Purdue despite of an incredible season  are just 4-2 conference road games with 2 OT wins , a blowout loss at Michigan State , a DD beatdown at Maryland and a 2 point win at Nebraska, and 2 point win at Indiana. Now we get a decent home dog line with Minnesota at home , which has underestimated value attached to it, because of how well they played the Boilermakers in West  Lafayette earlier this season, staying close until the last part of the game (73-63). Look for Purdues inability to play disciplined ball to give Minnesota a chance at covering as they are one of the best teams in the conference for getting chances at the charity stripe. The Gophers surprised the Northwestern Wildcats last time out as underdogs and have momentum entering this home game. Note: MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS  in home games off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog .

PURDUE is 8-18 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.PURDUE is 3-11 ATS in road games after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

 Kent State visits Miami O in a key  Mid-American Conference tilt this Tuesday night.  Kent State enters this game with the  No. 3 seed and the RedHawks are in fourth and looking for a bye. Thus losing this game is not an option and  they the Hawks will be primed to perform here tonight.   Note:  Miami O is 10-1 ATS L/11 in this series and  5-0  ATS L/5 as hosts.  The Redhawks are also 15-2 SU L/17 season in home game finales  and get the nod to get us the victory and cover here tonight. 

Senderoff is 0-6 ATS after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more as the coach of KENT ST .KENT ST is 1-8 ATS  after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI OHIO is 8-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season. 

Play on Miami (O) to cover 

Both these teams have struggled this season at times, but both are current 2 game win streaks, and in a game that should be closer to a pickem getting points with a one possession spread makes for a value situation. Rhode Island has recorded 24 steals over its last two games, getting nine at Dayton Friday night and a season-high 15 steals in its win over George Washington nd Im betting their ability to disrupt the Hawks play will be the difference maker.

ST JOSEPHS is 0-7 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season and s 0-6 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Rhode Island to cover 

The Horned Frogs after starting their season 12 -1 really struggled down the stretch and now  will be playing for their NCAA Tournament lives against K-State . This TCU team when playing their best can compete with ay team in this conference including KState, as wins vs.  Texas, Baylor, and a sweep of Iowa State would indicate. Im betting on the Frogs  leaving everything on the floor here tonight and getting us the cover.

TCU is 7-1 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game this season.

CBB teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TCU) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are 32-8 straight up L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TCU) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are also 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on TCU to cover 

Jim Boehims 5 returning starters will  primed  to go out on a high note tonight in their final regular season home game  vs the Cavaliers . I know Virginia is a behemoth opponent, but this Orange hoops program has been tough in their final home games of the campaign in the recent past cashing 12 of their L/15 opportunities, and are bankroll expanding 13-6 ATS this season vs conference opposition and must not be underestimated as home underdogs. 

SYRACUSE is 8-1 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.SYRACUSE is 9-1 ATS in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.SYRACUSE is 7-0 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.

Play on Syracuse to cover 

North Florida has alot of experience, with all the starters averaging DD point outputs. As  group the Ospreys have also played alot of minutes together this season, and are currently entering this tournament on a 6 games winning streak, and once again look like a viable team to back vs a  North Alabama team that they manhandled in two meetings. With that said, look for a Ospreys side that ranks top 20 nationally in  attempted treys, to come out  here and lay down beatdown in their tourney opener .

Play on North Florida to cover 

The Yellow Jackets, despite of struggling have been decent at home going 10-7 SU as hosts this season , and actually matchup well vs visiting Boston College side that is   1-7 on the road this season in conference play.   The Ramblinwreck rank No. 14 in the nation in Defensive Field Goal Percentage at 39.3% while the Golden Eagles rank 81st ranked Defensive Field Goal Percentage at 41.9 %. Look for the home team to finally capture a win in their home finale this Sunday night in a tilt that will mark the final regular-season home game for three Georgia Tech seniors – Brandon Alston, Abdoulaye Gueye and Sylvester Ogbonda.

Note: GTs HC Pastner is 11-2 ATS in home games in March games in all games he has coached since 1997. 

 TECH is 8-0 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

TECH is 6-2 L/8 at home in this series.

Play on Georgia Tech to cover 

Both Louisville and Notre Dame has looked vulnerable of late, and neither is playing very good hoops. Im betting on this being a close tilt between two teams that are not flowing, with the key coming via difference maker coming at the charity stripe as  Notre Dame very rarely fouls, which is extremely important for a Louisville team scoring 21.8 percent of its points off free throws (33rd in the nation). HC Brey is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of NOTRE DAME with the average point diff clicking in at  0.5 ppg.( 1/2 point)

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (NOTRE DAME) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 112-66 ATS L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate on the blind.

Play on Notre Dame to cover 

St. John's (20-9, 8-8 BIG EAST) enters its final road trip of the regular season looking to avenge a loss in its home finale to Xavier at Carnesecca Arena and Im betting they do it here this afternoon in Depaul. Note: ST JOHNS is 11-0 ATS L/11  in road games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite . 

Playing without the services of Shamorie Ponds on Jan. 12, the Johnnies dropped a 79-71 decision to DePaul. It was a bad game for the St.Johns and now with revenge on board Im betting they will be primed and motivated  for payback vs a side  that has dropped seven of their last nine and have lost four in a row heading into Sunday's meeting with the Red Storm.

 DEPAUL is 0-8 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts this season.DEPAUL is 3-11 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. 

Play on St.Johns to cover 

Im betting on Baylor really giving 16th-ranked Kansas State (21-7, 11-4) a run for their money here tonight. The Bears (19-9, 10-5) have won three straight down-to-the-wire games decided by a total of 12 points .Since losing six of their first nine games decided by single digits, the Bears are 6-1 in those games over the last 6 ½ weeks and in the Bears' only single-digit loss over the last 6 ½ weeks, they gave up a seven-point second-half lead in a 70-63 loss at home to K-State.  The bears stayed alive for its first conference championship in 69 years on Wednesday, when the Bears rallied from a 19-point second-half deficit to defeat the Texas Longhorns, 84-83, in overtime and enter this game with a full head of steam. 

Drew is 7-0 ATS  after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games as the coach of BAYLOR.  

Play on Baylor to cover 

E.Kentucky has played their best hoops at home this season going 9-4 SU. Meanwhile, Morehead State is just 4-12 on the road this season, and have the edge here according to my projections by 5 points or more making this a viable line to buy into. 

CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MOREHEAD ST) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 60-4 SU L/22 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 10.8 ppg.

Play on on E.Kentucky to cover 

 The Tribe has won 10 of the last 12 meetings vs. JMU and get the nod again as thy keep they look to keep momentum alive entering the conference tourney .The Tribe key to success todayIm betting  will center around their  much improved defensive play in CAA as opposed to their non conference schedule. W&M ranks second in defensive efficiency (104.9) in league games and has held six opponents to a point or less per possession. 

JAMES MADISON is 1-8 ATS ( in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more  after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. JAMES MADISON is 4-11 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

CBB home team (JAMES MADISON) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 38-69 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on William Mary to cover 

TCU needs this game badly, and also have revenge on board for a ugly loss in Lubbock earlier this season. With this being seniors night Im betting we see the Horned Frogs come out here like their hair is on fire and to leave everything on the court. I know Texas Tech is looking like Big 12 champion candidates this season, but overall from a long term perspective the Raiders mens hoops program have only covered 10 of their L/32 as road chalk and have looked vulnerable away from home this season. I know TCU has struggled of late, after a quick start to their season, but this is still a fine team that deserves our respect as home dogs. TCU is 6-0 ATS in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

TCU is 11-3 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

 CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (TEXAS TECH) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game are 47-70 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on TCU to cover 

 Tom Izzo and his Michigan State Spartans, are now starting to make the noise I expected when I started to put  my  CBB power rankings together earlier this season. As the NCAA tourney gets closer you can bet this team will be merciless as they look for the possible No.1 seed.. Today a combination of motivation and revenge will be at play as the Spartans look for redemption for a 79-75 loss at home last month to this same Hoosiers team. I know we have to lay a decent amount of points here with the visiting Spartans, but the Hoosiers are in a tail spin  having lost  12 of their last 14 games,  and  are an ugly 4-9 SU at home this season and despite of beating Wisconsin in OT last time out, just don't matchup well vs this version of the Spartans and could easily get smashed by DDs here. Michigan State is 10-4 ATS with revenge in this series and gets the nodes road favs. MICHIGAN ST is 10-1 ATS  after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread this seasonMICHIGAN ST is 11-2 ATS  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season.MICHIGAN ST is 15-4 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.MICHIGAN ST is 10-1 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season. 

Play on Michigan State to cover 

The NC State  (20-8, 8-7 ACC) takes on 18th-ranked Florida State (22-6, 10-5 ACC). The Pack have won 4 of their L/5 games, and are playing a top tier brand of basketball that actually matches up well vs the Seminoles. Thanks to Florida States impressive ranking and their overall play over the last month, lines are creeping up and now I see a value line to bet into with viable opponent on board. HC Hamilton is 20-47 ATS  after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games as the coach of FLORIDA ST.  

Both these teams have strong benches and Im betting this will be a really battle today making getting points a viable opportunity. 

Kevin Keatts teams have a record of 27-13 SU (.675) in regular season games in the months of February and March.

617 North Carolina State to cover 

 Six of the Big Green's eight conference losses this season have been by five points or fewer, and five have been one-possession games and their current 4 game losing streak have all come on the road. Here at home however, Dartmouth has been a tough out winning 8 of 12 home games this season.The Big Green are trying to earn a split of the series for the second straight year having lost a heartbreaker at Princeton two weeks ago, 69-68. The home gets the nod here tonight.

Play on Dartmouth 

Saint Peter's is 8-20 overall, going 5-11 so far in 2018-19 in MAAC action and not matchup that well against anyone in this conference in their current form and were smashed by 19 points to Quinnipiac earlier this season.Quinnipiac is currently 10-6 in MAAC play, sitting in second place in the league standings heading in to the final weekend of the regular season.Quinnipiac has won seven of its last 10 games dating back to Jan. 25. and have momentum entering a tilt vs a team they matchup well against.Quinnipiac is averaging 10.9 3-point field goals per game, which ranks No. 8 nationally and best in the MAAC.According to KenPom, 44.4 percent of the Bobcats offense comes via 3-pointers, which ranks No. 5 nationally.The Bobcats have converted on 10+ 3-pointers in 20 of 27 games this season. cats have converted on 10+ 3-pointers in 20 of 27 games this season.QUINNIPIAC is 8-1 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.QUINNIPIAC is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days this season.

Play on Quinnipac to cover 

 Penn enters the weekend at 4-6 in Ivy league play and are one game out of fourth place behind Brown and Cornell.Harvard won the first meeting two weeks ago in Philadelphia, hitting a late three-pointer to tie things up in regulation and then pulling away in overtime for a 75-68 win. This game has alot of importance to it for Penn and Im betting they wont go down without a fight here making getting points a legitimate value ticket. It must also be noted that the Quakers—who went OT in three straight games from Feb. 15-22—are 1-4 in OT this season, and are a team that cant be underestimated getting points. 

CBB favorite (HARVARD) - off an upset win as a road underdog, on Friday nights are just 25-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. ( Harvard beat Yale last time out)

Play on Pennsylvania to cover 

 San Francisco has revenge on board for a road loss they suffered to San Diego last month to the Toreros. The Dons led by 14 points with 41 seconds left in the first half after over powering San Diego for 20 solid minutes.  In the second half, the Toreros  came back as the Dons lost interest for some reason, wiping out a  14 point USF lead, and eventually succumbing by a  67-63 score as they were upset as favs. Now with redemption at hand the  Dons in their own building have been explosive going 23-2 SU  in their last 25 home games dating back to last season and will be primed to lay a beat down on their opponents tonight and not take their foot of the pedal until the end . San Diego has not done well vs teams looking for same season revenge from a betting perspective as they have failed to cover 17 of their L/23 in these situations. 

Note: The Dons are 13-1 SU at home this season with their one loss  coming at the hands of  mighty Gonzaga - a game they actually led with less than three minutes to play.  USF is averaging 80.0 ppg at home and holding opponents to 64.9 ppg.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite against opponent off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a conference rival are 31-11 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on San Francisco to cover 

Idaho is not a very good team, but this line according to my cross reference data is bloated by one plus possession and should favour Portland State by just 7.5 points. Considering my estimations we have value on the line which gives us an enough edges to take the points with the home dog. Note:Idaho (4-23, 1-15 BSC) is 14-13 all-time against Portland State (13-14, 8-8 BSC), including a 69-53 loss earlier this season. The Vandals has a ugly season but there is hope as redshirt freshman scored a career-high 28 points and tied his career-best with 11 rebounds last time out at Southern Utah and up trending.Verlin is 21-11 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of IDAHO.Peery is 5-13 ATS  in road games against conference opponents as the coach of PORTLAND ST.

Play on Idaho to cover 

 Mercer has won 3 of their L/4 and are playing a up trending style of hoops of late, and very much look like viable road favs here vs a VMI team that despite of snapping a 8 game losing streak last time out, does not matchup well vs this type of opponent. VMI got clobbered by DDs in these teams first meeting at Mercer, (88-66) and have the guns to take advantage of a nasty VMI defence that ha allowed an average of 81.6 ppg game this season. Mercer has won 5 straight meetings in this series and 2 straight here and deserve our backing in this spot play. 

VMI is 2-9 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at - 17.1 ppg. 

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VMI) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more 3 straight games are 15-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Mercer to cover 

Ok Texas tech has shown that they are a fine team, there is no arguing that, but after exerting a pile of energy vs Kansas last time out, in a big DD win, Im betting they will be in a natural letdown state and wont be as inspired here today vs a Oklahoma City side that they smashed 78-50 the last time they played Feb 13 at Oklahoma State. Meanwhile, the Cowboys with very little left to play for this season, will be out looking for revenge and will get a chance to be alot more competitive this time around. Note: OKLAHOMA ST is 13-4 ATS L/17 revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. Considering the circumstances I see value here with taking the points. 

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

The Tar Heels  are off a huge 88-72 win last time against Duke and will now be in a letdown spot here against Syracuse tonight and with Florida State up next NC could easily be distracted and deflated all at the same time. From the  Orange s perspective Im betting they will be ready to play here in revenge mode for being knocked out of last seasons ACC tourney by the Tar Heels.. I t must also be noted that HC Boheim's five returning start group is 5-2 ATS on the road this season  while Roy Williams is just 2-5 ATS in his last seven conference games at the Dean Dome.

SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season. ( Lost to Duke by DDs last time out) Syracuse is also  11-3 ATS  off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons and is 10-2 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (N CAROLINA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (78 or more PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) are 48-89 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against  65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Syracuse to cover 

Recent home wins vs St.Jospehs, Davidson and Rhode Island and their lack of turnovers with the ball   give credence to Mass being a viable home dog here tonight vs visiting Dayton. The Flyers  have been shooting the lights out of late converting at a  48% FB clip or better in 3 straight games  and are off a home win, which has not been a good omen for their betting backers in the past . Note: DAYTON is 0-11 ATS  off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons and is 3-19 ATS  off a home win over the last 2 seasons.

DAYTON is 1-8 ATS  in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons.

DAYTON is 15-28 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

Mass has also performed well vs disciplined teams as this trend would indicate. MASSACHUSETTS is 6-0 ATS  in home games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Mass to cover 

The third-ranked Blue Devils play at No. 20 Virginia Tech in an ACC game in Blacksburg, Va tonight without their star player Zion Williamson, who is out with a injured knee. They found a way to beat Syracuse in revenge mode last time out, but if the Blue Devils win again, Im betting it will not come so easily vs a side that is 12-2 SU at home this season. Note: HC Williams  in his L/27 games as a home underdog or pick as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH has seen average point differential in those games click in a 2.1 ppg. With Duke playing its third game in seven days on tired legs they will be wobbly chalk here in this spot play. 

Play on Virginia Tech to cover 

Riding a three-game winning streak, Central Michigan will head  go on the road  vs MAC West and in-state rival Eastern Michigan  in a game that favors the road team to cover according to my power rankings numbers. Note:C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season- C Michigan is 8-0-1 ATS L/9 overall. 

Central Michigan ranks as upper echelon team in four major statistical categories -- No. 3 in free throw attempts (734), No. 9 in free throws made (491), No. 16 in scoring offense (83.2 ppg) and No. 17 in 3-point field goal defense (30.0). Also Over the last three games, opponents are shooting just 18% (8-of-44) versus CMU from 3-point range

The Chippewas won the first meeting this season, 86-82, in McGuirk Arena, snapping a six-game losing streak to EMU.

C MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

Murphy is 8-20 ATS  versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25or mroe  free throws/game as the coach of E MICHIGAN. 

CBBRoad teams as an underdog or pick (C MICHIGAN) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent are 127-73 ATS L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Central Michigan to cover 

Kansas was humbled at Texas Tech this past weekend in a DD 91-62 debacle,  and now will be primed for redemption this week against Kansas State.QUOTE: “We’ll put this one behind us,” Self said. “It’s not going to do us too much good to watch this film. But we’ll get this behind us. We were talking — not putting it behind us because the game was over — but talking about that as early as halftime (with KU down to Tech by 25 points). We would have had to come out in the second half, in the first eight minutes, and cut it to 15 (point deficit), or something like that, to probably have a chance to put some game pressure on them and we didn’t do that. So, therefore, the whole deal was that for the last 12 or 14 minutes we were just trying to get our guys to the finish line so we have rested bodies for Monday: END QUOTE

Add to that the home team has revenge on board for a  74-67 loss at KSU a few  weeks ago and we have a motivated team to back this week.. Kansas is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS the last six meetings when playing with revenge  in the series and are  12-0 L/12 and 23-1 SU in the L/24  meetings here at Allen Field House and are undefeated at home this season overall. Bottom line is this is a must win situation for Bill Selfs troops  if they have any chance at Big 12 Championship .With that said,  Im betting he finds a way to turn the trick and get us the cover in the process.

KU is 786-113 (.874) L/ 64 seasons and 248-13 (.950) in the 16-year Bill Self era here at this venue.

CBB Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (KANSAS ST) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 29-143 SU L/22 season for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors with the point differential of +7.4 ppg.  

Play on Kansas to cover 

Northern Colorado got spanked by Montana earlier this season by a 88-64 count and just dont matchup well vs this red hot home team that has won 10 straight games and the  last 5 meetings in this series the L/3 seasons.During Montana's 10-game winning streak, that started with the above mentioned win vs the Bears the Grizzlies have   held six of their opponents below 70 points. They're shooting better than 50 percent overall and have a plus-13 scoring margin.   Hey I know this is an important game for both teams as they are one and two in the standings, but here on their own home floor the Grizzlies are dominant and Im betting they take care of business again and more importantly get us the cover . 

Play on Montana to cover 

  The Bears last four games have been decided by an average margin of 2.3 points with the Coppin State, South Carolina State, Savannah State and now Norfolk State games coming down to the final possession. Plain bad luck that Im betting comes to end here tonight vs Howard. 

The Bears rank No. 1 in the league in turnover margin (+3.52).

Play on Morgan State 

 Kansas despite of being banged up and having to deal with suspensions  has still  won  14 consecutive conference titles, behind Bill Selfs tut-ledge are always a dangerous opponent for all comers.   In addition, the Jayhawks have dominated this series in the past vs TexasTech and  are 18-1 SU in L/19 meetings. These teams are  tied  in the standings and to break the lock Im betting this will be a harder fought affair for the Red Raiders than the home chalk designation is indicating.

Kanas beat Texas Tech convincingly back on Feb. 2 79-63 and Im betting the swing on this line is to much based on the last matchup.  

Kansas coach Bill Self in his career as a conference dog from Game 25 out, is 10-0 ATS against hoops programs  he beat by 3 or more points in the most recent meeting.

KANSAS is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Kansas to cover 

Duke will be playing without injured star Zion Williamson, the leading candidate to win the National Player of the Year Award. That should help Syracuse be confident enough to be competitive here today behind what is expected to be a gigantic crowed  tonight. I know HC Boheim was in a fatal car crash earlier this week that killed a pedestrian, but he will be on the bench and has the type of personality that will help him deal with this sad event. Look for his team to respond to his situation in a big way and provide a competitive effort. Also I know Syracuse (18-8, 9-4) won the first game between the teams 95-91 in overtime, and Duke has revenge on board, but from empirical standpoint these competing systems matchup much more evenly than many might expect. 

 SYRACUSE is 13-4 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. 

SYRACUSE is 17-7 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Syracuse to cover 

Im betting Kentucky gets tested here tonight against Bruce Pearls high flying run and  gun  Auburn squad.Auburn lives and dies by the 3-point shot and by easy buckets off turnovers and when their in top form like they are here tonight, their not going to be easy to beat. Yes, not even here at Rupp Arena. Kentucky turns the ball over a lot and they defend in close much better than at the down town line curve. Im not saying Auburn pulls off a win in one of the hardest venues to win at in the nation, Im just betting that they make a game of this and get us a cover .

Play on Auburn to cover 

 Methodical Virginia one of the best coached teams in the country from a systems stand point is not invincible like some might think, as was the case when they lost to Duke earlier this season, and when they were unceremoniously knocked out of the NCAA tourney in the first round of last year.  Today against their host Louisville  Im betting their conservative ways and dependence on 3 point shooting for big leads will be tested as the home crowd makes life difficult for the visitors cohesiveness. Add to that the Cardinal have revenge for a loss in the ACC tourney last season you have a very motivated opponent to deal with.   Note:  The Cards are 32-7 SU with conference revenge at the KFC Yum! Center. I know Louisville has struggled a bit of late, but Im betting that won't be the case here as redemption is at hand.LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 ATS  after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Louisville to cover 

LSU hosts Tennessee at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center this Saturday afternoon.  The top tier Vols go against a LSU team off an upset loss at home last time out by Florida, but it must be noted that the Tigers have been good bounce back side especially at home where they have not lost back-to-back home games this season and wont be easily defeated here today, making getting points in my humble opinion a very good betting option. LSU is 11-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and s 6-0 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

LSU is 8-2 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making  72% or more  of their attempts this season.

Play on LSU to cover 

 A couple of weeks ago Harvard demolished Brown by a  68-47 walloping.  That was a strange game considering these are the leagues two top scoring teams..  The low scoring domination by the Crimson Im betting was an outlier and that this game will be more true to form, with the revenge minded home team getting the advantage taking points as their opponent will Im betting get caught looking ahead to a big game with Yale tomorrow.       

Play on Brown to cover 

When I look for underdogs one of my criteria is find a team that can shoot threes consistently and convert on FTs from the charity stripe. The Big Green are one of those pups , as their shooting percentages include 71.7% for free throws and 38.4% for three point percentage so far this season. Their hosts Yale, shooting percentages include 69.5% for free throw percentage and 36.9% for three point percentage at this point of the campaign. Yale is the superior overall team, but they do have a big game against Harvard tomorrow, and could easily be overlooking this opponent and if Bulldogs have a big lead , could also easily take their foot of the pedal and allow an opportunity for a back door cover. 

DARTMOUTH is 17-2 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better since 1997(which was the case against Princeton last time out in a 1 point loss)

DARTMOUTH is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

McLaughlin is 8-1 ATS  in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of DARTMOUTH.

Big Green are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Big Green are 20-8-4 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss.Big Green are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Ivy LeagueRoad team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Yale.

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (YALE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 19-45 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% for bettors on the blind.

Play on Dartmouth to cover 

Ohio looks like they have packed it in for the season as is evident by having lost 6 straight games SU/ATS. Meanwhile, Bowling Green is 11-2 in conference play and wont let up Im betting until they cross the finish line. 

BOWLING GREEN is 10-0 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. 

OHIO U is 4-18 ATS  in all games this season.OHIO U is 1-11 ATS   after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.

OHIO U is 0-7 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.

CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO U) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 10-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against  75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Bowling Green to cover 

Hawaii has revenge on board here tonight for a ugly DD loss as 3-point home favs to Santa Barbara la couple of weeks ago and have responded by winning 3 of their L/4 and will be primed for pay back here vs a side that has lost 3 straight games. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 18-33 ATS L/51 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots after 15+ games .Ganot is 11-3 ATS  in road games in February games as the coach of HAWAII.

HAWAII is 9-2 ATS after playing a home game this season.  UC-SANTA BARBARA is 2-8 ATS  against conference opponents this season. 

CBB team (HAWAII) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are  101-56 L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Hawaii to cover 

This line according to projections is bloated and should be closer to -9 t for the home team thus giving us line value of more than 1 possession , which makes for a viable advantage player proposition. Back on Feb 2 N.Arizona bombed Idaho by DDs, and now the visitors have revenge on board. Im betting they stand tall here, and make a better effort in the rematch and get us the cover. 

 ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS  when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (IDAHO) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 55-21 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Idaho to cover

Top seeded Lafayette was dramatically upset in the semifinals of their conference tourney last by UT Arlington, 71-68 after looking like they would be going to the NCAA tournament towards the end of late season. Now with huge revenge on board I expect  a Louisiana  side that is a perfect 8-0 ATS L/8  when seeking revenge for a LTKO conference tourney loss the previous season to get us the cover here today. I know the Mavs are a strong team despite of being on a 2 game losing streak but the Cajuns are battle tested after brutal non conference schedule , that seen them play  Power 5 programs Indiana, Arkansas, Missouri and Texas, plus top-5 ranked Gonzaga.

CBB team (LA-LAFAYETTE) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 75-27 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UL Lafayette to cover 

  Greg Marshall’s Shockers basketball program is down quite. few notches this season,  for past incarnations, and are far from the dangerous opponent they have been in the recent past as they're AAC  12-11 SU would indicate. The Shockers have played better of late, but Im sure their in an emotional  letdown spot  after tangling with the Cincinnati Bearcats in a hard fought loss last time out and susceptible to a down effort in what will be back to back road games. Meanwhile Frank Haith’s Tulsa  team is out looking for revenge for a DD loss as visitors to Wichita earlier this month. It must be noted that the Canes are  14-1-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge, and  7-0 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Considering Wichita State is 0-16 L/16 SU in this series when made underdogs  I like our odds here for cashing a ticket on short chalk line. 

Play on Tulsa to cover 

The Razorbacks have struggled a little bit over the past week and have lost their last three games, but overall this team has been competitive and have tremendous talent on their bench thanks to one of the better recruiting classes in the nation and are viable dogs here at explosive Auburn. 

 Razorbacks are 12-13 SU at Auburn, but the 12 wins  ties for second-most by the Razorbacks  victories against any SEC team.The teams split the last four meetings but the Razorbacks have won 10 of the last 12. Head coach Mike Anderson is 8-2 versus Auburn as Arkansas head coach.

In the last three meetings between these sides the Hogs have started quickly and outscored the Tigers by almost 7 points going into the 2nd half.Im betting they will be all over the Tigers again, making them very solid underdogs here in this spot if my projections are correct. 

Some key matchup stats suggest Arkansas must not be disrespected here as underdogs. 

Arkansas is third in the SEC in turnover margin (2.6) and ranks second in turnovers forced (16.48) — which ranks 19th nationally.

Arkansas (1.17) and Auburn (1.16) rank 2-3 in the SEC in assist-to- turnover ratio,

Arkansas (406) and Auburn (379) rank 2-3 in the SEC in assists.

Auburn (9.1 avg) and Arkansas (8.1 avg) rank among the NCAA top 25 in steals.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (AUBURN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games are 31-70 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Arkansas to cover 

UNLV enters the game dumping the cash for their supporters on a regular basis of late , failing to cover 6 of their L/7 . Meanwhile, Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games , and viable bets here vs a poor travelling Rebels squad that is 5-6 SU/ATS on the road this season and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 away.

WYOMING is 7-0 ATS  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

UNLV is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. UNLV is 9-22 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Wyoming to cover

 Avery Johnson’s Alabama enters this game with one goal and that is to get a win here, because if they lose this game  their tournament chances are probably gone.  After two ugly blowout losses they are desperate. With the Tide playing with a sense of urgency Im betting they cross the finish line ahead of the Aggies and get us the win and cover here tonight. 

( note: TexasA&M beat Alabama 81-80 as road dogs about a month agao and now the Tide have revenge on board)

 . ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.ALABAMA is 8-0 ATS  after scoring 55 points or less over the last 3 seasons. 

Johnson is 11-1 ATS  after scoring 55 points or less as the coach of ALABAMA.

 A&M is 9-18 ATS in all home games over the last 2 seasons

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ALABAMA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite 37-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Alabama to cover 

 The Tennessee Vols come off a lopsided loss vs Kentucky that abruptly snapped their undefeated SEC streak this past weekend and are now expected by the public  to angrily come storming out here tonight  and hand out  a beating on hapless Vanderbilt.  The Vols might snatch the win , but how motivated they will be after that big time clash and negative result is something that Im questioning, as its never easy getting back the same energy levels immediately after having taken part in a proverbial heavy weight battle for any competitor. Especially if that competitor was knocked out and humbled in the process.  Add to that the the price on the line offered seems a little exuberant , considering this is a rivalry game that has seen Vandy cover 6 of the L/7 meetings. I know Im playing physiologist here in my perception of this matchup, but from an empirical standpoint my numbers also suggest we have a  mathematical edge on the line no matter what the  situation and thus offers up line value for advantage players. I know it's not easy betting against the Vols, and backing a struggling side like the Commies but its all about edges, and win or lose this methodology must always be in place in my humble opinion. With that said, Im recommending we take the points. 

Drew is 10-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more  assists/game after 15+ games as the coach of VANDERBILT. 

Play on Vanderbilt to cover 

West Virginia is down quite a few notches thanks to inconsistent backcourt, from past Huggins program incarnations, while Kansas State is proving that they are a Big 12 contender. Earlier this season, the Mounties lost a hard fought 71-69 battle on the road in this series, and will be primed for pay back here in the rematch at home despite of being short handed and in a complete tailspin. Note: The Wildcats are expected to be without Dean Wade and Cartier Diarra.

Bob Huggins hasn’t lost to K-State at home since 2013, and despite of what their records might indicate are plausible home dogs in this spot. 

Play on West Virginia to cover 

The Bison host North Carolina Central in their home finale Monday (Feb. 18) for Senior Night, and will be primed to perform but according to my projections , the wrong team is favoured , and the line should be flipped. 

 Each team is coming off of a loss this past Saturday. Howard lost 85-81 at home to NC A&T, while NC Central fell 75-71 in overtime at Norfolk State. 

NC Central is a senior dependent side with  seniors. Raasean Davis, Zacarry Douglas, Jibri Blount and Larry McJr.   accounting for 56 percent of the team's scoring this year and 59 percent of all Eagles points over the team's last five game. Im betting these older guys will be key to us getting a cover here tonight behind a D that has allowed 63.4 points per game in 12 conference games. That will be key against a Howard side, that leads the league in ppg. 

Play on North Carolina Central to cover 

 MEAC foes meet as FAMU squares off against SC St.

Florida A&M has won its last three road games, scoring 74 points, while allowing 70 per game.Florida A&M has been playing shut down defence allowing opposing teams to 67.2 points per game, the second-lowest ppg among all MEAC teams. The Rattlers have allowed just 63.1 points per game against conference opponents.Look for their defense and key offensive cogs   Justin Ravenel, Isaiah Martin and Tracy Hector who have collectively accounted for 42 percent of the team’s scoring this season and 71% of all the Rattlers points over the last five games to be the catalysts for cover here on the road. 

Rattlers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Rattlers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Rattlers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mid-Eastern Athletic.

Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. MEC.

Play on Florida A&M to cover 

The local rivalry is back on Monday afternoon, with Idaho making the trip up to Cheney to take on Eastern Washington.  Idaho (4-20, 1-12 BSC) defeated Eastern Washington (9-15, 7-6 BSC), 74-71, in the first meeting in Moscow and actually matchup well  in head to head systems analysis. 

IDAHO is 34-19 ATS  in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game .E WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS in all lined games this season. 

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (IDAHO) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 46-14 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Idaho to cover 

The Hokies are off two straight wins vs  Georgia Tech and then Pittsburgh this past Saturday  and  now are primed to play a game they have had circled for a long time vs their instate rivals the Virginia Cavs. The Hokies are particularly motivated here thanks to being pounded by a 81-59 count last month by the merciless Cavs and will be out for payback here tonight. I know its never easy going agains the Wahoos, but this situation offers some clear value based on past trends and point spread  mathematics. Note. Virginia Tech is 15-5 ATS log in its last 20 home games when playing with revenge and 8-1 ATS at home with revenge in the series.Virginia Tech is 6-0 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.Virginia Tech is also 13-0 ATS L/13 at home as a dog when seeking revenge. 

Play on Virginia Tech to cover 

 LUC  after last years huge run that took them deep into the NCAAA tourney has become a distant memory for most, but despite of not being as prolific as last season still   lead the MVC with a 9-4 record . Today they could summon up what made them great last season vs a Missouri State team that embarrassed them back in January  by a unbelievable 70-35 blowout score that stung more than a locker room wet towel to the cannolis.  Now with huge revenge on board   Im betting on a huge effort and payback scenario . It must be noted that Missouri State is just 5-15 SU and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games and  despite of that above mentioned victory are just  2-7 ATS mark in this series of late, and have failed to cover 4 of their 5 as  visitors.  

MISSOURI ST is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 season.LOYOLA-IL is 21-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS  after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MISSOURI ST) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less are 16-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Loyola Chicago

According to my projections Pacific in their current form are the superior side and get the nod here on a pickem line in a revenge scenario.

SANTA CLARA is 0-6 ATS in home games off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points over the last 3 season whihc was the case last time out. PACIFIC is 9-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 season.

PACIFIC is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or more turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is 8-1 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (PACIFIC) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 41-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pacific to cover 

The Vols  are 4-point underdogs  in this spot-- which makes  for a greatly value wagering  situation behind the nation's No. 1 team . Tennessee is 11-0 in the SEC and winning league games by an average of 16.6 points per contest, but yet here we are getting points with them, as they face a behemoth public favourite. Don't get me wrong I have all the respect in the World for the Cats, but this is strictly a mathematical play, with a group that is every bit as good as the home side if not better. I know LSU is off a loss vs LSU, and are primed to bounce back and show the world the SEC is still theirs for the taking, but the Vols will not be an easy out, which makes for a viable wagering proposition.The Vols' 23-1 SU record features five wins over top-50 KenPom teams -- most notably neutral-court victories over Gonzaga and Louisville and will not give-up a 19-game winning streak easily vs Kentucky. Note:TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Tennessee to cover 

 This 5-returning starter Harvard squad  played last night and got a win vs Princeton and are in top form.  These kids play smart, and will be ready to grab a victory on back to back nights and  are 6-2  ATS in the last eight matchups with Penn when playing without rest. With Harvard out looking to get revenge  for a loss in last seasons Ivy tournament 68-65 you can payback will be a priority here and a rally call for the Tide.   Note:HARVARD is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

HC Donahue of Penn is 9-22 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%  or more of their attempts after 15+ games in all games and is 4-12 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game as the coach of PENNSYLVANIA.

Play on Harvard to cover 

Iowa has had most of this week off and could be rusty here vs a pesky Rutgers side that is capable of upsetting anyone in the Big 10 in their current form.Note: HC McCaffery is 4-12 ATS in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest as the coach of IOWA and is 4-12 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons. The Scarlet Knights in took out Iowa 80-64 home win on Jan. 17, 2018 and get my support again getting points.  

Play on Rutgers to cover

Eagles enter the game on a three-game winning streak vs Gardner-Webb a strong home team that is undefeated there this season. But Winthrop is a strong enough group to come out of this with a win. 

Winthrop is 4-1 on the road in league play and has won five of the last seven away from home and have to be respected. Winthrop is the league's top scoring team at 85.6 ppg and Gardner-Webb is third at 80.0. 

Eagles lead the  all-time series 22-9 overall and have won 10 straight in the series and get the nod again in a key conference game. 

Play on Winthrop to cover 

analysis to follow-thank you for your patience

Ohio to cover 

 Kansas State has won nine consecutive Big 12 games,  is at the top of the conference standings and are ranked in the top 20. but because of those lofty numbers and stats opponents see a big target on their backs and are coming at Kansas State with a lot of motivation. Kansas, Baylor and Texas came at the Wildcats with some huge intensity levels in each of the last three tilts. The Wildcats trailed at halftime in all three of those games and had to exert a tremendous amount   of energy to come back, and now Im betting all that tenacious work could easily go against them here, vs a Iowa State team that also has endless amounts of energy.The Cyclones are two games behind Kansas State in the standings and need a victory in this game in order to stay in the Big 12 race so they won't be easy outs here. 

 Iowa State to cover 

Richard Pitino's Minnesota  is ranked  13th in the Big Ten in conference  in points per possession allowed, at more than 1.08. The Gophers don't force turnovers, they don't defend FG shooting well and their weak around the rim.  Minnesota has lost its last four games and are down trending in my power rankings making desperate Indiana a pick here for today getting points. 

INNESOTA is 7-23 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons .

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 42-14 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

THE CITADEL is 10-2 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.W CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS  in home games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.HC Baucom is 1-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game as the coach of THE CITADEL.

THE CITADEL is 11-3 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.W CAROLINA is 11-22 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (W CAROLINA) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-38 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

767 Citadel to cover /win

The Aggies (10-3, 3-8) have rebounded with consecutive victories including 3 straight covers and have  been competitive in recent losses to Ole Miss and Tennessee.  Today in this  Southeastern Conference basketball battle Im betting the Texas A&M  are primed to be competitive here today vs a South Carolina side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Im betting senior post Christian Mekowulu, who has recorded 30 points and 25 rebounds in the last two games to be the key to this game and a Aggies cover.

623 Texas A&M  to cover 

 Auburn goes into Nashville today play Vanderbilt early start Saturday tipoff at Memorial Gymnasium . Bruce Pearl’s squad off a tough loss vs Ole Miss last time  could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a 0-12 conference  team that they maybe overlooking  . But  hold your horses , as Bryce Drew’s bottom feeders wont just lay over and die, like some think they will as they are  27-9 SU , including 9-1 SUATS the last ten meetings in this series and must not be underestimated as home dogs . Note:AUBURN is 0-6 ATS  in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Vanderbilt to cover 

Oklahoma (15-10, 3-9 Big 12) travels to Fort Worth for a Saturday morning showdown with TCU (17-7, 5-6 Big 12). In the recent past these two teams have battled in closely contested affairs. The last three meetings between OU and TCU have been decided by a combined six points with the Sooners escaping with victories in all three  and Im betting on a repeat performance here today in this high noon showdown. 

OU has recorded a 22-4 all-time record vs TCU and has won 14 of the last 17 meetings. OU leads the series 11-3 since the Frogs joined the Big 12 in 2012.Oklahoma is also 9-2 when taking on the Horned  Frogs on the road in Fort Worth.

OKLAHOMA is 12-3 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.OKLAHOMA is 16-6 ATS  in all games this season. 

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (OKLAHOMA) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 69-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on on Oklahoma to cover 

The second place Wright State  hosts the first place Northern Kentucky Norse to the WSU Nutter Center Friday night.The Raiders, are currently riding a three-game winning streak and have won seven of the last eight. The Raiders are 11-2 overall and 5-1 in league games at home and haven't lost at the Nutter Center since the overtime slip to UIC on Dec. 28. The visiting the Norse won the first meetings between these rivals by a  68-64  count at NKU on Jan. 11. In that game  and will be primed for revenge. The Raiders won both meetings last year, 69-67 at home, and 84-81 at Northern.

WRIGHT ST is 11-0 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Nagy is 25-8 ATS in home games in February games in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB underdog (N KENTUCKY) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5)  are 37-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Wright State to cover 

 Marist has four of the MAAC's top 12 in three-point %: Isaiah Lamb (5th, .421); David Knudsen (7th, .413); Ryan Funk (11th, .390); and Aleksandar Dozic (12th, .385 and can hang with Quinnipac MAAC leading 3 point totals (10.3 per game)

CBB  A favorite (QUINNIPIAC) - off an upset win as an underdog, on Friday nights are 46-80 ATS  L/5 seasons for go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Marist to cover 

 Brown is a team that must be respected when they have revenge on board behind 5-returning-starters in their lineup.Brown ranks second in the Ivy League in scoring offense (75.1 ppg), scoring defense (68.9 ppg) and field goal defense (.414), while leading the league in 3-point FG defense (.301).Last season this group took a couple  of losses vs Cornell and will now be out get some payback, Meanwhile, the Big Red, are  3-9 SU this season vs winning teams like Brown of late and in the past have been a bankroll draining  8-23 ATS in this series .

Play on Brown to cover 

After winning a pair of road games last weekend at Rider and Saint Peter's, the GoldenGriffins return home this weekend for a pair of MAAC games on well rested legs. The Griffs beat Fairfield 73-68 earlier this season, and matchup well against them and have the edge here at home in the rematch.  

FAIRFIELD is 1-8 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.

CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (FAIRFIELD) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 4-58 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11 ppg. 

Play on Canisius to cover 

 San Diego is a solid team with 4 returning starters back from last season, and have shown flashes of brilliance this season. With revenge on board for a being knocked out of their conference tourney vs BYU last season they will come here primed to give back some  payback. 

The  Cougars are a god awful 2-8 ATS in  away games from Provo this season. BYU is 1-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BYU is 1-11 ATS   in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.

San Diego to cover 

After winning three straight and four of the last five games with a pair of upsets over Top 25 teams Illinois is gaining respect, but the Illini still don't have a true road victory and are  0-6 in visitors role this season. With that said, Im betting Illinois road troubles will continue vs a Ohio State team up trending and  on a 3 game win streak, The Buckeyes took the first game in this series this season by 10 points on the road, and are capable of turning the trick again as -8 chalk as hosts. 

ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with the point diff clicking in at -10.2 ppg.

ILLINOIS is 2-9 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with the average point differential -10.8 ppg. 

CBB underdog vs. the money line (ILLINOIS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 5 points or less against opponent off a close road win by 3 points or less are 0-44 SU L/22 seasons with the average margin loss differential clicking in at -12.2 ppg.

Play on Ohio State to cover 

A Valentine's Day showdown between the College of Charleston (20-6, 9-4 CAA) and Hofstra (21-4, 11-1) will showcase the Colonial Athletic Association's schedule today.Charleston has rattled off six-straight victories since its mid-January 0-2 road trip to Northeastern and Hofstra and are playing their very best hoops at home as is evident by a 11-1 mark here, as compared to Hofstras 7-4 road record. CofC is 4-2 lifetime when playing at home in the series and get the nod again. 

Play on College of Charleston to cover 

Colorado has big time revenge on board tonight for a ugly 83-61 loss at Tempe  last month and will be very motivated to get some payback vs an Arizona State side off an emotional win vs Washington last time out and could easily be in letdown spot. With that said, Im betting a energized group of Buffaloes now playing their best hoops of the season will avenge that previous loss and extend their current 3 game win streak.CU is 7-1 all-time against the Sun Devils in Boulder, including four straight wins.

ARIZONA ST is 5-17 ATS off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.Hurley is 11-21 ATS  in road games against conference opponents as the coach of ARIZONA ST.

ARIZONA ST is 4-13 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 6-0 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 8-1 ATS in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.Boyle is 18-4 ATS  in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 as the coach of COLORADO.

Play on Colorado to cover 

 After a fast start to their current campaign that saw them go 13-1 SU NC State with the easiest non conference schedule in the nation has cooled off quite a bit. ,  losing 6 of their L/9 while covering just twice during that time. Considering the series host is just 2-7-1 ATS  I wont be surprised when Boheim and company cover and or pull off the SU upset vs a side that has become very inconsistent. Note:  North Carolina State won the first meeting between the teams under new head coach Kevin Keatts, winning 74-70 in the Carrier Dome last year, and now the visitors will have the extra motivation of looking for payback here.

Matchup analysis: North Carolina State full-court defense and transition offense Im betting will have some issues  when they push the tempo vs Syracuse methodical 2-3 zone. The Wolfpack can fight for rebounds in the offensive zone, but   they are one of ACC’s  worst defensive rebounding teams and that's where Im betting they will get in trouble.

Play on Syracuse to cover  

Up-trending St. Bonaventure travels to Philadelphia looking for a sweep of this year's series with Saint Joseph's Tuesday night.St. Bonaventure has won its last three Atlantic 10 road games, winning at UMass, Richmond and Duquesne.St. Bonaventure dominated St.Josephs in the first game and  led from start to finish  by a final score of 73, 47. Now St.Josephs is being made home favs here. While they might want revenge, St.Josephs looks like they don't matchup well vs this current group of Bonnies and in my opinion false favorites. The Bonnies have won the last nine of the last 10 meetings and get the nod again.

 .ST BONAVENTURE is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons

CBB underdog (ST BONAVENTURE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 62-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on St.Bonaventure to cover 

Purdue  currently on a 8 game win streak held Maryland to 28.6 percent shooting in second half of 62-60 win on Dec. 6. That matchup showed me how well the Boilermakers matchup against Maryland and gives me credence backing them to win and cover here tonight on the road in the rematch . Also since that victory All of the data shows 12th-ranked Purdue is a different team than when its Dec. 6 win over Maryland and could be even more ferocious this time around. Purdue  has won the last 5 meetings in this series.

Note: Maryland has not scored more than 70 points in over a month which is not a good omen vs a  Purdue side that  is ranked fourth nationally in offensive efficiency.

Maryland is ranked last in the Big 10 in turnover diff. 

Purdue has won three straight Big Ten road games by a combined 25 points.

PURDUE is 11-3 ATS  vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons.( Maryland is ranked No.1 in Big 10 rebounding margin at 8.9 pg)

Play on Purdue to cover 

Both these teams are struggling but according to my power rankings and system vs system data, the visitors are actually the superior team on a short line. My personal line for this game makes the wrong team the favorite in this spot play.

Play on Arkansas Pine Bluff to cover 

Roy Williams North Carolina's  owns an explosive offence that can hang with Virginias offence and also give hem issues defensively, much like Duke proved last Saturday when they took out Cavs in front of their own fans. Here on the road, vs the Tar Heels, an emotionally spent  Cavaliers will once again find themselves in trouble in a very unfriendly atmosphere. Add to that   the Tar Heels have revenge on board for a 71-63 loss to Virginia in the 2018 ACC Championship game and  Im betting you have a recipe for the Cavs suffering their second consecutive loss. 

Home team is 10--1 ATS L/11 meetings in this series.

N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is 10-1 ATS  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. 

NC is  18-1 SU as a host i in this series when they own a win percentage of .666 or greater.

N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS  in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons. 

Play North Carolina to cover 

Stanford  currently on a three game win streak earned a 35-point win (96-61) at Maples Pavilion in the lone meeting last season and you can bet Altman and company have had this game circled on their calendars for a while and will be prepared to return the favour in front of their own fans . Im betting Oregon winners of 3 of their L/4 overall get their revenge and cover according to my own projections that suggest the Ducks are being under valued as favs.  My line is  -8 points favouring Oregon on their own home floor. 

Under coach Dana Altman, Oregon has a 52-21 record (.712) during the second half of Pac-12 play.

STANFORD is 0-6 ATS  off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.OREGON is 10-0 ATS in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Oregon to cover 

Northwestern enters this game  having limited opponents to shooting just 29.1 percent from beyond the arc this season, the best mark in the conference and 12th best nationally. Iowa their Big 10 hosts tonight have made 37.3%  of their three-point attempts and has attempted the fourth-most threes in the conference. This Im betting will be key to Northwestern staying close vs Hawkeyes' big town town game.

My own projections estimate that Northwestern will score 67+ points or more, whihc sets up well for us covering, as NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 ATS in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB underdog (NORTHWESTERN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 61-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northwestern to cover 

 The UMBC   (14-10, 6-3 America East) looks for its third consecutive road win in America East when they  go against the inconsistent Maine Black Bears (5-19, 3-6) this Sunday. UMBC had a 5 game losing streak come to end last time out, but will be very ready to rebound here today, behind a solid D, that leads the league in scoring defense at 63.3 points per game.UMBC has won nine consecutive games in the series and are 5-0 at Maine since the 2014 season and get the nod again.

Maryland Baltimore to cover 

I know the Sun Devils  might not look like a viable choice for public bettors to beat a team on 12 game win streak. But it must be noted that Arizona State is one of the few teams  that can handle a  2-3 zone defense like Washington owns. Also the Huskies after a hard fought win vs Arizona last time out on the road will now have a hard time rising to the occasion again, and may actually be emotionally drained against a reved up team ready to play hard and garner an upset. ASU tenacious ball snatching work will go a long way to them getting us the win here. The Sun Devils are  the Pac-12 leader in rebounding margin (+6.6), has outrebounded 18 of 22 opponents this year.

ARIZONA ST is 7-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) over the last 2 seasons and is 6-0 ATS   versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Arizona State to cover 

The top two teams in the Southland Conference will toe   when the first-place Sam Houston State Bearkats travel to second-place Abilene Christian at Moody Coliseum. This promises to be a barn burner but Sam Houston according to my power rankings is the superior teams and viable bet getting points.Sam Houston is currently one of just 10 teams  in the country with an unbeaten record within  conference play. The Kats 11-game win streak is tied with defending national champion Villanova and Pac 12 leader Washington for the third-longest current win streak in the nation, only trailing No. 1 Tennessee (16 games) and No. 4 Gonzaga (12 games).

Take the points wit Sam Houston to cover 

Almost a month ago both these teams took part in a ferocious battle and now Duke and Virginia are back at it in another Top 5 matchup Saturday.Both teams are tied with North Carolina atop the ACC standings at 8-1 in conference play so this is a key game for them . Virginia is depending way to much  on their 3-point shooting ,  and Duke is the kind of team that can make them take bad threes as was evident when , the Cavaliers went  just 3-for-17 (17.6 percent) from deep in the previous meeting.Duke because of their size and strength don't need to pound threes and make a majority of their scores from in close . Virginia Im betting is susceptible to being manhandled in in the paint here tonight and with  Tre Jones back from injury the   Blue Devils look hard to handle. I know Virginia is on a 27-1 run at home, but I won't be surprised if a 2 is added into the loss column after this final buzzer goes off today.

VIRGINIA is 0-9 ATS L/9 in home games after having won 18 or more of their last 20 games. 

Play on Duke to cover 

The Gators pushed Vols Jan. 12 in Gainesville before falling 78-67 and actually matchup well vs this top ranked team form a empirical   power ranking viewpoint.... based on system vs system analysis.

Tennessee has allowed SEC opponents to make at least 10 3-pointers in five of nine league games this season so far. It must be noted that Florida made 12 in the teams’ first meetings, tying Texas A&M for the most 3s the Vols have surrendered to an opponent all season and it will be the Gators 3 point shooting Im betting that will keep them close in this affair and get us the all important cover. 

CBB road team (FLORIDA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 352-240 L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Florida to cover 

South Carolina got hammered by Kentucky last time out and now have to taken a red hot Arkansas side on a 4 game win streak. However, despite of  how downtrodden the Gamecocks might seem, they still have beat Mississippi State, Florida and Auburn, with the conference losses coming to Kentucky , LSU, and Tennessee. Now in desperation mode I expect the home team to play big here this afternoon and notch a win vs a side that is surprising me and over rated according to my matchup projections and systems. Note: In SEC home contests this season, Carolina is averaging 80.5 points per game, 44.2 percent from the field and 70.9 percent from the free throw line.

ARKANSAS is 9-22 ATS L/31 in road games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread. ARKANSAS is 1-8 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was a the case in a 69-66 win vs Vanderbilt last time out. 

Play on South Carolina to cover 

Cleveland State, has struggled with injuries and illness, but  will  be primed to seek a measure of revenge against Milwaukee after the Panthers rallied to win the first game of the season between the two teams 83-76 in Milwaukee on Jan. 3. The Phoenix are on a 4 games losing streak, and very much look like a desperate home team can handle, especially behind the incentive of revenge on their sides.

CLEVELAND ST is 7-0 ATS  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Cleveland State to cover 

 UK enters this SEC fray vs Mississippi State on a 9-0 SU run and in their last game trounced  South Carolina by DDs. The Cats also beat todays hosts the Bulldogs 76-55   at Lexington during that above mentioned win streak and will now have to face a team with revenge on board , as they themselves have a big target on their backs at the moment, because of their torrid top tier play .Note:MSU as a home dog  with same-season loss revenge, are 6-0-1 ATS  L/7 when the loss was by 14 or more points . Miss State HC Howland is no pushover , and will have  his troops ready to stand tall and extend on a   11-1 ATS as home underdog in his career here and are  3-0-1 ATS as a home dog in this series.

This is a huge game for Mississippi State as they are slumping after a hot start, but  are now 4-4 in SEC games and are in desperate need of a big win to keep their NCAA Tournament dreams alive. 

Mississippi State to cover 

The lines makers have made the Toreros short road favs here, and those assessments are correct according to my power rankings. San Diego beat Loyola Marymount 71-58 at home earlier this season in conference play, and matchup well vs the Lions. I know the Lions have been potent at home this season, as their 10-1 record as hosts would indicate, but San Diego has won the last two meetings here at the Gersten Pavilion and are a viable side. It must be noted that San Diego are a well conditioned team  that gets stronger as games progress. The Toreros  have outscored opponents 932-824 during the second half this season, while shooting 51 percent from the field and 41 percent from 3-point range.  
 In the final five minutes of games, USD is shooting a powerful 51 percent from the field and 37 percent from 3-point range, while their D is holding opponents to 45 percent from the field and 30 percent from 3-point range. These are important data and stats  trends points when considering this  is essentially a pickem game and expected to be closely contested. 

SAN DIEGO is 18-7 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons and is 24-11 ATS  in road games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on San Diego to cover 

Portland State comes off a narrow loss at Idaho State on Saturday, 69-67. The Vikings had won three straight prior to that, including a win at Weber State last Thursday as they continue to play solid competitive basketball, making them viable road underdogs here in this spot vs Northern Colorado. I know NCU has done well of late and the lines makers respect them, but now their getting a little bit to much respect vs a hardworking opponent . 

N COLORADO is 4-17 ATS L/21 after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite .

Play on Portland State to cover  

The Wildcats are in desperation mode after having list 4 of their L/5 overall. Biut tonight according to my power rankings have system they matchup well against and have an edge at where they have won four straight home games against Washington and nine of the past 10 hosting the Huskies.

The Wildcats are 95-5 at home in their last 100 home games, which dates back to the 2012-13 season. Arizona's 92-5 mark at home since the start of the 2013-14 season is tops nationally. Im betting the Wildcats ability to limit mistakes will be key to taking down the visitors tonight.The Wildcats are averaging 11.3 turnovers per game, which is the fewest of any team in the Pac-12. and overall  has a turnover margin of +3.8, which leads the Pac-12, and is 15th-best in the country.

CBB team (ARIZONA) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 59-19 ATS L5seasons for a 77%conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Arizona to cover 

The Red Wolves have played four overtime games this season, and despite of a negative record are almost always competitive. There  is sharp money all over Arkansas State and Im not blaming my colleagues one bit for taking the points here in a game that have handicapped at closer to 3 points , thus we are getting the value of a one possession game according to my projections. 

Play on Arkansas State to cover 

  Houston Cougars  have been on a tear this season  but tonight against a revenge minded UCF team Im betting they're in trouble.   Last season,  UCF had their proverbial butts kicked by a 84-56, count  in the first round of last year’s AAC tourney  by the Cougars and UCF has had this game circled their calendar for a while now. Add to that   Houston is off a game with Temple  last time out  and are in a natural letdown situation and also are in a precarious  look ahead situation  with Cincinnati on deck.With UCF almost always playing their best hoops at home as is evident by a  36-8 SU record as hosts under HC Dawkins), the Knights look like solid underdogs in this spot. 

UCF is 7-0 ATS  in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.

Play on UCF to cover 

High Point has won seven of the last eight matchups in this series vs Campbell and get the nod again behind a hard core rebound group that leads  the Big South Conference and is 12th in the nation with a rebounding margin of +7.8 rebounds per game. This tenacious High point squad have held a rebounding edge in 17 of their last 18 contests. There in close and physical inside style of play has seen the Panthers score 60.0 percent of their points from 2-point FG, the second-highest ratio in the nation. Im betting Tubby Smiths gritty take no prisoners style of hoops will put them in a positive situation here on their own home floor vs Campbell. 

Play on High Point to cover 

Wisconsin has revenge on board for a loss thye suffered to Minnesota about a month ago at home, and will now be hell bent on getting even here. Minnesotas HC Richard Pitino has seen his team go just 1-7 /0-8 ATS L/8 in conference situation vs a avenging side like the Badgers. With that said, Im betting on a Badgers team that is 4-1 SU in conference road games this season to deliver the cash for us tonight. 

Wisconsin to cover 

Ole Miss after a quick start to their campaign are coming back down to earth and have lost 4 straight games, and 5 of their L/6 and  are wobbly favs at this time. I know Texas A&M do not inspire bettors in their current form, but its not like their incapable of pulling off upsets as was the case vs Alabama and Kansas State already this season . Also after playing against Tennessee last time out this will seem  like a proverbial walk in the park for the Aggies. note: A&M owns a 6-2 lead in the all-time series between the schools and has won each of the last three meetings.

TEXAS A&M is 10-2 ATS  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Texas A&M to cover 

The Aztecs  are on a three game win streak and have been victorious in four of their last five tilts (lone loss was a four-point defeat at Fresno State).Since Jan. 15 (includes SDSU's last five games), the Aztecs own a scoring margin of +11.8 which is tied for 24th nationally. My power rankings show them in upward trajectory, while the opposite is true for their hosts New Mexico a team that has lost 6 of their L/7 overall. I know its never easy playing here at the Pit, vs the Lobos, but it must be noted that San Diego State has handed New Mexico seven of its last 42 losses here since the 2006 season. 

SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS  when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons and is 9-2 ATS  off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on San Diego State to cover 

NC State is off a dismal performance last time out , shooting at a just a 16.7 % clip and converting of just 9 of 54 shots losing a choppy 43-27 affair vs Virginia Tech as chalk. That ugly effort came after they had taken power house Virginia to OT in their previous game. The Wolfpack left everything on the floor in that tilt vs the Cavs, and still lost and were in an emotional letdown sandwich spot vs the Hokies in the followup knowing  this game vs their instate rivals North Carolina was on deck. Now rejuvenated and ready to get back to work, Im betting on NC State being a viable underdog in this spot. Note NC State HC Keatts is 9-0 ATS L/9  after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse . ( NC State is 15-2 this season when it shoots 30% or better from beyond the arc  and 1-4 when it shoots under 30% from down town.)

 UNC won the earlier meeting this season between the two programs at PNC Arena, 90-82.

- NC State won last season at Chapel Hill, defeating the Tar Heels 95-91 in overtime

NC STATE is 30-15 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. 

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (NC STATE) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 42-12 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and if we tighten those perimeters and base it on Tuesday nights games the under has cashed 24 of 28 times for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NC State to cover 

Both these teams are on 5 game losing streaks, but Pittsburgh according to my power rankings is the superior team here and deserves respect as short chalk. I know the Panthers have dropped 19 consecutive road contests, including their past 16 ACC road games, but all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end and thats what Im betting on here tonight in Winston-Salem. 

Pittsburgh key advantage will come via  their D, as Pitt ranks fifth in the ACC and tied for 20th nationally in field goal percentage defense (.397).The Panthers have held nine opponents below 40 %  shooting from the field and here vs a Wake Forest side that has  a 39.9% FG conversion rate , the Panthers have a hefty edge on a short line. 

WAKE FOREST is 7-21 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons and 7-21 ATS as a conference underdog. 

PITTSBURGH is 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games. WAKE FOREST is 4-15 ATS  versus teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (PITTSBURGH) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%), on Tuesday nights are 44-19 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

 Kent State is off an impressive never say die 83-80 overtime victory last time out against a desperate Ball State team. The win gave Kent State its second overtime win in its last three games and improved the squad to 7-0 in games decided by five points or fewer. The Flashes have shown their tenaciousness and ability to win  in close games, and get the nod again in a tilt vs MIAMI OHIO  in a matchup the  linesmakers once again expect to be close. 

KENT ST is 22-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Kent State to cover 

Idaho (4-16, 1-8 BSC) is 11-9 all-time against Southern Utah (9-10, 4-6 BSC).  Last season, Idaho won both regular season matchups but fell in the Big Sky Tournament. Tonight  in revenge mode against a Southern Utah  team on a 3 game losing streak, and playing without senior Dwayne Morgan ( 13 ppg) the struggling  and desperate Vandals, will be primed to pull off the upset.

Note:  Something about the cold month of February as the Vandals have been on a big run in Big Sky play in the month of February since rejoining the conference.  In the last four seasons, Idaho has recorded a Big Sky record of 21-9 in February conference games, compared to a 26-25 record outside of February.

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IDAHO) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses of 5 points or less are 41-16 ATSL/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Idaho to cover 

Louisville is off a loss last time out, but will be primed for a bounce back here this week against a Virginia Tech program that the Cardinals have dominated over the years. Note: The University of Louisville is 14-0 SU in its last 14 games against Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, VTech is off a bizarre game last time out that they won by a 47-24 count vs NC State. They played choppy physical ball in that game, and could easily feel the effects of that tilt here vs a Louisville side that  has won 3 of their 4 ACC road games, vs N.Carolina, Gtech, and Wake Forest and lost by just 3 points to Pittsburgh . With that said, my power rankings suggest that the Cardinal matchup very well vs the Techsters and get my backing in this spot. LOUISVILLE is 19-10 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Louisville to cover