*8* MASSACRE on Central Michigan.

The Central Michigan Chippewas are on the road tonight at Kent State, and this looks like a game that means a lot more to the visitors. The Chippewas can become bowl eligible with a win here, and that's going to give them plenty of motivation against a 3-7 Golden Flashes team that is just going through the motions at the end of a disappointing season.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Cooper Rush - The Chippewas quarterback has thrown for just shy of 3000 yards, with 22 TDs so far this season. He's coming off a big game versus Toledo, throwing for 349 yards and a pair of TDs in a losing effort. He doesn't mind playing on the road, as his home/away splits are almost identical.

2. Previous History - The Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games, while the Golden Flashes have failed to cover in four straight home games.

3. X-Factor - The Chippewas are 35-17-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Selection: This is a play on the Central Michigan Chippewas (8*) 

*10* Coach's Clinic on Bowling Green.

The Bowling Green Falcons are 6-0 versus MAC teams, and they host the Toledo Rockets in Ohio tonight. The Rockets bounced back from a home loss to Northern Illinois by beating Central Michigan last week, but their defense has looked suspect in both those games. I think this looks like a tough spot for Toledo.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Matt Johnson - The Falcons quarterback leads the nation in passing with just shy of 4000 yards, and a whopping 36 touchdowns. He's averaged over 400 yards per game at home, with 18 TDs and just one INT. The Rockets allowed Cooper Rush to throw for 349 yards and a pair of TDs last week, and they could be in over their heads here tonight.

2. Previous History - The Falcons have covered the spread in five straight versus MAC teams, as well as five in a row at home.

3. X-Factor - The Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Selection: This is a play on the Bowling Green Falcons (10*) 

*10* SUPER TOTAL OVER Washington State/UCLA.

The UCLA Bruins will host the Washington State Cougars on Saturday, and we should expect both teams to pile on the points in this one. The Bruins are a double-digit favorite, but I think they'll have their hands full trying to stop Washington's prolific passing game. My money is on the over.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Luke Faulk - The Cougars quarterback ranks second in the country in passing yards with 3736. He's thrown 33 TD passes and just seven INTs. He's thrown for five or more TDs in four of his last five starts.

2. Previous History - The Cougars have gone over the total in five of their last six road games, scoring an average of over 40 points in those contests UCLA has allowed opponents to score an average of more than 30 points in it's three home games in conference play.

3. X-Factor - The Bruins have averaged 38.7 points and 549 yards in wins over California, Colorado and Oregon State.

Selection: This is a play on WSU@UCLA to go OVER the total (10*) 

*10* Coach's Playbook on Oklahoma.

The biggest game this Saturday will feature two teams competing for the top spot in the BIG12 Conference. The undefeated Baylor Bears host the 8-1 Oklahoma Sooners, and Baylor is a small favorite. The Bears have beaten the Sooners by double-digits in each of the last two seasons, but I think they'll struggle here in this year's contest.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Quarterbacks - In each of the last two meetings, the Bears enjoyed a huge advantage with Bryce Petty as the starter, but that's not going to be the case here on Saturday. Petty has moved on to the NFL, and his successor Seth Russell suffered a season ending neck injury against Iowa State. That forces freshman Jarret Stidham to make just his second career start in a pressure packed situation. Stidham has been pretty good in limited action, but you have to give Oklahoma the edge with Baker Mayfield who comes in completing over 70 percent of his passes for 2812 yards, 28 TDs and just 4 INTs.

2. Defense - The Bears have had one of the nation's weakest schedules so far, and still they rank 58th nationally allowing 25 points per game. The Sooners on the other hand boast a Top 20 defense allowing opponents to average just over 18 points per game.

3. X-Factor - The road team is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings between the two teams.

Selection: This is a play on the Oklahoma Sooners (10*) 

*8* MASSACRE on South Florida.

The South Florida Bulls will host the Temple Owls this Saturday, and South Florida will be getting points at home. The Owls have been a popular pick lately, as they only have one loss this season and that was a close game at home against Notre Dame. If you look at their schedule though, they don't have any impressive wins on the road, and played close games at Cincinnati, Massachusetts and East Carolina. This will be their first road game against a conference rival that has a winning record within the AAC.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Bulls have four losses, but three of those came against teams that are currently ranked: Florida State, Navy and Memphis. They are 3-1 at home, with the only loss coming by a score of 24-17 to Memphis.

2. Marlon Mack - The Bulls running back is second in the conference in rushing, and he's averaging 5.8 yards per carry, going over 100 yards in four of his last five games.

3. X-Factor - South Florida still has plenty to play for, with a chance to become bowl eligible, as well as a slim shot at winning the conference.

Selection: This is a play on the South Florida Bulls (8*) 

*10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Iowa State.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are still undefeated, and coming off a huge win at home versus TCU last week. This could set them up for a let down this week on the road at Iowa State. The Cowboys are a double-digit favorite, but I think the Cyclones will give them a run for their money.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Cyclone pitched a shutout in a 24-0 win over Texas in their last home game, and they've played far better at home this season than their record would indicate. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings between the two teams.

2. Joel Lanning - The Cyclones handed the starting quarterback job to Lanning three weeks ago, and he's been pretty impressive throwing for 712 yards with six TDs and just one INT.

3. X-Factor - Iowa State was crushed by Oklahoma last week, but they have a history of bouncing back after such defeats. The Cyclones are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Selection: This is a play on the Iowa State Cyclones (10*) 

*8* DESTRUCTION on Purdue.

The Purdue Boilermakers will be a double-digit dog on the road at Northwestern this week, and I think the visitors can give the Wildcats a little more than they bargained for. Northwestern has won a lot of games, but hasn't exactly been blowing teams out. I'll take the points here as this line looks a little inflated.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Road Warriors - The Boilermakers have quietly been a great bet in situations where they are getting points on the road. They are are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

2. Northwestern Offense - The Wildcats rank 102nd nationally averaging just 23 points per game. It doesn't take much to cover a big number when the favorite can't score points.

3. X-Factor - The Wildcats are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Purdue Boilermakers (8*) 

*10* MASSACRE on Colorado.

The Colorado Buffaloes are sitting in last place in the PAC12 South, and they are just 1-6 in conference play. They host the USC Trojans tonight, and the Trojans are coming off three straight wins. Their last two victories have come by a combined 14 points, and yet they are asked to cover a number greater than that on the road tonight. My money is on the home dog plus the points.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - While the Trojans are coming off wins over Cal and Arizona in games decided by one score, the Buffs played close games at UCLA and at home versus Arizona in recent weeks.

2. Trojans Pass Defense - They looked pretty vulnerable last week, allowing Anu Solomon of Arizona to throw for 352 yards and three TDs. Colorado's quarterback Sefu Liufau has had some big games against quality opponents this year, throwing for 300+ yards against UCLA, Arizona and Arizona State.

3. X-Factor - The Trojans are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games.

Selection: This is a play on the Colorado Buffaloes (8*)

*8* ANNIHILATOR on Virginia Tech.

The 4-5 Hokies of Virginia Tech will face the 3-6 Yellow Jackets in Atlanta tonight, and the Hokies are getting a handful of points. These teams have a history of playing close games, but ultimately Virginia Tech has won four of the last five meetings outright. My money is on the visitors plus the points.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Michael Brewer - The Hokies starting quarterback Michael Brewer was injured in Week 1, and has just returned to start the last two games. He's looked good, throwing for 450 yards with three TDs and an INT while going 1-1. The one loss came in overtime to Duke by a score of 45-43.

2. Injuries - The Yellow Jackets are looking at starting as many as eight freshmen tonight, with several starters sidelined by injuries. They are particularly thin on the defensive side of the ball with a pair of defensive backs and a couple of linebackers expected to be out.

3. X-Factor - Georgia Tech's quarterback is completing just 43 percent of his pass attempts this season.

Selection: This is a play on the Virginia Tech Hokies (8*) 

*10* MAC MASSACRE on Buffalo Bulls.

The Northern Illinois Huskies are coming off a big win over the Rockets in Toledo last week, but they could be primed for a let down here in Buffalo on Wednesday night. The Bulls have won three straight, and have been pretty competitive in conference play even in the games they lost. I'll take the home team plus the points.

Here are my keys to game:

1: Situational/Motivational - While the Huskies are in danger of suffering a let down after a big road win, this is a big game for the Bulls who can become bowl eligible with a win tonight.

2. Injuries - Huskies quarterback Drew Hare threw for just 145 yards with one TD and an INT on 7-of-13 passing in the win over Toledo. He suffered a season ending injury in that game, and was replaced by backup Ryan Graham. The freshman makes his first career start on the road tonight in Buffalo.

3. X-Factor - Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Buffalo Bulls (10*)

*10* MAC SIDE OF WEEK on Central Michigan.

The Central Michigan Chippewas will host the Toledo Rockets in a Tuesday night game in the MAC. Both teams are 4-1 in conference play, but the visitors come in as a significant favorite with a superior overall record of 7-1. Central Michigan has four losses, but they played a much tougher schedule with losses against Oklahoma State and Michigan State. I'll take the home team getting points.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games, and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last six meetings between these two conference rivals.

2. Phillip Ely - Toledo's quarterback is coming off his worst performance of the season, completing just 15-of-33 passes for 136 yards with one TD and a pair of interceptions in the home loss to NIU. He's been picked off five times in his last two starts.

3. X-Factor - The Rockets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Selection: This is a play on the Central Michigan Chippewas (10*) 

*10* PAC-12 TOTAL OF MONTH on OVER California/Oregon.

Have the Oregon Ducks really dropped off since last year when they went all the way to the Championship game? Maybe not as much as some may think. Keep in mind that their starting quarterback missed the game against Washington State, and was knocked out of the game versus Utah. They went into East Lansing and pushed the Spartans to the brink, coming up just short. They showed us last week that they can still score points with the best of them. With a high scoring Cal team visiting Oregon tonight, I like the over.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Vernon Adams Jr. - After dealing with injuries all year, the Ducks quarterback looked pretty healthy in the win over Arizona State last week. He threw for 315 yards and four TDs with one INT.

2. Previous History - The Over is 39-15-1 in Ducks last 55 home games, and their last home game was a 45-38 loss to the Washington State Cougars.

3. X-Factor - The Ducks have scored an average of 57.5 points in their last three meetings with Cal.

Selection: This is a play on Cal@Oregon to go Over the total (10*)

*10* Coach's Clinic on LSU.

The Alabama Crimson Tide just narrowly avoided defeat at home to Tennessee in their last game, and they are a significant favorite this week against undefeated Louisiana State. The Tigers will be looking to avenge an overtime loss at home to Alabama last season, and I like their chances of executing that revenge here in Tuscaloosa.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Leonard Fournette - The Tigers running back is the frontrunner to win the Heisman Trophy, and he's run for at least 150 yards, while finding the endzone at least once in all of their seven games so far. Even the Florida Gators couldn't slow him down, he ran for 180 yards and two scores against Florida, who's defense ranks 13th nationally.

2. Previous History - The Tigers have covered the spread in four of their last five SEC games, and six of their last eight when coming off a bye week.

3. X-Factor - The Crimson Tide are 0-5 in their last five home games.

Selection: This is a play on the LSU Tigers (10*)

*8* TOTAL DOMINATION on OVER Arizona State/Washington State.

The Washington State Cougars have quietly been one of the best teams in the PAC12 this year, with wins over Oregon and Arizona, and a heartbreaking two-point loss to Stanford. They are tied with Oregon for second place in the PAC12 North with a 5-3 conference record. They host Arizona State this week, and we should expect a high scoring game between two teams that like to "air it out".

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Sun Devils gave up 61 points to Oregon in an overtime loss last week, and they rank 96th nationally with a defense that allowed over 31 points per game. The last two meetings between these two teams has seen a combined 159 points scored.

2. Mike Bercovici - Arizona State's quarterback threw for 398 yards and five TDs in a loss to Oregon last week. That's the second time in three weeks he's thrown for at least five TDs.

3. X-Factor - The over is 15-6 in Sun Devils last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Selection: This is a play on ASU@WAZZU to go OVER the total (8*) 

*10* GAME OF WEEK Colorado.

The Colorado Buffaloes are sitting in last place in the PAC12 South, but they've been perhaps more competitive than their 1-4 conference record would suggest. They lost last week by a score of 35-31 at UCLA, and they defeated Oregon State the week before. I like Colorado getting double-digits at home against Stanford this Saturday.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Situational - The Cardinal needed to engineer a late drive to kick a field goal in a come from behind win over Washington on the road last week, and with a home meeting versus Oregon next Saturday, they could get caught looking ahead here this week.

2. Nelson Spruce - The Buffaloes senior wideout is the PAC12's all time receptions leader with 267, and he's second in the conference this season with 63. He's coming off his best game of the season, pulling in 11 catches for 90 yards at UCLA.

3. X-Factor - The Buffaloes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Selection: This is a play on the Colorado Buffaloes (10*)

The Alabama Crimson Tide just narrowly avoided defeat at home to Tennessee in their last game, and they are a significant favorite this week against undefeated Louisiana State. The Tigers will be looking to avenge an overtime loss at home to Alabama last season, and I like their chances of executing that revenge here in Tuscaloosa.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Leonard Fournette - The Tigers running back is the frontrunner to win the Heisman Trophy, and he's run for at least 150 yards, while finding the endzone at least once in all of their seven games so far. Even the Florida Gators couldn't slow him down, he ran for 180 yards and two scores against Florida, who's defense ranks 13th nationally.

2. Previous History - The Tigers have covered the spread in four of their last five SEC games, and six of their last eight when coming off a bye week.

3. X-Factor - The Crimson Tide are 0-5 in their last five home games.

Selection: This is a play on the LSU Tigers (10*)

*10* Coach's Clinic on OVER BYU/San Jose State.

The San Jose Spartans will host the BYU Cougars in a Friday night game this week, and the visitors come in favored by double digits. I am expecting to see plenty of scoring here as the Spartans haven't seen an offense like this yet this year. My money is on the over, as the number seems a bit too low.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Tanner Mangum - The Cougars quarterback threw for 237 yards and three TDs on 12-of-13 passing in a 70-6 win over Wagner last week. He's been putting up big numbers since replacing Taysom Hill in Week 1, and you can expect him to fill the stat sheet tonight.

2. Home Cookin' - The Spartans have won three of four home games, scoring 40+ points in all three of those wins. They've gone over in six straight home games versus a team with a winning record.

3. X-Factor - The Cougars had last week off, and the over is 7-2 in their last 9 games following a bye week.

Selection: This is a play on the Cougars@Spartans to go OVER the total (10*) 

*10* ANNIHILATOR Kansas State.

The Baylor Bears are still undefeated, but they lost their starting quarterback for the rest of the season with a neck injury. This hasn't prevented bookmakers from making them an enormous road favorite here at Kansas State, and my money is on the home dog in Manhattan.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Baylor Defense - The Bears have given up a ton of points when you consider how soft their schedule has been so far. They rank 59th nationally allowing opponents to average 25 points per game.

2. Home Cookin' - This will be just the third road game of the season for Baylor, and the previous two came against minnows SMU and Kansas. The Wildcats have won four of their last five home meetings with Baylor outright, and the lone loss came by just 10 points.

3. X-Factor - Kansas State is coming off a much needed week off, and they are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week.

Selection: This is a play on the Kansas State Wildcats (10*)

*8* SURE SHOT on the UNDER Ohio/Bowling Green.

When you think of the Bowling Green Falcons, the last thing that comes to mind is defense. The Falcons have a stud at quarterback in Matt Johnson who is second in the FBS in passing yards, just 10 yards back of Patrick Mahomes of Texas Tech. Their defense is doing a great job in recent weeks though, and they pitched a shutout in a win at Kent State on Saturday. My money is on the under with a great big number in tonight's game versus Ohio.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - These two conference rivals have failed to reach the total in each of the last four head to head meetings. Bowling Green won last year by a score of 31-13, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings.

2. Bowling Green O-line - The Falcons offensive line might be missing a pair of key players in Logan Dietz and Christian Piazza.

3. X-Factor - The Under is 29-14 in Falcons last 43 conference games, and 8-3 in their last 11 overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Bobcats@Falcons to go UNDER the total (8*)

*10* Coach's Clinic on Northern Illinois.


The Northern Illinois Huskies will take on the undefeated Toledo Rockets in a battle between two of the top teams in the MAC on Tuesday night. The Huskies have have been the dominant team in the MAC in recent seasons, and they come into the Glass Bowl as winners of five straight in this series. I'll take the Huskies as the underdog here in this one.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Huskies Running Game - Northern Illinois has averaged 51 points per game during a three game win streak, and they lead the MAC in rushing yards. Junior tailback Joel Bouagnon comes in ranked 3rd nationally with 14 rushing TDs.

2. Strength of Schedule - The Rockets have been rolling, but their four wins in conference play came against opponent's with a combined record of 4-14 against MAC opponents.

3. X-Factor - The Rockets defense didn't impress much in a win over UMASS last week, allowing the Minutemen to score 35 points. They trailed 28-10 at halftime in that game.

Selection: This is a play on the Northern Illinois Huskies (10*) 

The Kentucky Wildcats are coming off back-to-back losses to Auburn and Mississippi State. They face another tough SEC opponent this week, hosting the Tennessee Volunteers. The Vols are asked to cover a bunch of points on the road here, and I like the home dog in a game that should be pretty close.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Wildcats are 3-2 at home this season, and their two losses came by a combined margin of eight points to Florida and Auburn. They did beat Missouri by a score of 21-13 on September 26. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this series.

2. Vols Defense - Tennessee has really struggled against the pass, ranking 13th in the conference allowing opponents to average 248 passing yards per game. In Week 1 the Vols gave up 433 yards passing in a home win over Bowling Green.

3. X-Factor - The Volunteers are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win.

Selection: This is a play on the Kentucky Wildcats (8*) 

The American Athletic Conference has been a bit of a surprise this season, with three teams that remain undefeated heading into Week 9. The strongest of those three is likely the Memphis Tigers, who upset Ole Miss by a score of 37-24 in their last home game. They host the Tulane Green Wave this week, and the bookmakers are expecting a blowout. The line has become a little inflated though, and I am going to take the points with the visitors.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Line Value - Memphis has won and covered in eight straight meetings with Tulane. This week though, the Tigers are asked to cover a number far greater than in any of those previous eight contests.

2. Memphis Defense - The Tigers score a lot of points, but they also give up more than their fair share. They rank 81st nationally allowing opponents to average 28.6 points per game. They gave up 42 points to Tulsa last week, a team that ranks below Tulane in the standings.

3. X-Factor - The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Selection: This is a play on the Tulane Green Wave (8*) 

The Georgia State Panthers are coming off a 31-19 upset win on the road at Ball State last week, and I think they'll carry that momentum into this week's game at Arkansas State. They are getting a bunch of points here, and I'll take the value with a play on the dog.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Nick Arbuckle - The Panthers quarterback had himself quite a game last week, throwing for 412 yards and a TD on 28-of-38 passing. He's thrown for 1202 yards with six TDs and three INTs in three starts on the road this year.

2. Previous History - The Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

3. X-Factor - Red Wolves quarterback Fredi Knighten is completing just 45 percent of his passes this season, and he's thrown for just six TDs and four INTs.

Selection: This is a play on the Georgia State Panthers (8*)

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane will be on the road at SMU this Saturday, and they come in as a slight favorite. That's because they have played a far tougher schedule, and have come away with two more wins than the Mustangs. Tulsa didn't look too bad in a loss to Memphis last week, and I like the Hurricane here in Texas.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Dane Evans - The Tulsa quarterback threw for 451 yards and four TDs with just one INT in the loss to Memphis last week. He's thrown for over 2500 yards on 60.4 percent passing, with 15 TDs and five INTs so far this season.

2. SMU Defense - The Mustangs surrendered 42 unanswered points in a 49-23 loss to ECU in their last home game. They were blanked after the first quarter in that game. SMU ranks 124th nationally allowing opponents to average over 44 points per game.

3. X-Factor - The Golden Hurricane are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Selection: This is a play on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (10*) 

The UNLV Rebels will host the Boise State Broncos in a battle of two Mountain West rivals this Saturday, and the visitors are a heavy favorite. Boise State comes in as one of the highest scoring teams in the country, and we should expect to see our fair share of points in Las Vegas this week.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Rebels have gone over in seven of their last 10 overall, and they gave up 30+ points in losses to Fresno State and San Jose State in their last two games. The Broncos have gone over in 20 of their last 28 road games.

2. Brett Rypien - He started the season as the Broncos backup, but since inheriting the starting job he's been quite impressive. He's totaled over 1500 yards with 10 TDs and just four INTs. Last week he completed 22-of-28 passes for 211 yards and three TDs.

3. X-Factor - The over is 8-3 in Rebels last 11 games overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Broncos@Rebels to go OVER the total (10*) 

The Utah State Aggies were cruising in the Mountain West until they suffered a 48-14 loss at San Diego State last week. They will likely have little trouble bouncing back this week against a Wyoming Cowboys team that sits dead last in the Mountain Division. This game is expected to be a blowout, and I think the Aggies will score enough points to push the total over the number.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Aggies Offense - Utah State scored 50+ points in each of their previous two games before last week's loss to the Aztecs, and scoring 50 on this 97th ranked Wyoming defense shouldn't be that much of a challenge.

2. Previous History - The Aggies have gone over in each of their last five games, and they've played four straight overs versus teams with a losing record.

3. X-Factor - Aggies backup quarterback Kent Myers has done a good job filling in for Chuckie Keeton, throwing for 647 yards with six TDs and just one INT.

Selection: This is a play on Wyoming vs. Utah State to go OVER the total (10*) 

Both the Oregon Ducks and Arizona State Sun Devils came into the season as favorites to contend for a PAC12 title, but neither team has come anywhere close to living up to expectations. The Ducks will travel to Tempe to face the Sun Devils on Thursday night, and I like the visitors getting points in this spot.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Vernon Adams Jr. - The Ducks starting quarterback has really only played three full games, and his numbers aren't bad at all. He's thrown for 853 yards with six TDs and a pair of INTs. Both the interceptions came in the loss to Michigan State in East Lansing. He returned from injury last week to throw for 272 yards and a pair of TDs in a win at Washington.

2. Royce Freeman - The Ducks star running back ranks seventh nationally with just shy of 1000 yards, and nine rushing TDs. Arizona State has had success defending the run, but in the loss to Utah Devontae Booker ran for over 100 yards and a pair of TDs. We might expect roughly same of Freeman here tonight.

3. X-Factor - The Ducks have won seven straight trips to Tempe, and 12 of the last 15 in the series.

Selection: This is a play on the Oregon Ducks (8*) 

The Boise State Broncos will host Wyoming on Saturday night, looking to bounce back from a blowout loss to Utah State. The Cowboys are coming off their first win of the season, upsetting the Nevada Wolfpack at home by a score of 28-21. This game is expected to be a blowout, and we should see plenty of action in a high scoring tilt.

Here are my keys to the game: 
1. Brett Rypien - Boise State's quarterback was picked off three times in the loss to Utah State, but he had thrown for over 1000 yards with seven TDs and just one INT in his previous three starts. This Wyoming defense doesn't inspire much confidence, and he's likely to have himself a game here tonight.

2. Previous History - These teams have played three times since 2012, and Boise State has won all three meetings by a large margin. They scored an average of 52 points in those three contests.

3. X-Factor - The Over is 20-7 in Broncos last 27 games following a ATS loss.

Selection: This is a play on the Cowboys@Broncos to go OVER the total (10*)

The Kentucky Wildcats are a double-digit underdog on the road at Mississippi State this week, but Kentucky has shown plenty of moxie so far in conference play. The Bulldogs are coming off consecutive non-conference wins over LA-Tech and Troy. Their only win versus an SEC team came by a score of 17-9 at Auburn. I don't know how you can justify this Mississippi State team as a double-digit favorite in this spot.

Here are my keys to the game: 
1. Previous History - The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Mississippi State, and the road team has covered the spread in seven of the last nine meetings.

2. Kentucky Defense - The Wildcats are allowing opponents to average just 207 yards passing per game, and they've only surrendered four passing TDs this season.

3. X-Factor - Kentucky quarterback Patrick Towles threw for 390 yards and a pair of TDs against Mississippi State last year. He won't have to worry about the Bulldogs top CB and starting safety, who are both sidelined by injuries.

Selection: This is a play on the Kentucky Wildcats (8*)

This Saturday's game between Utah and USC is garnering a lot of attention, because the #3 ranked Utes come in with a perfect 6-0 record, yet they are an underdog to the unranked Trojans. As impressive as the Utes have been this year, four of their six wins have come at home, and I expect them to struggle on the road in California.

Here are my keys to the game: 
1. Quarterbacks - Cody Kessler is one of the nation's top quarterbacks, and he's thrown for 1818 yards with 17 TDs and just five INTs. Travis Wilson has thrown for 980 yards with seven TDs and three INTs.

2. Smoke & Mirrors - When you go beyond the fact that Utah is undefeated, there are several stats that favor the 3-3 Trojans. Utah has only out-gained it's opponents in two of four games. The Trojans rank 6th nationally averaging 7.2 yards per play on offense, while the Utes rank 60th averaging 5.5 yards per play. Both teams are allowing opponents to average just over 5 yards per play on defense.
3. X-Factor - The Trojans lost 24-21 at Utah last year, setting up a revenge spot here at home a year later.
Selection: This is a play on the USC Trojans (8*)

Both Texas A&M and Ole Miss are coming off bad losses last week, and that sets up a huge game here in Oxford, where the loser will drop out of contention in the SEC. The Aggies are in a tough spot on the road here, and I think Mississippi's defense will make life difficult for Kyle Allen and the Texas A&M offense.

Here are my keys to the game: 
1. Previous History - Last week's loss to Alabama is going to be a tough one to bounce back from. The Aggies have a history of going into a tailspin after suffering tough losses, going 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home.
2. Quarterbacks - Kyle Allen was picked off three times in the loss to Alabama, and a road game against the Rebels is a tough spot to pick up the pieces. Chad Kelly on the other hand has been great for the Rebels, throwing for 2234 yards with 16 TDs and seven INTs.

3. X-Factor - The Aggies are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 conference games.

Selection: This is a play on the Ole Miss Rebels (8*) 

The Michigan State Spartans played a spirited game against rivals Michigan, but there is no way they should have come away with a win in that game. They were just seconds away from their first loss of the season, but instead a fumble return for TD sees them remain undefeated heading into Saturday's game against Indiana. I think the Spartans are coming in a little overrated, asked to cover too many points.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Nate Sudfeld - The Hoosiers quarterback can really air it out, and he proved that last week throwing for 464 yards and four TDs in a 55-52 loss to Rutgers. Indiana is 0-3 in conference play, but he kept them in close games against Ohio State and Rutgers. He didn't play in the loss to Penn State, and they were blown out by a score of 29-7 in that game.

2. Previous History - The Spartans are asked to cover a big number here, yet they haven't been blowing teams out this year. In fact four of their seven wins have come by single digits, and six of seven have come by fewer points than they are asked to cover here. The only exception being a 30-10 win over Central Michigan, a minnow from the MAC.

3. X-Factor - The Spartans have failed to cover the spread in four straight home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Indiana Hoosiers (10*) 

The Tulsa Golden Hurricanes will host the undefeated Memphis Tigers on Friday night, and they will be a double-digit home dog in this game. Tulsa is still looking for it's first win in conference play, but it has played some tough teams so far. The Tigers are coming off a massive upset win over the Ole Miss Rebels, setting themselves up for a let down here on the road.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Golden Hurricanes are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five meetings with Memphis.

2. Dane Evans - Tulsa's quarterback is putting up impressive numbers so far this season, with over 2100 yards with 11 TDs and just four INTs. He had a big game against Memphis last year, throwing for 349 yards and a pair of TDs.

3. X-Factor - The last two games these teams played in Tulsa required overtime to decide a winner, and we should not be surprised to see another close one on Friday night.

Selection: This is a play on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (10*) 

The UCLA Bruins have lost back-to-back games to Arizona State and Stanford, and they are hosting the 5-1 California Golden Bears on Thursday night. Cal suffered it's first loss of the season at Utah two weeks ago, and it's going to be hard to avoid another defeat here in Los Angeles.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Golden Bears are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 trips to the Rose Bowl. UCLA won it's last home game versus Cal by a score of 37-10. The home team has won and covered in each of the last five meetings between these two teams.

2. Jared Goff - California's quarterback threw a career high five interceptions in the loss to Utah, and he's going to have to be a lot better to keep his team in this game. "It's going to have to be something I'm going to have to get better at and learn from," Goff said, describing the performance as "the worst game of his life."

3. X-Factor - Bruins running back Paul Perkins will be expected to carry the offense this week, and he ran for 161 yards and two TDs last year's win at Berkley.

Selection: This is a play on the UCLA Bruins (8*)

The Ragin' Cajuns are on the road at Arkansas State in a Tuesday night game between two Sun Belt Conference rivals, and the public is backing the home team here. The Red Wolves are a big favorite, but I am not convinced that they can cover this inflated number. My money is on the visitors here in Jonesboro.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Red Wolves defeated South Alabama by a score of 49-31 last week, which looks like an impressive result. The final score is a little deceiving though, as they trailed 31-20 in the fourth quarter, but went on to score 29 unanswered points aided by three South Alabama turnovers.

2. Jalen Nixon - The ULL quarterback had a big game against Texas State last week, throwing for 239 yards and three TDs on 22-of-29 passing, and running for 45 yards and a TD.

3. X-Factor - The Ragin Cajuns have won five of the last seven meetings with Arkansas State, covering the spread in six of those games.

Selection: This is a play on the ULL Rajin' Cajuns (10*) 

The Utah Utes are still undefeated, and they host the 4-2 Arizona State Sun Devils in a late night game in Salt Lake City. Utah has been impressive on both sides of the ball, and they shouldn't have much trouble staying unbeaten here at home against an Arizona State team that has been inconsistent.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Utes Defense - Utah is tied for second nationally with 12 interceptions so far this season. They picked off California's Jared Goff five times last week. They rank third in the country with a turnover ratio of +10.

2. Special Teams - The Utes have a huge edge in special teams with one of the best kickers in the country in Andy Phillips. Arizona State's kicker has not made a goal over 40 yards all season, missing his only two attempts.

3. X-Factor - The Sun Devils are 1-4 in their last five road game, while Utah is 10-4 ATS in it's last 14 games against a team with a winning record.

Selection: This is a play on the Utah Utes (10*)   

The Georgia Bulldogs have had a tough few weeks, coming off consecutive losses to Alabama and Tennessee. Their biggest concern though is the loss of Heisman hopeful Nick Chubb, who suffered a gruesome knee injury last week that will keep him on the sidelines for quite some time. I think this team is in a fragile state at the moment, and could struggle against a tough conference rival.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Missouri Defense - The Tigers rank 17th nationally in total defense, and they have allowed opponents to average fewer than 14 points per game. They are particularly good against the pass, ranking tops in the SEC.

2. Injuries - The Bulldogs offense relied heavily on Nick Chubb, and he will be missed. They are also banged up on defense, and last week at Tennessee they allowed the Vols to score 21 points in the second half, coming back from a 24-3 deficit to win 38-31.

3. X-Factor - The Tigers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games.

Selection: This is a play on the Missouri Tigers (8*)

The Florida Gators have been one of the biggest surprises this season, winning six straight games. They are on the road at LSU this Saturday, and this looks like a tough spot for the visitors. I think Florida's unbeaten run will come to an end here in Baton Rouge against an undefeated LSU team.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Will Grier - The Gators suffered a big blow when starting quarterback Will Grier was suspended for the remainder of the season after testing positive for PEDs. Grier had thrown for 1204 yards and 10 TDs with just three picks during a 6-0 start.

2. Leonard Fournette - The Tigers star running back is running away with the Heisman race, totaling 1022 yards and a dozen TDs so far. He ran for 140 yards and a pair of TDs in a win at Florida last season.

3. X-Factor - The Tigers have won and covered in four of the last five games against Florida.

Selection: This is a play on the LSU Tigers (8*) 

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles will host the UTSA Road Runners on Saturday, and the home team is a heavy favorite. Neither team inspires much confidence on defense, and I expect to see a high scoring game in Hattiesburg.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Road Runners Defense - The UTSA defense ranks 113th nationally against the pass, and they were lit up for 351 yards by Jeff Driskel of LA-Tech last week. They have a tough task ahead of them this week, facing the Nick Mullens who ranks 5th nationally with over 2000 passing yards so far this season.

2. Home Cookin' - The Golden Eagles have scored an average of 39 points while winning two of three at home. Their only loss at home came against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. They should be able to light up the scoreboard here against an inferior opponent.

3. X-Factor - The Over is 5-2 in Roadrunners last 7 games overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Road Runners vs. Golden Eagles to go OVER the total (8*) 

The Alabama Crimson Tide won big on the road at Georgia two weeks ago, shutting down the Bulldogs running game. They face a different challenge here this week at College Station, facing a Texas A&M offense that boasts a high powered passing attack. I think we'll see a shootout in Texas on Saturday, with plenty of points scored by both teams.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Kyle Allen - The Aggies quarterback is having a stellar season so far, throwing for 1274 yards and 13 TDs with just two INTs. He's coming off consecutive games with over 300 yards passing, and he seems to be getting better every week.

2. Previous History - The last time Alabama played at College Station, they won in a shootout by a score of 49-42. The Crimson Tide won at home last year by a score of 59-0, and they ran all over the Aggies in that game. They totaled 298 yards rushing, with four rushing TDs. The Aggies defense looked vulnerable against the run when they played at Akransas, surrendering 232 rushing yards and a pair of rushing TDs.

3. X-Factor - Christian Kirk gives the Aggies a potent weapon in the kick return game, coming into this game with 190 return yards and one return TD.

Selection: This is a play on Alabama vs. Texas A&M to go OVER the total (10*) 

The Tulane Green Wave will host the Houston Cougars on Friday night, and the home team is a big underdog here in this one. Tulane has been blown out by Duke, Georgia Tech and Temple, and they will likely have their hands full facing a Houston team that averages just short of 50 points per game. My money is on a high scoring game in New Orleans.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Tulane Defense - The Green Wave have allowed opponents to average 38 points while gaining an average of 420 yards per game so far. They haven't yet faced a team that can pile on the points like Houston.

2. Previous History - This is a revenge spot for the Cougars, who lost 31-24 at home to Tulane last season. They had out-scored the Green Wave 113-34 while winning the previous two meetings, and they've gone over the total at a rate of 5-1-1 in their last seven overall.

3. X-Factor - The over is 5-1 in Green Wave last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Selection: This is a play on Houston@Tulane to go OVER the total (10*)   

The North Texas Mean Green have fired their coach after an 0-5 start to the season. They were embarrassed in a 66-7 loss to Portland State last week, and they will be a huge home dog this Thursday night hosting Western Kentucky. With an inflated total, my money is on the under.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - These teams have failed to reach the total in two of the last three meetings, and the one time they went over the number they combined to score just 52 points. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests.

2. UNT Offense - The Mean Green rank 119th nationally, scoring under 15 points per game. They gained less than 200 yards in a home loss to Portland State last week, and didn't score until the finale minute.

3. X-Factor - The Under is 13-6 in Mean Green last 19 home games.

Selection: This is a play on WKU@UNT to go UNDER the total (10*) 

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will visit South Alabama in a Tuesday night game featuring a couple of teams from the Sun Belt conference. The Jaguars have a better record at 3-2, but it's the Red Wolves that have had a tougher schedule with losses to Missouri, USC and Toledo. My money is on the visitors, who have a history of beating up on the Jaguars.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Michael Gordon - The Arkansas State RB is coming off a huge game against Idaho, running for 221 yards and three scores on 26 carries. He will face a Jaguars defense that has allowed opponents to score 12 rushing TDs, while averaging over 200 rushing yards per game.

2. Jags Passing Game - South Alabama's quarterback doesn't inspire much confidence, completing just over 50% of his passes, and throwing for seven TDs and six INTs this season. He's been picked off four times in two home games so far.

3. X-Factor - The Red Wolves have won the last three head to head meetings by an average margin of 14 points.

Selection: This is a play on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (10*) 

The 2-3 San Jose State Spartans will be in Las Vegas this week to take on the 2-3 Rebels, and the visitors are a slight favorite. The Rebels appear to be a team on the rise, with the momentum of back-to-back wins. I'll take the home dog here in this one.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Joe Gray - The Spartans senior quarterback has struggled on the road, throwing four interceptions compared to just two touchdown passes in three losses. He was picked off twice in the loss at Auburn last week.

2. Home Cookin' - The Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and they ran for 517 yards and six TDs in their last home game, an 80-8 rout of Idaho State.

3. X-Factor - The Spartans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and 1-6 in their last seven versus Mountain West teams.

Selection: This is a play on the UNLV Rebels (8*)   

The Kansas State Wildcats lost a heart-breaker to Oklahoma State on Saturday, by a score of 36-34. They are back home this week hosting the #2 ranked Horned Frogs, and the Wildcats are a big underdog. The Horned Frogs might suffer a let down here after blowing out Texas, so I will take the points.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. TCU On The Road - The Horned Frogs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games. They won by six points at Minnesota, and needed a miracle in the final minute to get past Texas Tech. Last year they won close games at Kansas and West Virginia.

2. Home Cookin' - The Wildcats have covered the spread in six of their last eight at home, and starting quarterback Joe Hubener has thrown for 364 yards and four TDs in two home games this season, while failing to find the endzone on the road.

3. X-Factor - Hubener was knocked out of last week's game with a head injury, but he's expected to return this week against TCU.

Selection: This is a play on the Kansas State Wildcats (10*) 

The BYU Cougars put an ugly loss to Michigan behind them by beating Connecticut at home last week, and they host the 3-2 East Carolina Pirates in Provo on Saturday. The Pirates have scored a total of 84 points in wins over Virginia Tech and SMU, and I think we'll see a high scoring game in this one.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pirates Running Game - East Carolina ran for over 300 yards and four TDs in the win over SMU last week. They might just find some holes in this Cougars defense than was ripped to shreds by Michigan. The Wolverines picked up over 250 yards and three TDs against BYU.

2. Tanner Mangum - The Cougars quarterback has thrown for 674 yards and four TDs in two home games so far, and he's likely going to have a big day here against a suspect East Carolina defense.

3. X-Factor - The Pirates have gone over in five of their last six road games, while the Cougars have gone over in five of their last seven at home.

Selection: This is a play on the Pirates@Cougars to go OVER the total (10*) 

After hanging with TCU at home, the Red Raiders couldn't keep up with the Baylor Bears in a neutral site game last week. They return home to face an inferior opponent this week, and I don't think they'll have much trouble with the Iowa State Cyclones.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - Red Raiders quarterback Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 1180 yards with 10 TDs and just 1 INT in three home games this season. He's up against a Cyclones team that has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games.

2. Cyclones Passing Game - The Cyclones don't really have the weapons to keep up with Texas Tech. Their quarterback Sam B Richardson has thrown seven touchdown passes this season, only one of those coming on the road.

3. X-Factor - The Red Raiders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, and 6-1-1 in their last eight overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (8*)

The Texas Longhorns are coming off another ugly loss to TCU, and at this point everything seems to be going wrong for the Longhorns. It's not like they have been blown out in all their losses. They lost to Oklahoma State and Cal by a combined four points. I'll take the Horns getting a whole whack of points in a Red River Rivalry game.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - Texas is no worse this year than it was last year, but after getting crushed at home to BYU by a score of 41-7, they got up for this rivalry game a few weeks later. Oklahoma won that game by just five points. Texas won the previous year at home by a score of 36-20.

2. Penalties - The Sooners committed 12 penalties for 134 total yards in a home win over West Virginia last week. They will need to be far more disciplined here on the road if they want to cover a big spread against Texas.

3. X-Factor - The Sooners have failed to cover in four of their last five neutral site games, and four of their last five versus Texas.

Selection: This is a play on the Texas Longhorns (8*)

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles are 3-2, with losses to Nebraska and Mississippi State. They will be on the road at 4-1 Marshall, and the Thundering Herd have four wins against inferior opposition. I like the visitors plus the points.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Nick Mullens - The Golden Eagles junior quarterback is having himself an impressive season so far, throwing for almost 1700 yards with 14 TDs and just three picks. He threw for 447 yards a pair of INTs on the road at Nebraska in Week 2.

2. Marshall Quarterbacks - Michael Birdsong has missed the last three games with a shoulder injury. Freshman Chase Litton has been hit and miss in three starts filling in. He had a terrible game against Kent State, completing just 38 percent of his passes for 151 yards with two TDs and a pair of INTs.

3. X-Factor - The Golden Eagles have covered the spread in five straight overall, and three straight on the road.

Selection: This is a play on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (8*) 

The Houston Cougars will host the SMU Mustangs on Thursday night, and I expect this to be an old fashioned Texas Shootout. The Mustangs have lost three straight, giving up a total of 153 points, and they'll face a high scoring Cougars team in Houston. My money is on the over.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Matt Davis - The Mustangs certainly can't blame their quarterback for their 1-4 start. Davis has thrown for 1182 yards with eight TDs and two INTs in five games. He threw for season high 364 yards on the road at TCU.

2. Houston Offense - The Cougars are tied for fourth overall in the country in scoring, averaging 45.8 points per game. They are averaging 55.5 points per game at home, and they've gone over in four straight at home.

3. X-Factor - The Over is 6-0 in Mustangs last 6 road games.

Selection: This is a play on SMU@Houston to go OVER the total (8*) 

The Auburn Tigers came into this season as the favorite to win the SEC, but they have failed to live up to the hype losing twice in their first four games. After getting blown out at home by Mississippi State last week, they host the San Jose State Spartans. I like the Tigers to bounce back with a convincing win here Saturday. 

Here are my keys to the game: 

1. Spartans Run Defense - San Jose State was ripped to shreds by the Oregon State Beavers a few weeks ago, giving up 303 yards and three TDs in a 35-21 loss. They rank 123rd nationally allowing over 236 rushing yards per game. 

2. Previous History - The Spartans have failed to cover in six straight road games, and they lost their last game at Auburn by a score of 59-13. 

3. X-Factor - The Tigers totally shut down the Bulldogs running game last week, holding Mississippi State to 56 yards on 21 carries, and keeping them out of the endzone. 

Selection: This is a play on the Auburn Tigers (8*)

The Southern Methodist Mustangs will host East Carolina on Saturday, and the Mustangs are getting points versus the Pirates. I think East Carolina is coming in a little overrated after upsetting Virginia Tech last Saturday, and l think this could be a close low scoring affair. My money is on the under in this one.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pirates Offensive Line - East Carolina's quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and two TDs with one INT against Virginia Tech. The Pirates have allowed seven sacks so far, and that number could climb with injuries on the offensive line. Dontae Levingston did not play last week, and is questionable for Saturday's game, while C.J. Struyk is out with a knee injury.

2. Matt Davis - The Mustangs quarterback has only thrown two TD passes over the last two weeks, although he has averaged almost 100 yards rushing per game. He ran for a season high 125 yards  in a 31-13 home win over North Texas a few weeks ago, and I expect a similar performance here Saturday.

3. X-Factor - These teams have met five times since 2005, going over the total in three of those games. Only once has the total been as high as the number in this game though.

Selection: This is a play on the Pirates@Mustangs to go UNDER the total (10*)

The 3-1 Texas Tech Raiders will take on the Baylor Bears in Dallas on Saturday, and this game is one that you're not going to want to miss. Both these teams can light up the scoreboard, and the bookmakers are expecting a shootout, with one of the highest totals in college football history. The visitors are getting a big spread, and I like Texas Tech to hang with Baylor here. 

Here are my keys to the game: 

1. Baylor Defense - The Bears have been impressive offensively, but there have been a few hiccups on the defensive side of the ball. They gave up 21 first half points in a 66-31 win over Lamar, and they allowed SMU to score 14 points in the first seven minutes in a 56-21 win over the Mustangs. That game was also close at halftime, with Baylor leading by just seven points. 

2. Previous History - Baylor "barely" hung on to win by a score of 48-46 in last year's game at Lubbock, and two of the last three meetings between these bitter rivals have been decided by less than a TD. 

3. X-Factor - Red Raiders running back DeAndre Washington ran for a record 188 yards and four TDs last week against TCU. 

Selection: This is a play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (8*)

The Duke Blue Devils are coming off a 34-20 home win over Georgia Tech last week, and they have another tough game this week hosting the Boston College Eagles. These teams have played three times since 2006, and all three games were defensive battles. The Eagles won 2-of-3, but lost the last meeting by a single point. 

Here are my keys to the game: 

1. Eagles Defense - The Eagles own the number one ranked defense in the country, allowing opponents to average just 7.8 points on 118 yards per game. That's even more impressive when you consider their last two games came against Florida State and Northern Illinois. 

2. Previous History - The Florida State Seminoles only gained 217 total yards in a 14-0 win over the Eagles, and Boston College trailed 7-0 until a late fumble was returned for TD. You have to like the dog here in what appears to be destined to be a defensive battle. 

3. X-Factor - The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Selection: This is a play on the Boston College Eagles (8*) 

The Horned Frogs are still near the top of the college football rankings despite a near loss on the road at Texas Tech last week. There is a glaring weakness on this team, as their defense doesn't seem to be capable of stopping anybody. They are asked to cover quite a big spread here at home to Texas, and I like the Longhorns to keep this one close.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Jerrod Heard - The Longhorns quarterback hasn't really put up impressive numbers this season, but he did have a big game against California. The freshman threw for 364 yards and an INT on 20-of-31 passing, while rushing for 163 yards and three TDs. He should find plenty of holes in this TCU defense.

2. Previous History - Texas won it's last visit to Fort Worth, and the Horns have won three of their last four at Amon G. Carter Stadium. The one loss came by a score of 23-14.

3. X-Factor - The Longhorns suffered an embarrassing home loss to TCU last November, and that sets up a classic revenge spot here this week.

Selection: This is a play on the Texas Longhorns (10*) 

The BYU Cougars are coming off back-to-back road losses to UCLA and Michigan, and they were shutout last Saturday in an embarrassing 31-0 loss to the Wolverines. The Cougars will host the Connecticut Huskies on Friday night, and Connecticut is coming off a home loss to Navy. The Cougars are a heavy favorite here, but I think the best bet is on the total, as the number looks a little bit low all things considered.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Tanner Mangum - The Cougars quarterback threw for 309 yards an a pair of TDs in a 35-24 win over Boise State in his only previous home game this year. I expect him to bounce back from a dreadful performance last week, putting up big numbers against an inferior opponent.

2. Previous History - When these two teams met last year the total was 10 points higher than it is for this year's contest. The Cougars won that game by a score of 35-10.

3. X-Factor - The Cougars have seen the total go over in five of their last six home games, and 10 of their last 14 non conference games.

Selection: This is a play on the Huskies@Cougars to go OVER the total (10*) 

The 3-0 Miami Hurricanes will be in Cincinnati this Thursday night, and both these teams have scored their fair share of points this season. The total for this game looks a little inflated though, and I believe the value lies with a play on the under.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Hayden Moore - The freshman will make his first career start at quarterback for the Bearcats, but he had a big game coming in to replace Gunnar Kiel last week. He threw for 557 yards and four TDs with two INTs in a 53-46 loss to Memphis. As impressive as those numbers are, he's facing a Miami team that has picked off opposing quarterbacks seven times in three games.

2. Joseph Yearby - Miami's running back might be asked to carry the load here on the road. He ran for a season high 146 yards on 18 carries in the Hurricanes only previous road game at Florida Atlantic. The Canes are likely to put together a few long clock killing drives with Yearby grinding away on the ground.

3. X-Factor - The Hurricanes have gone under the total in four of their last five road games.

Selection: This is a play on Miami@Cincinnati to go UNDER the total (10*)   

The USC Trojans are heading into Arizona this week needing a win. Head coach Steve Sarkasian is on the hot seat after a stunning loss at home to Stanford last week, and he could be out of a job if the Trojans can't find a way to beat the Sun Devils. Arizona State hasn't impressed so far, and I don't like their chances of slowing down the Trojans offense.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Sun Devils Offensive Line - Mike Bercovici burned the Trojans with a game winning Hail Mary touchdown in last year's meeting, but he's been facing a ton of pressure this year behind a struggling offensive line. He's been sacked 11 times, and has had to peel himself off the turf too many times to be as effective as he wants to be this season.

2. Cody Kessler - The Trojans quarterback is second in the nation with a completion percentage of 78.7, and he's thrown 10 TD passes without a single interception.

3. X-Factor - The Sun Devils have failed to cover in five straight, while the Trojans are 5-1 ATS when coming off a loss.

Selection: This is a play on the USC Trojans (10*) 

Before this season started, there were several experts predicting that Auburn would win the SEC. The Tigers don't look much like contenders coming off a 45-21 thrashing by LSU in Baton Rouge. They host the Mississippi State Bulldogs Saturday, and it could be another high scoring battle between two teams that are struggling on defense.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Tigers Run Defense - Auburn gave up 411 rushing yards and five rushing TDs in the loss to LSU last week. The Bulldogs ran for 275 yards and five scores last week, and they will likely find some holes in this Auburn defense.

2. Sean White - With Jeremy Johnson throwing six interceptions in his first three starts, the Tigers have decided to hand the reigns to their second string quarterback. These two were actually quite close in the spring, with Johnson just edging him out for the starting job. If White can give the offense a spark, Auburn could get it's season back on track.

3. X-Factor - When these teams met last year the Bulldogs won by a score of 38-23, falling just short of the total of 62.5. The total for this game is much lower, and Auburn has gone over the number at a rate of 10-4-1 in it's last 15 home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Bulldogs@Tigers to go OVER the total (10*) 

The Tennessee Volunteers will be on the road at Florida this Saturday, and despite the fact that they've lost 10 straight to the 3-0 Gators, the Vols are actually a favorite in this game. Florida's last two wins left a lot to be desired, looking pretty average against inferior opposition.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Will Grier - The Gators quarterback threw for 125 yards and an INT on 13-of-22 passing against Kentucky last week. Florida's passing game has been a sore spot in recent years, and hasn't shown any signs of getting better in 2015.

2. Joshua Dobbs - The Vols quarterback has been solid, throwing for 474 yards with five TDs and just one interception.

3. X-Factor - The Gators have not been a good bet at home in recent seasons, going 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Tennessee Volunteers (8*) 

The Navy Midshipmen will be on the road at Connecticut this week, looking to remain undefeated. They have out-scored the opposition 93-31 during a 2-0 start, and I don't like the Huskies chances of keeping up with this potent ground game of Navy.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Keenan Reynolds - The senior quarterback ran for 142 yards and five TDs on 24 carries last week against East Carolina. He needs seven more touchdowns to become the all time leader in the FBS, he already has the most rushing TDs for a quarterback.

2. Navy Running Game - The Midshipmen have run for 786 yards in just two games, ranking in the top 10 in the country. Fullback Chris Swain has rumbled for 249 yards and a pair of TDs. 

3. X-Factor - The Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Navy Midshipmen (8*) 

The Boise State Broncos started the season ranked in the Top 25, but have been a major disappointment so far. They are on the road at Virginia on Friday night, and they might be able to get something going against the 1-2 Cavaliers. The early money has come in on the under hear, but I think this game could be a high scoring battle.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Cavaliers Defense - The Cavs have given up an average of well over 30 points per game so far, and last week Steve Cluley threw for 226 yards and three TDs on 23-of-37 passing for for William & Mary as the Tribe up 29 points in a losing effort.

2. BSU Quarterbacks - Brian Harsin is shaking things up a bit this week, going with two quarterbacks on the road at Virginia. Freshman Brett Rypien came in and threw for 126 yards completing 8-of-9 passes after starter Ryan Finley went down with a broken ankle. He'll split the workload with Thomas Stuart who threw for 69 yards and a TD on 9-of-13 passing in the win over Idaho.

3. X-Factor - The Broncos have seen the total go over in five straight road games, and nine of their last 12 overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Broncos@Cavs to go OVER the total (10*) 

The 2-1 Cincinnati Bearcats will be on the road Thursday night taking on the Memphis Tigers in Tennessee. The Tigers are 3-0, coming off a 44-41 win over Bowling Green last week. As impressive as Memphis has looked, the Tigers might struggle to cover a double-digit spread against a team like Cincinnati.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - Memphis upset the Bearcats in Cincinnati by a score of 41-14 last year, but Cincinnati had covered the spread in six straight meetings prior to that, winning five of those game outright.

2. Memphis Defense - The Tigers allowed Bowling Green quarterback Matt Johnson to throw for 443 yards and four TDs last week. The previous Saturday the Jayhawks ran the ball for 194 yards and a pair of TDs. The Beacats should be able to find a way to penetrate this Memphis defense.

3. X-Factor - The Bearcats offense will get a boost from the return of WR Mekale McKay who missed last week's game due to injury. McKay has four catches for 133 yards and a TD in two games this season.

Selection: This is a play on the Cincinnati Bearcats (8*)   

The Utah Utes have looked good while winning their first two games of the season at home, but they head out on the road to face Fresno State this Saturday. The Bulldogs are coming off a terrible 73-21 loss to Ole Miss, but I expect them to be much better here at home. I'll take the home team as a double-digit dog.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The home team has won seven straight in this series, and the Bulldogs are 18-2 at home under head coach Tim DeRuyter. The Bulldogs will look to avenge a 59-27 loss at Utah last season.

2. Bulldogs Running Game - Senior RB Marteze Walker has run for 245 yards in the first two weeks, and he's ranked 8th among active FBS players with 2,433 career rushing yards.

3. X-Factor - Utah's starting quarterback Travis Wilson left last week's game against Utah State with a sore shoulder, and coach Kyle Whittingham has not yet confirmed who will start at quarterback this Saturday.

Selection: This is a play on the Fresno State Bulldogs (10*) 

The Georgia Bulldogs are still considered front-runners to win the SEC, and they will be a heavy favorite at home versus South Carolina this weekend. The Gamecocks are coming off a home loss to Kentucky last week, and they are likely to be overwhelmed on the road here against a much stronger opponent.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Nick Chubb - He ran for 189 yards on just 19 carries in the win over Vanderbilt last week, and he's likely to get more touches in this game. The Gamecocks defense surrendered 207 yards on the ground, and three rushing TDs last week against Kentucky.

2. Previous History - The Gamecocks have allowed an average of 211 rushing yards per game since 2014, ranking dead last in the SEC.

3. X-Factor - South Carolina's starting quarterback Connor Mitch suffered a separated shoulder in the loss to Kentucky, and he's sidelined for four to six weeks.

Selection: This is a play on the Georgia Bulldogs (10*) 

The Cincinnati Bearcats lost at home to Temple last week, but they couldn't ask for a better opponent as they look to get back on track here this Saturday. They will play on the road versus the Redhawks of Miami-OH. The Redhawks put up a goose egg in a 58-0 loss to Wisconsin last week.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Quarterbacks - Billy Bahl and Drew Kummer combined to throw for 164 yards and three INTs on 13-of-34 passing last week. They aren't likely to fare much better against a Cincinnati defense that limited Temple to just 81 yards passing last week. Gunner Kiel threw for 427 yards and a pair of TDs, but was picked off four times against Temple. He's likely going to put up better numbers here against an inferior opponent.

2. Previous History - The Bearcats have won nine straight versus Miami-OH, covering the spread in six of those nine games.

3. X-Factor - The Redhawks are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games in September.

Selection: This is a play on the Cincinnati Bearcats (8*)  

The Ball State Cardinals were blown out by the Texas A&M Aggies last Saturday, but they are likely to bounce back this week on the road at Eastern Michigan. The Eagles are coming off an upset win at Wyoming last week, but I don't like their chances here this weekend.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - Ball State has won nine of it's last 10 versus the Eagles, and six of those wins came by a double-digit margin. They've covered the spread in four of their last five visits to Eastern Michigan.

2. Jack Milas - The Cardinals quarterback threw for 169 yards and a pair of TDs on 11-of-17 passing in the win over Eastern Michigan last year. He struggled last week against Texas A&M, but he threw for 338 yards and a TD on 64 percent passing in Week 1.

3. X-Factor - The Cardinals have been a real moneymaker on the road, going 44-18 ATS in their last 62 road games.

Selection: This is a play on the Ball State Cardinals (8*) 

The Nevada Wolfpack lost by a score of 44-20 to Arizona last week, and they are a big underdog on the road at Texas A&M this Saturday. The Aggies stock is high coming off a pair of convincing wins, but I am expecting them to suffer a let down here in their final non-conference game, with a date with Arkansas looming large next weekend.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Line Value - The Wolfpack haven't lost by 30+ points since suffering a 62-7 defeat at the hands of Florida State in 2013. Since then they have played 24 games, including 11 straight up wins during that span.

2. Kyle Allen - The Aggies quarterback was incredibly efficient last week, throwing for 126 yards and three TDs on 10-of-13 passing. Still, it's tough to run up the score when you only attempt 13 passes, and I think this game could be a little closer than last week's blowout win over Ball State.

3. X-Factor - The Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, while the Aggies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Nevada Wolfpack (8*)

The Arizona State Sun Devils struggled in a Week 1 loss to Texas A&M, and their 35-21 win over Cal Poly a week later wasn't overly impressive. They host New Mexico on Friday night, and the total in this game looks way to high if you ask me. 

Here are my keys to the game: 

1. Pass Protection - It's going to be hard for Arizona to run up the score if they can't protect their quarterback. Mike Bercovici has been sacked 10 times already in just two games. 

2. Lobos Passing Game - New Mexico quarterback Lamar Jordan has thrown for just 244 yards with one TD and an INT in two games. The Lobos like to lean on their running game, but they are likely to have little success running on Arizona State's stout defense. 

3. X-Factor - Junior running back Gump Haze will miss this game due to injury, leaving the Sun Devils a little thin in the backfield. 

Selection: This is a play on UNM@ARZST to go UNDER the total (8*)

The Louisville Cardinals are coming off a shocking home loss to the unranked Houston Cougars last Saturday, and I expect their struggles to continue as they host Clemson on Thursday night. The Tigers lost their star quarterback in last year's meeting, but still won that game by a score of 23-17. I expect Clemson to win and cover in a blowout. 

Here are my keys to the game: 

1. Quarterbacks - Deshaun Watson has returned after missing most of last season with a knee injury, and he's completed 77% of his passes for 442 yards and five TDs in the first two weeks. Louisville turned to their third string quarterback last week, after Lamar Jackson and Reggie Bonnafon failed to impress. Needless to say, the Cardinals quarterback situation is a complete mess. 

2. Previous History - The Cardinals have failed to cover the spread in six straight home games, while the Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games in September. 

3. X-Factor - Clemson ranked 1st in the country in total defense in 2014, allowing opponents to average just 260 yards per game. 

Selection: This is a play on the Clemson Tigers (8*)

The South Carolina Gamecocks defeated rivals North Carolina in Week 1, and they are a big favorite at home against Kentucky this week. The Wildcats won last season's meeting, and I think Kentucky can keep it close here at Williams-Brice Stadium.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Gamecocks Passing Game - South Carolina's new quarterback struggled in Week 1, as Connor Mitch completed just 40% of his passes for 122 yards and a TD. He's facing a Kentucky defense that didn't allow a touchdown and recorded two interceptions in a win over ULL last week.

2. Patrick Towles - The Kentucky quarterback had an impressive showing in the win over the Ragin' Cajuns, throwing for 257 yards and three TDs with one INT on 16-of-34 passing.

3. X-Factor - Five of the last seven meetings between these two teams have been decided by seven points or less.

Selection: This is a play on the Kentucky Wildcats (10*) 

The Texas A&M Aggies came into the season unranked, and they didn't appear happy about it. The Aggies defense raised a lot of eyebrows in a win over Arizona State in Week 1, but I think they are asked to cover a few too many points against the Ball State Cardinals this week.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Aggies Passing Game - As good as the defense looked, the Aggies normally potent passing attack stalled in Week 1. Kyle Allen and Skyler Murray combined to throw for just 247 yards with two TDs and a pair of INTs on 19-of-35 passing. They will have a tough time running up the score unless they get better play at the quarterback position.

2. Home Cookin' - The Aggies have not been a good bet at home recently, failing to cover in six of their last seven at College Station. The Cardinals on the other hand are 44-17 ATS in their last 61 road games.

3. X-Factor - The last time Texas A&M played a non conference home game, they defeated ULM 21-16. Kyle Allen looked pretty bad in that game, throwing for 106 yards with a TD and an INT on 13-of-28 passing.

Selection: This is a play on the Ball State Cardinals (8*) 

The Alabama Crimson Tide looked impressive in a Week 1 win over Wisconsin, but I think they might be a little overrated here heading into a Week 2 match-up versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders. The Blue Raiders were 6-6 last season, and they scored a whopping 70 points in a Week 1 win over Jackson State.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Bama Quarterback Battle - Jake Coker and Cooper Bateman are still batting for the starter's job, and they combined to put up a modest 264 yards with one TD in the win over Wisconsin. While the offense was effective, it doesn't appear to be designed to run up the score.

2. Previous History - These teams have played just twice since 2002, and Middle Tennessee covered the spread in both of those games. Alabama has failed to cover in five straight versus teams from the C-USA.

3. X-Factor - MTSU quarterback threw for 336 yards and four TDs in the win over Jackson State last week.

Selection: This is a play on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (8*) 

The Michigan Wolverines began the Jim Harbaugh era on the road in Utah, and they lost a close game by a score of 24-17 to the Utes. They return home to face one of the PAC12's weaker teams in Oregon State, and I like the Wolverines to win big at home in this one.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Wolverines Defense - The defense was the strength of this team last year, ranking in the Top 10 in the country in total yards. They looked tough in the loss to Utah, limiting Utes quarterback Travis Wilson to 208 yards and an INT on 24-of-33 passing.

2. No More Mannion - Sean Mannion finished his career as the PAC12's all time passing leader. He also holds the record for most yards in a single season. That's pretty impressive considering how many great quarterbacks have come out of the PAC12. With Mannion now in the NFL, the Beavers passing game is likely to struggle. Last week Seth Collins threw for just 92 yards on 10-of-18 passing.

3. X-Factor - The Beavers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, and 1-7 ATS in their last eight overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Michigan Wolverines (8*) 

The Wisconsin Badgers lost to Alabama in Week 1, but came away from that game with plenty of positives. They are at home this Saturday hosting one of the minnows of the MAC, and I think they should steamroll the Miami OH RedHawks.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Badgers were undefeated at home last season, and they've covered the spread in 11 of their last 16 home games. The RedHawks have lost 22 of their last 25 games..

2. Joel Stave - The senior quarterback threw more picks (10) than he did touchdowns (9) last season. He looked pretty good against Alabama though, throwing for 228 yards with a pair of TDs and one interception on 26-of-39 passing. He appears poised to have a big game against an inferior opponent here today.

3. X-Factor - The Badgers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Selection: This is a play on the Wisconsin Badgers (10*) 

The Utah State Aggies will face rivals Utah on Friday night, and the visitors will be a double-digit dog. Utah is coming off a home win over Michigan last Thursday, while the Aggies defeated Southern Utah by a score of 12-9. We should see another close game between these two teams this week.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The last meeting between these two teams saw the Utes win at home by a score of 30-26, and the road team has been the better bet in this series, covering the spread at a rate of 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.

2. Chuckie Keeton - The Aggies quarterback completed just 16-of-33 passes for 110 yards and an interception last week, but he threw for 314 yards and two TDs on 31-of-40 passing in the last meeting between these two teams.

3. X-Factor - The Aggies defense allowed Southern Utah to gain a total of just 162 yards in their Week 1 victory.

Selection: This is a play on the Utah State Aggies (10*) 

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will host the LA-Tech Bulldogs on Thursday night, and the Hilltoppers are coming off a win on the road versus Vanderbilt. The Bulldogs put up an impressive points total versus an inferior opponent in Week 1, defeating the Southern Jaguars 62-15.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Jeff Driskel - The former Florida Gator looked great in Week 1, throwing for 274 yards and four TDs on 12-of-15 passing. He hasn't had much success against tougher teams though, last year he threw twice as many interceptions (10) as TDs (5) over the first six weeks of the season as Florida's starter.

2. Brandon Doughty - The Hilltoppers quarterback put up ridiculous numbers last season, throwing for an FBS best 4,830 yards, 49 TDs and 10 INTs. One of his worst games of the season came on the road at Louisiana Tech, and he'll be seeking to avenge what was last season's most lopsided loss.

3. X-Factor - The Hilltoppers won five of six home games last year, and Doughty threw for 29 TDs and NO picks at home.

Selection: This is a play on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8*)   

The Marshall Thundering Herd were almost perfect last year, winning 13 of their 14 games, with the lone loss coming in overtime by a score of 67-66 to Western Kentucky. Rakeem Cato has moved on to the CFL, and a new era will begin this Sunday as the Herd host Purdue in Week 1.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Experience - The Boilermakers return on five starters on their offensive line, and have an experienced quarterback in Austin Appleby. They also have plenty of experience playing against elite teams like Notre Dame, Michigan State and Wisconsin. While they only won three games last year, they avoided getting blown out even when over-matched.

2. Marshall Defense - After ranking among the worst in the nation in 2012, the Herd improved to rank 18th nationally in scoring defense last season. They lose two of their best playmakers on defense though in Darryl Roberts and C-USA Defensive Player of the Year Neville Hewitt. We should see this unit take a step back this season.

3. X-Factor - The Boilermakers are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 road games, and they appear to be underrated once again here in Week 1.

Selection: This is a play on the Purdue Boilermakers (10*)   

The Mississippi State Bulldogs were a playoff contender for most of last season, but after going 9-0 to start the season they lost two of their final three games. They beat Southern Miss 49-0 in Week 1, and I think we'll see a similar score here in the 2015 opener. 

Here are my keys to the game: 

1. Eagles Beefed Up Front 7 - Southern Miss has added plenty of talent by way of transfers. Linebacker Anthony Swain (Auburn), defensive lineman Quincy Russell (Texas/Oklahoma), defensive lineman Andrew Bolton (Kansas), and JUCO lineman Ricky Parks will bolster their defense. 

2. D'Runnya Wilson - The Bulldogs top wide receiver had some legal trouble in the off-season, so it would be no surprise if he was suspended for the season opener. 

3. X-Factor - The Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games on turf, and they've surrendered a total of just 26 points in their last three home games. 

Selection: This is a play on SOMISS@MISST to go UNDER the total (10*)

The Notre Dame Irish host the Texas Longhorns at South Bend in Week 1, and I like the home team. The Irish are expected to contend for a playoff spot this year, while Texas is still rebuilding in it's second year under Charlie Strong. 

Here are my keys to the game: 

1. Previous History - The Longhorns were just 6-6 last season, and they were steamrolled by Arkansas in the Texas Bowl, losing 31-7. These teams haven't faced each other since the 90s, but Notre Dame did win both previous meetings. 

2. Malik Zaire - Everett Golson has moved on to Florida State, but the Irish believe that Zaire will be an upgrade at the quarterback position. He led them to a victory over LSU in the Music City Bowl, throwing for 96 yards and a TD on 12-of-15 passing. He also ran for another 96 yards, with a rushing TD.  

3. X-Factor - Tyrone Swoopes will be back as the starter for Texas, and he did not look good in 2014. Swoopes threw four interceptions in a 48-10 home loss to TCU in the final game of the season. 

Selection: This is a play on the Notre Dame Irish (10*) 

The Texas A&M Aggies will open the 2015 season with a neutral site game against Arizona State in Houston. These two teams are both capable of scoring a lot of points, but I think the Aggies will out-score the Sun Devils in this Texas showdown. 

Here are my keys to the game: 

1. Kyle Allen - In just his second game as the starter for the Aggies, he threw for 377 yards and four TDs in an upset win over Auburn last year. Following in the footsteps of Johnny Manziel and Kenny Hill, he has a chance to be the next quaterback to put up incredible stats for this program under Kevin Sumlin. 

2. Previous History - The Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, and the Aggies are undefeated in non-conference play since 2011. Texas A&M out-scored opponents 190-35 in four non-conference games last year. 

3. X-Factor - The Aggies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.

Selection: This is a play on the Texas A&M Aggies (9*)

The Auburn Tigers will play Louisville in Atlanta in Week 1, and many people are picking the Tigers to win the SEC. The Cardinals took a big step back last year without Teddy Bridgewater, and they come into this season unranked. I think the Tigers win this game by double-digits. 

Here are my keys to the game: 

1. Quarterbacks - While the Tigers have to replace starter Nick Marshall, they have a talented replacement in backup Jeremy Johnson. With Marshall on the bench in last year's season opener, Johnson threw for 243 yards and a pair of TDs on 12-of-16 passing. Bobby Petrino has not confirmed whether it will be Reggie Bonnafon, Will Gardner or Kyle Bolin as the Week 1 starter. 

2. Auburn Running Game - The Tigers ranked 15th nationally in rushing yards per game last season, just behind Georgia. The Cardinals lost to the Bulldogs in the Belk Bowl, and Georgia ran all over them, with 292 yards and three TDs on the ground. 

3. X-Factor - Bonnafon and Bolin combined to throw three INTs in the loss to Georgia. 

Selection: This is a play on the Auburn Tigers (9*)