Ford the coach of Tennessee State is a guy I respect, but today his team is in over their heads in my humble opinion vs a offensively explosive Middle Tennessee State hoops program. Ford built last teams squad around the now departed Tahjere McAll and all OVC pick, but now the cupboard may be a little empty on top tier talent, and  considering his three returning guards shot consistency was awful I'm betting defense will be the name of the game. Unfortunately theirs only so much a group like this can do vs a side that could easily find it itself in the NCAA tourney . 

Play  Middle Tennessee State to cover

My early season CBB projections and wagering recommendations are based on a very old system that I have formulated . It dates back almost 14 years, and takes into consideration injuries, line moves,  the systems implemented by each program, past historical trends (short long term) , and head to head cross reference players and coaching matchups. Today according to those above mentioned criteria,

New Mexico to cover

LATE UPDATE. My early season CBB projections and wagering recommendations are based on a very old system that I have formulated . It dates back almost 14 years, and takes into consideration injuries, line moves,  the systems implemented by each program, past historical trends (short long term) , and head to head cross reference players and coaching matchups. Today according to those above mentioned criteria, Rice is the superior side, and I can see them winning this SU according to my own projections.

 South Dakota State to covert

Columbia took on a new coach last season, Jim Engles, and they had a decent season just missing out on the Ivey League play offs finishing 5th. He was an assistant their prior to that, so he pretty well kept the schemes and systems in place, which is a fast paced 3 point downtown type of hoops. He only had one starter back last season but the team still scored an average of 71.9 ppg and were ranked third from beyond the arc. Now that this group is more seasoned and the newcomers more talented, his system I'm betting will generate better results behind a lagging D, that should also be better this season. Meanwhile, Penn State is a big lumbering team now with the addition of a 7 footer in the off season, but their slower to. I'm expecting them to find the speed game here a little tiring on them, and for Columbia to be able to keep the back door open with their ability to down the trey, making Columbia a viable underdog in this spot.

COLUMBIA is a long term  43-24 ATS  as a road underdog of 10 or more points.

Play on Columbia to cover 1 unit reg selection

Florida State beat up on George Washington in their first game of the season winning a 87-67 decision as a 16.5 point favorite. HC Hamilton continues to make Florida State a relevant  program in the ACC , and has been recruiting some top tier talent of late ( prep All Americans). These kids plays a suffocating defense, and despite of a departure of 3 players to NBA, are still a blue blood team with plenty of talent.  This team has still got 6 returning players with DD playing minutes under their belts and 5 extremely talented recruits and still the deepest roster in the ACC. Meanwhile Jeff Neubauers Fordham is will be lucky to have a ,500 seaon in the Atlantic 10, but they have  have come a long way since he took over, but  their still in way over their heads here, and unless they find a way to play way above themselves , are going down by 20 or more points in my betting opinion, making this a viable opportunity to back the superior side.

FORDHAM is 0-7 ATS  L/7 in road games in non-conference games.FLORIDA ST is 13-2 ATS  after a game where they attempted 7 or less free throws .

Play on Florida State to cover 1 unit reg selection

CHARLESTON CLASSIC - Round 1 - TD Bank Arena - Charleston, SC

Dayton's coach Anthony Grant has coached as an assistant at Florida seen NBA time as an assistant  with Oklahoma City and knows  this game like few others. He takes over a Flyers program with a lot of pedigree and a winning culture and  now has the parts to get his team moving in the right direction. There will be growing pains, but in matchups like this his side should have an edge. Meanwhile, Hofstra despite of having a team that can light the scoreboard up in a hurry, have been defensively deficient in the recent past ranking , 8th in their conference and on adjusted defensive efficiency numbers ranked a ugly 317 in the nation via Kenpom numbers! It will be their D, today that will be their downfall.

Play on Dayton to cover 1 unit reg selection

Montana by Bigsky Conference standards should have an above average team this season, as they enter the current campaign  big and strong and mobile with 9 of the 14 players on the roster standing 6'5 or taller. They own a strong backcourt with Ahamd Rorie ( 17.5 ppg) Micheal Oguine ( 11.9 ppg). They have both a low post threat and fast guardsand must not be underestimated as dogs in this spot. Meanwhile, their opponents Penn State are now a big strapping team, with a 7 footer added in the off season, and despite of their Big 10 power conference rating and decent Kenpom numbers, are according to my own data a little over rated against this very viable opponent. 

Take the points with Montana to cover 1 unit reg selection

Gavitt Tipoff Games series

Marquette finally has a roster that has been completely recruited  by Wojciechowski.  However, despite of this , I'm betting that early on this season, they may have issues, especially against a big strong Big 10  team like Purdue, considering Golden Eagles only have two experienced players with any size. Marquette lost 4 experienced scorers from last season,including 3 1000 point career producers. they must replace 45% of their scoring and 42% of their rebounding corps.  After losing some scoring punch from last season, and experience  I cant see them being as good from 3 point land as they were last year, finishing first in the nation or as good on the boards. With that said, HC Matt Painter and company are the superior team, and must also be considered a key front runner  for both the Big 10 championship and national title, behind an experienced group that returns 6 of 7 of their rotation. This is an experienced group that will not be intimidated at all, something I cannot say about Marquette at this point of the season.

PURDUE is 20-7 ATS  L/27 as a favorite.Wojciechowski is 9-18 ATS  L/27  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record

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Matt Mathenys Elon had a very good campaign last season, and are building a nice program. They are returning four double figure scorers from last season, and they ranked 2nd in adjusted defensive efficiency in the CAA , which translated to the best FG defensive efficiency and were disciplined in their avoidance of fouls also finishing first. That top D, should continue thanks  to a experienced returning group.   Now the HC is looking for his offense to step up and focused his off season attention on getting some consistent scoring on board. Instead of a free flowing run and gun offense, he is going to take more intelligent stance, remain speedy, but instead we should see more half court sets, according to what the coaching staff have planed. The Phoenix is a dangerous team, that I'm keeping an eye on and will be a tough out, here tonight as they won't beat themselves, as is evident by their 4th ranked TO % and stingy ability to hold teams down with a lead as their (.732 FT) suggests. Meanwhile, Furman off a rebuilding season last year , came out and was successful after a 7 win campaign the season before. However, this was an emotional team that seemed to dig down deep for wins. I'm not saying that's a bad thing, but their emotional leader from last season, Acox has departed and now the chemistry of the team may as well. They will still be a good team in the SoCon, because of good coach ( Richey) and his own hand picked recruiting class, but tonight he will be in deep vs a strong side. With that said, lets take the points with Elon.

Play on Elon to cover 1 unit reg selection

Tennessee Tech finished with an 8-8 record last season, and looked good at times vs 20 wins teams. Overall their biggest problem was their offensive adjusted ratings, ranking 272 in the nation (Pomeroys #s). They were atrocious with their conversion numbers, but should be much better this season, thanks to the additions, of Tilroy and Calhoun, which will allow Jugovic to roam more freely on offense  this season. Also add to their ability to get to the FT line, and you have a side that have value on a 21 plus point underdog line. Meanwhile, TCU according to my early season rankings remains a program that just does not look as viable as the linesmkaers are making them out to be. Nothing comes easily for the Horned Frogs as was the case in a opening 83-73 win vs LA Monroe.

Play on Tennessee Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection

Middle Tenn St is once again getting national recognition and respect and are loaded team that wants another crack at a NCAA birth. Murray St after a very average season last year, wants to start this season off with a bang.The Racers are talented offensively, but their defense remains a question mark, which as their down fall last season, and  I'm betting will not be ready for the offensive explosion that is coming their way.

Midd Tenn State is 154-54 over the last few seasons for a .740 win percentage and now how to get Ws including a win vs Mich state in last years tournament. They are playing a team with a strong home court advantage but will not be intimidated.

 Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MURRAY ST) - good offensive team from last season - scored 77 or more points/game are just 32-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 68% conversion rate.

Play on Middle Tenn State to cover  1 unit reg selection

Old Dominion bases their failures and successes on staunch defensive basketball, and last season,  were ranked 48th in adjusted defensive efficiency. This seasons version should once again fit this mold, but the offense should also be improved, which will put them at the head of C_USA this season as long as they remain healthy.

 Meanwhile this James Madison hoops program,  goes into this season with a very inexperienced roster and are not returning a single DD scorer from last season, and today tilt must be looked at as difficult for them to say the least. This team, had issues scoring in the past and those problems will be even more exasperated this season, and especially today .

JAMES MADISON is 1-8 ATS  L/9 in non-conference games

Play on the Old Dominion to cover 1 unit reg selection

Mike Hopkins the new HC  for Washington , is coming to the PAC12 , after serving as an assistant to  Boheim in Syracuse. He was widely sought after and a respected assistant and former Orange player.  This  is a hard working dude, and despite rumblings of a lot of new faces in the lineup after the Huskies  after Romars firing, things pretty well stayed the same as he persuaded returning players to come back and play for him including   6'8 Noah Dickerson, who some  thought would leave for LSU. Hopkins worked on schemes during the summer and player development, and Washington looked good out of the gate coming back against a very good Belmont team for a 86-82 win in their opener. This team looks very together, and I like them to come in here vs a lower tier Eastern Washington hoops group and pile the points on for a convincing win!

Home teams as a favorite or pick like Washington- with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference are 51-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover  1 unit reg selection

Talk about a hard working group, Texas State behind HC Kasper, is a team that bases it successes and failures on their ability to outwork opponents and play disciplined defensive basketball. Last season they were picked by the coaches to finish last , but instead grabbed 22 wins. Thisseason after good recruiting class, their going to be a viable group again. Despite of this  I'm sure their still not looked at with the respect they deserve, but what you have to respect is their tenaciousness and work ethic, and I'm betting that what gets them the cover vs Air Force team with 8 new players and a recent lethargic win/loss ratio under one of my least favorite HCs Pipilovich .

Play on Texas State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Loyola Marymount has increased their win total in each of HC Dunlaps last three seasons,  and now its looks like they may be even better this season, after  having added some viable three point shooters which makes them  a dangerous team , especially when considering back door covers on DD lines like this . Yes their is a lack of experience, but the talent in grit is there, and must be respected. Keep an eye on Joe Quintana, and Zafir Williams two California natives who were lights out at their respective high schools. Meanwhile, Ut Arlington has been a fine hoops program the last couple of years, but 3 key guys from last year are gone, and despite of having their dynamic duo of Kevin Hervey and Eric Neal still intact. This team will need some time to jell, and 14 point favs for right now seems like stretching it a little bit , which gives us value with Loyola M to cover.

Play on Loyola Marymount to cover

After winning last years College Insider tourney thanks to some physical hard fought slow paced hoops, Saint Peters enters this season, being looked at by the pundits as a team , on the rebuild because of losing three key quality seniors. But their replacements are quality players, and I'm betting for now their not really in  a rebuild mode like some might expect. Actually they may even be better this season, because they have a more athletic versatile cast and crew that can score more efficiently.  Meanwhile, I know their competition LaSalle  had a improved season last year , after going 9-22 the year before, and even though they have a couple of big time players on their roster, like red shirt freshman  BJ Johnson 17.1 ppg ,  I'm not sure that s  enough and their depth is a question mark for now. With that said, I'm betting we have value with the underdog side here.

Take the points with St.Peters   unit reg selection

Fairfield is replacing quite a few bodies from last season, but HC Sydney Johnson leading scorer Tyler Nelson (19.5 ppg) one of the best players in the MAAC is returning, and he thinks this maybe his best team ever.  Also the Stags backcourt is firmly in place and  a force to be reckoned with , as Jerome Segura takes the point. This young man  is quality character players and  is probably the best defensive player in this conference. Needless to say this is a hoops program that deserves respect as dogs in this spot. Meanwhile, their  Ivey League opponents Penn had an average reg seasons campaign last season, and great conference tournament, and are getting a ton of accolades. But this program has not had a complete winning season in 5 years, and their still a young team, that has show upward momentum again this season for me to be swayed. With that said, Ill take the points with the stags here.

Play on Fairfield to cover 1 unit reg selection

Rick Byrds Belmont is a fine basketball program . The Bruins won their 9th league seasonal championship last season, in the last 12 years and 16 overall conference title.Only Kansas and Gonzaga have more  accolades during that time. But were disappointed in the OVC after being eliminated and not making  the NCAA tourney draw.  This year their loaded again and will have an explosive offense that can challenge in any team in the country. Last year they shot 895 3's and this year could even break that mark. I'm betting Washington has their hands full here.

Play on Belmont to cover 1 unit reg selection

UC Irvine has a lot of holes to fill after some key departures, but last year the same was true, and they won 28 games, and won the Big West title and tourney invite. HC Russell Turner I'm betting will have another winning team, based the process of continuity which has become a key factor in the programs ability to be a contender .  There are two key contributors returning that make Irvine, viable opponents for all comers right out of the box, which will focus on Johnathon Galloway the best defensive players in the conference last season and junior center Brandon Smith , who was an easy second in the conference last season for his defensive skills. 

Play on Cal Irvine to cover 1 unit reg selection

After back to back 20 win seasons LA Monroe could only squeak out 9 wins last season, but they were very competitive and suffered a lot of close losses. This season they should be much better, despite of having to replace star guard Cappola. But the new promise of bigger and better things come up front behind 6'6 Travis Munnings ( 13.2 ppg) and senior swingman Travis McDaniel. Last year they outrebounded most opponents despite of being bigger, which shows this teams never say die mindset, which gives credence to me seeing them cover the number here vs TCU  with a brand new coach ( Jamie Dixon)  and some new faces .

Play on LA Monroe to cover 1 unit reg selection

My early season CBB projections and wagering recommendations are based on a very old system that I have formulated . It dates back almost 14 years, and takes into consideration injuries, line moves,  the systems implemented by each program, past historical trends (short long term) , and head to head cross reference players and coaching matchups. Today according to those above mentioned criteria, Rice is the superior side, and I can see them winning this SU according to my own projections.

Take the points with Rice

Florida Atlantic upset Ohio State last season, and then had the attention of a lot of teams who came prepared to play them. The team suffered a lot of close losses, but still had a decent season. They have some new faces this season, but HC Evans has done a fine job with recruiting, and should have a decent group to work with this season. Also some of the new faces according to Evans make this an even better team. Meanwhile, South Florida has a new coach, Gregory, who has his work cut out for , trying to reverse a program that has just 22 wins in the previous 3 seasons. I won't be surprised if Florida Atlantic pulls off the underdog win vs a side trying to find itself under a new coach.

Play on Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection

Wright State is quality side, with HC Scott Nagy on the sidle lines, this guys know s how to win and get the most out of his players. He loses some high scoring guys from last season, but some of the returnees are capable of stepping up, and with a couple of big guards returning with Benzinger (12.8 ppg) and Mitchell ( 11.5) have viable group on board. If they can shore up their D, Wright State will be dangerous especially as dogs.  This is a under rated team, and deserves my respect on this line. Meanwhile, Loyola Chicago is also a strong side, with a deep core as compared to last season, but all the hype about their additions is being over exaggerated via this DD line.

Play on Wright State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Morehead State has a lot of new faces which is not a bad thing considering how bad they were last season. Just four returning players, no seniors and two juniors and a 30 year old coach in Preston Spadlin whos mentor was Kentuckys John Calapari, and you can see those influences in the way he uses his players in multiple roles and positions, which makes his team a versatile group. He spent the offseason focusing on team development and chemistry which now makes this young group formidable as huge dogs, thanks to what I'm betting will be a never say doe attitude. Look for the back court to be a strength behind Hicks and Walker. Meanwhile, Xavier , is showing up this season with a lot of new faces, and some big scorers like Sumner are gone. As usual their a lot of talent here, but it will take time for them to jell, and until than laying this much lumber, vs a hard working side makes for a good bet against situation.

Play on Morehead  St to cover 1 unit reg selection

Dayton's new coach Anthony Grant has an impressive nba and college coaching career, he spent the last two seasons as an assistant with Oklahoma city Thunder and helped Westbrook win a MVP award, he was an assistant with Billy Donovan at Florida, and is a strong recruiter and tactician. Grant inherits a proud program with a A class pedigree, and is under pressure to perform. With that said, you can bet he will have his team ready to make a splash right out of the gate tonight. Meanwhile, Ball State despite of having a lot of Indiana all stars in their lineup, and a deep quality MAC program are I'm betting going to get outworked tonight. against what will be a very motivated opponents.

Play on Dayton to cover 1 unit reg selection

After winning their respective Final Four matchups on Saturday, No. 1 seed Gonzaga will battle No. 1 seed North Carolina for the national title Monday night. Ok folks, now Im going to be as blunt and to the point as possible. I know Gonzaga has had a tremendous season, and I wont take that way from them, but beating lower tier teams in a lower tier conference  and than taking out underdog upstarts like Xavier ad South Carolina , Northwestern ,  and over rated West Virginia  from more respected conferences to get here is not overly impressive to me. I know some might argue about what I'm saying, but  I'm not knocking the four teams I just mentioned , I just don't believe they are in the same company as speedy/ explosive offensive Tar Heels squad. I'm also not sold on Gonzagas coach Mark Few, who despite of being a great recruiter is a guy that has not ever proven he can deliver a national championship banner, and has failed in key big games in the past. With that said, look for Roy Williams years of winning experience   to be the key difference maker here today. Also after watching,  a very tough Joel Berry II play decently on his sore/sprained ankles Im starting to believe that this injury is being overblown by the media, and possibly even being used as a trojan horse by Williams and company, to make them appear vlnerable,  and  will not greatly effect North Carolinas offensive flow .

This from a CBB ATS data base: All teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Heels  - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are a bankroll expanding 23-5 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a very profitable 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the North Carolina Tar Heels to cover  1 unit reg selection

NCAA Tournament - Final Four - University of Phoenix Stadium - Glendale, AZ

North Carolina is a team with some big time pedigree and has a huge amount of respect from the nations basketball pundits, Meanwhile, Oregon does not get the same respect from the meida, but has proven to be a very strong side this season. With that said, the Ducks have been ranked high on my power rankings during my current betting campaign, and after watching them take out Michigan, and than a very good Kansas team, in what was essentially a road game for them, they have gained my respect and admiration. From a matchup standpoint the Ducks have proven all season long that they can slow down the best of offensive teams ie Arizona and UCLA, and I have confidence that they can do it again. Meanwhile, North Carolina is off a huge emotionally charged last second win vs Kentucky, and may now have problems mustering up the same energy here this Saturday despite of the rest. With the Tar Heels star guard Joel Berri II expected to play with a banged up ankle, Im betting the Ducks take their flow away and possibly end up advancing to the championship game with a outright win as dogs. However more importantly I expect Altamn to out coach Roy Williams and get us the cover. OREGON is 20-7 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.OREGON is 8-1 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.OREGON is 7-1 ATS L/8  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game. Altman is 30-13 ATS L/43 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

Play on Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 College Insider Tournament - Championship Game

The line of this championship game opened at -1.5 with St.Peters as favorites. Than both public and smart money flowed in on the Peacocks. With that said, St.Peters is a fine team, and have really come together late in the season, but now we are dealing with mathematics and lack of overall respect for Texas AM Corpus Christi. While its not always a good thing to go against the marker flow, there comes a time when it is over done, and thats what Im betting on here. Currently according to my own numbers and cross reference systems and player to player matchup configurations  this line is now slightly bloated, and a very underrated Texas AM CC has an edge as the underdog getting points. This also from a CBB trend data base: Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Texas A&M CC - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are a bankroll expanding 67-29 ATS and 5-0 ATS this season for a very profitable long term 70% conversion rate for betting backers. 

Play on Texas A&M CC to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NIT - Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

TCU after suffering through a 7 game losing streak at the end of the season, finally came to life with surprising wins vs Oklahoma and schizophrenic Kansas before being blown out by explosive Iowa State in the Big 12 Tournament. They have won all 3 of the NIT games , but now  against a unfimiliar and tenacious defense first opponent UCF , Im betting they will have problems, keeping their offensive flow alive  It must be noted that UCF held a potent Cincinnati Bearcats team to 49 points in a win back o Feb 26, and if they can repeat that type of game plan here, which I beleive they can, a upset as underdogs is not far fetched. Thus taking the points with them is  a very viable option.

UCF is 7-1 ATS L/8 in all tournament games this season and 9-1 SU L/10 overall with their only loss coming to to top tier SMU hoops program.TCU is 0-6 ATS  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games dating back to last year and is 2-10 ATS  in road games off a home win. TCU is 0-7 ATS L/7 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons and is 7-20 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games during the same time peremiters. 

Play on UCF to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Kentucky started slow this season, but as time progressed this group of top tier collegiate players has now become a force to be reckoned with, both defensively and on offense. After taking down UCLA on Friday night, it has become apparent to me that this team has arrived and are now playing with a chip on their shoulders, which is not a good thing for their opponents the North Carolina Tar Heels. With  Monk and Fox at the  top of their game and the Wildcats D, playing shutdown hoops, I'm betting Roy Williams team will find the sledding very tough and could easily end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard when the final buzzer goes. With that said, getting points for me is a solid investment option. 

Play on Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals

The UMBC Retrievers explosive offense has averaged 86.2 ppg as hosts and have been tough to beat at home this year, posting an 11-4 SU record at the RAC Arena. Meanwhile, Liberty plays decent defense, but from a offensive perspective averaging just 66.6 ppg  I'm betting they don't have the guns, to keep pace as this tilt progresses. Also from a cross conference player to player and systems matchup perspective the home team has the edge. 

Play on UMBC to cover 

 Kansas dismantled its first three opponents of this tournament, and are now 6 point opening chalk.I know how much love Kansas is now getting, but according to my own cross conference reference match-ups data base, Oregon matches up very well against them, and their guard heavy attack behind Mason. You have to remember this was a Ducks team, that had to deal with speedy attack oriented PAC 12 teams like Arizona and UCLA this season, so they will be well prepared for this tilt.  With that said, what I expecting to happen is that Oregon will win the rebounding battle behind under rated Jordan Bell, like they did against Michigan and control the interior game,  which will free up Dillion Brooks and Dorsey to pound down points in bunches from the inside and perimeter. I won't be surprised if Oregon pulls off the upset, but the prudent position here to take the points.

 Play on the Oregon Ducks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals

To put this simply St.Peters has really come together as a team, winning 8 of their L/9 and have been playing some great two way basketball for a month and half. According to my own numbers, they should come out this with a conclusive victory as a pickem or short chalk vs a lucky to have gotten this far Texas State squad.

ST PETERS is 8-0 ATS  after allowing 55 points or less this season which  happened against a pretty decent Albany hoops program last time out .ST PETERS is 13-1 ATS  in road lined games this season.

Play on St.Peters to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Wisconsin with 5 returning starters and one of the best players in the nation Nigel Hayes patrolling the hardwood are a team that stands out as a strong side, that deserves an elite 8 appearance.  The Badgers matchup very well against the Florida Gators especially in the paint, and in what promises to be a physical affair their superior interior play will be the difference maker.

Florida when off a low scoring physical game like they took part in last time out, in a 65-39 win vs Virginia, are just 1-11 ATS L/12 after a combined score of 115 points or less went of the scoreboard.

Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

After upsetting Duke the pundits have come out of the woodwork in support of S.Carolina. Im betting instead, a huge letdown is in order and the S.Carolina returns to be a just above average SEC team, that is fortunate to have made this far. Remember this is the same Gamecocks team that lost 5 of their L7 regular games of the season. Meanwhile, according to my own numbers Baylor should be a 6 point fav, here, so at least according to my own power rankings and player to player matchup systems we have value with the Bears in the SWEET SIXTEEN. 


S CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus good rebounding teams like Baylor - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games, losing SU by an average of 10.6 ppg.S CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS L/9 after 2 or more consecutive overs .BAYLOR is 10-2 ATS L/12 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick.

Play on Baylor to cover 1 unit reg selection

NCAA - South Regional Semifinals - FedExForum - Memphis, TN

Right or wrong Im not a big believer in this version of the North Carolina Tar Heels. Yes they are a quality team with great pedigree, but this group in my humble opinion does not have what it takes to be a solid elite 8 or final 4 team and if they do get by this hardworking and tenacious Butler side that recently beat Villanova , it won;t come easily. 

N CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS L/8 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game like Butler. BUTLER is 10-1 ATS versus top tier  teams like North Carolina  - shooting 45% or more of their shots with a defense of 42% or better this season and is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game.BUTLER is 12-2 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. BUTLER is 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest dating back to last season  and BUTLER is 6-0 ATS  in a post-season tournament game over the last few seasons.

Play on Butler to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - SAP Center - San Jose, CA

Gonzaga point guard Nigel Williams-Goss will be important cog for his team against the Mountaineers' press.  This kids ability to protect the ball, and adjust to pace will be an important factor in Gonzaga's quest to move forward. The Mountaineers biggest weakness  is their lack of a over powering  center who  can match up against Gonzaga's huge  7-foot-1 300 pound player Przemek Karnowski, and Im betting this will be a key deciding factor as the game progresses and gets more physical. I know we are hearing alot about the Mounties defense, but the Zags must not be underestimated , and Im treating their big turnover anomaly in the 2nd half of their last game vs Northwestern as nothing more than a ghostly aberration by the time this tilt comes to an end.

GONZAGA is 12-3 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season winning SU by an average of 15.8 ppg and 8-2 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season winning SU by an average 11.5 ppg. 

Play on Gonzaga to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NIT - Quarterfinals

On Sunday night the Richmond Spiders played a heck of a game against a very good Oakland Basketball program and showed their immense fortitude by pulling off a 87-83 victory, despite of not covering the spread. Meanwhile, TCU despite of a decent run in the Big 12 Conference tournament, and recent wins in the NIT vs Iowa and Fresno State, still do not inspire confidence in me. You have to remember that his same TCU squad lost 7 straight previous to this run, and their L/3 victories have been squeakers and very closely contested. Tonight I expect another battle, and for the never say die Spiders to get us the cover.

RICHMOND is 7-0 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.TCU is 9-22 ATS L/31 in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.TCU is 5-12 ATS  L/17 when playing against a team with a winning record.RICHMOND is 8-0 ATS  after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season.TCU is 9-23 ATS L/31 in home games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days.

Play on the Richmond Spiders to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Boise State is a pretty good team, and has a solid hoops program, but even against a average at best Big 10 team are at a distinct disadvantage. Illinois is a side that has beaten teams like Northwestern Nebraska, Mich State  this season and a decent second tier conference side Valparaiso by a 82-57 count to start this tournament. Thus crushing Boise State won;t come as a surprise, which warrants a wager on the home team

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Illinois  - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 70-35 ATS for a 67% conversion rate for bettors, dating back almost 21 seasons.

.ILLINOIS is 8-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NIT - Second Round

My estimates and player to player matchup and systems charts , give Oakland an edge as dogs, and their is also a 50% chance or better according to my own proprietary program that shows Oakland is strong SU upset possibility. However,  with that said, taking points is our best  and most prudent option here. 

OAKLAND is 16-6 ATS L/22 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) .OAKLAND is 10-2 ATS  as a road underdog or pick dating back to last season. RICHMOND is 3-11 ATS  in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Oakland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Golden 1 Center - Sacramento, CA

Oregon lost big man Chris Boucher (ACL) back on March 11, but this team has enough weapons, to be able to handle a Rhode Island side that despite of being talented is in over their heads in this matchup.

RHODE ISLAND is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game like the Ducks.OREGON is 11-4 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season.

CBB  Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Oregon - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 97-55 ATS in the follow up for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.OREGON HC Altman is 10-1 ATS  L/11  in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 .

Play on the Oregon Ducks to cover 1 unit reg selection

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - BOK Center - Tulsa, OK

HC Izzos Michigan St must not be underestimated, vs a extremely good but over rated Kansas side. My own numbers suggest we have value in player to player and systems match -up configurations.

Mich St is 20-0 SU and 15-3-2 ATS pick or fav off SUATS win in tournament play. (They defeated Miami Fl yesterday to advance to 2nd round).

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NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN
These are two very evenly matched teams. One from the powerful SEC and the other from the Missouri Valley Conference.I k ow Kentucky are chalk full of future NBA players, but Wichita State can not be underestimated talent wise, and their ability to pull off the upset.
Wichita State is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a dog or pick in tournament play.
Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Wichita State - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 34-10 ATS L/34.

Wichita State to cover 1 unit reg selection

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Bradley Center - Milwaukee, WI

Purdue is built to deal with teams like uptempo teams like Iowa State.  PURDUE is 10-3 ATS L/13 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.  9-1 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. PURDUE is 7-0 ATS  when playing with one or less days rest dating back to last season.IOWA ST is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in road games after scoring 80 points or more 4 straight games. 

Purdue to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Energy Solutions Arena - Salt Lake City,UT

Northwestern is a hardworking team with darkhorse written all over them. Gonzaga despite of their reputation, and pedigree Im betting will be in for a big time battle.

NORTHWESTERN is 7-0 ATS L/7  in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season  and is 11-3 ATS  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game and 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts this season. NORTHWESTERN is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5.

Northwestern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - KeyBank Center - Buffalo, NY

West Virginia finsihed their season, looking a little ragged,  coming from behind for a very hard fought win vs KSate (51-50) before losing to Iowa State in their finale and started this tourney against Bucknell looking average at best , procuring a hard fought 86-80 win and failing to cover as 14 point favorites. Huggins brand of physical basketball not only takes it toll on the opposition, but on his own team as well. 

It must also be noted W VIRGINIA is 2-8 ATS L/10 in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game like Notre Dame.

W VIRGINIA is 3-10 ATS  when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season and are singing the ATS blues in Saturday games failing to cover 9 of their L/11 events. NOTRE DAME played a grueling game against a very good Princeton team last time out, to advance , which will serve them well here vs West Virginia. The Irish are 11-3 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. After a slow start to their season, the Irish have really impressed me of late, and Im betting they have an edge in this tilt. 

Play on Notre Dame to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Northern Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Marquette to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Miami Fl to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play  on Jacksonnville State 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. 

Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

St,Marys to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Northwestern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Bucknell to cover 1 unit reg selection 

According to my own power rankings Villanova is the best team in the country. Certain teams matchup well against Villanova , ie ( Seton Hall and Butler) because of systems, and player to player matchups, but according to my own data, Creighton is not one of these teams. Thus I am expecting a conclusive victory here today for Villanova and subsequent cover. Villanova took out Creighton by 79-63 count back on Feb 25 and with that said, look for a rinse and repeat performance. 
NCAA Tournament - First Round - KeyBank Center - Buffalo, NY
PRINCETON (23 - 6) vs. NOTRE DAME (25 - 9)
Im betting Princetons take no prisoners style of play is going to give Notre dame plenty of headaches today. PRINCETON is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Notre Dames HC Brey is 4-12 ATS in road games in first round tournament games.HC Henderson of Princeton is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 of less free throws/game after 15+ games . 

Princeton to cover 1 unit reg selection

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

NIT - First Round 

UC-IRVINE is 6-0 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. ILLINOIS ST is 1-7 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season.

Play on UC Irvine to cover 1 unit reg selection 

CBI Tournament - First Round

E.Washintongton to cover 

Wyoming got clobbered by Air Force in a Mountain West Conference tourney matchup by a 83-68 count last time out . Previous to that they had lost 4 of 6 games, and will now be in a letdown mode, here in the CBI Tourney to what they might percieve as an inferior side. Wyoming had alot of early season promise, but really struggled down the stretch as mentioned above  and motivation will be  a problem.

A CBB home team like Wyoming  - team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are 2-24 ATS L/26 in the follow up a trend that dates back 20 seasons.

Eastern Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totalsCBI Tournament - First Round

Projected score: Wi Green Bay 81 Missouri KC 74

Play on Wisconsin Green Bay to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH

KansasState ater a medicore Big 12 campaign (8-10) , pulled off an upset in the opening round of their conference tournament against Baylor and than lost to West Virginia by just 1 point in the 2nd round. Those were exhausting affairs, which Im betting effects their performance here against their hosts Wake Forest. KANSAS ST is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog . The Deacons are 19-13, having won four of their last five conference games. After a heart-breaking home loss to Duke on Feb. 18, they reeled off successive victories over Pitt, Louisville, Virginia Tech and Boston College, before losing in the ACC tournament. From  a matchup and systems  perspective I really like the Deacons chances today and recommend we take them in this spot.    WAKE FOREST is 12-3 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses.KState has not fared well against teams like Wake Forest in the recent past. KANSAS ST is 2-10 ATS L/12 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season losing SU by an average of 9.1 ppg. 

A CBB data base shows Neutral court teams like Wake Forest - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games are 36-13 ATS L/49 for 74% conversion rate for bettors. Also Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Wakfe /Forest - after 3 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more are 28-10 ATS dating back 5 seasons or a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wake Forest to cover  1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or total.

NIT - First Round

Oakland's program has some very good hoops pedigree and will not be intimiidated by a Clemson side, that is in an emotional let down state after the ACC tournament loss to Duke. The Tigers played their hearts out, in that game, and Im betting they  will have difficult time finding the energy to play a start to finish game here.

OAKLAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%r better  of their attempts like Clemson.CLEMSON is 3-10 ATS L/13 versus good teams like Oakland - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this seasonOAKLAND is 11-3 ATS  as an underdog dating back to last season ands 9-2 ATS L/11 as a road underdog or pickCLEMSON is 2-8 ATS ( after playing a game as an underdog this season as was case vs Duke last time out.

Play on Oakland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arkansas played a heck of a game yesterday upsetting Vanderbilt as 4 point dogs to advance to the SEC finals. But now on tired legs vs one of the most well conditioned teams in basketball the Hogs are now in trouble. It must be noted that Arkansas is just  7-18 ATS L/25 in road games off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog. Meanwhile, Kentucky took a 5 point win against Alabama in the semi final round, coming from behind for the win.

Alabama's player to player matchup systems gave Kentucky some problems, but Im betting Arkansas won't have the same edges and will end up on the wrong side of a lopsided score vs what is a very motivated Wildcats squad.Calapari has made no bones, about his team needing to be more aggressive and get out to leads. I also  know Arkansas has plans on being physical here today, but that will just mtovate a team filled with NBA talent to play harder. 

ARKANSAS is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game losing SU by an average of 17 ppg. 

 Play on Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection

According to my own power rankings Villanova is the best team in the country. Certain teams matchup well against Villanova , ie ( Seton Hall and Butler)  because of systems, and player to player matchups, but according to my own data, Creighton is not one of these teams. Thus I am expecting a conclusive victory here today for Villanova and subsequent cover. Villanova took out Creighton by 79-63 count back on Feb 25  and with that said, look for a rinse and repeat performance. 

Villanova to cover 1 unit reg selection 

SEC Tournament - Semifinals - Nashville, TN

The Kentucky Wildcats the top seeded team in this tournament, should have little trouble disposing of a excellent but over rated Alabama hoops program here today. The Wildcats a chalk full of future  NBA stars and must be respected in key games even as DD favorites. Kentucky won the first meeting 67-58 on Feb. 11 in Tuscaloosa and here on a neutral court a bigger margin of victory.KENTUCKY is 24-14 ATS L/28 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less winning SU by an average of 12.1 ppg. Kentucky has won 6 straight meetings in this series. 

Play on Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Semifinals - New Orleans, LA

Tx Arlington beat exas State by a 76-61 score back on Feb 4th and matchup very well against todays semi final opponents.

HC Kaspar of Texas State  is 2-9 ATS L/11  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots after 15+ games. losing SU by an average of 14.8 ppg. TX-ARLINGTON is 12-5 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season winning SU by 9 ppg. 

Play on TX Arlington to cover 1 unit reg selection

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

America East Conference Tournament - Championship Game

Both these teams are playing a top level of basketball at the moment, and i am expecting a much closer affair then the linesmkaers expect.

Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Albany- after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 30-8 ATS L/38 dating back 21 seasons. CBB Sides like v/ermont  - an excellent defensive team (63 PPG or less) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 50 points or less 2 straight, are 6-25 ATS last 5 seasons.

ALBANY is 11-1 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.ALBANY is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games.

Play on Albany to over 1 unit reg selection 

Big 12 Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Kansas City, MO

West Virginia seems all-but-certain to land a top-4 seed when the NCAA bracket is announced Sunday afternoon and will want to leave nothing up to chance, and will come out here on fire. The West Virginia Mountaineers beat No.1 seed Kanas this season, and are capable of a Big 12 championship, and that Im betting becomes evident today in the semi finals  vs a KState team that they beat 85-66 in their last meeting on Feb 11. 

Play on West Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Wisconsin struggled at bit at the tail end of this season, but with 5 returning starters , are a team that must not be underestimated. That was evident  when they crushed a excellent Minnesota Gophers side, by a 66-49 count in their final game of the season. Meanwhile, Indiana despite of a huge game against Iowa in the opening round of this tournament, is a team that has struggled consistently this year on offense, and are being over rated in this game vs a superior overall side, according to my own power rankings .

Wisconsin is 22nd in the country with a rebounding margin of plus-6.5. The Badgers have also scored 288 more points in the paint than their opponents and via some very physical basketball Im betting their inside play in and around the glass will be the difference maker today.

Play on Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Top-seeded Villanova takes on fifth-seeded Seton Hall in the semifinals on Friday night at Madison Square Garden in New York. The Pirates  defeated fourth-seeded Marquette 82-76 to set up a rematch with the Wildcats.Seton Hall ousted Villanova 69-67 in the championship game last season to win its third career Big East tournament title and are one of the few teams in the Big East Tournament this season that are built to at least stay within the hefty point spread vs a over powering team. I know Seton Hall got clobbered by Villanova earlier this season, but SETON HALL is 6-0 ATS  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points and have covered 19 of their L/27 as underdogs. SETON HALL is 17-8 ATS L/25 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons and is 12-4 ATS L/16 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Villanova is 0-8 ATS L/8 in 2nd round conference tourney games.

Play on Seton Hall to cover 1 unit reg selection 

SEC Tournament - Quarterfinals - Nashville, TN

No. 1 seed Kentucky (26-5, 16-2 in SEC) faces No. 8 seed Georgia (19-13, 9-9 in SEC) on Friday quarterfinal SEC Tournament action at Nashville's Bridgestone Arena.Kentucky won both of its meetings with the Bulldogs earlier this season.Georgia advanced with a 59-57 first round victory over Tennessee on Thursday,. The Vols were abysmal as the season progressed, and this was a less than impressive win by Georgia. Kentucky beat Georgia 90-81 in overtime on Jan. 31 in Lexington and 82-77 on Feb. 18 in Athens. Kentucky did not respect Georgia in those games, and Calipari has made it clear to his team that they had better be prepared, and Im betting they will be and not take their opponents for granted.

GEORGIA is 1-9 ATS L/10 after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less dating back to last season.KENTUCKY is 24-14 ATS L/38 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over. KENTUCKY is 30-16 ATS in conference tournament games.GEORGIA is 1-9 ATS  after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 2 seasons winning SU by an average of 11.3 ppg. 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

  Big 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Kansas City, MO

KState matches up well vs Baylor and beat them  56-54 on the road in their latest meeting. Playing so close to home, alot of this crowd will be on KState side giving them an edge.  Both teams play solid defense, and Im expecting a close game. Baylor 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

From a long term CBB league wide data base : Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Baylor - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 38-68 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors dating back 5 seasons.

Play on KState to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The Miami Fl Hurricanes are one of four ACC teams to beat the N.Carolin a  Tar Heels this season, suffering their worst loss all year to Miami, losing by 15 points. Needless to say Miami Fl physical defensive play, is not easiy to deal with and Im betting taken the points will be golden in this tourney game. After N.Carolina played their most grueling emotionally charged game of the year, in last trip to the hardwood, against Duke, pulling away with less than 2 min left to secure the 90-83 win, Im betting they come into this Tournament tilt in a emotional let down situation at the worst possible time, and could find the sledding very tough in this spot vs a Miami Fl side that can work hard to exhaust them. 

Miami Fl to cover 1 unit reg selection 

ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Brooklyn, NY

Just four days after meeting in both teams' regular-season finale in Charlottesville, No. 14 seed Pittsburgh will battle No. 6 seed Virginia in the second round of the ACC tournament on Wednesday at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y. Virginia dominated the Panthers in that game winning by a 67-42 count and now at under 10 point favorites are a very good bet to dominate again.The Panthers will have just over 24 hours of rest and now on tired legs after barely getting by GTech and will now will find it very difficult to deal with a physical  Cavaliers defense that has allowed a total of  just 85 (42.5) points in their last two wins over North Carolina and Pitt. PITTSBURGH is 4-15 ATS  off a win against a conference rival.PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game dating back to last season losing SU by an average of 14 ppg. PITTSBURGH is 0-7 ATS L/7 in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Virginia Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - First Round - Pittsburgh, PA

The UMass Minutemen  staggered across the proverbial finish line in regular season play losing  10 of their last 12 games. They did beat St.Joseph's in one of those wins but turning the trick again will be a difficult prospect, here in St.Josepsh home state. ST JOSEPHS is 16-4 ATS L/20 in road games after 2 consecutive conference games and is 16-5 ATS L/21 in road games against conference opponents.

St.Josephs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Brooklyn, NY

Miami Fl is a sleeper team, that plays top tier defensive hoops. Meanwhile SYRACUSE is 0-7 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better this season and is is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.

Play on the Miami Fl to cover 1 unit reg selection

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 America East Conference Tournament - Semifinals

Albany to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Cincinnati enters this game off a big time last home game of the season victory vs Houston, and now will be in a bit of a letdown situation against UConn team that can play feisty defensive basketball  and cause the best of teams some problems.  UConn needs this game to wrap up a 5th seed and get a bye for the AAC tournament and Im betting they leave everything on the floor today.CINCINNATI is 3-11 ATS ( in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games dating back to last season.

Play on UConn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Washington State is 4-1 ATS L/5 as road dogs vs .900 or better opposition and have covered 5 o the L/6 meetings in this series. Because of UCLAs excellent season, and a offense that must be rated as the most potent in the country, the linesmkaers are asking bettors to to pay a premium vs a slightly bloated line. With that said, in my usual contrarian fashion Im recommending we take the points. 

Take the points with Wash State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

North Carolina has revenge on board for a loss to Duke earlier this sesaon and Im betting they get their revenge at home tonight.

DUKE is 8-17 ATS L/25 when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

N CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts this season.N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.N CAROLINA is 10-3 ATS  as a home favorite or pick this season.

North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Colorado State has won 10 of their L/11 including 7 straight, and will not be easily beaten here vs their hosts Nevada. The Wolfpack are a fine team, but according to my own numbers, are getting just a little to much respect from linesmakers in this spot vs a team on rise.

 COLORADO ST is 11-2 ATS L/13 versus poor pressure defensive teams like Nevada - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.COLORADO ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 as a road underdog or pick this season. 

NEVADA is 9-22 ATS L/31 in home games off 3 straight wins against conference rivals.

Colorado State to cover  1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Miami Fl enters this game with revenge on board for a loss t Florida State at home earlier this season. The Canes are 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 when seeking revenge and  7-1-1 as single digit road dogs this season, and have only failed to cover once  with same season revenge of 5 points or more, and HC Larranga is 11-1 SU L/12 when he owns a .666 better record for a loss of 8 points or more. I know Florida State is perfect at home this season, but the Canes are no pushovers with recent wins against Duke and Virginia and must not be underestimated here.

Take the points with Miami Fl to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Notre Dame is playing at a very high level, winning 6 straight games , while Louisville has lost 2 of their L/3 and have  not looked like one of Pitinos better teams. Notre Dame has covered 5 straight as road dogs, and are 3-0 SU L/3 in this series.

LOUISVILLE is 3-12 ATS L/15 in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. 

Notre Dame to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

TENNESSEE is 0-7 ATS L/7 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) like Alabama.TENNESSEE is 8-23 ATS L/31 as a home favorite or pick and is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a home favorite of 3 points or less or picks. 

Play on Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 West Coast Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV

CBB  underdogs like Portland  - in a game involving two poor shooting teams (40-42.5%), after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better are a bankroll depleting 12-38 ATS L/50 , for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors over the L/5 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 9-1 ATS  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season like Portland and 6-0 ATS  in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season.

Play on San Diego to cover 1 unit reg selection

Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round - Detroit, MI

WI Milwaukee has lost 9 straight games,  including a recent loss to Detroit 81-74 as 3.5 point home favs where they failed to cover. Meanwhile, Detroit has won 2 of their L/3 including the above mentioned head to head matchup, and are the  superior side. WI-MILWAUKEE is 5-17 ATS L/22  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts, mostly because of their own lack off a cohesive offense, that has averaged just 64.8 ppg on the road.  

Play on Detroit to cover  1 unit reg selection 

HARVARD is 6-0 ATS L/6 when playing against a team with a winning record this season and  is 9-2 ATS L/11 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts this season.PRINCETON is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games, dating back to last season.HARVARD is 6-0 ATS L/6 off a home win this season and is 10-0 ATS  after playing a home game this season.PRINCETON is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite.

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Princeton - after playing 3 consecutive road games, playing with 5 or 6 days rest have failed to cover 30 of their L/40 ATS.

Play on Harvard to cover 1 unit reg selection 

No. 18 Cincinnati plays its final home game of the season on Thursday night versus Houston and Im betting they will be primed to finish off their season with a huge effort and subsequent cover.The Bearcats  record as hosts at the  Fifth Third Arena  stands at 25 straight victories.Cincinnati leads the all-time series vs Houston  28-2, including a 14-0 SU record at home. The Bearcats won 67-58 in Houston earlier this season, and looked dominant in that effort and a even bigger margin of victory should be expected here.HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging16 assists/game or more  this season.

Play on Cincinnati to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Xavier is slumping, and need a win badly. Xavier is 19-0 SU at home in games off a home loss 15-3 SU in Last Home Games, including 14-0 SU as a favorite of 4 points or more and  is 7-0 ATS L/7 after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.... I know Marquette blasted the Muskateers in their last meeting, but This Xavier hoops program when they have  same-season loss revenge of 20 or more points,  5-0 ATS L/5  when they are favored.

Play on Xavier to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Both these teams are not playing winning hoops a the moment, with TCU losing 5 straight and KState losing 5 of their L/6 overall. With both sides very hungry for a win, Im expecting a hard fought affair, with the points eventually proving golden. I know TCU upset Kansas State on the road back on Feb 1, but with revenge on board, Im expecting KState to leave everything on the floor, in a payback scenario. TCU is 6-15 ATS L/21 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games dating back to last season and 8-20 ATS L/28 when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games.KANSAS ST is 12-3 ATS L/15 in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 .

KState to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

New Hampshire to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida had their nine straight win streak end abruptly  to first-place Kentucky last time out, and now go against a Arkansas side, on a 5 game win streak and a 22-7 SU record on the season. While, I know it will be difficult for Arkansas to continue their win streak, I'm betting they won't go down easily and get us the cover.  ARKANSAS is 24-14 ATS L/48 when playing against a team with a winning record, while FLORIDA is 1-10 ATS  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.FLORIDA is 3-13 ATS L/16 after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds .

Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
Tennessee enters this game off two straight DD losses, but it must be noted that CBB teams like Tennessee - in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games are a bankroll expanding 35-6 ATS dating back 21 seasons. Meanwhile, LSU is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record, losing SU by an average of almost 20 points a game and have lost 14 straight overall, with 10 of them coming by DDs.

Play on Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on Central Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

LA Lafayette enters this game in top form having won three straight, while their hosts App State have lost three straight by double digits, and 10 of their L/12 overall. LA Lafayette has won and covered 4 straight meetings in this series and Im betting they have the edge again.

APPALACHIAN ST is 0-7 ATS  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds this season losing SU by an average of 14.9 ppg. 

Play on the UL Lafayette to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 When Virginia and North Carolina met just over a week ago, the Cavaliers scored just 41 points in a 24-point loss to the Tar Heels, their worst by HC Bennet in conference play. Now with revenge on board, and one of best home court advantages in the  nation, I expect the Cavaliers to stand tall here today and get the us the cover. N CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS L/8 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season.VIRGINIA is 11-3 ATS  after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games dating back to last season.

Play on Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

St.Peters to cover 1 unit reg selection

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

We have two teams at the opposite end performing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, with Middle Tenn State having won 14 of their L/15 games and UAB on a three game losing streak. But if there ever was a situation, where a team would be motivated to leave everything on the floor, its UAB , a side that is much better than their record might indicate. UAB has also done well in this series having covered 5 of the L/6 meetings . Also UAB games have seen the host go 17-4 ATS, while Midd Tenn State is just 0-8 ATS L/8 going in this series off a victory.UAB is 12-3 ATS L/15 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game.UAB is 8-1 ATS L/9 in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 and is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games against conference opponents and s 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses.

Play on UAB to cover 1 unit reg selection