After Long Beach State won its home opener for the ninth straight season, the Beach will now return to the road to take on PAC 12 opponent Stanford. This is a very young Long Beach State team, but they have enough pure talent to stay competitive here tonight. 

Long Beach State  to cover 

at Moda Center - Portland, OR  

Memphis’ No. 1 recruiting class  will have their hands full with an experienced Oregon backcourt . Lots of talent but a lack of experience will be the Tigers demise in this spot.

OREGON is 8-1 ATS  in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.Altman is 9-1 ATS  in road games after a game with 24 or more assists in all games he has coached which was the case in a DD beat down of Boise State last time out. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 54-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover 

North Texas   Mean Green returns three under rated  starters: Gibson, Roosevelt and Zachary Simmons. Coach McCasland  and must be respected here as underdogs vs a SEC group from Arkansas. Despite of the discrepancies on paper this program must not be underestimated in their ability to cover.  Note:  Rebounding has been a key point of emphasis for the Mean Green this season who during the offseason added considerable size. In a hostile environment , UNT matched the nationally ranked Rams last time out on the boards as each team grabbed 31.UNT turned its 12 offensive rebounds into 16 points while VCU who also grabbed 12 offensive rebounds could only muster up seven second-chance points. Arkansas is going to have their hands full here tonight. 

N TEXAS is 8-1 ATS  as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

N.Texas  to cover 

Davidson last at Auburn last time out, failing to live up their early season, hype. After watching parts of that game Im betting there is work be done in Wildcat land and living on reputation alone will not get done. I know Charlotte does not inspire bettors , but getting 10 plus points here on home court according to my projections makes for a viable underdog call. 

DAVIDSON is 15-30 ATS L/45 in road games after playing a game as a road underdog.  

Charlotte  to cover 

The home team has won every game in the all-time series and Im betting Marist here on their own home floor gets the job done again.

Marist won their first game on the road as underdogs last time out, and have been good bets in the past under these perimeters going  18-7 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog .

Play on Marist to cover 

American was picked third in the Patriot League Preseason Coaches Poll and are a up trending under rated team getting points. AU is off to a 0-2 start after losses at Siena and against William & Mary, but according to my early season head to head matchup power rankings matchup well vs George Washington. 

Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on American to cover 

Xavier lost 71-56 in Columbia, Mo. last season, and now have revenge on board. Both teams are 2-0 but home court advantage and pay back with a motivated group will be key to a cover for us here today behind what I bet is an improved interior D. XAVIER is 13-3 ATS L/16  in home games off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. 

Play on Xavier to cover 

A win on Tuesday would move UMass to 3-0 on the young season, its best start since the 2015-16 campaign and Im betting they get it. Tuesday will be UMass' second of three games this season against in-state opponents like Northeastern. Since the 2011-12 season, the Minutemen are 15-4 (.789) against teams from Massachusetts.

Play on Umass to cover

 When Pitt plays Robert Morris on Tuesday night, serving as the first guest in the Colonials’ new home, Jeff Capel knows what to expect.

“The place will be jumping,” Pitt’s coach said.

This is the grand opening of the new 45 million dollar facility for Robert Morris so Im betting on them stepping up their game and getting us the cover . 

Pittsburgh is off a  loss to Nicholls State, 75-70, on Saturday, and showed me their a long way from prime time. 

PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS  in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

Robert Morris to cover 

Pacific faces Hawaii in an early season matchup. Pacific blew out Florida A&M by 22 in its last outing. Hawaii lost 81-75 loss at home against South Dakota in its most recent game. Pacifc had a much easier time than Hawaii and will be fresher, after Hawaii worked hard in loss to South Dakota. Advantage Pacific.

Warriors are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. West Coast.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Stoudamire is 10-2 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of PACIFIC. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

Towson looks to have a special group this season, and  leads the Colonial Athletic Association (CAA) in scoring defense (44.5), field goal percentage defense (31.6), 3-point field goal percentage defense (21.1), rebounding (26.0), blocked shots (4.5), steals (13.0), scoring margin (+41.5), rebounding margin (+15.0) and turnover margin (+11.0).Towson is 2-0 for the first time since 2016 and get my support here vs Kent State.Towson is averaging 16 assists in its two games.The Tigers have scored 40 points in three consecutive halves.The Tigers averaged 1.351 points per possession against Bryn Athyn. Gibson has scored 24.2 percent of Towson's 95 bench points.

Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Golden Flashes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.

KENT ST is 0-7 ATS  at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Towson to cover

 Central Michigan has 3 returning starters while Miss Valley State has no returning starters. MVS lost their first two games, by landslide scores to Iowa State (110-74) and Utah (143-49). MISS VALLEY ST is 1-9 ATS  after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half . Meanwhile,Central Michigan smashed MICHIGAN-DEARBORN by a 102-62 count in their opener. Davis is 16-3 ATS after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of C MICHIGAN. Bottom line: While I do not expect a record setting 94 point margin of victory  like the Utes layed down on the Delta Devils, but  I do  like Central Michigan to dominate  behind a very well balanced offense  that ranks 31st in offensive efficiency and a defence that works hard to get better. Mississippi Valley State ranks 346th in defensive efficiency since last season and rank 274th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.208). The Chippewas rank 45th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.190). Advantage Central Michigan. 

CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (MISS VALLEY ST) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 175 points or more are 7-29 ATS L/22 seasons for go against conversion rate of 81% with the average ppg diff clicking in at 34.8 ppg.

Play on Central Michigan to cover 

Coming off a 71-57 win over Fresno State in their season opener, No. 15 Oregon draws another Mountain West Conference opponent at home on Saturday when it faces the Boise State Broncos in Eugene, Ore. This time around Im betting Oregon will have a much tougher time getting a win and more importantly a cover vs a Boise State team that  is coming off a 126-49 win over NAIA Life Pacific on Tuesday. The 126 points represent a single-game school record, as is the 77-point margin of victory. Rice is 46-22 ATS after allowing 60 points or less as the coach of BOISE ST.

The Broncos are 2-8 all-time against the Ducks, but have won two of the last five meetings.

Play on Boise State to cover 

at Sanford Pentagon - Sioux Falls, SDOklahoma has been dominant in non-conference play in recent seasons, boasting a combined 23-3 record in its last 26 non-league regular-season games. In non-conference play since 2017-18, Oklahoma is 9-3 against major conference schools (ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Pac-12, SEC) and 12-3 in games played away from Norman. 

Golden Gophers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.Golden Gophers are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 vs. Big 12.Oklahoma is 16-5-1 ATS L/21 vs non conference oppositon.

 Play on Oklahoma Sooners to cover 

 St.Joh's under HC Mike Anderson looks tenacious as was evident when the  Red Storm smashed  Mercer in their home opener by a  109-79 count .The Red Storm high pressured attack can cause teams to break down quickly especially a side like Central Connecticut that  ranked 264th in offensive turnover percentage last season. 

 Central Connecticut State is a hoops program in a rebuild mode as  head coach Donyell Marshall  trys to replace four   starters from last season’s  11 win squad.It must be noted the Blue Devils ranked 301st in offensive efficiency and 313th in defensive efficiency last season and could find it hard to get out of their own way here this afternoon vs an explosive side on their own home floor here Carnesecca Arena. This is an easy lay for me.

Blue Devils are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Blue Devils are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

Red Storm are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.Red Storm are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Play on St.Johns to cover 

Public drilling this line with high expectations from the media for USC, and the perception of Portland being a lower tier teams from an inferior conference. The Pilots run with a small lineup, with their tallest player forward Tahirou Diabate standing 6-foot-9,  but have an edge here on a slightly bloated line. 

Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Trojans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Trojans are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.

Play on Portland to cover 

 at Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

It will be the season opener for South Dakota, so may they well be rusty.   Pacific already won their first game of the season behind an experienced group of retuning players and should be a hand full for South Dakota tonight. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

The burn of losing a home opener for the first time in 17 years stung for Grand Canyon last time out. I believe that this usually well coached group got looking ahead to this this tilt with Illinois. Illinois is the first Power Five visitor to GCU Arena since the Lopes gave Louisville a scare three years ago.

QUOTE:"Illinois is a tough team but we'll be ready for it, a lot more ready than we were Tuesday, that's for sure," Jenkins said.

"I was talking to my teammates and saying, 'What's done is done.' We can erase all of that by going and winning that game Friday. That's a big game and a big team. It's a tough task but I know we're more than capable of beating them. END QUOTE:

Grand Canyon on their own home floor will be a formidable pesky opponent for Illinois and I recommend we take the points. 

Fighting Illini are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Antelopes are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Grand Canyon to cover 

Alumni Hall - Annapolis, MD

 A top tier matchup at the  Veterans Classic features No. 24 Auburn vs. Davidson. Two teams that my early season power rankings suggest are very evenly matched .Auburn is down a bit this season after  losing three key starters from last years final four group which accounts for  42 points per game of scoring and filling those sharp shooting spots will extremely difficult. Meanwhile,   Davidson is very experienced as they return all five starters from last season 24 victory team that will Im betting take advantage of the Tigers inexperienced back court. 

McKillop is 74-40 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DAVIDSON.

Play on Davidson to cover 

 Syracuse  is being highly touted as usual under the tut-ledge of Jim Boheim, but he has his work cut out for him early on this  season after  losing four starters from last years team ,  while  also adding a five-player freshman class.  This is now a rebuilding program, with some top tier  talent but a great deal of inexperience , which is never great when going against a defending champion such as Virginia.  Tonight I am expecting Virginias extremely organized  and tenacious pack line D, to dominate and to continue the recent string of Cavalier owner ship over the Orange. Note:  Virginia has won three in a row vs Syracuse,  which includes their last two visits to the Carrier Dome by an average of 20.5 points.

VIRGINIA is 10-1 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons wit the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.4 ppg. and s 9-1 ATS  as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.

Virginia to cover 

Both these teams struggled last season, greatly, and are pretty evenly matched according to my projections as this season begins thus giving us value with the underdog here.McNeese, which lost 13 of its last 17 regular-season games including its last three, will put out a different roster compared to last season. The group they now have is under rated.

Take the points with McNeese State to cover 

“The Ugliest National Championship” in history is what many are calling this game. But one of these ugly Bettys is going to get my money, and that is Virginia.  I know Texas Tech has looked tremendous, in this tournament , but the Cavs wont be easily intimidated by the Raiders style of play especially with key cog  6-foot-10 Tariq Owens expected to play at less than 100% ( ankle injury).  Meanwhile Virginia has remained steady from day 1 of this season, and are playing with a chip on their shoulders, after some recent early exits from the big dance. Both have top tier defences, but in my humble opinion Virginia is more battle tested after competing against teams like Duke this season. Im nit taking anything away from Texas Tech , but their win against Michigan State was in my humble opinion their best of the season, which has tainted this line. Note: VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better over the last 3 seasons. VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS in road games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite this season. ( The Cavs beat Auburn by 1 point in the Final 4 as 5 point + chalk)

CBB favorite (VIRGINIA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less  PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 62-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Virginia to cover 

The Spartans have faired well against havoc style defenses in their last two games against  Duke and LSU  and Im betting they will be able to deal with what Texas Tech will bring.  Izzo and company can play any style that is thrown at them. Remember what the great Bruce Lee said,“You must be shapeless, formless, like water. When you pour water in a cup, it becomes the cup. When you pour water in a bottle, it becomes the bottle. When you pour water in a teapot, it becomes the teapot. Water can drip and it can crash. Become like water my friend.”  END QUOTE:

Well Izzo is the Bruce Lee of basketball. A true master.( Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo is 22-0 SU   as a favorite in the NCAA Tourney when coming off a SUATS victory )

Tonight Im betting the key will be The Spartans  ability to control the board as Texas Tech only ranks 188th in the country in offensive rebounding percentage. I know alot is being said, about the Elite D, that the Raiders own, but the Spartans defense is  also  top tier ranking ninth overall in adjusted defensive efficiency and second in 2-point shooting percentage while smothering  opponents to a 31.2%  conversion rate from beyond the arc.

MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games this season .

Teams like Texas Tech n the Final Four Round if they lost SU in the first round of their conference tourney are 0-9 ATS. No.1 

Teams like the Raiders who beat No. 1 seed in the Elite 8 round are only 1-12 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in Final Four games since 1992 , when riding a 3-game ATS win streak. 

No. 1 seed in the Elite 8 round are only 1-12 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in Final Four games since 1992.

Play on Michigan State to cover 

NCAA Tournament - Final Four - US Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN

From day one of this season, I liked Virginia to have a very strong chance at winning it all, and Im not about to change my mind here as Im betting the Cavaliers defence will trump Pearls explosive offence. It's a old adage that offence can get you to a championship but defence will win it for you, and nothing changes in this battle.  Auburn in their first final four appearance in the history of the program  has had a great run , but Im betting that their hot streak will end vs the last No.1 Seed still in the tournament, Virginia. It must be noted that  Final Four and championship games  have not produced alot of  winning underdog tickets. Since 2005 pups are just 16-25-1 ATS.  Up trending dogs  are public darling, but have been less than profitable during the above mentioned span cashing just 5 of the L/14 times. Lower seed in the Final Four or finals are just 9-20 ATS and 5-24 straight up. 

Dating back 34 seasons, 14 programs have made their Final Four debuts. Of those teams, only four have  advanced  to the championship game. 

VIRGINIA is 8-2 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.  VIRGINIA is 11-1 ATS  after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season. VIRGINIA is 9-0 ATS  in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

CBB favorite (VIRGINIA) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 32-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Virginia 

NIT - Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

TCU matches up well vs Texas. It must be noted that TCU is 11-3 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. 

TEXAS is 4-19 ATS  as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TCU) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 25-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (TCU) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 74-33 ATS  L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on TCU to cover 

CBI Tournament - Championship Series - Game 1 (Best of 3)

From my head to head and player to player power ranking system, the wrong team is favored here. Note:  DePauls offense is explosive  and  South Florida will have-a hard time slowing down a side that has scored 90 or more points  in 6 of their L/7 trips to the floor. 

With  that said, I recommending backing DePaul in Game 1 of this series.

Blue Demons are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bulls are 19-39 ATS in their last 58 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulls are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 vs. Big East.Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Bulls are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

DEPAUL is 23-8 ATS  in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls since 1997. 

S FLORIDA is 5-14 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. S. FLORIDA is 16-30 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1997. S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS  after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse over the last 3 seasons. 

CBB road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DEPAUL) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 104-50 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on DePaul to cover 

NCAA - East Regional Finals - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC

Duke looks a little bit over rated at the moment, of course outside of Zion Williamson. The rest of the Blue Devils seem tentative, and unsure of themselves, which is never a great thing against a team like Tom Izzos Michigan State. They should have lost to UCF and maybe even to  Virginia Tech , because of their inability to control the glass a, but today the Blue Devils luck Im betting will running out  vs a Michigan State side that ranks 21st in the nation in offensive rebounding . Im also betting the Spartans’ half-court defence to wreak havoc on Dukes downtown shots , and their aggressive physical nature to take Duke out of their comfort zone. 

MICHIGAN ST is 11-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) this season. MICHIGAN ST is 18-3 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.

DUKE is 2-12 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots after 15+ games this season.DUKE is 4-11 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games this season. 

Play on Michigan State to cover 

Teams in the NCAA tourney like Auburn   who are off a explosive offensive effort of 80 points or more are 43-80-4 (35.0%) ATS since 2005. Running and gunning like that and scoring that many points alot of times results in a team being in an emotional letdown spot which Im betting will be the case here vs Kentucky this Sunday. Note:Kentucky went 2-0 vs. Auburn during the 2018-19 season, edging the Tigers 82-80 in Alabama on Jan. 19 before obliterating the men of Pearl 80-53 in Rupp Arena on Feb. 23 and matchup very well vs Auburn . Also the 3rd time is charm scenario dished out by pundits, and  that perpetuate the myth that its hard to beat a team 3 straight times especially if the 3rd game comes in the NCAA  tournament is a bunch of quackery,  as is evident by the fact that  in the last 10 seasons, the team that is 2-0 in a matchup has garnered victory 72% of the time . With that said   Im betting against a 3rd times a charm rebound scenario in this spot. Im betting on Kentucky moving on and getting us the cover in the process.

Play on Kentucky to cover 

Virginia looks offensively inept  to public bettors draining just  53 points in its victory versus the  Oregon Ducks. However,  it must be noted, however, that hoops programs that scored  less than 60 points  last time out  have gone 171-115-7 (60%) ATS in the NCAA Tournament, including 8-2 ATS in the Elite Eight onward to Final four and championship game. Purdue lives and dies with its 3 point shooting, and Im betting they will have issues vs the 2nd ranked beyond the arc D in the nation. Also teams in the NCAA tourney like Purdue who are off a explosive offensive effort of 80 points or more are 43-80-4 (35.0%) ATS since 2005 ( the Boilermakers scored 99 points vs Tennessee last time out to advance) Im expecting Purdue to run into a natural letdown situation and a nasty D, in a double whammy loss and failure to cover in this Elite 8 game. 

Virginia to cover 

Underdogs like Texas Tech off a suffocating top tier defensive game have gone 168-123-6 (58%) ATS since 2005 in the NCAA Tourney. Note: HC  Beard is 24-9 ATS  after allowing 55 points or less in all games he has coached since 1997. Meanwhile,  teams like Gonzaga who scored  70 points more more  last time out are just  301-330 ATS ( 47%)  in the NCAA tourney. In a game that features a extremely strong D with the Raiders, against a Bulldogs side that owns a high proficiency offence, Im betting the D has an edge. Remember how at the end of the season in the West Coast Conference finals how St.Marys upset Gonzaga, well Tech is built the same way, and have even better overall athletes than the Gaels and must not be underestimated as underdogs in this spot. 

Few is 9-18 ATS  when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament as the coach of GONZAGA.Beard is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games as the coach of TEXAS TECH.

Play on Texas Tech to cover 

NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC

UCF gave us a glimpse of what it takes to beat Duke by going zone on defence and forcing Duke to the out side. If it were not for Zion Williamsons great performance and the Blue Devils converting on more 3s than their season average, we would have watched a public favorite crash and burn. Now today against a VTech D, that is built to keep teams from penetrating deep and force them to make them shoot treys the Blue Devils a team that shoots just 30.7 % from downtown may have met their match. When these teams met earlier this season, both Williamson and Hokies star point guard Robinson were out , but the Hokies managed the straight up win. With both playing here today, Im expecting VTech to hold their own again, and get us the cover. 

DUKE is 2-11 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots after 15+ games this season.VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on VTech to cover 

The `Runners (18-15) are coming off back-to-back road victories in the first two rounds of the CIT. After defeating Cal State Fullerton, 66-58, CSUB handed Southern Utah a 70-67 loss on Monday. CSUB has 18 wins on the season, third-most in Bakersfield's NCAA Division I era and must not be underestimated as underdogs here vs Wisconsin Green Bay. The Roadrunners have a size advantage in key areas of this matchup, and that will negate Wisconsin Green Bays athleticism . Take the points.

CS-BAKERSFIELD is 21-9 ATS L/30 versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots . CS-BAKERSFIELD is 12-1 ATS  after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1997. Barnes is 16-4 ATS in March games as the coach of CS-BAKERSFIELD. 

WI-GREEN BAY is 2-8 ATS  after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season.

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CS-BAKERSFIELD) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 31-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on CS Baskersfield to cover 

  South Regional Semifinals - KFC Yum Center - Louisville, KY

My projections virtually make this game a pickem, thus we are getting value with Purdue according to my estimations. Tennessee is ripe in my betting onion to be picked off and upset here, as the Volunteers currently look vulnerable as was evident when they blew a 25-point lead against Iowa last time out and were forced to go into overtime on Sunday.

PURDUE is 8-2 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts this season.PURDUE is 20-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

TENNESSEE is 2-8 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season.

Play on Purdue to cover 

CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals

Its never easy for a team like Brown travelling for East to West, and their internal clocks should be effected , which should effect their offensive flow. This Brown team bases its successes and failures on play strong D, so that wont be effected here, but will directly make for a much slower paced conservative game plan, which in turn Im betting  will see a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. BROWN is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog or pick this season.BROWN is 13-1 UNDER in road lined games this season.

It must also be noted that Loyola Marymount is also playing some strong defence, and   is 7-0 UNDER  after allowing 55 points or less this season whihc was the case last time out. 

Play on the UNDER 

CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals

West Virginia has played better of late, but they are going against a under rated Coastal Carolina squad that has shot under 40% from the field only once all season long.  Coastal Carolina have won four of their last seven and have shown they have a never die attitude repeatedly this season  as was evident when they  trailed Howard by 14 with 13 minutes left on Wednesday before coming back for an 81-72 victory.  I like their grit and their ability to hand tough here tonight. 

W VIRGINIA is 9-22 ATS  as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 6-15 ATS as a 10 point or more fav at home. 

W VIRGINIA is 0-6 ATS  after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.

Play on Coastal Carolina to cover 

NIT - Second Round

Nebraska has recently impressed me with their  play, and after watching them beat Butler, last time out look very much a like a viable dark horse underdog in this tournament and today as dogs.  Meanwhile, TCU has gone 9-12 after a 12-1 start.From a data stats standpoint these are evenly matched teams. Nebraska is 48th in the NET while TCU is 52nd. The Huskers are 43rd in KenPom while TCU is 49th. TCU's strength of schedule is 45th while Nebraska's is 47th. Thus taking points here is avery viable investment option. 

NEBRASKA is 12-1 ATS  after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. NEBRASKA is 10-1 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NEBRASKA is 17-8 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.NEBRASKA is 17-8 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Nebraska to cover 

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - BOK Center - Tulsa, OK

 The Cougars looked good at the start of this NCAA tourney as  they took a 84-55 win over Georgia State . That kind of dominance will not come as easily vs Ohio State, a team that despite of struggling to score showed their ability to stand tall  defensively against Iowa State and advance . Tonight Im betting on this being a very physical closely contested battle, with alot of action in the paint, and under the glass.  

HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS L/12  as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.

 Ohio State are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

Holtmann is 13-4 ATS in road games in non-conference games in all games he has coached. 

CBB team (OHIO ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 148-92 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Ohio State to cover 

Texas converted 15-of-38 (39.5-percent) from three-point range during Tuesday's first-round win against South Dakota State and Im betting that will buoy them in a favorable matchup vs Xavier here today. 

TEXAS is 22-6 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread .TEXAS is 22-6 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread 

CBB favorite (TEXAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games are 97-58 L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas 

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH

Tennessee looked wobbly in their win vs Colgate last time out, and if that form continues here today they could find themselves on the sidelines after this the final buzzer goes off. Meanwhile, Iowa looked to be in top form against Cincinnati upsetting the Bearcats as underdogs to advance to the 2nd round. Note: IOWA is 11-3 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. 

At the end of the this season, Tennessee was starting to look vulnerable going just 7-4 SU and had failed to cover 8 of their L/12 and are not as potent looking as they were earlier in the season. Dont get me wrong their still a talented group, but as far as this line is concerned Im betting it slightly bloated thanks in part to their public popularity. With that said, lets take the points with a Iowa team that is currently in top form.

Barnes is 12-22 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games as the coach of TENNESSEE. 

Play on Iowa to cover 

The defending national champion Villanova Wildcats head into this 2nd round game against Purdue as underdogs. Villanova has to fight hard to get past a nasty St.Marys team that claws and scratches itself to being competitive. Meanwhile, Purdue had an easy go of it vs Old Dominion in a DD win.

This matchup, will feature a Purdue team ranked 12th in the  Big Ten in three point defense  going against a Villanova side that depends on taking foes out with downtown treys. Another negative for Purdue , is their inability to convert on FTs which is of ultimate importance in a game that is expected to be fairly close.  I know the Wildcats are not as strong as last years version, but they must be respected getting points vs a Boilermakers team that has not travelled all that well this season. Note:  Coach Jay Wright is 14-1 in its last 15 NCAA Tournament games.

Wildcats are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. Big Ten.Wildcats are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games.

Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Boilermakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big East.Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Note: G Phil Booth of Villanova  in the 70th game in his career against non-Big East opposition . . . is 63-7 SU for a (.899) win %. . His team has 13 straight NCAA tourney victories when he plays . One more here today vs a Gaels team that might have to experience an emotional letdown scenario at the worst possible time.

Play on Villanova to cover 

The matchup pits the two teams with the most wins remaining in the NIT bracket. 

My own projections make NC Greensboro as -3 favorite thus giving us value on this pickem line according to my estimations. 

Bison are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Bison are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Bison are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Bison are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.

Spartans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.Spartans are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Spartans are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on NC Greensboro to cover 

NCAA Tournament - First Round - SAP Center - San Jose, CA

With dynamic G Justin Robinson expected back in the lineup for VTech after missing 12 games with an injury their opponents tonight St.Louis are in trouble. When the Hokies catalyst is in the lineup the team is 16-4 SU and must not be underestimated.Va Tech was upset  77-71 as a 13-point chalk  in their last meeting in 2017 and you can bet that this time this Hokies program and their coaching staff will be very well prepared and keep the pedal on the medal until the very end . Note: This is a 12 loss Billikens team that got hot at the end of the season, and truly is not in the same hemisphere of talent that the Hokies will have on the court. 

VIRGINIA TECH is 10-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997.VIRGINIA TECH in their L/21 in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a +22.5 ppg differential. 

CBB team (VIRGINIA TECH) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite are 68-31 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Virginia Tech to cover 

Liberty and Mississippi State played four common opponents this season.... Austin Peay, Alcorn State, Alabama and Vanderbilt. Mississippi State smashed  all of them, including a split against Alabama. Liberty lost to each of them. Mississippi State went 4-1 against the list with an average margin of victory of 16.4 points. Liberty went just 1-3, and all three losses coming by nine points. The one win was over Alcorn State by 22. State won that game by 23. According to Kenpom Mississippi State is the 21st best team in the nation with the 30th toughest strength of schedule and have a definite edge here.

 822 Mississippi State  to cover 

NCAA Tournament - First Round - BOK Center - Tulsa, OK

Houston is in a nasty mood  entering this tournament after suffering a letdown and subsequent upset loss to Cincinnati in the AAC title game this past Sunday. I now expect them to come in here and lay down a beating on Georgia State for their 24th win and 26 games outside of their own conference.HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots this season.HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS  after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. HC Sampson is 14-4 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games in all games he has coached for Houston. 

Hunter is 13-25 ATS  versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game as the coach of GEORGIA ST. 

Play on Houston to cover 

NCAA Tournament - First Round - Nationwide Arena - Columbus, OH

Utah State is explosive offensively  averaging 79.2 points a game, however, playing against the Huskies zone defense, and slow down offense their going to have their hands full. 

WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH ST is 10-23 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Washington to cover 

Thanks to StMarys looking good at the end of their season which culminated with an astonishing upset  of Gonzaga for their conference championship, they are now a trendy pick for public bettors, thus giving us value on the line with the defending NCAA champion Wildcats. Im betting on key offensive cog and big game  star of Villanova Phil Booth to be the catalyst behind them winning tonight and more importantly getting us the cover.  Note: Booth in  the 70th game in his  career against non-Big East opposition  . . .  is 62-7 SU for a  (.899)  win %.Booth has made 16 consecutive free throws in NCAA Tournament competition,  with his only miss coming in his only FT attempt in the 2016 Round-of-64 Game against UNC Asheville. Booth has 13 turnovers in 14 career NCAA Tournament games covering more 319 minutes  of action for an amazing turnover ratio one turnover every 24.5 minutes of playing time. Booth is 5-for-6 (83.3%) from the three-point line in three NCAA Tournament Round-of-64 Games. His team has 12 straight NCAA tourney victories when he plays . One more here today vs a Gaels team that might have to experience an emotional letdown scenario at the worst possible time.

VILLANOVA is 6-0 ATS  in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.VILLANOVA is 17-4 ATS when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons. 

ST MARYS-CA is 1-8 ATS  in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Villanova to cover 

NCAA Tournament - First Round - Veterans Memorial Arena - Jacksonville, FL

We have all heard about west Texas pride and tonight  Im betting this dog has fight. This Abilene Christian hoops program has only been eligible for this tourney for only two years, and has an  enrollment of about 3,600 making it an optimum small school success story entering the NCAA tournament.The Wildcats finished 27-6 overall with a 14-4 mark in the league and must not be underestimated here vs a young Kentucky team that has alot more pressure on them then their opponents. My projections make the Wildcats -18 favs here this giving us value on a slightly bloated public line. 

Play on Abilene Christian  plus the points 

NCAA Tournament - First Round - Wells Fargo Arena - Des Moines, IA

Bradely is a team that plugs the paint and that trys to  make you beat them shooting 3s. They use a NBA-style philosophy on ball-screen defense that is highly efficient. they play tough and their 1-2-2 zone defence is a nightmare to play against. All I can say is that we have value with kind of team as a underdog vs a public team that has just to high a asking price on them at the moment. With that said, lets take the points.

BRADLEY is 9-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons and is 30-13 ATS off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival . 

Play on Bradley to cover 

NIT - First Round- No. 3 seed Georgetown hosts No. 6 seed Harvard. 

Harvard has had a winning record in nine of the past 10 seasons under coach Tommy Amaker and has a experienced squad, with a never say die attitude and will not be easily defeated here. 

.

Harvard is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games.Georgetown University is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games at homeHARVARD is 14-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.HARVARD is 21-9 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%or more  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 11-3 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

GEORGETOWN is 2-9 ATS  in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.GEORGETOWN is 5-16 ATS  in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Harvard to cover 

NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH

Temple is highly under rated as was evident when, beating Houston and had only one loss in the third-fourth quadrant (15-1 record). They barley got to the elimination game for the tournament but are highly dangerous in a game that is being lined as close and according to my rankings are dead even with Belmont thus giving us value on the line. Note: Temple is 9-2  SU in games decided by five points or fewer and are a perfect  4-0  in overtime games.

TEMPLE is 8-0 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Neutral court teams (BELMONT) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season are 54-95 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

672 Temple  to cover

Robert Morris fell in the semifinals of the 2019 Northeast Conference Tournament with a 66-62 setback @ Fairleigh Dickinson and will be primed for bounce back here to start the CIT. This game is being lined a essentially a pickem, which gives an edge to Robert Morris as Head coach Andrew Toole owns the highest winning percentage (.615) in games decided by five points or less (minimum 50 games) during the KenPom era (2002 to present). In nine seasons under Toole, the Colonials have posted a record of 59-37 in games decided by five points or less.

ROBERT MORRIS is 11-3 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.ROBERT MORRIS is 6-0 ATS off a road loss this season. 

Play on Robert Morris to cover 

Houston according to my projections should be 7 point favs here thus we have value laying the short lumber here. 

Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. In the 5 championship games in this series, 

Bearcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Bearcats are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Bearcats are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. American Athletic Conference.Bearcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Bearcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bearcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.Cougars are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.Cougars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Cougars are 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 vs. American Athletic Conference.Cougars are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Cougars are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games following a straight up win.Cougars are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games overall.

Play on Houston to cover 

Tennessee down by 7 points with under 5 minutes left yesterday came back with a tenacious effort to get the win vs Kentucky and will now be in a natural letdown spot . The Tigers also played a hard fought game vs Florida, but controlled most of the game until the end  needing a big shot to win it for their 7th straight victory. Needless to say both teams are on tired legs . With that that said look for a grinding closely contested affair. Auburn  is currently playing their best hoops of the season and  defeated Tennessee to end the reg campaign, by 4 points, so they have the confidence knowing they can play with this Vols team and get my support getting points here in the SEC championship game. 

Auburn to cover 

Conference USA Tournament - Championship Game - Frisco, TX

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers’ own a  15-1 ATS record as postseason underdog and must not be underestimated in what my own projections estimate is a favourable matchup's for them from a system vs system power ranking chart I use. 

W KENTUCKY is 10-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game  like Old Dominion over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Western Kentucky to cover 

Both these teams won on their own home court in their 2 meetings this season. Now in a neutral court environment I like the experience of Calapari and company to prevail . Kentucky has been bolstered by the return of key post player Reid Travis, who had 11 points and eight rebounds in the victory over Tennessee. He was sidelined by a knee injury in the rematch, and Kentucky missed him a great deal, and he could be the difference maker again. 

Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Wildcats are 32-15-4 ATS in their last 51 neutral site games.

Calapari knows how to win big games in the finals rounds of a tournament going 33-5 SU  in the Semis and finals in his career. 

Play on Kentucky to cover 

Big East Conference Tournament - Semifinals - New York, NY

Xavier entered this tournament playing their best basketball of the season, winning 6 of their L/7 games, and then won game 1 of the big East tournament with 63-61 win vs Creighton. On Feb 23rd of this season Xavier proved they matchup well vs Villanova winning by a 66-54 count so they have confidence entering this tilt with their abilities to not only compete but to upset the Wildcats. Meanwhile, Villanova lost 5 of their L/8 games tilts entering the tourney, and despite of taking out Providence in their big East opener, just don't look as explosive as they did last season, mostly because of their youth and inexperience as compared to last years national  championship team. It must also be noted Villanova has had a hell of time in game 2s of this tourney, going just 1-10 ATS L/11 opportunities. With that said, Im betting that if Villy wins here and advances it wont come easily, thus taking points will be golden. 

A potential NCAA Tournament berth hangs in the balance for the Musketeers. Xavier's currently No. 70 in the NCAA NET rankings and Creighton's up to No. 54 after winning five in a row. So from a motivational factor alone we have a desperate team to back.

Play on Xavier to cover 

Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY

This line signifies a close game, which in effect makes my decision to take the points here valid considering  that since the start of 2017-18, Mason is 13-3 in A-10 games decided by five points or less. That includes an 11-3 mark in the regular season and 2-0 record in the A-10 Tournament. Meanwhile, the Bonnies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.and  are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games  are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (GEORGE MASON) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 131-78 ATS L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on George Mason to cover 

 AAC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Memphis, TN

UConn men's basketball used a balanced attack and hot-shooting from the field to earn an 80-73 win over the USF Bulls  and enter this game with momentum. The Huskies have covered 4 straight in this series and must be respected as underdogs in this spot vs Houston. 

CBB Neutral court teams (CONNECTICUT) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 38-22 SU L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate.

Play on UConn to cover 

Pac 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Las Vegas, NV

Even though the grabbed a season-finale victory against the Arizona Wildcats this past Saturday, there  is still a chance ASU misses the NCAA Tournament. Needless to say they need s wins and will come out here against UCLA like gang busters. 

Arizona State is Second in the Pac-12 in scoring (77.7)
and  Second in Pac-12 in FG% defense (.411)and also Leads league in offensive rebounds per game (12.2). Note: UCLA is 1-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season and are   1-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. 

UCLA is 2-9 ATS as an underdog this season. ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. 

No.2 seeds are 11-2 ATS since 2014 when they are 6 pointer less favs. 

Play on Arizona State to cover 

Utah State enters this game on fire having on 7 straight games and 14 of their L/15 overall and must be respected even as DD favs  here vs an over matched New Mexico side. During its recent seven-game winning streak, Utah State is shooting 46.2 percent from the floor, 33.1 percent from behind the 3-point line and 74.2 percent  at the free throw line. Utah is well rested after conference play, whihc is a good omen as they are UTAH ST is 10-1 ATS L/11 when playing with 7 or more days rest with the average point diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. 

 NEW MEXICO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with the average point diff clicking in at 17.9 ppg.

CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (UTAH ST) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah State to cover 

Florida State, the tournament’s No. 4 seed, takes on fifth-seeded Virginia Tech – which they beat in Tallahassee last week – at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. and have the advantage again despite of the Hokies desperation factor. 

The Seminoles have a spot in the Big Dance guaranteed, having won 11 of their last 12 games and finishing fourth in the nation’s staunchest basketball conference. But despite of this they still are very motivated to get wins.  QUOTE: “We want to make it as far as we can and then just use that as momentum going into the (NCAA) tournament,” junior guard Trent Forrest said. “So I would say we just want to stay locked in and continue to win games.” END QUOTE. Also  the Seminoles will be very motivated for the rematch, regardless of any big-picture implications as when they played last week, they were taken to the brink by VTech and had to win in OT. 

The difference maker Im betting tonight will come via a very deep bench, while the Hokies’ rotation only goes about seven deep. Considering their starters  played at least 28 minutes against Miami last time out – and now playing again today after playing yesterday will be on tired legs giving the Seminoles the edge.

Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Seminoles are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.

Play on Florida State to cover 

NC State used a strong second-half surge to come back and defeat Clemson on Wednesday  and have momentum entering this tilt vs No.1 seed Virginia and defending ACC champion . Note:defending champion in the ACC tournament is 4-13-1 ATS as a favorite in its first round game the following season since 2001 campaign.UVA posted a 66-65 overtime win at NC State this season, in a tilt that proved to me that the  Wolfpack's style gave the Cavaliers alot of problems and Im betting they will irritate Virginia again today. 

NC State defeated Virginia 75-56 in the last meeting between the teams at the ACC Tournament in 2013.

Take the points with the NC State to cover 

Big East Conference Tournament - First Round - New York, NY

 The Blue Demons enter the 2019 tournament with six total games of BIG EAST Tournament experience on the active roster and must be respected as underdogs vs St.Johns.

DePaul has outrebounded the opponent in 21 of 29 games and Im betting they have an edge again as they have won 15 of those 21 games SU. DePaul won both regular season meetings, three of the last four and get the nod to be competitive again and even pull off the SU upset. 

  ST JOHNS is 1-8 ATS  in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.

CBB team (ST JOHNS) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) after 15+ games are 43-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on DePaul to cover 

 Bucknell goes for their third straight Patriot League Championship tonight vs Colgate as underdogs. Bucknell has won 8 straight Patriot League tournament games, and must be respected here as underdogs because of their pedigree and top tier coaching. Yes, this game is Colgate, and I know that Bucknell has lost 3 straight road games, but despite of this there is just to much value to pass up here with this type of team.

Play on Bucknell to cover 

ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Charlotte, NC

Bringing their depleted roster to Charlotte and entering the tournament on the heels of a seven-game losing streak, not much was expected of Mike Brey’s squad , but thye found a way to get by Georgia Tech and advance to this tilt vs Louisville. Meanwhile, the Cardinal despite fo a decent record this season, struggled down the stretch, losing 6 of their L/8 and have not been very consistent on the road this season and have won just five of 11 games. Im betting on the luck of the Irish to be prevalent today and for them to somehow find a way to be competetive. 

CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (LOUISVILLE) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against a terrible shooting team (40%or less) are 16-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion for bettors on the blind.

Play on Notre Dame to cover 

Richmond is averaging 70.8 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field, 35.1% from behind the arc and 66.6% from the foul line this season. Fordham averaging just 56.2 ppg in their L/5. 

Neubauer is 0-7 ATS  in all neutral court games as the coach of FORDHAM.

FORDHAM is 8-20 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.

FORDHAM is 4-14 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

Richmond to cover 

Pac 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV

My own projections make the wrong team the favorite here today. Defensively, the Trojans often use a 2-3 zone often, and held UA to under 30 percent shooting on Jan. 24. Rinse and repeat. 

ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. 

USC is 36-19 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1997.USC is 6-0 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on USC

ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Charlotte, NC

 NC State closed the regular season in top tier fashion, going on the road to defeat Boston College, 73-47, and now have momentum entering this tilt against Clemson. The Pack's bench is averaging 30.6 points per game and has outscored the opponent's bench by 448 points this season and that will be the difference maker here today. 

Note: In ACC games, NC St shot better on the road than at home. NC State converted on 43.7% from the field and 38% from three-point range in conference road games this season.

CLEMSON is 4-14 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997

 NC STATE is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season and is 7-1 AT in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42%  or less this season and also 8-2 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. 

NC STATE is 6-0 ATS  in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.

622 North Carolina State to cover 

The N.Kentucky Norse are a team that can beat you with an explosive offense or a stingy D, while Wright State is more a defensive type team. The Norse averaged 80 points per game in the regular season, and was showcased   in the quarterfinals in a 99-88 victory . They followed that with  physical  battle in a 64-63 win over Oakland in the semifinal and once again Im betting they have the edge here.  Both teams split the seasons series, both winning on home court but on a neutral court my projections favor N.Kentucky by 3 thus according to my estimates we have value on a pickem line. 

Norse are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.

Play on N.Kentucky to cover 

Pitt had a horrendous game and shot just 29.0 percent (20-of-69) from the field in a nine-point loss at Boston College earlier this season, but this Pittsburgh team has shown alot of grit of late, and beat Notre Dame last time out, and now have the confidence to make two in row here against a side that is just  2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

. Panthers lead the ACC with 16.4 made free throws per game and Im betting that will be the difference maker here today against Boston College.

Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.PITTSBURGH is 15-3 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE since 1997.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

Play on Fairleigh Dickinson to cover 

Going 11-5 in America East play this season, UMBC's lone home loss came against Hartford and  they lost the season series and Im betting they lose here again tonight. The difference maker will behind one of the schools all time greatLynch who has been  red of late, as he enters the conference semifinals riding Hartford's longest active double-figure scoring streak at 13 gamesHe has  been the catalyst for Hartford in his last seven games — a stretch that has seen the team go 7-2 — by averaging 19.4 ppg Lynch is shooting 55 percent shooting over his last nine, including a 26-for-49 clip (53%) from three. Maryland Baltimore has no answers for this top tier player. Hartford to cover 

Horizon Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Detroit, MI - Detroit, MI

The Golden Grizzlies head into the semifinals after defeating No. 6 seed Youngstown State, 88-84 in the quarterfinals at the Blacktop at the O'rena.Oakland after a sub par year compared to their usual standards are currently on fire entering this tilt vs N.Kentucky with 5 straight wins. I know on paper N.Kentucky looks like the superior side, but in a tourney game like this the obvious stats are off the table, and instead pedigree and coaching must be respected. Oakland has that in spades, and gets my support here plus the points. 

N KENTUCKY is 7-14 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.N KENTUCKY is 1-10 ATS  off 3 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. 

OAKLAND is 11-3 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Kampe is 21-7 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games as the coach of OAKLAND.

Play on OAKLAND to cover 

Mid American Conference Tournament - First Round

Earlier this season, EMU came away with a thrilling 84-82 victory in double overtime in Muncie and overall thye matchup well vs Ball State. Eastern has held a firm advantage against Ball State in its MAC Tournament history,  having won five straight post season meetings. E.Michigan at the  Convocation Center in the MAC championship round are 6-2 lifetime .

s versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.BALL ST is 1-9 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. 

 Road teams as an underdog or pick (BALL ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 2-26 L/22 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover 

Mid American Conference Tournament - First Round

Central Michigan won both regular-season matchups against Western Michigan this year by 21 and seven points in the W Michigan finale, and  from a records perspective it might seem that there is an obvious edge here laying the points  with the Chippewas. However, from a key power ranking post season system I consistently use, Im betting their is value with the under valued underdog. They played the Chips tough just the other day, in a strong 2nd half surge and had a 14-1 run at one point, and they now have confidence and the ability to be a headache for the Central Michigan again. 

Play on Western Michigan to cover 

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Championship Game - ST Louis, MO

In this tourney environment D, is of the most utmost importance and Bradely according to my cross reference rankings stands up well to a N.Iowa  offense that has average just a little more than 63 ppg on the road this season. 

N IOWA is 11-28 ATS  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons.N IOWA is 9-21 ATS  after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 season. 

BRADLEY is 13-3 ATS  after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. BRADLEY is 8-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

CBB favorite (N IOWA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Bradley to cover 

No. 12 Houston visits 20th-ranked Cincinnati on Sunday afternoon bidding to capture its first outright league championship, but Bearcats will not go easily here on Seniors day, because if they win they get a share of the conference title. When these teams played last month the Cougars came up with a 65-58 win in bizarre game, that saw the Bearcats fail to score in the final 6 minutes of the game. Now Kevin Sampson and company travel to the Fifth Street Arena  to face a hoops program that is 6-0 in their L/6 home games and 9-0 SU L/9 at home in this series. Also Mick Cronins group is 6-1 SU/ATS in same season home revenge tilts . With that said, Im betting home court advantage will be a key factor here today in the Bearcats delivering the cash to their backers.

CBB home team (CINCINNATI) - after failing to cover the spread in 7 or more consecutive games are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cincinnati to cover 

Washington has the No.1 seed in the upcoming PAC 12 tourney locked up, and could find themselves less motivated than usual vs Oregon Ducks teams fighting for tourney seeding and currently playing their best basketball of the season as they enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. I know its not easy playing against the Huskies 2-3 zone D, but after already seeing it once this season, should be much more prepared then they were the first time they played  back in Oregon losing by a 61-56 count. Note: Oregon has won and covered its last two visits here.

OREGON is 17-4 ATS  off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons, which was the case against Wash State last time out.

Altman is 41-20 ATS  in March games as the coach of OREGON.

Play on Oregon to cover 

Penney Hardaway and company have some big time pay back on board here on Seniors night, for a DD loss they suffered to Tulsa on the road back in late January, and will now be ready to hand out a similar merciless effort in this their home finale. It must be noted that Tulsa is just  1-12 ATS the last 13 in a loss vs a avenging side. 

TULSA is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons and is 31-10 ATS in home games in March games since 1997.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Wichita State in its regular season finale enters this tilt  in top form having won 8 of their L/10 games,  and 3 of their L/4 on the road and Tulane is not as they endure a 17 game losing streak and playing with little to no inspiration and will just want their pain to end here today. The Shockers will have no problem putting them out of their misery.  Note: WSU is rebuilding this year behind 10 newcomers but has faced one of the nation's toughest schedules and is now reaping the benefits of tough schedule. 

WICHITA ST is 8-0 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.WICHITA ST is 6-0 ATS  after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers this season

CBB Road teams as favorite or pick (WICHITA ST) - playing only their 3rd game in a week, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (20% or less) are 47-13 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wichita State 

Michigan enters this game vs Big 10 and instate rival Michigan State  with revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Spartys a couple of weeks ago at home.  The Wolverines HC Jim Beilein teams was uncharacteristically out of position alot that  night , becasue Izzo changed up his D completely.  However don't worry about old Jimmy as he  is one of the best minds in the game and will adjust accordingly this time out. It must also be noted that the Spartys Cassisus Winston played a tremendous game in that above mentioned tilt, but is now dealing with wobbly knee issues that will hamper him. He's not the only injured Spartan, as their a few guys in the walking wounded lost, and this will hamper the home side tonight vs a physical top tier Defensive side ranked 3rd in the nation in adjusted D efficiency, out looking to get even. 

Note: Michigan States been shooting the lights out of late, but teams like the Spartys hitting at 50% or better in 3 or more straight games in March dating back 6 seasons are just 8-17-1 ATS at home. 

MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons.

CBB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are just 25-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Michigan to cover 

Both these teams are struggling as we come down to the finish line, and Cal Davis in their current form should not be this big a favorite , and my projections from a mathematical perspective is a edge and a must play for advantage players. 

US Davis has failed to cover 7 of their 10 home games this season. 

UC-RIVERSIDE is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games over the last 3 seasons.UC-RIVERSIDE is 10-1 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CAL DAVIS) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite, in a game involving two bad teams (20% to 40%) are just 35-68 ATS  L/22 seasons for a long term 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on UC riverside to cover 

Utah is an explosive offensive team averaging 83.4 ppf and rank first in the conference in effective field goal percentage , and have an advantage over a very average version of the UCLA Bruins. UCLA has lost 3 of their L/4 with their only win coming against lowly Cal in OT. This is not a good place to be playing sub par road ball making the Bruins fade material in this spot.

UCLA is 7-15 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. 

UCLA is 1-8 ATS  as an underdog this season.

 CBB  team (UCLA) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or better) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) after 15+ game are 42-75 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover

The game also will mark the home coaching finale of Temple's Fran Dunphy, a Philadelphia legend who is stepping down after this season. Dunphy, 70, has gone 269-160 with the Owls and is 579-323 in his career. Im betting his team will be primed to give the old guy a top tier send off, and get him the win while at the same time bolstering their NCAA tournament qualifications. I know UCF is a very strong team, but Temple proved they could hang with them and lost a close one on the road to the Knights earlier this season, and have an edge as UCF is off two very hard fought emotional affairs and could easily be gassed entering this game. 

Play on Temple to cover 

Seeding On The Line When UTA Hosts Texas State In Regular-Season Finale and Im betitng the home team holds the edge.The Mavs have posted season highs in field goal percentage (56 & 52.7) and 3-point percentage (57.7 & 54.5) each of the last two games and are in red hot form at the perfect time.The Mavs currenty rank 22nd in the nation in 3-point percentage defense (30.4) and 57th in free-throw percentage (74.2). When these teams mets a month ago UTA playing on the road  and, facing a team picking up votes in the national polls looked like the better overall side as, UTA knocked off Texas State in double overtime, 84-77 and actually matchup well vs this squad because of their ability to conquer good shooting sides like Texas State .  TX-ARLINGTON is 10-1 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots after 15+ games this season.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (TEXAS ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games are 12-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas Arlington to cover 

ISU owns a top-10 offense nationally, and Im betting will give the visiting top tier Texas Red Raiders defence alot more than they can handle. Yes, I know that the Cyclones have struggled of late, but here on Seniors day their ability to play hard behind their boisterous crowd will lift them back up . Iowa Stat program has won 24 of their L/34 SU at home vs teams with better records and today Im betting they add to that number. 

ISU has won the last seven meetings in Ames, with Tech's last win at Hilton Coliseum coming in 2011.

Texas Tech is 2-19 SU and 3-18 ATS against opposition playing Last Home Games. Iowa State is 21-7 L/28 home finales. 

IOWA ST is 21-9 ATS L/20 in home games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better  after 15+ games. 

Play on Iowa State to cover 

LIU does not deserve this big of a home court advantage vs Long Island as their home court advantage is listed at 304th in the nation according to kenpom. St.Francis has a inconsistent offense, while LIU shoots at a decent clip from beyond the arc,  and has averaged 107 points per 100 possessions during a recent run , which is something I look for in a dog. 

Take the points with Long Island to cover 

Auburn is alot better than their record would indicate and must not be underestimated here vs Tennessee. Outside of ugly DD losses to the Kentucky Wildcats and Ole Miss Rebels, they onlylost to the Duke Blue Devils by five points, the LSU Tigers by five points, the Wildcats  by two points.

The Tigers are also 35th in the country when it comes to three-point percentage at 37.5 percent per game and that what the Vols struggle against. With  Auburn  14-2 at home  they deserve our respect as dogs. 

The Vols haven’t faced Auburn since Jan. 2, 2018, when the Tigers lit up UT in a 94-84 win. I dont think history will repeat itself but Im betting we have enough value here with the home underdog to consider this an advantage play.

Barnes is 13-30 ATS in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Auburn  to cover 

  Ohio  (13-16, 5-12 MAC) play their final game of the season tonight at Convocation Center one final t  when the Bobcats host Mid-American Conference East foe Miami (15-15, 7-10 MAC) for the second edition of the 'Battle of the Bricks.Friday night's game will serve as Ohio's Senior Night, and I expect the Bobcats to be in top form. Ohio has registered an impressive 508-167 (.756) all-time record at the Convocation Center, which opened in 1968 and n four-plus seasons under HC Phillips, Ohio has gone 56-25 (.708) at home and get the nod again in revenge mode for the lopsided 79-59 loss they suffered earlier in MAC play on the road to the Redhawks. Note: OHIO U is 37-17 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points. 

Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Mid-American.

MIAMI OHIO is 0-6 ATS  after playing a game as a home favorite this season.(Miami coming off of a 75-66 loss at home against Kent State on March 5 as chalk)

home team vs. the money line (OHIO U) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 40-30 SU 5 seasons for a 57%+ conversion rate last 5 seasons. 

Play on Ohio to cover 

Yale  despite of already clinching an Ivy League spot in the play off tourney is very much in the hunt for the Ivy League championship and the No. 1 seed in the four-team tournament. The Bulldogs, are guaranteed at least a share of the Ivy League championship with a pair of victories this weekend. The winner of the Ivy Tournament receives the league's automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. The league champion is determined by the final regular season standings. so needless to say Yale is playing for something big here. Penn are no pushovers, but it must be noted that YALE is 6-0 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. 

Tenacious rebounding is the Bulldogs, calling card and tonight Im betting that will be the difference maker in this key road game. Note: Yale also is second in the country in defensive rebounds per game (30.64), 29th in field goal percentage defense (40.6 percent) and 31st in rebounding margin (+5.3).

The Bulldogs are 18-1 when they outrebound their opponents

YALE is 8-0 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons

PENNSYLVANIA is 0-6 ATS (versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better  over the last 2 seasons.

Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bulldogs are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games.Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bulldogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Ivy League.

Quakers are 15-35-2 ATS in their last 52 Friday games.Quakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Quakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Quakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. Ivy League.Quakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Quakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Quakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Quakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Play on Yale to cover 

Brown comes into the Ivy League's final weekend with the ability to control its own destiny in earning a berth in the four team Ivy League Tournament if they can notch two victories this weekend starting with the Tigers. With Princeton already in the tourney they are far from in desperation mode, and might be saving their best for tomorrows senior night finale and the conference championship round thus giving us value with a Bears side that needs and wants to win badly. Brown, who leads the Ivy League scoring defense (68.7 ppg) and 3-point FG defense (.302), and ranks second in the Ivy League in and field goal defense (.417)  must not be underestimated here getting points in this type of situation. 

Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Road team is 6-2 ATS L/8 in this series. 

Play on Brown to cover 

The Lopes (18-10, 10-4 WAC) can finish alone in second place for the first time in their six-year WAC history if they sweep this week's road trip and will be playing hard tonight  in the first of those two games against a tough team to beat at home in the Wolverines (27-2 L/29 at home) . However, if there is a team other than New Mexico State that matches up well vs Utah Valley its the Lopes. They get my money here tonight to cover in a game that should be a pickem. 

Grand Canyon to cover 

West Coast Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV

Pacific enters this tourney game with   momentum from last week's  73-72 win at Pepperdine. That game was an indicator of how well the Tigers matchup against the Wave, thus getting my support in this the their opener in this conference tourney. 

PACIFIC is 12-4 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

PEPPERDINE is 4-12 ATS  versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or better over the last 2 seasons. 

Pacific has won 6 of the L/7 in this series and get the nod again. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

In Liberty's first visit to UNF Arena, North Florida shot 60 percent from the field and rallied from 13 points down in the second half to earn the 75-70 victory against the ASUN leading Flames. while there is a high probability of a reversion to the mean, they are still more than capable of hanging tough here as they look for their fourth straight road victory.North Florida comes into Thursday's clash having won seven straight including handing the Flames their lone loss of the last nine games. This semi final conference tourney game is all about momentum, and the Ospreys have all kinds of positive mojo   happening at the moment and Im betting wont go down without a big time fight and subsequent cover. Look for the Ospreys explosive 3 point shooting to keep us in this game. 

Play on North Florida to cover 

Fresno State and San Diego State are likely playing for the No. 3 seed in next week’s Mountain West Conference men’s basketball tournament when they meet Wednesday night in San Diego.

The last time these teams met San Diego State led by 20 points in the first half of the January meeting at the Save Mart Center and as the teams went into a timeout an Aztecs player walking past the Bulldogs bench loudly said, ‘‘This game is in the bag.” Well that ignited the Bulldogs, and they came back for a 66-62 win. 

The Aztecs have won 14 consecutive Mountain West home games. The last loss: Jan. 17, 2018, to Fresno State and I wont be surprised if this streak ends tonight against a very tough confident Fresno State group that has won its last four conference games and five of the last six when coming off a bye.

  FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.FRESNO ST is 7-1 ATS as an underdog this season.FRESNO ST is 17-4 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons.

Fresno State has won and covered the last two meetings here vs San Diego State.

819 Fresno State  to cover 

Both these teams have struggled this season, but the Pokes matchup well vs the Spartans and took the first meeting of the season 59-46 in Laramie on Jan. 23. The Pokes have won seven-straight in the series vs San Jose dating back to March 2, 2016 and Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

SAN JOSE ST is 0-7 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Wyoming to cover

St. Bonaventure enters this game on a red hot 6 game win streak against Davidson in a matchup of the second (Davidson) and third place teams in the Atlantic 10. The Bonnies remain in the hunt  for a double bye in the A-10 Tournament and Im betting they hang in there with their powerful opponent Davidson tonight. Note: The Bonnies have also been hot on the road winning their L/6 road games and Im betting wont be easily disposed in this away tilt. Defence will be key to us grabbing the cheese .

**The Bonnies held seven of their last eight opponents under 61 points and 38 percent shooting.  .

Schmidt is 61-48 ATS  as a road underdog or pick as the coach of ST BONAVENTURE.

Play on St.Bonaventure to cover 

Marshall enters this game playing some very strong hoops at the moment, after three straight wins, and matchup well vs FIU as was evident when they beat them  here at home 105-97 back in January . Both teams are run and gun specialists, and play similar  aggressive offensive hoops, but Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker.

 MARSHALL is 36-20 ATS  as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997. 

Play on Marshall to cover 

The Golden Eagles were on the verge of a regular-season conference title  until losing last week at Villanova and at home to Creighton and will be out looking to bounce back vs a desperate bubble team on a 3 game losing streak Seton Hall here tonight.Marquette held off Seton Hall 70-66 on Jan. 12 in Milwaukee and Im betting will get it done again here on the road. Marquette has now won three straight against the Pirates, and four of the last five.

SETON HALL is 0-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.MARQUETTE is 8-2 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

MARQUETTE is 7-1 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.SETON HALL is 1-7 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season.

Play on Marquette to cover