9* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT

PLAY ON: Oregon -2

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT

PLAY ON: ISU -14

9* NCAAB Sharp Money ATS ANNIHILATOR

PLAY ON: Indiana -3

9* NCAAB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER

PLAY ON: Texas A&M/Virginia UNDER 127

10* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY 

PLAY ON: North Carolina -2

9* NCAAB Over/Under TOTAL NO-BRAINER

PLAY ON: Clemson/Alabama OVER 159.5

9* NCAAB - Sharp Money ATS MASSACRE 

PLAY ON: St. Peter's +15.5

9* NCAAB Over/Under SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON: Over 159.5

9* NCAAB - Baylor/Florida NO-BRAINER 

PLAY ON: Baylor -3

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE

PLAY ON: Memphis +3.5

9* NCAAB Sharp Money ATS MASSACRE 

PLAY ON: Iowa Pick'em

10* NCAAB Non-Conference PLAY OF THE WEEK

PLAY ON: Memphis -1

10* NCAAB Vegas Insider Top Play

PLAY ON: Richmond +3 

9* NCAAB Public Money ATS MASSACRE 

PLAY ON: Syracuse +13

9* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON: Marquette -5.5

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT

PLAY ON: Virginia -3.5

10* NCAAB Sharp Money PLAY OF THE WEEK

PLAY ON: Miami (FL) -2.5

10* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY 

PLAY ON: Nebraska -8

9* NCAAB Oddsmakers ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON: Liberty -3

10* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY 

PLAY ON: Kansas St +1.5

9* NCAAB Sharp Money ATS MASSACRE

PLAY ON: Missouri -1

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT 

PLAY ON: Rutgers -9.5

9* NCAAB Duke/Michigan St SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON: Duke -3.5

9* NCAAB - St. John's/Michigan SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON ST JOHN'S RED STORM -2.5

9* NCAAB Clemson/Davidson SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON DAVIDSON WILDCATS +8.5

9* NCAAB North Dakota St/Creighton SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON NORTH DAKOTA ST/CREIGHTON OVER 149

10* NCAAB Ark St/Bowling Green VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON BOWLING GREEN/ARK STATE OVER 156.5

10* CBB San Diego St/BYU VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS +2 

9* NCAAB Howard/Ga Tech SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON HOWARD BISON +11.5

9* NCAAB Lipscomb/Drake SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON DRAKE BULLDOGS -14.5

10* NCAAB Auburn/Baylor VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON BAYLOR BEARS PK

9* NCAAB USC/K-State SHARP STAKE

PLAY ON K-STATE WILDCATS +3

10* NCAAB SD State/UConn VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON UCONN HUSKIES -7

9* NCAAB Miami/UConn SHARP STAKE 

PLAY ON UCONN HUSKIES -5.5

10* NCAAB San Diego St/FAU VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON FAU OWLS +2.5

10* NCAAB Elite 8 VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON TEXAS LONGHORNS -4:

I will gladly lay the 4-points with the Longhorns in their Elite 8 matchup with the Hurricanes. Miami was really impressive in their win over Houston, but I also think that was about as bad as the Cougars could play. I know the Cougars offense went into that game rated highly, but like Miami's previous opponent (Indiana), I think they had their limitations. I still think this Miami defense isn't all that. I see them really struggling to contain this Texas offense. I also think the Longhorns have the size/speed/athleticism to keep Miami from getting out and generating their offense in transition. Give me the Longhorns -4!

10* NCAAB Elite 8 VEGAS INSIDER:

PLAY ON CONNECTICUT HUSKIES -2.5:

I'll take my chances with UConn as a slim 2.5-point favorite against Gonzaga in Saturday's Elite 8 matchup. The Huskies imposed their will in Thursday's 88-65 win over Arkansas, while the Bulldogs found themselves in a dogfight in their 79-76 win over UCLA. So far Gonzaga's offense has been able to get the job done, but I just don't think they are going to be able to rely on their offense against this UConn team. Huskies have looked like the best team in the field thru the first 3 rounds. UConn has the fire-power on offense to take advantage of a soft Gonzaga defense and the size and length to make things tough on the Bulldogs offense. Give me UConn -2.5! 

10* NCAAB - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE -7:

I got not problem laying the 7-points with Alabama in their Sweet 16 matchup with San Diego State. The two most impressive teams so far, at least to me, have been UConn and Alabama. The Crimson Tide were locked in from the start. They Texas A&M CC 96-75 and rolled Maryland 73-51 in the Round of 32. All that Brandon Miller drama that this team had to deal with a few weeks ago is gone. I don't think the Aztecs will be able to keep this close. San Diego State is a good team that plays good defense. They had to ideal matchups in the first two rounds against Charleston and Furman. Two teams they could impose their will on and out-physical them. Alabama is arguably the best defensive team in the country. A physical game is what they want. Big difference is the Crimson Tide are also a very good offensive team. San Diego State's offense is slight above average at best. I think Alabama is the only team that's able to consistently generate offense. Give me the Crimson Tide -7! 

10* Sweet 16 Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS -5.5: I will gladly lay the 5.5 with the Vols against Florida Atlantic. It's been a great run for FAU to the Sweet 16, but let's not ignore how fortunate they were to get here. The Owls hit a shot with 2.5 seconds left to upset Memphis 66-65 in the 1st round. Tigers had the ball with under 20 seconds to play and the lead and lost possession on a jump ball. They then faced No. 16 seed FDU instead of No. 1 seed Purdue in the Round of 32. 

Tennessee had a little tougher time than expected in a 58-55 win over Louisiana in the 1st round, but came back and looked like a legit Final Four contender with a 65-52 win over Duke. Keep in mind many advanced metrics had Duke playing some of the best basketball of any team entering the tournament. The Vols physicality and pressure on defense really made things miserable for the flashy high-scoring Duke offense. I think they will do the same here against a FAU team that wants to play in space. Give me the Vols -5.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON TCU HORNED FROGS +4.5:

Give me TCU +4.5 against the Zags on Sunday. I just don't think Gonzaga is as good as what people think. Yes, the offense is really good, but to me they lack physicality and aren't nearly good enough on the defensive end. Zags are 244th in the country in effective FG% defense, ranking 251st in defending the 3-pointer and 220th against 2-pt shots.They were far from dominant in their 1st round game against Grand Canyon. They were down 7 with 5:57 left to play in the 1st half. 

On the flip side, I think TCU is one of the more underrated teams in this tournament. TCU didn't have their best player, Mike Miles for 5 games in Big 12 play. They were 1-4 in those games. They did lose both games to Texas and split with KU, but their two losses to the Longhorns were by a combined 10 points and their loss to KU was by 5. 

I thought they showed a lot about themselves in their first round game against Arizona State, jumping out to a 15-4 lead only to find themselves down 11 at the 16 minute mark of the 2nd half. Most teams don't recover in that spot and yet they found a way to win that game. I look for Miles to have a field day against this poor Gonzaga defense and for TCU's defense to make things uncomfortable for the Bulldogs offense. Give me TCU +4.5! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE

PLAY ON UCONN HUSKIES -4:

Lay the points with UConn against St Mary's. The Huskies are the far superior team in this matchup. I'm just not a big believer in this Gaels team. SMU's resume to me just isn't anything to get excited about. The mopped up along with Gonzaga in the WCC, going 14-2 in league play. They were 11-4 in non-conference games. Only one of those was against a team ranked in the Top 65. They do have a win over San Diego State. Their next best win is against North Texas. They have played two games against a team from the Big 12, Big 10, SEC, Big East and Pac-12. Those being Vanderbilt and Washington. Neither of those teams sniffed an at-large bid. 

St Mary's wants to slow the game down, but I don't think UConn will be thrown out of whack by a slower paced game. They ranked 214th in adjusted tempo. The Huskies know how to put the ball in the basket against any team. They ranked No. 3 in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency. It's not all offense for UConn. Huskies were 17th in adjusted defensive efficiency and No. 11 in effective FG%. I think St Mary's only hope is if they get hot from deep and that's going to be hard to do. UConn ranks 19th in defending the 3-pt shot. Give me UConn -4! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON MARQUETTE GOLDEN FLASHES -2.5:

I will gladly take my chances with Marquette as a mere 2.5-point favorite against Michigan State. Shaka Smart's done a tremendous job with this Golden Eagles team and I just don't think a lot of people realize how good they are. They aren't great on defense, but they do force teams out of their comfort zone. They rank 18th in TO% and opponents on average use up 18.7 seconds of the shot clock. That's the 7th best mark in the country. 

Marquette is also an offensive force. Ranking 6th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 7th in effective FG%. Michigan State is solid on both sides of the ball, but not really great at anything. They are one of the better 3-point shooting teams in the country, but they rank 301st out of 360 teams in 3PA/FGA. I just don't think the Spartans will have enough offensive firepower to keep it close. Give me Marquette -2.5! 

9* NCAAB LATE NITE ATS MASSACRE

PLAY ON PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS +5.5:

I will take my chances with Penn State as a 5.5-point dog against Texas. I backed both of these teams and cashed a winning ticket in the 1st round. I backed Texas because of how overrated I thought Colgate was. The Raiders dominated in the Patriot League, but were just 6-7 in non-conference games. Not to take anything away from Texas, but this Penn State team is no joke. I thought the Nittany Lions were one of the most underrated teams coming into this tournament. Penn State won 5 of 6 to close out the regular-season. They then won 3 games in 3 day in the Big Ten Tournament before losing to Purdue by 2-points in the title game. Few teams in this field shoot the 3-ball better than Penn State and it's not just 1 guy the Longhorns have to worry about. Nittany Lions can go score for score with Texas and I give them a real shot here of winning outright. Give me Penn State +5.5! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON HOUSTON COUGARS -5:

I will gladly take my chances with Houston as a 5-point favorite against Auburn. I'm just not buying into the Tigers win over Iowa in the first round. The Hawkeyes couldn't have shot the ball worse and Iowa has no chance when they don't make shots given how bad they are on defense. I don't see Auburn's offense having near the success here against this Houston defense. The Tigers go from facing an Iowa defense that ranked 308th in effective FG% defense to facing a Cougars team that was No. 2 in the country in that category. There are no easy looks. Houston was No. 2 in defending the 3-pt shot and No. 4 against 2-pt attempts. Give me Houston -5! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT

PLAY ON KANSAS JAYHAWKS -3.5:

I don't typically like to be on the same side as a big public play, but I just can't help myself with Kansas only laying 3.5 against the Razorbacks. Kansas is without question one of the most talented teams in the country and they put their ugly loss to Texas in the Big 12 title game behind them with a convincing 96-68 win over Howard on Thursday. Arkansas was able to beat Illinois 73-63, but that's not really saying a lot. Fighting Illini were way overrated if you ask me. Razorbacks had lost 4 of their last 5 games to close out the regular-season and in the SEC Tournament. They were a mere 8-11 over their final 19 games of the regular season (started the year 11-1). It's going to take a really bad game by Kansas just for Arkansas to keep this close. Give me the Jayhawks -3.5! 

10* NCAAB Rdd of 32 PLAY OF THE WEEKEND

PLAY ON DUKE BLUE DEVILS -3:

I will gladly take my chances with Duke as a slim 3-point favorite against the Volunteers. Duke was my pick to make it out of the East and that has not changed. If anything, I like it even more, as No. 1 seed Purdue was knocked out in the 1st round by No. 16 Fairleigh Dickinson.

Blue Devils didn't get off to their typical start. They were just 17-8 overall and 8-6 in ACC play after a loss at Virginia on Feb. 11. That was to be expected. This is a young team that was transitioning away from Coach K. Duke hasn't lost since. They won 6 straight to close out the regular-season, 3 more in route to a ACC Tournament title and then cruised to a 74-51 win over Oral Roberts. 

Books were way off on that line in their first round matchup with the Golden Eagles. Duke was only a 5.5-point favorite. While Tennessee is certainly a more challenging opponent, I don't think 3 is near enough. Vols got off to a great start. They were 18-3 going into February. They were 7-1 in SEC play and fresh off a big win over Texas. They went just 4-6 over their final 10 and then got bounced early by Missouri in the SEC Tournament. Give me Duke -3! 

9* NCAA Tournament Situational ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON INDIANA HOOSIERS -4.5:

I'll gladly take my chances with Indiana as a slim 4.5-point favorite against Kent State. I think the Hoosiers are flying a bit under the radar coming into the NCAA Tournament. Indiana got off to a dismal start. They were just 10-6 overall and 1-4 in Big Ten play back on Jan. 11th. They proceeded to win 12 of their next 17. They had a nice 10-point win over Maryland in their first game of the Big Ten tournament before losing the next day to another very underrated team in Penn State. They did not shoot the ball well at all vs the Nittany Lions and still only lost that game by 4 points. 

The one thing Kent State does well is force opponents into mistakes, but that's not going to be easy to do against a more talented and athletic Indiana team. I also just don't think that the Golden Flashes have the size inside to contain one of the best big men in the country in Trayce Jackson-Davis. Give me the Hoosiers -4.5! 

10* NCAA Tournament Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON KANSAS STATE WILDCATS -7.5:

I love K-State as a 7.5-point favorite against Montana State. The Wildcats to me are coming into the tournament a bit undervalued after losing their regular-season finale and then having a poor showing in a 13-point loss to TCU in the Big 12 Tournament. This is a K-State team they swept their 2 games vs Baylor and split their two meetings with Kansas and Texas. 

I just don't think Montana State is anywhere close to being on the same playing level as the Wildcats. The Bobcats won the Big Sky Tournament, but it is worth noting they needed 2OT to get by Weber State in the semis and benefited from top seed Eastern Washington getting upset in their first game. 

The biggest thing for me when I look at Montana State is their non-conference. They were just 7-6 in games outside of the Big Sky. Their best non-conference win being a 3-point victory against Southern Utah, who finished ranked 112th at KenPom. They also played two Pac-12 teams and were not competitive in either, losing by 30 to Oregon and by 21 to Arizona. Give me K-State -7.5! 

9* NCAA Tournament No Doubt ATS MASSACRE

PLAY ON MEMPHIS TIGERS -1.5:

I got not problem laying the 1.5 with Memphis against FAU. The Owls have one of the best records of any team in the tournament at 31-3, but they also played the 246th toughest non-conference slate. I just feel that their record has them getting way too much respect against a Tigers team that feels like they are flying under the radar. 

Memphis won the AAC Tournament, defeating Houston by 10 in the title game. They were 15-4 over their last 19 games. Two of those losses came in OT and the other two were close losses to Houston. They also had a 3-point loss on the road to Alabama. They too me at the very least should be a No. 5 seed and I think there's a case to be made they are one of the Top 15 best teams in the country. Give me Memphis -1.5! 

9* NCAA Tournament Vegas LINE MISTAKE

PLAY ON IONA GAELS +9.5:

I will take my chances with Iona covering the 9.5 against UConn. This is not so much a play against the Huskies, as it is too good a price to pass up with the Gaels. Iona comes into this game on the nations 2nd longest winning streak at 14 games. They absolutely steamrolled their way to a MAAC regular-season and tournament title. They are coached by non other than the legendary Rick Pitino.

Iona plays outstanding defense. They finished No. 16 in the country in effective FG% defense. They were 8th best at defending the 3-PT shot and 4th in block%. You just don't get a lot of easy looks against this team. Gaels are also decent at forcing turnovers, ranking 43rd in TO%. Protecting the ball is one of the Huskies biggest weakness (236th in Off. TO%). I believe those turnovers will negate the edge UConn figures to have on the board. If the Gaels can get hot from the outside, they just might pull off the upset. Give me Iona +9.5! 

9* NCAA Tournament Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT

PLAY ON PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS +2.5:

I will gladly take the Nittany Lions as a 2.5-point dog against Texas A&M. I think Penn State is one of the most underrated teams going into the Tournament, especially of teams with a double-digit seed or worse. Nittany Lions went 5-1 over their final 6 regular-season games and then won 3 games in 3 days vs Illinois, Northwestern and Indiana (all tournament teams), before losing a heartbreaker 65-67 to Purdue in the title game. 

I think the Nittany Lions are playing with all the confidence in the world right now and they don't rely on just one guy to do all their scoring. They got 3-4 guys who can get hot and carry that offense. 

Texas A&M is a good team, but how good I'm not so sure. Aggies had an impressive 15-3 mark in SEC play and made it to the SEC Tournament title game. However, they were just 8-5 in non-conference. Their best win coming against a Depaul team that ended up ranked No. 142 at KenPom (went 3-17 in Big East play). I just don't think the Aggies have the offense to keep up with Penn State. Give me the Nittany Lions +2.5!

9* NCAA Tournament No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON TEXAS LONGHORNS -13:

I don't typically play many big favorites in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament, but this is one I just can't help myself on. You have a Texas team that is good enough to win it all. They were 2nd in the Big 12 regular-season race and won the Big 12 Tournament (destroyed KU in the title game 76-56). 

As for Colgate, I think they are frauds. The Raiders were 20-1 (17-1 regular-season, 3-0 Patriot League Tournament) against conference opponents this year. They were 6-7 against every body else. Their only non-conference game vs a team ranked inside the Top 120 on KenPom as a road game at Auburn, which they lost 66-93. If Auburn (No. 223 in effective FG% offense) can score 90+, the Longhorns got a shot at 100 in this one. Give me Texas -13! 

10* NCAA Tournament Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON IOWA HAWKEYES +1.5:

I really like the Hawkeyes as a 1.5-point dog against Auburn. Iowa should not be a dog in this matchup. Yes, Iowa is a very vulnerable team, largely do to the fact that they are all offense and no defense. If the shots aren't falling, they can lose to anybody. At the same time, if they make their 3-PT shots, there's not a team they can beat. They are extremely efficient on offense. They were No. 3 in the country in offensive efficiency. 

Auburn is a team that relies on their defense and effort to carry them, because scoring the basketball is a problem. Tigers were 223rd in effective FG%. They were also 315th in 3P%. I just don't think they will be able to capitalize on Iowa's poor defense and this Hawkeyes team is going to put up points. 

Another thing, is how these teams started compared to how they finished. Auburn opened up 16-3 (were 6-1 in SEC play), only to finish up 20-12 with a 10-8 conference mark. Iowa was 8-6 and 0-3 in Big Ten play to start out and ended up a win away from being the No. 2 seed in the Big Ten Tournament. Speaking of, I think the Hawkeyes upset loss to Ohio State in that tournament has them greatly undervalued coming into this game. Give me the Hawkeyes +1.5! 

9* NCAA Tournament Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER

PLAY ON ILLINOIS/ARKANSAS UNDER 145:

I have to take my chances with the UNDER 145 in Thursday's matchup between No. 8 seed Arkansas and No. 9 seed Illinois. I think the fact that both of these teams like to play at a decent tempo (Arkansas 55th, Illinois 71st) has created value on the UNDER. 

Neither of these teams shoot the ball well from deep and both struggle at the foul line. Arkansas ranks 304th in 3PT% and 287th in FT%. Illinois is even worse, ranking 330th in 3PT% and 308th in FT%. There's going to be a lot of 2PT shots in this one and you have an Illinois team that ranks 16th in the country in defending the 2PT shot. Arkansas isn't that good, but are a respectable 47th. Give me the UNDER 145! 

9* NCAA Tournament Early Bird ATS MASSACRE

PLAY ON UTAH STATE AGGIES -1:

I got no problem backing No. 10 seed Utah State as a slim 1-point favorite against No. 7 seed Missouri on Thursday. The fact that the Aggies are favored as the worse seed says a lot and I agree with the oddsmakers on this one. The Tigers are a talented team, but they rely too much on their offense, as they are very poor on the defensive side of the ball. Missouri ranked 274th in effective FG% defense and 266th in 3PT % defense. 

Utah State finished the year 13th in offensive efficiency, 11th in effective FG% and 10th in 3PT %. While they are from an elite defensive team, the Aggies were a respective 58th in effective FG% defense and 29th in 2PT% defense. Missouri isn't a bad 3-PT shooting team (75th), but most of their points come inside. Tigers also foul a lot (Utah State 29th in FT%) and give up a bunch of offensive rebounds, while failing to grab many of their own. Give me Utah State -1!  

10* NCAAB NIT PLAY OF THE WEEK

PLAY ON OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS -5.5: I'll take my chances with Oklahoma State laying 5.5 against Youngstown State in the first round of the NIT. Yes, the Cowboys played themselves out of the NCAA Tournament by going just 2-6 over their final 8 games. A lot of that has to do with just how good the Big 12 is, because this is one of the Top 40-50 teams in the country. They went 18-15 and 12 of the 15 losses were to teams that finished the year ranked inside the Top 30 at KenPom. 

On the flip side of this, you have a Youngstown State team that went 24-9. The Penguins won the Horizon League regular-season title, but lost in the semis of the Horizon League Tournament. That's a bad Horizon conference. They are the only team that ranked inside the Top 150 (No. 129) at KenPom. Out of the 11 teams that makeup the conference, 6 rank outside the Top 225. Youngstown State's best win all season was a win against Northern Kentucky, who is No. 162. The best team they played all season by KenPom standards was No. 131 Ohio. 

I just don't think the Penguins are going to be ready for this massive step up in competition. Give me Oklahoma State -5.5! 

10* NCAAB First Four VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS -2:

I'll take my chances with Mississippi State as a slim 2-point favorite against Pitt in Tuesday's First Four matchup. Defense has a way of reigning supreme in the NCAA Tournament and there's no debate who the better defensive team is in this one. Mississippi State finished the season No. 6 in the country in defensive efficiency and No. 19 in defensive effective FG%. Pitt ranked 142nd in efficiency and 108th in effective FG%. That's also a Panthers defense that has really struggled down the stretch. They gave up 81 to Georgia Tech in their first game of the ACC Tournament. That's a Yellow Jackets offense that ranks 192nd in offensive efficiency and 285th in effective FG%. It's why I'm not overly concerned here about the bad offensive numbers for the Bulldogs. Give me Mississippi State -2! 

Tuesday's Free NCAAB Pick

PLAY ON VANDERBILT COMMODORES -3:

I'll take my chances with Vandy laying just 3 against Yale in Tuesday's NIT action. The Commodores resume wasn't quite good enough to make the NCAA Tournament, but this was a team that certainly was playing like one of the 64 best teams over the final month of the season. Commodores closed out the regular-season winning 8 of their last 9, which included wins over Tennessee, Auburn, Kentucky and Miss St. They followed that up by winning their first 2 games in the SEC Tournament, which included another win over the Wildcats before eventually bowing out to Texas A&M. If this team comes to play, it would not surprise me at all if they won the NIT. Either way, I like them to get the job done tonight. GIve me Vanderbilt -3! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON TOLEDO ROCKETS +6.5:

I always like to look for which team is going to be more motivated to show up and play in the first round of the NIT. Both teams will be dealing with some disappointment. Toledo won the MAC regular-season title, but were left out of the Big Dance after losing to Kent State in the championship game of the MAC Tournament. 

As for the Wolverines, Michigan has to be wondering how they got to this point. Most viewed the Wolverines as a Top 25 team coming into this season, but they could just never get on track. Back-to-back OT losses to close out the regular-season coupled with a one-and-done showing in the Big Ten Tournament (lost 50-62 to Rutgers), was enough to keep them out of the NCAA Tournament. I think they are going to have a hard time getting up for this game. 

One thing that I think is working in Toledo's favor is that while these two teams are from different states, it's just a 55 minute drive from Toledo to Ann Arbor. I think this is the perfect opponent for the Rockets to put that loss to Kent State behind them. Would not be surprised if Toledo won outright. Give me the Rockets +6.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON MEMPHIS TIGERS +6:

I'll take the points with Memphis in Sunday's American Athletic showdown against No. 1 ranked Houston. These two teams played twice in the regular-season. The Cougars won both matchups, but both games were closely contested. Houston won 72-64 at home in the first meeting and 67-65 at Memphis in the rematch. 

The Tigers have to be ecstatic that will be getting another crack at the Cougars. It's not easy beating the same team 3 times in the same season and the best part is we don't even need Memphis to win the game. I certainly think they can, but there's also a great chance if they lose that they keep it close. 

Memphis just doesn't get the credit they deserve. They were 10-3 in non-conference play with their 3 losses coming by 6 to St Louis, 1 to Seton Hall and by 3 on the road against Alabama. They were 13-5 in AAC play. Outside of their two losses to the Cougars their 3 other losses came by a combined 11 points. Two of those losses came in OT. Give me Memphis +6! 

10* NCAAB ACC PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON DUKE BLUE DEVILS -2.5: What a matchup we have here. Both Duke and Virginia have looked great in their first two games of the ACC Tournament. Virginia beat UNC 68-59 on Thursday and Clemson 76-56 on Friday. Duke has a 96-69 win over Pitt and a 85-78 victory against Miami. 

Virginia did win at Duke in the only meeting in the regular-season, but needed OT to do it. I just think this EXTREMELY young Blue Devils team has grown up a lot since they played back on Feb. 11. In fact, Duke hasn't loss since that game. This teams reminds me a lot of the Kentucky teams that were so freshman loaded. They always seemed to peak at this time. 

I also think it's huge that these freshman have seen this Virginia defense before. In the end, I just feel the Duke offense will be too much. Give me the Blue Devils -2.5! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON INDIANA HOOSIERS -3:

I really like to back teams that I feel have a significant rest advantage in these conference tournaments. Indiana certainly has the edge in that department. Hoosiers had a double-bye. Yesterday's 70-60 win over Maryland was their first game of the tournament. 

Penn State will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days. Both of their first two games came right down to the wire. They scraped by Illinois 79-76 on Thursday and then won an absolute dog fight against Northwestern 67-65 in OT on Friday. As good as the Nittany Lions are playing down the stretch, I got to roll with Indiana in this one. Give me the Hoosiers -3!

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON INDIANA HOOSIERS PK:

I got not problem backing Indiana at a Pick'em against the Terps. Let's not get carried away with Maryland's 16-point win over Minnesota. The Gophers were a 13-point dog in that game and are easily the worst team in the conference. That's the only team Maryland has beaten away from their home floor since the beginning of December. Their only other true road win outside of Minnesota was against a bad Louisville team. Indiana had road wins over the likes of Illinois, Michigan and Purdue in Big 10 play. Hoosiers will also have the rest edge with a double-bye to start this tournament. Give me Indiana PK! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON TEXAS A&M AGGIES PK:

I got no problem backing Texas A&M at a pick'em against Arkansas in Friday's SEC Tournament action. Aggies are a team I'm thinking could surprise some people with a deep run in the NCAA Tournament. A lot of people wrote this team off after a home loss to Wofford dropped them to 6-5 overall. After that loss to Wofford, Texas A&M has gone 17-3. They were 15-3 in SEC play, second in the SEC behind only Alabama, who went 16-2. They should be a bigger favorite here. Arkansa pulled out a narrow 3-point win over Auburn yesterday. Davonte Davis played the full 40 minutes and Anthony Black logged 37 minutes. Tigers had lost 3 straight prior to that win. Give me Texas A&M PK! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON IOWA HAWKEYES -3: This to me is just too good a price to pass up on the Hawkeyes. Iowa has to be kicking themselves for not beating Nebraska at home on Sunday, as that loss prevented them from being a Top 4 seed and getting a double-bye. I just think it was a tough spot for them. They had that crazy come back late to stun Michigan State at home 112-106 on 2/25 and then went on the road and laid it on Indiana 90-68. That's also a rivalry game and I just think Nebraska put everything they had into winning that game. Certainly feels that way after watching them lose to an awful Minnesota in the opening round yesterday. 

Simply put, I expect the Hawkeyes to bounce back in a big way in this one. Ohio State had a nice win over Wisconsin on Wednesday, but that's a Badgers team that was all over the place in Big Ten play. Now they are at a big rest disadvantage playing on no rest. They are almost certainly going to get Iowa's best effort in this one. Give me the Hawkeyes -3! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON BAYLOR BEARS -3.5: 

I love Baylor in this spot and at this price. These two teams just played each other on Saturday and ISU pulled off a shocking upset, embarrassing the Bears on Senior Night 73-58. Cyclones also had a 15-point (77-62) win at Baylor earlier this season. 

It was a great win by ISU, as they had an emotional response to Caleb Grill being kicked off the team. I just don't trust this Cyclones team going forward. They had lost 4 straight and were 4-9 over their previous 13 games. The offense can disappear in a heartbeat and I don't know that they can bank on outworking the Bears in this one. If these Baylor kids have any pride, they are going to be extremely motivated for this rematch with ISU. They get the job done here. Give me Baylor -3.5! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER 

PLAY ON NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS -6:

I got no problem laying 6-points with Nebraska as they take on Minnesota in the opening round of the Big Ten tournament. The Cornhuskers really came on strong down the stretch. They were 6-2 over their last 8 Big Ten games, capping it all off with a 81-77 win at Iowa in the finale, preventing the Hawkeyes from a top 4 seed in this tournament. This team has to be coming into this thing with a ton of confidence. On the flip side, this Minnesota team is bad and I got to think there's at least a few guys on that roster that just want this thing to be over with. Give me the Cornhuskers -6! 

9* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON PITTSBURGH PANTHERS -7:

I have no problem laying the 7 with Pitt as they take on Georgia Tech in the 2nd Round of the ACC Tournament. Not only are the Panthers the much better team (they went 14-6 in ACC play, while the Yellow Jackets were 6-14), they have a big rest advantage in this one. Georgia Tech had to play in the 1st round against FSU on Tuesday in a game that went right down to the wire (won 61-60). Pitt won both regular season meetings by more than this number, winning by 11 on the road and by 8 at home. Give me the Panthers -7! 

10* NCAAB Situational PLAY OF THE WEEK

PLAY ON INDIANA HOOSIERS -4:

I love the spot and price with Indiana as a mere 4-point home favorite against Michigan. Big bounce back spot for the Hoosiers after Tuesday's ugly 68-90 loss at home to Iowa. Hawkeyes shot 13 of 23 (56.5%) from behind the 3-point line in that game. Iowa is just too good offensively that they are almost impossible to beat when they shoot it that well from the outside. Indiana had won their previous 6 games at home in Big Ten play. 

As for Michigan. The Wolverines have showed some life here down the stretch, winning 6 of their last 9 games, but this is a brutal spot for them coming off of Thursday's 2OT loss at Illinois. Michigan had 4 different guys play at least 44 of a possible 50 minutes in that game. Note that the Wolverines are playing here on just 2 days of rest, while Indiana is playing on 4 days rest. Give me the Hoosiers -4! 

9* NCAAB Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS -3:

I will gladly take my chances with Penn State as a slim 3-point home favorite against Maryland. Nittany Lions have won 4 of 5 with 3 of those wins coming on the road. This team is one of the best in the country on the offensive side of the ball. They are No. 12 in effective FG%, No. 2 in TO%, No. 7 in 3-PT%. 

Maryland on the other hand, is just not the same team on the road as they are at home. Terps only road win in Big 10 play this season was against bottom feeder Minnesota. Last time out they scored just 62-points in a 11-point loss at Ohio State. That game against the Gophers is the only time they have scored more than 67 in a road game. I just don't see the Terps being able to keep pace offensively in this one. Give me Penn State -3! 

10* NCAAB ACC PLAY OF THE WEEK

PLAY ON NORTH CAROLINA -3.5:

I will gladly lay 3.5-points at home with North Carolina as they get ready to host rival Duke in prime time. We have been waiting and waiting for this Tar Heels team to wake up and play up to their potential.

They come in having won 3 straight and will be out for some serious revenge after blowing the first meeting between these two teams in Durham. Tar Heels ended up losing that game 57-63. They only lost by 6, despite shooting just 39.5% on 2-pt shots and going just 2-3 at the free throw line. 

Duke comes in having won 5 straight, but 4 of those 5 wins were at home. The lone road win coming at Syracuse, who is not very good this season. Even with that win, the Blue Devils are just 3-6 in ACC road games with the two other wins coming against BC (by just 1-pt) and Georgia Tech. Give me the Tar Heels -3.5! 

9* NCAAB Big Money ATS MASSACRE

PLAY ON TEXAS LONGHORNS -3: 

I love the value and spot with Texas as a slim 3-point home favorite against Kansas. Longhorns should be highly motivated here to take their crack at the Big 12 regular-season champs, especially with it being senior day and them looking to snap a 2-game skid after dropping back-to-back games at Baylor and TCU. Winning at home is something this team is pretty good at. They are 16-1 on their home floor this season. 

Kansas has looked like a legit No. 1 seed and maybe the team to beat if the tournament started today, but there's not much incentive for them in this game. They locked up that Big 12 regular-season title with Tuesday's win at home vs Texas Tech. I think they struggle to match the intensity of Texas and let's not forget the Longhorns showed they can play with KU in their previous meeting this season. Give me Texas -3! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT 

PLAY ON TCU HORNED FROGS -1.5:

I've been all over TCU down the stretch. Largely due to the market not making a big enough adjustment to Mike Miles returning from injury. K-State is 3-6 in games where Miles doesn't play (including game vs Miss St he played just 4 minutes). They are just 1-4 in Big 12 games without him. They are 17-4 with him on the floor. This to me is just too good a discount to pass up as we basically are getting them at a pick'em. 

Winning games in the Big 12 has been a struggle for Oklahoma, home and away. The Sooners are just 4-13 in conference play. When they went to TCU earlier this season, the Horned Frogs went on to win that game by 27 points (79-52). Give me TCU -1.5! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS -4.5:

I got no problem laying the 4.5 at home with West Virginia as they host Kansas State. The Mountaineers are one of the more underrated teams in the country. They come into this game no where close to being ranked in the Top 25 and yet they are the No. 19 ranked team overall at KenPom. 

West Virginia has one of the best home court advantages in the country. (KenPom has it No. 2 overall). K-State comes in ranked No. 11 in both the AP and Coaches Polls and are riding a 4-game win streak. Thing is, 3 of the 4 wins came at home. The lone road win was against a reeling Oklahoma State team by just 5 points. Prior to that win over the Cowboys, K-State had lost 5 straight on the road in league play. Give me West Virginia -4.5! 

10* NCAAB Pac-12 PLAY OF THE WEEK

PLAY ON USC TROJANS +1.5: Really like USC as a 1.5-point home dog against Arizona. The Trojans come into this game having won 4 straight and 8 of 10 overall. They just won at Colorado and at Utah in a span of just 3 days. They dominated in both games, beating the Buffaloes by 19 and the Utes by 13. 

I got to think they will be very excited about this game. They did not play well in a 66-81 loss at Arizona back in mid-January. The biggest different in that game was 3-point shooting. USC was 4-17 (23.5%) from deep, while the Wildcats were 12 of 24 (50%). The Trojans should shoot better at home, while Arizona should see some regression. 

One other thing to keep in mind, is that these two are pretty much destined to meet in the semis of the Pac-12 Tournament. They are tied for 2nd in the Pac-12 standings, 3-games back of UCLA with two to play and 2 in front of Arizona St. If UCLA wins at home over the Sun Devils, these will be your No. 2 and No. 3 seeds in the tournament. Having already beat USC and knowing they might face them again, maybe Arizona holds a little back in this one. Either way, I like the Trojans to win this game outright. Give me USC +1.5! 

10* NCAAB Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE WEEK

PLAY ON NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS -3.5:

I'll take my chances with Northwestern as a 3.5-point home favorite against Penn State. This to me is the perfect spot to back the Wildcats. Northwestern has lost their last two games. Both were on the road. One they gave up a massive lead at Illinois and the other was against a red-hot Maryland team. Prior to those losses they had won 5 straight, which included a 3-game home win streak against Purdue, Iowa and Indiana.

I got to think they are going to be fired up for this one. Not only to get back on track, but it's senior night and they got two good ones in Boo Buie and Chase Audige. Nittany Lions have won their last two on the road, but they came against Minnesota and Ohio State. Prior to that they had lost 6 in a row on the road. Give me Northwestern -3.5! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE

PLAY ON MARYLAND TERRAPINS -1.5:

I don't know how you don't lay the 1.5 with the Terps in this one. This Ohio State team has been one of the most overrated teams all country. Sure they just beat Illinois by 12 at home in their last game. Who cares. They were 1-14 over their previous 15 games. 

Maryland is the exact opposite. This team doesn't get near the hype it should. The Terps are ranked No. 21, but have been playing more like a Top 15 team. They are 8-2 over their last 10 games with the two losses being by 5 at Mich St and by 4 in OT at Nebraska. Their only two losses outside of the Big Ten are to Tennessee and UCLA. It's not easy winning on the road in the Big Ten, but this feels like a big enough mismatch. Give me the Terps -1.5! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER 

PLAY ON PROVIDENCE FRIARS -3.5:

I'll take my chances with Providence as a 3.5-point home favorite. Friars are a perfect 15-0 on their home floor this season. Having already knocked off all the Big Elites at home (Marquette, UConn, Creighton and Villanova. 

Xavier is a solid team, but they struggled to put away Providence at home in the first meeting. Musketeers won that game 85-83 in OT. Friars are 21-8. They have just two loses vs teams outside the Top 40. One of those coming against St Louis on a neutral floor by 3 on no rest. They also lost by 5 at St John's. Xavier did just win at Seton Hall, but had dropped each of their previous 3 on the road. Give me Providence -3.5! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS MASSACRE 

PLAY ON VILLANOVA WILDCATS -1.5:

I'll gladly take my chances with Villanova as a slim 1.5-point road favorite against Seton Hall. This is really as simple as I think we got two teams headed in different directions down the stretch. The Wildcats are surging towards the finish line. Villanova looked dead in the water after a 3-8 stretch early in 2023, but they have since won 5 of 6. The last two being a road win at Xavier and a 12-point win at home over Creighton. Good programs always seem to peak at this time. 

A month ago, Seton Hall was rolling, having won 7 of 8. Things have took a turn, as they are just 1-4 in their last 5. Yes, this came against a tough slate of opponents. The four losses were to Creighton, Villanova, UConn and Xavier. I'm more concerned about how they played in those losses, losing by 13 to Creighton, by 9 to UConn and by 22 most recently at home to Xavier. Give me Villanova -1.5! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER 

PLAY ON INDIANA HOOSIERS -5.5:

Easy play for me on the Hoosiers as a 5.5-point home favorite against Iowa. The Hawkeyes have been awful on the road in Big Ten play. They are 1-5 in their last 6 on the road, with the only win coming against an awful Minnesota team (didn't play great - only scored 68 points). In the 5 losses they have a 16-point loss at Ohio State, 14-point loss at Purdue, 20-point loss at Northwestern and a 12-point loss at Wisconsin. 

In their 5 road losses they are scoring just 64.6 ppg. That's nothing close to their season average. Iowa for the season is putting up 80.4 ppg and rank No. 5 in the country in KenPom's adjusted offensive efficiency rating. 

They needed 91 points to beat Indiana by just 2 at home earlier this season. Hoosiers have also gotten better since these two teams last played. That loss to Iowa came in a 2-5 stretch. They have since gone 10-3 with all 3 of the losses coming on the road. Indiana's only home loss all season is by 1-point to Northwestern back in that 2-5 stretch. Give me the Hoosiers -5.5! 

10* NCAAB Big 12 Total PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON IOWA STATE/WEST VIRGINIA OVER 134: I'm well aware of how bad the Cyclones offense has been in their last 3 games. Really bad. I like them to get back on track playing on their home floor. West Virginia is not a great defensive team and they have struggled to play well on that side of the ball in road games. They are allowing 46.6% shooting from the field away from home. ISU, who has shot 31% or worse twice in their last 3 games, is shooting 46.5% from the field in home games this season. 

These are also two teams that are really good at playing in chaos. ISU is No. 2 in the country in TO% defense. WV is a solid 50th in that department, they do an amazing job of speeding up their opponents with that press. Mountaineer opponents only average 16.7 seconds per possession, which is the 14th best mark in the country. 

I also look at the recent matchups between these two teams. Going back to the 2013 season, the lowest combined score in a game between ISU/W Virginia is 135 points back in 2020. The OVER is 13-1 in the L14 meetings! They combined for 147 points in a 76-71 Mountaineer win at home back on Feb. 8th. Give me the OVER 134! 

10* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON PENN STATE -2.5: 

I will gladly take my chances with the Nittany Lions as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against Rutgers on Sunday. The Scarlet Knights aren't exactly playing their best basketball down the stretch and I just feel this team is getting way too much respect on the road against a Penn State team that is 12-2 SU on their home floor this season. Nittany Lions only home loss since Dec. 7th was in OT against Wisconsin. 

Yes, Rutgers annihilated Penn State 65-45 at home back in late January. You just can't read too much into results in the Big Ten with how drastically different a lot of these teams are playing at home compared to on the road. Rutgers is one of those teams that is much worse on the road. Scarlet Knights are 4-7 SU in road games this season. They are 356th out of 363 teams in Hasalmetrics away from home rating. Rutgers is scoring 63.7 ppg away from home, while Penn State is averaging 79.1 ppg on 49.8% shooting at home. Give me the Nittany Lions -2.5!

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON KENTUCKY WILDCATS -4:

I don't have any problem laying 4-points with Kentucky at home against Auburn. I cashed a winning ticket on the Wildcats as a mere 2-point favorite at Florida on Wednesday. As I mentioned in my analysis of that game, I just feel that Kentucky is one of those teams surging to the finish line. Something they tend to do quite a bit with these underclassmen loaded teams under John Calipari. The game before beating the Gators, they won by 12 at home against Tennessee. 

Auburn to me is just getting too much respect here. The Tigers are a solid team, but their only road win this entire season vs a team ranked inside the Top 100 at KenPom is a win over No. 98 ranked Washington. As much as Kentucky gets the juices flowing, there's a much bigger game looming on deck Wednesday against rival Alabama. I just think Kentucky dominates this game from start to finish. Give me the Wildcats -4! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER

PLAY ON BAYLOR BEARS -3.5:

Absolutely love this spot for Baylor as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against Texas. This might now feel like the time to jump on the Bears after losing by double-digits on the road in back-to-back games vs Kansas and Kansas State. The thing is, this is just one of those teams that struggle to play well on the road and look like a Final Four team at home. Bears are 13-2 at home this season with the two losses coming by a combined 3-points with 1 of those coming in OT. 

Texas is kinda of the same way. The Longhorns are 3-1 in their last 4, but all 3 wins came at home. The lone loss was by 7 on the road against Texas Tech. I also feel that despite the recent results, Baylor is a better team now than they were early in the year. People are quick to forget that they had won 10 of 11 before losing their last two. Give me the Bears -3.5! 

8* NCAAB Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE

PLAY ON ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS +8.5:

This is just too many points to pass up on the Razorbacks in this spot. Talent wise, Alabama is the far superior team, but basketball is not the biggest focal point surrounding this team right now. All anyone is talking about is Brandon Miller and his involvement in a murder. Lot of people don't think he should be playing.

Give Miller some props he played great despite all the negative publicity around him in their last game, scoring 41 with 7 rebounds, 2 blocks and 3 steals. Thing is, Alabama needed OT to sneak out a 78-76 win on the road against a bad South Carolina team. 

I don't think they can be less than 100% locked into playing and expect to beat this Arkansas team by more than 8 points. The Razorbacks are no joke and you know they are going to be all-in for this one. Give me Arkansas +8.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS -2:

I will gladly lay 2-points at home with Oklahoma State as they get ready to host Kansas State. Great buy-low spot on the Cowboys, who come in having lost 3 straight. A lot of teams would be on a 3-game skid given this slate. It started with a loss at home to Kansas, then two difficult road games vs TCU and West Virginia (had to play the Mountaineers on just 1-day of rest).

They have been off since Monday and I look for them to bounce back with a great performance here at home. Keep in mind that prior to losing 3 in a row, they had won 7 of 8, including 5 straight at home. 

K-State is off back-to-back big wins at home vs ISU and Baylor, but those are two teams that have really struggled away from home. Wildcats have lost 5 straight Big 12 road games, which includes a 8-point loss at Texas Tech and 14-point setback at Oklahoma. Give me the Cowboys -2! 

10* NCAAB PAC-12 PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON COLORADO BUFFALOES -2.5: This to me is just too good a price to pass up on Colorado at home. The Buffaloes are just one of those teams who look like an NCAA Tournament team on their home floor and then a team that doesn't even deserve the NIT on the road. Colorado is 11-2 at CU Events Center and just 4-11 on the road. This to me is also a Buffaloes team that is sneaky good. People forget they beat Tennessee by 12 (78-66) and destroyed Texas A&M by 28 (103-75). They got a lot of close losses. Of their 13 losses, their largest defeat is just 14 points and that was on the road vs UCLA. 

USC comes into this game with some momentum, as they have won 6 of their last 8. I think it has them overvalued on the road. Trojans have just 1 road win since the start of January. Buffs have a solid defense. They are No. 2 in the Pac-12 in Offensive Efficiency. They are No. 2 in TO%, No. 1 in offensive rebound rate. 

USC's got a good defense, but are No. 334 in the country in giving up offensive rebounds, which is an area the Buffs do well in, ranking No. 78 overall. Colorado's offense is just different at home. They are shooting 47.1% from the field and getting to the foul line 20 times a game at home. They shoot 43.7% on the season. That tells you how night and day it is with this team. Give me the Buffaloes -2.5! 

10* NCAAB Big East PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON UCONN HUSKIES -7: I got no problem laying the 7 with UConn at home against Providence. The Huskies looked elite during a 14-0 start to the season. They then hit a wall and lost 5 of 6. They are no longer viewed in the same way. I think they are still that team and are on the right track to close out the season. UConn has won 5 of their last 7. The two losses coming by 3-points a piece. They had a 1-pt loss at Seton Hall at the tail end of that 1-5 stretch. 

Last time out they beat Seton Hall at home by 9, revenging that earlier loss to the Pirates. Their previous home game they beat Marquette by 15 after the Golden Flashes had beat them by 6 earlier in the season. Now it's time for them to get their revenge on the Friars. Providence won the first meeting 73-61. 

Friars aren't exactly playing bad coming in, which is why the betting public is all over them and the points. I just think the Huskies are a different animal at home and will easily cover this number. Give me UConn -7

10* NCAAB Smart Money PLAY OF THE WEEK

PLAY ON KANSAS STATE WILDCATS -2: I'll take my chances with K-State as a 2-point home dog against Baylor. I get the Bears have been playing much better of late, but this is not an ideal spot for them. They just played one of their biggest games of the season to date at Kansas. A loss they could have a hard time getting over, as they watched a 40-23 1st half lead turn into a 71-87 loss. Could be hard to bounce back playing another road game with a mere 1-day break between games. 

K-State is the exact opposite. They are now just 8-6 in Big 12 play after a 6-1 start. Big thing to note with that, is 4 of their 5 losses during their slide have come on the road. Their only home loss all season is a 3-point setback against Texas. This feels like a bit of a statement game for them. Remind everyone they are one of the Big 12's best. Give me the Wildcats +2!

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON TCU HORNED FROGS -1.5: I'll take my chances with TCU as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against Kansas in Monday's Big 12 matchup. I cashed an easy winner on TCU Saturday, as they crushed Oklahoma State 100-75. No surprise they played their best game in weeks in the first game they got back Mike Miles Jr.. He sat out the previous 5 games and played just 4 minutes in the game he was injured. TCU is now 17-4 with him on the floor with 3 of the 4 losses by 4 or fewer points. They were 1-5 in those 6 games he didn't start and finish. 

So while Kansas is a very good team and off an impressive come from behind win over Baylor (won by 16 after trailing by as many as 17), I think TCU is the right side in this one. It takes a lot out of you overcoming a deficit like KU did on Saturday. Also not an ideal spot playing on just 1 day of rest in what will be their 3rd road game in the last 10 days. Give me TCU -1.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS +1.5: I'll gladly take my chances with Northwestern as a 1.5-point home dog against Iowa. I just feel that the Hawkeyes are getting way too much respect in this one. The home/away splits for Iowa is pretty significant. They are 13-2 at home compared to just 4-7 on the road. They have lost 3 of their last 4 on the road in Big Ten play, with the only win being a 68-56 win over Minnesota (didn't play great, Gophers are just bad). 

Northwestern is 12-4 on their home floor, having won 4 of their last 5 at home in Big Ten play. The last two being some big time wins. They knocked off Purdue last Sunday and then snuck out a win over Indiana on Wednesday. 

Wildcats will be out for revenge in this one, as they watched an early 9-point 1st half lead turn into a 16-point road loss when these two teams played in Iowa City back on Jan. 31. Iowa simply couldn't miss in that game. They shot 61.3% on 2-pt attempts and 47.6% on 3-pt attempts. They are shooting 51.9% (105th) on 2-pt shots for the season and 35.1% on 3-pt attempts (126th). Worth noting they are only shooting 29.7% from 3 on the road this year. 

Keep in mind that was a tired Northwestern team when these two last played. Wildcats were playing their 4th game in a span of 9 days. I think that had a lot to do with Iowa's great shooting, as this is a team that on the season ranks 23rd, allowing a mere 45.4% on 2-pt attempts. Give me Northwestern +1.5! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON MICHIGAN WOLVERINES -2: 

I'm going to take another shot with Michigan. This time as a slim 2-point home favorite against in-state rival Michigan State. Wolverines come in having lost their last two games, but could have easily won both. They suffered a heartbreaking 61-62 loss at home to Indiana last Saturday after leading by double-digits in the 1st half. They followed that up with a 5-point loss at Wisconsin.

I like the Wolverines to respond here with a huge effort and get their revenge on Sparty, who only won by 6 at home in the previous meeting this season. Michigan State is just 6-15 ATS last 3 seasons in road games 15+ games into the season vs team with a winning record, losing in this spot by close to 8 ppg. Too much value to pass up with the Wolverines. Give me Michigan -2

10* NCAAB SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH 

PLAY ON MISSOURI TIGERS -2: 

I love the value and spot for Missouri as a slim 2-point home favorite against Texas A&M. The Tigers got embarrassed on the road Tuesday in a 56-89 loss at Auburn. Missouri trailed in that game by as many as 49 points. Whenever a team has an awful performance like Missouri did, they end up showing some decent value in the next game. Expect a complete 180 in terms of effort and shots should fall at home, where Missouri is 14-2 on the season with their only 2 losses coming at the hands of Kansas and Alabama. 

Texas A&M has really taken the SEC by storm, as no one saw this team jumping out to a 11-2 start in conference play after their 6-5 start to the season. They are 13-2 over their last 15 games, but 9 of those 15 games have come at home. Simply too good a price to pas up on the Tigers. Give me Missouri -2! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT

PLAY ON TCU HORNED FROGS -5.5:

I'll lay the 5.5 with TCU at home against Oklahoma State on Saturday. Perfect buy-low spot on the Horned Frogs. TCU comes into this game having lost 4 straight. A streak that started with a 73-79 loss on the road to the Cowboys. 

The big thing to note is that TCU has had to play each of their last 4 games without one of the best players in the conference in Mike Miles Jr (Preseason Big 12 Player of the Year). Horned Frogs are 15-5 with him on the floor and just 2-5 without him. 

Oklahoma State had been rolling, but had their 5-game winning streak snapped in a 76-87 loss at home to Kansas. I think they struggle to pick themselves up on the road against a very underrated, motivated and desperate Horned Frogs team. Give me TCU -5.5! 

9* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON KANSAS STATE WILDCATS -3:

I'll lay the 3-points with K-State at home against Iowa State. I'll be the first to admit, I've not had great luck betting against the Cyclones this year, but this is just too good a spot and price to pass up with the Wildcats. 

We know we are going to get a huge effort here from K-State, as they enter this matchup having lost their last 2 and 4 of their last 5. Thing is, 3 of those losses came on the road, where wins are extremely hard to come by for Big 12 teams. The lone loss at home was by just 3-points to Texas in a game they led by as many as 14 in the 1st half. That's the only home loss on the resume for the Wildcats this season. ISU is a great home team (I've backed them a lot at Hilton), but aren't as formidable on the road. After winning their first two road games in Big 12 play, ISU has lost 5 straight away from Ames. That streak extends to 6 today. Give me Kansas State -3! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON OHIO STATE/IOWA OVER 152.5: I wanted to bet Iowa in this game, but I feel like the number here has been inflated to where there's just not enough value. I like the Hawkeyes largely because of how good they have been at home. Thing is, not only have they been great (11-3 ATS), the OVER has been great (10-4). 

That makes sense. Iowa likes to play super fast. While they have some good offensive players and are very efficiency (5th in the country), they aren't a great 3-PT shooting team (134th). Teams tend to shoot better at home. That's definitely the case for Iowa. Hawkeyes are scoring 89.0 ppg and shooting 38.5% at home this season (80.6 ppg and 35.1% on the season). 

Overs are also great at home with Iowa, because they aren't a very good defensive team. Opposing teams are shooting 48.6% from the field and 38% from 3 against them in conference play. Buckeyes are a shocking 1-11 over their last 12 games, but are 25th in offensive efficiency. They scored 93 points on 56.3% shooting. I think both teams easily eclipse the 70 point mark and this thing flies past the number. Give me the OVER 152.5! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON IOWA STATE CYCLONES -3.5: I will gladly take my chances with Iowa State as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against TCU. Both of these teams come in desperate for a win. Horned Frogs have lost 3 straight and the Cyclones have dropped 4 of their last 5. I still feel this is too low a price for ISU to be laying at home. Yes, they just lost at home to Oklahoma State 56-64 on Saturday. That was their first home loss of the season. In their previous 5 conference home games they had bat Kansas by 15, K-State by 4, Texas by 11, Texas Tech by 34 and Baylor by 15. 

Let's also not ignore just how bad they shot in that loss to TCU. The Cyclones were 13 of 35 (37.1%) on 2-PT attempts. They shoot 51.4% on 2-PT attempts for the season. Those kind of nights happen against elite defenses like Oklahoma State. Now TCU's defense is pretty darn good, but it's not on the same level as the Cowboys. It's also a defense that comes in having not played well. They have allowed 70+ points in 5 straight games. Give me the Cyclones -3.5! 

9* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS -3: I'll take my chances with Mississippi State as a slim 3-point home favorite against Kentucky. The Bulldogs are hot. Mississippi State has won 5 straight. A win streak that started after they opened up 1-7 in SEC play. People overlook how many close games this team lost earlier in the year. They two losses to Alabama by a combined 14 points. They have 4 other losses by 8 or fewer. 

They are special defensively. Bulldogs are No. 4 in the country in defensive efficiency and No. 15 in both effective FG% defense and Turnover%. Kentucky got talent, but are not as good as they have been in the past. They come in poor form having lost by 15 at home to Arkansas and by 7 on the road to Georgia in their last two games. Give me the Bulldogs -3! 

10* NCAAB Big 12 PLAY OF THE WEEK

PLAY ON OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS +2.5: No way I'm passing up on Oklahoma State as a home dog. The Cowboys should not be a dog at home to any team in the Big 12 with how they are playing. After starting just 9-8 and 1-4 in Big 12 play, Oklahoma State has gone 7-1 over their last 8 games. They are on a 5-game winning streak, most recently knocking off a very good ISU team 64-56 on the road (Cyclones first home loss of the season). 

Kansas is good, but they feel a bit overpriced to me, which is what you would expect. People just bet Kansas because it's Kansas and the books will take advantage of that and put a tax on the Jayhawks. Kansas has been vulnerable on the road, especially on conference games. They have lost 3 of their last 4 conference road games with the only win against a mediocre Oklahoma team. Not saying Jayhawks can't win this game, but they should not be favored. Give me Oklahoma State +2.5!

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT

Play on North Carolina Tar Heels -4.5: I think this is a fair price and even better spot to lay it with North Carolina at home against Miami. It just feels to me like the Tar Heels have went through the motions for the first 3+ months of the season. Which is why they have been so inconsistent. It could plague them all season, but teams can flip a switch. Prime example of that would be Baylor in the Big 12. 

It's do or die time for the Tar Heels and I think the 3-game losing streak to start February will end up being the turning point of their season. All 3 of those games could have went their way. Had they, this team would be on a 9-game winning streak and 14-2 run over their last 16. They bounced back with a 20-point thrashing of Clemson on Saturday. 

I just like them to stay hot, especially at home. Miami is a good team, but they really haven't been tested on the road. This will be just their 2nd true road game vs a team ranked in the Top 60 at KenPom since playing at UCF (No. 57) back around Thanksgiving. Give me North Carolina -4.5!