30*

Utah -5.5

40* NCAA on ESPN TOP PLAY

North Carolina (UNC) +2

20*

Cleveland Browns +3

I also like this selection correlated with the under. Tampa Bay rolled early on Monday Night Football against the Bengals but were hapless in the second half. I expect that's when Cleveland will sneak in and win this game. A ton of tickets are being written on the Bucs here but the line dropped off the very key number of 3. Following the sharp money here and fading public perception.

LATE INFO: Playing Dallas tonight. Sources and handicappers I've talked to LOVE this side.

My apologies for the horrible GOY call. I wish I could win them all guys.

20* 

San Francisco 49ers -4

20*

Baltimore Ravens +4.5

30*

Miami Dolphins +1.5

30* BEST BET PARLAY

Kansas City Chiefs -3

We'll take the team with more depth, especially at the Quarterback position, along with them playing their first home pre-seaon game of the year. Seattle doesn't have Jackson for this came due to injury and they are lacking on the defensive side of the ball right now.

30*

Washington Nationals -1.5

30*

Buffall Bills +3

20*

Washington Redskins -2.5

40*

Minnesota Lynx -10

50* MLB RUN-LINE GAME OF THE MONTH 

Toronto Blue Jays -1.5

40*

St. Louis Cardinals -1.5

40* NFLX GAME OF THE WEEK

Washington Redskins +2

Yes, both of these teams are horrible, but I believe the Redskins have the advantage because of their QB situation. All three Quarterbacks have had plenty of game action over the past two seasons. We all know about RG3 but he's only expected to play very little in this game. That leaves us with Cousins and McCoy. I can see them having success against the low string guys of the Browns defense. Usually in the preseason, the 2nd and 3rd string guys are total scrubs and can't move the ball down the field to save their lives and the coaches have the just hand the ball off. These two QBs have the confidence to do some damage. Also, I believe Johnny Manziel to be severely overrated and I expect him to have a dreadful game tonight. Redskins should win this game outright.

30*

Kansas City Royals -1.5

40*

Minnesota Vikings -2.5

50* MLB MAX BET

Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5

We will be playing 4% on the RL and 1% on the ML

These Pirates are a fantastic bet at home. They are 36-18 but even more impressive is that they are 21-5 when Cole takes the mound at PNC. A key stat for this game is the very low total. When the odds-makers anticipate a low scoring game (6.5 or lower) the Pirates have been unstoppable. They have won 6 straight and with the total at 6 currently, taking them at +1.5, we get 25% of the runs RIGHT FROM THE START! Can't pass this up and do feel the Buccos have a great chance to win this one outright as well.

50*

Calgary Stampeders -7

30*

Texas Rangers +1.5

Personally going to play 10* on the money-line as well.

30*

St. Louis Cardinals -1.5

40* MLB BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Clayton Kershaw has owned the San Diego Padres. The Dodgers have won 5 straight with Kershaw on the mound against San Diego. Kershaw is also in terrific form right now as he has gone 3-0 with and ERA of less than 0.9 and a WHIP of less than 0.6. These guys should also tee off on Despaigne tonight as they have seen quite a bit of him. 

San Diego has been terrible in their current spot as they are 0-7 their last 7 home games as an underdog. I don't see the Padres getting more than 2 runs here, so if the Dodgers can plate at least 4...we'll cash this ticket.

50* NBA VEGAS INSIDER

Golden State Warriors -1

50* MLB RUN-LINE GAME OF THE MONTH

Cleveland Indians -1.5 +122

The Mariners are just awful right now and they can't do anything right. They can't hit and their bullpen is awful right now. To make matters worse, this is a HUGE pitching mismatch. Kluber has been on fire lately and can go the distance at any time. Elias is not a pitcher that goes deep into games and I see the Indians having great success off him tonight. This game should be a blowout from start to finish.

20*

Atlanta Dream -10.5

Personally bought the hook to -10 (-115)

30*

Atlanta Hawks +9.5

50* MLB GAME OF THE MONTH

Washington Nationals -1.5 (-122)

Also like a money-line parlay with Washington Nationals -280 + Seattle Mariners -148 = +127 odds.

Gigantic pitching mismatch here with Scherzer going for the Nats and O'Sullivan going for the Phillies. The Nats are one of the hottest teams in baseball and they are knocking the cover off the ball. Bad news for Sean O'Sullivan. Washington has already seen him this year and O'Sullivan is due for a major let down as he finally recorded his first big league win of his career with six scoreless innings against the Dbacks his last outing. As long as the Nationals can plate at least 4 runs, we should cash this ticket because I don't see Max giving up more than 2 runs here.

40* NBA VEGAS INSIDER

Golden State Warriors -10

There is a reason the odds-makers made the Warriors this big of a favorite. They are better in every facet of the game. It's as simple as the way each team plays. Golden State plays fundamentally sound, solid defense, a deeper bench, has the best shooter(s) in the game, and can drop treys like nobody's business.

Houston is the known street ball team. They are constantly running isolations and there are times where you will see players simply with their hands on their hips (Harden usually) out of the play, if they know the ball isn't coming to them. Golden State will see this and will eat you alive. Also, the Rockets CANNOT shoot free throws either. That will destroy you this late in the playoffs. 

Most people are going to see this line and say "I get the #2 seed getting double digits after 3 straight wins?" Don't get caught in the trap. Rockets are in for a major letdown. In my opinion, Memphis was a better team, definitely the better defensive team, than the Rockets, and the Warriors grinded them down and absolutely punished them late in the series. As long as Curry and Thompson don't have miserable shooting nights, Golden State runs away with this one in the 2nd half.

50* One & Only NBA GAME OF THE YEAR

Houston Rockets +2

For those of you who were on my NHL GAME OF THE YEAR with the Rangers...Man, is this a spitting image of a series or what? Both the Capitals and the Clippers were up 3-1 and now have to play on the road in Game 7. Both had the series in the bag (Capitals had a 1-0 lead with 100 seconds left and lost in OT and the Clippers had a 19 point lead with a couple minutes left in the 3rd and lost badly. Both were in series clinching games. Well, we all know how it ended for the Capitals. I expect a very similar result for the Clippers. What makes this even more similar, both teams are the worst in history blowing 3-1 series leads. If you have watched ESPN at all lately, you will know that more than 80% of the teams in the NBA playing at home for Game 7, win. 

I was shocked to see the Rockets as a 2 point underdog. I thought the odds makers would make the Rockets a short favorite or even a pick 'em. I don't see how the Clippers are going to be mentally stable for this game. The NBA is a game of runs. If and when the Rockets go on a run and/or hit a few threes in a row, I can see the Clippers really falling apart. "We had the series won" or "How did we blow this" is going to enter the player's heads and that is when the Rockets are going to start to pull away. 

The only negatives I can say for this game is that...this is the Rockets. This team is so sporadic it's frustrating. However, this is Game 7, on your home floor, after an epic comeback. HOW COULD YOU NOT BE FOCUSED! The other is Matt Barnes. This may sound a bit superstitious but whenever I make bets involving the Clippers...Matt Barnes is the X-Factor. When I fade the Clippers, he goes 4-7 from 3 point land. If I bet the Clippers, he goes 1-9 from 3. Let's hope the terrible Matt Barnes shows up Sunday. All jokes aside, the pressure got to the Clippers. They were one game away, really one quarter away, from their first Conference Finals in franchise history, and they blew it.  

20*

Golden State Warriors -5

Decided to pull the trigger on this one. Also have a small play on the Wizards ML 1st HALF. If you have the outs...a play on the Atlanta Hawks ML 4th quarter is a solid play as well. Washington should come out strong tonight at home and they have done well early on in the series. Where they have trouble, and it's always been this way for the Wizards, they struggle mightily in the 4th quarter and they always blow their lead.

ML (moneyline)

30*

Chicago Bulls -2

40* NBA VEGAS INSIDER 

Cleveland Cavaliers -5

Cavaliers know they have to win this game. They cannot go down 2-3 going back to Chicago. I know it sounds easier said than done, but they also want to protect their coach from his double debacle last game. This is also a nice public fade as more than 60% of the bets are on the Bulls. Also saw a great stat with Joey Crawford, tonight's referee, and Lebron James. The King is 25-3 in games refed by Joey Crawford. Like our chances to get favorable calls tonight.

50* NBA MAX BET

Memphis Grizzlies +5

Looks like the Warriors have met their match. This Memphis defense is for real and it has frustrated the Splash brothers and it has made them look dazed on the floor at times. Again, just like last game when we cashed with the Grizzlies, everyone is going to be on the Warriors here thinking they'll bounce back and there is no way they go down 1-3. I think the Grizzles are going to surprise a lot of folks here tonight. I'm not going to go as far as calling for the outright upset, but it would not surprise me one bit. Getting 5+ points is a gift, especially in the Grindhouse where the Grizzlies are just so tough. This should be a close game throughout and I'll take the generous points all day with the home team.

Side note: Was taking a hard look at the OVER here as the first 3 games have gone UNDER the total. Love taking the over in the playoffs when the first 3 games go under as the oddsmakers typically over adjust the line but they didn't for this game 4 as it has stayed put at 196. Maybe worth a small bet here. If this game does go under, we will have a play on the over in game 5.

50* NBA MAX BET

Memphis Grizzlies +4

EVERYONE is going to be on the Golden State Warriors here. "No way they lose two in a row, they always bounce back!" It's that kind of thinking that can get you in trouble in sports. Memphis is the real deal. Having Conley back gives this team a chance. Without him, they probably get swept, or maybe the Grizz get one as their home-court advantage is awesome. The Grindhouse is going to be electric. I don't have any fancy reasonings/trends for this one. This is just a great public fade and I just think this Memphis defense and this atmosphere is going to surprise a lot of folks tonight.

50* NBA VEGAS INSIDER

Los Angeles Clippers -4

With or without Chris Paul, the Clippers should take care of business tonight. The Rockets showed me a lot, or lack thereof, in Game 1. This team just doesn't have the Champion's will. They did win Game 2, I'll give them that, but that was their season right there. They lose that game, they might as well forfeit. They should have a bit of a let down here. I mean they got killed Game 1, in a PERFECT SPOT to win, and barely won Game 2 and this was WITHOUT the Clippers best player. I don't see how this team has a shot coming into the Staples Center.

40* NBA VEGAS INSIDER

Cleveland Cavliers -5.5

Included is my favorite prop play for tonight,

We're going to play LeBron James OVER 1.5 three point makes. We all know that LeBron plays like a man possessed after a loss in the post-season. His line currently at Bookmaker is 29.5 (-130) points. I feel we have better value on the 3 pointers. LeBron went 0-3 from beyond the arc last game. You know he's going to want to improve on that. In the 3 games prior, he attempted 7, 5,and 5. He will take his fair share of 3 pointers. I think we have a great shot here as LeBron should take over this ball game tonight and make at least 2 for us.

30*

Memphis Grizzlies +11

20* Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors OVER 99 1st HALF

Simply playing this game over the first half because these Warriors shut you down completely in the 2nd half, especially in the 3rd quarter. Recommend playing this all they way up to 100.

50* NBA 2nd Round GAME OF THE YEAR

Houston Rockets -6

This is as bad of a spot there is for the LA Clippers tonight. They come off, quite possibly, the biggest win in franchise history after defeating the Champion, San Antonio Spurs, in Game 7 on their home floor by hitting a crazy last second shot. You can tell how much this meant to them as Chris Paul was in tears after the buzzer went off. They now have 1 day off to travel all the way down to Houston to take on the Rockets. To make matters worse, it's obvious Chris Paul is not 100%. He left Game 7 but did return and we all know what happened. This team has got to be drained and should suffer one serious let down.

Houston is well rested and should take advantage of this opportunity. They better or they have no shot of winning this series. This is as good of a edge you can get in the Post-season. Almost all the key trends for this game favor the Rockets and fade the Clippers. Los Angeles is just 1-7 ATS following a win and 1-4 their last 5 after scoring 100+ points. Houston is 21-7 ATS on their home floor and they have covered 6 of their last 7 facing a team with a winning record. As is the case with most Rockets games, if they are nailing their three's (since they shoot some many of them), they cruise to a double digit victory tonight. I expect Houston to push this game to a furious pace and take a 1-0 series lead tonight.

40* NBA VEGAS INSIDER

Atlanta Hawks -4

More than half the bets are on the Brooklyn Nets and yet the line is climbing. It's usually a great bet, in the correct circumstances, backing the favorite when the public likes the dog. If the Atlanta Hawks can give a strong 4th quarter effort, they win this one going away. I know that sounds obvious, but they have played great through the first three quarters then fall apart in the 4th. I expect them to have a great game plan by the coach of the year and win this series tonight knowing they really need the rest for the next round.

20*

Los Angeles Clippers +6

Personally going to play this on a teaser with the Milwaukee Bucks. 6 point tease Bucks +10 & Clippers +12. 

Included is my favorite play for the NBA tonight and it is a prop selection.

DeAndre Jordan OVER 11.5 points (-115) sportsbook.ag

I usually don't play that many prop bets but there are a couple very strong ones I like to use. This DeAndre Jordan prop is one of them. I played this prop religiously last year when odds-makers would post this at 9.5 and we made a killing. I do still like this at 11.5, especially since they are playing the Spurs. 

Most people I think would be scared to play this as everyone knows how pathetic he is shooting from the charity stripe. However, he will get plenty of opportunities from the line as Pop will put the, as Charles Barkley likes to call it, " Hack-a-dummy" into effect. On a bad day, Jordan is good for at least 3-4 alley oop dunks a game. Right there is 6-8 points. Now, I expect DeAndre to, at minimum, attempt 10-12 free throws tonight. As long as he hits his dismal 40%, we have 12 points right there. Just last game he attempted 16 and made 7. So if we get a repeat performance of that, all we need is 3 easy putback or alley oop dunks and we'll have ourselves a winner here.

40* NBA VEGAS INSIDER

Portland Trailblazers -3

40*

San Antonio Spurs -4

40*

Washington Wizards -3.5

Alright Washington, don't let me down now. It pains me to admit this but I'm a supporter of Washington sports teams. Do I ever let my heart interfere with my head in matters of picking winners...absolutely not. If anything, I'll bet against them more often than not because this town just loves losing and blowing great opportunities. Something tells me this is different. 

Paul Pierce is the X factor for this Wizards club and his veteran leadership has helped the Wizards and has hurt the Raptors. He has gotten into the heads of this Toronto club. I've never been a big fan of Toronto. They shoot way too many jump shots and if they are not falling, they get crushed. The Raptors are 0-5 ATS their last 5 First Round games and the Wizards are 6-0 ATS their last 6 First Round games. I expect the Verizon Center to go ballistic tonight and give a huge boost to the Wizards. As long as the Washington doesn't get soft on the boards and start playing ME ball, the Wizards should cruise here.

40*

Houston Rockets +1

Everything points to the Rockets here. Shutting down Parsons and Rondo half way through this series tells me all I need to know about the Mavs. I feel this team has quit. Deep down they know they have no shot beating this Rockets team. Most of the talk about this team is that Rondo is a cancer and that he is not going to return next season. You can just see players looking on the bench in disgust at him. This KILLS team chemistry.

The Rockets have been destroying the Mavs. Dallas has had no answer for the Rockets. Up top, down low, everything seems to work for Houston. The Rockets are 6-1 ATS their last 7 meetings and 6-0 ATS their last 6 First Round games. Look for Houston to take a commanding 3-0 lead and pretty much put an end to the Mavs season.

40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK

Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5

LeBron James is the best player of all time in the First Round. He is 36-7 and has swept his opposition 3 years running. King James has lost a Game 3 ONCE in his career, in the first round, as a #1 or #2 seed. I refuse to over think this one. There is just too much of a mis-match in talent between these two clubs. Cleveland should have no problem sweeping these guys.

Little foot note: LeBron's last memory of wearing a Cav's jersey prior to this season...Yeah, getting knocked out of the playoffs in Boston and heading to Miami in the offseason. No doubt he'll want some serious pay back.

30*

Memphis Grizzlies -6

As an added bonus, we are playing the Los Angeles Dodgers as well. I do think Memphis covers but personally am going to play some if it on the moneyline. A teaser with San Antonio is a great option up to +7 as 7 is a very key number, 3 possession game. Personally think Spurs take Game 2 regardless.

30*

Golden State Warriors -12.5

30*

Cleveland Cavaliers -11

money line parlay the with Chicago, Golden State, and Atlanta is a solid play.

Analysis will be posted on the NBA picks later tonight when the card is finalized. For what it's worth, I think Cleveland wins the East and either Golden State or San Antonio come out of the West.

30*

Chicago Bulls -7.5

analysis coming later tonight 

20*

Los Angeles Lakers -3.5

50* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH

Detroit Pistons -7

The Knicks have reeled off 2 straight wins and most recently beat Eastern conference front runner, Atlanta Hawks. This team is in for a letdown. Even if it isn't a letdown, I would be shocked if management lets them win this game. By winning those games, they may as well screwed up their future and the NBA draft lottery. If they win tonight and Philly loses, they could end up with lower than a 5th pick in the draft. With a loss here, they'll be close to a lock for a Top 2 pick. The Knicks have shown this year they can go completely cold from the field and just get rocked. 

Detroit has the talent to blow this team out. They are also coming off a double digit loss their last outing and this team has excelled ATS in this spot. They have covered 9 straight after getting blown out. Look for the Pistons to win this game by double digits.

20*

Toronto Raptors -1

Was going to release this one last night at +4 but feared a huge over night jump and that's exactly what happened. It wouldn't be fair to you guys as most of you would have got this play at this number regardless. Anyways, I do still like the Raptors to win this game outright and -2 would be the cutoff for this play. No one wants a part of the Cleveland Cavaliers in the first round of the playoffs and the Celtics just could lay down the rest of the season to secure the #8 seed.

20*

Utah Jazz -11.5

In a nutshell, this is a horrible spot for Dallas. They have the 7 seed wrapped up and come off a back-to-back after playing a very fast paced game against the Lakers last night. It's always tough to come into the altitude (Denver/Utah) off a back to back and this line should bury the public tonight as no one is going to want to lay this number. I expect the Jazz to rout the Mavs tonight as Utah has been playing exceptionally well lately and have not quit on the season.

UPDATE: Hayward may not be playing in this one, the reason behind the line dropping. If he does not go, I think a smart way to buy back would be the under. At worst, we split.

50* NBA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Philadelphia 76ers +2

I am personally playing part of the wager on the moneyline.

This line is very suspect. The odds makers are telling us that the Bucks are going to take the night off here and mail it in. I fully expect that to happen. Milwaukee just wrapped up a playoff birth and the number 6 seed after having the league's worst record last year. The Bucks are also playing off a back-to-back so this should ensure the letdown. Look for Philadelphia to get up for this game so they can say they ended their season on a high note by beating a playoff team in front of their home fans and give some hope going into next season.

50* NBA EASTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR

Brooklyn Nets -5

Revenge really isn't as big of a deal in the NBA as it is in the NCAA, but in certain spots it is. The Wizards crushed the Nets 114-77 their last meeting. Brooklyn definitely remembers that beat down. Brooklyn has been playing well lately, winning 7 of 10 which includes beating Toronto, Portland and Cleveland and almost came back and beat the Hawks their last game. I expect the Nets to play very focused in this one as they haven't lost back to back games in about a month.

As for the Wizards, they have been a mess on the road. The did destroy the 76ers their last game and had a great offensive shooting night. That usually means a let down the next game. The Wizards are just 5-14 ATS their last 19 on the road. With Washington being 0-5 ATS their last 5 games playing on a days rest and Brooklyn being 5-0 ATS their last 5 following an ATS loss, look for the Nets to keep their playoff hopes alive in front of their home fans tonight.

30*

Orlando Magic +6

50* NBA VEGAS INSIDER

Golden State Warriors -9

This is a nightmare scheduling spot for the Portland Trailblazers. They are currently playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, having to make up a game in Brooklyn, but what makes this a terrible spot is that this is the Trailblazers 11th game since they played the Warriors last on the 24th of March. Portland could take the night off here. 

Golden State has now lost 2 in a row and they have been terrific bouncing back after two defeats. The Warriors are 13-3 ATS playing at home this season laying more than 6.5 points. Most will think Portland needs this game more so they'll play harder, but I expect Golden State to play with the sense of urgency and with the line this high, it's telling me Golden State will not be laying down. With the sharps all over this one, we'll go with the Warriors to win by double digits tonight.

30*

Boston Celtics -1

20*

Minnesota Timberwolves +11

I don't care WHO Sacramento is playing, they should not be laying double digits to anyone. I'll take my chances here as I just don't see how Sacramento keeps up a full 48 minutes of effort in order to blowout this Timberwolves team.

40* NBA BAILOUT GAME OF THE WEEK

Los Angeles Clippers -12

The Lakers have been getting destroyed lately and it seems as if they are doing so purposely as they need to keep losing to keep their draft pick. If they fall out of the bottom 5 worst records, the pick is no longer protected and they have to give it up in a trade. The Clippers will have no problem taking out their frustrations on the Lakers as they take pride in dominating their big brother as the Lakers have always crushed them in prior years.

50* NCAA FINAL FOUR MAX BET

Kentucky -5

I personally am going to play part of this bet on the money-line with a money-line parlay.

ML=money-line

Kentucky ML (-230) + Duke (-230) = +105 odds.

40* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK

Memphis Grizzlies -4.5

We are banking on Tony Allen and Zach Randolph playing. This will still be a wager as long as ONE of these guys are playing. Obviously, we'd love both guys to play and I expect at least Randolph will start.

40*

Stanford -1.5

20*

Toronto Raptors -9.5

20*

Chicago Bulls -5

30*

Oklahoma City Thunder -2

50* NBA CUSTOMER APPRECIATION MAX BET

Los Angeles Clippers -1.5

70* THE #1 & BIGGEST PLAY OF THE SEASON

Temple -1

For all intents and purposes, this is practically a home game for the Owls. Madison Square Garden is only 90 miles away from Temple and it's less than a 2 hour drive. I expect Temple to have a huge following for this game tonight. Needless to say, Miami is light years away and coach Jim Larranaga has NEVER coached here before. 

The Temple Owls are simply on fire right now and are destroying everything in their paths. They have won 14 of their last 17 games and two of those losses came to SMU. Temple's last two wins came by 13 and 18 points. They are 11-2 ATS following a win, which includes going 9-2 following a spread win. 

As for Miami, they have had to use a ton of energy in their games and needed a miraculous come back to beat Richmond their last game. Let's be honest, terrible coaching cost the Spiders in that one. The Hurricanes 3 wins in this tournament have come by a combined 13 points. I think their luck is going to run out in this one, especially with one of, if not, their best player Rodrigues being listed as OUT. Miami also has 2 other key injuries and they are not close to 100%. But you know who is 100%? That's right, the Temple Owls.

Temple's defense should frustrate the hell out of Miami tonight and looking at the stats, the Owls have the edge in close to every aspect of the game. They do in all the defensive categories and they turn the ball over less and create more turnovers. The huge factor here is on the boards. Temple has a big advantage here and I believe this is what will be Miami's doom. If we get a solid effort from the Owls on defense here and they are hitting a solid percentage from the floor, Temple cruises to the finals and for what it's worth, I think they are the eventual Champions. 

30* NBA DOUBLE DOG PACK

Houston Rockets +2

As you'll see with both of these underdog selections, the dog as something to play for and the favorite is in a prime letdown spot with little motivation. Toronto clinched their division against the Lakers their last game and are pretty much locked in either a 3rd or 4th seed. The Raptors are 18-40 ATS their last 58 home games facing a team with a winning record, which includes losing 5 straight.

Houston is in 2nd right now in the West and have been playing outstanding basketball of late. The Rockets are 5-0 ATS their last 5 against the Eastern Conference and they shouldn't have a problem making it 6 in a row tonight. I personally think Houston should be favored in this one and we'll gladly take the points here.

30* NBA DOUBLE DOG PACK

Milwaukee Bucks +7.5

As you'll see with both of these underdog selections, the dog as something to play for and the favorite is in a prime letdown spot with little motivation. Atlanta has clinched the top spot in the Eastern Conference and have nothing to play for so I expect them to take caution and prepare for the playoffs.

As for Milwaukee, they need to keep winning to stay in the playoff picture. They are the #6 seed currently and although their ceiling is the 6th seed, they can't afford to lose because you absolutely do not want to drop to the 7th or 8th seed in the East. If you do, you're taking on Atlanta or Cleveland on the road and you will be destroyed. I expect Atlanta to take this game lightly tonight and suffer a bit of a letdown and Milwaukee should come out with a sense of urgency, especially since they got beat badly last time out. The Bucks are 5-1 ATS following a loss of 10+ points and they should keep that success going tonight by staying inside the number.

40* NBA 100% NEVER LOST TOP PLAY

Philadelphia 76ers -4

This a battle of the bottom feeders and it's tough betting on bad teams but I think we have a great advantage with the 76ers tonight. Philadelphia has been favored just TWICE this season. That's right, two times. They won both and by a margin of victory of 13.5 points and covering the spread by 10+. The 76ers are also the 5th best team in the league playing on no rest. They cover the spread 2 out of every 3 games in this spot. Philadelphia has been great against the number at home this season, especially against the bad teams of the league. They are 12-5 ATS their last 17 home games which includes going 6-1 facing a team with a winning percentage of .400 or less. 

The Lakers are 19-53 this season as underdogs, losing each game by an average of 6 points. Most people are going to jump all over the Lakers here and so far 60% of the bets are on LA but the line is still climbing. These two teams faced off about a week ago with LA pulling away in the second half. I like Philly to get their revenge here and continue their success at home and staying undefeated as a favorite. 

20*

Duke -2

Also have a small lean to the UNDER 145. Will post the pick if it becomes an official play.

20*

Los Angeles Lakers +7

Believe it or not, the Lakers have been terrific in their current situation of late. They are 10-1 ATS their last 11 following a loss, which includes going 5-0 ATS following a spread loss. This team also has had great success against Brooklyn in the Barclay's center. LA is 8-1-1 ATS their last 11 meetings in Brooklyn. 

The Nets come off a HUGE win against the Cavaliers and I expect a bit of a letdown from them here. Brooklyn is just 1-5-1 ATS their last 7 home games and are 0-7 ATS their last 7 home games facing a team with a winning percentage of less than .400 or less. Classic letdown spot here as Brooklyn should not be laying 3 possessions to really anyone.

50* NCAA CUSTOMER APPRECIATION MAX BET

Michigan State -2

20*

Houston Rockets -2

30*

Duke -5

30*

Louisville -2

20*

Gonzaga -8.5

20*

Arizona -10.5

For all intents and purposes, this is a home game for Arizona. The Wildcats are just too talented for the Musketeers to keep up with. Hollis-Jefferson and Johnson had horrible shooting days against Ohio State and they still manage to crush them. I don't see them struggling two games in a row and that is just terrible news for Xavier. It turns out that the Big-12 is very over-rated and the Pac-12 is very under-rated. Xavier is just 1-5 ATS against the Pac-12 and Arizona is 12-3 ATS against teams with a winning record. The only thing that scares me in this game, which is why this is just a 2% play, is that Xavier's coach knows Arizona extremely well as he was the understudy to Arizona's coach. They coached together and he was an assistant for Miller. Look for Arizona to pull away late and cruise to a comfortable win.

30*

Wisconsin -5.5

I am personally going to do a moneyline parlay with Wisconsin ML + Duke ML. (ML=moneyline)

If Wisconsin loses (since they play Thursday and we'll already know the outcome) we'll play Duke -5. If Wisconsin wins, we'll let it ride.

Also taking a hard look at Gonzaga. Looking into them some more and they could be added later. Will publish them if they are official plays.

20*

Phoenix Suns -8

20*

Utah Jazz -4.5

30*

New Orleans Pelicans +1

ONLY bet this if Dwight Howard plays. Yes, I said plays. I expect Houston to be rusty with him in the game and throw off a bit of the chemistry.

20*

Memphis Grizzles +1

20*

Tennessee-Martin +5.5

40* NCAA BEST BET

Stanford -3

30*

Murray State +3

20*

Oral Roberts +5.5

30*

Illinois State +3.5

20*

Texas A&M Corpus Christi +3

50* NIT UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR

Louisiana Tech +4.5

20*

N.J.I.T +3.5

30*

Gonzaga -6.5

30*

Boston Celtics -5.5

The Celtics have been on fire against the number and the Pistons are just falling apart and not having Monroe hurts this team. Almost every stat and trend points to the Celtics and fades the Pistons. The Celtics are 10-1-1 ATS their last 12 home games, 13-3 ATS facing a team with a losing road record, and are 22-7-1 ATS their last 30 games overall. This team continues to be under valued by the oddsmakers. This one is simple. Boston is outstanding at home and Detroit is pathetic on the road. Detroit is 0-4 their last 4 meetings against Boston. Look for the Celtics to continue their success against the Pistons.

50* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Wichita State +2

Ever since Selection Sunday I was hoping for this match-up, knowing I would have a play on it, and we got it. What makes this game even better is that Wichita State barely escaped Indiana and Kansas destroyed New Mexico State. I've decided that instead of going on and on about stats and trends about this game that favors the Shockers, I will tell you this. Wichita State has been begging and pleading to get a game against the boys from Kansas and the Jayhawks have been ducking them. Well, they can't avoid them anymore and Wichita State is going to be foaming at the mouth to lay a beat down to their in-state rival. The odds-makers are clearly telling us something here by making this game a virtual pick-em game between a 2 seed and a 7 seed. The public is going to be lining up to get a piece of a 2 seed just needing to win the game. As Lee Corso would like to say. "Not so fast, my friend." I expect the Shockers to "shock" a lot of people here as they pull the upset Sunday and advance to the Sweet Sixteen.

40*

Arkansas +4.5

20*

Xavier -7

30*

Arizona -8.5

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Wisconsin -19.5

Yours truly, is a graduate from the one and only Coastal Carolina University and West Virginia University. I follow these teams very closely and go to plenty of their games and know people close to the organizations. I will tell you this. The kiss of death when wagering on sports is betting with your heart and not your head. Don't get me wrong, I would LOVE to see CCU take out Wisconsin, but I don't see that happening one bit. The Chanticleers are just too small. Their best low post presence, Badou Diagne, is just 6' 7". Good luck having to guard Frank Kaminsky and Sam Dekker. I see this being a blowout of epic proportions, Even if CCU starts draining 3's and makes this game close at half, this Wisconsin team has the capability to just steam roll you in a hurry. CCU is just way too small to be able to compete with the big boys of Wisconsin. Coastal Carolina actually was up on UVA 31-21 last year in the 1st half. They ended up getting outscored 49-23 in the next 20 minutes. My point is that CCU is not going to be able to hang with, in my opinion, the 2nd best team in the land behind Kentucky for 40 minutes. Even if Wisconsin gives them a little hope in the beginning, the Badgers can still roll when CCU starts going cold from the field. I personally see this being a wire-to-wire domination as the Wisconsin Badgers easily cover this number.

50* VEGAS INSIDER

Davidson +2.5

Iowa has NEVER won an NCAA tourney game under their coach and Davidson is the best team against the spread in the nation. Davidson's last loss was to VCU but VCU also had a severe blowout revenge in that game. Davidson has lost against the number just ONCE following a loss. Wrong team favored here and if Davidson is knocking down their three's (which they shoot a ton of) they will win this game going away. 

50* NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH

Oregon +1

Let me start with this. Coaching in the NCAA tournament is extremely important and Oregon has one of, if not, the most under rated coaches in the game in Dana Altman. He's got his Oregon Ducks flying high right now and took them all the way to the Pac-12 Title game. Even though they got destroyed by Arizona, I believe this gives us value on them as this is the last thing the public remembers about the Ducks. 

As for Oklahoma State, they have completely limped into the tourney and have lost 6 of their last 7 games. This team is in a funk right now and I'm not this biggest fan of Travis Ford either. This team has just been awful ATS of late and have 1 or zero wins in multiple trend categories. 

The Ducks have been on fire against the number and have played very well on neutral sites. The Ducks are 11-5-1 ATS their last 17 neutral site games and are also 19-9-1 ATS their last 29 non-conference games. Oklahoma State doesn't match up well against Oregon and Joseph Young should carry the Ducks to a convincing win tonight.