20*

New York Knicks +5

30*

Denver Nuggets +11.5

Got to love this spot for the Denver Nuggets. Golden State comes off two huge wins on back to back nights against top opponents. This is now the Warrior's 3rd game in 4 nights. That's hard enough as it is, but doing that at the high altitude in Denver is a whole different story. I can see these Golden State players getting worn out in the 2nd half, especially since their starters have played a ton of minutes lately. The Warrior's are notorious this year for getting off to a slow start to begin games and that is going to be a problem if they do it again in this one, given from what we have mention before about playing in Denver.

Everyone knows that Golden State is going for the record tonight so no doubt there should be some nerves and tight play. You know they want this record, they have stated it. All that is on their mind's is win. Winning by 12+ seems like a lot. Denver can play very loose in this game and has the chance to play spoiler, which teams love. Golden State is just 2-5 their last 7 games against the Nuggets. Look for Denver to keep this game in single digits tonight.

30*

Minnesota Vikings +1

30*

New York Jets -3

20*

Washington Redskins +7.5

20*

St. Louis Rams +3

50* One & Only NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR

Vanderbilt +7

Everything points to the Commodores here. Current play, the situation, stats, trends, public perception, you name it. Texas A&M should not be laying a TD to anyone in the SEC, especially on the road. To make matters worse for A&M, they have LSU on deck so obvious lookahead here. Vanderbilt has a ferocious defense and they proved it against the Gators. This is their last home game of the season so no doubt they'll be up for this one.

This is only the Aggies third road game of the season, so they are not battle tested, and they have not looked great at all as the visiting team. After the Alabama game, this team has gone right into the toilet. Texas A&M has lost 5 straight games against the spread and are a miserable 5-16 ATS their last 21 games against the SEC. No doubt this team has their line's inflated constantly.

Vanderbilt is the opposite. They have been outstanding ATS in the SEC. They have covered 6 of their last 7 and have won 5 of their last 6 home games against the number. It's very tough to score on this Vandy defense and when points are at a premium, it's almost a given to take the points with the HOME and better defensive team. Getting a touchdown here is a gift and I wouldn't be surprised to see this game go down to the wire with Vandy having a great chance at the outright.

50* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

Arkansas -3.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks are on fire right now and I don't think anyone wants to face off against them. They are 5-1 ATS their last 6 games and are an undefeated 5-0 against the SEC. They get to play Mississippi State in a very advantageous situation. The Bulldogs come off getting destroyed by Alabama. Teams typically don't respond well after the Tide beatdown. They put everything they got into a game like that and if you get crushed, a let down is inevitable. Mississippi State has been awful covering the number recently after getting beat down. The Bulldogs are just 3-8 their last 11 games after losing by 20+ points and are 1-6 following a 10+ point loss at home. Look for the Razorbacks to continue to cruise Saturday. 

30*

Ohio State -13

There is a simple rule of thumb for betting. When the public loves the underdog, take the favorite. Typically, more bets come on the favorite...that's why they are the favorite. Yes, sometimes more bets on are the dog, but in this case, it's alarming. Michigan State is the heaviest bet team on the board, with more than 75% of the tickets, but not only is this line staying put or dropping a bit, it's actually gone up a point at several spots. Some books are even showing 14 now. The Spartans have not been doing well against the spread this season and I see that trend continuing here tonight.

20*

Southern Mississippi -21

20*

Rutgers -4.5

50* NBA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Portland Trailblazers +3.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are in a monumental let down spot here as they come off a heart breaking loss to the Golden State Warriors at home last night. Man, Chef Curry is the best shooter I have ever seen, but I digress. The Clippers were shooting lights out and were running back and forth all night with the Warriors and it meant nothing. It's going to be tough for these Clippers to get focused and travel to one of the best home court advantages in the game at the Moda Center. 

Portland has been playing a lot better than their record. They come off a tough loss as well but they have had some time to dwell on it so I see a focused effort. It took a Corey Brewer 30 footer to lose that game. It took terrible defense and typical Clipper failure for Los Angeles to drop last night. The Clippers have covered just 1 out of 6 tries after scoring 100+ points and they are the same ATS when allowing 100+ points, as well. The dog has covered 4 straight in this series and I expect that trend to grow to 5 tonight. 

20*

Georgia -7.5

20*

Bradley +24

20*

Indiana Pacers -7

We did drop our last 76ers game by 2 points as Philly gave up and chose not to foul in the final 11 seconds. Can't win them all but my point is that even though we lost last time fading Philadelphia, we've still done extremely well doing so and we'll try our luck here again tonight.

Taking a hard look at the over in the Sac/Atl game and will post if it becomes a play.

20*

Brown -3.5

20*

USC (Southern California) -10

20*

Arizona State -4.5

20*

Boston Celtics +5

20*

Dallas Mavericks -8.5

We have been a roll fading this 76ers club and we're going to do it again tonight. This team just can't put a solid effort up for 4 quarters. Let's say they start off the 1st quarter well and have a lead. In the 2nd half, they still manage to get destroyed. At any time, Philly has the chance to get blown out by double digits.

20*

Indiana -29.5

40*

Detroit Pistons -4

20*

Tennessee Titans +6

50* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Washington State +10.5

20*

South Florida +3

20*

Iowa State +14

50* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH

Chicago Bulls -6.5

This game sets up nicely for the Chicago Bulls. They just played the 76ers on Monday and haven't played since then. Chicago also doesn't play again until Monday where they get to stay put at the United Center, so no travel. This means we should have a fully rested and focus team playing tonight. To add even more to this, Charlotte destroyed them two weeks ago so no doubt the Bulls have revenge on their minds. The Bulls have covered 28 of the last 39 games when revenging a double digit loss. The Hornets comes off an exciting buzzer beating victory that almost was not as they escaped the Knicks by a fingertip. Charlotte is 2-7 ATS their last 9 coming off a win.

20*

Colorado +10

20*

Indiana Pacers +3.5

20*

Toronto Raptors -9.5

This game reminds me of the Bulls game a couple nights ago. We missed the lower number and took the Bulls at -9 for a smaller play and they destroyed the 76ers. The 76ers are one of my favorite play against teams and they can get blown out on any given night. Its extremely hard for this team to put it together for a full 4 quarters.

Also like the Detroit Pistons +1 is DeMarcus Cousins isn't playing. Will make it an official play if he is ruled out.

40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK

Toronto Raptors -8

30*

Chicago Bears +4.5

Also lean over here and a solid 6 point teaser for this game is Chicago +10.5 and the OVER 44. That clears the key number of 45 for the total and the number 10 for the spread. Chicago has been great as a dog of late and I personally think they have a great chance at the outright. 

20*

Chicago Bulls -9

Was going to make this a bigger play at -7 but this number got away from us. -7 is a very key number in the NBA as teams typically some fouling at the end of the game when down 3 possessions. The Bulls come off a OT loss to Minnesota and they don't play again until Friday after this game. I don't expect them to take the night off because if they do, that's the only way the 76ers can be competitive. If the Bulls stay focused, this is a double digit blowout easy.

20*

Los Angeles Clippers -8

20*

San Antonio Spurs -10

20*

Washington Capitals -1.5

20*

Miami Heat -4

20*

Memphis Grizzlies -4

20*

Cleveland Cavaliers -13

This one is pretty basic. As long as the Cavaliers don't simply take the night off, they win this one in total blowout fashion. I don't expect them to since they had the weekend of and the play the Knicks next, so no lookahead spot. Philadelphia has absolutely no offense and turnovers the ball over a ton. The trees down low should make it nearly impossible for the young 76ers to score anything in the paint. The 76ers got destroyed by Boston and Utah. There's no reason why Cleveland shouldn't dismantle this team. I do like this correlated with the under since I expect this to be a blowout, the 4th quarter should be just bench players taking bad shots and taking up the entire shot clock to finish out the game.

20*

Chicago Bears +1.5

20*

North Carolina State +10.5

30*

Southern Mississippi -24

30*

Orlando Magic +8.5

20*

Miami +7

40* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

North Carolina (UNC) -3

This line is very telling on who should win this game. Pittsburgh, who is ranked 23rd in the country, not only is a dog, but they are a HOME underdog. That means on a neutral field, UNC would be a touchdown favorite. This line also opened at -1.5 and jumped quickly to -3 with over 60% of the bets be written on Pitt. All three of of my closest sources all love the Tar Heels here and for good reason. The Tar Heels have covered 4 of their last 5 games in Pittsburgh and have also covered 4 of their last 5 following a spread loss. Pittsburgh has covered just 1 of their last 6 home games. 

30* ESPN SHOWCASE

Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5

Every one is going to want to line up at the window and bet the Lakers here. Kobe is back and they have their young rookies to bring in the hype for L.A. They also brought in Roy Hibbert and Lou Will in the off-season. We now have 4 players on this team that are selfish scorers. Kobe, Lou, Swaggy P, and Russell all want the ball and shoot every time down the floor. That's not a recipe for success. It's going to take some time for this team to gel, if ever, in all honesty.

I like Minnesota to get up for this game, especially given the recent passing of Flip Saunders. This should give a big boost for the T'Wolves and they should give an inspired effort here. 

-BONUS 50* NBA SEASON WIN TOTAL

Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 29.5 wins

40* NFL VEGAS INSIDER

St. Louis Rams -5.5

50* NFL UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Houston Texas +5

This line is an overreaction to Miami's domination of Tennessee last week. A great spot to back teams is when a coach gets fired and their interim coach takes over for the first time. Emotions are high and teams step up their game big time. It happens all the time in every sport. But now it's time to snap back to reality. This is a flat spot for the Dolphins. They should not be laying more than 4 points at home, where they have been awful against the spread. The Dolphins have lost 5 straight ATS on their field. Miami is one of the worst teams defending the run and this should allow Arian Foster and the Texans to really open up their offensive playbook. With the current spread at 5, Miami basically has to win by a touchdown. That's a lot to ask out of a team that has a lot of pressure on them with their coach making his first home start to perform well in front of an eager crowd.

Side note: Let's not forget that Miami has the Super Bowl Champs, New England Patriots, on deck Thursday Night.

50* NCAA MAX BET

Florida Atlantic -6

I'll make this short and sweet. UTEP is AWFUL. Their defense is terrible, allowing 48 a game. They have not covered a spread in 8 games and are injured to the max. UTEP has zero home field advantage and if you look closer at this game, FAU (a team with a worse record) is 6 point ROAD chalk. They are also 17-4-1 ATS their last 22 games on the road. That tells me all I need to know. FAU has a ton of speed and should run UTEP off the field.

40*

Missouri -2.5

40* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH

Wake Forest +10

NC State does not deserve to be a double digit favorite to anyone in the ACC. To make matters worse, they have huge game against Clemson on deck, so likely a lookahead spot here. The Demon Deacons have taken out the Wolfpack five straight times at home and they also have revenge from last year's beating on the road against NC State. Wake Forest matches up well against NC State and getting 10 points on the home team is a no brainer for me.

30*

California +3.5

50* AFC GAME OF THE YEAR

New England Patriots -7

Some books still have 7.5 and I recommend buying the hook to the key number of 7. 

I'll start with this. What game do you think New England had circled when the schedule game out? Yeah, this one. You know Brady and company want to EMBARRASS the team (Colts) that made their offseason a living hell. What makes it even better for New England? They get to do it on primetime in Indianapolis. The Patriots will not let their foot off the gas and their going to make an example out of Indy. 

Our 70* play to begin the season was Patriots OVER 10 wins. The reasoning behind it was because of the entire deflate gate scandal. They'll be playing with an enormous chip on their shoulders. Do you remember the last time they were called cheaters? It was during Spygate and they went on to go undefeated that regular season. 

The Colts have not looked all that special to start this season. They have zero defense and absolutely no offensive line. Belichick knows how to attack your weaknesses and take away what you do best. Just look what they have done in previous meetings. They always destroy the Colts. We had our One & Only NFL GAME OF THE YEAR last season in the AFC Championship on the Patriots and I expect a very similar result on Sunday Night Football.

40* NFL VEGAS INSIDER

Cleveland Browns +5

40*

Vanderbilt +3

30*

Akron +10.5

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH

Baylor -21

30*

Louisiana Tech +13.5

30*

New England Patriots -8

40* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

Cincinnati Bengals -3

It's no secret. The Seattle Seahawks are not the same team on the road, without the 12th man. Seattle's defense has given up a ton of points on the road this season and their offense has been terrible. They managed only one touchdown against Detroit at home and just one offensive TD on the road against the joke Bears. Good luck trying to get points against a very solid defensive front of the Cincinnati Bengals.

The Bengals have been amazing at home this season and years prior. They continue to cover the number at home as the line-makers repeatedly undervalue this club. Cincinnati is 17-5-1 their last 23 home games and they have won against the spread in every game this season. Even though I'm not the biggest Andy Dalton fan, he has played like a man possessed to start the season and is much better than Wilson at the moment. Look for Cincinnati to stay undefeated on the season after this one.

30*

San Jose State -2.5

50* NCAA SITUATIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR

Navy +14.5

This is the definition of a "sandwich" spot for the Fighting Irish. They come off a heartbreaking loss to ranked Clemson on the road and now have to play this game against Navy with their rivals, USC Trojans, on deck. 

It's usually a great bet to back triple option teams when they are getting a lot of points. They are constantly running and chewing a bunch of the clock up. It makes it harder for the opposing team to score in bunches with less time on the clock. This is Navy's game of the year and they have had fantastic success against Notre Dame. The Midshipmen have covered 9 of their last 10 games in Notre Dame and as a matter of fact, we had them last year heavy as they stayed inside the number.

Navy has been spread covering machines this season and I fully expect them to keep this one close throughout. Even if by some chance they go down 21 in the fourth quarter, the back door will be wide open as Notre Dame could pump the brakes, knowing they have a much more important game on deck. Look for Navy and the triple option to give ND all they can handle on Saturday.

30*

Northwestern +7.5

20*

Western Michigan -7

30*

Houston Texans +6.5

20*

Philadelphia Eagles -3

40*

Kansas City Chiefs +4.5

20*

San Diego State -8.5

30*

Notre Dame +2

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Arizona State +13

20*

Arkansas +7

30*

Kansas State +7

20*

Auburn -20

40* MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BEST BET

Kansas City Chiefs +7

I know this isn't a "true" bye week but it's really the next best thing. KC played Thursday night and now don't have to play until Monday night. Guess who is the best coach in the league off a bye...Yup, Andy Reid. He simply doesn't lose. Even better is that Reid has cashed 12 of his last 17 games when favored by a touchdown or more. Two of my closest sources are die hard Packers fans and they are expecting a Chiefs victory. Packers are riding high and could suffer a bit of a let down after their huge revenge win over the Seahawks last Sunday. Everyone is going to be all over the Packers in this one tonight. Going with the theme of the weekend as we made a killing betting dogs with another huge dog here tonight. Going to be honest here...only thing keeping this from being a 50* play is Aaron Rodgers. He's simply that good. But we can't ignore this spot and we'll gladly bet 4% on one hell of a situation.

40* NFL VEGAS INSIDER

Oakland Raiders +4.5

Getting this one out now because I expect this line to take a nose dive

50* NCAA MAX BET

Kentucky -2.5

This game basically is a fade of Missouri. The Tigers just look dreadful on the offensive side of the ball. Matty Mauk is struggling mightily, their O-line stinks, and their wide receivers drop balls if somehow Mauk gets it there. I also like taking un-ranked teams that are favored against ranked opponents. A simple rule is that vegas rankings are much more important than the AP Poll. We successfully faded Missouri when they played Arkansas State, as that line looked fishy as hell and I think we have another winner here and getting this below a FG is a steal.

30*

Texas +3.5

40*

Bowling Green -3.5

30*

Connecticut (UCONN) +7

I personally think they have a great shot at the outright victory and a small wager on the money-line is a possibility.

30* ESPN FRIDAY NIGHT

Virginia +3

50* NFL MAX BET

Green Bay Packers -3.5 (I recommend buying the hook)

When the schedule game out and the Packers saw they got the Seattle Seahawks at Lambeau, for their home opener, on primetime...you know this team was as hyped as can be. Talk about the perfect scenario to dish a little payback. A lot of people are going to look at this game and say "No way the Seattle Seahawks lose 2 in a row." I beg the differ. This is not the same Seahawks team we're used to. They lost their defensive coordinator, a couple corners, and one of, if not, the most important players on that defense, Kam Chancellor, is holding out and likely will not play this game either. Look what the Rams offense did to this team...Just wait and see what a pissed off Aaron Rodgers does.

The story of the Seahawks the last few seasons is that they are not as good on the road, and they proved that in Week 1. Do you know one of the worst places to play for a bad road team? You guessed it, the frozen tundra of Lambeau field and at night, no less. This place is going to go insane for this one and I have a feeling the Green Bay Packers are going to send a huge message to the NFC right now saying "We're the best and good luck trying to get passed us." Look for a convincing win for the Green Back Packers on Sunday night.

40* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH

Pittsburgh Steelers -6

This game is situational handicapping 101. We have the Pittsburgh Steelers coming off a loss in prime time, while the San Francisco 49ers come off a win in prime time. Public perception is going to be out of whack in this one. Another big key for this game is that the Steelers played Thursday night so they have a week and a half to prepare for their home opener and as an added bonus they didn't have to travel far at all, coming from New England. The 49ers, however, will be in for a bit of a let down as they are playing on a short week, having played Monday Night Football for their home opener. A good spot to bet in the NFL is when west coast teams travel to the east coast for 1:00 EST (10:00 PST) games. That's exactly what we have in this one. Let's not forget, Pittsburgh moved the ball really well in that game against the Pats and if it wasn't for two missed FG's, that game could have been a whole lot different. But good news for us is that they lost that game and it has given us great line value on the winningest NFL franchise in history. 

50* S.E.C. GAME OF THE YEAR

Alabama -5.5

Well guys, my long term guys and I know how this game ended last year. We were on the Tide and it looked like smooth sailing until Ole Miss scored 13 unanswered as Blake Sims and Christian Jones turnovers cost the Tide the game in the 4th quarter. Right there we have the revenge angle. We also get this game in Tuscaloosa. That's huge for the Tide as it's damn near impossible to beat this team at home. A lot of folks are down on Alabama this year as they lost a lost of starters but remember, this is ALABAMA...the team that always get the most 5 star recruits year in and year out.

Most people are going to see the huge performances that Mississippi has had the last 2 games, but let's face it, they were against some really bad squads. Not to mention, the Rebels did have 3 turnovers and let Fresno rush for over 160 yards. That's got to be alarming. A big key here is that everyone is starting to talk about Rebel QB Chad Kelly. He may have had some great numbers but this is a whole new ball game going to Alabama. I see this kid really struggling in a game of this magnitude with a berserk crowd.

Alabama is going to be out for blood and we have the best coach in the game on our side at home in this one, with revenge. Alabama basically had a week off last week and, for all intents and purposes, had two weeks to prepare for this one. The Crimson Tide man-handled Wisconsin, at a neutral site I might add, and I believe they are a better team than Ole Miss. Look for a convincing Bama win.

20*

Southern California (USC) -9.5

This play is as much of a fade of Stanford as it is a play on USC. In my opinion, Stanford is just atrocious. This offense moves at a snails pace and I am not a fan at all of Hogan. Just watch him throw a ball and you'll know why. This isn't your same Stanford that people are used to. USC, however, is talented. They return 7 starters on each side of the ball and they have some serious playmakers. I refuse to over think this one. USC should lay a complete ass whoopin' on the Tree's tonight 

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Louisiana Tech +10

20*

Duke -3.5

30*

Minnesota Vikings -1.5

50* NFL MAX BET

Green Bay Packers -5

Posting this Packers selection now as I believe this line will continue to climb and wouldn't be surprised if it reached 6.5/7. Get this one now before it goes to 6.

Games that I am also taking a long look at and will be posted closer to the season if they become official plays:

Miami Dolphins -2.5

Arizona Cardinals -2.5

New York Jets -3

Carolina Panthers/Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 43

Also like the Arizona Cardinals regular season win total OVER 8/8.5 wins for 5%

Taking a hard look at the New York Giants OVER 8 and New Orleans Saints UNDER 9

New England Patriots OVER 10 wins and/or to win the AFC East is a 7% wager. NOTICE: This was before the Tom Brady ruling...if you are just getting to it now, I would play for 4%

30*

Miami Dolphins -3

Really liked this play when it was below 3 and with Robert Griffin III as Quarterback. I have to admit, I am a bit of a Redskins fan and this team is a complete joke. Don't be fooled by the preseason success. That's just because they have back ups that play all the time. The Dolphins may well have the best defensive line in Football. The Redskins haven't been able to protect the QB since I've been alive. Going to be a long day for the Skin's offense.

20*

New York Jets -3

50* VEGAS INSIDER

Buffalo Bills +3

Bottomline here is that one of the favorites to win the AFC is only laying 3 to the Buffalo Bills...huge trap. The books are practically begging for Colts money and everyone is lining up to bet them. Currently 3 out of every 4 tickets written are on Indianapolis yet this line is staying put at -2.5 at some spots. Heavy sharp money is coming in on the dog here and we agree. The Bills have one of the best defenses in the league and they now have playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. This is a big game for Rex Ryan in front of this frenzied home crowd and I fully expect him to have his guys ready as they take down the Colts to open the season.

50* NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH

Michigan State Spartans -3.5

This game should sound pretty basic as we do have the revenge angle here and this meeting between both of these two squads last year was close until the fourth...Michigan State was in this game until then..they even had the lead. This isn't the same Oregon team everyone is used to. This squad just gave up 40+ to an FCS school in EWU, which the Ducks QB just recently played for. That should tell you a lot, and that this Duck defense is in some serious trouble.

Teams that give Oregon problems are the physical, tough, dominant in the trenches squads and that's exactly what the Spartans are. I refuse to over think this one as Michigan State should have a great home crowd on hand and this isn't the same Oregon squad that we are used to seeing. The Mighty Spartans should dominate this game and I fully expect an easy victory from the boys from Michigan and this will cause a huge shake up in the AP poll standings next week.

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Arkansas State +11

30* UPSET SPECIAL

Ohio +3.5

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Georgia -19.5

30*

Ohio State -41

This Buckeye offense has been on fire and I don't see any way possible for Hawaii to stop them. Even if Ohio State jumps out to a huge lead and they pull the starters, the still have JT Barett to come in and light them up. Given this is the home opener for the National Champions...this place should be going crazy and I don't expect them to let up. Hawaii shouldn't reach double digits and Ohio State should be able to put 50 on this squad with ease.

20*

Michigan -15.5

The "Big House" will be rocking as this will be the first home game for Harbaugh. This is the biggest stadium in CFB and this should give a TON of trouble to true freshman Starting QB for the Beavers. We did successfully fade these Wolverines last time out against Utah as there was a ton of hype building up to the game. These players should be able to play much looser now and they are playing an OSU team that has to travel and play at 9:00 PST. Tough spot for the Beavers and everything points to a huge day for Harbaugh and company. 

50* NCAA MAX BET

Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10

This one is really simple for me. Notre Dame is returning practically their entire squad and the Irish's defense is primed to be one of the best in the country. Texas is going to have 5 freshman starting this ball game. The experience for these clubs is really going to show in this game, especially if Notre Dame gets out to an early lead, this crowd will go crazy and that's when the youth is really going to show for the Longhorns and they will fall apart. I expect Texas not to do much of anything on either side of the ball and this game should be a laugher. 

20*

Texas A&M -3

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Boise State -11.5