After a six-day break, Louisville now very well rested will return home to the KFC Yum! Center as the Cardinals face the North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday.Louisville has held eight of its 13 ACC opponents to 40 percent or below shooting from the field and I'm betting their ability to hold down opponents behind a staunch D will be the catalyst for a victory for them here tonight vs the Tar Heels.

N CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS  as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games dating back to last season. LOUISVILLE is 9-1 ATS L/10  after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less .LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in home games after scoring 85 points or more.

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LOUISVILLE) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 45-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover

Baylor is currently playing their best hoops of the season, winning and cashing 4 straight and will be primed to pull off an upset vs a strong Texas Tech program. The key to Baylor’s success of late has come from the  bench as they have out-scored the opposing bench 153-49 over the last 5 games. Note: BU is averaging 80.2 ppg over its last 6 Big 12 games after averaging 66.0 ppg in its first 7 Big 12 games.  Baylor has been tied or leading in the final 2 minutes in 4 of its Big 12 losses, all vs. ranked teams and must be respected here on their own home floor . BU is 10-2  L/12 vs Tech at  home in Waco  . Baylor is 54-11 against in-state opponents since the start of the 2011-12 season

We are also backing a Bears team that  have revenge for a ugly loss vs the Raiders earlier this season by a  77-53 count. Note: Baylor has cashed 3 straight SU/ATS with revenge winning each time by DD and are 14-3 ATS L/17 with revenge in  this series. Meanwhile Texas Tech has only covered 3 of their L/13 vs teams with revenge that they blasted by 20 or more points.

Play on Baylor to cover

I'm not always a big fan of playing road chalk, but some situations warrant a wager, and this is one of them. Auburn 23-3 on the season are showing they mean business, and with a big dance ticket on their agendas, and the finish line in sight , I doubt they will overlook any opponent. Especially  a South Carolina Gamecocks team that steam rolled them by a 98-69 beat-down here last season in merciless fashion. Missouri was a strong team last season, but this campaign has seen them slip and are very susceptible to being pummelled in a payback  scenario by the explosive visitors. It must be noted that S.Carolina is just 4-32-1 ATS in home losses as dogs.

S CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. AUBURN is 15-4 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.AUBURN is 11-2 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and 6-0 ATS  L/6 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. AUBURN is 9-0 ATS  after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season.AUBURN is 8-0 ATS  in road games after playing a home game this season.

Play on Auburn to cover

Indiana enters Saturday's contest winners of three straight, while Iowa has lost four in a row. The Hawkeyes have, however, not lost five consecutive games this season and I'm betting that stays intact here today.

.Iowa has won eight of the last 11 meetings in Iowa City, including last season's 96-90 overtime barn burner. The Hoosiers are also just 2-7 in true road games this season \nd not the same team they are as hosts.

The Hawkeyes did lose to Indiana earlier this season on road, but will be primed to pull the upset here with revenge on board.  Iowa is 15-4 ATS L/19 in this series, and 5-0-1 ATS L/6 with revenge. The Hawkeyes are also 18-7 ATS L/25 as home dogs, and get the nod here to cover.

Play on Iowa to cover

Miami enters this game as weak home favs as they are just 1-5 ATS as hosts  in conference play so far this season. The Canes are also still playing without key cog G Bruce Brown their second leading scorer and currently do not demand the respect they usually get when at full strength. Last season the Cuse were bumped from the ACC tourney by Miami Fl, and now with revenge at hand I'm betting we see the Orange at their very best as they also are looking for a possible big dance birth.

MIAMI is 4-13 ATS  L/19 as a home favorite or pick. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS  L/9 in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games dating back to last season. MIAMI is 3-12 ATS  L/15 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games .

Play on the Syracuse Orange to cover

Illinois Chicago had a 7 game win streak halted last time out at home vs Cleveland State by 86-78 count. The loss came vs a team that was explosively red hot, as the Vikings scored 33 of 48 first-half points from beyond the arc, shooting 61 percent on 18 attempts. Despite of that the Flames made a ferocious comeback, but fell short in the final 5 min, as they looked exhausted. Now with time to rest and digest what happened I'm betting they have a bounce back effort here tonight vs a Green Bay side that has lost 10 of their L/12 and must be looked at as fade material.

 IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS L/7 off a home loss against a conference rival .

WI-GREEN BAY is 1-10 ATS L/11 home games on Friday nights.

UIC toppled Green Bay in the first meeting this season, 84-73, at the UIC Pavilion on Jan. 10.  The Flames shot a season-high 58.4 percent from the field in that victory.

IL-CHICAGO is 7-1 ATS L/8 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) this season.IL-CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS  at road when the line is +3 to -3 dating back to last season.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (IL-CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Illinois Chicago to cover

Northern Kentucky  comes into this game against Wright State looking for revenge for a 84-81 loss at home as 10.5 point favs in the first meeting. This tilt is also has the added importance of being  a battle for  first-place in the Horizon League standings. NKU is riding a five-game winning streak, its third streak of the season of at least four games., and has won 27 of its last 35 games (.771) against League opponents. It must also be noted that  N Kentucky faces a side that is just 2-8 ATS as a Horizon League home dog and  despite of being a quality team, are 0-3 SU/ATS vs teams with a higher win % on the season, which the Norse have. Look for what my power rankings suggest is the top team in this conference to grab the cash here tonight and get their payback.

Northern Kentucky is 17th in the nation in 2-point field goal percent (57.0) and is averaging 17.0 assists per game, a mark that ranks 22nd in the nation. It also only commits 12.2 turnovers an outing, which ranks 88th nationally. Combining those two marks results in an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.40, the 25th-best in the country.
NKU forces the 69th-most turnovers per game in the nation (14.8) and allows teams to distribute just 11.3 assists per game.
NKU is 40th in the country in steals (7.6 spg), registering double-digit steals seven times this year.
NKU's 3-point field goal defense ranks 30th in the nation at 31.5 percent.
Through games played Feb. 14, NKU sits 88th on KenPom.com, which is tops in the Horizon League.The Norse are 19th in the CollegeInsider  Mid-Major Top-25 Poll and 22nd in the Mid-Major Madness Power Rankings.

 HC Brannen is 13-5 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.

N KENTUCKY is 8-2 ATS   in road games after playing a game as favorite this season.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (N KENTUCKY) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 77-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on Northern Kentucky to cover

Detroit Mercy has dropped two tough games so far on the four-game road swing, but will look to continue a great run it holds as the Titans are riding a 10-game winning streak over Youngstown State. Detroit Mercy has also have won eight of their last nine visits to the Beeghly Center.
 With Youngstown state pulling off an improbable win vs Oakland last time out, I'm betting they are now in a huge emotional letdown situation and once again face a situation where they could come out flat and lose to a program that's had their number for  a while. The Titans currently rank third in the Horizon League and 71st in the nation in scoring offense at 78.1 points per game. 
Detroit Mercy has scored at least 71 points in 19 games, including three 100+point efforts and must not be underestimated as dogs in this spot.

Detroit Mercy has  converted regularly from the  free throw line connecting on 75.0 percent, third in the HL and 62nd in the country.
Detroit Mercy has also  converted 80.0 percent or more at the line in 11 games and I'm betting this will be the difference maker here this evening.

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 2-10 ATS l/12 after a win by 6 points or less over the last few seasons.
Penguins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CBB home team (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an struggling defensive team (47.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 55-106 ATS L/21seasons for a 66% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit Mercy to cover

Hawaii enters this game against UC Irvine having lost 5 straight games. But the  Rainbow Warriors have been very competitive in most games, with only one loss coming by more than 6 points. Prior to the unfortunate run Hawaii had won 4 straight, so this is a very under rated team according to my own power rankings.  With Hawaii with revenge on board for a 72-58 home loss to Irvine back in November, I expect we will see the Warriors...... a side that  has decidedly improved since that debacle to be viable underdogs in the rematch.

I'm betting the key to us getting the cover will be the Bows ability to sink FTs , as they are converting 81% of their charity stripe attempts over the L/6  games.

Anteaters are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on Hawaii to cover

The last time Oregon faced USC they lost at home earlier this season by a 75-70 count. Now with revenge on board and the need to secure wins if they want a shot at the big dance this tilt becomes paramount for the young men from Eugene. With the Trojans off big games (losses) vs Arizona and Arizona State, I won't be surprised if the Trojans are in an emotional letdown spot here . Actually the Trojans have failed to cover 4 straight times after battling Arizona and are currently on a 3 game losing streak. It must also be noted that USC has only covered 1 time in their L/14 games  as chalk of 12 points or less in this series vs the Ducks , with Oregon also amassing a solid 18-4-2 ATS mark as visitors when playing USC. The Ducks off a blowout 84-57 win vs Washington State now have momentum on their sides going into this tilt and deserve my backing as dogs. Note: OREGON is 11-1 ATS L/12 off a home win against a conference rival and is 9-1 ATS off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival.

OREGON is 7-0 ATS  L/7  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season and a perfect  9-0 ATS L/9  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games dating back to last season.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (OREGON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more are 156-103 ATS L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Oregon to cover

 Ray Harper's Gamecocks take on  Murray State on Thursday evening. The Racers after a 76-71 victory at home earlier this season will have confidence on their sides, vs a program they matchup well against in their current forms. The loss to JSU is just one of MSU's two league defeats this season. I know Murray State will have revenge on board, and prepared for the Gamecocks, but I'm betting Jacksonville State will not be an easy out.

JACKSONVILLE ST is 7-0 ATS L/7  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%  or more of their attempts.JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-0 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (JACKSONVILLE ST) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 42-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MURRAY ST) - off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 30-6 ATS L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Jacksonville to cover

Villanova's invincibility has been questioned of late, as they recently showed their actually just  humans with a loss to St.John;s.  With that in mind we now have a  Providence  team that has revenge in mind for a 89-69 road loss they suffered to the Cats on Jan 13  . I'm recommending we back a motivated team  getting points in what should be a packed house.  

Note: Nova's Phil Booth  suffered a fractured right (shooting) hand late in that above mentioned  contest and has not played since.

Providence is 15-6 ATS L/21 at home as dogs.

PROVIDENCE is 10-1 ATS  L/11  revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points. PROVIDENCE is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points and 10-0 ATS L/10 with same season revenge form a loss more than 7 points. PROVIDENCE is 12-4 ATS L/16  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots.VILLANOVA is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in road games after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers

Play on Providence to cover

Clemson is ranked for the seventh consecutive week in the AP Top 25 poll (No. 11). Clemson is also ranked in the USA Today Coaches Poll at No. 12 and must be respected here as underdogs vs a team they are motivated to take down after suffering 2 losses to Florida State last season.Clemson’s RPI checks in at fourth nationally, while their SOS sits 21st.  Note: Clemson is 17-4 ATS L/21 with revenge in this series, and a perfect 9-0 ATS as a dog of 2 points or more.

In the latest KenPom rankings, the Tigers are ranked Nos. 16, 13 and 31 in overall, adjusted defensive efficiency (94.6) and adjusted offensive efficiency (115.7).

CLEMSON is 8-2 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS  L9 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. FLORIDA ST is 26-43 ATS   as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick  .

Play on Clemson to cover

Iowa can light up the board with their offense very quickly which makes them viable underdogs of 10 points or more here in this spot. Iowa has scored 50 or more second-half points six times this season, including three of its last five games  and are always back door cover opportunists making them a viable side to back on a DD underdog line.

The Hawkeyes have won five of the last six meetings in this series. Michigan won this season's first meeting, 75-68, in Iowa City on Jan. 2, 2018.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MICHIGAN) - after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 45-97 ATS L/21 seasons for go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (IOWA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 28-8 ATS L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa to cover

USF faces UCF for the second time this season The Knights handed the Bulls a heartbreaking 71-69 loss in the first half of the season series.USF led for 29 minutes on Jan. 20, but UCF came on strong late and just slid past the Bulls. From a matchup perspective USF actually matches up well vs their opponents, and I'm betting their ability to draw fouls, and get the charity stripe will help us cover this number. As a team, the Bulls are shooting 72.4 percent (331-for-457) from the free throw line on the season.

UCF is 0-7 ATS   struggling pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game .

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (UCF) - after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 43-89 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against  68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on USF to cover

Rutgers enters this home game against Northwestern having lost 7 straight games, and are fade material in their current mode . Northwestern has won 4 of their L/6 , after a lackluster effort last time out in a loss to Maryland where they shot just 33%. The Wildcats have actually been good bets of late and resilient after a loss as they are 8-1 ATS  L/9 in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses. Northwestern won all three meetings with Rutgers a year ago, and  are a  perfect 5-0 against Rutgers since the Scarlet Knights joined the Big Ten and get the nod again this Tuesday night.

RUTGERS is 19-34 ATS  L/53 against conference opponents.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (NORTHWESTERN) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team, on Tuesday nights are 69-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northwestern to cover

Maryland enters this tilt having lost 8 of their 11 road games this season, and have lost 7 of their L/11 overall, while their hosts Nebraska have won 13 of their 14 home tilts and overall are on a 5 game win streak, and looking stronger as each games passes. The one Husker home loss came to Kansas by just 1 point.

Coach Mark Turgeon's  Terps team has been hit by injuries, losing a pair of starters (Justin Jackson and Ivan Bender) to season-ending injuries and are at a disadvantage. This Cornhuskers team is flying under the radar with Nebraska's defense  has been the key to their  Big Ten success. The Huskers are third in field goal defense (.403) and held 11 of their last 13 opponents under 45 percent. Since Jan. 1, the Huskers are holding opponents to .404 shooting and  must be respected here as short home chalk.

Nebraska's 1.25-to-1 assist-to-turnover ratio is on track to be one of the best in school history.

NEBRASKA is 12-2 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots this season and have covered 7 straight under the same perimeters. NEBRASKA is 10-1 ATS  L/11 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season.NEBRASKA is 9-1 ATS   versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. NEBRASKA is 9-0 ATS  L/9 off a win against a conference rival this season.

Play on Nebraska to cover

Western Michigan enters this road tilt vs Bowling Green playing some of their best basketball of the season, winning 4 of their L/5 games. The Broncos have been a second half team this season outscoring opponents, 1037-970 the final 20 minutes of play. WMU has scored at least 50 points in the second half four times this season and get stronger as games progress thanks to their top tier conditioning program. With that said, I'm betting as this game progresses the Broncos run over a Bowling Green team off an exhausting come from behind OT  win last time out vs E.Michigan. Lay the short lumber with the road team. 

 Since 2012, WMU is 29-13 in the month of February which is the second best record amongst NCAA Division I schools in the state of Michigan.

W MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS  L/21 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).W MICHIGAN is 24-9 ATS  L/33 when playing only their 2nd game in a week  and is 11-3 L/14 ATS   after playing a game as a home favorite .

CBB underdog (BOWLING GREEN) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 6-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Western Michigan to cover

Baylor enters this tilt vs Texas as a very underrated Big 12 hoops program. Baylor 's offense  is averaging 81.4 ppg over its last 5 Big 12 games after averaging 66.0 ppg in its first 7 Big 12 games.  Despite of a lackluster road record the Bears , have been on the wrong side of the lucky charm pedestal, as   6 of their 7  losses have come  to ranked teams, including 3 by one possession. Also from a head to head matchup perspective Baylor’s bench has out-scored the opponents’ bench 121-37 over the last 4 games, and the Bears had a 23-9 advantage over Texas in bench scoring when the teams met in Waco on Jan. 15 and once again look like solid dogs vs an opponent they matchup well against. Baylor has recorded more points in the paint than its opponent in 21 straight and 24 of 25 games this season. The Bears are averaging 37.8 points in the paint per game against opponents’ 26.9 paint ppg and I'm betting their ability to control the interior game will be the difference maker here again.

Baylor ranks 14th nationally in rebounding margin (+7.1) and has out-rebounded 20 of 25 opponents.
Baylor has been tied or leading in the final 2 minutes in 4 of its Big 12 losses, all vs. ranked teams.

Baylor is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big 12. Bears are als0o 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bears are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Texas.Baylor is 53-11 against in-state opponents since the start of the 2011-12 season

BAYLOR is 11-4 ATS L/15 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and is 14-5 ATS L/19 in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.BAYLOR is 18-8 ATS L/26 in road games against conference opponents/

CBB  Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BAYLOR) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 39-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baylor to cover

The top two teams in the Patriot League standings square off a what I'm betting will be a much closer game than the lines-makers expect. The Raiders have won six of their last seven games and hold down second place in the league standings with a 9-4 record. Defending champ Bucknell sits atop the standings at 11-2. I know Bucknell took the the season's first meeting 63-51 in Hamilton on Jan. 15.  , mostly because Colgate couldn't get it going offensively as the Raiders finished the game shooting a season-low 27.1 percent from the field, but have converted more than 46% of their shots from the field this season. With that said, I'll write that one off as an anomaly and expect closer to their season average this time around and to be very competitive.

Raiders are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (COLGATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 34-11 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colgate to cover

WSU enters this game against Oregon ranked  fifth in the nation and leads the Pac-12 with 11.3 made 3-pointers per game.The Cougars have made 12 or more 3's in 14 of their 23 games this season making them a viable dog because of the ability to rack up quickly and open the way for possible back door covers. The Cougars also rank fourth in the Pac-12 and 62nd in the country with a .380 3-point field goal percentage and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover this number. Note: WSU has trailed at halftime in 14 of its games this season, as well as its exhibition game, and was tied at the half once, coming back from five of them for victories. Washington State is a different team in the second half compared to the first averaging 40.6 points per game this season in the second half, compared to just 32.7 in the first. Add to that, WSU is shooting .477 (322-675) from the field and .424 (273-663) from 3-point range in the second half, compared to .412 (265-638) from the field and .331 (112-338) from 3-point in the first half. With that said,  this is the kind of DD underdog, that I can sink my proverbial teeth into because of their tireless conditioning.

OREGON is 2-8 ATS   versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (WASHINGTON ST) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 40-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (WASHINGTON ST) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 28-7 L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington State to cover

According to my power rankings and head to head matchup analysis Memphis should be 5 point favs here at home in this battle vs UCF, thus we have value taking them here to cover. UCF is just 5-6 SU on the road this season while Memphis plays their best games at home going 12-3 SU this season.

MEMPHIS is 9-0 ATS  L/9 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals . MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS  L/11 off a home loss.Knights are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. American Athletic Conference.Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Memphis have owned this series at going 11-0 SU.

CBB teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (UCF) - after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half, with just two starters returning from last season are 23-55 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

St.Marys exerts so much energy each and every time they play a game, leaving everything on the floor as is evident by their winning scores and if you tune in sometime and watch them play. Because of this they are some times left exhausted when on short rest. The Gaels just played on Thursday night in a DD road win vs Loyola Marymount, and now will be on tired legs at the worst possible time as they face a Gonzaga side that is 5-1 ATS L/6 vs .900 or better opposition. St.Marys is just 0-8 ATS with 1 days rest and could easily get upset tonight by a Bulldogs program, that has revenge on board for a 74-71 loss they suffered to the Gaels earlier this season. GONZAGA is 11-2 ATS    in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite and is 10-1 ATS   in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more.

ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS L/6  in home games on Saturday games .ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in home games off a road win by 10 points or more

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (GONZAGA) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 75-32 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Gonzaga to cover

Texas Tech is riding high at the moment, but I'm betting they get side tracked here, by a revenge minded Kansas State side that has revenge on board for a 74-58 beat down at Lubbock earlier this season. The Raiders have a great record on the season ( 20-4 , 8-3) but their only 3-3 in true road games, and have lost their L/8 trips here to play the Wildcats. The Cats are also 5-1 ATS at home when seeking revenge in this series and are viable dogs in this spot .

 Play on Kansas State to cover

Virginia beat up on VTech in their first meeting this season 78-52, and now Virgina Tech will be out to get some payback and be competitive vs their rivals.  The Hokies are 7-0 ATS in this series with same season revenge, and the Cavaliers are just 0-5 L/5  ATS  overall vs the Hokies when they have revenge .  The Cavs may also be ripe for the picking after starting out their last game looking very tired, and had to mount a ferocious comeback to get a win vs Florida State that may have them in a emotional deflated situation at the worst possible time.

VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS   revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last few seasons.

VIRGINIA TECH is 30-17 ATS  L/47 as an underdog over the last few seasons.

Play on Virginia Tech to cover

UT Arlington has revenge on board for a ugly 83-62 loss to Texas State in  the Sun Belt Tournament last season, and will now be out to hand out some payback here this afternoon vs a side in a slump after suffering 3 straight losses.  Series history is on the Mavericks side as they have won 9 of the L/10 meetings in this series covering 8 of them. Overall Texas State also has a ugly history in losses to avenging foes going just 1-16 ATS and are fade material here vs a revenge minded side playing in front of their own fans.

TX-ARLINGTON is 8-0 ATS  after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games, which has just  happened in back to back wins.

Play on Texas Arlington to cover

  Purdue got caught looking ahead in peekaboo fashion to this game with Michigan State, and got taken out by Ohio State 64-63 in their last trip to the hardwood. Now the Big bad Boilermakers have an even more focused outlook on this game, and I'm betting they come up big here vs the Spartans. Wednesday’s loss to Ohio State was Purdue’s first in Big Ten play and dropped the Boilermakers into a first-place tie in the league standings at 12-1 with the Buckeyes. Michigan State is one game back at 11-2, in what has become the best three-team race in America. Purdue has not lost two straight league  games since  2014-15 season.  Purdue is among just 3 teams that are unbeaten in “true” road games this year (Purdue, Saint Mary’s, Ohio State). The Boilermakers 8 Consecutive road wins dating to last year, the second-longest streak in the country. If they lose today it won't come easily and I'm betting the worst case scenario is a one possession loss which makes getting 3 to 3.5 points golden in my opinion.

PURDUE is 7-0 ATS  L/7 versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season this season.PURDUE is 16-4 ATS  L/20 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game .MICHIGAN ST is 1-7 ATS  L/8 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.

CBB  - Road teams as an underdog or pick (PURDUE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 132-75 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Purdue to cover

From a matchup perspective and considering both sides current form and a system vs system analysis Eastern Michigan is the superior side despite of losing the first meeting of the season 75-71.  There was some unfortunate turnovers and missed FTs that put Eastern Michigan in the loss column in that meeting, but revenge and payback is now at hand. The two most recent meetings have seen the road team win, I'm betting on a rinse and repeat situation

BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS  L/9  in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less.BOWLING GREEN is 2-12 ATS  L/14 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less  after 15+ games dating back  a few seasons.

CBB underdog (BOWLING GREEN) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 5-33 ATS L/21 seasons for go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Eastern Michigan to cover

Kansas ranks sixth nationally in the Ratings Percentage Index (RPI) and is second in strength of schedule (through games as of Feb. 7) and must be respected here on the road as short chalk. The linesmakers are expecting a close game here today, but it must be noted that Nine of Kansas' 11 conference games this season have been decided by seven points or less with the Jayhawks going 7-2 SU in those tilts. Going back  to last season, Kansas has played 20 Big 12 contests that were decided by seven points or less, with  Kansas going  17-3 in those outcomes. Needless to say the Jayahwks know how to win close games and get the nod again vs Baylor in this spot.

KANSAS is 8-1 ATS  L/9  in road games in February games. KANSAS is 9-1 ATS  L/10  in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games. KANSAS is 13-2 ATS L/15  in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last couple of seasons.KANSAS is 15-4 ATS  L/19  in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season. BAYLOR is 0-7 ATS L/7  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts.BAYLOR is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots.BAYLOR is 1-9 ATS   in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Baylor has won 6 straight meetings in this series overall and 2 straight as visitors.

Play on Kansas to cover

Duquesne slapped Fordham around in their first meeting of the season,  as visitors and now payback is at hand. It must be noted that the road team has won the last four meetings , and I'm betting on the visitor covering again, in a game that features two teams with sub par records. Fordham however, has shown some life of late posting 2 wins in their L/3 games whle Duquesne has lost 4 of their L/5 overall. DUQUESNE is 13-28 ATS  L/41 in home games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots after 15+ games and have a recent negative  history of late in February games losing 12 of their L/13 overall SU.

Fordham to cover

Harvard has revenge on board for 3 straight losses to Princeton  last season and will now be primed for payback. With the Crimson currently rounding into top form and playing their best hoops of the season, (5-1 L/6) it will be an easy decision to lay the short lumber and take them here at home in this spot. Note: The Crimson has come alive from beyond the 3-point line, making 38 triples over the last three games while shooting 48.7 percent making them dangerous in their current form.

Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.Crimson are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Crimson are 17-6-2 ATS in their last 25 vs. Ivy League.Harvard was a stellar 6-1 at home in Ivy play last season, and outscored its opponents over the 14-game stretch by nearly eight points per game.

HARVARD is 11-2 ATS  L/13  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making  37% or better of their attempts .  PRINCETON is 0-6 ATS  L/6 as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick.

Play on Harvard to cover

 BYU is off an emotional loss to Gonzaga last time out, in a hard fought tilt that saw them lose for the 3rd time in 4 outings,  and will now enter this game in a let down situation and be susceptible to a down effort vs a opponent that they will look at as inferior. BYU clobbered San Clara 80-54 earlier this season on Jan 13th and now  the visitor will be playing with revenge and very focused on giving out a better effort in the rematch. With that said, lets take the points.

Santa Clara Trending upwards....Santa Clara has posted 26 of its 52 blocks in the last six games,
Note: Santa Clara has won three of its last four on the road after dropping its first five of the season away from Leavey Center.

Santa Clara and BYU are sixth and seventh, respectively, in 3-pointers per game. The Broncos average 8.0 per game and the Cougars 6.8.

SANTA CLARA is 8-0 ATS  L/8 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last few seasons. SANTA CLARA is 7-0 ATS  L/7  in road games after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game.SANTA CLARA is 20-6 ATS  L/26  in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.SANTA CLARA is 11-2 ATS  in road games off a loss against a conference rival .BYU is 6-16 ATS  L/22 after a game where they covered the spread.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (SANTA CLARA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 94-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Santa Clara to cover

LMU took down BYU last Thursday on the Bluff, and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover vs might St.Mary's here tonight. In the season’s first matchup with the Gaels, SMC shot 62 percent (31-for-50) against the Lions and 62.5 percent (10-for-16) from three, the best shooting percentages for any LMU opponent this season. I'm betting the Gaels won't come near those numbers again. Since that ugly low point, eight of LMU’s conference games have been decided by seven points or fewer, including seven of the last eight games and five straight. My own power rankings and system to system ranking suggest we have value with the home pup.

Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 31-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Loyola Marymount to cover

Southern Illinois and Illinois State are both playing some of their best basketball of the season entering this tilt, with Southern Illinois on a 5 game win streak, while the Red Birds are 3-0 L/3.During Illinois State head coach Dam Muller's tenure, the Redbirds have a 44-22 record over the last 12 games of the regular season, including a 4-2 mark this season. His ability to make his teams better as the season progresses, is a testament to his top teir coaching abilities, and his side is the choice tonight on their own home court behind his big time group of three leading scorers of Yarbrough, Keyshawn Evans , and Fayne . These athletes are a one of the best trios in the  country  as they average 15 points per game.

Illinois State has covered 19 of the L/25 meetings in this series and when they own a .520 or better record like they do now they are a perfect 11-0 ATS.

S ILLINOIS is 0-7 ATS  L/7 after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.

Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ILLINOIS) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots are just 13-37 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors.

Play on Illinois State to cover

The Flames won the last meeting between the schools, 92-78, at the Beeghly Center on Jan. 18, and now Youngstown State will be out looking for revenge and more importantly a top tier effort. I know Illinois Chicago is on a big time run right now , after a slow start to their campaign, but from a power rankings perspective and projections based on tonight's starting lineups we have value on this line with the underdog.

The last time these schools played at the UIC Pavilion, the Flames came away with an 84-81 victory in 2017.

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 27-13 ATS  off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals .

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 71-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Youngstown State to cover

Bryant has used 16 different starting lineup combinations this season, which is the most nationally entering the week. The Bulldogs have started 12 different players this season, with only Ikkenna Ndugba  and Adam Grant  starting in at least two-thirds of Bryant's 25 games and are thus hard to scout and prepare for by most teams including Wagner. From a matchup perspective the linesmakers have gotten carried away here with this number, and we have good value taking the points in this spot.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (BRYANT) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 109-56 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Bryant to cover

UC Irvine Anteaters'  took a 71-54 victory over the Matadors on Jan. 13, but this time around I expect UC Northridge will be much more competitive as their coach Theus is a top tier technical guy who has the  ability to make adjustments .

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 34-12 ATS  L/46 in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. HC Theus is 9-1 ATS  L/10  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games.

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 8-1 ATS L/9  in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better after 15+ games over the last few seasons. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 13-4 ATS  L/17   in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 15-6 ATS L/21 in road games against conference opponents.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (UC-IRVINE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 61-100 L/21 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on CS Northridge to cover

Virginia is proving it is one of the front runners for the national championship this season behind  a defense that is ranked No.1 and allowing just 53 ppg. Meanwhile, their hosts the Florida State Seminoles, after a fast start to their season, have slowed considerably and are just 5-5 in their L/10 games for a .500 record during that period. As far as todays matchup is concerned it must be noted that Virginia  lost Florida State at home last season by a 60-58 count , and will be primed to exact revenge for that defeat in this spot. With Virginia well rested I expect they will deliver some payback.

HC Tony Bennett is a perfect 11-0 L/11 in his career with 3 or more days rest seeking revenge.

VIRGINIA is 11-4 ATS L/15 when playing against a team with a winning record this season.VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. VIRGINIA is 11-4 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. VIRGINIA is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in road games after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games.

Play on Virginia to cover

Samford will be meeting Wofford  tonight in a key SoCon tilt. The Terriers   barley got by the Bulldogs earlier this season, 93-89, in a  battle at the  Pete Hanna Center in Birmingham, Alabama, on Jan. 18. Samford despite of not performing all that well this season, do matchup well vs Wofford according to my cross reference player to player and system to systems analysis and are viable underdogs in this spot.

Samford HC Padgett is 16-5 ATS  L/21  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

WOFFORD is 1-7 ATS  L/8 after 2 consecutive conference games this season.SAMFORD is 14-4 ATS  L/18  in road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (SAMFORD) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 94-48 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Samford to cover

Ohio enters the contest with a 9-13 SU overall record and 2-8 in MAC play and are struggling mightily after having lost 4 straight  . Ohio is 7-5 (1-4 MAC) at home and once again according to my power rankings are being over rated here on this home chalk line vs a Akron side that matches up well against them despite of their experience levels . Meanwhile, Akron is on a 3 game losing streak, but it must be noted that  since the start of the 2004-05 season, the Zips have been one of top teams in the country when it comes to bouncing back off a loss. Excluding season-ending losses, Akron is 97-39 SU (.713)  following a loss.  During this strong run, Akron has only posted 30 losing streaks with 18 of those at just two games and 22 have consisted of two or more games on the road (road/neutral site).  UA has not lost more than four-straight games in over 10 years and this trend I'm betting will not easily end tonight, making getting points golden in my humble opinion.

The Zips have won 10 of the last 14 meetings, and three of the last five meetings at the Convocation Center and won the first meetings of the season between these two teams back on Jan 23 71-68 as 1 point chalk.

OHIO U is 4-12 ATS  L/16 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS  L/6 as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS   on Tuesday nights this season.

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO U) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 26-62 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Akron to cover

The Huskies enter this game against red hot Toledo, off an 81-65 setback at home against Miami this past Saturday (Feb. 3), just their second home loss of the season, but I'm expecting a big bounce back here vs a program that they always seem to be up for playing against. Note:  NIU (10-13, 3-7 MAC) has won each of its last three trips to the Glass City, including a 74-72 victory last season (Jan. 28, 2017). I know Northern Illinois has been very inconsistent this season, but they are showing flashes of brilliance, which have influenced my MAC power rankings and matchup stats.  NIU Over the last four games,  is shooting 64 percent from the field in the second half, including 54.5 percent from three-point range, and has scored 46.0 points per game after the intermission. So from a back door perspective , this is the kind of side I feel good backing on this type of DD underdog line.

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (TOLEDO) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 13-42 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ILLINOIS) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 41-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northern Illinois to cover

Ohio State enters this game on a 8-1 SU run, and will now be ready for a Illinois team off their first win in Big 10 play last time out against Rutgers. From a matchup perspective Ohio State is the far superior side, and have revenge and a motivational factor on side for a New Years day loss to Illinois last season. It must be noted that Illinois is just 3-18 ATS L/21 when they lose vs a conference side with revenge. Ohio State has gone 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 with revenge in this series, and are a bankroll expanding 32-3 ATS when they get their SU revenge in conference games. The Illini have lost seven in a row in Value City Arena and are 2-13 there. Note: Ohio State has won their home games by an average almost 15 ppg this season.

ILLINOIS is 16-31 ATS  L/47  in road games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more , which happened against Rutgers last time out. ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS  L/9 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots after 15+ games. OHIO ST is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in home games after 2 straight games where opponent grabbed 26 or less rebounds . OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS against conference opponents this season.

Play on Ohio State to cover

San Diego State I'm betting is in a emotional letdown spot, after a grueling game with UNLV they lost last time out. Actually the Aztecs, have struggled a bit recently losing 4 of their L/5 SU and currently much to my surprise do not look like Mountain West contenders. Meanwhile, visiting Air Force despite of a sub par below .500 record ( 8-12) have been highly  competitive , while covering 6 of their L/7 overall and according to my numbers are solid underdogs in this spot.

 AIR FORCE is 6-0 ATS   when playing against a team with a winning record this season. AIR FORCE is 8-0 ATS  L/8 versus excellent teams - shooting  45% or more with a defense of 42%  or less the last few seasons. AIR FORCE is 19-8 ATS L/27 as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points.

San Diego State is 1-8 ATS L/9 in this series.

Play on Air Force to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

FLA ATLANTIC is 1-8 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season.FLA ATLANTIC is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game.SOUTHERN MISS is 8-0 ATS L/8 off 2 or more consecutive road losses.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FLA ATLANTIC) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team  are 26-62 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors .

Play on Southern Miss to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

OLE MISS is 13-0 ATS L/13 off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.OLE MISS is 17-4 ATS  L/21 as a road underdog of 10 or more points.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (OLE MISS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 88-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (OLE MISS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 115-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Ole Miss to cover

Alabama  enters this game vs Florida as a underdog with a bite, as is evident by a 3-1 record when playing an AP Top-25 team this season. The Tide,  have defeated then-No. 5 Texas A&M, then-No. 17 Auburn and then-No. 12 Oklahoma, and  is one of eight teams from around the nation who has at least three victories of AP Top-25 teams this season. I know the  Crimson Tide were upset last time out by Missouri, but I think this group got caught looking ahead to this tilt, as they lost for the first time at home in program history to the Tigers.  I'm betting Alabama will now be very focused this Saturday, and ready to extend on a 6-3 ATS SEC conversion rate this season.  Meanwhile, Florida is off a hard fought tilt against Georgia last time out, which has not been a good omen for the program in the past as they are 0-13 ATS L/13 after facing Bulldogs.  

From a matchup perspective Alabama defense is allowing opponents to shoot 41.3 percent from the field , while Florida is shooting just .437 on the season ranking just No.229 in the nation. My own projections make this a much closer game the linesmakers estimate, because of the offense vs defense power rankings system I used for this tilt.

Alabama is 9-3 ATS in this series as a dog of 6 points or more.

Play on Alabama to cover

Head coach Jason Gardner, will have his teamed primed and ready to get back on track vs a  Titans team defeated 81-66 back in January of this season when they last met. IUPUI shot nearly 52 percent as a team while holding Detroit to just over 40 percent from the floor.From a matchup perspective my power rankings suggest the Jaguars have a good chance of breaking a recent 3 game skid here tonight vs Detroit Mercy. Meanwhile, Detroit is 6-17 SU overall and 2-8 SU in Horizon League play. The Titans are 4-7 SU at home this season. The Titans come in having dropped four straight, which began with the 81-66 loss on Jan. 16 to the Jaguars and are fade material in this spot as chalk as they enter this game possibly short handed, and feeling deflated ...

 DETROIT is 0-7 ATS  L/7 in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5 dating back to last season.DETROIT is 5-15 ATS  L/20 after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more .

Play on IUPU-Indianapolis to cover

The San Francisco  Dons  will travel east on the Bay Bridge to take on long time rival Saint Mary's on Thursday night in McKeon Pavilion. The Gaels are team that is riding a 16-game winning streak, and looks like their on a mission this season. However, with this group playing all out on a nightly basis I'm betting they will  eventually   slow down a bit, which could be the case   against a upstart rival that would love to upset them in this spot. From a matchup analysis standpoint, my system vs system projections give us a decent opportunity to cash via cover . 

ST MARYS-CA is 3-11 ATS  L/14  in home games after a win by 10 points or more.

ST MARYS-CA is 4-12 ATS  L/16 as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 31-68 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on San Francisco to cover

These are two strong hoops programs, with similar records and defensive records. I know the players and home town crowd will be sky high for this tilt, but if Old Dominion gets the win it won't come easily and I'm betting they fail to cover. Middle Tennessee State is a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS L/8 in this series. Middle Tennessee State has played in hostile environment and recently taken part in NCAA Tourney games and are not easily intimidated. Home court advantage is worth something here, but not enough for me to consider the home chalk as a stable choice, and instead I'm siding with what my own system to system rankings suggest is the better team. ( Middle Tennessee State) This game could easily be decided by one or two possessions  which makes getting points a quality opportunity.

No team in the nation has more wins on the road this season than Middle Tennessee, with a 8-1 record in true road games.

MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-1 ATS  l/9  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last few seasons and overall is 21-9 ATS  L/30 when playing against a team with a winning record  . OLD DOMINION is 8-20 ATS  L/28  in home games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite.

CBB favorite (OLD DOMINION) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 13-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors.

Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover

Youngstown States win/loss record is not very impressive, but in their defense they have played a road heavy schedule of late , with 9 of their L/13 as visitors. However, in the 4 games at home during that span they have won 3 of those games, with the only loss coming against a top tier Illinois Chicago program. The visitors today Northern Kentucky are a strong team, but this line is bloated according to my own data and projections. With Youngstown State averaging 88.4 ppg at home this season, I'm betting their well positioned to get us a cover vs a N.Kentucky side that despite of a 16-7 overall record on the season is just 5-5 ATS on the road this season .

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-2 ATS L/11 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals and is 12-4 ATS L/16 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.


CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a loss by 15 points or more are 36-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Youngstown State to cover

UNC Greensboro enter this home game on tired legs after two straight wide open run and gun affairs , a 98-82 win at Samford , and a upset loss at Chatanooga by a 87-85 margin. For a team that usually plays strong D, their are some issues that need to be addressed, and I'm expecting a concerted and more methodical effort from Greensboro in this spot, which will make for closer gap in the margin of victory than the lines-makers are estimating. I know VMI may not inspire many bettors but they have covered 4 of their L/6 and have down in enough upward meomtnum to be considered viable dogs in this situation.

Greensboro HC Miller is 0-6 ATS L/6   after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent  and  is 1-9 ATS L/10 after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more

UNC-GREENSBORO is 2-13 ATS  L/15  after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. UNC-GREENSBORO is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after a combined score of 165 points or more. UNC-GREENSBORO is 9-22 ATS  L/31  in home games after a loss by 6 points or less

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (UNC-GREENSBORO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 32-69 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors on the blind.

Play on VMI  to cover

 When these teams met earlier this season UNLV came out on top  , 82-76, in overtime at the  Event Center. The Rebels are obviously the superior team, and San Jose State has struggled mightily this season, but from a player vs player /system vs system analysis the Spartans actually matchup fairly well, especially on this line and vs a side that has a tendency to play down to their opponents. It must also be noted that San Jose State played a decent  Wyoming hoops program very tough loss last  time out ( 90-86),  covering a 11 point dogs and are showing progress. San José State shot 48.4 percent (30-62) on Wednesday night compared to Wyoming's 44.1 percent (30-68). It's the sixth time in nine Mountain West games that SJSU has finished with a higher shooting percentage than the opponent. With that said, I'll recommend we take San Jose State in this spot vs a side that is consistently over rated by the linesmakers as they covered only once in their 11 games . That one cover was in their last trip to the hardwood, in an emotional  88-78 win  vs top tier San Diego State, that will now also have the Rebels in a let down state,   and susceptible to a down game vs less competetion.

UNLV is 1-9 ATS  L/10 when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. UNLV is 6-18 ATS  L/24 against conference opponents .

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (SAN JOSE ST) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, on Wednesday games are 40-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN JOSE ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 113-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

San Jose State to cover

Pittsburgh is having problems notching wins and are currently on a 9 game losing streak in conference action and desperate for a win. I know the Panthers record is ugly but my own cross reference analysis suggests their has been improvement with a program that is chalk loaded full of freshman, and on this DD line are viable dogs. Their ability to work hard and be competitive was showcased when Pitt dropped a hard-fought battle to Syracuse, 60-55, Saturday at the Petersen.Pitt has limited its past two opponents to 34.4 percent (43-of-125) shooting from the field, including 24.0 percent (12-of-50) from beyond the three-point arc and capable of giving a Miami Fl side of a hard fought 104-93 loss to instate rivals last time out  and now in a letdown state a battle for their money in this spot Note: PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS  after 6 or more consecutive losses dating back to last season.

MIAMI is 8-17 ATS   after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

MIAMI is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss are 180-115 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, on Wednesday games are 40-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - a very good team (8 or more PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after a combined score of 175 points or more are 23-55 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover

Kentucky enters this game off a huge win vs the West Virginia Mountaineers on the weekend and will now be in a letdown spot vs visiting Vanderbilt and susceptible to a down outing. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt despite of sporting just a 3-6 SU record in SEC play this season, have been highly competitive and have covered their L/3 games to the hardwood. One of those aforementioned losses came to Kentucky by a 74-67 deficit at home and the commodores will now have revenge on board. Note: VANDERBILT is 7-0 ATS  L/7  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent and  is 6-0 ATS  in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (KENTUCKY) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 15-46 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Vanderbilt to cover

The Jackrabbits (18-6, 6-1 Summit League) are coming off a grueling 78-76 win over Fort Wayne in the 2018 Pork Classic Saturday and could now easily be in a letdown spot. From a matchup standpoint the  Rabbits took out visiting Mavericks  101-88  in Omaha earlier this month and now the lines-makers are adding a couple of digits in there for good measure because of home court advantage. I have a lot of respect for the home team, as they have won 16 straight here, one of the longest active streaks in College Hoops, but complacency could make it difficult to be motivated vs a side that thet stepped on in the earlier meeting, and with the added energy they exerted last time out, I'm betting their  susceptible to a non salient performance this evening.

Note: NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 12-2 ATS L/14 revenging a loss vs opponent  and  is 8-0 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent .S DAKOTA ST is 2-9 ATS  L/11 when playing only their 3rd game in a week .

Omaha is led by four double-figure scorers, with Zach Jackson (18.1 points per game) pacing the team.The Mavericks are averaging 78.3 points per game as a team and shooting 46.7 percent combined and are the type of hoops group that have the ability to cover a DD line like this because of their ability to score in bunches, especially via the back door scenario .

NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 10-1 ATS L/11  in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (NEBRASKA-OMAHA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 93-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Nebraska Omaha to cover

The Indiana Pacers enter this game in a big letdown situation after taking on a top tier  Purdue program at home on the weekend  in a grueling game that saw the Hoosiers take the Boilermakers down to the wire before losing. After the energy they exerted, I doubt they will have much left in the tank, versus an explosive Ohio State side that is a perfect 9-0 SU at home this season and 8-1 ATS winning those games by an average of 16 ppg . It must also be noted that Ohio State has revenge on board for losing to Indiana in their final game of last season, which is a good omen for the Buckeyes covering as they are 7-1 ATS with revenge L/8 at home in this series.

INDIANA is 6-17 ATS  L/23  in road games after playing a home game and  is 1-8 ATS  L/9 in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better .INDIANA is 14-29 ATS  L/43  in road games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days and just 0-13 SU and 2-11 ATS L/13 when playing on the road with one days rest  . Indiana HC Miller is 2-12 ATS   in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in his career.

Play on Ohio State to cover

Lehigh enters this game desperately looking for a win after a 4 game losing streak, during which they have not played badly and experienced some heart breaking close losses. After splitting a pair of meeting last season, Lehigh won the first meeting this year, 83-77  and matchup very well against Holly Cross and are viable underdogs.

Meanwhile, Holy Cross began Patriot League play 0-3, but is 4-3 over its last seven games and according to my power rankings are a pickem against this type of opponent according to my head to head system to system, analysis. Holy Cross is last in the league in scoring offense (63.3), but stands second in scoring defense (69.4). I'm betting the  teams lack of consistent scoring will be their undoing in this matchup.

LEHIGH is 11-1 ATS L/12  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 o less turnovers/game and LEHIGH is 16-4 ATS L/20 in road games and 14-3 ATS L/17 as a road underdog or pick .LEHIGH is 7-0 ATS L/7  in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games . LEHIGH HC Reed is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game like Holy Cross.

CBB road team (LEHIGH) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less Reb/G) - 15+ games are 46-17 ?21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Lehigh to cover

Duke is coming off a huge game against Virginia last time out which they lost 65-63. Coach K stuck with his starting 5 for the entire 2nd half, which is going to effect his team tonight. The Blue Devils exerted a heck of a lot of energy in a grueling physical game, and will now be in a letdown scenario vs a Notre Dame team that despite of being in a slump, will be out looking for revenge for last seasons ACC Finals loss. QUOTE: We have to put (the Virginia game) behind us and get ready for Notre Dame," Krzyzewski said. "It was a very physical game. I'm not saying dirty or anything like that. It was hard-fought. We have to recover, not just emotionally, but physically, before Monday night." END QUOTE:  It must be noted that Duke is just 0-4 ATS L/4 as home favs of 13 points or more after taking on the Cavaliers.

The Fighting Irish  desperately are now trying to end a 5 game  losing streak  thanks in part of suffering through and  injury bug (ie  PG Matt Farrell, and Bonzie Colson),  and inexcusable shooting from the floor of late (less than 40%), 

With that said, both teams have their issues going into this game, but from a matchup standpoint this line is a little bloated which gives us value with the visiting dog. Notre Dame has won and covered both their games vs .900 or better opposition this season.

DUKE is 0-9 ATS  L/9  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. NOTRE DAME is 8-1 ATS  L/9 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (NOTRE DAME) - off an upset loss as a favorite, playing their 2nd game in 3 days are 169-108 ATS L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Notre Dame to cover

The California Bears current 7 game losing streak might not suggest to passive college hoops fan that they are a very good team. But the truth is, this young rebuilding program lead by Justice Sueing (18.9 ppg) is actually starting to show signs of positive momentum according to my own data and power rankings, and are gaining confidence with each game out, as was the case when they almost upset UCLA last time out . Meanwhile, USC remains a contender in the PAC 12, and despite of their superiority may not be all that motivated vs a side they beat by 18 points earlier this season, especially after taking part in  a hard fought revenge win vs Stanford last time out. With that said, my own numbers suggest we have value taking the Bears here.

CALIFORNIA is 14-4 ATS  L/18  in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders. USC is 9-22 ATS    in home games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers.CALIFORNIA is 25-12 ATS   in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals.Enfield is 14-24 ATS  in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week as the coach of USC

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (USC) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (78 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) are 36-78 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on California to cover

Powerful Purdue enters this game against their Big 10 rivals Indiana, pounding opponents mercilessly. Purdue may look unbeatable, but their are chinks in their armour, especially when it comes to getting to the charity stripe. Meanwhile, Indiana despite of a 1 point loss to Illinois last time out,  I'm betting Archie Miller and company will be very prepared to pull of the upset here at home in Assembly Hall vs a side that destroyed them in two meetings last season. Note: Purdue is just 2-6 ATS L/8 on the road as chalk vs a side with Double revenge. Indiana is 15-6 ATS L/21 at home with revenge as long as they have a .500 record or better and 7-1 ATS in their L/8 overall.

PURDUE is 7-22 ATS  L/29  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games. INDIANA is 20-9 ATS L/29  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game. INDIANA is 11-3 ATS    in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts.

Take the pointS with Indiana to cover

Northern Kentucky is in a letdown situation after playing against a top tier  Oakland program on Friday night and losing in a grueling affair. Meanwhile, Detroit is a team that despite of a ugly record have been very competitive for the most part this season behind an offense that averages more than 80 ppg overall. The Jesuits did look bad in their last game vs Wright State , losing by 30 plus points  but that kind of ugly performance has been rare this season, and they are capable of  bouncing back in this spot.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (N KENTUCKY) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 8-31 ATS L/21 seasons, for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (N KENTUCKY) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

St.Mary;s is off a big win vs BYU last time out and will now be in a letdown spot, and susceptible to being upset but more importantly not covering.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 29-67 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games after a game with 9 or less assists and is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games on Saturday dating back to last season.

ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons and is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing with one or less days rest.

Portland has won and covered its last two trips to St.Mary's.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (PORTLAND) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more.
CBB are 111-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.
  .
Play on Portland   to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Wow. How often do we see Kentucky as this big a dog. I know the Wildcats are a young team, but now with no pressure on them, and many expecting them to lose I'm expecting we see this team at its very best .  It must be noted that West Virginias coach Bog Huggins is 0-13 ATS L13 vs the SEC and once against looks like his team will have problems covering vs a Kentucky team with a chip on their shoulders.

Play on Kentucky  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 BELMONT is 0-7 ATS  L/7  in home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better .

Play on SIU-Edwardsville  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Iowa State has owned non conference teams in their own home court over the years, sporting a 212-21 SU mark in these games including 45-1 from game 12 out. I will not be surprised if home court advantage helps them spring another upset and more importantly get us a cover.

Play on Iowa State  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on  IUPUI  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

W CAROLINA is 21-10 ATS  L/31 when the total is 130 to 139.5.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (FURMAN) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG) or more  against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 26-63 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against  conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Western Carolina   to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Dayton is in a letdown spot after taking out Davidson last time out by a 65-64 count and now susceptible to a down performance. That last game was a huge paybakc effort, for losing in last years A10 Tourney to Davidson. Meanwhile, St.Louis is much improved and have been playing great ball at home and are my choice here tonight to take advantage of Daytons situation.

Dayton is just 1-4 ATs L/5 off a conference win.

 
Play on St,Louis   to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on Arkansas Little Rock to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

The home team Rhode Island is obviously the better team, but from a matchup analysis system I use , my data has me believing the  line is slightly bloated and their is value with the underdog.

DUQUESNE is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games.RHODE ISLAND is 5-16 ATS  L/21  in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins.

CBB  Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DUQUESNE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Duquesne to cover

Both these teams are having sub par  below .500 seasons from a records perspective, but one side  ( Harvard) in my humble opinion shows upward momentum, behind a tough physical defense A IS evident by not allowing more than 65 points in any of their L/7 games, including holding three of those opponents to under 58 points or less. Meanwhile, Yale plays a more wide open style of play, and I' betting they will have their flow interrupted tonight, by Harvard's big men, which will  take . them put of their comfort zone and translate into a non cover and down performance.

Crimson are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Crimson are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Crimson are 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Crimson are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Yale.

Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.

HARVARD is 6-0 ATS  L/6 after allowing 60 points or less. HARVARD is 11-2 ATS  L/13 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots over the last couple of seasons. HARVARD is 12-3 ATS  L/15 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season . YALE is 2-9 ATS  L/11vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts. YALE is 2-8 ATS in all lined games this season.

Play on Harvard to cover

Detroit's record is horrendous, and its been a frustrating season for a decent group of young talent. Mercy however, has won 2 of their L/5 overall, and have seen 2 of the three losses decided by 6,2,7 points. Two of those losses came against a strong Oakland squad, and another against explosive N.Kentucky. So despite of their overall record this side is a viable option on this DD underdog line. When these teams played on Jan 5 Wright State beat the Jesuits  by 7 points, and now the lines-makers have added the obligatory home court advantage of 5 points on to that deficit. With that said, according to my own numbers this line is slightly bloated and thus we have value taking the underdog.

Note: Injury update- Raiders Justin Mitchell is out indefinitely ( Personal )

Raiders are 9-20-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss.Raiders are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Raiders are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (WRIGHT ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an terrible defensive team (47.5% or more ) are 41-75 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

California is in a rebuilding season but they are showing a marked uptick in their performance levels as the season has progressed. My own power rankings suggest the Bears are more than capable of covering the number here on the road vs a more experienced UCLA side that is experiencing a lot of injury issues to depth players and is on a current 3 game losing streak.

UCLA is 26-40 ATS  L/66 as a favorite .

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CALIFORNIA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 45-17 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on California to cover

San Diego after a quick start to their campaign have lost 4 of their L/5 and are now dejected after a ugly performance against BYU last time out losing by a 74-58 count.  Meanwhile, Santa Clara are a under rated team, that is getting better as the season has progressed. They are 4-3 in their L/7, but the 3 losses have all come to quality teams, BYU, St.Mary's and Gonzaga, with the 4 wins coming against teams that are on par with their opponent tonight San Diego . With that said, I'm recommending we take the points in this spot play.

SAN DIEGO is 12-28 ATS  L/40  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more  after 15+ games .SANTA CLARA is 7-0 ATS   in road games after a loss by 15 points or more , which happened last time out vs Gonzaga (75-60). SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS  L/7  in home games after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers.

Santa Clara is 15-5 ATS L/20 in this series and have won their L/2 visits to San Diego.

CBB home team (SAN DIEGO) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an terrible defensive team (47.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 55-105  ATS L/21 seasons for a go against  65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Santa Clara to cover

The Arizona Sun Devils started their season out with 12 straight wins, and were the talk of College basketball .  Since then , they have lost 4 of 6 in conference play, and despite of performing  at a below average clip, are being over rated by the lines-makers thanks in part to their fast start. The Sun Devils won last time out vs a rebuilding  California program  by 81-73 count, but did not cover as hefty 10 point favs and in the process failed to cover for the  7th straight time. Meanwhile Utah is off two straight home wins, and enter this game with revenge, for a 80-77 loss on Jan 7th as 3 point home dogs. Now with payback at hand , I expect the Utes, who are 11-0-1 ATS L/12 in this series to be very competitive in a possible upset scenario. Note: Utah is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 in this series when seeking same season revenge.  

ARIZONA ST is 1-9 ATS  off a win against a conference rival. UTAH is 25-10 ATS  L/35 revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (UTAH) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more  are 147-89 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Utah to cover

N.Arizona has lost 9 of their L10, but have been competitive vs the spread cashing 5 of their L/6. Meanwhile Montana State has lost 3 straight, all DD losses, and are not quite ready to be made DD chalk, vs a side that despite of a ugly record has not been easy out on most nights.

N ARIZONA is 10-2 ATS  L/12 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals .HC Murphy is 13-5  L/18 ATS   when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points, off 2 covers where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 61-28 ATS L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northern Arizona to cover

Arizona remains the front runner for a PAC12 championship and subsequent NCAA tourney appearance in what is looking like a weaker than normal conference this season. Meanwhile Colorado has won 4 of their L/6 in conference action, covering in 5 of those games. Tonight I expect the buffalos will be competitive again vs a Wildcats side off a hard fought win vs Stanford last time out by a 73-71 count and could easily experience a letdown in this spot.

ARIZONA is 1-7 ATS  L/8 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season.

Colorado has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in Arizona.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (COLORADO) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 23-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92 % conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to cover

Lafayette is really rolling right now winning 7 straight and are 17-3 on their campaign. Because of their successes the lines-makers are over doing some this line vs a side that has proven very competitive this season.  S ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS   as an underdog this season.

Lafayette HC Marlin is 3-15 ATS L/18  after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better, which happened last time out vs Texas State. S.Alabama HC Graves is 16-7 ATS  L/23 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game .

LA-LAFAYETTE is 0-7 ATS  L/7 in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games.

Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (LA-LAFAYETTE) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (20/game), after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less are 11-34 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors.

Play on South Alabama to cover

Ohio State has played some surprisingly  good ball to this point in the season, and because of their successes are being over rated on the point spread according to my own numbers tonight. The public is all over the Buckeyes. But I'm waiting on them to fade and refuse to follow the consensus despite of their successes to this point in the season. Here a Mark Twain quote that I have always liked: "Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect." –Mark Twain-

and here's another one

It's not the size of the dog in the fight, it's the size of the fight in the dog. 

With that said, I'll take the underappreciated puppy in this spot play. Penn State.

OHIO ST is 2-10 ATS  L/12 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PENN ST) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 38-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Penn State to cover

Sharp money attacked this underdog line right out of the box, but now even a couple of points of its highs there is still value with taking the points with Eastern Illinois. Belmont is a fine program, with top notch pedigree, but the linesmakers are over valuing them here according to my own numbers.

Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (E ILLINOIS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 80-39 ATS l/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on E.Illinois to cover

Stanford has won 5 of their L/6 and covered 6 straight games. Their only loss came last time out, against Arizona by a 73-71 loss. The Cardinal have gotten better with each successive game this season, and despite of being in a letdown situation after their loss to Arizona last time out, I'm betting the linesmakers have over exaggerated the situation by asking USC bettors to lay 10 points. Stanford shown its moxy, and I expect they will find the energy to get us a cover here as DD ddogs.

STANFORD is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (STANFORD) - off a home loss against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 85-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Stanford to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Drake is a perfect 8-0 at home this season, and are viable underdogs here in a game vs top tier competition. Loyola Chicago has lost only 4 games  this season, and 3 of those came on the road. Take the points.  

DRAKE is 10-1 ATS L/11 versus very top tier  teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game  and  10-2 ATS versus strong defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game.DRAKE is 6-0 ATS L/6  in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread.

 CBB road team (LOYOLA-IL) - good defensive team (40-42.5%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making  47% or better of their shots ARE 16-44 ATS L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Drake  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Indiana State is a highly competitive hard working team, that owns a solid 6-1-1 ATS mark in their L/8 games overall, and must be respected here getting points vs a side that has failed to cover 6 of their L/7 overall.

S ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS   versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts this season.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA ST) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 63-28 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana State to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

The Hawks won the first meeting with the Bonnies this season, 85-78, on Jan. 6

St.Joes 'has covered 11 of their L/15 games at St.Bonaventure.

JOSEPHS is 10-2 ATS  L/12 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games dating back a few seasons.ST BONAVENTURE is 1-8 ATS L/9 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (ST JOSEPHS) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 or more are 36-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Joseph;s to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

This selection is based on my own projections,  and simple math which tells me this is a  bloated line. Take the points.

CBB Home underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FORDHAM) - after a loss by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 53-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Fordham to cover

Saint Louis is played great basketball at home this season, but VCU is the better overall team, and has dominated this series in recent years. All the numbers and matchup stats points to VCU getting us the cover here tonight on the road.

VA COMMONWEALTH is 6-0 ATS  L/6 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts .

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (VA COMMONWEALTH) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

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LSU has some troubling stats and performance data attached to their resume as they are  ranked 295th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.6 times per 100 possessions and the Tigers are ranked  227th in the nation in defensive rating with 103.5. Yes, Bayou Bengals can light the scoreboard up, but playing pylon D, makes them vulnerable against a solid two way side like Texas A&m , that is exceptional in defensive  transition  allowing   66.9 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 57th in the nation. My power rankings suggest a more than 3 point win for the Aggies.

LSU is 1-10 ATS  L/11 in home games against conference opponents.

LSU is 1-8 ATS  L/9  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games dating back to last season and is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games dating back to last season.LSU is 4-12 ATS  L/16   in home games when playing against a team with a winning record .

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (TEXAS A&M) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 129-71 ATS L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate on the blind for bettors.

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Davidson is currently playing their best hoops of the season, and have won 5 straight games and 6 of their L/7 overall. Meanwhile, their opponents Dayton, in a rebuilding season, are still very inconsistent, as is evident by their current 2 game losing streak, which ha culminated a recent 6-6 run. According to my power rankings the superior side is Davidson, nd they get my backing in this spot play.

DAVIDSON is 9-2 ATS L/11 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.DAYTON is 2-8 ATS L/10 after playing a home game this season.

CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (DAYTON) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play Davidson to cover

Wisconsin is playing its seventh and eighth road games of the season this week. Only two major conference teams have played more than six road games . This is making this young team tougher and more accustomed to being on the road, which also makes them a lot more dangerous than if they were to have played mostly at home. After  watching Badgers All-American Etahn Happ  ranking  (sixth at 16.7 ppg in Big 10), rebounds (fourth at 8.5 rpg) and assists (10th at 3.7 apg) its become obvious to me this team will jell around him, and get better as this season progresses.

Wisconsin has won six of the last seven meetings, with the one loss coming in last season's only meeting, which resulted in a 59-57 Hawkeyes' win in Madison . The Badgers now  have payback on todays agenda. UW is currently enjoying a three-game win streak in Iowa City and get the nod again to add to a 19-6 overall record here.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WISCONSIN) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 57-22 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wisconsin to cover

Arkansas has just to be much firepower for a Georgia side, that has struggles on offense of late. Yes, Georgia can play solid D, but its their offensive transition game that most worries me , which makes them fade material in this spot vs this type of explosive side that is converting on  an amazing 49.3%  from the field.

GEORGIA is 3-11 ATS  L/14 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts . ARKANSAS is 9-2 ATS  L/11  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game .GEORGIA is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. ARKANSAS is 10-2 ATS  L/12 when the total is 140 to 149.5 .

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (GEORGIA) - a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games \re 5-24 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arkansas to cover

The No. 9 ranked  Spartans, have only played two true road games this season, so tonight's conference tilt will give us some more insight into a team, that is being slightly over rated here because of their earlier season successes. Meanwhile, Illinois (10-10, 0-7) is the only Big Ten team without a conference victory, and enter this game in desperation mode, and will I'm betting leave everything on the court tonight, in what I estimate will be a cover.

ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS  L/6 after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games. MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS  L/7  in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival  which happened vs Indiana last time out by a 85-57 count.

Illinois has covered 11 of the L/16 meetings here at home in this series.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (ILLINOIS) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a loss by 15 points or more are 34-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Illinois to cover

Nebraska according to my power rankings is being under rated here vs a public team (Ohio State ), that has performed well above expected levels this season. We have plenty of value here backing  the underdog. Note: I watched Nebraska vs powerful Purdue in a game earlier this season, and was impressed by their tenaciousness under the rim and paint, against their big men, and once again feel they will once again not back down in this matchup) . Take the points with the road dog.

NEBRASKA is 11-1 ATS l/12 versus good ball handling teams - committing

North Carolina  ranked  No. 15  are gearing up into top form at the moment and on a current 4 game winning streak, after suffering a bit of a early season slump. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech (13-6, 2-4) has lost back-to-back games for the second time since the start of its conference schedule , and fade material here according to my current power rankings. Virginia Tech has been outrebounded in five of its six ACC games, with double-digit rebounding margins in three of those tilts  and do matchup well against this type of team.

VIRGINIA TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% this or less on the  season losing SU by an average of 7 ppg. N CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS L/23 after a game where they failed to cover the spread .

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VIRGINIA TECH) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season, after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games are 9-27 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.

Play on North Carolina to cover

Iowa State has revenge on board for a 74-70 loss at home to Texas earlier this season, and will primed for payback in this spot. the Cyclones have been good bets with revenge in the past cashing 11 of 13 opportunities and have won 17 of their L/23 straight up with same season revenge if the loss was by 4 or fewer points.  Meanwhile, Texas came out flatter than I expected after defeating Texas Tech, and  lost vs West Virginia last time out ,  and were sent flying back down to earth. Those two back to back games will see Smarts side even flatter now and susceptible to a down performance.

TEXAS is 2-12 ATS L/14 after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers.

CBB road team (IOWA ST) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss by 20 points or more 63-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa State to cover

Indiana will be in an emotional letdown state after taking on Michigan State last time out, and losing by a 85-57 count. That was a demoralizing loss for this program, as they entered the game on a 3 game winning streak,  and  feeling good about themselves  until the 20 ton boulder was dropped on them. It must be noted the  Hoosiers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Meanwhile, Maryland, is a decent team, that is capable of taking advantage of this situation and viable options in this spot.

MARYLAND is 11-3 ATS  L/14 after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread.Terrapins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

CBB road team (MARYLAND) - excellent defensive team (40% or less) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (14.5  or less TO) after 15+ games are 111-66 ATS L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Maryland to cover

Valparaiso is in a rebuilding mode, losing 10 of their L/13 overall . Meanwhile,  Loyola Chicago is in top form as is evident by winning 15 of their 19 games this season. The linesmakers thanks to Vals pedigree and  past successes in this conference  are asking their backers and true believers to lay the lumber here. However, my own numbers make the visitor the superior side, and I firmly believe the wrong team is favored.

LOYOLA-IL is 12-3 ATS  L/15 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game .LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS  L/6 after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LOYOLA-IL) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 28-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Loyola Chicago to cover

Pepperdine is desperate after 10 straight losses, and with each successive loss the lines-makers adjust their lines to the higher end of the acceptable spectrum, which now favors them covering according to my own numbers .


CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 40-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (PEPPERDINE) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games are 26-8 ATS L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pepperdine to cover

Mississippi State is just 2-4 in SEC play, but have been highly competitive behind a top tier defense, that is allowing just  39.4% shooting from the floor. In three of the four losses only one came by more than 6 points and considering my matchup scenarios I'm betting on them making a game of this vs a Alabama side they have revenge against for three losses last season including the SEC tourney. Alabama is just 1-4 ATS  a team from last season looking for triple revenge. MISSISSIPPI ST is 10-2 ATS  L/12 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Play on Mississippi State to cover