Wofford sits atop the SoCon standings with a perfect 3-0 league record and is 11-4 overall. The Terriers rank near the top in virtually every conference statistical category but Mercer must not be underestimate in their ability to cover here. Note: Under Coach Bob Hoffman, Mercer has won 203 games over the past 10-plus seasons (2008-09 to present) and are viable program with good work ethic and are never out of a game as has been the case in quite of few of their tilts this season.Team Statistics

WOFFORD is 1-8 ATS in home games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MERCER) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 58-26 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Mercer to cover 

But No. 5 Kansas has owned that Big 12 championship pedigree for 14 consecutive seasons, so Iowa State and despite of up trending and looking very talented are not ready to upend this over powering hoops program just yet as their key weaknesses are just to  blatant  and will not serve them well vs this type of team no. matter how motivated they are.  Some of their problems come with their lack of being able to Draw foul as the Cyclones are a not a very physical team, ranking in the bottom half of the NCAA in offensive free-throw rate. In a game like this charity stripe shooting will be critical and despite of an aggressive run and gun mentality can't sink the downtown shots with consistency as Iowa State attempts an above average number of treys, but rank just 142nd in three-point accuracy at 35 percent.

KANSAS is 15-4 ATS in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS is 8-1 ATS  in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Kansas to cover 

SIU E is playing pretty good basketball at the moment winning 3 straight games, ad despite of having a losing record so far , are up trending and viable underdogs according to my power charts in this tilt vs Eastern Illinois.

SIU EDWARDSVL is 22-10 ATS L/32  in road games in January games .E ILLINOIS is 9-21 ATS L/30 in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. 

Play on SIU Edwardsville to cover 

 The Ramblers know how to win on the road and  have won three straight and seven of their last eight MVC road tilts.Loyola, which through games of January 2 ranked 11th in the nation in scoring defense (59.5 ppg), has limited four straight opponents to fewer than 50 points are a dangerous matchup for Drake, 

LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 3 seasons. LOYOLA-IL is 11-3 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons and is is 9-2 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB road team (LOYOLA-IL) - after allowing 55 points or less 4 straight games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 24-5 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Loyola Chicago to cover 

Indiana State  lost its opener on Wednesday, dropping a 79-44 contest at Loyola. The loss was ISU's second-straight as it finished the non-conference season with a defeat to TCU and enter this game looking a little bit ragged.  I know Bradley has also been inconsistent, but they matchup well vs the Sycamores, and in what is expected to be a close game have an edge behind, the second ranked charity stripe shooting in the MVC and 57th nationally with 313 free throw attempts this season.Bradley ranks 30th in the country with a free-throw rate of 43.1 percent (FTA/FGA), while placing 40th by scoring 22.6 percent of its points from the line.

INDIANA ST is 0-7 ATS  after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Lansing is 0-6 ATS  after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half as the coach of INDIANA ST.

CBB  underdog (BRADLEY) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 248-173 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Bradley to cover 

Oklahoma State has been struggling to this point in the season, while their long time rivals the Sooners are looking like a future tournament team. However, everything goes out the window when these two instate enemies meet and Im expecting the Cowboys to stand tall and get us the cover vs a Sooners side off their first loss in 8 games. that loss was a hard a hard fought physical affair vs Kansas last time out and could easily see this group in a letdown spot here. 

This is the 237th Bedlam meeting, and the Cowboys have taken four of the last five, including the last two.

Note: With its win vs No. 19/21 LSU in November, Oklahoma State racked up its fifth victory over a ranked opponent in its last six opportunities. The Cowboys are one of just five teams in college basketball that can claim to have beaten five of their last six ranked opponents. 

CBB road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA ST) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread against opponent hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread are 62-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

   Cleveland State took 319 free throws through 15 games, a mark that ranks among the top 40 in Division I. It is their ability to get to the charity stripe is what makes them dangerous underdogs in this spot. 

 CLEVELAND ST is 8-1 ATS  in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND ST is 17-4 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.CLEVELAND ST is 6-0 ATS  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.Felton is 18-3 ATS L/21 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in all games he has coached.

Play on Cleveland State to cover 

Fairfield faces the MAAC's top scoring tonight in Iona, which averages 77.8 points per game, after battling the second-highest scoring team in Rider (77.0) on Thursday evening. The Stags currently stand third in the MAAC for scoring average at 71.9 points every forty minutes and have the capabilities to hang here with Iona. 

IONA is 1-9 ATS in all lined games this season.

CBB home team (IONA) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 83-136 for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Fairfield to cover 

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Northern Arizona to cover 

 USF had a 5 game win streak abruptly end last time out vs Santa Barbara 73-71 and will now be in a  letdown situation here after that hard fought loss, and now going against another tough opponent in. St.Marys. This may not be the same kind of potent team that HC Randy Bennett has had in the past but this still must not be under estimated in their ability to pull off an upset and are still ranked No.44 in the KenPom rankings behind one of the slowest and most methodical paces in the league, ,something this version of the Dons will not enjoy playing against. 

Play on St.Marys to cover 

Even though Southern is on the road, they are according to my power ranking strong candidates to pull off an upset here this Thursday night . Yes, I know that Texas  State has looked strong so far this season, behind a  experienced roster, but Im betting they will have their hands full vs a. side that is aiming directly at the giant target on their backs. 

TEXAS ST is 2-10 ATS L/10  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.TEXAS ST is 1-8 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Georgia Southern to cover 

 Green Bay enters the game with a 7-7 overall record and a 1-0 mark in the Horizon League and are according to my numbers not a solid 12.5 point favorite not even vs struggling  Youngstown State. 

CBB team (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (78 or more PPG), after a close loss by 3 points or less are 88-48 ATS L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Youngstown State to cover 

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Cleveland State to cover 

The Wolverines host Penn State on Thursday. Michigan (13-0) is one of four teams nationally that reached New Year's Day undefeated.The Wolverines have won 27 of their last 28 games, with the lone loss coming in last year's national championship against Villanova and their extremely hard to beat at home where they have also won 27 of their L/28 .I know Penn State at 7-6 might not inspire bettors but this line is bloated according to my projections and we have value taking the visitor in what Im betting will be a hard fought conference affair. The public is all over the Wolverines, but as part of a long term go against the public system that has cashed at a 68% clip  for me over a 168 game sample size I recommend we take the points in this spot.

PENN ST is 16-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS  as a home favorite of 10 or more points this season. Beilein is 2-9 ATS in home games after 8 or more consecutive wins as the coach of MICHIGAN.

Play on Penn State to cover 

 After opening Colonial Athletic Association play 2-0 with a pair of home wins last week,  W&Mary have now won  4 of their L/5 games and are currently firing on all cylinders. For the second time this season, freshman Chase Audige was named the CAA Rookie of the Week on Monday. He averaged 16 points, four assists, three rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.5 blocked shots per game, while shooting 60 percent from the field and 66.7 percent from 3 last week and will be a difference maker here this evening vs inconsistent Delaware side.

Defense has been a key to W&M's 2-0 start in CAA play. In league action, the Tribe ranks second in defensive efficiency (101.8), turnover rate (20.4) and 3-point percentage (30.3).

WM& MARY has won and covered 4 straight games in this series.

WM & MARY is 21-8 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite .WM & MARY is 33-14 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots.

Shaver is 11-3 ATS in road games after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers as the coach of WM & MARY.

Play on William Mary to cover 

The Raiders, 7-8 and 1-1, dropped the Horizon League opener to UIC in overtime 75-72 before bouncing back to defeat IUPUI 72-64 Sunday afternoon and enter this game with momentum as  they go against the Detroit Mercy Titans (5-9 ) a side that won twice last week at Youngstown State 78-66 and at Cleveland State 73-61 to open their Horizon League schedule after dropping the final six non-conference games. UDM was tabbed to finish tenth in the pre-season Horizon League poll under first-year head coach Mike Davis and according to my head to matchup stats do not matchup well vs the Raiders.

Wright State is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series.

DETROIT is 11-26 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more.

Play on Wright State to cover 

 As it has numerous times this season,  a young but talented Mercer battled back from a double digit deficit to position themselves for a big comeback victory only to come up short in losing 71-67 to Harvard in a neutral site game played Dec. 28 at Atlanta's State Farm Arena. Mercer has been very competitive despite of a negative record and must be respected here as dogs , Yes even against a Furman team that has been one of the most impressive teams in the SoCon thus far this season.

MERCER is 11-2 ATS  versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season.MERCER is 11-3 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Mercer to cover 

Illinois Im betting has the ability to make life rough for a top shelf Indiana hoops program in this tilt that to their ability to play a strong brand of pressure defence that eads the Big Ten in forcing turnovers (18.4 per game). Meanwhile Indiana leads the Big Ten in committing turnovers (14.5 per game). I know Illinois will not inspire bettors, but there is actually line value here with Illinois and this I'm recommending we take the points in this conference matchup. 

Play on Illinois to cover 

Utah State is off to its best start under a first-year head coach in school history as Craig Smith has led the Aggies to a 10-3 record over their opening 13 games. They will have their hands full with undefeated Nevada tonight, but this number Im betting is slightly bloated giving us an edge with a value line to buy into.Utah State has held four opponents to their lowest shooting percentages of the year, including Saint Mary's (.290), Northern Iowa (.310), Alabama State (.207) and Houston (.317) and  have scored more points in the paint than its opponents in all but two games this season and this combo of hard working traits Im betting will  make them competitive in this road game . 

Utah State leads the Mountain West in nine statistics, including scoring defense (64.8), scoring margin (+16.5), free throw percentage (.764), field goal percentage defense (.359), rebounding offense (42.4), rebounding margin (+11.6), assists (16.2), defensive rebounds (31.4) and defensive rebound percentage (.786).

Play on Utah State to cover 

This Air Force team is very under rated in my humble opinion and  have more height, inside scoring ability and quickness than any other group HC Pilipovich has coached. Air Force has played Michigan , Villanova, North Carolina , and Colorado, and despite of losing all by DDs, did not look out of place and looked pretty good to me. Now against less formidable competition in New Mexico on their own home court Im betting their ready to compete and grab a win to open up Mountain West Conference play. Note: New Mexico's Key transfer JaQuan Lyle is out for the season with an Achilles injury and former McDonald’s All-American Carlton Bragg wasn’t cleared by the NCAA until mid-December.

AIR FORCE is 6-0 ATS  in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.AIR FORCE is 12-3 ATS  in all home games over the last 2 seasons.

Weir is 0-7 ATS  versus struggling  pressure defensive teams - forcing 12or less turnovers/game as the coach of NEW MEXICO. Pilipovich is 26-16 ATS as a home underdog or pick as the coach of AIR FORCE.

Play on Air Force to cover 

Tulsa at 10-3 and Houston at 13-0 are two teams that must be respected. Im sure Tulsa however, is feeling disrespected by this line. TU has won five straight games and is coming off a 69-59 win over Oral Roberts on Dec. 22 at the Mabee Center. 

  The Canes  lost to Nevada by 10, and on the road to Utah by 5, and have not lost any of their games by this margin this season, and Im betting they cover again vs a good but slightly over rated Cougars team. Snapping  Houston's 26-game home winning streak, which currently is the longest in Division I does not look viable but as far as Im concerend covering does look like a solid opportunity.

TULSA is 6-0 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

TULSA is 14-5 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Tulsa to cover 

Harvard  must not be underestimated in their ability to cover here vs a North Carolina hoops program as they returned 99.4 percent of its scoring and 99.0 percent of its minutes from last year's squad, which captured the program's sixth Ivy League championship and made its second-ever appearance in the NIT. Showcasing its depth, 10 different Harvard players have started a game in 2018-19 and 11 players are averaging at least nine minutes per game. Im betting they compete and play hard here and use their top tier IQs to make sure mistakes are kept to a minimum.Note: Harvard is 8-4 against ACC teams in the Tommy Amaker era.Note: HARVARD is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. 

HARVARD is 6-0 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons and  is 7-0 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better  with a defense of 42%  or less over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 15-3 ATS L/18 in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season. 

Harvard to cover 

St.Johns enters this game against Marquette of their first loss of the season vs Seton Hall last time out. But it was a fragrant ugly  call that gave them that loss. The Conference admitted that officials made a erroneous call when an inadvertant whistle led to Seton Hall getting the ball down one with 3.1 seconds left on the game clock. Shavar Reynolds' 3-pointer beat the buzzer and delivered St. John's its first defeat of the season. Now with a chip on their shoulder St.Johns looks to rebound, and notch a win. I know the Golden Eagles have won eight straight games overall but this is just their second true road game of the season -- their last road game ended in a blistering behind the wood shed  96-73 beatdown by Indiana back on Nov. 14.The Red Storm and Golden Eagles split the season a year ago, with each team winning on it's own court and Im betting the host has the edge again. 

 MARQUETTE is 0-7 ATS  in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. 

MARQUETTE is 1-8 ATS  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARQUETTE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are just 34-76 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.John's to cover 

 The Matadors head into the 2019 year on a season-high three-game winning streak after beating Morgan State 94-86 last Saturday and owns one of the top offenses in the conference, CSUN leads the Big West in points per game (78.2), field goals made per game (29.3), field goal percentage (48.5) and assists per game (16.9). On the defensive side, the Matadors are tops in the Big West in steals per game (6.7) and blocks per game (4.8) and have the capability of hanging tough here as underdogs vs San Diego State .

Matadors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Matadors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Matadors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 10-1 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 44-23 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on CS Northridge to cover 

North Colorado (7-5) has won their L/2 visits to take on  Portland State (5-6) and 3 in row SU/ATS and get the nod again. Both sides have been inconsistent but according to my power rankings NC has the edge by -4 or more. 

N COLORADO is 11-2 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots.PORTLAND ST is 4-14 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Play on N.Colorado to cover 

The Idaho Vandals won the lone meeting last season, defeating the Weber State Wildcats, 68-62, in Ogden and has won the L/2 meetings overall. I know Idaho is slumping having lost 5 straight, but the home team has been a solid bet in the recent past when these teams have played and Im betting the hosts grabs the cheese again. 

Wildcats are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.Wildcats are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Sky.Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

Verlin is 30-18 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) as the coach of IDAHO.

CBB underdog (IDAHO) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 243-167 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors.

Montana State has proven in the recent past not to travel well as their   2-14 SU record in its last 16 games on the road would indicate. According to my matchup stats their run of visitor futility will continue today at Northern Arizona.

MONTANA ST is 3-13 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. N ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. 

N ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons.N ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons

Montana State is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Northern Arizona.

Play on N.Arizona to cover 

The Oral Roberts men's basketball team will travel to Omaha to kick off Summit League play Sunday against the Mavericks and despite of being underdogs matchup well here vs Nebraska Omaha according to my line projections.Omaha has used the same starting lineup in 11 of the 14 games entering Sunday's game and because of this will start becoming more cohesive as this season progresses. ORU is 14th in the nation in total rebounds with 537, and 38th in the nation in total assists with 206 and their tenaciousness under the basket Im betting will be the difference maker in us covering today. 

CBB NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18  or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 1-8 ATS ( versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Oral Roberts to cover 

My projections make Northestern a 8 to 8.5 point favourite here and with this much deviation on the line, Ill recommend we take the points. 

NORTHEASTERN is 5-13 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

Coen is 11-25 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of NORTHEASTERN and is 11-21 ATS  as a home favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of NORTHEASTERN.

Play on Delaware to cover 

Lipscomb climbed to 32nd in the latest NCAA NET Rankings. Liberty (64) is the next highest ASUN squad.The Bisons came in ranked ninth in this week’s CollegeInsider.com Mid-Major Top 25 poll, and remained 11th in the SB Nation Mid-Major Madness poll.Dating back to last season, Lipscomb has won 17 of its last 21 games. In that span they are 7-2 in road games and must not be underestimated in their abilities to upset  a top tier Clemson  side here in Little John behind a offence that is averaging a  ASUN-best 87.3 PPG, which ranks 10th nationally . Lipscomb also leads the conference in free throw percentage (77.4%), assists per game (18.7), steals per contest (8.3), field goal percentage defense (40.5%), assist-turnover ratio (1.49) and defensive rebounds per game (28.58).

Play on Lipscomb to cover 

The  NAU Lumberjacks played eight of their 10 non-conference games on the road and will be playing their first game in seven days following an eight-day, three-game road trip , but now well rested are fresh enough to make this a closer game the linesmakers are estimating vs a good but over rated Montana side. 

I know the Lumberjacks are on a losing streak, but in the recent  past N ARIZONA has proven resilient in their ability to be competitive when in a slump as  is evident by their  8-1 ATS  record after 5 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.Murphy is 32-16 ATS  versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season as the coach of N ARIZONA.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season 131-77 L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on N.Arizona to cover 

 Instate rivals Kentucky and Louisville meet at the KFC Yum! Center where the Cardinals will be hell bent on getting revenge  for a 90-61 behind the shed spanking in Lexington last season.The Cards new head COACH  Chris Mack formerly at Xavier was a strong underdog in  non- division matches cashing 27 of 38 times . With the Cards playing their best hoops at home where they are  8-0 SU this season Im betting on them being extremely competitive here and if they lose they will still cover.

KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS  in road games after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KENTUCKY) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are 33-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover 

Xavier (8-5 ) has owned this series of late and has won eight straight over the Blue Demons and wins in 11 of the last 12 meetings. XU is 10-1 vs. DePaul (8-3) since the two teams became BIG EAST rivals in the 2013-14 season and Im betting they have the edge again here tonight according to my power rankings and system vs system matchup stats. Note:The Musketeers are 4-1 in BIG EAST Conference openers.

XAVIER is 11-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DEPAUL is 73-101 ATS in home games against conference opponents since 1997.

Play on Xavier to cover 

According to my power ranking estimations Missouri should only be 13 point favs here, thus giving 1 possession value with Morehead State. I know Missouri (8-3) has won five straight , however Morehead state coach  Spradlin is familiar with SEC basketball having spent five seasons on head coach John Calipari's staff at Kentucky and will Im betting devise a game plan to keep his team competitive here. Note:Morehead State ranks second in the Ohio Valley Conference in offensive rebounds. The Eagles pull down 13.1 boards off the offensive glass, and the Eagles also rank second in offensive rebounding percentage at .327. This is key to them keeping Missouri honest today and giving us an edge on the line.

Play on Morehead State to cover 

A gritty defensive performance buoyed Butler to a 61-54 win over Florida Nov. 23 in the final contest of the 2018 Battle 4 Atlantis on Paradise Island, Bahamas, which proved to me how well Butler matches up vs Florida. Only two of Butler's 12 opponents this season have scored more than 70 points as the Bulldogs' defense is allowing only 63.5 points per game on average, which is the stingiest mark in the BIG EAST and Top 35 nationally. Butler has now covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting that their tough defence will get them the cover again.

Play on  Butler to cover 

My own projections estimate that this line is bloated and that we have value with the visitor here. Loyola Marymount is off to fast start and looking good but this UC Davis side has a top tier championship coach on the sidelines and will not allow his team to be easily intimidated. 

Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.Aggies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Aggies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.Aggies are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss.Les is 11-2 ATS  after 3 straight games with 31 or less rebounds as the coach of CAL DAVIS. 

LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 44-70 ATS  as a home favorite or pick since 1997 with the average point differential over that 114 game sample size clicking in at 3.1 ppg. HC Dunlap is 0-8 ATS  in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game as the coach of LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT and he is 9-20 ATS as a home favorite or pick as the coach of LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT.

Play on UC Davis to cover 

Oakland has won six of the last eight contests against the Vikings including its last three games inside the Wolstein Center.

CBB home team (CLEVELAND ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an terrible defensive team (47.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 57-100 ATS L/21 seasons for go against 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Oakland to cover 

The Tribe has played one of the toughest schedules in the country. According to the NCAA's new NET rankings, W&M's schedule currently ranks 65th in the country, and are very prepared for their rivals James Madison tonight.The Tribe has won nine of the last 11 games vs. JMU, including both last season and the nod to win and cover again.The Tribe has turned the ball over 10 or fewer times in each of the last five games, averaging just 8.8 miscues per contest during that stretch and Im also betting their discipline will be the difference maker vs JMU this evening.

Dukes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Dukes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Tribe are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Colonial Athletic Association.Tribe are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Tribe are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game.Tribe are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Tribe are 37-13-2 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up loss.Tribe are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Tribe are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.Tribe are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.

Play on William Mary to cover 

Huskies are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games overall and my projections estimate they are not a solid favorite here vs a side like Drexel. 

DREXEL is 11-3 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NORTHEASTERN is 5-16 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997. 

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DREXEL) - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 69-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Drexel to cover 

Detroit has owned this series vs  4-9 Youngstown State as is evident by their 11-0 SU record in the L/11 meetings .Detroit Mercy's finished its non-conference schedule at just 3-9, but should not be underestimated as it was one of the toughest in the country with nine road games and teams posting a 90-53 (62.9%) record so far.The schedule was featured as the 14th hardest by ESPN's BPI standard in a recent article released on Dec. 17. That rough and tumble schedule will have them very ready to compete in this Horizon league opener. 

Play on Detroit Mercy to cover

DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

My own line makes Rhode Island a 2.5 point favorite which according to projections makes Hawaii playing here in their own back yard as solid underdog choices here on a value line  today. 

Hawaii outlasted Colorado in OT yesterday and lost their  tourney opener to UNLV. Meanwhile Rhode Island lost to Bucknell in their opener and beat Charlotte yesterday. 

Note:

Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.Rams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.Play on the Hawaii Warriors to cover 

Play on Hawaii to cover 

DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC - Round 2 - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

 The Hawaii Warriors  are in a bounce back situation from a  disappointing 73-59 loss to UNLV in their last outing. I know home court advantage did not help the Warriors last time out, but this is a team that thye matchup well against from a system vs system power rankings  team vs team power ranking comparison chart  that  I use. 

COLORADO is 8-20 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 4-14 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons

COLORADO is 0-6 ATS  in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 over the last 3 seasons and is 0-6 ATS ( in road games in December games over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 1-10 ATS  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO is 2-13 ATS  in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Hawaii to cover 

Cornell's bench has outscored its opponents' reserves in all 11 games this season and 15 straight contests dating back to last year and Im betting they will be the difference makers here tonight vs SMU. Cornells Senior guard Matt Morgan enters the week among the national leaders at 23.1 ppg. while adding 4.8 rpg., 2.7 apg., 1.2 spg. and 0.5 bpg. This guy looks dangerous and must also be respected a difference maker. 

CORNELL is 7-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.CORNELL is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Cornell to cove r

With the final two games of the Continental Tire Las Vegas Classic played inside Orleans Arena, the Aggies will have a slight advantage over their opponents as they own an 18-2 overall record when playing games there since the WAC moved its conference tournament to Orleans Arena in 2011. Drake is a good team, but New Mexico state advances and cover for us today in this tourney game.

CBB Neutral court teams (DRAKE) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season are 46-87 L/5 seasons for a go against  66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Mexico State to cover 

No. 17 Mississippi State is coming off a scare against dangerous Wofford on Wednesday night  and heading into Saturday's game against Wright State in Jackson, Miss and will now be wide awake for this tilt. At 10-1 Mississippi State .The Bulldogs have shot 53.2 percent from beyond the arc in their last four games and that why they are so dangerous and viable DD favs here vs a good but over rated Wright State team that is in over their heads here  and 0-5 on the road this season.The Raiders are the third non-conference opponent that Mississippi State has faced from the State of Ohio on the season. MSU has already defeated Dayton (66-58 on 11/30) and Cincinnati (70-59 on 12/15).

WRIGHT ST is 3-11 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons

MISSISSIPPI ST is 7-0 ATS  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (MISSISSIPPI ST) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 373-247 L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Miss State to cover 

Mississippi State to cover 

Under fourth-year head coach Eric Musselman, the Wolf Pack has gone 48-5 at Lawlor Events Center, including a 37-2 record in its last 39 home games.

Even more impressive is that no out-of-conference interlopers have been able to pick up a single win in Reno in the last four seasons. Under Musselman, Nevada is a perfect 26-0 in non-conference home games. While those numbers are impressive, Im more interested in what Im betting is a bloated line, that gives us value on the under rated visitors. It must be noted that Overall, Akron’s four losses this season  have come by a combined 12 points.

Note:Nevada might be without its best 3-point shooter, Jazz Johnson, because of a concussion. If he dresses he will be less than 100% and could see limited playing time. 

NEVADA is 2-12 ATS L/14 as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points .

Play on Akron to cover 

The Tenn Martin Skyhawks (5-4) are coming off back-to-back wins, including an exhilarating 75-72 win over in-state rival Chattanooga on Tuesday and have momentum heading into this tilt vs an explosive Fresno State hoops team. Im betting we have value here with the underdog.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (FRESNO ST) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (FRESNO ST) - after 3 straight wins by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 12-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tenn Martin to cover 

The game is on the heels of a tough loss to another former MWC foe, UNLV. The Cougars' late comeback fell short with the Rebels' taking a dramatic 92-90 overtime win. The loss ended BYU's three-game winning streak put forth after taking a humiliating 113-103 loss to Weber State Dec. 1. According to my power rankings Im betting BYU bounces back here vs a side they matchup well against. 

Play on BYU to cover 

Green Bay will make the trip to Evansville for the first time since December 5, 1988, but will be looking for its third-straight win in the series.Green Bay's pressure defense continues to force teams into bad passes and turnovers, having now forced double-figure turnovers in every game this season. GB ranks 24th in the NCAA in turnovers forced, averaging 17.3 forced per game. Been Bay is even better when measuring turnover margin, ranking 15th in the NCAA with a 4.9-1 turnover margin.   The turnovers and steals have the Phoenix, ranked 11th in the NCAA with 107 steals this season.Here against Evansville, Im betting their ability to cause havoc will be key in a cover. 

WI-GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% ormolu of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. WI-GREEN BAY is 12-4 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

WI-GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 2 seasons. 

WI-GREEN BAY is 14-3 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.  

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WI-GREEN BAY) - after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Wisconsin GB to cover 

The Pacific Tigers improved to 9-4 after snatching a hard fought 79-77 victory at Cal State Northridge last Sunday. This is a hard working team, that plays all out but are well rested. so their energy levels Im betting will be sky high here.  CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PACIFIC) - after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Boise State has a good hoops program but from a bettors perspective they have not faired well vs top tier competition as is evident by this following trends that shows BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.BOISE ST is also a lowly 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons and are fade material against a hot well rested team on a 4 game win streak. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

No 11/12 Florida State, which has won five consecutive games, travels to play Saint Louis in the 2018 Metro by T-Mobile Orange Bowl Classic on Saturday. St.Louis is a fine team, but this is their toughest test of the season, and could make this game interesting but as we closer to the finish line Im betting Florida State will pull away for a cover.No. 11 Florida State owns a 7-2 record in nine previous Orange Bowl Classic appearances and enters the 2018 Classic having won seven of their last eight games with victories . Add one more those numbers today and a cover. 

Play on Florida State to cover 

Northern Iowa enters Saturday's match riding a two-game losing streak and has lost its last five contests vs. Division I opponents. They just don't seem to have that extra bit of energy it takes to notch wins which is uncharacteristic of a Ben Jacobson team. My own projections suggest that N.Iowa does not matchup well against this type of team, and should be closer to 4 point chalk here, thus giving us value on this slightly bloated line. 

N IOWA is 4-17 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more  with a defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons.N IOWA is 6-25 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. 

N IOWA is 0-8 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on N.Dakota to cover 

USC has lost four consecutive games for the first time since the 2017 season, and will be primed to take care of business tonight in a convincing manner. 

USC is 17-3 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on USC to cover 

I look for a key element when Im backing big DD underdogs and that is their ability to convert at a high level of their shots and in particularly their ability to sink from beyond the arc. Note: DU is shooting 44.7 percent from the field on the year.
• Denver is also hitting 3s at a good rate, ranking second in the Summit League in 3-point percentage at 39.7 and 20th in the country. Gonzaga is a big time time program, and we all know how explosive they can be, and supporting them comes at a hefty line cost. With that said,Im betting we have the value you needed to get the cover here this evening.

Play on Denver to cover 

After 16 years working as the head basketball coach at Middle Tennessee State, the first-year Ole Miss coach will return to Tennessee on Friday to face off against his former team. He will back looking to make an impression and prove hes not showing favouritism . Note: MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and is  0-7 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS in non-conference games this season. MISS is 7-0 ATS as a favorite this season.

Play on Ole Miss to cover 

Play on Towson to cover 

Monmouth is playing its first game in 12 days dating back to December 8th at Albany and should be ready to compete vs a very good Yale team here . I know Monmouth is a ugly 0-11 SU on the season, but because of this this....  the line is a  little bit tainted and we now have value with the home side. 

Hawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games following three or more consecutive road gamesBulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Metro Atlantic Athletic.CBB A home team vs. the money line (MONMOUTH) - after 8 or more consecutive losses, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season are 31-25 SU L/5 seasons.

Take the points with Monmouth 

The Hilltoppers are off a rare 87-81 at home to Troy on Dec. 16, snapping a streak of eight straight wins for WKU inside E.A. Diddle Arena .  Meanwhile, Belmont is coming off a huge 74-72 road win at UCLA on Saturday and could easily be in a letdown spot. Public money  is all over this one with Belmont. I like the situation and the opportunity to fade the public here. 
 

W KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS   after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.W KENTUCKY is 13-5 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

Stansbury is 16-6 ATS   after scoring 80 points or more as the coach of W KENTUCKY.Byrd is 3-11 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders as the coach of BELMONT. 

Play on W.Kentucky to cover 

The Seahawks, 4-7, visit former Colonial Athletic Association rival Georgia State, 7-4. The Seahawks has lost three in a row to high-profile opponents, including last Saturday's setback at nationally-ranked Furman. But those games will have them ready to compete here vs this type of  versatile  opponent in Georgia State. 

Take the points herewith the NC Wilmington 

Eastern Washington hosts a strong Jackrabbits team that are 9-4 following last Saturday's 72-68 loss at unbeaten Nevada (11-0). Im betting after that  hard fought loss that South Dakota State will be a in natural letdown situation, vs a  struggling team that Im sure their overlooking. 

E WASHINGTON is 24-10 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread 

Play  on E.Washington to cover 

UT Chatanooga enter this game off a 20 point loss to Mississippi last time out, and will now be in a letdown spot after playing a superior SEC team that Im sure they were pumped to play against. In the past when Chat has been blown out they have not faired well  in their followup as is evident by going just 0-10 ATS  after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is 0-8 ATS  after a loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

UT Martin is a perfect 4-0 at home during the 2018-19 campaign and  get the nod again to win and more importantly cover in this spot behind a lineup that  boast six players who average double-figures in the scoring column while six different UT Martin players have led the team in scoring through the season's first eight games.

Play UT Martin to cover 

The Murray State Racers (7-1) look to extend their 13-game home winning streak when they welcome the Evansville Purple Aces (5-5) into the CFSB Center. I know we have to lay DDs here with the Racers, but they have this line right, and actually short on it in my humble opinion.The Racers lead the OVC in blocked shots (5.9 per game), field goal percentage defense (.351, which is second in all of NCAA D-I), 3-point percentage defense (.205, first in the nation) and scoring defense (56.5ppg, fifth in the country). Last week in wins over Southern Illinois and Jackson State, the Racers only gave up seven 3-pointers in 80 minutes of basketball. Domination is the name of the game here tonight at home in front of their own alumni. 

Play on the Murray State to cover 

Both these teams have shown flashes of brilliance this season, and both have looked a little tepid in their play of late. But according to my power rankings they matchup very well against each other in a game that could easily be a pickem.

 BU has lost 3-of-4 after a 6-1 start and  is 7-4 during the 2018-19 season with a 1-2 road record. The Braves did win their last road game with a 68-62 victory at Little Rock on Dec. 4.  Meanwhile, Georgia Southern enters the game with a 7-3 record in 2018-19. The Eagles have lost three of their last five after a 5-0 start.

The last time these teams mets Bradley held a Eagles team that was averaging 83.5 points per game to just 57 in a five-point victory.  Right now Georgia Southern  run and guns just the opposite of the Braves, averaging 89.7 points per game but allowing 76.7. In 11 games, the Braves have learned they will only go as far as their defense takes them.In its seven wins, Bradley is allowing only 61.4 points per game.  That what Im betting on here being key to us getting the cover. DEFENCE. Just like ion last seasons victory. 

Bradley is 15-8 all-time against current members of the Sun Belt Conference.

Take the points with Bradley to cover 

Xavier, 7-4, is coming off a 95-77 win over Eastern Kentucky on Saturday at Cintas Center. Xavier shot 71.4 percent (35-of-49) from the field, the highest single-game effort by any team in the nation so far this season and roll in this game with a fullhead of steam and momentum on their sides here in Missouri Tuesday night. Xavier has had  faired well against current teams in the Southeastern Conference despite its 88-79 overtime loss to No. 8 Auburn on Nov. 19 at the Maui Invitational. XU is 19-6 in its last 25 games against nine different current SEC members dating back to 2008 and get the nod again in a positive matchup situation.

MISSOURI is 6-20 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1997.

Play on Xavier to cover 

Drexel enters the game averaging more than 82 points per contest, tops in the Colonial Athletic Association. All five starters average at least 10 points and are a dangerous side, even against a team like UConn that is over rated because of consistent wins vs mid major teams, but is still not back to being a national championship contender just yet  . According to my projections we have alot of value here on a bloated DD line based on false assumptions. 

Play on Drexel to cover 

 Valpo is off defeating George Washington in Washington, D.C. by an 82-79 final and have momentum entering this game. Note: Valpo enjoyed its second strong shooting performance in the last three games, hitting at a 53.6% clip (30-of-56) from the field.

The two hoops programs have matched up nine times over the last 12 seasons,  and Valpo has  won the last five matchups on its home court against the Cardinals and get the nod again according to my power rankings and projections.

Valpo posted a 10-4 record at home last year, its eighth consecutive season reaching double figures in home victories

- Valpo has recorded a 60-9 (.870) mark in home games since the start of the 2014-15 season.

- Over the last 23 years, Valpo owns a 295-65 (.819) record on its home court at the ARC.

BALL ST is 1-8 ATS off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. BALL ST is 25-62 ATS  L/ 87 off a road loss by 10 points or more.BALL ST is 2-9 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.BALL ST is 4-13 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better.

Play on Valparaiso to cover 

The Deacons after being off for 10 days for exams are fresh and ready to  play a Davidson team Monday night that should rank as the best team Wake Forest has played this season.Before the break in a DD win, Wake Forest held Charlotte to a 3-for-18 clip from beyond the arc, a season-best in 3s made and in percentage allowed (16.7 percent). Davidson  is a trey heavy group  , with 47.6 percent of its shots coming from behind the arc. Im betting the Deacons ability to limit them will the difference maker here this evening. 

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DAVIDSON) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots are 12-40 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

CSUN is coming off of a ugly loss at San Diego, which halted a two game win streak for the Matadors.They are 3-6 overall, which includes a 1-3 home record. Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Pacific team on a 3 game winning streak.

CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 55-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

CBB Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 1-44 L/5 seasons for a go against   98% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking in at 9.8 ppg. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

at T-Mobile Arena - Las Vegas, NV

After losing  to No. 24 Houston in its last outing, the LSU has to adjust to a aa different style of play here tonight  vs St.Mary's.(Saint Mary’s) runs a European-style offense, as they use alot of guard screen action, with a lot of different cutting actions. Im betting this poses some problem for the Tigers.Ford, the Gaels’ leading scorer at 22.5 points per game, is hitting 51.5 percent from the field and makes 44.0 percent of his shots from beyond the 3-point arc and will be key here.As a team, Saint Mary’s is connecting on 49.7 of its field-goal attempts and shoots 39.1 percent from 3-point range.  Bottom line, this is a tough turnaround situation for LSU after playing Houston, and a slow start here could doom them here, or at least give us a very viable opportunity for us to get a cover here. 

Play on St.Marys to cover 

The Sooners enter this game against USC with a 8-1 start all out of conference wins, using defence rather than offence to get the job sone. The Sooners are coming off one of their best defensive performances in recent seasons , holding Wichita State to 48 points on 15-of-62 (.242) shooting their last time out, and has held its opponent to 60 or fewer points four of its last six games and are well prepared to face the Trojans are with momentum on their sides. Oklahoma’s defense has been especially dominate late in the game. In OU’s eight victories, its opposition are shooting a combined 30.1 percent (20.5 percent from 3)  in the last 15 minutes of the game, giving me confidence in the Sooners ability to finish this tilt strong and get us the cover   .The Sooners are 5-0 against Pac-12 opponents during the Lon Kruger era and they get the nod again and im more importantly the cover.

OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS  as a favorite this season with he point diff clicking in at 15.8 ppg this season.

HC Enfield is 1-8 ATS   in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of US and is 10-21 ATS   when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) as the coach of USC with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.6 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma to cover 

Eastern Illinois currently in top form looks to win its third straight game as the Panthers visit Bradley. The Braves 7-3 might have a winning record, but Im not overly impressed by them , and according to my projections are being over rated by the linesmakers here on the opening line.  Bradley stopped a two game losing streak to Arkansas LR last time out, but had to come from behind to do it. Note: BRADLEY is 6-18 ATS after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half and  is just  3-11 ATS on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Eastern Illinois to cover 

at Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN

On Saturday, Butler (7-2) takes on No. 25 Indiana (8-2) in the Crossroads Classic.

This seasons Indiana team is much better than last years team and have already notched 4 top 50 kenpom victories. They have three straight victories over quality competition, and have a lot to prove here, on a national stage and Im betting they're up to it. Im also betting the difference will come at the charity stripe. Hey I know the Hoosiers have been highly inconsistent with their Its , but  they still own a top-80 free throw rate despite making just 63.6 percent of their freebies. Meanwhile, Butler is ranked in the 260s in both offensive and defensive free throw rate. Look for Indiana to convert a fairly high percentage of the free throws and snatch a superior advantage at the charity stripe.

BUTLER is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons and  is 4-12 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better) over the last 2 seasons.

 Butler's  had an explosive performance at home last time out, with 95-68 rout of visiting Northern Illinois on Dec. 8. , but a regression should be expected bossed on recent top their efforts  as they are 1-10 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.BUTLER is  also 0-6 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons and is 0-8 ATS  in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB  underdog vs. the money line (BUTLER) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 4-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

UIC will play a road game in essentially their own neighbour hood  when the Flames travel less than three miles to take on the DePaul Blue Demons .The Flames won as guests at McGrath-Phillips Arena in Lincoln Park on Dec. 14, 2016, 80-75 and must not be underestimated tonight. UIC has already beaten instate rivals Bradley (Nov. 17) and Illinois State (Dec. 5) earlier this season at Credit Union 1 Arena.The Cardinals have not played since Dec. 9 at LSU and will be on fresh legs here and very ready to compete. 

IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS  in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.IL-CHICAGO is 20-7 ATS  when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Illinois Chicago to cover 

The Tigers are 7-2 after a 91-50 home win over Incarnate Word, while Houston comes in 8-0 after a 63-53 road win over Oklahoma State. The pundits look like their in love with the Cougars, and Im not  doubting how good of a team they have, Im just betting this line is bloated and will be bet down by sharp money quickly and Im on board. Note: Houston’s strength of schedule is currently ranked 350th out of 353 teams in Division I.

HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS  off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Play on LSU to cover 

Portland State  is  4-1 under HC Barret Peery dating back to last season vs  West Coast Conference.  BYU 7-4 on the season, is a tough place to play, for visiting sides, and I doubt that the Vikings can win out right here, but catching this many points is good value considering my projections  make this a 9.5 true value point spread. 

PORTLAND ST is 15-6 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND ST is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

BYU is 1-8 ATS  after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Portland State to cover 

Both these teams have played competitive basketball this season, via two contrasting styles.

The Eagles (5-2 against the spread) shot 38.5% on 3s in their latest win over Mercer last time out. Im always on the quest for hot behind the arc shooting teams when Im looking for a  DD cover, and they fit the bill. 

According to my line projections this line  should be closer to 9 point favourites, and offers us value with the visiting dog. 

Play on G.Southern to cover 

LBSU returns a pair of All-Big West honorees from a season ago. Both Yussuf and Booker were Honorable Mention All-Big West selections and are key members on a team that must not be disrespected, despite of their losing record so far this season .  I know Pacific has played well of late, and 7-4 this season and boast a solid 5-1 home record, but I have to stick to my power ranking assessments that say this game should be closer to a 3 point line favouring Pacific thus giving us value backing Long Beach State. 

Play on Long Beach St to cover 

 Marshall is off a hard fought 75-74 loss to Toledo last time out at home and will now be in a letdown spot here in the followup tilt Note: MARSHALL is 7-18 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less .

Play on Morehead State to cover 

at Talking Stick Resort Arena - Phoenix, AZ

Nevada (9-0) is off to its best start in school history and is currently 5-0 during a six-game road trip, with 25 days between home games. Thanks to this big time start, they are being made hefty DD chalk in a neutral court environment.But the 5-3 Antelopes, who are coached by Dan Majerle, who spent a good portion of his professional career in the Valley of Sun must not be underestimated in their ability to cover this number and be fairly competitive vs a behemoth side.In two of their losses, Grand Canyon let a late lead slip away against Seton Hall  and a slow start saw them lose to Utah despite of not looking out of place and at times dominated that game. Since those two losses, however they have won two straight, defeating LaSalle and Boise State and come in here with momentum. 

Play on Grand Canyon to cover 

Coming off a game vs nationally ranked Virginia will have VMI ready to compete here vs a Chattanooga side that they matchup well against in this conference opener. 

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-18 ATS L/26 in all home games over the last 3 seasons. 

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 2-9 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons and is 6-15 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 season. 

The Keydets have taken three of the past four matchups including a season sweep last year (70-69 at Chattanooga, 68-65 in Lexington).VMI is 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits here.

Play on VMI to cover 

After racing past UC Merced on Tuesday, Bakersfield will take momentum to  MoscowIdaho for Saturday's matchup with the Vandals(3-5) .In a matchup of small schools my projections like Bakersfield 4-4 to cash here. Bakersfield has won four of the last five contests and swept a pair of games last season and get the nod again.

The Flames rank 16th in the NCAA with 93 3-pointers made and 19th with 10.3 3-point field goals per game this season.Nine different players have converted at least one 3-pointer through nine games, and seven have made at least five. This makes them viable cover options thanks to their downtown abilities to cover vs the back door and put points on the board in bunches. IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 4-19 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Illinois Chicago to cover 

The South Alabama  Jaguars enter Saturday's game with losses in three of their last four, including a 71-60 setback at the University of New Orleans on Wednesday night and are looking very inconsistent so far this season. The Jags area team that is lead by one man band Kory Holden who has back to back 40 point games. Im betting the Tulane  Green Wave  who  currently lead all American Athletic Conference teams in 3-point field goal percentage, converting at a 37.5 percent clip to bomb there way to a win from downtown here this afternoon vs what can be best described as a one man team.

Play on Tulane  to cover 

TENN-MARTIN is 9-24 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game losing by more than 20 points per game. My projections agree with this long term trend. E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in non-conference games this season with a average point differential of 18.2 ppg.

Play on ETSU to cover 

The Fordham Rams are coming off a double overtime defeat on Tuesday night to previously winless Maine by the score of 75-68 and are now in a letdown situation vs a under rated Big 10 team Rutgers. Fordham is undefeated at home, but this will be their biggest test yet, and despite of probably being competitive early will falter Im betting as this tilt progresses. Look for rebounding to be key here for the Scarlet Knights, as  was the case in previous recent meetings as they owned a +29 rebounding margin in the win over Fordham in 2017 and +18 in last year’s victory both by DD margins of victory. Add a third win and cover here today is what Im expecting.

FORDHAM is 1-10 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. RUTGERS is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. 

CBB ome teams as an underdog or pick (FORDHAM) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rutgers to cover 

Louisville rebuild is way ahead of schedule, and are very viable underdogs here vs Indiana.

 Louisville is at its best in the paint and are good at either making easy buckets  there or  drawing fouls. The Cardinals are making 23.6 free throws per game and rank second in the nation in free throw attempts per field goal attempts and this Im betting gives them a big advantage over Indiana .Indiana was outscored in the paint in two of its last three games and is prone to fouling down the stretch. It's also worth noting that Morgan got into early foul trouble in both the Hoosiers' losses. Louisville plus the points makes sense here considering the matchups.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a win by 6 points or less are 25-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70%  go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover 

The Broncos head into Saturday's match-up with an overall record of 4-4 after falling to USC Upstate last Saturday. This will be the third team from the Horizon League that WMU has faced this season, coming away victorious over Detroit Mercy and Oakland early this year and matchup well here vs Youngstown State. Im betting on Seth Dugan who is one of just 22 NCAA players   averaging a double-double at 19 points and 10.5 rebounds per game to lead the way here and for the Broncos superior FT shooting to be the difference maker later in this game. Note: WMU is one of just five schools in the Mid-American Conference to have two or more players rank in the top 15 in free-throw percentage. Sophomore Kawanise Wilkins leads WMU and ranks second in the MAC with a .885 free-throw percentage.

 ST is 5-13 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons

CBB favorite (W MICHIGAN) - off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite against opponent off a home loss  are 140-84 ATS L/21 seasons for a long term 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Western Michigan to cover 

The Runnin' Rebels had won four straight games from Nov. 13-23, but have lost their last two. UNLV is coming off a 65-61 loss last Saturday to Cincinnati, which closed its season-opening seven-game homestand. Despite of that this is a good team  that is more than capable of covering vs a Illinois Side on a three game losing streak including coming off a hard fought loss vs Ohio State last time out and will now be in a letdown spot here vs a  feisty non conference foe. 

ILLINOIS is 7-16 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

UNLV is 15-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game.

UNLV has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and gets my support again.

Play on UNLV 

The Hawks lead the A-10 in three-point percentage, converting 39.5 percent, and hold the top two individual spots with Charlie Brown, Jr. (52.0) and Jared Bynum(50.0). Their ability to hit form downtown and a never say die attitude makes them viable DD underdogs vs a Villanova team that is not was good as last years championship version. Note: Leading scorer Charlie Brown, Jr., is questionable for today’s game , but reports are indicating he will play. 

Play on St.Joes to cover 

Injuries have hampered the Broncos early this season, but after averaging 64.0 points over the first six games, the Broncos have produced a season-best 81 in each of the last two outings and enter this tilt winning 3 of their L/4 and with momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, Idaho Stat win my opinion is to one dimensional, and when team key on slowing guard Brandon Boyd (17.3) who ranks third in the Big Sky Conference in scoring their chances become above average for beating this team. Santa Clara is more than capable of doing just that.  The series is knotted at 2-all with the home team claiming each victory and Im betting the home team grabs the cash again.

IDAHO ST is 5-17 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and is 16-28 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Santa Clara to cover 

Villanova after losing players to the NBA last season, look vulnerable this season, as was the case when they were smashed by Michigan at home losing by 27 points and upset loss to Furman. Don't get me wrong theirs alot of talent on this Villy roster, but HC Jay Wright just does not have the top tier depth he had last season when  the Cats ,\made their national championship run. Meanwhile, Temple has lost just once this season, by 6 points, and sport a 8-1 record, and here in this Philadelphia neighbourhood battle must be respected as DD dogs. 

TEMPLE is 14-5 ATS  in road games in non-conference games.

 Temple to cover 

Saint Louis enters Wednesday’s game at Southern Illinois red hot with a 6-1 record.The Billikens are coming off a impressive 64-52 victory over Butler on Saturday afternoon. SLU played a lock-down defense, allowing the Bulldogs to shoot just 28.1percent from the field en route to a season-low 52 points. I know the Salukis have reeled off three consecutive wins against Tulsa, Colorado State and SIUE, but it will will be the Billikens defence that once again makes them very competitive and Im betting will allow us to cash a ticket here.

Play on St.Louis to cover 

Cleveland State is in free fall losing 5 straight games, and are fade material here vs a Bowl in gGreen team that according to my power rankings should be closer to a 4 point fav here, giving us value with the road team as short chalk.

BOWLING GREEN is 9-0 ATS  after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons .CLEVELAND ST is 2-10 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games.

Play on Bowling Green to cover 

Illinois' spread offense features multiple ball handlers on the court with an emphasis on passing which has resulted in opening the court up for their big shooters. Illini have been filling it up from 3-point range to start the season. Illinois have made at least nine threes in six of its first eight games, averaging 10.3 treys per game to rank second in the Big Ten and 22nd in the NCAA. When your backing  an underdog in college Hoops knowing you have side that can light the score board up out of the gate or in back door cover mode makes for a confident bet. Alternately on the flip side, the Illini defense ranks seventh in the nation in turnover rate, forcing turnovers on 24.8 percent of opponent possessions on the season. Opponents are averaging 17.9 turnovers against the Illini, with the Illini leading the Big Ten and ranking 16th in the NCAA in forced turnovers per game.Illinois is currently averaging 18.9 points off turnovers, outscoring foes by 5.3 points per game in that category. Im betting on their ability to light it up from down town and force trunovers keeps them in this game against a very good Ohio State hoops program. 

Buckeyes are 5-23 ATS in their last 28 neutral site games.Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Play on Illinois to cover

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Western Illinois to cover

No.5 Michigan, who comes into Welsh-Ryan Arena with an 8-0 record is getting some huge accolades from the media pundits, but according to my power rankings line adjustment variables, are slightly bloated favs here, thus giving us value with a viable home underdog in a conference tilt, that has the makings of a hard fought affair. 

Northwestern 6-2 lost to Indiana 68-66 last time out on the road, and more than capable of making a game of this this evening.NORTHWESTERN is 17-6 ATS off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival .

Northwestern has won and covered the L/3 games in this series at home.

Play on Northwestern to cover 

Bradley,   took last seasons meeting with a dominant 86-46 home win.
• Five Braves scored in double figures and BU shot 60.8 percent from the field as Bradley posted its largest win against a Division I school in 18 seasons (Feb. 5, 2000). I know Arkansas will be out looking for revenge but Bradely has just to much balanced fire power with  seven current Braves have scored at least 20 points in a game .Five different Braves have led the team in scoring this season and no player more than three times and have a big advantage vs a 4-4 Ark Little Rock side that allows an average of 76.9 ppg. 

ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-16 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-15 ATS   in all home games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BRADLEY) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, playing only their 3rd game in a week are 51-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Bradley to cover 

 The Badgers (7-1, 1-0 Big Ten Conference), host Rutgers in their Big Ten home opener in Madison, Wis. on Monday night. The  Scarlet Knights (5-2, 0-1) gave No. 9 Michigan State a tough battle, last time out but eventually fell 78-67 on Friday to the Spartans in Piscataway, N.J and are looking like an improved hoops program right now behind,junior forward Eugene Omoruyi who scored 13 points in that game.Omoruyi, who has four double-doubles this season, has averaged 15.1 points per game and 9.1 rebounds, and his side kick sophomore point guard Geo Baker contributes 14.6 points per game,.Rutgers snatched the most recent game in this series, a 64-60 win last January in Piscataway and will Im betting hang tough again.

RUTGERS is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Rutgers to cover 

The Redhawks won three of the last four meetings between these teams and goes after their third-straight victory in the series Saturday. Southeast Missouri won four of its last five games and enter the game with momentum on their sides.Southeast Missouri enters the weekend ranked 15th in the nation in 3-point field goal percentage defense. Opponents are shooting 25.9 percent against the Redhawks from behind the arc. The Redhawks rank second in the Ohio Valley Conference behind Murray State (17.6 percent) in that category.My power rankings suggest SE Missouri State is the superior team here in this battle Western Illinois and gets my support. 

SE MISSOURI ST is 12-3 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

South East Missouri State to cover 

Maryland is a strong team ranked 24th in the nation at this time, but Penn State are no pushovers,   ranking 46th in the NCAA statistics for scoring defence  allowing only 64.2 points per game, and 25th in 3-pt. field goal defence (27.3%). Im betting it will be their defence that will be the difference maker here that will get us the cover. 

PENN ST is 70-48 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents .PENN ST is 12-4 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season.

PENN ST is 7-0 ATS  after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 3 season.PENN ST is 8-1 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.( Penn St beat VTech last time out 63-62) 

All six of the Big Ten Conference meetings between Penn State and Maryland have been decided by six points or less and Im betting nothing changes here. 

Play on Penn State  to cover