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bears have rebounded to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. They are getting better play out of rookie QB Mitch Trubisky who completed 21 of 35 passes for 297 yards and a TD pass against the Packers defense. In his last two starts at home in Soldier Field, Trubisky has averaged a 9.62 Yards-Per-Passing-Attempt ratio along with a Passer Rating of 99.7. Chicago remains a tough team when playing at home as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in five straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bears have also covered then point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games in the month of November, Chicago has covered the point spread 6 times.

Detroit (5-4) enters this game coming off their 38-24 victory over Cleveland last week. The Lions are then just 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Detroit has not been very good against the Bears against which they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 encounters. QB Matthew Stafford is just 3-5 against the Bears in his eight starts in Chicago while passing for just nine TD passes but throwing 11 interceptions and getting sacked 21 times. To compound matters, the Lions are struggling to stop the run as they have allowed 136.8 rushing YPG in their last four games. Detroit will also be without defensive lineman Ziggy Ansah who is out with an injury for this game. Moving forward, the Lions have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record. And in Detroit’s last 14 games played on grass, they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of these contests. Together, these team trends produce our specific 78-24-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NFL NFC North Underdog of the Month with the Chicago Bears (452) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (451). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Pittsburgh Steelers (312) minus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (311). Pittsburgh (7-2) has won four straight games with their 20-17 win at Indianapolis last week as a 10.5-point favorite. The Steelers are then 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Now Pittsburgh returns home after playing their last two games on the road — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on their home field at Heinz Field. Surprisingly, the Steelers have twice as many games on the road as they have at home where they will be playing just their fourth game this season. But Pittsburgh is outgaining their opponents by +132.3 net YPG at home this season based on a stout defense that is holding their opponents to only 243.0 total YPG. The Steelers boast an underrated defense that is allowing just 16.4 PPG along with only 284.4 total YPG which are both 2nd best in the league. Le’Veon Bell rushed for just 80 yards on 26 carries in that game as the Steelers managed just 88 yards in that game — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. This team did flex their muscles on defense as they held the Titans to just 267 total yards of offense. Now Mike Tomlin’s team plays on a short week — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on Thursday Night Football.

Tennessee (6-3) has also won four straight games with their 24-20 win over Cincinnati last week as a 4.5-point favorite. But the Titans are just 14-36-2 ATS in their last 52 games after a straight-up win. Tennessee generated 416 yards of offense in that contest — but they are then 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Titans did allow 255 passing yards in that victory — but they are then 8-20-3 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Despite their 6-3 record, Tennessee is being outscored this season while only outgaining their opponents by +0.4 net YPG. They have played three of their last four games at home but now they go on the road where they are being outscored by -6.3 PPG while being outgained by -43.7 net YPG. The Titans offense has particularly struggled when away from home as they are scoring just 18.2 PPG on the road while averaging only 260.5 total YPG. Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games on the road. And in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning record at home, the Titans have failed to cover the point spread 9 times. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Month with the Pittsburgh Steelers (312) minus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (311). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (275) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (276). Carolina (6-3) looks to build off their 20-17 upset win over Atlanta last Sunday. The Panthers eked out the game despite being outgained by -25 net yards to the Falcons. Despite winning two straight games, this Carolina team has scored only 40 combined points over their last three games. Running back Jonathan Stewart is averaging only 2.8 Yards-Per-Carry over those three games. Moving forward, the Panthers are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread win. And while the Panthers allowed 355 yards to the Falcons, they are then just 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games. Furthermore, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home.

Miami (4-4) looks to bounce-back from their 27-24 loss to the Raiders last Sunday night. Despite the loss, the Dolphins did show some signs of like on offense by generating 395 yards of offense. QB Jay Cutler played his best game in a Dolphins uniform by completing 34 of 42 passes for 311 yards and 3 touchdown passes. Getting wide receiver DeVante Parker healthy and back on the field certainly helped as he caught 5 passes for 76 yards. Miami is 2-0-2 ATS in their 4 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. The Dolphins allowed 379 yards in that contest — and they are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Miami did hold the Raiders to just 84 rushing yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after holding their last opponent to no more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Dolphins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of November. Together, these team trends produce our specific 41-14-7 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Miami-Carolina ESPN Special with the Miami Dolphins (275) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (274) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (273). New England (6-2) returns to action after their bye week coming after their 31-13 win over the Los Angeles Chargers as a 6.5-point favorite two weeks ago. The Patriots is a precarious road favorite laying close to a touchdown. New England has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 trips to the Mile High City to face the Broncos. Furthermore, in their last 6 games in the month of November, Denver is just 1-4-1 ATS.



Denver (3-5) should be playing with a chip on their shoulder after their ugly 51-23 loss at Philadelphia last week as a 7-point favorite. That was the Broncos third straight game on the road — and they looked flat and tired early in that game after playing on a short week for Monday Night Football. Now this team returns home where they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games. It all starts with this defense playing better after surrendering 419 yards to the Eagles. Denver has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. And while they allowed 197 rushing yards last week to Philadelphia, they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Denver Broncos (274) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (273). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (270) minus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (269). Atlanta (4-4) looks to bounce-back from their 20-17 upset loss on the road at Carolina last week as a 3-point underdog. The Falcons finally return home back to their new Mercedes-Benz Stadium after playing the last three games on the road. Julio Jones practiced this week and should be in better health for this team that really needs a signature win to rebuild their mojo. Despite last week’s loss to the Panthers, this Atlanta team is still in fine shape in the NFC playoff race with a 4-1 record against NFC opponents and five games remaining still against their NFC South rivals. The Falcons have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against fellow NFC rivals. They need to get their ground game going after rushing for just 53 yards last week. Atlanta has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. The Falcons defense surrendered 201 rushing yards to Carolina — but they are then 37-14-1 ATS in their last 52 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game.

Dallas (5-3) will be playing their first game without running back Ezekiel Elliott who finally begins serving his six-game suspension. I have no doubt that the other Cowboys players will step up in his absence. But it will be very difficult to replicate his productivity. In his 24 games with Dallas since turning pro, Elliott has averaged 24 touches per game for 130 yards from scrimmage while averaging one touchdown and seven first downs per game. Over their last five games, the Cowboys are converting 50% of their 3rd downs with Elliott playing a key role in that success. Not only is Elliott a good runner but he is a solid blocker against the pass rush while being a great receiver out of the backfield. Alfred Morris is a solid professional replacing him but he is simply not a receiving threat as he has caught only four balls wearing a Cowboys uniform after catching just six balls in his time with Dallas. Furthermore, the Cowboys have suffered a major injury with their All-Pro left tackle Tryon Smith out for this game. In general, bettors overreact to the impact of injured players (as I told clients worried about the injuries to the Ohio State linebackers yesterday morning). But injuries in the NFL are beginning to have more of an impact (and it is one of the reasons that I more often delay my final decisions on some of Sunday selections). The loss of Smith is devastating not only because he is an All-Pro but because his backup Chaz Green is kind of a disaster — and he is being asked to play left tackle which is a far cry from his normal position as a backup guard. This Cowboys’ team entered the year without the same depth on offensive line as they enjoyed last season. Dallas comes off a triumphant 28-17 win over Kansas City last week. The Cowboys (with Elliott) generated 375 yards against the Chiefs defense — but they are then 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And while Dallas allowed 255 passing yards last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Cowboys have covered the point spread in three straight games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 road games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. 25* NFL NFC Game of the Month with the Atlanta Falcons (270) minus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (269). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (267) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (268). Los Angeles (6-2) has played two games that were nearly perfect as they followed up their 33-0 shutout win over Arizona with a 51-17 shellacking of the Giants in New York. Now as a double-digit favorite approaching two touchdowns, the Rams are ripe for a flat performance. QB Jared Goff completed 14 of his 22 passes for 311 yards while leading his team to 473 yards of offense. But Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game — and they are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games after passing for at least 250 yards. Now this team returns home where they are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as the host team — and they are also 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Rams are just 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games in the month of November.

Houston (3-5) has lost two games in a row with their 20-14 loss to Indianapolis last week as a 6-point favorite in their first game without QB DeShaun Watson. The Texans have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Houston is also a decisive 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Additionally, the Texans have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after losing two straight games. Look for the team to play smart and hard to keep this game closer than expected. Lastly, Houston has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games on the road as an underdog. 10* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Houston Texans (267) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (268). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (251) minus the point(s) versus the Washington Redskins (252). Washington (4-4) pulled off a minor miracle last week in traveling to Seattle and seeing Kirk Cousins orchestrate a late rally to steal a 17-14 upset win over the Seahawks despite being an 8-point underdog. The Skins won that game despite being outgained by 193 yards of offense. Washington managed only 244 yards of offense against the Seahawks last week after generating only 285 yards of offense the previous week against the Cowboys — and they are just 3-12-3 ATS in their last 18 games after failing to gain more than 250 yards in their last game. This Skins team has been ravaged with injuries — particularly on the offensive line. And while this team is starting to get healthy again, they are ripe for a big letdown after the long trip back east. Washington has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Skins have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. And in their last 6 games at home, Washington has failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

Minnesota (6-2) will be rested and refreshed for this game after enjoying their bye week after their 33-16 win at Cleveland in London back on October 29th as an 11-point favorite. The Vikings have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 games after a point spread victory. Minnesota has also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a straight-up win. This team continues to get good play out of QB Case Keenum who is improving under center in offensive coordinator Pat Shurmer’s offense. Keen completed 27 of his 43 passes against the Browns for 288 yards and two TD passes. He led an offense that generated 375 yards in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 38 of their last 53 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Over their last four games, the Vikings are averaging 132 rushing YPG. The play of the Minnesota defense has been even better. They are the only team in the NFL that is in the Top Five in Yards-Per-Play Allowed and Points Allowed per Drive. The Vikings’ defense ranks 3rd in the NFL by holding their opponents to just 16.9 PPG. And in their last four games, Minnesota has allowed only 59 combined points for a 14.8 PPG average. Defense travels — so expect the Vikings to cover the point spread against the Skins. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Minnesota Vikings (251) minus the point(s) versus the Washington Redskins (252). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (262) plus the point(s) versus the New York Jets (261). Tampa Bay (2-6) has been one of the big disappointments in the NFL this season. Perhaps being the subject of HBO’s Hard Knocks contributed to this team mistaking their potential with actual accomplishments. This team laid an egg last week on the road in New Orleans in 30-10 loss where QB Jameis Winston was acting strange both before the game in a licking his fingers rallying cry to taking part in some antics with opposing players. That led to a scuffle that eventually got wide receiver Mike Evans kicked out and suspended for this game. But I think hitting rock bottom will help this team this week. Winston is out for at least this week to rest and heal his bum shoulder after the proverbial visit to Dr. Andrews in Birmingham. Backup QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has been capable in his absence as he has a Passer Rating go 95.7 while tossing four TDs to just two interceptions and completing 62.5% of his passes. The Buccaneers managed only 200 yards last week to the Saints but they have then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. Tampa Bay allowed 407 yards to New Orleans — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Bucs are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games in the month of November.

New York (4-5) returns to the football field after their upset 34-21 win over Buffalo two Thursdays ago. It is surprising to see the Jets as a road favorite midway through the season when they were considered by many to be at risk of going 0-16 after an uninspiring offseason. The Jets allowed only 63 rushing yards to the Bills in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Now New York goes back on the road where they have committed seven turnovers in four games while allowing 398.5 total YPG. The Jets are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. Lastly, this New York team has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games played in November. 20* NFL Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (262) plus the point(s) versus the New York Jets (261). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Chargers (257) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (258). Jacksonville (5-3) enters this game coming off their triumphant 23-7 win over Cincinnati last week as a 6-point favorite. The Jaguars have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Jacksonville has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Jaguars held the woeful Bengals to just 136 passing yards along with just 148 total yards of offense. The Jacksonville defense is great — but they are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game while also being 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.

Los Angeles (3-5) looks to bounce-back from their 31-13 loss in New England back on October 29th as a 6.5-point underdog. The Chargers will benefit from the extra week of rest and preparation for this game. This team had been on a three-game winning streak before stumbling against the reigning Super Bowl Champions. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Led by Malcolm Gordon, the Chargers rushed for 157 yards against the Chargers — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. On defense, this team is 4th in the league in sacks led by rising star Joey Bosa. The Chargers have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in five of their last six road games against teams with a winning record at home. Together, these team trends produce our specific 62-23-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Road Warrior Wipeout with the Los Angeles Chargers (257) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (258). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (264) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (263). Buffalo (5-3) looks to bounce-back from their 34-21 loss in New York against the Jets two Thursdays ago back on November 2nd. This is a key game on the Bills’ schedule with two road games against the Chargers and Chiefs following up before a showdown back at home against the Patriots. This team adds two nice weapons on offense with wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin set to play his first game with the team along with tight end Charles Clay returning from his injury. The Bills only rushed for 63 yards against the Jets but these added pieces to the passing game should help open up the running game. Buffalo is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games at home.

New Orleans (6-2) has won six straight games with their 30-10 win over Tampa Bay last week as a 7-point favorite. And while the Saints have covered the point spread in all six of those games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. New Orleans has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after winning six straight contests. Now the Saints go on the road to play in what will be cold weather in Buffalo that will likely dip under 40 degrees by the 4th quarter. QB Drew Brees has lost seven of his last ten starts in cold weather. Lastly, New Orleans has actually failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played on field turf with perhaps bettors slow to recognize that their formula for success is running the football rather than the speed game in their Super Bowl run that thrived indoors of the fast turf. 10* NFL Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Buffalo Bills (264) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (263). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (111) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (112). Seattle (5-3) looks to bounce-back from their 17-14 loss as an 8-point favorite on Sunday against Washington that snapped a four-game losing streak. This team is banged up with a host of players questionable for tonight while their safety Earl Thomas already declared out for this game with a hamstring injury. But I still look for the Seahawks to rally around each other to win this game decisively. Seattle has rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after suffering an upset loss as the favorite. And while the Seahawks have not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. This team still has QB Russell Wilson who has led this team to 437 and 479 yards in their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after gaining at least 375 yards in each of their last two games. And Seattle has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in Weeks 10-13 of the regular season under head coach Pete Carroll. The Seahawks have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 appearances on Thursday Night Football. And in their last 4 trips to Glendale to face the Cardinals, Seattle has covered the point spread in all 4 games.

Arizona (4-4) has won two of their last three games with their 20-10 loss at San Francisco as a 2.5-point favorite. But the Cardinals have then played to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. And while this team has covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. With a backup QB in place with Drew Stanton in for the injured Carson Palmer and running back Adrian Peterson being relied on despite being on a short week after carrying the ball a remarkable 37 times on Sunday, this team may struggle on offense. Now they return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games. The Cardinals have also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of November. And in their last 7 appearances on Thursday Night Football, the Cardinals have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests. Together, these team trends produce our specific 98-27 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Seattle-Arizona NBC-TV Special with the Seattle Seahawks (111) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (112). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Green Bay Packers (474) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (473). Green Bay (4-3) has had an extra week to rest, recuperate many of their injuries and install a better game-plan for QB Brett Hundley after their 26-17 loss to New Orleans back on October 22nd. In Mike McCarthy we trust on this one as we look for his offensive coaching staff with him to have developed schemes that can better take advantage of Hundley’s skill set. The former UCLA QB has talent — and he should also benefit from the extra few days of preparation. The Packers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after their bye week. This Green Bay team did rush for 181 yards against the Saints defense — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. The Packers also have work to do on the defensive side of the football after giving up 485 yards to New Orleans — but they have covered the point spread in 38 of their last 54 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Being at home in Lambeau Field gives them a big advantage as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Green Bay has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC North opponents.

Detroit (3-4) has lost three straight games with their 20-15 loss at home to Pittsburgh last Sunday night as 3-point underdogs. The Lions have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread setback. This team also allowed 392 yards to the Steelers — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Detroit travels back to Lambeau Field which has been a House of Horrors for this franchise. In Matthew Stafford’s last six starts in Green Bay, he has lost five of these games — and Stafford has overseen only three victories in his thirteen career starts against the Pack. Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in Green Bay. And although the door is wide open for this team in the NFC North with the Aaron Rodgers and Sam Bradford injuries along with the Bears starting a rookie QB, this is a franchise that never is able to step and meet the challenge at hand. The Lions have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games against NFC North opponents. Detroit has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games on the road against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record, the Lions have failed to cover the point spread 7 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 104-37 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Detroit-Green Bay ESPN Special with the Green Bay Packers (474) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (473). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (472) plus the points versus the Oakland Raiders (471). After a brutal afternoon (and Saturday) being on the wrong of too many blowouts, some may say that it takes a brass set to back on another bad team. In this instance for Sunday Night Football, both teams have significant flaws — but it is Miami (4-3) that comes off the humiliating 40-0 loss at Baltimore two Thursdays ago in a game reminiscent of what we saw this afternoon. Most bettors don’t want to bet on bad teams as if that is the question the proposition of the point spread line is asking. Even if they sometimes get the answer right, most bettors lose in the long run because they are asking the wrong question regarding the nature of the point spread proposition. The job of the professional handicapper is to identify the correct question and then offer the likely answer. In this instance, we can’t let some terrible results from some bad teams this afternoon influence how we view tonight’s game (although don’t be surprised if a flood of action on the Raiders comes in tonight as both the favorite and the team that did not get blown out in their last game). This too shall pass — and while results will vary, consistency in the methodology regarding how to handicap these games pays dividends. For tonight, the more appropriate question is this: are home teams hitting close to rock bottom in their previous game more or less likely to win or be within a field goal or so against another struggling an underachieving team? Like Thursday night with a surprising Jets team, I look for the Dolphins to play one of their best games of the season. Head coach Adam Gase took a stand with his roster this week after trading their starting running back Jay Ajayi for his consistent inability to learn the playbook for his pass-blocking assignments. Miami will be fine in their backfield with a good young running back in Kenyan Drake taking over as the lead back. Jay Cutler comes back to be under center this week and he will get his best passing target back in DeVante Parker. Matt Moore was unable to run this offense as he passed for just 176 yards last week while leading the offense to just 196 yards in Cutler’s absence against the Ravens. The Dolphins have covered the point spread in 3 straight games after failing to gain at least 200 yards — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after failing to pass for at least 150 yards. Additionally, while Miami has trailed in their last three games by at least one touchdown at halftime, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 games when that has been the case. I take into consideration these team trends because they help to define the personality of a team and a franchise.

Oakland (3-5) is a precarious road favorite as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Raiders have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. They have lost five of their last six games after their 34-14 loss at Buffalo last Sunday. The Raiders have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Oakland was out rushed by 112 yards to the Bills in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after being outrushed by at least 75 yards. This lack of a credible ground game has forced the Raiders to rely on Derek Carr who has passed for 313 and 417 yards in each of his last two games. But Oakland has then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after they passed for at least 300 yards in two straight games. Lastly, the Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against the Bills. Together, these team trends produce our specific 102-24 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Oakland-Miami NBC-TV Special with the Miami Dolphins (472) plus the points versus the Oakland Raiders (471). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (470) minus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (469). Dallas (4-3) has likely had a focused week of practice this week with the expectation that they would be without Ezekiel Elliott who looked to begin his six-week suspension for this game. The rest of this team knows they will need to step up their level of play and pick up the slack with Elliott not available. The fact that Elliott’s suspension has been delayed once again in the courts serves as a big bonus for this team that needs to secure as many wins as they can before eventually losing Elliott which remains likely this season. The Cowboys enter this game coming off a 33-19 win at Washington last week as a 3-point favorite. Dallas has then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread win. This Cowboys offense is clicking on all cylinders as they have scored at least 30 points in four straight games. Dallas has covered the point spread in 9 of their lsat 12 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Elliott ran the ball 33 times last week against the Skins for 150 yards and 2 TDs. Dallas generated 169 rushing yards in that contest — and they are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Elliott and company should thrive when facing this suspect Chiefs run defense that ranks 28th in the NFL by allowing 131.1 rushing YPG. The Cowboys return home after two straight wins on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after winning two straight games on the road. They are just 1-2 in AT&T Stadium this year — but they are outgaining their visitors by +84.3 net YPG.

Kansas City (6-2) snapped a two-game losing streak on Monday with their 29-19 win over the Broncos. That result was a bit deceptive with the tone of that game started with an early 45-yard interception return for a touchdown. The Chiefs lost the first-down battle by a 23-16 margin while getting outgained by a 364 to 276 mark. Defense is a significant issue with this team as they rank third-to-last in the NFL by allowing 392.2 total YPG. Kansas City allowed 177 rushing yards to the Broncos in their victory — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games are allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. The Chiefs have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Lastly, Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games played on the first Sunday after playing on Monday Night Football. Together, these team trends produce our specific 53-20-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Kansas City-Dallas CBS-TV Special with the Dallas Cowboys (470) minus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (469). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (451) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (452). Philadelphia (7-1) is the hottest team in the league right now having won six straight games after their 33-10 win over San Francisco last Sunday. With the team now adding Jay Ajayi from Miami, the Eagles look primed to make a Super Bowl run. But underneath the surface, this still looks like a vulnerable team. They only managed 304 yards of offense against the 49ers and it was a late 37-yard interception return for a touchdown that changed the tenor of a game that was close and low-scoring in the first half. The season-ending injuries to left tackle Jason Peters and linebacker Jordan Hicks will also hurt this team when they face better competition. The Eagles have won their last two games by double-digits after their 10-point win over Washington the previous week. But Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after winning two straight games at home by double digits. And while the Eagles held rookie QB C.J. Beathard to just 238 yards of total offense last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing no more than 250 yards in their last game. That game with the 49ers finished below the 45 point Total as well — and Philly has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 7 games in the month of November, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these games.

Denver (3-4) looks to bounce-back from their 29-19 loss at Kansas City for Monday Night Football. The Broncos allowed an early 45-yard fumble recovery for a touchdown that set the tone for that game. Denver actually won the first down battle by a 23 to 16 margin while outgaining the Chiefs by 88 yards in that game. A -3 net turnover margin did the Broncos with QB Trevor Siemian throwing three interceptions. That is why Siemian has been benched with Brock Osweiler now under center. No, Osweiler will not make Denver fans think they are witnessing the resurrection of John Elway although he did play well in relief in a handful of starts for Peyton Manning in their Super Bowl year a few years ago. Remember when some were calling for Osweiler to stay as the starting QB in the playoffs even when Manning got healthy again? Osweiler’s biggest assignment is not to turn the ball over to let this outstanding Broncos defense flex their muscles like they did against the potent Chiefs defense who managed only 276 yards on Monday. Denver leads the NFL by allowing only 261.0 total YPG. Moving forward, the Broncos have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in a Sunday game after playing on Monday Night Football. And while this team has failed to cover the point spread in their last 3 games, they have then covered the point spread in 3 straight games after failing to cover the point spread in 3 straight contests. Denver did rush for 177 yards against the Chiefs defense — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after rushing for at least 150 yards. Additionally, the Broncos have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games as an underdog. They have also covered then point spread in 13 of their last 21 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Lastly, Denver has covered the point spread in 4 straight meetings with the Eagles. Together, these team trends produce our specific 69-27-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Denver Broncos (451) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (452). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (457) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (458). Jacksonville (4-3) has won two of their last three games with their 27-0 shutout win at Indianapolis back on October 22nd. The inconsistent Jaguars team is just 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 28 after a win by at least two touchdowns. And in their last 4 games after not allowing more than 14 points, Jacksonville has failed to cover the point spread in all 4 games. Now this team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home against teams with a losing record. While this team plays great defense, they are an unreliable favorite when asked to lay close to a touchdown.

Cincinnati (3-4) has won three of their last four games with their 24-23 win over Indianapolis last Sunday. That game finished above the 44 point Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. This team needs to get their ground game going after managing only 58 rushing yards on 21 carries against the Colts. The Bengals have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. Cincinnati has not rushed for more than 86 yards since gobbling up 110 yards five games ago on the road at Green Bay. The Bengals have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in four straight games. Cincinnati can lean on their defense that ranks 5th in the NFL by holding teams to just 295.0 total YPG. Defense travels which makes this team capable road warriors and explains why the Bengals have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. And in their last 8 road games with the Total set in the 38.5 to 42 point range, Cincinnati has covered the point spread 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 99-37-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Road Warrior Wipeout with the Cincinnati Bengals (457) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (458). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (454) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (453). Los Angeles (5-2) has won two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 33-0 shutout victory over Arizona last week as a 3-point favorite. This success has prompted the Rams to be a road favorite of at least a field goal in this contest — but that is a precarious position for this young team to be in. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Additionally, LA held the Cardinals to just 196 yards in their shutout — but they are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing no more than 250 yards in their last contest. And while QB Jared Goff led the offense to accumulate 425 yards, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Now this team goes back on the road where they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in all 5 games.

New York (1-6) has had an extra week to recuperate and prepare for this game after their 24-7 loss against Seattle back on October 23rd. The Giants have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. New York is also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a point spread loss. And while the Giants managed just 177 yards of offense against the Seahawks, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to generate at least 250 yards of offense. This team is a mess with injuries all over the place. This offense will have to run the ball more while utilizing their tight ends like they did in their upset victory over Denver and their top statistical defensive unit in the league. The Giants have covered the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 8 games in the month of November, New York is 5-2-1 ATS. Together, these team trends produce our specific 68-16-5 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the New York Giants (454) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (453). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (455) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (456). Tampa Bay (2-5) will be playing with desperation this afternoon after they were upset last week against another divisional rival at home against Carolina as a 1.5-point favorite. The Buccaneers have lost four in a row with critics blaming the old canard regarding this team lacking an “identity” on offense. A healthier Jameis Winston will help as he has been banged up over the last few weeks. The good news is that Winston has practiced more this week than he has since getting injured and he claims he is feeling better. Tampa Bay has rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a double-digit loss at home. The Buccaneers have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Tampa Bay also needs to get their running game going with Doug Martin back from his suspension. The Bucs have not rushed for more than 90 yards in each of their last four contests — and they have then covered the point spread in 23 of their last 33 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in at least three straight games. Tampa Bay is 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games in the month of November. The Buccaneers are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 30 road games after losing five or six of their last seven contests, Tampa Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 21 of these contests.

25* NFC South Game of the Month with Tampa Bay plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the New York Jets (308) plus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (307). Buffalo (5-2) has won two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 34-14 win over Oakland on Sunday as a 2-point favorite. Look for a letdown from this team as they travel on the road for the first time since October 8th. The Bills are just 1-2 on the road where they are scoring just 14.0 PPG while averaging just 226.0 total YPG. Buffalo has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Bills have also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Buffalo rushed for 166 yards against the Raiders defense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. And that rushing effort was after they rushed for 173 yards against the Buccaneers the previous week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in two straight contests. Both those games were at home — and Buffalo averages a mere 3.2 Yards-Per-Carry on the road and totaling a mere 89 rushing YPG in those three games. Furthermore, the Bills have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow AFC East opponents.

New York (3-5) has lost three straight games with their 25-20 loss to the Falcons Sunday as a 6.5-point underdog. The Jets had won three straight games before this losing streak where they blew 14-point leads to both the Patriots and the Dolphins before entering the 4th quarter with a lead against Atlanta before letting that game go. The Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread win. Furthermore, New York has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 25 games at home after a loss. The Jets are playing pretty tough football on their home field where they are outgaining their opponents by +49.2 net YPG. They have covered the point spread in 5 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 10* NFL Bills-Jets NFL Network Special with the New York Jets (308) plus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (307). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (273) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (274). Denver (3-3) looks to get back to their winning ways tonight in an important divisional game. Fifteen days ago, the Broncos were generally considered one of the top five teams in the NFL. But after their 23-10 loss to the Giants for Sunday Night Football, Denver followed that up with a listless 21-0 loss in Los Angeles against the Chargers as a 1-point favorite. Look for this team to rebound with one of their strongest efforts of the season. The Broncos have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after suffering two straight double-digit losses. Denver has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a loss by at least three touchdowns to a divisional rival. And in their last 25 games after a straight-up loss, the Broncos have covered the point spread 17 times. Denver has certainly spent time on the offensive side of the football after being shut out last week. Defense is not a problem as this team leads the NFL by holding their opponents to just 258.1 total YPG which is the best mark in the league. This defense is also very familiar with Andy Reid, Alex Smith and this Chiefs’ offense. The Broncos have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 trips to Kansas City. Furthermore, Denver has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games as an underdog.

Kansas City (5-2) looks to bounce-back from their 31-30 loss in Oakland as a 1-point favorite for last week’s Thursday Night Football. The Chiefs surrendered 505 yards of offense to the Raiders in that game as they continued to struggle and defense with an aging group that really misses Eric Berry who suffered a season-ending Achilles’ injury. Kansas City is 30th in the league by allowing 396.3 total YPG — and this porous defense has actually made the Chiefs get outgained by -3.9 net YPG which betrays their winning record. Kansas City is winning games in large measure because they are not turning the ball over - in fact, they have not committed a single turnover since their first play of the season where Kareem Hunt fumbled the football in New England. That is simply not sustainable and helps to make the Chiefs an unreliable favorite laying around a touchdown against a desperate divisional rival. As it is, Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Chiefs have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games are allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Lastly, Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 45 point range. 25* NFL Game of the Month with the Denver Broncos (273) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Detroit Lions (272) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (271). Pittsburgh (5-2) was impressive last week in their 29-14 win over AFC North rival Cincinnati. The Steelers have bow won two straight games — but consistency remains an issue for this team that is susceptible to letdowns. Pittsburgh was very flat in their losses to Jacksonville and Chicago this season. The Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after winning at least two straight games. They are giving the ball to LeVeon Bell more as he has rushed the ball 67 times for 313 yards over the last two games. The Lions do have a good run defense as they rank 7th in the NFL by holding teams to just 94.3 rushing YPG. And while Pittsburgh has outrushed their last two opponents by 81 and 166 yards respectively, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after out-rushing their last two opponents by at least 75 yards in each contest. Furthermore wide receiver Martavis Bryant is unlikely to play in this game as he was banished to the scout team this week after making disparaging comments on social media about a teammate — so Ben Roethlisberger has one less of his weapons at his disposal for this game.

Detroit (3-3) looks to bounce-back from their 52-38 loss in New Orleans two weeks ago as a 6-point underdog. The Lions were a beat up football team entering that game so the extra week to rest and recuperate should be a boon for this team. Detroit has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a bye week. The Lions have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Detroit rushed for only 66 yards in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. Lastly, the Lions are supported by an intriguing situational angle I find apt for this game. Detroit is 8th in the NFL by scoring 26.8 PPG — and teams listed in the +/- 3-point range who score 23-27 PPG and come off a game where at least 50 combined points were scored now facing a team that allows 14-18 PPG (Pittsburgh defense: 16.6 PPG) have then covered the point spread in 25 of the last 31 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL Pittsburgh-Detroit NBC-TV Special with the Detroit Lions (272) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (271). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (269) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (270). All seemed right in the world again at least for a few hours when Dallas (3-3) crushed the 49ers in San Francisco last Sunday with their 40-10 victory as a 6.5-point favorite. But the Cowboys have been consistently inconsistent under head coach Jason Garrett. Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. The Cowboys have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. And while they gained 501 yards in that win over the 49ers, Dallas has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Now they travel to the nation’s capital where they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games against the Skins.

Washington (3-3) is playing on a short week after their 34-24 at Philadelphia on Monday as 5-point underdogs. The Skins have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Washington has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games when playing with six days or fewer of rest. And while they only rushed for 75 yards against the Eagles, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards. The Skins are a M*A*S*H unit right now with seventeen players on their injured list earlier this week. But this is a crucial game for this team in keeping their wildcard playoff chances alive. The weather will likely be nasty in Washington as well. Look for the Skins to do what is necessary to win an ugly game. 10* NFL Dallas-Washington Fox-TV Special with the Washington Redskins (269) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (270). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (263) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (264). Indianapolis (2-5) was embarrassed last week by being shut out by the Jaguars in their 27-0 loss last Sunday as a 3-point underdog. The Colts have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. Indianapolis has also covered the point spread in 30 of their last 41 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, while Indy managed only 232 yards of offense in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards. Furthermore, the Colts have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after failing to score at least 15 points in their last game. They travel to Cincinnati to face a Bengals team that is just 1-2 on their home field — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 37 games against teams with a losing record overall, Indianapolis has covered the point spread 27 times.

Cincinnati (2-4) looks to bounce-back from their 29-14 loss at Pittsburgh last week in a game where they managed only 179 yards of offense while surrendering 420 yards to the Steelers. Call me old-fashioned, but I do not trust teams as double-digit favorites after games where they were outgained by 241 yards. Pittsburgh rushed for 152 yards in that game — and the Bengals have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. This Colts team has rushed for 38 first downs along with 8 touchdowns this season so they should find success running the ball against this Cincinnati defense. Forcing turnovers has been the other glaring weakness for this team as they only have four of them this season. Because of that, the Bengals have suffered -2 net turnover margins in each of their last two games —and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after playing two straight games with a -2 or worse net turnover margin. Expect Indy to keep this game close. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Indianapolis Colts (263) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (264). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (259) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (260). The team with the best record in the league faces off against the team that is tied for the worst record in the NFL — and the price is high for bettors to take this Philadelphia team (6-1) coming off a flashy win in front of a national audience on Monday with their 34-24 win over Washington. Let this line continue to the 13 or perhaps even the 14 point range if you can before kickoff. The Eagles suffered two devastating injuries with left tackle Jason Peters and linebacker Jordan Hicks suffering season-ending injuries in that game with the Skins — and it will be difficult to replace those two players that played such a vital role in the foundation of their offensive line and front seven on defense. QB Carson Wentz has been impressive — but it is a warning sign that he led the team in rushing on Monday with his 63 yards on eight attempts. The Eagles have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after playing on Monday Night Football. Philly does stay at home this week but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record overall, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games.

San Francisco (0-7) suffered their worst loss of the season last week with their 40-10 loss at home to Dallas as a 6.5-point underdog. If there was a silver lining in that loss for head coach Mike Shanahan, it is that he certainly had the attention of his team this week in practice. The 49ers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. San Francisco may still be winless but they have very competitive in most of their games. In their previous five games before last week, they lost by just a combined 13 points. Five net close losses of eight points or less is brutal — and, ironically, it was the Eagles 0-6 record in games decided by one scoring possession last season that made some pundits so bullish on them this year. The offense looks a bit crisper under rookie QB C.J. Beathard who completed 22 of 38 passes for 235 yards while adding 30 rushing yards and a TD on the ground. The learning curve is sharp for the former Iowa QB right now. The 49ers go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. And in their last 5 games against fellow NFC opponents, San Francisco has covered the point spread 4 times. 25* NFL NFC Game of the Month with the San Francisco 49ers (259) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (260). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Baltimore Ravens (102) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (101). This play is the simple endorsement of John Harbaugh and Joe Flacco with their Super Bowl pedigrees over Adam Gase and Matt Moore. Baltimore (3-4) needs a win after losing two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 24-16 loss in Minnesota on Sunday. Injuries particularly on offense has decimated this team. But the Ravens have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after losing four or five of their last six games. The Baltimore offense struggled last week against an elite Vikings defense as they managed just 208 total yards. Somehow, I will put faith in Harbaugh to oversee a game plan that will help generate points. They rushed for only 64 yards last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. The Ravens ended up with only 144 passing yards in that game as well — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game. Additionally, Baltimore has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 33 home games with the Total set in the low range of 35.5 to 38 point range.

Miami (4-2) has won three games in a row with their 31-28 win over the Jets as a 3-point favorite. That was the best offensive performance of the season for this Dolphins team that still ranks last in the league by averaging 261.8 total YPG. Miami has then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Dolphins have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a home game where both teams scored at least 24 points. Additionally, Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by 3 points or less. And in their last 11 games played on field turf, the Dolphins have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of these games. Matt Moore will be the QB tonight with Jay Cutler out with his rib injury. While Cutler has been a major disappointment, this Dolphins team lacks reliable passing weapons to help the QB so Moore is unlikely to jumpstart this offense. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Baltimore Ravens (102) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (477) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (478). The Eagles are the latest Golden Boys for BFL pundits are they upset Carolina for Thursday Night Football back on October 12th. We had Philadelphia in that game — but let’s go against them in this one. Washington (3-2) will be playing with revenge on their mind in this rematch of their 30-17 loss at home to the Eagles back on September 17th. The Skins have covered the point spread in 3 straight games when playing with revenge. They look to build off their 26-24 win over the 49ers last Sunday. Washington’s defense has been a pleasant surprise this season — and they held the 49ers to just 85 rushing yards in that game. The Skins have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not allowing 90 rushing yards in their last game. Washington is averaging 407.3 YPG on offense over their last three games — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after averaging at least 400 YPG in their last three contests. Now the Skins go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games. Washington has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog in the 45.5 to 49 point range. And in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record, the Skins have covered the point spread 7 times.

Philadelphia (5-1) did pull off the upset last week in their 28-23 win at Carolina as a 3-point underdog. The Eagles won that game despite losing the first down battle by a 23 to 15 margin. Philly has scored at least 26 points in four straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after scoring at least 25 points in three straight games. Run defense has been a key to the Eagles this season as they have not allowed more than 80 rushing yards in four straight games. But not only has Philadelphia then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after not allowing 100 or more rushing yards in three straight games but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after not allowing 100 or more rushing yards in four straight games.

25* NFC West Game of the Month with the Washington Redskins (477) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (478). Best of luck for us — Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (475) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (476). Atlanta (3-2) has the opportunity to kill two birds with one stone: bounce-back from a second-half collapse last week against the Bills while avenging their Super Bowl loss to the Patriots where they blew yet another second-half lead. The Falcons were cruising along with a 17-0 score at halftime before getting outscored by a 20-0 score in the second-half to lose by a 20-17 score the Dolphins despite being a 14-point favorite. Clearly this Atlanta offense is not as dynamic as it was last season — but they do get wide receiver Mohamed Sanu who plays a critical role for them by making it more painful for opponents to double-team Julio Jones. But the defense should be better with cornerback Desmond Truant healthy again while the team added free agent defensive tackle Dontaru Poe to a talented young group that should improve as the season goes on. Atlanta has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The Falcons have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games on the road — and this includes covering the point spread in five of their last six games on the road with a team with a winning record at home. Additionally, Atlanta has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games as the underdog.

New England (4-2) has not playing as good as football as expected after offseason talk speculated about them going undefeated during the regular season. Heh. The Patriots got away with one last week with their 24-17 win over the Jets where they rallied from an early two-touchdown deficit and were later beneficiaries of a crazy goal-line ruling where a Jets touchdown was instead called a fumble out-of-bounds that actually cost them their Red Zone possession. The Patriots defense continued to be a significant problem for this team as they allowed a woeful Jets’ offense to generate 408 yards of offense. New England has surrendered at least 408 yards in all six of their games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread after allowing at least 400 YPG in three straight games. And while Tom Brady has been doing everything to keep his team competitive — he completed 20 of 38 passes for 257 yards last week — the Patriots have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Lastly, while it might seem dangerous to bet against New England when they are playing on their home field, they have already lost to the Chiefs and Panthers in Foxboro this season. 20* NFL Atlanta-New England NBC-TV Special with the Atlanta Falcons (475) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Baltimore Ravens (457) plus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (458). Baltimore (3-3) has lost three of their last four games this season with their 27-24 overtime loss at home to the Bears last week as a 5.5-point underdog. The Ravens have suffered a rash of injuries this season but they have been gritty by winning two of their three games in decisive fashion away from home. Baltimore is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home under head coach John Harbaugh. They are likely to get their star defensive lineman Brandon Williams back for this game which will help. He will help a run defense that allowed 231 rushing yards last week to the Bears. The Ravens have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. But on the plus side for this Baltimore defense, they have held their last two opponents to just 137 and 111 passing yards respectively. The Ravens have then covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after not allowing at least 150 passing yards in two straight games.

Minnesota (4-2) stays at home after their big 23-10 upset win over Green Bay last week as a 3-point underdog. With the news that the Packers’ put Aaron Rodgers on Injured Reserve where he will stay until at least Week 15, the Vikings are feeling pretty, pretty good about themselves in the NFC North race. But this team has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win. Even worse, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after an upset victory as a home underdog. Furthermore, the Vikings have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games coming off an upset victory as a home underdog by double-digits. The outstanding Minnesota defense has not given up more than 17 points in four straight games. But this team has then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after not allowing more than 17 points in four straight contests. Lastly, the Vikings have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of October. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Kickoff with the Baltimore Ravens (457) plus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (458). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (461) plus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (462). Tampa Bay (2-3) has lost two straight games — and three of their last four games — with their 38-33 loss at Arizona last week as a 2.5-point favorite. The score is not indicative of just how awful the Buccaneers played in that upset loss. Expectations were very high for this team entering the season — but this team is in deep trouble to find themselves out of the playoff hunt in the very competitive NFC South. This is a desperate team much like the Raiders were on Thursday. Expect one of the best games of the season from this Tampa Bay team. The Bucs have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after suffering an upset loss as a road favorite. Tampa Bay has also covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a contest where at least 70 combined points were scored. It does look like Jameis Winston will make the start in this game after being knocked out of that game with the Cardinals. Even if he cannot go (or finish), backup quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick is capable of winning games on the road. Besides, it will need to be a complete team effort to save this season on the brink for the Bucs. They are getting back linebacker Kwan Alexander for this game to help a defense that surrendered 432 yards last week. Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Buccaneers have covered the point spread in 26 of their last 38 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Buffalo (3-2) looks to bounce-back from their 20-16 loss at Cincinnati as a 3-point underdog. The Bills are playing inspired football behind first-year head coach Sean McDermott as they had won (and covered the point spread) in their previous two games in upset wins over Denver and Atlanta. But McDermott has inherited a franchise that has failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 70 of their last 110 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three contests. Buffalo has also failed to the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after winning two of their last three games. And in their last 7 games after a point spread loss, the Bills have failed to cover the point spread 5 times. The team is only averaging 165 passing YPG behind QB Tyrod Taylor which puts plenty of onus on their ground game. But even with LeSean McCoy in the backfield, this team is averaging just 3.4 Yards-Per-Carry. Even with their winning record, Buffalo is being outgained by -51.2 net YPG. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, are being outgained by just -21.4 net YPG. Expect a very close game with Tampa Bay playing with determination given the desperate straits they are in. 25* NFL Underdog of the Month with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (461) plus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (462). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Oakland Raiders (302) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (301). My initial thoughts entering Week Seven this week of the NFL season is that I would like the Chiefs playing on a short week coming off their loss to the Steelers (where we had a big play on Pittsburgh). But upon my deep dive into this situation, we want to be investing in this Oakland team (2-4) that will be playing with desperation in a season-defining game for them. Besides, it seems like most of the betting world is following the logic of taking Kansas City off a loss against a Raiders team who have lost four in a row — so let’s be Happy Contrarians with this game as there are still plenty of reasons to consider this Chiefs team overvalued (more on that below). The prospects of losing their fifth game this season and falling three games behind the Chiefs in the AFC West standings might be an insurmountable hole for Jack Del Rio’s team to overcome. And when considering that Oakland lost a key game to Kansas City last December 8th by a 21-13 score, this is a “circle the wagons” moment. The Raiders have lost four straight while failing to meet point spread expectations in four straight games after their 17-16 loss to the Chargers as a 3-point favorite on Sunday. Most observers expected Oakland to take a step or two back from their 12-4 campaign last year even if they were a better football team than last year’s group. But this has been a very unfortunate start for this team that had three of their first four games on the road just before Derek Carr suffered his back injury that kept him out of their home game with the Ravens. Carr returned last week but was limited in completing 21 of 30 passes but for just 171 yards. Then again, Oakland enjoyed the lead for most of that game before the Chargers nailed a field goal as time expired to steal that game. Expect this team to embrace the physical style of football preferred by Del Rio and win this game at the line of scrimmage while taking advantage of the additions they made in the offseason to combat this Chiefs team. That means plenty of Beast Mode by Marshawn Lynch and the tough Raiders offensive line. And expect immediate dividends to be paid from their acquisition of Navarro Bowman who was the leading tackler for the 49ers before they released him this week in a salary cap move with them still winless this season. Bowman is just what the doctor ordered for this team at middle linebacker. Except a strong effort from this team as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two straight games — and they have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after playing a game against a divisional rival.

Kansas City (5-1) looks to bounce-back from their 19-13 loss to Pittsburgh last Sunday despite being a 3.5-point favorite in that game. There are concerns on both sides of the ball that comes out of that game. The Chiefs allowed 194 rushing yards to the Steelers and 439 total yards of offense for a unit that is really beginning to miss Eric Berry who suffered a season-ending injury to begin the year. KC has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards of offense — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after giving up at least 150 rushing yards. The Chiefs defense ranks 29th in the NFL by giving up 378.2 total YPG — and they rank 24th and 27 in run and pass defense respectively. Furthermore, KC managed only 28 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to rush for at least 30 rushing yards in their last game. Perhaps the injury to starting center Mitch Morse is beginning to negatively impact this offense — and the fact that running back Charcandrick West is going through the concussion protocol is not helping matters for this contest. Additionally, this Chiefs team has been very fortunate with turnovers as they have not committed even one since that opening night with in New England. KC has won the turnover battle in each of their last five games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after winning the turnover battle for at least five straight games. Lastly, Andy Reid’s Chiefs’ teams do not respond well after being dominated in their previous contest. Kansas City lost the first down battle by a 12 to 23 margin while only having the football for 23:21 of that game. The Chiefs have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after a game where they did not have the football for at least 26 minutes and failed to gain at least thirteen first downs. 25* NFL AFC West Game of the Month with the Oakland Raiders (302) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (276) minus the points versus the Indianapolis Colts (275). Tennessee (2-3) entered the season with very high expectations. This team flashed their potential earlier this season with a 21-point win on the road against Jacksonville before defeating one of the blue blood franchises of the NFC in the Seattle Seahawks. But an injury to QB Marcus Mariota slowed this team down and was a significant factor in their 16-10 loss at Miami last week. Veteran Matt Cassel lacks the mobility under center that this offense requires to hum as he completed 21 of 32 passes but for only 141 yards. The good news for the Titans is that Mariota is likely to be under center tonight having passed the hurdle of head coach Mike Mularkey that he will be mobile enough to have success tonight. Tennessee needs to secure a win tonight against a divisional rival to snap a two-game losing streak where they have scored only 14 and 10 points — but they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after scoring 14 points or less in their last two games. Furthermore, the Titans have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games on Monday Night Football.

Indianapolis (2-3) has won two of their last three games with their 26-23 win in overtime over the 49ers last week as a 1-point favorite. The Colts have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win. Indy has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. QB Jacoby Brissett played his best game as a professional by completing 22 of 34 passes for 314 yards — but the Colts are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. But the Indy defense did give up 402 yards to the San Francisco offense — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after allowing at least 400 yards in their last contest. 10* NFL Indianapolis-Tennessee ESPN Special with the Tennessee Titans (276) minus the points versus the Indianapolis Colts (275). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (273) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (274). Hold your nose if you need to — I plan on it. But no one wants to bet on New York (0-5) tonight with bets pouring in on the rested Broncos. With the line now offering the Giants +13 in many places (and wait as long you can to bet this game — this thing might move to +14 before kickoff), the sound fundamental play is to take the underdog. I could take about their injuries (short answer: it is worse than you can imagine) but that would only be depressing. Lets put it this way: The Giants still have Eli Manning along with an above average defense. And they are playing desperate having not won a game yet this season. But this does make them the wounded animal that everyone has counted out for this game — and head coach Ben McAdoo is playing up that “us against the world” mentality. New York looks to bounce-back from a 27-22 loss to the Chargers last Sunday — and they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up loss. The Giants are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. If there is a bright side for this team, it is their emerging running game after McAdoo made the decision to give up on Paul Perkins. New York generated 152 rushing yards last week behind rookie Wayne Gallman from Clemson who ran the ball 11 times for 47 yards along with Orleans Darkwa who added 69 rushing yards on eight carries. The Giants are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. And whole the New York defense has surrendered 382 and 434 yards in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 375 yards in two straight games.

Denver (3-1) returns to the field after their 16-10 win over Oakland back on October 1st. But the Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a victory — and they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread win. Additionally, Denver is just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after not allowing more than 15 points in their last game. 10* NFL Giants-Broncos NBC-TV Special with the New York Giants (273) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Oakland Raiders (272) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (271). Oakland (2-3) needs a victory after suffering an upset 30-17 loss at home to the Ravens last Sunday. The Raiders have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. Oakland’s defense did allow 365 yards in that contest — but they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Look for head coach Jack Del Rio to have his team increase their physicality as they look to get back to basics. And don’t be surprised if this team that has not had an interception yet and has forced only four turnovers all season sees some bounces go their way when it comes to turnovers. The team also looks to get quarterback Derek Carr back on the field after he missed the Baltimore game with an ailing back. Carr should be in pretty good shape given the return rate of this injury combined with the short-term miracles of modern medicine. The Raiders have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home.

Los Angeles (1-4) enters this game coming off a 27-22 upset win in New York against the Giants. Look for the Chargers to suffer an emotional letdown this week after earning their first victory of the season. Los Angeles has lost 9 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they have lost 3 straight games after a victory on the road. Additionally, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a game on the road. And while the Los Angeles offense gained 382 yards in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Chargers are an awful 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games played on grass. Los Angeles has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 5 games against fellow AFC West foes, the Chargers are just 0-4-1 ATS. Lastly, in their last 14 games in expected close games listed in the +/- 3-point range, LA has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of these games. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Oakland Raiders (272) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (271). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Pittsburgh Steelers (269) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (270). Pittsburgh (3-2) was embarrassed last week at home in a 30-9 loss to the Jaguars despite being a 7.5-point favorite. In the post-game press conference, Ben Roethlisberger went so far to say that he wonders if he “Maybe I don’t have it anymore.” I suspect that was Big Ben being sheepish and perhaps making a subtle attack on his entire team. He has been outspoken about the culture in the locker room — and perhaps he is inching closer to retirement. But he is also a competitor — and I expect he to lead this team that had such high expectations to begin the season to go out and play their best game of the season against the only remaining undefeated team in the NFL in these Chiefs. As it is, the Steelers have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Pittsburgh has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss. Big Ben did throw for 312 yards in that game — but he also threw a career high five interceptions. Expect Roethlisberger to take responsibility for those miscues by raising his level of play in this game to prove that he is not ready for the retirement home just yet. The Steelers have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a game where they generated at least 350 yards of offense. They need to run the ball more after Le’Veon Bell rushed only 15 times for 47 yards. Bell has suffered a sow start as he seems to get into game shape after his contract holdout. But he looked in prime form two weeks ago when he ran the ball 35 times for 144 yards with two touchdowns against the Ravens tough defense. Moving forward, Pittsburgh has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 32 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Steelers are 22-8-2 ATS.

Kansas City (5-0) remained undefeated last Sunday with their 42-34 win in Houston. But the defense is showing signs of wear after giving up 392 yards in that game. I do expect the season-ending injury to the emotional leader of their defense, Eric Berry, to impact the effectiveness of that unit. The Chiefs have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Kansas City has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Chiefs averaged 6.25 Yards-Per-Play against the Texans which is actually the least efficient they have been on offense in their last four games. It has been a downward trend in YPP efficiency since they torched the Eagles’ defense at an 8.66 YPP clip in Week Two of the season. Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after average 6.0 YPP in for straight games. The Chiefs return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 home games with the Total set in then 42.5 to 49 point range. Lastly, this KC team will still have the memory in the back of their mind of their 18-16 loss at home to the Steelers in the playoffs last January 15th. While the revenge angle may be tempting to some, I look for that memory to inspire confidence in this Steelers team that needs a signature victory to re-establish their own momentum. 25* NFL AFC Underdog of the Month with the Pittsburgh Steelers (269) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (270). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (260) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (259). Minnesota (3-2) looks to build off their 20-17 victory over the Bears as a 3.5-point favorite for Monday Night Football. This is a fishy line with the Packers seeming to be locked-in at -3 to -3.5 still this morning despite a vast majority of the money going on their side. Taking the road favorite looks like a trap — especially when considering how effective head coach Mike Zimmer has been in the past in devising defensive schemes to slow down Aaron Rodgers in his career. The Vikings rushed for 159 yards against the Bears in their victory — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Minnesota has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. And the Vikings have been a very reliable team on their home field. Minnesota has covered the point spread in 24 of their last 32 games on their home field which includes covering the point spread in nine of their last ten home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Green Bay (4-1) comes off their triumphant 35-31 win at Dallas last week as a 2.5-point underdog. Rodgers was spectacular in that game as he engineered a 15-point comeback that was capped by his winning last minute drive. It looks scary to bet against Rodgers in what is expected to be a close game — but, that is kind of the point. The public is all over the Packers on the road yet again this week. Green Bay was saved by a 21-yard interception return for a touchdown last week. And the Packers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Furthermore, the home team has covered the point spread in 9 of the last 13 games in this series — and the underdog has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games between these two teams. The Vikings offers us a solid fundamental play this afternoon. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Minnesota Vikings (260) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (259). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Philadelphia Eagles (104) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (103). Carolina (4-1) looks due for a big letdown after scoring their second-straight upset victory with their 27-24 win in Detroit as a 2-point underdog. That win came on the heels of their upset win on the road in New England the week before. But the Panthers are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a straight-up victory — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread win. Cam Newton has been outstanding over his last two games by completing 26 of 33 passes for 355 yards against the Lions. He is completing over 77% over his last two games — but that may mean the Complacent (and bad) Cam may be about to make a reappearance when playing on a short week. Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. And while they held the Lions to just 242 yards of offense, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after holding their last opponent to 250 or fewer yards. Carolina does not hold much of a home field advantage as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home. And in their last 8 appearances on Thursday Night Football, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread 6 times.

Philadelphia (4-1) is a consistent team from week-to-week that should be prepared to play well on a short week. They might have the best combination of offensive and defensive lines in the league. The Eagles also lead the NFL in Time of Possession. QB Carson Wentz is emerging into a star in this league while veteran running back LeGarrette Blount has averaged at least 7 Yards Per Touch over his last two games. And while the Panthers are converting on an incredible 50% of their 3rd downs, Philly actually tops that number with their 53.4% 3rd down conversion rate. The Eagles have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow NFC opponents. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Month with the Philadelphia Eagles (104) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (103). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (476) plus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (475). Few bettors will want to back Chicago (1-3) tonight after their last game was an appearance on Thursday Night Football where they were humiliated in Green Bay by a 35-14 score as a 7.5-point underdog. A -4 net turnover margin did the Bears in that game — and the mistakes and instability exhibited by QB Mike Glennon under center prompted the organization to use the extra days off to give the nod to their rookie Mitch Trubisky to make his first start tonight. I don’t expect Trubisky to play like fellow rookie Deshaun Watson — but his presence on the field should excite his teammates to raise their level of play tonight. The fans in Soldier Field will certainly be fired up. Chicago has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on their home field. The fact is that this Bears team is not as bad as their record over the last two seasons suggests. They held the Packers to just 260 yards last week. While they were just 3-13 last year, they actually outgained their opponents by +9.7 YPG despite being riddled with injuries all season. This is a physical team on both sides of the football. They just need Trubisky to not make mistakes — and that is what did Glennon in. The Bears have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Chicago has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Bears have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. And in their last 7 appearances on Monday Night Football, Chicago has covered the point spread 5 times.

Minnesota (2-2) looks to rebound from their 14-7 loss at Detroit last week despite being a -2.5-point favorite. The Vikings have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after an upset loss — and while that is a small sample-size, it does at the very least mitigate knee-jerk bounce-back expectations. Minnesota does look to get Sam Bradford back at QB but the offense took a big hit last week with the season ending ACL injury to rookie Delvin Cook. The Vikings have not been a great road team under head coach Mike Zimmer. Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games away from home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games with the Total set in the 38.5 to 42 point range. The Vikings have also failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 road games laying 3.5 to 7 points. Additionally, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against NFC North opponents. And in their last 10 appearances on Monday Night Football, the Vikings have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games. 10* NFL Minnesota-Chicago ESPN Special with the Chicago Bears (476) plus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (475). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (474) plus the point(s) versus the Kansas City Chiefs (473). Houston (2-2) is brimming with confidence right now after their 57-14 win over Tennessee last week. The Texans have an elite defense (#1 in Total Defense last season even with J.J. Watt missing most of the season) — but they now look like they have found their long awaited answer at quarterback with rookie Deshaun Watson under center. The former Clemson National Champion completed 25 of 34 passes for 283 yards with four TD passes and he added another 24 yards on the ground with another TD. Watson’s mobility will give the Chiefs problems tonight. Kansas City has already seen Carson Wentz rush for 55 yards and Kirk Cousins scramble for 38 key yards — and neither of them are as mobile as Watson. Overall, the Texans generated 445 yards of offense against the Titans last week — and they are then 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Houston is also 11-5-1 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Texans stay at home where they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Kansas City (4-0) pulled out a 29-20 victory over Washington on Monday Night Football. With that miracle back door cover coming from the fumble recovery for a touchdown on the last play of the game, the Chiefs have now covered three straight games while laying the points. But that could signal a big emotional letdown for this team as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread as the favorite in their previous three games. Kansas City has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing on a short week after an appearance on Monday Night Football. The offense has been dynamic with Alex Smith and company averaging 8.67 Yards-Per-Play in their opening game against the Patriots and following that up with 9.45, 6.76 and 6.31 YPP marks over their next three games. But the Chiefs have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 16 games after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in each of their last three games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after averaging at least 6.0 YPP for four straight games. The Chiefs lost to the Texans last year by a  19-12 with Brock Osweiler under center for Houston. Brock Osweiler! 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Month on the Houston Texans (474) plus the point(s) versus the Kansas City Chiefs (473). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (472) minus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (471). Dallas (2-2) looks to bounce-back from a 35-30 upset loss at home to the Los Angeles Rams last Sunday. Don’t blame QB Dak Prescott for that loss as he completed 20 of 36 passes for 252 yards and three TD passes against the Rams defense. The Cowboys have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Dallas also ran the ball for 189 yards behind Ezekiel Elliott who rushed for 85 yards on 21 carries. The Cowboys have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after rushing for at least 175 yards in their last game. Elliott running the ball on first down should put Dallas in the position to win this game. In their two games against the Packers last season, Elliott ran the ball 32 times on first down where he accumulated 216 of the 285 rushing yards he generated against the Green Bay defense. Generating yardage on first down was the straw that stirred the drink for the Cowboys offense last season. They ran the ball 59.4% of the time on first down last year and averaged 5.1 Yards-Per-Carry on those plays which set up short yardage for second and third downs. This took plenty of pressure off Prescott and helped offensive coordinator Scott Linehan be more flexible with their play-calling since they were not in long yardage situations. Look for Dallas to get back to this winning formula against the Packers. It was a -2 net turnover margin that played a big role in their loss to the Rams last week. When the Cowboys get their offense going, they are tough to beat. Dallas had 440 total yards last week — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game. The Cowboys have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of October.

Green Bay (3-1) enters this rematch of the NFC Divisional Playoffs last year off their 35-14 win over the Bears back on September 28th. The Packers dominated that game because of a +4 net turnover margin after the Bears lost two fumbles and threw two interceptions which helped them go to half time with a 21-7 lead. Those mistakes by Chicago covered up for a host of injuries that Green Bay was dealing with. The Packers’ offensive line situation remains muddled with both David Baktiari and Bryan Bulaga still questionable for this afternoon’s game which may mean that they will have to rely on the 5th and 6th tackles on their original depth chart to start this game. The team will also be without their starting running back Ty Montgomery. Green Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning three of their last four games. And in their last 7 trips to Dallas, the Packers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of those games. Of course, Green Bay upset the Cowboys in that playoff game in AT&T Stadium last January by a 34-31 score in an instant classic — but look for Dallas to avenge that loss amidst criticism that they entered the season overrated. 25* NFL NFC Game of the Month with the Dallas Cowboys (472) minus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (471). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (467) plus the point(s) versus the Los Angeles Rams (468). Los Angeles (3-1) returns home after upsetting the Cowboys in Dallas last Sunday by a 35-30 score as a 5-point underdog. The Cowboys generated 412 yards of offense in that game under the seemingly resurrected Jared Goff under center. But the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. But Los Angeles also allowed 440 yards of offense to the Cowboys in that contest — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. This team is just 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games against fellow NFC opponents — and that includes having failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against NFC West foes. This is not much of a home field advantage for the Rams right now with them still unfamiliar with their new field and not many LA residents taking to their new professional football teams. That is not a good sign for a team that is 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home.

Seattle (2-2) got their offense going in the second-half for Sunday Night Football last week as they rallied from a 15-10 halftime deficit to crush the Colts by a 46-18 score. The Seahawks have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after scoring at least 30 points as their offense did on top of their defense dialing up two scores of their own from an interception and fumble recovery that both were returned to pay dirt. QB Russell Wilson was outstanding by completing 21 of 26 passes for 295 yards with 2 TD passes while adding another 38 yards and a TD on the ground. Seattle is 23-6-2 ATS in their last 31 games after a game where they passed for at least 250 yards. Lastly, while this team has lost three straight games and has a checkered history against the Rams’ franchise, those games were mostly under the defensive philosophies of Jeff Fisher. This Rams team now under Sean McVay already has a new identity. Cam Chancellor should have a big day shadowing Todd Gurley catching balls out of the backfield. Seattle will be playing with desperation as they cannot fall two games behind the Rams in the NFC West. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Seattle Seahawks (467) plus the point(s) versus the Los Angeles Rams (468). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (454) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (453). Buffalo (3-1) was the toast of the NFL last week after they traveled on the road to Atlanta and upset the reigning NFC Champions by a 23-17 score as an 8-point underdog. The Bills stole that game despite getting outgained by 108 net yards and losing the first down battle by a 25 to 15 margin. A +3 net turnover margin made the winning difference for Buffalo in that game. Look or the Bills to fall back to Earth in this contest. They stay on the road again for the second straight week — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road gams against teams with a losing record at home. Buffalo has also failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 41 games on the road where they are an underdog getting 3 points or less. The Bills are getting it done with defense as they have not allowed more than 17 points in their four games this season. But Buffalo has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 18 games after allowing no more than 17 points in three straight games.

Cincinnati (1-3) seems to have righted their ship under new offensive coordinator Bill Lazor their offense was dominant in a 31-7 win at Cleveland last week. QB Andy Dalton completed 25 of 30 passes for 286 yards and four TD passes against the Browns defense as he thrived under a quicker tempo with simplified routes for the receivers. Since Lazor took over, Dalton is 46 of 57 with 6 TD passes and zero interceptions. Lazor is also rotating his offensive tackles which has led to more success in controlling the Time of Possession. The Bengals have averaged over 34 1/2 minutes on offense over the last two weeks. That has helped their defense play even better — but that side of the football was never the problem. Cincinnati is only allowing 16.8 PPG which is 3rd best in the NFL. The Bengals should build off their newfound momentum tonight. Cincy went to halftime with a 21-0 lead — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after holding a lead of at least three touchdowns. The Bengals have covered the point spread in their last two games — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after covering the point spread in two straight games. And in their last 9 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, Cincinnati has covered the point spread in 7 of these games. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Kickoff with the Cincinnati Bengals (454) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (453). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take the Arizona Cardinals plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles. Arizona (2-2) looks to build off their 18-15 win in overtime over the 49ers last week. Carson Palmer seems to be on track again this season as he has passed for over 1000 yards over his last three games. The Cardinals have not allowed any of their four opponents to rush for at least 100 yards this season — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 99 rushing yards in four straight games. Philadelphia (3-1) is dealing with injuries on their defense most notably Fletcher Cox. They allowed Eli Manning and Philip Rivers to pass for a combined 713 yards against their defense — and what those two QBs have in common is that their teams have yet to win a game this season. The Chargers gained 400 yards against the Eagles last week — and they are 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Philly is being asked to lay too many points. Take Arizona plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports suffered their first losing in over a week with their 6-7 mark yesterday — but Frank still remains on a SENSATIONAL 65% WINNING STREAK over his last 140 plays in All-Sports (91-49)! Frank GETS BACK TO HIS WINNING WAYS TODAY — and it all starts in the NFL with the 1 PM ET slate of games! Frank begins the day on a RED HOT 29 of 41 (71%) NFL run which includes a 12 of 17 (71%) NFL Side mark — and while he only likes one play for the early slate of games, it is a situation that has B-L-O-W-O-U-T written all over it! BANK on Frank!

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports suffered their first losing in over a week with their 6-7 mark yesterday — but Frank still remains on a SENSATIONAL 65% WINNING STREAK over his last 140 plays in All-Sports (91-49)! Frank GETS BACK TO HIS WINNING WAYS TODAY — and it all starts in the NFL with the 1 PM ET slate of games! Frank begins the day on a RED HOT 29 of 41 (71%) NFL run which includes a 12 of 17 (71%) NFL Side mark — and while he only likes Buffalo-Cincinnati play for the early slate of games, it is a situation that has B-L-O-W-O-U-T written all over it!

Things heat up later today as the Green Bay-Dallas showdown for the second slate of games is Frank's 25* NFC Game of the Month. Frank's 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Month goes tonight for KC-Houston. And MLB? OMG ... Frank is on a NEAR PERFECT 9 of 10 (90%) MLB run and he has THREE MORE WINNERS TODAY including his 25* MLB Divisional Playoffs Total of the Year! BANK on Frank!

At 8:25 PM EDT on Thursday, we will be playing the New England Patriots (303) minus the points versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (304). New England (2-2) suffered an embarrassing 33-30 loss to the Panthers on Sunday as a 9-point favorite. The team has quickly gone from being discussed in some circles as going a perfect 19-0 to now be being burdened by a “historically bad” defenses. With the Patriots now laying more than 4 points on the road against a Buccaneers team that has won six straight games at home, the oddsmakers are practically begging bettors to take the home dog. Don’t take the bait. New England is a decisive 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games after a point spread loss. And while their withering defense allowed 444 yards last week, the Patriots have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. New England has also covered the point spread in 24 of their last 32 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. Look for the Patriots to run the ball more this week to keep their defense off the field to help them fresher. New England ran the ball only 19 times against Carolina for 80 yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. Things are fine on the offensive side of the football overall — and they are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last contest. The Patriots have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games on the road. And in their last 59 games in the month of October, New England is 40-16-3 ATS — and that includes covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games in Week 5 just after the 1/4 mark of the season.

Tampa Bay (2-1) looks to build off their 25-23 win over the Giants last week as a 2.5-point favorite. The Buccaneers do get running back Doug Martin back for this game after he finished serving his four-game suspension. But while Tampa Bay has won six of their last eight games with Martin on the field, he is averaging just 2.7 Yards-Per-Carry in those games while scoring only three touchdowns over that stretch — so his impact on this offense may be exaggerated at this point. The Bucs are just 22-45-1 ATS in their last 68 games at home — and while this team has made a point to seize a home field advantage to generate more enthusiasm from their fans, they have still failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Lastly, Tampa Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games for Thursday Night Football. 20* NFL New England-Tampa Bay CBS-TV Special with the New England Patriots (303) minus the points versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

NOTE to subscription clients: I am upgrading Washington from a 10* to 20* play upon final analysis. In terms of money management, I advise that 20* rated plays warrant your typical investment (versus 10* plays that warrant 50% of your normal investment or 25* plays where I recommend a 25* increase in your normal investment). Thanks, Frank.

At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (279) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (280). Kansas City (3-0) is the toast of the league right now being one of two teams that is undefeated after beginning the season on that Thursday night where they crushed the Patriots in Foxboro. The Chiefs enter this game coming off a 34-17 win in Los Angeles against the Chargers. Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Now the Chiefs return home to Arrowhead with the reputation that is a very difficult place to play for the visitors — but Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games at home. Quarterback Alex Smith completed 16 of 21 passes last week against the Chargers for just 155 yards — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game.

Washington (2-1) enters this game with momentum and confidence after their 27-10 upset win over Oakland last Sunday night. Kirk Cousins completed 25 of 30 passes for 365 yards and three TD passes while leading an offense that generated 372 yards of offense. The Skins have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 250 passing yards in their last contest. But was even more impressive was the play of the Washington defense that held the Raiders to just 128 yards of offense. The Skins have allowed only 7 points in the first quarter all season which is a testament to the great planning of this team by defensive coordinator Greg Manusky. The lack of a vertical passing attack of the Chiefs’ given the arm strength of Smith should help Manusky scheme against the KC offense. The Raiders rushed for just 32 yards in that game — and Washington has then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Skins have been capable road warriors that have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games away from home — and that includes covering the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. Washington has covered point spread expectations in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games in the month of October, the Skins have covered 4 of these games. 20* NFL Monday Night Discounted Deal with the Washington Redskins (279) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (280). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (278) minus the points versus the Indianapolis Colts (277). Seattle (1-2) looks to bounce-back from a disappointing 33-27 loss at Tennessee last week. The Seahawks won the first-down battle by a 24-21 margin in that game while also outgaining the Titans by 13 net yards despite losing on the scoreboard. This team should bounce-back as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up loss. I don’t usually like to lay double-digits in the NFL — but I do like cashing winning tickets. Seattle usually saves their best efforts for prime-time games in front of their rowdy home fans. Under head coach Pete Carroll, the Seahawks are 44-13 at home in prime-time games — and this includes a 12-2 mark against the AFC. Of course, we need a relative blowout to cover the point spread — but take heart that Seattle has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The encouraging aspect for the Seahawks last week was their play on the offensive line improved (as Carroll has expected). QB Russell Wilson played one of his best games as a pro after completing 29 of 49 passes for 373 yards with four TD passes while adding another 26 yards on the ground. When Seattle gets their passing attack going, they are very tough to beat as they are 22-6-2 ATS in their last thirty games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The Seahawks’ defense should be feisty as well after seeing the Titans rush for 195 yards against them — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 150 yards in their last game.

Indianapolis (1-2) earned their first win of the season last week with their 31-28 upset win over Cleveland. But this Colts team is going nowhere without Andrew Luck at quarterback which does not bode well for them when considering that they typically suffering huge letdowns in situations like this. Indianapolis has failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 27 games after an upset victory at home. The Colts have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread win. And in their last 8 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game, Indy has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games. 20* NFL Colts-Seahawks NBC-TV Special with the Seattle Seahawks (278) minus the points versus the Indianapolis Colts (277). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (259) plus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (260). Tennessee (2-1) earned a nice win at home last week in their 33-27 win over Seattle as a 2.5-point favorite. But rather than this being a dominant  victory, the Titans were fortunate that the bevy of Seahawks mistakes overwhelmed their 24-21 advantage in first downs as well as being outgained by 13 net yards after surrendering 433 yards to what had been a stagnant Seattle offense. Tennessee is then 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games after a straight-up win. The Titans are considered quite fondly right now in many circles despite not playing in the playoffs in recent history — or even winning a game that has playoff implications. Remember that last year, their playoff hopes were dashed in Week 16 of the regular season when they were crushed by the lowly Jaguars in Jacksonville. Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Titans now face the (relative) blue bloods of the AFC South in the Houston Texans — and they have lost seven of their last nine meetings with the Texans. Furthermore, Tennessee is 4-21-3 ATS in their last 28 games against teams with a losing record. Additionally, keep in mind that teams that come off a game with the physical Seahawks over the years tend to suffer big letdowns.

Houston (1-2) is a proud organization with an underrated head coach that gets the most out of their talent. Bill O’Brien knows that his team needs to win their home games against divisional rivals — so there will be a sense of urgency for them knowing that losing this contest will put them in grave danger already of winning the AFC South. The Texans are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games against rival AFC South foes. It does appear the team has the answer at quarterback in rookie Deshawn Watson who completed 22 of 33 passes for 301 yards and two TD passes while adding another 41 yards on the ground in their narrow 36-33 loss in New England last week. Overall, the Texans outgained the Patriots in their building by a 417 to 396 margin which is quite an accomplishment. Houston is then an impressive 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. This team becomes quite dangerous if their offense can begin to come close matching their elite defense that was tops in the NFL last year in yards allowed even without the services of the injured J.J. Watt. The linebacker has not put up gaudy stats just yet but O’Brien claims that his presence on field has been impactful on every single play this season. This will be Watson’s first start at home after playing well in his first two starts in hostile environments — and the Texans have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 25* NFL AFC South Underdog of the Month with the Houston Texans (259) plus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (260). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 AM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (252) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (251). New Orleans (1-2) got off the mat from an 0-2 start by traveling to Carolina to shock the Panthers by a 34-13 score as a 5.5-point underdog. But the Saints may be primed for an emotional letdown after their victory over a divisional rival. The disruption of the travel to London may exacerbate a lack of focus that the Ravens’ experienced last week. As it is, New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a win by at least two touchdowns. The defense stepped up out of nowhere to hold the Carolina offense to use 288 yards of offense in that game. But after allowing 1025 total yards of offense in their first two games, their performance last week may speak more to the sad state of the Panthers’ offense with rumors that quarterback Cam Newton has deteriorated physically. The Saints have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 14 points. And in their last 13 games as the favorite, New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games.

Miami (1-1) looked awful last week in their 20-6 loss in New York against the Jets despite being a 5.5-point favorite. In hindsight, it appears that the toll that all the travel that has impacted this team given Hurricane Irma finally drained this team. But remember that this team played well in their opening game that resulted in a 19-17 win in Los Angeles against the Chargers the previous week. While this team has received no favors now by having to travel to London after all this, these games across the proverbial pond can be transformative for some teams. As it is, the Dolphins have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after suffering a double-digit upset loss on the road as the favorite. Head coach Adam Gace labeled his team’s play as “garbage” — so expect him to have lit a fire under his group. I do think this team is likely to improve on offense with Jay Cutler under center given his strong arm and experience working with Gace in both their tours of duty in Chicago. Miami has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when played on grass — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral field. Look for the Dolphins to get their running game cranking as they ran the ball only 15 times for 30 yards last week — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last contest. Furthermore, Miami has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against NFC opponents. 25* NFL London Calling Game of the Year on the Miami Dolphins (252) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (251). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (102) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (101). Green Bay (2-1) remains banged up after their 27-24 win in overtime at home to Cincinnati on Sunday. The short week is hard on both teams — but the Packers will be left particularly short-handed. The strength of the Green Bay offensive line is at with David Bakhtiari and Bryan Bulaga — but both have been downgraded to doubtful on Thursday with their ailments. When considering that general manager Ted Thompson had previously made the decision to cut costs at guard after letting Josh Sitton go last season with T.J. Lang following up out the door via free agency last offseason, the resulting offensive line that will be protecting Aaron Rodgers will be rather shoddy. It is telling that Green Bay has already allowed 13 sacks this season — and they are averaging just 69 rushing YPG. Both numbers reflect poorly on their offensive line. The Packers’ defense is a mess as well. Cornerback Davon House has been ruled out for tonight while Mike Daniels — the heart of their defensive line — and their key linebacker Nick Perry are both questionable. This is not good news when facing a divisional rival. As it is, Green Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a losing record. And while they trailed the Bengals by a 21-7 score at halftime last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after trailing at halftime by at least two touchdowns in their last game.

Chicago (1-2) enters this game playing good football after they shocked the Steelers last week by a 23-17 score as a 7-point underdog. The Bears have covered point spread expectations in two of their first three games this season — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Despite their 3-13 record last season, Chicago outgained their opponents in yardage for the year. They were tied for worst in the NFL with a -18 net turnover margin. Head coach John Fox just wants the offense to play it safe and not make mistakes while hoping that his defensive can generate turnovers on more than just 6.7% of their opponent’s possessions which was last in the league. The Bears have forced three turnovers in their last two games. All three of Chicago’s games this year have finished Under the Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after playing at least two straight games that finished Under the Total. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, the Bears have covered the point spread in all 5 games. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Chicago Bears (102) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (490) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (489). Dallas (1-1) will be looking to bounce-back from their 42-17 pounding at the hands of the Broncos last Sunday — and that will make them a trendy pick in many circles. But the Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Dallas is also just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread setback. Now this team stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. And in their last 5 trips to Arizona, the Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games. Additionally, in their last 12 appearances on Monday Night Football, Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of these occasions.

Arizona (1-1) returns home to play their first game of the season after they eked out a 16-13 win over Indianapolis in overtime last week as a 7-point favorite. The Cardinals have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win on the road. Arizona has also covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a win on the road where they failed to cover the point spread. The Cardinals have also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games after a victory on the road by no more than a field goal. This team has not played very well in their first two games this year — but this remains an underrated team. While they finished just 7-8-1 last year, they were held back by going 2-5-1 in games decided by one scoring possession after winning sixteen of their previous twenty-one games decided by 8 points or less under head coach Bruce Arians. Arizona still boasts an elite defense that was 2nd in the NFL last year by holding teams to just 305.2 total YPG. It is not often this team is getting points on their home field — and they have covered the points spread in 26 of their 40 home games getting 3 points or less. 10* NFL Dallas-Arizona ESPN Special with the Arizona Cardinals (490) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (489). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (488) plus the points versus the Oakland Raiders (487). Washington (1-1) returned home in a good mood after their 27-20 win in Los Angeles against the Rams as a 3-point underdog. The Skins generated 385 yards of offense in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Washington has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Skins should be feisty underdogs tonight — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games as an underdog of 3 points or less.

Oakland (2-0) remained unbeaten by crushing the Jets last Sunday by a 45-20 score. The Raiders may be due for a letdown this week after hearing and reading from everyone about just how good they are. Oakland has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while the Raiders gained 180 yards on the ground in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last contest. Furthermore, Oakland has failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 27 games with the Total set at least at 49.5. And in their last 35 road games when laying 7 points or less, the Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 21 of these contests. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Washington Redskins (488) plus the points versus the Oakland Raiders (487). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (485) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (486). There has been no more of disappointing team than the Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) after they lost the first two games of the season after their 13-9 loss at home last Thursday night to the Texans. Now this Bengals team has been beat up all week in the media and face a must-win game on the road against a divisional rival to salvage their season. Since 2012, teams that started the season 0-3 all ended up with losing records — and the average win total for teams that have started 0-3 in the last five seasons is just 4.4. So Marvin Lewis and his coaching staff (probably — who knows with the Cincinnati ownership) have their jobs on the line this week. This is a team that has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games in the third week of the regular season. The Bengals have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after a loss at home. And while the Cincy offense has been completely inept by scoring just those 9 points against the Texans after being shutout by the Ravens, they have covered the point spread in 3 straight games after failing to score at least 17 points in two straight games. And in their last 15 games on the road, the Bengals have covered the point spread in 10 of these games.

Green Bay (1-1) looks to bounce-back from their 34-23 loss in Atlanta for Sunday Night Football last week. The Packers fell behind early in that game and went to the locker room trailing by a 24-7 score. Green Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after allowing at least 24 points in the first half in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after trailing by at least two touchdowns at halftime of their last contest. Usually, these breakdowns reveal systemic problems with this Packers team — in this instance, injuries on the offensive line and a lack of quality and depth at running back has held back their offense. Then again, the defense is less than perfect as well after allowing 34 points last week. Green Bay has then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. 10* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Cincinnati Bengals (485) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (486). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (481) plus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (482). Tennessee (1-1) flexed their muscles last week by crushing the Jaguars in Jacksonville last Sunday. This Titans team looked like the group that won a Super Bowl a few seasons ago and was just that goal-line interception away from winning twice in recent history and cementing themselves as a dynasty team. Oh wait, that’s not Tennessee? That actually describes their opponents in the Seahawks under head coach Pete Carroll? Then why has the line moved from Seattle opening as a small road favorite to now the Titans laying up to a field goal in some spots? This Tennessee was hyped up a ton during the offseason before losing by 10 points at home in their opening game against the Raiders. This remains an unproven team at home that has lost sixteen of their last twenty-two games in Nashville. The Titans are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games at home which includes failing to cover the point spread in ten of their last sixteen games at home. Furthermore, the Titans have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games off a win on the road. Additionally, Tennessee are just 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games after a game where they scored at least 30 points. And while the Titans did rush for 131 yards last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after rushing for at least 150 yards.

Seattle (1-1) has struggled with their offensive line this season. They rebounded from a loss on the road in Green Bay with a 12-9 win over San Francisco last week despite being a 13.5-point favorite. The Seahawks have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. And while Seattle allowed 159 rushing yards in their last contest, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 150 yards in their last game. Offense has been an issue for this team as they have only scored 21 points in two games this year. But the Seahawks have ten covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after failing to score more than 14 points in two straight games. Seattle has also covered the point spread in a decisive 41 of their last 60 games after failing to score more than 17 points in each of their last two games. Lastly, the Seahawks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against NFC opponents. 25* NFL Underdog of the Month with the  Seattle Seahawks (481) plus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (482). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (470) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (469). Denver (2-0) is a trendy pick this week after their dominant 42-17 blowout upset win over the Cowboys last Sunday on national television during the second slate of games. In fact, it is a little surprising that they bettors can still find -3s with the Broncos this morning. This game screamed trap to me since the line came out — and the betting trends confirm that a vast majority of the money is on Denver. So, lets take the contrarian play (and bet with the books). This is the Broncos’ first game on the road this season. And Denver has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 21 games after an upset victory. Furthermore, not only are the Broncos 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games off a win but they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. And in their last 5 games played on turf, Denver has failed to cover the point spread all 5 times.

Buffalo (1-1) looks to bounce-back from a 9-3 loss on the road at Carolina last week. They return home where they have won nine of their last thirteen games. This team has also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 30 home games as an underdog of 3 points or less. Look for the Bills to find success running the football behind their good offensive line after leading the league in rushing last week. LeSean McCoy ran for just 9 yards on twelve carries last week but should break out this week even against this Broncos defense that slowed down Ezekiel Elliott. Lastly, Buffalo has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games with the Total set in the 35.5 to 42 point range. 10* NFL Bet With the Books (and avoid the trap) Special with the Buffalo Bills (470) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (469). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (466) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (465). Pittsburgh (2-0) looked great last week in their 26-9 win at home over a Minnesota team without their starting quarterback Sam Bradford. But this Steelers team is much better — and more aggressive on offense — at home than they are on the road. Pittsburgh has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 26 road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Steelers have also failed to cover the point spread in their last 2 road games when favored in the 3.5 to 7 point range. Frankly, the makeup of this Bears team is similar to that of the Cleveland Browns whom the Steelers played in Week One but only escaped with a 21-18 victory despite being a 10-point favorite on the road. And while Pittsburgh held the Vikings to just 146 passing yards against the Vikings, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game.

Chicago (0-2) will be desperate for a victory after their 29-7 loss at Tampa Bay last week as a 7-point underdog. The Bears have rebounded to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after a loss on the road by at least three touchdowns. The Bears return home where they played the Falcons tough in Week One — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at Soldier Field. Chicago has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games as an underdog in the 3.5 to 7 point range. Additionally, the Bears have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning record. And while Chicago has seen their first two games finish Under the Total, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing two straight games that finished Under the Total. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Chicago Bears (466) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (465). Best of luck for us — Frank.