50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Purdue -6) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Boilermakers as a 6-point home favorite against the Hoosiers. I think this is the perfect spot to sell high on Indiana. Hoosiers are fresh off a big 68-60 home win over Penn State and prior to that won at Minnesota. I just feel like it's covering up who Indiana truly is on the road and that's a bad team. Hoosiers are 2-6 in true road games and their losses on the road are by nearly 16 ppg. Purdue's one of the toughest places to play in the country and I see them winning by double-digits rather easy. Give me the Boilermakers -6! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Florida -5)

I'll take my chances here with the Gators as a 5-point home favorite against the Tigers. Florida is going to be eager to get back on the court after a hard fought loss at Kentucky on Saturday. Gators had won 3 straight prior and are 10-3 at home this season. 

LSU is off a win at South Carolina, but I just think the Tigers are overvalued right now. LSU opened up SEC play at 8-0 with a bunch of close wins. Those late breaks have quit going their way. Tigers have lost 4 of 6 with 3 of those losses on the road. Give me Florida -5! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Syracuse +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange at basically a pick'em on the road against the Panthers. Syracuse turned a double-digit deficit in the 1st half into a 79-72 win at home on Saturday. That win snapped a 3-game skid and I believe it will be the spark they needed to close out strong. 

Pitt has lost 4 straight and are off a gut-wrenching 3-point loss at home to Virginia. I just don't see the Panthers being able to keep pace in this one. You need to be able to hit the 3-ball against the Orange 2-3 zone and Pitt ranks 332nd in 3-point shooting at 29.2%. Give me Syracuse +1! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (S Carolina -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gamecocks as a small home favorite against the Bulldogs. This is it for South Carolina. If they want to stay on the bubble they have to win this one at home against Georgia. I believe they will do just that. We know they are going to play hard after giving up 86 in a loss at home to LSU on Saturday. Gamecocks already beat the Bulldogs 76-69 on the road back on Feb. 12 and seeing how Georgia's only SEC road win is against Vanderbilt, it's hard seeing a different outcome. Give me South Carolina -5.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Texas Tech -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders covering as a slim 3-point road favorite against the Sooners. Texas Tech has won 5 of 6 and finishing the season strong is exactly what Chris Beard's team did a year ago. Red Raiders just owned ISU 87-57 on the road and I just think it's worth a shot to roll them here, especially with Oklahoma coming in having lost 3 straight, most recently getting annihilated by 17 on the road to in-state rival Oklahoma State. Give me Texas Tech -3! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Miss State -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs cashing in at home as a small 3.5-point favorite against the Crimson Tide. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Mississippi State and the value here stems from Alabama coming off a big 103-78 win at Ole Miss. I just don't trust the tide on the road and I think we are going to see the Bulldogs playing with a chip on their shoulder from an earlier 20-point loss to the Tide. Give me Mississippi State -3.5! 

50* NCAAB ACC PLAY OF THE YEAR (North Carolina -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Tar Heels laying a short number at home. North Carolina has lost all 7 games since star freshman Cole Anthony returned from injury, but there's no doubt they are playing better with him. UNC simply couldn't be more unlucky in this 7-game skid. They have 5 losses in this stretch by 6 or fewer, with several defeats coming on a last second shot. 

They did just get annihilated at Louisville 55-72, but Garrison Brooks was a late scratch due to being sick. He should be good to go for this one and I think we see UNC lay it all on the line to beat their in-state rival. It also helps this is a tough spot for the Wolfpack off a crushing 61-67 loss at home to FSU. Give me the Tar Heels -2.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 136.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 136.5 between Xavier and DePaul. These two teams played once already and combined for just 126 points, staying UNDER the mark of 139. Given how much both offenses struggled to score, especially inside, I see no reason to not take UNDER at this price. 

Also, Xavier is playing to a lot lower scoring games right now. Over the last month they have basically started 3 big men. That's bad for offense and great for defense. It also slows the game way down. Give me the UNDER 136.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Wake Forest +11.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Wake Forest as a 11.5-point home dog against Duke. There's no question the line here has been inflated on the Blue Devils with how big a public play they are. Add in the fact that Duke beat this same WF team by 31 at home earlier and no one is going to want to play the Demon Deacons here. 

Thing is, Blue Devils just haven't played great at home. THey are just 1-5-1 ATS in their 7 conference games. You also can't read too much into how bad they beat a team at home. We saw them beat Boston College by 39 points (88-49) at home and then later only beat them by 8 on the road. Give me Wake Forest +11.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 151.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 151.5 between Michigan State and Iowa. The Spartans have made a switch to a smaller lineup and the offense really responded well to the new look with 86 points on the road at Nebraska. I think there's a really good shot they put up at least 85 in this one. Iowa's defense is not good and it's really bad on the road. 

The one thing with the small ball lineup for the Spartans is that is does make them vulnerable inside on defense and Iowa has an absolute star in Garza. I think all we need is for the Hawks to hit 70 points for an easy cash. Give me the OVER 151.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (FSU -2.5) 

I'll take the bait and take my chances here with Florida State as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Cardinals. The Seminoles are getting no love here at all. I get Louisville is sitting on top the ACC standings, but Florida State went on the road and beat this Cardinals team 78-65. They did so in impressive fashion, scoring at will on the offensive side (shot 55%) and really made things difficult for Louisville's offense. 

Now they get to host the Cardinals for a chance to move into 1st place and let's not forget the Seminoles have won 21 straight at home. How do you not take them when the line is basically a pick'em. I get Louisville has won their last two in blowout fashion, but both were at home and the Cards are a mere 2-8 ATS last 3 seasons when off 2 wins by 15+ points. Give me the Seminoles -2.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wisconsin -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Badgers laying a short number at home against the Scarlet Knights. Wisconsin has won 3 straight and are extremely tough to beat at home. That makes this a great matchup. Rutgers is a team that has been outstanding at home, but has had their struggles on the road. Scarlet Knights also come in having lost 4 of their last 6 with one of the two wins coming in OT at home to Northwestern. Give me the Badgers -4.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cincinnati -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bearcats as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Shockers. I think we are getting a great price on Cincinnati at home. Wichita State has won 3 straight, but it's come against teams all in the bottom half of the AAC. Shockers have struggled with the top tier teams in this league, especially on the road. Bearcats will be 100% locked in for this one off a home loss to UCF. Give me Cincinnati -4! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Texas Tech -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Red Raiders getting a win and cover as a slim 5-point road favorite against the Cyclones. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Texas Tech against a ISU team that is without not just their best player but one of the best in the country in Tyrese Haliburton. Even when they had Haliburton the Cyclones struggled at home against the top teams in the conference. Without him I don't give them much of a shot, especially with Tech surging right now. Red Raiders are 4-1 over their last 5. Give me Texas Tech -5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Syracuse -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange easily covering the 5.5-point spread at home against the Yellow Jackets. I see this as the perfect time to buy low on Syracuse, who has lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. It's really been a brutal scheduling stretch for the Orange, which is why I'm confident they bounce back at home against a team like Georgia Tech. Note these two already played once this season and it wasn't close with Syracuse winning 97-63 as a 3-point road dog. Give me the Orange -5.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Florida State -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Seminoles going on the road and getting a big win over NC State. I just don't like this spot for the Wolfpack. NC State just played their best game of the season in a 88-66 win at home over Duke. The game before they lost at BC and their previous home game was a 20-point set back to Louisville. I just don't see the Wolfpack being able to play at the level they did against Duke in back-to-back games. FSU is too good and will not be overlooking NC State in this one. GIve me the Seminoles -1! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOODBATH (Purdue -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Purdue as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Wolverines. I just think Michigan is getting a little too much love in this one, having won and covered 4 straight. You also got the Boilermakers having lost 3 straight. I look for Purdue to bounce back in a big way at home, where they are 10-3 this season. 

Michigan is 0-6 ATS last 6 when covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, while Purdue is 6-0 ATS last 6 at home after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more straight games. Give me the Boilermakers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 135) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Thursday's Pac-12 clash between UCLA and Utah. Unless you stay up late or follow the Pac-12 real close, chances are you aren't aware of how much better the Bruins are playing down the stretch. Most expected a smoother transition under first year head coach Mick Cronin, but it just didn't happen. 

Players have bought in. UCLA has won 7 of their last 9 and are quietly sitting just 1-game back of 1st place in the Pac-12. Their defense, as you would expect under Cronin, has gotten better and better. I think that's why there's so much value with the total here. UCLA has allowed under 60 points 5 times in their last 8 games. Utah only averages 63.6 ppg in Pac-12 play and a mere 58.8 ppg in their last 5. Give me the UNDER 135! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Ohio State +3) 

I'll take my chances here with Ohio State coming away with a cover as a small 3-point dog against the Hawkeyes. I just feel like this is a good time to sell high on the Hawkeyes. Iowa won a game at Minnesota on Sunday they had no business winning. I think the loss of C.J. Fredrick really hurts them. As good as Garza is, and he's really good, there's not much else for scoring options. He's got to be great for them to even have a shot and lately it hasn't been good enough. 

The Buckeyes are a team that started hot and then hit a wall, but it looks like they are rounding back into early form. Ohio State has won 5 of their last 6, which includes a road win at Michigan. Ohio State should have no problem scoring here. Buckeyes shoot the 3-ball extremely well and Iowa's defense can be exploited from deep. I like OHio State to win a shootout on the road. Give me the Buckeyes +3! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Washington St -5.5)

I'll take my chances here with Washington State covering as a 5.5-point home favorite against Cal. I think the value here with the Cougars stems from the perception that this is an evenly matched game between two of the bottom feeders in the Pac-12. 

I just don't see it that way. Washington State is tied for the 3rd worst mark in the conference at 5-8, but have a big home court edge. The Cougars are 11-3 at home on the season, which includes wins over Oregon, Oregon St, Arizona St and Washington (3 of those by double-digits). 

Cal hasn't won a road game all season. Golden Bears are 0-9 away from home, where they are getting outscored by 16.6 ppg. I'm not the biggest fan of taking bad teams, but I just see too much value here to pass up a play. Give me Washington State -5.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS KNOCKOUT (Mississippi St -5.5)

I'll take my chances here with Mississippi State covering as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Gamecocks. The Bulldogs have really been playing well for a while now. That is outside a horrific 2nd half at in-state rival Ole Miss, where 34-33 halftime lead ended up in a 58-83 loss. That's the only bad game in their last 10. They are 7-3 over this stretch with the other two losses coming away from home against Oklahoma and Kentucky. 

I think it really says a lot about this Mississippi State team with how they were able to respond from that ugly 2nd half against Ole Miss by going on the road and defeating Arkansas. 

As for South Carolina, I just don't like the outside distractions with the allegations that have recently been made public with them breaking violations. I get they pulled out a last second win over Tennessee in the first game since the news broke, but it doesn't change my thought on this team. I think they have a real tough time here matching the intensity of the Bulldogs. Give me Mississippi State -5.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Miami +4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hurricanes as a 4-point road dog against Virginia Tech. Miami has won their last two games in blowout fashion, beating BC 85-58 and Wake Forest 71-54. Because neither of those opponents are all that great and both were at home, I still don't think the perception of the Hurricanes is very good right now. Prior to these two wins they had gone just 3-10 to start out ACC play. 

What people will fail to realize who don't follow this team closely, is the fact that Miami has dealt with a ton of injuries and are as healthy as they have been in a long while. Seeing how they beat Va Tech shorthanded earlier this year by 10 at home, I see no reason why they can't win this game on the road. Hokies are off a win, but it was against Pitt and had lost 5 straight prior to that victory. Give me Miami +4! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS BLOWOUT (Drake -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Drake covering as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Crusaders. Both of these teams are sitting at 7-7 in MVC play, which I think has a lot to do with the number. Valpo also won the first meeting on their home floor 66-61, covering as a 1.5-point favorite. 

The thing is there's such a big home/away difference for both of these teams. Drake losing at Valpo isn't all that shocking, if anything only losing by 5 is a positive. Bulldogs are just 4-9 away from home this season, compared to 13-1 at the Knapp Center. As for the Crusaders. They are 9-2 at home and just 5-11 on the road. Give me Drake -4! 

50* NCAAB POWER 5 CONF PLAY OF THE YEAR (Rutgers -1)

I'll take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights as a mere 1-point home favorite against the Wolverines. Rutgers is a team that is better than a lot of people realize, especially those that don't follow the Big Ten real close. No way I'm passing up on the Scarlet Knights at basically a pick'em at home. Rutgers hasn't lost a game at the RAC all year (17-0) and a big part of that is the atmosphere from a rowdy home crowd. 

Michigan has played better of late, which is definitely playing into the number, but it's also come in a very favorable stretch of their schedule. In their last 8 games their only two true road games have come at Nebraska and Northwestern. I just think Rutgers is too good and could see them winning this game going away. Give me the Scarlet Knights -1! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wake Forest -1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Demon Deacons at basically a pick'em at home against the likes of Georgia Tech. Here of late I've liked what I've seen out of Wake for the most part. They have been a lot more competitive than their 4-11 ACC mark would lead you to believe.

However, they did just lose badly at Miami in their last game, while Georgia Tech pulled off a huge upset at home over Louisville. I think these results have resulted in a ton of value here with the home team. Georgia Tech is more likely to fall flat on their face after that huge upset win than build on it. Demon Deacons on the other hand should be highly motivated here to get a win. Yes, Duke is on deck, but it's not until next Tuesday. 

Yellow Jackets are 1-6 ATS last 7 times they have come off a SU win. WF is 5-1 ATS last 6 off a loss and 4-0 ATS last 4 at home. Give me the Demon Deacons -1.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Seton Hall -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pirates covering as a 6-point home favorite against the Bulldogs. The betting public is on Butler in this one and I just don't see why this team continues to get love. Yes, they started out the season 15-1 and were 3-0 in Big East play, but they are not playing at that level or anything close.

The Bulldogs have lost 6 of their last 10 and have had to scratch and crawl for the 4 wins they have managed during this stretch, as all 4 came by 5 or fewer points and 3 of the 4 were at home. 

I get Seton Hall has lost their last two. They got beat by a Creighton team that is playing as good as anyone right now and then lost a heartbreaker at Providence on Saturday. I just trust this team a lot more than I do Butler, especially with the Pirates at home. Give me Seton Hall -6! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 134) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 134. These two teams played earlier this season and combined for just 118 points. Both teams shot poorly, but part of that for Baylor was they couldn't force turnovers. Oklahoma, who is really good at protecting the ball, only turned it over 8 times. Bears are also a team that likes to play slow, so if they aren't getting transition looks, they are eating up clock. 

Oklahoma only lost by 4 in that first meeting, so you have to believe the will go with a similar game-plan and hope their defense, which has been much better at home, can make a few more stops. Scoring on Baylor's defense won't be easy. Bears don't need to force turnovers to keep an opposing team in check. Give me the UNDER 134! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Ole Miss +2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Rebels as a 2-point road dog against the Tigers. Ole Miss has caught fire over the last 3 weeks and I see no reason not to jump on the bandwagon here. Rebels have covered 7 straight. They are 4-3 SU in this run with their 3 losses to Auburn, @ LSU and @ Kentucky all by 10 or less. 

Missouri comes in off a big upset win over Auburn, but we have seen that before. They destroyed Florida 91-75 back in January and then proceeded to lost by 27 at Miss St the next time out and lose their next 4 in a row overall. Keep in mind they had a big game at LSU right before the upset of Auburn and with just 2 days off, I think they are going to have a hard time taking Ole Miss seriously. Give me the Rebels +2! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wisconsin -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Wisconsin as a small 4-point home favorite against the Boilermakers. Feels like the Badgers are flying a bit under the radar right now and thus it has them showing some big time value. Wisconsin is 11-1 on their home floor this season and will be facing a Purdue team that is a mere 4-9 on the road. 

Big time revenge for the Badgers here, as they played one of their worst games of the season in a 51-70 loss at Purdue a few weeks back. It's not out of the ordinary for a team in the Big Ten to beat a team by double-digits at home and then go and lose by double-digits on the road. That's exactly what I think happens in this one. Give me Wisconsin -4! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Notre Dame -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Irish as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Tar Heels. I was on the unfortunate end of a crushing last second loss by North Carolina this weekend at home against Virginia. Keep in mind they let one get away last weekend in an OT loss to Duke and went to Wake Forest on Tuesday and got annihilated 57-74. 

It's just not easy bouncing back from a loss like that, especially when they stack up on each other. It doesn't help that it's a lost season for UNC, whose only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is by winning the ACC Tournament. 

With another big game at Louisville on deck, I just have a hard time believing UNC is going to be mentally ready for this game just 1 day after the heartbreaking loss to Virginia. As for Notre Dame, they can't wait to get back on the court after getting embarrassed at Duke over the weekend. Irish also will have plenty of motivation here as they are still "on the bubble" and have revenge from an earlier loss to UNC way back in November. Give me Notre Dame -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Connecticut -4) 

I'll take my chances here with UConn as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Tigers. UConn has been playing well of late. They are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games. The only two losses being a mere 7-point setback at Memphis and then a 4-point loss at SMU. Revenge is definitely going to be a big motivator for the Huskies, but this is also a really tough spot for the Tigers. Memphis has lost two straight after a late collapse at Cincinnati that saw what looked like a win turn into a OT loss. I just think the Tigers are going to have a hard time playing well on the road after that game on just 2 days of rest. Give me UConn -4! 

50* NCAAB PAC-12 PLAY OF THE WEEK (UCLA -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bruins as a slim 3-point home favorite against Washington. This is an easy one for me. I don't like what I see from the Huskies. Their just too young and seem to crumble whenever things get tough. They have lost 7 straight and are in the brutal spot here of playing their 3rd straight road game in a 7-day stretch. As for UCLA, I really like what I've seen out of the Bruins here of late. New head coach Mick Cronin is getting his team to play his way after a slow start and they are 6-2 over their last 8 game. Give me the Bruins -3! 

50* NCAAB ACC PLAY OF THE WEEK (UNC -1)

My money is on the Tar Heels to cash in a win at home against Virginia. I think a good chunk of the public got burned with UNC in their last game against Wake Forest. People expected another great game after nearly upsetting Duke and instead they laid an egg in a 57-74 loss. I was on the Demon Deacons in that one. No way was UNC going to be able to get up for that game with just 2 days of rest. They will be ready to go here. I expect that same team that nearly beat Duke to show up and this time finish the job. Give me the Tar Heels -1! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Maryland +7)

I'll take my chances here with the Terps catching 7-points on the road against the Spartans. Maryland is no joke. The Terps come in having won 7 straight and you can bet they are going to be a little pissed off when they see this line. Keep in mind Maryland has lost once all season by more than 7 points. I get Michigan State is off a big road win over Illinois, but the Illini have been struggling and the Spartans had lost 3 straight prior. Give me the Terps +7! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (TCU -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Horned Frogs as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Wildcats. I just think this is the spot to jump on TCU. The Horned Frogs couldn't have played any worse than they did in their 42-88 loss at Texas Tech on Monday. That was their 6 straight loss. I just think we see them bounce back in a big way here at home and it certainly doesn't hurt going up against a struggling K-State team that just lost at home to Oklahoma State. Give me the Horned Frogs -2.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN PLAY OF THE WEEK (Rutgers -3.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights laying a mere 3.5-points at home against the Illini. I know Big Ten teams aren't winning at home at the same clip that we saw to start the year, but home court is still massive. Rutgers is 16-0 at home and the RAC is sold out for this one against Illinois. Illini have lost 3 straight and I just think it's going to be tough for them to right the ship in this spot. Give me Rutgers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Notre Dame +12.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Irish as a double-digit dog at Duke. I just think Notre Dame is going to be tough for the Blue Devils to blowout, especially coming off those two huge games against UNC and FSU. This is Notre Dame's only shot at the Blue Devils, so we know they are coming to play. Irish take great care of the ball and I just think if you don't turn it over and don't let Duke score a bunch in transition you can hang around. Give me Notre Dame +12.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Alabama -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide as a slim 2-point home favorite against LSU. Alabama really struggled to keep the momentum going after losing Herb Jones to injury. He's back and while only on a limited basis, I think he gives this team the spark they need to get back on track. As for LSU, they are just not as good as that 9-2 conference mark makes them out to be. Tigers have won so many close games. They could easily have a losing record in conference play with 6 wins by 4 or fewer points. Give me Alabama -2! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (St Bonaventure -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bonnies laying a mere 3.5-points at home against the Wildcats. There's just no way I'm passing up a play on St. Bonaventure at this price at home with how well they are playing and how badly Davidson has struggled on the road. Bonnies have lost on their home floor just once since early November and come in having won their last 5 games. Wildcats are 4-10 SU and 3-11 ATS away from home this season. St Bonaventure should own the boards on both sides and have a big edge at the free throw line. Two keys to not just winning, but winning big. Give me the Bonnies -3.5! 

50* NCAAB PAC-12 PLAY OF THE MONTH (Oregon -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Ducks as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Buffaloes. I just have to play Oregon in this spot. Ducks are going to be extremely motivated here, as they are off back-to-back road losses following a 4-game winning streak and are also going to be out for revenge from a 9-point loss at Colorado earlier this season. 

Oregon is 12-0 at home this season and we have seen Colorado struggle on the road, losing at UCLA, as well as by 21 at Arizona dn by 8 at Oregon State. They also lost by 14 at KU. Buffs are 10-27 ATS last 37 as a road dog of 3.5 to 6 points, 3-14 ATS last 17 on the road off a home win and 1-8 ATS last 9 on the road after playing two straight as a home favorite. Give me Oregon -4.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Indiana -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers finding a way to win at home against the Hawkeyes. This is one of my favorite situational handicaps in that we have an unranked team laying points against a ranked opponent. Even better that it's Indiana at home.

I know the Hoosiers have lost 4 straight, but that's going to happen with how loaded the Big Ten is this year. I think we get the best the Hoosiers have to offer in this one and Iowa is a team that has had their struggles away from home. Iowa's last two road games in the Big Ten have resulted in double-digit losses and their only win on the road in the conference is at Northwestern. Give me the Hoosiers -1.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Villanova -5)

I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats snapping their 3-game skid and getting revenge against the Golden Eagles. There's just no way I'm not taking a shot on a Jay Wright coached team in this spot. We are going to get the very best version of Villanova in this one and I just feel like Marquette is getting a little too much love on the road. Yes, the Wildcats just lost at home to Seton Hall, but they are still 10-2 at home and the Golden Eagles are a mere 5-5 away from home (12-1 at home). Last time Villanova lost 2 straight conference games at home was back in 2013. Give me the Wildcats -5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Providence -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Friars finding a way to win on the road against St. John's. Providence had won at Butler 65-61 and at home against Creighton 73-56 before a tough loss at Xavier on Saturday. I just trust this team to bounce back in this spot and St John's is getting quite a bit of respect considering they are 2-9 in Big East play with their only 2 wins against DePaul. 

The Red Storm did only lose by 5 at Providence earlier this season, but I don't think it will get easier for them. St. John's needs to play in transition to score and the Friars are elite at transition defense. Red Storm only managed 58 points in the first meeting. If Providence doesn't have an off night shooting they win by double-digit easy, as they dominated the glass and made more free throws than St John's attempted. Give me the Friars -1.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (SMU -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mustangs as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Huskies. I really like the value with SMU laying a short number at home. Mustangs are going to be motivated after losing at Temple on Saturday and no place like home for them to get back on track. SMU is 12-1 at home this season. 

UConn is a team I played on at home against Cincinnati and was fortunate to cover as they snuck out a 1-point win in OT. I got no problem fading the Huskies off that emotional win. Not only are the on the road on just 2 days rest, but this will be their 3rd game in the last 7 days as they were at Tulsa last Thursday. SMU will be playing their 2nd game in the last 12 days. Give me the Mustangs -4.5! 

50* NCAAB SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (W Virginia -1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Mountaineers as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Jayhawks. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with West Virginia. I know the Mountaineers are off an ugly loss at Oklahoma, but they are not the same team on the road as they are at home and I have to believe that loss had something to do with this game on deck. 

Kansas is the team every other team in the Big 12 wants to beat no matter what. That's especially the case for West Virginia after losing the earlier meeting at Kansas.  A game they only trailed by 3 with 1:28 to play and only lost by 7 despite shooting 32% from the field, 21.4% from deep and 54.5% from the free throw line. Keep in mind that WVU is a young team and that was their first Big 12 road game. I think the Mountaineers answer the call in a big way tonight. Give me West Virginia -1! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS DESTROYER (S Carolina +2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gamecocks going on the road and getting a win and cover as a 2.5-point dog against the Bulldogs. These two teams are headed in different directions and I just don't trust a struggling young team like Georgia when things aren't going well. Bulldogs are just 2-8 in SEC play and just suffered a heartbreaking 102-105 overtime loss to Alabama at home. Bouncing back from a game like that will not be easy. 

Especially against a South Carolina team that is surging at the moment. Frank Martin's Gamecocks have won 4 of 5 and 6 of their last 8. Big difference maker has been freshman Jermaine Couisnard and his adaptation to a new role at point guard. Last year the Gamecocks won both meetings against the Bulldogs and I just think they would have to play one of their worst games to not leave with a victory tonight. Give me South Carolina +2.5! 

40* NCAAB PRIME TIME ATS SLAUGHTER (Illinois +2) 

I'll take my chances here with Illinois as a 2-point home dog against the Spartans. Even though the Fighting Illini let me down at home in their last game against Maryland, I really like this team and I think getting them as a dog on their home floor is too good to pass up. 

Michigan State has lost 3 straight, so the public perception on the Spartans is there's no way they lose another, which is why the line is what it is. I don't have this Michigan State team on a pedestal like others. Give me Illinois +2! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas State -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Cowboys. The Big 12 is very top heavy, so you get some of these bottom teams like K-State that hit some brutal stretches in their schedule. Wildcats have lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Thing is 4 of the 5 losses came on the road and the lone home game was against Baylor. This is a team that beat Oklahoma by 8 at home and also destroyed West Virginia 84-68 at home. 

No reason not to expect them to win at home against Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are just 1-9 in Big 12 play and have lost all 5 of their conference road games by 7 or more points. They just played another tough game against Baylor on Saturday and have a huge home game against Texas Tech on deck. I just don't see them playing well in their second straight on the road with just 2 days off between games. Give me Kansas State -3! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Wake Forest +2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Demon Deacons as a 2-point home dog against the Tar Heels. I just think this is the perfect spot to fade North Carolina. The Tar Heels laid everything they had into their last game at home against Duke, only to blow a big lead in regulation and the fail to finish the job in OT. I just see them having a hard time getting their mind right for a road game against Wake Forest. 

Demon Deacons are just 1-5 in their last 6 and 3-10 in ACC play, but have really showed some positive signs of life in the last few weeks. They just about pulled off a big upset at Syracuse on Saturday, prior to that they lost by 10 at Louisville, beat Clemson at home, lost by just 10 at NOtre Dame, fell in OT at home against Virginia and lost by 3 at Clemson. Give me the Demon Deacons +2! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Rhode Island +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Rams as a double-digit road dog against Dayton. The Flyers are now 10-1 in A-10 play and working on a 12-game winning streak. While I'm not expecting them to lose at home to Rhode Island, I just can't pass up on the Rams getting 10-points in this one. 

Rhode Island is 10-1 in conference play and have won 10 straight overall. I just think this team will be the more motivated side in this game and we are simply seeing Dayton overvalued on the spread. Books have really caught up to the Flyers here of late, as Dayton has failed to cover each of their last 3 games. Rhode Island on the other hand has been flying under the radar, going 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. Give me the Rams +10! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Syracuse -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange as a small 4.5-point home favorite against NC State. Syracuse failed to cover in their last game against Wake Forest, but did have a 16-point lead in that contest and just about everything that could go wrong did in the final minutes, aside from them finding a way to win. I think winning ugly can really add some confidence and this is a Syracuse team that has been playing well over the last few weeks. 

I just think this is too good a price to pass up with them at home. NC State is just 1-3 in their last 4 with the only win at Miami in their last game. For the most part the Wolfpack have struggled on the road and this figures to be a tough matchup. To beat the zone defense of the Orange you need to be able to shoot outside and NC State doesn't really shoot well from anywhere. They are 12th in the ACC in 2-point % and 10th in 3-point %. They also are not a good rebounding team and often lose out in the free throw battle. Give me the Orange -4.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 128.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 128.5 between Baylor and Texas. These two teams already played once this season at Baylor and the Bears won that contest 59-44 for a combined total of just 103 points. I just don't think it's going to be a whole lot different in the rematch. 

Note that Baylor has played two Big 12 teams twice so far this season and both times the second meeting was almost a mirror image of the first. Bears beat Iowa State 68-55 at home and then later won at ISU 67-53. They also beat Oklahoma State 75-68 on the road and then won 78-70 at home. 

I just don't know how Texas is going to be able to score, especially if Kai Jones and Jase Febres (both questionable) can't go. Keep in mind Baylor plays at the slowest tempo in the Big 12 and the Longhorns are 7th out of 10 in tempo. Give me the UNDER 128.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Bradley -12) 

I'll take my chances here with the Braves covering as a big 12-point home favorite against Evansville. I'm confident we are going to get a big time effort from Bradley in this one, as they will just lost back-to-back games on the road against two of the better teams in the MVC in UNI and Drake. Not only are they going to be locked in, but they have one of the best home court advantages in the country at Carver Arena. I just don't think it's asking a lot for them to beat the Purple Aces by 13 or more. Evansville is winless at 0-11 in conference play and are in a tough spot off a crushing OT loss at home to Southern Illinois. Give me Bradley -12! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Wisconsin -1.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Badgers as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Buckeyes. Ohio State comes in off 3 straight wins, but I still don't trust this team, especially on the road. As for Wisconsin, this is a big time spot for the Badgers, who desperately need a win after losing 3 of their last 4. Note that all 3 of the losses in this stretch came on the road. Wisconsin is 5-1 at home in Big Ten play compared to 1-5 on the road. Big reason for that is their offense really comes to life at the Kohl Center. It's also worth noting that the Badgers already beat the Buckeyes on the road earlier this season. Give me Wisconsin -1.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Marquette -3)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Golden Eagles as a 3-point home favorite against Butler. The Bulldogs come in off a win over Villanova at the buzzer and I just think it has them getting a little too much love in a really tough spot. That game against the Wildcats had to take a toll on Butler and it's not going to be easy turning around on the road against Marquette on just 3 days of rest, especially given how motivated the Golden Eagles will be for revenge from a OT loss to Butler a few weeks back. Also while the Bulldogs are on short rest, Marquette has been off since last Saturday and are 11-1 at home this season. Give me the Golden Eagles -3! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS DESTROYER (Xavier -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Musketeers as a slim 4-point home favorite against Providence. Xavier has really started to show some life of late and it started with a double-overtime loss at home to Marquette. They followed up that near win with a 74-62 win at Seton Hall and a 67-59 win at DePaul. They are locked in defensively at the moment and that in my opinion makes this too good a price to pass up. 

I know the Friars are off two big wins of their own, winning at Butler 65-61 last Saturday and destroying Creighton 73-56 on Wednesday, but I just think they will struggle to bring that same level of play on the road on just 2 days of rest. Keep in mind they had a full week off before they got that big win at Butler. Give me the Musketeers -4! 

40* NCAAB PRIME TIME ATS SLAUGHTER (Syracuse -7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange covering as a 7.5-point home favorite against the Demon Deacons. I really like this spot for Syracuse, as we know we are going to get a max effort from them. Not only playing in prime time at the Carrier Dome, but also because they come in having lost their last 2 and will be highly motivated to get back on track. 

While this should be a max effort spot for the Orange, Wake Forest could have a hard time bringing the energy off a hard fought loss at Louisville on Wednesday. Back-to-back on the road on just 2 days of rest is tough, especially when facing a team like Syracuse that has been off since last Saturday. 

It's also a bad matchup. Wake Forest is the worst team in the ACC in protecting the basketball, they struggle with offensive rebounds and rely a lot on free throws and 3-point shooting, two things that the Orange do a really good job of defending. Cuse are 3rd in the ACC in opponents free throw rate and 3rd in 3-point % defense. Give me the Orange -7.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG 12 PLAY OF THE MONTH (Iowa St. -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cyclones cashing in a cover as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Wildcats. I think we are getting a great price with ISU here due to the fact that they come in having lost 4 straight and are just 2-7 in Big 12 play.

Thing is, 3 of their last 4 were on the road and the lone home game was against Baylor. Their only home losses this season with Haliburton (by far their best player) are against Iowa, KU and Baylor. They beat Oklahoma by 13 and Oklahoma St by 7 in their only other Big 12 home games. 

Kansas State is also 2-7 in Big 12 play and that's just not the kind of team that goes into Hilton and gets a win, especially given how big a game this is for ISU. Wildcats are 1-5 in true road games this season with the only win back on Nov. 9th in OT against a bad UNLV team. Give me Iowa State -4.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER PLAY OF THE YEAR (Southern Illinois -4.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Salukis as a mere 4.5-point home favorite against Missouri State. I don't know if it's the fact that Southern Illinois needed OT to beat Evansville on the road in their last game that has this line this low, but no way I'm not laying it on the Salukis here. 

Southern Illinois is 10-1 at home and have gone 5-0 at home in MVC play. The only two wins at home in conference play by fewer than 12 points are against the two best teams in the league in UNI and Loyola-Chicago. They have also covered 9 straight at home.

Missouri State is 5-6 in MVC play, but 4 of those 5 wins are against Illinois St and Evansville, who are a combined 2-20 in league play. The other is against Valpo at home. Bears have also lost 9 of the last 10 meetings in this series. Give me the Salukis -4.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Iowa -13.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes covering the big 13.5-point spread at home against Nebraska. Iowa is coming off by far their worst performance of the season, as they got drubbed 68-104 at Purdue on Wednesday. If you watched the game you could just see that the Hawkeyes didn't have it. They were just emotionally and physically drained after that grueling home win over Illinois. 

Even though it was a tough spot, Iowa was not happy with their effort and when a good team lays an egg like that, they typically bounce back in a big way. Not only that, but Iowa is over for revenge from an earlier loss at Nebraska. A game in which they were in another big flat spot off a tough loss to Penn State. They also didn't have one of their best players in C.J. Fredrick and were a dreadful 4 for 33 (12.1%) from behind the 3-point line. Only attempted 5 free throws and they are one of the best in the Big Ten at getting to the foul line. I just think the Cornhuskers are going to be in the wrong place at the wrong time. Give me the Hawkeyes -13.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL DOG OF THE WEEK (Drake +9.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a 9.5-point dog against in-state rival Northern Iowa. I just think the Panthers are way overvalued here. These two have split their last 4 meetings with UNI's two wins coming by a mere 2 and 3 points. I get Drake isn't the best road team and the Panthers have been great at home, but you got to handicap in-state rivalries a little different. 

Drake is now 20-10-1 (66.7%) ATS in MVC play under head coach Darian DeVries. While they are just 6-5 in conference play, only 1 of their 5 losses have come by double-digits and that was a game they couldn't buy a basket (shot 36% from the field and 4 for 25 from deep). It's also worth noting that while UNI is 4-0 at home in MVC play, their largest win at home is 10 points against Valpo. Give me Drake +9.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN PLAY OF THE MONTH (Indiana -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Boilermakers. These are two of my favorite teams to play on at home and to fade on the road, which makes this quite the easy handicap. 

I like it that much more given the spot, as we are going to get the best version of Indiana in this one, as they will be extremely motivated to end a 3-game losing streak. As for Purdue, they come in flying high off a 104-68 win at home against Iowa. A win that looks great, but I think it was more of them catching the Hawkeyes in a major flat spot after a grueling win at home over Illinois just a few days earlier. Purdue's only road win in Big Ten play is at Northwestern by 3-points and one of their road losses is to Nebraska by 14-points. Give me the Hoosiers -1.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MONEYMAKER(Kentucky -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Kentucky as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Vols. The Wildcats are 8-2 over their last 10 games and fresh off a big home win against a red-hot Mississippi State team. I get both of those losses during this stretch have come on the road, but they could have won both. I just think the price is too good to pass up with Kentucky in this one. 

I just feel that Tennessee needs to play perfect to even have a shot at winning this game and covering the spread. The Vols put together a great 2nd half in a 69-68 win at Alabama, but the Crimson Tide are reeling right now and dealing with some injuries. Prior to that Tennessee had lost 3 straight and their other 4 SEC wins are against Missouri, S Carolina, Vandy and Ole Miss. Just a couple weeks ago they lost at home to the likes of Texas A&M. 

I look for the Wildcats length and physicality down low to really make things difficult on the Vols. Tennessee is not a good outside shooting team and Kentucky is No. 1 in the SEC in 2-point % defense. I also look for the Wildcats to have key edges in turnovers, rebounding and free throws. Give me Kentucky -2! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS BLOODBATH (Va Tech -7.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Hokies covering the 7.5-point spread at home against the Eagles. Big time buy low spot with Virginia Tech, as they come in having lost 4 straight. Might seem like a big number for a team that's struggling, but 3 of the 4 losses came on the road and the other was at home against a really good FSU team. Their only other home losses are to Duke and by 2-points to Syracuse. 

Regardless of all that, we know we are going to get everything that Virginia Tech has to offer in this game, as this is one they absolutely have to have if they want to get back in the NCAA Tournament discussion. On the flip side, I think this is the perfect spot to fade BC. The Eagles just poured their heart and soul into Tuesday's home game against Duke, which I think becomes that much harder to bounce back from after how well they played. BC was out in front the majority of that game and had a lead with under 7 minutes to play. I just don't see how they can match the intensity of Va Tech in this one. Give me the Hokies -7.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Illinois -1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Fighting Illini at basically a pick'em at home against the Terps. These two teams are tied on top the Big Ten standings, which is definitely playing into the small line, but homecourt is so big for both of these teams. Illinois is 12-1 on their home floor this season compared to 4-5 on the road. Terps are a perfect 13-0 at home, yet are just 5-4 on the road. Maryland is just 2-4 in true road games, one of those being a win at Northwestern and the other a lucky 1-point win at Indiana. Give me Illinois -1! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (UCLA +5) 

I'll take my chances here with UCLA as a 5-point road dog against the Sun Devils. I just think now is the time to be buying stock with the Bruins. UCLA had their growing pains early on under head coach Mick Cronin, but they have really turned a corner the last couple of weeks. UCLA is 4-1 over their last 5 with home wins over Utah and Colorado and a road win at Oregon State. The defense has really improved, which isn't a surprise under Cronin. 

Arizona State is a good team, but I just don't trust them as much as others. They are one of the worst offenses in the Pac-12, they don't force turnovers, they suck at the free throw line, and aren't good at getting second chances with offensive rebounding. The defense is so-so, but they are one of the worst in fouling and sending opponents to the free throw line. UCLA is 4th best in the Pac-12 in free throw rate and 5th in free throw %. Give me the Bruins +5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (USC +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Trojans cashing in a cover as a 10-point road dog against the Wildcats. I just think this is way too good a price to pass up with USC. We know the effort is going to be there for the Trojans after an embarrassing 21-point loss at home to Colorado. Prior to that USC was playing really well, going 5-1 in their previous 6 with the only loss coming in double-overtime at Oregon. 

Arizona stole a game at Washington in the final minutes last Thursday and then won at Washington State for their first two true road wins of the season. I just think it has them way overvalued here. USC actually has played better on the road than they have at home. Trojans are 8-3 SU and 8-3 ATS away from home. Give me USC +10! 

50* NCAAB C-USA TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Over 133) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 133 in tonight's C-USA matchup that has North Texas visiting Middle Tennessee. The Mean Green are the most efficient offense in C-USA with offensive efficiency rating of 115.0. The next best is Louisiana Tech at 108.8. They are shooting 56% on 2-pointers, 42% from deep and 79% from the free throw line. They have scored 70 or more in 6 of their last 8 and should easily hit that mark against the Blue Raiders, who have allowed 80 or more in 4 of their last 6. 

As for Middle Tennessee's offense, they play at the 5th fastest tempo in the conference and are a much better 3-point shooting team than they are inside. Defending the 3-ball has been a struggle for North Texas, as they are 13th out of 14 in 3-pt % defense. Middle Tennessee is also 4th in free throw rate and Mean Green are 10th in defensive free throw rate. They just scored 83 at UTSA and are averaging 75.3 ppg at home. I could see both teams eclipsing 70 and all we need is for 67 each to cash a winner. Give me the OVER 133! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Tulsa -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Golden Hurricane as a mere 2-point home favorite against UConn. Tulsa has been on an absolute tear here of late. They just knocked off Wichita State at home for their 6th straight win. They have went from being a team ranked outside the Top 110 to sitting at No. 62 in KenPom. 

While Tulsa is surging, the Huskies come in having lost 7 of their last 9 with their only wins in this stretch coming at home against Tulane and Temple. They have not won a true road game all season and yet they basically have to here to cover this spread. Not to mention the Golden Hurricane are 11-2 at home with a 4-0 mark at home in AAC play. Give me Tulsa -2! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Wichita State -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Shockers as a 5-point home favorite against the Bearcats. Wichita State is 13-1 on their home floor and we know they are going to show up with all they got against a team like Cincinnati and because they are coming off a loss. 

I think the Bearacts are going to have a really tough time matching that energy. This is a big time letdown spot for Cincinnati after they turned a 15-point deficit into a 64-62 win at home over a ranked Houston team. Thing is the Bearcats have not exactly traveled well, especially their defense. Cincinnati is allowing 64.7 ppg on the season and yet are giving up 71.9 ppg on the road. Shockers are scoring 77.1 ppg at home and allowing just 64.1 ppg. Give me Wichita State -5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Minnesota -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gophers as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Badgers. It's no secret at this point how good Big Ten teams have been at home. These two teams are prime examples of how different it has been at home compared to on the road. 

Minnesota is 4-1 at home in conference play and 1-5 on the road. Their only home loss being to Michigan State (Spartans coming off a loss). Badgers are 4-1 at home and 2-4 on the road having lost their last 3 road games. Gophers offense gets drastically better at home and Wisconsin's offense gets drastically worse. Minnesota is averaging 75.5 ppg at home compared to 70.2 ppg overall. Badgers are scoring 58.1 ppg on the road and 66.2 ppg overall. Give me the Gophers -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Drake PK) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a Pick'em at home against Bradley. I think this is an ideal spot to jump on Drake. Bulldogs are coming in off a 79-72 home loss to Southern Illinois for their second straight setback. Drake just didn't play well just 2 days removed from a really tough loss at Indiana State (lost at buzzer). 

Prior to that loss the Bulldogs were a perfect 11-0 at home, so getting them at a pick'em is a ton of value. Especially when you take into account Bradley is just 3-7 in road games, where they are shooting just 39% from the field. Braves do have two road wins in conference, but both of those were against bottom feeders. Keep in mind Drake is scoring 77 ppg and shooting 50% from the field at home. Give me the Bulldogs PK! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Seton Hall -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pirates as a slim 1-point road favorite against Georgetown. The Hoyas have had some decent wins on their home floor, but I don't think they have what it takes to beat the Pirates. 

Seton Hall should be 100% locked in off a home loss to Xavier. A game they didn't show up ready to play. Great teams don't often make that mistake in back-to-back games. Prior to the loss the Pirates had won 10 in a row. Hoyas are just 3-6 in Big East play with two of those wins coming against St. John's, who has the second worst record in the conference. 

Hoyas also figure to be without leading scorer Mac McClung (16.4 ppg). He was a late scratch against St. John's and without him they were really lucky to pull out a win over the Red Storm, as they trailed by as many as 17.

Not only are they missing their best player, but you got the league's best defense against the worst. Give me Seton Hall -1! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (St Louis -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Billikens as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Dukes. St Louis comes into this game on a 3-game winning streak and are 3-1 at home in A-10 play with the only loss coming in OT against by the best team in Dayton. 

While St. Louis is surging, Duquesne has lost 3 of their last 4. They did snap a 3-game losing streak last time out at home against La Salle, but only by a score of 71-69 as a 9.5-point favorite. They shot 50% from the field and held the Explorers to 39%, yet only won by 2. The Dukes are 2-2 on the road in A-10 play, but those two wins have come against bottom feeders St. Joes and UMass. 

St Louis should have a massive edge on the boards in this one also figure to win the turnover battle. Add in what should be a decent shooting night at home and they should win here going away. Give me the Billikens -4.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Loyola-Chicago -1.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Ramblers as a slim 1.5-point road favorite at Indiana State. I just feel like the Sycamores are getting a little too much love in this one because of their perfect 9-0 record at home. Not to mention the fact that Loyola-Chicago just lost their last 2 on the road and all 3 conference losses have come away from home. 

However, I just think the Ramblers are going to be highly motivated to take this one after their recent setbacks on the road. It doesn't hurt that Loyola has dominated this series. They have won and covered each of the last 4 meetings and 7 of the last 8 overall. That includes a 75-55 blowout win at home against the Sycamores this season. Indiana State had no answer at all for the Ramblers offense, which shot 67% from the field. They also had a clear edge on the board and won by 20 despite turning it over an uncharacteristic 17 times. Give me Loyola-Chicago -1.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 138) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 138 between Texas Tech and Oklahoma. I think we are getting a great price on the total here because of how high scoring some of these last few games have been for the Red Raiders. Big part of that is their last 3 have come against Kentucky, West Virginia and Kansas. All of which rank in the Top 45 in offensive efficiency. 

The other big key is Tech has lost 3 of 4 and I believe we can count on them really locking in defensively at home in this one to get back on track. Oklahoma's offense has really slowed down in Big 12 play and in their last two road games they managed just 53 points at K-STate and 57 at Baylor. The only time they have scored more than 62 on the road in Big 12 play is at ISU, who is arguably the worst defense in the conference. Give me the UNDER 138!  

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 146.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 146.5 between Alabama and Tennessee. The Crimson Tide are going to put up points, especially at home. Alabama has a tempo rating of 75.9 in SEC play and the next best is South Carolina at 73. There's been just one SEC game out of 8 that they have failed to score at least 76 points and the fewest they have scored at home in conference play is 77. 

Thing is with the loss of Herb Jones the Tide are not nearly as strong defensively and simply must win shootouts. Tennessee is 3rd in the SEC in effective field goal percentage and come in having shot 48% from the field in their last 5. I'm confident the Vols can keep pace here and give us at least 70, which is all we should need to cash a winner. Give me the OVER 146.5. 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Arkansas -105) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Razorbacks at a pick'em at home against the Tigers. Arkansas is coming off a great road win at Alabama as a dog and will be extremely motivated to build on that performance at home against a nationally ranked Auburn team.

As for the Tigers, this is a brutal spot. Auburn just played arguably it's biggest game of the season to date this past Saturday, as they hosted Kentucky, a game they won 75-66. Now they go on the road, where they are just 1-2 in their last 3 away from home and the only win was a OT victory against a bad Ole Miss team. Lost by 19 at Alabama and by 22 at Florida in the other two. Give me the Razorbacks PK! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 131.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 131.5 in Monday's Big 12 showdown between Texas and Kansas. These two played to a combined score of just 123 a couple weeks ago and the total for that was 129. I think it says a lot that that game went under and yet we are seeing the total even higher in the rematch. 

I couldn't agree more. Kansas is a much better offensive team at home and while Texas' offense struggles on the road, I don't think they can do much worse than scoring 57 points on 40% shooting. Also, both teams shot awful from deep in that first meeting, going a combined 8 for 30 (26%). Considering both teams are shooting 35% from deep on the season, we should see a nice up tick in scoring from a few more 3's made. On top of that, KU was just 67% from the free throw line and Texas was 56%. Give me the OVER 131.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Iowa -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes covering the 4.5-point spread at home against the Fighting Illini. Iowa had their 5-game winning streak in a 72-82 loss at Maryland. A game with some questionable calls in favor of the home team that got Iowa's big men in foul trouble early. It also didn't help the Hawkeyes went ice cold from deep after a strong start downtown. For them to only get 24 minutes out of their best player in Garza and shoot 36% from the field, it really says a lot that they only lost by 10 on the road. 

Illinois has been great, winning 7 straight, but I think they are going to have a really tough time containing this Iowa team on the road. Hawkeyes 5-0 on their home floor in Big Ten play and 10-1 overall. Also, Fighting Illini have been a bit fortunate of late, as 4 of their wins during their run have come by 4 or fewer points. They are due for a due and playing their 3rd road game in the last 13 days on just 2 days of rest is far from an ideal spot. Give me the Hawkeyes -4.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Alabama -3.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Crimson Tide as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against Arkansas. I wasn't shocked at all to see Alabama struggle last time out at LSU. The Tigers were a team I thought could go score-for score with the Crimson Tide and LSU is so good at not fouling and that's what Alabama thrives on. I expect them to return right back to form here against Arkansas, who is middle of the pack in offensive efficiency in the SEC (LSU is No. 1) and 13th in defensive free throw rate.

Alabama has also been a different team at home, especially in SEC play where they have a gone 4-0 with all 4 wins coming by at least 14-points. Give me the Crimson Tide -3.5! 

50* NCAAB MVC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Drake -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Drake laying a mere 5-points at home against the Salukis. The Bulldogs are just too good on their home floor to pass up at this price. Drake enters a perfect 11-0 at home this season and are going to be highly motivated for this matchup. Not only will they be looking to get back on track after a crushing 2-point loss at Indiana State, but they also will be out for revenge from an ugly 17-point loss at Southern Illinois earlier this season. 

Thing is the Salukis are similar to Drake in that they are just a different team at home than on the road. Southern Illinois is 11-1 at home but are just 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS on the road. They just can't score away from home, averaging a mere 55.9 ppg on 39% shooting. Drake is scoring 78.2 ppg on 51% shooting at home. Give me the Bulldogs -5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (St Bonaventure -7) 

I'll take my chances here with St Bonaventure covering the 7-point spread at home against George Mason. The Bonnies got back on track after losing 3 in a row with a win at Fordham and I look for them to easily win here by double-digits against a struggling Patriots team. 

George Mason started out 11-1 due to a ridiculously easy schedule, but are just 2-7 over their last 9 with their only wins against A-10 bottom feeders La Salle and UMass. Last time out they lost by 14 at home to Rhode Island. They also lost by 15 at Davidson, by 6 at GW and by 34 at TCU during their recent skid. 

St Bonaventure started out 1-4, but are 12-4 over their last 16 with three of those losses to the likes of VCU, Dayton and Rhode Island. Bonnies are also 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS last 7 vs the Patriots. Give me St Bonaventure -7! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 139.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 139.5 in Saturday's Big 12 matchup that has ISU at Texas. Cyclones play at one of the fastest tempos in the Big 12 are the worst defensive team in the conference. A perfect recipe for a high-scoring game and I think there's value with the total here due to the fact that the Cyclones are coming off a very low scoring game at home against Baylor, where they managed just 53 points and combined for 120. 

It was the second time ISU has had to play Baylor in their first 7 conference games. They have also played games against two other great defensive teams in KU and Texas Tech. Their othre 3 games against TCU, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State all saw a combined score of 149 or more. Texas ranks in the bottom half of the league in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. I see both teams easily scoring 70 points. Give me the OVER 139.5! 

50* NCAAB SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Miss St -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Volunteers. These two teams are headed in completely opposite directions. Mississippi State has won 4 of 5 and covered each of their last 6. This is a team that a lot of people were high on coming into the year, but they started out slow. 

The Bulldogs are playing their best basketball of the season and are 9-2 at home, so laying 5 is really a no-brainer if you ask me. Vols started out 7-1, but have gone just 5-7 over their last 12 games. They just lost at home to Texas A&M and their two road wins are against Missouri and Vandy, who a combined 2-12 in SEC play. They did lose by just 6 at Kansas in their last road game, but the Jayhawks were dealing with suspensions. Their other two true road games resulted in a 17-point loss at Georgia and a 12-point loss at Cincinnati. Give me Mississippi State -5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Stanford -6) 

I'll take my chances here with Stanford cruising to a win and cover as a 6-point home favorite. The Cardinal are going to be a pissed off bunch when they take the floor for this game, as they just lost two straight on the road after starting out 4-0 in Pac-12 play. All 3 wins at home came by 6 or more with two of those being absolute blowouts with a 16-point win over Cal and a 26 point win over Washington State. Their defense was outstanding in all 3 of those games and only once in conference play have they allowed more than 62. 

The Beavers were a team people were eyeing after a strong 9-1 start, but they have fallen and fallen hard. Oregon State is 2-6 in Pac-12 play with 4 straight losses. They have scored 58 or fewer in 3 of their last 4 and I just don't see them being able to do near enough offensively to keep this close, as they are 11th in the Pac-12 in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. Give me Stanford -6! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Washington +3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Huskies cashing in a win as a 3-point home dog against the Wildcats. Arizona is a team people are always drawn to because of what they have been in the past, but the fact of the matter is they are not a good road team this season. Wildcats are 0-4 in true road games. 

Washington has gone just 2-7 in their last 9 games but it's not as bad as it looks. Out of the 7 losses, 5 were decided by 3 points or fewer with two of those coming in OT. They were just annihilated 76-62 at Colorado, but that only makes me like them more in this spot. This is a must win and I think they deliver. Give me the Huskies +3! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Illinois -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Illinois as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Gophers. As good as the Fighting Illini have been, I still think this team is being undervalued. I think Illinois has been the most impressive team in the Big Ten this season, as they are one of the few who are getting it done on the road. Minnesota is a good team, but they are like a lot of other Big Ten teams. They play great at home and not so good on the road. What really stands out to me is just how much worse the Gophers are offensively on the road and they are going up against a very good Illinois defense. Give me the Illini -5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Baylor -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Baylor as a slim 3.5-point road favorite at Iowa State. I just think the Cyclones and their perceived great home court edge has this line way lower than it should be. This is not the same caliber a ISU team as we have seen in previous years and we have already seen them lose at home to two elite teams in Iowa and Kansas, both defeats coming by at least 14. 

Baylor beat ISU at home a couple weeks ago 68-55 and did so by limiting Cyclones star point guard Tyler Haliburton to just 6 points on 2 of 12 shooting. Haliburton is everything to this team and we he struggles they tend to not just lose but lose badly. He's also playing at less than 100% right now. Baylor is too good. Give me the Bears -3.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Penn State -4.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Nittany Lions as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Hoosiers. Penn State has bounced back from their 3-game skid with in a big way. It started with a 90-76 win at Ohio State, where they really took control of the game from the start. They followed that up with an even more impressive 72-63 win on the road against a desperate Michigan team. Once again taking control of the game right out of the gate. 

 I see no reason not to jump on the bandwagon with Penn State at home against an Indiana team that has not looked great on the road. Hoosiers are just 1-3 in true road games with their lone win coming against a bad Nebraska team, the other 3 were all losses by 9 or more.  I really think we are getting a great price here because Indiana is coming in off two great showings at home. They knocked off then No. 11 Michigan State and lost by just one to No. 17 Maryland. 

This is just not the same team away from Assembly Hall. I also think the way they lost that game to the Terps really makes this a tough spot. After trailing by as many as 12 in the 1st half, Indiana rallied to take a 8-point lead with less than 10 minutes to play. They were up 7 with just over 2:30 minutes to go and by 6 with less than a minute and a half.  Give me Penn State -4.5!  

40* NCAAB PRIME TIME ATS DESTROYER (Texas Tech -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a slim 2-point home favorite against No. 12 West Virginia. This is a situation I like a lot. We have an unranked team laying points against a team that is ranked in the Top 25. 

I just think now is the time to pounce on the Red Raiders. Texas Tech has lost 4 of 6 and fell out of the Top 25 after a heartbreaking overtime loss at home to Kentucky on Saturday. I still think this is one of 25 best teams in the country and clearly the books still value this team a lot.  Not only are the Red Raiders going to be extremely motivated to take the floor given how things have gone of late, but they also want revenge from an earlier loss at West Virginia. While they lost that game by 12-points, they only shot 28.4% from the field and attempted just 7 free throws to the Mountaineers 35.

I just think it will be a different story at home. Tech is going to shoot better than they did in the first meeting and should get a few more calls. Let’s also not overlook that West Virginia has only played 1 road game in their last 5 and lost that to Kansas State by 16 points.  Keep in mind last year they had a 3 game skid towards the end of January and went on to finish the regular-season 11-1 and eventually made it all the way to the title game. I also did some research and you have to go back to 2015 to find the last time the Red Raiders lost consecutive games on their home floor.  Give me Texas Tech -2! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (UConn -6) 

I'll take my chances here with UConn laying 6-points at home against the Owls. I just think this is the perfect time to jump on the Huskies, who have lost 4 straight and 6 of 7 overall. As bad as that looks, 4 of the 6 losses have come on the road, the last two by just 4 at Houston and by 6 at Villanova. Their two home losses have both come in OT. 

This is a much better team than I think people realize and I think we see them show up in a big way at home against a struggling Temple team. The Owls have also lost 6 of 7, but have not been nearly as competitive. In their last two AAC road games they have lost by 16 at SMU and by 26 at Tulsa. Temple is the worst offense in the conference and are just middle of the pack defensively. Give me UConn -6! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Duquesne +8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Dukes as a 8.5-point home dog against Dayton. I know the Flyers are great and come in having won 9 straight and covered each of their last 5, but I just feel like this is too many points to pass up with Duquesne at home. The Dukes have yet to lose on their home floor this season and while that streak may come to an end, I just don't see Dayton turning this into a blowout. Give me Duquesne +8.5! 

50* NCAAB MWC PLAY OF THE WEEK (Air Force -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Falcons laying just 3.5-points at home against a struggling Fresno State team. Air Force is just 3-6 in MWC play and have lost 3 straight, but this is a game they should not only win but dominate. Falcons have one of the best home court advantages in the country (5th best according to KenPom) and are taking on a Fresno State team that is 2-9 away from home this season with their only two true road wins coming against Cal Poly and San Jose State. Cal Poly is ranked 329th in KenPom and San Jose State is 296th. 

I just don't see the Bulldogs being able to keep pace. Air Force is scoring 83.1 ppg at home, where they are shooting 51.8% from the field. Fresno State on the other hand is scoring a mere 63.4 ppg and shooting 39.2% from the field on the road. Give me the Falcons -3.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG 10 PLAY OF THE WEEK (Rutgers -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights laying a mere 3-points at home against the Boilermakers. I'm shocked Rutgers isn't favored by more. I don't know if this is an overreaction to the Scarlet Knights not covering as 13.5-point favorites in their last game at home against Nebraska, but it shouldn't have come as a huge surprise that they didn't play their best coming off a brutal loss at Iowa and playing a far inferior team. 

Rutgers still won the game and are now 14-0 at home. I also think we are seeing a small line because Purdue is off such an impressive win, as they took down Wisconsin 70-51 in their last game. However, that was a home, where the Boilermakers are really tough to beat. Purdue is 2-7 on the road this season with a 0-5 mark in true road games. Give me Rutgers -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Rhode Island -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Rams as a 5-point road favorite against the Patriots. Rhode Island is rolling right now, as they come in having won 6 straight and have covered the number in 5 of those. That includes impressive road wins over both VCU and St Bonaventure. 

George Mason has what would appear to be a solid home record at 9-3, but the Patriots are just 1-3 SU at home in A-10 play with the only win coming against a bad UMass team. What really stands out to me is that all 3 home losses have come by double-digits, as they lost by 13 to VCU, by 12 to St Bonaventure and most recently by to Richmond. They have also not shot the ball well at all of late, 41.8% last 5 games, and are facing a Rams defense that isn't just one of the best in the A-10, but the country (38th in defensive efficiency). Give me Rhode Island -5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (SMU +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mustangs cashing in a cover as a 6.5-point dog at Cincinnati. I get the Bearcats are a tough team to take down on their home floor, but so is Memphis and SMU just won 74-70 at Memphis in their last game. The Mustangs are now 11-4-1 ATS last 16 on the road and have covered 7 of their last 10 vs a team with a winning home record. 

Cincinnati comes in having won 4 of 5, but it's come in a very easy portion of their schedule. Note the lone loss was a 11-point setback at Memphis. I'm not saying the Bearcats shouldn't be favored here, but this is too many points against a team as good as SMU. This line should be closer to 3 than 7. Give me the Mustangs +6.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Michigan -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines figuring out a way to pull out a win on the road against Nebraska. I know Michigan is going to be down starting point guard Zavier Simpson and have lost 4 in a row, but this is Nebraska they are playing and they simply don't have to be at full strength to beat this team. I also think the Simpson suspension will really have them locked in for this game. One that I think they know they absolutely have to have. 

I think a big key here is Nebraska doesn't have a big that can exploit the Wolverines weakness inside and the Cornhuskers are also a team that doesn't defend the paint well (look for a big game from Teske). In their last 5 games Nebraska is giving up 76.2 ppg on 47% shooting. I just think the price is right given they were recently a 8-point dog at home to Iowa and catching 6 against Indiana. Give me the Wolverines -4! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 135) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 135 in Monday's Big Ten showdown between Iowa and Wisconsin. I just think this is too low a total to pass up a play on the OVER. The Hawkeyes aren't just the best offensive team in the Big Ten, they are No. 3 in the country in offensive efficiency.

Last time out they hosted a Rutgers team who in a lot of ways is similar to Wisconsin with how they like to ground out wins with their defense. That game ended with a 165 points, flying past the total of 138. Opposing teams are shooting lights out from 3 against the Badgers and there's simply no slowing down Luka Garza inside, so I see no reason not to expect Iowa to score close to their season average of 80.2 ppg (79.5 ppg in Big Ten). 

Iowa's fast pace forces teams to play a little faster than they would like and I think the Badgers will be able to get a lot of clean looks from deep, as they got guys 1-5 who can knock it down from 3. Give me the OVER 135! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (NC State -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolfpack as a 5-point home favorite against the Tar Heels. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with NC State at home against a struggling UNC team. Sure the Tar Heels are off a 94-71 blowout win at home against Miami, but don't let that result fool you. The Hurricanes were down their two best players in Chris Lykes and Kameron McGusty. Prior to that UNC had lost 4 straight and their only win all season in a true road game was back in early November against UNC Wilmington. On the flip side of this, NC State is 11-1 and haven't lost at home since early November. Give me the Wolfpack -5!