College Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
09-22-17 | Virginia +13 v. Boise State | 42-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Virginia Cavaliers (305) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (306). Boise State (2-1) will be looking to build off their 28-14 win over New Mexico last Thursday as a 16-point favorite. The Broncos have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss. And while the Boise State offense managed only 264 yards of offense in that contest, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after failing to generate at least 275 yards of offense. Junior quarterback Brett Rypien did not play last week as he was going through the concussion protocol — he has been upgraded to being listed as probable for this contest. But it is unclear what head coach Bryan Horsin will do with his offense when considering that the inconsistent Rypien has no touchdown passes and an interception while Kansas graduate transfer has a 5:1 touchdown to interception ratio while adding 179 rushing yards on the ground. The Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 11 games at home, Boise State has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of these games. |
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09-21-17 | Temple +20.5 v. South Florida | 7-43 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
At 7:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Temple Owls (303) plus the points versus the South Florida Bulls (304). Temple (2-1) enters this early important American Athletic Conference contest coming off a 29-21 win over UMass as a 14.5-point favorite last Friday. The Owls have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win. Temple has also covered the point spread in 25 of their last 33 games against AAC opponents. The Owls should keep this game close after upsetting the Bulls last season by a 46-30 score as a 6-point underdog last October 21st. The key to success in that game was running the ball 51 times for 319 yards against this suspect South Florida defense. Temple still has running back Ryquelll Armstead who exploded for 210 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 20 carries in that upset victory last year. The Owls have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Temple has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. |
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09-16-17 | Tennessee v. Florida -5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 1 h 49 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida Gators (166) minus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (165). Florida (0-1) has had an extra week to bounce-back from their opening game loss to Michigan in AT&T Stadium on September by a 33-17 score. The Gators were 4.5-point underdogs in that game — and they are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a point spread loss. Florida has also covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games for a bye week. This team needs to improve on the offensive side of the football — but facing a stout Wolverines defense did not help. The Gators managed only 11 rushing yards on 27 carries against Michigan — but they are then 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. If Florida needed any extra motivation, they will have it with the memory of losing to the Volunteers team last September by a 38-28 score. |
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09-16-17 | UCLA v. Memphis +3.5 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (138) minus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (137). UCLA (2-0) has a challenging trip east for this early kickoff on Saturday as the Bruins’ body clocks will think it is 9 AM. The team enters this game coming off a 56-23 win over Hawai’i last Saturday as a 24-point favorite. But UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bruins have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a win by at least 20 points. Now this team goes on the road for the first time all season where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games. Furthermore, UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams outside the Pac-12. Defense is a concern for this team after they allowed the Rainbow Warriors to outgain them last week by surrendering 515 yards of offense. Of course, that defensive effort was after their opening game against Texas A&M where they executed that miracle 4th quarter comeback to steal that game. UCLA is allowing their opponents to average a whopping 331 rushing YPG along with 6.3 Yards-Per-Carry. Road favorites who have allowed at least 5.5 YPA in their last two games have then failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 31 games (84%) when these conditions applied. |
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09-15-17 | Illinois v. South Florida -17 | 23-47 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the South Florida Bulls (108) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (107). South Florida (2-0) has had an extra week to prepare for this contest after a listless effort back on September 2nd in which they won by a 31-17 score over Stony Brook. The Bulls actually went into the locker room at halftime with a 10-7 deficit before stepping up their play in the second-half to outlast this FCS program despite being a whopping 35-point favorite. South Florida should play better tonight as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, not only have the Bulls covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games at home but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 home games as the favorite. Head coach Charlie Strong seemed to be having his team hold some things back in that game — so expect plenty of wrinkles for this prime-time on ESPN which can showcase his team and senior quarterback Quinton Flowers against a Power-Five conference opponent. Additionally, South Florida has still covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games in the month of September. |
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09-15-17 | UMass v. Temple -15 | 21-29 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Temple Owls (106) minus the points versus the Massachusetts Minutemen (105). Temple (1-1) comes off a sub par effort in a 16-13 win over Villanova as a 6-point favorite last Saturday. The Owls have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss -- and they have covered the point spread in 8 straight games after a win at home by a field goal or less. Temple returns only ten starters from the group that finished 10-4 last season. They began the year by getting thumped by Notre Dame — but this is a veteran team that has 20 seniors and another 24 juniors on the roster thanks to thirteen redshirted players. Look for this team to play their best game of the season tonight after the tough opening contest with the Irish followed up by a pressure-filled matchup with an FCS geographical rival that would have loved to pull the upset. The Owls have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games as a favorite in the 7.5 to 14 point range. |
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09-14-17 | New Mexico +15.5 v. Boise State | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the New Mexico Lobos (103) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (104). New Mexico (1-1) looks to bounce-back from a frustrating 30-28 upset loss to in-state rival New Mexico State last week. The best way form the Lobos to get the bad taste out of their mouth from that setback is to pull the upset on the Broncos — and they are playing with revenge from a 49-21 loss to Boise State last season. Not only has New Mexico rebounded to cover the point spread in their last 3 games after a loss at home but they have also covered the point spread in 43 of their last 67 games after a loss at home. Furthermore, while the Lobos gave up 500 yards of offense to the Aggies, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last contest. Additionally, New Mexico has covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 point range. And in their last 6 meetings with the Broncos, the Lobos have covered the point spread 5 times. |
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09-14-17 | New Mexico v. Boise State UNDER 59 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (103) and the Boise State Broncos (104). Boise State (101) looks to bounce-back from a heartbreaking 47-44 overtime loss at Washington State last week in a game where they had a 31-7 lead with under 11 minutes to go before blowing that lead and eventually succumbing in overtime. This team has quarterback issues with the inconsistent junior QB Brett Rypien benched in their first game before suffering a head injury in the 1st quarter last week against the Huskies. Graduate transfer Montell Cozart finished that game out — but while this 12 of 20 passing for 161 yards with two touchdowns with an additional 72 rushing yards looks dynamic, he completed only 3 of 9 passes to close out the game for just 33 yards which helped Washington State eke that game out. Rypien’s status for this game is questionable which makes things even more difficult for the Broncos on a short week. Don’t be surprised if the former Kansas QB gets the start tonight. Boise State needs to tighten things up on defense after allowing 455 yards to the Cougars. The Broncos have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, Boise State has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 14 games at home, the Broncos have played 11 of thee games Under the Total. |
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09-09-17 | Utah v. BYU +3 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 25 m | Show |
At 10:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the BYU Cougars (396) plus the points versus the Utah Utes (395). BYU (1-1) looks to bounce-back from an embarrassing performance last week where they managed only 97 yards of offense in a 27-0 thumping at the hands of LSU last Saturday as a 15-point underdog. Being shutout will certainly ensure that the offense will be at full attention to their coaching staff this week. The Cougars returned six starters from a group that scored 29.5 PPG last season. In the thirteen starts that junior Tanner Mangum has played for this team — with most of those games occurring when he was a freshman two years ago — BYU scored 33.7 PPG while he averaged a robust 7.6 Yards-Per-Passing-Attempt. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, BYU has not only covered the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to generate at least 275 yards in their last game but they are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. And in their last 10 games in the month of September, the Cougars have covered the point spread in 7 of these games. TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early) -- this is pretty likely for this contest. Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank. |
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09-09-17 | Stanford +6.5 v. USC | 24-42 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Stanford Cardinal (387) plus the points versus the USC Trojans (388). USC (1-0) looked shaky for over three quarters last week before they stepped up their game to overwhelm Western Michigan by a 49-31 score. The Trojans are one of the most hyped teams entering this season after winning their last nine games last season by an average winning margin by +17.3 PPG. Throw in the attention that sophomore quarterback Sam Darnold who is on the very short list to be the first college player taken in next April’s draft and you have a football team that is very popular with the public. But only twelve starters returned from last year’s team that got on a roll — after the difficult part of their schedule was completed, by the way. Question marks remain on both sides of the line of scrimmage for this team — and improvements on both the offensive and defensive lines are essential to staying competitive with this very physical Cardinal team. The Trojans returned only two starters on the offensive line with both tackles being replaced this season. USC also returned only one starter on their defensive line — and this area was exposed last week by the Broncos. Western Michigan averaged a robust 5.5 Yards-Per-Carry to gobble up 263 rushing yards last week. Granted, the Broncos only managed 94 passing yards last week — but the Trojans have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 passing yards in their last contest. The Trojans gained 521 yards themselves — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of thinner last 8 games after generating at least 450 yards in their last contest. And in their last 5 games in the month of September, USC has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games. |
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09-09-17 | Stanford v. USC UNDER 55 | 24-42 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (387) and the USC Trojans (388). USC (1-0) survived a scare last week as they pulled away from Western Michigan in the 4th quarter to win by a 49-31 score. The Trojans defense did not play as poorly as that final score would suggest as the Broncos managed only 357 yards in that contest. USC returns seven starters from a unit that held seven opponents last year to their season low in total yardage. The Trojans have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while USC passed for 289 yards in that game, they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Trojans held Western Michigan to just 94 passing yards — and they have then seen the Under go 25-8-1 in their last 34 games after allowing 170 or fewer passing yards in their last contest. And in their last 5 games at home, USC has played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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09-09-17 | Georgia +6 v. Notre Dame | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 35 h 56 m | Show | |
At 7:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (379) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (380). Georgia (1-0) was impressive in a 31-10 win over Appalachian State last week. The Mountaineers have been tough outs for a number of elite Power Five conference teams but the Bulldogs dominated this game by holding Appalachian State to just 284 yards of offense. The Mountaineers managed to pass for just 148 passing yards in that game — and Georgia has then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. The Bulldogs did see their sophomore QB Jacob Eason suffer an injury in that game which will keep him out for a few weeks. The former 5-star QB may have lost his starting job with that calamity with another 5-star QB in freshman Jake Fromm now under center. Fromm completed 10 of 15 passes for 143 yards and a touchdown while looking more comfortable under center by getting ball out much faster than Eason. Head coach Kirby Smart will not ask too much of Fromm given the loaded Bulldogs backfield behind seniors Nick Chubb and Sony Michel and another 5-star freshman in D’Andre Swift. They complement a stacked Georgia defense that returns tens starters and 86% of the tackles from a group that allowed only 327.5 total YPG last year. This stout defense travels well and has helped the Bulldogs cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road as well as 7 of their last 8 road games against teams with winning record at home. Furthermore, Georgia will not be alone in this game as reports are that 20,000 Bulldogs fans have made the trip up north for this rare game for this team on the other side of the Mason-Dixon line. |
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09-09-17 | South Carolina v. Missouri -2.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 41 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Missouri Tigers (374) minus the points versus the South Carolina Gamecocks (373). Missouri (1-0) had mixed results in their opening contest last week against Missouri State which resulted in a 72-43 victory. The Tigers generated a whopping 815 yards of offense in that contest with junior Drew Locke completing 21 of 34 passes for 521 yards and seven touchdown passes. But the Mizzou defense surrendered 492 yards to this FCS school. This Missouri team was a disappointing 4-8 last season due in large part because of their defense the allowed 31.5 PPG. But injuries ravaged that unit last season so improvement is expected. Don’t be surprised if the Missouri defense plays much better this week as they issues from this opening game are addressed for their opening SEC contest. As it is, the Tigers have covered the point spread in a decisive 28 of their last 34 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Pass defense was the biggest issue for Missouri last week as they allowed 353 yards in the air — but they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. If there was any chance that second-year head coach Barry Odom would not have the full attention of his team after last week, the fact that his team lost to the Gamecocks by a 31-21 score should have ensured an attentive audience in practice this week. |
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09-09-17 | Nebraska v. Oregon -13.5 | 35-42 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 38 m | Show | |
At 4:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Oregon Ducks (158) minus the points versus the Nebraska Cornhuskers (157). Oregon (1-0) was a favorite of around a field goal for this contest for most of the summer. But after their 77-21 destruction of Southern Utah last week, the oddsmakers installed the Ducks as a favorite as 10-point favorite that has been bet up to around the 14-point range as of this writing. Credit the positive impact of first-year head coach Willie Taggart who seems to have steered this football program back in a positive direction. Taggert inherited seventeen starters from last year’s under-performing 4-8 team — so he walked into a good situation. Oregon got back to dominating opponents with their rushing attack as they gobbled up 348 yards on 52 carries last week. The Ducks have then covered the point spread in 27 of their last 39 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. And while Oregon covered the 39.5-point spread last week, they have then covered the point spread in 22 of their last 32 games. |
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09-09-17 | TCU -3 v. Arkansas | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 32 h 58 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (363) minus the points versus the Arkansas Razorbacks (364). TCU (1-0) will be playing this game with revenge on their minds after a heartbreaking 41-38 loss in overtime to the Razorbacks back on September 10th last season despite being a 10-point favorite. That loss set the tone for a disappointing 6-7 year for head coach Gary Patterson where they suffered two net close losses decided by one scoring possession — and they also endured three net upsets last season. Seven starters return from that team led by senior QB Kenny Hill. The former Texas A&M transfer executed this offense to high proficiency last week in their 63-0 thumping of Jackson State. Hill completed 18 of 23 passes for 206 yards while throwing for TD passes while leading the offense to 542 total yards. TCU has then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after gaining at least 475 yards in their last game. And while the Horned Frogs only allowed a microscopic 65 yards in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last game. And in their lsat 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home, TCU has covered the point spread in 4 of these games. |
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09-09-17 | Louisville v. North Carolina +11 | 47-35 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 39 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (324) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (323). North Carolina (0-1) had a 10-point lead in the 2nd quarter and a 3-point lead entering the 4th quarter but let both leads slip away in a disappointing 35-30 loss at home to California last week despite being a 12.5-point underdog. The Tar Heels lost this game despite winning the first down battle in that game by a 28-20 margin. Expect this North Carolina team that finished 8-5 last season to come out desperate to play much better against a tough conference opponent — and they should improve greatly from their first week of practice after a game. As it is, the Tar Heels have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread setback. Additionally, North Carolina has covered the point spread in a decisive 23 of their last 29 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. |
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09-09-17 | Northwestern v. Duke +2.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Duke Blue Devils (316) oleos the points versus the Northwestern Wildcats (315). Duke (1-0) enters this game after an impressive 60-7 win over UNC-Central last Saturday as a 36-point favorite. The Blue Devils have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. And while the Duke offense generated 524 yards of offense in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. This was a 4-8 team last year that looks to get back to a bowl game with 81.6% of the yardage return this season which is the 24th most in the FBS. This team will also be playing with some revenge on their minds after losing to the Wildcats on the road last season by a 24-13 score. Duke has covered the point spread in 4 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home as an underdog. Additionally, the Blue Devils have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 27 games against non-conference foes, Duke is 20-6-1 ATS. |
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09-09-17 | Buffalo v. Army -14.5 | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 0 h 27 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Army West Point Black Knights (308) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls (307). Army (1-0) will be looking to avenge a 23-20 overtime loss at Buffalo last September despite being a 13.5-point favorite in that contest. That was a bizarre game that saw the Black Knights lost that contest as a double-digit favorite despite gaining 444 yards while holding the Bulls to just 265 yards of offense. This is a tough Army team in the 4th season under head coach Jeff Monkey. They closed out last season by not only defeating arch-rival Navy but then beating North Texas by a 38-31 score in the Heart of Dallas Bowl. Sixteen starters return from that team (and remember last year’s loss to Buffalo). Things started very well for this team last Friday when they crushed Fordham by a 64-6 score. Army has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games in the month of September. And in their last 5 games played on turf, the Black Knights have covered the point spread 4 times. |
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09-08-17 | Ohio +4 v. Purdue | 21-44 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Ohio Bobcats (301) plus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (302). Purdue (0-1) almost pulled off a big upset last week as they held a 14-10 lead over Louisville at halftime before eventually losing by a 35-28 score as a 25.5-point underdog last Saturday. But this team may suffer an emotional letdown after almost scoring that signature win for rookie head coach Jeff Brohm. The Boilermakers are just 16-33-4 ATS in their last 53 games after a point spread win which includes failing to cover the point spread in eight of their last ten point spread wins. Purdue was able to keep the scoreboard close despite surrendering 524 yards to the Cardinals — they were outgained by -180 net yards. Three forced fumbles that they recovered helped keep them competitive despite being dominated in many parts of this game. Junior QB David Blough tossed two interceptions in this game — one that was returned for a 61-yard pick-six — which is troubling when considering the he tossed an unacceptable 21 interceptions last season. Sophomore Elijan Singular got significant playing time in relief and might be given the chance to start in this game despite his inexperience as a starter. This Boilermakers team is without their top running back in junior Markell Jones who is dealing with a knee injury. Purdue managed only 51 rushing yards on 21 carries in his absence last week. Moving forward, the Boilermakers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home. Furthermore, Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games against Mid-American Conference foes. |
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09-04-17 | Tennessee -4 v. Georgia Tech | 42-41 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 54 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Tennessee Volunteers (213) minus the points versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (212). Tennessee (0-0) returns twelve starters from a team that finished 9-4 last year after closing out their season on a high note with a 37-24 win over Nebraska in the Music City Bowl. This is a critical season for head coach Butch Jones as he finds himself on the hot season in his fifth season in Knoxville. This team will be ready to face the unique spread triple option of the Yellow Jackets — especially with the month to practice and prepare for this offense. The Volunteers faced a similar offense last year when they played Appalachian State early on — and they held the Mountaineers to 160 offensive yards below their season average. Tennessee returns seven starters from that unit. Injuries decimated this team last year but they only lost fifteen letterman from last year’s group and now benefit from the depth that was generated from the attrition they endured last season. This was also a team that was strong with their special teams as they enjoyed a +6.8 net YPG starting field position advantage versus their opponents. This game will be played in Atlanta’s new Mercedes Stadium — and the Volunteers have covered the point spread in 6 straight games played on a neutral field. Tennessee has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games played on a neutral field as the favorite. |
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09-03-17 | West Virginia v. Virginia Tech -4.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
At 7:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (210) minus the points versus the West Virginia Mountaineers (209). West Virginia (0-0) is getting some attention in this game given the profile of transfer quarterback Will Grier who gained attention two falls ago after leading Florida to a 6-0 start before getting busted for PED use. But Grier will not have much experienced help around him with the Mountaineers returning only five starters on offense. To make matters worse, sophomore wide receiver Marcus Simms has been suspended for this game making West Virginia even thinner with reliable wide receivers. On defense, the Mountaineers return only three starters and just 38.9% of the tackles from last season which is 125th worst in the nation. This was a senior-dominated defense last year that accounted for 59% of West Virginia’s tackles and 64% of their tackles-for-loss last year. This team now replaces their entire defensive line as well as four in the secondary of their 3-3-5 scheme. And while the Mountaineers finished 10-3 last season, they benefitted from four net close wins decided by one scoring possession. Moving forward, West Virginia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games as an underdog. The Mountaineers have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games when playing on a neutral field with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. West Virginia has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last games against opponents outside the Big 12 — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games against ACC foes. |
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09-03-17 | Texas A&M v. UCLA UNDER 61 | 44-45 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
At 7:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (211) and the UCLA Bruins (212). Texas A&M (0-0) enters this season having seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games in the month of September. Additionally, in the Aggies’ last 7 games against teams outside the SEC, the Under is 5-1-1. This team travels west to Los Angeles to face this UCLA team. Not only has Texas A&M played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total but this also includes playing four straight road games Under the Total as an underdog. |
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09-03-17 | Texas A&M v. UCLA -4.5 | Top | 44-45 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the UCLA Bruins (212) minus the points versus the Texas A&M Aggies (211). UCLA (0-0) sees the return of junior quarterback Josh Rosen tonight who suffered a season-ending shoulder surgery in Week Six of the regular season last year. “Chosen Rosen” was the hotshot quarterback in Los Angeles that had NFL scouts drooling — but a bit of regression last year along with that injury combined with the emergeYet the third-year starter is an uber-talented QB who should shine this season under the tutelage of new offensive coordinator Jedd Fisch. The former Quarterbacks Coach at the University of Michigan left Ann Arbor and his coaching buddy Jim Harbaugh for the opportunity to mentor Rosen after pulling off two minor miracles in the development of Wilton Speight as well as Jake Rudock who literally owes his NFL career now to Fisch. Head coach Jim Mora has entrusted Fisch to completely overhaul the Bruins’ offense that has been a disaster in attempting to run the football. UCLA returns four starters on their offensive line with three of them seniors but this group needs to play much better. The Bruins averaged only 2.3 Yards-Per-Carry last year but some of that has to be blame on the scheme not fitting the talented running backs they have on their roster. Fisch should fix that. The defense returns six starters and, while this unit lost talent to the NFL, this group has a very good chance to improve on perennially underachieving numbers after allowing 27.5 PPG last season. Despite their 2-7 record in the PAC-12 in what became a lost season, the Bruins were only outgained by -34.1 net YPG. Four net close losses in games determined by one scoring possession along with three net upsets suffered last year ruined the UCLA season. Getting Rosen back with eight other starters on offense along with finally upgrading the quality of the offensive coaching staff will help this team completely clean the slate of last year. The Bruins have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against SEC foes. And UCLA typically starts strong as they have covered the point spread in 52 of their last 88 games in the month of September. |
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09-02-17 | BYU +15.5 v. LSU | 0-27 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
At 9:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Brigham Young University Cougars (308) plus the points versus the Louisiana State Tigers (307). BYU (1-0) has the benefit of having gotten their first game under their belts last week in a 20-8 win over Portland State. The Cougars were 35-point favorites in that contest — so their failure to dominant that FCS opponent may scare off some bettors. BYU was clearly keeping some tricks under their hats in that contest. BYU had a fine effort in that contest as they only allowed Portland State to cross midfield twice in that game. Junior Tanner Mangum takes over under center as the clear starting QB this season. The former 4-star recruit has already produced historic memories for BYU faithful with some late game heroics. Mangum is a gunslinger who has thirteen starts under his belt where he has averaged 7.6 Yards-Per-Attempt while leading the Cougars to scoring 33.7 PPG in 13 career starts. BYU returns twelve starters from their 9-4 team last season — with all four of those losses by a combined 8 points so this is a program that does not see themselves get blown out. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games as an underdog. BYU has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The Cougars have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a game at home. And in their last 9 games in the first month of the new season, BYU has covered the point spread 7 times. |
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09-02-17 | Florida State +7.5 v. Alabama | 7-24 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (205) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (206). Alabama (0-0) is a heavy favorite in this opening game against a talented Seminoles team — yet they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games played on a neutral field when laying 7 points or less. This Crimson Tide team may very well find themselves in the National Playoff once again this season — but there will be growing pains for this team that lost half the starters from the team that lost to Clemson in the National Championship Game. Even Nick Saban does not have a quick fix for a defense that lost seven players to the NFL since that game. Led by Jonathan Allen, Alabama had a historically dominant front seven — so there will be inevitable regression from that unit. Furthermore, the outstanding play of that front seven often made their secondary look better. Often — but not always as the Crimson Tide surrendered over 400 passing yards in three games last season. The offensive line also has questions with a hole existing at right tackle and the team having to replace NFL 1st rounder Cam Robinson at left tackle. Additionally, a lack of explosion in the passing game is a limitation for this team. Sophomore QB Jalen Hurts averaged only 6.6 Yards-Per-Attempt last season — and he lost three of his top four receivers from last year. |
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09-02-17 | Michigan v. Florida +6 | 33-17 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida Gators (202) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (201). Florida (0-0) has attracted plenty of headlines over the last few weeks with head coach Jim McElwain suspending eleven players for this game due. Yet only running back Jordan Scarlett, wide receiver Antonio Callaway were penciled in as full-time starters from that group. The Gators remain loaded with talent particularly on defense after limiting teams to just 16.8 PPG last season. This Florida team will be very motivated to make a statement in this contest with both these suspensions surrounding the team as well as the memory of the Wolverines destroying this team back on January 1, 2016 in the Citrus Bowl by a 41-7 score. The Gators have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Big Ten opponents even with that embarrassment. Florida has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played on a neutral field with the Total set in the 42.5 to 45 point range. McElwain has named redshirt freshman Feleipe Franks as his starting quarterback for this game — and that speaks volumes as to how effective Franks has been in practice since former Notre Dame starter Malik Zaire transferred to Florida with the hopes of taking the starting job under center. |
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09-02-17 | California v. North Carolina -12.5 | 35-30 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
At 12:20 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (178) minus the points versus the California Golden Bears (177). California (0-0) has a tough trip out east for their opening contest as their body clocks will be thinking it is just after 9 AM when this game kicks off in Chapel Hill. Those are very challenging circumstances for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 road games as an underdog. This will be the first game for new head coach Justin Wilcox who will be coaching his first game as a head coach after serving as the defensive coordinator for Wisconsin last season. He will also have a rookie quarterback in Ross Bowers — and this will be a tough assignment for the sophomore to make his first career start and first collegiate pass in a hostile environment. To compound matters, the Golden Bears will likely have offensive line issues as they replace three starters from last season that combined to make 103 starts for the program. Cal returns fourteen starters from the team that was just 5-7 last year but they are one of the most inexperienced teams in the nation when taking into account their two-deep depth chart from last year. Wilcox’s first order of business is fixing a defense that allowed 42.7 PPG last year — 127th worst in the nation last year — along with 518 total YPG. The Golden Bears surrendered over 40 points nine times last year which makes them vulnerable to a blowout again this afternoon. Cal is moving to a 3-4 scheme this season which can only be an improvement but there might be some growing pains in the process. The Golden Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games when getting 10.5 to 21 points. |
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09-02-17 | Wyoming v. Iowa -12 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Iowa Hawkeyes (156) minus the points versus the Wyoming Cowboys (155). Wyoming (0-0) will get some attention this season due to their redshirt junior quarterback Josh Allen who is a serious NFL prospect given his 6’5 frame. The Cowboys return fourteen starters from a team that went 8-6 last season which includes a 24-21 loss to BYU in the Poinsettia Bowl. But Allen lost his top three pass catchers from last year along with his top running back in Brian Hill who was 3rd in the FBS by rushing for 1860 yards last season. Much of the Cowboys’ offense is a product of their “Power Coast” I-Formation pro-style offense but this will not be new to a Hawkeyes team from their Big Ten experience — and they have had all month to prepare for this unique scheme. Allen has some warts in his game as well — not only did he toss 15 interceptions last year but he also completed just 56% of his passes. NFL scouts like him mostly for his potential. Defense is a big concern for this team that was 125th in the FBS last year by allowing 7.3 Yards-Per-Play on first downs last year. Overall, the Cowboys surrendered 34.1 PPG which was 101st in the FBS along with 453.1 total YPG. Despite their earning a 6-2 record in the Mountain West Conference, they were actually outgained by -19.5 YPG in those eight contests. This is also a program that plays much better in the higher altitude at home. Wyoming has lost twenty-one of their last twenty-five games straight-up on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games away from home. The Cowboys have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games in the month of September. |
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09-02-17 | Maryland v. Texas -19 | 51-41 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Longhorns (186) minus the points versus the Maryland Terrapins (185). Texas (0-0) begins the Tom Herman coaching era this afternoon in their first game with the former Houston head coach who made his mark as the offensive coordinator for Urban Meyer at Ohio State. Herman inherits a fantastic situation with the Longhorns for the embattled Charlie Strong. Seventeen starters — as well as 37 of the 44 players from last year’s two-deep — return from last year’s team that finished a disappointing 5-7. Strong recruited very well in his three years with the program leaving the cupboard full of elite talent at every position group. This was a good team last year that just could not seem to close deals. Despite a 3-6 record in the Big 12, they outgained their conference opponents by +19.3 net YPG. Three net close losses that were decided by one scoring possession led to the losing season. Herman may be just what this program needs as he is a charismatic leader with a clear vision regarding how to move the ball on offense. He has tapped Shane Buechele as the starting QB and while the sophomore lacks the rushing threat that previous quarterbacks have thrived in Herman’s up-tempo pro-style run-first spread — but Herman has had success with the Buckeyes with pass-first QBs. Buechele had a monster spring game by passing for 396 yards so I do expect him to be very productive in this system. And he produced those passing numbers against a Texas defense that returned ten starters along with 80% of the production from last year’s team. The Longhorns have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 21 home games when laying 14.5 to 21 points. |
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09-01-17 | Boston College -3.5 v. Northern Illinois | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
At 9:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Boston College Eagles (149) minus the points versus the Northern Illinois Huskies (150). Boston College (0-0) seemed to achieve a breakthrough in their bowl game last December which they won by a 36-30 score over Maryland. Offensive coordinator used the bowl practices to install an up-tempo offense with more creative formations and plays which helped ignite what has been a stagnant offense. Even modest improvements on offense will be a boon for head coach Steve Addazio who has overseen the Eagles developing into one of the best defensive teams in the nation. Boston College returns fifteen starters from last year’s 7-6 team — and that includes seven starters on a defense that held opponents to just 314 YPG. This stout defensive play travels well and helps explain why the Eagles have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games on the road. BC is also 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games outside the ACC — and they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games against Mid-American Conference opponents. At quarterback, Addazio has yet to reveal if either junior Darius Wade or redshirt freshman Anthony Brown will get the start. Both will probably play. While I don’t like unsettled quarterback situations, I feel better about them when they are with teams with a defensive identity like BC. Eagles’ running back Jon Hilliman should continue the momentum of his great bowl game when facing this Huskies’ defense that was 88th in the nation last year by allowing 200.8 rushing YPG. |
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09-01-17 | Utah State v. Wisconsin -27.5 | 10-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Lay the points with the Wisconsin Badgers versus the Utah State Aggies. Frankly, these are too many points to lay (or probably take) in almost all situations in College Football. More often that not, the point spread winner will still be in doubt during garbage time in the 4th quarter where anything can make the difference regarding who will cash tickets. That all said, Utah State (0-0) has only one returning starter on their offensive line and just one returning starter on their defensive line which spells big trouble when facing this big Badgers team. With just ten starters returning from last year’s tough luck team with four net close losses in games decided by one possession, playing on the road at night against an experienced opponent is a very tough assignment. As it is, the Aggies have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games on the road as well as in 7 of their last 10 games in September. Wisconsin returns fifteen starters from the team that finished 11-3 last year — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of September. Six of those contests last year were against Top-Ten teams — this Badgers team is in a class above this Utah State program that has lost thirteen of their last seventeen games against mostly a lower class of competition. Lay the points with Wisconsin. Best of luck — Frank. Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports was a PERFECT 2-0 in College Football on Thursday to continue Frank’s RED HOT 8 of 12 (67%) CFB mark for 2017 — headlined by Frank DELIVERING his 5* CFB Big Ten Game of the Month on Ohio State that furthered a SCORCHING 7 of 9 (78%) Football Game of the Month/Year run! Now Frank UNLEASHES his 25* College Football Rivalry Game of the Year for Friday night’s Colorado-Colorado State showdown on the Pac-12 network! DO NOT MISS OUT! |
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09-01-17 | Colorado State +4 v. Colorado | Top | 3-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Colorado State Rams (151) plus the points versus the Colorado Buffaloes (152). Colorado (0-0) returns twelve starters from a team that finished 8-1 in the Pac-12 and 10-4 overall last season. But these Buffaloes lost a ton of the offensive and defensive leaders from the mix of twenty-three scholarship seniors from that team leaving plenty of holes on both sides of the line of scrimmage. The questions start at quarterback with redshirt sophomore Steven Montez being named the starter in spring practice for the graduated four-year starter Sefo Liufau. On defense, Colorado only returns three starters — including just one in their front seven — and has a new defensive coordinator in D. J. Eliot. The Buffaloes have failed to cover the point spread in expected high-scoring games with the Total set at least at 63. And with this Rivalry Game being played on the Broncos’ Sports Authority Field in Denver, Colorado is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a neutral field. |
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09-01-17 | Navy -9.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Navy Midshipmen (145) minus the points versus the Florida Atlantic Owls (146). Navy (0-0) opened as as a two-touchdown favorite in this game but they have been bet down to laying just 10 points or even less in some spots (as of this writing). There simply is inherent value on the Midshipmen in this contest who deserve to be laying close to 14 points against this Owls team. Navy lost their last three games last year — but remember that they were ravaged by injuries late in the season. Bettors may be overreacting to Lane Kiffin’s arrival in with the FAU program — but there is a reason why he has been fired at Tennessee and USC with no bigger program knocking on his door after Nick Saban dumped him after the National Semifinals. More on that below. This Midshipmen team’s spread triple option is tricky to prepare for — they averaged 37.9 PPG while totaling 438 YPG. They return junior Zack Abbey at quarterback who struggled when being thrown in to face a starving Army team in that series but who played well a few weeks later in the Armed Forces Bowl against Louisiana Tech by rushing for 114 yards and adding an intriguing passing element by throwing for 159 yards. On defense, seven of Navy’s top eight tacklers return. The Midshipmen are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games in the month of September. Navy has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams from Conference USA. |
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09-01-17 | Charlotte v. Eastern Michigan -14 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
At 6:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Eastern Michigan Eagles (142) minus the points versus the Charlotte 49ers (141). Eastern Michigan (0-0) will be very keen to take advantage of this opportunity to make a statement in front of their home fans in their debut this season as these situations will be rare this year for them with only five games being played in Ypsilanti. In fact, the Eagles will then have only three more home games before the Tuesday before Thanksgiving! This is the best team head coach Chris Creighton has had at Eastern Michigan in his fourth season with the program. He sees sixteen starters return from his 7-6 team last year that lost in their first bowl game since 1987 with a 23-20 loss to Old Dominion in the Bahamas Bowl — but this team will have benefited tremendously from the opportunity for a few more weeks of bowl practices. This is a team that has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against non-conference opponents. And in their last 4 games as a favorite, the Eagles have covered the point spread 3 times. They have a veteran offense returning this season with eight starters back from the group that scored 29.8 PPG along with accumulating 455 YPG. Senior quarterback Brogan Roback leads the charge as the former 4-star recruit has 23 starts under his belt while seeing his three starting receivers along with his starting tight end return this season. He should pick apart a 49ers’ secondary that returns two starters from a group that allowed 309.8 passing YPG with opponents passing for at least 275 yards eight times. |
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08-31-17 | Ohio State -20 v. Indiana | Top | 49-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (133) minus the points versus the Indiana Hoosiers (134). Ohio State (0-0) has been chomping on the bit to get back on the football field for eight full months after they were embarrassed in the National Semifinals by Clemson last New Year’s Eve by a 31-0 score. Not only was that just the third bowl loss ever for head coach Urban Meyer but it was the first time one of his teams was shut out in a bowl game. Meyer was not complacent in the offseason as he brought in former Indiana head coach Kevin Wilson to be his new offensive coordinator. Wilson’s schemes should make the Buckeyes more explosive on offense — look for more deep passing routes along with more crossing routes along with a faster pace on offense to help their elite talent better exploit opposing defenses. Wilson also gives Ohio State a huge advantage in this game when considering he coaches this Hoosiers team last season and knows this group that he recruited (especially on offense) quite well. The Buckeyes are loaded this season as they return fifteen starters from what was the youngest team in the nation last year — and they still feel bitterly disappointed by losing in the National Semifinals. Ohio State has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. |
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08-31-17 | TULSA v. OKLAHOMA STATE -17.5 | 24-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
At 7:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Oklahoma State Cowboys (200) minus the points versus the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (199). Oklahoma State (0-0) returns twelve starters from their team that finished 10-3 last season — and that culminated in a 38-8 win over the Colorado in the Alamo Bowl. Lets keep in mind that one of those losses was that game against Central Michigan where the referees robbed the Cowboys of a win in that last play of the game. Oklahoma State usually takes care of business against inferior opponents. The Cowboys have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 19 home games when laying 14.5 to 21 points — and that sharpens to them covering the point spread in 3 of their last 4 home games when laying 17 to 21 points. They have one of the best quarterback in the nation returning the season in senior Mason Rudolph with an absolutely loaded cast of characters for passing targets. One of the under-the-radar elements to this Mike Gundy program is how they win the Field Position Battle. Last year, Oklahoma State was 2nd in the FBS with a +8.8 net yardage edge in field position versus their opponents. This should help them pull away in this game on their home field. |
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08-26-17 | Rice v. Stanford UNDER 51.5 | Top | 7-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (297) and the Stanford Cardinal (298). Stanford (0-0) should be loaded for bear once again on defense this season as they return eight starters from a 10-3 team that won their last six games including beating North Carolina (and future Chicago Bears’ Hall of Fame quarterback Mitch Trubisky?) by a 25-23 score in the Sun Bowl. The Cardinal held their opponents to just 20.0 PPG and only 368 YPG. Stanford was 10th in the FBS with the most 3-and-outs on defense last year. Redshirt junior Keller Chryst returns as the starting quarterback but he missed all of spring ball from the injury he sistine in the Sun Bowl. Expect head coach David Shaw to rely on his defense along with a physical ground game with this team struggling to effectively execute the forward pass. The Cardinal has played 7 of their last 9 games in the first two weeks of the season Under the Total. Stanford has also played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 56 point range. |
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08-26-17 | Hawaii +3 v. UMass | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 0 h 11 m | Show | |
At 6:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (293) plus the points versus the Massachusetts Minutemen (294). Hawai’i (0-0) returns fourteen starters from their 7-7 team last year under first-year head coach Nick Rolovich. I like the energy that Rolovich has brought back to this football program. The offense has resurrected many of the old June Jones Run-and-Shoot principles that Rolovich learned as his quarterback. The Warriors have a good and feisty leader of their own in junior QB Dru Brown who completed 62% of his passes while enjoying a stretch last year where he made 118 throws without an interception. The team was 6-4 after he took over the starting duties. This is a team that typically starts the season well. Not only have they covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games in the first two weeks of the season but they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of August. Furthermore, Hawai’i has covered the point spread in all 3 of their road games with the Total set in the 56.6 to 63 point range under Rolovich. Furthermore, this team has a significant advantage with this game being played in Sydney, Australia as the Warriors played in this game last season as well. |
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08-26-17 | Oregon State +4 v. Colorado State | 27-58 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
At 2:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Oregon State Beavers (291) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (292). Oregon State (0-0) returns fifteen starters from the team that finished 4-8 last season. The Beavers did close their season with two straight wins and I am looking for this experienced group to make a big jump in their level of play in the third season under head coach Gary Andersen. The third season is typically the year that head coaches firmly see their fingerprints make the most impact on a football program — and remember that Andersen had a great program at Wisconsin before his surprising move out west. He decided early in Fall camp to give the offense to junior college transfer Jake Luton. The 6’7 junior has a big arm — and he beat out quality competition in incumbent starter Marcus Maryion from last season as well as former Utah State transfer Darrell Garretson. He returns plenty of weapons in his wide receiving group but he will be helped in this game by a deep group of running backs led by Ryan Nall. The junior rushed for 951 yards last year and his 6.5 Yards-Per-Carry average suggests he is a star in the making. Oregon State has covered the point spread in 7 straight games played on turf. And in their last 8 games against Mountain West Conference competition, the Beavers have covered the point spread 7 times. |
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01-09-17 | Clemson +6.5 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Clemson Tigers (151) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (152) in the National Championship Game. Clemson (13-1) was sluggish for much of the early part of the regular season — but they seem to be peaking now after they completely demolished a talented Ohio State team by a 31-0 score last Saturday. The outstanding Tigers’ defense held the Buckeyes to just 215 yards of offense in that game. Their defense should keep them competitive in this game. The Tigers held the Buckeyes to just 88 rushing yards last week — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 100 rushing yards in their last game. Clemson has also covered the point spread in 6 straight bowl games. Furthermore, head coach Dabo Swinney is very dangerous as the underdog where his Tigers’ teams have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games as an underdog in the 3.5-10 point range. |
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01-09-17 | Clemson v. Alabama OVER 51 | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Clemson Tigers (151) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (152) in the National Championship Game. These two teams played a scoring fest last season in Alabama’s 45-40 victory with that Total set in closing in the 50.5 point range. With both defenses coming off outstanding efforts — and with both coaches having a full calendar year to reconsider and make adjustments to their defensive game plans last year January 11th — it might be tempting to take the Under. However, major bowl games in the month of January between two major 1-A non- conference opponents have finished Over the Total in 58 of the last 86 situations where these conditions applied. Clemson (13-1) seems to be clicking on all cylinders on offense after generating 470 yards against an outstanding Ohio State defense in their 31-0 victory. Remember that Deshaun Watson passed for 478 yards last year while leading the Tigers to scoring 40 points against another elite Crimson Tide defense last year. And while Nick Saban has had a full year to fine-tune his potential defensive game plan, that has been the same old story for his defenses facing mobile quarterbacks for years going back even before Johnny Manziel. Moving forward, the Tigers have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after winning at least four straight. And Clemson has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. |
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01-02-17 | Auburn v. Oklahoma UNDER 67 | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 1 h 54 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (281) and the Oklahoma Sooners (282) in the Sugar Bowl. Oklahoma (10-2) won the Big 12 Championship with their 38-20 win over Oklahoma State in game where they rushed for 341 yards of offense. The Sooners have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Oklahoma has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Sooners have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against SEC opponents. And in their last 5 bowl appearances, Oklahoma has played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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01-02-17 | Auburn +3 v. Oklahoma | Top | 19-35 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Auburn Tigers (281) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (282) in the Sugar Bowl. Oklahoma (10-2) enters the Sugar Bowl as Big 12 Champions after their 38-20 win over Oklahoma State as 12-point favorite. The Sooners have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. While this Oklahoma team looks powerful on offense, they are very suspect on defense. They were 75th in the nation by allowing 29.7 PPG — and they rank even lower at 88th in the FBS by surrendering 439.8 total YPG. Additionally, the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 bowl games — most recently being their 37-17 shellacking at the hands of Clemson in the National Playoff Semifinals last year. Moving forward, Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games played on a neutral field. The Sooners have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against opponents outside the Big 12. |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State -1 v. Clemson | 0-31 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (273) minus the point(s) versus the Clemson Tigers (274) in the Fiesta Bowl in the National Semifinals. Ohio State (11-1) has won five straight games since their flukey loss to Penn State with their 30-27 double-overtime thriller over Michigan. This team should be very tough i this contest after missing the playoffs last season. The Buckeyes have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams outside the Big Ten. Ohio State has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games played on a neutral field. Furthermore, the Buckeyes have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 bowl games — and Urban Meyer-coached teams have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 bowl appearances. |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson OVER 58 | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (273) and the Clemson Tigers (274) in the Fiesta Bowl in the National Semifinals. Clemson (12-1) has won three straight games with their 42-35 win over Virginia Tech in the ACC Championship Game. Over their last five games, the Tigers have scored at least 35 points in all those contests — which likely spells this game being another high-scoring affair. Clemson has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. The Tigers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while QB DeShaun Watson passed for 288 yards in that contest, they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last contest. And this Clemson team has played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. |
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12-31-16 | Washington +14.5 v. Alabama | 7-24 | Loss | -120 | 0 h 22 m | Show | |
At 3:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Washington Huskies (269) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide in the Chick-Fil-A Bowl National Semifinal. Alabama (13-0) looks nearly invincible this season being the only undefeated team in the nation. But beware of teams looking to repeat as champions as the edge can sometimes be quite as razor thin the second time around. And remember how precarious things were for the team in the first quarter of the SEC Championship Game against Florida where they allowed a Gators’ touchdown and managed just 7 yards of offense and zero first downs before Florida mistakes on offense gave the Tide momentum they needed to overwhelm that team. This Huskies team is much more powerful on offense than that Gators team. Alabama also relies on a freshman quarterback in Jalen Hurts who has played well but is still brand new to the pressure of this situation. |
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12-30-16 | South Alabama v. Air Force OVER 54 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
At 5:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Arizona Bowl in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (261) and the Air Force Falcons (262). Air Force (9-3) enters this bowl game having won five straight games with their 27-20 win over Boise State as a 7-point underdog. The Falcons have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Behind their spread triple option, Air Force was 3rd in the nation by averaging 322.8 rushing YPG. This offense should churn out plenty of yards against this Jaguars’ defense that is 98th in the nation by surrendering 212.1 rushing YPG. Moving forward, the Falcons have played 4 of their last 5 games in the month of December Over the Total. Air Force has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral field. |
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12-29-16 | Oklahoma State v. Colorado -3 | 38-8 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Colorado Buffaloes (256) minus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (255) in the Alamo Bowl. Colorado (10-3) looks to bounce-back from a rough 41-10 loss to Washington in the Pac-12 Championship Game. Quarterback Sefo Liufau was clearly not at 100% and missed much of that game. The senior QB and leader of this team should enjoy a much healthier ankle for this contest. A -3 net turnover margin did the Buffaloes in for that contest as well. The Buffaloes should bounce-back with a strong effort as they have rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after both a straight-up loss as well as a point spread setback. Additionally, this team has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a loss by at least four touchdowns. Expect a spirited effort from the Colorado defense that will be their playing their last game under defensive coordinator Jim Leavitt who will be leaving to take the same position at Oregon. The Buffaloes defense held opponents to just 4.0 Yards-Per-Carry while also limiting them to an impressive 48% pass completion percentage. Moving forward, Colorado has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games with the Total set in the 56.5-63 point range, the Buffaloes have covered the point spread all 6 times. |
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12-29-16 | Oklahoma State v. Colorado OVER 63 | 38-8 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Take Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and the Colorado Buffaloes in the Alamo Bowl. Oklahoma State (9-3) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped in their last game in a 38-20 loss at Oklahoma as a 12-point underdog. The Cowboys have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Oklahoma State has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. And while the Cowboys surrendered a whopping 629 yards in that game, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Colorado looks to bounce-back from a 41-10 loss to Washington. The Buffaloes have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And while Colorado managed only 163 yards in that contest, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after failing to generate at least 275 yards in their last game. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.
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12-29-16 | Arkansas +7 v. Virginia Tech | 24-35 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
At 5:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Arkansas Razorbacks (253) plus the points versus the Virginia Tech Hokies (254) in the Belk Bowl. Arkansas (7-5) has lost two of their last three games with their 28-24 loss upset loss as a 7.5-point favorite at Missouri. Head coach Bret Bielema usually gets his teams to step up in big games — as TCU, Ole Miss and Florida can all attest to this season. The Razorbacks offense certainly peaked to close out the season by generating 661 and 503 yards in their last two games. The emergence of a healthy Rawleigh Williams at running back really has helped. This is a team that has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. And not only has Razorbacks rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread win. |
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12-29-16 | South Florida v. South Carolina +10.5 | 46-39 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
At 2:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the South Carolina Gamecocks (252) plus the points versus the South Florida Bulls (251) in the Birmingham Bowl. South Carolina (6-6) looks to close out their season on a winning note after dropping two of their last three games with their 56-7 loss to Clemson. In head coach Will Muschamp’s first year with the program, the future looks bright with freshman QB Jake Bentley along with freshman running back Rico Dowdle joining sophomore Deebo Samuel forming a dangerous young trio on offense. Expect the extra few weeks of practice to help the development of these emerging stars. Admittedly, the Gamecocks managed only 218 yards of offense against the stout Tigers’ defense, they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. South Carolina has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral field. |
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12-29-16 | South Florida v. South Carolina OVER 60 | 46-39 | Win | 100 | 1 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Over the Total in the game between the South Florida Bulls and the South Carolina Gamecocks. South Florida (10-2) has won four straight games after their 48-31 win over Central Florida. The Bulls did allow 338 passing yards in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. South Florida ranks 120th in the nation by giving up 482.1 total YPG. But led by QB Quinton Flowers, the Bulls are 9th in the FBS by generating 515.1 total YPG. The Over us 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against teams outside the American Athletic Conference. South Carolina (6-6) has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams outside the SEC. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank. Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports was a WINNING 3-2 in CFB Bowl action yesterday to further a RED HOT 10 of 14 (71%) CFB Bowl run along with a SENSATIONAL 41 of 63 (65%* CFB December Bowl mark! Now Frank KICKS OFF his Thursday card with the South Florida-South Carolina ATS winner in the Birmingham Bowl! Frank RAISES THE STAKES later today with his 25* College Football Game of the Month which tests his SCORCHING 6 of 8 (75%) CFB highest-rated 25* run! BANK on Frank! |
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12-28-16 | Kansas State v. Texas A&M -3 | 33-28 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Texas A&M (250) minus the point(s) versus the Kansas State Wildcats (249) in the Texas Bowl. Kansas State (8-4) has won three in a row after their 30-6 upset win at TCU to close pout their regular season as a 4-point underdog. The Wildcats have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Head coach Bill Snyder’s team won eight games despite only outgaining their opponents by +3.8 net YPG. Their +0.93 net turnover margin this season was tied for 7th best on the nation — but that is also a metric begging for an appearance from the Regression Gods. Kansas State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games outside the Big 12. And in their last 8 bowl appearances, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread 7 times. |
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12-28-16 | Indiana +6.5 v. Utah | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Indiana Hoosiers (247) plus the points versus Utah Utes (248) in the Foster Farm’s Bowl. Indiana (6-6) snapped a two-game losing streak to close out their regular season with a 26-24 win over Purdue to become bowl-eligible. But a philosophical difference with his Athletic Director compelled head coach Kevin Wilson to resign after completing his sixth year with the program. Defensive coordinator Tom Allen was elevated to full-time head coach moving forward and his presence in this new role should motivate his players that will have much to prove with him moving forward. With Allen as the leader of this team, the Hoosiers also retain a situational edge with his initial changes not be able to observed on tape by the Utes coaching staff. The Indiana defense improved significantly this season by holding teams to 372.6 total YPG which was 41st best in the nation. This is a team has played the big boys tough over the years. This year, the Hoosiers upset Michigan State early in October before their face while losing by just 5 points to Nebraska and 10 points on the road at Michigan. |
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12-28-16 | West Virginia +3 v. Miami (Fla) | 14-31 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
At 5:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the West Virginia Mountaineers (245) plus the point(s) versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (246) in the Russell Athletic Bowl. Miami (8-4) comes into this game on-fire with four straight wins — all by at least two touchdowns — after their 40-21 win over Duke. In the first-season under head coach Mark Richt and having recovered from a slew of injuries that contributed to their midseason four-game losing streak, it may be easy to take the Hurricanes in this game. But Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on field turf. Richt is also inheriting a blue blood program that has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight bowl games which may speak to their level of excitement in playing in lesser-tiered games. |
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12-28-16 | West Virginia v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 59 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
At 5:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Russell Athletic Bowl between the West Virginia Mountaineers (245) and the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (246). West Virginia (10-2) has won two in a row with their 24-21 win over Baylor to close out their regular season. The Mountaineers have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while QB Skylar Howard passed for only 111 yards in that game, they have then played 18 of their last 22 games away from home after failing to pass for at least 125 yards in their last game. Additionally, West Virginia has played a decisive 22 of their last 27 games Under the Total when playing on field turf. And the Mountaineers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. |
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12-28-16 | Northwestern +4.5 v. Pittsburgh | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 0 h 28 m | Show | |
At 2:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Northwestern Wildcats (243) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Panthers (244) in the Pinstripe Bowl. With the point spread stabilizing this morning and early afternoon at +4 for the Wildcats, lets take the underdog with a late play. Northwestern (6-6) may not have an above-.500 record this season — but they will be confident in this bowl game with a win at Iowa and a close 24-21 loss at Ohio State this year. The Wildcats come off a 24-21 win over Illinois to close out their regular season. Northwestern did allow 377 passing yards in that game — but they have then covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. The Wildcats held the Illini to just 57 rushing yards as well — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 18 games after not allowing more than 100 rushing yards. Pat Fitzgerald’s team plays good defense as they held their opponents to only 22.1 PPG while ranking 36th in the FBS by allowing only 136.7 rushing YPG. This team will be motivated as well after getting humiliated in the Outback Bowl on New Year’s Day last season. |
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12-27-16 | Baylor +7.5 v. Boise State | 31-12 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
At 10:15 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Baylor Bears (241) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (242). Baylor (6-6) began their season by responding to the controversies with their football team that eventually got Art Briles fired by winning six straight games. But then the Bears lost their final six games with four of them being upset losses as the wheels completely fell off for this team during Big 12 play. Baylor closed out their regular season with a solid effort that resulted in a 24-21 loss at West Virginia as a 17-point underdog. A -4 net turnover margin made the difference for the Bears who did outgain the Mountaineers despite playing in their stadium. The Bears did limit West Virginia to just 111 passing yards in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after allowing less than 170 passing yards in their last contest. For the season, Baylor outgained their opponents by +88.9 net YPG due to an explosive offense that was 5th in the FBS by averaging 523.3 total YPG. The team did lose their starting QB Seth Russell to a season-ending injury but true freshman Zack Smith has shown promise in his three starts and will benefit in the extra preparation of bowl practices. The team knows that Matt Rhule will be their head coach next season as he and much of his staff come over from Temple. Expect a spirited effort from this team in honor of Jim Grobe who will be coaching his last game with the program after taking over for Briles in the fall — and because the returning players want to make a good impression on their new coaching staff. Additionally, Baylor has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games in the month of December. |
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12-27-16 | Wake Forest +12.5 v. Temple | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (237) plus the points versus the Temple Owls (238) in the Military Bowl. Wake Forest (6-6) has lost three in a row — and five of their last six games — with their 17-14 loss to Boston College to close out their regular season as a 3-point favorite. The Demon Deacons have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. Wake Forest has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to score at least 20 points in their last game. Now third-year head coach Dave Clawson has the opportunity to take his team to their first bowl game. The Demon Deacons have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games with at least two weeks to prepare. Wake Forest has also covered the point spread in 7 straight games in the month of December. |
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12-27-16 | Army v. North Texas +11 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the North Texas Mean Green (236) plus the points versus the Army West Point Black Knights (235) in the Heart of Dallas Bowl. Army (7-5) earned their biggest win in over a decade with their 21-17 win over an injury-riddled Navy team as a 6-point underdog. The Black Knights look due for a letdown now. As it is, Army is just 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games after a straight-up win. The Black Knights have also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Army held the Midshipmen to just 211 yards in that contest — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last game. |
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12-26-16 | Vanderbilt +5.5 v. NC State | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
At 5:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Vanderbilt Commodores (233) plus the points versus the North Carolina State Wolfpack (234) in the Independence Bowl. NC State (6-6) closed out their regular season to become bowl eligible with their 28-21 win at North Carolina as a 9.5-point underdog. The Wolfpack rushed for 259 yards in that game — but they have then failed to cove the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Despite securing the bowl bid, this has been a disappointing season in the fourth year under head coach Dave Doreen after an 8-5 season in 2014 was followed by a 7-6 record last year. The team is not settled at quarterback with Boise State transfer Ryan Findley getting most of the snaps but sophomore QB Jalan McClendon still getting time. Don’t be surprised if McClendon gets more snaps tonight as this football team looks to the future. Furthermore, the Wolfpack have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against SEC opponents. |
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12-26-16 | Vanderbilt v. NC State OVER 45 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Over the Total in the Independence Bowl between Vanderbilt and NC State. The Wolfpack (6-6) rushed for 259 yards in their 28-21 upset win over North Carolina to close out their regular season. The Over is then 5-0-1 in NC State’s last 6 games after rushing for at least 200 yards. The Over is also 4-1-1 in the Wolfpack’s last 6 games against teams outside the ACC. Furthermore, NC State has played 4 straight bowl games Over the Total. Vanderbilt (6-6) has won two straight after their surprising 45-34 win over Tennessee. The Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Over is also 3-0-1 in the Commodores’ last 4 games against teams outside the SEC. The oddsmakers expect a low-scoring game with the number posted in the low-40s. Be contrarian and take the Over. Best of luck — Frank. Frank Sawyer is HEATING UP this bowl season with a NEAR PERFECT 5 of 6 (83%) Bowl run after Hawai’i PULLED THE UPSET on Saturday night! Frank has Hollywood Sports on a RED HOT 35 of 55 (64%) December Bowl run — and now he has the Vanderbilt-NC State ATS winner in the Independence Bowl this afternoon! BANK on Frank! |
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12-23-16 | Ohio +7 v. Troy | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio Bobcats (225) plus the points versus the Troy Trojans (226) in the Dollar General Bowl. Ohio (8-5) has lost two of their last three games after their 29-23 loss to Western Michigan in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game. The Bobcats have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after a loss by 6 points or less. And while Ohio surrendered 290 passing yards in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 24 of their last 33 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Bobcats lost the turnover battle for the third straight game against the Broncos. Not only has Ohio covered the point spread in 20 of the last 28 games after a -1 net turnover margin for at least two straight games but they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after losing the turnover battle for at least three straight games. The Bobcats have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Ohio has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of December. And in their last 11 games against teams outside the MAC, the Bobcats have covered the point spread 9 times. |
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12-22-16 | Colorado State v. Idaho +16.5 | 50-61 | Win | 100 | 0 h 23 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Idaho Vandals (220) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (219) in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. Idaho (8-4) has won four straight games entering the postseason after they crushed Georgia State by a 37-12 score as a 4-point favorite. Look for fourth-year head coach Paul Petrino to see his team build off their momentum with a better-than-expected performance. The Vandals have both covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Idaho has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a win by at least 20 points. This is a veteran team that returned forty-one lettermen and fourteen starters from last year. With this football program destined to move to the FCS in 2018, this is a rare opportunity for them to earn a bowl victory. They should also have the crowd edge with this game being played in Boise which is 219 miles away from their campus. |
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12-21-16 | BYU v. Wyoming +10.5 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Wyoming Cowboys (218) plus the points versus the Brigham Young Cougars (217) in the Poinsettia Bowl. Wyoming (8-5) limped into their first bowl since 2011 by losing three of their last four games. But the opportunity to play in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game continued the surprising development of this Cowboys team in the third-year under head coach Craig Bohl. The former North Dakota State head coach knows how to build championships — and his team should be dangerous in this spot. Remember, his Cowboys spit with San Diego State while defeating Air Force and Boise State — and these are all programs that compare well to BYU. There is an issue of Wyoming playing much better at home where they enjoy an altitude advantage. But consider their 52-17 loss back at Nebraska in the second week of the season. That score was actually just 24-17 in the 4th quarter before the Cornhuskers mustered a few big plays which helped them wear down the Cowboys. It is safe to say that Bohl’s team is much better three months later. Wyoming has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. The Cowboys have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-20-16 | Memphis +7 v. Western Kentucky | 31-51 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (215) plus the points versus the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (216) in the Boca Raton Bowl. Western Kentucky (10-3) enters their bowl game on a seven-game winning streak with their 58-44 win in the Conference USA Championship Game over Louisiana Tech on December 3rd. The Hilltoppers have won their last three games all by at least two touchdowns. But Western Kentucky may be due for a letdown in this contest. The Hilltoppers are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And while Western Kentucky generated 656 yards in that game, they are then 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 contests after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. This group will be playing without their head coach Jeff Brohm who has since taken the head coaching job at Purdue. Furthermore, the Hilltoppers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against teams outside Conference USA. |
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12-17-16 | Southern Miss v. UL-Lafayette +7 | Top | 28-21 | Push | 0 | 23 h 13 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (212) plus the points versus the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (211) in the New Orleans Bowl. Louisiana (6-6) became bowl eligible in their final regular game of the season when they defeated UL-Monroe by a 30-3 score on the road. The Ragin’ Cajuns have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Louisiana managed only 240 yards of offense in that game (zero in the air) — but they are then 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after failing to generate at least 275 yards of offense in their last game. Both QB Anthony Jennings (the former LSU starter) and running back Elijah McGuire were banged up in that game but should be in much better physical condition for this game. This is a program that brings their “A-Game” to the New Orleans Bowl where they have covered the point spread in 4 straight appearances. In fact, the Ragin’ Cajuns have won their last four New Orleans Bowls where they enjoy their biggest home crowd advantage of the season — and they were underdog winners in three of those contests. Louisiana looked destined to improve off their 4-8 record last season with had coach Mark Hudspeth entering for his sixth season with fourteen returning starters. They beat Nevada by a 16-3 score in the 2014 New Orleans Bowl so this group should be hungry to make a good impression in front of their Cajun crowd. |
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12-17-16 | Houston v. San Diego State +5.5 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
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12-17-16 | Texas-San Antonio v. New Mexico -9.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
At 2:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the New Mexico Lobos (202) minus the points versus the Texas-San Antonio Road Runners (201) in the New Mexico Bowl. UTSA (6-6) snapped their two-game losing streak — and earned their first bowl bid in program history — with their 33-14 win over Charlotte back on November 26th as a 12-point favorite. The Road Runners gave then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win. UTSA has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. This team has a significant disadvantage playing in their first-ever bowl in their five-year history. This is also the first bowl game as a head coach for Frank Wilson. Keep in mind that this team was outgained by their opponents by -23.6 net YPG this season. This is also a true road games for the Road Runners with this game being played on the Lobos’ home field in Albuquerque. UTSA was just 2-4 on the road with an average losing margin of -7.2 net PPG while being outgained by -91.0 net YPG. |
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12-10-16 | Army v. Navy UNDER 47 | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
At 3:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Army West Point Black Knights (103) and the Navy Midshipmen. Army West Point (6-5) enters this contest coming off a dominant 60-3 win over Morgan State back on November 19th. This team may experience some rust on offense with the three-week break. As it is, the Black Knights have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a bye week. Additionally, Army has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. And in their last 10 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game, the Black Knights have played 9 of these games Under the Total. This team does play outstanding defense as they rank 4th in the FBS by limiting teams to just 288.9 total YPG. Army has played 23 of their last 30 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record including six straight contests against winning teams. |
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12-10-16 | Army +4.5 v. Navy | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 1 h 28 m | Show |
At 3:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Army West Point Black Knights (103) plus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (104). Navy (9-3) limps into this game injured and without rest after they were crushed in the American Athletic Conference Championship Game last week by Temple by a 34-10 score. The Midshipmen lost their second starting quarterback to a season-ending injury in that game when Will Worth suffered a foot injury. Sophomore Zach Abbey will make the start for this game despite beginning the season as the third-stringer. Unfortunately, this Navy team has other injuries up and down both sides of the football besides at the quarterback position. This will also be the first time since 1941 that the Midshipmen will not have had more than one week to prepare for this rivalry game. This is a team that enjoyed five net close victories decided by just one scoring possession. It is telling that they only outgained their opponents by +20.6 net YPG. Army averages 328 rushing YPG — and Navy has failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games against teams that average at least 230 rushing YPG. |
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12-03-16 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -3 | 38-31 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Wisconsin Badgers (334) minus the point(s) versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (333). Wisconsin (10-2) has won six games in a row with their 31-17 win over Minnesota last week. The Badgers are then 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up win. Wisconsin generated 210 rushing yards in that contest — and they are then 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after gaining at least 200 rushing yards. This team boasts the nation’s 3rd best scoring defense by holding teams to just 13.7 PPG. They are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games played on field turf, the Badgers are 4-1-1 ATS. |
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12-03-16 | Virginia Tech +11 v. Clemson | Top | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (331) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (332). Virginia Tech has won five of their last six games after their 52-10 thumping of Virginia in their rivalry game. This is a underrated team flying under the radar but who have begun to thrive under first-year Justin Fuente and his up-tempo spread offense. Junior college transfer Jerod Evans has mastered this offense by leading the team in rushing while tossing 26 touchdown passes to just five interceptions. The Hokies outscore their opponents by +13.9 PPG while outgaining them by +121.2 net YPG. And while the Tigers held their opponents to 17.0 PPG, Virginia Tech has covered the point spread in 32 of their last 49 games against teams that do not allow more than 17 PPG. But perhaps the biggest development for this team this season is the resurgence of their defense under defensive coordinator Bud Carson who stayed with the program after Frank Beamer retired at the end of last season. Carson’s unit held ACC opponents to 80 YPG below their season average. |
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12-03-16 | San Diego State v. Wyoming OVER 56.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:45 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (329) and the Wyoming Cowboys (330). Wyoming (8-4) has lost two of their last three games after their 56-35 loss at New Mexico last week. The Cowboys surrendered a whopping 690 yards in that contest — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. Now Wyoming returns home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 13 of their last 18 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Cowboys have played 4 straight games Over the Total against Mountain West Conference opponents. Wyoming ranks 116th in the FBS by allowing 475.4 total YPG. The 491 YPG they allowed against conference opponents was 66 YPG higher than those teams conference average on offense. |
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12-03-16 | San Diego State -6 v. Wyoming | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:45 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the San Diego State Aztecs (329) minus the points versus the Wyoming Cowboys (330). San Diego State (9-3) will be looking to avenge a 34-33 loss at Wyoming back on November 19th. That began a two-game slide for head coach Rocky Long’s team that culminated in a 63-31 upset loss to Colorado State last week as an 11.5-point favorite. The Aztecs have been on cruise control for those two games after clinching their participation in this Championship Game tonight. Expect a strong effort tonight. San Diego State has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss. And while the Aztecs gave up 507 yards in that contest, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. San Diego State has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Aztecs have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. |
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12-02-16 | Colorado +8.5 v. Washington | Top | 10-41 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Colorado Buffaloes (305) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (306). Colorado (10-2) has won six in a row with their 27-22 win over Utah last week. The Buffaloes have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. And while Colorado failed to cover the 11.5-point spread in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread victory. With eighteen returning starters from last year in head coach Mike McIntyre’s third season, this team is really clicking now and will be a dangerous underdog in this contest. The Buffaloes have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-02-16 | Ohio +17 v. Western Michigan | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Ohio Bobcats (303) plus the points versus the Western Michigan Broncos (304). Ohio (8-4) has won four of their last five games down the stretch after their 9-3 win over Akron last week. The Bobcats have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a straight-up win. Ohio are big underdogs getting 17 points or so for this contest. But this is a gritty Bobcats team that has played seven of their twelve games within one scoring possession — and their biggest loss this season was a 9-point loss at Tennessee that is loaded with more talent then this solid Broncos team. Ohio has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And in the last 5 games played on a neutral field, Solich has seen his team cover the point spread 4 times. |
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11-26-16 | Wyoming v. New Mexico +3 | Top | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
At 10:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the New Mexico Lobos (222) plus the points versus the Wyoming Cowboys (221). New Mexico (7-4) saw their five-game winning streak snapped last week in a 49-31 loss at Colorado State last week. The Lobos have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, while New Mexico allowed 412 rushing yards in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Lobos have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 13 games in the month of November, New Mexico has covered the point spread 9 times. On their home field, the Lobos are 4-1 with an average winning margin of +11.4 PPG while outgaining their guests by +51.2 net YPG. |
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11-26-16 | Florida v. Florida State -7.5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
At 8:00 pM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (206) minus the points versus the Florida Gators (205). Florida State (8-3) has won five of their last six games with their 45-14 win at Syracuse last week. The Seminoles held the Orangemen to just 233 yards of offense in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. While Florida State was blown out earlier this season at Louisville, their other two losses were by a combined 5 points. They have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home. And in their last 7 games outside ACC play, the Seminoles have covered the point spread 6 times. |
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11-26-16 | South Carolina v. Clemson UNDER 50 | Top | 7-56 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the South Carolina Gamecocks (143) and the Clemson Tigers (144). South Carolina (6-5) enters this rivalry game having won four of their last five games with their 44-31 win over Western Carolina last week as a 30.5-point favorite. The Gamecocks have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, while South Carolina gained 588 yards in that game, they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Moving forward, the Gamecocks have played 5 straight games on the road Under the Total. And in their last 10 games in November, South Carolina has played 8 of these games Under the Total. |
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11-26-16 | Auburn +19 v. Alabama | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Auburn Tigers (173) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (174). Alabama (11-0) is the only remaining undefeated team in College Football after their 31-3 win over UT-Chattanooga last week. But with the Crimson Tide’s date already set in the SEC Championship Game, this team could be looking ahead just a bit. In fact, this Alabama team can lose this game but still reach the College Football Playoff (likely as the top seed still) if they defeat Florida to win the SEC next week. Those are not the best of circumstances to cover a double-digit point spread in a rivalry game. As it is, Alabama has failed to cover the point spread in 46 of their last 72 home games coming off a game that finished Under the Total. That game last week had a Total of 65.5 — and the Crimson Tide held the Moccasins to just 3.40 Yards-Per-Pay in that contest. But Alabama has failed to cover the point spread in 33 of their last 51 home games after holding their last opponents to 3.75 or less YPP. |
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11-26-16 | Notre Dame +17.5 v. USC | Top | 27-45 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (217) plus the points versus the Southern California Trojans (218). Notre Dame (4-7) lost their seventh game this season last week to Virginia Tech by a 34-31 score despite being a 1-point favorite. All seven off the Fighting Irish’s losses this season have been decided by one scoring possession. Despite their record, Notre Dame is outscoring their opponents by +4.8 PPG while outgaining them by +42.7 net YPG. The Fighting Irish should respond with a good effort as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. With this being the last game this season for this team that cannot reach bowl eligibility, expect a little extra from the Irish in this rivalry game. They have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 meetings with the Trojans. Furthermore, Notre Dame has covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 road games against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-75% range. And remember that in the 46 games Brian Kelly has coached as an underdog, his teams have covered the point spread 30 times. |
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11-26-16 | Illinois v. Northwestern UNDER 48.5 | 21-42 | Loss | -106 | 0 h 22 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (155) and the Northwestern Wildcats (156). Illinois (3-8) has lost two straight with their 28-0 loss to Iowa last week as an 8-point underdog. The Illini have then played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, while Illinois allowed 262 rushing yards in that contest, they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Illini has played 24 of their last 32 games Under the Total when playing on grass. |
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11-26-16 | Michigan +5 v. Ohio State | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 0 h 30 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan Wolverines (215) plus the points versus the Ohio State Buckeyes (216). Michigan (10-1) limps into The Game following up their loss at Iowa with a 20-10 win over Indiana as a 24-point favorite. Quarterback Wilton Speight did not play in that game — and he is listed as questionable for this contest. But the Wolverines have playmakers all over the field on both sides of the ball. Michigan has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a point spread loss. Former Houston Cougars starting QB John O’Korn passed for only 59 yards last week under center for Speight — but the Wolverines are then 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last contest. Furthermore, Michigan has covered the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. |
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11-25-16 | Texas Tech +6 v. Baylor | Top | 54-35 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
At 6:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (139) plus the points versus the Baylor Bears(140). Texas Tech (4-7) has lost three straight games as well as six of their last seven contests after a rough 66-10 upset loss at Iowa State despite being a field goal favorite. The Red Raiders have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Texas Tech is an impressive 21-6-2 ATS in their last 29 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Behind junior quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the Red Raiders boast the second most potent offense in the country that averages 553.3 YPG. Despite their losing record, this Texas Tech team is outgaining their opponents this season. They have endured four losses decided by one scoring possession. Moving forward, the Red Raiders have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games in the month of November. |
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11-25-16 | Toledo +9.5 v. Western Michigan | Top | 35-55 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 15 m | Show |
At 5:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Toledo Rockets (117) plus the points versus the Western Michigan Broncos (118). Western Michigan (11-0) looks to complete the regular season undefeated after their 38-0 win over Buffalo last week. This team has played only one close game this season decided by just one scoring margin — but that was against a middling Northwestern team. The Broncos are the number one team in the nation with a net turnover margin of +1.36 this season — but the pressure of remaining undefeated may change this dynamic. As it is, Western Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Broncos tend to struggle against teams possessing potent offenses. Western Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 home games against teams that average at least 5.9 Yards-Per-Play. The Broncos have also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 17 games against teams that complete at least 62% of their passes. And not only has Western Michigan failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 20 home games against teams that average at least 250 passing YPG but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 12 home games against teams that average at least 275 passing YPG. |
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11-25-16 | Nebraska +2.5 v. Iowa | 10-40 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 60 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Nebraska Cornhuskers (121) plus the points versus the Iowa Hawkeyes (122). Nebraska (9-2) has won two games in a row after their 28-7 win over Maryland last week as a 13-point favorite. The Cornhuskers are then 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win. Nebraska is also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. And while the Cornhuskers held the Terrapins to just 207 yards of offense, they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 275 yards of offense. This Nebraska team is outscoring their opponents by +7.2 net PPG. They are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games on the road, the Cornhuskers have covered the point spread 4 times. |
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11-25-16 | TCU v. Texas -3 | 31-9 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 41 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Texas Longhorns (128) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (127). Texas (5-6) comes off one of their most humiliating results in program history last week in a 24-21 loss in overtime at Kansas in a game where they committed six turnovers. That result most likely cost head coach Charlie Strong his job after losing to the perennial Big 12 doormats who had won only one game this season. Playing for pride and for their head coach, expect this Longhorns team to rebound with a strong effort against a key in-state rival. Texas managed only 165 passing yards last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards. And in their last 5 games at home, the Longhorns have covered the point spread in 4 of these games. |
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11-25-16 | Washington v. Washington State +6.5 | 45-17 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 40 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Washington State Cougars (138) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (137). Washington State (8-3) looks to bounce-back from a 38-24 loss at Colorado last week as a 6-point underdog. The Cougars have then rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, while Washington State allowed 258 rushing yards in that contest, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 29 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last contest. Moving forward, the Cougars have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record behind gunslinger Luke Falk at quarterback. And in their last 11 games at home, Washington State has covered the point spread in 9 of these games. |
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11-25-16 | TCU v. Texas UNDER 61 | Top | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
At 3:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (127) and the Texas Longhorns (128). TCU (5-5) has lost three of their lost four games with their 31-6 loss to Oklahoma State last week as 6-point favorites. The Horned Frogs have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, TCU has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double digit loss at home. And while the Horned Frogs surrendered 334 rushing yards in that game, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, TCU has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, the Horned Frogs have played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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11-24-16 | LSU -6.5 v. Texas A&M | 54-39 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
At 7:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the LSU Tigers (113) minus the points versus the Texas A&M Aggies (114). LSU (6-4) was flat last week — and without six injured starters — in a 16-10 loss to Florida last week. The Tigers lost this contest despite outgaining the Gators by +163 net yards. Look for a strong bounce-back effort for this LSU team that will be motivated to provide a strong performance to defend their interim head coach Ed Orgeron whose fate will be determined soon after this game. The Tigers have covered there point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score at least 20 points. LSU did play great on defense as they held Florida to just 270 total yards with just 144 of those yards in the air. The Gators have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last game. Florida has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last contest. Furthermore, the Gators have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. |
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11-22-16 | Ball State v. Miami (OH) UNDER 54 | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals (103) and the Miami (OH) Redhawks (104). Miami (OH) (5-6) has won five straight games with their 35-24 win at Buffalo last week. The Redhawks play outstanding defense as they rank 23rd in the nation by holding their opponents to just 347.5 total YPG. Miami (OH) has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Additionally, the Redhawks have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 5 games at home, Miami (OH) has played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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11-19-16 | Air Force -10 v. San Jose State | 41-38 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
At 10:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Air Force Falcons (413) minus the points versus the San Jose State Spartans (414). San Jose State (3-7) has lost two of their last three games with their 45-31 loss at Boise State back on November 4th as a 31-point underdog. The Spartans have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. San Jose State is also just 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 games after a bye week. Now the Spartans return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. San Jose State has also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games in the month of November. |
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11-19-16 | USC v. UCLA +14 | Top | 36-14 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 43 m | Show |
At 10:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the UCLA Bruins (406) plus the points versus the USC Trojans (405). USC (7-3) is riding right now with six straight wins after they pulled the big upset last Saturday by knocking off one of the few remaining undefeated teams in Washington by a 26-13 score despite being an 8.5-point underdog. Much of the reason for the Trojans improved play has been redshirt freshman Sam Darold. But this is now a team that looks primed for a letdown after this signature win under head coach Clay Helton. USC enjoyed a 17-6 lead at the half in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 28 of their last 37 road games after not allowing more than 7 points in the first half of their last game. The Trojans have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. And in the last 8 games on the road overall, USC has failed to cover the point spread 6 times. |
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11-19-16 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia +3.5 | 56-28 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the West Virginia Mountaineers (342) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (341). Oklahoma (8-2) finds themselves back in the College Football Playoff picture after a 45-24 win over Baylor along with three of the top four ranked teams in the country losing last week. Expect a letdown now for this team in this difficult game on the road in a nationally televised contest when plenty on the line. As it is, the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a win by at least 20 points. Oklahoma has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread win after being 19.5-point favorites against the Bears. Furthermore, the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. While this team has eight wins, three of them have been determined by one scoring possession which gives them three net close wins determined by one possession. |
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11-19-16 | Ole Miss v. Vanderbilt +9.5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Vanderbilt Commodores (366) plus the points versus the Mississippi Rebels (365). Ole Miss (5-5) has won two straight games after their pulled off a nice upset in a 29-28 win at Texas A&M as a 6.5-point underdog. But with all this team playing for is likely bowl-eligibility, an emotional letdown against the doormats of the SEC seems likely. The Commodores struggle to score points — but the Rebels allow their opponents to score 36.2 PPG along with 466.5 total YPG when they are on the road. That helps explain why Mississippi has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games on the road. Ole Miss has also failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games in the month of November. |
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11-19-16 | Texas -23.5 v. Kansas | 21-24 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Longhorns (397) minus the points versus the Kansas Jayhawks (398). Texas (5-5) looks to bounce-back from a 24-20 loss to West Virginia last week as a 1-point underdog. The Longhorns have then rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Texas has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. Now this Longhorns team goes back on the road where they have covered they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record at home. |
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11-19-16 | Oregon +13 v. Utah | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 1 h 28 m | Show | |
At 2:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Oregon Ducks (411) plus the points versus the Utah Utes (412). Oregon (3-7) has lost two in a row with their 52-27 loss to Stanford as a 3-point underdog. The Ducks outgained the Cardinal by 40 yards in that contest but a -4 net turnover margin ruined their chances to stay competitive in that contest. Oregon has then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a double-digit loss. The Ducks have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games after a game where they turned the ball over at least three times. Three net close losses decided by one scoring possession has soured the Oregon campaign this season. But their prolific offense that ranks 21st in the nation by averaging 494.1 total YPG keeps them competitive when playing on the road. The Ducks are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 road games — and they are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games on the road against teams with a winning record at home. |
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11-19-16 | Oklahoma State v. TCU -6 | 31-6 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 36 m | Show | |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (406) minus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (405). TCU (5-4) snapped their two-game losing streak with a dominant 62-27win at Baylor as a 7-point underdog back on November 5th. The Horned Frogs generated 688 yards of offense in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, TCU has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after a bye week. This team has seen three of their four losses this season decided by one scoring possession. They are outgaining their opponents by a decisive +99.2 net YPG. Moving forward, the Horned Frogs have covered the point spread in 6 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, TCU has covered the point spread in 5 of these games. |
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11-19-16 | UL-Lafayette v. Georgia UNDER 44.5 | Top | 21-35 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 49 m | Show |
At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (349) and the Georgia Bulldogs (350). Georgia (6-4) has won two games in a row with their 13-7 win over Auburn last week as an 8.5-point underdog. The Bulldogs have then played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Georgia has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Moving forward, the Bulldogs have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total at home. And in their last 7 games against teams outside the SEC, Georgia has played all 7 games Under the Total. |