30*

Maryland -4.5

30*

Cal-Irvine +8.5

30* NCAA PARLAY

Eastern Washington +8

Georgetown is ALWAYS overrated and I don't understand why. They are a 4 seed and so is Maryland. The Terps are 10 times the team the Hoyas are this season. Georgetown has a history of chocking year in and year out and I wouldn't be shocked if they barely make it out of this one. Georgetown has NO business laying 8 here. Eastern Washington is a very dangerous underdog because they shoot three pointers at an incredible rate. EWU is one of the best teams in the country shooting the three ball and Georgetown is one of the worst at defending it. If Eastern Washington is dropping treys, this is going to be a long day for the Hoyas.

20*

Wofford +7.5

20*

NC State -2

Georgia State +9 just missed the card, for what its worth.

40* NBA TOP PLAY BAILOUT SPECIAL

Utah Jazz -3

The Utah Jazz are on fire right now, winners of 7 straight. They have also had great success against the Wizards at home, winning 3 straight. The Jazz have really been hitting a groove and they have been doing so with their outstanding defense and rebounding. In fact, they are the best defensive team at home this season. Utah is 10-2 ATS their last 12 games after allowing 75 points or less and are 7-0 ATS their last 7 games facing a team with a winning record.

As for the Wizards, they have been terrible on the road. They are just 7-19 ATS their last 26 road games and are in the bottom of a ton of statistical categories when playing away from their building. Washington also comes off a big win over the Portland Trailblazers their last game and I expect a bit of a let down here. Look for Utah to keep playing their stellar defense as they get the W in front of their home fans tonight. 

20*

Portland Trailblazers -2.5

Solid situation here as we have Portland coming off a loss and Miami coming off a huge win against the Cavaliers. I expect a serious letdown from the Heat. You know playing the Cavaliers is like their super bowl and they got the job done. Bad news for Miami is that they are 0-6 ATS following a win of 10 or more points. Portland is a very good bounce back team as they are 5-1 ATS their next game following a spread loss. They are also 5-0 ATS their last 5 after allowing 100+ points. Look for Portland to continue their success in Miami tonight as they are 5-1 their last 6 meetings in Miami.

30* NBA UNDERDOG SHOCKER

Portland Trailblazers +2

The Trailblazers are hot and the Raptors are not. All key stats and trends favor Portland here. Portland is 9-2 ATS their last 11 and 4-1 ATS their last 5 meetings in Toronto. They are also 5-1 ATS their last 6 games overall. As for Toronto, they are just a mess. They are just 1-5 ATS their last 6 against the Western Conference and just 2-9 their last 11 home games facing a team with a winning road record. Portland is just too big for Toronto and they should clean them up on the glass. As long as Portland shoots a good percentage from beyond the arc, we cash this ticket.

20*

Wisconsin -6.5

Play Wisconsin -6.5 for 1% and we're also going to play Wisconsin moneyline with Atlanta Hawks moneyline parlay for 1%

50* NCAA MAX BET

Kentucky -13

The Kentucky Wildcats have been playing their whole season for these big games and I believe they make one hell of a statement here guys by DESTROYING the Arkansas Razorbacks for all to see and to put the fear in everyone for the Big Dance. Let's face it, there is Kentucky, then everyone else. The mismatches this team creates is unlike anything anyone has seen before. The Wildcats absolutely dismantled Auburn in the semifinals and they didn't have to use much energy to do so. What I love about Kentucky with these big numbers is that they don't have any scrubs. Most teams when having a big lead, coast and bring in their terrible players. Kentucky's 10th man would start anywhere else in the country. Kentucky has been on an ATS tear of late. They are 8-1 ATS their last 9 games, 8-1 ATS following a straight up win, and 8-1 ATS against the SEC. Kentucky is also 11-2-3 ATS their last 16 neutral site games. 

As for Arkansas, this team may keep it close for the first half, but they will begin to break down in the final 20 minutes as Kentucky will prove to be way too much for them. The Razorbacks are just 2-7 ATS facing a team with a winning % above .600 and they are only 1-5 ATS their last 6 games following a straight up win. Look for Kentucky to dominate Arkansas in every aspect of the game as they cruise to a big win.

40* NCAA TOP PLAY SHOCKER 

Wyoming +6

This IS the season for Wyoming. A loss here, and their not dancing. As for San Diego State, they know they're in the tournament, regardless of the outcome, so this game means much more to the Cowboys. SD State also has a quick turnaround as they played late last night, beating Colorado State. That final score is misleading though because they didn't have their best player, Avila, who averages over 17 points a game. I feel that's why we're getting a ton of value here. This should be a very low scoring game, so getting this many points is a much bigger deal than if this was a game lined in the 150's for instance. I personally played this at +7 because that is a very key number (3 possession game) and it takes 8 to beat us here. I see this game coming down to the final possessions and it would not surprise me at all if Wyoming stole this one tonight.

20*

Purdue +9.5

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

North Carolina (UNC) +3.5

For those of you with books that allow 6 point teasers, I absolutely LOVE a 6 point teaser with UNC +9.5 and Baylor +7. 

How many of you see a Duke UNC championship game? Well I do, and I think the NCAA wants it too. The Tar Heels want another shot BADLY at the Dukies and I think they will get it. North Carolina's offense has really been clicking and I believe they will hit the key shots to sink UVA. This game clearly means more to UNC then UVA. Virginia is basically a lock for a #1 seed. The Cavaliers beat and covered against FSU yesterday. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS their last 5 following a spread cover. If you look deep into who these two teams have played lately. UNC clearly has the upper hand. The only good team Virginia played was Louisville. Guess what? They lost and that just so happens to be the team UNC just smashed. For all intents and purposes, this is a home game for the Tar Heels. This is a neutral site though and UNC is 5-0 ATS their last 5 neutral site games. Look for UNC to give UVA all they can handle and getting the +3.5 is just a bonus in my opinion.

20*

Richmond +2

40* NCAA BAILOUT BLOWOUT

UC-Santa Barbara -5

In my opinion, this is the best team in the Big West. This team should absolutely punish Cal Poly. Santa Barbara won't forget what happened last year in this same spot. They got CRUSHED by Cal Poly by 30+ in the tournament. No doubt they will want their revenge. Santa Barbara already beat this team twice this year and both times were by more than this spread. The Gauchos have been playing great of late and are 4-1 ATS their last 5 and 6-2 ATS their last 8. Look for UC-Santa Barbara to take this one by double digits tonight. 

30*

Butler -1.5

30*

Oklahoma -4.5

30*

Boise State -10

20*

Alabama +4.5

40* NCAA TOP PLAY EARLY TIP

Baylor -4

Yes, I am aware of the saying "It's tough to beat a team three times in one season" but I think we have something different here. Baylor has beat this team both times handily, by double digits. WVU relies on their press to frustrate you and to cause turnovers to have success. Teams that know how to beat their patented press, destroy the Mountaineers. Baylor knows how to do that. West Virginia is just 1-5 ATS their last 6 meetings against the Bears. Look for the Baylor Bears to continue their dominance today. 

20*

Virginia -12.5

Florida State BARELY escaped Clemson yesterday after almost successfully blowing a 20 point lead. This team had to use a ton of energy and FSU just doesn't know how to take care of the ball. That's the last thing you want when playing one of, if not, the best defenses in the country in the Virginia Cavaliers. UVA also comes into this game off a loss to Louisville, so I expect a very focused effort here. This team more than likely is a 1 seed going into the tournament. But if they slip up here, you never know. Look for the Cavaliers to guarantee their coveted 1 seed with a blowout victory.

20*

Illinois -3.5

I did personally buy the hook to -3 as this makes it a one possession game.

I simply don't like this Michigan team. They rely way too heavily on the 3 ball. Illinois has been playing good basketball lately and they need a solid run in this tournament as they are on the bubble. One little interesting fact about Illinois is that they are the best free throw shooting team in the nation. I'll take that any day of the week.

50* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

Colorado -3.5

My long term guys know what's coming but I personally bought the hook on this game at -3 since its a very key number (one possession game)

The Colorado Buffaloes sit at 14-16 on the season and the Oregon State Beavers are 17-13 this year, yet Colorado is favored in this game. I believe the odds makers are telling us something here. If you look deeper you will see that Oregon State is ONLY good on their home floor. They are a laughing stock on the road. OSU is just 1-5 over their last 6 games, with their only win coming against this Colorado club. We remember that game because we rode the Beavers with our PAC-12 GOY. This time around though, we're going with the better team, and the team with revenge.

30*

Orlando Magic +7.5

The Magic have been doing well this year as big road dogs. They are 18-8 ATS facing a team with a winning record and 16-5 ATS facing a team with a home winning record. I also like the Magic tonight because they just got blown out. Teams usually respond well after a drubbing and the Magic have done well lately in this spot. Orlando is 5-0 ATS their last 5 after allowing 100+ points their previous game. 

Milwaukee has been a bad team of late. I still believe that trade for MCW was a total joke and screwed this team up. They are just 4-11 ATS their last 15 games and 3-7 their last 10 straight up. This is too many points for a struggling team to lay.

50* NCAA BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH

Kansas State -1.5

This is practically a home game for the Wildcats tonight. Playing at the Sprint Center is right in their backyard. KSU is starting to play their best ball of the season. They knocked off Kansas and Iowa State and their confidence is starting to grow. As for TCU, they have lost 3 straight and 4 of their last 5. One of the most important things going into the conference tournaments is momentum. Teams that limp into the tourney, have early exits. Teams that enter hot, can make deep runs. 

TCU has not done well in their current situation. The Horned Frogs are 4-11 ATS following a blowout loss at home, 2-6 ATS following a straight up loss, and just 1-4 ATS their last 5 following a spread loss. Look for the Wildcats to get the W.

40* NCAA GAME OF THE WEEK

Valparaiso -2.5

I personally did buy the hook to -2

All the sharps are lining up on this one. Historically, teams in these smaller conferences that play their conference championship on their home floor have had great success. Throw in the fact the Valpo has only one loss on the season at home, and we have a solid opportunity here. I do see that this line has climbed. At -3.5, I would recommended buying down to -3, as that is a very key number (one possession game)

20*

Boston College -2

30* NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Atlanta Hawks -11

The Hawks just recently got upset by the 76ers their last time out, but don't look too much into that as they were primed for a let down after beating the Cavs and they rested a few of their players. However, this team has also been great bouncing back after losses. Atlanta is 7-1 ATS their last 8 following a straight up loss. They are also 14-4 ATS against the West and 21-6 ATS playing on just a days rest. Sacramento has been very inconsistent and hasn't had any success at all against the Hawks. The Kings are just 1-6 their last 7 in Atlanta and losers of 5 straight overall.

30*

Charlotte Hornets -1

Pardon my french, but until the Wizards get their heads out of their "you know whats" there's no way anyone should be putting money down on them, especially against this Hornets squad. The Wizards are just 1-4 ATS their last 5 meetings in Charlotte and 0-5 their last 5 meetings overall. The Wizards don't have ANY wins in multiple trend categories in recent play and it's pretty embarrassing. They are a combined 0-25 ATS in their current situation. Look for Charlotte to continue their dominance against Washington tonight.

30*

North Carolina-Wilmington (UNC-W) +3

50* NCAA ROAD WARRIOR OF THE MONTH

Wisconsin -1

30*

Denver Nuggets +5

30*

North Carolina (UNC) -1.5

20*

Minnesota Timberwolves +5

20*

Columbia +4

20*

Utah -13

50* NCAA HOME TOWN BEAT DOWN OF THE YEAR

Oklahoma -5

This game came out at -4 and if it stayed there, this would've been the 70* BIGGEST PLAY OF THE SEASON. Now with it at -5.5 and -6, we'll play for 5%

ALL signs point to Oklahoma here and ALL signs point to fade Kansas. Oklahoma comes into this game off a monumental collapse at Iowa State. No doubt they will be focused. This Oklahoma club is a completely different animal at home. They just destroy every one that enters. This is senior night and the last home game of the season playing Kansas. No doubt this place will be ROCKING. The Sooners also have a revenge from an earlier loss to Kansas. 

As for Kansas, they enter this game with a monumental comeback to beat WVU and clinch the outright BIG 12 title. I smell a letdown. Perry Ellis is out in this game and I feel that Kansas is just going to lay down in this one. They have not been a good road team this season and have struggled at times to hit FTs and 3 pointers. The most important thing to do on the road is to hit key 3 pointers and make your free throws. Not a good sound. Kansas really doesn't have anything to play for here. Kansas hasn't covered a spread in 5 games and I think they extend that streak to 6 games today.

50* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR

Kentucky -15.5

Well the perfect regular season comes down to this home game against Florida. I expect the Wildcats to absolutely beat the piss out of this team and put an exclamation point on this terrific season. Simple fact of the matter is that Florida stinks on the road. They are just 1-6 ATS their last 7 road contests. They also are just 3-13 ATS following a straight up win this season. I expect an insane crowd tonight with a TON of big 3's and alley oops as Kentucky rolls.

40* NCAA TOP PLAY UNDERDOG

Creighton +3

40* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

Connecticut (UCONN) +3.5

This game opened at -4.5 and has been bet down to -3 in some spots with 75% of the bets placed on Temple. Also 81% of the moneyline tickets on are the Owls as well. Ton of money is coming in on the dog here and we agree with the move.

20*

Los Angeles Lakers +11.5

40* NBA TOP PLAY PARLAY

Indiana Pacers -6

20*

Eastern Michigan +2

30*

Oakland -7.5

50* A-10 GAME OF THE YEAR

Davidson -2.5

This game is HUGE for Davidson. Senior night is always a big deal but when it's a game of this magnitude, it's something else. Davidson is eyeing the A-10 title and with a win here, they're in the driver's seat. They also would stamp their ticket to the Big Dance. Many may not know this but Davidson is the best team ATS in the land. They have covered 7 straight and 20 of their last 23 games. This team is on a roll and not to mention, they have revenge from a prior loss to the Rams. As for VCU, it's the opposite. Injuries have hurt this team and the loss of Weber crushed this team. They are not the same without him and it has shown. This atmosphere tonight is going to be electric. The ESPN cameras will be there and this place will be sold out. You know the last time Davison had two straight sell outs? It was when a little guy by the name of Steph Curry was there. Every thing favors Davidson here and I expect them to roll.

Davidson is 13-3 ATS as a favorite and 13-1 SU this season at home.

20*

South Carolina +3

Following the money here as Arkansas is the most popular bet on the board tonight and yet the line has stayed put and actually has dropped in some spots. 

20*

Tulsa -2.5

UPGRADED*

50* NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH

Houston Rockets -3.5

Most of my long term guys know this but I almost always buy the hook on a -3.5 line. It takes it to the key number of 3 (one possession game), especially on sites with juice of less than -110. For instance, bookmaker set 3.5 (-105) so you can get -3 (115) which is preferred.

analysis coming

30*

Pittsburgh -3.5

This line has now climbed to -5 and 5.5. play for 10* at this number or I do think Oklahoma State and Illinois at least win outright, so a moneyline parlay would be a good option also.

20*

Creighton +10

40* NCAA THE BIG UNDERDOG

Georgia +10

HUGE game for Georgia. Athens is gong to be ROCKING. Whenever Kentucky comes to town it's a big deal, but this season's even bigger. Everyone wants a piece of them to be the team that finally pulls the upset. Kentucky gets EVERYONES best effort and you best believe that they get Georgia's best effort tonight. Super Tuesday has not been fun for Kentucky has the last 2 times they played on the road, they were extremely close to being upset. Florida and LSU's fans were going berserk and although they didn't win, they still made it a close game (single digits) and got the ATS win. I see a very similar result here. Am I calling for the outright upset? No. But double digits is just way too many points to have to lay in this environment. 

30* HOME TOWN BEAT DOWN

Northwestern -3

Revenge spot here for Northwestern has they lost by 2 their last meeting against the Wolverines. The public always love Michigan and no doubt they'll be lining up to take them with the points. Senior night is going to be huge for these kids as they have a lot of upperclassman. They sit at 14-15 on the year. Love backing teams when they're one game back of .500. They know they won't be a losing team with a W here which is very important. 

20*

Georgia Tech +5.5

UNC has Duke on deck. Love fading the Tar Heels the game before playing their Arch rival and it's even better this season as they completely fell apart when they faced Duke earlier in the year. They had the game won and allowed Duke to come back in the finally minute and eventually win in OT. Big time lookahead spot as they want their revenge. With the oddsmakers putting out a short number on this game, looks like we have a live dog in this one.

20*

Texas -3

Going to follow the money here with the Longhorns. The public LOVES the underdog Bears tonight and yet the line is continuing to rise. Also been debating on 76ers +9 and Nets +6. Not sure if I'm going to pull the trigger or not but will post if they are official plays.

30* BIG TEN UNDERDOG

Michigan State +9

30* HOME TOWN BEAT DOWN

California -3

30*

Fresno State -3

40* NCAA BAILOUT

Utah -1.5

Arizona absolutely crushed Utah the last time these two teams met. You best believe Utah is out for some revenge. The Utes are one of the best teams in the country when they play in their own building. Utah is 16-0 at home and all but one of those victories were by double digits. Arizona has shown that they are susceptible on the road and the altitude of Utah could definitely cause some problems for them. This is the biggest game of the season for the Utes and I expect them to take care of business in front of a ruckus crowd tonight.

30*

UTEP -11

50* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR

Kent State +1.5

Revenge is an understatement for what Kent State has tonight. Their worst loss of the season came at the hands of Buffalo. Kent State has played exceptional at home this season and that was without one of, if not, their best players in Jimmy Hall. He is finally back and healthy and this gives a BIG lift to this club. This game is HUGE for Kent has if they win, they stay neck and neck with Bowling Green for the top stop of the conference. With 4 road losses already in conference play, Buffalo has shown they can struggle away from their building. These two teams play two different styles. Buffalo plays fast and Kent wants to slow you down. If Kent controls the pace of this game and knocks down their 3 pointers (Buffalo is one of the worst in the conference defending the perimeter) they dominate this game. Kent is also undefeated at home when avenging a loss of 15+ points in the same season. Look for that trend to continue tonight.

This game is on ESPN3

20*

Memphis Grizzlies -4.5

40* NBA HOME TOWN BEAT DOWN

Boston Celtics -2

The additions of Jarebko, Crowder, and Isiah Thomas have really lifted this Celtics team. They have covered 4 straight home games and 5 straight against the Eastern Conference. Boston also has double revenge from 2 prior losses this season to Charlotte. In a nut shell, the Celtics are playing better ball, their at home, and have revenge. At this current number, it's a no brainer to back the boys from Boston tonight.

20*

Pacific +3.5

There were 3 games that just missed today's card. Temple -14, Memphis +2.5, and Portland +3. Houston is a terrible squad and if Temple gives a solid effort, they should be able to win by 20+ but 14 points is a lot of chalk. Memphis is very tough at FedEx forum and a TON of money has come in on Portland against BYU as we missed the opening number of 5 and is now as low as 2.5 at most spots.

50* NCAA BIG SKY GAME OF THE YEAR

Montana +1

The Grizzlies are the hottest team in the conference right now as they have won 5 straight and 11 out of 13. Their only 2 losses came to the top 2 teams of the conference, EWU and Sac St. This team takes care of business against the weaker teams of their league. 9 of their 11 wins came by double digits. Montana has 3 straight road games left and they need ALL of them to take the top spot in the Big Sky. They have done well against the number away from home of late, cashing 5 straight road games. Let's not forget, even though this team lost, they took Boise State and California to double OT. This is a very solid team. They shoot well from the free throw line at just above 70% and they ranked 50th in the country in FG percentage at 46.6%. That's terrible news for Idaho as their defense is just down right dreadful. They foul a TON as they average more than 22 fouls a game and they rank in the 300's in almost all defensive categories. Idaho also has another home game left on their schedule, so that helps us as this wouldn't be senior night with all the fans and players giving the extra effort. I do see money coming in on Montana at the moment and are listed as the favorite in most spots. Look for Montana to get this very important W tonight on the road.

40* NBA ON TNT GAME OF THE WEEK

Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5

I personally bought the hook to -3 as that is a very key number (one possession game) but -3.5 is still OK.

I also think betting the 1st quarter OVER 55 and 1st half OVER 109 are solid bets too and would play for 1% each.

20*

San Antonio Spurs +3

Those of you who have been with be for awhile know that I love taking road teams when Joey Crawford is the head referee. The road team covers at an incredible rate and just last game he was involved in, Boston was getting 8 points and won OUTRIGHT! We also like this play because eventually San Antonio needs to wake up. If this team loses 4 in a row, they've got some problems and you won't see me back them any time soon.

30*

Florida State +7.5

During rivalry games, you can through everything out the window and it all comes down to who wants it more. This is just way too many points to be giving your rival. We've see it all week now. The underdogs are cashing at an incredible rate and they're not only covering, they're winning outright. Florida State is on a bit of a roll lately, and the trends have this as a phenomenal spot for the Seminoles. 

50* NBA VEGAS INSIDER

Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5

There is a reason the T'Wolves are favored in this game. This team is starting to roll and the Wizards are a mess. The oddsmakers are clearly telling us something here as they're making a team with 12 wins on the season favored over one of the top teams in the East. The reason is that Rubio is finally back, Wiggins is playing out of his mind, and Garnett is back and has these fans riled up. Washington is just 3-12 ATS their last 15, 1-7 ATS their last 8 road games, and just 1-10 ATS following a spread loss. Everything points to Minnesota here.

30* 

Boston Celtics -10.5

20*

Orlando Magic +3

The Magic have been excellent as a home dog this season. I don't even think they should be the dog in this contest to be honest. Miami is not that good of a team and they're in a terrible spot tonight. The Heat are just 3-13 ATS after scoring 100 points their previous game. This shows that this team suffers a let down offensively when they have a great shooting night. Also they are 0-5 ATS their last 5 after a straight up win of 10+ points. 

50* NCAA UNDERDOG MAX BET

Richmond +1.5

The Spiders have not lost at home in conference play. They also beat VCU earlier in the year and they did that by taking away what VCU does best. They didn't turn the ball over and they defended the perimeter exceptionally. VCU shot just 3-20 from beyond the arc and Richmond has the 13th ranked offense in the country taking care of the ball (not turning it over). This line is telling us something here guys. We have a very live home dog. VCU is ranked 22nd and is a pick em to a 15-12 Richmond club. The Spiders know what it takes to beat the Rams. They shoot well from the free throw line, which is imperative when taking an underdog, and they don't turn the ball over. VCU has a very important game on deck against Dayton at home and they could possibly be looking ahead to that showdown with the A-10 title up for grabs. Let's face it, this isn't the same VCU team with all their injuries and Richmond should be able to pull the minor upset in front of their home fans tonight.

20*

Northwestern +3

30*

East Carolina (ECU) +5

EVERY key trend favors ECU and fades UCONN. East Carolina has already beat Memphis and Cincinnati at home this season and Connecticut has struggled on the road. To make matters worse for the Huskies is that they play SMU which is a big time revenge game for them. UCONN stinks for the free throw line, shooting just 60%, which is a total joke and you can't expect to win on the road shooting from the charity stripe like that. I wouldn't be surprised if ECU won this game outright.

20*

Davidson +3

In my opinion, Davidson is the better team and they are the type of team that gives Rhode Island fit. Davidson is an up-tempo squad and they are playing great basketball of late winning 5 straight, which includes 2 road victories. Davidson is the proven post-season team and they know how to win the big games. They need this one to stay neck and neck with VCU and I believe the do it here tonight.

20*

Utah State -4

30* NCAA DOUBLE DIGIT DESTROYER

Notre Dame -8

The Fighting Irish are a dominant force at home and they drain threes at an incredible rate in their building. That's horrible news for Syracuse because that's exactly how you beat them. Everyone knows about their terrific Boeheim zone and in order to beat that, you have to shoot well from the perimeter and Notre Dame is one of the best. Syracuse has also been a mess of late covering games. They are just 2-9 ATS their last 11 games and they are just 1-7 ATS facing a team with a winning record of .600+. Look for Notre Dame to win this one by double digits. 

50* NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH

West Virginia (WVU) -3.5

The Texas Longhorns absolutely blew out this WVU team their last visit by 27 points. You best believe the Mountaineers have this game circled to dish out a little payback. With Kansas losing last night, the BIG 12 is still up for grabs and with a win tonight, West Virginia will be just 1 game back of the top spot. Bob Huggins is one of the best coaches when getting his players ready for a revenge game. Expect a crazy atmosphere tonight in Morgantown as the Mountaineers will use their defense to win this ball game. WVU is 18-0 when they don't allow their opponents to score more than 70 points this season. So if Texas scores less than 70, we're cashing this ticket.

40* ROAD WARRIOR OF THE WEEK

Louisiana State (LSU) -5

LSU has been a tough team to judge this year and they have been very Jekyll and Hyde but I expect them to give a great effort tonight. LSU is on the bubble and have revenge to a home loss to Auburn earlier this year. If that doesn't motivate you than I don't know what will. Let's not kid ourselves. LSU is clearly the better team. As long as they don't make a ton of mistakes and turn the ball over, they win this with ease. Louisiana State shot just above 20% behind the arc in their loss to Auburn last time. As long as they hit 1 out of every 3 (33%) or better, we have a great chance of winning this bet.

30*

San Antonio Spurs -5.5

The Spurs have now lost 2 games in a row after the All-Star break and this team is just too good to lose 3 in a row. The Jazz may be a bit over valued here as they blew out Portland their first game back from the break. If you look closer though, that is smoke and mirrors. Portland is not a very good road team, and they go through very bad cold shooting stretches. Maybe you could blame my dislike for Portland as the last 2 times we were on them, they blew double digit fourth quarter leads to lose outright but I digress. If the Spurs play to the level their capable of and sink their threes, they win this by double digits.

20*

Boston Celtics +8

50* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

Kansas State +5.5

This just seems way too easy to take the Jayhawks but we have a live underdog here. This line opened at +6.5 at some spots and has dropped to +5.5 and 5 with 65% of the bets on Kansas. Ton of money is coming in on Kansas State. The Wildcats have been a mess this year, I'll admit that. But this game is their season and KU has shown that they can fall apart at times and definitely buckle on the road. K State big man, Gipson, apparently lashed out at his players and gave an inspiring speech at the end of their latest drubbing. The Wildcats should come out hyped with a wild crowd to back them up. As we know, in these rivalry games, you can pretty much throw everything out the window and whoever wants it more, gets the W. Just look at Ohio State Michigan yesterday or even UNC Duke last week. Although Duke did win, they were 9 point favorites and could have very easily lost that game and needed a miracle to pull it off. Look for this game to come down to the final possessions and K State walking away with the ATS cover.

20*

Milwaukee Bucks +7

30* NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK

Portland Trailblazers -3.5

The Memphis Grizzlies come off the longest break out of everyone today to take on one of the best teams in the West in one of the hardest places to play. Doesn't sound very good to me. I believe the long break is going to hurt more than help this team. The Grizz were on fire before entering the break and usually long breaks hurt momentum for teams. As for Portland, they got embarrassed by the Jazz last time out so I expect them to be fully focused for this game. Memphis also beat this team their last meeting so we also have the revenge angle working for us as well.

30*

Temple +2

20*

Western Kentucky +4.5

50* PAC-12 GAME OF THE YEAR

Oregon State -3.5

Until their last game against Utah, the Beavers were UNDEFEATED at home. This is a completely different club playing in front of their fans at Gill Coliseum. They beat UCLA here by 11 and knocked off #7 Arizona. Oregon State does a great job of dictating the tempo here and that's why they have had so much success. They play at a snails pace and this really frustrates teams. Colorado is not a good team. The Buffaloes have been getting killed in their games and even against the bad teams too. They have won just 1 of their last 5 games, losing all of them by 7 or more. To make matters worse for this team is they have Arizona on deck coming to their house so no doubt they'll be looking ahead to that match up with upset on their minds. Basically asking Oregon State just to win at home is a no brainer for me and I expect them to cruise tonight.

40* TOP PLAY UNDERDOG SHOCKER

St. Mary's +6.5

20*

Toronto Raptors +2

30*

Oklahoma City Thunder -4

20*

Austin Peay +18.5

20*

Brooklyn Nets -3

The Lakers are just so bad. They can't win a game to save their lives. Los Angeles is 1-16 SU and 3-14 ATS their last 17 games. With how bad the East is, believe it or not, Brooklyn is still alive in the playoff hunt. I see the Nets wanting this one more as the Lakers have nothing to play for and they have all but quit on the season. With the 2nd half of the season underway, I see the Lakers going into all out tank mode. The Nets have covered 4 straight in Los Angeles and expect them to make it 5 straight after tonight.

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Portland +6

This Portland club is really flying under the radar. They have reeled off 4 straight wins, which includes 3 double digit victories. The Pilots have also been stellar covering games on the road as they are 21-7 their last 28 away games and 7-0 ATS facing a team with a home winning percentage of .600. This team knows how to get it done on the road and part of it is because they shoot such a high percentage from beyond the arc. They shoot almost 40% from three and that is VERY important on the road as the three ball is an automatic silencer of the crowd. As for St. Mary's, they have the ultimate look ahead game on deck as they play their rival, Gonzaga, in just 2 days on Saturday. This Gaels team also just played a grueling double OT game last time out against San Diego. This is a very bad spot for St. Mary's. Portland loss to St. Mary's at home by 10 their last meeting. Portland has their revenge and I believe the oddsmakers are telling us a lot here as St. Mary's is only favored by 6 at home, after they beat Portland by 10, on the road. I would not be surprised if this game comes right down to the wire and getting these generous points is the way to go.

20*

San Antonio Spurs -3

The All-Star break is over and now you get a week off, when before it was only 4 days. This can only mean a few things. Rust and fresh legs. Rust is going to hurt the offensive side of the ball and fresh legs will help the defensive side of the ball. Poppovich is like Nick Saban. He just doesn't lose with ample time to prepare. HINT HINT (We also like the Spurs). The Spurs got crushed the last time they faced the Clippers and they should be focused and have revenge on their minds. The Clippers not having Blake Griffin is going to hurt this team. He is big to their offensive production. I expect a lower scoring battle that the Spurs pull away late and get the W.

30*

Brigham Young (BYU) -11.5

We have a team in a terrible spot and another in a great spot. San Diego played their home finale their last time out and lost an absolute heart breaker in double OT to St. Mary's. This team has got to be demoralized and I don't see this team getting back up. BYU has had this game circled as they lost to this San Diego team their previous meeting. To make matter's worse for San Diego is that this is Senior Night for BYU. You best believe the Cougars are going to be hyped for this game. I expect a HUGE offensive performance from BYU tonight. They should keep their foot on the gas for a full 40 minutes and dominate from start to finish.

20*

Utah State -13

This should be a blowout of epic proportions. Utah State has owned San Jose and they have won and covered the last 5 meetings. Utah State also takes care of business against the bad teams. They are 24-5 their last 29 against the losing teams. San Jose State is one of the worst teams in the country and the Aggies should not have any problem destroying them tonight.

50* HORIZON LEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR

Oakland -1.5

UPDATE: This line has been creeping up and it's now at -3.5 at most spots. I recommend buying the hook as -3 is a very key number (one possession game). If this line moves any higher, 4 and above, I recommend playing for 3% instead of 5%.

30*

Virginia Tech +11

Tough spot here for the Hurricanes as they are traveling back from Boston after having to stay over night there due to the weather. To make matters worse for them is that they won a grueling double OT game so this team has go to be a bit tired. Even though their record is awful, Virginia Tech has done well ATS against the good teams. They have covered 6 of the last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage of higher than .600. They are also undefeated, 6-0 following an ATS loss.

20*

Louisiana State (LSU) +3

20*

Wichita State -12

30*

Baylor -9

The Bears have lost 2 in a row and the perfect thing to cure their woes is a visit to Texas Tech. Let's face it, the Red Raiders are an awful team. They are just 2-10 ATS facing a team with a winning percentage of .600. The Bears should get a double digit victory tonight as they are 8-2 ATS following a spread loss and they are 4-1 their last 5 meetings against Texas Tech. Baylor should blow this team out as they are better in every facet of the game.

Note to subscribers: Man the last few days have had some tough beats. 6 losses that came down to the last possession or lost by 1 point. Seton Hall and Villanova not scoring a point in the final 1:30 was a tough one. Clemson Georgia Tech over losing by 1.5 points. Butler hitting a buzzer beater to win where OT would have cashed the ticket. Utah blowing a layup with 20 seconds left and then a horrible And 1 call at the other end cost us a 2 point loss, Texas A&M dominates ALL game and completely falls apart at the end but wins and cost us the cover by 1 point, and Penn State losing on one of the worst offensive foul calls ever where he gets TACKLED by the Maryland defender and it's somehow his fault. Needed to vent a bit there but that's the way things work out sometimes in gambling and its tough. Hopefully those tough losses are behind us and we start trending back upwards and get the good luck back on our side. It's only a matter of time where the breaks start going our way. I value every client and appreciate you guys putting your trust in me. Let's get back on the winning track tonight!

Best of luck!

-Don Anthony