40* OKLAHOMA ST/W VIRGINIA NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Under 142.5) 

I like the UNDER 142.5 in Monday's Big 12 matchup that has No. 9 West Virginia going on the road against Oklahoma State. The Mountaineers aren't playing at the same pace as we have seen over the last few years, as they are currently way back at 243rd in adjusted tempo. They kind need to slow it down with their offense, as they are just 254th in effective FG% and 271st in 2P%.

They also make up for their offense with a strong defense, which comes in ranked 13th in the country in adjusted efficiency. On top of that, they just recently had one of their top scorers Oscar Tshiebwe leave the team. 

Oklahoma State does prefer to play at a faster pace, but I don't think they will be looking to push the pace as much in this one. That's because the Cowboys have had just 1 day off after playing an OT game at Texas Tech on Saturday. A game that saw 4 different players log at least 33 minutes. Cowboys can also defense, as they are 27th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Give me the UNDER 142.5! 

40* INDIANA/MARYLAND NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Under 136.5)

I think this is a great price and spot to take a shot on the UNDER 136.5 in Monday's Big Ten showdown between Indiana and Maryland. These are two teams that aren't exactly looking to push the pace. The Hoosiers rank 299th in adjusted tempo and are playing at the 12th slowest pace of the 14 Big Ten teams. Maryland is even slower, ranking 305th in adjusted tempo and 13th in the conference. 

On of the slow pace, you have two teams that are very strong defensively. Maryland is also down a starter with Darryl Morsell sidelined, which really hurts their rotation, as they were basically playing just 7 guys. 

UNDER has cashed in 18 of Indiana's last 26 games vs a team with a winning record and the average score in these games is just 133.1 ppg. UNDER is also 10-2 in their last 12 after giving up 80+ in their last game and 12-3 in their last 15 at home after losing 2 of their last 3. Give me the UNDER 136.5! 

40* OHIO ST/MINNESOTA NCAAB ATS MASSACRE (Minnesota +1) 

I will gladly take the Gophers as a home dog against the Buckeyes. No way should this Minnesota team be getting points at home against Ohio State. This to me just feels like a complete overreaction to what happened in the last game for both of these teams. 

Ohio State crushed Nebraska 90-54 at home, while Minnesota lost 59-71 on the road to Wisconsin. Neither of those results should be all that surprising. The Cornhuskers are the worst team in the conference. The Badgers are one of the best and extremely tough to beat on their home floor. 

We have already seen the Gophers take down Iowa and Michigan State at home in Big Ten play, they also beat a really good St Louis team at home. Ohio State has lost both of their road games to Purdue and Northwestern. Give me Minnesota +1! 

40* ALABAMA/TENNESSEE NCAAB SLAUGHTER (Alabama +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide +10 at Tennessee. The Volunteers are 7-0 and off a dominant 73-53 win over a ranked Missouri team and I believe it has resulted in quite a big overreaction by the books with the line here against Alabama. 

It would take a red-hot shooting performance for the Crimson Tide to win this game, but with the way they can score, I don't think it's asking a lot for them to keep it within 10 points. Alabama has really only had one bad showing and that was a 18-point loss to Stanford early. They have since beat quality teams like Providence and Ole Miss. They also lost by just 8 to a really good Clemson team on a neutral floor and did so despite going just 3 of 22 (13.6%) from long distance. Give me Crimson Tide +10! 

40* PURDUE/ILLINOIS NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Illinois -8) 

I got no problem laying single digits with the Fighting Illini at home against the Boilermakers. I'm just not all that impressed with Purdue. Outside of a 7-point win at home against Ohio State there's not a lot to get excited about. Also, the Boilermakers are a team that can surprise people at home, but so much has to go right for them to be competitive on the road. 

In their two Big Ten road games they lost by 15 to Iowa and that was with the Hawkeyes having one of their worst offensive games of the season. They also just lost by 5 at Rutgers with the Scarlet Knights down some key players to injury. 

Illinois got off to a bit of a slow start with 3 losses in their first 8 games, but all of those were against top tier teams in Baylor, Missouri and Rutgers. All 3 were also played away from home. Fighting Illini come in having won their last two and I look for them to cruise to a victory here. Give me Illinois -8! 

40* LSU/FLORIDA NCAAB SHARP STAKE (LSU +1.5) 

I will back LSU at basically a pick'em on the road against the Gators. This Tigers team has been impressive to start the season. LSU features one of the most lethal offensive attacks in the country. The Tigers have scored at least 77 points in every game they have played. They are 5th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency and 8th in effective field goal percentage. 

Florida is a good team that comes in at 4-1 with their only loss on the road to a good Florida State team. However, the Gators lost arguably their best player, Keyontae Johnson, in that loss to the Seminoles. They were able to win their first game in blowout fashion without hi, but that came against a bad Vanderbilt team that is extremely weak on the defensive side of the ball. I just think we are another game or two away before the books make the proper adjustments on this Florida team without Johnson. As long as LSU doesn't have an awful shooting game here, they should win rather comfortably. Give me the Tigers +1.5! 

40* MISSOURI/ARKANSAS NCAAB EARLY BIRD NO-BRAINER (Missouri +7) 

I think we are getting a steal here with Missouri as a near double-digit dog on the road against Arkansas. It's easy to see why this line is off as we are getting a big overreaction to the Tigers 20-point (53-73) loss at home to Tennessee. That was just a bad game for Missouri, who got blitzed out of the gate and could never recover. Not to mention that's an elite Volunteers team. 

Arkansas enters this game a perfect 9-0 and as impressive as that may appears, it's come agaisnt the 284th strength of schedule. The Razorbacks have played just 1 team in the Top 100 and that's Auburn. They did beat the Tigers by 12, but also gave up 85 in the process. Missouri will be the best team they have faced and I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Tigers won this game outright. Give me Missouri +7! 

40* MARSHALL/LA TECH NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Marshall -1) 

I will back the Thundering Herd at basically a pick'em on the road against Louisiana Tech. I've really been impressed with Marshall early on. They are 6-1 and their only loss came in OT at home against a Toledo team that is ranked in the Top 100 at KenPom. This hot start is no surprise. Marshall returned a lot from last year team, which really took off in the 2nd half. 

Louisiana Tech only returned 1 starter, but have managed to start out the season 7-2. However, it's a very misleading record, as the Bulldogs have 6 wins against teams that are ranked 293rd or worse at KenPom. Their best win is a 6-point victory over No. 162 UT Arlington. Marshall is No. 82. The only team they have played in the Top 100 is LSU and they got annihilated 86-55. Much like LSU, Marshall likes to play fast and are lethal on the offensive side. Give me the Thundering Herd -1! 

40* UTAH/UCLA NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (UCLA -7) 

I got no problem laying the points with UCLA at home against Utah in Thursday's Pac-12 matchup. The Bruins haven't played since losing to Ohio State on Dec. 19th. I believe the long layoff came at a good time for Mick Cronin's team and with them coming off a loss to snap their 5-game winning streak, I'm expecting a fired up UCLA team tonight. 

Bruins only other loss was in their season opener at San Diego State, who is turned out to be much better than anticipated. They have played 4 games at home and all 4 have come by at least 9 points, including wins over Cal and Marquette. 

Utah is 4-1, but they really haven't played anyone. Three of their wins are against 3 awful teams in Idaho St, Utah Valley and Idaho. All at home. They did beat Washington by 14 at home in their season opener, but the Huskies are 1-6 with a 15-point loss to UC Riverside and a 8 point loss to Montana. The best they have played is BYU and they lost 64-82 on the road. UCLA is better than BYU. Give me the Bruins -7! 

40* MINNESOTA/WISCONSIN NCAAB ATS SLAUGHTER (Wisconsin -8.5) 

This is going to seem like a big number for the Badgers to be laying in this on. Wisconsin just lost their last game at home to Maryland 64-70 as a 7.5-point favorite. That was a Terps team that was winless in Big Ten play. Now they are an even bigger favorite against a Minnesota team that comes in having won 3 straight, over St Louis, Iowa and Michigan State. The line here really tells you everything. 

The big thing to note with those 3 straight wins for the Gophers is all 3 came at home. The Gophers only road game (haven't played any on a neutral court) was at Illinois back on Dec. 15 and they lost that game 65-92. 

I just think Minnesota is walking into a death trap here against a pissed off and motivated Wisconsin team coming off a loss. Give me the Badgers -8.5! 

40* BC/NC STATE NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Boston College +9.5) 

I really like the value here with Boston College as a near double-digit dog against the Wolfpack. NC State is coming in off a big win over in-state rival North Carolina last time they took the floor, but they almost blew that game, winning by 3 after leading by as many as 17 in the 1st half. The only other team they have played in the Top 230 at KenPom is St Louis and they lost by 11, giving up 80 to the Billikens. 

Boston College comes in with a record of just 2-5, which is where the value with this line stems. However, the Eagles have played the 12th toughest schedule in the country so far. Out of their 5 losses, 4 have come against teams who are currently ranked in the Top 30 at KenPom. The other was a mere 3-point loss to a good St. John's team. They took Villanova down to the wire losing by just 9 and took Minnesota to OT on the road in a 5-point loss. This is a game they can win outright. Give me the Eagles +9.5! 

40* NOTRE DAME/VIRGINIA NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Virginia -5.5)

I got no problem laying the 5.5 with Virginia on the road against Notre Dame tonight. I think this is the perfect spot to jump on the Cavaliers as a short favorite, as we can bank on a huge effort from Virginia coming off that embarrassing 23-point loss (75-98) loss to Gonzaga.

You just can't read into a loss like that, as Gonzaga looks like they are by far the most complete team right now. This is still an extremely talented Cavaliers team that are once again elite defensively and got some pretty good options on the offensive side of the ball. 

Notre Dame has played some quality teams tough, losing by 10 to Michigan State, by 5 to Ohio State, by 10 to Duke and by 10 to Purdue. I just don't think any of those teams are on the same level as Virginia. I just don't think the Irish are strong enough defensively to beat a team like the Cavs who are so tough to score on. Give me Virginia -5.5! 

40* TEXAS A&M/LSU NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Over 141) 

I look for LSU and Texas A&M to easily eclipse the total of 141 in tonight's SEC matchup. This LSU team is an offensive juggernaut. The Tigers rank in the Top 10 in both adjusted offensive efficiency (6th) and effective FG% (10). They also are Top 50 in the country in pace. LSU has scored at least 81 points in each of their 6 games. 

I feel the value stems here from the fact that Texas A&M comes in allowing just 60.7 ppg, but I'm not buying that as a sign that this Aggies team is elite defensively. I think it's just more of who they have played and that's a bunch of bad teams. Texas A&M's strength of schedule ranks 315th, as the only team they have played in the Top 140 is TCU and they gave up 73 to the Horned Frogs. 

I know the Aggies scored just 55 in that loss to TCU, but LSU is not a great defensive team and tend to give up quite a bit of points. They have given up 81 to SIU Edwardsville and 80 to Nicholls State. They also allowed 85 to St. Louis. I just think there's a high probability here that both teams surpass 70 points. Give me the OVER 141! 

50* FLORIDA ST/CLEMSON NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Clemson -1.5) 

I think we are getting a steal here with Clemson at basically a pick'em on their home floor against the Seminoles. The betting public doesn't see it that way. All they see is the No. 18 team getting points against an unranked opponent, which is why I feel there is so much value. 

I don't know why Clemson isn't ranked to be honest. The Tigers are 6-1 with 4 quality wins over Mississippi State, Purdue, Maryland and Alabama. The only loss coming by 6 points on the road to Virginia Tech and that was just a bad shooting night, as they were just 38% from the field. 

If KenPom had a say they would be ranked, as they are the No. 20 in their rankings. Florida State would also be ranked, but they have them at No. 25. Factor in home court and the elite level defense that head coach Brad Brownell has this team playing and I feel they win here easily. Give me the Tigers -1.5!  

40* MICHIGAN ST/MINNESOTA NCAAB NO-BRAINER (Under 157.5) 

While I would have loved to get the opening number of 160, I still see a ton of value here with the UNDER at 157.5. Really I think anything over 150 is worth a play. With the spread right around 2.5 points this total is calling for a final score of like 80-77. That's a ton of points for two teams playing on just two days of rest. 

Not only should the lack of time off lead to a slower tempo, you also got to think Michigan State is going to really come out fired up on the defensive side after starting out 0-2 in Big Ten play. As for Minnesota this feels like a bit of a flat spot coming off a huge upset win at home against No. 4 Iowa in overtime. Their star player Marcus Carr played 43 minutes in that game with 3 others logging 30+ minutes. 

In last year's two meetings between these two teams they combined for 132 and 122 total points and you have to go back to the 2014-15 campaign to find the last time these two teams combined for more than 150 points. Give me the UNDER 157.5! 

40* DRAKE/INDIANA ST NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Indiana St +4) 

I think the line here tells you everything you need to know that the Sycamores are the play. Drake comes into this game with a perfect 9-0 record and have also gone a perfect 6-0 in their games with a line posted. The betting public won't be able to help themselves with the Bulldogs laying a short number against a Indiana State team that is 3-2 with a couple of double-digit losses to Purdue and St Louis. 

The thing is, Drake has played a cupcake schedule to start the season. In fact, the Bulldogs strength of schedule at KenPom ranks a mere 311th. The only team they have played that's ranked in the Top 215 at KenPom is Kansas State and they are awful. Drake is going to suffer that first loss sooner rather than later and I actually think they should be a dog in this matchup. Give me the Sycamores +4! 

40* OHIO ST/NORTHWESTERN NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Northwestern +3.5) 

I'll take the points with Northwestern at home against Ohio State. The Wildcats have shocked everyone with their 2-0 start to Big Ten play. First they destroyed Michigan State 79-65 at home as a 8.5-point dog, then on just two days rest went on the road and upset Indiana 74-67 as a 9-point dog.

I get we aren't getting near double-digits this time around, but I really think the Wildcats should be favored at home in this one. Ohio State is 7-1, but I still got my concerns with this team. I think they are good, but not as good as what their record and ranking would suggest. They lost by 7 on the road to Purdue in their Big 10 opener and needed a crazy 2nd half run to come back and beat Rutgers at home. Give me the Wildcats +3.5! 

50* MARYLAND/PURDUE NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Purdue -5) 

My favorite play on Christmas Day is the Purdue Boilermakers as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Terps.  Great spot to back Purdue off a 15-point loss at Iowa. While they didn't come close to covering, I thought the Boilermakers played well in a tough spot on the road. They are just not a team built to upset an elite team like the Hawks away from home. 

Things should be much easier for Purdue at Mackey Arena on Friday against a Maryland team that isn't anywhere close to what it's been in recent years. Terps got off to a strong 4-0 start against a cupcake schedule, but then lost by 16 at Clemson and by 14 at home to Rutgers. I just think like Purdue, it's going to be hard for Maryland to be competitive on the road against the majority of the teams in the Big Ten. Give me the Boilermakers -5! 

40* W ILLINOIS/DEPAUL NCAAB SLAUGHTER (DePaul -15.5) 

I think we are getting a bit of a steal here with DePaul as they just now playing their first game of the season. Coming off a 16-16 season where they went just 3-15 in Big East play isn't exactly something to get excited about. But I like the direction this program is headed and I think they got some nice new pieces that could have them taking a big step forward. 

One thing is for sure, they are going to be itching to get on the floor for this game. The effort that we can expect should be enough on it's own for them to cover this spread against Western Illinois, who is currently the 338th ranked team at KenPom. The only legit team the Leathernecks have faced is Iowa and they lost by 41 points. It's really not asking much for DePaul to win here by 20. Give me the Blue Demons -15.5! 

40* NORTHWESTERN/INDIANA NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Under 140.5) 

I think we are getting some big time value with the UNDER at the total of 140.5.  Indiana is a team that's built on their defense. They had 5 quality opponents in non-conference in Providence, Texas, Stanford, FSU and Butler. The most they allowed in any of those game in regulation was 63. They also failed to score 70 in 3 of the 5. They don't shoot great from deep, are a bad free throw shooting team and don't love to push the pace. 

Northwestern is a team that is coming off a shocking 79-65 win against Michigan State at home, but if you watched that game you could see the Spartans weren't ready to play. You can't knock the Wildcats for playing harder, I just don't think it will be as easy offensively for them in their first game away from home against the likes of Indiana. 

Defensively I think Northwestern is for real. They are 45th in adjusted efficiency, 3rd in effective field goal% defense and rank in the Top 25 defending both the 2-Pt (11th) and 3-Pt (22nd). They got the guys inside to make it tough on the Hoosiers. Give me the UNDER 140.5! 

40* PURDUE/IOWA NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Iowa -6.5) 

I will take my chances here with the Hawkeyes making easy work of Purdue at home in their Big Ten opener. I'm not concerned with Iowa coming off that crushing loss to Gonzaga. I know it wasn't the outcome they wanted, but there were some positives. Iowa lost to the No. 1 team by only 11-points, despite shooting 4 of 22 (18%) on 3-pointers and going 14 of 26 (54%) from the free throw line. 

I just think there's enough of a veteran presence on this team that they aren't going to let that loss carry over into their conference opener, especially at home. Purdue is a good team, but just aren't built to compete with an offensive juggernaut like the Hawkeyes. Give me Iowa -6.5!

50* LOUISVILLE/PITT ACC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Louisville -3) 

This is an easy play for me on the Cardinals as a slim 3-point favorite at Pittsburgh. I love backing good teams off a bad performance and Louisville definitely falls into that situation after getting absolutely destroyed on Saturday in a 48-85 loss to Wisconsin. 

One thing to keep in mind in that ugly showing against the Badgers, is Louisville was without their best players in senior Carlik Jones. He's the one guy they can't do without. He leads the team in scoring (17.3 ppg), rebounding (7.0 rpg) and assists (5.3 apg). He's going to be back for this one and that should be enough for them to win this game on the road against Pitt. 

The Panthers are 5-1 and just beat Miami by 15 at home in their ACC opener. That was however a misleading victory, as the Hurricanes have been decimated with injuries. While Pitt is slowing improving, I don't think they can handle a locked in Cardinals team. Give me Louisville -3! 

40* CINCINNATI/UCF NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (UCF +2.5) 

There's just no way Cincinnati should be laying points on the road in this one. This is a rebuilding year for the Bearcats after all the talent they lost and it's shown in their play so far. Cincinnati has lost 3 straight and are just 1-4 to start the season. They just lost at Georgia by 15 as a 1.5-point favorite. I just feel like the books are slow to adjust to this team. 

As for UCF, the Knights are coming off their second statement win in 3 games. UCF started out the season with a 63-55 win at home against Auburn. They got their butts kicked at Michigan, but just won on the road against FSU 86-74 as a 14.5-point dog. UCF has a go-to scorer in senior Brandon Mahan and are getting big time production out of sophomore Darin Green and freshman Isaiah Adams. 

Free throw shooting could be the difference in this one. Cincinnati is shooting just 63.4% as a team from the charity line, while the Knights are 85.7%. Bearcats are also shooting just 25% from behind the 3-point line, while UCF is at 36%. Give me the Knights +2.5! 

50* SAN JOSE ST/UTAH ST NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Utah State -18.5) 

I have high expectations for Utah State in the Mountain West this year and I'm confident the Aggies will be locked in for their conference opener tonight against San Jose State, who is right there with Air Force as the worst team in the league. 

Utah State is just 3-3, but two of those defeats came on a neutral court to quality teams in VCU and South Dakota State. The other is a mere 3-point loss to a very good BYU team. San Jose State has played one team that's even respectable and that's St. Mary's. The Spartans lost that game by 35 points (trailed by 40+ with less than 3 minutes to play), giving up 96 to the Gaels. I just don't think it's asking much for the Aggies to win this one by 20 at home. Give me Utah State -18.5! 

40* E WASH/N ARIZONA NCAAB ATS STEAMROLLER (E Washington -10.5) 

I played on Eastern Washington as a 9-point dog in their last game against St. Mary's and they covered easily in a 5-point loss. The Eagles could have easily won that game outright. They had as big as a 9-point lead in the 2nd half on the road. 

However, the loss dropped Eastern Washington to 1-4 on the season and that's definitely playing into the Eagles showing value here against a Northern Arizona team they should handle with ease. Keep in mind the first 3 losses for Eastern Washington all came on the road against Pac-12 teams in Washington St, Arizona and Oregon. Both losses to the Cougars and Wildcats came by just 3 points. 

While they lost by just 3 to Arizona, their opponent today, Northern Arizona, lost to the Wildcats by 43 (96-53). The Lumberjacks have also lost by 24 to UC Riverside and by 39 to Colorado State. Those are the only 3 games they have played. I just think a desperate Eastern Washington team is going to easily win here by 11 or more. Give me the Eagles -10.5! 

40* CHATTANOOGA/UAB NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (UAB -11) 

We played on UAB in their last game against Southern as a mere 15-point favorite and they went on to win that game by a final score of 88-46. They have played 7 games and won 6 of those by 20 points. This team started out ranked 115th in KenPom and are up to 88. They have won and covered every game the books have set a line and I don't know how you don't keep riding this team, especially with a favorable line like we have here. 

In my analysis on UAB against Southern I mentioned how much I loved the hire of head coach Andy Kennedy and even more so the talent he inherited and brought to town. 

Kennedy took over a UAB team that returned their top 3 scorers from last year in guards Tavin Lovan (13.2 ppg), Jalen Benjamin (11.9 ppg) and Tyreek Scott-Grayson (10.0 ppg). He then went out and added two Top 50 rated grad transfers in Michael Ertel and Quan Jackson. The only non-power 5 program to land two such grad transfers ranked in the Top 50. They also added 7'0 big man Trey Jemison, who has been a force for the Blazers. Jemison is averaging 9.5 ppg 8.5 rpg and a staggering 3.7 blocks/game. 

One of the reasons we are getting value here is because Chattanooga enters the game with a perfect 7-0 record. However, it's not that impressive when you take a closer look. The Mocs have played one game against a team ranked in the Top 200 at KenPom and that is No. 198 ranked Middle Tennessee, who is 2-4 with losses to Nebraska-Omaha and E Tennessee St. Give me UAB -11! 

40* HOFSTRA/ST. BONAVENTURE NCAAB SHARP STAKE (St. Bonaventure -11.5) 

I waited and waited for the Bonnies to take the floor for the 2020-21 season and cashed a winning ticket on them in their 81-74 win against Akron on Tuesday. I will fire right back with St. Bonaventure on Saturday at home against Hofstra. 

Right now the Bonnies are No. 72 in Kenpom, but I see them as way better than that. This is a team that returns all 5 starters from a 19-win team. They got 3 guys who can carry the load offensively if needed. In the win over Akron, Osun Osunniyi led the way with 25 points, but they also 18 from Dominick Welch and 17 from Kyle Lofton. 

One thing to note about that win and cover against the Zips is they did that despite going a dreadful 1 for 14 from behind the 3-point line. While they aren't going to light teams up from deep, they are a much better 3-point shooting team than that and I think playing at home compared to a neutral site will help in a big way here. 

Hofstra is 3-2 but I haven't been all that impressed with what I've seen from the Pride. Their 3 wins are against Fairleigh Dickinson, Stony Brook and Monmouth. Two of those wins were by single digits. Hofstra also lost by 28 last year (73-45) in a visit to the Bonnies. Give me St Bonaventure -11.5! 

40* N COLORADO/UTAH ST NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Utah State -11.5)

I think we are getting a great price here with Utah State as a mere 11.5-point home favorite against Northern Colorado. The Aggies come into this game with a mere 2-3 record, but all 3 losses have come against quality teams in VCU, South Dakota State and BYU. They only lost by 3 to BYU and do have a nice 11-point win over UNI on their resume. 

The Bears enter this game at 3-1, but it's a very misleading 3-1 record. Two of those wins are against non-DI opponents in Colorado Christian and Regis. The other is against Denver by 8 and they are ranked 322nd in KenPom. The only decent team Northern Colorado has faced is Colorado and they lost that contest by 36 points (45-81). 

Utah State is not only the better team, but they have a big edge here in rest. Aggies had some Covid issues and as a result haven't played since last Tuesday (Dec. 8). The Bears on the other hand are playing their 3rd game this week as they played at Colorado on Monday and at Denver on Wednesday. Give me the Aggies -11.5! 

50* KANSAS/TEXAS TECH NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Texas Tech -3) 

I will gladly lay the short number here with the Red Raiders at home against the Jayhawks. I was shocked when this line opened at close to a pick'em and still see plenty of value at this price. Head coach Chris Beard has turned Texas Tech into an elite program. Last year they had to replace a lot and ended up going just 18-13 with a 9-9 mark in the Big 12. One thing to note is that all 13 losses were to teams who finished in the Top 100 of KenPom's rankings, 4 were in OT and their largest loss was by 12 points. 

I expect the Red Raiders to jump right back into that same category of a Final 4 contender that they were the previous two years. Red Raiders got talent coming back, added in some great talent from the transfer portal and got two stud freshmen that are already making an impact. 

Kanas is always a good team and they 6-1 with their only loss to Gonzaga, but they were never really in that game against the Bulldogs. Their two best wins over Kentucky and Creighton came by a combined 4 points and we saw this team only beat North Dakota State by 4 on their home floor. I just think Tech is the better team. Give me the Red Raiders -3! 

50* MEMPHIS/TULANE AAC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Memphis -10.5)

I think this is the perfect spot to fade the Green Wave. Tulane is getting quite a bit a love here after their 4-0 start, but those 4 wins have come against Lamar, Lipscomb, Southern Miss and Arkansas Pine Bluff. Lamar is ranked No. 289 and is currently 1-5. They only beat them by 9. They beat Lipscomb by 2, who is 3-5 with wins over Lamar, No. 328 SE Miss St and a non-DI school. They did beat Southern Miss by 20, but they are No. 307 with their only D-1 win coming against Lamar. They beat Ark Pine Bluff by 11 and they are No. 350 and 1-7. 

I get Memphis hasn't been quite as dominant as we thought they would be. Tigers are 4-3, but those 3 losses have all come to quality teams in WKU, VCU and Auburn. They were competitive in all 3. I just think the talent gap is much bigger than what this number would suggest. Give me Memphis -10.5! 

40* PITTSBURGH/MIAMI NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Miami +2) 

We have seen Miami go from a favorite to a dog in this game against Pitt and I just think there's too much value here with the Hurricanes as a home dog against what I think is a pretty overrated Pitt team. 

Miami will be missing some key players, but they also will be adding in Stony Brook transfer Elijah Olaniyi, as the NCAA is expected to announce later today that all transfers will be immediately eligible to play. More than enough talent with Olaniyi to beat the Panthers and I think we get a big effort here with people doubting the short-handed canes in this one. 

Pitt is 4-1, but their only win against a team ranked inside the Top 150 of KenPom is Northwestern and I'm not so sure the Wildcats are all that great. Pitt's other 3 wins are against Drexel, Northern Illinois and Gardner Webb. Not to mention their lone loss came by double-digits to a St Francis team that is ranked No. 258 at KenPom. Give me Miami +2! 

40* NEB-OMAHA/COLORADO NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Colorado -21.5) 

I got no problem laying the big number here with the Buffaloes. Colorado comes in at 3-1 with their only loss on the road against Tennessee, who looks like one of the best teams in the country. In their other 3 wins they have won by 23 over South Dakota, by 18 over Kansas State (outscored Wildcats 67-36 after falling behind 22-9) and most recently a 36-point win over Northern Colorado on Monday. 

While this will be their second game in basically 48 hours, they didn't have to use much energy in their last game. No starter played more than 30 minutes and only senior McKinley Wright logged more than 22 minutes. Colorado should have no problem getting back up and making easy work of the Mavericks. 

Nebraska-Omaha is just 2-5 and have struggled to keep it close when they have played better teams. The Mavs lost by 27 at Creighton and by 45 at Kansas. They also lost by 21 at Drake. I just don't think it's asking much of the Buffs to win here by 22. Give me Colorado -21.5! 

40* E WASH/ST. MARY'S LATE NIGHT CBB BAILOUT (Eastern Michigan +9) 

If you don't know much about these two teams, you might think this line is way off, as you have a Eastern Washington team that is 1-3 with their only win against a non-DI opponent as a mere 9-point dog against a St Mary's team that is 6-1 and riding a 6-game winning streak since losing their opener to Memphis. 

The big thing to note with the Gaels is each of their last 4 wins have come against teams ranked outside the Top 175 in KenPom. On the flip side of this, Eastern Washington's 1-3 start is a result of their schedule.

All 3 of their losses came on the road against Pac-12 teams in Washington St, Arizona and Oregon. They only lost by 3 to both the Cougars and Wildcats. They did loe by 17 to the Ducks, but were only down 4 at the half and had to play that game on just 1 day of rest after facing Arizona. 

I not only think the Eagles can keep it close enough to cover, but I give them a good shot here of winning the game outright. Give me Eastern Washington +9! 

40* APPALACHIAN ST/TENNESSEE NCAAB NO-BRAINER (Appalachian State +19) 

I played and won on Appalachian State in their last game at Charlotte, as the Mountaineers won outright 61-57 as a 4-point dog. I mention in the analysis of that game how much I like this team, especially head coach Dustin Kerns. 

Last year in his first season on the job. Appalachian State surprised everyone going 18-15 with a 11-9 mark (6th) in Sun Belt play. A huge improvement from the year before when they finished 11-20 and 6-12 in conference play. 

Turning around a program is nothing new for Kerns. In his previous stint at Presbyterian, he took a program that has never been competitive to a real force. He took over a team that finished 5-25. In his first year they improved to 11-21 and in year two they went 20-16. Last season without him they dropped back down to 10-22. 

I believe this team is more than capable of hanging around with the Volunteers and covering this big number. Tennessee is a really good team, but this is a bit of a flat spot off two big games against Colorado and Cincinnati to start the year. While they won both of those games, they only scored 54 against the Buffaloes and 65 against the Bearcats. Some of that low scoring is how they play, as they rank 294th in adjusted tempo. That slow pace only favors App State covering this big number even more. Give me the Mountaineers +19! 

50* SE LOUISIANA/TEXAS A&M NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Texas A&M -21.5) 

I really like the value here with Texas A&M covering as a big home favorite against SE Louisiana. This is a huge mismatch in terms of talent. The Lions come into this game at 1-5 with some really ugly losses. They lost by 53 to LSU and 25 to UAB. The only two teams they have played ranked inside the Top 100 in KenPom. 

They are 327th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency and 311th in adjusted defensive efficiency. They also like to play fast, which aids to them getting blown out by such big numbers, as they rank 62nd in tempo. 

Texas A&M had started out 3-0, but were just embarrassed in their last game at TCU, losing 55-73 to the Horned Frogs. I think that's aiding in the favorable number we are getting and it also should have the Aggies more locked in for this game than they would have been otherwise. Give me Texas A&M -21.5! 

40* MARYLAND/RUTGERS NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Under 137.5) 

I think we are getting a great price with the UNDER between Rutgers and Maryland. This will be the Big Ten opener for both teams and I'm expecting a big time effort from both sides. Maryland comes in off an ugly 67-51 loss at Clemson. While their stingy defense did their part, the offense really struggled in their first game against a quality defense. 

It doesn't get any easier for the Terps against the Scarlet Knights, who are one of the best defensive teams in the country. Just look at Rutgers last game against Syracuse. They held the Orange to 69 points. The very next game for Syracuse they put up 101 on BC. 

Both teams have scored a lot in non-conference, but it's just a different beast in Big Ten play. Big thing to keep in mind With Rutgers strong offensive numbers is they have played every game at home. Keep in mind the Scarlet Knights won just 2 road games all of last year and one of those was an OT win against Purdue in the final game of the season. Give me the UNDER 137.5! 

40* FLORIDA/FLORIDA ST NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Under 140) 

I just think there's a ton a value here with a total of 140 in Saturday's big in-state showdown between Florida and Florida State. If you watched any of the FSU/Indiana game you can see the struggles that this Seminoles team is going to have scoring against teams who can protect the rim and not let them get easy looks down low. They went from scoring 86 in their opener against North Florida to just 62 in regulation against Indiana. 

Florida is every bit as good defensively as the Hoosiers, if not better. The Gators come in 17th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency and are 11th in the nation in 2-Pt % defense. 

Florida has put up some solid offensive numbers to this point, but they have played two teams outside the top 200 in Kenpom in Army and Stetson. They did score 80 against BC, who is currently No. 85, but the Eagles are not a strong defensive team. They gave up 97 to St. John's, 76 to Villanova and 85 to Minnesota. 

FSU always seems to have big long and athletic players and this year is no different. Seminoles also are 17th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 12th in 2-Pt % defense. 

Last year these two teams combined for just 114 points and the books completely missed the mark in that one with a total of 135. Give me the UNDER 140! 

50* MARQUETTE/UCLA LATE NIGHT *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (UCLA -4) 

I love the value here with the Bruins laying a short number at home. I had a feeling this line was going to drop with the public being drawn to Marquette as most still have questions over how good this UCLA team is after watching them lose by 15 to San Diego State and need 3OT to beat Pepperdine. 

It's not uncommon for teams to come out a bit sluggish. I think UCLA has got some of those kinks worked out. They also didn't have one of their better players in junior Jalen Hill for both games against SDSU and Pepperdine. 

The other big thing I like here with going against Marquette is that the Golden Eagles played all 5 of their games so far at home. Not only is this their first road game, but this quite a long distance for them to travel. I just think it's a really tough spot for them. Give me UCLA -4! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 150.5) 

This game has a frantic up and down pace written all over it. Both Nebraska and Creighton want to push the tempo and waste no time getting a shot up. Both teams rank in the Top 25 in terms of average possession length. Creighton ranks 23rd at 14.6 and Nebraska is 9th at 14.1. 

I really think this favors the Bluejays, who not only like to play fast, but are extremely efficient on the offensive end. Creighton is 7th in adjusted offensive efficiency, 17th in effective FG% and 4th in 2-PT%. Nebraska isn't quite on that level, but with number of possessions that each team figures to have, we should have no problem here eclipsing 150 points. Give me the OVER 150.5. 

40* N FLORIDA/E CAROLINA NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (East Carolina -13.5)

This is a vastly improved East Carolina team. The Pirates have started out the season 4-0 and while the competition hasn't been the stiffest, this North Florida team will be the worst D-I opponent they have faced this season. 

North Florida is 0-6 and in their last two games have lost to High Point and FAU, who are both ranked outside the Top 200 in KenPom. East Carolina is sitting at No. 116. 

Ospreys have been awful on the defensive end. They are 348th in adjusted defensive efficiency. They don't force turnovers and give up offensive rebounds at a very high rate. They also foul a lot, as opponents are attempting 22 free throws a game against them.  All things that will allow the Pirates to create the separation needed to cover this spread. Give me East Carolina -13.5! 

40* OKLAHOMA/XAVIER NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Oklahoma +1) 

I'm really high on the Sooners this year and will gladly take them at basically a pick'em on the road against what I feel is a pretty mediocre Xavier team. I played and cashed on Oklahoma in each of their first two games against UTSA and TCU. Sooners have one of the best players in the country in Austin Reaves, who currently ranks as the 6th best player in KenPom's rankings. 

Xavier enters this game at 6-0 and I definitely feel like that's playing into the value with Oklahoma. Musketeers could easily be just 3-3. They beat Bradley by 1, Toledo by 3 and needed OT to get past Eastern Kentucky. All of those came at home. They did just beat Cincinnati by 8, but I'm way down on the Bearcats this year. The wrong team is favored in this one. Give me Oklahoma +1!

40* INDIANA/FLORIDA ST NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Florida St -3) 

I know the Big Ten absolutely owned the ACC last night, but I can't help myself with Florida State as a mere 3-point home favorite against Indiana. It feels like every year people sleep on Leonard Hamilton's team and I think that's the case again. Everyone sees the talent FSU lost to the NBA, but that's nothing new. This team reloads way better than they get credit for. 

What I love here in this matchup is the Seminoles have incredible size and talent inside, led by 6-9 freshman Scottie Barnes, 7-1 sophomore Balsa Koprivica and 6-8 junior Raiquan Gray. I think that size will be the key in this one, as Indiana has really relied on scoring inside so far this year. Hoosiers are one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the country early on. This matchup really reminds me a lot of Indiana game last week against Texas, which they got absolutely destroyed 66-44. Give me the Seminoles -3! 

50* NCAAB NON-CONF PLAY OF THE MONTH (Furman +3.5) 

A lot of people will probably look at this line and want to take Cincinnati as a small home favorite, but that's only because they aren't aware of how good this Furman team is. The Paladins are 4-0 and while they haven't played anybody to this point, they have absolutely dominated the competition. All 4 wins have been by no fewer than 24 points. 

Not a huge surprise when you look at the fact that Furman returns 4 starters from a team that went 25-7 last year. This is without question the team to beat in the Southern Conference and it would be a shock if they didn't make the NCAA Tournament. 

As for the Bearcats, they are way down from last year's team that won 20 games and finished T-1st in the AAC with a 13-5 league mark. Cincinnati lost 3 big pieces from that team in Jarron Cumberland, Jaevin Cumberland and Tre Scott. Head coach John Brannen was quoted saying "We flipped the roster...This, to me, was always going to be a transition year." 

While the Bearcats have only played two games, they barely got by a bad Lipscomb team 67-55 (trailed by 9 in the 2nd half) and lost to a pretty mediocre Xavier team this past Sunday at home. Give me Furman +3.5! 

40* BC/MINNESOTA NCAAB ATS STEAMROLLER (Boston College +7) 

This is the perfect time to buy low on Boston College. The Eagles come into this game with a 1-3 record and are fresh off an ugly 20-point loss to Florida on a neutral floor. That was just a bad game for the Eagles and it continued quite the gauntlet to start the year, as their 3 previous were against Villanova, Rhode Island and St. John's (all 4 opponents rank in the Top 80 in KenPom). 

As for Minnesota, they are 4-0, but have played quite an easy schedule. They two wins over teams ranked 250 or worse (Green Bay and North Dakota). The other two wins are against Loyola-Marymount, who is ranked 137th. I just don't think there's anywhere close to the gap in talent that this line suggests. Give me Boston College +7!  

40* CREIGHTON/KANSAS NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Under 151) 

I just think there's a lot of value here on the UNDER 151 in Tuesday's big matchup between No. 5 Kansas and No. 8 Creighton. I think the number here on the total is a bit inflated given that the Jayhawks come in averaging 80.6 ppg and the Bluejays are even better at 85.3 ppg. 

Thing you have to realize with Creighton is they haven't played anyone of significance. Their 3 wins are against North Dakota State, Nebraska-Omaha and Kennesaw State. The only one of those 3 that rank in the Top 200 is ND State (No. 175) and the Bluejays only scored 69 points in their victory against them. 

Kansas allowed 102 to Gonzaga in their opener, but have really locked up opponents defensively since that game. Jayhawks come in ranked 5th in the country in defensive adjusted efficiency. Creighton is also a good defensive team, ranking 50th in adjusted defensive efficiency and in the Top 50 in both 3-Pt % and 2-Pt % defense. Give me the UNDER 151! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (UC-Santa Barbara -3) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Gauchos as a slim 3-point home favorite against Loyola-Marymount. I just think we are getting a good price here with UC-Santa Barbara because their only game has come against a non D-I opponent in Saint Katherine, while the Lions are off a 24-point win and cover against Long Beach State and played Minnesota tough twice. 

There's plenty to like about the Gauchos, as they bring back 4 starters from a team that won 21 games last year. This definitely looks like the most talented team in the Big West. Love their experienced playmakers in the backcourt and they aren't short on size in the post. I just think this is a steal getting them at this price. Give me UC-Santa Barbara -3! 

40* OKLAHOMA/TCU NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Oklahoma -3.5) 

I played on Oklahoma in their opener against UTSA. Sooners were a mere 15-point favorite in that matchup and went on to win by a final score of 105-66. I just don't think that was any fluke. The Sooners far exceeded expectations last year and are even stronger this year. They aren't just a good Big 12 team, they are one that can compete with the big boys of Baylor, Kansas, Texas and West Virginia. 

I just don't see them losing here on the road to TCU. Sooners won both meetings last year, including a 20-point blowout victory in the first meeting. Both times Oklahoma's offense put up big numbers, scoring 83 and 78 points. Sooners are even stronger, while the Horned Frogs look to be down a notch from last year. Give me Oklahoma -3.5! 

40* MISSOURI/WICHITA ST NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Missouri -4.5) 

I just think the price is right to take a shot with Missouri at -4.5. I just see these two teams headed in different directions. The Tigers are poised for a breakout season with one of the most experienced teams in the country. They were a much better team than the one that went just 15-16 last year. I think we saw that in the Tigers last game, as they beat Oregon 83-75 on a neutral court. 

Wichita State had all those guys leave via transfer after last season and then came the departure of head coach Greg Marshall right before the season. I just think because the Shockers are such a big brand in CBB they are going to be overvalued early on. 

Their only game was this past Wednesday against Oral Roberts and while they won, they did so by a final of just 85-80. Just so happens that's also the same team Missouri opened the season against back on Nov. 25. Tigers beat Oral Roberts 91-64. Give me Missouri -4.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS BAILOUT (Auburn -10)

I think this is a great buy low spot on Auburn as a mere 10-point favorite against South Alabama. I know the Tigers aren't expected to be a huge threat this year, but there's plenty of talent on this team and they got a legit head coach in Bruce Pearl. We can bank on a big effort here coming off back-to-back losses to Gonzaga and UCF and no game on the schedule until next Saturday. South Alabama is 3-1, but have two wins against non-D1 teams. Their only D1 win is a mere 2-point win over FAU and they lost to Jacksonville State at home. Give me Auburn -10! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 145)

I was shocked to see this total at less than 150. FIU can score and score in a hurry with their ability to torch teams from long distance. It's early, but you have to take notice to the fact that FIU leads the country in 3-Pointers attempted per field goal attempted at 61.2% (D-1 average is 37.5%). Not only that they rank 2nd in effective FG% and #22 in 3-Point%. Jacksonville State will be happy to play this style as they are 15th in 3PA/FGA at 50.6%. There's a chance both teams have an off night, but if we just get average shooting from these two, this thing is going past this total. Give me the OVER 145! 

50* NCAAB MID-AMERICAN (MAC) PLAY OF THE MONTH (Toledo -2.5) 

I think we are getting a steal here with Toledo as a slim 2.5-point favorite against Eastern Michigan. For starters, the Rockets are picked to finish near the top of the MAC standings, while the Eagles are picked to be in contention for one of the worst teams in the league. 

Toledo comes in at just 2-2, but their two losses are two quality teams in Bradley and Xavier. Both games they could have easily won, as they lost by 2 to the Braves and by just 3 to the Musketeers. 

While the Rockets have 4 games under their belt, Eastern Michigan has played just one game and that was last Wednesday against Michigan State. The Eagles did manage to cover as 22.5-point dogs in a 16-point loss, but it really felt like the Spartans were toying with Eastern Michigan. I definitely think not playing for more than a week is a disadvantage this early in the season. I also think that cover against Mich St has them getting a little too much love here. Give me Toledo -2.5! 

40* COLLEGE HOOPS SHARP STAKE (Oklahoma -15) 

I think this is too good a price to pass up with Oklahoma. Sooners have yet to take the court this season and I think that's playing into the favorable number. Oklahoma just seems to always get overlooked in the Big 12. No one was giving them any shot of making the tournament last year and they won 19 games and were on the bubble to make the field. This is a much better team than they had a year ago. As for UTSA, they are 1-1. Their win was against Texas Permian Basin. They lost to UT Rio Grande Valley by 17. A team that was ranked 224 in KenPom going into that matchup. These two programs have played each other each of the last 3 seasons and all 3 ended in Oklahoma wins by more than the number here. Give me the Sooners -15! 

50* NCAAB NON-CONF PLAY OF THE MONTH (UCLA -19.5) 

This feels like the perfect spot to buy low on UCLA. The Bruins haven't exactly impressed in their first two games. They opened the season getting destroyed by San Diego State 73-58. They then needed 3OT to get past Pepperdine 107-98. It has a lot of people hesitant to lay a big number with the Bruins against Seattle, but I think they not only cover it, but cover rather easily. For the first time this season UCLA will have Jalen Hill on the court. They also might get their first action out of Kentucky transfer Johnny Juzang. With their first conference game on deck Sunday against Cal, Bruins will be motivated here to show out. Give me UCLA -19.5! 

40* PROVIDENCE/ALABAMA NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Alabama -2) 

We cashed on Alabama last night as they came alive from behind the 3-point line in a 86-74 win over UNLV. When the Crimson Tide hit their shots from deep with the pace they play at, they are extremely tough to beat. As for Providence, I expected more out of the Friars to start this season. I just don't think they are that good. They beat a bad Fairfield team and then got routed by Indiana, who looked awful against Texas. As long as the Tide don't go ice cold we should cash easy. Give me Alabama -2! 

50* BALL ST/MICHIGAN *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Ball State +15.5) 

I will gladly take 15.5 points with Ball State against Michigan. I just don't know how the Wolverines can be this big a favorite against a quality Cardinals team after needing overtime to beat an awful Oakland team. The same Oakland team that lost by 52 to Xavier to open the season and the next game after Michigan lost by 43 to Purdue. Most will say that the Wolverines didn't show up for that game against Oakland. If they are as good as they say, they should have beat Oakland by 20 with their "C" game. Give me Ball State +15.5! 

40* ST. JOHN'S/BYU NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (St. John's +1.5)

I made the mistake going against St. John's against BC. I won't make that mistake here against BYU. No way should the Red Storm be a dog against the Cougars. BYU started out 3-0 against a bunch of cupcakes. They finally played a good team last night in USC and got annihilated 79-53. I just don't see BYU being able to keep pace with St. John's. You got to be able to score against the Red Storm and that press attack. Give me St. John's +1.5! 

40* UNLV/ALABAMA NCAAB SLAUGHTER (Alabama -10) 

We cashed in Alabama in their opener against Jacksonville State, as they won by 24 as a 21-point favorite. Definitely had to sweat it out, but we shouldn't have. Crimson Tide shot just 7 of 31 (23%) from deep. They again couldn't buy a bucked from long distance in yesterday's loss to Stanford, going just 7 of 29 (24%) in a lopsided 82-64 loss. 

I think that setback will serve as a wakeup call for the Crimson Tide and have them 100% locked in here against a mediocre UNLV team. Rebels have allowed 44.7% shooting from deep in their first two games. Have to like Alabama getting on track here. Rebels allow 84.5 ppg and are only averaging 64.5 ppg. I just think we are getting a nice little discount on Alabama in this one. Give me the Crimson Tide -10! 

40* S DAKOTA/NEBRASKA NCAAB NO-BRAINER (Nebraska -13) 

I believe we are getting quite the discount with Nebraska. While Cornhusker fans are still waiting on football head coach Scott Frost to make them relevant again, I think we could be in for a breakout year for Nebraska under second year head coach Fred Hoiberg. 

As he did in his time with Iowa State, Hoiberg has hit the transfer portal extremely hard for a quick fix. I know it's early, but it looks like he's worked his magic in Lincoln. Dalano Banton (WKU), Teddy Allen (W Virginia), Lat Mayen (TCU), Trey McGowens (Pitt), Shamiel Stevenson (Pitt) and Kobe Webster (W Illinois) are the new faces. Banton, Allen and Webster all scored in double figures of their loss to Nevada. 

That game against the Wolf Pack really showed me something. I see no reason why Nebraska can't have their way with South Dakota, who in it's first two games have lost by 23 to Colorado and by 16 to Drake. Coyotes have really struggled to score and that doesn't figure to change in this one. Give me Nebraska -13! 

40* OKLAHOMA ST/MARQUETTE NCAAB SHARP STAKE (OVER 147.5) 

Both of these teams want to run and gun. Oklahoma State is averaging 80.0 ppg and are attempting 24 3-point shots/game, making an average of 8. Marquette is at 87.0 ppg with 22 3-point attempts and 9 makes per game. Only reason Marquette games haven't been higher scoring is they have played two dud offenses in Ark-Pine Bluff and E Illinois. Both shot worse than 28% from the field against the Golden Eagles. 

Similar story two Oklahoma State, who has played a couple of poor offenses in Texas-Arlington and Texas Southern. I just don't think either of these teams will be able to stop the other from scoring and the only reason this total isn't pushing 155 is because of the misleading defensive numbers these two have posted. Give me the OVER 147.5! 

50* UNC/STANFORD NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 143.5)

I'm confident we are going to get a shootout in Tuesday's matchup between North Carolina and Stanford. The Tar Heels come in ranked No. 14 and have looked impressive early on on the offensive side of the ball. As you would expect, UNC wants to play fast and use all that athleticism to their advantage.

I got a feeling the Cardinal will be happy to play up-tempo. They just put up 82 points on Alabama and not many like to play at the frantic pace of the Crimson Tide. Only reason that game didn't get into the 150's was Alabama shot 7 of 29 from deep. I would be shocked if both teams don't eclipse 70 points. This total should be closer to 150. Give me the OVER 143.5! 

50* TEXAS/INDIANA EARLY BIRD *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Indiana -2) 

I cashed the UNDER in the Indiana/Providence game yesterday and I came away really impressed with what I saw out of that Hoosiers team. No one was really giving this Indiana team much respect coming into the year. Hoosiers weren't ranked and picked by many to finish in the bottom half of the Big Ten standings. 

I see a team to watch out for. Indiana did return 4 starters from a team that won 20 games. Beat a lot of good teams, just couldn't win on the road (a lot easier to do this year with no fans). They got a star Trayce Jackson-Davis and what looks like one of the more improved players in the conference in Race Thompson. This team just made a good Providence team look really bad. 

No disrespect to Texas, who I think is going to be a force in the Big 12, but I just don't know if they are as good as people think. They just barely held on to beat Davidson 78-76 and the stat that really stood out to me is they allowed the Wildcats to shoot 78% (21-27) on two-point shots. They also only blocked 1 shot. That tells me their defense is really lacking inside and that's a problem against this Indiana team. Give me the Hoosiers -2! 

40* LOYOLA MARYMOUNT/MINNESOTA NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Loyola Marymount +14) 

This is an interesting situation that I feel presents some value with the underdog. Minnesota and Loyola Marymount will be playing against each other for the second time in 3 days, as these two played each other on Friday at Minnesota. There's a Covid rule with the state that only allows the Gophers to play one opponent at home over a 3-day stretch, so that's why they are playing the Lions again. 

This situation presents itself in the NBA and there's usually value with the team who lost the first meeting. It makes sense. It will be tough for Minnesota to get up for this game having already beat this same team a couple days ago. As for Loyola, they should be fired up for this one. The Lions more than proved to themselves that they can hang with this Gophers team. They only lost by 15 and that was with Minnesota shooting over 50% from behind the 3-point line and Loyola -8 in the turnover department. Give me the Lions +14! 

50* TEXAS ST/MISSISSIPPI ST NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Miss St -6.5)

I think we are getting an exceptional price here on the Bulldogs as a single-digit favorite against the Bobcats. Mississippi State comes in 0-2 SU and 0-2 ATS, which has definitely created this buy-low spot. I was on Clemson in their opening loss and wasn't shocked they fell to Liberty, who has shown on multiple occasions it can hang with the middle of the pack in the Power 5. 

It's also important to note that while Mississippi State lost and failed to cover in each of their first two, they were in both of those games and could easily be 2-0. Texas State has played no body. If anything there's reason to be pessimistic with them only beating Texas A&M CC by just 12 points. I look for the size and athleticism of the Bulldogs to be too much for the Bobcats to handle. Give me Mississippi State -6.5!

40* ST. JOHN'S/BC NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Boston College PK)

I think we are getting a great price here with Boston College at only a pick'em against St. John's. The Red Storm are 2-0, but have been far from impressive with a mere 76-75 win over St. Peter's and a 82-65 win against La Salle. Both of which rank outside the Top 150 for me. 

BC is a team I had my eye on coming into this year and while they are just 1-1 to start, they have looked the part of a team on the rise. The Eagles gave Villanova all they could handle before eventually losing by 9 (67-76). They put that loss behind them and the very next day beat a good Rhode Island team 69-64. 

I also think turnovers could play a big role in this one. St John's has not taken great care of the ball, as they are averaging 18 turnovers/game. A mark that's high given the talent they have played. Eagles only average 12.5 turnovers. Give me the Eagles PK! 

40* N TEXAS/ARKANSAS CBB STEAMROLLER (Over 142.5) 

Don't be fooled by the fact that Arkansas only brings back 1 starter. The Razorbacks have a great coach in Eric Musselman and have went out and retooled the roster with 6 transfers and 4 freshman. They put up a 142 points in their opener against Mississippi Valley State. They didn't just feast inside. Arkansas shot 20 of 40 (50%) from deep. 

Clearly this team wants to run and gun this season. While that's not quite the style of North Texas, I think the Mean Green are more than capable of playing at a faster pace. They too opened against Miss Valley State. They scored 116 and made 21 3-pointers. North Texas has 4 of their top 6 scorers back and one of the best players in C-USA in senior Javion Hamlet.

I think these two will easily hit the 150 mark. Give me the OVER 142.5! 

40* COLORADO/K-STATE NCAAB NO-BRAINER (Colorado -5) 

I got no problem laying 5-points on the road with Colorado against a bad Kansas State team. The Wildcats were the worst team in the Big 12 a year ago and figure to remain in the basement of the conference this season. They certainly looked the part of a bottom feeder in their opener, as they lost at home to Drake by double-digits. The Buffaloes easily have the best player on the floor in senior guard McKinley Wright IV. He had 20 in Colorado's 23-point win over South Dakota in their opener. I look for the Buffs to really control this game from the start. Give me Colorado -5! 

40* UTAH ST/UNI NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Northern Iowa -2.5) 

Really tough loss with UNI yesterday, as they were in control the majority of that game and blew in the last few minutes. That's not going to stop me from taking them as a small favorite here against Utah State. I just don't see the Panthers starting out 0-3, especially against this Aggies team that has not been competitive in it's first two games. Utah State lost by 16 to VCU on Wednesday and by 24 yesterday to South Dakota State. Aggies allowed both teams to shoot over 50% from the field. I really think this line should be closer to double-digits. Give me UNI -2.5! 

40* UNI/ST. MARY'S NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Northern Iowa -1) 

I really like the value here with UNI at basically a pick'em against St. Mary's. Both teams lost their opener yesterday. The Panthers fell 87-93 to WKU, while the Gaels suffered a 73-56 loss at the hands of Memphis. 

I think St. Mary's is getting a bit of a pass for their lopsided loss because it came against a good Memphis team, but that game was never close. I also think the Gaels are overvalued coming off their great season last year. 

Keep in mind that St. Mary's lost their two best players in Jordan Ford and Malik Fitts. Ford led the team with 21.9 ppg and Fitts was second best at 16.5 ppg. No other player averaged in double-figures. They also lost 3rd leading scorer tanner Krebs. Those 3 combined to make 204 3-pointers. The rest of the team accounted for 72. No surprise the Gaels went just 1-18 from deep against memphis. 

UNI returns two All-Conference players out of the MVC and are one of the favorites to win that conference. They are going to have a massive edge from deep in this game. They were 20 of 39 from behind the 3-point line against a very good WKU team that should win C-USA. Give me the Panthers -1! 

40* NCAAB OPENING DAY NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Alabama -20) 

Alabama was a team I was on quite a bit last year and one that I like a lot going into this season. While The Crimson Tide did lose a NBA 1st round draft pick in Kira Lewis, they have 4 starters returning and have made some key roster moves. 

Head coach Nate Oats inherited a roster that was meant to play traditional with 2 bigs, but he's more of a small ball guy that wants to push the pace and play just one big who can run, shoot and defend. He got rid of guys that didn't fit and added guys that do. I think we could see Alabama play even faster this year. 

I don't think Jacksonville State has the slightest idea of what they are about to be up against. The Jaguars only went 13-19 last season and lost 4 of 5 starters from that team. With the pace of play that Alabama plays at, I think the margin here could get out of hand. Give me the Crimson Tide -20! 

50* NCAAB OPENING DAY *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Clemson -3.5) 

I will gladly lay a short number here with Clemson against Mississippi State. I just feel like the Bulldogs are primed to take a step back, while the Tigers are a team that is trending up in the ACC. 

Mississippi State won 20 games last year, but lost two studs in Reggie Perry and Robert Woodward. Both of which were taken recently in the NBA draft. Perry averaged 17.4 ppg, 10.1 rpg, 1.2 bpg. Woodward averaged 11.4 ppg, 6.5 rpg and 1.1 bpg. These are two guys that impacted the game on both sides in a big way. Perry was 6'10 and Woodward was 6'7. Hard to find big guys with that much talent when you aren't bringing in 5* recruits. 

As for Clemson, they went just 16-15 last year, but it was better than most expected. Tigers only had 1 starter back and had 3 key guys go down to injury. That to me is a sign of great coaching and some underrated guys on the roster. 

With 4 starters back and those guys that missed time a year ago, this is a Clemson team that could and should make the NCAA Tournament. Give me the Tigers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Indiana -14) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers laying double-digits against Nebraska in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. I played against the Cornhuskers in their finale at Minnesota, which they lost by a final score of 107-75 to a struggling Gophers team. Indiana has lost 3 of 4, but two of those were on the road to Illinois and Purdue and the other was a game they should have won at home against Wisconsin. 

Big reason I played against Nebraska in the finale against Minnesota is guards Dachon Burke Jr and Cam Mack were both suspended. Burke is definitely out and Mack is also not expected to play. Cornhuskers had little chance with those guys on the floor and without them they would need to shoot lights out to keep this close. Give me the Hoosiers -14!

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Oklahoma State -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cowboys as a 6.5-point favorite against the Cyclones. Iowa State is way down this year and have really struggled down the stretch after losing by far their best player in Tyrese Haliburton. Now they are likely to play without 2nd leading scorer Rasir Bolton and 4th leading scoring Prentiss Nixon figures to be playing at less than 100%. Note that any success ISU has had of late is on the road and while the Big 12 tournament has often felt like a home game for the Cyclones, I don't see it this year with how bad the team is. Oklahoma State started out 0-6 in Big 12 play, but finished 7-5 over their last 12 conference games and have won 3 straight going into this one. Give me the Cowboys -6.5! 

40* UNC/VA TECH ACC TOURNAMENT NO-BRAINER (UNC -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Tar Heels winning by 5 or more in the opening round of the ACC Tournament. You won't find many teams that go 6-14 in conference play, who enter their conference tournament with more confidence than UNC. The Tar Heels got healthy down the stretch and more than showed they can hang with the big boys in the ACC. Given that they have to win the ACC Tournament to get into the NCAA Tournament, the Tar Heels are going to play inspired. Va Tech needed double-overtime to beat UNC back on Jan. 22 and the Tar Heels were down both Cole Anthony and Brandon Robinson. UNC is simply the more talented team and playing the better basketball. Give me the Tar Heels -4! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Iowa +3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a 3.5-point home dog against the Fighting Illini. A double-bye is on the line in the Big Ten Tournament and while Illinois has been tough at home, I just feel that Iowa is the better team. Hawks also will have had two more days to prepare, as they last played on Tuesday, while the Illini had to travel to Ohio STate on Thursday. I played the Buckeyes in that game, as I wasn't buying the recent 4-game win streak for Illinois. I just don't think the offense is good enough to hang with what should be an extremely motivated Iowa side. Also got to love this line, as it's begging the public to take Illini as a small home favorite. Give me Iowa +3.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Tulsa +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Golden Hurricane at least covering the 6.5-point spread at Wichita State and wouldn't be shocked at all if Tulsa won this game outright. With a win here the Golden Hurricane can clinch the outright AAC regular-season title. I think they are the better offensive team and statistically are the top defense in the American. Wichita State is getting a lot of love for their great home record, but a lot of their success at home came early in the year. Give me Tulsa +6.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas A&M +3) 

I'll take my chances with the Aggies as a home dog against the Razorbacks. Texas A&M has really been playing well down the stretch. They are 4-2 over their last 6 games with their only two losses coming on the road at LSU and at home against Kentucky. They just won at Auburn in their last game. Arkansas is off a big home win over LSU and have to be running on fumes here. AFter playing a game against Georgia last Saturday that saw 188 combined points, their game against the Tigers 3 days ago had 189. Razorbacks have also lost 4 straight on the road. Give me Texas A&M +3!

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Kansas State -5.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Cyclones. I've been fading ISU on the reg on the road since they lost Haliburton. They are just 2-8 ATS away from home on the season and have not been competitive away from home without their best player. Big reason we are getting value with K-State is the Wildcats come in having lost 10 straight. That losing streak comes to an end on senior day. Give me Kansas State -5.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (USC -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Trojans as a small home favorite against the Bruins. I've been on UCLA a ton down the stretch with a lot of success, but I feel like it's time to jump ship and fade them in this spot. USC is an outstanding home team and are finally back healthy. USC already beat UCLA on the road and defensively they made life miserable for the Bruins. Given how good the Trojans defense has been of late on their home floor, I see no reason why they shouldn't find a way to win this game. Give me USC -2.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Purdue -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Boilermakers laying a mere 5-points at home against the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers is getting a ton of love here off an impressive home win over Maryland, which also happened to be the Scarlet Knights senior night. Rutgers is a different team on the road, where they are just 1-10 this season with the only win coming at Nebraska. Purdue only lost by 7 on the road at Rutgers and that revenge is definitely a plus in this one. Boilermakers also playing well right now and will be motivated for their senior day. Give me Purdue -5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Memphis -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Shockers. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Tigers at home. Memphis is 14-3 at home this season and will be plenty motivated after losing at Wichita State earlier this season. Shockers come in having won 5 of their last 6, but I still don't trust this team, especially on the road. Give me Memphis -1.5! 

40* NCAAB - BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Ohio State -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Buckeyes as a slim 5.5-point home favorite against the Fighting Illini. Ohio State was the talk of the Big Ten at when they opened up the season 11-1, but they proceeded to go 1-6 over their next 7 games. Most people wrote them off. That was a mistake. Buckeyes are back and have won 3 straight and 8 of their last 10 overall. Illinois has won 4 straight, but two of those were against bottom feeders Nebraska and Northwestern and they just barely beat Indiana at home by 1 last time out. Give me the Buckeyes -5.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Virginia -2)

I'll take my chances here with the Cavaliers as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Hurricanes. I'm not sure why Virginia isn't getting more love here. I get they are off a big win over Duke, but they are rolling right now and there's plenty of motivation to stay on task with a shot of winning the ACC regular-season title still in the mix. Miami has had to play each of their last 3 on the road. They will be happy to return home, but the offense is struggling and I could see them having a miserable time scoring against Virginia in this one. Give me the Cavaliers -2! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Indiana -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers as a small 3.5-point home dog. I think we are getting a good price here with Indiana due to them coming off back-to-back road losses. Hoosiers are 14-3 at home and are taking on a Minnesota team that is struggling. Gophers have lost 7 of their last 9 and are 3-9 away from home this season. Indiana is much better home team than they are at home and they beat Minnesota by 12 on the road. Give me the Hoosiers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a 5-point home favorite against Purdue. Iowa is undefeated at home in Big Ten play and winning by a wide margin. They will be especially motivated for this game, as they have not forgot about their 68-104 loss at Purdue almost a month ago. Easily the worst loss of the season for the Hawks. Give me Iowa -5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (W Virginia -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mountaineers laying 6 at ISU tonight. West Virginia has hit hard times. A team that was once 18-4 and 6-3 in the Big 12 is now 19-10 and has a losing record at 7-9 in league play. I still trust the talent on this Mountaineers team and I think they are going to find a way to win on the road against ISU. Cyclones are nothing without Haliburton and playing at home won't save them in this matchup. Give me West Virginia -6! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Texas +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Longhorns as a 6.5-point dog against Oklahoma. I just feel like this is too good a price to pass up with Texas given how well they are playing right now. Longhorns have won 4 straight and just beat Texas Tech by double-digits on the road. Not saying they will win here, but I expect it to be close. Give me Texas +6.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS BOOKIE DESTROYER (North Carolina -7) 

I'll take my chances here with UNC laying 7-points at home against Wake Forest. Big revenge game for the Tar Heels, who recently lost at WF by 17, though that was a bit to be expected, as they were just two days removed from a crushing OT loss to rival Duke. Tar Heels are playing their best ball of the season right now. They followed up a big home win over NC State with a 92-79 thrashing of the Orange in Syracuse. GIve me the Tar Heels -7! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN PLAY OF THE MONTH (Rutgers -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Terps. This is just too good a price to pass up on Rutgers at home. Scarlet Knights are 17-1 at home. They are also 8-1 ATS this season when revenging a road loss. Give me Rutgers -1

40* DUKE/NC STATE NCAAB ATS SLAUGHTER (Duke -12)

I'll take my chances here with the Blue Devils covering the big number at home against NC State. I was actually surprised to see the public being all over the Wolfpack. Sure, Duke has lost 3 of 4, including a 22-point (66-88) loss at NC State back on Feb. 19. If anything, that makes me like the Blue Devils more in this spot. 

Duke is locked into a double-bye for the ACC Tournament, but need to get back on track with a win for their seeding in the Big Dance. Let's also not overlook that all 3 losses during this recent bad run have came on the road and one was a double-OT loss and the other was by 2 at Virginia. I'm confident Duke steps up here they 6-0 at home against teams not named FSU, Louisville and Virginia. All 6 have come by at least 12 points and 5 of the 6 have been by 24 or more with 4 by 30 or more. Give me Duke -12! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Louisville -12.5) 

I'll take my chances here and lay the big number with the Cardinals at home against the Hokies. Louisville is sitting tied on top the ACC standings with FSU at 14-4, but due to losing both meetings with the Seminoles, they need to finish ahead of them to win the league outright. The most recent game was a 67-82 loss at FSU, but that was on Monday, so the Cards are well rested here.

Same can't be said for Virginia Tech, who just suffered a crushing 53-56 loss at home to in-state rival Virginia on Wednesday. I just don't trust the Hokies to show up in this spot and this a team that has struggled on the road against the top teams losing by 26 at Virginia and by 24 at Duke (didn't play FSU on the road, but did lose by 11 at home to Seminoles). They also lost by double-digits at Miami and Georgia Tech. Give me the Cardinals -12.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Michigan +3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines getting their revenge against the Buckeyes and easily covering as a 3.5-point road dog. These two played just about a month ago (2/4) at Michigan. Ohio State won 61-58, but that was with the Wolverines not having the services of Livers, who is back healthy. Michigan did just lose at home to Wisconsin, but that was more of the Badgers just not missing. Wisconsin shot 54% from the field and 48% from deep (made 11 3's). 

Wolverines had won 5 straight prior to that setback and have really thrived away from home of late. Michigan has won 5 straight away from home in Big Ten play. Give me the Wolverines +3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Illinois -5.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Fighting Illini laying just 5.5-points at home against the Hoosiers. Indiana is probably my favorite team in the Big Ten to play on at home and to fade on the road. I see this as an easy fade of the Hoosiers. 

Illinois has regained some of their mojo of late, as they come in having won 3 straight. While the last two were against the two bottom feeders in Northwestern and Nebraska, the streak started out with a big road win at Penn State. Indiana just lost by 8 at Purdue and were lucky it wasn't a lot worse, as they scored just 49 points on 25% shooting. Give me Illinois -5.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Creighton -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bluejays as a mere 4.5-point road favorite against the Red Storm. I just think St. John's is getting a little too much love in this one. The Red Storm are a solid home team and in their last two home games they lost by just 3 to Xavier and upset Providence. 

Thing is they forced both of those teams into 20+ turnovers, which is what St. John's has to do to be competitive. Their defense really struggles to get stops when they don't take the ball away. That's why this is such a horrible matchup. Creighton takes excellent care of the ball. They only had 11 turnovers in the first meeting with the Red Storm and they won that game by 12, scoring 94 points on 60% shooting. If it wasn't for 16 offensive rebounds, Bluejays would have won by 20+

With Creighton needing to win out for a shot at the Big East title, I just don't see them slipping up here. Give me the Bluejays -4.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UCLA +2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with UCLA as a home dog against the Wildcats. The Bruins have had quite the midseason turnaround. Just about everyone was writing this team off when they opened up Pac-12 play at 1-3 and fell to 8-9 overall. They have won 10 of their last 11 since that mark and sitting tied on top the Pac-12 standings at 11-5. Arizona is a good team, but are just 9-6 in conference play and have struggled on the road and enter having lost their last 2. They also lost by 13 at home to UCLA earlier this month. Give me the Bruins +2.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS ANNIHILATOR (Alabama -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide covering as a 5-point home favorite against the Gamecocks. ALabama is going to be highly motivated off a loss at Mississippi State and this is really a different team at home. South Carolina is off a grueling 94-90 OT win at home against Georgia and will be on just two days of rest. That's a problem against the frantic pace of the Tide. Give me Alabama -5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Maryland -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Terps laying a mere 2.5-points at home against the Spartans. I get Maryland stole a game at Michigan State earlier this season, but that's a positive more than a negative in the rematch at home, where the Terps are a perfect 15-0 this season. Maryland can also clinch at least a share of the Big Ten regular season title with a win. Give me the Terps -2.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Oklahoma State -7)

I'll take my chances here with the Cowboys laying it on the Cyclones and covering the 7-point spread at home. I like Oklahoma State to win here by double-digits. ISU has won a couple games at home without their best player in Haliburton, but that's just because they have such a great home court edge and teams probably not giving them their full attention. It's been a different story on the road and this Oklahoma State team has been playing much better of late and will be out for revenge. Give me the Cowboys -7! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange cashing in a win and cover as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Tar Heels. UNC has been playing a lot better of late and just knocked off NC State, but this is a really tough spot and matchup for them. Tar Heels don't have a lot of outside shooting and that's the one thing you really need to attack the Orange 2-3 zone. This is also the final home game for Syracuse and the Carrier Dome is already one of the tougher places to play. Give me the Orange -4.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Notre Dame -2)

I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Irish as a slim 2-point road favorite against Wake Forest. This is the ideal spot to fade the Demon Deacons and I was on WF in their upset win at home over Duke. That was going to be a tough game to bounce back from no matter the result, but even more so having won and the game went to OT. Notre Dame has won 3 straight and 6 of 8 overall with one of those an OT loss at Virginia. Irish clearly playing their best ball of the season at the right time. Give me Notre Dame -2! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 144.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 144.5 between Nebraska and Ohio State. The Buckeyes put up 80 on the Cornhuskers at home earlier this season and with the free fall that Nebraska is on right now, I could see them topping that mark in this one. Cornhuskers are allowing 81.2 ppg on 47% shooting in their last 5. Last two at home they have allowed 86 to Michigan State and a staggering 81 to Wisconsin. 

Other big key here is Ohio State's defense has really regressed over the season. Buckeyes are 11th in the Big Ten in defensive efficiency and 12th in effective field goal defense. Nebraska is due for a big offensive night and all we need is for them to flirt with 70 to cash. Give me the OVER 144.5!