30*

Arkansas +7

20*

Wake Forest +12.5

30*

Philadelphia 76ers +7.5

40*

Boston College +2

50* NFL Christmas MAX BET

Pittsburgh Steelers -5

The two main factors landing us on the Steelers is the obvious revenge angle for Pittsburgh (lost 4 straight in this series) and the fact that the Ravens have been a disaster away from home this season. The Ravens are just 1-5 ATS on the road this year (lost 5 straight) and these losses haven't been against the greatest competition. They lost outright to the Jets, barely won straight up against the Jags (lost ATS), and went down 20-0 to the Browns, but won 25-20. However, they failed to cover the number.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are arguably playing the best ball in the NFL right now. They have won 5 straight and what's so impressive about this is that they won 4 of these on the road. Big Ben is nearly unstoppable at home in December. The Steelers have covered the number in 13 of their last 16 in the final month of the season. This is a HUGE spot for the Steelers as they can clinch the division and knock their hated rivals out of the playoffs in the process. Look for the Steelers to take care of business at Heinz Field and if they do so, I expect this team to make a deep run in the post season. 

Injury update: As noted, this was going to be a 5% play if Jimmy Smith was ruled out. He is clearly their difference maker on defense. When he is playing, the Ravens are the #1 defense and #6 against the pass. With him out, Baltimore is the #27 defense and DEAD LAST (#32) against the pass!

30*

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3

20*

Oakland Raiders -3.5

The Colts looked like world beaters last week against the Vikings. I believe they are due for a serious let down here. Indy is just 1-6 ATS in their next game after scoring 30+ points in their previous game. The Colts have also covered the spread just 1 time in their last 7 games following a straight up win. Another juicy nugget is that the Colts are in a rare spot that has happened only 3 times prior to this since 2010. Teams that won by 21+ points as a dog and are the underdog again the next week, these teams are 0-3. This proves that they get overvalued.

This line just looks way too short. With home field advantage typically being 3 points, oddsmakers are saying these two teams would be even on a neutral field. I don't think so. Yes, this may be a trap but I can't ignore the numbers and the fact that there is no doubt the Oakland Raiders are head and shoulders above the Colts.

For what it's worth, I do lean to the over here as well.

20*

San Diego State -3.5

20*

CS-Fullerton +2.5

30*

Long Beach State -3

30*

Southern Illinois -6

20*

Murray State -4.5

20*

Manhattan -2

40*

East Tennessee State -4

20*

Siena +2

20*

Cornell +3

20*

Detroit Pistons -6

30*

Illinois -7

20*

Denver Nuggets -4

20*

Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5

40* NFL VEGAS INSIDER

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5

It's never a bad thing to back a team that's on a winning streak. Tampa Bay is playing some of the best football in the entire league right now. During their 4 game win streak, they destroyed Chicago, did the near impossible by beating the Chiefs IN Kansas City, suffocated the Seahawks, and avoided almost a sure letdown and beat San Diego on the road. The Saints are polar opposite.

Besides sneaking out a win vs. Seattle at home, this team has beat up on a few cupcakes and that was it. They won an emotional home game against the Rams and trounced the dreadful 49ers. Last week was telling on who/what the Saints are as a football team. They were completely out played at home, which all but ended their hopes at the playoffs. They have to finish the season with 3 out of 4 on the road against TB, Arizona, and Atlanta. All I can say is "good luck." Some quit might come over these Saints players if they get down in this game. Part of why they are so bad is that dumpster fire secondary and defense. They might get embarrassed with how hot the passing attack is for Tampa Bay right now. 

This line is low because of the Bucs history at home against the number. However, this has given us solid value especially with this game being under a field goal. TB is getting hot at the right time. All signs point to buy on the Buccaneers and sell on the Saints.

50* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH

Washington Redskins -1

As up to right now, this game is the Washington Redskins season. They lose this winnable game here and drop 3 in a row, stick a fork in them. However, they are right back in the thick of things with a strong performance Sunday. Washington is expected to have Jordan Reed and Trent Williams back for this game, which should give a huge boost to this already potent offense that ranks #2 in the NFL. The problem with the Skins is their defense but they are facing an Eagles offense that is stuck in the mud. After a hot 3-0 start, the Eagles have lost 7 of 9, 5 of 6, and 3 straight. Part of this is because Carson Wentz has regressed big time. His decision making has been horrendous and he is forcing balls into tight coverage. The Eagles have only scored 42 points COMBINED during their 3 game losing streak. 

If there was one game where the Redskins defense had their best game, it was against the Eagles. They had 5 sacks on Wentz and the Eagles didn't score an offensive TD (KO return and pick 6.) Washington has won 4 straight and covered 5 straight vs. the Eagles. The Skins are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

20*

Milwaukee Bucks -3.5

30* NFL Thursday Night Football BEST BET

Kansas City Chiefs -3

A few key factors have us on the Chiefs tonight. For starters, playing on Thursday night typically favors the home team and it does even more so tonight as it's supposed to be ice cold in KC. In cold weather games, you want to back the team with the better defense, better turnover margin, and the more disciplined team (penalties.) Put a check mark by KC on all 3 of those categories. KC is definitely a team you want to have your money on. They have been dynamite in the regular season the last 2 years and they don't quit. KC has trailed in 6 games this year by a touchdown or more and has come back to win the game. That is a sign of a well coached football team. Arrowhead is one of the toughest places to play in the game and these fans are going to be rocking tonight knowing what's at stake. The Chiefs OWNED the Raiders last time they faced in Oakland as they ran all over them. Imagine what they should do at Arrowhead.

20*

Philadelphia 76ers +9

50* CBB VEGAS INSIDER

Long Beach State -8

This is the definition of a "fishy" line or a line that's "too good to be true." Vegas doesn't give away money. 9 times out of 10, when a line is like this, Vegas is right. They are begging for Pepperdine money here. A 1-9 LBSU team is laying 3 possessions? Well if you look closer, this team has played one hell of a schedule. They have played 9 straight on the road which included games vs. Kansas, Wichita State, Louisville, UNC, UCLA, and Washington. Obviously they didn't win any of these games but now they are battle tested and they'll be a much better team for it. As they say, "you only get smarter by facing a smarter opponent." Some home cooking is exactly what LBSU needs and they have done extremely well at home. This is just their 2nd home game this season (they won their first by 36) and they get to face a Pepperdine team playing their first true road game of the year. Long Beach has covered 4 straight as a home favorite and Pepperdine has lost 4 straight on the road against the number. I expect the 49ers to win by double digits tonight.

20*

Charlotte Hornets -5

Big time revenge spot here for Charlotte as Detroit handed them their worst loss of the season just a week ago. The Pistons are playing their 2nd of a back to back, after beating Chicago last night at home. Detroit is much worse on the road, going 4-8 with a score differential of -3.6 points.

20*

California -1

30*

Miami Heat -1

20*

Detroit Pistons -6

20*

Orlando Magic +3

30* NFL Monday Night Football BEST BET

Indianapolis Colts -1

I know this may seem like the "square" play but there are too many reasons to back the Colts tonight. With this total being so high, oddsmakers are expecting points to be scored in this game, which favors Indianapolis. The Colts have had a bit of a bye week (playing Thursday then not again until Monday) and it couldn't have come at a better time. They are expected to have Luck, Mathis, Hilton, and Davis back and the extra time to prepare. Obviously the defense is the weakness of the Colts but these extra few days will certainly help the game-plan, which should be do whatever to stop the run and make it a battle of Luck vs. Fitzpatrick. I'll take Luck every time, especially since the Jets pass defense allows nearly 7 yards per pass and rank 22nd in the NFL in passing yards per game.

As for a motivational standpoint, Indy clearly has more to play for in this game. If they win this game and take care of business next week at home against Houston, they'll sit atop of the AFC South. The Jets could be in for a let down here. They played their "Super Bowl," if you will, last week against New England and fell short blowing the lead late. This reminds me of our GOY last night. We faded Carolina after squandering a late lead against Oakland, all but ending their season. Well, the Panthers got crushed and looked lifeless out there. I am expecting a similar result here. Only thing from making this a huge play is that this is a home, primetime game for the Jets, so they could show some passion tonight. If this was just your regular 1pm EST Sunday game, Indy wins going away. However, we still love this play and we'll make a 3% wager tonight.

50* NFL Sunday Night Football GAME OF THE YEAR

Seattle Seahawks -7

Man, where do I even begin? For starters, Carolina is one of the worst bets on the road in the NFL. They are just 1-4 straight up this season away from Charlotte and have covered the spread twice in their last 9 road contests. For all this Panther bashing, we actually had Carolina last week on the road, but that was because of a TERRIBLE spot for Oakland and they (Carolina) still only managed to cover by the hook, when they should have won the game. After coming back and blowing the late lead, I feel as that was the straw that broke the camel's back on this Panther season. Yes, they still have a slim chance to make the playoffs, but they have to win out and it starts by having to win a back-to-back west coast road game at the toughest place to play in the game (Seattle) against the best defense in the league. Good luck with that. If they fall behind early and the crowd starts roaring, goodnight Carolina.

Seattle's weakness has always been the road and they proved that yet again with a real stinker at Tampa Bay. Russell Wilson had one of the worst games of his career and it had the feeling as if Seattle was simply looking past the Buccaneers. You know they are going to have a focused week of practice after that poor showing and they should bounce back nicely here. The Seahawks are an amazing 20-8 ATS following a straight up loss. Another angle I love about this game is that Seattle has playoff revenge. You always remember what team ended your season the year prior, and what better way to get back at them by blowing them out on your home turf.

30* NFL Giants/Steelers BEST BET

Pittsburgh Steelers -6

It's Big Ben in December. Ben and the Steelers are 39-13, since 2004, in the final month of the year and have won 7 of their last 8 since 2014. This line is definitely fishy. It looks way too easy to take New York here. An 8-3 team getting a TD? Well, everyone is lining up right now to take the G-men and we'll gladly fade the masses.

The Giants success is definitely smoke and mirrors. Yes, they are 8-3, but their schedule has been soft. They haven't faced a winning/good team in 5 weeks. They beat LA, Philly, Cincy, Chicago, and Cleveland. New York didn't look impressive at all against Chicago or Cleveland and easily could have lost to the two worst teams in the NFL. They have also benefited from playing only 4 road games so far this season (LA-neutral.) They now have to play back to back road games and New York hasn't covered the spread in 8 tries, facing a team with a winning home record. 

Pittsburgh sits at 6-5 and needs this game like blood for the playoff hunt. The Steelers have bounced back nicely with two straight wins after losing 4 straight, but look who they faced. They lost to Miami (who is on fire and Ben was injured,) New England (no Ben,) Baltimore, and Dallas.

The Giants are one dimensional and simply can't run the rock. If Pittsburgh's secondary can have a solid night, they will cruise.

30*

Buffalo Bills +3

This is definitely the pros/joes game. This line stinks. Standard home field advantage is 3 points. So you mean to tell me these two teams would be pick on a neutral field? Something is up. Big bettors I have spoken with are all making huge plays on Buffalo. Let's follow them plus the points here.

20*

West Virginia -17.5

20*

Minnesota Timberwolves ML -110

30*

Maryland -4

First true road game for Pittsburgh and Maryland has been dynamite at home. The Pitt Panthers have not fared well against the number on the road or against the Big 10. They are 1-5 and 0-8 respectively. They have also gone 11-40 ATS following a straight up win. Going to ride the hot streak with the Terrapins here, looking for their 8th win in a row.

30*

Sacramento Kings +5

40*

Florida State -9.5

The public is all over Minnesota here looking for some easy money. A 6-0 team getting 9.5 points?! When it looks to good to be true, it usually is. If you look closer you will see that Minnesota has been awful against the number as an underdog and on the road. They have lost 4 straight ATS as dogs, are 7-21 ATS on the road, and 8-24 ATS as a road dog. Look for Minnesota's road struggles to continue here tonight.

20*

Kansas City Chiefs +3.5

Since I am expecting a low scoring game, this looks like a FG game either way. Taking the points (plus the hook) is the way to go. Most professionals I have spoken with LOVE the Chiefs here and a few books have informed me that there has been multiple max bets on KC. The reason for this is mainly Andy Reid. Reid has been a covering machine on the road following a loss, especially against division opponents. He is 17-4 in that spot and he is also a perfect 10-0 ATS in division games when the opponent won their last game.

20*

Carolina Panthers +3.5

50*

Indiana -18.5

40*

Tulsa -22

50* NFL Thanksgiving MAX BET 

Washington Redskins +7

Too much Cowboy love here. I am totally shocked the Redskins are getting a touchdown. This is a fierce rivalry. You see it constantly in these big rivalry games, especially in this series...no matter what their records are at the time, these games are always close and competitive.

The Cowboys win streak is overshadowing the fact the Redskins are on fire as well. Besides the first game of the season for the Skins, they have been in every ball game. They are now 6-1-1 since starting the season 0-2. Their 2nd game of the season against these Cowboys could have easily been a victory but Kirk Cousins' huge mistake in the end zone cost them that game. Since then, this Redskins offense has been on fire and they are protecting Cousins. Their offense is Top 3 in almost every category. I think the Redskins have an excellent chance of stealing this game outright and it looks like this contest is going to go down to the wire. The Cowboys win streak started against Washington, and I think it has a great chance to end here with the Redskins.

20*

Wisconsin -5.5

30*

Towson -3

20*

Miami (OH) -7.5

20*

Texas -2.5

30*

Miami Heat -4.5

30*

Wisconsin -13

50* AFC GAME OF THE MONTH

Buffalo Bills +3

The Buffalo Bills have shown that when they are focused, they can play with anyone. Just look at what they did to the Patriots. Granted, Brady was absent, but they still managed to do the near impossible...SHUT OUT the mighty Patriots at home. This game for me is all about the ground. Buffalo's rushing attack can run on anyone. They are ranked #2 in the NFL with 155 yards a game going up against the Bengals 24th ranked run defense. The Bills impressed the hell out of me going into Seattle and running all over that stout defense of the Seahawks. It was a tough loss but now they get the bye week and the extra time to prepare. This is just like what we explained with the NFC GOM on the Redskins that cashed. It's a good bet to back teams that went into the bye off a loss rather than a win. The Bengals look like the wheels are falling off after that tough beat on Monday Night Football (short week for them) and Marvin Lewis' time looks all but over in Cincinnati. 

50* CFB Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR

West Virginia +3

Morgantown WV, under the lights, in Primetime. This place is going to go ballistic. HFA alone in this game should be worth 4 points minimum. So Oklahoma is a touchdown better than the Mountaineers? I don't think so. Without question, West Virginia has the best defense in the Big 12. They haven't allowed more than 21 points at home all year. They have allowed more than that (21) twice all season in all of their games.

This is typical Oklahoma and Bob Stoops. He ALWAYS finds a way to screw things up in big games and one mistake is all it will take for this ridiculous crowd to go crazy and for all the momentum to swing. Oklahoma plays ZERO defense and in games in the Big 12, its usually back and forth offensively, so who's defense can make that big play wins the game. Well, Oklahoma allowed 46 to TCU and 59 to TTU. WVU allowed 10 to TCU and 17 to TTU. Let me give that to you again. 27 combined points to TCU AND TEXAS TECH, where Oklahoma allowed 105! The Sooners also come off a blowout victory over Baylor and OU has lost 4 straight, against the number, after winning by 20+ points. Looks like they're in for a bit a letdown too.

We got the much better defense, the home field advantage, and we're GETTING points?! I'll take that all day.

30*

Virginia Tech +2

20* 

Wyoming +10

30*

Utah -14

40*

Charlotte +4.5

20*

Kansas State -1

20*

Denver Nuggets +4

40* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK

Arkansas-Little Rock -10

Idaho should get run out of the gym here. I know it's only their 3rd game of the season but they are shooting 31.6% from the floor, 41% from the line, and 15% from distance. In order to win, especially on the road, you have to make your free throws and make timely three point buckets. Obviously this team can't do that. They have also lost 5 straight road games against the spread.

Little Rock will be BUMPIN tonight. It's veteran's night and they have an 18 game home winning streak, so this team has an excellent HFA. They are also averaging nearly 100 points per game and have the 4th high FG% in the nation. We have a team that is on fire offensively facing a team that can't hit the broad side of a barn. This should get ugly quick.

20*

Xavier -3

30*

Southern Methodist (SMU) -4

40*

Providence +6.5

30*

Missouri +14.5

30*

Davidson +4

20*

Brooklyn Nets +7

20*

Charlotte Hornets +1

30*

Texas-Arlington +2

50* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH

Washington Redskins -2.5

The Minnesota Vikings are in a downward spiral. They undoubtably have the worst offense in the NFL. Their line play is atrocious, as they average 2.7 yards per carry on the ground and just 4.7 yards per play, which is worst in the NFL. The Washington Redskins are the 2nd best team in the NFL on yards per play at 6.2 on offense. The Skins weakness is their rush defense but the Vikings run game is so pathetic that the Skins can over come this in the other phases of the game and since Minnesota is so inept on the ground.

The Redskins are also coming off the bye week. They entered the bye coming off a loss and a tie. I love taking teams going into the bye week on a bad note (loss/tie) rather than off a win. Team's going in off a loss/tie, give that extra effort in preparation. We see it all the time when teams go into the bye on a winning note, they are flat the next week. Just look at the Vikings this season. They were on fire going into the bye week and haven't won since. 

This may be a little "coulda, shoulda, woulda" but the Skins could easily be 7-1, at least 6-2. They had a 17-13 lead against the Lions with 50 seconds left and it took Matthew Stafford heroics (with Norman out) to win that game. They then missed a chip shot FG in OT vs. the Bengals to win the game and a Kirk Cousins brainfart in the end zone cost them against the Cowboys in the 4th quarter. Bottomline here is that this team is better than their 4-3-1 record and Minnesota is worse than their 5-3 record.

40*

South Florida -3

20*

Portland Trailblazers -6.5

20*

Coastal Carolina +12.5

20*

Pacific +17

20*

San Antonio Spurs -9

40* NBA TNT GAME OF THE WEEK

Miami Heat -2

Not all trends mean the same or are relevant, but there are a few key trends that I really focus on in the NBA. This game features almost all of them. These include how teams perform after big wins/losses, scheduling spots, being tired, home/road splits, and offensive performances.

Miami is coming off a double digit loss and they bounce back well. They are 6-1 ATS in this spot. They are also 12-4 ATS at home.

Chicago is now in the AWFUL back to back, 3 in 4, and 5 games in 7 nights set. They are 5-11 ATS on the 2nd of a back to back and have failed to cover the spread in 4 straight games after scoring 100 points. This shows that this team doesn't put solid back to back offensive games together and now this makes it even worse since they are tired.

The big story line here is Dwayne Wade. Most will view this game as Wade laying out some punishment to his former team. I expect the Heat to prove that they don't need Wade and they will come out fired up. Miami is also well rested with this just being their 2nd game in 5 nights.

20*

Portland Trailblazers +9.5

20*

Chicago Bulls +3.5

30*

Dallas Mavericks +5

20*

New York Rangers PL -1.5

May be the square play but the Rangers are on fire and the Canucks are ice cold. Vancouver has yet to win a game on the road (0-5) and New York is 8-1 at home, which includes going 7-2 on the puck-line. Canucks are in the middle of a back to back and a long road trip. The Rangers have scored 5 or more goals in 5 straight games.

20*

Carolina Panthers -3

The Los Angeles Rams are starting to come back down to earth after their hot start. They have lost 3 in a row and their offense is as bad as it gets. Case Keenum is not the answer and he is going to have to beat the Panthers today, because the Carolina rush defense is Tops in the NFL. Carolina's win against Arizona showed me that they still have some heart and that they are not quitting on the season yet. 4 of the last 5 games have been on the road for LA, since one of their home games was played in London, so this team has to be a bit worn out right now. 

40*

20*

SMU +3

20*

Florida -3.5

20*

Phoenix Suns +3.5

Tough spot here for Portland playing on a back to back, following a shootout against the mighty Warriors. The Blazers have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 games after scoring 100 points. The Suns are starved for a win but have played well (2-2 ATS.) They have also done great following a spread and blowout loss. They have covered the spread in 8 straight following a spread loss and are 38-16-2 after a double digit defeat.

20*

Dallas Mavericks +4.5

Looking for a letdown here from the Jazz. Not many teams can say they got a W from the Spurs at home. Although it is their home in Utah, they have to play a back to back in the altitude. Dallas has always been a great team, against the number, on the road against winning competition. They have also gotten the money in 4 of the last 5 meetings in Utah.

40*

Charlotte Hornets -12.5

40*

New England Patriots -5

40* CFB Top Play PARLAY

Mississippi (Ole Miss) +5

20*

Wisconsin -8

40* CFB VEGAS INSIDER

Wake Forest -7

The key here is Wake Forest having two weeks to prepare for the triple option attack of Army. Wake Forest has had great success defending the triple option. They held Tulane's to only 3 points to begin the season. WF has covered 8 of their last 11 following the bye week where Army has lost 7 of their last 29 facing a team coming off the extra week to prepare. Wake Forest hasn't lost to Army in nearly 30 years and have won 7 straight home meetings.

40* CFB Top Play PARLAY

Iowa State +7

50* NBA BLOWOUT MAX BET

Indiana Pacers -6.5

Just from a Power Ratings standpoint, I have the Indiana Pacers as the 2nd best team in the East and the Nets as the worst team in the NBA. We also have our BEST BET of the NBA season win totals on the Pacers OVER 44.5 wins and a future on the Pacers +3000 to win the East. As long as Indiana makes the Conference Finals, we can hedge for a huge payday.

Indiana should win this game by double digits if then give a full 48 minutes of effort. The Pacers have covered 10 of the last 14 meetings in Brooklyn. Indiana has the advantage in every aspect of the game. Their starting 5 in fantastic at EVERY position and their bench is deep. The Brooklyn Nets lineup is just a bunch a guys holding on to still be able to play in the NBA.

30*

Pittsburgh +3.5

30*

Minnesota Timberwolves +2

20*

Orlando Magic -4

3*

Cleveland Indians RL +1.5

3*

San Diego Chargers +6.5

This is too many points to give the San Diego Chargers. The Chargers are not your typical 2-4 team. San Diego is better than their record shows. They truly could be undefeated. They somehow would find ways to lose games late. However, we don't need them to win, we need them to cover and San Diego has been staying inside the number. SD is 0-3 on the road this season but they have covered 8 of their last 9 games on the road. Atlanta has lost 6 straight ATS as a home favorite. The Chargers have also had 10 days to prepare for this game and Atlanta comes off playing two of the toughest defenses on the road, Denver and Seattle.

30*

Charlotte +10

Marshall is extremely over rated. They are regressing each week. Money has absolutely poured in on the dog. This line dropped from 14 to 10 in 2 hours. I think Charlotte has a chance to win this game outright here. Marshall has been historically bad ATS following a straight up win, this shows that they are typically over-valued.

40*

Colorado +1.5

Colorado is the only team left in the nation that is undefeated against the spread (7-0.) All my close sources have the Buffaloes winning this one outright. Stanford's offense is the 8th worst in the country and they only average 19 points. Stanford is banged up and their defense has been getting gashed at times. Colorado has the 2nd ranked Pac-12 offense and 14th ranked in the nation. 

20*

Boston College -4

Syracuse comes off of beating VT and, although they have a bye, has Clemson on deck. Tough spot for Syracuse. Boston College has the defense to shut down this Syracuse rushing attack. Boston College also has revenge from losing the last meeting. Syracuse has the 4th worst defense in the nation. VT crushed BC and Syracuse beat VT, so It's the old fallacy that Syracuse must beat BC right? There's reason BC is favored here folks.