I know the Dallas Cowboys are off a down season, but with a healthy Dak Prescott back behind center Im betting the Cowboys will have a bounce back season, as long as health issues don't rear their ugly head again. I know Mike McCarthy the Cowboys coach did not have a very efficient first season at the helm of Americas team, but the last time one his teams had a sub .500 campaign he bounced back with a 11 win season. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the defending Super Bowl Champs will be Im betting in an emotional  hang over mode. Note: Super Bowl champs are 12-24-1 ATS L/  in their first two games of the new season, as 6 or more point favs. 

Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS L/5 Thursday night home games. Bucs are 0-5-1 ATS L/6 vs NFC East competition. Buccaneers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. Buccaneers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 1.

 Boyz are 9-3 ATS L/12 as 7 or more point underdogs. Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

McCarthy is 95-66 ATS  in games played on a grass field in all games he has coached in his career. 

Play on Dallas Cowboys to cover 

Overall Tampa Bay has had a better season than the KC Chiefs, and deserve respect here on a underdog line playing at home.  In last  seasons  Super /bowl Kansas City had been out-gained the entire contest by the 49ers until a late game-winning 65-yard drive .  In truth the wrong team won/ covered and  ever since KC has been looked upon in some divine way by the betting public. Something they do not deserve in my humble betting opinion. Yes I know how great a QB Mahomes is, but Tom Brady has far superior experience and now going into this 10th Super Bowl must be considered a NFL prime time super star with god like abilities. Bottom line: Both these teams can score, and both have top teir QBs at the helm of their offense, but to me the difference maker comes on defense. Defense wins championships : Note: Tampa Bay brings the league’s seventh-ranked defense to this big game. With said, it must also be noted that the team with the better D, has won 44 of the L/53 Super Bowls.

Key Stats. Red Zone Offense: Bucs 5th, Chiefs 10th.....Red Zone Defense: Bucs 19th, Chiefs 32nd .... Short Yardage Rushing Offense: Bucs 1st, Chiefs 32nd .....Short Yardage Defense: Bucs 21st, Chiefs 32nd

Key Trends: HC Arians of TB is 16-2-1 ATS at home against  non-division opposition coming off a victory, and is a bankroll expanding.  11-1-1 ATS outside the division when taking points at home. Tom Brady at home  is 12-1-1 ATS in his career  when not favored) . 

Play on Tampa Bay to cover

Two strong teams  with two top tier QBs Josh Allen (107.2 QB Rating) , and Patrick Mahomes (108.2 ) go head to head. The game is expected to be close, but I like the Bills here getting points vs a side that 0-8-1 ATS L/9. 

Buffalo is  11-5-1 ATS the past couple of  seasons as a underdog of 6 or less points. 

Bills head coach Sean McDermott 8-1 ATS as a non-division dog vs an above .500 opponent.  

BUFFALO is 8-1 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.

NFL Home teams vs. the money line (KANSAS CITY) - after failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 3-20 L/37 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

Play on Buffalo to cover

The Bucs blitzed Aaron Rodgers on 18-of-41 drop backs in the first game they played against each other, and Im betting that kind of pressure will be on todays agenda. Advantage Bucs as underdogs in a game that could easily be a pickem.

TAMPA BAY is 8-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more  yards/play this season. TAMPA BAY is 7-1 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 this season.

NFL Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 40-14 ATS L/37 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GREEN BAY) - after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Tampa Bay to cover

 The Saints beat Tom Brady and company have lost both meetings  this season but it must be noted that Brady is 18-3 SU revenging a  division loss  and   13-1 SU/ATS vs sides wtih a  .300 record or better with the only loss coming to the Saints this season.  Brady has never lost 3 times in a row to any team,. Considering HC Arians has won 16 of 23 road games vs division opposition and Brady seething with retribution at hand Im betting on TB getting us the cover. 

NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Arians is 14-4 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing  7.5 or less yards per return in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992.

NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or less turnovers/game committed), after a game where they forced no turnovers are 14-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on TB to cover 

The Raven enter this game peaking right at the fight time as is evident by having held their last three opponents  to 228 YPG, including a season-low 209 to the Titans last week . Meanwhile, Buffalo has played lights out all season, and really have not paced themselves. Here against a very physical side, that according to my projections is superior to them , getting points makes for a solid wager. 

BALTIMORE is 9-0 ATS  in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons. BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS  in road games vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. Harbaugh is 21-8 ATS  against AFC East division opponents as the coach of BALTIMORE and 13-2 ATS against those sides with an above .500 record. Harbaugh is 15-4 ATS  in road games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game as the coach of BALTIMORE.

Baltimore is 13-4 ATS L/17 play off road games.

NFL Home teams (BUFFALO) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 82-126 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover 

The Rams are underdogs here  vs a very public favorite the Green Bay Pacers but are under rated as Los Angles HC  Sean McVay is strong bet  as a visitor, going 23-11 SU L/34 opportunties , including 5-0 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points. 

LA RAMS are 11-3 ATS  vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons. LA RAMS are 6-0 ATS off a division game this season.


NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY) - off a road win against a division rival, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 8-31 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate. 

Advantate LA Rams take the points 

The number here on this tilt is bloated according to my projections giving us value with the underdog. 

Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite.

 Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff home games. 

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win against a division rival, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 8-31 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

Play on Bears to cover 

NFC Playoffs - Wild Card
TB with Brady under center are a pass first side, and the key to their top tier offensive output. However, Washington is one of the strongest teams in the league against the pass ranking  No. 2 with an 83.4 PFF coverage grade and -18.0% pass-defense DVOA. Im betting on the Washington secondary to be key here in limiting the Bucs offnensive numbers, and for the Footballers to cover the number. 
WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS after a win by 6 or less points over the last 3 seasons.
 
WASHINGTON is 25-8 ATS L/33  vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games. Rivera is 14-4 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in all games he has coached since 1992.

eattle took out the Rams 20-9 when they they last met and with Rams QB Jeff Goff out or less than 100% the Seahawks look like viable bets for a rinse and repeat sitiuation again. Carroll is 16-5 ATS ( as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points as the coach of SEATTLE.

NFL Underdogs of +140 to +325 vs. the money line (LA RAMS) - after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 4-45 SU L/10 seasons for a go GAINST  92% conversion rate with a PPG DIFF of - 11.4 ppg. 

Seattle to cover 

Tennessee was absolutely obliterated last week vs Green Bay and will now be primed for redemption here this week vs a Houston side with a 4-11 record and feeling less than motivated with nothing to play for as this season winds down. 

HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS L/22 vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game . HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS  after gaining 275 or more passing yards in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. 

NFL Favorites vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - good rushing team (125 to 150 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) after 8+ games, after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game are 32-2 SU L/37 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff of 9.6 ppg. 

NFL Home underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 12-36 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Tennessee to cover

 It matters very little  what the Chiefs do today. They have the No. 1 seed and get a bye week coming up, but that does not mean that they wont want to stay sharp.  Take the points. 

KANSAS CITY is 17-8 ATS  against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons

NFL team vs the money line (KANSAS CITY) - an average defensive team (18-23 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (27 or more  PPG) after 8 games, after a win by 6 or less points are 27-3 SU L/10 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

NFL Underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less  TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced, after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Kansas City to cover 

The Bears behind QB Mitchell Trubisky  have scored 30-plus points in four straight games for the first time in team history and in their current form are more than capable of ending the Green Bay Packers 5 game win streak.  I know the Packers really put the boots to the Bears when they faced them back in end of November by a 41-25 count but it must be noted that CHICAGO is 16-5 ATS L/21  in home games revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more and are desperate to get a win and here and garner a play off spot. CHICAGO is  also 26-13 ATS  L/39 in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry.

NFL Road teams vs. the money line (GREEN BAY) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a winning record are 5-28 L/10 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

 These two sides the Raiders and the Broncos are probably busy booking golf holidays instead  of being fully focused on this tilt. But there is still some pride on the line here as the Broncos should be keyed up to reap some revenge on a  Las Vegas side that smashed then 37-12 as home chalk back  in mid-November . The Raiders are off three straight home losses and look lifeless setting up what Im betting is down performance here.  Note: NFL visiting sides like the Raiders  coming off three consecutive home losses are 1-8 SU in division games since 1980.

 LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more  yards/play in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

 DENVER is 6-0 ATS  after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse this season.

NFL Home teams (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points, off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 22-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

Play on the Denver Broncos to cover 

The Bills who have clinched a play off appearance  won 24-21 on Nov. 1 in Buffalo vs the Patriots. The Patriots haven't been swept by a division opponent in 19 seasons, and Im betting the Pats will primed to keep that streak alive, and wont go down without a fight vs a side that may be looking ahead to the play offs and just as importantly staying healthy. Note: New England when they are seeking  a same-season division loss under Bill Belichick,  are  16-0 SU and 15-1 ATS the L/16  opportunities. 

NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 vs. top tier offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game in the second half of the season. NEW ENGLAND is 20-6 ATS  as a home underdog of 7 points or less since 1992 and are 10-1 ATS L/11 as home underdogs. 

NFL Home teams (NEW ENGLAND) - revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite are 90-44 ATS L/37 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on New England to cover

Philadelphia (4-9-1) looking good behind their rookie QB Hurts . He won his first career start before another solid showing by the rookie in a 33-26 loss to Arizona pushed the defending NFC East champion to the brink of elimination.Since 2017 when they won the Super Bowl, the Eagles are 11-2 in games they must win or they'd be eliminated from the playoffs or mathematically knocked out of contention. rinse and repeat with Hurts top tier QB effort to be the difference maker vs Dalton and a Cowboys team that is extremely inconsistent. 

NFL Underdogs or pick (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, versus division opponents are 9-36 ats L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road loss, with a losing record are 18-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

When these teams last met last season, Washington beat Carolina, and Rivera was fired two days later. Now he has the chance with some former players around to celebrate the improbable accomplishment of making the playoffs with a victory and a New York Giants loss to Baltimore. Revenge and a play appearance  is a powerful motivator favoring Carolina.

The Panthers are 11-0 ATS L/11 as a road dog off a game as a dog where they scored fewer points than expected. The Panthers are 6-0 ATS  L/6 on the road. 

WASHINGTON is 10-23 ATS  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.Washington is 0-8-1 ATS L/9 at home coming off a home game where they allowed at least 150 yards.

 CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS  in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

 NFL Home teams (WASHINGTON) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 11-37 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. 

NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CAROLINA) - off a road loss, with a losing record are 41-18 L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on Carolina 

Ok we have gone crazy here with this chalk line in my opinion favoring Chicago. I know the Bears are much improved since Trubisky got back under center , but since when has he been  considered to be a consistent QB. Im just not sold, and will take advantage of recency bias based on the Bears and Jaguars current proverbial opposite performance forms . By the way no I dont believe the Jags are in tank mode, as they look for Clemson pivot Trevor Lawrence in the draft.CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 2-10 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Jacksonville to cover 

Darnold was 22 of 31 for 207 yards and a season-best 71% completion percentage with a touchdown and no turnovers against the Rams last time out . Darnold's 99.8 quarterback rating was also a high for this season. Now brimming with confidence Im betting on the Jets to make the Browns work for a win here. 
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons.

 The Dolphins need this win badly to get into the plays offs which means their will be alot of pressure on them here on the road with a rookie QB at the helm of the offense. Its never easy traveling from west to east , which the Fins are doing. Also the Raiders have a few more days of preparation time for this tilt which Im betting gives them an edge. 

I know Drew Brees has looked rusty since returning from injury, but Im betting he will be ready to perform at a top level this week after having enough snaps last week to get back into a groove. He will especially primed to perform as will his team mates vs a Vikings side that defeated the Saints in overtime with a FG in last year’s Wild Card game. Revenge is a huge motivator and deserves attention. 
 NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 ATS vs. struggling  defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons

NFL team (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (5.8 or more  YPP), after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game are 37-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. 

NFL Home teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - good rushing team (125-150 RY/G) against a poor rushing defense (125-150 RY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game are 23-2 L/37 seasons for a 92% conversion rate SU for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.7 ppg. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

 
Despite dropping two straight games after an 11-0 start, to the current campaign the Steelers must be respected here as they look to get back on track. Pittsburgh has won the last 11 meetings in their series vs their division rival and another win and cover should be expected tonight vs a Bengals side that has averaged just 10.33 points per game in their L/3 trips to the gridion. 


The Steelers are 8-0 ATS L8  as a favorite of more than a TD coming off a game where they failed to cover by at least seven points. 

Steelers are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 meetings. Steelers are 16-3-2 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Cincinnati.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 
 

The Giants and Browns both are looking for a play off appearance but the Gmen are more  desperate in a bid for their first playoff berth since 2016. The Giants had  their four-game winning streak snapped by Arizona last weekend and fell a game behind first-place Washington (6-7) in the NFC East and will now be ready to rebound and play this game like its their last.  The Browns are 0-8-2 ATS coming off a loss where they failed to cover. The Browns are 0-5 ATS L/5 as a road favorite. The Giants are 8-0 ATS L/8 when the total is over 46 and they are coming off a home game. 

CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons

NFL Road favorites (CLEVELAND) - with an excellent offense - averaging 5.7 or more yards/play, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 9-34 ATS L/ 37 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate. 

Play on NY Giants to cover 

The Patriots (6-7) head into Sunday's game against the Dolphins and Tagovailoa with their NFL-record run of 11 consecutive playoff appearances in dire jeopardy, and their reign atop the AFC East at an end. Needless to say the Pats need this game badly and Im betting they leave everything on the filed here and get us a cover. 

The Patriots are 15-0 ATS since the , 2000 season as a dog coming off a loss where they allowed at least 24 points.

MIAMI is 5-17 ATS L/22 in home games vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season.MIAMI is 9-23 ATS in home games after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games.

NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ENGLAND) - off a road loss, with a losing record  are 41-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.

Play on New England to cover 

Dalton the Cowboys starting QB is currently in top form after four straight starts,  while winning twice and coming off a season-high 122.6 passer rating in a 30-7 win at the Bengals. Im betting the under rated Cowboys will once again be a handful for their comeptetion here and get us the cover.

SAN FRANCISCO is 1-9 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games over the last 3 seasons. Shanahan is 1-10 ATS  vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games as the coach of SAN FRANCISCO.

Play on Dallas to cover 

 Minnesota had a 3 game winning streak end last time out, but Im betting they will be ready to rebound here this week vs the Chciago Bears a side getting far to much respect in my humble opinion. Hey I kniow Bears QB Trubisky is suddenly on fire, but he has shown throughout his career he not be counted on in big games and or with his consistency.  Note: Vikings are  13-1 ATS with a win percentage of .400  or better at home off a loss.  Also Kirk Cousins is 5-0 ATS at home in December when coming off a defeat , and has covered 14 of his L/18 off a loss. 

The Vikings are 10-0 ATS L/10 coming off a loss as a road dog where they did not force any turnovers. 

The Bears are 0-10 ATS (L/10  as a dog coming off a home game where they gained at least 150 yards.

Play on the Vikings to cover

No way am I going to overlook the Teddy Bridgewater effect has his has been money in the bank when his team looks to be a non factor vs superior opposition. Note: that Bridgewater is  18-2 ATS  in his NFL career in game as a non-division underdog, including 10-0 ATS when he is a  3 point or more underdog. Hey I know Aaron Rodgers is having an MVP season, but Im betting things will not come so easily today vs the Panthers .

NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY) - off a road win against a division rival, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are just 8-31 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate. 

Play on Carolina to cover

The Ravens have gotten most of their players back following a stretch of 10 straight days with positive COVID-19 tests and Im betting they will be primed to play hard tonight against a side they matchup well against as was the case in Baltimore in Sept as the Ravens rolled to a 38-6 win. I know the Browns are playing better, and want revenge but the matchups according to my projections tell me a different story. 

BALTIMORE is 7-0 ATS  in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS  in road games after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS  in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS ( after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons

NFL team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 4-22 SU L/37 seasons for a go against  85% conversion rate. 

NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 25-60 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Baltimore to win/cover

The Chargers are off a 45-0 embarrassment last week, and overall dont deserve alot of respect based on their three wins vs  side that dont have more than 2 wins - the  Jets (0-12), Jaguars (1-11) and Bengals (2-9). Meanwhile, Atlanta is exhibiting signs of life, with Raheem Harris as the coach winning  4 of 7, after a 0-5 start. The Chargers are 30th in  DVOA, 18th in offense and 26th in defense and look like fodder here vs a Falcons side that is.  7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record .Chargers are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Colts QB Philip Rivers is set to take on the Raiders for a record 29th time so he  will feel comfortable here and that will be the edge needed for the his team to get by their hosts here this week. 

INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons

NFL  team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - an average defensive team (18-23 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (27 or more PPG) after 8 games, after a win by 6 or less points are 25-3 SU KL/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with average margin deficit coming by 7.2 ppg. 

NFL Road teams (INDIANAPOLIS) - excellent passing team (265  or more PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 35-8 ATS L/37 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

Play on Indianapolis to cover 

There is absolutely no value here on this underdog line with a Jets side that has shown very little cohesiveness this season, and now expected to without their most explosive offensive player rookie wide receiver Denzel Mims (personal).  With Seattle looking to bounce back off a loss, I see very little mercy being shown here as Im betting on the Seahawks behind QB Wilson to blitz the Jets secondary all day long and for a Seattle D, that has finally rounded into top form having allowed an average of 19.5 ppg to take a dominant DD victory.NY JETS are 0-7 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 22.5 ppg.

Play on Seattle to cover 

Baltimore is obviously the superior side but the they do have some covid issues and injuries to key contributors. Also the truth is the Ravens are not as dominating as last season and have lost 3 straight games, and cant be trusted in their current form to cover, vs a Dallas team that also needs to get a victory here if they have any chance for a play off spot.BALTIMORE is 8-19 ATS  in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 375 or more  yards/game.Harbaugh is 11-22 ATS  in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game as the coach of BALTIMORE.

Play on the Dallas Cowboys to cover 

The Bills are 6-23 SU in prime-time tilts since the  2000 season, and have lost nine straight on Monday night since a victory  at Miami on Oct. 4, 1999. Buffalo is 0-2 in night games this season, with losses at Tennessee, in a COVID-19 rescheduled Tuesday night outing on Oct. 13, and Kansas City the following week. After watching QB Nick Mullens  top notch relief of injured starter Joe Garoppolo, which included a impressive victory  last week on the road against the Los Angeles Rams Im betting the 49ers get the job done again vs a Buffalo side. that has lost 2 of their L/3 road games. SAN FRANCISCO is 33-12 ATS  when playing on Monday night since 1992. The Niners are also 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 on Mondays vs AFC opposition . 

Play on SF 49ers to cover 

Drew Lock will be back under center when Denver visits Kansas City this week. Having a stable position player should give the Broncos some balance and confidence entering this tilt against a top tier opponent. Quote: ''Drew's going to be motivated,'' Broncos tight end Noah Fant said. ''I'm expecting him to come out and do good things.'' End Quote. Last week the Broncos were short at the QB position and were subsequently crushed and embarrassed by a 31-3 count vs the Saints and will be ready to bounce back and get some semblance of respect back. Note: DENVER is 6-0 ATS  after a loss by 14 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, KC is also off a big effort last time out, squeezing by TB 27-24 in a physical game that could easily see them in a emotional letdown spot. KANSAS CITY is 0-7 ATS  after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons Also Reid is 1-11 ATS  in home games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1992.

Broncos enter 12-3-1 ATS in this series when the Chiefs own a  .750 plus win percentage  and get my support here as underdogs.

Play on Denver to cover 

The Saints (9-2) have won two straight games since star QN Drew Brees went down with a rib injury, extending  their overall winning streak to eight in a row heading into Sunday's game against the Atlanta Falcons. The Saints can clinch a playoff spot with a victory and a loss by the Bears and I am predicting a top tier effort and win by them in this spot play vs a Falcons side that exerted alot of energy in a lopsided win last week.New Orleans has won five of the past six meetings in the twice-a-year rivalry.NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS   in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 season.NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS  in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS  in home games off a home blowout win by 21 points or more since 1992.

NFL Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 27-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

 The Dolphins played a conservative solid game last week notching a   20-3 victory vs the hapless   Jets as a TD-plus road chalk .  It must now be noted that NFL favorites like the Dolphins playing on a natural surface have failed to cover 22 straight times  vs a non-divisional opponent when they themselves are off a 14 +point victory as a away favorite when  they registered  at least 28 minutes of possession time.

CINCINNATI is 7-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. MIAMI is 3-15 ATS L/18 in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games .

NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (MIAMI) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-66 ATS L/37 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on Cincinnati to cover 

Mighty Indianapolis squeaked out a 34-31 win vs the Green Bay Packers last time out, and now the Im betting on the Packers to be primed to bounce back in a big way this week and take out their frustrations  vs the Bears side that has lost four straight games . It must be noted that   Under Matt Fleur, the Packers are a perfect 5-0 SU/ ATS off a defeat, winning every game by more than a TD. Also  QB Rodgers’ owns a 7-0 ATS record in his last seven games when coming off a loss. 
 Meanwhile,Chicago is 0-11 ATS on a natural surface  vs a divisional opponent that has scored less than one-sixth of their points from FGs and have averaged at least 200 passing ypg season to date.

Play on Green Bay to cover 

Indianapolis got the better of Tennessee in their first meeting of the season, and are just the better more balanced side in my opinion. Philip Rivers is on a mission and seeing the field well, and has been a sharp shooter fitting passes into very tight openings, while the Colts’ running game is now in top tier form making them the complete package thanks to an over powering D. 

The Tennessee Titans are 0-16 SU and 2-14 ATS L/16 as single-digit division road underdogs, including 0-11 SUATS the last eleven.

Play on Indianapolis to cover 

It must be noted that ESPN  data says  NFL rookie quarterbacks from California teams are 1-14 straight up since the merger in Eastern Time zones. This keys in on Chargers  rookie QB Justin Hebert in his visit to play a strong Buffalo bills side that is well  rested and off a bye week.. It must also be noted that  the Chargers are 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS against foes coming off a Bye week.

Buffalo Bills to cover 

The Jets have been eliminated from the playoffs and are showing no signs of life after losing the stats battle in 10 straight games. NYJ  D is allowing a whopping 5.9 yards per play and 31st in defensive passing success and are allowing 8 yards per attempt, per game. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are ninth in passing success and  averaging 7.2 yards per attempt through the air. With that said,Miami shut out the Jets, 24-0 earlier this season and now a rinse and repeat situation Im betting will be on todays agenda .Dolphins are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and get the nod again.

Projected score: Miami 34 NY Jets 10

Miami to cover 

The Cowboys are off a big win last time out vs the Vikings as underdogs,  and are showing some  signs life of late and more upward trajectory to come according to my projections as they still have a chance at a play off appearance . Last week the Cowboys converted   converted 5-of-11 third downs at Minnesota and are looking viable in key spots which will make them dangerous vs a Washington side that was fortunate to get by Cincinnati last week and squeaked  out a rather strange victory after Bengals  QB Joe Burrow went down in the 2nd half.  This week Im betting a good Dallas side that is getting it mojo back to find a way to get revenge for a loss earlier this season to the Football team and avoid the season sweep vs what my rating consider a  over rated opponent. 

 Thanksgiving Day favorites of 3 or less points are 24-9 SU and 22-10-1 ATS, including 6-0 SUATS the last six seasons. 
 

Dallas is 14-0 ATS L/14 on artificial turf after  a road victory when they converted at least five third downs in each of their last two trips to the gridiron. 

DALLAS is 7-0 ATS  after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Dallas to cover 

 Los Angeles Rams, who are coming off an impressive victory over Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks and are looking more confident and cohesive by the week and are viable underdogs vs public favorite Tampa Bay according to my projections .  Note: TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

The Rams  are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series, including 4-0 ATS as visitors . The Rams also boast a  4-1 SU/ATS L/5 vs the NFC South.  Meanwhile, Tampa Bay sport a ugly bankroll depleting 2-10 ATS as a chalk vs NFC West opposition. With that said, my money is on the under appreciated Rams.

Play on LA Rams to cover 

The Raiders' defense is playing its best football in years heading into this game, allowing 14.7 points per game, but Im betting they will be tested in a big way vs a revenge minded Chiefs side that is well rested after a bye. Note: Raiders beat KC 40-32 at home earlier this season) Chiefs, head coach Andy Reid has  proved to be money in the bank in the recent past recording a  39-19-1 ATS | 32.2% ROI on the road  while  the Chiefs also flaunt a 17-4 SU and 16-4-1 ATS record   in their L/21 away games.The Chiefs are also 12-0-1 ATS away when coming off consecutive victories   when going against an AFC opponent. Considering Patrick Mahomes, he is 29-14-2 ATS (32.3% ROI) career mark its never a bad bet putting a Chiefs ticket in your pocket. 

KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NFL Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less  TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 37-10 ATS L/37 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Home teams (LAS VEGAS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 16-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on KC Chiefs to cover 

Minnesota under Don Zimmer is   23-3 SU and 20-5-1 ATS as a favorite in non division home games and considering they are heating up with three straight wins including a MFL victory vs Chicago last week holding the Bears to just 148 yards of offense it will be an easy decision to lay the lumber here vs a Dallas side that  has lost 4 straight games . 

Minnesota has accumulated a 10-1 ATS record L/11 matchups against Dallas.. 

The Vikings are 13-0-1 ATS (/14-0 SU as a favorite of more than three points when the total is at least 46. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

After Alex Smith of Washington teed off last week in a big output (Alex Smith threw for a career-best 390 yards) Im expecting a letdown here this week. 

I looked at this game from a long term trend outlook looking for value on the line . Most will handicap this game from an empirical  view point, but in a game that shows some long term negative trending algorithms on the home team , Im recommending we take a swipe with the road dog. Note: NFL  teams like Washington that won less than six games  in their last campaign are 0-22 ATS L/22 as a home favorite when they are off a defeat ,  and then are scheduled to play away games  in each of the next two weeks, and they are facing a non-divisional foe like Cincinnati  that has averaged more than 26 minutes of possession time. Add to that  WASHINGTON is 9-23 ATS  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.

Also CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season which was the case last time out. 

NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CINCINNATI) - off a road loss, with a losing record are 41-15 ATS L/10 seasons for a  73% conversion rate.

Play on Cincinnati Bengals to cover 

 Pittsburgh and Jacksonville have played some very close games in the recent past with 10 of their past 12 meeting decided in  one-score tilts, including several decided on the final drive and a few on the final play. I know both teams are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with the Jags on a 8 game losing streak and the Steelers on a 9 game winning run! But considering that Jacksonville has no chance at a play off spot this game this is about as close as they come to a Super Bowl, and with that said, Im expecting a monumental effort from this crew here today. Remember the Steelers run D, has been smashed lately, and the Jags will key on that which will make for. grinding fairly low scoring affair in my eyes, which bodes well for us to stay within the number. Note: PITTSBURGH is 1-9 ATS  as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.

The Steelers are 0-8 ATS L/8 as a road favorite of more than three points coming off a game where they covered by at least seven points.

NFL Road favorites (PITTSBURGH) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 20-53 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Jacksonville to cover 

The Titans have not  played since last  Thursday Night  (more than a week ago),  so their exceptionally rested and well prepared for the Ravens. I know the Ravens are a great team , and because of recency bias ( Tennessee loss last time out) this line is just slightly bloated enough for me to recommend we grab the points with a under rated side . Note:  opposing sides are  11-5 ATS (33% ROI) against the Ravens when quarterback Lamar Jackson is a home favorite. Meanwhile, Tennessee is 5-1 SUATS in away games after partaking on Thursdays, including 3-0 SU/ATS when they lost.  

 NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BALTIMORE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Tennessee to cover

The Detroit Lions will be primed to compete here as they look to  rebound from a 4-5 start and make a run at the NFC playoff. With  Carolina star running back Christian McCaffrey and possibly quarterback Teddy Bridgewater at less than 100%, the Lions look like viable underdogs in this spot vs a side that has lost 5 straight grueling games and are pretty beat up overall. Note:Carolina is allowing opponents to convert a league-high 55.3% of third down chances and Im betting Lions QB Stafford really takes advantage of their inadequacies. 

CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons. 

DETROIT is 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. 

NFLRoad teams (DETROIT) - after allowing 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 48-20 ATS L/37 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit 

RBS Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined to rush for 230 yards last week, and now looking healthy again Im betting the Cleveland Browns pound away again this week and find holes against a Eagles inconsistent run D. 

NFL Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 25-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. 

NFL Road underdogs vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 2-26 L/5 seasons for a 93% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9 ppg. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Im betting on the Bears top 10 ranked stop unit to be the difference makers here tonight on their own home field. I know the Vikings have won a couple in a row, but their problems according to my own data are extreme,  especially considering there is a 78 yard diff between these Ds, and with that consideration Im recommending we take the points. 

Vikings are 0-12-1 ATS L/13  on the road off a game as a favorite of more than three points.

The Vikings have struggled on the road when playing MFF tilts , recording a ugly 1-8 SU mark and 0-9 ATS record. 

Also the The Bears are 17-1-1 ATS L/19 as home dogs when coming off consecutive losses and going against  a foe coming off a victory.
 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The Seahawks just lost in ugly fashion by a 44-33 count last time out to Buffalo, and now because of recency bias are not being under appreciated here by bettors. But it must be noted that Seahawks QB Wilson is 24-12-4 ATS (27.8%) off a loss and as an underdog is  is 23-9-2 ATS.In 2020, away  pups off a loss are 26-15 ATS for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. So it wont be a hard decision to back Seattle here vs a Rams side, that is. just 4-15 ATS as single-digit division home favorites. Finally HC Pete Carroll of the Seahawks has been money in the bank of a SU loss as chalk, going 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS L/12. 

Seattle to cover 

Miami is surprising some pundits of late, and their QB Tua is the real deal, but a closer look at their numbers suggest some major issues, as they have been out yarded in their two most recent upset wins by -228 yards. Note:Miami is just 8-23-2 ATS as division home favorites when coming off consecutive victories and 1-6-2 ATS at home when coming off consecutive underdog wins. I know the bad luck Chargers may not inspire bettors but with a up and coming QB all star Hubert under center they must be respected in a tilt that promises to end in a reversal of fortunes. The Chargers are 6-0-1 ATS L/7 as road dogs of  7 points or less.

Play on the LA Chargers to cover

  Buffalo after a huge 44-33  win vs Seattle last week,  could find themselves starting slowly here but Im betting they will get untracked as the game goes on even if Josh Allen shoulder cant play. Meanwhile,  As was the case last time out the Cardinal found a way to lose to Miami and are not quite in elite status and do not deserve to be home chalk. Yes, I know that Buffalo might be in a letdown state after that big output last week, but this Bills team is proving itself to be viable contenders and wont be an easy out here. With that said, I feel comfortable taking points. Note:“Home favorites  like Arizona that are off a SU and ATS loss as a home favorite and are now going against  a team that is off a SU and ATS win and has an average turnover margin of less than plus one per game are 0-25 ATS L/25, as long as the total is 35 or more. 

Play on Buffalo to cover 

Tampa Bay came tumbling back down to earth last time out as they were scorched by New Orleans in last Sunday night’s 38-3 massacre. Thats the 2nd straight game the Bucs D has been smacked around . With that said Im betting on  Panthers elite  RB Christian McCaffrey  who accumulated 151 total yards last time out vs a staunch KC D, to have another top tier performance here and be key to a cover by the home dog . . With Carolina QB  Teddy Bridgewater 11-1 ATS as a dog off a loss we have a viable option here with the host getting points.  

Play on the Carolina Panthers to cover 

Tonight Im betting on a the Colts side that are allowing only 1.25 passing TDs per game to have a bounce back performance off a loss last time out vs a strong Baltimore side. Indianapolis also has the No. 2 ranked run defense and with Darius Leonard back in the lineup and  at 100% this Colts team looks dangerous. Tonight is a classic top tier  offence vs defence matchup and as usually the case the D will be key to a win. Note: The Colts have won   19 of the last 23 meetings and get my support to turn the trick again.

Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.Colts are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.Titans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Tennessee has failed to cash 12 of their L/15 as home favorites when coming off a win of 7 or more points. Meanwhile, the Colts are 10-2 ATS iL/12 in Thursday night tilts as visitors and  are 9-1 ATS as underdog after scoring fewer than 14 points in their last trip to the gridiron.

Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Tennessee.Colts are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 meetings.Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Play on Indianapolis to cover 

The Saints must not be discounted here as underdogs according to my projections. The Saints’ last five games have all been one-score tilts with the Saints notching the victory in their  their last three trips to the gridiron, I know TB are now public darlings with Tom Brady at the helm of the offence, but their has been progressively more Chinks in the armour of the future HOF.  Hes missing snap counts, and not seeing the field as consistently as he once did and his team also looked flat as big favs vs the giants last week . Father time remains undefeated and these type of inconsistent efforts will become more frequent Im betting. Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 9.

Buccaneers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.Buccaneers are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Buccaneers are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Saints are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

HC Sean Payton is 34-12-2 ATS as a dog versus .500 or greater foes, including 19-2-1 ATS as a dog of more than 3 points.

Play on the Saints to cover 

The Steelers are off a huge win vs the Ravens last week and will be in an emotional letdown state  and susceptible to a slow start here and mediocre performance vs a side that Im sure they are over looking .  Teams like Pittsburgh  off a victory as at least 3-point dogs where they forced 4+ turnovers are a long term bad bet going 121-151-7 ATS . 

NFL teams like Dallas on a  0-8 ATS  run  are   8-3 SU and 7-3-1 ATS at home with  none of the these teams going 0-9 ATS through the first nine games of the season. 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Last week the Chargers fell apart late and gave up a DD lead to the Denver Broncos and lost on a last second FG . Meanwhile, the Raiders upset the Cleveland Browns on the road.  The Raiders are 0-10 SUATS  L/10 away versus opponents coming off a SU favorite loss.  Add to that bad omen shows the Raiders are 2-5 SU/ATS away in division games when coming off a straight up  away victory , including 0-3 SUATS when going against an opponent coming off a loss . 

Chargers are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

The Raiders are 0-14 ATS L/14 wen the total is at least five points higher than last game which they won.

NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LAS VEGAS) - after allowing 6 points or less last game against opponent after a loss by 3 or less points are 8-34 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate.

NFL Road teams vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 5-33 L/37 seasons. 

Play on the LA Chargers to cover 

The Falcons have won two of three under interim coach Raheem Morris, who was promoted from defensive coordinator after Quinn was fired following an 0-5 start. With that said Im betting on a Confident Falcons offense  roll here vs a Denver side that had to use up alot of energy last time out  coming back from a DD deficit   to notch a win on a last second FG vs the Chargers. Huge letdown spot for the Broncos vs Falcons offence that is clicking as is evident by notching 28 first down last week .

Play on Atlanta 

The Vikings have owned this series recently, garnering a 5-0 SUATS run in the last five meetings. With Lions QB Stafford probably not cleared to play this week, this selection seems even stronger from a projections standpoint. 

Vikings to cover 

The Panthers enter this game off a loss and are now big road underdogs . Recency bias and the fact they will play a top tier side, has this line floating on value for advantage players. Considering QB Teddy Bridgewater is 16-2 ATS in his career as a road dog and the fact that  road underdogs off a loss are 24-13 ATS this season for a 65% conversion rate  we have a viable wagering opportunity. 

The Panthers are 9-0 ATS L/9 as a dog of more than a TD coming off a home game where they scored at least seven points less than expected.

Play on Carolina Panthers to cover 

The last time these teams played earlier this season, the Gmen squeaked out a win vs this Washington football team. Now in a game I have pegged as a pickem Washington is being made FG favs which does not matchup with my projections, thus giving us value on the underdog. I dont believe that Washington should be favs against any side other than the Jets. Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog and  are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Meanwhile, Football Team are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Football Team are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.

Play on NY Giants to cover 

The 49ers may not inspire bettors in their current inconsistent form and with the amount of injuries thy have recently sustained  but they are  12-3 SU L/15  at home against the NFC North, including 7-1 SUATS when they own a  .500-record or better.  Meanwhile the Packers Aaron Rodgers is just 2-13 SU l/15 in away in non-division games during the month of November. Tonight I expect HC Shanahan to work around his teams abscences with a run heavy attack behind capable backups JaMycal Hasty and Jerick McKinnon vs a Green Bay side that just gave up 163 yards and three touchdowns to the  Vikings .  To me this line move favoring the Packers is just to exaggerated which gives us value with the home underdog.  

Packers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 9.  49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Francisco.

. Play on 49ers to cover 

Finally the Cowboys decided to bench Dalton in favor of the young   Ben DeNucci . Wow it is a little surprising how the Boyz have fallen from grace and are now being touted as DD dogs . I know they looked horrible against Washington last week but  Im betting their better than that.Im not trying to sell hopeimism but  there is now some hope and a fresh start for a group that has not played well since Dak Prescott went down. With that said, Im betting the coaching staff of the Cowboys will orchestrate a  run heavy attack and move the chains with short passes more consistently vs a banged up Eagles D that struggles vs the run as was evident giving up 160 yards on the ground to the Gmen last week . It must be noted that the Eagles   have not won by more than five points, so this is a huge disparity considering Philly has not covered a single game as favs this season as is evident by their 0-4 ATS mark while failing by an average of more than 10 ppg.   

The Cowboys are 8-0-1 ATS L/9 on the road coming off a away game where they allowed 24 or more points.   

PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS  in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. 

PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.

 The Eagles are 0-18 ATS L/18 coming off a home game where they allowed at least 130 rushing yards .

NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (DALLAS) - bad team - outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game, after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 122-66 ATS L/37 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

 Play on Dallas to cover 

 I know Denver looked bad last time out vs Kansas City but this team according to my power rankings is greatly under rated and should not be underdogs vs a over rated Chargers side off a win vs lowly Jacksonville and getting to much recency bias respect. What was interesting in the lopsided loss to KC was that they out yarded the Chiefs by 125 yards. Note: . Teams that lost by 14 points or more points  last game while outgaining their opposition by 99 yards or more  are bankroll expanding  43-18-1 ATS. Today Im betting on the Broncos to pound the ball the ground and to make the Chargers work hard here in the high altitude of the Mile High City and to get us the cover. LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS L/6 after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons.DENVER is 12-3 ATS in home games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rivals. Fangio is 9-2 ATS  vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse as the coach of DENVER. Denver is 9-1-1 ATS  at home  as an underdog vs below .500 sides and have won 14 of the 18 meetings in this series straight up.

Play on Denver to cover 

Cleveland QB Mayfield completed 20 straight passes and finished 22-of-28 for 5 TDs last week in a Cleveland win   and is finally coming into his own in the NFL. Im betting on his arm to be the difference mkaer here this week vs a Vegas side that is allowing an average of 33 ppg and  has lost 3 of their L/4 games and are off a dd beatdown last week at the hands of the Buccaneers. 

LAS VEGAS is 0-6 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.LAS VEGAS is 6-18 ATS in road games against AFC North division opponents. Gruden is 1-9 ATS  after a loss by 21 or more points in all games he has coached since 1992. 

NFL team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival against opponent off a home loss by 10 or more points are 30-4 SU L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.4 ppg. 

Play on Cleveland Browns to cover 

This Steelers team is for real, and play the type of smash mouth football that the old steel curtain group would be proud of. I know Baltimore are and have been public darlings for a while because of their ability to pound opponents senseless and deliver consistent ATS victories, but according to my projections this game is closer to a pickem and screams value with the underdog in what could easily be a last second FG win for one of these sides.

PITTSBURGH is 10-1 ATS  after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. 

Steelers are  14-4 SU and 16-1-1 ATS L/18 as underdogs of less than 7 points against opposition with an above .500 record. 

 The Ravens are 0-11-2 ATS L/13  as a favorite coming off a game as a favorite where they allowed at least 24 points. 

Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover

Two teams at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. huge line divergence here and slight value make this a take. 

KANSAS CITY is 9-22 ATS L/31 after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games. 

The Chiefs are 0-10 ATS L/10 as a favorite off a game as a favorite where they gained less than 300 total yards and lost the last 3 SU.  

NFL Road teams (NY JETS) - off a home cover where the team lost as an underdog, winless on the season are 28-6 ATS L/37 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NY Jets to cover 

When these teams played a couple of weeks ago the Colts win 31-27 and Im betting on another closer game here.

The Bengals are 10-0 ATS L/10 off a game as a dog that went over the total by at least seven points. 

TENNESSEE is 3-13 ATS L/16  in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 ATS L/37 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on The Bengals to cover 

Im going to label this game in Tom We Trust.  Pittsburgh under Mike Tomlin in his  career versus undefeated opponents,    owns a 5-1 SUATS  record when both teams are undefeated. 

TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS  in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 .

PITTSBURGH is 10-2 ATS  vs. struggling  passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons.PITTSBURGH is 9-1 ATS  after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons

NFL team vs the money line (PITTSBURGH) - off a blowout win by 28 points or more over a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points are 22-2 L/37 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. 

NFL team vs the money line (PITTSBURGH) - off a blowout win by 28 points or more over a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Steelers to cover

New Orleans has not looked very cohesive this season and are barely above .500 with a   3-2 record  on the season with just the one win by more than six points and nothing has come easy for them , and today laying this many points is not a favorable situation again. I know Carolina may not inspire bettors, but it must be noted that Panthers QB Teddy Bridgewater, is 15-2 ATS as a underdog in his career. 

Teams like the Saints which are more than TD favorites which have a record of less than .625 of  are 302-398-14 ATS . 

Long term divisional road dogs in the NFL are profitable bets - Divisional Road Dogs: 544-479-33 ATS. 

.New Orleans are 28-56 ATS since 1980 at home as favorite. 

Play on Carolina Panthers to cover 

I know Dalton is not getting alot of respect from linesmakers despite of his vast NFL starting experience. /Yes, he looked horrible last time out in a 38-10 loss to the Cards. But in week 6 when he took over for Prescott he got the W for the Cowboys, and and is more than capable of a bounce back effort here today vs a suspect Washington football team. The NFC East is a bad division and at 2-4 the Cowboys are not out of a play off appearance, so their alot more motivated than the pundits might think. there is alot of talent in this Dallas lineup and a feel confident backing them here today as they look to get some long lost respect and dignity back. Note:  Washington is 0-8-1 ATS  L/9 coming off a road loss where they allowed at least 100 rushing yards which was the case last week. 
 

Dallas to cover 

 The Giants are really hyped for this national TV game in a key divisional confrontation. If they win they will be 2nd in the division so their motivation factors are clear. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is over rated and their one win vs a banged up 49ers team was not as impressive as one might think or the media might have us believe as is evident by their favorite status in 3 games this season in which they did not win. 

The Giants are 19-0 ATS L/19 vs a divisional opponent that has at least one victory on the season and has forced fewer than 1.2 turnovers and has allowed 70-plus rushing yards per game season-to-date with no loss coming by more than 3 points.

NY GIANTS are 10-1 ATS  in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons. NY GIANTS are 10-0 ATS  in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.  The Giants are 10-0 ATS as road dogs when coming off a division home victory. 
 

NFL  Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against for a 83% conversion rate.  

Play on NY Giants to cover 

Only 31 teams have failed to cover a single point spread through the first five weeks of a season. But here we are with Dallas on the edge of such a precipice. 

The good news for Boyz betting betting backers are that  teams are 22-9 (ATS) under those perimeters, with underdogs like Dallas holding an even bigger edge  cashing  19  of 25 times  for a 76% conversion  rate for bettors. It must also be noted that  sides  with sub par ATS records at 30% or less going against the  teams with winning ATS records are 174-110-11 in  Weeks 6-17 for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

I know top gun QB Dak Prescott is out for the Boyz, but his backup Andy Dolton has had top tier success in this league, and has a boatload full of experience and respected by his teammates making him a viable pivot to back in this spot vs a up-trending but still not top tier Arizona side, that is 0-7 ATS in Monday night affairs sporting a .500 or better record. Dallas is 5-1 ATS as a home dog dating back 40 seasons, and tonight Im betting they add to those positive numbers. 
 

DALLAS is 12-2 straight up against ARIZONA since 1992

Play on Dallas to cover 

The defending Super Bowl Champs suffered their first loss last time out against Las Vegas, and with that said it must be noted, that when that has happened in the past these elite teams are just 12-25 straight up in  their following game . Thats not a good omen for the Chiefs vs a hungry Buffalo team with something to prove. Ill be taking points here all the way against Mahomes in company. 

Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Bills are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on Buffalo cover

Jimmy G had a crap game last week connecting on just 7 of 17 passes. However, he must not be counted out in his ability to bounce back even on a bum ankle. You have to remember Garoppolo is 25-8 in his career and 7-3 SU/8-2 ATS as a dog and 1-0 SU/ATS when hosting as a pup. Add to that the embarrassment associated with being benched , and you have a motivated talented competitor to deal with. Also after three straight home losses, the 49ers as a team will be ready to avert another embarrassing effort. There is not such thing as due, but Im betting on the Jimmy G train steaming into the proverbial station tonight and for the Niners to give the Rams more of a battle than the lines-makers expect them to. 

Play in San Francisco to cover 

My projections make the Panthers -3 favs at home this week, thus giving us value on the line. 

Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.Panthers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more  yards/play over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS off a upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival are 2-28 L/10 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Road teams (CHICAGO) - off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 29-63 ATS L/37 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Carolina Panthers to win 

Pittsburgh is 4-0 for first time since 1978 and 1979 but make no mistake this team is not a tough as the steel curtain group that dominated opponents and won Super Bowls, and are being over rated here based on recency bias.   Meanwhile, Cleveland has finally gotten to a point where they deserve respect , behind top tier QB Baker Mayfield. With Browns bring  sporting a  5-0 ATS record as division road underdogs of 7 or less points Im betting they bring the heat here in this important early season game and get us the cover. 

 Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Seattle has owned this series in the recent past winning 6 of the L/7 meetings.

The Vikings are 0-10 ATSL/10 coming off a win as a dog where they scored at least 24 points. The Vikings are 0-8 ATS  L/8 coming off a win as a dog where they gained at least 400 yards. 

NFL Favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are  23-1 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8 which qualifies for a ATS selection. 

NFL- Road underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 1-25 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.3 which qualifies under a ATS selection. 

Play on Seattle to cover 

Indianapolis is 1-9 SUL/10 on the AFC North road, including 1-5 SU and 0-6 SU/ATS when coming off a victory. Considering Cleveland actually looks viable and up-trending in my power rankings Im betting on them bringing us home cash here tonight. 

NFL Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better) are 32-6 L/37 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Raiders-Chiefs has long been one of the NFL's bitter rivalries. The teams have met 122 times since their days together in the AFL, and the animosity has been there regardless whether the Raiders played in Oakland, Los Angeles or now Las Vegas. With that said, Im betting on this being a closely contested and very physical game. 

NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (KANSAS CITY) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in weeks 5 through 9 are 14-44 ATS L/37 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LAS Vegas to cover 

 Philadelphia after floundering for much of their earlier games finally got things going with a impressive  25-20 win over San Francisco  as 8 point dogs . It must be noted that the Eagles are 9-0-1 ATS L/10 covering by more than 10 ppg off a game as a dog where they covered. Meanwhile, last time out the Steelers, came back to beat Houston 28-21 covering as short chalk.  But its interesting to note the    Steelers are just  0-8 ATS L/8  as a favorite of more than three points off a game as a favorite that they covered.  the Eagles look to be up-trending    following a ugly start and  thanks  to a defense that's nearly Pittsburgh's equal when it comes to getting after the quarterback we have value taking points . .... take the points with the under rated underdog vs a very big public favorite. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

These teams record are the polar opposite of each other with the Packers at 3-0 and the Falcons at 0-3. Truth is though neither side is as good or bad as their records might indicate.  Bottom line here is the  Falcons behind star QB Ryan will be able  to move the ball fluently vs a  Packers defense that has allowed an NFL-worst 6.9 yards per play so far this season. I know Atlantas defence and coaching have looked atrocious from a defensive perspective blowing tow huge DD leads for losses, but getting points in this situation behind an explosive offense has me taking points here tonight. 

GREEN BAY is 8-20 ATS  in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 6  or more yards/play since 1992.ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS  after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The  deep Niners rallied around backup QB Nick Mullens last week as the pivot was 25-of-36 for 343 yards  and was exceptional in key down situations. I cannot say the same about Carson Wentz of the Eagles. Traveling from East to west is not an easy task especially in a letdown state after a come from behind 23-23 OT tilt last week. Niners all the way here. 

The Eagles are  1-5 ATS L/6 seasons  as road dogs against NFC West opposition. 

NFL away teams, following an overtime tie like the Philadelphia Eagles – are 0-15 SU dating back 32 seasons. 

NFL Home teams vs. the money line (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 27-1 L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average margin deficit clicking in at +12.8 ppg which qualifies under this side call. 

Play on San Francisco to cover 

The Bills built a 28-3 lead last week vs the Rams before running out of gas, and finally had to come from behind in their last drive of the game to come up with a win. Now winded and in a emotional letdown spot, Im betting the Raiders who will be primed to bounce back off a loss to  make a game out of this here in Vegas in their new diggs and get us the cover. 

NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - off a home win, in the first month of the season are just 43-81 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors. 

Raiders are 5-0 SU L/5 meetings in this series. 

Play on Las Vegas to cover 

Acquired from Jacksonville in the offseason, Foles took over in the third quarter at Atlanta last week and threw three touchdowns in the fourth as Chicago wiped out a 16-point deficit to win 30-26 and now the team feels confident and re-energized and are viable home underdogs here today.

NFL Road favorites (INDIANAPOLIS) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 19-49 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover

Bengals rookie QB Joe Burrow gets little to no protection from his offensive line. The kid was sacked 8 times last week and the pressure he faces from DLs is fascinatingly ugly. This no 1 draft pick spends more time on his back than a Bunny Ranch  sub -contractor. After getting public money and being favored in both their games so far this season and falling flat on their faces, I wont be surprised if their upset again, and more importantly I really dont believe they should be chalk against anyone in the NFL just yet despite of the promise of their young pivot. Note: The Jags are 9-0-3 ATS against the AFC North while the Bengals are 0-4 ATS L/4 vs AFC south as hosts. 

NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 49-20 L/37 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Jacksonville Jags to cover 

I really feel comfortable taking points with the Chiefs . You have to remember Mahomes has  in his pro football career never lost a game in the month of September , going 9-0 SU  and must be respected getting points here vs a huge public favorite in Baltimore. 

Baltimore is 0-10 ATS as a single-digit favorite when coming off consecutive SUATS victories.

Chiefs’ 11-0 ATS mark away off consecutive wins when facing AFC.

KANSAS CITY is 12-4 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NFL Underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - poor defense from last season - allowed 335 or more total yards/game, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on KC Chiefs to cover 

Saints lost to Vegas last time out, which to some was surprising.  I was not surprised after an emotional win vs Tom Brady in week one that  had the Saints  in a let down state vs aa Raiders side that wanted to make a big impression out of the gate in their new diggs.  Now Im betting  QB Drew Bress will be ready to bounce back here against a Green Bay team getting alot of media play after huge offensive outputs in their first two tilts.  It must be noted that Saints QB Brees is  24-10 ATS in his career in non-division games when coming off a non-division defeat  and the Saints are a perfect  8-0 SUATS in their  last eight home games on Sunday night football. 

Payton is 20-10 ATS  against NFC North division opponents as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Payton is 34-17 ATS off a non-conference game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Payton is 28-13 ATS  off a road loss as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.

NFL team against the total (GREEN BAY) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a division rival, in September games are 18-47 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

New Orleans to cover 

  Seattle QB Russell Wilson has looked explosive in the early going this season and Dallas has been less than sizzling and that  in part is why we getting an off line to bet into here with the underdog Cowboys.  It also  must be noted that the Seahawks despite of their offensive fireworks behind a deep flow offense has  been blitzed defensively and  out-gained in each of their two wins  as is evident by allowing a whopping  970 yards . Key to this game: Dallas leads the NFL with 41 plays of 10 yards or more through the first two games. Seattle has allowed the most plays of 10 yards or more with 47. Cowboys are a live dog based on current status of both sides real data. 

DALLAS is 16-4 ATS in road games after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half since 1992. (They came back big last time and carry that momen tun into this tilt)

McCarthy is 14-4 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1992.

NFLHome favorites (SEATTLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 3-25 ATS L/37 years for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NFLUnderdogs or pick (DALLAS) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas to cover

The Bengals have had success for their betting backers   in this series covering 10 straight times and get my support here again today.PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Im not liking what I see from the Eagles so far, and according to my power rankings this game should be closer to the FG thus giving us a line advantage edge. 

Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover 

Quarterback Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills - a team previously known for having a defense-first reputation now look to have an offense to go with their defense and good easily be in my humble opinion dark horse for a super bowl win. Don't laugh to loud, but it took him some time but Allen after looking NFL ready in his final College campaign with Wyoming is finally coming of age after a slow start to his career as is evident by his  729 yards passing, which ranks the  Bills  first in yards passing, third in yards gained and are tied for sixth in scoring 58 points. Im a believer and will take my stand with them today at home as short favs. 

BUFFALO is 21-9 ATS  against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (LA RAMS) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival are 2-27 L/10 seasons for a go against  93% conversion rate. 

Play on Buffalo to win

Miami has started their season at 0-2 despite of a big game vs Buffalo last week where they almost pulled off the upset.  Note: QB Fitzpatrick  is 7-0-1 ATS  in his last eight games as a underdog when coming off consecutive losses. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have played like their hair is on fire in their first two games,  behind franchise QB Minshew and could easily be energetically drained  making them susceptible to being upset as favs.

NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - poor defense from last season - allowed 5.4 or more yards/play, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 22-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Home favorites (JACKSONVILLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 3-24 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate. 

Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover 

The Las Vegas Raiders debut at Allegiant Stadium this Monday night will come  against the explosive New Orleans Saints who took out Tom Brady and company last week. .The Saints now in a letdown spot are  0-5 ATS on the Monday Night road  tilts when coming off a victory.  Im betting a very motivated Raiders side to play lights-out here and get us a cover as home dogs. 

Play on the LV Raiders to cover