At 1:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Citrus Bowl between the LSU Tigers (269) and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (270). LSU (9-3) has won three straight games with their 45-21 win over Texas A&M to close out their regular season. The Tigers have then seen the Under go 9-4-2 in their last 15 games after a straight-up win. The Under is also 6-1-2 in LSU’s last 9 games after a victory by at least 20 points. And in their last 6 games after scoring at least 40 points, the Under is 4-0-2. Additionally, LSU has played 6 straight games Under the Total after a game at home where they won by at least 17 points. They generated a whopping 601 total yards against the Aggies while averaging 6.90 Yards-Per-Play — but they have then played 10 straight games Under the Total after a game where they averaged at least 6.75 YPP. LSU averaged just 21.8 PPG in their six games away from home. But their defense travels as they held the six teams they faced away from home to just 299.5 total YPG which was even lower than the 311.7 total YPG mark which was 11th best in the nation. The Under is 13-6-1 in the Tigers’ last 20 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games against teams outside the SEC, the Under is 5-2-1.

10* CFB play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (270) plus the points versus the LSU Tigers (269) in the Citrus Bowl. Notre Dame (9-3) limped into this Bowl game having lost two of their last three games after their 38-20 upset loss at Stanford as a 3-point favorite back on November 25th. The Fighting Irish should be very motivated to make a strong showing for themselves in this contest. Notre Dame has lost nine straight Bowl games — so this group has the opportunity to distinguish themselves. This is also the first time all season that the Irish are the underdogs. The Fighting Irish are led by the nation’s best offensive line that was awarded the Joe Moore Award for this distinction in December — so they should be able to push back against the Tigers’ defensive line. The Irish have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after suffering an upset loss. Taking better care of the football will play a big role as they suffered a -3 net turnover margin agains the Cardinal. Notre Dame has failed to cover the point spread in four straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least four straight games. And in their last 23 games played on field turf, the Irish have covered the point spread 14 times.

LSU (9-3) has won three straight games with their 45-21 win over Texas A&M to close out their regular season. With head coach Ed Orgeron whispering about perhaps shaking up his coaching staff, this might not be the most cohesive and focused football program this postseason. They have been fortunate regarding turnovers in their winning streak as they have won the turnover margin in each of their last three games. The Tigers have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 23 games after enjoying at least a +1 net turnover margin in three straight games. LSU were the favorites in all three of those games. Not only have the Tigers then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after covering the point spread in at least three straight games as the favorite but they have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after covering the point spread in three straight games overall. Their star linebacker Arden Key is out for this game with a knee injury while running back Derrius Guice is still not 100% with his injuries that slowed him down in the second-half of the season. Lastly, LSU has failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games against teams outside the SEC. 25* College Football Bowl Game of the Year with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (270) plus the points versus the LSU Tigers (269) in the Citrus Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Auburn Tigers (268) minus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (267) in the Chick-Fil-A Bowl. Central Florida (12-0) might be galvanized to pull the big upset in this game with the knowledge that three of the last four Group of Five football teams earning their one reserved spot in a New Year’s Six Bowl game has won their game. But Western Michigan was undefeated last year as well — and they lost to Wisconsin. This Knights team looks overmatched. While they led the nation by scoring 49.4 PPG, they enjoyed playing weak defenses up and down their schedule. The best defense Central Florida probably faced was against a middling South Florida defensive unit. To compound matters, the Knights ranked 110th in the FBS by allowing 262.8 passing YPG. Furthermore, while their departed head coach Scott Frost is still coaching them for this game, his attentions are certainly divided. Frost has been doing double-duty between preparing his former team for this Bowl game while also traveling to Lincoln to work on recruiting and lay the foundation for his new gig as the head coach at Nebraska. Central Florida is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The Knights have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams from the SEC. They come off winning the American Athletic Conference Championship Game in a video game result where they generated 726 yards of offense in a 62-55 win in overtime over Memphis. But Central Florida surrendered an incredible 753 yards in that victory including 282 yards on the ground. The Knights have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game.

Auburn (10-3) looks to rebound from their 28-7 loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game as a 5-point underdog. The Tigers have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Auburn has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. The Tigers are also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Auburn has already spoiled two undefeated seasons this year in their first meeting against Georgia as well as against Alabama in the Iron Bowl. This battle tested team also played Clemson this year — making them the only team in the country to have played three of the four teams in the College Playoff (and beating two of them). They should be motivated to put a thumping on this Central Florida team that has been talking trash entering this game. The recruiting differences between these two programs is vast. Auburn is likely to expose the Knights this afternoon. 10* CFB Central Florida-Auburn ESPN Special with the Auburn Tigers (268) minus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (267) in the Chick-Fil-A Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the South Carolina Gamecocks (265) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (266) in the Outback Bowl. Michigan (8-4) has lost two straight games entering this Bowl game after their 31-20 loss to Ohio State as a 12.5-point underdog to end their regular season. The Wolverines are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. Michigan has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a point spread victory. The team was mired with injuries at quarterback which required them to play senior John O’Korn who simply did not have the ability to successfully check off his primary receiver — and defenses continually burned him on that. Redshirt freshman Brandon Peters showed promise when he was given the opportunity to play — but he suffered a concussion in the Wisconsin game that kept him out in those final two losses. Peters is back for this game which has helped the Wolverines to be favorites laying more than a touchdown — but Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games as the favorite. The Wolverines are also just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 14 games played on grass as will be the case for this contest, Michigan has failed to cover the point spread 10 times.

South Carolina (8-4) looks to bounce-back from their 34-10 loss to Clemson to close out their regular season back on November 25th. The Gamecocks are not being given much respect — the fact that they have a negative net yardage differential is certainly not helping matters. But behind sophomore QB Jake Bentley, this is a group dominated by sophomores and juniors who are anxious to take their team to the next level next season in the third year under head coach Will Muschamp. South Carolina generated just 207 yards of offense against the Tigers — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to generate more than 275 yards in their last game. The Gamecocks are also 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games after a loss by at least 20 points. South Carolina did pull off four upset wins this season. They have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games as an underdog — and this includes covering the point spread in 3 straight games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points. Lastly, the Gamecocks have covered the point spread in 5 straight games when playing on a neutral field. 10* CFB South Carolina-Michigan ESPN2 Special with the South Carolina Gamecocks (265) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (266) in the Outback Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

Please note: I am upgrading this Over play to a 20* play. Thanks, Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Outback Bowl between the South Carolina Gamecocks (265) and the Michigan Wolverines (266). South Carolina (8-4) looks to bounce-back from a 34-10 loss to Clemson back on November 25th to close out their regular season. The Gamecocks have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. South Carolina has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Gamecocks managed only 207 yards of offense against the thought Tigers defense — but the Over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after failing to generate more than 275 yards in their last game. And in their last 9 games after failing to score more than 20 points, South Carolina has played 7 of these games Over the Total.

Michigan (8-4) has lost two straight games with their 31-20 loss to Ohio State as a 12.5-point underdog back on November 25th. The Wolverines have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Michigan has also seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a point spread setback. The team should certainly benefit from the return of redshirt freshman quarterback Brandon Peters. The first Jim Harbaugh recruit under center for the team was effective when taking over late in the season. He completed 37 of 64 passes for 486 yards and four TD passes before suffering a concussion in the Wisconsin game that kept him out of that rivalry game with the Buckeyes. Moving forward, the Over is 15-6-1 in Michigan’s last 22 games against teams with a winning record. The Over is also 6-1-1 in the Wolverines’ last 8 games against teams outside the Big Ten. Additionally, the Wolverines have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral field. And in their last 10 Bowl games, Michigan has played 8 of these games Over the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 81-20-4 combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB New Year’s Day Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the Outback Bowl between the South Carolina Gamecocks (265) and the Michigan Wolverines (266). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (264) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (263) in the Orange Bowl. Miami (FL) (10-2) looks to erase their two-game losing streak and end their season on a positive note after their ugly 38-3 loss to Clemson in the ACC Championship Game back on December 2nd. The Hurricanes have failed to cover the point spread in three of their last four games — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Miami held the Tigers to just 77 rushing yards in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 100 rushing yards in their last game. The Hurricanes’ defense is legit — they ranked 17th in the nation by allowing only 19.9 PPG. The offense was ravaged with injuries to three key skill position players which severely limited them in the Clemson game. But the month of bowl practices should have improved the running back and wide receiver positions for junior QB Malik Rosier. Miami is, of course, the host team of the Orange Bowl — and they are a perfect 7-0 with an average winning margin of +18.0 PPG. The Hurricanes outgain their visitors by +114.5 net YPG. Miami has covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Miami has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 22 home games as the underdog. Furthermore, the Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams outside the ACC.

Wisconsin (12-1) looks to bounce-back from their deflating 27-21 loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship that not only ruined their conference title hopes but also crushed any National Championship dreams that the team might have harbored. But, frankly, this has always been an overrated team that was propped up by a soft schedule. The Badgers’ non-conference slate consisted of BYU, Florida Atlantic and Utah State — none of which even represent a Power Five Conference. Wisconsin then plays in the weaker West Division of the Big Ten. So when looking at their season statistics, remember that the Badgers surrendered 449 yards of offense to the Buckeyes while managing to generate just 298 yards themselves. The final score made that game appear closer than it really was — and Wisconsin benefited from a 9-yard fumble recovery for a touchdown to stay competitive. Sophomore quarterback Alex Hornbook is way too loose with the football. He threw 15 interceptions this season which makes him playing in a true road game in the Orange Bowl against the Turnover Chain wearing Hurricanes who were second in the nation with a +1.25 net turnover margin per game a downright scary proposition. The Badgers managed only 62 rushing yards in their 32 rushing attempts against Ohio State — and that helps place them into a historical “play-against” angle that has been 73% effective since 1992. Wisconsin holds their opponents to just 92.6 rushing YPG — and favorites in the 3.5 to 10 point range who did not rush for more than 75 yards in their last game and does not allow more than 100 rushing YPG have then failed to cover the point spread in 53 of the last 73 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CFB Wisconsin-Miami (FL) Orange Bowl Special with the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (264) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (263). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Orange Bowl between the Wisconsin Badgers (263) and the Miami Hurricanes (264). Miami (FL) (10-2) has lost two straight games with their 38-3 loss to Clemson in the ACC Championship Game as a 12.5-point underdog. The Hurricanes have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Miami has not scored more than 14 points in their last two games — and they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than two touchdowns in two straight games. The Hurricanes will be playing on their home field at Hard Rock Stadium — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on their home field. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, Miami has played 6 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Hurricanes have played a decisive 45 of their last 65 games Under the Total against teams outside the ACC. And in the last 4 Bowl games, Miami has played all 4 games Under the Total.

Wisconsin (12-1) looks to bounce-back from their 27-21 loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game. Look for this Badgers team to play much better on defense — they still rank number one in the nation by limiting their opponents to just 253.2 total YPG. In their six road games this season, Wisconsin allowed only 12.8 PPG while holding their opponents to just 284.5 total YPG. The Badgers have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as a favorite of 7 points or less. Wisconsin has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total as a favorite in the 3.5 to 10 point range. Additionally, the Badgers have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams outside the Big Ten. And in their last 5 Bowl games, Wisconsin has seen the Under go 3-1-1. 10* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the Orange Bowl between the Wisconsin Badgers (263) and the Miami Hurricanes (264). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Washington Huskies (261) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (262) in the Fiesta Bowl. Washington (10-2) has won two straight games with their 41-14 win over Washington State in the Apple Bowl back on November 25th. The Huskies have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while Washington allowed 369 passing yards in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. This Huskies defense is outstanding led by All-Americandefensive tackle Vita Vea. Washington ranks 5th in the nation by allowing only 14.5 PPG while also limiting their opponents to just 277.4 total YPG. Defense travels — and the Huskies have outscored their five opponents when away from home by +12.8 PPG while also outgaining them by +70.2 net YPG. Washington has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games in December, the Huskies have covered the point spread 4 games.  

Penn State (10-2) has won three straight games with their 66-3 blowout win at Maryland. The Nittany Lions have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 19 games after not allowing more than 6 points in their last game. Penn State enjoyed a 24-0 halftime lead against the Terrapins — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 30 of their last 44 games on the road after not allowing more than a field goal in the first-half of their last game. This team will be without their offensive coordinator Joe Moorhead who left the program to take over as head coach at Mississippi State. Some observers consider Moorhead the real genius in this program under head coach James Franklin — and I am one of those individuals. I expect the offense to really miss Moorhead in this game. As it is, the Nittany Lions struggled to run the football against some top defenses: they rushed for 91 yards against Ohio State while managing just 65 rushing yards against Michigan State. Now Penn State will be facing their most difficult opponent yet in stopping the run in this Huskies team that was tops in the nation by allowing only 92.3 rushing YPG. The Nittany Lions have played two straight games Over the Total — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after playing at least two straight Overs. And while Penn State has only covered the point spread once in their last four games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. 25* CFB Washington-Penn State Fiesta Bowl Special with the Washington Huskies (261) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (262). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Fiesta Bowl between the Washington Huskies (261) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (262). Penn State (10-2) has won three straight games with their 66-3 blowout win at Maryland to close out their regular season. The Nittany Lions have then played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after scoring at least 50 points in their last game. Penn State went into halftime with a 31-0 lead over the Terrapins — and they have then played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after holding at least a 24-point lead at halftime in their last game. The Nittany Lions have also played 50 of their last 77 games Under the Total after allowing 3 points or less in their last game. Moving forward, Penn State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field with the Total in the 49.5 to 56 point range. And in their last 87 games against teams outside the Big Ten, the Nittany Lions have played 55 of these games Under the Total.

Washington (10-2) has won two straight games with their 41-14 win over Washington State back on November 25th as a 9.5-point favorite. The Huskies have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Washington has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. On defense, Washington ranks 5th in the nation by allowing only 14.5 PPG while also limiting their opponents to just 277.4 total YPG. They held their opponents to -121 YPG below their season average this year. Lastly, the Huskies have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the Fiesta Bowl between the Washington Huskies (261) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (262). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (260) minus the points versus the Iowa State Cyclones (259) in the Liberty Bowl. Iowa State (7-5) has lost three of their last four games with their 20-19 loss at Kansas State as a 2.5-point underdog back on November 25th. The Cyclones are a trendy pick this afternoon being an underdog against a Group of Five program despite having scored upset wins against Oklahoma and TCU this season. But this is a true road game for this Iowa State team playing on Memphis’ home field against the Tigers. The Cyclones have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 25 road games after a loss by 7 points or less against a conference rival. Iowa State has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games when on the road with the Total set at least at 63. And while the Cyclones held the Wildcats to only 264 yards of offense, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game.

Memphis (10-2) looks to bounce-back from their 62-55 loss at Central Florida in the American Athletic Conference Championship Game back on December 2nd. The Tigers were 6.5-point underdogs in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Memphis has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. The Tigers are the home hosts for this Liberty Bowl where they were a perfect 7-0 this season with an average winning margin of +19.8 PPG. Memphis outgained their visitors by +89.5 net YPG. The Tigers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games at home. They certainly should be motivated to defeat a Power-Five school that defeated an Oklahoma team that will be in the College Football Playoff on Monday — so Memphis fans can get their Transitive Properties defenses boned up with a victory here. Lastly, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning five or six of their last seven games. 10* CFB Iowa State-Memphis Liberty Bowl Special with the Memphis Tigers (260) minus the points versus the Iowa State Cyclones (259). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Mississippi State Bulldogs (258) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (257) in the Taxslayer Bowl. Louisville (8-4) closed out their season winning three straight games in decisive fashion — culminating in a 44-17 win at Kentucky. The Cardinals averaged 46 PPG over that stretch while holding those three opponents to just 315 YPG. But the competition was not spectacular with those wins being against the Wildcats along with Virginia and Syracuse. Don’t be surprised to see this Louisville team suffer a letdown now. They are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Cardinals are also 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Additionally, while Louisville gained 562 yards against the Kentucky defense, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. And in their last 6 games after allowing 20 points or less in their last contest, the Cardinals have failed to cover the point spread 5 times. Behind last year’s Heisman Trophy winner in QB Lamar Jackson, this team has the weapons to blow out inferior opponents. But their offensive line tends to be overwhelmed by big and powerful defensive lines from top-tier defensive programs. In their three games against Clemson, NC State and Florida State, Louisville scoring average plummeted to 25.7 PPG. The Cardinals have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games against teams outside the ACC, Louisville is 1-6-1 ATS.

Mississippi State (8-4) is in the middle of a coaching transition with head coach Dan Mullen along with defensive coordinator Todd Grantham moving to Florida. Former Penn State offensive coordinator Joe Morehead will be taking over the Bulldogs job with special teams coach Greg Knox serving as interim head coach while calling the plays having also been the running backs coach this season. Additionally, junior QB Nick Fitzgerald is out after that gruesome leg injury he suffered in the Egg Bowl which was a 31-28 upset loss for Mississippi State despite being a 14-point favorite to Ole Miss. True freshman QB Kenton Thompson will be under center this afternoon. These circumstances are scaring off many bettors — but not me. I am thrilled that we can get up to 7 points with this tough SEC team that defeated LSU while playing a very competitive game with Alabama. The defense remains in tact for this game (as opposed to Louisville who has two star players skipping the game to avoid risking injury for the April NFL draft). The Bulldogs ranked 10th in the nation by holding their opponents to 302.0 total YPG. Thompson was solid in his debut against the Rebels as he completed 13 of 27 passes for 195 yards in relief while adding another 121 yards on 26 carries on the ground. The dual threat QB should benefit from the bowl practices where he worked with the first team offense. Mississippi State has the element of surprise in this game with two different offensive and defensive coordinators calling their first games in this one. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 19 games after playing a game at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss a home to a conference rival. Additionally, Mississippi State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Lastly, the Bulldogs did rush for 294 yards against Ole Miss in their last game — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. 20* CFB Louisville-Mississippi State Taxslayer Bowl Special with the Mississippi State Bulldogs (258) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (257). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the USC Trojans (255) plus the points versus the Ohio State Buckeyes (256) in the Cotton Bowl. USC (11-2) has won five straight games since their bad loss at Notre Dame — culminating in their 31-28 win over Stanford in the Pac-12 Championship Game as a 3.5-point favorite. The Trojans outgained the Cardinal generated 501 yards of offense in that game while winning the yardage battle by +158 net yards. USC has then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after outgaining their last opponent by at least 125 yards — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after outgaining their last opponent by at least 175 yards. USC averaged 7.45 Yards-Per-Play against Stanford — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after averaging at least 7.25 YPP. This is now a healthier football team again playing behind QB Sam Darnold who is 20-3 as a starter. The Trojans had a 24 players on the injured list against the Irish. Look for USC to build off their momentum to play well in this game. The Trojans have covered the point spread in 35 of their last 53 games after wining six or seven of their last eight games — including covering the point spread six of their last eight games after winning six or seven of their last eight. USC has also covered the point spread in 22 of their last 32 games after wining eight of their last ten games. And in their last 12 games played with the Total with the Total set at 63 or higher, the Trojans have covered the point spread 8 times.

Ohio State (11-2) has won four straight games culminating by winning the Big Ten Championship Game over Wisconsin by a 27-21 score. But the Buckeyes have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win by 7 points or less against a Big Ten rival. This Ohio State team is as talented as any team in the nation but mistakes, turnovers and mediocre play on Special Teams has held this team back all season. In there four biggest games against Oklahoma, Penn State, Michigan and then the Badgers, Ohio State won three of the games but two were by 6 points or less with the win over the Wolverines surpassing that threshold only with a late touchdown. The Buckeyes have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, Ohio State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against teams outside the Big Ten. Ohio State has not allowed more than 21 points in their last four games since their season-ruining loss at Iowa — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than 25 points in at least three straight games. Their win over Wisconsin fell Under the 51 point Total — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Lastly, the Buckeyes have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 63.5 to 70 point range. 20* CFB USC-Ohio State Cotton Bowl Special with USC Trojans (255) plus the points versus the Ohio State Buckeyes (256). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Cotton Bowl between the USC Trojans (255) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (256). Ohio State (11-2) has won four straight games after their triumphant 27-21 in over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship Game as a 3-point favorite. The Buckeyes have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up game. Ohio State has also played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Buckeyes outgained the Badgers by +151 net yards in that contest — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after outgunning their last opponent by at least +175 yards. Ohio State rushed for 238 yards against Wisconsin — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. The Buckeyes averaged 6.6 Yards-Per-Play against the Badgers — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after averaging at least 6.25 YPP in their last game.

USC (11-2) has won five straight games with their 31-28 win over Stanford back on December 1st as a 3.5-point favorite. The Trojans have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. USC has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Moving forward, the Trojans have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. USC has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total outside Pac-12 play. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games played on a neutral field. Lastly, the Over is 7-3-1 in the Trojans’ last 11 Bowl game appearances. 10* CFB Friday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the Cotton Bowl between the USC Trojans (255) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (256). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Arizona Bowl between the Utah State Aggies (253) and the New Mexico State Aggies (254). Utah State (6-6) enters this game coming off a 38-35 loss at Air Force as a 2.5-point favorite back on November 25th. Utah State has then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Utah State gained 521 yards in that losing effort — and they have then played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. And in their last 4 games against teams outside the Mountain West Conference, the Aggies have played all 4 games Over the Total.

New Mexico State (6-6) has won two straight games with their 22-17 win over South Alabama back on December 2nd as a 12-point favorite. These Aggies have then seen the Over go 11-4-1 in their last 16 games after a point spread loss. New Mexico State generated 491 yards in that victory — and the Over is then 26-12-1 in their last 39 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, New Mexico State has played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference. Together, these team trends produce our specific 89-34-2 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB CBS-Sports Network Total of the Year is with Over the Total in the Arizona Bowl between the Utah State Aggies (253) and the New Mexico State Aggies (254). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the North Carolina State Wolfpack (249) minus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (250) in the Sun Bowl. Arizona State (7-5) is another bowl team in the middle of a coaching transition with sixth-year head coach Todd Graham fired for ESPN television personality (and former NFL head coach coach over a decade ago) Herm Edwards. Graham has agreed to stay on to coach this game — and I do expect his players to play hard for their lame duck leader who recruited all of them. But this Sun Devils team looks due for a letdown anyways after they ended their season with a 42-30 upset win against their arch-rival Arizona as a 2-point underdog back on November 25th. This team pulled off four upsets this season with their win over Washington being their highest-profile victory. Arizona State has won five of their last seven games while covering the point spread in seven of their last nine games. But the Sun Devils have then failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 28 road games after winning four or five of their last six games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 road games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Those are not encouraging team trends for a program that will have new coordinators on both sides of the football for this game. As it is, Arizona State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against teams outside the Pac-12. The Sun Devils have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games in the month of December. And in their last 5 games played on a neutral field, Arizona State has failed to cover the point spread 4 times.

NC State (8-4) enters this Bowl game having won two of their last three games with their 33-21 win over North Carolina back on November 25th. This is a good football team under head coach Dave Doeren that defeated Louisville and Florida State this season. The Wolfpack have then covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 road games coming off a bye. NC State has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a game that they played at home. Led by future first-round NFL draft pick Bradley Chubb at defensive end, the Wolfpack have a strong defense that held their opponents to just 24.8 PPG. Defense travels — and NC State outgained their six opponents away from home by +65.0 net YPG. The Wolfpack have played three straight games Under the Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 32 of their last 47 games after playing at least two straight games that finished Under the Total. Lastly, NC State is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 Bowl game appearances. 10* CFB NC State-Arizona State CBS-TV Special with the North Carolina State Wolfpack (249) minus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (250). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (248) minus the points versus the Texas A&M Aggies (247) in the Belk Bowl. Wake Forest (7-5) saw their two-game winning streak snapped in their regular season game which was a 31-23 upset loss to Duke as a 10.5-point favorite. The Demon Deacons have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. Wake Forest has the geographical edge in this matchup with this Bowl being played in nearby Charlotte. This was a battle-tested team that had a 4-5 record against teams that reached a Bowl game — as compared to the 1-5 record that Texas A&M had against bowl teams this season. The Demon Deacons have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Wake Forest has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams outside the ACC. And in their last 4 Bowl games, head coach Dave Clawson’s team has covered the point spread all 4 times.

Texas A&M (7-5) is in the middle of their coaching transition from Kevin Sumlin to Jimbo Fisher. Special Teams Coordinator Jeff Banks will be coaching the team as the interim head coach since Sumlin was terminated after the Aggies’ 45-21 loss at LSU as an 11-point underdog to close out their regular season. Look for Texas A&M to be flat as they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games after a loss by at least 20 points. The Aggies gave up 351 yards to the middling LSU passing attack in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Texas A&M is also just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. The Aggies have surrendered 37 PPG to their last five opponents representing a Power-Five Conference. Moving forward, the Aggies are just 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 games against teams with a winning record which offers some insight into why Sumlin was fired. Texas A&M has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games in the month of December. And in their last 11 Bowl games, the Aggies have failed to cover the point spread in 8 times. 10* CFB Texas A&M-Wake Forest Belk Bowl Special with the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (248) minus the points versus the Texas A&M Aggies (247). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Washington State Cougars (278) plus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (277) in the Holiday Bowl. Michigan State (9-3) opened this game as a small underdog — and with most of the money being bet on Sparty, they now find themselves as a small favorite in the 2-point range. But the Spartans have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 26 games without head coach Mark Dantonio being able to play the “disrespect” card. Michigan State has won two straight games after their 40-7 win at Rutgers as a 13.5-point favorite. But the Spartans have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Michigan State forced three turnovers in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after forcing at least three turnovers in their last game. And while Sparty did not commit a turnover in that contest, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after committing no more than one turnover in their last contest. Michigan State does have a very good defense that has allowed 97 rushing yards combined in their last two games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after not allowing more than 125 rushing yards in at least two straight games. Remember, this Spartans defense was exposed by Ohio State in a their 48-3 loss to the Buckeyes last month in a game where they allowed 524 yards of offense. The Michigan State offense scored only 23.6 PPG in their five games on the road this year — and they were outgained by -2.6 net PPG in their five games away from East Lansing. The Spartans have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against non-conference opponents — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against Pac-12 opponents.

Washington State (9-3) should be very motivated to redeem themselves on this national stage from a pair of bad performances. For starters, the Cougars completely laid an egg last season in a 17-12 loss to Minnesota in this very same Holiday Bowl despite facing a severely depleted Golden Gophers team due to a slew of suspensions that the team handed out for disciplinary reasons that almost compelled them to cancel appearing at the game. We took the Gophers that night and I have had the Washington State opportunity for redemption in the back of my mind all year. The Cougars also look to get the bad taste out of their mouths from their 41-14 loss at Washington back on November 25th to close out their regular reason. Washington State has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Quarterback Luke Falk did complete 37 of 55 passes for 369 yards in that game — and the Cougars have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after they passed for at least 280 yards in their last game while also covering the point spread in 18 of their last 25 games after passing for at least 325 yards in their last contest. Washington State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Cougars have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 16 games as the underdog, Washington State has covered the point spread in 11 of these games. 25* CFB Fox Sports 1 Game of the Year with the Washington State Cougars (278) plus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (277) in the Holiday Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing then TCU Horned Frogs (246) plus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (245) in the Alamo Bowl. TCU (10-3) looks to bounce-back from getting throttled in the Big 12 Championship Game at Oklahoma in their 41-17 loss as a 7-point underdog. The Horned Frogs have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss. Take away two losses to an Oklahoma team that is hoping to play for a National Championship and this TCU team lost to just one other team this season. They have an outstanding defense that limits their opponents to just 17.6 PPG (11th in the FBS) while holding those teams to only 328.5 total YPG (17th in the FBS). On offense, they are led by senior QB Kenny Hill who completed 67% of his passes this season. The Horned Frogs have covered the point spread in 39 of their last 60 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. TCU has also covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And with this game being played on field turf in San Antonio which will give the Horned Frogs a geographical advantage, they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on turf.

Stanford (9-4) saw their three-game winning streak snapped in the Pac-12 Championship Game in their 31-28 loss at USC as a 3.5-point favorite. The Cardinal has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. This is a typical Stanford team of late on the offensive side of the football as they thrive in their rushing attack but struggle with their passing game. Running back Bryce Love should be healthier than he was in the second-half of the regular season. But the Cardinal passing attack ranked just 97th in the FBS by averaging 184.3 passing YPG. However, this is an atypical Stanford team that is not nearly as tough on defense as they usually are. The Cardinal allowed opponents to average 4.5 Yards-Per-Carry — and they ranked 71st in the FBS by allowing 170.7 rushing YPG. Overall, Stanford was 74th in total defense by giving up 398.8 total YPG. In the previous five seasons, the Cardinal held their Pac-12 opponents to average -103 YPG below their season average. This season, these conference opponents averaged just -13 net YPG below their season offensive average. Lastly, Stanford lost all four of their games away from home this season where they were outgained by -73.0 net YPG. 10* CFB Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the TCU Horned Frogs (246) plus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (245) in the Alamo Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:15 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (243) plus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (244) in the Camping World Bowl. Virginia Tech (9-3) has won two straight games after their 10-0 shutout victory at Virginia. The Hokies have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win Virginia Tech has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing 20 points or less in their last contest. This Hokies defense is one of the best in the nation as they are holding their opponents to just 13.5 PPG which is 5th best in the FBS — and they rank 11th in the nation by holding their opponents to only 305.3 total YPG. Defense travels — and Virginia Tech was 4-2 on the road with an average winning margin of +8.9 PPG due to this defense that held those opponents to only 17.8 PPG. The Hokies have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in expected higher-scoring games where the Total was set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. Virginia Tech has also covered the point spread in 21 of their last 33 games as an underdog in the 3.5 to 10 point range. I am expected redshirt freshman quarterback Josh Jackson to have improved during the extra Bowl practices under their offensive guru of a head coach in Justin Fuente. The Hokies have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams outside the ACC. And in their last 11 games in the month of December, Virginia Tech has covered the point spread 8 times.

Oklahoma State (9-3) reached this Bowl game after their 58-17 win over Kansas back on November 25th as a big 40.5-point favorite. The Cowboys have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. Oklahoma State has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while the Total was set at 67 for that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after playing at game that finished Over the Total. Interestingly, the Cowboys played another team on their schedule known for having a good defense with strong Special Teams but a sometimes questionable offense — and that Kansas State team defeated them by a 45-40 score. I think that result serves as a harbinger for this game. Oklahoma State does not do well with their Special Teams while this Hokies team remains excellent in that area of the game two years removed from the Frank Beamer era that specialized in Special Teams play. The Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games when favored in the 3.5 to 10 point range, Oklahoma State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. 20* CFB Virginia Tech-Oklahoma State Camping World Special with the Virginia Tech Hokies (243) plus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (244). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Navy Midshipmen (242) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Virginia Cavaliers (241) in the Military Bowl. Navy (6-6) is a team that is often faded in Bowl games given the conventional wisdom that the opponent’s opportunity to practice for a few weeks against their unique spread triple option mitigates the inherent advantage the Midshipmen have from week-to-week deploying that offense. And that is some solid 2012 reasoning. However, bettors have caught up to that logic and the oddsmakers have adjusted. Bettors were also using that logic to bet against Army against a San Diego State teach coached by Rocky Long who was being described as the Yoda of defending spread triple options. The fact is that these triple option offenses are so tricky because there is a second (and third) level of adjustments that can be made once defenses begin to catch up to it. In regards to the Naval Academy, they have covered the point spread in 4 straight Bowl games which should put that Hot Take to rest for the time being. The Midshipmen host this Bowl game which gives them a significant advantage in this contests. Navy was 4-1 at home this year while outgaining their opponents by +50.4 net YPG. They are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games on their home field. These Midshipmen should be very motivated to end their season on a high note after losing three straight games as well as six of their last seven contests after losing their rivalry game against Army in heartbreaking fashion in the snow by a 14-13 score. Navy was 2.5-point favorites in that game — and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a point spread loss. The Midshipmen have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. Navy faced a very competitive schedule this season so they enter this game battle tested.

Virginia (6-6) limps into the postseason as well having lost three straight games with their 10-0 loss at home to Virginia Tech. The listless Cavaliers’ offense managed to gain only 191 yards of offense in that game. Virginia ranks 100th in the FBS by scoring just 23.8 PPG — and they also rank 100th in the FBS by averaging only 356.2 total YPG. The Cavaliers managed only 5 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Virginia is also 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing 20 points or less in their last game. Defense is a concern in this game for Bronco Mendenhall’s team. The Cavaliers do a great job stopping opponent’s passing attacks as they rank 17th in the FBS by holding teams to just 179.6 passing YPG. But Virginia allows their opponents to rush for 178.3 rushing YPG which is 82nd in the FBS which is a grave concern when looking to slow down the Navy spread triple option. The Hokies ran for 202 yards against the Virginia defense — and the Cavaliers are then 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Cavaliers were just 2-3 on the road this season while being outgained by -5.0 net PPG. 10* CFB Virginia-Navy Military Bowl Special with the Navy Midshipmen (242) plus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (241). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Texas Longhorns (240) plus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (239) in the Texas Bowl. Texas (6-6) saw their two-game winning streak snapped in their last regular season game back on November 24th in their 27-23 loss to Texas Tech. It is pretty easy for Bowl observers to point to head coach Tom Herman’s 9-1 ATS record as an underdog in his head coaching career — and that includes overseeing six straight-up upset victories. While that helps to establish some confidence that Herman is effective at motivating his team when the odds are stacked against them, this logic has become conventional wisdom. On the other hand, a knee-jerk play-against this evolving conventional wisdom would be foolhardy as well. I do like the Longhorns to come out with a strong effort in their home state where sending good vibes is important to Herman for recruiting. Texas has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. This Longhorns team has a stout defense that ranked 30th in the FBS by holding opponents to just 21.7 PPG. In their six games away from home, Texas held their opponents to only 18.0 PPG. This defensive play has helped the Longhorns go 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. On offense, look for this unit to play well behind promising freshman quarterback Sam Ehlinger who should benefit from the extra weeks of bowl preparation. The Longhorns have three players who have defied to not play this game to protect their health for the upcoming NFL draft — but roster talent has never been the issue with this team. Texas has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams outside the Big 12. And in their last 6 games played on a neutral field, the Longhorns have covered the point spread 5 times.

Missouri (7-5) enters this Bowl game on a six-game winning streak after their 48-45 win at Arkansas as a 10-point favorite. The Tigers have then failed to her the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. Missouri did gain a whopping 696 yards against the Razorbacks — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. This Tigers team feasted off bad competition where their spread offense was able to run up the score. Against the seven Bowl teams they faced this season, Mizzou scored 54 PPG. But against the five teams participating in Bowl games this season, the Tigers were winless while scoring a mere 18.5 PPG. That makes them precarious favorites tonight — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games in the month of December. 25* CFB Wednesday Bowl Special Feature with the Texas Longhorns (240) plus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (239) in the Texas Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Purdue Boilermakers (275) plus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (276) in the Foster Farm’s Bowl. Arizona (7-5) has lost two straight games with their 42-30 upset loss at Arizona State back on November 25th. That loss may be indicative of a book that has begun to be established against sophomore QB Khalil Tate who tore up the Pac-12 when head coach Rich Rodriguez inserted him into the starting lineup. The Wildcats won five of their last eight games with Tate as the starting QB taking over for junior Brandon Dawkins. But over his last two starts, Tate ran the ball only 22 times for 60 yards while completing 29 of his 48 passes for 291 yards which are akin to numbers he was putting up in just one game (albeit with less passing and more rushing attempts). Rodriguez eventually benched Tate to give Dawkins a chance to move the ball in their rivalry game against Arizona State. But, as always, the bigger concerns with Rodriguez-coached teams are defense and discipline. The Wildcats ranked 116th in the FBS by allowing 464.2 total YPG. They surrendered 227 yards to the Sun Devils — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. It is poor Special Teams, penalties and overall undisciplined play that makes Arizona an unreliable small favorite under Rich Rod. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams outside the Pac-12. Arizona has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played in the month of December. Additionally, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games played on a neutral field. And in their last 6 Bowl game appearances, Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests.

Purdue (6-6) became Bowl eligible by winning their last two games of the regular season — culminating with their 31-24 win over Indiana back on November 25th. The Boilermakers’ racked up 453 yards of offense in that victory — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The offense has played a bit better with first-year head coach Jeff Brohm settling on Elijah Sindelar as the main signal-caller. He completed 15 of 29 passes for 159 yards but threw two TD passes and no interceptions against the Hoosiers. Purdue did surrender 497 yards to the Indiana offense — but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. This Boilermakers defense should play better as they ranked 16th in the nation by allowing just 19.3 PPG. Even better, when Purdue was on the road in six games this season, they surrendered only 17.8 PPG along with 347.7 total YPG. The Boilermakers outscored their opponents on the road by +2.4 PPG while outgaining them by +27.0 net YPG which makes them dangerous underdogs against this inconsistent Wildcats team. Purdue has a loaded front seven that accounted for 25 sacks while holding opponents to just 3.7 Yards-Per-Carry. This is the Boilermakers first Bowl game in five years so they will be very excited for this opportunity. Lastly, Purdue has covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams outside the Big Ten — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams from the Pac-12. 10* CFB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Purdue Boilermakers (275) plus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (276) in the Foster Farm’s Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:15 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Boston College Eagles (237) plus the points versus the Iowa Hawkeyes (238) in the Pinstripe Bowl. Boston College (7-5) has won two straight games — as well as six of their last eight contests — with their 42-14 win at Syracuse in their last regular season game back on November 25th as a 4.5-point favorite. The Eagles are then 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Boston College is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. This became a changed football team when freshman A.J. Dillon entered the starting lineup. Dillon de-committed from Michigan to enroll at BC with the promise of a better immediate opportunity for playing time — and he proved why by rushing for 1432 yards with a 5.3 Yards-Per-Carry average along with 13 TDs. Dillon ran the ball 23 times for 193 yards en route to the Eagles putting up 333 yards in that win over the Orangemen. Boston College has then a decisive 40-19-2 in their last 61 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. An effective ground game makes the Eagles dangerous because of their typically strong play on defense. This season, BC ranks 35th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 22.5 PPG. Defense and a strong ground game travels — and the Eagles were 5-1 this season with an average winning margin of +10.1 PPG. Boston College is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on a neutral field. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, the Eagles are 4-0-1 ATS.

Iowa (7-5) snapped their two-game losing streak in their last regular season game with a 56-14 win at Nebraska as a 4.5-point favorite. The Hawkeyes have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a win by at least 20 points. Furthermore, Iowa has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. This Hawkeyes team peaked this season when they scored 55 points while tallying a remarkable 487 yards of offense against a shellshocked Ohio State team that was turning the ball over left and right. But against the five other Big Ten teams that played in Bowl games, Iowa scored only 13.6 PPG while averaging a mere 228.0 total YPG. Additionally, Iowa was outgained by -28.8 net YPG in their five games on the road. The Hawkeyes have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 Bowl games. And in their last 4 games played on a neutral field, Iowa is just 0-3-1 ATS. 10* CFB Boston College-Iowa Pinstripe Bowl Special with the Boston College Eagles (237) plus the points versus the Iowa Hawkeyes (238). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (235) plus the points versus the Florida State Seminoles (236) in the Independence Bowl. Florida State (6-6) enters this game winning and covering the point spread in three straight games to become Bowl eligible. Their last game was a 42-10 win over UL-Monroe back on December 2nd as a 26-point favorite. The Seminoles generated 504 yards of offense in that game — but they are then 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games after gaining at least 405 yards in their last game. And while they did not force a turnover against the Ragin’ Cajun defense, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after not forcing more than one turnover in their last game. This is a team in transition with Odell Haggins serving as the interim coach before Willie Taggart takes over for the departed Dabo Swinney who took the money to go to Texas A&M. While Florida State was snake-bit by injuries this season which was made worse by a difficult schedule, they remain a precarious big favorite laying more than two touchdowns. This team scored only 17.3 PPG while averaging 267.2 total YPG when away from home this season. The Seminoles have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing on a neutral field. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, Florida State is just 0-4-2 ATS.

Southern Miss (8-4) has won three straight games after their 28-27 upset win at Marshall as a 2-point underdog. The Golden Eagles should build off that momentum with confidence they can pull off a high-profile upset this afternoon as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Southern Miss has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. The Golden Eagles outrushed the Thundering Herd in that game by a 201 to 74 yard margin — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after outrushing their last opponent by at least 125 yards. There is no question that Southern Miss faced the weaker schedule this season. But they will have the geographical and crowd advantage in this game with it being played in Shreveport. They also have been consistent when playing away from home as they are 5-1 on the road while outgaining their opponents by +87.2 net YPG. Defense travels — and the Golden Eagles rankled 17th in the nation by limiting their opponents to just 321.9 total YPG. Lastly, Southern Miss has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against non-conference opponents. 10* CFB Southern Mississippi-Florida State Independence Bowl Special with the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (235) plus the points versus the Florida State Seminoles (236) in the Independence Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the UCLA Bruins (234) plus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (233) in the Cactus Bowl. Kansas State (7-5) enters this Bowl game having won two straight games as well as four of their last five with their 20-19 win over Iowa State. But the Wildcats are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. And Kansas State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a victory over a Big 12 rival by 7 points or less. Moving forward, lets just say that I like betting on Bill Snyder’s teams when they are underdogs but become wary of them when they are laying the points. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games as the favorite laying 3.5 to 10 points. Kansas State has also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games when playing on a neutral field as the favorite. I know that they are facing a UCLA team that is a hot mess — but these Wildcats are no beacons of serene stability themselves. They are down to their third-string quarterback in freshman Skylar Thompson. Their seven wins this season could be considered an overachievement when considering that were outgained by their opponents by -63.7 net YPG. This Kansas State team ranked surprisingly low at 97th in the FBS by allowing 432.0 total YPG due to a porous pass defense that allowed a whopping 310.3 passing YPG which was 128th in the nation. These Wildcats also were outgained by -99.0 net YPG when playing away from home. Furthermore, Kansas State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when playing on a neutral field. Snyder is a great coach — but I do think the extra preparation time in Bowl games helps to level the playing field since opposing coaches get extra time to find some angles that Snyder seems to discover on a week-to-week advantage to help his team continually overachieve. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games in Bowl games.

UCLA (6-6) is in a state of transition with Chip Kelly taking over the program after Jim Mora was fired after the team’s loss to USC. Quarterback Jay Rosen will not play in this game because of a concussion leaving it to freshman QB Devon Modster to run the offense. Modster stepped in for Rosen in the second half of their last game against Cal when Rosen was knocked out of that game with this head injury and he completed 14 of 18 passes for 191 yards to lead the Bruins to a 30-27 win over the Golden Bears. This UCLA team is a train wreck on defense — despite having talent. And this group was winless in their six road games. But I like the situation for these proverbial misfit toys with zero expectations on them. Interim head coach Jedd Fisch oversaw the victory over Cal and has plenty of incentive to show something here as it could set him up for head coaching college jobs. Fisch comes from the Jim Harbaugh coaching tree and left the Wolverines as their co-offensive coordinator to work with Rosen. Worst case scenario for Fisch is another offensive coordinator gig with a good Power Five Conference team. I also think he has helped make Modster better during Bowl practices with the freshman now getting all the coaching attention while working with the first team offense. Modster has shown that he can fulfill on his vast promise coming out of high school as he has completed 66.7% of his 45 passes this season while averaging a strong 8.4 Yards-Per-Attempt. The Bruins have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games as an underdog on a neutral field. Lastly, while UCLA does allow 36.8 PPG, these teams should not be dismissed too quickly. The Bruins win over Cal fell below the 66 point Total — and underdogs in the 3.5 to 10 point range who allow at least 35.0 PPG but come off a game that finished Under the Total have then covered the point spread in 75 of the last 117 situations where these conditions applied. 10* CFB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the UCLA Bruins (234) plus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (233) in the Cactus Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:15 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Northern Illinois Huskies (231) plus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (232) in the Quick Lane Bowl. Northern Illinois (8-4) saw their two-game winning streak snapped in their last regular season in a 31-24 upset loss at Central Michigan as a 2.5-point favorite. That was a disappointing result for the Huskies (and us) as they went into a halftime with a comfortable 17-0 lead before being overwhelmed by the Chippewas in the final 30 minutes. Northern Illinois be anxious to redeem themselves from that loss. Head coach Rod Carey has also certainly reminded him team of the team’s humiliating performance in the 2015 Poinsettia Bowl where they lost to Boise State by a 55-7 score while being outgained by an incredible 654-33 margin. Injuries played a role in that results — and I do not think that performance offers any evidence as to how the Huskies can perform against a Power Five Conference representative. This team defeated Nebraska this season while losing by just 3 points to a feisty Boston College team this season. Northern Illinois has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a loss by a touchdown or less against a conference rival. The Huskies have also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 21 games after an upset loss to a conference rival. Additionally, Northern Illinois has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 32 road games after not allowing more than a field goal in the first half of their last game — and this includes covering the point spread in six of their last seven games with that situation. And while the Huskies have only covered the point spread once in their last five games, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after failing to cover the point spread in four of their last five games. Northern Illinois may have finally found the heir to quarterback Jordan Lynch that led the program to great heights climaxing in an Orange Bowl appearance five years ago. Redshirt freshman QB Marcus Childers has the passing and running mix that Carey likes to see from his quarterback to make this spread offense hum. The Huskies also have a great defense that built off the momentum they established in their final five games of the 2016 season. Northern Illinois allowed just 20.8 PPG (27th in the FBS) while ranking 18th in the nation by limiting opponents to only 328.0 total YPG based on a stout run defense that is 11th in the nation by limiting their opponents to only 112.3 rushing YPG. This helps the Huskies to be dangerous underdogs. They have covered the point spread in a decisive 54 of their last 89 games including three of their last four and eight of their last thirteen games when getting the points. Northern Illinois has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams outside the Mid-American Conference. 

Duke (6-6) followed up a 43-20 upset victory over Georgia Tech as a 6.5-point underdog by then upsetting Wake Forest in Winston Salem on November 25th as a 10.5-point underdog to become bowl eligible for head coach David Cutcliffe. The Blue Devils tend to be a dangerous underdog themselves under Cutcliffe as they pulled off four upsets this season. But perhaps Cutcliffe needs to road trip to the Alabama locker room sometime to listen to how Nick Saban motivates his team as perpetual favorites as this Duke team suffered three upset losses as the favorite also this season. Needless to say, I am not comfortable in the Blue Devils laying points. Duke has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after an upset victory as an underdog — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in three straight games after pulling an upset on the road. The Blue Devils had lost six straight games in a stretch where they scored just 12.0 PPG before pulling off these last two upsets. Duke scores only 19.6 PPG away from home while generating a mere 304.4 total YPG. They were outscored by -3.0 net PPG on the road while being outgained by -31.2 net YPG. The Huskies, on the other hand, outscored their six road opponents by +2.1 net YPG while also winning the yardage battle. Duke’s win over the Demon Deacons fell below the 59 point total — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Lastly, the Blue Devils have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing a game against a conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after playing their last two games against ACC rivals. 25* CFB Tuesday Bowl Special Feature with the Northern Illinois Huskies (231) plus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (232) in the Quick Lane Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take Under the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies and the Duke Blue Devils in the Quick Lane Bowl. Northern Illinois (8-4) saw their two-game winning streak in their last regular season game with their 31-24 loss at Central Michigan. The Huskies have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss. Northern Illinois has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against non-conference opponents. Duke (6-6) enters this Bowl game coming off their 31-23 win at Wake Forest. The Blue Devils have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record, Duke has played 9 of these games Under the Total. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports DELIVERED their 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Year last night with the Oakland-Philly Under to further a RED HOT 17 of 22 (77%) Football run which has fueled a 70 of 93 (75%) Football mark! Now Frank turns back to College Football where he is is on a 35 of 48 (73%) CFB run after his SCORCHING 15 of 18 (83%) CFB Bowl mark so far this postseason! Frank made it a PERFECT 4-0 with his highest-rated 25* CFB Bowl plays with Fresno State on Sunday — and he looks to make it FIVE IN A ROW with the Northern Illinois-Duke ATS winner that is worthy of his 25* seal of approval! JOIN Frank for this 52* SPECIAL FEATURE!

At 1:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the West Virginia Mountaineers (230) plus the points versus the Utah Utes (229) in the Heart of Dallas Bowl. West Virginia (7-5) limped into their bowl game losing two straight games with their 59-31 loss at Oklahoma back on November 25th. The Mountaineers have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games under head coach Dana Holgorsen. But this West Virginia team is undermanned entering this bowl game. Quarterback Will Grier has announced he is returning to the school to use his final year of eligibility — but the finger injury that kept him out of the last two games will keep him from taking the field this afternoon. Sophomore Chris Chugunov will be the starting QB this afternoon. While he has completed just 54% of his passes, he has the luxury of an outstanding group of wide receivers and he should have gotten better with the benefit of bowl practices. Running back Justin Crawford is also bypassing this game to protect his precious draft stock — but, frankly, that is not as big a deal as advertised. Sophomore running back Kennedy McKoy rushed the ball 25 times for 137 yards against the Sooners while leading the Mountaineers to 250 rushing yards against Oklahoma. The Mountaineers have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The Holgorson offense that ranked 14th in the nation in total offense should find a rhythm this afternoon because the head coach always seems to get his offense going. Defense is another issue. West Virginia allowed 646 yards to the Sooners including 313 yards on the ground — but they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 18 games after allowing at least 275 yards in their last game. The Mountaineers have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 50 points in their last game. The Holgorson offensive attack does travel — they averaged 517.8 total YPG when playing on the road which helped them outgain their opponents by +32.1 net YPG. West Virginia has failed to cover the point spread in their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games.

Utah (6-6) snapped their two-game losing streak in their final game in the regular season with their 34-13 win over Colorado. The big statistic that every pundit paying attention to Bowl games will surely be pointing out is that Utes’ head coach Kyle Whittingham has coached his team to a near perfect 10-1 record in Bowl games. While I am not going to invest the time to verify actually how many of those games were situations where Whittingham’s team was being asked to laying close to a touchdown. I fully expect this Utes team to be prepared (as I consider the “motivational” angles for Bowl games to wildly overrated). That said, this Utes team may not be able to stop themselves from suffering a letdown after their nice statement win that they needed to become Bowl eligible. Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a double-digit win over a conference rival. The Utes have also failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after a win by at least three touchdowns against a conference rival. The team hopes to get sophomore QB Tyler Huntley back after he missed some starts. This always looked to be a down year for this Utah team that lost eight players to the NFL draft from last year’s team that finished 10-3. This young team was not nearly as good away from Salt Lake City this year where they were 2-3 while being outscored by -2.6 net PPG along with being outgained by -21.0 net YPG. Expect a close game where taking the points with the underdog should be worthwhile. 10* CFB Utah-West Virginia Heart of Dallas Bowl Special with the West Virginia Mountaineers (230) plus the points versus the Utah Utes (229). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (227) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (228) in the Hawai’i Bowl. Houston (7-4) travels to Hawai’i after their 24-14 win over Navy as a 6.5-point favorite back on November 24th. The Cougars have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. The Cougars sport a strong defense that ranked 40th in the FBS by allowing just 23.0 PPG. They ave played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And Houston has played 5 straight games Under the Total against non-conference opponents.

Fresno State (9-4) saw their four-game winning streak snapped in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game in a 17-14 loss at Boise State as a 10-point underdog. The Bulldogs have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Fresno State has also played 7 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. Additionally, the Bulldogs have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, the Under is 5-0-1. This Fresno State team also has a very good defense as they are holding their opponents to just 17.2 PPG along with 319.0 total YPG which is 9th and 16th best in the FBS respectively. Expect a lower scoring game. 10* CFB Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (227) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (228). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (228) plus the point(s) versus the Houston Cougars (227) in the Hawai’i Bowl. Fresno State (9-4) looks to bounce-back from their 17-14 loss in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game at Boise State which was an immediate rematch from the game those two teams played the previous week in Fresno. The Bulldogs have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. Fresno State did cover the 10-point spread as the underdog in that last game — and they are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last contest. And in their last 10 games after allowing at least 20 points in their last contest, Fresno State has covered the point spread in 9 of those games. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games against teams outside the MWC, Fresno State has covered the point spread in 4 of these contests.

Houston (7-4) has won three of their last four games with their 24-14 win over Navy back on November 24th as a 6.5-point favorite. The Cougars have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. Trying to base Bowl game predictions based primarily on guessing the motivation of both teams has always been Fool’s Gold to me — but, that said, a trip to Hawai’i for this Houston team that did not meet their high expectations this season. The Cougars returned fifteen starters for first-year head coach Major Applewhite from last year’s team that finished 9-4 which included upset wins over Oklahoma and Louisville. But this team was upset four times this season to spoil their dreams of winning the American Athletic Conference and perhaps earn the Group of Five conference bowl bid in the New Year’s Six Bowl Games. Instead, a trip to Hawai’i to face another non-power conference opponent. The Cougars score only 20.2 PPG when playing away from home this season — and that is -8.2 PPG below their season average. Lastly, Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games when playing on field turf. 25* CFB Hawai’i Bowl A-List Special with the Fresno State Bulldogs (228) plus the point(s) versus the Houston Cougars (227). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (226) in the Dollar General Bowl. Toledo (11-2) has the opportunity to avenge a loss to this Mountaineers team in last year’s Camellia Bowl where they lost by a 31-28 score — but they were small 1-point underdogs in that game. It is too much to ask this team to avenge that loss by around a touchdown that they are being asked to lay in this game. The Rockets won the Mid-American Conference Championship with their 45-28 win over Akron as a 20.5-point favorite back on December 2nd. Toledo has been cranking on offense as they enter this game as they have scored at least 37 points in three straight games while averaging at least 6.79 Yards-Per-Play in each of those games. But the Rockets have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after averaging at least 6.25 Yards-Per-Play in three straight games. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after scoring at least 31 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after scoring at least 37 points in three straight contests. Additionally, Toledo has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams outside the MAC. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, the Rockets are just 1-4-1 ATS.

Appalachian State (8-4) has won three straight games with their 63-14 win over UL-Lafayette as a 14-point favorite. Look for the Mountaineers to build off their momentum in this Bowl game as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Appalachian State has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Mountaineers have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. This Appalachian State team tied for first-place in the Sun Belt Conference but perhaps did not meet their high expectations when entering the season with fourteen starters back from their 10-3 team that upset Toledo in their meeting in the Camellia Bowl last year. But this will also be a host of senior’s last game including quarterback Taylor Lamb — so pulling an upset in this game would help make up for their two (net) upset losses this season. Lastly, the Mountaineers have coved the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. 20* CFB Appalachian State-Toledo Dollar General Bowl Special with the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (226). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) and the Toledo Rockets (226) in the Dollar General Bowl. Appalachian State (8-4) enters this bowl game having won three straight games with their 63-14 win over UL-Lafayette back on December 2nd. The Mountaineers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Appalachian State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to 20 points or less. This Mountaineers team once again has a stout defense as they ranked 33rd in the FBS by allowing 21.9 PPG — and they also ranked 39th in the nation by limiting their opponents to just 358.9 total YPG. What helps the defense succeed is keeping them off the field by running the ball on offense. Appalachian State rushed for 357 yards again the Ragin’ Cajuns in that last game. Not only have they then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game but  they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 300 yards in their last contest. Additionally, the Mountaineers have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, Appalachian State has played 4 of these games Under the Total.

Toledo (11-2) has also won three straight games to close out the regular season with their 45-28 win over Arkon in the Mid-American Championship Game back on December 2nd. The Rockets were 20.5-point favorites in that game — and they have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Toledo allowed 283 passing yards in that victory — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Additionally, the Rockets have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Toledo exploded for 561 yards of offense against the Zips in that game — but they have played 16 of their last 22 road games Under the Total after gaining at least 525 yards in their last contest. Moving forward, the Under is 23-9-1 in their last 33 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games played on a neutral field, Toledo has played 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) and the Toledo Rockets (226). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Army Black Knights (223) plus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (224). The Hot Take that many pundits are observing for this game has been the great success head coach Rocky Long has enjoyed when his defenses face spread triple option offenses. The numbers are impressive: Long’s teams are 11-1 straight-up against the twelve triple option offenses he has coached against with his team covering the point spread eight times. In the Aztecs’ 2014 Bowl game when they played Navy, they held the Midshipmen to a season-low 271 yards of offense. However, the problem with these numbers is that the oddsmakers have incorporated these facts into their number — it is one of the reasons why San Diego State (10-2) is a favorite in the touchdown range for this game. But the Aztecs do not tend to meet expectations when laying more than a field goal but not more than 10 points — they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when laying 3.5 to 10 points. San Diego State ended the season on fire by winning four straight games with their 35-10 win over New Mexico back on November 24th. But with a long 28 days off between contests, this Aztecs team may be flat in this game in an uninspiring contest against the Black Knights and an offense they have already faced twice this season. San Diego State has covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in at least four of their last five games. The Aztecs have also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after covering the point spread in three straight games. Additionally, while San Diego State has scored at least 35 points in three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 31 points in their last two contests. They averaged at least 6.96 Yards-Per-Play in those last three games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in two straight games while failing to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in three straight games. This San Diego State team also won all three of their games decided by one scoring possession — so their final record could have easily been less impressive if a break or two does not go there way.

Army (9-3) has experienced a dream season after defeating Navy for the second-straight season back on December 9th by a 14-13 score. They should have benefit in playing this game with only two weeks off between that triumph. Some pundits have questioned the team’s motivation for this game while others have concerns about the short turnaround during semester exams. Dude, it’s Army. These guys thrive on discipline and compartmentalizing their varying responsibilities. And after winning the Commander-in-Chief Trophy, this team has the opportunity to close out their season as one of the most gloried in the program’s history to achieve a ten-win season with a victory in their bowl game. Fourth-year head coach Jeff Monken will have his team prepared and excited to win this game — just like he did last season when they defeated North Texas in the Heart of Dallas Bowl. With this game being played in Fort Worth, the Black Knights will enjoy a crowd advantage. They enter this game having won seven of their last eight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. Army has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a game where neither team scored more than 17 points. Additionally, one of the intangibles that should help the Black Knights stay in this game is that they protect the football. Army has only committed five turnovers in their last eight contests — and they have not committed more than one turnover in any of those last eight games. The Black Knights have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after not committing more than one turnover in two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after not committing more than one turnover in four straight games. Lastly, and to bring this Report full-circle, the qualities of this Army team has helped them cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points. 10* CFB Army-San Diego State Armed Forces Bowl Special with the Army Black Knights (223) plus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (224). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the South Florida Bulls (222) minus the points versus the Texas Tech Red Raiders (221) in the Birmingham Bowl. Texas Tech (6-6) closed out their regular season by erasing a four-game slide by winning two of their last three games which was culminated in a 27-23 upset victory at Texas as a 7.5-point underdog back on November 24th. The Red Raiders have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog of at least 6 points. This Texas Tech can score points — but they continue to struggle on defense as they ranked 94th in the nation by allowing 31.8 PPG and they finished 98th in the FBS by giving up 434.0 total YPG. This porous defense has contributed to them failing to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. With South Florida falling this morning to a favorite of less than a field goal in most spots, lets take the Bulls. The Red Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral field as an underdog getting no more than 7 points. And this Texas Tech team has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 appearances in a Bowl game.

10* CFB play on South Florida minus the points versu Texas Tech. Best of luck or us  -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Wyoming Cowboys (220) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (219) in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. Wyoming (7-5) is led by a quarterback who will be drafted high in next April’s NFL Draft in junior Jake Allen. But Allen lost almost all his skill players from the previous season and led an offense that mostly sputtered this season as they scored only 22.3 PPG. Allen’s status for this game was questionable with a shoulder injury that kept him out of the last two games of the regular season — but he will take the field to start in this showcase opportunity for himself before he likely declares himself eligible for the draft. I do think the offense should be improved with the extra weeks of bowl practice. But while the offense behind Allen has been a challenge this season, that dynamic obscured the fact that the Cowboys defense has been quite good this season. Eight starters returned for first-year defensive coordinator Scottie Hazelton who oversaw a unit that ranked 12th in the FBS by holding opponents to just 17.8 PPG while also ranking 22nd in the nation by limiting opponents to only 332.8 total YPG. Wyoming should also have the Special Teams edge in this game against the Chippewas. The Cowboys will be looking to bounce-back after losing their last two games of the season without Allen. They take the field again for the first time since their 20-17 loss at San Jose State as an 18-point favorite — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss. This team has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a loss to a conference rival — and they have covered the point spread in 3 straight games after an upset loss as a road favorite. Additionally, they have covered the point spread in 3 straight games when playing with at least two weeks to prepare under head coach Craig Bohl. Wyoming has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after the first month of the season. In their last 11 games against teams with a winning record, the Cowboys have covered the point spread in 8 of these contests. And in their last 5 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, Wyoming has covered the point spread 4 times. Additionally, the Cowboys will enjoy both a geographical edge as well as an environment edge as they are already quite familiar with playing in the high altitude conditions that will be the case in Boise for this Bowl game.

Central Michigan (8-4) closed out the regular season with five straight victories with their 31-24 upset victory over Northern Illinois as a 2.5-point underdog. The Chippewas pulled off five upsets this season while winning all four of their games decided by one scoring possession. The team is led on offense by quarterback Shane Morris who was a graduate transfer from Michigan. Some pundits have queried about how good the Wolverines would have been if Morris would have stayed in Ann Arbor after he threw 26 touchdown passes this season. Those observers fail to realize that the southpaw was low on Jim Harbaugh’s depth chart for a reason. Putting up solid numbers against MAC competition when given the opportunity to pass the ball at least 35 times is not uncommon. But Morris’ 55% completion rate this season as well as his 13 interceptions (a big no-no for Harbaugh) that he put up this season are big reasons for concern when facing a quality defense. Central Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games outside the MAC. And while the Chippewas have played five straight Overs, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing at least five straight games that finished Over the Total. 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Game of the Year with the Wyoming Cowboys (220) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (219). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Ohio Bobcats (218) minus the points versus the UAB Blazers (217) in the Bahamas Bowl. Ohio (8-4) enters this game looking to get the bad taste out of their mouth of two straight upset losses in Mid-American Conference play that ruined their opportunity to play in the MAC Championship Game. The Bobcats were riding high after they upset Toledo by a 38-10 score despite being a 3-point underdog. But Ohio fell flat the next week in a 37-34 loss at Akron despite being a 15.5-point favorite which put the Zips in the drivers seat to win the MAC East Division. The Bobcats then followed that up with a 31-24 upset loss at Buffalo in what was essentially a meaningless game. This one of the better football teams that head coach Frank Solich has had at Ohio in his 13 seasons with the program. Solich’s teams are usually solid on defense but what makes this team different is how dynamic they are on offense. The Bobcats found their answer at quarterback in Week 2 of the season with junior college transfer Nathan Rourke. The dual threat sophomore passed for over 2000 yards with a 15:7 touchdown-to-interception ration while adding another 877 rushing yards and 21 TDs on the ground. He led an offense that ranked 14th in the FBS by averaging 38.9 PPG while generating 430.9 total YPG which was 39th in the nation. Look for Ohio to come out with an inspired effort as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. Turnovers has hurt this team as of late as they have lost the turnover battle in their last three games while suffering a -2 net turnover margin in their last two losses. But the Bobcats have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after losing the turnover battle in at least three straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after enduring a -2 or worse net turnover margin in two straight games. Additionally, Ohio has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games played in the month of December, the Bobcats have covered the point spread in 6 of these contests. Furthermore, Ohio has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games outside MAC play. They have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played on a neutral field. And while some may cite Solich’s 4-9 bowl record overall, he has led his Bobcats teams to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 Bowl game opportunities.

UAB (8-4) enters this bowl game coming off a 28-7 win over UTEP back on November 25th. The Blazers held the Miners to just 107 passing yards in that game — but they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards in their last game. UAB has also failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games away from home after a win over a conference rival. The Blazers have been one of the biggest surprises in College Football this season with head coach Bill Clark doing an outstanding job with this program that disbanded after the 2014-15 season. Many pundits thought that UAB should have transitioned into the FCS rather than dive into FBS competition — but Clark and his team decided intrude to pull off five upsets (three net upsets on the season) to reach eight wins and earn the right to compete in this bowl game. But this is also a football team that benefited from a very soft schedule that ranked 179th in the nation in the Sagarin rankings as compared to Ohio ranking 114th by those formulas. The Blazers will likely be dominated on both lines of scrimmage in this game. And the trip to the Bahamas may provide a distraction for this team that has already far exceeded preseason expectations. Lastly, UAB has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played on grass. 10* CFB Friday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Ohio Bobcats (218) minus the points versus the UAB Blazers (217). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take Over the Total in the Bahamas Bowl between the UAB Blazers and the Ohio Bobcats. UAB (8-4) enters this Bowl game coming off their 28-7 win over UTEP back on November 25th where they held the Miners to just 107 passing yards. The Blazers have then played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. UAB has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Ohio (8-4) comes off a 31-24 loss in Buffalo on November 24th — and they have seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. The Bobcats have also played 5 straight games Over the Total in non-conference play. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports EASILY DELIVERED their 25* CFB play on Temple last night to further a 19-4-1 Football run since Saturday that has furthered a 55 of 73 (75%) Football run! Frank is a RED HOT 8 of 10 (80%) in the Bowls this postseason to further a 18 of 24 (75%) College Football mark along with a 28 of 40 (70%) CFB run — and now he RAISES THE STAKES with his 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Game of the Year for Friday afternoon! DO NOT MISS OUT!

Frank was a PERFECT 3-0 on Thursday — CA$HING WINNING TICKETS on Temple in CFB Bowl action while winning his 25* NBA play on the Chicago-Cleveland Over along with the Knicks — to further a 47 of 60 (78%) run in All-Sports over the last fourteen days along with a 82 of 113 (73%) HOT STREAK in All-Sports this month! Frank has the second Bowl Game ATS winner on Friday as well -- BANK on Frank!

At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Temple Owls (215) minus the points versus the Florida International Golden Panthers (216). Temple (6-6) closed out their season winning three of their last four games with their 43-22 win at Tulsa as a 4.5-point favorite. The Owls should build off their momentum closing out the regular season as they have covered the pint spread in 7 of their last 9 games are a win by at least 20 points — and they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a point spread victory. The offense has raised its level of play over their last five games when first-year head coach Geoff Collins inserted QB Frankie Nutile into the starting lineup. The junior completed 20 of 28 passes for 262 yards and three touchdown passes. Futile is completing 61% of his passes while possessing an 11 to 7 touchdown-to-interception ration while leading his team to score 31.8 PPG in his five starts. In their last three wins, the Owls have combined to score 112 combined points. Temple generated 451 yards of offense against Tulsa — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after generating at least 450 yards in their last game. The Owls have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. This should be a motivated group of players with 20 seniors and 24 juniors on the opening roster who will be looking to deliver a victory in a bowl game after experiencing upset losses in the last two seasons in their bowl game. Temple has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. The Owls have also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games when playing on field turf which the field here in St. Petersburg.

Florida International (8-4) pulled off their second straight upset victory this season with their 63-45 upset win over UMass as a 2.5-point underdog back on December 2nd. That win came on the heels of their 41-17 upset win over Western Kentucky the previous Saturday as a small 2.5-point underdog in that game. First-year head coach Butch Davis led his team to an incredible six upset victories this season — but his group may suffer a rude awakening in this game. FIU ranked last in the country for FBS teams in terms of strength of schedule according to the Sagarin ratings — and they will be facing a Temple team battled tested from playing in the American Athletic Conference that rated as the top Group of Five non-power conference. It is telling that Florida International has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games outside Conference USA play. I see two particular areas where mismatches are likely. First, the Golden Panthers’ small offensive line risks being overpowered by the big defensive line of the Owls. Secondly, FIU allowed 37.4 PPG along with 467.6 total YPG in their five games away from home — and they scored only 22.4 PPG while getting outgained by -144.4 net YPG in those five road games. The Golden Panthers do have a geographical advantage with this game being played in St. Petersburg — but they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a neutral field. And in their last 5 games played in the month of December, FIU is 0-3-1 ATS. 25* CFB Temple-FIU Gasparilla Bowl Special Feature with the Temple Owls (215) minus the points versus the Florida International Golden Panthers (216). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (213) plus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (214) in the Frisco Bowl. SMU (7-5) will be a bit disorganized entering this bowl game with head coach Chad Morris leaving the program to take the Arkansas job. The players hoped that interim head coach Jeff Traylor would be offered the head coaching job — but the program offered former Louisiana Tech and Cal head coach Sonny Dykes the job. Traylor decided to leave with Morris to Arkansas to work on that staff leaving Dykes with a skeleton coaching staff for this game. Frankly, I think the impact of this turmoil to be likely overestimated — the players are being empowered to take more responsibility for the scheming for this game and they are all motivated to play well for their next head coach. But, I don’t like the situation for the Mustangs outside this relative chaos. SMU snapped their three-game losing streak in their last game back on November 25th after their 41-38 win over Tulane as a 7-point favorite. But the Mustangs have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, SMU has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a close win against a conference rival by 3 points or less — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a win by a field goal or less at home. And while the Mustangs have only covered the point spread once in their last seven games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least four of their last five games. If there is an impact on SMU given the changes in the coaching staff, it will likely be on defense as Dykes’ teams have always been high-scoring teams that lagged on defense. The Mustangs rank 121st in the FBS by allowing 486.7 total YPG — and when SMU is playing away from home, they allowed 548.6 total YPG. They have allowed at least 31 points in five straight games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 31 points in their last game.

Louisiana Tech (6-6) has won two straight games to become bowl eligible after their 20-6 win over UTSA as a pick ‘em back on November 25th. The Bulldogs have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. Louisiana Tech has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win at home against a conference rival — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a double-digit win against a conference rival. The Bulldogs could have had a better record this season but suffered three net close losses decided by one scoring possession. They did play well away from as they were 4-1 on there road with an averaging winning margin of +6.8 net PPG. Louisiana Tech has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points. 10* CFB Louisiana Tech-SMU Frisco Bowl Special with the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (213) plus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (214). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Akron Zips (211) plus the points versus the Florida Atlantic Owls (212). Florida Atlantic (10-3) has won nine straight games after winning the Conference USA Championship Game with their 41-17 win over North Texas by a 11-point spread. The Owls were looking to travel for their bowl game and perhaps flex their muscles against a Power Five conference team with a national reputation. But instead, they are staying at home to face a middling team from the Mid-American Conference while being installed as the biggest point spread favorite in a bowl game in the last 20 years. I expect this team to be very flat in this game that really does not mean much to them at this point of the season. Reports suggest that practices have been flat — and that is not a good sign for a head coach in Lane Kiffin who has never led any of college football teams to a bowl victory. And while FAU became a favorite with the betting public by putting up a lot of points, they faced a schedule ranked just 111th in the nation according to the Sagarin rankings. In this situation, home field may not offer much of an advantage since it will play into their complacency. As it is, the Owls have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games on their home field. And while FAU committed only one turnover against the Mean Green, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 home games after not committing  more than one turnover in their last game. The Owls have also failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 39 home games after playing a game against a conference opponent. Furthermore, FAU has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams outside Conference USA.

10* CFB play on Akron plus the points versus Akron. Best of luck  for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (211) and the Florida Atlantic Owns (212) in the Boca Raton Bowl. Akron (7-6) looks to bounce-back from their 45-28 loss to Toledo in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game back on December 2nd as a 20.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 26 of their last 36 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Akron has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Zips have also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And while Akron allowed 561 total yards to the Rockets, they have then played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game. The Zips have played better defense over the second half of the season and it was that unit that stepped up to help them upset Ohio and win the MAC East title. Akron has played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total. And in their last 4 games against teams outside the MAC, they have played all 4 games Under the Total.

Florida Atlantic (10-3) won the Conference USA Championship Game on December 2nd with their 41-17 win over North Texas. The Owls passed for 352 yards in that game en route to 633 yards of offense against the Mean Green. But Florida Atlantic has then played 21 of their last 29 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Owls have played 6 straight games Under the Total in the month of December. And this game will be played on FAU’s home field — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 117-40 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (211) and the Florida Atlantic Owns (212) in the Boca Raton Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Marshall Thundering Herd (207) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (208). Marshall (7-5) limps into this bowl game having lost two straight games — as well as four of their last five contests — with their 28-27 upset loss to Southern Mississippi as a 2-point favorite back on November 25th. Expect 8th year head coach Doc Holliday to have his team ready to play in this bowl game with the opportunity to end their season on a high note after this disappointing second half of the season. The Thundering Herd have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games when playing on the road after a point spread setback. This team plays outstanding defense with a unit that returned seven starters and was infused with five impactful transfers in the offseason. Marshall ranked 17th in the nation by allowing 19.3 PPG — and they 25th in the FBS by holding teams to just 337.7 total YPG. This stout defense should keep them competitive as they outscored their six opponents when they played away from home by +5.4 PPG while outgaining these foes by +28.4 net YPG. This Marshall team also holds a significant edge in Special Teams for this contest. The Thundering Herd are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games against non-conference opponents. And Holliday has led his team to a perfect 4-0 record in his tenure in bowl games — and this team has covered the point spread in 5 straight bowl appearances.

Colorado State (7-5) also suffered a disappointing second-half of the season s they have lost three of their last four games while failing to cover the point spread in six straight contests (Jagermeister helped with the deletion of the brain cells regarding their game with Boise State where we were winning by two touchdowns as an underdog with just 1:41 left and then … blank). The Rams did rebound in their last regular season game to blowout a bad San Jose State team by a 42-14 score as a 32.5-point favorite. But Colorado State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. Their offense generated 606 yards of offense in that contest — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Colorado State has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after playing at least two straight games against Mountain West Conference opponents. This team has not been a very team on neutral fields where they are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 bowl games — and head coach Mike Bobo has lost his first two bowl games with the program. 10* CFB Marshall-Colorado State New Mexico Bowl Special with the Marshall Thundering Herd (207) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (208). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Boise State Broncos (206) plus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (205). Oregon (7-5) enters this game coming off a big 69-10 win over Oregon State as a 26-point favorite back on November 25th. Since that game, first-year head coach jilted the program by taking his dream job at Florida State. The Ducks have since named offensive coordinator Mario Cristobal as the new head coach which is fine — and I do not see that move impacting this team in either direction for this Bowl game. However, I am troubled by the decisions of running back Royce Freeman along with offensive linemen Tyrell Crosby and Jake Pisarcik to bypass playing in this game to not risk injury and their draft status as they hope to be picked high by an NFL team in April (and this is one of the reasons why I don’t like to be too hasty in picking these bowl games). As it is, Oregon has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread win — and they are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a straight-up victory. Additionally, the Ducks have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a win by at least 20 points. And in their last 13 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game, Oregon is just 3-9-1 ATS. The Ducks do have their talented sophomore QB Justin Herbert back under center — and they were much better on offense with him the starting quarterback. Yet that is one of the reasons why they are laying around a touchdown to a solid Broncos team — and they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against non-conference opponents.

Boise State (10-3) has won eight of their last nine games after they won the Mountain West Conference Championship Game with their 17-14 win over Fresno State. The Broncos have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Boise State has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. This a dangerous underdog because they play so good on defense. The Broncos allow 22.5 PPG while ranking 23rd in the FBS by limiting opponents to just 336.7 total YPG. Quarterback Brett Rypien is playing his best football of the year to close out the season. This team has only forced one turnover in their last two games — but the Regression Gods may be taking notice as they have then covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games after failing to force more than one turnover in two straight games. And while this Boise State team has not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 18 of their last 24 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. 20* CFB Oregon-Boise State Las Vegas Bowl Special with the Boise State Broncos (206) plus the points versus the Oregon Ducks (205). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia State Panthers (203) plus the points versus the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Georgia State (6-5) has lost two straight games with their 24-10 upset loss to Idaho on December 2nd despite being a 7.5-point favorite. The Panthers should bounce-back with an inspired effort in just their second bowl game in the program’s history. The team also received a shot in the arm with sophomore wide receiver Penny Hart being upgraded to probable after dealing with a foot injury. As it is, Georgia State has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after suffering two straight losses — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 road games after losing two straight losses. Additionally, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a loss to a conference rival — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Part of what did Georgia State in against the Vandals was a -4 net turnover margin — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a game where they had at least a -3 net turnover margin. And while the Panthers offense has scored only 20 combined points in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring no more than 17 points in two straight games. Moving forward, Georgia State has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 road games played on a Saturday. They were 5-1 away from home this season. They have a good QB in senior Connor Manning who was a former Utah player before transferring. And in their last 23 games as an underdog, the Panthers have covered the point spread 14 times.

Western Kentucky (6-6) has lost five of their last six games with their 41-17 loss at Florida International back on November 24th as a 3-point favorite. The Hilltoppers may have trouble rebounding from that loss as they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, Western Kentucky has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a loss by at least 20 points. And in their last 9 games after allowing at least 40 points, the Hilltoppers are just 2-6-1 ATS. This team has seen their offensive production regress this season under first-year head coach Mike Sanford despite his previous experience as the offensive coordinator at Notre Dame. The Western Kentucky offense returned senior QB Mike White from an offense that averaged 45.5 PPG — but they saw that production drop by almost 20 PPG as they are scoring just 26.2 PPG this season. The offensive line is certainly one of the factors in this decline as they lost three NFL caliber linemen from last year’s team. This season, the Hilltoppers are averaging just 2.1 Yards-Per-Carry while allowing 41 sacks. The lack of a credible rushing attack is a concern for this game: Western Kentucky is 129th in the FBS by averaging just 66.1 rushing YPG. The Hilltoppers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the Sun Belt Conference. Lastly, Western Kentucky has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games as the favorite. 10* CFB Georgia State-Western Kentucky Cure Bowl Special with the Georgia State Panthers (203) plus the points versus the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (203) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Western Kentucky (6-6) limps into this game having lost five of their last six games after suffering a 41-17 loss at Florida International on November 24th as a field goal favorite. The Hilltoppers have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Western Kentucky has also played 3 straight Unders after suffering an upset loss by at least 17 points. The Hilltoppers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. This team has seen their offensive production regress this season under first-year head coach Mike Sanford despite his previous experience as the offensive coordinator at Notre Dame. The Western Kentucky offense returned senior QB Mike White from an offense that averaged 45.5 PPG — but they saw that production drop by almost 20 PPG as they are scoring just 26.2 PPG this season. Furthermore, the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games against Sun Belt Conference opponents.

Georgia State (6-5) has lost two straight games after their 24-10 loss to Idaho as a 7.5-point favorite back on December 2nd. The Panthers have then played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Georgia State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring 20 points or less in their last game. Offense is certainly an issue for this team as they ranked 118th in the FBS by scoring just 19.7 PPG — and they also ranked just 86th in the nation by averaging 385.2 total YPG. Moving forward, the Panthers have played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total in the second-half of the season. Georgia State has also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total with the number set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. And in their last 5 games against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference, the Panthers have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 73-17-1 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (203) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Texas Mean Green (201) plus the points versus Troy Trojans (202) in the New Orleans Bowl. North Texas (9-4) saw their five-game winning streak snapped in the Conference USA Championship Game in a rough 41-17 loss at Florida Atlantic in December 2nd as an 11-point underdog. Look for the Mean Green to be motivated to redeem themselves from that bad effort and secure a ten-win season for the football program. North Texas has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. And while the Mean Green went into the locker room with a 27-0 half time deficit, they have then covered the point spread 10 of their last 12 games on the road after trailing by at least 24 points at the half in their last game. Additionally, North Texas has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. The Mean Green did surrender 352 yards of offense to the Owls in that last loss — but they have then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games after allowing at least 325 passing yards in their last contest. North Texas likely has the edge at QB with Mason Fine who completed 64% of his passes while passing 28 touchdown passes to just 13 interceptions. He led his offense to 437 yards against FAU — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Mean Green has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against non-conference opponents.

Troy (10-2) has won six straight games which helped them tie for first place in the Sun Belt Conference after a 32-25 win at Arkansas State as a 1-point favorite. Frankly, the Trojans were outplayed by the Red Wolves as they lost the first down battle by a 32-14 margin while getting outgained by a horrendous 606 to 293 margin. Three interceptions — one returned for a 100-yard touchdown to create a 14-point swing — contributed to a +2 net turnover margin. Troy also returned a 99-yard kickoff return for a touchdown to help overcome getting clobbered at the line of scrimmage. Most metrics give the edge to North Texas in the Special Teams Department for this game — so it is unlikely that the Trojans will benefit from Special Teams in this contest. The Trojans are the public team in this game with their high profile win over LSU this season. They also have a defense that ranked 11th in the FBS by allowing 17.5 PPG. But this team is riddled with injuries with safety Kris Weatherspoon and cornerback Blake Brown both out for this game. QB Brandon Silvers will also be without one of his best weapons in wide receiver Emanuel Thompson. Silvers seemed to regress this season as he tossed only 13 touchdown passes as compared to 23 TD passes last season. Troy has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. The Trojans have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against non-conference opponents. 20* CFB North Texas-Troy New Orleans Bowl Special with the North Texas Mean Green (201) plus the points versus Troy Trojans (202) in the New Orleans Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Navy Midshipmen (104) minus the points versus the Army West Point Black Knights (103). Navy (6-5) saw their fourteen-game winning streak in this series snapped last year with their 21-17 loss to Army despite being a 6-point favorite. We had the Black Knights in this game last year — but we will take the Midshipmen to earn their revenge on Saturday. Navy has lost five of their last six games which may scare off some bettors — but this was during a tough stretch of games in the American Athletic Conference. The Midshipmen lost their games to Memphis, Houston, Central Florida, Temple as well as their non-conference tilt with Notre Dame while defeating SMU. What all those teams have in common is that they earned the right to play in a bowl game. Navy has also defeated Tulane who beat these Black Knights two weeks later. The Midshipmen also defeated Lane Kiffin’s Florida Atlantic team before the betting public fell in love with that team. Despite their 6-5 record against a challenging schedule, Navy outgained their opponents by +38.8 net YPG. The Midshipmen take the field again looking to bounce-back from their 24-17 loss at Houston as a 6.5-point underdog. Navy is then 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread loss. The Midshipmen have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after failing to score more than 20 points. Navy has struggled on offense as they have scored only 31 combined points over their last two games. But the Midshipmen have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games after failing to score more than 17 points in two straight games. Navy has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 road games after losing three of their last four games. The extra time off should five junior QB Zach Abbey more time to recover from a concussion he suffered late in the season — although he did play against the Cougars. Head coach Ken Niumatalolu has also used slot receiver Malcolm Perry under center which gives his team more options to move the ball. Turnovers have been an issue at times for this team but they have only committed one turnover in each of their last two games. The Midshipmen have covered the point spread in 40 of their last 56 road games after not committing more than one turnover in at least two straight games. Furthermore, Navy is 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record this season.

Army (8-3) enters this rivalry game coming off their 52-49 win a North Texas back on November 18th. That loss snapped the Black Knights’ six-game winning streak — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up loss. Army has also failed to cover then point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Additionally, the Black Knights have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after winning two of their last three games. And in their last 49 games after a bye week, Army has failed to cover the point spread 35 times. A weakness for this team is their utter lack of a passing attack as they rank 129th in the nation by averaging just 30.5 passing YPG. While both these teams run spread triple options, Navy has more a credible passing attack to account for as they average nearly three times as many passing YPG with 91.2 passing YPG. Lastly, the Black Knights are only outgaining their opponents by +12.4 YPG away from home which is far below the +29.1 net YPG average for Navy when on the road. Take the more battle-tested team playing with revenge on their minds a year after Army finally toppled their arch rival in their most important game of the season. 25* CFB CBS-TV Game of the Year with the Navy Midshipmen (104) minus the points versus the Army West Point Black Knights (103). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (103) and the Navy Midshipmen (104). Army (8-3) saw their six-game winning streak snapped in their last game back on November 18th in their 52-49 loss at North Texas. The Black Knights have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Army has also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. The Black Knights did allow 386 passing yards in that game — but they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Army does have a strong defense as they ranked 30th in the FBS by allowing only 21.6 PPG. Their fundamentally sound defense has helped them see the Under go 34-16-1 in their last 51 games against teams with a winning record. The Black Knights have also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog.

Navy (6-5) takes the field again for the first time since November 24th after their 24-17 loss at Houston as a 6.5-point underdog. The Midshipmen have then played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played a decisive 36 of their last 53 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. These two teams have played thirteen of their last sixteen games Under the Total — but relying on those team trends along would be Fool’s Gold. The inner truth that that trend exposes is that the defenses have the advantage in this matchup when considering that both units practice against a spread triple option all the time since their offense deploys that scheme. Both these teams often enjoy an advantage over their opponent during the regular season as they are unfamiliar with defending this unique offensive style. I don’t think the number has adjusted enough given the fact that no more than 41 combined points have been scored in this rivalry game in each of the last five seasons. Navy has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Midshipmen have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams outside the American Athletic Conference. And in their last 22 games played on a neutral field as a favorite, Navy has played 16 of these games Under the Total. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (103) and the Navy Midshipmen (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) minus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Wisconsin (12-0) remains the last undefeated football team representing a Power Five Conference — but they have also benefited from a very favorable schedule. The Big Ten West Division is by far the weaker of the two divisions in that conference with Northwestern and Iowa being the most competitive teams to the Badgers. Wisconsin’s non-conference schedule may have appeared more of a challenge when the games were negotiated a few years ago — but in 2017, a slate of Utah State, BYU and Florida Atlantic was not nearly as difficult as it might have appeared even during the summer with Lane Kiffin’s Owls now considered the best team of that trio (by far). So while the Badgers have the second best scoring defense in the nation while allowing the least YPG (236.9 total YPG) in the entire FBS, this light strength of schedule should provide context to those numbers. This will be by far the most powerful offense that Wisconsin has faced all season. They returned seven starters on defense from a group that lost by a 30-23 score on their home field last season to the Buckeyes while giving up 411 yards of offense. Now this Championship Game will be played on a neutral field at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis — and the Badgers have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games played on a neutral field. Wisconsin enters this game coming off a 31-0 shutout win at Minnesota last Saturday in a game where they went into halftime with a 17-0 lead. But the Badgers have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a win by at least four touchdowns — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after leading by at least 17 points at halftime of their last game. QB Alex Hornibrook did not throw an interception in that game which was the first time that did not happen in eight contests. The sophomore’s 13 interceptions this season is a significant concern for this team. Hornibrook did lead an offense that averaged 7.6 Yards-Per-Play in that game against the Gophers — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 6.75 YPP in their last game.

Ohio State (10-2) kept their National Championship hopes alive last week by defeating Michigan in Ann Arbor by a 31-20 score. The Buckeyes have won three straight games after their ugly loss at Iowa — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after winning three of their last out games. Senior QB J.T. Barrett will be available to play in this game after he suffered a freak knee injury before their game with the Wolverines which required minor surgery this week. If Barrett cannot go, I do have confidence in freshman Dwayne Haskins. Did you see this guy last week? Haskins competed 6 of his 7 passes for 94 yards while adding another 101 yards with a touchdown on 15 carries running the football against a stout Michigan defense that is probably better than this Badgers group (the Wolverines slightly inferior numbers have been against much better competition). Ohio State entered this season as one of the most talented teams in the nation. They have been the victim of their own mistakes too often than not. But like they overwhelmed Michigan State and dominated Penn State to pull off a miracle comeback after their mistakes put them in a almost insurmountable hole, this team is very tough to beat when playing sound football. Under head coach Urban Meyer, they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games. And in their last 9 meetings with these Badgers, the Buckeyes are 6-2-1 ATS. 25* CFB Saturday Night Fox-TV Game of the Year with the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) minus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) and the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Wisconsin (12-0) has the best statistical defense in the entire FBS. The Badgers have the best total defense in the nation by allowing only 236.9 total YPG — and they are 2nd in the nation by giving up only 12.0 PPG. What is impressive about this unit is that they are balanced. Wisconsin ranks 2nd in the nation against the pass (156.4 passing YPG) while topping the nation by allowing only 80.5 rushing YPG. The Badgers enter this game coming off a 31-0 shutout win at Minnesota as an 18.5-point favorite in a game where they held the Golden Gophers to just 133 yards of offense. Wisconsin has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and the Under is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games are a win by at least 20 points. Additionally, the Badgers have played 15 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after double-digit win on the road. Furthermore, Wisconsin has not allowed more than 234 yards of offense in three straight games — and they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in two straight games.

10* play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (325) and the Clemson Tigers (326). Clemson (11-1) is the new number one team in the nation with their 34-10 win at South Carolina last Saturday. The Tigers defense has risen their play to another level as they have not allowed more than 14 points in their last three games. Clemson has then played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 17 points in three straight games. The Tigers crushed the Citadel in their previous game by a 61-3 margin — and they have then played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after winning at least two straight games by at least three touchdowns. Additionally, Clemson has played 8 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

10* CFB play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (325) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (326). Miami (10-1) suffered their first loss of the season last week in their 24-14 upset loss at Pittsburgh as a 12-point favorite. We had the Panthers in that game as we expected the Hurricanes to struggle in the cold weather up north. This Miami team tends to play up-and-down to their competition — which might be very bad news for the current number one team in the nation. Remember that the Hurricanes defeated Virginia Tech, Notre Dame and at Florida State by a combined score of 93-38. And while Miami is dealing with injuries on offense, they still have their junior QB Malik Rosier along with their stifling defensive front seven. Look for Mark Richt’s team to bounce-back with a very good effort. They have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss on the road. Additionally, the Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points.

10* CFB play on Miami plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 7:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (323) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (324). Boise State (9-3) has the rare opportunity to extract immediate revenge an opponent as they host a Fresno State team that defeated them last week by a 28-17 score. That was a strange circumstance as this Mountain West Conference Championship Game was locked-in with only the location of the contest being in doubt. The MWC determines first place based off a mathematical algorithm which deemed Boise State the top team in the league after crunching all the conference results last week. It might be tempting for many bettors to take the Broncos in this revenge situation with them now hosting this rematch — but I am not sure if last week’s game really qualifies since both teams were likely holding some tricks under their sleeve. Furthermore, Boise State has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games on their blue field at home. And the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, Boise State has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games in the month of December, the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

Fresno State (9-3) has an outstanding defense that should keep travel and keep them competitive in this rematch. The Bulldogs are 12th in the nation by allowing 17.3 PPG while ranking 16th in the FBS by giving up just 315.3 total YPG. Look for Fresno State to build off their momentum from last week as they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games on the road, Fresno State is 5-0-1 ATS. 10* CFB Fresno State-Boise State ESPN Special with the Fresno State Bulldogs (323) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (324). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (322) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (321). Auburn (10-2) registered one of their biggest wins in school history last Saturday with their 26-14 upset win over a previously undefeated Alabama team as a 6-point underdog. This Tigers team will be hard pressed to not suffer an emotional letdown now after that huge accomplishment. Even worse, they will be playing a Georgia team that they crushed less than a month ago in their 40-17 drubbing of the Bulldogs. We had the Tigers as the small 2.5-point underdog in that contest (our SEC Game of the Year) so those were great results for us — and that result also set up this outstanding situation in the rematch. It is human nature for teams to lack just a little bit of edge after their intense game with Alabama when now facing a team that you just easily handled. And as it is, Auburn has failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after an upset victory as a home under. But the effort from that game may take a toll against this fired-up Georgia team. Running back Kerryon Johnson ran the ball 30 times for 104 yards against the tough Alabama defense which is a lot of work. Furthermore, both the Tigers’ wins against Georgia and Alabama were at home. This game will be played on a neutral field in Atlanta in the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Both of Auburn’s losses were away from home this season — and they average almost 55 YPG (415.6 YPG) below their season average (470.2 total YPG) when playing on the road.

Georgia (11-1) has that rare opportunity for both revenge and redemption all in one-swoop while most likely earning the right to play for a National Championship with a victory in this contest. The Bulldogs did not suffer from possibly seeing their bubble burst two weeks ago as they throttled their in-state rival Georgia Tech by a 38-7 score last week. Georgia has then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Bulldogs are led by two dynamic running backs in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel who helped Georgia generate 247 yards on the ground against the Yellow Jackets — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after rushing or at least 200 yards in their last game. But the strength of this team is their defense that ranks 5th in the FBS by allowing 13.8 PPG and 4th in the nation by allowing only 271.9 total YPG. Since that bad loss to Auburn, Georgia has allowed only 20 points in their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 road games after not allowing more than 14 points in at least two straight contests. The Bulldogs should have a geographical advantage with this game being played in downtown Atlanta — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when played on a neutral field. Georgia has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the month of December. And in their last 7 games against Auburn despite their loss to them last month, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 5 of these games. 25* CFB Conference Championships Game of the Year with the Georgia Bulldogs (322) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (321). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (333) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (334). TCU (10-2) looks to avenge a 38-20 loss to the Sooners back on November 11th. The Horned Frogs went into the locker room at the half throttled by a 38-14 score. And while the Sooners may have taken their foot slightly off the accelerator in the second half of that contest, lets take note of the fact that TCU held that powerful Oklahoma offense scoreless in the second-half. Head coach Gary Patterson is a defensive guru who makes a great adjustments. In fact, his defense has allowed only six combined points after halftime in their last seven games. Overall, the Horned Frogs are holding their opponents -122 YPG below their offensive season average this season. TCU enters this game coming off their 45-22 win over Baylor as 24.5-point favorites. Senior QB Kenny Allen enjoyed a great game by completing 26 of 36 passes for 325 yards with three TDs against the Bears — so he should be full of confidence entering this game. The Horned Frogs have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. And in their last 4 games played on field turf, TCU has covered the point spread all 4 times.

Oklahoma (11-1) enters this game on fire after their 59-31 win over West Virginia as a 23-point favorite. The Sooners generated 646 yards of offense in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Defense remains an issue for this team — their opponents gained +3 yards above their season average this season. I also have lingering concerns about the inexperienced first-year head coach Lincoln Riley preparing his team for high-pressure situations like this. Lastly, the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played on a neutral field. 10* CFB TCU-Oklahoma Fox-TV Special with the TCU Horned Frogs (333) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (333) and the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Oklahoma (11-1) reached the Big 12 Championship Game with their 59-31 win over West Virginia last Saturday as a 23-point favorite. The Sooners did allow 250 rushing yards in that game to the Mountaineers — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. The formula for success for this Horned Frogs team will be to run the football to move the chains and burn time off the clock to keep Baker Mayfield and this powerful Oklahoma offense off the field. The Sooners have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Oklahoma has also played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total in the month of December. And with this game being played on a neutral field at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, the Sooners have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total at a neutral site.

TCU (10-2) enters the Big 12 Championship Game coming off their 45-22 win over Baylor as a 24.5-point favorite last week. The Horned Frogs have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win over a conference opponent. TCU has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Horned Frogs have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Moving forward, TCU has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 4 games against teams with a wining record, the game finished Under the Total all 4 times. Lastly, in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 74-15 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (333) and the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida International Golden Panthers (330) plus (or minus) the points versus the UMass Minutemen (329). FIU (7-4) enters this game coming off an upset victory over Western Kentucky by a 41-17 score as a 3-point underdog. The Golden Panthers have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a win by at least 20 points. FIU has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 32 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The Golden Panthers enjoyed a +3 net turnover margin against the Hilltoppers — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after a net turnover margin of +3 or higher. Now this team stays at home where they are 5-1 this season with an average winning margin of +7.3 PPG while outgaining these visitors by +73.3 YPG. FIU limits their guests to just 18.3 PPG along with only 352.2 total YPG. And while the Golden Panthers’ win over Western Kentucky just finished Over the 56.5 point Total, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their lsat 9 home games after a game that finished Over the Total.

UMass (4-7) has won four of their last five games after their 16-10 upset win at BYY two weeks ago as a 3.5-point underdog. But the Minutemen have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a game where less than 30 combined points were scored. And while UMass held the Cougars to just 42 rushing yards in their last game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing no more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. Many pundits consider this team underrated given a host of close losses they endured earlier in the season. But the Minutemen have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, in their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 52.5 to 56 point range, UMass has failed to cover the point spread 6 times. 10* CFB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Florida International Golden Panthers (330) plus (or minus) the points versus the UMass Minutemen (329). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (317) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (318). Central Florida (11-0) looks to win the American Athletic Conference Championship while also clinching the Group of Five slot in a New Year’s Six Bowl Game this afternoon by defeating the Tigers for a second time this season after they easily disposed of them back on September 30th by a 40-13 score. The rematch will be harder sledding for this team. I worry about distractions for this team — particularly with their head coach Scott Frost who seems likely to take the Nebraska head coaching job soon to rejoin his alma mater. The Knights come off a 49-42 win over South Florida as a 10-point favorite last Friday — but they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win. Central Florida has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. The Knights were outgained in that contest by +120 net yards to the Bulls. They surrendered  653 total yards to South Florida including a whopping 503 passing yards in that contest — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Moving forward, UCF is just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games against conference opponents, the Knights are 0-3-1 ATS.

Memphis (10-1) has won seven games in a row with their 70-13 victory over East Carolina last week as a 29.5-point favorite. The Tigers are then 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Memphis is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. And this team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Tigers have defeated five of their seven opponents by at least three touchdowns after suffering their lone loss of the season to the Knights by a 40-13 score. Four turnovers did Memphis in for that game. But with Riley Ferguson under center, the Tigers have the offensive firepower to stay competitive with this undefeated UCF team if they do not make mistakes. Lastly, Memphis has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 44-8-7 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Memphis-Central Florida ABC-TV Special with the Memphis Tigers (317) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (318). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Akron Zips (319) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (320). Toledo (10-2) is expected to roll this afternoon in the Mid-American Conference Championship after easily disposing of the Zips back on October 21st by a 48-21 score. Frankly, the Rockets were expecting to be getting a rematch against Ohio in this MAC Championship at Ford Field in Detroit but Akron ruined those plans by upsetting the Bobcats late in the season. Toledo lost to that Ohio team by a 38-10 score. Now as big favorites approaching three touchdowns, this Toledo team risks being overconfident. As it is, they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of December. The Rockets are also just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of December. Furthermore, Toledo has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games played on a neutral field with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. And while the Rockets have scored 66 and 37 points in their last two games after that loss to the Bobcats, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after scoring at least 31 points in their last two games.

Akron (7-5) has won three of their last four games after their loss to Toledo. The Zips clinched the MAC East Division Title with their 24-14 win over Kent State as a 14.5-point favorite. This team will be a dangerous underdog with no expectations in this game under the veteran head coach Terry Bowden. Akron has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a straight-up victory. The Zips have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Additionally, while Akron held the Golden Flashes to just 246 yards of offense, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing 275 or fewer yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Zips have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 9 games against conference opponents, Akron has covered the point spread 7 times. 10* CFB Akron-Toledo ESPN Special with the Akron Zips (319) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (320). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (319) and the Toledo Rockets (320). Akron (7-5) will be playing the Mid-American Championship Game as a significant underdog considering that they were blown out by the Rockets back on October 21st by a 48-21 score in a game that they managed only 333 yards of offense. Since that game, the Zips have won three of their last four games due in large measure to improved play on the defensive side of the football. They clinched the MAC East Title in their last game back on November 21st with their 24-14 in over Kent State as a 14.5-point favorite led by a defense that held the Golden Flashes to just 246 total yards. Over their last three games, Akron is allowing only 353.7 total YPG which is 67.8 YPG below their season average. The Zips have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 26 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Akron has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Zips have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The offense is an issue with redshirt freshman Kato Nelson taking over for senior Thomas Woodson who was suspended a few weeks ago for violating team rules but will be available to play in this game. Nelson completed only 6 of 20 passes for 69 yards against Kent State last week. Over their last three weeks, Akron has averaged just 302.3 total YPG. Furthermore, this game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit as a neutral site — and the Zips score only 16.7 PPG while averaging 284.7 total YPG when away from home.

Toledo (10-2) reaches the Mid-American Conference Championship Game after their 37-10 win over Western Michigan back last Friday. The Rockets have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. Toledo has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing 20 or less points in their last game. The Toledo defense flexed their muscles in that game by holding the potent Broncos offense to just 275 yards of offense. Moving forward, the Rockets have seen the Under go 23-8-1 in their last 32 games against teams with a winning record. Toledo has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 4 games played on a neutral field, the Rockets have played all 4 games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 91-26-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* College Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (319) and the Toledo Rockets (320). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the USC Trojans (304) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (303). USC (10-2) has the benefit of an extra week to prepare for the Pac-12 Championship Game as they take the field again after their 28-28 win over UCLA back on November 18th. The Trojans not only have a significant situational edge in facing a Cardinal team playing on a short week but they also have a huge advantage at quarterback with Sam Darnold dueling a freshman in K.J. Costello. USC is playing as good of football as they have all season having won six of their last seven games after losing at Washington State. The Trojans have covered then point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. Over their last three games, the USC offense is clicking on all cylinders by scoring 38.3 PPG while averaging 527.0 total YPG. The Trojans held the Bruins to just 80 rushing yards in their last game — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their last game. USC did allow 501 total yards against UCLA with the Bruins passing for 421 yards — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last contest. Potent passing attacks are typically the ones that give the Trojans the most trouble (with Notre Dame and their diverse rushing attack being the exception) as they rank 105th in the nation by allowing 251 passing YPG — but that is not the Stanford offensive approach. Against conference opponents, USC is allowing their opponents to complete just 56% of their passes while averaging only 3.5 Yards-Per-Carry. Furthermore, the Trojans have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games when listed in the 3.5 to 10-point range. 

Stanford (9-3) will be playing on a short week after they pulled the upset last Saturday at home with their 38-20 win over Notre Dame as a 3-point underdog. The Cardinal has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Stanford is also 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up win. The Cardinal did defeat the Irish despite gaining only 328 yards of offense and getting outgained by -87 net yards. Stanford’s +3 net turnover margin was the difference in that contest. But now this team goes on the road to the neutral field of Levi Stadium in Santa Clara — and the Cardinal is getting outgained away from home by -59.7 net YPG. In Pac-12 play, Stanford is getting outgained by -21 YPG. In comparison, USC is outgaining their conference opponents by +93 YPG. Lastly, USC needs as many style points as they can muster to hold out hope that if a bunch of crazy things happen tomorrow, then perhaps they can sneak into the four-team College Playoff. The Trojans will be very anxious to win this game by as many points as possible — so don’t expect them taking the foot of the proverbial gas pedal. 20* CFB Stanford-USC ESPN Special with the USC Trojans (304) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (303). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (303) and the USC Trojans (304). Stanford (9-3) enters this game after their 38-20 upset win over Notre Dame as a 3-point underdog last Saturday. The Cardinal won that game despite gaining only 328 total yards — they benefited from a +3 net turnover margin in that game. Stanford has then played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Cardinal has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow Pac-12 opponents. Now this team looks to avenge their 42-24 loss to the Trojans back on September 9th where they allowed a whopping 623 yards of offense. Expect David Shaw to have his defense play much better in this rematch. Over their last three games, Stanford is allowing only 18.7 PPG along with 359.0 total YPG which is over 30 YPG better than their seasonal average. But on offense, the Cardinal generates only 323.3 total YPG which is more than 70 YPG below their seasonal average. Moving forward, the Cardinal has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

10* CFB Friday Discounted Deal with Under the Total. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (195) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (196). Notre Dame (9-2) enters this rivalry game coming off their 24-17 win over Navy as a 21-point favorite. The Fighting Irish have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. Notre Dame has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing 20 points  or less in their last game. Now the Irish go on the road where they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 24 road games with the Total set in the 52.5 to 56 point range. And in their last 5 trips to Palo Alto, the Fighting Irish have covered the point spread in 4 of these contests.

Stanford (8-3) enters this game coming off their 17-14 win over California last week. But the Cardinal is just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up win. Stanford has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. This Cardinal run defense is not nearly as tough as they have been in previous seasons. They are allowing Pac-12 opponents to average 5.0 Yards-Per-Carry. 10* CFB Notre Dame-Stanford ABC-TV Special with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (195) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (196). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Washington State Cougars (183) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (184). Washington State (9-2) has had an extra week of rest and preparation for the Apple Bowl after their 33-25 win at Utah back on November 11th as a 1-point favorite. A victory secures them the Pac-12 West Championship and a spot in the Pac-12 Championship Game next week — so this Washington State team should be a dangerous underdog. The Cougars have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after a point spread victory. QB Luke Falk completed 40 of his 69 passes for 311 yards and three TD passes against the Utes. Washington State has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 30 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Falk has always made his team a dangerous underdog with his ability to move the ball with his arm. The Cougars have covered then point spread in 11 of their last 15 games as an underdog — and this includes covering the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games when getting the points. Furthermore, Washington State has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Washington (9-2) enters this rivalry game coming off their 33-30 win over Utah last Saturday. The Huskies have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after win by a field goal or less against a conference rival. Washington has also failed to cover the point spread in 42 of their last 67 situations where these conditions applied. The Huskies can only play the role of spoiler in this game as their potential victory here opens the door for Stanford rather than the Cougars to play USC for the Pac-12 Championship. Washington has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. 10* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with the Washington State Cougars (183) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (184). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (199) and the LSU Tigers (200). Texas A&M (7-4) will be playing one for their head coach Kevin Sumlin who has been reported by the Houston Chronicle earlier this week that he will be relieved of his coaching duties win or loss after this game. Expect the Aggies to play hard — particularly on defense — in this contest. Texas A&M comes off a 31-24 victory at Ole Miss last week as a 2.5-point favorite. The Aggies have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Texas A&M has played 6 straight games Under the Total after a close victory by 7 points or less against a conference rival. Now the Aggies stay on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total — and this includes playing 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home.

LSU (8-3) once again boasts a stout defense as they are holding their opponents to just 18.5 PPG along with only 314.4 total YPG which ranks 18th and 15th best in the FBS. The Tigers enter this game coming off their 30-10 win at Tennessee last week as a 17-point favorite. LSU held the Volunteers to just 287 yards of offense — but they managed only 281 yards themselves. The Under is 9-3-2 in their last 14 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 6-2-2 in the Tigers’ last 10 games are a point spread in win. The Tigers have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit win against an SEC team rival. LSU returns home to Baton Rouge where they have seen the Under go 9-3-2 in their last 14 home games — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Tigers have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total in the month of November. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 89-17-7 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB SEC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (199) and the LSU Tigers (200). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (202) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (201). Fresno State (8-3) returns home after a triumphant 13-7 win at Wyoming as a 3-point favorite. The Bulldogs are then 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread victory. This Fresno State team displayed their formula for success to pull the upset in this contest as they controlled the football for 35:32 for this contest. Now they return home where they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in all 8 contests.

Boise State (9-2) enters this game coming off their 44-19 win over Air Force last week in a game where they averaged 7.25 Yards-Per-Play. The Broncos have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 7.25 YPP. And while this Boise State has averaged 534.5 total YPG in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after averaging at least 525 YPG in their last two games. Furthermore, the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Fresno State Bulldogs (202) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (201). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Iowa State Cyclones (163) plus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (164). Kansas State (6-5) enters this game coming off a big 45-40 upset victory on the road at Oklahoma State last week as a 19.5-point underdog. The Wildcats won that game despite losing the first down battle by a 30-18 margin while being outgained by 89 yards. Expect Kansas State to suffer a letdown in this game against a feisty Cyclones team. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. Kansas State did rush for 217 yards in that game — but they are then just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. And in their last 10 home games as the favorite rather than the underdog role that head coach Bill Snyder loves to have his team embrace, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games.

Iowa State (7-4) looks to build off their 23-13 win at Baylor last week as a 7.5-point favorite. The Cyclones are then 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Iowa State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after holding their last opponent to no more than 20 points. The Cyclones have been capable road warriors who are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Iowa State is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 meetings with the Wildcats, the Cyclones are 4-1-1 ATS. Together, these team trends produce our specific 48-9-9 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Big 12 Game of the Year with the Iowa State Cyclones (163) plus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (164). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Auburn Tigers (226) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (225). Alabama (11-0) enters the Iron Bowl still undefeated with their 56-0 win over Mercer last week as a 49.5-point favorite. But the Crimson Tide have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. And this Alabama team has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last contest. This team is typically overvalued by the betting public given the great success they have enjoyed under head coach Nick Saban. But this year’s group has some flaws. Their defense is banged up a bit. And sophomore QB Jalen Hurts has not shown the ability to offer a consistent threat in their vertical passing game. This lack of diversity on offense will hurt them on the road against a quality opponent (like it did at Mississippi State). It is telling that Alabama has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, the Crimson Tide has failed to cover the point spread 4 times. Interestingly, Saban has lost all six of his games as a head coach — three with Alabama and three with LSU — when facing an Auburn that finishes the year with at least nine wins.

Auburn (9-2) enters this game coming off an easy 42-14 win over UL-Monroe last week as a 38-point favorite. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Auburn is also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while the Tigers rolled up 552 yards of offense last week, they are then 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. QB Jarrett Stidham has been outstanding over his last three games where he has 8 TD passes and just one interception while averaging over 200 passing YPG. The Tigers’ two losses this season were close games against LSU and Clemson. Auburn is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against SEC opponents. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 4 of these games. 20* CFB Alabama-Auburn CBS-TV Special with the Auburn Tigers (226) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (225). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Nevada Wolf Pack (182) minus the points versus the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (181). Nevada (2-9) has lost four of their last five games with their 42-23 loss at San Diego State last week. Now this team returns home to close out their season in a rivalry game — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Wolf Pack have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Nevada QB Ty Gangi completed 33 of his 54 passes for 414 yards and three TD passes in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after passing at least 280 yards in their last game. The Wolf Pack have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 12 games in the month of November, Nevada is 8-3-1 ATS.

UNLV (5-6) has won three of their last four games with their 38-35 upset win at Nevada last week as a 2.5-point underdog. The Runnin’ Rebels have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 15 road games after a win against a conference rival. And while UNLV has played two straight Overs, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 22 road games after playing two straight Overs. And the Rebels have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 32 games after winning two of their last three games. Now this team stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Lastly, in their last 7 trips to Reno to face Nevada, UNLV has failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Nevada Wolf Pack (182) minus the points versus the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (181). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (168) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (167). Georgia (10-1) has a date with the Alabama-Auburn winner next week regardless of the outcome of this game — but they risk looking ahead to that showdown in lieu of their in-state rival in a competition that they perhaps do not take quite as seriously as does their opponent. Facing the unique spread triple option of the Paul Johnson Yellow Jackets’ offense is not the attack to take lightly in practice during the week — and that is why many programs with big ambitions like to schedule Georgia Tech with an extra week of practice. The Bulldogs used to schedule Georgia Southern to help them prepare for this game since they used to run a similar offense — but this will be the first spread triple option attack this defense has seen all season. Georgia enters this game coming off their 42-13 win over Kentucky last week — but they are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Bulldogs held the Wildcats to just 262 yards of offense in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last game. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread 4 times.

Georgia Tech (5-5) looks to bounce-back from their 43-20 upset loss at Duke last Saturday. The Yellow Jackets have then rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a loss by at least 20 points. And while Georgia Tech allowed 500 yards to the Blue Devils, they are also 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Yellow Jackets return home where they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games. And in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record , Georgia Tech is 7-1-1 ATS. Together, these team trends produce our specific 68-17-4 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Georgia-Georgia Tech ABC-TV Special with the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (168) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (167). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Southern Methodist Mustangs (204) minus the points versus the Tulane Green Wave (203). SMU (6-5) looks to bounce-back from their 66-45 loss at Memphis last week. The Mustangs need a win after losing their last three games — but they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home. Defense is definitely a concern for this SMU team that surrendered 664 yards to the Tigers last week. The Mustangs do have the benefit of having practiced and played against another triple option team two weeks ago when they faced Navy. SMU has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record, the Mustangs have covered the point spread in 7 of these games.

Tulane (5-6) has won two straight games with their 20-17 upset win over Houston as a 9.5-point underdog. The Green Wave have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. Tulane has also failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 30 road gams after winning at least two straight games. The Green Wave allowed 220 rushing yards to the Cougars in that victory — and they are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing at least 200 yards rushing in their last game. Now Tulane goes back on the road where they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. 10* CFB Tulane-SMU CBS Sports Network Special with the Southern Methodist Mustangs (204) minus the points versus the Tulane Green Wave (203). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (153) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (154). Michigan (8-3) limps into The Game coming off a 24-10 loss at Wisconsin last week as a 6.5-point underdog. Unfortunately for the Wolverines, they lost their redshirt freshman quarterback Brandon Peters to a concussion in that game (which likely also cost them the point spread cover — and perhaps even an outright victory). Peters has not practiced this week with head coach Jim Harbaugh mum on who will be under center for his offense. The answer is likely John O’Korn despite the fact that the 5th year senior has been completely ineffective operating the passing game after he took over for the injured Wilton Spright. The fundamental problem for O’Korn is his inability to grasp the skills in reading progressions after his primary initial receiver. The book was written on O’Korn by the end of his freshman season at Houston — and it is the reason he was eventually benched his sophomore year. And despite Quarterback Camps and transferring to play for the Quarterback Whisperer in Harbaugh, O’Korn simply has not been able to develop this skill. It happens. But now defenses can cheat in coverage and in stacking the box to stop the run based off his initial movements — and this gives opposing defenses too much of an advantage because O’Korn has not shown the ability to burn them. As it is, Michigan is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. And while the Wolverines managed just 234 yards of offense against the Badgers, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards of offense. The Big House has not been much of an advantage for this team as of late either as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, the Wolverines are 0-3-1 ATS.

Ohio State (9-2) enters this game with plenty at stake with a victory ensuring them a spot in the Big Ten Championship Game against Wisconsin where a victory there will put them in a very good position to find their way into the College Football Playoff. QB J.T. Barrett cost his team with interceptions in their bad loss on the road at Iowa. Not only do I expect Barrett to play better in this rivalry game in his senior season but head coach Urban Meyer will likely emphasize running the football behind a very motivated sophomore running back Mike Weber from Detroit who spurned the Wolverines in a recruiting battle to attend Ohio State. The Buckeyes enter this game coming off their 52-14 win over Illinois last week in a game where their defense held the Illini to just 105 yards of offense. Ohio State is then 42-20-2 ATS in their last 64 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last game. The Buckeyes are also 45-24-1 ATS in their last 70 games on the road — and they are 37-15-1 ATS in their last 53 games on the road against teams with a winning record at home. Lastly, not only have the Buckeyes covered the point spread in 7 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams but they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 trips to Ann Arbor. 25* CFB Rivalry Game of the Month with the Ohio State Buckeyes (153) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (154). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (141) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (142). Texas Tech (5-6) has lost five of their last six games with their 27-3 loss to TCU last week as a 6.5-point underdog. The Red Raiders still have plenty to play for in this game as not only would a win make them bowl eligible at 6-6 (after missing bowl game last year) but it would also avenge a 45-37 loss to their arch rival Texas from last season. Texas Tech actually outgained the Horned Frogs by 38 net yards but were done in by fumbling the ball on their 1-yard line that TCU scooped and landed in the end-zone helped turn the tide the other way. The Red Raiders are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games after a double-digit loss at home. Texas Tech is also 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games after scoring at least 20 points in their last game. The defense did allow 204 rushing yards to the Horned Frogs — but they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. And in their last 13 games in the month of November, Texas Tech has covered the point spread 9 times.

Texas (6-5) comes off a 28-14 upset win at West Virginia last Saturday as a 3-point underdog. But now officially bowl eligible, this team might suffer a bit of a letdown when facing this team they earned one of their five wins against last season. The Longhorns are not as comfortable as of late as the favorite either as they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 home games when laying 7.5 to 10 points. Additionally, Texas has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of November. And in their last 4 games played on a Friday night, the Longhorns have failed to cover the point spread in all 4 contests. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-37-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with the Texas Tech Red Raiders (141) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (142). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Cavaliers (120) plus the points versus the Virginia Tech Hokies (119). Virginia Tech (8-3) survived a 20-14 win over Pittsburgh last week despite seeing the Panthers on their 1-yard line with a first down late in that game before their defense stepped up to save that game. The Hokies defense surrendered 311 yards to a freshman QB in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Now this game goes on the road where their defense is allowing an uncharactertic 409.4 total YPG for a defense coached by coordinator Bud Carson. Virginia Tech has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Moving forward, the Hokies have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow ACC opponents. And in their last 8 games in the month of November, Virginia Tech has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these contests. 

10* CFB play on Virginia plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the South Florida Bulls (137) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (138). Central Florida (10-0) remained unbeaten last week with their 45-19 win in Temple — but the game could have been much closer than what that final score suggests. The Knights benefited from a +5 net turnover margin to easily overcome actually being outgained by the Owls in that game. Central Florida carries with them the pressure of not only staying undefeated but the risk of significant disappointment of not even reaching the American Athletic Conference Championship Game with a loss to this dangerous Bulls team. As it is, the Knights are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. And while Central Florida has scored at least 31 points in all ten of their games this season, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10g ames after scoring at least 31 points in at least five straight games. Additionally, the Knights are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, Central Florida has failed to cover the point spread 4 times.

South Florida (9-1) has the advantage of two extra days of rest and preparation for this game as they come off a 27-20 win over Tulsa last Thursday. The Bulls have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 home games after a win at home. And while South Florida enjoyed a 24-17 halftime lead against the Golden Hurricanes, they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after scoring at least 24 points in the first-half of their last game. The Bulls are undefeated on the road where they have outscored their home hosts by +18.3 PPG while outgaining them by +172.3 net YPG — so they will be a very tough out for the Knights this afternoon. South Florida has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games against conference opponents. The Bulls have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 9 games on the month of November, South Florida has covered the point spread 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 61-27-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB South Florida-Central Florida ABC-TV Special with the South Florida Bulls (137) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (138). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Arkansas Razorbacks (126) plus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (125). Arkansas (4-7) will likely be playing their last game for head coach Bret Bielema who may be relieved of his coaching duties with the program after another disappointing season. Bielema is popular with his players so they should be motivated to play well for their coach on the hot seat. The Razorbacks will also have revenge on their mind against this Mizzou team against which they blew a late 4th quarter lead in a 28-24 loss last November 25th. Arkansas enters this game coming off a 28-21 loss to Mississippi State last week — but they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. The Razorbacks only rushed for only 97 yards in that loss to the Bulldogs — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Furthermore, Arkansas has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Missouri (6-5) has won five games in a row with their 45-17 win at Vanderbilt last week. But the Tigers have then failed to over the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win. Mizzou has also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. Now the Tigers go back on the road where they are being outgained by -11.5 net YPG this season. Missouri has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games on the road. The Tigers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 10 points. 10* CFB Missouri-Arkansas CBS-TV Special with the Arkansas Razorbacks (126) plus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (125). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Ohio Bobcats (123) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls (124). Ohio (8-3) controlled their own destiny to win the MAC East Division title — but that all went away with their 37-34 upset loss at Akron last week. The Zips then went on to clinch the East with a victory on Tuesday — so this Bobcats team will be playing for pride and for positioning for a bowl game next month. But look for Frank Solich’s team to rebound with a strong effort to close out their Mid-American Conference schedule. Ohio has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight road games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. The Bobcats had covered the point spread in their three previous games before their upset loss last week — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. Additionally, the Bobcats have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 10 points.

Buffalo (5-6) enters this game coming off their 40-24 win at Ball State as a 17.5-point favorite last week. The Bulls have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a double-digit victory over a conference rival. Buffalo did average 8.43 Yards-Per-Play in their victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after averaging at least 7.25 YPP in their last game. Lastly, Buffalo has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games played in the month of November. 10* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster on the Ohio Bobcats (123) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls (124). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Pittsburgh Panthers (132) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (131). Miami (FL) (10-0) cannot afford to lose a game or risk losing their spot in the College Playoffs. A loss in this game to a 4-7 Pitt team would like keep the Hurricanes out of the Top Four even if they were to move on to defeat Clemson in the ACC Championship Game. This will be the first game that this Miami team will have played in mild weather since playing in Chapel Hill just before Halloween — and that was just a 5-point win against a struggling North Carolina team. The Hurricanes have since enjoyed a favorable schedule with all three of their games at home. Unfortunately for Mark Richt’s team, they tend to play down to the level of competition. Besides that narrow win over the Tar Heels, Miami only defeated Syracuse by 8 points while winning in the final moments against both Florida State and Georgia Tech. Even in their 44-28 win over Virginia last week, they were outgained by 81 yards and needed a 30-yard interception returned for a touchdown to help them overcome two separate 14-point deficits. The Miami run defense has not allowed more than 109 yards in three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 40 of their last 63 games after not allowing more than 125 yards in their last contest. Furthermore, the Hurricanes are actually being outgained on the road by -7.3 net YPG which makes them precarious double-digit road favorites now. Additionally, Miami (FL) has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against ACC opponents.

Pittsburgh (4-7) has lost two straight games by just 3 and 6 points in their last two games with their 20-14 loss at Virginia Tech as a 14-point underdog last week. Pitt almost pulled the upset in that game as they had 1st-and-Goal at the 1-yard line late in that game but failed to reach the end zone. The Panthers have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing two straight games to conference rivals by 7 points or less. Freshman QB Kenny Pickett had a good showing for himself against a tough Bud Foster-coached defense as he completed 15 of 23 passes for 242 yards in the effort. Overall, the Panthers passed for 311 yards in that game — and they are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Lastly, Pitt is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. 10* CFB Miami (FL)-Pittsburgh ABC-TV Special with the Pittsburgh Panthers (132) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (131). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Northern Illinois Huskies (121) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (122). Northern Illinois (8-3) still has an outside chance to win the MAC West title and play in next Friday’s Mid-American Conference Championship Game with a victory in this game along with a loss by Toledo in their game concurrently going on with Western Michigan. The Huskies have won two straight games since their loss to the Rockets after their 35-31 win over Western Michigan as an 8.5-point favorite. Northern Illinois has then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The Huskies rushed for 248 yards in that victory — and they are then 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Northern Illinois averages 191.8 rushing YPG — and they should have success running the football against this Chippewas defense that ranks 98th in the FBS by allowing 195.5 rushing YPG. Ground games travel which is one of the reasons why Northern Illinois is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Huskies have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 road games when favored by 3 points or less. And in their last 21 games in the month of November, Northern Illinois is 14-6-1 ATS.

Central Michigan (7-4) looks to build off their 42-23 win at Kent State last week as a 17-point favorite. QB Shane Morris completed 14 of 22 passes for 297 yards in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. But the Chippewas were outgained by 44 yards in that victory due to giving up 320 passing yards to the lowly Golden Flashes — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Despite their 7-4 record, Central Michigan is only outgaining their opponents by +3.4 net YPG. The Chippewas were fortunate to win all three of their games decided by one scoring possession. Central Michigan has not enjoyed much of a home field advantage either as they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Lastly, the Huskies will be playing with revenge on their minds from a 34-28 loss at home to the Chippewas last season. 25* CFB Mid-American Conference Game of the Year on the Northern Illinois Huskies (121) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (122). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Mississippi Rebels (113) plus the points versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (114). Ole Miss (5-6) imposed a bowl ban on themselves to help mitigate the probable sanctions coming from the NCAA in the aftermath of the Hugh Freeze era — so this year’s Egg Bowl is their proverbial bowl game as they close out this season. The Rebels will be looking to take the bad taste out of their mouth last week where they had a 24-21 lead over Texas A&M at halftime before losing to the Aggies by a 24-21 score. Mississippi has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after scoring at least 24 points in the first half of their last game. The Rebels have also covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a loss to a conference rival. This Ole Miss team will be playing with revenge on their minds after getting upset by the Bulldogs last season by a 55-20 score despite being a 10-point favorite. This team can put up points as they rank 20th in the FBS by averaging 472.1 total YPG led by a passing attack that averages 335.8 passing YPG which is 7th in the nation. Junior QB Jordan Ta’amu has been capable since taking over under center for the injured Shea Patterson. He is averaging a robust 9.5 Yards-Per-Attempt while completing 69.5% of his passes. The Rebels have covered the point spread in expected high scoring games where the Total is set at least at 63. Mississippi has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 16 road games as an underdog getting 14.5 to 21 points.

Mississippi State (8-3) enters this game coming off a 28-21 win at Arkansas on Saturday as a 14-point favorite. The Bulldogs have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite Mississippi State has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a win over a conference rival. Additionally, the Bulldogs have failed to over the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a game on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win on the road. This team has a high profile win over LSU as well as a high-profile loss two weeks ago at home versus Alabama — but this team is also the only team Power-Five conference team with only seven opponents against fellow Power Five opponents. This Mississippi State team has played two independents (BYU and UMass) as well as a Group of Five team (Louisiana Tech) and an FCS school (Charleston Southern — so perhaps their ranking as the highest-rated three-loss team speaks more about the Playoff Committees’ desire to prop up Alabama, Georgia and Auburn. This team has failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 37 games as a favorite laying 10.5 to 21 points. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played on a Thursday night. And in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the underdog has covered the point spread in 4 of these encounters. Together, these team trends produce our specific 101-57 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Ole Miss-Mississippi State ESPN Special with the Mississippi Rebels (113) plus the points versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (114). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Miami (OH) Red Hawks (105) minus the points versus the Ball State Cardinals (106). Miami (OH) (4-7) has lost two of their last three games after their 27-24 upset loss to Eastern Michigan last Wednesday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Red Hawks have now failed to cover the point spread in three straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least three straight games. Miami (OH) now goes on the road where they are just 1-4 this season — but they are outgaining their opponents by +19.4 net YPG despite winning just once away from home. The Red Hawks have covered the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a losing record at home. Miami (OH) has also covered the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range — including covering the point spread in four of their last five games with the Total in that range.

Ball State (2-9) enters this game coming off a 40-24 loss to Buffalo last Thursday — so they are playing on a very short five-day week. The Cardinals have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Ball State has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of the last 13 games are a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Ball State surrendered 565 yards in that loss to the Bulls — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight home games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game. The Cardinals have also failed to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 53 games on their home field. Additionally, Ball State has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games in the month of November. Lastly, the Cardinals close out their season tonight having failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against conference opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 121-41 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Miami (OH) Red Hawks (105) minus the points versus the Ball State Cardinals (106). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Bowling Green Falcons (103) plus the points versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles (104). Bowling Green (2-9) has lost two straight games with their 66-37 loss to Toledo last Wednesday as a 17-point underdog. The Falcons have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a loss by at least three touchdowns to a conference opponent. Bowling Green has endured a -1 net turnover margin in each of their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 21 games after suffering a -1 net turnover margin in at least two straight games. The Falcons have exceeded expectations when on the road as they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 road games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 35 road games in the month of November, Bowling Green has covered the point spread in 24 of these games.

Eastern Michigan (4-7) has won two of their last three games with their 27-24 upset win at Miami (OH) last Wednesday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after a close win by 3 points or less — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in six of their last nine games after a loss by a field goal or less against a conference rival. Eastern Michigan has also failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 39 of their last 52 games after a straight-up win. The Eagles averaged 6.49 Yards-Per-Play against the Red Hawks in that victory last week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 30 games after averaging at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. Lastly, Eastern Michigan does not retain a strong home field advantage. Not only have the Eagles failed to cover the point spread in 39 of their last 58 games at home but they have also failed to cover the point spread in nine of their last twelve home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 182-68 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Bowling Green Falcons (103) plus the points versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Texas Mean Green (404) minus the points versus the Army Black Knights (403). North Texas (7-3) looks to build off their 45-10 win over UTEP last week as a 23.5-point favorite. The Mean Green has then covered the point spread in 4 of rather last 5 games after a straight-up win. North Texas is also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Now this team stays at home with the opportunity to avenge their 38-31 overtime loss to the Black Knights in last year’s Heart of Dallas Bowl. The Mean Green are a perfect 5-0 at home with an averaging winning margin of +18.6 PPG due to an offense that scores 44.8 PPG along with averaging 517.8 total YPG. North Texas is outgaining their visitors by +84.4 net YPG on their home field. The Mean Green have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. North Texas has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against non-conference opponents.

Army (8-2) followed up their 21-0 upset win at Air Force two weeks ago with an upset 21-16 win over Duke last week as a 3.5-point underdog. The Black Knights have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. And in their last 6 games after covering the point spread in at least two of their last three games, Army has failed to cover the point spread 5 times. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 games. Army has also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-25-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the North Texas Mean Green (404) minus the points versus the Army Black Knights (403). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Kentucky Wildcats (323) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (324). Georgia (9-1) saw their perfect season go up in flames last week as they were thoroughly dominated at Auburn by a 40-17 score. They were outgained by -258 yards in that game as their defense surrendered 488 yards to the Tigers. Expect the Bulldogs to be flat in this game after seeing their proverbial bubble burst. That game finished above the 48 point Total installed for that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight home games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. The Bulldogs committed only one turnover in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after committing one turnover or less in their last game. Additionally, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home. And the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games when laying more than three touchdowns. And in their last 4 games in the month of November, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread all 4 times.

Kentucky (7-3) looks to build off their 44-21 upset win at Vanderbilt last week as a 2.5-point underdog. The Wildcats outrushed the Commodores by 172 net yards in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 3 straight games after outrushing their last opponent by at least 125 yards in their last game. Now Kentucky stays on the road where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Wildcats have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road overall. Lastly, Kentucky has covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games as the underdog. 10* CFB Kentucky-Georgia CBS-TV Special with the Kentucky Wildcats (323) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (324). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (354) minus the points versus the Charlotte 49ers (353). Southern Miss (6-4) looks to build off their last 43-34 win at Rice last week. The Golden Eagles got the offense cranking by averaging 7.72 Yards-Per-Play for 517 total yards of offense against the Owls. Southern Miss has then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. The Golden Eagles have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in their last game. And in their last 9 games played on field turf, Southern Miss has covered the point spread 6 times. This team is dominating their opponents by averaging a +106.2 net YPG advantage so far this season. At home, the Golden Eagles are holding their opponents to just 299.6 total YPG.

Charlotte (1-9) comes off a 35-21 loss to Middle Tennessee in their last game. The 49ers had then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a loss at home. And while Charlotte allowed 202 rushing yards in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Additionally, while that game with the Blue Raiders finished Over the 50 point Total, the 49ers have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a game that finished Over the Total. Charlotte has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing at least two straight to conference rivals. Furthermore, the 49ers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games as an underdog getting 10.5 to 21 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 57-25 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (354) minus the points versus the Charlotte 49ers (353). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan Wolverines (415) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (416). Michigan (8-2) plays the role of spoilers this afternoon. They are the best team that this Badgers team most difficult non-conference scheduled opponent turned out to be an awful BYU team before a light Big Ten conference schedule that avoided Ohio State, Penn State and Michigan State our of the East Division. The Wolverines have the 3rd best defense in the nation with only 254.8 total YPG allowed despite having already played the Nittany Lions and Spartans. They enter this game coming off a 35-10 win at Maryland last week. Michigan is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The offense has picked up since senior John O’Korn was benched for redshirt freshman Brandon Peters. The book had grown large on defending O’Korn who failed to develop the ability check-off his primary initial receiver. With Peters under center, the defense has had to defend the entire field again which has opened up the Wolverines ground game again. Over their last three games since Peters took over the starting QB job, Michigan is scoring 34.3 PPG while averaging 401.0 total YPG. He only needed to complete 9 of 18 passes for 145 yards with two TDs and no interceptions against the Terrapins — and the Wolverines are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after failing to pass for at least 170 passing yards in their last game. Michigan held Maryland to just 160 passing yards in their victory — and they are then 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last contest. Furthermore, the Wolverines are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Wisconsin (10-0) dominated Iowa in their 38-14 win over the Hawkeyes last week as a 12.5-pint favorite. But the Badgers are then 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they are also 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Wisconsin has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a point spread win as a double-digit favorite. And in their last 10 games after scoring at least 37 points, the Badgers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these contests. Wisconsin has played their last two games Over the Total — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after playing at least two straight Overs. This team is a precarious favorite against very good teams considering they have committed 19 turnovers. Unfortunately for the Badgers, it is their best players making these mistakes as QB Alex Hornbook with 12 interceptions and freshman running back Jonathan Taylor has six fumbles. Wisconsin is just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And while the Badgers host this game, they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 10* CFB Michigan-Wisconsin Fox-TV Special with the Michigan Wolverines (415) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (416). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (325) and the East Carolina Pirates (326). Cincinnati (3-7) looks to bounce-back from a 35-24 loss to Temple as a 3-point underdog last Friday. The Bearcats have then played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Cincinnati surrendered 205 rushing yards in that loss — and they have seen the Under go 8-1-1 in their last 10 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games on the road. And in their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record at home, the Bearcats have played 6 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total in the month of November.

East Carolina (2-8) has lost two straight games after their 31-24 loss to Tulane in overtime last week. The Pirates held the Green Wave to just 121 passing yards — and they have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. East Carolina has also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing their last two games against conference opponents. Now this team stays at home where they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Pirates have also played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total as the underdog getting no more than 7 points. Lastly, this East Carolina team has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total in the second-half of the season. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (325) and the East Carolina Pirates (326). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Cavaliers (375) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (376). Miami (FL) (9-0) played their best game of the season last Saturday night in their emotional 41-8 upset win over Notre Dame. Look for this Hurricanes team to suffer a letdown after winning two big games at home against the Irish and Virginia Tech in the previous game. Miami has covered the point spread in their last two games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Remember, before playing beyond expectations in these last two games, the Hurricanes won four straight games decided by just one possession against Syracuse, North Carolina, Georgia Tech and Florida State who are not exactly the Murderer’s Row. Defense has been the calling card for Mike Richt’s team. They have held their last two opponents to just 109 and 102 rushing yards — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 39 of their last 61 games after not allowing more than 125 rushing yards in two straight games. And while the Hurricanes held the Irish to just 152 passing yards last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards in their last game. Miami has played seven straight games Under the Total — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 34 of their last 52 games after playing at least two straight Unders.

Virginia (6-4) has lost three of their last four games after their 38-21 loss at Louisville last week as a 13.5-point underdog. But the Cavaliers have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a loss on the road. Virginia has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a loss by at least 17 points. And in their last 12 games after losing two of their last three games, the Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread 9 times. Virginia needs to shore things up on defense after allowing 493 yards to the Cardinals — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game. With senior QB Kurt Benkert, Virginia has an experienced passer who can keep the Cavs competitive. They have covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The Cavaliers have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 17 games as an underdog which includes covering the point spread in eight of their last twelve games as road underdog. Lastly, Virginia has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. 10* CFB Virginia-Miami (FL) ABC-TV Special with the Virginia Cavaliers (375) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (376). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Temple Owls (332) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (331). Central Florida (9-0) is one of three undefeated teams left in the FBS after their 49-24 win over UConn last week. The stakes are high for this Knights team — not only do they want to run the table to win the American Athletic Conference but they would also like to represent the non-Power Five schools in one of the New Year’s Six Bowl games while still holding out for an outside chance to make the College Football Playoff if more of the big boys suffer losses. But this is a tough matchup for a team that might be a bit distracted right now. Head coach Scott Frost is subject of rumors regarding the open head coaching openings in Tennessee and Florida. This team also has a huge matchup on deck next Friday with South Florida. And, frankly, the weather will not do this Florida team in favors although the temperature looks to be in the low 50s for this game so it could be worse. As it is, Central Florida has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of November. This team is also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. The Knights failed to cover the massive 39-point line against the Huskies last week — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Sophomore QB McKenzie Milton did pass for 311 yards in the win over UConn — but UCF is then 12-27-1 ATS in their last 40 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. The Knights run defense surrendered 212 yards in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game.

Temple (5-5) looks to build off their 35-24 win at Cincinnati last Friday night as a 3-point favorite. The Owls have then covered the point spread in a decisive 35 of their last 52 games after a point spread victory. Temple rushed for 205 yards against the Bearcats defense — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 straight games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The ground game has improved with the insertion of redshirt junior QB Frankie Nutile as the starter over the last three games. Nutile has made the Owls’ passing attack more potent — he completed 19 of 30 passes for 224 yards and a TD pass against Cincinnati while adding another 28 rushing yards with a TD on the ground. Temple is scoring 32.3 PPG over their last three games with Nutile as the starting QB while averaging a robust 442.7 total YPG. The Owls defense has also been solid this season as they are holding their conference opponents -86 YPG below their season average. Temple has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 28 games against conference opponents. The Owls have also covered the point spread in 20 of the last 28 games against teams with a winning record. Now this team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games. Temple has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games as the underdog — and this includes covering the point spread in 6 straight games at home as the dog. Lastly, the Owls have covered the point spread in 7 straight games in the month of November. 25* CFB American Athletic Conference Underdog of the Year with the Temple Owls (332) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (331). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the New Mexico Lobos (320) minus the points versus the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (319). New Mexico (3-7) looks to snap their five-game losing streak tonight after their 55-14 loss at Texas A&M last Saturday. The Lobos have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 17 points. And while New Mexico has failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Head coach Bob Davie certainly had his team pay close attention to improving their play on defense after they allowed 562 yards to the Aggies. The Lobos have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. New Mexico surrendered a whopping 499 passing yards to Texas A&M — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Furthermore, while the Lobos allowed the Aggies to average 8.52 Yards-Per-Play, they have then covered the point spread in a decisive 26 of their last 39 games after allowing at least 7.25 YPP in their last game.

10* CFB play on New Mexico minus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (318) plus the points versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (317). Western Kentucky (5-5) has lost three straight games with their 30-23 loss at Marshall as a 10-point underdog last Saturday. The Hilltoppers have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread victory. Western Kentucky outgained the Thundering Herd on the road by 34 yards in that game but Mike White threw an interception that was returned for a 45-yard touchdown that was the winning difference in that game. It has been a disappointing season for the two-time Conference USA Champions under first-year head Mike Sanford — but this team still looks to get bowl eligible to salvage their season. The Hilltoppers have still covered the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games in conference play. Despite their 5-5 .500 record, Western Kentucky is outscoring their opponents by +1.3 net PPG while outgaining their opponents by +17.8 net YPG. Behind their senior QB, they are dangerous home underdogs. White leads an offense that ranks 13th in the FBS by averaging 316.4 passing YPG. White has throw at least 41 passes in each of his last three games — and his team has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after playing at least two straight games where they had at least 30 passes. Furthermore, the Hilltoppers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 home games as an underdog of no more than 7 points. And in their last 11 games in the month of November, Western Kentucky has covered the point spread in 8 of these contests.

20* CFB play on Western Kentucky plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Toledo Rockets (305) minus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (306). Bowling Green (2-8) has lost three of their last four games with their 38-28 loss at Buffalo as a 7-point underdog last Tuesday. The Falcons have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread defeat. Bowling Green freshman QB Jarrett Doege did complete 28 of 43 passes for 294 yards with 3 TDs in that game — but the Falcons have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Now Bowling Green returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 12 games at home — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in four straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Falcons have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games as the underdog, Bowling Green has failed to cover the point spread 7 times.

Toledo (8-2) looks to bounce-back from their 38-10 loss at Ohio last Wednesday as a 3-point favorite. The Rockets have rebounded to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after a loss by at least 28 points. Toledo has also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 25 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game.  And while the Rockets allowed 532 yards of offense in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after surrendering at least 450 yards in their last game. Now this team goes on the road still on control of their destiny to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game. Toledo has covered the point spread in 16 of the last 21 games on the road. And in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record, the Rockets have covered the point spread 10 times. 10* CFB Toledo-Bowling Green ESPNU Special with the Toledo Rockets (305) minus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Eastern Michigan Eagles (307) plus the points versus the Miami (OH) Redhawks (308). Eastern Michigan (3-7) had a started a late drive last Wednesday trailing by a 35-30 score in Muskegon before senior quarterback Brogan Roback threw his fifth interception of the game that the Chippewas returned for a touchdown to close out a 42-30 victory for Central Michigan despite being 1.5-point underdogs to the Eagles. This Eastern Michigan team has lost seven of their ten games this season despite ranking 37th in the FBS in points allowed (22.5 PPG) 33rd in the FBS in total defense (351.0 YPG) and 15th in the FBS in passing yards allowed (177.7 passing YPG). This team also ranks 37th in the FBS in passing YPG on offense (269.5 passing YPG) behind Roback — so this team puts up production that should be seeing much better results. The Eagles lost six straight games in the middle of the season all decided by one scoring possession with three of these losses occurring in overtime. Look for Eastern Michigan to bounce-back with a good effort as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Eagles are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 25 road games against teams with a losing record at home. This team will also be motivated with revenge from an upset loss to the Redhawks last year by a 28-15 score despite being 7-point favorites.

Miami (OH) (4-6) looks to build off their 24-17 win over Akron last Tuesday as an 11-point favorite. The Redhawks have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. Miami (OH) has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. Additionally, the Redhawks have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last contest. Miami (OH) held the Zips to just 273 points in that victory — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Lastly, while the Redhawks host this meeting with the Eagles, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home. Together, these team trends produce our specific 67-20-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Eastern Michigan-Miami (OH) CBS-Sports Network Special with the Eastern Michigan Eagles (307) plus the points versus the Miami (OH) Redhawks (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Northern Illinois Huskies (310) minus the points versus the Western Michigan Broncos (309). Northern Illinois (7-3) looks to build off their 63-17 win over Ball State last Thursday as a big 29.5-point favorite. The Huskies should build off their momentum as they are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games are a straight-up win — and they are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games after a win by at least 20 points. Northern Illinois is also 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Huskies have been dominant at home where they are 4-1 with an average winning margin of +19.0 PPG due to an offense that scores 35.0 PPG. Northern Illinois outgains their visitors by +130.4 net YPG. This team has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games as a home favorite laying 7.5 to 10 points. And in their last 29 games in the month of November, the Huskies are 20-8-1 ATS.

Western Michigan (6-4) enters this game coming off a 48-20 win over Kent State last week as a 20.5-point favorite. The Broncos have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Western Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Broncos now go on the road where they are just 2-2 while being outscored by -6.5 PPG. Additionally, Western Michigan is being outgained by a whopping -125.3 net YPG when on the road. To make matters worse for the Broncos, their sophomore starting QB Jon Wassink will be out until perhaps their bowl game with a collarbone injury. Freshman QB Reece Goddard was serviceable in his absence but completed only 8 of 19 passes for 97 passing yards. The Broncos easily defeated the Golden Flashes last week thanks to three defensive touchdowns. Lastly, Western Michigan typically struggles against the Huskies as they are 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings with them while having not covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 trips to Northern Illinois. Together, these team trends produce our specific 95-31-6 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Wednesday Daily Discounted Dal with the Northern Illinois Huskies (310) minus the points versus the Western Michigan Broncos (309). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Kent State Golden Flashes (304) plus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (303). Central Michigan (6-4) has won three straight games with their 42-30 upset win over Eastern Michigan last week as a 1.5-point underdog. The Chippewas eked out that game by intercepting a pass with under a minute to go that was returned for a touchdown that negated a potential Eagles winning (and point-spread producing drive). Central Michigan enjoyed a +4 net turnover margin in that game that negated the fact they surrendered ten more first downs to Eastern Michigan. The Chippewas look due for a letdown now as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after an upset win over a conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. Central Michigan has also failed to over the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a game where both teams scored at least 30 points. Additionally, while the Chippewas has played three straight games that finished Over the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a game where they scored and allowed at least 30 points. Moving forward, Central Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Chippewas have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record on the road. This Central Michigan team may be 6-4 but they are only outgaining their opponents by +8.1 net YPG. The Chippewas have benefited from a +0.7 net turnover margin this season which is 17th best in the FBS. They have won all three of their games decided by one scoring possession — so this is a team that has been pretty fortunate to get to their 6-4 record.

Kent State (2-8) has lost three straight games with their 48-20 loss at Western Michigan last week. All three of these losses were by at least four touchdowns — but they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after suffering three straight losses by at least 17 points. Part of the problem for the Zips has been the ground game as they have been outrushed by -145.7 rushing YPG over their last three games. Akron has then covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after being outrushed by at least 125 yards over their last three games. A -3 net turnover margin for the Zips agains the Broncos certainly did not help last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after enduring -3 or worse net turnover margin. Together, these team trends produce our specific 48-17 ATS combined angle for this situation. This is the home finale for Akron tonight — and this could be head coach Paul Haynes last game with the team in his 5th season after beginning the year on the proverbial hot seat. Expect a spirited effort from this team that should help them keep this game closer than expected against an overrated Chippewas team. 10* CFB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Kent State Golden Flashes (304) plus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (303). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Akron Zips (302) plus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (301). Ohio (8-2) scored a huge emotional win last week with their 38-10 upset win over Toledo in a game that will likely be the precursor for a rematch between these two teams in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game next month. The Bobcats have now won and covered the point spread in four straight games with their winning the MAC’s East Division all but secured — but these circumstances may contribute to a letdown for Frank Solich’s team. As it is, Ohio has failed to over the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after a win by at least 20 points. All four of their victories on their winning streak has been by at least 17 points — but the Bobcats have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on the road after winning at least two straight games by double-digits. Additionally, Ohio has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after covering the points spread in at least four straight games. The Bobcats have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after winning at least four straight contests. Furthermore, Ohio rushed for an incredible 393 yards against Toledo which was 340 more rushing yards than what the Rockets were able to muster. Not only have the Bobcats then failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 32 games after outrushing their opponent by at least 200 yards but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they being outgained by -49.2 net YPG while only outscoring their home hosts by +2.5 PPG which betrays their 3-1 record away from home.

Akron (5-5) looks to bounce-back from their 24-17 loss at Miami (OH) last week as an 11-point underdog. The Zips have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up loss. Akron has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Additionally, the Zips have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to score at least 20 points in their last game. QB Thomas Woodson did not play in that game against the Redhawks after being suspended on game day by head coach Terry Bowden. Redshirt freshman Kato Nelson was solid in his place despite not having the benefit of practicing with the first-team starting unit that week as he completed 19 of 38 passes for 218 yards with a touchdown pass and a rushing touchdown as well. Bowden has not indicated if Woodson will be available to play or if it will Nelson again under center tonight. IF Nelson does go, he will benefit from the week of practice — and he will be facing a Bobcats’ pass defense that ranks 102nd in the FBS by allowing 252.2 passing YPG. Being at home will also help Nelson and this entire Zips team where they are 3-1 with an average winning margin of +12.8 PPG. Akron has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games agains teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Zips have covered the point spread in six of their last seven games — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after covering the points spread in four of five of their last six games. Lastly, the underdog has covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Together, these team trends produce our specific 109-37 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Ohio-Akron ESP2 Special with the Akron Zips (302) plus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Colorado State Rams (218) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (217). Colorado State (6-4) looks to bounce-back from their 16-13 upset loss at Wyoming as a 4-point favorite last week. The Rams are 16-6-2 ATS in their last 24 games after a straight-up loss. Colorado State has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after now allowing more than 20 points in their lsat game. That was the second straight upset loss for this Rams team after they lost to the Air Force by a 45-28 score as a 10-point favorite the previous week. Colorado State has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after suffering two straight upset losses as the favorite. The Rams have also covered the point spread in 23 of their last 34 games at home after losing two of their last three games. Colorado State did rush for 235 yards in their loss to the Cowboys — and they are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Now the Rams return home where they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Colorado State has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. Furthermore, the Rams have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 21 games in the month of November, Colorado State is 15-5-1 ATS.

25* CFB Mountain West Conference Underdog of the Year with Colorado State plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (166) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (165). Miami (FL) (8-0) looks to build off their 28-10 win over Virginia Tech last week as a 2-point favorite. The Hurricanes have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a straight-up win. Miami has also covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The Hurricanes rushed for 219 yards last week against a stout Hokies defense last week — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. This team also played their best game all season against the run by holding Virginia Tech to just 102 rushing yards on a low 2.4 Yards-Per-Carry average. On paper, this Hurricanes defensive line was supposed to be one of the best in the nation. While the numbers are not as impressive, they know they will be challenged by this Notre Dame offense that emphasizes a power rushing game. Miami has cord the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games against teams outside the ACC, the Hurricanes have covered the point spread all 7 times.

10* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Miami plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (159) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (160). TCU (8-1) looks to build off their 24-7 win over Texas last Saturday as a 7.5-point favorite. The Horned Frogs have then covered the point spread in a decisive 29 of their last 44 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. TCU has played five straight games Under the Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after playing at least four straight games Under the Total. Once again, head coach Gary Patterson has developed an outstanding defense. The Horned Frogs are the number one run defense in the nation and they have not allowed more than 70 rushing yards in four straight games. TCU has then covered the point spread in 19 of their last 29 games after allowing no more than 75 rushing yards in two straight games. Now this team goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Horned Frogs have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 trips to Norman to face the Sooners. And in their last 8 games as the underdog, TCU has covered the point spread 6 times.

10* CFB play on TCU plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Mississippi State Bulldogs (178) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (177). Alabama (909 remained undefeated last week by taking care of business against their arch rival LSU with their 24-10 win as a 20.5-point favorite. The Tide may be due for an emotional letdown being a road favorite of around two touchdowns. But this team is dealing with some injuries particularly on the defensive side of the football. There are some vulnerabilities this year’s Nick Saban team is displaying. They were actually outgained in yardage while losing the first down battle to the Tigers. The ability of sophomore QB Jalen Hurts to effective throw the football down the field remains an issue. Hurts complete only 11 of 24 passes last week for 183 yards while the Tide managed only 299 total yards of offense. Furthermore, while Hurts added another 44 yards on the ground, this team may becoming a little too dependent on him for their offense. Alabama did not turn the ball over against LSU — but they have they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after not turning the ball over in their last game. The Crimson Tide has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing 20 points or less in their last contest. Alabama now goes on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 23 road games as a favorite laying 7.5 to 14 points. The Tide have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 11 games played on grass, Alabama has failed to cover the point spread 8 times.

Mississippi State (7-2) looks to build off their 34-23 win over UMass last week. The Bulldogs may have been looking ahead to this game as they were big 33 point favorites in that game against the upstart Minutemen. Mississippi State has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games following a non-conference opponent. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 17 games after playing a game at home. The Bulldogs stay at home where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Mississippi State has also covered the point spread in 21 of their last 26 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This team crushed LSU on the road earlier this season — and they have a dual threat QB in Nick Fitzgerald and these type of quarterbacks have given the Crimson Tide trouble in the past. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 home games as an underdog in the 7.5 to 14 point range. Lastly, the home team has covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 encounters between these two teams. 10* CFB Alabama-Mississippi State ESPN Special with the Mississippi State Bulldogs (178) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (177). Best of luck for us — Frank.