NIT Championship Game - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

Utah is an experienced group that starts four seniors and a junior and must be respected here in what the linesmakers expect will be a close game. Both Penn State and Utah play shut down D, but with a key offensive cog Mike Watkins ( 3rd leading scorer) out for the Lions, the Utes D, can be even more focused. However, with that said, I'm betting the difference maker  comes via the charity stripe where Utah is the superior side. QUOTE: . “I don’t think there’s a team that shoots more free throws in practice,” END QUOTE: coach Larry Krystkowiak said.

Play on Utah to cover

NIT - Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

 The fourth seeded Hill toppers took out 3 POWER 5 teams to get here ( Oklahoma City, USC and Boston College) including the last two on the road and must be respected here vs a Utah side that my power ranking suggests they matchup well against.  WKU has 12 wins this season against programs with at least 20 victories: Old Dominion (3 times), UAB (2), Marshall (2), Purdue (1), Wright State (1), Nicholls (1), USC (1) and Oklahoma State (1).

W KENTUCKY is 13-2 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. W KENTUCKY is 9-1 ATS   when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days this season.W KENTUCKY is 9-0 ATS  after a combined score of 155 points or more this season.W KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS  in all tournament games this season. W KENTUCKY is 13-4 ATS L/17 in a post-season tournament games.

Play on Western Kentucky to cover  

North Texas enters this game on fire scoring 90 plus points in three straight wins, and are a side that must be respected after playing top tier  teams like Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee State and looking very competetive against them. Meanwhile, San Francisco has played three hard fought closely contsted affairs to get to this best of three CBI finals series, and are in alot of ways lucky to be here. Their one signature win came this season against St.Mary's a team that was over rated in the rankings and missed the NCAA tournament. Here in todays matchup, I'm betting that San Francisco does not have enough offensive weapons to easily come out of this with a win, and getting points with an explosive  Men Green side is viavble investment opportunity. Note: SF HC Smith is 0-8 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games, andSmith is 1-9 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of SAN FRANCISCO. McCasland is 11-3 ATS in his career as a road underdog or pick as the coach of N TEXAS
.N TEXAS is 13-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

CBB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 5 points or less against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 19-54 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on North Texas to cover

NCAA - Midwest Regional Final - Centurylink Center - Omaha, NE

We have Two Hall of Fame coaches, two blue blood programs, and loads of talent ready to go head  in Sunday’s showdown at the CenturyLink Center. What I'm betting here today is that Coach Ks zone defense is going to get run over, by a Bill Self coached team that knows how to deal with it well. According to my player vs players and system vs system power rankings Duke does not match up well here and I won't be surprised if Kansas pulls of the upset. But just to be safe lets take the points.

KANSAS is 15-4 ATS   in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better dating back to last season. KANSAS is 9-2 ATS   when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Jayhawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Kansas

NCAA - East Regional Final - TD Garden - Boston, MA

Villanova was my pick to win the enchilada this season, so I'm not about to  jump off the bandwagon now. Yes, they are playing a good basketball team in Texas Tech, but according to my power rankings and systems adjustments the Wildcats are the far superior team, and so diverse in their abilities are extremely hard to play against, that laying 7 or less points does not phase me. In other words whatever the Raiders throw at the Cats, they will easily be able to counter and take over any situation and turn it in their favor behind a boatload full of talent. I know Raiders guards Culver and James, look unstoppable, but they have yet to face this type of opponent this season and could easily get run over . Villanova has been v explosive  on offense and are currently ranked 1st in the nation in scoring, with 87.0 ppg,   ranking 5th in shooting (50.3%), 10th in 3-point shooting (40.5%), and have 47 treys in this tournament so far , which is not a good omen for a Texas Tech side, that has  looked below average guarding the downtown three, as was the case in their win vs Purdue last time out, allowing  s  38.9% conversion rate  from long range.

VILLANOVA is 11-4 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. VILLANOVA is 9-1 ATS   versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season.VILLANOVA is 8-2 ATS  L/10 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season. VILLANOVA is 13-3 ATS   in non-conference games this season.VILLANOVA is 8-1 ATS   after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better this season

CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - an explosive offensive team (76 or more  PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 103-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Villanova to cover

Michigan looked like the greatest College basketball team in the world last time out in their win vs Texas A&M. I think anyone who watched was in awe. It was an amazing site to behold, as everything the Wolverines touched turned to gold. Now I'm expecting a reversion to the norm and a pretty big drop off after that amazing performance vs a solid Florida State D. It's just the law of physics at play, as you cannot put out that much positive energy without creating a situation without negative energy creating a reversal of flow which I'm betting will be the case here in this tilt for Michigan .

Today against a tall athletic Florida State side, being as fluid for Michigan is going to be a challenge. Watching the Seminoles superior athletes outduel a pretty good Gonzaga group has me confidently betting on them to make a game of this here today. This has been a crazy NCAA tournament, with a lot of upsets and no team is safe, or even close to a sure bet, so I'm not swayed by the Wolverines current form as day could to turn to night  quicker than many might anticipate.

FLORIDA ST is 10-2 ATS  in non-conference games this season.FLORIDA ST is 20-5 ATS   as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick.

Play on Florida State to cover

Loyola Chicago has played some great basketball in this tournament and have also had a horse shoe solidly wedged into their lower extremities, winning their 3 games by a combined 4 points. They live in and die on fast ball movement and layups,, and today against a physical KState defense I'm betting their going to get battered, and mugged on a consistent basis and that horseshoe I mentioned is going to be pried loose and their luck will run out. Note: Kansas State runs the floor with a lot 6'4 or less athletes but their a tenacious group allowing 4 of their L/5 opponents to 64 points or less. They deserve respect here against a quality program from Chicago, that is as lucky as they are good. The Wildcats advance.

CBB favorite (KANSAS ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 PPG or less) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 65-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Kansas State to cover

NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - TD Garden - Boston, MA

Villanova really gets up for top quality competition, as was evident by posting a 12-1 SU and 11-2 ATS mark vs .680- or better opposition this season. It must also be noted that West Virginia's HC Huggins is 0-21-1 ATS in this tournament if he loses straight up. While you can never rule out a SU upset , especially this season, the odds are very high the Wildcats win here SU, thus making Huggy Bear and  his cubs fade material in this spot.

VILLANOVA is 12-3 ATS  L/15 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season

Sweet 16 No.1 seeds off back to back wins in the NCAA tourney are a bankroll expanding 21-8 ATS. Also No.1 seeds in this round are 18-0 SU /15-2-1 ATS if they face a two game win streak.   SWEET 16 No.5 seeds like West Virginia are 1-6 ATS as 9 point or less dogs.

Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 69-31 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Villanova to cover

NCAA - Midwest Regional Semifinals - CenturyLink Center - Omaha, NE

Kansas rolls into this Sweet 16 affair vs Clemson winning 10 of their L/11 overall while /Clemson is just 5-5 in their L/10 despite of winning their first two games of this tournament. It must be noted that CLEMSON is 0-6 ATS after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half over the last few seasons.  From a coaching perspective Bill Self of Kansas has a huge experience edge, winning 9 of 12 Sweet 16 games, covering 8 times. In recent games vs the ACC Self is a perfect 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS and overall is 7-0 SU L/7 and 6-0-1 ATS vs .666 or better opposition like Clemson this season.

SWEET 16 No.5 seeds are 1-6 ATS L/7 overall as dogs of 9 points or less. No.5 seeds like Clemson are 0-4 ATs L/3 seasons.

KANSAS is 7-1 ATS    in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.

Play on Kansas to cover

NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - Staples Center - Los Angeles, CA

Florida State was down 12 points mid way through the 2nd half of their 2nd round game vs a very good Xavier side last time out and came back to  win 75-70.  I tip my proverbial hat to the Seminoles, for that big time effort,  but now I'm betting their celebrating comes to an abrupt end vs Gonzaga  side that has won 34 of 35 games vs sub .890  foes this season. It must also be noted that Seminoles HC Hamilton is 0-4 ATS in the NCAA tourney off two straight wins and 0-3 SU/ATS off a underdog victory.

GONZAGA is 15-4 ATS L/19 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last few seasons. FLORIDA ST is 3-11 ATS  L/14  in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Play on Gonzaga to cover

NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - Staples Center - Los Angeles, CA

Texas A&M goes against a John Beilein lead Michigan squad lucky to be here after trailing Houston last time out, by a FG with less than 4 seconds left on the clock and the Cougars at the FT line.The Wolverines than miraculously found away to win by 1 point.  Now off their lucky zone, and on negative karmic course vs a underdog that is 4-0 SU/ATS vs .800 or better opposition this season , Michigan is in trouble. Michigan has only covered 3 of their L/15 vs SEC sides away from home and HC Beilein is also just 0-6-1 ATS in his career vs SEC opponents.

Play on Texas A&M to cover

NCAA - South Regional Semifinals - Philips Arena - Atlanta, GA

Everyone and his dog is piling onto the Loyola Chicago miracle bandwagon, a side that won both their first wo games on last second buzzer beaters. Don't get me wrong this a fine looking team, and deserve respect,  but  I expect their luck to run out here,  vs very experienced and talented Nevada team, that knows exactly what's coming their way and they will be ready to compete and well prepared, as was evident in two tenacious   come back wins in this tournament vs Cincinnati and Texas . With my own power ranking suggesting that Nevada should be -4 or better favs here , I'll recommend we take the Wolfpack 

NEVADA is 29-14 ATS L/43 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.NEVADA is 15-6 ATS  in all tournament games over the last few seasons. Nevada HC Musselman is 15-3 ATS L/18 after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers.

CBB Neutral Court favorites vs. the money line (NEVADA) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less 49-9 SU L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on Nevada to cover

NIT - Quarterfinals

St.Mary's is playing with a chip on their proverbial shoulders after not being included in the NCAA tournament despite of a top 25 ranking.  Playing  a weak schedule was their demise, but now their hell bent on winning this NIT tournament and come into this game with a chip on their shoulders. I felt they were being over rated vs Washington in the last round , but now this line seems more appropriate and I'm recommending we back the Gaels here in this spot vs Utah.

Utes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. West Coast Conference.

UTAH is 8-23 ATS  L/31 in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less  free throws/game.ST MARYS-CA is 9-1 ATS L/10 in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite. ( St.Mary's 78.3 Opp 55.6)

Bennett is 46-14 ATS  off a home win scoring 85 or more points as the coach of ST MARYS-CA which happened against Washington last time out.

Play on St.Mary's to cover

CBI Tournament - Semifinals

Jacksonville State is a very under rated squad, and must be respected here as road dogs on a short line. My own projections make them a very viable wagering opportunity. Meanwhile, North Texas off a win last time out to advance to the Semi Finals has surprised some pundits , after a mediocre campaign that saw them stumble in the stretch drive losing 7 of their L/8 games. On the season at home N.Texas is just 5-6 ATS, while Jack State has won 11 of their 19 road games SU.

N TEXAS is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games off a home win dating back to last season.

JACKSONVILLE ST is 12-1 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.JACKSONVILLE ST is 7-1 ATS  L/8 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season .

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JACKSONVILLE ST) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 60-29  ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Jacksonville State to cover

 NIT- Quarter finals

Louisville is fourth in the nation in blocked shots (6.1 bpg) and ranks 35th in field goal percentage defense (.412). Anas Mahmoud is ninth in the nation in blocked shots (3.0) and Ray Spalding is 38th in offensive rebounds (3.09) and I'm betting these top tier abilities give them an edge here.

Louisville has made 42.1 percent of their threes over the last 12 games (110-of-261. UofL is 16-3 when it makes eight or more three-pointers in a game and in their current form are very dangerous. The Cards have made a combined 36-of-76 threes in its four postseason games (.474).Louisville held eight of its 18 ACC opponents to 40 percent or below shooting from the field and are currently in top form and more than capable of handling a pretty good Miss State  side and getting us the cover.

LOUISVILLE is 12-4 ATS L/16  in home games in non-conference games . LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS L/6  in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite.

Louisville to cover

 NIT - Quarterfinals

My own projections make Marquette the superior side vs Penn State. The Golden Eagles offense behind the Big 3 of Markus Howard, Andrew Rowsey and Sam Hauser just won't be slowed down not even against a strong Big 10 D. MU is the only team in the country to feature three players with 75-or-more 3-pointers and Rowsey (119), Howard (109) and Hauser (92) are all already in the team's top-10 single-season list and trail only Steve Novak (121, 2005-06).Of the team's losses in 2017-18, seven came to nationally ranked teams (19/21 Purdue, 6/6 Wichita State, 6/5 Xavier, 3/3 Villanova, 8/8 Xavier, 1/1 Villanova, 2/3 Villanova - ranking at time of game.

Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Marquette to cover

NIT - Second Round

I'm sure St.Mary's is not very exited to be here, despite of playing their first game of this tourney with a chip on this shoulders and notching a win.,. Their sudden motivation has come after they were only the fourth team to be in the top 25 in NCAA history to be left out of the big dance. But the truth is this Gael's side had a soft schedule, and other than their big win vs Gonzaga at home this season, looked like they were asleep at the proverbial wheel at times as they cruised against much weaker competition. There's a lot of talk about proving themselves , but I'm betting smashing Washington won't come that easily as this Huskies side won't be easily intimidated at McKeon Pavilion as they have notched road wins over Colorado, USC and most-impressively, Kansas, this season and last time out against an experienced Boise State side.

ST MARYS-CA is 1-8 ATS L/9 in home games after a game where they covered the spread dating back to last season. Washington is 2-0 in these programs last two meetings including a win here at the Pavilion.

Play on Washington to cover

CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals

The Mercer Bears are on fire especially when talking about their money making value on the line as they have covered 9 of their L/10 games.Bears are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record like N.Texas and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and get the nod again in this spot play situation. Note:  Mean Green Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.UNT is led by one man team  sophomore guard Roosevelt Smart, the C-USA's 4th leading scorer with a 19.3 average, but this team is easily controlled if Smart is contained.  The Bears are capable of doing this : Conference 1st in rebounding defense (28.9)

N TEXAS is 0-7 ATS   in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. N TEXAS is 13-32 ATS   in home games in non-conference games since 1997.N TEXAS is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season .

Play on the Mercer Bears to cover

College Insider Tournament - Second Round

With 22 wins on the year, EMU is tied for the fourth-most wins in a single season and very under rated and hungry side that is hell bent on winning this tournament. The Eagles have played some of their best ball of the season over the final month of the season, winnng 11 of its last 13 games overall, including a season-best seven-game winning streak.  The Eagles winning ways have come  behind the Mid-American Conference's best defense. The Eagles, lead the MAC with a 66.8 scoring defense, have allowed just 63.1 points per contest in the last eight games. EMU has also held teams to just 40.9 percent from the floor during the stretch, forced 12.9 turnovers per game, and averaged 8.4 steals per contest which will be I'm betting the catalyst behind a victory for them tonight.

HC Hooten is 2-13 ATS  when the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of SAM HOUSTON ST and  is 8-17 ATS  L/25 in non-conference games as the coach of SAM HOUSTON ST.

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover

CBI Tournament - Quarterfinals

According to my systems and small school charts Jacksonville State is the superior side.

Gamecocks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.

JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-1 ATS  L/9  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. JACKSONVILLE ST is 11-1 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.JACKSONVILLE ST is 9-1 ATS  L/10  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. JACKSONVILLE ST is 11-2 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last few seasons. JACKSONVILLE ST is 13-4 ATS  L/17 in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. JACKSONVILLE ST is 28-15 ATS  L/43  in road games. Jacksonville State HC Harper is 23-8 ATS  in all tournament games in all games he has coached in his career.

Play on Jacksonville State to cover

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN

My own projections make Xavier the better team here by 9 or more points which gives us value laying the lumber with this number.. My own observations also tell me that this could be one of the greatest teams Xavier has ever put on the floor and I won't be surprised if they make it to the Elite 8 round. Meanwhile Florida State has not been a bettors favorite betting option as they have covered only 1 in their L/9 trips to the floor, with 3 of their L/4 losses coming by DD margins. With that said , I'm betting their on the wrong side of this final score here.
Last season Xavier clobbered Florida State 91-66 in neutral curt tourney action.

Xavier is 11-4 on the road this season. Florida State is just 8-9.

FLORIDA ST is 1-8 ATS L/9 versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. FLORIDA ST is 4-13 ATS L/17 vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or more of their shots.XAVIER is 21-8 ATS L/29 versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better.

Play on Xavier to cover

Portland States Head Coach Barret Peery  has shown his metal in his first year at the helm of the team, as the Vikings have registered a 20 win season, something many thought was improbable. This Portland State team is explosive offensively averaging 85.8 points per game on offense and are a dangerous opponent for teams like the  San Diego Toreros squad  that  averages just  70.1 points per game on offense which ranks them 264th nationally.

PORTLAND ST is 10-0 ATS in non-conference games this season.  Vikings are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. West Coast Conference.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (SAN DIEGO) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an below average defensive team (47.5% or better ) after 15+ games are a long term negative out bet, as is evident by 171- 266 ATS mark over the L/21 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate on the blind for bettors.

Play on Portland State to cover

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Intrust Bank Arena - Wichita, KS

 Former Indiana coach Kelvin Sampson who knows what to expect from a Big 10 opponent, has Houston back in the NCAA tournament for the first time since 2010. The Cougars earned their first tournament win since 1984 with a 67-65 victory over San Diego State on Thursday night behind Rob Gray’s 39 points.Houston’s strength is its defense, which ranks 15th in the nation in KenPom’s efficiency metrics. The Cougars give opposing  teams fits as is evident by  having the eighth-worst opponent field-goal percentage when playing Houston.
I have said this time and time again. Houston is the most underrated team in this tournament, and are capable of going deep. I'm not about to  jump off their bandwagon now and recommend we take the points in a tilt vs a Michigan side that matchup very well against. Yes, I know Moe Wagner Wolverines big man is a top tier player, but Houston can make things irritating for the most gifted of athletes, and he is not immune to their constant pestering.

Cougars are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.

HC Sampson is 7-0 ATS  as a neutral court underdog or pick as the coach of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS L/7 after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last few seasons.

Play on Houston

NCAA Tournament - First Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TNMy CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Missouri has Michael Porter Jr. after missing most of the season with a back injury. This Tigers team is a top tier downtown shooting side and very consistent from the FT line, making them viable opponents for a inconsistent Florida state Seminoles team, that is just 7 - 9 away from home this season. The Seminoles coincidently do not guard the three well and are horrible from the charity stripe making them fade material in this spot.

FLORIDA ST is 4-15 ATS L/19 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games dating back to last season and FLORIDA ST is 2-9 ATS L/11 in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making  37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the same time parameters. FLORIDA ST is 4-16 ATS L/20  in road games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons. Hamilton is 7-16 ATS L/23 in a post-season tournament game as the coach of FLORIDA ST.

CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (MISSOURI) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite, on Friday nights are 55-21 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors

.Play on Missouri to cover

NCAA Tournament - First Round - Viejas Arena - San Diego, CA

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

The WAC champ New Mexico State has a roster filled with big athletic men who are not easily intimidated  and  are a cohesive offensive unit  lead by  20 point-per-game scorer Zachm  Lofton and Jemerrio Jones who  is the double-double demon.
 This team grabs rebounds like a fat kid snatching candy on Halloween and also owns one of the best defenses in the country.  They did have issues with FT shooting during the season, but nabbed 20 of 27  in their championship game and must not be disrespected here vs Clemson a side that lost 5 of their L/8 games downs the stretch.  Clemson also struggles with rebounding at times and their FT shooting is also less than spectacular, making them fade material vs a side that actually matches up very well against them.

CLEMSON is 5-16 ATS L/21 in road games in first round tournament games.

Play on New Mexico State to cover

 NCAA Tournament - First Round - Bridgestone Arena - Nashville, TN

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Nevada really takes care of the rock and they don’t turn the ball over very often, they’re  also explosive of the land of the trey, and  are dizzying with their ball movement. baskets.  They had a crap tournament after a great season, but overall they   beat teams by an average of over 11 points per game and must be respected behind an experienced older group. Meanwhile, Texas does not pas well and can are easily read when on the attack. Yes, they do defend the three well, but their overall game is lacking compared to this opponent.

NEVADA is 27-14 ATS L/41 when playing against a team with a winning record .TEXAS is 4-17 ATS  L/21 as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick.NEVADA is 7-0 ATS  off an upset loss as a favorite|(which happened in the MWC Tourney)

Play on Nevada to cover

 NCAA Tournament - First Round - Viejas Arena - San Diego, CA

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

The Racers of the Ohio Valley Conference have not lost in almost two month and must be respected here as less than easy out for West Virginia. The Racers played a non-conference game against Auburn,  which uses a similar pressing style of defense,  that West Virginia uses, and lost by just a few points. Don't write off Murray State vs what my own power rankings suggest is a over rated West Virginia side.

MURRAY ST is 8-2 ATS   versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

CBB favorite (W VIRGINIA) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are just 17-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors.

Play on Murray State to cover

 NCAA Tournament - First Round - Little Caesars Arena - Detroit, MI

 My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

The Titans enter Friday's matchup having won eight of their last 10 games and are in top form. Fifteen seeds have upset two seeds eight times throughout NCAA Tournament history. Four of those times have happened since 2012, with the most recent coming in 2016 (MTSU over Michigan State). So don't be surprised by a freak show and more importantly getting us the cover vs a strong Big 10 program.

CS-FULLERTON is 18-8 ATS L/26 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less  turnovers/game.CS-FULLERTON is 11-3 ATS  as an underdog this season. .PURDUE is 0-6 ATS L/6 after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers this season.

NCAA No.2 seed as chalk of 18 or more points in the opening round of the national tournament have not covered in their L/18 tries vs a team off a win like Fullerton which cruised to a 71-55 victory over UC Irvine in the final winning the Big West Championship)

Play on the Cal State Fullerton

NCAA Tournament - First Round - Spectrum Center - Charlotte, NC

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Providence is not an amazing team that stands put, but they are very deep , and that was evident when they took Villanova to OT in the conference final. This team is physical and can draw fouls, which is a positive for a team that is extremely proficient from the FT line. This team must be respected here as dogs vs a good but over rated Texas A&M Aggies side that lost 4 of their L/7 games overall including a collapse in the conference tournament to Alabama. Texas A&M is frustrating to watch at the charity stripe and their downtown shooting is extremely inconsistent.

TEXAS A&M is 1-7 ATS    in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season.PROVIDENCE is 12-3 ATS  L/15 versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better  with a defense of  42% or better. PROVIDENCE is 23-12 ATS  L/35  as an underdog .

Play on Providence to cover

 NCAA Tournament - First Round - PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Alabama Guard Collin Sexton is  one of the best one on one players I've seen in a long time, and I feel strongly that his team are sleepers here and under rated. Look for him to be the catalyst behind a cover here for the Crimson tide.

Play on Alabama  to cover

  NCAA Tournament - First Round - Intrust Bank Arena - Wichita, KS

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

According to my own power rankings Houston is being vastly under rated by the linesmakers and one of the most under rated sides in the tournament.

HOUSTON is 8-2 ATS L/10  versus good defensive teams - allowing shooting pct defense of 42% or less   this season. HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS  after playing a game as an underdog this season which was the case vs Cincinnati in their conference championship loss ( 56-55).

Play on Houston  to cover

 NCAA Tournament - First Round - Intrust Bank Arena - Wichita, KS

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NC STATE is 6-15 ATS  L/21  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record and is 5-13 ATS   in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.

 CBB favorite (SETON HALL) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 TO or less ) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO) after 15+ games are 95-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seton Hall to cover

NCAA Tournament - First Round - Taco Bell Arena - Boise, ID

South Dakota State is a side that should not be underestimated, as they are very talented and now making their 3rd straight NCAA tourney appearance and on a 11 game win streak . They are lead by Mike Daum (23.8 ppg) the Dominator, a player that is  headed for the NBA next season and one of the best players in this entire tournament.

 Make no mistake that their opponents today Ohio State had a marvelous season, playing well above expectations, but they were just 2-3 SU/ATS down the stretch and being over rated here today against a side that matches up very well against them.

S DAKOTA ST is 6-0 ATS  L/6 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots this season

No.12 seeds like N.Dakota State are 24-11-1 ATS L/9 seasons when facing a No.5 seed like Ohio State.

Play on S.Dakota State to cover

NCAA Tournament - First Round - American Airlines Center - Dallas, TX

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Champions of the Missouri Valley Conference, Loyola (28-5, 15-3 MVC) earned a NCAA berth by defeating Illinois State, 65-49, to capture the MVC Tournament title last Sunday. The Ramblers are one of the hottest teams in the country, winners of 17 of their last 18 tilts, including 10 straight, but facing a team with superior recruiting and talent in a big time event is going to be to over whelming for this group, and I'm betting against them here.  

HC Larranaga is 32-20 ATS   when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MIAMI.

Play on Miami Florida to cover

NCAA Tournament - First Round - PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA

Oklahoma depends way to much on the one man team  Trae Young to get things going. Young thanks to Krugers coaching takes control of the offensive end of the court in one on one fashion,  , but the team in its entirety has proven inconsistent as is evident by losing 8 of their L/10 overall. Watching the sooners play defense is like watching a pylon parade. Meanwhile Rhode Island is a hard working cohesive group with great chemistry and they get the nod here today in this matchup.

OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season.OKLAHOMA is 4-13 ATS L/17 versus good ball handling teams - committing  14 or less turnovers/game. OKLAHOMA is 2-13 ATS  L/15 when playing against a team with a winning record  this season. OKLAHOMA is 10-20 ATS  in all games this season.

CBB favorite (RHODE ISLAND) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (78 PPG or more), after a close loss by 3 points or less are 68-26 ATS  L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rhode Island to cover

NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH

Arizona State was the darlings of the College basketball world earlier this season, but they cooled off considerably during conference play and finished their season losing 5 of their L/6 games, and are playing very inconsistent  ball at the moment. Meanwhile, Syracuse despite of an average campaign are a hard working defensive minded program, with pedigree and experience in this NCAA tournament, and must be respected with HC Boheim on the sideleines . With that said, my own power rankings also suggest Syracuse is the side that should be favored and not Arizona State making gets points here in my humble opinion a viable wagering opportunity.

Note: The Orange had a non-conference schedule ranked No. 14. Its overall schedule was ranked 18. SU played Virginia, the No. 1 team in the RPI, twice. It played North Carolina (RPI 4) twice, it played Kansas (5), Duke (7) and Clemson (11). ........Kansas (5), St. Bonaventure (24) and Buffalo (25) were all non-conference opponents. Needless to say their ready for whats coming their way today.

ARIZONA ST is 2-10 ATS L/12 when playing against a team with a winning record and is 1-7 ATS  L/8 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

CBB underdog (SYRACUSE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 62-31 ATS L/12 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Syracuse to cover

NIT - First Round

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS  L/14 in all tournament games. Temple is 8-2 SU L/10 meetings in this series.

TEMPLE is 23-12 ATS  L/35  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.PENN ST is 31-52 ATS  L/83 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Play on Temple to cover

 CBI Tournament - First Round

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
  
Play on UT Rio Grande Valley  to cover

CBI Tournament - First Round

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

MIAMI OHIO is 8-2 ATS    in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Play on Miami O to cover

The very under rated  Bonnies  had a 13 game losing streak snapped last time out,  but got some great news when they were informed of an at-large bid to the Tournament and now  will primed to face  UCLA in the First Four on Tuesday.  To beat UCLA you have to play fast and need quality guard play , something the Bonnies have.

St.Bonaventure  are lead by All-Conference backcourt  seniors Jaylen Adams and Matt Mobley, who combine to average 38 points per game and I'm betting they will be the catalysts behind  a Bonnies cover vs the Bruins this evening.

Bruins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.Bonnies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Bonnies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Play on St.Bonaventure to cover

The Utah Valley Wolverines,  have been on the rise in the college basketball world as of late and despite of not being a school you might recognize , it has a quality group of talent on board with 4 returning starters. QUOTE: “This is my most talented roster, so I think we have some higher expectations we’re trying to meet,” HC Pope said. END QUOTE.Last year, the Wolverines, made the final four of the CBI tournament, and upset BYU during the regular season, and than played Duke in Kentucky earlier this season, and are battle tested and more than capable of taking out Eastern Washington here today on their own home floor.

Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.Wolverines are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on Utah Valley to cover

NIT - First Round

 The Vermont Catamounts had a great season, but faltered in the conference championship and were surprisingly upset. I really don't think this hoops group is now happy to be here as they expected to be in the NCAA tourney. I know Middle Tennessee is also disappointed, after losing their bid, but from reading different quotes from the Raiders, its become obvious their more motivated. QUOTE: 
"I feel like we have a chance to prove people wrong," King said. "As a mid-major we have to come in with that chip on our shoulder and show people what we're really capable of and this is still an opportunity to do that." END UOTE: With that said I'm betting  the superior home side according to my power rankings will eventually pull away for a cover in this tilt.  ( Middle Tennessee State to cover ) 

MIDDLE TENN ST is 25-11 ATS  L/36 when playing against a team with a winning record.MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS  L/7 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season. MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots.VERMONT is 2-10 ATS  L/12 in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers .

CBB underdog (VERMONT) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite are 69-126 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors on the blind.

Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover

NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH

Two 16 seeds go head to head today in tourney action as Radford takes on Long Island.
Radford finished their season on fire winning 7 straight tilts and must not be disrespected here as short favs.

The Radford Blackbirds are led by NEC Tournament MVP Joel Hernandez (20.9 ppg) and Raiquan Clark (17.4 ppg). Clark is the team's top rebounder with 7.1 per game, while possessing a 55.7 field goal percentage. Hernandez dishes out 2.6 dimes a game, while shooting 38.0 percent from beyond the arc. I'm betting these two key cogs will be the difference maker in this tilt.

Highlanders are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games and have lost 12 of 18 games away from home this season SU.

Radford HC Jones is 6-0 ATS L/6 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games in his career as coach at Radford. LIU HC Kellogg is 9-23 ATS L/32 in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in all games.


CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LONG ISLAND) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, when seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA tournament are 16-44 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 73% for bettors.

CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (RADFORD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent are 25-6 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Radford to cover

AAC Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Orlando, FL

The No. 8 Bearcats face No. 21 Houston on Sunday afternoon in the American Athletic Conference Tournament championship in Orlando, Fla., very focused and ready  to avenge their loss in last year's tourney final . Houston is admittedly playing some great hoops at the moment, but as is usually the case in big games like this the superior D, will be the difference maker. Which makes the Bearcats the go to team here. Note: Cincinnati is No.2 in the DFG and ranked in the nation No.8 in rebounding.

 Cincinnati is 15-2 SU vs Houston L/17 meetings. All 4 championship games in this conference have been won by the fav SU/ATS.

CBB An underdog (HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or better ) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are  76-124 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Cincinnati to cover

Rhode Island and Davidson split their two games this season with Rhode Island taking a DD victory at home while, Davidson barley slipped by Rhode Island in a high charged atmosphere at home by a 63-61 count. Watching clips of those tilts it became obvious to me the Rams were the superior hoops program, and if they met again in the A10 conference tourney that Rhode Island would get the automatic nod at -5 or less. My own power rankings makes the Rams 5 point chalk here in a neutral court environment and they are my choice in this spot. Note: .

Rams are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a straight up win. Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.


CBB favorite (DAVIDSON) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 13-39 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate on the blind.

Play on Rhode Island to cover

Toledo is the type of team that matches up very well against Buffalo's high powered offense, and I had them pegged for the champions of this conference from the very beginning of the season. 

The Rockets  have played their best basketball down the stretch covering 8 of their L/11 and were 4-1 ATS against top tier sides with a .666 record or better this season. According to my power rankings we have a live dog here that has the capabilities of pulling off a SU upset.

Rockets are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games. the underdog has won 7 of the L/8 MAC conference tourneys straight up. Buffalo is 0-3 SU/ATS in this tourney vs a side off back to back SU/ATS wins.

Play on Toledo to cover

Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Washington, DC

St.Bonnie enters this game on a 13 game winning streak, which includes a victory vs Davidson 117-113. and have proven themselves a top tier squad that must be respected this season. If they lose to Davidson here today I'm betting they won't go easily and must be respected a dogs in this spot.

St.Bonnie has won 7 of its L/10 A10 conference tourney games.Bonnies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

ST BONAVENTURE is 6-0 ATS  L/6 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Play on St.Bonaventure to cover

SEC Tournament - Semifinals - ST Louis, MO

Alabama ended their regular season on a 5 game losing streak, and looked downtrodden entering the conference championship tourney. Then suddenly and surprisingly they won their first two games of tournament and find themselves going up against  Kentucky side that has  won and covered 5 of their L/ games including this tourney and enter todays semi finals matchup as deserving favorites. John Calapri's wildcats teams have been lights out dominant in the Semi final and finals rounds going 31-5 SU  while covering 26 of those tilts, and I'm betting they come out on top again and get us the cover.

Kentucky has won 6 straight meetings in this series SU, and beat Alabama this season 81-71 and last year in a neutral court environment 79-74 and once again have the edge today as short chalk.

Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Play on Kentucky to cover

Big 12 Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Kansas City, MO

Texas Tech, enters this game against West Virginia  highly ranked according to my power rankings and also ranks fourth nationally in the KenPom defensive efficiency ratings. This is a team that is currently healthy and playing with a lot of confidence. QUOTE: High, high confidence," star G Evans said after scoring 25 points in a 73-69 victory over Texas on Thursday. "We got everybody back. We're getting healthier by the day. We all know what we can do and what we're capable of." END QUOTE:  Both these NCAA tournament locks, will be very motivated here today, but as is usually the case superior  Ds, wins big games and this one will be no different. ( They split their two meetings this season, but Evans did not play in the loss) Note: The No.2 Seed ( Texas Tech I) n this Tourney is a perfect 9-0 SU since 2006 in Semi Finals games and 7-0 SU L/7 seven seasons.

Play on Texas Tech to cover

analysis to follow-thank you for your patience.

Pac 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Las Vegas, NV

Oregon State has had a decent season, but are still very over matched vs a talented USC Trojans side. The Beavers have won 5 of their 13 , but four of those wins were home and away victories vs Washington and Washington State. Their systems matchup well against those two programs, but according to my power rankings they do not matchup well vs this kind of talented athletic side. With that said, I'm expecting an easy cover by the Trojans here tonight.

Trojans smashed the Beavers by a 72-59 count last time they met Feb 17 and a rinse and repeat situation will not be surprising.

Oregon States -Tres Tinkle injured last game, is probable Thursday vs USC ( Ankle ) but likely to be less 100%.

No.2 Seeds like USC in this PAC12 tourney are 10-2 ATS L/12 and 10-2 ATS when they are favs of less than 6 points.

Trojans are 8-0 ATS L/8 neutral site games. Favorite is 4-1 ATS L/5 in this series.

Play on USC Trojans to cover

ACC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY

The University of Notre Dame  matchup well according to my power rankings  against No. 4 seed (and No. 5/4 national rank) Duke   on Thursday night .(Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. )

 Last season the Blue Devils took out t the Irish 75-69 in last season’s ACC Championship game - a contest the Irish led by three points in the final minutes . Notre Dame is currently in top form and have won 7 of their L/10 with  two of those losses coming by 3 points to Miami fl, and to top ranked Virginia by 5 points and  they must not be disrespected here as dogs. Note: ACC defending Champs like Duke  are 3-14 ATS as a fav in the first round, and Duke is 4-14 ATS in their first round conference tourney game dating back to the 2001 campaign.

Notre Dame is 8-2 all-time in the Barclays Center - but the current group of Irish players have a 8-1 record in the home of the Brooklyn Nets.

Play on Notre Dame to cover

Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Second Round - Washington, DC


Both these top tier mid major programs, are in rebuilding seasons. But according to my power rankings in a neutral court environment, Virginia Commonwealth has an edge. VCU owns a 17-14 overall record while Dayton is under .500 with a 14-16 record.

Both have not performed well away from home this season, but the Flyers have been particularly atrocious losing 12 of 14 games on the road, including 7 straight and are fade material in this spot.

VCU is 11-4 in this tourney and lost and last years finals to Rhode Island. This program knows how to take care of business.

( Dayton won their final home game of the season, vs George Washington by a 88-78 count, but that has not been a good omen for them in the recent past as some of these trends below would indicate.)

DAYTON is 0-11 ATS off a home win this season.DAYTON is 0-8 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. DAYTON is 1-12 ATS (after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.

VA COMMONWEALTH is 20-8 ATS L/28 in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 .VA COMMONWEALTH is 10-2 ATS L/12 off a road blowout win by 20 points or more.

DAYTON is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons.DAYTON is 5-17 ATS L/22 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

Play on VCU to cover

Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - First Round - Washington, DC

GW enters this game against Fordham  having won the last seven meetings in this series a row, and 10 of the last 11, and  lead the all-time series 26-6. The Colonials just  defeated the Rams in the Smith Center, 72-56, last Wednesday and now they are my pick to get the job done again here today SU/ATS. The Colonials have won their opening game four straight years in the conference tourney. After starting their season very slowly the Colonials   averaging just 61.3 points per game in their first eight conference tilts , they  than began to get things going and are now performing in  top tier fashion offensively as   GW  is now  averaging 74.5 ppg in its last 10 outings and should once again be dominating vs a Fordham side on a 6 game losing streak, and struggling with their offense  scoring  60 points or less points in 5 of those 6  trips to the hardwood. 

FORDHAM is 12-27 ATS in all tournament games since 1997.FORDHAM is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 80 points or more .FORDHAM is 7-23 ATS  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.FORDHAM is 5-16 ATS   as an underdog this season.

Play on George Washington to cover

ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Brooklyn, NY

Louisville has won 10 of its last 12 conference tournament games and has a 15-4 record with three championships over its last eight conference tournaments and have top tier pedigree on this sides, and a lot to prove after receiving some disturbing NCAA sanctions recently .Louisville has a 33-11 series advantage over Florida State winning three of the last five matchups while covering 4 of those tilts. It must also be noted that the Cardinals took down the No.23 Noles 73-69 earlier this season breaking a 28-game Seminoles home winning streak as UofL fought back from a 17-point deficit to notch the victory. If they could win there, the Cardinal can beat this team here in a much friendlier environment.

Louisville has made 41.8 percent of their threes over the last nine games (84-of-201) and is third in the ACC in three-point percentage for conference games only (.382). I'm betting this will be the catalyst behind what I'm betting will be a cover for the Cardinal in this spot.

Florida State has failed to cover 8 straight games.

FLORIDA ST is 4-14 ATS L/18 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. FLORIDA ST is 5-14 ATS (L.19  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games dating back 3 seasons.FLORIDA ST is 0-8 ATS  L/8 in road games after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more. FLORIDA ST is 1-9 ATS  in road games off a home win against a conference rival.

Play on Louisville to cover

Northeast Conference Tournament - Championship Game

The No. 1 seeded Wagner men's basketball team takes on  No. 4 seed, LIU Brooklyn, in Tuesday's championship game. If Wagner wins, the Seahawks will earn the NEC's automatic bid but  I'm betting if they get that big prize tonight, it won't come easily. Tuesday's championship tilt  is the  rubber match between the Seahawks and Blackbirds as the teams split their two meetings this season, each retaining victories on their respective home courts.In the two previous games between Wagner and LIU the difference of scoring margin  was a combined six points as on January 13, LIU earned a last-second 69-67 victory in Brooklyn while the Seahawks grinded out a 78-74 home win on February 17.  A rinse and repeat situation looks to be on tonights agenda. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points.

LONG ISLAND is 10-1 ATS  L/11 revenging a same season loss vs opponent and is a perfect 7-0 ATS  L/7 revenging a road loss vs opponent. LIU HC Kellogg is 15-3 ATS  L/18 in his career as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points .

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LONG ISLAND) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more are 79-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Long Island to cover

West Coast Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV

The Gaels have been nationally-ranked in nine weeks of the season and have been on my radar as being a top tier team with big dance credentials from the onset of this campaign.The Gaels have advanced to semifinals in 15 of the last 16 seasons.

From a power rankings perspective the Gaels according to my numbers should be a 7.5 point fav here, which makes laying around 5 points a value line wager.

SMC has won the last five meetings versus BYU. The Gaels defeated the Cougars last year in the semifinals, 81-50 and I won't be surprised by another DD margin of victory again.

BYU HC
Rose is 2-21 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick  -Opponent 80. BYU 69.5. .
Overall BYU is 5-30 ATS  as a neutral court underdog or pick and is  4-21 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick.

BYU is 2-11 ATS L/13 revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more.BYU is 6-17 ATS L/23 vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their shots.

Play on St.Mary;s Gaels to cover

Colonial Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Charleston, SC

William Mary is one of the must under rated small team schools in the nation, and despite of losing both their games vs Towson this season, have the talent to get their revenge in this post season spot play. It must be note that the Tribe is the best shooting team in the country, as the only program to rank among the top 10 nationally at all three levels. W&M leads the country in 3-point percentage (43.5) and free throw shooting (80.9), while ranking fourth in field goal percentage (51.2). No team in NCAA history has shot 50 percent from the field, 40 percent from 3-point range and 80 percent from the free throw line in the same season, and only three have shot 50-40-75 since 1993.  According to advanced statistical website KenPom, the Tribe ranks second nationally in effective field goal percentage (59.5) and 32nd in adjusted offensive efficiency  (116.3). They get the nod here today.


TOWSON ST is 4-11 ATS L/15 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.TOWSON ST is 1-9 ATS L/10 after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. TOWSON ST is 5-12 ATS against conference opponents this season.

WM & MARY is 13-1 ATS L/14 revenging a loss vs opponent dating back last season. WM & MARY is 10-0 ATS L/10 revenging a road loss vs opponent .


CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WM & MARY) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 29-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on William Mary to cover

The 10th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats go head to head with the 11th ranked  Wichita State Shockers  this Sunday in a battle that I'm betting favors the road side getting points. I know that Wichita took out Cincinnati 76-62  earlier this season, on the road , but I have a great deal of confidence in the Bearcats refocusing and  clawing back with some revenge here as visitors, vs a program that has lost 6 of their L/7 home finales vs a .666 or better opposition. Yes, the Shockers are a big nasty group of big young men, but the Bearcats are not easily intimidated behind the nations No.2 FG % and No.7 Rebound  margin. Note: Bearcats are a perfect 7-0 SU with revenge on the road vs .850 or better opposition when their hoops program owns a .800 or better record.

WICHITA ST is 5-12 ATS  after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games this season.

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CINCINNATI) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival are 47-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (CINCINNATI) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off a road win are 28-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cincinnati to cover

Nevada is off wrapping Mountain west Conference with a  blowout beat down of UNLV last time out, and will now be in a letdown spot and  focused on staying healthy for the post season. Tonight against a SD State Aztecs side that plays their best hoops at home ( 12-2 SU) I expect to see a mild upset on a short chalk line, especially considering the Aztecs have revenge on board for a ugly 94-56 smack down the last time these teams played. Note: HC Fisher is 8-2 ATS in his career when seeking same season revenge of a loss of 20 points or more.SAN DIEGO ST is also a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent .

SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick.
San Diego State is a perfect 15-0  SU in final home games when they own a .500 record or better.

CBB underdog (NEVADA) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 or more  PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 75-120 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% go against conversion rate for bettors.

San Diego State to cover

These two sides have bi polar records , with UL Lafayette with a 24-6 mark and 14-0 SU at home and Arkansas Little Rock with a 6-24 W/L overall record. I know the Trojans may not inspire bettors but despite of their lack of success SU have been very competitive of late, with their L/4 games being decided by 4,5,2 and 4 points. This team also has a lot of road games under their belts this season, and won't be easily intimidated here. Note: Little Rock's 16 road opponents have a combined record of 274-204 (.573) as 11 of the 16 currently own winning records.

Arkansas Little Rock plays a hardcore style of physical D, and go hard in the paint, which makes them difficult to play against  if your a free flowing side like Cajuns. The Trojans have outscored their opponents 863-726 in points in the paint through 30 games this season, averaging 28.8 points in the key per game and accounting for 45.4% of their offensive production, and I'm betting this will be the catalyst to them getting the cover today vs a superior foe that I'm sure is over looking them.

ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 18-7 ATS  L/25  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 11-2 ATS  after allowing 55 points or less over the last few seasons.

CBB Underdogs of 20 or more points (ARK-LITTLE ROCK) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, playing their 2nd game in 3 days are 51-21 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Arkansas Little Rock to cover

Florida State is off two straight road losses, but have played their best basketball at home this season, winning 12 of 14 games outscoring opposition sies by 14.4 ppg . The Noles desperately need to get back into the win column here this afternoon vs Boston College in their home finale. With this game also being a revenger for the Seminoles , I'm expecting we see them very motivated and  in top form here. ( BC beat FSU 81-75 earlier this season)

Florida States HC is 16-2 ATS in home finales when seeking revenge. FSU is also 6-1 ATS L/7 home finales and have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here.

Hamilton is 8-1 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 or more as the coach of FLORIDA ST with the combined average margin of victory coming by more than 11.4 ppg.

Play on Florida State to cover

Eastern Michigan  is a hoops program I have been keeping a close on eye on as this season has progressed, as this team looks to have a lot of chemistry and talent, which has translated into them up trending in my power rankings behind five straight wins , and 7 victories in their L/8 trips to the hardwood . The Eagles clinched a first round bye in the Mid-American Conference Tournament with its 16-point road win at Western Michigan last time out and must be respected in their current form.The Eagles have put up 78.2 points per contest on 52.1 field goal percentage in their L/4 games and come in here ready to send a message to Toledo before the conference Tourney starts. In Eastern's L/8 games their already staunch defense has gotten even better as the Eagles are allowing just 61.5 points per game and holding opponents to a 38.6 shooting percentage from the floor during that stretch, while forcing110 turnovers, had 43 steals, and smacked down 23 shots , which makes them very dangerous pups in their current incarnation.

EMichigan in their most recent meeting last week vs the Toledo Rockets they came out on top in a 85-79 victory at home in the Convocation Center, and are more than capable of making the Rockets work hard for a payback win in this spot.  

E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. TOLEDO is 0-6 ATS L/6 after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games and is 3-13 ATS after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games .



E MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS L/15 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last few seasons.


CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (TOLEDO) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival against opponent off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog are 3-22 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - ST Louis, MO

Drake has won both meetings this season home and away and matchup very well vs Bradley from a system vs system analysis projection that I use exclusively for tournament action.

Note: Bradley G Darrel Brown is expected to play today, but according to court side news from multiple sources is far from being 100%.

BRADLEY is 0-6 ATS L/6  in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points which happened in a 78-68 road loss at Drake in their last meeting on Feb 3 of this season.

DRAKE is 21-11 ATS  L/33 when playing against a team with a winning record .

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BRADLEY) - off a home loss by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 26-55 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (DRAKE) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite, on Friday nights are 53-20 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72 % conversion rate for  bettors.

Play on Drake to cover

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - ST Louis, MO

Loyola enters the 2018 Missouri Valley Conference Championship tourney on a seven-game winning streak and are currently in top form. The Ramblers go against a N.Iowa side  that they have  prevailed against  in five of the last six matchups between the programs.This year, Loyola swept the season series, marking the second time in the last three years it has taken both contests from UNI and once again look like a team that we want to back here.

N IOWA is 3-10 ATS   as an underdog this season losing SU by an average of 7.3 ppg.

N IOWA is 8-23 ATS L/30 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game and 4-15 ATS  L/19 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game .LOYOLA-IL is 10-1 ATS  l/11 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOYOLA-IL) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 PPG or less) are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Loyola Chicago to cover

Memphis enters this game on a 4 game win streak, but took part in some grueling affairs vs quality opponents in those tilts,  ie ( SMU, Tulane , Houston UConn) and despite of having momentum on their sides, they could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot vs a lowly USF hoops program I'm sure their over looking. With that said, I'm recommending we close our eyes, plug our noses and pull the proverbial trigger with extreme prejudice vs a  Tigers side that  will be playing without star point guard Jeremiah Martin, who was ruled out for the season with a broken foot. Martin's 18.9 points per game are currently tops in the conference.

Tigers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The road team is 11-4 ATS L/15 meetings.  South Florida has covered their two most recent trips to Memphis.

MEMPHIS is 3-11 ATS L/14 after scoring 80 points or more dating back to last season.S FLORIDA is 12-3 ATS  L/15  in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread.

S FLORIDA is 48-30 ATS L/78 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MEMPHIS) - an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential) against a struggling team (8 PPG or worse differential), after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games are 9-32 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB oad team (S FLORIDA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 109-56 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate on the blind for bettors.

Play on USF to cover

This is Louisville's last home game of the season, on senior night, and will be primed and motivated for a win as they go against the No.1 ranked team in the country and the ACC the Virginia Cavaliers. Louisville has won 15 of its last 16 Senior Day games, including last year's 71-64 victory over No. 19 Notre Dame It must also be noted that Louisville has a 42-11 SU  record in its conference home games over the last six years (.792) and must not be underestimated as dogs vs a top tier side.

The Cardinal also looked good last time out on the road, beating a pretty good Virginia Tech hoops program by a 75-68 count, and  has been cruising in to high gear offensively of late , as they have converted on  43.5 percent of their threes over the last eight games (73-of-168) and leads the ACC in three-point percentage for conference games only (.387). UofL is also  14-2 when it makes eight or more three-pointers in a game. Add to that the D, is also playing consistently as is evident by holding eight of its 16 ACC opponents to 40 percent or below shooting from the field and you have a pup here that I feel good about backing.

UofL fell 74-64 at Virginia last month, but in that game the Cards despite of the DD loss were viable opponents vs the Cavs as Louisville   shot 50 percent from the field , the only team that has achieved that this season against Virginia.

With that said, My own projections estimate that Louisville will be able to put 61 + points on the scoreboard here tonight which is key, as VIRGINIA is  just 6-15 ATS   when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last few seasons ( Virginia 63.9 Opposition 63.4)

Play on Louisville to cover

Georgia prepares to play its last  regular-season home game on Wednesday night when the Bulldogs host Texas A&M on "Senior Night" at Stegeman Coliseum.

 The Bulldogs  continue to build momentum and bolster their postseason résumé. Georgia has won three of its last four games, including victories over projected NCAA Tournament participants Florida and No. 18 Tennessee. Georgia also looked to be in top form via  a 93-82 win over LSU last Saturday. .  .Georgia was No. 70 in Monday's NCAA RPI but has secured more quality victories than most of the teams ahead of the Bulldogs.UGA has 8 combined "Q1" & "Q2" wins, more than 37 teams ahead of UGA in the RPI. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is off a revenge game vs Vanderbilt last time out winning 89-81 and could easily be in a letdown spot here vs an up trending side. Previous to the Aggies win they had lost 3 straight, and still don't look to be operating with the same proficiency they did earlier this season. Note: Texas A&M has only won  2 of 10 road games this season and are fade material here  according to my own projections.

TEXAS A&M is 1-7 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

TEXAS A&M is 0-7 ATS  L/7 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.TEXAS A&M is 2-11 ATS  L/13 after scoring 85 points or more.  GEORGIA is 14-4 ATS  L/18  in home games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing  12 or less turnovers/game. GEORGIA is 10-2 ATS  L/12 after 4 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS A&M) - excellent team - shooting 45% or better  with a defense of 42% or less on the season against opponent after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent vs 37-71 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia to cover

Ole Miss had had a overall disappointing season, but must not be underestimated here vs their hosts Kentucky, as they  have notched six wins versus RPI top 100 teams, including three against the top 50 this season. Tonight against a good but still over rated Wildcats hoops program, they look like solid investment options getting points.

Keys to a Ole Miss cover here a DD dogs will come I'm betting via these key attributes: Ole Miss has taken care of the basketball this season. The Rebels have coughed up the rock only 331 times, ranking 39th nationally in fewest turnovers allowed. Averaging only 11.4 turnovers per tilt, Ole Miss ranks  42nd in the nation and owns a solid 1.3 assist/turnover ratio which ranks fourth in the SEC and 60th in the country.The Rebels also  lead the SEC in rebounding in conference games, pulling down 38.2 boards per game. - Ole Miss also paces the conference with 13.1 offensive rebounds per SEC contest.

Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.(  the Wildcats clobbered Missouri last time out 87-66)

KENTUCKY is 9-18 ATS  L/27 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less  turnovers/game after 15+ games dating back to last season.OLE MISS is 20-7 ATS  as an underdog of 10 or more points and 17-5 ATS  L/22 as a road underdog of 10 or more points.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (OLE MISS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 121-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Ole Miss to cover

North Carolina may not have their full attention focused on this tilt with the Canes here this evening, as their season finale vs Duke is up next, with the No.2 seed on the line. Meanwhile, Miami  after losing key Guard Bruce Brown took some time to get rolling again, but I've kept an eye on them, and they are looking like a viable up trending side that cannot be ignored as DD underdogs in this spot.Walker and Lykes have stepped up as Miami's leading scorers. Walker has averaged 13.3 points per game in the last eight contests, while Lykes has totaled 13.1 points per game over that period It must also be noted that Miami Fl has revenge on board for a ACC tourney loss to North Carolina from last season, and will be ramped up for payback vs a side that has covered just 3 of their L/19 vs an avenging foe with a 60% or better record before facing the Blue Devils.

 Since HC Jim Larrañaga took over at UM, the Canes are 5-5 SU against UNC, including a pair of upset wins in Chapel Hill. The teams split a pair of games last year, with Miami prevailing, 77-62, in Coral Gables, and UNC winning 78-53 in the quarterfinals of the ACC tournament. The Hurricanes have won five of the last eight meetings in this series.

MIAMI is 30-13 ATS L/43 as an underdog of 10 or more points.MIAMI is 26-13 ATS  as a road underdog of 10 or more points

Play on Miami Fl to cover

Buffalo has had a good season, from a SU perspective but the lines-makers are continually over estimating them, as is evident by them having failed to cover 8 of their L/9 games overall. With Akron entering this game with revenge for a ugly 87-65 set back at home back on Jan 9 of this season, I expect they come out on  a mission and  are subsequently a lot more competitive this time around , and  make it 3 straight covers here as visitors.  Note: Buffalo scored 108 points against Ohio on Saturday afternoon, its most ever in a MAC game and despite of this being Seniors night and an opportunity to capture the No.1 seed in the conference tourney, the Bulls  should experience a natural let down and a  reversal to their mean average output .

Akron last time out 64-62 to Miami O, but Since the start of the 2004-05 season, the Zips have been one of best teams in the nation when it comes to rebounding after a loss. Excluding season-ending losses, Akron is 99-42 (.702) following a loss.The Zips have posted a 48-27 mark (.640) in the last 75 games against the MAC East dating back to the start of the 2012 league schedule.

BUFFALO is 1-7 ATS  L/8  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game. BUFFALO is 2-14 ATS  L/16 after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games. BUFFALO is 1-7 ATS  after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite this season.

Play on Akron to cover

The Nebraska men's basketball team looks for its 22nd win of the season on Sunday afternoon, as the Huskers host Penn State on Senior Day.The Huskers enter the final weekend of the regular season winning nine of their last 11 games and seven of its last eight .The Huskers  are currently in a strong position to earn one of the four double-byes for the Big Ten Tournament next week at Madison Square Garden so you can imagine the energy that they will bring to the court tonight in a packed house supporting them. I know Penn State  will also be hyped up as they fight for its postseason life, as the Nittany Lions look to bounce back from a 73-64 loss to Michigan, but this type of environment is not a good opportunity for them to get things rolling in the right direction.  Add to that its payback time , as Penn State took  a 76-74 OT win over the Huskers on Jan. 12 which will give the Huskers added inspiration.

Penn State is 0-7 ATS L/7 as road dogs vs opposition with a .800 record or less opposition. Nebraska is 17-2 ATS L/19 overall. NEBRASKA is 10-1 ATS L/11 when playing against a team with a winning record  .NEBRASKA is 10-1 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.NEBRASKA is 12-0 ATS L/12 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game .

Tonight I'm betting the catalyst to a Nebraska victory will come behind a defense  that  has buoyed them this season . The Huskers are third in field goal defense (.412) in conference play and have  held 12 of their last 15 opponents under 45 percent shooting. Nebraska also leads the Big Ten in 3-point defense in conference play, holding opponents to 30 percent shooting from the land of the trey.

Note: Nebraska is 15-1 SU at Pinnacle Bank Arena this season with the only loss coming in a one-point loss against a strong  Kansas program back on Dec. 16. Overall  it must be noted that this team forte also lies with the fact that they have a never say doe attitude as is evident by looking at Nebraska's six losses dating back to Dec. 9, NU lost twice in the last 30 seconds (vs. Kansas, at PSU) and  three others where NU was within a point in the last four minutes (at Creighton, at No. 13 OSU, at Illinois).

Nebraska is 6-1 in Lincoln all-time against the Nittany Lions and have won and covered 5 straight at home in this series.

Play on Nebraska to cover

CSU has had a down season thanks in part to having to reignite their lineup after losing two of last year's five starters, including Mountain West Player of the Year Gian Clavel and First Team All-MW forward Emmanuel Ombogo.  Meanwhile, Nevada looks like a big dance candidate, and are being made big chalk here in a contest that will see two sides playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. With that said, and despite of the W/L discrepancies the Rams behind interim HC Jase Herl are still capable of covering this slightly bloated number as road dogs according to matchup system vs system analysis . Note: Colorado State  in their first meeting in this series went back and forth with  Nevada but came out on the short end of a 76-67 loss, Feb. 3 and get the nod to cover in this spot.

NEVADA is 2-10 ATS  L/12 as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points .

COLORADO ST is 20-9 ATS L/29 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game .

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (COLORADO ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 111-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado State to cover

San José State suffered a 36-point, 85-49, loss to San Diego State earlier this season on January 9 inside Viejas Arena and now have revenge on board. The Aztecs came out flying in that tilt, vs a team that upset hem last season. Despite of San Jose States dismal record they have played much better ball of late from a ATS perspective cashing 5 of their L/7 for their backers. Last year the Spartans upset the Aztecs 76-71 here at home, and I'm betting they will be competitive in this spot again.

SAN JOSE ST is 11-2 ATS   when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season and 6-0  ATS at home using the same total perimeters. SAN DIEGO ST is 3-13 ATS L/16 after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.

Update:  SD State - F Malik Pope is OUT Saturday vs San Jose State ( Suspension )- averages 26 min a game - and 12.7 ppg .

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN JOSE ST) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 38-13 ATS L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Jose State to cover

Florida has lost three straight in Southeastern Conference play, all in closely contested affairs, as well as six of the last eight, and on the brink of playing itself out of the NCAA Tournament picture . Those three losses came by a combined 11 points, and the three opponents converted at 80.3 percent. With that said , I'm betting they come into this tilt in desperation mode, which I'm betting we will see this Gators hoops group at their best vs a Auburn program they have beaten 11 straight times here at home dating back to 1997 and 23 of the L/26 times home and away. Meanwhile, Bruce Pearls hoops kids, are off a revenge win vs Alabama last time out, and could easily be in a letdown situation here against a hyped up group. Florida is 10-5 at home this season, while 3 of Auburns 4 losses this season have come on the road, and I'm betting on a 4th loss in this spot.

FLORIDA is 34-14 ATS L/48 after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

CBB  underdog (AUBURN) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 or more  PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 72-116 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Florida to cover

The Broncos  are value line dogs here, and have been playing some good hoops of late, despite of  having their three-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with a home loss to Loyola Marymount on Senior Night losing by 1 point 65-64..Over the last four games, Santa Clara is shooting 49.0 percent from the floor making them dangerous DD dogs in their current form  . Meanwhile, The No. 22/20 Gaels  are set as the No. 2 seed in next week's WCC Tournament and have very little left to play for other than staying healthy.

ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games when playing against a lower tier  team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%).ST MARYS-CA is 0-7 ATS  L/7 in home games on Saturday games.ST MARYS-CA is 2-10 ATS  L/12 when playing with one or less days rest this season. St.Marys is 15-1 SU at home this season but have only covered four times.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 15-50 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Santa Clara to cover

LA Monroe enters this game having won and covered 5 straight and 7 of their L/8 and are not an easy out for any team in their current top tier form. Meanwhile, their hosts Troy State have lost 2 straight, and despite of being 9-4 at home this season are just .500 vs the spread. LA Monroe is very confident at the moment, and have a recent history of playing Troy very tough covering the L/4 meetings in this series including a win and cover in their L/visit here and get the nod again.

LA-MONROE is 8-2 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. LA-MONROE is 6-0 ATS  L/6 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season.TROY is 3-12 ATS  L/15  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game .TROY is 3-12 ATS  L/15  in home games after a game where they covered the spread which happened last time out.

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA-MONROE) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, playing with one or less days rest 53-22 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on LA Monroe to cover

This version of Kansas may not be on the same level of Villanova or Virginia , but believe me when I say this is still a top tier team with plenty of pedigree which is backed by the experience of one of the best coaches in basketball Bill Self. Today in revenge mode for their worst loss in the Bill Self's tenure at this school in home games ( 85-73), I expect payback to be at the forefront of this battle vs Texas Tech. Note:  Kansas has never been swept in a same season series by any Big 12 conference opponent, while the Red Raiders are just 2-14 ATS as chalk vs a side with revenge from a 10 point  or more loss .

KANSAS is 20-9 ATS  L/29 in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game . KANSAS is 11-3 ATS  L/14   in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better  with a defense of 42% or better.

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival are 44-18 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Kansas to cover

The Cardinals visit Blacksburg, Va. to face the Virginia Tech Hokies . My power rankings suggest these teams are evenly matched and is indicating value with taking James Madison in this spot. In  their first meeting this season Delaware won 61-60 and in their final matchup last year another 1 point deficit saw Delaware win 58-57.  I will not be surprised at all if this is also a one possession tilt, favoring the road dog to cover. JAMES MADISON is 8-1 ATS  as a road underdog or pick this season.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JAMES MADISON) - good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 15+ games are 70-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on James Madison to cover

Villanova enters this road game vs Creighton  after having defeated and annihilating DePaul 93-62 on Wednesday evening  in full big dance dress rehearsal mode. With that said,  I expect the Wildcats will be ready to  crush another hoops program. I know Virginia is ranked No.1 in the national polls, but according to my own power rankings systems Villanova is numero uno, and viable single digit road favs against almost  any team in the country including Creightoin.

VILLANOVA is 8-1 ATS   versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game this season.CREIGHTON is 4-12 ATS  L/16 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots. VILLANOVA is 15-4 ATS  /19 after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent.CREIGHTON is 1-7 ATS   as an underdog this season with the average margin SU loss coming by 13 ppg.

The Wildcats are 8-1 ATS L/9 as road chalk with 3 or more days rest vs sides like the Blue Jays off back to back su/ats  wins  vs opposition with revenge.  Villanova is 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (20/game or more ), after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent are 55-23 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Villanova to cover

Ohio State has had a tremendous campiagn, and are the surprise team of the Big 10, but Archie Miller's  Indiana has expentionally shown imporvement as this season has progressed and must not be underestimated here as home dogs. Note: HC Miller is 5-0 ATS as a home dog in conference action.In the last 5 games, IU is shooting 51.9% from the field and 43.2% from beyond the arc, while holding opponents to 38.4% shooting from the field and 29.9% from the land of the trey.

The Hooisers did lose to the Buckeyes in their meeting on Jan 30, but now with revenge on board, and boasting a 7-1 ATS record as home pups vs .666 or better oppostion I'm betting the hosts hand out some shock and awe on Senior's night.
.IU has won the last 3 meetings in Assembly Hall dating back to the 2013-14 season.

INDIANA is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record.INDIANA is 6-0 ATS off a road loss this season.( The Hooisers had a 4 game win streak halted at Nebraska last time out)  OHIO ST is 2-10 ATS L/12 after a cover as a double digit favorite.( The Buckeyes clobbered Rutgers last time out 79-52)

Play on Indiana o to cover

St.Mary;s thanks to their great record and superiority over most teams in this conference are been made huge favs on a consistent basis, but a lot of times the line is slightly bloated and offer value for advantage players. I know Pepperdine has had a down season, and are banged up , but they are more than capable of covering here tonight, behind Colbey Ross who has set the Waves freshman record for assists in a season. The  top tier  freshman in the WCC in both scoring (14.5, seventh overall) and assists (5.6, second overall, 35th nationally)is coming off a 21-point effort at Gonzaga.   

ST MARYS-CA is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record.ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points over the last 2 seasons.  ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS  l/6  in home games off a road win by 10 points or more and is 1-8 ATS l/9  in home games after playing a road game ( The Gaels beat Portland last time out 73-61)

Home favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 15-48 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pepperdine to cover

UCLA enters this tilt vs their hosts Utah having won two straight and six of its last seven games dating back to Jan. 25. While recording  a 14-2 home record, the Bruins are just 2-5 SU overall in road games this season (2-4 in Pac-12 road games) and despite of their current level of play are fade material vs this type of quality opponent on the road. Add to that Utah currently on a 4 game win streak got clobbered and embarrassed by the Bruins 83-64 six weeks ago and you have a very motivated side to back in this spot.

UCLA is 6-15 ATS L/21 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games . Alford is 1-9 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of UCLA.

UTAH is 7-1 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season.

CBB A road team (UCLA) - after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 26-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Utah to cover

Charlotte has had a down season, and are currently on a 12 game losing skid, but they have been competitive lately, and during this ugly run have only once lost by more than 19 points. Earlier this season, WKU defeated Charlotte, 73-63, in Halton Arena, (January 13), and my projections estimate a 14 point win here for Western Kentucky in the rematch, which gives us very good value with the underdog in this spot.

CHARLOTTE is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - off a home loss against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 88-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover

 These two struggling  College Hoops programs are sides that actually matchup fairly evenly despite of the home sides superior record. Make no mistake Rice is a team with very few positives attached to them, but from a systems stand point and according to my cross reference rankings are capable pups vs this type of opponent.  My own projections have made Florida Atlantic  4 point chalk here, thus giving us underdog value on the line . FAU won the previous meeting this year on Jan. 27, 63-62, at Tudor Fieldhouse in  a hard fought affair, and a rinse and repeat situation is not out of the question tonight. Rice has won its last two visits to Boca Raton.

FLA ATLANTIC is 2-12 ATS  L/14 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. FLA ATLANTIC is 1-8 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season. RICE is 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games in February games dating back to last season.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FLA ATLANTIC) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 28-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors.

CBB An underdog (RICE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, a struggling team( 20% or less ) playing a team with a losing record are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rice to cover

Wisconsin has had a down season behind a very inexperienced young group, but according to my matchup analysis are solid competition for what my power rankings suggest is an over rated Northwestern program.Wisconsin has won 15 of the last 20 SU against the Wildcats overall, but NU won an earlier match-up this season, 60-52, at the Kohl Center and now with revenge on board for the Badgers. I,m betting we will get a motivated effort from them here vs a Chris Collins team that is just 5-10 ATS L/15 at home vs avenging Big 10 opposition . Note: The Badgers have won 5 of their last 6 trips to Evanston. . Note: Over the last two games, Wisconsin held Purdue (-29.5) and Minnesota (-13.5) to an average of 21.5 points below their season scoring averages. Winners of three of the last four, Wisconsin  is my choice here tonight.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (WISCONSIN) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more are 161-106 ATS L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Wisconsin to cover

San José State travels to Reno this Wednesday to face the Mountain West leading No.24-Nevada Wolf Pack. The last time these teams played the Wolfpack took out the Spartans by a 71-54 count. However, San José State played one of its best halves of the season allowing  the Wolf Pack to 26.7 percent shooting and took a 26-24 lead into halftime, before succumbing in the 2nd half vs an extremely experienced and talented side. However, now with a blueprint in hand on how to compete with the Pack I'm betting San Jose State will be very prepared for the rematch. It must also be noted that despite of the DD loss, in that above mentioned game that  it was just  two-possession game with under five minutes to play in the second half. With that said, lets take the points.

NEVADA is 7-19 ATS  /26 versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 8+ points/game .SAN JOSE ST is 8-2 ATS  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.

CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (SAN JOSE ST) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 45-16 ATS L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Jose State Spartans to cover

Bruce Pearl has assembled a pretty darn good group here at Auburn, and despite of some round about accusations about how he has done it , the fact still remains that this a up trending  hoops program that must be respected . Here tonight in a big time rivalry , I expect the Auburn to be ready to bring down the hammer, vs a side that upset them earlier this season, by a 76-71 count, and that is in a let down scenario after a hard fought 81-71 loss to Kentucky this past weekend. Note: Auburn is a perfect 7-0 ATS vs teams off a loss this season.

I know the Tigers also lost last time out, 84-75 to South Carolina in a surprising upset, but in the Tigers only  other three losses this season, they came back and rebounded in their next game in  explosive fashion  cashing all three times,   with a double-digit victories.

Tigers are shooting 48 percent and averaging 89.1 points per game at home  this season. They have won 12 of their 14 home games by double digits. Rinse and repeat here tonight.

Auburn is 13-4 ATS l/17 at home in this series and have won and covered the two most recent games here at home. Pearl is 21-10 ATS   as a home favorite or pick as the coach of AUBURN.

AUBURN is 16-5 ATS   when playing against a team with a winning record this season and have covered 8 of their L/10 vs above .500 squads.AUBURN is 12-1 ATS   after a combined score of 155 points or more this season.AUBURN is 6-0 ATS  L/6 after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.

Play on Auburn to cover

According to my own projections this line is slightly bloated thus giving us value with the underdog Fordham. Recently Fordham has shown some life, and despite of a overall dismal record are 3-3 in their L/6 games, upsetting Umass, Duquesne and George Mason. Look for  a rejuvenated Fordham team that got clobbered by Davidson back on Jan 14 at home to come out here looking to get some respect and be much more competitive .

Note: Fordham  leads the league, and is sixth in the nation, in steals with 243 (9.3/game) and can be a pesky side to play against , especially for free flowing sides like Davidson.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (FORDHAM) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 102-52 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FORDHAM) - a terrible offensive team (63 or less  PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after allowing 80 points or more are 90-43 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Fordham to cover

Virginia the No.1 ranked team in the nation, has some pretty big spreads attached to their favorite status , which in turn offers up the occasional line value on their underdog opponents. Tonight that's exactly the situation.The Cavaliers have clinched a double-bye in the ACC Tournament and will be out just looking to stay healthy as we get loser to tournament time, thus giving us value with a program that has cashed 14 of their L/20 as road underdogs in this series.

Note: Fourteen of Georgia Tech's contests this season have been decided by 10 points or less, including six ACC games, and they were not decided until the final few minutes. Tech has played nine games decided by five points or fewer or in overtime, most for any ACC team other than Florida State (10).

GEORGIA TECH is 21-10 ATS  L/31 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last few seasons.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (VIRGINIA) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 15-48 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors,

CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (GEORGIA TECH) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 45-16 ATS L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia Tech to cover

Duquesne  goes to Olean, N.Y.  to battle  St. Bonaventure this Wednesday night.  St.Bonnie might be susceptible to a letdown situation here after a big time 77-74 win over #16 (AP) Rhode Island this past Friday. SBU barely got by Duquesne in their first meeting 84-81 win and I'm betting covering won't come easily this time around either.

ST BONAVENTURE is 20-35 ATS  L/55 as a home favorite of 10 or more points. ST BONAVENTURE is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread.

Duquesne has cover 12 of their L/18 visits here and 2-0 ATS in their to most recent trips to Olean. Six of the past nine overall meetings in this series have been decided by four or fewer points.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (DUQUESNE) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals are 38-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Duquesne to cover

Despite of N.Illinois experiencing a down season, they are being underestimated here according to my own player to player matchup systems analysis and we have value taking the dog on this line. NIU  I'm betting will ride the  momentum from its 75-67 upset victory over Western Michigan this past Saturday and keep the flow going here today against a team they have circled for payback for two losses they suffered to Ball State last season. It must be noted NIU is 5-0 ATS  as DD dogs here as visitors and 6-1 ATS with revenge. Meanwhile, Ball State is in a emotional letdown situation after a huge battle that they won vs Toledo on the weekend, and could easily be flat here tonight against a team that I'm sure they are over looking.

BALL ST is 12-29 ATS as a favorite over the last few seasons. BALL ST is 2-11 ATS  after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better.

CBB  road team (N ILLINOIS) - off an upset win as a home underdog against opponent off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 34-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northern Illinois to cover

Creighton is 19-8 this year (8-6 BIG EAST) in has played a  hard core nine games against ranked opponents. Six of the Jays losses were vs  teams that were ranked at the time (No. 22 Baylor, No. 15 Gonzaga, No. 23 Seton Hall, No. 10 Xavier, No. 1 Villanova, No. 5 Xavier), despite of those setbacks the Bluejays are also one of 27 teams nationally with three wins over top-25 teams and must not be underestimated as dogs against any opponent, especially against Butler program that they matchup well against.( blue Jays are 4-1 SU/5 meetings and have covered 7 of the L/9 overall in this series) Creighton has won the last three games by scores of 75-64, 76-67 and 85-74.Creighton has  shown the ability to slow  down   Butlers top offensive threat in the recent past, Kelan Martin (20.7 ppg. this year) , as the star forward has not shot well at all while going head to head  by reigning BIG EAST Defensive Player of the Year Khyri Thomas. This I'm betting will be the key to a Creighton cover tonight. Note: I know Creighton lost last time out to Marquette, but that's a good omen for us here , as Creighton is 7-0 this season in the game immediately after a loss, outscoring their opposition 87.9 - 63.6 and outrebounding the opposition 40.1 - 32.9.McDermott is 17-6 ATS L/23 off a home loss as the coach of CREIGHTON.

Creighton is averaging 85.4 points per game this season (sixth nationally), shooting 50.2 percent from the floor (10th nationally), and 37.9 percent from three-point range. CU also owns a 1.63 assist/turnover ratio (fourth nationally) to date, and a +1.9 rebound margin.Creighton's 14 games this season making 80 percent or better at the line ranks tied for fifth nationally, and tied with Butler for first among all major conference teams and gives them a must needed edge here on the road.

CREIGHTON is 8-1 ATS L/9 on Tuesday nights over the last couple of  seasons.CREIGHTON is 12-4 ATS L/16 after allowing 80 points or more .CREIGHTON is 21-8 ATS L/30 after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread. BUTLER is 0-7 ATS l/7 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game after 15+ games dating back to last season.

Play on Creighton to cover

Rhode Island ranks very high in power rankings polls so I have no problem what so ever recommending we lay the lumber here with them here on the road vs  what is currently a far inferior hoops program LaSalle. Rhody has won two straight and seven of the last eight meetings, including an 74-62 victory on Jan.  and has won four straight in this series at Gola Arena. Despite a loss at St. Bonaventure two games back, Rhode Island has  remained firmly in both national polls for a fifth straight week, ranking No. 18 in both the Associated Press and College Basketball Coaches Poll. With this game coming late in the season, Rhode Island seeking a NCAA tourney bid will not over look their opponents tonight and instead come out here looking to make a statement.

LASALLE is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season. RHODE ISLAND is 10-3 ATS L/13 when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.LASALLE is 1-11 ATS  L/12 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game and is 2-11 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record. 

CBB home team (LASALLE) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 47-81 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play  on Rhode Island to cover

I'm betting on  Toledo   to bounce back from Saturday's 99-71 defeat at Ball State when it travels to Ypsilanti, Mich to play Eagles.It was the Rockets only second loss in 13 games. Toledo swept the Eagles in last seasons series with 73-57 victory  in the Glass City and a 60-56 win in Ypsilanti. Meanwhile, E.Mich is off a road win vs Central Michigan  and have won 4 of their L/5 , and despite of a winning overall record  are just 2-2 in their L/4 home games and I'm betting the 3rd loss in their L/5 is on the horizon. From  a matchup perspective the Rockets D, has allowed opponents to shoot 45.2 % on the road and E.Michigan has shot, 48.2 at home. My won projections, suggest that E. Mich should make between 40% to 46% of their shots here tonight, which is a good omen, considering the Rockets are   8-0 ATS in road games when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game. It seems that Toledo thrives against teams like this when pushed into a shootout scenario where both teams are projected to score 70 points or more , which the linesmakers are expecting . Look for Tre'Shaun Fletcher  who ranks second in scoring at 19.7 ppg, and Jaelan Sanford who is seventh at 16.9 ppg to be the catalysts behind a Toledo victory.

Note: As a team, Toledo ranks 21st nationally (as of Feb. 17) with its 40.0 3PTFG% and also No.1 in the MAC with its 28.5 defensive rebounds per game. The Rockets are also second with 79.7 ppg, 15.6 apg, a 1.3 assist/turnover ratio and third with a 46.7 FG% and 9.7 three-point FGs per tilt. Toledo has also  converted 260-of-650 of their 3 pt attempts for a 40.0 conversion rate,  ranking first in the MAC and ranks 20th nationally..  UT's 9.7 treys per game are third in the MAC (36th nationally).

E MICHIGAN is 2-15 ATS L/17 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots and  is 1-12 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots after 15+ games dating back to last season.Murphy is 4-16 ATS L/20 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts after 15+ games . E.Mich is 0-6 ATS  in home games off a win against a conference rival dating back to last season. TOLEDO is 8-1 ATS L/9 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games dating back to last season. TOLEDO is 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.

Play on Toledo to cover

 The Stanford Cardinal enter this game against California looking for a revenge for a 77-74 upset home loss to the Bears as 7 point chalk back Dec 30. The Cardinal looked asleep at the proverbial wheel in that tilt, but will be wide awake in this spot and ready to lay down some payback. The Cardinal are 9-1 ATS L/10 with revenge in this series, and look like a viable side to back vs a Bears side that has failed to cover 7 of 9 as home dogs this season and that has lost 11 of their L/12 overall SU.
I'm betting Stanford's key to success tonight hinges on their ability to win the rebounding battle . The Cardinals have out rebounded 20 of 26 opponents this season, including 16 of the last 19 contests.


CALIFORNIA is 1-10 ATS L/11 in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game dating back to last season,

. CALIFORNIA is 2-13 ATS L/15 after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game and is 0-7 ATS off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points . ( Utah smashed the bears 77-44 L/time out)



CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (STANFORD) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 77-37 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB road team (STANFORD) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss by 20 points or more are 67-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Stanford to cover

The Clemson Tigers are 12-0 SU at home this season, and own a No.4 ranking in the RPI and matchup very well against Coach K and company a a  program that is No.10 in the same RPI rankings . Also my own  numbers suggest the superior team is the Tigers and they get the nod here vs a Duke  Blue Devils hoops program that have not faired  all that well here at Clemson, covering just 7 of their L/19 visits.

CLEMSON is 7-1 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS L/14  in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game . CLEMSON is 9-2 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS  in all home games this season.

Play on Clemson to cover

Mississippi State has revenge on board for a 64-58 loss in Oxford earlier this season. Both the lines-makers and myself agree that Miss State should be hefty favs here in the rematch, which translates well into what I am predicting  will be a lopsided win ....as the Bulldogs are 19-3 ATS as home favs in straight up revenge victories.  The Bulldogs are also 20-4 SU L/24 at home in this series and have a big edge vs a Rebs side that has nothing to play for after suffering 6 straight losses. With said I'm recommending we back the very motivated  home team. QUOTE: "They have excellent guards. It's a rivalry game, so everything goes out the window. Nothing that's happened before this game matters. It's all about this game." — MSU coach Ben Howland on Ole Miss.

The Bulldogs have held nine of its 13 SEC foes below their scoring average and 21 of 26 overall.Mississippi State leads the SEC and is 45th nationally in points allowed at 66.8. MSU is also 26th in the nation in field goal defense at 40.6 percent. 

MISSISSIPPI ST is 16-6 ATS  L/22 revenging a road loss vs opponent.

OLE MISS is 0-7 ATS  L/7  after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season.OLE MISS is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games this season.

OLE MISS is 2-11 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. MISSISSIPPI ST is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last few seasons. MISSISSIPPI ST is 14-3 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a losing record .

Play on Miss State to cover