20*

Virginia Military Institute (VMI) +4.5

50* CBB MAX BET

Florida International +5

40* CBB TOP PLAY

Marist +4

20*

Phoenix Suns +9

Lots of sharp players I have spoken with love the dog here, mainly for motivation. Grizzlies are coming off a dominating performace against the Spurs and have the Golden State Warriors on deck. This is a big sandwich spot for Memphis and its hard seeing them going all out to dominate the Suns tonight by double digits. The Suns don't win much obviously but they have held their own against top compeition and can sneak up on teams that look passed them, especially on the road, covering 4 of the last 5.

30*

Evansville +2

40* CBB GAME OF THE WEEK

Oklahoma State -1

I apologize for the lack of write-up on these system plays. We have found a system that has done extremely well of late and we need to keep it close to the vest. Partly has do to with fading the teams the public loves for the day's card. 

30*

Boston College +3

50* Big 10 GAME OF THE MONTH

Michigan -4.5

20*

Kansas State +4

40*

Detroit +2

20*

James Madison +3

40*

Cleveland State +4.5

30*

Ohio +1

30*

Buffalo +3

30*

Rhode Island +3

30*

Western Michigan +3.5

50*

Cal Poly -1

40*

Washington +2

30*

Utah State +3.5

20*

IUPU-Indianpolis +2

40*

Western Michigan +2

40*

Phoenix Suns +4

The public is going to feast on the Grizzlies tonight with this short line and we'll gladly fade the masses. If you look closer, you will see this is a terrible spot for Memphis. The Grizz are in the middle of their season long road trip and are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, with their last game being in altitude (Utah.)

The Suns have been covering machines of late at home, covering 7 of 9. They have also bounced back nicely when they have lost by double digits in their building, going 12-3 ATS. Phoenix has covered 4 of the last 5 meetings vs. Memphis. There's a reason they're only catching 4 here. Trap game of the night. 

30*

Detroit +5.5

30*

Utah State +1

20*

Western Illinois +1

40*

James Madison -4

20*

Louisiana-Monroe +5

20*

Oral Roberts +2.5

30*

Indiana State +1.5

20*

Furman +2.5

30*

Pepperdine -4

30*

Utah -1

30*

Cleveland Cavaliers -11

The big thing about the NBA is motivation. It's obvious that the Warriors and Cavaliers are more talented than everyone and should win every game. However, this is real life and not a video game. Players' take nights off, they don't try as hard, and part of this is due to scheduling. The key is finding the correct spots with a very talented team that is going to play hard and motivated. I believe the Cavaliers fit the mold tonight.

Cleveland just got embarrassed by the New Orleans Pelicans. That literally should never happen. Only way that happens is if they don't try. It's sad isn't it? But it's good for us as it looks like it may set up a nice money making opportunity. They should come out fired up in front their home fans to get that game behind them. Cavaliers have done well covering the number at home against the losing teams of the league and they take on a Sacramento team that is playing their 4th road game in 6 nights. The Kings are also 0-4 ATS following a straight up win and have failed to cover the spread in the last 4 meetings against Cleveland.

20*

Georgetown +2

50* CBB MAX BET

Western Michigan +4.5

20*

Niagra +4.5

20*

Austin Peay +4.5

20*

Florida International +5.5

40* CBB TOP PLAY

South Dakota State +4

40* CBB TOP PLAY

Western Illinois +3

20*

Bowling Green +2.5

30* CBB PLAY OF THE DAY

Quinnipiac +2.5

I apologize for the lack of write-up on these system plays. We have found a system that has done extremely well of late and we need to keep it close to the vest. Partly has do to with fading the teams the public loves for the day's card. 

30*

Drake +3

30*

Indiana State +1.5

20*

Texas A&M -4.5

20*

Siena -6.5

30*

Iowa State +3

Trap line of the day. Basically anything less than -3 essentially is a pick em game. So the mighty Kansas Jayhawks, who are 16-1 and ranked #2 in the country, are pickem to an 11-5 team? Like I've said 1000 times, Vegas isn't stupid, they don't give away money. It looks WAY too easy to lay the chalk and the public is going to LOVE the Jayhawks here.

If you look closer, Kansas is consistently getting over valued. They are 1-5 ATS their last 6 games overall and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings against Iowa State. Wouldn't be shocked to see Kansas go down tonight along with the betting public.

20*

Louisiana-Monroe +3.5

30*

Golden State Warriors -7.5

Bookmakers are begging you to take the Cavaliers here. Don't fall for it. Golden State has had 3 days off to prepare for this game, without any travel. In fact, 7 of their last 8 games have been at Oracle with their only road contest being at Sacramento, so this team is well rested with full focus. Golden State has also been a great bet when facing the great teams of the league (.600+ winning percentage) going 17-5 ATS.

The Cavaliers have covered the spread just once in their last 7 games which includes going 1-4 on their current road trip. Cavaliers have been traveling non-stop while the Warriors have had a very favorable home schedule recently. Look for Golden State to get their revenge in blowout fashion tonight.

50* CBB Horizon League GAME OF THE MONTH

Detroit -4

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

20*

Weber State -9

50*

Morehead State -1

20*

Utah +3.5

50* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH

Atlanta Falcons -5

The Atlanta Falcons offense at home is a freight train. I don't think anyone could stop them. They even scored 24 points on this Seattle defense IN Seattle, where it's nearly impossible to put up points and they should have had even more but the refs jobbed Julio Jones with a non call at the end. But there's a MONUMENTAL difference now. There is no Earl Thomas for Seattle. I believe his absence will show big time here. What's so impressive about this Falcons' offense is that they beat you both ways. They rank #3 in passing and #5 in rushing. You simply can't force them to play your way because they dominate both phases.

HFA (home field advantage) is obviously huge for this game. The knock on Seattle has always been playing away from home. They play exceptionally well in their building but they are vulnerable on the road. It showed again this year with another losing record on the season away from CenturyLink.

Will post some more thoughts later. Wanted to at least get this one out for you guys with a few notes.

30*

Kansas State -1

50*

Wish-Milwaukee +1

30*

Davidson +3

40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK

Utah Jazz -11

For what it's worth, this was going to be a GOY at -7 and a GOM under double digits. I know that doesn't mean much now, since the line is -11, but it shows how strongly I feel about this play.

It doesn't get much worse, from a situational stand-point, for the Pistons tonight. This is now the Pistons' 4th game in 6 nights, 3rd game in 4, and a back to back, all being road games. Not only that, but they played a double OT game vs. Portland on the 8th and they just played a TNT showcase game in Golden State. One of the toughest spots for an NBA team is playing on zero rest going into Denver or Utah. The altitude causes serious problems and by the 2nd half, players are completely drained. Detroit also lost one of their top scorers last night, KCP, so this easily could be a game the Pistons take the night off considering that they have got to be completely out of gas.

30*

Manhattan +1.5

30*

Minnesota Timberwolves +2

50*

UC Riverside +2

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

20*

Cal Poly -4

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

40*

Idaho State +4

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

Utah -5

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

20*

Montana State -2

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

40*

Oral Roberts -5.5

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

Wisconsin-Milwaukee +5

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

Cleveland State -3.5

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

Miami -3.5

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

James Madison +4

These are system plays involving certain aspects and public opinion

30*

Minnesota Timberwolves +4

Love fading the most public backed side of the day. It was Cleveland last night and they got worked. Tonight, it's the Houston Rockets. Simply looks way too easy to take the visitors here.

If you look closer, you will see the situation greatly favors the Timberwolves. Houston is now playing a back to back, 3rd game in 4, and 5th game in 7 nights. This will also be their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Houston could lack energy and motivation tonight.

Minnesota has done well against the number against the good teams of the league as they are 6-1 ATS their last 7 games facing a team with a winning record. The Rockets are just 1-4 ATS the last 5 meetings as well.

40* NBA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Los Angeles Lakers +2

Awful spot for the Trailblazers tonight. They are coming off a double OT loss to the Detroit Pistons Sunday and have the mighty Cavaliers on deck tomorrow at home. They recently beat the Lakers the game before the Pistons game and they may get caught looking ahead especially since they're tired.

As mentioned before, The Lakers have the quick revenge angle working for them tonight. Los Angeles has been playing well lately, winning 3 of their last 4. It's also been a great bet fading the Trailblazers on the road this season, as they are just 5-16 straight up.

30*

Utah Jazz +3

50* CBB Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR

West Virginia -6

Let me get this straight...the UNDEFEATED, #1 ranked team in the Nation are 6 point underdogs? There's a reason for this folks. Like I say all the time, especially when handicapping basketball, Vegas isn't stupid. They don't give away money. The public is going to LOVE the Baylor Bears here. This is just like Villanova/Butler, when we were on Butler last week. The spread +1 and the world was on Nova. Well, Butler ended their win streak. I expect a similar result here. Some teams just match up better against you and WVU matches up with Baylor. I will say, Dub V's weakness is the charity stripe. As long as they shoot a decent % (helps that they are at home, obviously) they win going away.

20*

Western Michigan +3.5

20*

Green Bay Packers -5.5

For what it's worth, we were going to make the Steelers at -10 a play but the line got away from us on Friday and it just kept climbing to where it is now. 1% play at current number if you want action or even a Steelers Packers moneyline parlay.

Like our fade of the Lions yesterday, you fade the teams that limp into the Playoffs and you play on the teams that are hot going into the post-season. Well, there is no one hotter than Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. The Packers simply don't lose at home, especially in the blistering cold. The Giants, however, have beaten the Packers at Lambeau in the Playoffs in 2007 and 2011. I think this is an advantage to the Packers here with the huge revenge factor. Also, the Giants have been a dreadful bet recently on the road facing winning competition. They have covered the spread just ONCE in their last 11 tries. The cool/trending pick is the Giants here. We know what happens to cool/trendy picks more often than not. They go down in flames. 

30*

Drake +3

20*

Dallas Mavericks +2

40* NFL Saturday BEST BET

Seattle Seahawks -8

It's hard to believe but the Detroit Lions are attracting the most tickets than any team right now in the Wild Card Round. Well, what do we do when the public loves a team? We fade it. I'll gladly fade the Lions in this spot.

Detroit has limped into the Playoffs, losing 3 straight. You never want to back a team that is falling apart at the end of the season. They typically have quick exits. Detroit went from having possibly the #2 seed and a 1st Round Bye, then could have won the Division had a home playoff game and the #4 seed but instead, they are the #6 and have to play in the toughest place in the NFL, Seattle. Detroit is in big trouble here and is ripe for a letdown.

The Lions are in a terrible scheduling situation. This is their 3rd road contest in their last 4 games and they are playing their 3rd game in just 12 days. It doesn't get much worse than that. Actually, yes it does. The Lions haven't won a road playoff game since EISENHOWER was President (1957!)

Seattle comes into this game coming off their first and only home loss of the season. They have always been a great bet to bounce back at home. They have also won 9 straight home playoffs games with an average double digit margin of victory. This game has Seattle written all over it and to be perfectly honest with you guys, if this line was -7 or less, this would be a huge play for us. Still love this play for 4% laying under double digits and this is a great leg for all you teaser lovers out there. 

40* NBA VEGAS INSIDER

New Orleans Pelicans -2.5

Something that I have been doing for awhile, taking spreads that look completely out of whack. It's that simple. Last night we took Butler and Western Illinois solely for that reason and they came through with ease. It's the oldest trick in the book. Typically when Vegas puts out a spread that looks too easy, it is. They are begging for Atlanta bets here. So far I'm seeing 3 out of every 4 tickets on the Hawks. Situation also favors the home team as Atlanta is playing on 0 rest and traveling, when New Orleans has had 2 days off. The Pelicans started off the season slow, due to injuries, but now they are getting healthy and are playing a great brand of basketball. Expecting a big effort from Anthony Davis and company tonight.

40*

Morehead State -3

30*

Golden State Warriors -15.5

20*

Texas -1

40*

Western Illinois -1

20*

Vanderbilt -6

20*

Syracuse +1.5

30*

Northern Iowa +2.5

20*

Duke -19.5

40*

Butler +1.5

30*

Texas Tech +3

50* NBA Blowout GAME OF THE MONTH

Detroit Pistons -5

Love this spot for the Pistons tonight. Detroit got smacked around just a few games ago against the Pacers, so you know this matchup is in their minds to avenge that previous loss. You always remember who blew you out on your home floor and I don't expect Detroit to take them lightly this evening. The Pistons have been lights out in revenge games this season. They have covered all 3 of their games after losing the first meeting this year.

Indiana is in a prime let down spot here. They are just 0-4 ATS following a double digit win and they are just 4-13 SU/ATS on the road this season. To make matters worse, the Pacers are a dreadful 0-7 ATS going on the road after a home victory.

40*

Clemson +3.5

40* CFB VEGAS INSIDER

Auburn +3

30* NBA Monday BEST BET

Oklahoma City Thunder +2

This play is mostly a fade of the Milwaukee Bucks. They come off a dominating blowout win against their division rival, Chicago Bulls, and Milwaukee has not done well in this spot. The Bucks have covered the spread just one time in their last 5 games coming off a straight up win of 10+ and are 20-44 ATS coming off a divisional upset win. They have not done well against the Thunder either, going 1-5 against the number at home and they are just 10-21 ATS in the last 31 meetings. Oladipo is back for the Thunder and this gives a huge boost to the OKC defense to shutdown the Bucks and takes some of the pressure off of Westbrook.

30* Rose Bowl BEST BET PARLAY

Southern California (USC) -7

50* One & Only CFB BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR

Clemson +3.5

Total disrepect to the Tigers here. Wrong team favored. I don't think Ohio State is all that. If you watched the Michigan game, you know that the Buckeyes should not be playing in this game tonight. I expect Watson to have a huge game. All this guy does is win and you know he's got a big chip on his shoulder from not winning the Heisman. Remember, Clemson almost took out Alabama in the National Championship but it took a trick on-side kick to change the "tide" of that game. Bottom line here is experience and in the trenches. In big games like this you typically want to back the more experienced team and who dominates the line of scrimmage. Check Clemson. I believe there is a good chance we see a rematch of last year's National Title game.

20*

Morehead State +3

30*

South Alabama +14

20*

North Carolina +3

50* CFB GAME OF THE MONTH

Oklahoma State +3

Wrong team favored, in my opinion. A lot of what goes into handicapping bowl games is deciding what conferences are over-rated and under-valued. Well, I believe the Pac-12 is over-rated big time. Washington State looked awful against a sub-par Minnesota and Utah barely beat a weak Indiana club.

Colorado got exposed in the Pac-12 Championship game. The type of teams that gives Colorado fits are ones with offensive firepower and play-makers. That plays right into the hands of Oklahoma State. Another key advantage for the Cowboys is that this is their 11th straight bowl game and they will be extra motivated after a poor bowl showing last year. As for Colorado, these players are making their first bowl appearance. Jitters may cause them to make mistakes and blown assignments. Defensive Coordinator for the Buffaloes has left for Oregon and will not be there for the game. Just more proof that Oklahoma State is the right side here.