College Football Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
11-18-16 |
Memphis v. Cincinnati +7 |
|
34-7 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bearcats (315) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (316). Memphis (6-4) has lost three of their last four games after a 49-42 loss to South Florida as a 3.5-point underdog last week. The Tigers have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after a game where at least 80 combined points were scored. Memphis has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Tigers are just 9-24-1 ATS in their last 34 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while Memphis scored 51 points in their previous contest, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after scoring at least 37 points in two straight games. Moving forward, the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
Cincinnati (4-6) has lost five of their last six games with their 24-3 loss at Central Florida. The Bearcats how return home where they are just 3-3 this season. But home field has offered Cincinnati a strong advantage over the years as they entered the season with a 26-5 mark straight-up including a 5-1 record at home last year. The Bearcats also tend to play the Tigers tough as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 meetings with Memphis. And while the Tigers are outscoring their opponents by +12.0 PPG, Cincy has covered then point spread in 38 of their last 56 games against teams that outscore their opponents by double-digits. Together, these team trends produce our specific 93-32-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with the Cincinnati Bearcats (315) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (316). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-17-16 |
Louisville v. Houston +16 |
Top |
10-36 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Houston Cougars (312) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (311). This Houston team (8-2) was the toast of College Football early in September when they followed up their upset win over Florida State in the Chick-Fil-A Bowl last season with a second-straight upset win over Oklahoma to begin their season. That victory immediately put the Cougars into the College Football Playoff conversation with head coach Tom Herman quickly becoming the top candidate for a handful of coaching jobs at blue-blood programs. But high expectations did not serve this team well. A loss at Navy and their unique spread triple option was followed by a lackluster victory at home over Tulsa and then a shocking loss at SMU. Houston picked up the pieces last week to defeat Tulane by a 30-18 score despite being a 27-point favorite. But now the Cougars get to play their preferred role as the spoiler. They still have an outstanding quarterback in Greg Ward Jr. who can give this Cardinals’ defense fits with their preparation on a short week. Houston also sports a defense that ranks 9th in the nation by holding opponents to just 303.3 total YPG. They have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game.
Louisville (9-1) finds themselves back in the College Football Playoff picture with three teams in the Top Four losing last week while they won their fifth straight game in a 44-12 win over Wake Forest. But with the Cardinals facing the pressure of high expectations again themselves, this difficult contest on the road could completely ruin those aspirations. As it is, Louisville is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a win by a least 20 points. The Cardinals are also 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. Louisville may escape with the victory in this contest — but it will be much closer than the point spread suggests. 25* CFB Thursday Night Game of the Year with the Houston Cougars (312) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (311). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-16-16 |
Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 63 |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies (307) and the Eastern Michigan Eagles (308). Eastern Michigan (6-4) looks to build off a 48-41 win at Ball State last week as a small 1.5-point underdog. The Eagles have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Eastern Michigan has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Eagles have played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total.
Northern Illinois (3-7) looks to bounce-back from a 31-24 loss to Toledo last week. The Huskies did rush for 214 yards in that game — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Additionally, Northern Illinois has played a decisive 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total in the month of November. And in their last 9 road games against teams with a winning record at home, the Huskies have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 48-9 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies (307) and the Eastern Michigan Eagles (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-16-16 |
Northern Illinois -1.5 v. Eastern Michigan |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Northern Illinois Huskies (307) minus the points versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles (308). Northern Illinois (3-7) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last week with a 31-24 loss to Toledo in a game that likely ruined their chances to erase a four-game losing streak in bowl games. Expect fifth-year head coach Rod Carey to rally his troops to play out the string with pride and good efforts. Despite their losing record, they are outgaining their opponents in yardage this season. They generated 214 rushing yards in that contest against the Rockets — and they are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. This ground game travels on the road as well — not only are they 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games on the road but they are also 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Huskies have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the month of November. And in their last 18 games against Mid-American Conference opponents, Northern Illinois is 12-5-1 ATS.
Eastern Michigan (6-4) snapped their two-game losing streak last week in a 48-41 win at Ball State. This is a team that benefited from a +2 net turnover margin in that contest due to the Cardinals committing five turnovers in that game. That was the Eagles’ fourth game decided by one scoring possession — and they have won all four of those contests. But this Eastern Michigan is only outscoring their opponents by +0.3 PPG and outgaining these foes by only +7.1 net YPG with both those metrics suggesting this team is not quite as good as their record suggests. The Eagles have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game — and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. This team has not enjoyed much of any home field advantage either as they have failed to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 52 games at home including nineteen of their last twenty-six home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Eastern Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. Lastly, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games in November. Together, these team trends produce our specific 113-41-6 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Mid-American Conference Game of the Year with the Northern Illinois Huskies (307) minus the points versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-15-16 |
Ohio v. Central Michigan |
|
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Central Michigan Chippewas (304) plus (or minus) the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (303). Ohio (7-3) has won three straight games after their 34-10 win over Buffalo back on November 3rd. The Bobcats have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a win by at least 20 points. Senior quarterback Greg Windham is listed as questionable for this team. That is not a good sign for a team that risks seeing their aspirations to reach the MAC Championship Game put in jeopardy with a loss on the road.
Central Michigan (5-5) has lost three straight games after their 37-17 loss at Miami (OH) back on November 4th. The Chippewas managed only 50 rushing yards in that contest — but they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Central Michigan is also 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a bye week. Despite their .500 record, the Chippewas are outgaining their opponents by +45.3 net YPG. While this team has no chance of winning the West Division of the conference, they still can play the role of the spoiler. CMU is outscoring their guests by +6.0 PPG when they are playing at home. 25* CFB Tuesday Night Special Feature with the Central Michigan Chippewas (304) plus (or minus) the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (303). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-15-16 |
Ohio v. Central Michigan UNDER 51.5 |
|
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ohio Bobcats (303) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (304). Ohio (7-3) has won three straight games with their 34-10 win over Buffalo back on November 3rd. The Bobcats have then seen the Under go 21-7-1 in their last 28 games after a straight-up win. Ohio has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a bye week. And while Ohio allowed 308 passing yards in that game, they have then played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last contest. Moving forward, the Under is 4-0-1 for the Bobcats when playing on the road.
Central Michigan (5-5) has lost three in a row with their 37-17 loss at Miami (OH). The Chippewas have then played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total after two straight losses. Additionally, while CMU has managed only 50 and 105 rushing yards in each of their last two games, they have then played 12 of their last 15 home games Under the Total after two straight games where they failed to rush for at least 125 yards. Furthermore, the Chippewas have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, Central Michigan has played all 6 games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 80-18-2 combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Ohio Bobcats (303) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-15-16 |
Kent State v. Bowling Green UNDER 55 |
|
7-42 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kent State Golden Flashes (301) and the Bowling Green Falcons (302). Kent State (3-7) has lost three of their last four games with their 37-21 loss to Western Michigan last Tuesday. The Golden Flashes rushed for 220 yards in that contest — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total. Kent State has also played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 28 games against fellow Mid-American Conference foes, the Under is 19-8-1.
Bowling Green (2-8) won their second game of the season last Wednesday in a 38-28 win at Akron. The Falcons have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Bowling Green has also played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total in the month of November. Furthermore, the Falcons have played 17 of their last 21 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 78-25-1 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Kent State Golden Flashes (301) and the Bowling Green Falcons (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-10-16 |
Utah -6 v. Arizona State |
|
49-26 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Utah Utes (115) minus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (116). Utah (7-2) saw their three-game winning streak snapped in their last game back on October 29th in a 31-24 loss to Washington. The Utes did rush for 213 yards in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Utah has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games following a bye week. The Utes are capable road warriors as they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Utah has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games against teams with a winning record.
Arizona State (5-4) is on a three-game losing streak with their 54-35 loss at Oregon back on October 29th. Defense was the biggest issue for the Sub Devils in that game as he allowed 734 total yards in that game including 489 yards in the air. Arizona State has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. And while the Sun Devils gained 468 yards in that contest, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Despite their winning record, Arizona State is being outscored by -0.9 PPG while being devastated in the yardage battle by -118.5 net YPG. The Sun Devils have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 69-25 combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Thursday Late Show Bailout with the Utah Utes (115) minus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (116). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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11-10-16 |
North Carolina v. Duke +11.5 |
|
27-28 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Duke Blue Devils (112) plus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels (111). Duke (3-6) has lost three in a row with their 24-21 loss at Virginia Tech as a 13-point underdog. The Blue Devils have then rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss. Duke has also covered the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, while the Blue Devils allowed 207 rushing yards in their last contest against the Hokies, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. This team may have lost six of their nine games but they are both outscoring their opponents by +0.2 PPG while outgaining their opponents by +5.1 net YPG. Furthermore, in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, Duke has covered the point spread 4 times.
North Carolina (7-2) has won three in a row after their 48-20 win over Georgia Tech. The Tar Heels rushed for 283 yards in that contest — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. North Carolina also surrendered 334 yards in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 20 rushing yards in their last game. This Tar Heels’ team has benefited from three net close victories determined by one scoring possession. Their run defense ranks just 104th in the FBS by allowing 217.3 rushing YPG. Lastly, North Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Together, these team trends produce our specific 47-16 combined angle for this situation. 4* CFB play with Duke. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-10-16 |
UL-Lafayette v. Georgia Southern UNDER 45.5 |
Top |
33-26 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (113) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (114). UL-Lafayette (3-5) has lost four of their last five games with their 23-13 loss to Idaho in their last game. The Under is then 4-1-1 in the Ragin’ Cajuns last 6 games after a loss. UL-Lafayette passed for 161 yards in that game — and the Under is then 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after not passing for at least 161 yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Under is 3-1-2 in UL-Lafayette’s last 6 games on the road. And in their last 7 games against Sun Belt opponents, the Under is 6-0-1.
Georgia Southern (4-5) has lost five of their last six games with their 37-27 loss at Ole Miss last week. The Eagles were 28-point underdogs in that game — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Georgia Southern rushed for 267 yards in that game — but they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. The Eagles gun triple-option offense will likely be slowed down by a tough Ragin’ Cajuns run defense that ranks 29th in the FBS by holding teams to just 126.6 rushing YPG. Moving forward, Georgia Southern has played 4 straight home games Under the Total. And in their last 16 games against Sun Belt foes, 13 of these games finished Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 44-7-5 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Thursday Night Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (113) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (114). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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11-09-16 |
Toledo v. Northern Illinois UNDER 71 |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (105) and the Northern Illinois Huskies (106). Northern Illinois (3-6) has won two straight games with their 45-20 win over Bowling Green last week. The Huskies have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. And while Northern Illinois rushed for 286 yards in that contest, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Moving forward, there Huskies have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total in the month of November. And in their last 8 games against conference opponents, Northern Illinois has played 6 of these games Under the Total.
Toledo (7-2) comes off a 48-17 win at Akron last week. The Rockets did allow 348 passing yards in that game — but they have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Moving forward, this game is being played on a neutral field — and Toledo has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. And in their last 9 games against Mid-American Conference opponents, the Under is 6-2-1. Lastly, the Rockets have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in then month of November. Together, these team trends produce our specific 48-13-1 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Toledo Rockets (105) and the Northern Illinois Huskies (106). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-09-16 |
Bowling Green v. Akron UNDER 71.5 |
Top |
38-28 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Bowling Green Falcons (107) and the Akron Zips (108). Bowling Green (1-8) lost their seventh straight game with their 45-20 loss at Northern Illinois as a 17-point underdog last week. The Falcons have then played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while Bowling Green rushed for only 90 yards in that game, they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Moving forward, despite this team playing at their lighting “Falcons Fast” pace, they typically play games below the number in situations like this. Bowling Green has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when on the road. And in their last 4 games in the month of November, the game has finished Under the Total all 4 times.
Akron (5-5) has lost three of their last four games with their 48-17 loss to Toledo last week. The Zips have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Akron has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Moving forward, the Zips have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing at home. And in their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, Akron has played 6 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 68-19 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Mid-American Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Bowling Green Falcons (107) and the Akron Zips (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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