At 5:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Utah Utes (170) plus the point(s) versus the Washington State Cougars (169). Washington State (8-2) enters this game coming off their 24-21 upset victory at home against Stanford as a 1.5-point underdog. But now this Cougars team goes back on the road for the fourth time in their last six games after a front-loaded home schedule. Washington State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after playing their last two games against Pac-12 foes. This team has lost their previous two games on the road by three touchdowns at Arizona and by 34 points at California. And while they helped the Cardinal to just 93 rushing yards (with Bryce Love still nursing an injured ankle), the Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after not allowing at least 100 rushing yards in their last game.

Utah (5-4) looks to build off their 48-17 win over a UCLA team without QB Josh Rosen last week. The Utes were 9.5-point favorites in that game — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread win while they are also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Additionally, Utah has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. QB Tyler Huntley looks comfortable under center again after missing a few games — he completed 15 of 22 passes for 234 yards with four TD passes while adding another 93 rushing yards on the ground. On defense, the Utes defend the pass well as they hold visiting QBs to just a 55% completion mark and only 190 passing YPG. Utah has covered the point spread in 6 straight games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Utes have covered the point spread in a decisive 52 of their last 78 games after playing a game where a combined 60 points were scored. Utah is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Lastly, the Utes have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog. 20* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Utah Utes (170) plus the point(s) versus the Washington State Cougars (169). Best of luck for us — Frank.

AAt 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (153) and the Nevada Wolf Pack (154). Nevada (1-8) enters this game coming off their 41-14 loss at Boise State last week as a 20-point underdog. The Wolf Pack have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss. Nevada allowed 479 yards in that contest — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. That game with the Broncos finished below the 63 point Total — and they have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. And in their last 13 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game, Nevada has played 9 of these games Under the Total. Now the Wolf Pack return home where they have played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total. And in their last 11 games as the favorite, Nevada has played 9 of these games Under the Total.

San Jose State (1-9) looks to bounce-back from their 52-7 loss to San Diego State as a 23.5-point underdog last week. The Under is a decisive 33-16-2 in their last 51 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And while the Spartans allowed 648 yards to the Aztecs in that game, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. San Jose State did hold San Diego State to just 94 passing yards — and they have then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Spartans have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 128-46-2 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (153) and the Nevada Wolf Pack (154). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Auburn Tigers (188) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (187). Georgia (9-0) remained the number one team in the nation after their 24-10 win over South Carolina last Saturday. The Bulldogs are perpetually talented but rarely seem to put it all together. This season, they may have caught a fortuitous break when sophomore Jake Eason was injured early on which cleared the way for freshman Jake Fromm to take over under center. While these are both 5-star prospects, From has been more decisive in choosing where to pass the football than Eason who too often seemed uncomfortable in the pocket. But now with the weight of the world on this team and program after finishing 8-5 last year, look for Georgia to play very tight in this showdown. This is the football program that let Mark Richt go after a 10-3 campaign two years ago. Expectations versus reality is a common conflict in many football programs but perhaps that clash is no stronger than with this Bulldogs team that still remembers the glory days of Hershel Walker when he was rushing the football during Ronald Reagan’s first term as President of the United States. But Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning at least eight straight games. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 24 games after winning at least three straight games against SEC opponents. And while Georgia held the Gamecocks to just 270 yards in that win, they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after no more than 275 yards in their last game. Moving forward, I worry about this freshman QB being asked to make big plays in a hostile environment when the stakes are sky-high. Fromm has not passed more than 26 times in a game this season with the Bulldogs relying very heavily on their ground game led by Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. Georgia has rushed for at least 242 yards in each of their last six five games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after rushing for at least 225 yards in their last game. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games are rushing for at least 225 yards in three straight games.

Auburn (7-2) has a strong defense that ranks 9th in the FBS by holding opponents to just 16.9 PPG and only 307.2 total YPG which is 14th in the nation. The Tigers limit their opponents to only 126.4 rushing YPG which is 24th in the FBS. Auburn enters this game coming off a 42-27 win at Texas A&M last Saturday as a 14.5-point favorite. The Tigers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games are a points spread win. Additionally, Auburn has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games are scoring at least 35 points against a conference rival. And in their last 8 games after scoring at least 40 points, the Tigers are 5-2-1 ATS. Furthermore, Auburn generated 493 yards against the Aggies defense — and they are then 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game so this offense should continue their momentum in this contest even after the injury to running back Kamryn Pittway. Kerryon Johnson ran the ball 29 times for 145 yards as the full-time feature back. Auburn has averaged 39.0 PPG with 493.0 total YPG over their last three games — and they have then covered the point spread in 25 of their last 36 games after averaging at least 475 YPG over their last three games. The Tigers have won six of their last seven games — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after winning three of their last four games. Now this team returns home after playing their last three games on the road where they are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 contests. This team is a perfect 4-0 at home this year whole outscoring their opponents by a 39.5-12.5 scoring margin while outgaining these opponents by +253.2 net YPG due to the offense averaging 529.2 total YPG. The home team has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games in this series. Lastly, Auburn is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against SEC foes. 25* CFB SEC Game of the Year with the Auburn Tigers (188) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (187). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Wisconsin Badgers (186) minus the points versus the Iowa Hawkeyes (185). Iowa (6-3) comes off a huge upset win over Ohio State last week where they demolished the Buckeyes by a 55-24 score despite being a 21-point favorite. It is not often we witness a team cover the point spread by 56 points — and that is even rarer when that team was an underdog in their triumph. Expect a big letdown from this Hawkeyes team that benefited from a +4 net turnover margin courtesy of J.T. Barrett’s four interceptions in that game. Iowa has failed to over the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Hawkeyes have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread win. Additionally, Iowa has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 10 games after not turning the ball over in their last game, the Hawkeyes have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of those games. This team tends to suffer letdowns under head coach Kirk Ferentz. They generated 24 first downs last week against the Buckeyes while holding the ball for 34:11 minutes of that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after accumulating at least 24 first downs while having the football for at least 34 minutes in their last game. Now Iowa goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Wisconsin (9-0) looks to build off their 45-17 win at Indiana last week. Style points will be on the mind of head coach Paul Chryst as he hopes to use this nationally televised game to impress Condoleezza Rice and the other football “experts” on the Playoff Committee turned to ABC for this game. The Badgers forced three turnovers in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 26 of their last 37 home games after forcing at least three turnovers in their last game. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Wisconsin returns home where they have covered the point spread in 40 of their last 62 games in the second half of the season. The Badgers have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after playing at least two straight games on the road. Furthermore, Wisconsin has oared the points spread in 26 of their last 38 home games in Weeks 10 through 13 of the regular season in the colder conditions. The Badgers have not allowed more than 17 points in five straight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after not allowing at least 17 points in five straight games. And in their last 17 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, Wisconsin has covered the point spread 12 times. 20* CFB Iowa-Wisconsin ABC-TV Special with the Wisconsin Badgers (186) minus the points versus the Iowa Hawkeyes (185). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida State Seminoles (211) and the Clemson Tigers (212). Florida State (3-5) looks to build off their 27-24 win over Syracuse last Saturday as a 7.5-point favorite. The Seminoles have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Florida State were outgained by a 463 to 343 yardage margin — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Offense is the big concern for this team that has not been able to move the ball consistently under true freshman QB James Blackmon. He completed 12 of 19 passes in the victory last week but accumulated in just 136 yards. Now Florida State goes on the road where they are scoring just 13.2 PPG while averaging just 289.5 total YPG. The defense does play better on the road where they know they have to play well to stay competitive. The Seminoles are allowing home teams to average just 320.0 total YPG which is more than 41 YPG below their season average. The Seminoles have played 6 straight games Under the Total on the road. And in their last 27 games in ACC play, Florida State has played 20 of these games Under the Total.

Clemson (8-1) looks to build off their 38-31 win at North Carolina State last week as a 10-point favorite. The Tigers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Clemson has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team returns home where they flex their muscles on defense by holding their opponents to just 8.0 PPG while allowing only 208.2 total YPG. The Tigers have played 4 straight games Under the Total on their home field. And in rather last 6 games in the ACC, Clemson has played 5 of these games Under the Total. 10* CFB Florida State-Clemson ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Florida State Seminoles (211) and the Clemson Tigers (212). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Navy Midshipmen (168) minus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (167). Navy (5-3) looks to bounce-back from their 34-26 loss at Temple back on November 2nd as a 6.5-point favorite. The Midshipmen have rebounded to go 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Now this team returns home where they are an impressive 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games at home. Navy has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games in the month of November. And in their last 12 games with the Total set at least at 63, the Midshipmen have covered the point spread 10 times.

SMU (6-3) has not faced a spread triple option team this season — and they tend to struggle against this Navy offense. The Mustangs lost to the Midshipmen last season by a whopping 75-31 score in a game where they surrendered an incredible 496 rushing yards. The SMU run defense has not been very good this season as they are allowing 5.5 Yards-Per-Carry which is a scary sign when trying to defending this Navy option offense that is averaging 6.2 YPC at home this year. The Mustangs have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against the Midshipmen — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of the last 5 trips to play Navy in Andover. SMU enters this game coming off their 31-24 loss to Central Florida as a 14-point underdog. The Mustangs have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games after covering the point spread as an underdog. And while that game with the Golden Knights finished below the 76 point Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a game that finished Under the Total. Furthermore, while SMU is averaging 501.7 YPG over their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after averaging at least 475 YPG over their last three games. 10* CFB SMU-Navy CBS-Sports Special with the Navy Midshipmen (168) minus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (167). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (144) minus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (143). Ohio State (7-2) played their worst game of the season last wee in Iowa City in what resulted in a 55-24 loss to Iowa as a 21-point favorite. The Buckeyes may have been emotionally flat after overcoming a seemingly endless string of mistakes and misfortunes the previous week before upending a Penn State team they were otherwise dominating at the line of scrimmage. More mistakes confounded this Ohio State team as they had a -4 net turnover margin with QB J.T. Barrett throwing four interceptions. This does not happen much to Urban Meyer nor these Buckeyes — look for them to take out their frustrations on the Spartans. Ohio State has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss by at least three touchdowns to a conference rival. The Buckeyes have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after an upset loss as a double-digit favorite. Additionally, Ohio State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit upset loss as a favorite of at least 6 points. In general, the Buckeyes have are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, Ohio State has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after enduring a net turnover margin of at least -2 in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after suffering a net turnover margin of at least -4 in their last contest. Laying more than two touchdowns may seem like a lot for the team that just upset Penn State. I take the analytics in college football with two or three grains of salt (short answer why: limited sample sizes, unreliable comparative data, and the fundamental limitation of using Yards-Per-Play as the defining metric as opposed to Points-Per-Possession which is much more illuminating for College Basketball). With the caveat, the deeper analytics place Ohio State as the second best team in the nation behind Alabama. If they put together a mistake-free game, they can crush opponents like Michigan State when playing at home.

Michigan State (7-2) enters this game coming off their 27-24 upset victory over Penn State last Saturday as a 9.5-point favorite. Sparty was the beneficiary of the Turnover Gods in that game as they picked off three Nittany Lion passes in that contest. But the Turnover Gods are fickle — and Michigan State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after forcing at least three turnovers in their last game. There are concerns for the Spartans regarding their defense after that game where they allowed 466 total yards of offense. Penn State averaged 6.75 Yards-Per-Play — and Michigan State has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 18 road games after allowing at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. The Spartans is also 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Michigan State has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road. And in their last 7 games when playing on field turf as opposed to the (heavy) grass in East Lansing, the Spartans are just 1-5-1 ATS. 25* CFB Saturday Afternoon Special Feature with the Ohio State Buckeyes (144) minus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (143). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (155) minus the points versus the Baylor Bears (156). Texas Tech (4-5) has lost four games in a row with their 42-35 loss to Kansas State in overtime last Saturday. The Red Raiders should bounce-back here as they have covered the point spread in 30 of their last 40 games after a loss at home. And Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. QB Nic Shimonek completed 34 of his 53 passes for 405 yards in that loss — and the Red Raiders have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. This game will be played on a neutral field in AT&T Stadium — and Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 63.5 to 70 point range. The Red Raiders have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played in the month of November. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, Texas Tech has covered the point spread 5 times.

Baylor (1-8) won their first game of the season last week with their 38-9 win at Kansas as a 7-point favorite. But the Bears have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. Baylor has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a victory by at least 20 points in their last game. And in their last 6 games after not allowing no more than 20 points in their last game, Baylor has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. Lastly, the Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Texas Tech Red Raiders (155) minus the points versus the Baylor Bears (156). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Duke Blue Devils (141) minus the points versus the Army Black Knights (142). Duke (4-5) has had an extra week to rest and prepare for this game after their 24-3 loss at Virginia Tech back on October 28th. The Blue Devils have lost five straight games against tough ACC foes that those Hokies as well as Miami (FL) and Florida State which helps explain why QB Dougie Jones has completed only 45% of his passes in this losing streak. Jones was completing 67% of his passes before this slide — but he now faces a Black Knights defense that allows opposing QBs to complete 61.9% of their passes. Army did not face a pass last week either when facing the spread triple option from Air Force. Duke managed only 183 yards against Virginia Tech — but the are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. The Blue Devils have also covered the point spread in 12 straight games when playing on field turf. And in the last 29 games in non-conference play, Duke is 22-6-1 ATS. Head coach David Cutcliffe does a great job preparing his team for the spread triple option with Georgia Tech always on their schedule along with many of the service academies. The Blue Devils have held their last seven triple option offenses to -41 Yards Per Game below their season average — and they have covered the points spread in their last 6 games against Georgia Tech, Army and Navy who all run this style of offense.

Army (7-2) has won five games in a row with their 21-0 win at Air Force as a 6.5-point underdog last week. But the Black Knights are then 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games after a straight up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Army has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. Now the Black Knights return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games. Army has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games at home against FBS foes. 10* CFB Duke-Army CBS-Sports Network Special with the Duke Blue Devils (141) minus the points versus the Army Black Knights (142). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Stanford Cardinal (122) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (121). Stanford (6-3) looks to bounce-back from their 24-21 loss at Washington State last week as a 1.5-point favorite. The offense struggled in that game by generating just 198 yards of offense in snowy conditions. Freshman QB K.J. Costello completed just 9 of 20 passes for 105 yards in that loss with star running back Bryce Love rushing for a season-low 69 yards in that loss. Love is recovering from an ankle injury that kept him out of the previous game — but another week of recuperation should help him tonight. What will also help this team is returning home where they will be playing just their fourth game all season on their home field in Palo Alto. Playing in their comfortable home stadium in front of their home fans should make a big difference for this team on offense. They are 3-0 at home while scoring 47.0 PPG along with generating 519.3 total YPG. The Cardinal has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Look for Stanford to bounce-back with a big effort tonight playing the role of the spoiler while also motivated to avenge a 44-6 loss to Washington last season. The Cardinal has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a straight-up loss. Stanford has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Additionally, while the Cardinal has not covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of the last 8 games after not meeting point spread expectations in two straight games. Furthermore, Stanford has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after a loss by 7 point for less against a conference rival. And in their last 7 games played on a Friday night, the Cardinal has covered the point spread in 5 of these contests.

Washington (8-1) has won two straight games with their 38-3 win over Oregon last week. The Huskies have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 road games after not allowing more than 9 points in their last game. And while they have won their last two games at home by 35 and 21 points respectively, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after winning two straight home games by double-digits. Furthermore, the Ducks managed only 31 passing yards last week in their big loss to the Huskies — but Washington has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. Now the Huskies go back on the road for the first time since losing by a 13-7 score in Tempe to Arizona State — and that was a Sun Devils defense that the Cardinal scored 34 points along with 501 yards of offense. Together, these team trends produce our specific 75-24 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Friday Late Show Bailout with the Stanford Cardinal (122) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (121). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bearcats (120) plus the points versus the Temple Owls (119). Temple (4-5) played their best game of the season last week with their 34-26 upset win over Navy last Thursday as a 6.5-point underdog. But the Owls have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win. This team has received a spark on offense with Frankie Nutile starting at QB for the last two games. But after facing Army and then Navy, the redshirt junior will see a much better pass defense from these Bearcats that had their opponents to juts 208.0 passing YPG which is 40th in the nation (and 2nd in the American Athletic Conference). Part of Temple’s success un Nutile’s first two starts has been they have turned the ball over only once in those games. But that may change with this team now playing in a hostile environment in front of a nationally televised audience. The Owls have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not turning the ball over more than once in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after not turning the ball over more then once in two straight games. This will be the first time this team faces a passing offense since October 14th where they lost at home to UConn. And in their last 10 road games as the favorite laying 3 points or less, Temple has failed to cover the point spread 7 times.

Cincinnati (3-6) snapped their four-game losing streak last week with their 17-16 upset win at Tulane on Saturday. This team may be finding a winning formula on offense after rushing for 208 yards against the Green Wave. Freshman Gerrid Doaks rushed for 149 yards to complement senior Mike Boone in the backfield. The week before, the Bearcats rushed for 249 yards in their overtime loss to SMU. The Bearcats have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. And while Cincinnati has not forced more than one turnover in any of their games all season, they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not forcing more than one turnover in at least four straight games. Lastly, the Bearcats have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 38-11 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Temple-Cincinnati ESPN2 Special with the Cincinnati Bearcats (120) plus the points versus the Temple Owls (119). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (117) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (118). North Carolina (1-8) has lost six straight games in a disaster of a season with their 24-19 loss to Miami (FL) two Saturdays ago as a 21-point underdog. Larry Fedora’s team is a M*A*S*H unit this season with injuries on the offensive line particularly hurting this team from week-to-week. The Tar Heels rank 109th in the FBS by scoring 21.3 PPG while ranking 108th in the FBS any averaging 344.2 total YPG. On the road, North Carolina sees their yardage numbers drop to 310.0 total YPG. And over their last three games, the Tar Heels are scoring just 13.3 PPG while averaging 285.7 total YPG. North Carolina has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Tar Heels have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while UNC covered the three-touchdown spread against the Hurricanes, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The defense does seem to be playing better after limiting the Miami (FL) rushing attack to just 59 yards in that game. Over their last three games, they are holding their opponents to just 17.4 PPG while allowing more than 46 YPG below their season average. The Tar Heels have played 12 of the last 14 games Under the Total after the first month of the season. North Carolina has also played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Moving forward, the Tar Heels have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 8 games played on a Thursday night, North Carolina has played all 8 games Under the Total.

Pittsburgh (4-5) takes the field again after their 31-14 win over Virginia as a 1-point favorite back on October 28th. The Panthers have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Pat Narduzzi’s team is fighting for bowl eligibility now — and the former Michigan State defensive coordinator is seeing improved play out of his young defense that returned just four starters from last season. Over their last three games, Pitt is allowing 22.0 PPG along with 377.0 total YPG which is 5.9 PPG and 43.7 YPG better than their seasonal averages. On offense, the Panthers have turned to sophomore Ben Dinucci at QB with the season-ending shoulder injury to USC graduate transfer Max Browne. Dinucci has been more of a game manager after passing just 18 times last week for 134 yards. Junior running back Darrin Hall has rushed for 365 yards over the last two games as he has become the focal point of this offense. It is 2 1/2 years into his tenure at Pitt but Narduzzi looks to finally be constructing this team into the types of teams he was an integral part with under head coach Mark Dantonio at Michigan State. But the team will be without a key piece to their offense with fullback George Aston out for this game with an ankle injury — his absence should not be underestimated. This team stays at home where the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games — and the Panthers have played 10 of their last 16 home games Under the Total when favored by 7.5 to 14 points. Lastly, Pitt has played 5 straight games Under the Total against fellow ACC opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-14-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Thursday Night ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (117) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (118). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Eastern Michigan Eagles (109) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (110). Eastern Michigan (3-6) had been snake-bit this season by suffering a six-game losing streak where each game was determined by 7 points or less. Three of those games were lost in overtime — and they lost by just a combined 23 points in those six contests. The Eagles did rebound last week with a dominant 56-14 win over Ball State last Wednesday as a 25-point favorite. Eastern Michigan has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread win. The Eagles generated 488 yards in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Despite their losing record, this Eastern Michigan team is outscoring their opponents by +4.3 net YPG while outgaining them by +29.9 net YPG. They entered the season 5th in the FBS with 86% of the tackling production returning from last year — and they rank 29th in the FBS by allowing just 20.3 PPG led by a pass defense that limits their opponents to only 180.2 passing YPG. On offense, senior QB Brogan Roback leads an offense that averages 276.8 passing YPG which is 31st in the FBS. This combination has helped the Eagles go 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games on the road — and this includes a 9-1-1 ATS mark in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record, Eastern Michigan has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record.

Central Michigan (5-4) has won two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 35-28 upset win at Western Michigan as a 3.5-point underdog. The Chippewas have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread win. And while their last two games have seen a combined 63 and 65 combined points scored, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after playing two straight games where at least 60 combined points were scored. Despite their winning record, Central Michigan is being outscored by -0.3 net PPG. They struggle to stop the run as they allow their opponents to rush for 205.8 rushing YPG which is 109th in the FBS. At QB, graduate transfer Shane Morris from Michigan has been inconsistent with 11 interceptions and just a 55.2% completion mark. The Chippewas return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games. And in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record, Central Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 79-21-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Eastern Michigan-Central Michigan ESPN2 Special with the Eastern Michigan Eagles (109) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (110). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Ohio Bobcats (108) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (107). Toledo (8-1) has won five straight games after their 27-17 win over Northern Illinois last Wednesday as a 7.5-point favorite. That win most likely ensured that the Rockets will represent the MAC West in their Championship Game with them being one-game up while holding the tie-breaker against the Huskies in that division. This team might be susceptible to a letdown now. As it is, Toledo has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after winning at least five straight games. The Rockets have also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 26 gams after winning at least three straight games in conference play. And while Toledo generated 527 yards against the Northern Illinois defense, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. The Rockets’ only loss this season was at an undefeated Miami (FL) team — but they have also pulled out both their games decided by one scoring possession. This team did take a big blow on offense when their top wide reciter Cody Thompson suffered a season-ending leg injury since that loss to the Hurricanes that could play a role tonight. The favorite in this series has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 meetings between these two teams — including last year when the Rockets were upset by a 31-26 score despite them being the home favorite laying 15 points.

Ohio (7-2) has won three straight games with their 45-28 win over Miami (OH) as a 6.5-point favorite back on Halloween. The Bobcats typically build off their momentum under head coach Frank Solich as they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after a straight-up win. The Bobcats have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Ohio has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Sophomore QB Nathan Rourke continues to develop as he continued 21 of his 33 passes for 294 yards with 3 TDs while adding another 3 TDs with 54 yards on the ground — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. This team has one of the best offenses that Solich has overseen in his thirteen years at Ohio as they rank 8th in the nation by scoring 41.2 PPG. The Bobcats ground game is 22nd in the FBS by averaging 232.9 rushing YPG — and they should find success against this middling Rockets run defense that ranks 59th in the FBS by allowing 164.4 rushing YPG. On defense, Ohio ranks 21st in the nation by holding teams to just 123.0 rushing YPG. And while their pass defense is giving up more yards (with opponents usually passing more because they are trailing on the scoreboard), the Bobcats are 2nd in the MAC with 22 sacks. Ohio will be tough in this night game which will be their last game at home this season. The Bobcats are outscoring their visitors by +26.0 PPG while outgaining them by +129.4 net YPG. Lastly, this dangerous home dog has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games when getting the points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 83-31 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Mid-American Conference Underdog of the Year on the Ohio Bobcats (108) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (107). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Miami (OH) Redhawks (102) minus the points versus the Akron Zips (101). Miami (OH) (3-6) has lost four of their last five games with their 45-28 loss last Tuesday on Halloween as a 6.5-point favorite. The Redhawks have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 gams after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Miami (OH) allowed the Bobcats to pass for 294 yards in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing at least 280 yards in their last game. Despite their losing record, Miami (OH) is outgaining their opponents by +25.0 net YPG. The Redhawks have lost all four of their gamed decided by one scoring possession or their record might be very different entering this game. This team returned seventeen starters from a group that won six of their last seven games last season — and 80% of that roster were underclassmen so this is a disappointing year so far. But three straight wins gets this team bowl eligible still. They need to get going on offense after rushing for only 98 yards last week — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Backup QB Billy Bahl had a good game by completing 28 of 51 passes for 350 yards with 3 TD passes — and the Redhawks are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last contest. With junior QB Gus Ragland questionable for tonight’s game, Miami (OH) looks to be in capable hands with the junior Bahl. They are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in the month of November.

Akron (5-4) has won four of their last five games with their 21-20 upset win over Buffalo as a 3-point underdog back on October 28th. The Zips have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after pulling off an upset victory over a conference rival — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games after an upset win as a home underdog against a MAC foe. Despite their winning record, this Akron team is being outscored by -2.3 PPG — and they are being outgained by -109.4 YPG due to a defense that ranks 106th in the BFS by allowing 444.0 total YPG. The Zips did average 6.8 Yards-Per-Play in their win over the Bulls — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in their last game. QB Logan Woodside passed for 286 yards in that won — but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Now this Arkon team goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 52 point range. Together, these team trends produce our specific 67-22-1 ATSc combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Akron-Miami (OH) ESPN2 Special with the Miami (OH) Redhawks (102) minus the points versus the Akron Zips (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (101) and the Miami (OH) Redhawks (102). Akron (5-4) looks to build off their 21-20 win over Buffalo last week as a 3-point underdog. The Zips have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after both a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while Akron allowed the Bulls to gain 454 yards in that upset victory, they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in the last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Zips have played all 6 games Under the Total.

Miami (OH) (3-6) looks to bounce-back from their 45-28 loss at Ohio last Tuesday. The Redhawks have then played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Miami (OH) managed just 98 rushing yards in their last game — and they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Now this team returns home where they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total — and they have played 11 of the last 14 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 74-15 combined angle for this situation. Lastly, this Redhawks team does play very good defense as they rank 39th in the nation by holding teams to just 365.9 total YPG. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (101) and the Miami (OH) Redhawks (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bulls (104) minus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (103). Buffalo (3-6) may be a surprising favorite of more than a touchdown despite having won only three games and being on a four-game losing streak after their 21-20 loss at Akron back on October 28th as a 3-point favorite. That was the second-straight 1-point loss on the road for this Bulls team that has lost four games this season by 4 points or less. They lost that game against the Zips despite outgaining them by +87 yards in that losing effort. Despite their losing record, Buffalo is outscoring their opponents by +1.2 PPG while also outgaining these teams by +7.3 net YPG. Injuries at quarterback have impacted this team with them having to take the redshirt off freshman Kyle Vantrease earlier this season. But redshirt sophomore QB Tyree Jackson who started last season in nine games is healthy again and back under center after completing 34 of 50 passes for 313 yards in that narrow loss to the Zips. The Bulls generated 454 yards against Akron — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Now this Buffalo team returns home where they are outscoring their opponents by +6.5 PPG while outgaining them by +70.3 net YPG — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games at home. Additionally, the Bulls have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. Much remains on the line for this team that can become bowl eligible if they win their remaining three games.

Bowling Green (2-7) won just their second game of the season last Tuesday in their 44-16 win at Kent State as a 1.5-point favorite. A +4 net turnover margin made a big difference in that victory. But the Falcons have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Bowling Green did rush for 227 yards in their victory over the Golden Flashes last week — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. Defense is the biggest weakness of this team as they are allowing 35.3 PPG along with 496.7 total YPG which ranks 110th and 123rd in the FBS respectively. The Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games as an underdog. And in their last 7 games played on turf, Bowling Green has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 33-7 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Bowling Green-Buffalo ESPNU Special with the Buffalo Bulls (104) minus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (103). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (402) minus the points versus the BYU Cougars (401). Fresno State (5-3) suffered a big letdown last week as they followed up their big upset road win at San Diego State by laying the proverbial egg last week at home against in UNLV by a 26-16 score despite being a 22-point favorite in that game. Look for the Bulldogs to rebound with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Fresno State has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Now this team hosts BYU in this out-of-conference game — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams outside the Mountain West Conference. And in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record, the Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS. Additionally, Fresno State has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games at home. Despite losing at home last week, the Bulldogs remain 3-1 at home while outscoring their opponents by +34.5 PPG based on an offense that scores 46.2 PPG. Fresno State is still outgaining their opponents by +205.8 net YPG.

BYU (2-7) snapped their seven-game losing streak last week with their 41-20 win over San Jose State. The Cougars’ stagnant offense woke up in that game as they generated 598 yards of offense in that contest. But BYU has then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Cougars have failed to over the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 4 games on the road, BYU has failed to cover the point spread all 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 58-6-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Saturday Night Late Show Bailout with the Fresno State Bulldogs (402) minus the points versus the BYU Cougars (401). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Colorado State Rams (405) minus the points versus the Wyoming Cowboys (406). Colorado State (6-3) looks to bounce-back from a 45-28 loss to Air Force last week as a 9.5-point favorite. The Rams are an impressive 16-5-2 ATS in their last 23 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a double-digit loss at home. Colorado State has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Now this team goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games. The Rams have also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record, Colorado State has covered the point spread 10 times. This team will also have revenge on their mind after the Cowboys upset them by a 38-17 score as a 5.5-point favorite in their meeting last October 1st.

Wyoming (5-3) enters this game coming off a triumphant 42-3 win over New Mexico last week. But the Cowboys have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a victory by at least 20 points. And while Wyoming has won four of their last five games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 43 games after winning at least three of their last four games. And in their last 16 games in the month of November, the Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread 12 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 102-32-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Colorado State-Wyoming CBS Sports Network Special with the Colorado State Rams (405) minus the points versus the Wyoming Cowboys (406). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Oklahoma State Cowboys (392) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (391). Oklahoma (7-1) enters Bedlam on a three-game winning streak with their 49-27 win over Texas Tech as a 20.5-point favorite. last week. Quarterback Baker Mayfield completed 22 of 34 passes for 281 yards and 4 TD passes in that contest to lead the Sooners to 617 yards of offense. But this Oklahoma team has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest — and in their last 8 games after passing for at least 280 yards, they have failed to cover the point spread 6 times. But defense has been a problem for this team as they are letting their opponents average +29 YPG above their offensive average for the season. Four of their opponents have generated at least 400 yards against this Sooners’ defense. Now this team goes on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games. And in their last 5 games against Big 12 foes, Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread 4 times.

Oklahoma State (7-1) has won four in a row with their 50-39 win at West Virginia last week as an 8.5-point favorite. The Cowboys have then covered the point spread in a decisive 28 of their last 38 games are scoring at least 50 combined points in their last game. Oklahoma State generated 462 yards in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Cowboys held the Mountaineers to just 62 rushing yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 100 rushing yards in their last contest. And in their last 6 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, Oklahoma State has covered the point spread in 5 of these contests. 20* CFB Oklahoma-Oklahoma State Fox Sports 1 Special with the Oklahoma State Cowboys (392) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (391). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina State Wolfpack (325) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (326). Clemson (7-1) looks to build off their 24-10 win over Georgia Tech last Saturday as a 14-point favorite. The pressure is on now for this team with the College Football Playoff rankings now out. One more loss for this Tigers team probably eliminates them from consideration to finish in the Final Four — and that makes this trip to Raleigh pretty precarious. As it is, the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of November. Clemson is also just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games against ACC opponents. Furthermore, the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after playing their three previous games against conference opponents. Now this team goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 20 games when favored in the 3.5 to 7 point range. And in their last 7 meetings with the Wolfpack, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games.

NC State (6-2) looks to bounce-back from their 35-14 loss at Notre Dame last Saturday. The Wolfpack managed only 263 yards of offense against the Fighting Irish — but they have then rebounded to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. NC State managed only 50 rushing yards in that game which contributed to them losing the rushing battle to Notre Dame by -163 yards. The Wolfpack have then covered the point spread in 26 of their last 37 games after being out-rushed by at least 150 yards. This team returns home where they played great in upsetting Louisville a few weeks ago. NC State is 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games at home against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 5 games against ACC foes, the Wolfpack have covered the point spread 4 times. Lastly, this team should be very confident despite last week’s result since they will remember taking this Clemson team with DeShaun Watson to overtime in their house before losing by a 31-24 score. 10* CFB Clemson-NC State ABC-TV Special with the North Carolina State Wolfpack (325) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (326). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (332) minus the points versus the Syracuse Orange (331). Florida State (2-5) hit a low point this season with their 35-3 loss at Boston College last week as a 6-point favorite. A -3 net turnover margin helped to do the Seminoles in for that game in this lost season that started with a loss on a neutral field to Alabama where they lost sophomore QB Deondre Francois for the season with a knee injury. Florida State then lost three of their next five games by a combined 13 points before collapsing against the Eagles last week. But this is also a team that has endured the most difficult schedule in the country. It is time for Jimbo Fisher’s team to circle the wagons and rally to still earn the right to attend a bowl game this season. They have yet to win at home in three games but are outgaining their opponents in yardage in these games. Look for this team to finally break through with a decisive victory. The Seminoles are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games after failing to score at least 20 points in their last game. And in their last 8 games in the month of November, Florida State has covered the point spread 7 times.

Syracuse (4-4) comes off a 27-19 loss at Miami (FL) as a 17.5-point underdog back on October 21st. The Orange surrendered 344 passing yards in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Now this team stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record, Syracuse is just 0-3-1 ATS. This will be a tough assignment for this Orange team that has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against the Semioles. 10* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Florida State Seminoles (332) minus the points versus the Syracuse Orange (331). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Syracuse Orange (331) and the Florida State Seminoles (332). Florida State (2-5) looks to bounce-back from a 35-3 loss at Boston College last week as a 6-point favorite. The Seminoles have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread defeat. The struggling Florida State offense managed just 213 total yards in that contest — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Seminoles defense has remained tough all season as they have held their opponents on the most difficult schedule in the nation to average -113 YPG below their seasonal offensive average. Furthermore, Florida State has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the month of November.

Syracuse (4-4) looks to bounce-back from their 27-19 loss at Miami (FL) back on October 21st as a 17.5-point favorite. The Orange has then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Orange have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Syracuse has now played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total in ACC play. And while the Orange surrendered 480 yards against the Hurricanes, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 69-9 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Syracuse Orange (331) and the Florida State Seminoles (332). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (416) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (415). Penn State (7-1) saw their bubble-burst last week in Columbus where they blew a series of leads en route to their 39-38 loss at Ohio State as a 7-point underdog. Despite opening the game with a 97-yard kickoff return for a touchdown along with a +2 net turnover margin, the Nittany Lions were outclassed in this contest as they were outgained by -246 net yards. We had a big play on the Buckeyes and it is a shame that we were not rewarded with a winning ticket given how thoroughly dominant they were at the line of scrimmage in this game. Blank slate this week from that setback — and this is a Nittany Lions team primed for a letdown with their College Football Playoff chances now likely to be vanquished. As it is, Penn State is just 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 gams after a straight-up loss. The Nittany Lions have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a loss on the road. The Penn State defense was also exposed in this game as they surrendered 529 yards in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 525 yards in their last game.

Michigan State (6-2) looks to bounce-back from their 39-31 upset loss at Northwestern last week as a 2-point favorite. The Spartans have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. This team is getting improved play out of their sophomore QB Brian Lewerke who completed 39 of 57 passes for 445 yards and 4 TD passes while passing another 30 yards with his legs in that losing effort. Michigan State has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 home games after passing for at least 325 yards in their last game. Sparty has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games on their home field. And in their last 6 home games after playing at least three straight games against Big Ten foes, this team under head coach Mark Dantonio has covered the point spread in all 6 games which earns them the moniker of a dangerous dog in this spot. Lastly, the Spartans have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games in the month of November. Together, these team trends produce our specific 61-22-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Michigan State Spartans (416) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (415). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Indiana Hoosiers (368) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (367). Wisconsin (8-0) remained undefeated last week with their 24-10 win at Illinois as a big 28.5-point favorite. But the Badgers have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning five straight games. Wisconsin enjoyed a +2 net turnover margin agains the Fighting Illini in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after earning a +2 or better net turnover margin. The Badgers have not allowed more than 13 points in each of their last three games — but they have then failed to over the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 14 points in three straight contests. Wisconsin had to be disappointed with their initial rankings in the College Football Playoff poll with their undefeated record still landing them behind a handful of teams with one loss. But that also adds to the pressure as even one loss now likely eliminates them from the playoffs even if they were to go on to win the Big Ten Championship Game.

Indiana (3-5) has lost three straight games after their 42-39 upset loss at Maryland as a 6.5-point favorite. The Hoosiers did pass for 410 yards in that game — and they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after passing for at lease 280 yards in their last game. Indiana has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. The Hoosiers have failed to cover the point spread in each of their last five games but they are playing teams close. Their last three losses were by just one scoring possession which included dates with Michigan and at Michigan State. Indiana has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least four or five of their last six games. Now their return home where they are outscoring their opponents by +6.8 PPG while outgaining them by a healthy +76.5 net YPG. Lastly, the Hoosiers are 14-6-2 ATS in their last 22 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific36-15-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Wisconsin-Indiana ABC-TV Special with the Indiana Hoosiers (368) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (367). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida Gators (411) plus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (412). Florida (3-4) lost their third straight game in a row last week after being blown out by Georgia by a 42-7 score on a neutral field in Jacksonville. That was the last straw for the Florida administration as that led to a quick series of events that saw head coach Jim McElwain dismissed from the program. Defensive coordinator Randy Shannon takes over on an interim basis — and he will be using all his energies to audition to take over this program after previously serving as the head coach at Miami (FL). Expect this team to respond with a big effort this afternoon with the players and coaching staff looking to use this moment to symbolically lay the blame for their disappointing season on the departed McElwain. As it is, the Gators have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 10 points. Florida has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 42 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Gators have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Shannon named Notre Dame transfer Malik Zaire as the starting quarterback after Thursday’s practice after not getting the chance to start with two other QBs on the depth chart that had years of eligibility left still for McElwain. It is “win now” for Shannon, Zaire and the seniors on this roster. And while this team has not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 31 of the last 47 road games after failing to cover the point spread in 31 of their last 47 games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games.

Missouri (3-5) has won two straight games after their 52-12 win at UConn last week. Expect a letdown from the Tigers this week as it has been a Tale of Two Cities for this team when facing Non-Power Five teams versus opponents representing Power Five Conferences. Against Group of Five teams, Mizzou is scorn 64 PPG while totaling 685 YPG. But when the Tigers face a team from the Power-Five, they see their scoring drop to a mere 18.5 PPG scoring average along with 369 total YPG. As it is, the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win. Additionally, Missouri has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after allowing 14 or fewer points in their last game. And while they gained 583 yards against the Huskies, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Now this team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 101-35 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Saturday Afternoon Special Feature with the Florida Gators (411) plus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (412). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (380) minus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (379). Kansas State (4-4) snapped their three-game losing streak last Saturday with their 30-20 win at Kansas as a 24.5-point favorite. The Wildcats lost senior QB Jesse Ertz in that game to a knee injury — and he is questionable in this afternoon’c contest. If he cannot go, sophomore Alex Delton will make the start. He is completing only 52.7% of his passes on  52 attempts this season. Kansas State will rely on their ground game in this one after rushing for 202 yards against Kansas — but they are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The Wildcats allowed 418 yards in that contest to the Jayhawks — and they are just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing at least 280 yards in their last contest. Now this team stays on the road where they are 1-2 this season. They are only managing 337.0 total YPG away from home which explains why they are being outgained by their home hosts by -95.7 net YPG. Additionally, the Wildcats are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Big 12 play. 

Texas Tech (4-4) has lost three straight games with their 49-27 loss at Oklahoma last week as a 20.5-point underdog. The Red Raiders have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. The Red Raiders did see their senior QB Nic Shimonek complete 22 of 36 passes for 322 yards with 4 TD passes in that loss. Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Now this team returns home they are scoring 38.7 PPG which helps them outscore their visitors by +6.0 PPG while they outgaining these foes by +42.2 YPG. The Red Raiders have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home. And in their last 10 games in the month of November, Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 8 of these contests. 10* CFB Kansas State-Texas Tech FS1 Special with the Texas Tech Red Raiders (380) minus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (379). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (377) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (378). Vanderbilt (3-5) has lost five straight games with their 34-27 loss at South Carolina last Saturday. The Commodores have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Now Vanderbilt returns home where they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Gone are the salad days of September when this team went into their meeting with Alabama with the best statistical defense in the nation. Over their last three games, the Commodores have given up 45.3 PPG along with 512.7 total YPG. Vandy allowed 212 rushing yards to the Gamecocks last week — and they have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. The Commodores’ offense has kicked into another gear with junior QB Kyle Shurmur completing 27 of 49 passes for 333 yards and 3 TDs against South Carolina. This team is scoring 25.3 PPG over their last three games while averaging 364.3 total YPG which is well above their 314.9 total YPG seasonal average.

Western Kentucky (5-3) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last Saturday with their 42-28 loss at Florida Atlantic as a 6.5-point underdog. The Hilltoppers have then played 13 of the last 19 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Western Kentucky allowed 461 yards in that contest — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Hilltoppers have also played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. This team has cranked things up on offense as they are scoring 36.0 PPG over their last three games while totaling 504.3 total YPG over that span. Western Kentucky has needed this increased production on offense because they are allowing 29.0 PPG over their last three games while allowing 406.0 YPG over that span which is 37 YPG more than their seasonal average. Moving forward, the Hilltoppers have played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 53-14 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (377) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (378). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (320) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (319). Memphis (7-1) is a popular play with bettors tonight having won four in a roAt 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (320) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (319). Memphis (7-1) is a popular play with bettors tonight having won four in a row with their 56-26 win last Friday as a 10.5-point favorite. But the Tigers are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they are only 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread win. Furthermore, Memphis is just 11-27-2 ATS in their last 40 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Tigers have a prolific offense led by senior QB Riley Ferguson. The NFL prospect passed for 298 yards against the Green Wave defense — but they hare then just 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. The Memphis defense is a disaster as they rank 117th in the FBS by allowing 468.0 total YPG. This team is getting by with a net turnover margin of +8 which is not sustainable. They have four net close wins determined by one scoring possession. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 meetings with the Golden Hurricanes.

Tulsa (2-7) looks to bounce-back from a 38-34 loss at SMY last week. This team has been wildly inconsistent with a terrible loss at home to Tulane preceding then a surprising upset win over a Houston team that handed the Tigers their only loss this season. The Golden Hurricanes have four net close losses determined by one scoring possession this year — so they are just a few breaks away from a much different record. Tulsa has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. Now this team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They have a potent offense that averages 446.2 total YPG (35th in the FBS) along with scoring 32.9 PPG (32nd in the FBS) which should help keep them competitive in this game. Lastly, the Golden Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of November. Together, these team trends produce our specific 114-44-5 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Memphis-Tulsa ESPN2 Special with the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (320) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (319). Best of luck for us — Frank.w with their 56-26 win last Friday as a 10.5-point favorite. But the Tigers are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they are only 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread win. Furthermore, Memphis is just 11-27-2 ATS in their last 40 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Tigers have a prolific offense led by senior QB Riley Ferguson. The NFL prospect passed for 298 yards against the Green Wave defense — but they hare then just 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. The Memphis defense is a disaster as they rank 117th in the FBS by allowing 468.0 total YPG. This team is getting by with a net turnover margin of +8 which is not sustainable. They have four net close wins determined by one scoring possession. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 meetings with the Golden Hurricanes.

Tulsa (2-7) looks to bounce-back from a 38-34 loss at SMY last week. This team has been wildly inconsistent with a terrible loss at home to Tulane preceding then a surprising upset win over a Houston team that handed the Tigers their only loss this season. The Golden Hurricanes have four net close losses determined by one scoring possession this year — so they are just a few breaks away from a much different record. Tulsa has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. Now this team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They have a potent offense that averages 446.2 total YPG (35th in the FBS) along with scoring 32.9 PPG (32nd in the FBS) which should help keep them competitive in this game. Lastly, the Golden Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of November. Together, these team trends produce our specific 114-44-5 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Memphis-Tulsa ESPN2 Special with the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (320) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (319). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Marshall Thundering Herd (317) plus the points versus the Florida Atlantic Owls (318). Marshall (6-2) saw their five-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in their 41-30 loss to Florida International despite being a 14.5-point favorite. The Thundering Herd suffered from a -3 net turnover margin in that game which included a 12-yard interception return for a touchdown by the Golden Panthers. Those turnovers overwhelmed the Thundering Herd’s 29 to 21 first down margin as well as their +104 net yardage advantage (505 yards to 401 yards) in that game. Now an underdog on the road, look for Marshall to bounce-back with a big effort. The Thundering Herd are 3-1-1 ATS after a double-digit win at home — and they are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread loss. Marshall has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning four of their last five contests. Additionally, the Thundering Herd have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest — and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. They are outgaining their Conference USA opponents by +141 net YPG which is a better mark than the Owls +125 net YPG mark in conference play.

Florida Atlantic (5-3) enters this game coming off their 42-28 win at Western Kentucky last Saturday. The Owls benefited from a +3 net turnover margin last night — with two of those turnovers resulting into short drives of 8-yard and 18-yard touchdown drives. FAU lost the first down battle by a 32 to 21 margin while being out-gained in yardage in that contest. Now the Owls return home where they have not retained much of a home field advantage. FAU is 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games at home. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 31 home games as the favorite — and they have failed to cover the point spread in eight of their last nine home games when laying 7.5 to 14 points as the favorite. Furthermore, the Owls have played three straight games Over the Total after last week’s game which finished above the 67.5 number. FAU has then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after an Over — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing at least two straight games that finished Over the Total. 25* CFB Friday CBS-Sports Network Game of the Year with the Marshall Thundering Herd (317) plus the points versus the Florida Atlantic Owls (318). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Northern Illinois Huskies (309) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (310). Northern Illinois (6-2) has own four games in a row with their 30-27 win in overtime against Eastern Michigan Thursday as a 7.5-point favorite. The Huskies are then 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after a straight-up win. Northern Illinois has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. This team lost two tough non-conference games to Boston College and at San Diego State — but the good news for this team is they may have found their answer at quarterback. The Huskies have struggled with vanilla play under center with QBs that have lacked the ability to execute the run and pass aspects of their spread offense. But redshirt freshman Marcus Childers has thrived since taking over. He might have played his best game against the Eagles last week by completing 23 of 40 passes for 283 yards with 2 TDs while adding another 54 rushing yards. For the season, Childers has rushed for 334 yards while completing 61.4% of his passes while averaging 6.9 Yards-Per-Attempt and sporting a nifty 9-to-1 touchdown to interception ratio. Northern Illinois also has an outstanding defense that ranked 15th in the FBS by allowing just 307.1 total YPG while being tied for 16th by allowing only 18.0 PPG. The pass defense is limiting opposing QBs to complete just 53.1% of their passes while compiling 25 sacks and and picking off 13 passes. The Huskies are 34-14-3 ATS in their 50 road games and they are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Northern Illinois has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 road games as an underdog in the 7.5 to 14 point range.

Toledo (7-1) has won four straight games with their 58-17 win over Ball State last Saturday. The Rockets generated a whopping 602 yards of offense in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Toledo surrendered 204 rushing yards to the Cardinals in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing at least 200 yards in their last game. This team has only lost to an undefeated Miami (FL) this season — but there are some vulnerabilities once you scratch the surface. The Rockets are last in the Mid-American Conference in Red Zone defense — and they are not pressuring opposing offenses with just ten sacks and only ten forced turnovers. Toledo stays at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home — and they are just 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 91-28-4 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, these two teams have seen five of their last six encounters decided by one touchdown or less. With the winner of this game likely advancing to the MAC Championship Game as the winner of the West Division, expect a close game. 10* CFB Northern Illinois-Toledo ESPNU Special with the Northern Illinois Huskies (309) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (310). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Central Michigan Chippewas (305) plus the points versus the Western Michigan Broncos (306). Western Michigan (5-3) has won five of their last six games after surviving in Ypsilanti last week in their 20-17 win at Eastern Michigan in overtime as a 2.5-point favorite. The Broncos did receive a blow with sophomore QB Jon Wassink breaking his collarbone in that game which will keep him on the shelf for six to eight weeks. With junior Tom Flacco Joe’s younger brother) transferring to Rutgers in late July, first-year head coach will have to rely on a true freshman QB in Reece Goddard to make his first collegiate start. It will be difficult conditions with rain and wind expected in Kalamazoo tonight. Western Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, these Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games — and not only have they failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 15 home games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight home games after failing to cover the pint spread in five or six of their last seven home games.

Central Michigan (4-4) has won two of their last three games with their 56-9 win at Ball State last week as a 3.5-point favorite. This blowout win on the road should inject this team with confidence — especially graduate transfer QB Shane Morris who completed 16 of 21 passes for 199 yards and four TD passes. The former Michigan QB leads an offense that averages 254.4 passing YPG and should have success against this Broncos’ defense that ranks 89th in the FBS by allowing 242.9 passing YPG. The Chippewas defense held the Cardinals last week to only 208 total yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The defense also ranks tied for 11th in the FBS by forcing eighteen turnovers which is an intriguing number when combatting a freshman QB in inclement weather. Central Michigan has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games against teams with a winning record at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games as an underdog. Lastly, the Chippewas are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games at Western Michigan. 10* CFB Wednesday MACtion ESPN2 Special with the Central Michigan Chippewas (305) plus the points versus the Western Michigan Broncos (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Clemson Tigers (140) minus the points versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (139). Clemson (6-1) takes the field again after losing their first game of the season two Fridays ago with their 27-24 loss at Syracuse as a 24-point favorite. QB Kelly Bryant was knocked out of that game with a concussion but the bye has offered him extra time to recover and he has been upgraded to probable for this contest. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after a loss by a field goal or less. Clemson has not covered the point spread in two straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. This team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 of these games. The extra week to rest and prepare will also help this Clemson defense prepare for the unique offense of the Yellow Jackets. The Tigers have handled this spread triple option the last two seasons as they have held Georgia Tech to just 91 rushing yards on 2.5 Yards-Per-Carry last season and only 71 rushing yards on a mere 1.7 YPC average in 2015.

Georgia Tech (4-2) has won four of their last five games with their 38-24 win over Wake Forest last Saturday. The Yellow Jackets have forced only one turnover in their last two games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to force more than one turnover in their last game. Georgia Tech has struggled against this Tigers’ defense that has sported an elite defensive line each of the last few seasons under head coach Dabo Swinney. The Yellow Jackets have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight trips to Clemson. Together, these team trends produce our specific 33-12 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Georgia Tech-Clemson ABC-TV Special with the Clemson Tigers (140) minus the points versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (139). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (198) plus the points versus the Florida Atlantic Owls (197). Florida Atlantic (4-3) has won three straight games with their dominant 59-31 win over North Texas last week at home as a 3.5-point favorite. This team has received plenty of attention this season with Lane Kiffin in his first year here as their head coach. The Owls opened as surprising 4.5-point road favorites in this contest — and the public has not been deterred as they have been bet up to a 6.5-point favorite in many spots as of this writing. Well, that is ridiculous — so lets take this solid Hilltoppers team as a home underdog. FAU is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while junior QB Jason Driskel completed 24 of 35 passes for 357 yards in that game, they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. But this team surrendered 283 passing yards in that win over the Mean Green — and they are then 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Additionally, the Owls have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Keep in mind that this Florida Atlantic team has not pulled an upset this season — their 4-3 record is in line with Vegas expectations. Furthermore, this team has also been very fortunate with their +1.29 net turnover margin per game which is 6th best in the nation.

Western Kentucky (5-2) has won four in a row with their 35-31 victory at Old Dominion back on October 20th as a 6.5-point favorite. The Hilltoppers have won two straight Conference USA Championships and will be surprised to see themselves as underdogs at home in this game. Western Kentucky has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 home games as an underdog getting a touchdown or less. Look for them to build off their momentum as they have covered the point sprawl din 21 of their last 29 games after winning at least two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after winning at least three straight games against conference rivals. And while the Hilltoppers have scored 79 points over their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after scoring at least 31 points in two straight games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 63-20-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Big Dog Surprise with the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (198) plus the points versus the Florida Atlantic Owls (197). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina State Wolfpack (179) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (180). Notre Dame (6-1) comes off a triumphant 49-14 win over USC last Saturday night in a dominant effort. But the Fighting Irish may be due for a letdown now. Notre Dame has then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games after a win by at least five touchdowns. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a win by at least 20 points. And while the Irish have covered the point spread in five straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 29 games after the covered the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. And while Notre Dame has only allowed 24 combined points in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 14 points in two straight contests.

NC State (6-1) has had an extra week to prepare for this contest after their 35-17 win at Pittsburgh back on October 14th. The Wolfpack have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. NC State has one of the best defensive lines in the country that will force the Irish’s QB Brian Wimbush to beat them with his arm. The Wolfpack have played four straight Unders — and they have then covered the point spread in 32 of their last 45 games after playing at least two straight games that finished Under the Total. Additionally, NC State has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games against teams outside the ACC. The Wolfpack have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played on field turf. And in their last 5 games on the road, NC State has covered the point spread all 5 times. 10* CFB NC State-Notre Dame NBC-TV Special with the North Carolina State Wolfpack (179) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (180). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida Gators (196) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (195). Georgia (7-0) remained undefeated two weeks ago in their last game where they defeated Missouri by a 52-38 score. But the Bulldogs are just 5-13-1 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while freshman Jacob Fromm completed 18 of 26 passes for 326 yards, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 280 yards. Additionally, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games in the month of October. And in their last 4 meetings with the Gators in the Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party, the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread all 4 times including suffering a 24-10 loss to Florida last October.

Florida (3-3) has had an extra week to prepare for this game after their 19-17 loss to Texas A&M two Saturdays ago. The Gators have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after their bye week. This team is also getting wide receivers back after this team has been undermanned all season with some injuries but also dealing with those suspended players to begin the season. But having already played the Aggies as well as Michigan and LSU who they lost to by just a point, this Florida team has faced a much harder schedule than this Georgia team that has only faced Notre Dame as a quality opponent. Lastly, the Gators have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games played on a neutral field. 10* CFB Georgia-Florida CBS-TV Special with the Florida Gators (196) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (195). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (206) minus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (205). Penn State (7-0) avenged an embarrassing 39-point loss to Michigan last Saturday night in their “white-out” game with ESPN Game Day with their 42-13 victory over the Wolverines. Head coach James Franklin and the entire Nittany Lions’ nation has been the toast of the town with that victory signaling the program’s return from disgrace after the Jerry Sandusky travesty. We had Penn State in a big play in that game — and that big win sets up a huge emotional letdown “play-against” situation this week as they travel to Columbus for an even bigger showdown. There is plenty of technical support for this expected letdown. The Nittany Lions have been favored by at least 7.5-points in three straight games — and their 29-point win against Michigan was the closest of those three victories. Penn State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after being a favorite of at least 7 points in three straight games. And in their last 11 games after generating at least three straight wins by at least three touchdowns. Frankly, this Penn State team has been a bit overrated in my view since their fluke win over the Buckeyes last October — more on that in a moment. They impressed many with their loss in the Rose Bowl team to a USC team with three losses this season. They barely survived their game in Iowa City to begin the month where a late touchdown eked out a 21-19 win against an Hawkeyes team that also now has three losses. And then Saquon Barkley and company managed to rush for just 39 yards in their next game against Indiana before earning only 95 rushing yards on 2.5 Yards-Per-Carry the next week against Northwestern. They face a dramatic step in quality against this Buckeyes defensive line this week. Penn State is just 4-11-2 ATS when playing on field turf that accentuates their opponent’s speed. The Nittany Lions have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog in the 3.5 to 7 point range. And in their last 11 trips to Columbus to face the Buckeyes, Penn State has failed to cover the point spread 9 times.

Ohio State (6-1) has had this game circled for as long as I have when considering that they outgained the Nittany Lions by 97 yards while winning the first down battle by a 19 to 13 margin — and that game was played in College Station. The Buckeyes lost their 21-17 lead with less than 5 minutes to go when they blocked an Ohio State field goal attempt which they returned for a 60-yard touchdown to steal that game. After the Buckeyes loss to Oklahoma earlier this season, this is now a must-win game for Ohio State to keep their National Championship Playoff hopes alive. Despite that loss, the Buckeyes are outgaining their opponents by +272 net YPG while the Nittany Lions are outscoring their opponents by 92 YPG less with their +180 net YPG clip. Ohio State has had an extra week off to rest and prepare for this showdown after their 56-14 blowout win at Nebraska as a 23.5-point favorite. The Buckeyes have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. This team has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games after a bye week. Furthermore, you will at some point here the stat that Urban Meyer boasts a 29-4 straight-up record as a head coach after a bye week — and that includes winning twenty straight contests with an extra week to prepare. His staff’s benefit of spending an extra second week scheming against a Penn State team that was completely focused on Michigan last week (did Offensive Coordinator Joe Moorhead use all his best tricks last week?) gives them a distinct advantage. Finally, the offensive struggles this team was experiencing earlier in the season seems to have resolved under their first-year Offensive Coordinator Kevin Wilson. Freshman running back J.K. Dobbins has become the bell-cow running back while QB J.T. Barrett has found his niche in this offense. Against the Cornhuskers, Barrett completed 27 of his 33 passes for 325 yards with 5 TD passes (no picks) while adding another 48 rushing yards and two TDs on the ground. 25* CFB Big Ten Game of the Year with the Ohio State Buckeyes (206) minus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (205). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Cavaliers (137) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Panthers (138). Virginia (5-2) looks to bounce-back from their 41-10 upset loss to Boston College as a 7-point favorite. The Cavaliers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after a double-digit loss at home. And while Virginia allowed 512 yards to the Eagles in that contest, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after giving up at least 450 yards in their last game. Now Virginia goes back on the road where they are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games.

Pittsburgh (3-5) had lost five of their last six games but they turned that losing streak last week by upsetting Duke on the road by a 24-17 score as a 9.5-point underdog. But the Panthers are just 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up win. Pittsburgh did allow 283 passing yards to the Blue Devils in that game — and they are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. And while they managed just 149 passing yards themselves, they are then 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last contest. Now this team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games on their home field — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in five straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Virginia Cavaliers (137) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Panthers (138). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (128) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (127). This line looks fishy with Louisville (5-3) only laying a field goal or so agains this Demon Deacons team that has lost three straight games. It looks very easy to take the Cardinals with the reigning Heisman Trophy winner in Lamar Jackson after they upset Florida State last week by a 31-28 score as a 6-point underdog. Louisville may be ripe for a letdown, however, when considering that they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win. The Cardinals are also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread victory. And in their last 10 games in the month of October, Louisville has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games. This Cardinals team is becoming more and more like one of Bobby Petrine’s teams at Arkansas where the offense is powerful but the defense lags. The Charlie Strong recruits that helped construct an elite Louisville defense have moved on. This defense ranks 63rd in the FBS by allowing 383.3 total YPG. That helps explain why the Cardinals have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games against teams with a winning record.

Wake Forest (4-3) has lost three straight games with their 38-24 loss at Georgia Tech as a 3.5-point underdog last week. The Demon Deacons have then bounced-back to go 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a point spread loss. And while Wake Forest gave up 495 yards in that loss, they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Now they return home where they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games on their home field. Together, these trends produce our specific 38-4-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Bet With the Books (and Avoid the Trap) Special with the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (128) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (127). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (129) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (130). Miami (6-0) remained undefeated last week with their 27-19 win over Syracuse as a 17.5-point favorite. The Hurricanes have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while QB Malik Zaire passed for 344 yards in that victory, Miami has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a game where they generated at least 280 passing yards. Now they go back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total. The Hurricanes bring with them a defense that is 23rd in the FBS by holding opponents to just 18.7 PPG.

North Carolina (1-7) continued their disastrous season last week with a 5907 loss at Virginia Tech as a 20.5-point underdog. The Tar Heels managed just 172 yards of offense in that game. North Carolina has then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. This team has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to gain more than 275 yards in their last game. The Tar Heels are 113th in the FBS by averaging only 333.8 total YPG and they are scoring just 11 PPG in their last five games. They return home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. They also have now played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total in the month of October. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, UNC has played 4 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 52-12 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Miami (FL)-North Carolina ESPN2 O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (129) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (130). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:30 AM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (123) and the Akron Zips (124). Buffalo (3-5) will be starting a true freshman at QB in Kyle Vantrease with both Drew Anderson and Tyree Jackson declared out for this game. Vantrease completed just 17 of 41 passes last week for 202 yards in the Bulls’ 24-14 loss at Miami (OH) as a 3-point underdog. Buffalo is playing all of their opponents tough with three of their losses by 4 points or less and all five of their defeats being within 10 points — so expect a conservative game plan in this contest with a freshman QB playing in a hostile environment. As it is, the Bulls have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road. Furthermore, Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And in their last 5 games after a loss by at least 20 points, the Bulls have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Moving forward, Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of October.

Akron (4-4) enters this game coming off a 48-21 loss at Toledo last Saturday as a 15.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 25 of their last 34 games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss as well as after a point spread setback. Additionally, Akron has played 36 of their last 51 games Under the Total after a game where they did not score more than 20 points. This Zips offense ranks 116th in the FBS by totaling a mere 326.6 total YPG. And while they did allowing 48 points to the Rockets, they have then played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Moving forward, Akron returns home where they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total. The Zips have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of October. They have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 13 games played on field turf, Akron has played 12 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 163-46 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB CBS-Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bulls (123) and the Akron Zips (124). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Tulane Green Wave (113) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (114). Memphis (6-1) rallied from a 38-28 deficit with under 5:30 minutes to go in the 4th quarter last Thursday in their 42-38 upset win at Houston as a 1-point underdog. Expect an emotional letdown from this team now as a comfortable favorite back at home. The Tigers are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, they are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Now they return home where they are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on their home field. Furthermore, they are only outgaining their opponents by +3.7 net YPG this season despite their gaudy 6-1 record. Four of their victories have been one scoring possession — and there is a good chance this game also will be determined by one score. Memphis is just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October. 

Tulane (3-4) has lost two straight games with their 34-28 loss to South Florida last Saturday as a 10-point underdog. The Green Wave showed grit in that game by rallying from a 34-7 deficit to make that game too close for comfort for the Bulls. Tulane has now covered the point spread in 4 straight games in Sun Belt Conference play. The Green Wave have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games in the month of October. This has become a dangerous team in the second season under head coach Willie Fritz who took his unique wishbone triple option after having tremendous success with that offense at Georgia Southern. Tulane returned sixteen starters from last year’s 4-8 team that may have finished 1-7 in conference play but outgained their last three American Athletic Conference opponents. This season, the Green Wave are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 PPG despite their losing record. They held South Florida to just 127 passing yards which is very encouraging when facing Riley Ferguson tonight. Tulane is tied for 28th in the FBS by holding opponents to just 190.6 passing YPG. Moving forward, the Green Wave has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards in their last game. And in their last 6 games played on field turf, Tulane has covered the point spread in 5 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-22 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Friday Night Kick Off with the Tulane Green Wave (113) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (114). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (111) minus the points versus the Boston College Eagles (112). Florida State (2-4) saw their tough luck season continue last week with their 31-28 upset loss to Louisville last Saturday as 6-point favorites. After their opening 24-7 loss to Alabama when sophomore Deondre Francois suffered his season-ending knee injury, the Seminoles have lost three more games to NC State, Miami (FL) and then to the Cardinals with the reigning Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson by a combined 13 points. Jimbo Fisher’s team has probably endured the most difficult schedule in the nation. Now with four losses on the season with challenging road games at Clemson and Florida still on the docket, the Seminoles do not have much more margin of error just to become bowl eligible. Expect a big effort from this team in this critical game. Florida State is 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. The Seminoles have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after losing four or five of their last six games. And while Florida State allowed 293 rushing yards to the Cardinals, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. One of the problems for this team is not having much luck in creating turnovers. The Seminoles have forced only one turnover in each of their last three games — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after three straight games when they failed to force more than one turnover in their last game. Florida State is playing outstanding defense still as they are holding their opponents 130 net YPG below their season average for the season. Moving forward, the Seminoles are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. And in their last 5 Friday night games, the Seminoles have covered the point spread all 5 times.

Boston College (4-4) has won three of their last four games with their 41-10 upset win at Virginia last week as a 7-point underdog. The Eagles have scored two straight upset victories — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a victory by at least 20 points. BC did benefit from a +3 net turnover margin in that game. But now they return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games at home. The Eagles have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games as the underdog. And in their last 5 appearances for a Friday night game, Boston College has failed to cover the point spread in all 5 of these contests. 25* CFB Friday ESPN Game of the Month with the Florida State Seminoles (111) minus the points versus the Boston College Eagles (112). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Georgia State Panthers (106) plus the points versus the South Alabama Jaguars (105). South Alabama (3-4) has won two straight games with their 33-23 win over UL-Monroe last Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. But this Jaguars team has been consistent regarding their inconsistency over the years. Not only has South Alabama failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games after a straight-up win but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after a point spread victory. The Jaguars surrendered 488 yards of offense to the Red Hawks in that game — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 26 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. This team was reeling just a few weeks ago having lost four of their first five games while firing their offensive coordinator Bryant Vincent. An upset win over Troy back on October 11th is the highpoint of their season. But South Alabama has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games on the road. And in their last 24 games in Sun Belt Conference play, the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of these contests.

Georgia State (3-3) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last week in a  34-10 loss as a 7.5-point underdog to that Troy team that was looking to take out their frustration from their upset loss to these Jaguars. The Panthers allowed 335 passing yards in that game — but they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. And while that loss came on the heels of their 47-37 win at UL-Monroe, Georgia State has then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after allowing at least 31 points in two straight games. This Panthers’ team returned fifteen starters from a team that was a disappointing 3-9 last year — but while injuries ravaged that team, they actually outgained their Sun Belt opponents by +14.6 net YPG despite losing six of those eight games. They had some growing pains to begin the season under new head coach Shawn Elliott but they have much improved over the last month. This is an important game for this team that is just playing their third game at home this season. This is an opportunity to generate some excitement for their downtown Atlanta fan base in this midweek prime-time game in their new home at Turner Field that they took over with the Braves moving to the suburbs. Georgia State has two games on the road after this game so getting a win against a conference rival for their fan base is critical — and it would go a long way to helping them reach a bowl game. The Panthers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. GSU has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games in the month of October. Lastly, the Panthers are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games in conference play. 25* CFB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month with the Georgia State Panthers (106) plus the points versus the South Alabama Jaguars (105). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the USC Trojans (401) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (402). Notre Dame (5-1) has won four straight games after their loss to Georgia back on September 9th after their 33-10 win at North Carolina two weeks ago as a 12-point favorite. But this Fighting Irish team has been consistently inconsistent in the Brian Kelly era as they typically suffer letdowns just as they start to build some momentum. Notre Dame has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Fighting Irish have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. Additionally, while Notre Dame held the Tar Heels to just 265 yards of offense, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing at least 275 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Irish have failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 41 of their last 62 games after winning at least four of their last five games. And perhaps most telling under Kelly’s coaching in South Bend, Notre Dame has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Granted, the Irish did snap their “big game” losing streak earlier this year with a win on the road against Michigan State which was in prime-time — but more often than not this Notre Dame team eventually sees their head coach screaming bloody murder at them for not playing up to the standards that he brought to the program from Central Michigan. The Spartans were the second-best team they have faced this year to a solid but now wildly overrated Georgia team that handed them their first loss this season. There other wins over Temple, Miami (Ohio), a bad Tar Heels team and Boston College are just not huge resume builders with the tougher part of the schedule backloaded. Kelly’s mediocrity in South Bend has impacted the talent base with his recruiting classes dropping off. Furthermore, I think they are too imbalanced on offense by relying so much on their running game that is averaging over 300 YPG. Sophomore QB Brandon Wimbush will be back under center for this one after missing the North Carolina game. But he is not doing much with his arm as he is completing just 52.3% of his passes while averaging just 5.9 Yards-Per-Attempt. I have zero confidence in Wimbush’s ability move the ball with his arm if that is what is asked of him.

USC (6-1) showed grit and resolve last week by rallying from a 21-7 halftime deficit to a tough Utah team to pull out a 28-27 victory. QB Sam Darnold completed 27 of 50 passes for 358 yards and five touchdowns (no interceptions) to help his team overcome a -2 net turnover margin which included an 18-yard fumble recovery for a Utes touchdown for that big win. The loser of this game will be eliminated from National Championship Playoff discussions — and I want to be on Darnold’s side in that situation as the likely best player on the field. The Trojans are recruiting better than the Irish and will have the talent edge in this contest. Their ceiling regarding quality of play is higher as they showed in their convincing win over a Stanford team that also looked to control the line of scrimmage and run the football. The balance and productivity of what this USC can do on offense will make the difference. They generated 532 yards against the good Utah defense — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after gaining at least 475 yards in their last game. They averaged 6.41 Yards-Per-Play in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after averaging at least 5.25 YPP. And in their last 9 road games with the Total set in the 63.5 to 70 point range, the Trojans have covered the point spread in 6 of those games. 25* CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year with the USC Trojans (401) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (402). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Penn State Nittany Lions (456) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (455). Penn State (6-0) has been licking their chops for this opportunity to avenge an embarrassing 49-10 loss at Michigan last September 24th. The Nittany Lions’ linebacking corps was ravaged with injuries in that game which goes far to explain that blowout. Penn State soon got healthy again at that position and preceded to outscore their opponents in the second half of the season by a whopping 326-130 point margin. Save for their 52-49 loss in the Rose Bowl to USC, the Nittany Lions have won all of their games since that bad loss to the Wolverines. Now at 6-0, Penn State finds themselves in the thick of the National Championship hunt — and they have the opportunity to offer a loud rebuttal to that loss last year to Michigan with ESPN Gameday camped out in Happy Valley for this game and a “White Out” being planned by their fans for this game to be the prime-time game on ABC-TV. The Nittany Lions have the benefit of a bye week after their 31-7 win at Northwestern two weeks ago. Penn State is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Nittany Lions defense flexed their muscles in that game by holding the Wildcats to just 265 yards of offense in that game. Not only is Penn State 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last game but they are also 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. Furthermore, the Nittany Lions are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games at home — and that includes covering four straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Michigan (5-1) rebounded from their loss at home to Michigan State to survive a 27-20 win at Indiana in overtime last week. This Wolverines team managed just 329 yards of offense against the Hoosiers defense which begs the question as to how they will move the ball against this stout Nittany Lions unit. The Michigan offense was already challenged to begin the season after losing two wide receivers and a tight end that all went to the NFL. Offensive line has always been an issue for Jim Harbaugh since returning to his alma mater — and fourth-year junior QB Wilton Speight was struggling with an aerial attack before he suffered his shoulder injury at Purdue. Unfortunately for the Wolverines, senior QB and former Houston starting quarterback John O’Korn has not been the answer under center. Last week after a futile effort in the rain against the Spartans, he completed just 10 of 20 passes for a mere 58 yards. While O’Korn is not being helped by a young and inexperienced wide receiver group, he has not shown the ability to make reads off his first passing target — and that might be precisely the reason why he lost his starting job at Houston after being their full-time starter as a freshman. Working under Harbaugh was an opportunity to learn but no guarantee he could grasp these fundamental progression read concepts. The Wolverines are completely dependent on their ground game at this point which will allow the Nittany Lions’ defense to stuff the box. Michigan’s junior Karan Higdon did rush for 200 yards against the Hoosiers’ defense last week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game (Michigan: 271 total rushing yards). The Wolverines are also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in the month of October. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, Michigan is just 1-4-1 ATS. 25* CFB Saturday Night ABC-TV Game of the Month with the Penn State Nittany Lions (456) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (455). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Utah Utes (410) minus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (409). Arizona State (3-3) pulled a big upset last Saturday night with their 13-7 win over Washington as a 17.5-point underdog. Expect the Sun Devils to suffer a big letdown this week against a good Utah team. Arizona State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. The Sun Devils won that game despite lacking balance on offense as they ran the ball for only 40 yards. Arizona State has then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards. They did hold the Huskies offense to only 139 passing yards — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards. Now this team goes back on the road where they do tend to struggle. The Sun Devils have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games on the road — and they are just 17-38-2 ATS in their last 57 road gams against teams with a winning record on the road.

Utah (4-2) needs a win after losing two straight games after their 28-27 loss at USC last Saturday as a 13.5-point favorite. The Utes have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. Utah is also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread win. And while the Utes’ defense allowed 532 yards against the Trojans, they are then 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. They return home where they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games. Utah is scoring their guests by +18.7 PPG while outgaining them by +165.7 net YPG due to their defense that limits them to just 295.0 total YPG and only 18.3 PPG. 10* CFB Arizona State-Utah Fox Sports 1 Special with the Utah Utes (410) minus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (409). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston College Eagles (361) and the Virginia Cavaliers (362). Boston College (3-4) looks to build off their 45-42 upset win at Louisville last week as a 20-point underdog. The offensive explosion in that game from this Eagles team that typically relies on stout defense with points hard to come by on offense was a surprise. Expect things to get back to the lower-scoring ways under fifth-year head coach Steve Addazio. Boston College has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Eagles have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Additionally, while BC allowed 625 yards of offense in that game, the Under is then 43-19-1 in their last 63 games after a game where they allowed at least 450 yards in their last game contest. Now the Eagles stay on the road where the Under is a decisive 36-14-1.

Virginia (5-1) enters this game coming off their 20-14 win at North Carolina in a game where they held the Tar Heels to just 257 yards. The Cavaliers have then played 28 of their last 39 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Virginia has also played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Now the Cavaliers return home where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Furthermore, Virginia has played 23 of their last 34 home games Under the Total agains teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 158-52 combined angle for this situation. Boston College won last year’s contest by a 17-13 score last November 20th. Expect another low scoring game this afternoon. 25* CFB ACC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston College Eagles (361) and the Virginia Cavaliers (362). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (327) and the Toledo Rockets (328). Akron (4-3) looks to build off their 14-13 upset win at Western Michigan as a 12.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss as well as after a point spread setback. Additionally, Akron has played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing 20 points or less in their last game. The Zips won that game despite managing just 215 yards of offense in that contest. Akron has then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing no more than 275 yards — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after scoring no more than 20 points This team is allowing only 13.0 PPG over their last two games. But they stay on the road agains where they are scoring just 16.2 PPG while averaging a mere 275.5 total YPG. Furthermore, the Zips have played 12 of their last 15 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Toledo (5-1) looks to build off their 30-10 win at Central Michigan last week as a 9.5-point favorite. The Rockets have then seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread win — and the Under is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. Now Toledo returns home where they are allowing 28 few YPG  at 349.7 total YPG as compared to their season average of giving up 377.7 total YPG. The Under is a decisive 10-0-1 in the Rockets’ last 11 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 28 games against teams with a winning record overall, the Under is 20-7-1. Together, these team trends produce our specific 80-15-5 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (327) and the Toledo Rockets (328). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Temple Owls (339) plus the points versus the Army Black Knights (340). Temple (3-4) looks to bounce-back from their 28-24 upset loss last week to UConn despite being a 10.5-point favorite. The Owls have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss. Temple dominated this game as they outgained the Huskies by a 473 to 248 yardage margin. The Owls allowed a 34-yard interception return for a TD that helped tip the balance the other way. Temple has then covered the point spread in 23 of their last 29 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Now the Owls go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games. And in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record, Temple has covered the point spread in 7 of these contests. They will certainly be motivated to avenge a 28-13 upset loss to Army last September where they were laying two touchdowns. This team has 20 seniors and 24 juniors on the roster who will remember well that bad loss from last season.

Army (5-2) looks to build off their 28-27 win over Eastern Michigan last week. The Black Knights are just 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games after a straight-up win. Army has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The Black Knights stay at home for this contest — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 69-22-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Temple-Army CBS-Sports Special with the Temple Owls (339) plus the points versus the Army Black Knights (340). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Longhorns (392) plus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (391). Texas (3-3) hung tough with the Sooners last week in a 29-24 loss to Oklahoma as a 9-point underdog. Texas has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread win. This team seems to have found their answer at QB in freshman Sam Ehlinger who passed for 278 yards while adding another 206 yards on the ground. Overall, the Longhorns passed for 289 yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Head coach Tom Herman has proven himself a very dangerous coach when his team is an underdog. His teams have won straight-up five of the last seven games he has coached as the dog with the two losses being this year in close games against USC and then the Sooners. Texas is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Now the Longhorns return home where they are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games. And in their last 3 home games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points, Texas has covered all 3 contests. The Longhorns have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 home games with the Total set in the 63.5 to 70 point range. Despite their 3-3 record, they are outscoring their opponents by +9.0 PPG while outgaining their opponents by +76.5 net YPG.

Oklahoma State (5-1) looks to build off their 59-16 win over Baylor last Saturday. The Cowboys held the Bear to just 168 passing yards in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards in their last game. That game finished Over the 67.5 point Total — and Oklahoma State has then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after playing a game that has finished Over the Total. That game with Baylor was actually the Cowboys lowest scoring game over their last four contests — yet they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after playing at least three straight games where at least 60 combined points were scored. Behind QB Mason Rudolph, Oklahoma State has the best statistical offense in the nation. He has passed for at least 342 yards in five straight games — but the Cowboys have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after they passed for at least 325 passing yards in at least two straight games. And while their lowest offensive output this season has been 499 total yards, they have then failed to cover the point spread after failing to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 475 yards in at least three straight games. 10* CFB Oklahoma State-Texas ABC-TV Special with the Texas Longhorns (392) plus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (391). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:15 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the New Mexico Lobos (314) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (313). New Mexico (3-3) looks to bounce-back from an ugly 38-0 loss at Fresno State last week despite being a 2.5-point road favorite. The Lobos mist have been feeling themselves after two straight wins against Tulsa and Air Force as they failed to show up against the Bulldogs. Expect head coach Bob Davie to have had his teams’ full attention all week after that poor performance. New Mexico has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Lobos have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to score at least 20 points. Furthermore, New Mexico has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss to a conference foe — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss to a Mountain West opponent. The Lobos’ pistol spread offense can be tricky for opponents to prepare for — they have covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 games against teams with a winning record. This team is also outgaining their opponents by +35.1 net YPG. Back at home in Albuquerque, New Mexico scores 40.7 PPG while generating 473.3 YPG. They are outscoring their visitors by +12.0 PPG while outgaining them by +180.6 net YPG. Furthermore, the Lobos have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as an underdog.

Colorado State (5-2) was a bit listless last Saturday in their 44-42 win at home over Nevada despite being a big 25-point favorite. The Rams now face the challenge of playing this unique Lobos offense on a short week — and this is their fourth game on the road over their last five games. Colorado State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a Friday night. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 24 road games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. They may have trouble getting up again for this New Mexico team that was shutout last week when considering that Colorado State defeated them last year by a 49-31 score. But the Rams do have an undersized front four which could make them vulnerable. After allowing 389 rushing yards in two straight road games against Alabama and Hawai’i, Colorado State has not allowed more than 63 rushing yards in their last two games. But the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not surrendering at least 100 rushing yards in two straight games. The Lobos have bowl aspirations once again this season — expect them to play one of their best games of their season after embarrassing themselves last week. 25* CFB Friday Night Game of the Month with the New Mexico Lobos (314) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (313). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (310) plus the points versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (309). Middle Tennessee (3-4) looks to bounce-back from a disappointing 25-23 upset loss at UAB despite being a 4.5-point favorite. The Blue Raiders have rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread setback. This team suffered a big blow when their junior quarterback Brent Stockstill suffered a concussion against Minnesota and has not yet been cleared to play for the last few games. Redshirt sophomore John Urzua is completing 64.2% of his passes and averaging 6.9 Yards-Per-Attempt but he is throwing too many interceptions. Expect the team that beat the team (Syracuse) who beat Clemson to step up in this critical game for this football program (although, that logic can now be applied to UAB …). Despite their losing record, the Blue Raiders are outgaining their opponents by +19.8 net YPG. They will be motivated to avenge a 42-17 upset loss to what was otherwise a lost year for Marshall last season. Middle Tennessee is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Marshall (5-1) has won four straight games with their 35-3 blowout win over Old Dominion last Saturday as a 12.5-point favorite. But the Thundering Herd have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread victory. Marshall was a likely candidate to bounce-back from their train wreck of a season last year where there was plenty of on and off the field problems that contributed to a 3-9 campaign. But this team has also benefited from a weak non-conference schedule that has featured two Mid-American Conference teams. The Thundering Herd have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. And in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record, Marshall has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. Lastly, the Thundering Herd have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games when laying less than 3 points. 10* CFB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (310) plus the points versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (309). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Houston Cougars (304) minus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (303). Houston (4-2) looks to bounce-back from a devastating 45-17 loss at Tulsa last Saturday. The Cougars were a 13.5-point favorite in that game and entered the locker room at halftime with a 10-7 lead but then were crushed by a 38-7 score in the second-half to lose that game. Three Houston turnovers created 21 points for the Golden Hurricanes as they rode the momentum of those miscues to that blowout victory over the Cougars. Now Houston returns home with the opportunity to redeem themselves while also avenging a 48-44 upset loss to Memphis last November. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Houston has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 4 straight games played on a Thursday night. This remains a good team — with an elite future NFL talent at nose tackle in Ed Oliver — that returned fifteen starters from their 9-4 group under the leadership of first-year head coach Major Applewhite.

Memphis (5-1) survived an important American Athletic Conference clash with their 30-27 win over Navy last Saturday. But the Tigers are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up win. This is a team that has lost only one time to Central Florida — but that was a 40-13 blowout loss on the road. Memphis is just 7-19-3 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Tigers have three net close wins decided by one scoring possession which helps obscure the fact that this team is only outgaining their opponents by +13.2 net YPG. Memphis is just 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. 20* CFB Memphis-Houston ESPN Special with the Houston Cougars (304) minus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (303). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (220) minus the points versus the San Jose State Spartans (219). Hawai’i (2-4) looks to bounce-back from a 35-21 upset loss at Nevada last week as a 3.5-point favorite. The Rainbow Warriors have bounced-back to win 4 of their last 6 games after an upset loss as a road favorite. Hawai’i has lost four straight games but they were the underdogs in those first three losses before suffering the disappointing loss to the Wolf Pack. Defense has been an issue to this team as they have allowed 610 and then 566 yards in their last two games. But the Warriors have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after allowing at least 525 yards in their last game. Now this team returns home to play just their third home game all season. After crushing Western Carolina by 23 points on September 2nd, Hawai’i then lost at home by 30 points to a good Colorado State team two weeks ago. The Rainbow Warriors have still covered the point spread in 22 of their last 37  home games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 62 point range. If Hawai’i was not motivated to stop their losing streak tonight, second-year head coach Nick Rolovich will remind this team of their 34-17 loss to the Spartans last year despite being a 3-point favorite.

San Jose State (1-6) has lost five straight games with their 27-10 loss to Fresno State last week. The Spartans are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a loss. This team is struggling under rookie head coach Brent Brennan who has not been able to take advantage of the fifteen starters returning from last year’s 4-8 team. Brennan is a high-energy coach but his experience being the wide receivers coach with Oregon State over the last six seasons since working on the Spartans offensive staff from 2005 to 2010 has not produced success with this offense behind sophomore QB Josh Love. San Jose State is scoring only 9.7 PPG along with averaging 304.6 total YPG this season. They are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. They managed only 205 yards last week against the Bulldogs — and they have failed to cover he point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Now this team goes back not he road where they are scoring just 9.7 PPG with a .298.7 total YPG average. The Spartans have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a losing record at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 road games as an underdog. Lastly, in their last 7 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. 5* CFB Bailout Game of the Month with the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (220) minus the points versus the San Jose State Spartans (219). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the UCLA Bruins (177) minus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (178). Arizona (3-2) looks to build off their 45-42 upset win at Colorado last Saturday as a 7-point underdog. The Wildcats have then failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after an upset victory. Arizona has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread victory — so an emotional letdown is likely. The Wildcats return home where they have failed to cover the point spreading 5 of their last 7 games at home. Arizona has also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games as an underdog. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

UCLA (3-2) enter this game coming off a 27-23 victory over Colorado two weeks ago as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bruins have then covered the point spread in 3 of their 4 home games after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. The favorite has covered the point spread in 9 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. And UCLA has covered the point spread in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. 10* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with UCLA Bruins (177) minus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (178). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Minnesota Golden Gophers (210) plus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (209). Michigan State (4-1) comes off a huge win for their embattled program with their 14-10 upset win at Michigan as a 13-point underdog last Saturday night. The Spartans won that game in big rainstorm in the second-half of the season with the benefit of a +5 net turnover margin. Michigan State was outgained by a 300 to 252 net yardage gap in their victory which is not a good sign for them moving forward. The Spartans are just 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games after not generating 275 yards in their last game. It has been a gauntlet for this team with three straight games against Notre Dame, Iowa and then their arch rivals last week — so an emotional letdown is likely. Michigan State now stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Sparty has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games as a favorite.

Minnesota (3-2) looks to bounce-back from their 31-17 loss at Purdue last week as a 3.5-point underdog. The Golden Gophers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss on the road to a conference rival. Minnesota has also covered the points spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Gophers have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The final score last week was not indicative of how close that game was as the Boilermakers returned an interception for a 76-yard touchdown when Minnesota was driving late in the game to tie things up. Moving forward, the Golden Gophers have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games as an underdog — and don’t be surprised if they pull the upset tonight. 20* CFB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with Minnesota Golden Gophers (210) plus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (209). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (194) minus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (193). Memphis (4-1) looks to build off the momentum of their 70-31 win at UConn last Friday. The Tigers generated a whopping 711 yards of offense in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. The team is getting great play from their QB Riley Ferguson who completed 34 of 48 passes for 431 yards and seven TD passes against the Huskies defense last week. Ferguson has a 16 to 5 touchdown to interception ration this season. Now Memphis returns home for the first time in three weeks where they have covered the point spread in 16 of the last 23 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This team will be looking to avenge a 42-28 loss to the Midshipmen last October 22nd. The Tigers have struggled on defense after allowing 7.54 and 6.91 Yards-Per-Play in each of their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 6.75 YPP in each of their last two games.

Navy (5-0) remained undefeated last week by winning their first Armed Services rivalry game of the season with their 48-45 victory over Air Force. That was a big win for a Midshipmen team that was swept by the Falcons as well as Army last season. This Navy team may be due for a letdown now in conference play as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after rattling off at least five straight wins. The Midshipmen spread triple option has been clicking as they have gained 537, 511 and 622 yards in each of their last three games. But Navy has then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in each of their last three games. Defense has also been an issue for the Midshipmen who have allowed their last three opponents to average 8.63, 5.98 and 6.36 Yards-Per-Play in each of their last three games. Navy has then failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after allowing at least 6.25 YPP in three straight games. The Midshipmen go on the road where they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, Navy has failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 25* CFB American Athletic Conference Game of the Month with the Memphis Tigers (194) minus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (193). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the LSU Tigers (208) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (207). LSU (4-2) looks to build off their 10-3 win at Florida last week as a 1.5-point favorite. Now the Tigers return home with the opportunity to play spoiler to an Auburn team that is getting plenty of national attention right now. They will certainly notice that they are the underdogs in this game. LSU is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing 20 points or less in their last contest. Additionally, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring 20 points or less in their last game. And in their last 7 games in the month of October, LSU has covered the point spread 6 times. The Tigers held the Gators to just 108 passing yards in their victory — and they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after holding their last opponent to no more than 170 passing yards. And while QB Danny Etling passed for only 125 yards himself against the Florida defense, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to pass for more than 125 yards.

Auburn (5-1) enters this game coming off their 44-23 win over Ole Miss last week. The Tigers generated 561 yards of offense against the struggling Rebels defense — but they are then just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, Auburn allowed 346 passing yards in that contest — and they are then 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Auburn won the last meeting between these two teams in last season’s game on September 24th by an 18-13 score despite being a 3-point underdog. The home team has covered the point spread in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two SEC West foes so look for LSU to extract revenge this afternoon. 10* CFB Auburn-LSU CBS-TV Special with the LSU Tigers (208) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (207). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (133) plus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (132). Virginia (4-1) enters this game coming off a 28-21 upset win at home over Duke as a 1-point underdog. The Cavaliers held the Blue Devils to just 255 yards of offense in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Virginia now goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 5 games against ACC opponents, the Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games.

North Carolina (1-5) looks to bounce-back from their 33-10 loss to Notre Dame last Saturday. The Tar Heels have rebounded to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a double-digit loss at home. North Carolina managed only 265 yards in that contest — but they are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last contest. And this Tar Heels team is 31-15-1 ATS in their last 47 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. North Carolina stays at home where they have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 20* CFB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the North Carolina Tar Heels (133) plus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (132). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ohio Bobcats (119) and the Bowling Green Falcons (120). Ohio (4-2) looks to rebound from their 26-23 upset loss to Central Michigan last Saturday despite being a 10.5-point favorite. The Bobcats should tighten things up on defense under head coach Frank Solich. Not only has Ohio played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss but they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bobcats have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 6 games in the month of October, the Under is 5-0-1.

Bowling Green (1-5) looks to build off a 37-29 upset win a Miami (OH) as a 17-point underdog last week. The Falcons have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Bowling Green generated 505 yards of offense in that contest — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Falcons have played 4 straight games at home Under the Total. And in their last 19 games in the month of October, Bowling Green has played 14 of these games Under the Total. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Ohio Bobcats (119) and the Bowling Green Falcons (120). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (123) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (124). Central Michigan (3-3) enters this game riding high after they upset Ohio on the road last week by a 26-23 score as a 10.5-point underdog. The Chippewas have then played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Central Michigan has also played a decisive 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They return home to Muskegon where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on their home field — and they have played 13 of their last 16 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in the last 8 games in the month of October, the Chippewas have played 6 of these games Under the Total.

Toledo (4-1) enters this game coming off their 20-15 win over Eastern Michigan last week as a 13.5-point favorite. The Under is then 10-2-1 in their last 13 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The Rockets held the Eagles to just 73 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 100 rushing yards in their last game. Now Toledo goes back on the road where they have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (123) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (124). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (135) and the Illinois Fighting Illini (136). Rutgers (1-4) has had a week off to recover from their 56-0 loss at home to Ohio State back on September 30th. The Scarlet Knights have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Rutgers managed only 209 yards of offense in that game — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Now the Scarlet Knights go back on the road where they are scoring only 17.0 PPG while averaging just 194.0 total YPG. Rutgers has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home.

Illinois (2-3) looks to bounce-back from their 45-16 loss at Iowa last Saturday as a 16-point favorite. The Fighting Illini have then played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Illinois has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And while that game finished above the 42.5 Total, the Illini have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. Now Lovie Smith’s team returns home where they are scoring only 16.7 PPG while averaging 238.3 total YPG. Illinois has played 4 straight home games Under the Total. And in their last 4 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, the game finished Under the Total all 4 times. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon O/U Kickoff with Under the Total in the game between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (135) and the Illinois Fighting Illini (136). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Tennessee Volunteers (206) minus the points versus the South Carolina Gamecocks (205). Tennessee (3-2) has had an extra week off to regroup, rest and prepare for this contest after they were humiliated back on September 30th at home by Georgia by a 41-0 margin as a 10-point home underdog. Head coach Butch Jones had better have used that time to do everything he can to salvage his season since updating his resume will not help him get a job if he can not turn things around this year in his 5th season in Knoxville. One good decision he has made was to bench junior QB Quinten Dormady for redshirt freshman Jarrett Guarantano. The younger QB has as strong an arm as Dormady but gives the offense more options to move the football with his better legs. Expect Jones to get more out of his offense after being shutout by the stout Bulldogs defense. The Volunteers managed only 142 total yards of offense (84 passing yards) against Georgia — but Tennessee has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after failing to pass for at least 125 yards and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to generate at least 275 total yards in their last contest. The Vols should play one of their best games of the season after entering the year with high expectations with fourteen starters back from last year’s 9-4 team that won their bowl game against Nebraska by 13 points. Tennessee has only covered the point spread once in their last five games but they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss as well as covering the point spread in a decisive 39 of their last 57 games after failing to score the point spread in two straight games. And if this team did not need even more motivation, they will be looking to avenge a 24-21 upset loss at South Carolina last year despite being a 15-point favorite.

South Carolina (4-2) is feeling pretty good about themselves after their 48-22 upset win over Arkansas last Saturday as a 3-point underdog. The Gamecocks were galvanized by three defensive touchdowns in that game via two interceptions and one fumble recovery from a charity driven Razorbacks team. That covered up the first down battle closing at a 19-19 draw while South Carolina only outgained Arkansas by 28 net yards. In fact, despite winning four of their six games this year, the Gamecocks are being outgained by -54.8 net YPG this season. Expect a big emotional letdown from this team now on the road where they are averaging just 294.7 total YPG in their three previous contests. South Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games off an upset victory as a home underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in an upset victory by at least two touchdowns. As it is, the Gamecocks are just 2-5-1 ATS after a point spread win. And while South Carolina has covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. The Gamecocks are 48-13 straight-up in their last sixty-one games on their home field — but this young team is not nearly as good when playing in hostile environments. This season, they are getting outgained by -146.3 net YPG when away from home. 25* CFB SEC Game of the Month on the Tennessee Volunteers (206) minus the points versus the South Carolina Gamecocks (205). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the California Golden Bears (112) plus the points versus the Washington State Cougars (111). California (3-3) has been ravaged with injuries this season — particularly on the offensive side of the ball where expected starters in running back Tre Watson as well as wide receivers Demetris Robertson and Melquise Stovall all have suffered season-ending injuries. This attrition eventually became too much for the Golden Bears last week in a 38-7 loss at Washington where they managed only 93 yards of offense. Some that performance should be credited to the Huskies defense which is superior to the Washington State defense despite what the numbers might say at this point of the season. But Cal simply cannot play worse on offense even with their extensive injuries on that side of the ball. An extra week of practice with their younger players being asked to take starting jobs will help this offense  — and so will returning home to play for the first time in three weeks. The Golden Bears have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after suffering two straight double-digit loss on the road. Cal has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Sophomore QB Ross Bowers completed 11 of 18 passes but totaled just 80 passing yards against Washington. First-year head coach Justin Wilcox has called for changes on offense — at the very least to reconfigure things for the talent still standing which might mean that backup junior QB Chase Forrest gets some snaps. Why not? The Bears have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last game. Remember, this is a team that was tied with USC in the 4th quarter last month before three straight turnovers helped the Trojans walk away with a 10-point win. Cal has managed only 93 and 263 yards in each of their last two games since that contest with USC — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after failing to generate at least 275 yards in two straight games. The Golden Bears return home where they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 home games as the underdog. 

Washington State (6-0) remained one of the last of the unbeaten last week with their 33-10 win at Oregon last Saturday. But that was the first road game for the Cougars’ front loaded friendly schedule. And they were facing another injury-ravaged team that was playing a true freshman QB in Braxton Burmeister who was making his first career collegiate start. But this team looks due for a big letdown after playing USC and then at Oregon over the last two weeks. As it is, Washington State has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after winning at least six straight games. The Cougars have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. This team is living off forcing turnovers as they rank tied for 17th in the FBS by averaging a +1.0 net turnover margin this season based on the strength of forcing 15 turnovers so far this year. But while Washington State has forced at least two turnovers in five straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after forcing at least two turnovers in five straight games. Lastly, the Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a Friday night. 10* CFB Friday Late Show Bailout with the California Golden Bears (112) plus the points versus the Washington State Cougars (111). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the South Alabama Jaguars (101) plus the points versus the Troy Trojans (102). Troy (4-1) returns to the field after their 24-21 upset win at LSU as a 20.5-point underdog two Saturdays ago. Now with this team a double-digit favorite against their in-state rival in the Battle of the Belts, expect an emotional letdown from the Trojans. As it is, Troy has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after an upset win. The Trojans have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a bye week. Despite returning 98.7% of their total yards from last year’s team that led the Sun Belt Conference in scoring, Troy is scoring only 24 PPG this year — and they have not scored more than 27 points this season against any of their FBS opponents which includes mediocre defenses from New Mexico State and Akron. The Trojans have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games at home. Troy has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. And in their last 12 home games when laying 14.5 to 21 points, the Trojans have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games.

South Alabama (1-4) is off to a slow start this season after a 34-16 loss at Louisiana Tech back on September 30th. As usual, head coach Joey Jones has embraced a difficult non-conference schedule in his ninth year with the program as the team opened the season with tough games against Ole Miss and Oklahoma State. This team returned eleven starters from last year’s group that upset both Mississippi State and San Diego State (for the second straight year) — so they will not be intimidated by this opportunity. Jones sacked his offensive coordinator after they lost their opening game in Sun Belt Conference to Idaho — this will be the second game where the offense is run by offensive line coach Richard Owens. The first move Owens made was to bench last year’s starting QB Dallas Davis for former Marshall recruit Cole Garvin. There should be some new wrinkles in this offense tonight with the extra time to prepare. South Alabama has played four straight games that finished Under the Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after playing at least three straight Unders and they have covered their last 2 games after playing four straight Unders. Jones will be looking for his defense to play better after they allowed 479 yards to the Bulldogs — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game. The Jaguars have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 road games as an underdog getting 14.5 to 21 points. And in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the underdog covered the point spread in 4 of these games with three of the last four meetings being decided by a touchdown or less. 10* South Alabama-Troy ESPN2 Special with South Alabama Jaguars (101) plus the points versus the Troy Trojans (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Nebraska Cornhuskers (404) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (403). Nebraska (3-2) looks to build off their 28-6 win at Illinois last Friday night. The Cornhuskers have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Nebraska has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing 20 points or less in their last contest. The Cornhuskers flexed their muscles on defense against the Illini by holding them to just 199 yards of offense. Nebraska has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Throw out the Cornhuskers’ season stats on defense as the light bulb turned on for that unit at halftime of their game at Oregon. In their last fourteen quarters of play, Nebraska is allowing only 7.8 PPG. This team will also be looking to avenge a 23-17 loss to Wisconsin in Madison last season. Frankly, this Cornhuskers team is probably better than that team while this Badgers team may have taken a step back despite them still being undefeated at this early point of the season. And Nebraska is very tough at home in night games where they have won their last twenty contests.

Wisconsin (4-0) looks to build off their 33-24 win over Northwestern last Saturday. The Badgers are then just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. And while the Badgers allowed only 25 rushing yards to the Wildcats in that game, they are then just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after not allowing more than 100 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, Wisconsin is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on field turf. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, the Badgers are just 0-4-1 ATS. 10* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with the Nebraska Cornhuskers (404) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (403). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Oregon Ducks (378) plus the points versus the Washington State Cougars (377). Washington State (5-0) pulled off a big upset last Friday night on their home field when they defeated USC by a 30-27 score as a 4.5-point underdog. The Cougars now go on the road for the first time all season — and they looked primed for a big letdown when now facing to playing in a hostile environment for the first time since last November. Even more challenging, this will be a nationally televised game in a tough environment in Autzen Stadium — and at night to boot. As it is, Washington State has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after a win by a field goal or less against a fellow Pac-12 opponent. And while the Cougars generated 462 yards of offense against the Trojans in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games. A +1.0 net turnover margin — ranking tied for 17th in the FBS — is helping this team remain unbeaten. But the bounces and the mistakes may start going against them now that they are not playing at home. And two of Washington State’s victories were by just a field goal — so this could be a 3-2 team if a break or two went the other way. Tellingly, the Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record.

Oregon (4-1) enters this game coming off a 45-24 win over Cal. The Ducks are underdogs in this game in large measure because of some early injuries in that game to some important players on offense. Most notably, sophomore QB Justin Herbert is out indefinitely with a collarbone. But note that Oregon covered the -17-point spread even after enduring these injuries against the Golden Bears. Their star senior running back Royce Freeman as well as senior QB Taylor Alie have been upgraded to probable for this game. Ali was capable under center last week by completing 9 of 13 passes for 41 yards while adding another 17 yards on the ground in protecting the team’s lead — but don’t be surprised if freshman Braxton Burmeister gets plenty of action under center. The QB was recruited by first-year head coach Willie Taggart to specifically fit his system and Taggart has described him as a “gym rat.” The Ducks had only 131 passing yards last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 35 of their last 52 games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last game. Oregon defeated Cal by outrushing them by a whopping 320 net yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 27 of their last 40 games after outrushing their last opponent by at least 200 yards in their last game. The Ducks are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning record. Oregon is also 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games in the October. Lastly, the Ducks have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games as an underdog getting 7 points or less. 25* CFB Saturday Night Fox-TV Game of the Month with the Oregon Ducks (378) plus the points versus the Washington State Cougars (377). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EDT on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (349 plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (350). Michigan State (3-1) lost always plays the Wolverines as they have covered the point spread in 9 straight encounters for the Paul Bunion Trophy. The Spartans enter this game coming off a 17-10 win over Iowa last week. Sparty flexed their muscles on defense in that game as they held the Hawkeyes to just 226 yards in that contest. That is a good sign for this rivalry game. Michigan State is 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Spartans are also 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 games after not allowing 20 points or less in their last contest. Michigan State is holding their opponents to an impressive -163 YPG below their season offensive average. Defense travels — and the Spartans are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Michigan (4-0) has had an extra week to prepare after their 28-10 win at Purdue as a 12-point favorite two Saturdays ago. The Wolverines have then failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games after a point spread win. This team has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing 20 points or less in their last game. Michigan has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a bye week. Now the Wolverines home to the Big House where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games. And in their last 6 games in the month of October, Michigan has failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 10* CFB Michigan State-Michigan ABC-TV Special with the Michigan State Spartans (349 plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (350). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Kansas State Wildcats (407) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (408). Kansas State (3-1) looks to build off their 33-20 win over Baylor last week as a 14.5-point favorite. The Wildcats have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a point spread loss. And while Kansas State allowed 291 passing yards in that win, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. The formula for success for head coach Bill Snyder’s team has been winning the rushing battle. The Wildcats have out-rushed their last three opponents by +141, +136 and +194 net yards over their last three games — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after out-rushing their last three opponents by at least +125 net rushing YPG. Snyder always coaxes improvements from his team which explains why they are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games in the month of October. And in their last 30 road games as an underdog, Kansas State has covered the point spread 21 times.

Texas (2-2) enters this game coming off a 17-7 win on the road at Iowa State. The Longhorns have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after a game where neither team scored more than 17 points. Texas held the Cyclones to just 256 yards of offense in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Longhorns have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 10* CFB Kansas State-Texas CBS-Sports Special with the Kansas State Wildcats (407) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (408). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EDT on Saturday, we will be playing the Houston Cougars (400) minus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (399). Houston (3-1) will be looking to avenge a 38-16 loss to SMU last October despite them being 23-point underdogs in that contest. The Cougars enter this game coming off a 20-13 win at Temple. Houston is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. This team has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games coming off a win in the road. And in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, the Cougars have covered the point spread 4 times.

SMU (4-1) enters this game coming off a 49-28 win over UConn last week. But this Mustangs team risks suffering a big emotional letdown tonight as they play in just their second game away from home all season. SMU has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after winning four of their last five games. The Mustangs have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after a win by at least 21 points against a conference rival. And while SMU has covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after covering the point spread in three straight games. Furthermore, the Mustangs have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 31 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range — and this includes nine of their last twelve games with the Total set in the 56.5-63 range. 10* CFB SMU-Houston CBS-Sports Special with the Houston Cougars (400) minus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (399). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EDT on Saturday, we will be playing the LSU Tigers (395) plus the points versus the Florida Gators (396). LSU (3-2) has lost two of their last three games after their embarrassing 24-21 loss at home to Troy last week. Running back Derris Guice did not play in that game as he was dealing with a knee injury — but he has been upgraded to probable for this important conference play. Despite their two losses, the Tigers are still very much alive to win the SEC West if they win their rest of their games — including a date down the road with Alabama. So this will remains a motivated team. A -2 net turnover margin helped do LSU last week as that ruined their 65 net yard advantage. They did hold the Trojans to just 157 passing yards — and they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. LSU has covered 6 straight games in the month of October. The Tigers have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 7 meetings with the Gators, LSU has covered the point spread 5 times. They should be very motivated to avenge an upset 16-10 loss to Florida as a 13.5-point favorite last season.

Florida (3-1) enters this game coming off a 38-24 win over Vanderbilt as a 9.5-point favorite. The Gators have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Florida rushed for 218 yards in this contest en route to their 467 total yards of offense — but that may spell trouble for them now. Not only have the Gators failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 450 yards in their last contest. Florida hosts this game in the Swamp — but they have not enjoyed a big home field advantage as of late as they are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games on their home field. 10* CFB LSU-Florida CBS-TV Special with the LSU Tigers (395) plus the points versus the Florida Gators (396). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (418) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (417). Florida State (1-2) has National Championship aspirations but an opening loss to Alabama which included a season-ending injury to their sophomore quarterback Deondre Francois along with then some warranted Hurricane Irma distractions and then returning to host a tough NC State team (as Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson found out on Thursday) left this team 0-2. The Seminoles showed result last week by traveling to Winston-Salem to face a gritty and defensive-minded Wake Forest team that would have loved to have upset them too — but Florida State came away with a 26-19 victory as a 7-point favorite. Now this team has the opportunity to ruin their arch rival Miami’s perfect start to the season while keeping their possible ACC Championship Game hopes alive (just win out). Head coach Jimbo Fisher still has an elite defense that held the Crimson Tide to just 269 yards of offense. Nine starters returned from the unit that allowed only 18.5 PPG along with 293.2 total YPG over their last eight games last season. Freshman QB James Blackman was solid under center against the Demon Deacons as he completed 11 of 21 passes for 121 yards and TD pass (no interceptions). Remember that Fisher is the Young QB Whisperer and the team can lean on junior running back Jacques Patrick who rushed for 120 yards and a TD on 19 carries last week. Look for the Seminoles to play their best game of the season this afternoon. Florida State has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up victory — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. The Seminoles have also covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games after a victory on the road where they did not cover point spread expectations. Florida State is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. They have covered there point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and that includes three straight winners in that situation when playing at home. And in their last 32 games in expected close games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Seminoles have covered the point spread 23 times.

Miami (3-0) remained undefeated this season with their commanding 31-6 win at Duke two Fridays ago back on September 29th. That game was a bit closer than the final score suggested with the Hurricanes only winning the yardage battle by a 409 to 349 margin while losing the first down comparison by a 24 to 19 divide. That was the most difficult challenge so far on the Miami schedule — but them having to play on the road for a second straight week for head coach Mark Richt’s team. A weak strength of schedule always helps to raise expectations of this team with its storied past — but this team has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of October. Their defense on paper looks very good — but they are coached by Manny Diaz who has earned the reputation of perhaps being too gimmicky in his many, many spots as a defensive coordinator. On offense, the team is clicking under redshirt junior Malik Rosier who had only one start under his belt entering the season. While the Hurricanes have averaged 8.0, 9.5 and 9.0 Yards-Per-Play in their three games this year, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games after averaging at least 6.25 YPP in each of their last three games. This will be the best defense that Rosier has ever played against. Lastly, this Diaz-coached defense has been shaky already this season — they allowed 183 rushing yards to Duke while surrendering 344 yards to Toledo in the air. Unfortunate circumstances sees the Seminoles with two losses already this year — but this rivalry game can make some amends for them to this disappointing start. 25* CFB ACC Game of the Year with the Florida State Seminoles (418) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (417). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:20 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Duke Blue Devils (335) plus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (336). Virginia (3-1) has had more than two weeks to relish in their 42-23 upset victory at Boise State back on September 22nd. We had the Cavaliers in that contest — but they looked primed for a letdown now. Virginia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after an upset victory by at least two touchdowns as a road underdog. And while the Cavaliers held the Broncos to just 30 rushing yards in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 43 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, Virginia has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in ACC play. And in their last 7 games at home, the Cavaliers have  failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games.

Duke (4-1) suffered their first loss of the season last Friday in a 31-6 loss at home to Miami (FL) as 5.5-point underdog. The Blue Devils have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. Additionally, Duke has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Moving forward, the Blue Devils have only forced one turnover in each of their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 30 of their last 45 games after failing to force more than one turnover in two straight games. Now this team goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight road games as an underdog getting 3 points or less. And in their last 30 games in the month of October, Duke is 22-7-1 ATS. 20* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Duke Blue Devils (335) plus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (336). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EDT on Saturday, we will be playing the Vanderbilt Commodores (386) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (385). Georgia (5-0) remains undefeated after they buried Tennessee in Knoxville last week by a 41-0 score. Coming on the heels of their 31-3 win at home over a Mississippi State team that had just upset LSU, the Bulldogs are feeling very good about themselves with renewed National Championship aspirations after defeating two of the better teams of the SEC by a combined 71-3 score. Call Hershel Walker — but, in the meantime, expect this team to suffer a big emotional letdown on the road against the book worms over at Vandy. As it is, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a road win by at least four touchdowns. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 40 games after a double-digit win on the road. And with their 28-point win over Samford being their preceding game before they ventured into conference play, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after registering three straight wins by at least 17 points. With sophomore QB Jacob Eason now healthy again, there are the seeds of a QB controversy with him on the bench — for now — with freshman Jake Fromm now under center. As it is, the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Georgia defense held the Volunteers to just 142 yards of offense (while benefiting from a +3 net turnover margin) — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. And in their last 8 games in October, the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread 6 times.

Vanderbilt (3-2) had the best statistical defense in the country two weeks ago — but encounters with Alabama and at Florida last week have left those claims to waste. The Commodores look to snap their two-game losing streak after their 38-24 loss at Florida against the Gators last week as a 9.5-point underdog. Vanderbilt has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 29 games after a point spread loss. The Commodores have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a loss on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a road loss against an SEC opponent. This remains a respectable football team for head coach Derek Mason that returned sixteen starters from last year’s 6-7 team that lost in the Independence Bowl. This veteran group began the season with 20 of their projected 22 starters being juniors or older — so this is a mature group. While Vanderbilt has not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two straight contests. And in their last 8 home games as the underdog, the Commodores have covered the point spread in 6 of these games. 10* CFB Georgia-Vanderbilt ESPN Special with the Vanderbilt Commodores (386) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (385). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EDT on Saturday, we will be playing the Northwestern Wildcats (332) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (331). Penn State (5-0) may have a difficult time not looking ahead to the gauntlet of their schedule starting next week where they look to avenge an ugly loss to Michigan before then engaging in a showdown with Ohio State with both those games likely determining the winner of the Big Ten East Division. The Nittany Lions enter this game coming off a 45-14 blowout win over Indiana last week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 45 games after a win by at least four touchdowns. And while Penn State has covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 40 games after covering the point spread in at least three of their last four games. There are some warning signs for this team as they managed just 320 yards of offense last week with Heisman Trophy hopeful Saquon Barkley running the ball only 20 times for 56 yards. Head coach James Franklin has been running Barley ragged so don’t be surprised if they rest that dude in preparation for these next two weeks. Penn State rushed for just 39 yards against the Hoosiers — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after failing to rush for at least 75 yards in their last game. And in their last 9 games on the road, the Nittany Lions has failed to cover the point spread 6 times — and they have failed to cover the point spread in three of their last four road games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range.

Northwestern (2-2) looks to bounce-back from a 33-24 loss at Wisconsin last week as a 16.5-point underdog. The Wildcats won the first down battle by a 20-13 margin in this game but a 36-yard interception return for a touchdown helped the Badgers pull away on their home field. Northwestern has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. The Wildcats did gain only 244 yards of offense in that game — but they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Northwestern returned sixteen starts from last year’s team that finished 7-6 including 5-4 in conference play. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against Big Ten foes. They also have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the month of October. And in their last 9 games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range, Northwestern has covered the point spread 7 times. Lastly, the Wildcats are dangerous dogs that have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games. 10* CFB Penn State-Northwestern ABC-TV Special with the Northwestern Wildcats (332) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (331). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (361) plus the points versus the Tulane Green Wave (362). Tulsa (1-4) looks to salvage their season on Saturday having dropped three straight games after a 31-21 loss at home to Navy as an 8.5-point underdog. The Golden Hurricanes have endured a difficult schedule to begin their 2017 campaign — opening with Oklahoma State while also playing two other bowl teams in New Mexico and the Midshipmen last week. The defensive numbers for this team are a nightmare right now — but they have not padded their schedule with cupcakes. This is the third straight week that Tulsa will be playing against a spread triple option ground game so they have faced this style of defense as much as one of the armed forces schools as this point. Regression was expected for this team in head coach Philip Montgomery’s third year after returning thirteen starters from their triumphant 10-3 team last year. They lost their QB Dane Evans from that team — but sophomore Chad President has been solid run the Baylor-style offense that Montgomery earned his reputation as the “Quarterback Whisperer.” President completed 12 of 18 passes for 115 yards and a TD pass last week while adding another 151 rushing yards with a TD on the ground. Look for the Golden Hurricanes to play very hard in this make-or-break game for their bowl aspirations. Tulsa has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a point spread loss. They did rush for 229 yards last week against Navy — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The Golden Hurricanes have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against conference opponents under Montgomery. And in their last 16 games on the road, Tulsa has covered the point spread 13 times.

Tulane (2-2) enters this game coming off a 21-17 win over Army two Saturdays ago. The Green Wave benefited from a +3 net turnover margin in that contest that held them overcome being outgained by 15 yards while losing the first down battle by seven first downs. Tulane has been one of the most fortunate teams in the nation by averaging a +1.25 net turnover margin per game which is 14th best in the nation. The Green Wave surrendered 371 rushing yards in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Tulane has faced an interesting schedule so far this season as they have faced two triple option teams in Army and Navy as well as Grambling while also facing the spread passing attack of Oklahoma that resembles the Montgomery offense at Tulsa. The Sooners tore the Green Wave secondary for 434 passing yards and while I do not expect the Golden Hurricanes to replicate that number, I do look for President to have a good passing game. Tulane has covered the point spread in two of their last three games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last eight games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. 25* CFB American Athletic Conference Underdog of the Month with the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (361) plus the points versus the Tulane Green Wave (362). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Connecticut Huskies (308) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (307). Memphis (3-1) saw their three-game winning streak shattered on Saturday by Central Florida in a 40-13 loss on the road. It will be difficult for this team to bounce-back to win this game by more than two touchdowns on a shortened week while staying on the road for a second straight trip. As it is, the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Memphis has also lost 6 of their last 8 games on the road. Furthermore, this Tigers team is an ugly 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on grass. Defense has been an issue for this team after they surrendered 350 rushing yards to the Knights en route to their whopping 603 yards they allowed in that 27-point loss last week. The Tigers have then failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 525 yards in their last contest. And while Memphis has still won three of their last four games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 39 games after winning three of their last four games.

UConn (1-3) has lost three straight contests with their 49-28 loss at SMU last week. But this Huskies team is a bit better than they appear at first glance — that game with the Mustangs was tied at 28 in the 4th quarter and they almost took their previous game with East Carolina to overtime. UConn has allowed 27 and 21 points in the first-half of their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in after allowing at least 17 points in the first-half in two straight games. This team has gotten no luck from turnovers so far this season as they have forced only two turnovers over four games this season (and none since Week Two). This Huskies team is due to see their opponents make some mistakes — and have the ball bounce then their way. Not only has UConn covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not forcing a turnover in their last game but they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after failing to force more than one turnover in four straight games. 10* CFB Memphis-UConn ESPN Special with the Connecticut Huskies (308) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (307). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EDT on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Louisville Cardinals (305) and the North Carolina State Wolfpack (306). Louisville (4-1) has won two straight games with their 55-10 win over Murray State last Saturday. The Cardinals have then played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Louisville held the Racers to just 80 yards in that game — and they have then seen the Under go 17-8-1 in their last 26 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last contest. This Cardinals team once again has a strong defense that returned seven starters from last season — and they are 27th in the nation so far this year by holding their opponents to just 317.6 total YPG. Moving forward, the Under is 18-7-1 in Louisville’s last 26 games in October. And in their last 24 games as a favorite in the 3.5 to 10 point range, the Cardinals have played 18 of these games Under the Total.

NC State (4-1) enters this game coming off a 33-25 win over Syracuse last week as a 14-point favorite. The Wolfpack have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up victory. NC State held the Orange to just 59 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. The Wolfpack did generate 462 yards of offense in this victory — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Moving forward, NC State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning at least two straight games. The Wolfpack has also played 7 straight games Under the Total against ACC opponents. And in their last 18 games playing on a Thursday night, the Under is an incredible 16-1-1. 10* CFB Louisville-NC State ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Louisville Cardinals (305) and the North Carolina State Wolfpack (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EDT on Thursday, we will be playing the North Carolina State Wolfpack (306) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (305). Louisville (4-1) remains on paper one of the best teams in the nation by Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson. The junior was sensational in his last game against Murray State as he completed 18 of 26 passes for 249 yards and three TDs while adding another 100 yards and a TD on the ground en route to a 55-10 blowout victory. But that is the deal with this Cardinals team: they overwhelm inferior teams but fall short against good teams. This team got exposed late last season by dropping their last three contests to Houston, Kentucky and then LSU in the Citrus Bowl. The issue was on their offensive line as that unit was dominant in all three of those games. The Cardinals managed to score just 19.0 PPG over those last three contests after putting up an average of 49.6 PPG in their first eleven games. Too many penalties and too many missed assignments were the main culprits that epitomized this poor play. By the end of the season, Louisville had also allowed 47 sacks and 83 tackles-for-loss which were both 3rd worst in the nation. Head coach Bobby Petrino responded in the offseason by hiring Mike Summers as co-offensive coordinator as well as the offensive line coach to help rebuild a line that only returned both starting tackles. Their biggest test of their offensive line was against Clemson three weeks ago and Jackson was sacked five times in a 47-27 loss where they were outgained by -180 net yards. Now this team faces an outstanding from seven with this Wolfpack team led by defensive end Bradley Chubb that bypassed the NFL last season to return for his senior year. Chubb has 22 tackles for loss last season and already has another 12 tackles for loss this season. NC State returned eight senior starters from the group that 8th in the nation in run defense by holding opponents to 2.7 Yards-Per-Carry last season — more on this team that has already upset Florida State this season. But this is precisely the type of team that has given Jackson and this Cardinals team fits to hand them four losses over their last eight games. While Louisville has feasted on Kent State and the Racers last week representing an FCS school, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a winning record. The Cardinals have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games in the month of October.

North Carolina State (4-1) has won four straight games with their 33-25 win over Syracuse last Saturday as a 14-point favorite. Besides this elite defense that led them to victory in Tallahassee against Florida State, the Wolfpack also have an underrated QB in junior Ryan Findley who is completing 72.1% of his passes this season. Perhaps more importantly, Findley has not thrown an interception in 192 passes this year. NC State has not committed a single turnover in their four-game winning streak — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after not committing a turnover in their last game. The Wolfpack rushed for 256 yards against the Orange last week which helped them control the clock for 36:29 minutes in that game. Not only is that a formula to keep Jackson off the field but NC State has then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The Wolfpack have played two straight Unders — and they have then covered the point spread in 30 of their last 34 games after playing at least two straight Unders. And in their last 5 Thursday night games, NC State has covered the point spread in 4 of these games. Lastly, the seventeen returning starters on this team will be very motivated to avenge an embarrassing 54-13 loss to the Cardinals last season. That was the week after this team suffered a heartbreaking overtime loss to a Clemson team that went on to win the National Championship so this team will not be lacking confidence. They just need focus — and that should not be an issue for them for this prime-time nationally televised contest. 25* CFB Thursday Night Game of the Month with the North Carolina State Wolfpack (306) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (305). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Arkansas State Red Wolves (301) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (302). Arkansas State (1-2) begins their Sun Belt Conference season looking to bounce-back from their 44-21 loss at SMU two Saturdays ago on September 23rd. The Red Wolves have rebounded to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Arkansas State has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a bye week. The Red Wolves did surrender 580 yards in that game to the Mustangs — but they have then covered the point spread in 38 of their last 56 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Don’t worry too much about the losing start to the season for Arkansas State as they once again embraced a challenging non-conference campaign that started with a narrow 7-point loss at Nebraska in the opening week of the season. Last year, the Red Wolves started 0-4 but then won eight of their last nine games to tie for first place in the Sun Belt before going on to win the Cure Bowl in a 31-13 victory over Central Florida. This is situation normal for head coach Blake Anderson in his fourth year with the program. Arkansas State is 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 games in conference play. And in their last 6 games in Sun Belt play, they have covered the point spread in 5 times.

Georgia Southern (0-3) has also struggled in non-conference play after a 52-17 loss at Indiana back on September 23rd as a 21.5-point underdog. But this looks like a football program taking a step or two back under second-year head coach Tyson Summer after he took a senior-laden team last year but only managed to oversee five victories. This Eagles’ team has shown little ability to bounce-back after bad losses. Not only have they failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread loss. And in their last 13 games after a loss by at least 20 points, Georgia Southern is just 2-10-1 ATS. This team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games. And in their last 4 games in the month of October last year under Summers, they failed to cover the point spread all 4 times. 10* CFB Arkansas State-Georgia Southern ESPN2 Special with the Arkansas State Red Wolves (301) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arkansas State Red Wolves (301) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (302). Georgia Southern (0-3) is still looking for the first win of the season after their 52-17 loss at Indiana back on September 23rd. The play of the Eagles defense was not quite as bad as the scoreboard reflected with two of the Hoosiers’ touchdowns resulting from a 70-yard punt return as well as a 22-yard fumble recovery. Overall, Georgia Southern allowed 468 yards in that game — but they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Eagles have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Now Georgia Southern begins conference play with a bit of a blank slate. This team needs to get their “Flexbone” offense going again after this team got away from that foundation last season in the first year under head coach Tyson Summers. The team averaged 22 passing attempts last season which was double the amount in the previous season under Willie Fritz. The Eagles did rush for 242 yards against Indiana — and they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Keeping the potent Arkansas State offense off the field has to be a top priority for this team tonight. Georgia Southern has played 7 of their last 9 games in the Sun Belt Under the Total. And in their last 6 games in the month of October, the Eagles have played 5 of these games Under the Total.

Arkansas State (1-2) looks to bounce-back from a 24-21 loss at SMU on September 23rd as a 3-point underdog. The Red Wolves have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Arkansas State has seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a loss by at least 20 points. And the Red Wolves have played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Now this team begins their conference schedule as well — and they return five starters from a group that help Sun Belt opponents to just 15.3 PPG last season. Lastly, Arkansas State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. 25* CFB Sun Belt Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Arkansas State Red Wolves (301) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (194) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (193). Virginia Tech (4-0) enters this huge game on their home field for this nationally televised game with the lights on coming off a 38-0 win over Old Dominion as a 28.5-point favorite last week. The Hokies have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. This team will be seeing a dramatic uptick in the level of their competition after their strongest opponent in their first four games was West Virginia in their opening game. But twelve starters return from the team that lost by just a 42-35 margin in the ACC Championship Game to this Clemson team that went on to win a National Championship. This game now is in Blacksburg where the Hokies are very tough. Virginia Tech has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The team has a new quarterback from last year in redshirt freshman Josh Jackson who has been quite a good fit in head coach Justin Fuente’s system. Jackson is completing 65% of his passes with an outstanding 11:1 touchdown to interception ratio. He is leading an offense that is scoring 40 PPG along with averaging 507 YPG. The Hokies generated 582 yards of offense last week — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game.

Clemson (4-0) has faced two difficult tasks already this year with their 14-6 win at home versus Auburn followed up with a trip to Louisville where they crushed the Cardinals by a 47-21 score. I was tempted to take the home underdog in that game against the reigning National Champions but ultimately chose to pass with my concerns that the offensive line issues for that team had been exposed which would undermine Lamar Jackson’s ability to succeed. Given that result, it has now been tempting to pass on this game with the Tigers’ ferocious defense facing a rookie QB. But the line movement makes this game enticing with the Hokies getting close to a touchdown at this point. Virginia Tech also has the confidence that they can compete with these Tigers from last year’s close ACC Championship Game played on a neutral field. Defensive coordinator Bud Foster’s defense is outstanding and should keep his team in the game.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (154) plus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (153). Tulsa (1-3) looks to rebound from their 16-13 upset loss at home to New Mexico last Saturday as a 10-point favorite. The Golden Hurricanes have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread setback. Tulsa will retain a huge situational advantage this afternoon hosting the Midshipmen since they faced a similar offense last week with the Lobos. In fact, the Golden Hurricanes also face the spread triple option offense next week when they play Tulane — so this defense may be in the middle of the deepest dive into attacking this offense that any defense has seen in years given how few teams actually deploy this scheme. The Golden Hurricanes are tough home dogs as they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Tulsa has also covered the point spread in 7 straight games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Golden Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games as an underdog.

Navy (3-0) remained undefeated last week with their 42-32 win over Cincinnati as an 8.5-point favorite. The Midshipmen have then foaled to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. And while Navy allowed just 58 rushing yards last week, they are then just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 rushing yards. Interestingly, the Midshipmen opened as a 3-point favorite but have been bet up to -8 or so favorites as of now — offering us great value with this home underdog. Lastly, Navy has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Together, these team trends produce our specific 54-16-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (154) plus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (153). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Maryland Terrapins (141) plus the points versus the Minnesota Golden Gophers (142). Minnesota (3-0) begins their Big Ten Conference schedule coming off a 34-3 win over Middle Tennessee State two weeks ago as a 13.5-point favorite. But the Golden Gophers have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. And in their last 6 games after a point spread win, Minnesota is just 1-4-1 ATS. The Gophers rushed for 221 yards in that game — but they are then just 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Furthermore, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home.

Maryland (2-1) will be looking to rebound from a humiliating 38-10 upset loss at home to Central Florida last week as 4-point favorites. Head coach D.J. Durkin will certainly have his team ready to go for their Big Ten opener after that rough performance from a non-Power Five Conference school. The Terrapins have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a double-digit loss at home. This team has been ravaged with injuries at quarterback with both Tyrrell Pigrome and now Kasim Hill out the season. But there simply is not much of a decline at the position in sophomore Max Bortenschlager who is not under center. Bortenschlager was one of Durkin’s highly recruited players when he took the Maryland job two years ago. Bortenschlager got his feet wet last week by completing 15 of 26 passes for 132 yards and a touchdown — but he also tossed two interceptions which is an issue that Durkin and the coaching staff addressed. The Terrapins managed only 197 yards of offense last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. If Maryland was not already motivated enough this afternoon, they will be looking to avenge a 31-10 loss to the Gophers last season despite being a 3-point favorite. 20* CFB Saturday Afternoon Kickoff with the Maryland Terrapins (141) plus the points versus the Minnesota Golden Gophers (142). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Arkansas Razorbacks (172) minus the points versus the New Mexico State Aggies (171). Arkansas (1-2) will be looking to take out their frustrations on a lowly non-Power Five Conference opponent this afternoon after they blew their game last week with Texas A&M in what resulted in a 50-43 loss in overtime to the Aggies. This was a frustrating game to watch — so imagine how head coach Bret Bielema feels now firmly sitting on the proverbial hot seat after his team’s start where they have lost two of their last three games. Bielema needs to get his defense to play better under first-year defensive coordinator Paul Rhoads. The Razorbacks allowed 285 rushing yards in that game en route to Texas A&M averaging 7.26 Yards-Per-Play. Arkansas has then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last contest. The Razorbacks have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 as well as 18 of their last 26 games after allowing an opponent to average at least 7.25 YPP in their last game. Furthermore, Arkansas has played 29 of their last 39 games after a game where at least 70 combined points were scored — and that includes covering 3 straight games when they allowed at least 50 points in their last game. The Razorbacks should get their powerful running game going behind their big offensive line that should overwhelm the Aggies — and this team has been a reliable big favorite at home in situations like this. Not only has Arkansas covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games when laying 14.5 to 21 points but they have covered their last three when a home fave in the 14.5 to 17 points (as they are as of this writing).

New Mexico State (2-2) comes off a dominant 41-14 win over UTEP last Saturday as a 17-point favorite. But this team faces a significant rise in competition this afternoon which is not a good sign for this football program when considering that they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams from the SEC. The Aggies did hold the Miners to just 92 passing yards in that contest last week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards in their last game. New Mexico State benefited from five UTEP interceptions last week which led to a +3 net turnover margin. But now the Aggies travel east — and another time zone where their body clocks will consider it 11 AM — while failing to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games against teams who do not have a net winning record at home. New Mexico State has also failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 33 road games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. And in their last 11 games played on field turf, the Aggies have failed to cover the point spread 8 times. This team has played two close games with Arizona State and Troy while upsetting in-state rival New Mexico already this season. But this remains a football program that returned nine starters from a defense that allowed 38.8 PPG last year along with 496.7 total YPG which was 121st in the nation. This team has been led by 5th-year senior QB Tyler Rodgers who is overseeing an offense that is 9th in the FBS by averaging 353.3 passing YPG. But this will be the best defense Rodgers has faced all season — and the Razorbacks rank 21st in the nation by allowing only 159.0 passing YPG. 25* CFB Non-Conference Game of the Month on the Arkansas Razorbacks (172) minus the points versus the New Mexico State Aggies (171). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Washington State Cougars (112) plus the points versus the USC Trojans (111). USC (4-0) enters this game after their 30-20 win at Cal as a 16.5-point favorite last Saturday. I hate this spot for the Trojans as they are being asked to stay on the road for the second straight week while facing their fifth straight opponent that played in a bowl game last season. As it is, this USC team has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 23 road games against teams with a winning record at home. This is a banged up roster which has impacted their play after a winning a very physical game against Stanford a few weeks ago. They have allowed 11 sacked already — and they face an aggressive Cougars defense that has resisted 14 sacks already. And the greatest quarterback in the world Sam Darnold has thrown seven picks already. Injuries on an offensive line has impacted what was already a thin group with only two returning starters from last year. The Trojans have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of September. And in their last 5 games played on turf, USC has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these contests.

Washington State (4-0) remained unscathed this season with their 45-7 win over Nevada last Saturday as a 28.5-point favorite. The Cougars have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a point spread win. Washington State has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. This team is led by a senior quarterback in Luke Falk who bypassed the NFL last season after passing for 4468 yards while hitting over 70% of his passes. This is a resume moment for Falk in this nationally televised game when dueling with next April’s likely number one overall pick in Darnold. Falk completed 36 of 47 passes for 475 yards and five touchdown passes (no picks) against the Wolf Pack defense last week. The Cougars enjoy a big situational advantage of their own tonight with this being their fifth straight game at home. Lastly, this team has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 23 games in Pac-12 play under head coach Mike Leach. 10* CFB Friday Late Show Bailout with the Washington State Cougars (112) plus the points versus the USC Trojans (111). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Nebraska Cornhuskers (107) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (108). Nebraska (2-2) enters this Big Ten game coming off a 27-17 win over Rutgers last Saturday as an 11-point favorite. The Cornhuskers have then rebounded to go 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Frankly, Nebraska should have come away from that game with the Scarlet Knights with a bigger win. Not only did they settle for two short field goals but they also allowed a 33-yard interception return for a touchdown. While this is not the Tom Osbourne Cornhuskers anymore with a recruiting base that has been become regional rather than national, this remains a solid football program. Their defense struggled to adjust to new defensive coordinator Bob Diaco’s move to a 3-4. In their first six quarters of play, they allowed 78 points and 886 yards which translates into an ugly 52 PPG and 591 YPG defensive scoring averages. But since halftime of their game at Oregon where they were getting throttled by a 42-7 score, Nebraska’s defense has allowed only 584 yards which translates into a stingy 233 total YPG defensive average. Take away the three(!) pick-sixes that QB Tanner Lee has thrown and the Cornhuskers’ defense has allowed just 21 points which translates into an outstanding 8.4 PPG scoring average over those last ten quarters. Now Nebraska goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Illinois (2-1) looks to bounce-back from their 47-23 loss at South Florida back on September 15th. The Fighting Illini have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Defense is a big concern for Lovie Smith’s team right now that returned six starters from a group that allowed 31.9 PPG along with 405 total YPG. South Florida torched the Illini defense for 680 yards — including 376 yards on the ground — in that loss. Illinois has failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 31 games after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last contest. The Illini rank 100th in the nation by allowing 433.0 total YPG which is not the style of football that Smith was successful with in Chicago with the Bears. He still needs to upgrade the talent on his roster. Lastly, Illinois has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games at home. 10* CFB Nebraska-Illinois Fox Sports 1 Special with the Nebraska Cornhuskers (107) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Utah State Aggies (110) minus the points versus the BYU Cougars (109). Utah State (2-2) is feeling pretty good about themselves with their 61-10 win over at San Jose State last Saturday as a 2-point favorite. Now the Aggies return home after playing two straight games — as well as three of their last four contests — on the road. Utah State typically enjoys a great home field advantage as they are 27-7 straight-up in their last thirty-two games at home. This is an important rivalry game opportunity for head coach Matt Wells team in his fifth year with the program after they were just 3-9 last season. This team entered the season having lost thirteen of their last seventeen games — but seven of those losses were by 7 points or less care of four leads blown in the final 15 minutes of play. But Utah State has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win over a conference rival by at least five touchdowns. The Aggies raced out to a 38-0 halftime lead against the Spartans last week — and they have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after enjoying at least a 20-point lead at halftime. Moving forward, Utah State is an impressive 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on a Friday night.

BYU (1-3) has been dreadful this season. They have an extra week off after their 40-16 loss to Wisconsin at home — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a loss by at least 20 points. The Cougars allowed 235 rushing yards en route to surrendering 491 yards to the Badgers in that game. BYU has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards. Furthermore, the team is without their starting quarterback Tanner Mangum who is out indefinitely with an ankle issue. His backup Beau Hoge made his first start against Wisconsin and three two interceptions while completing only 11 of 20 passes for 111 yards. The Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last game. Lastly, BYU has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when playing on a Friday night. Together, these team trends produce our specific 48-11-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Friday Night Discounted Deal with the Utah State Aggies (110) minus the points versus the BYU Cougars (109). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take the Duke Blue Devils plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes. Duke (4-0) will be playing with tons of confidence after they traveled to Chapel Hill and upset North Carolina by a 27-17 score. The Blue Devils have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a win by at least 20 points. Duke returns home where they have covered the points spread in 6 straight games. They have two more games under their belt than this Miami team (2-0) that saw two of their September games cancelled due to Hurricane Irma. The Hurricanes come off a 52-30 win over Toledo last week in a game where they generated 587 yards — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Now Miami plays their first road game of the season on a short week against a team that they defeated by a 40-21 score last November. Take Duke plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports begins Friday on a SIZZLING 33 of 53 (62%) Football run! Frank also owns a DYNAMITE 60% FOOTBALL TOTALS TEAR with his last 211 Football O/Us (126-85) — and now he UNLEASHES his 25* CFB Friday Night Total of the Month! DON’T MISS OUT!

Frank DELIVERED his 25* MLB NL Central Total of the Month last night with the Cubs-Cardinals Under to further a NEAR PERFECT 6 of 7 (86%) MLB TEAR that continues his SCORCHING 11 of 15 (73%) MLB run along with a RED HOT 27 of 41 (66%) MLB run! Now Frank spots ANOTHER OUTSTANDING O/U OPPORTUNITY this week for his 25* MLB Divisional Total of the Year! DON’T MISS OUT!

At 7:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (105) and the Duke Blue Devils (106). Duke (4-0) returns home still undefeated after they pulled the upset last Saturday with their 27-17 win at North Carolina as a 1.5-point underdog. The Blue Devils have then played 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Duke has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. The Blue Devils relied on their defense to win that game against the Tar Heels as it was a 61-yard interception returned for a touchdown at the 4:01 mark that provided their last touchdown in that contest. Head coach David Cutliffe appears to have one of his best defensives in his ten years at Duke. 66% of the tackles from last year returned to a unit that is allowing only 15.3 PPG (17th in the FBS) while ranking 11th in the nation in total defense (261.5 total YPG). Moving forward, Duke returns home where they have played 7 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total. And in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, the Blue Devils have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, Duke has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the month of September.

Miami (2-0) looked rusty last week with their 52-30 win over Toledo after not playing for three weeks from the Hurricanes that impacted Florida as a 13.5-point favorite. The Hurricanes have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Miami defense did allow 446 yards to the potent Rockets’ offense but expect this unit to play much better this week. Head coach Mark Richt returned eight starters from a group that allowed 18.5 PPG (12th in the FBS) along with ranking 20th in the nation in total defense (345.5 total YPG). 344 of those yards that the Hurricanes surrendered to Toledo were in the air — but they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. This will be the first road game for the Hurricanes this year — and that will likely challenge their starting quarterback Malik Rosier who entered the season with just one start under his belt for the Hurricanes. Look for Miami to rely on their running game led by junior Mark Walton who gained 204 yards on the ground last week on just 11 carries. The Under is a decisive 34-16-1 in the Hurricanes’ last 51 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. Together, these team trends produce our specific 89-32-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Friday Night Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (105) and the Duke Blue Devils (106). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Iowa State Cyclones (104) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (103). Iowa State (2-1) looks to build off their 41-14 win at Akron as a 10-point favorite back on September 16th. The Cyclones have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Iowa State has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games in the month of September. They return home where they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Head Matt Campbell’s team should be fired up to make a statement in his second-year with the program with this nationally televised game at night. As it is, the Cyclones have covered the point spread in 5 straight games played on a Thursday. Led by junior quarterback Jacob Park, Iowa State is 18th in the FBS by averaging a robust 311.7 passing YPG — and this offense should have success against the maligned Longhorns pass defense that allows 248.2 passing YPG (82nd in the FBS). Park’s dangerous arm should help the Cyclones hang around in this game — at the very least. Iowa State has covered the point spread in 7 of their 10 home games as an underdog.

Texas (1-2) earned a moral victory two Saturdays ago in their 27-24 loss at USC in overtime as a 16.5-point underdog. The Longhorns were led by freshman quarterback Sam Ehlinger who completed 21 of 40 passes for 298 yards and two TD passes — but Texas has then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 31 games after a game where they generated at least 280 passing yards in their last game. That alone was not enough to stay competitive and force overtime as they benefitted from a 38-yard pick-six on defense. This Longhorns team has five non-offensive touchdowns which is tied for the most in the nation. Unfortunately, averaging 1.67 non-offensive TDs per game is not sustainable — and the Texas defense is not stout enough to control games on their own. The Longhorns allowed 468 yards to the Trojans in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Lastly, Texas has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a Thursday. 10* CFB Texas-Iowa State ESPN Special with the Iowa State Cyclones (104) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (103). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Iowa Hawkeyes (317) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (318). Penn State closed out last season by scoring 45.6 PPG over their last seven games that culminated in an exciting 52-49 loss to USC in the Rose Bowl. That finish along with a soft early schedule has the Nittany Lions a public favorite as well on the short list for much of the sports punditry’s for College Playoff teams. But this will the first road game for this Penn State team this season after playing their first three games at home. The Nittany Lions come off a 56-0 shutout victory over Georgia State last week as a 37-point favorite. That came after their 33-14 win over Pittsburgh as an 18.5-point favorite in a revenge situation from the previous year. This Penn State program has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after two straight wins by at least two touchdowns. This Nittany Lions team has not been tested yet after being favored to begin their season as a 30-point favorite over Akron. But this may spell trouble for this team now facing sky-high expectations for this first time since the Joe Paterno era. Penn State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing at least three straight games as a favorite by more than one touchdown. This is a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 16 games played on turf, the Nittany Lions are 4-10-2 ATS.

Iowa (3-0) remains unscathed this season after their 31-14 win over North Texas last week as a 19.5-point favorite. The Hawkeyes dominated this game by controlling the Time of Possession for over 40 minutes in that game. Iowa will flex their muscles and look to pound the Nittany Lions on the ground behind four returning starters on the offensive line. Iowa did not have senior Akrum Wadley last week — but they displayed their depth with redshirt freshman Toren Young, senior James Butler and freshman Ivory Kelly-Martin all rushing at least eleven times and all accumulating at least 74 yards on the ground. Even better, Wadley is listed as probable for this game to give the Hawkeyes plenty of options in this game. This Iowa run offense can keep the potent Nittany Lions offense that struggled against the run last year — opponents averaged 151 rushing YPG against them last year on 3.9 Yards-Per-Carry. Furthermore, the Hawkeyes are playing with revenge on their minds after getting blown out in Happy Valley last year by a 41-14 score. But the home team has covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Iowa is very tough at home — and especially in night games as Michigan discovered last year when they suffered their first loss of the season in November in a night-game in Iowa City. That was the same Wolverines team that humiliated this Penn State physically, mentally and emotionally earlier in the season by a 49-10 score. Moving forward, Iowa has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a home game non-cover where they won but failed to cover the point spread. The Hawkeyes did not cover the point spread in the previous week in their rivalry game win on the road at Iowa State. Iowa has covered the point spread in a decisive 52 of their last 79 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Run defense has been a strength for this team as well as they are allowing only 97 rushing YPG while not allowing more than 120 yards in any of their three games this season. Iowa has covered the point spread in 24 of their last 34 games after not allowing more than 125 rushing yards in three straight games. The Hawkeyes have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Big Ten foes. And in their last 5 games played on turf, Iowa has covered the point spread in 4 of these games. 25* CFB Saturday Night ABC-TV Game of the Month with the Iowa Hawkeyes (317) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (318). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (349) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (350).

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (383) plus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (384). TCU (3-0) remained unbeaten this season with their 56-36 win over SMY last week. The Horned Frogs have then covered the point spread in 13 of their last 22 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Despite giving up 463 yards last week to the Mustangs, this TCU defense has held their three previous opponents to -82 YPG below their season average. Seven starters return from the defense that only allowed more than 350 yards twice last season. This year, the Horned Frogs have stepped up on offense as they are outgaining their opponents by +242 YPG. Head coach Gary Patterson will have his group ready to lay considering that they are playing with revenge from a 31-6 upset loss as a 6-point favorite last season. TCU has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games with the Total set at 70 or higher. The Horned Frogs have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, TCU has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 road games as an underdog getting 7.5 to 14 points. And in their last 30 games as an underdog getting 10.5 to 21 points, the Horned Frogs have covered 20 of these contests.

Oklahoma State (3-0) looks unbeatable right now after they blowout Pittsburgh on the road by a 59-21 score. The Cowboys have generated at least 505 yards in each of their first three games to average a whopping 607.0 YPG — but this may speak more to the wretched states of the Panthers pass defense along with that of Tulsa and South Alabama. Oklahoma State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The Cowboys have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games in expected high-scoring contests where there the Total is set at 70 or higher. This Oklahoma State team was 7-2 in Big 12 play last year but only outgained their conference foes by +21.8 YPG. Three net close wins in games decided by one scoring possession as well as three net upsets helped propel their winning record. This is a pretty reliable big favorite (we cashed on them in Week One) as well offering to be a dangerous underdog when getting more than a field goal.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (351) and the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (352). Miami (1-0) will likely be rusty on offense as they take the field for the first time since September 2nd after having a couple games cancelled due to Hurricane Irma. The Hurricanes won their opening game against Bethune Cookman by a 41-13 score — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Miami (FL) has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a bye week. The strong Hurricanes defense was sloppy against that FCS school as they allowed 350 yards — so expect a focused effort this afternoon. The Under is 5-2-1 in Miami’s last 8 games at home. And in their last 63 games against teams outside the ACC, the Hurricanes have played 44 of these games Under the Total.

Toledo (3-0) came off a barn-burner in which they won by a 54-51 score over Tulsa as a 7-point favorite. The Rockets have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win at home. Toledo has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And in their last 22 games after allowing at least 40 points, the Rockets have played 17 of these games Under the Total. Toledo did flex their muscles on offense with QB Logan Woodside passing for 458 yards. But the Rockets have played 6 of their last 7 games Unde the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Lastly, Toledo has played 27 of their last 38 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (351) and the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (352). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the NC State Wolfpack (321) plus the points versus the Florida State Seminoles (322). Florida State (0-1) will be taking the field for a game for the first time since their disappointing 24-7 loss to Alabama way back on September 2nd. The Seminoles have since seen their game with UL-Monroe cancelled due to Hurricane Irma and then their showdown with Miami (FL) delayed and rescheduled for next month while they dealt with the aftermath of that storm in the South Beach area. Expect Florida State to be very rusty with three weeks off early in the season. It is almost a bowl break for the Seminoles — but there is a big difference in getting three weeks off at the end of the season than it is at the beginning of the year. Furthermore, any desire that this team had to get the bad taste out of their mouths from the bad loss to the Crimson Tide has subsided. This team risks being flat with the probability that their ability to make the College Football Playoff is already low. Additionally, the team lost their redshirt freshman quarterback Deondre Francois to a season-ending injury in that game

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Arkansas Razorbacks (395) plus the points versus the Texas A&M Aggies (394). Arkansas (1-1) comes off a bye week with plenty to prove after their 28-7 loss to TCU back on September 9th as a 3-point underdog. The Razorbacks have then bounced back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. Furthermore, Arkansas has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to score at least 20 points in their last game. And in their last 4 games coming off a bye week  under head coach Brett Bielema, they have covered the point spread all 4 times. This team will also be playing with revenge on their minds after suffering a 45-24 upset loss to the Aggies last September as a 7-point favorite.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Massachusetts Minutemen (327)/Tennessee Volunteers (328) Over the Total. Tennessee (2-1) looks to bounce-back from their heartbreaking 26-20 loss to Florida that ended on a Hail Mary pass from Florida with the game-tied that featured such terrible defense that it will likely be the signature visual that gets head coach Butch Jones relieved of his duties in early December. But I do expect the Volunteers to beat up on the Minutemen this afternoon. Tennessee did cover the ending +6.5-point spread in that game — and they have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread win. The Vols have also played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total in the month of September. Additionally, not only has Tennessee played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home but they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total agains teams with a losing record on the road.

UMass (0-4) lost their fourth straight game this season last Saturday in their 29-21 loss at Temple as a 14.5-point underdog. The Minutemen have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread win. UMass does have an intriguing quarterback in junior Andrew Ford who completed over 60% of his passes while throwing 26 TD passes last year after taking in the third game of the season last year. The former 4-star recruit for Virginia Tech completed 23 of 37 passes for 377 yards against the solid Owls defense while tossing two TD passes (and no interceptions). UMass has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. He should be able to lead the Minutemen offense to score their share of points against this disjointed Vols defense that looked awful against Georgia Tech and allowed too many big plays against Florida. My notes for this Tennessee defense to begin this season: injuries, tackling concerns, missed assignments, misalignments, lack of physicality. Those descriptions all seem pretty apt so far this season which is why Jones is not long for the head coaching job in Knoxville. Moving forward, UMass has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road. The Minutemen have also played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total — and that includes playing three of their last four road games when getting  more than 21 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-21 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Massachusetts Minutemen (327)/Tennessee Volunteers (328) Over the Total. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Arizona Wildcats (308) plus the points versus the Utah Utes (307). Arizona (2-1) enters this game with a bit of momentum after rebounding from their loss at home to Houston by crushing UTEP on the road last Friday night by a 63-16 score. Now the Wildcats return home in a critical game for Rich Rodriguez and this Arizona program. Many bettors will be shying away from this Wildcats team that was last in the nation by being outscored by -10 PPG against the point spread last season. Last year’s 3-9 season has put Rodriguez on the proverbial hot seat this year. But remember that under Rodriguez, Arizona had secured wins over Top-Ten teams in four straight seasons before last year. While this undefeated Utes team does not quite find themselves at those lofty heights (although they are ranked in the Top-25), this is a game that the Wildcats absolutely need to win help reverse the negative slide this team has been in since going 10-4 in 2014. Fourteen starters returned this season led by junior quarterback Brian Dawkins. Arizona did outgain the Miners by 292 net yards last week — and they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after outgaining their last opponent by at least 175 yards. The Wildcats have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games played on a Friday night.

Utah (3-0) has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 gamed played on a Friday night. The Utes enter this game coming off a 54-16 win over San Jose State last week. That game when way Over the 59.5 point Total — but Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Utah returned only nine starters from last year’s team that finished 10-3 overall after a win over Indiana in the Foster Farmer’s Bowl. But the defense may be hampered with their leader in the defensive backfield in Chase Hansen being listed as questionable with an undisclosed injury. The Utes have struggled in Pac-12 play where they are just 25-29 overall in the last six seasons. Utah snapped a four-game losing streak to Arizona last year with a 36-23 victory — but they have still failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Wildcats. Furthermore, the underdog has covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams. And in their last 24 road games when favored in the 3.5 to 7 point range, Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of these contests. Together, these team trends produce our specific 53-21 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, the Utes fall into an empirical “play-against” angle that has been 72% effective over the last five seasons. Favorites in the 3.5 to 10 point range coming off a win by at least 17 points now facing a team that scored at least 42 points have then failed to cover the point spread in 55 of the last 76 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CFB Friday Night Game of the Month with the Arizona Wildcats (308) plus the points versus the Utah Utes (307). Best of luck for us — Frank.