Bot these teams are well below .500 and struggling overall, but tau I expect a fairly close game between two long time rivals. Maine's 69-68 win last January (2018) at Cross Insurance Center ended the Wildcats' six-game win streak vs. the Black Bears; New Hampshire won the most recent matchup and are now being hefty underdogs here in a game that I have pegged at closer -6 for the home side, thus giving us value on this line with the road underdog.UNH enters the weekend ranked second in the conference with 8.8 3-pointers made per game and take care of the ball well as they commit the second fewest turnovers per game (12.2) and Im betting these two attributes will serve them well here today in what Im betting with be a cover.

Play on New Hampshire to cover 

 This game has been circled Auburn’s  HC Bruce Pearl. calendar for a while, as Alabama smashed the Tigers last years in the SEC tournament by DDs. Pearl was steaming after that game and will come out here ready to get revenge. Meanwhile, Auburn has been money bank at home in this series winning 5 of the L/6 meetings and  cashing 18 of their L/22 meetings including 5-0 SU/ATS when favored by 5 or more points if they own .667 or better record.  

Play on Auburn to cover 

 These two teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and their is no arguing which is the superior side, but where I see a weakness is by how much the Volunteers are being favoured. According to my projections Tennessee should be closer to 8.5 point road chalk, and at 12 points we have some very good value with the home underdog. With that said, Ill take the points here and take a contrarian stance . 

Kennedy is 21-10 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of TEXAS A&M.

TEXAS A&M is 26-11 ATS  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.

Texas A&M to cover 

The public loves the home team ( Utah State) and Im going directly against the vast majority of the ticket holders here and taking a sharp money stance with the under appreciated road dog. 

UTAH ST is 15-28 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 season.

CBB  Underdogs of 10 or more points (UNLV) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a loss by 15 points or more are 39-16 ATS L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on UNLV to cover 

After starting the season 1-3 in SEC play, the Gators have won three straight conference games. They beat Georgia 62-52, Texas A&M and then Ole Miss. The Gators have won two straight and four of the last six against Kentucky in Gainesville. Florida won last year’s game 80-67 after spanking the Cats 88-66 in 2017. UK has a history of less than stellar performances here, andIm betting the Gators will make life difficult for them here again. In his fourth season at Florida, HC White is 3-3 against John Calipari and the Cats and knows how to play vs Caliparis system.  With that said, take the points. 

FLORIDA is 27-11 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots after 15+ games.FLORIDA is 79-52 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997.Calipari is 39-56 ATS  in road games as the coach of KENTUCKY.

Play on Florida to cover 

If the University of Akron basketball team is to be in a position to make a run for an appearance in March Madness, the Zips will have to start by winning on the road and now today will come here primed to get such a win. The Zips are ranked 18th in the NCAA for scoring defense only allowing 62.8 points per game and Im betting that will be the difference maker here in this MAC event. 

Note:The Zips have won 10 of the last 15 meetings in this series and will be in a double revenge mode and ready to snap a two game losing streak vs Ohio. 

OHIO U is 3-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and OHIO U is also 0-7 ATS L/7 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season and 3-10 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. 

HC Phillips of Ohio  is 2-12 ATS when the total is 120 to 129.5 in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB team (AKRON) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games in are 56-17 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Akron to cover 

 Notre Dame has won 5 straight meetings in this series including the L/2 here at Boston College and have the edge again according to my power rankings. 

BOSTON COLLEGE is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a home game this season. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-19 ATS in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread 

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (NOTRE DAME) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 63-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Notre Dame to cover 

Looking to carry momentum from Wednesday's 14-point win against in-state rival Holy Cross I look for Boston University  to come in here spitting bullets. I know their hosts the Raiders are riding a 12-game home win streak dating back to last season and are a perfect 8-0 this year but thanks to their positive trajectory the lines makers have over value them in this matchup giving us value with the road dog. I knowColgate claimed a 77-56 win at Case Gym back on Jan. 19 vs Boston U, but the Raiders only led, 47-43, at 13:47 in the second half and looked flustered at times. 

Play on Boston University to cover 

The Cardinals entered league play 9-4, and opened with a 15-point victory at Toledo. Since then they’ve dropped five of six, with four of those losses coming by six points or less and are now absolutely desperate for a win.

Ball State is a team with multiple weapons, great size, great athleticism. They’re a few plays away from having their (MAC) record flipped and Im betting  must be respected here in desperation mode. 

Senderoff is 36-51 ATS  after playing a game as an underdog as the coach of KENT ST.

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENT ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are just 36-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Ball State to cover 

 Before I make this recommendation , just let say I consider the Wolverines as one of the top 3 teams in the nation. Tonight however,  Iowa will be out their minds looking to make a mark in the Big 10, and at the same time  avenge three straight losses in this series , including a 77-71 loss in the opening round of the Big Ten tourney last season. The Hawkeyes are no pushovers and own a  12-4 ATS record at home in this series and have covered 6 of the L/8 overall meetings. With that said  look for this 5-returning starter Iowa  group  to come in to this tilt with a take no prisoners attitude in an attempt to slow down this behemoth opponent and grab what might seem like an impossible victory. Note: Hawkeyes HC Fran McCaffery has covered 20 of his L/30 as a home underdog and must be respected getting points in front of his own alumni.

Play on Iowa to cover 

The Bulldogs are currently first in the WCC standings at 6-0 while the Cougars are tied for second at 5-2.

 In all their greatness Im betting Mark Fews Gonzaga will still feel the effects of this strong home venue vs BYU and  that they may not find the  sledding all that easy vs a hardworking group of Mormon hoops players. BYU is no pushover in front of their own alumni as their 129-9 SU record  would indicate when they own a  .760 win % or less at  home with HC Dave Rose on the sidelines.Rose is also 21-11 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of BYU.

According to my line the Bulldogs should only be 10 point favs here on the road, thus giving us value on what Im estimating id a bloated line by close to 2 possessions. 

BYU is 15-5 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game since 1997.  

Play on BYU. to cover 

William Mary enters this game struggling and have lost 5 straight games and more importantly have failed to cover all 5 of those negative results. Meanwhile, Drexel has won 3 of their L/5 games and covered 4 of those games, and in their current form offer value on this line getting points. I know WM found a way to beat Drexel earlier this season, but Im betting Dragons come back breathing fire and are competitive here. Note:  Drexel won in Williamsburg for the third time in the last four trips, and it must be noted for four years in a row  that these teams have split the season series so I won't be surprised if the visitor not only notches a cover but a su victory. 

WM & MARY is 2-10 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

WM & MARY is 0-6 ATS in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-7 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season.

607 Drexel to cover   

Purdue now with a huge target on their backs as they come off a enormous upset win vs Michigan State last time out, will now be in a natural letdown situation vs a viable home underdog in Penn State. I know the Nittany Lions in their current form ( 7 straight losses), do not inspire bettors but, here in the Big 10 the talent levels are fairly comparable , and it should not surprise anyone if Penn State is competitive this evening on their own home court. It must also be noted that Penn State has revenge on board for a Conference tourney loss to Purdue last season and will be extremely motivated to pull off an upset of their own vs a side that is just 3-6 SU on the road this season. 

PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus struggling shooting teams - making 42%  or less of their shots over the last 3 seasons.Painter is 24-37 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games as the coach of PURDUE.

Play on Penn State to cover 

 Indiana is in the worst kind of shape losing 6 straight  and have completely gone into a tailspin after a  inspired  12-2 start to their campaign.Archie Miller needs this game badly and has enough talent to upend a Rutgers program that despite of a surprising 2 game win streak are still mired in  a long term Big 10  slump as the Knights  have lost 36 of his 44 Conference games , and have lost 6 straight vs teams with revenge like Indiana (  Hoosiers lost 76-69  in the Conference tourney last season). Rutgers is just 2-10 SU vs avenging conference opposition  and 0-4 SUATS at home. I know Indiana is flawed team, but if they an be aggressive offensively tonight form the get go, against a Rutgers team that needs top defensive efforts to get wins the desperate visitors will get a results they badly need. Im betting they do exactly that. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Kentucky is off a hard fought affair with Kanas this past weekend and will now be in a natural letdown spot. going into this road game against Vanderbilt. Thats not a good omen as this UK Hoops program is just  0-4 ATS after battling with the Jayhawks.With Vandy in revenge mode for a  74-67 loss in Lexington earlier this month ,  Im betting on them being pumped to get even and pull off the upset in front of their own alumni. It must be noted that the Commodores are  7-0  L/7 ATS in this series when playing with same-season revenge and have split this series here in Nashville going 6-6 SU L/12 meetings here.VANDERBILT is 57-36 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game.

Calipari is 9-23 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games in all games he has coached and is 4-13 ATS   in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Vanderbilt 

Pittsburgh at 12-8 this season are up trending, and all ready have shown a great deal of progress under the tutelage of former Duke assistant Jeff Capel as was the case earlier this season when they notched wins vs Louisville and Florida State and barley lost to NC State. The Panthers new found ability to play tough man to man D, will aid them here vs a Clemson team that is in an emotional letdown spot after blowing a 5 point lead and losing with under a minute to play last time out vs NC State, thanks to missing four straight charity stripe conversions and four FG attempts. Both these teams need wins, and Im expecting/betting on a spirited effort tonight with the points proving to be golden.

 CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (PITTSBURGH) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 63-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

Ball State (11-9, 2-5) has lost five of its last six games, all against conference foes and are now being made DD underdogs here on the road vs a ranked team. However the Cardinal have been very competitive and only once in their L/7 games have they lost by more than 9 points with the average point differential clicking in at 5.7 ppg. I know how explosive Buffalo is but they have a big target on their backs after getting so many early season accolades, and have had endure all efforts by their MAC opponents which has started to wear on them. It must also be noted that the Bulls are off a hard fought  battle at Kent State and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot vs a hard working never say die team desperate for wins. This also falls into a long term betting against the public  perimeter based trend I use on occasion when it present itself that has  returned  a 33% ROI since the 2006 season .  It does not always win, but more often then not we cash, ( 68%) . Since Im always looking for a long term edge, this situation makes for a viable investment wagering option. 

Also CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (BUFFALO) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite.  are just 24-54  ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. 

Play on the Ball State to cover 

 N.C. State is feeling good about its offense with point guard Markell Johnson back in the lineup after recouping from a back injury and must be respected as home underdogs despite of going against a behemoth opponent in Virginia. Also the  Wolfpack's versatility  creates issues when vs any  defensive game plans, yes  even that of the Cavaliers as Six N.C. State players have led the team in scoring this season. Look for N.C States ability to mix and match and provide different looks to make Virginia look somewhat human here in this matchup. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VIRGINIA) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better). are 16-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. ( Virginia destroyed NotreDame last time out by DDs, and have exerted alot of energy in back to back games vs the Irish and previous to that Duke making them possible letdown favs here. 

Play on NC State to cover 

 Baylor brings a 4-game winning streak into its  at Oklahoma. BU is coming off a 73-68 win over Alabama, improving to 5-1 in Big 12/SEC Challenge history.Baylor finished 9-4 in non-conference play, with marquee wins at Arizona, vs. Oregon and vs. Alabama and must not be underestimated in their ability compete here and even pull off a SU upset. Note: Baylor is 32-34 in Big 12 road games since 2012, second-best in the league behind only Kansas (43-23). 

OKLAHOMA is 3-15 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-8 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in January games this season. 

Baylor has won 2 straight meetings here and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings SU.BU's last 3 trips to Norman include a 2-point loss in 2016, a 26-point win in 2017 and a 2-point loss in 2018.

Play on Baylor to cover 

The Bethune Cookman 'Cats lead the MEAC in defensive rebounding average (27.9), rebounding average (40.76), FG defense (40.8%), and 3pt defense (29.5%). BCU is second in rebound margin (+2.7), and offensive boards (12.84) and according to my numbers should be 4.5 point road chalk here thus we are getting a value line here to bet into vs a Coppin State side that they beat both times they met them last season. 

Play on Bethune Cookman to cover 

I have made this line at -5.5 for North Carolina Central (9-10 overall), thus we are getting old value with the road team according to my projections.NCCU has shot over 50 percent from the floor seven times this season. Meanwhile,Savannah State  4-14 overall is currently 1-3 in MEAC play heading into the weekend, but lead the league in three-pointers made per contest with 11.7 and live and die with their downtown shots, leading the conference in Treys. But tonight against a NCCU team that can light the board up from all over the court Im betting they're in trouble. 

Play on North Carolina Central to cover 

NJIT will face ASUN newcomers North Alabama for the second time this year.

In their only previous meeting on January 12, the Lions defeated NJIT, 61-55, in Florence, AL and. now  despite of  NJIT wanting revenge it seems this line is  bloated by 1 possession which gives us value on line with the visitor.  I know the Lions have struggled on the road this season,  , winning just one out of 14 games away  tilts, but they are  currently stand in third place of the ASUN, one place ahead of NJIT. Their 5-2 conference record indicates a blue collar never say die attitude that will suit them well here in this hostile environment. 

Take the Points wth North Alabama to cover 

Seton Hall after pulling off wins vs Kentucky and Maryland earlier this season, have been suddenly struggling for wins losing 4 of their L/5 despite of being highly competitive with the average point diff  of those 4 losses clicking in at 4.5 ppg.  Every loss they have suffered this season besides two were within five points, and they lost four by just four points .  Villanova is showing us that they are once again a good NCAA tourney bet, and despite of the off season departures, must be respected. However, with that said, Seton Hall is not an easy out, and are desperate for wins and will leave everything on the floor today in what Im betting will be a cover for them and their backers. Look for Myles Powell who is averaging  22.2 points per game,  and hitting 45.3% of his shots to be a key catalyst for the  Hall here in a cover effort. 

SETON HALL is 23-8 ATS  in road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread and is s 11-3 ATS in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. 

SETON HALL is 13-4 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and  is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. 

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 7-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seton Hall to cover 

San Francisco at 17-3 are proving they are a side that needs to be respected when laying short lumber. I know San Diego is feisty hard working team, but  are outgunned by a team on a 3 game win streak , especially if  Olin Carter III is not playing or less than 100% which he is reported as he suffers with a  ( Abdominal )  injury. FRANCISCO is 14-3 ATS  off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SAN FRANCISCO) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 53-22 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

SF to cover 

Despite a 3-3 start, the Bruins are not out of the running for the Pac-12 regular season title and have an opportunity to right their ship here tonight vs Arizona. Despite of it not appearing their desperate, this game is a must win type affair especially after their ugly effort vs Arizona State last time out when they lost as chalk. Note: Bartow is 9-1 ATS  after allowing 80 points or more in a loss to a conference rival and 20-8 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1997.Meanwhile, Arizona despite of their accolades are starting to fall back down to earth, and are fragile looking at the moment after getting clobbered by USC last time out.

ARIZONA is 5-13 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.ARIZONA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 season

UCLA to cover 

 Evansville has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to NIU in the MVC tourney  last season.   Meanwhile, Northern Iowa .  is in an emotional letdown situation after a loss last time out . Thats not a good omen for their chances to cover here as Northern Iowa is just  1-4 SUATS in their  last 5 games versus opposition  with conference  revenge.  Add to that Evansville has performed admirably as dogs this season going a bankroll expanding  8-3 ATS getting points for their backers , while the Panthers are just  5-10 ATS  on the season.  

Play on Evansville to cover 

My power rankings and line suggests we have value with this line with Middle Tennessee .

MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

N TEXAS is 1-7 ATS  in all home games this season. 

N TEXAS is 0-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.N TEXAS is 3-11 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Middle Tenn State to cover 

Kentucky leads the all-time series with Kansas, 22-9, but the Jayhawks are riding a 3-game winning streak , but Im betting that all ends abruptly here today. My personal opinion on Kansas is they are down a notch this season and one shouldn't be fooled by their record, and with Calipari eyeing triple revenge for the Wildcats will have his team ready to perform in a big way here today.KENTUCKY is 14-5 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons and Calipari is 23-10 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENTUCKY.KANSAS is 2-13 ATS after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 2 season.

Play on Kentucky to cover 

In their last outing, the South Carolina State  Bulldogs dropped an tough 69-74 decision to Norfolk State.The Bulldogs  record may not give bettors hope (4-17, 2-3 MEAC) but this offense is anchored by 6-foot-8 junior Damani Applewhite who averages 17.3 points and 7.8 rebounds per game and he's proven he can take advantage of teams like Savannah Statee (4-14, 1-3 MEAC) which gives us an edge on a short line.

Play on South Carolina State to cover 

Oregon State has been playing some great basketball  and are surprising the heck out of the pundits and that's why they are getting so much respect from the lines- makers here today  But the Washington Huskies,  undefeated in PAC12 play visit Corvallis, looking to avenge a 69-66 defeat to the Beavers in last year’s Pac-12 tourney and wont be used around here by this hard working blue collar group. Note:Hopkins is 6-0 ATS  at road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of WASHINGTON and is 10-1 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts as the coach of WASHINGTON. 

CBB home team (OREGON ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 19-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Boston College off a nice win vs Florida State last time out will carry the momentum of that win in to Wake Forests a struggling side that has lost 5 of their L/6 games. 

BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS  after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and is 8-0 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons

WAKE FOREST is 10-23 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (WAKE FOREST) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (BOSTON COLLEGE) - off a home win against a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 92-49 ATS L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Boston College to cover 

 E.Carolina has lost 4 straight games, and according to my numbers and projections should be closer to-6.5 point dogs here. South Florida has struggled a bit lately but are still a dangerous foe having covered 14 of their 19line games this season. The struggles Im taking about came to Temple in a 2 point loss and to Houston by 9 and Cincinnati by 8 so needless to say those make the battle tested road team a very viable side to back. 

CBB home team (E CAROLINA) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 103-162 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on South Florida to cover 

Marquette is in top form, but Xavier is almost never an easy out on their own home court and must be respected  especially when they have revenge on board for a loss as was the case when they  suffered a 70- 52 beatdown in Marquette earlier this season on Jan 6. Xavier has five players averaging in double figures in scoring through 20 games and I expect a complete team effort here in a cover performance. 

The Musketeers are 5-1 SU vs. Marquette at Cintas Center.

XAVIER is 13-3 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.XAVIER is 47-29  L/76 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent .

Play on Xavier to cover 

The Clemson Tigers  just played and lost to Duke and suffered a home defeat against Virginia and are battle tested and will not be intimidated vs NC State today that has lost 3 of their L/5 overall. Im betting on two desperate teams in need of a win to battle it out in a closely contested affair, with the points proving to be golden.

Clemson has won 3 of the L/4 meetings. 

NC STATE is 9-19 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (NC STATE) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 37-70 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Clemson to cover 

Im a big believer in Chris Mack and Im betting he gets his team NCAA tourney ready in a hurry.Louisville, ranked 23rd by AP and 24th in the USA Today poll, come in here today against a improved but still out talented Pittsburgh team ready to get payback for a 89-86 OT loss earlier this season.  Im betting Louisville has an edge, especially with revenge on board for that surprising upset loss vs the Panthers. Note: Louisville is 21-4 SU and 18-6-1 ATS  at home in same- season conference revenge  Meanwhile, Pittsburgh  1-6 ATS in their last seven tilts versus opposition with same- season conference revenge, and have not performed well vs the Cards going just 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS in this series.

LOUISVILLE is 22-10 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite since 1997 with the average point diff clicking in at 15 ppg. 

Louisville's 2019 signing class is ranked second in the nation by ESPN.

Play on Louisville to cover 

Fordham has lost 7 straight games, and does not matchup well vs the Flyers. Note: Neubauer is 1-8 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of FORDHAM and is 4-15 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game as the coach of FORDHAM. This game registers under a long standing system .CBB Road teams against the total (DAYTON) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 710-524 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 58% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dayton to cover 

 Hofstra is an explosive team, that rarely shows mercy, and are pounding their L/3 opponents by DDs. More of the same here today vs a struggling side that despite of having won their L/2 games are still. sub .500 home team this season.HOFSTRA is 9-2 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.TOWSON ST is 0-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB home team (TOWSON ST) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 20-46 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Hofstra to cover 

VCU has won the L/6 meetings including the L/3 here on the road between these two hoops programs  and according to my matchup stats and power rankings deserve their -3 fav road status here and should win this game according to my projections by 4 points or more. 

 Their key to success today will be their defence.

VCU opponents are shooting just .264 from beyond the 3-point arc, which ranks fourth nationally. VCU opponents shot .351 from 3-point range last season. VCU has held nine opponents to 60 points or fewer this season

 VCU is 77-33 in conference play over that span, a .700 winning percentage. VCU is also 13-5 in A-10 Tournament play. 

Play on VCU. 

at Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

Maryland is the superior team here, but on neutral court, this line Im betting is a little bloated and there is value on contrarian betting perspective.   HC Underwood is 15-5 ATS  in  non home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. Illinois has either led (eight times), been tied (twice), or trailed by two with the ball (once) during the second half in 11 of its 14 losses and are my choice to cover vs ranked Maryland. 

Note:Illinois has played 11 games all-time at Madison Square Garden, compiling a 3-8 SU record with only 3 of the losses coming by more than 9 points.

Play on Illinois to cover 

Creighton is 11-8 SU overall and 2-4 in BIG EAST play while enduring the nation's ninth-toughest schedule, having already played 12 teams that won 21 games or more a year ago. Meanwhile, Butler is 12-8 this season and 3-4 in BIG EAST play after Tuesday's 80-72 home loss to Villanova. The Bulldogs are 1-4 in true road games. Butler won the first meeting this season between these two hoops programs, 84-69 on January 5 in Indianapolis and now Creighton will be primed to get revenge for that defeat. Creighton is 6-2 all-time in Omaha vs the Bulldogs, including a 4-1 mark since the schools became BIG EAST rivals and gets my support here in revenge mode. Look for the Blue Jays ability to connect from downtown to be the difference maker here this evening. Creighton ranks second nationally in three-point percentage (.431), third in total three-pointers (231), third in three-pointers made per game (12.2)  and fifth in field goal percentage (.505).

BUTLER is 1-9 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons and are just  8-17 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.BUTLER is 2-12 ATS  in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Creighton to cover 

Riders is on a 5 game win streak with all the victories coming against conference rivals, and are operating on all cylinders. Needless to say they will be hard to stop tonight here at Iona, versus a side, that  is a hard team to beat on their own floor, but far from consistent overall as is evident by a 4-6 mark in their L/10 trips to the hardwood. With that said,  Im betting on  a Rider side, that returns all five starters, their top six scorers and 95 percent of their scoring from last year's team to continue to roll. 

IONA is 4-11 ATS in all games this season.IONA is 2-14 ATS  after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. 

Road teams as a favorite or pick (RIDER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 94-46 ATS L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams as an underdog or pick (IONA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 3-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined point differential clicking in at 8.7 ppg. 

Play on Rider to cover 

Brown had a 6 game win streak abruptly end in a hard fought 70-67 loss to  Yale last time out as hosts in the first game of a back and back series. Now in revenge mode I look for Brown to get us a cover here and possibly end Yales 7 game win streak. Note:Martin is 9-1 ATS in road games off a home loss as the coach of BROWN and is 10-1 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games. Brown has covered 15 of their 21 trips to Yale and get the nod again to grab the cash for us.

Play on Brown to cover 

Indiana is reeling having lost 5 straight games. Desperation has set in over this Indiana hoops program and Archie Moore and company desperately need a win.  I know the Hoosiers do not inspire bettors in their current form, but here at home , Im betting they leave everything on the floor in an attempt to upend a powerful Michigan team and get a much needed victory. Considering that Michigan has been mired in a slump over the last two tilts scoring just  54 points in a loss at Wisconsin and 59 in a buzzer beater win over Minnesota it is not inconceivable Indiana won't make life even ore difficult for the Wolverines in this spot. Note: .Beilein is 2-10 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less as the coach of MICHIGAN

Miller is 40-23 ATS  in home games against conference opponents in all games he has coached since 1997. Dont count Miller out in his abilities to coach his team to success. When he was in Dayton his team started 12-3 one season, and than start A-10 play with a 1-5 record, he corrected that situation and Dayton would turn it around, winning 13 of its last 16 and an eventual appearance in the  Elite Eight appearance. Im not saying thats the direction he will take the Hoosiers in this season, but Im saying look for him to find a way for his team to make a game of this here tonight. 

Hoosiers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games.

Play on Indiana to cover 

No. 14 Buffalo is 17-3 overall and 5-1 in conference play. In their last outing, the Bulls dropped their first conference game against Northern Illinois, 77-75, showing us they are far from perfect. Tonight against a Kent State team that was one of three teams to defeat them last season, Im betting they will have their hands full again. Meanwhile, Kent State improved to 15-4 in conference play after defending home court with an 87-85 overtime win over Toledo and are 10-2 SU at home this season, and 16-4 L/20 SU at home in this series  and get my support getting points here tonight. 

Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

KENT ST is 14-2 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better) after 15 or more games since 1997 and 10-2 ATS at home under the same perimeters. HC Senderoff is 8-0 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or kore ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENT ST. 

Play on Kent State to cover 

 Hot shooting and smothering defense carried  Tennessee State to a 70-56 win over Austin Peay at the Gentry Center last season. According to my projections theTigers  can stay fairly close again and cover this number vs the Govs. TSU is 3-2 in the last four seasons, vs Austin Peay with  one win  coming in the Winfield Dunn Center. Six games between these combatants have gone into overtime, four in Clarksville, one in the Dunn Center in the first round of the OVC Tournament in 2007. Im betting for a closer game than many might expect. 

TENNESSEE ST is 42-17 ATS in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1997.

Home favorites of 10 or more points (AUSTIN PEAY) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 22-55 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Tennessee St to cover 

The L/14 seasons, Little Rock has called the Jack Stephens Center home, and the venue has helped the Trojans become one of the Sun Belt's most proficient home teams. Little Rock has record a 130-72 overall record (.644) at the Jack and is 71-45 (.612) in Sun Belt play, posting a winning record in 12 of the 13 seasons . The Trojans are 6-3 at home this year, winning their last three games at the Jack and get the nod here tonight vs Coastal Carolina. 

COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB favorite vs. the money line (ARK-LITTLE ROCK) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are 88-17 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arkansas Little Rock to cover

The Sam Houston Bearkats entered 2019 and the Southland season with a sub par 5-8 record, but have won their first five conference games and have the only perfect mark in the league.The Bearkats have thrived in conference play thanks to giving up only 60.8 points per game.

Last Saturday, the BKats prevailed 71-65 at Houston Baptist for their seventh win in the last eight games, including their  L/2 road games  and are hitting on all cylinders as they come together as a team. Meanwhile. the Demons are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum,  as they sport a sub par (7-11 overall, 2-3 in the Southland) and lost 78-69 this past Saturday at Abilene Christian,  and are now expected to play without second-leading scorer DeAndre Love, (wrist injury.)

Northwestern is a bigger team, but Sam Houston is more athletic, and more intimidating even though their slighter smaller. Look for the tougher more talented road team to lay down  the hammer here on the road. 

Play on Sam Houston St to cover 

 Alot of public money has come in on LSU here tonight, and some sharp money has now fired back with Georgia . I my self project this line to be closer to 9.5 to 10 points thus giving us a almost 1 possession value line to back with the underdog. I know the Dawgs have not looked good so far this season, and are off a ugly 62-52 loss to Florida lat time out, but their battle tested after playing Auburn, Tennessee, and Kentucky in SEC play already this season so they wont be intimidated by the red hot Cajun Tigers in this tilt. Note: Georgia has won 3 straight in this series and have covered 5 of the L/6 meetings, and actually matchup well from a system vs system perspective.

Bulldogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 3 seasons.Underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.LSU is 9-23 ATS  as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (GEORGIA) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 61-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Georgia Bulldogs to cover 

Xavier a team that has struggled in Conference play so far this season have been looking forward to payback for last seasons Big East tourney loss in the  semifinals to a Providence side that has also been struggling losing 4 of their L/5 overall.  The  X-men have proven good bets in the recent past when they have revenge on board as they are a bankroll expanding 11-3 ATS in SU wins when seeking revenge and are a perfect 5-0 at home SU L/5 games in this series.

XAVIER is 93-66 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games since 1997.

Play on Xavier to cover 

The Crimson Tide lost a close game to Tennessee on the weekend 71-68  but covering as 14 point dogs. You can see this team is coming together and up trending and  already have a statement win vs Kentucky earlier this season and as of Monday the Crimson Tide are No. 50 in the NET rankings that replaced the RPI in helping the NCAA selection committee select its field of 68. Tonight against No.20 Ole Miss Im betting the Tides reserves who have been a strength of this year's team, averaging nearly 27 points per contest (26.6) entering the contest against Ole Miss will be  one of the difference makers tonight in this SEC battle. Also The Tide are one of the top rebounding teams in the nation. Alabama has won the rebounding fights in 16 of its 17 tilts this season. For the year, Alabama ranks second in the SEC and 27th nationally in rebounding margin (+6.4), outrebounding the opposition by an average of 39.2-32.8. In SEC games only, the Tide has outrebounded each of its five SEC opponents and leads the league in rebound margin at +5.8 (39.8-34.0). Meanwhile, Ole Miss is over achieving this year, and I keep waiting for them to drop back down to earth and feel confident betting against them vs a hungry team, with revenge on board for a loss at the Pavillon last season by a 78-66 count. Alabama owns a 38-7 record  when playing Ole Miss in Coleman Coliseum, including wins in four of the last five games played here as hosts and get the nod again.

Play on Alabama to cover 

There have been five meetings between Villanova and Butler at historic Hinkle Fieldhouse between the Wildcats and Bulldogs since the BIG EAST was reconfigured in 2013. None has been decided by more than eight points and the average margin of victory in those clashes is 4.8 points per game. Villanova won the first three games and have lost the last two, but come into this game wide awake, with a lot to prove, and won't be intimidated by a Butler team that my own power rankings suggest is less superior to this version of Wildcats and a few notches under previous incarnations of Butler basketball. Im betting on Villanova's two senior foundational pieces, Paschall and Booth to be the difference makers tonight and for this fast improving sophomore supporting group to help us grab the cash in hostile environment. 

Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Wildcats are 41-18-1 ATS in their last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Wildcats are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Wildcats are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Wildcats are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games overall.Wildcats are 39-19-1 ATS in their last 59 road games.Wildcats are 47-23 ATS in their last 70 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Villanova to cover 

Well rested Clemson off for a week entering this game will look for its second consecutive victory  as visitors to Tallahassee tonight to face  a tired Florida State side playing their 2nd 48 our turnaround . The Tigers’ last victory on the road against Florida State was a 62-56 victory on Feb. 4, 2015. FSU is not only tired but are dealing with nagging injuries, ( Mann, Trent, and Phil) makes them weak home favs tonight. 

Seminoles are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Seminoles are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 vs. Atlantic Coast.Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.

Clemson to cover 

The Flashes improved to 14-4 overall and 3-2 in conference play as they defended home court in a 78-68 win over NIU last time out  and roll into this game against Toledo as viable home dogs. After all the Flashes have played their best hoops at home this season, where they are 9-2 SU and deserve respect getting points in this friendly environment, vs what my own rankings suggest is a very good but slightly over rated Rockets hoops group, that has some defensive short coming as is evident by allowing 77.1 ppg on the road this season. Kent State is 9-3 L/12 at home in this series, and get the nod here tonight to get the cover. Note:Senderoff is 7-0 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENT ST and overal lKENT ST is 13-2 ATS L/15 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or more) after 15 or more games since 1997. 

Play on Kent State to cover 

 Five of Niagara's nine wins have come at the Gallagher Center with victories over St. Bonaventure, New Hampshire, Cornell, Norfolk State, and Iona and this is where they play their best basketball. Meanwhile,   Saint Peter's is 0-9 on the road this season.

The Purple Eagles are 20-7 at home versus the Peacocks since the 1991-92 season.

•  Six of the last 10 meetings with Saint Peter's have been decided by less than five points with NU going 5-1 in those six games and they get the nod again on short line. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ST PETERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 2-56 L/22 seasons for a 97% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Niagara to cover 

 West Virginia is off a huge win vs Kansas this past Saturday and are now in a huge letdown situation. With  Baylor  out looking for revenge for  a 13-point loss in the first round of the Big 12 tourney last season which was their 3rd loss in this series last season, I now expected the Bears to be bad news for  Huggins and company. Before West Virginias last game they did not look like contenders and are down a notch this season talent wise, so its not like Im calling for a miracle here or anything today by backing a highly cmpetetive  Baylor team that is 6-0-1 ATS L/7 overall.W VIRGINIA is 13-25 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Baylor is 12-3 ATS under head coach Scott Drew when not favored by more than 6 points against sub .500 opponents.BAYLOR is 10-2 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 season

Play on Baylor to cover 

Monday's showdown features the top two scoring offenses in the league with Creighton averaging 83.5 ppg with the Hoyas right behind with 82.8 ppg. Georgetown continues to be the top rebounding squad in the BIG EAST with 40.6 rpg and also leads the conference in assists with 17.5 apg and Im betting that their ferocity under the glass and ability to spread the ball around will be the difference maker for a home team win in this spot for Georgetown.

The Hoyas behind a revenge factor are my choice tonight vs a Bluejays program that won both contests last season and have won three-straight in the series which activates a personal 17-2 ATS triple revenge angle that I have used over the L/7 seasons. 

Note: Creighton has lost four-straight BIG EAST games following a league-opening victory over Providence and have not traveled well vs power 5 teams losing 4 of their L/5 with Providence being the exception. 

CREIGHTON is 2-11 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 season.CREIGHTON is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.s 3-11 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Georgetown to cover

The Missouri State  Bears have won their last two MVC road games with recent wins at Indiana State & Bradley and are more than capable of hanging tough here and getting us the cover. Missouri State also has revenge on board for a pair of losses to Drake last season, by 61-58 and 76-73 scores. Note: The Blackies are 8-2 SU vs the Bulldogs with revenge  and get my backing here today. 

HC Ford of Missouri State  is 14-2 ATS in road games in January games in all games he has coached in his career. 

Play on Missouri State to cover 

ASU (12-5, 3-2 in Pac-12 play)shooting woes make them lousy favs here . On the season ASU is hitting just  .439 from the field and .342 from 3-point range but an nasty .654 from the line. Even though  Oregon is missing banged up with some injuries their key starter sophomore F Kenny Wooten is healthy again making them dangerous underdogs here tonight . 

ARIZONA ST is 1-11 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons is 0-6 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less  after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

OREGON is 20-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Oregon to cover 

Temple has won 11 straight meetings in this series, but in recent battles here on the road Penn State has been very competitive and covered 7 of their L/9 visits. I know the Quakers have looked wobbly of late, without injured G Ryan Betley who is out for season, and are on on a 4 game losing streak, but now in desperation mode, will be ready to leave everything on the floor today. Note: PENNSYLVANIA is 21-8 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses since 1997. You have to remember this is a PennState team that upended Villanova this season, and are not completely futile or without talent. 

TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Penn State to cover 

 There was a key number that I was looking for in this Kentucky vs Auburn battle, and now that I have it will recommend we pull the trigger.  

Saturday's matchup between No. 12/14 Kentucky and No. 14/12 Auburn will mark the eighth time in the series' history the teams will meet while both are ranked in the Associated Press Top 25 and the first since No. 24 Auburn took on No. 4 Kentucky on Jan. 22, 2003. 

Kentucky owns a 92-19 all-time record in the series, including a 30-15 advantage when the game is played in Auburn. UK also has a lead in the series during the seven prior meetings when the teams were both ranked with a 6-1 edge.

John Calipari and Bruce Pearl have matched up head-to-head with ranked squads on four occasions, splitting the meetings 2-2. Calipari is 9-5 all-time against Pearl.

Auburn beat Kentucky last season and now we have revenge on board for Calipari in company. 

This game will feature an Auburn side that likes to smack down 3s and take an average of 35 a game, and HC Calipari despite of seeing his team struggle against treys will have his athletic side ready to respond here today. Note: Wildcats have held their last two opponent to 50 points or less , and are extremely capable of keeping this game close and even pulling off the upset vs the public favourite.  

Auburn is proving susceptible to fouls and giving up offensive rebounds,  Im betting the charity stripe and the Cats determination under the basket  will be a deciding factor in which side covers today. 

Play on Kentucky to cover 

Even though this game is being played at Kent State I have this tilt projected as a pickem, making N.Illinois a value selection here according to my estimates. NIU has revenge on board for a  61-59 loss in last years tourney to Kent State and are a experienced team  with 5 returning starters that can get things done .  Northern Illinois has covered 6 of the L/7 meetings and gets the nod again. 

Note: Kent State picked up a big win last time out as home pups , but in the past KENT ST is  just 6-16 ATS  in home games off an upset win as an underdog  and are  0-10 ATS at home when coming off a Straight up underdog win and facing opposition coming off a SU/ATS loss.. 

N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS  in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Northern Illinois to cover 

Both these programs are down a notch this season, with West Virginia getting the most trash talk from the pundits. If anyone thinks that West Virginia's proud hoops program will now roll over and die, because of a bad start might be in for a surprise especially opposing betting detractors as HC Huggy Bear is 6-0 ATS L/6 at home as a dog. What Im betting here to happen in Morgantown is that the Mounties will have plenty of fight left in them vs a Kansas program that has not faired well here in the recent past as is evident by a their 1-5 ATS mark here in their L/6 visits. 

KANSAS is 2-11 ATS  after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 2 seasons.W VIRGINIA is 13-3 ATS  in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997. W VIRGINIA is 15-6 ATS  in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Play on West Virginia to cover 

Talk about a huge letdown situation as Syracuse comes home off a huge win vs Duke last time out on the road. Wow. But hey you have to remember that Duke was off a thrilling tight win vs Florida State previous to that  and were flat for that affair vs the Orange in their followup. Now The Panthers who are starting to play much better  go against another emotionally drained team, and could easily spring a ugly upset here, much like Syracuse did to Duke. This Pittsburgh program has also been a cash ATS for their backers going  22-8 ATS in the series, including 5-0 ATS as dogs of 6 or more points and really must not be underestimated in this situational play. Remember the Orange are far from infallible at home as was the case when they lost outright to Georgia Tech as 8.5 point home chalk already this season. 

Take the points here with Pittsburgh to cover 

My own head to head power rankings makes Sacramento State a possible SU upset underdog here at N.Arizona in this big Sky Conference tilt.

Sacramento State are off a heart breaking 72-70 home loss to Idaho State on Saturday, and are now desperate for a win. Sacramento State (6-7, 0-4)  are the lone team in the Big Sky without a conference win,  but are better than their record indicates as the Hornets could just as easily be 3-1 in league play, but thanks to their conditioning and concentration deficiencies the  Hornets have had trouble in the later stages of the second half in three of their conference losses. Note: Sacramento State had a 63-58 lead  slip away with 2:30 remaining vs. Northern Colorado, trailed just, 69-67, with 4:00 left at Montana State, and held a 64-62 lead with 2:38 left this past Saturday vs. Idaho State. Bad Breaks, also played a part, and like all good ad bad runs must come to end eventually which Im betting will be the case again tonight . 

Last season, in these teams' only meeting, Sacramento State held a nine-point halftime lead in Flagstaff before NAU outscored the Hornets by a 40-26 margin on the way to a 58-53 Lumberjack victory. The Hornets missed each of their last five FG attempts,  and did not score during the final 2:18, and watched NAU close the last minute on a 6-0 run. Just a couple breaks here tonight for the bad news Hornets and they will take home a  desperately needed victory and more importantly a cover for us . 

• Sacramento State had been 6-2 prior to the current five-game losing streak, so their not completely futile, and have the edge on this line .Sacramento State's four conference losses have come against four of the top five teams in the Big Sky standings.

HC Katz is 15-6 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games as the coach of SACRAMENTO ST.

N ARIZONA is 14-30 ATS L/44 at home when the line is +3 to -3.

Play on Sacramento State to cover 

Belmont enters the 2018-19 season as one of only six non-Power 5 programs to post a Top 100 RPI each of the last eight seasons and must be respected every time they go to court no matter where the game is taking place. FROM A MATCHUP PERSPECTIVE Belmont according to my power rankings should be -2 favs here on the road vs this top tier Jacksonville State hoops program  and are the superior team. The last time these teams met  last season the Bruins were embarrassed at home by a 83-73 count and now HC Byrd will have team ready for some payback. 

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BELMONT) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 100-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BELMONT) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 25-4 SU L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Belmont to cover 

The Bulldogs are looking for their second MVC win of the season while the Bradley Braves are winless to date in league action. The Bulldogs have won two of the last three meetings between the two teams and are hungry to get back into the win column after a road loss at UNI. With that look for Drake  a good ball moving team and an explosive down town shooting side, that averages 79.2 points per game this season, the highest mark in the Valley and 63rd nationally to be dangerous underdogs vs a struggling side.

BRADLEY is 1-8 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 3 seasons.

BRADLEY is 1-7 ATS  as a home favorite or pick this season.

Drake is 11 -4 ATS on the season, and get the nod again.

Play on Drake to cover 

Evansville is a tough team that plays hard and will not be easily intimidated even though this a transition season, not even here on the road vs very good Missouri State team . It must also be noted that the Purple Aces have only lost one of their L/9 by more than this point spread. They did lose last time out, in a letdown situation after upsetting league leaders Loyola Chicago in a previous game,  but this team has shown resilience especially for their betting backers off of defeat as HC McCarty is 7-0 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of EVANSVILLE. 

MISSOURI ST is 4-15 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Evansville to cover 

Iowa enters this game against Penn State on a 3 game win streak, and Im betting it reaches four after tonight. Whats makes Iowa a up trending team on my power rankings is their ability to play a much better bran of defence than in the past as is evident by at he Hawkeyes  80th overall rankings  in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency, according to KenPom. That’s  up significantly fro their  242nd  ranking last season. Tonight I look for their defence to be the difference maker vs a  Penn State side that is  struggling to score points. The Nittany Lions are the only team to average fewer than 60 points in conference play, and they shot only 36.7 percent from the field in a 71-56 loss against No. 6 Michigan State on Sunday. It must also be noted that visiting Hawkeyes have had  this tilt circled  on their calendars since the two losses they suffered in this series last season and will be primed for payback. Note: Iowa is 6-1 SU L/7 with revenge in this series.Penn State is 0-4 SU/ATS in conference play this season. I know Iowa's  leading scorer  Tyler Cook might not play tonight because of some nagging injuries, but  they got the job done without him vs Northwestern while showing their residence, and tonight they have the guns to get things done again.

Play on Iowa to cover 

Kermit Davis took over a  Ole Miss hoops program in transition, but has surprised with his ability to get the most out of this group especially with what looks to be the best backcourt in the nation, with. Devontae Shuler, Terence Davis and Breein Tyree.  Tonight however, despite of being  undefeated  in SEC play and at home this season, his Rebs will have his hands full, with a LSU Tigers side  that has gotten progressively better after  a  eight-man rotation has been put in place. I have projected one possession game so we have value taking points here with the underdog. 

CBB road team vs. the money line (LSU) - in a game involving two excellent free throw shooting teams (73% or better ), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a good ball handling team (14.5 TO or less ) after 15+ games have won 18 of the L/29 such matchups SU, for a 62% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking in at 3 points per game which gives us value on this line.

Play on LSU to cover 

 No.3 Tennessee won the last meeting between the two programs (84-66 in last year’s SEC Tournament),  and now Arkansas will have some payback in mind. It must be noted that Arkansas has won six of the last seven overall meeting in this series, including each of the last two meetings in Thompson-Boling Arena. From a historical perspective this line is bloated , Note: In the 36 encounters since 1991-92, the average margin of victory in the series is 8.6 points. In 25 of those 36 games, the game was decided by single digits, including 13 games where the margin was five points or less. History does have a way of repeating itself even though these tow teams talent levels and performance are on currently divergent paths.  This season Arkansas is 10-5 with two of the losses coming in overtime and three times Arkansas had the ball with a chance to tie or wins. Arkansas’ five losses have been by 2, 1, 4, 6 and 6 points (3.8 average).Needless to say they are competitive and being slightly underrated here vs a public team. Im betting on them making a game of this , and more importantly getting us the cover a line that should be closer -11.5 according to my data. 

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (ARKANSAS) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off a road win are 52-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Arkansas to cover 

My own projections make Ohio a 5 point fav here, and thus we are getting value with this line.  The last two meetings here between these two programs has seen Ohio win by DDs. Im betting on a Kent State team that loss by a 91-65 score toEastern Michigan on the road last time out to be on the wrong end of the score again. 

OHIO U is 62-39 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick with the average point diff of 5.6 ppg. 

CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (KENT ST) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 3-58 SU  L5 seasons with an average point differential of 19.9 ppg. 

Play on Ohio to cover 

Im not buying into the Jayhawks  preseason hype that had them ranked No. 1 in the AP poll .  I know Kansas has shown flashes of brilliance and are off a  road win at Baylor last time out, but overall they still have showed me their weaknesses when they smoked by Iowa State a couple games back by a 77-60 count.  I can't get that beatdown out of my head, and remember saying to my self wow has this program degenerated. Now enters a revenge minded Longhorns team fresh off a hard fought loss to 15-1 Texas Tech last time out, and brimming with confidence despite of losing .

The Horns  lost to KU twice  last season which is good news for their betting supporters as they are  9-3 ATS as dogs in double revenge mode  and 9-2 overall with revenge overall.  Add to that Texas has done well here on the road going 4-0 ATS run at Allen Fieldhouse  and we have what looks like is a value selection backing the young men from Austin to cover .   

KANSAS is 2-12 ATS off a road win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS is 5-14 ATSin home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Texas to cover 

 Monmouth swept last year's season series vs Siena and match up well vs this  Siena group according to my current power rankings. MU has won four straight regular season games over Siena at the Times Union Center and  and despite of this being 3rd game in 5 nights, are viable cover dogs in this road spot vs their hosts. Monmouth has covered 2 of their L/3 and have been competitive . Meanwhile, Siena off a rare win last time out have recent history of following up their victories with ATS clunkers as is evident by the following trends: Siena 1-8 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons and is 2-11 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

SIENA is 1-8 ATS  versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SIENA is 0-8 ATS  after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SIENA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 4-27 ATS L5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Monmouth to cover 

Duke is off an emotional game against Florida State last time out where they scored late to seal a win vs Florida State. That hard fought effort will have them in a letdown spot, vs a grinding Syracuse team that will try to make this a physical event .  Im obviously not calling for an upset here, but I am betting on the Orange getting us the cover. 

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (SYRACUSE) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off a road win against a conference rival are 52-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Syracuse to cover 

The Ducks  have revenge on board for  a 20-point loss in the semi-finals of the Pac-12 tourney last season, and are desperate for wins as they are just 8-5 on the season, with numerous boosters beginning the cat calls for HC Altmans job after their ugly home loss to Oregon State and than to UCLA  last time out.  The Ducks need this win badly and should play like their hairs on fire vs a  USC side they trail by 3 games. We have revenge and desperation as our allies here in backing Oregon on their own home floor. 

OREGON is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.OREGON is 11-3 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.Altman is 12-4 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less as the coach of OREGON ( which was the case vs UCLA last time out 87-84)

 CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (USC) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 8-32 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Oregon to cover 

This line is bloated according to  my projections. Tulane has covered 3 straight at home and have not lost on their own home floor by more than 4 points in their L/5 overall, and have the capability to cover here today as DD home dogs. No matter what the public perception here, tor the final results we have an edge here with the pup.

Memphis will play its third true road game of the season and is in search of its first win in such contests with losses at LSU (Nov. 13) and Houston (Jan. 6). The Tigers are 1-5 in games played on a road or neutral court this season.

Tulane has flaunted what Dunleavy has called his deepest team since his arrival. Ten of the Green Wave's 12 players to see court time this season average at least 11.5 minutes per game.

CBB Road favorites of 10 or more points (MEMPHIS) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 6-27 ATS for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (TULANE) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (74-78 PPG), after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games are 30-9 ATS L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tulane to cover 

Purdue Fort Wayne is the Summit League's lone undefeated team in conference action at 4-0 while holding a 12-7 overall record, but all good and bad things must eventually come to an end , Im betting this streak does as well here at South Dakota vs a disciplined we'll coached Coyotes group that is committing just 11.7 turnovers per game which ranks them in the top 50 in the nation in that category. 

I know the Coyotes have been suffering with injuries, and are a sub .500 team, but considering how well guys like sophomore Stanley Umude  has played  averaging 19 points and 7.4 rebounds per game over his last five games this team looks better than most might anticipate. 

South Dakota has won the L/4 meetings in this series and gets the nod again here on their own home court. 

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (IUPU-FT WAYNE) - poor defensive team - allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after scoring 85 points or more 3 straight games  are 6-26 SU/ATS L/5 seasons .

Play on South Dakota to cover 

 The Anteaters  come into here to Fullerton looking to get revenge for a s 71-55 beatdown  in the Big West tourney title game last season , a defeat that hurt a great deal because the Titans got to playing the NCAA tournament. Tonight Im betting Cal Irvine get their revenge behind a 5 returning starters that have already earned a 12-4 record on the season and up trending in power rankings.  Note: The Anteaters a re 5-1 -1 ATS L/6 here in this series and have cashed 3 straight SU/ATS with. a.500 or better record in  conference revenge while on the road. 

Play on Cal Irvine to cover 

Houston had their undefeated season come to a screeching halt at Temple last time out and now in a letdown situation will come home and go against a rebuilding Wichita State program with a top tier coach at the helm in Gregg Marshall who would like nothing more than to get revenge for a loss in last seasons AAC tourney.  With that said, the Shockers are 8-0-1 ATS as dogs of more than 9 points under head coach Gregg Marshall and  even though they are on a 3 game losing streak won't be be easily intimidated here , not even against a quality Cougar team. 

Play on Wichita State to cover 

LSU has come a long way in a short period of time and are now  ranked as the AP’s preseason No. 23 team and despite a 11-3 record and 4-0 SU run Im betting will have their hands full with Arkansas here on the road. Its never easy to grab victories in the SEC in on the road, and the Tigers just don't have a record of success when traveling vs conference opposition as is evident by going  just 3-19 SU  in its last 22 SEC away games, which includes losing 7 straight as visitors.   Add to that the  Hogs have revenge on board for 2 losses in this series last season and you have a  home team that will be hungry to take down the visitor here. It must be noted that the last seven times the Razorbacks have hosted the Bayou Bengals here Bud Walton Arena with revenge they  have cashed  7 straight times  ATS. 

LSU is 4-13 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.  ARKANSAS is 7-0 ATS  after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 2 seasons.Anderson is 14-3 ATS  as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997

CBB  home team (ARKANSAS) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or more of their shots are 83-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Arkansas to cover 

This is not a good matchup on paper but I expect Florida's physicality and defence to help them stand tall here and get us the cover vs a top tier Tennessee program. KenPom has the Gators’ defense ranked ninth nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Gators are also ninth in Division I ball with only 60.7 points allowed per contest and have covered 3 straight at home. 

CBB favorite (TENNESSEE) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 7-36 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Florida to cover 

 Texas Tech behind a potent D continues to pile up the wins and are now 14-1 SU on the season with their only loss to powerful Duke. However, from a bettors perspective not all is good with the Techies as they are a bankroll depleting 2-13 ATS L/15 when favored and are just 2-6 ATS L/8 on the road when laying points and overall are on a 1-7-1 ATS run. Texas at 10-5 may have not shown the same potency as their instate rivals, but Im betting they muster up a big effort here this Saturday afternoon vs an opponent that has not won in Austin in  23 years, 0-22 SU. 

TEXAS is 27-13 ATS L/40  in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games and s 16-5 ATS  as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick. 

CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games are 91-48 ATS L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Texas to cover 

Duke is a behemoth opponent and obviously the best in the country. However, because of this they have a huge target on their backs and must almost always play full out because of this. Thus they are not always as fresh as thye need to be because of their strength of schedules and are vulnerable to being upended by a very talented team like the Florida State Seminoles especially here on the road. Duke, will be playing in just its second true road game of the season in a very unfriendly environment. FSU is 13-2, ranked 13th nationally and last year made a run to the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight – the same round in which Duke finished.The Seminoles went toe-to-toe with the Blue Devils in a 100-93 loss in Durham, N.C., last season, and blew Duke out, 93-78, when the two last met in Tallahassee in 2017 and wont be intimidated here in front of a boisterous crowd. Take the points.

Florida State is 3-0 ATS L/3 in this series and 5-0 ATS in the 2nd off back and back home  vs opposition off a SU win. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DUKE) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or more) are 15-43 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Florida State to cover 

Over the its last three games at Gentile Arena, Loyola's offense has fired on all cylinders,registering an average of  78.0 points per game, while hitting 61.5 percent (88-for-143) of its field goal attempts and 46.4 percent (26-for-56) of its three-point tries. This is where thye play their best hoops, and after their ugly clunker against Evansville last time out Im expecting a spirited effort vs Illinois State today and a cover. Note: In its last two meetings with Illinois State, Loyola has held the Redbirds to 55.0 ppg, 36.4 percent (44-for-121) from the field, and 30.9 percent (17-for-55) from long range.

LOYOLA-IL is 17-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 10 ppg. 

Play on Loyola Chicago to cover 

The Wildcats are coming off their most encouraging victory in weeks, a 72-71 win over West Virginia that featured the largest comeback (21 points) in school history and today here in Hilton buoyed by that confidence building win will be very competitive. Meanwhile, Iowa State after a big win vs Kansas last week came out with a clunker in Baylor in their followup and lost straight up, and despite of now being recharged wont find it easy sledding here today. IOWA ST is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS ST is 20-9 ATS in road games after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Kansas State to cover 

Im going to brave here this week and take the points with Clemson.The Tigers lost to the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils in Durham, 87-68.  They committed a lot of turnovers in that game,  but are more than capable of hanging tough here with their ability to be physical under the glass.  They were only rebounded,  by Duke by a 40-36. Clemson is averaging 35.8 rebounds per game, while the Cavs snatch 34.7 per tilt. That Im betting will be huge for them here vs a Cavs side that lives in and dies in transition. When thye teams met in the play offs lat season on a neutral court Clemson lost 64-58 and when thye met in Clemson the season before Virginia eked out a 77-74 win and today Im betting the Tigers get us the cover . Clemson is 2-0 ATS in its last two home games.

Play on Clemson to cover 

The last meeting in this series saw, the Flashes drop a 71-67 decision at home against the Eagles and they now have revenge on board. The Golden Flashes own a balanced lineup of scoring with five players scoring in double-figures and have won 20 of the last 23 games and are not easy outs for any team , and get the nod here getting points.

KENT ST is 60-35 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games since 1997

E MICHIGAN is 17-37 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better since 1997. HC Murphy is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) as the coach of E MICHIGAN.  is 2-9 ATS in all games this season.

Play on Kent State to cover 

This game pairs last year’s regular-season champion in the Horizon League (NKU) vs. the conference tournament champion Raiders, who were also the preseason favorite in this year’s coaches poll. NKU was second.NKU comes in 13-4 overall and 3-1 in Horizon League play, and WSU is 8-9, 2-2. It is a key early game for positioning in the league and Im betting it will be closely contested despite of what is a divergence in records but not head to head talent.  In. physical game look for Loudon Love, a diverse skilled and bulky 6-foot-9, 280-pound sophomore center and  a preseason first team all-Horizon selection, to key to Wright State covering here tonight.

 line according to my projections is off by almost 4 points. True line value here sits at -2.5 favouring Northern Kentucky which suggests according to my data  a one possession game. 

WRIGHT ST is 6-0 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and  is s 7-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

N KENTUCKY is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (WRIGHT ST) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 77-34 ATS L/22 SEASONS FOR A 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Wright State to cover 

Penn State is better than their 7-8 overall record would indicate and were competitive in their  loss at No. 2 Michigan, and  should have beaten Indiana and probably could have upended Maryland in College Park if it were not for a combination of bad calls and some nasty choking. The Lions are talented but in cohesive offensively at time, but are more than capable upending any team in this conference and here tonight as DD pups get my support vs Nebraska side that has lost their first two conference games this season. 

PENN ST is 8-1 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.PENN ST is 12-4 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

PENN ST is 8-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons and 9-1 ATS  after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons and is 6-0 ATS  after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 season.Chambers is 11-2 ATS  after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of PENN ST. 

Play on Penn State to cover 

The Owls have won two straight after defeating Louisiana Tech, 78-66, on Saturday and have momentum entering this game vs UTSA . Rice is connecting on 43.8% from the field and 34.0% from three  and has the ability to compete vs a side that has won 8 of their L/10 games overall. 

RICE is 8-1 ATS  after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.TX-SAN ANTONIO is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Rice to cover 

Kansas State has revenge on board for two ugly losses to West Virginia  last season by 12 points at Manhattan  and 38 in the rematch at Morgantown. The Wildcats lost last week at home to Texas in their home opener, but will be very prepared to revenge those above mentioned losses making them a good team to back here. It must also be noted that Huggins is 8-82-1 ATS in SU conference losses against vs opponents looking for revenge .Weber is 20-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of KANSAS ST.

Play on Kansas State to cover 

Houston, which has won its first 15 games to open the season and is one of only three undefeated teams remaining in the nation, enters Wednesday's game on the heels of a 90-77 win over Memphis on Sunday inside the Fertitta Center.The Cougars are in top 10 nationally in multiple defensive categories, including opponents' field goal percentage (36.2, second), opponents' 3-point field goal percentage (26.4, fifth), and scoring defense (59.2 points per game, seventh).Houston is playing its first road game since Dec. 8, a 10-point victory at Oklahoma State. This version of the Houston hoops program Im betting is a special group, and will be as dangerous on the road as they are at home.Temple and Houston are meeting for the ninth time, with the Cougars holding a 6-2 lead in the series. Houston swept the Owls last season, including an 80-59 victory in Philadelphia and get the nod again.

HOUSTON is 9-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.

HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.Sampson is 18-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins as the coach of HOUSTON.

Play on Houston to cover

Play on Houston to cover 

Vanderbilt according to my power rankings matches up well here in this SEC tilt, and while its never easy winning on the road in this conference very much have an edge and upset possibilities attached to them vs a Georgia team that was annihilated vs Tennessee last time out by a 96-50 count as 13.5 point dogs. It must be noted that  Georgia's HC Crean is 0-7 ATS L/7 after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half in all games he has coached which was the case last time out. Hey folks I know this is a young Vanderbilt group, but they have a kid by the name  of Shittu  who was named the conference's Freshman of the Week who balances a team with alot of chemistry. 

Nine Commodores have scored in double figures in a game so far this season and Vanderbilt's average height is (6 feet, 5 inches) and ranks 17th nationally according to KenPom. 

Play on Vanderbilt to cover 

Oklahoma are off a hard fought win vs instate rivals Oklahoma State last time out  and will now be in a letdown situation against a strong Texas Tech side, that has just one loss this season and that was to Duke in a game that they were very competitive. Texas Tech is a perfect 9-0 this season at home , but just 3-6 ATS thanks to bloated public trap lines associated with their top tier play. But today at around 6 points we have enough value to believe that the RedRaiders have a number that they can cover against. The Red Raiders and Sooners have split the last three seasons with the home team winning the last six matchups (rinse and repeat option is on board here).

Difference maker: Texas Tech’s defense is operating at an all time optimal historic level. It has an adjusted defensive efficiency of 83.5, which includes an astronomical field goal defense. Teams are averaging less 1 point per possession and only one opponent has surpassed 0.9 PPP. 

OKLAHOMA is 2-9 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA is 0-7 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons and is  is 0-6 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. 

TEXAS TECH is 16-7 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 

TEXAS TECH is 17-4 ATS in home games after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread .

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEXAS TECH) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or better ) are  83-43 ATS L/L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Texas Tech to cover 

Purdue's Carsen Edwards, who is leading the Big Ten in scoring at 25.5 points per game comes to town looking to help his Boilermakers upset Big 10 power house Michigan State tonight, and  whether Purdue turns the trick or not Im betting there is value on this line with the  visiting underdog. Note: MICHIGAN ST is 4-14 ATS L/18 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons. 

We all know physical Michigan State is , and how tough they are under the glass,  and Purdue can't match that, but the Spartans have a tendency to run and gun with reckless abandon, and the Boilermakers are a team that can make them pay in transition. PURDUE is 10-2 ATS  vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

injury update: Michigan State  is going to play a third straight games without junior guard Joshua Langford due to an ankle injury . He is a big part of  the Spartans' top tier junior class, as he  averages 15 points per game and will be missed against this type of opponent. 

PURDUE is 9-2 ATS  when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Purdue to cover 

Iowa State is off a huge win vs Kansas last time out, and will now be in a letdown situation here at Baylor tonight.  Iowa State is not a very physical team,which will be an issue in a bad matchup for them here.Quote:Prohm said the Bears "bring a lot of challenges with their physicality and their size upfront, tremendous rebounding team, that's going to be a huge key to the game."END QUOTE.   With that said, Im betting Baylor a side that is holding opponents to 39.6 percent from the field, including 32 percent from 3-point range behind a 4 guard scheme and a complimentary bevy of big men will give the Cyclones fits here . 

IOWA ST is 5-17 ATS L/22 as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick. Baylor is 12-2 SU L/14 overall in this series and 2-0 SU L/2 here at home vs Iowa St.

Play on Baylor to cover 

After setting a school record with 15 MAAC wins a season ago, this year's Griffs kept the winning ways going in conference play last weekend with road wins at Marist and Siena. tonight Im betting the Griffs close out their non conference schedule with another win vs Brown tonight . Note:CANISIUS is 12-2 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and is 13-4 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Canisius to cover 

My matchup stats tell me these teams are pretty evenly matched MAC opponents and Im betting we have value on this line with a underdog that had won 10 straight times prior to a loss vs Ball State last time out and that has revenge on board for a loss they suffered last season to Buffalo that kept them out of post season play. Toldeo has experience with 4 of their 7 top guys back from last year, and must not be underestimated to keep this game close and maybe..... just maybe pull off an upset. 

CBB underdog (TOLEDO) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 112-61 ATS L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Toledo to cover 

South Dakota State is 11-6 overall and 1-1 in Summit League play. The preseason favorites, SDSU has opened league play with three-straight games on the road, concluding with Sunday's contest, and will be on tired legs here vs South Dakota, 7-8 on the season and 1-1 in Summit League play, and fresh off a win vs Denver.

Instate rivals playing different styles of basketball do battle here in a game I have pegged to be closely contested. When tilts like this go down.... records go out the window. 



S DAKOTA is 7-0 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.S DAKOTA is 12-1 ATS in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games since 1997. S DAKOTA is 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.S DAKOTA is 14-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997.S DAKOTA is 7-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.

CBB road team (S DAKOTA ST) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 or better PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) are 53-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on South Dakota to cover

 EKU is pulling down 36 rebounds per game and will give the Racers a run for their money under the basket and in the paint, and must not be under rated in their ability to cover here in enemy territory.

E KENTUCKY is 32-12 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 points/game or less since 1997. E KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS  in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%  or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MURRAY ST is 4-13 ATS  versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (E KENTUCKY) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after a combined score of 165 points or more 2 straight games are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Eastern Kentucky to cover