40* NCAAB --ATS Bookie Crusher-- (UTEP +4)

Here we have a battle of two teams that have guided by two former Iowa State head coaches in Tim Floyd of UTEP and Larry Eustachy of Colorado State. Most will be drawn to the Rams given they won at UNI early in the year, who later knocked off UNC at home. However, I think the Miners are the play in this one. While the game is officially a neutral court contest, it's going to fill a lot more like a home game for UTEP, as it's being held in Corpus Christi, Texas. UTEP is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 against a team that scores 77+ points/game and the Rams are just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 against team who shoot 45 or better from the field. Take UTEP +4! 

40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Blowout-- (Arizona St -3.5)

Great spot here to jump on the Sun Devils as a small favorite against Marquette. The Golden Eagles pulled off a big upset last night defeating LSU 81-80 as a 5.5-point underdog. Arizona State also had a big win yesterday, defeating NC State 79-76. The Sun Devils have really responded well since losing their opener to Sacramento State at home and I look for them to win here comfortably against a Marquette team that prior to their win over LSU lost 61-89 at home to Iowa. Give me Arizona State -3.5! 

40* NCAAB --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Northwestern +10.5)

The perception here is that No. 1 North Carolina will bounce back from a surprising 67-71 defeat at UNI as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. I think it's resulted in an inflated line on the Tar Heels and created some great value on a much-improved Northwestern team that has the potential to make their first ever NCAA Tournament. Keep in mind that this is not a home game for the Tar Heels, as it's being played on a neutral court in Kansas City for the CBE Hall of Fame Classic. I think the Wildcats keep this close throughout and cover the double-digit spread. Give me Northwestern +10.5! 

50* NCAAB --Hardwood ATS Top Play-- (Michigan -5)

I love the value we are getting with the Wolverines as just a 5-point home favorite against Xavier. I believe the Wolverines are one of the more underrated teams going into 2015-16 and the Musketeers are one of the most overrated teams. Michigan has all 5 starters back and added in some nice talent in recruiting. Xavier lost their best two players from last year and have not been impressive to start out the year, even though they are 2-0 (0-2 ATS). Give me the Wolverines -5! 

40* NCAAB --No Doubt ATS Blowout-- (Oklahoma State -8.5)

Much like we saw last night when we cashed Cincinnati as a big road favorite against Bowling Green (won 83-50), Oklahoma State is the far superior team in this one and should win here by double-digits without any problem. The Cowboys have cruised to two easy wins in their first two games, crushing Tenn-Martin 91-57 and Arkansas-Pine Bluff 86-72. Towson on the other hand lost at Lasalle and barely beat Morgan State at home (69-61). Oklahoma State has got big time production from Eastern Illinois transfer Chris Oliver (13.5 ppg, 6.5 rpg), as well as highly touted freshman guard Jawun Evans (10 ppg, 5.5 apg, 4.5 rpg and 2.5 spg). This team is simply flying under the radar to start the season. Give me the Cowboys -8.5! 

50* NCAAB --Non-Conference Game of the Month-- (Cincinnati -13.5)

This is a complete mismatch in terms of talent and experience. Cincinnati is one of the more underrated teams in the country right now and should be ranked inside the Top 25. The Bearcats return all 5 starts from a team that went 23-11 last year. Bowling Green won 20+ games in 2014-15, but are not the same caliber a team in 2015-16. With the way the Bearcats get after it defensively and the offense even stronger than it was a year ago, I see Cincinnati winning here by 20+ points. Give me the Bearcats -13.5! 

40* NCAAB --No Doubt ATS Knockout-- (Milwaukee +16)

I think we are getting some great value here with Milwaukee against the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame cruised to a 87-56 win in their opener at home against Saint Francis-PA and are ranked No. 18 in the country. I'm not quite sold on the Irish being as strong as people think, as they lost two really big pieces from last year in Jerian Grant and Pat Connaughton. The Panthers won all 3 games over the weekend in the Cable Car Classic and are an experienced team with 6 of their top 7 scorers back from a team that finished 7-2 down the stretch. I think they keep this game competitive and easily cover this large spread. Give me Milwaukee +16! 

40* NCAAB --No Doubt ATS Blowout-- (Tulane +1)

The Green Wave are showing some great value here as a home dog against Drake. Tulane lost their opener against Alabama A&M in overtime 67-68. The Green Wave struggled to contain the dynamic duo of Ladarius Tabb and Nicholas West, who combined for 44 points on 15 of 29 shooting. The rest of the team for A&M was 10 of 35. Drake doesn't have the individual talents like Tabb and West and aren't a team that travels well outside the Missouri Valley. Give me Tulane +1! 

40* NCAAB --Blockbuster ATS Blowout-- (Cal -15.5)

I believe Cal is going to win the Pac-12 this year and a big reason for that is a sensational recruiting class that includes two 5* recruits in Jaylen Brown and Ivan Rabb, both of which could be lottery picks in next year's draft. Cal also returns 3 double-digit scorers from last year in Tyrone Wallace, Jordan Matthews and Jabari Bird. Rice went just 12-20 last year with 8 of those wins coming inside C-USA. They aren't expected to be a factor this year and will simply be out-classed by Cal in what figures to be an electric home-opener with all the hype surrounding this team. Give me the Golden Bears -15.5! 

40* NCAA TITLE GAME *PERSONAL FAVORITE*

Duke has already beat Wisconsin by 10-points on the Badgers home floor earlier this season and I wouldn't be surprised if they ended up winning here by double-digits again. As big as the Badgers win over Kentucky looks, the Blue Devils have been the more impressive team in the NCAA Tournament. Duke's ability to space the floor with shooters and the attention they have to give Okafor inside is going to open up big lanes for the Blue Devils' guards to attack the rim. Duke is going to have the much easier time of the two teams scoring and simply should not be listed as the underdog here. Roll the Blue Devils +1!

50-STAR FINAL 4 *ATS BLOWOUT*

Duke head coach Mike Krzyzewski holds a 8-1 record against Tom Izzo and the Spartans, including a 81-71 in an earlier meeting this season in non-conference play and a 71-61 win in the NCAA Tournament back in 2013. While Michigan State is playing their best basketball of the season, they are outmatched big time in talent and it's not like Duke has got worse. Not near enough respect has been given to how much better the Blue Devils have got. You could argue that they have been the most impressive team so far in the NCAA Tournament. The biggest improvement Duke has made is on the defensive end. They held two efficient offensive teams in Utah and Gonzaga under 30 points in the first half and that sets up a favorable system, as Duke is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing 30 or less in the first half in back-to-back games. Roll the Blue Devils -5.5!

50-STAR SOUTH REGION *ELITE 8 KNOCKOUT*

This Gonzaga team is the real deal and I expect them to knock off Duke and advance to their first ever Final 4. Most importantly, I think the Bulldogs matchup extremely well with the Blue Devils, as they have the size inside to at least slow down Okafor and a ton of talent at the guard spots. Gonzaga is also an underrated defensive team and are extremely efficient offensively (shot 50% or better in 5 of their last 6). Bulldogs are 31-16 ATS in their last 47 when listed as an underdog on a neutral court and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 away from home against a top level team that's outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game. Roll the Bulldogs +3!

50-STAR ELITE 8 (AZ/WIS) *GAME OF THE YEAR*

Wisconsin might be the better seed, but Arizona is the more complete team and the Wildcats aren't going to let their hopes of making the Final Four be squashed by the Badgers for a second straight year. Wisconsin struggled against the size and physicality of North Carolina and Arizona is an even stronger version of the Tar Heels. The Badgers haven't looked like the same team of late and it started back with that near upset loss to Michigan State in the Big Ten Championship. Arizona gets their redemption and easily covers the spread, as I have them winning here by 7-8 points. Roll the Wildcats -1.5!

Perfect 2-0 Premium Card Friday! If you are looking for one play to back on the hardwood Saturday, it doesn't get any better than LEE'S 50-STAR ELITE 8 (AZ/WIS) *GAME OF THE YEAR*! The books have made a huge mistake and it's time to make your bookie pay! Lee isn't messing around. He's GUARANTEED A WIN or he will give you Sunday's CBB action at no cost!

50-STAR SWEET 16 *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

It may come as a surprise that Louisville is favored in this one, but I think the books are tipping their hand with who they feel is the better team as of right now. As impressive as the win over Villanova was, it's difficult for a team like NC State to bounce back with the same kind of effort in their next game. We saw a similar scenario last night with Wichita State failing to play up to the same level as they did in their win over Kansas. I'll take my chances that given the extra days to prepare for this matchup, Pitino will have his squad ready to go. Roll the Cardinals -2.5!

50-STAR SWEET 16 *GAME OF THE YEAR*

Xavier has been gifted a spot in the Sweet 16. They got Ole Miss on short rest after their play-in game and then lucked out and got to face No. 14 Georgia State in the Round of 32. The Musketeers are the only team left from an overrated Big East and they were the worst of the bunch that made the field. Arizona is the real deal and have been blowing teams out by double-digits on the regular over the last couple of months. The Wildcats shot a horrible 36.5% from the field in their last game against Ohio State and won by 15. Arizona will be more efficient offensively in this one and wouldn't be shocked if they won here by 20+ points. Roll the Wildcats -10.5!

50-STAR NCAA TOURNAMENT *PERSONAL FAVORITE*

So much attention has been given to Wichita State and their poor seeding and Kansas being vulnerable, which has a lot of people calling for the upset here. It has created some exceptional value on the Jayhawks as a mere 1.5-point favorite. Kansas was all business in their win over New Mexico State and I look for them to come out looking to make a statement against the Shockers, who struggled in their opening game against a very mediocre Indiana team that is no where near as talented as the Jayhawks. Kansas is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games off a win by 15+ points, while Wichita State is just 2-12 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games when listed as an underdog of 3-points or less. Roll the Jayhawks -1.5!

40-STAR BUT/ND NCAAB *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

The Fighting Irish have now won 6 straight after their opening round win over Northeastern and I look for Notre Dame to continue to their run to the Elite 8 against No. 1 Kentucky. I believe due to the fact that the Irish didn't play their best in a non-cover in their win over Northeastern, we are getting some decent value here with them laying just 4.5-points. Keep in mind they had won each of their previous 5 games by at least 7-points, including a 10-point win over Duke and 8-point victory against North Carolina. Roll Notre Dame -4.5!

50-STAR NCAA TOURNAMENT *PERSONAL FAVORITE*

Even with their win over SMU, no one wants to give UCLA any credit for proving the doubters wrong and winning game after no one thought they should be included in the field. I look for the Bruins to keep up their winning ways and lay a beating on a UAB team that isn't anywhere close to as good as how they played in their upset win over Iowa State. UCLA is an impressive 30-15 ATS in their last 45 games when listed as a favorite and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games in the month of March. They are also 13-2 ATS in their last 15 after a game where they made 50% or more of their 3-point attempts. Roll the Bruins -6!

50-STAR NCAA TOURNAMENT *PERSONAL FAVORITE*

A lot of people were doubting the Big East coming into the NCAA Tournament, but so far the conference has proven they shouldn't be taken lightly. I look for the Red Storm to continue that trend with a cover and likely outright win against a San Diego State team that really struggles offensively. Aztecs are only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. I know St John's comes in off a couple of ugly double-digit losses, but they came against a couple of quality teams in Villanova and Providence. They had won 7 of their previous 8 and are 33-13 ATS in their last 46 road games off a conference loss by 10 or more points. Roll the Red Storm +4!

40-STAR NCAAB *TOURNAMENT CRUSHER*

No 12 over a 5 upset here. Arkansas was hands down the second best team in the SEC this season and were 10-3 over their last 13 games with two of those losses coming at the hands of Kentucky. The Razorbacks have a unique style of play that likes to put a lot of pressure on their opponent and this Wofford team just isn't the kind of team that's capable of countering it. Arkansas' style is very similar to that of West Virginia, who you might recall whooped the Terriers by 33 points earlier this season. Wofford also lost by 29 to Duke. Don't fall in to the trap of going after the upset special. Roll the Razorbacks -7.5!

50-STAR NCAA TOURNAMENT *OPENING ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR*

Everyone is talking about Stephen F. Austin being an upset special, but I don't see the Lumberjacks standing a chance of keeping this game respectable against Utah. The Utes are too big and too talented and are a much better team than the 5-seed they received by the committee. Stephen F. Austin lost by 18 at Xavier and 16 at Baylor, not too mention they followed up their upset win over VCU in last year's NCAA Tournament with a 17-points loss to UCLA. Take advantage of the favorable line with the much better team. Roll the Utes -6.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *MARCH MADNESS MASSACRE*

No one thinks UCLA deserves to be in the field and yet they are just a 4-point underdog in their opening round game? This is screaming trap bet and yet the public will almost certainly back the Mustangs. I'll take my chances on the Bruins catching 4-points, as I wasn't all that impressive with SMU this year. Their only wins all season against teams who made the field of 68 were against the likes of Eastern Washington, Texas Southern and Wyoming. UCLA had some ugly losses, but they were a much improved team down the stretch, which was evident by their 6-point loss to Arizona in the Pac-12 Tournament, which snapped a 4-game winning streak. Roll the Bruins +4!

40-STAR DAYTON/BOISE ST *NCAAB BEST BET*

Dayton has a huge advantage here playing at home in their play-in game against the Broncos. The Flyers finished up the regular season with a perfect 16-0 record on their home floor, where they won by an average of 14.5 ppg. I'll gladly take my chances on Dayton winning here by at least 5 points. Dayton is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 against teams who are shooting 45% or better while also holding their opponents to 42% or worse, while Boise State is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 when playing against a team that's won 60% to 80% of their games. Roll the Flyers -4!

40-STAR NIT *OVER/UNDER ANNIHILATOR*

Both of these teams are feeling the heartbreak of missing out on the NCAA Tournament and I believe the disappointment is going to carry over to the defensive side of the ball in this opening round NIT matchup. Montana comes in averaging 71.3 ppg, while the Aggies are scoring 70.7 ppg at home. OVER is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Roll the OVER 134!

50-STAR NCAAB *PERSONAL FAVORITE*

Value here is with the Razorbacks as a 14-point underdog. While I don't expect Arkansas to pull off the upset, I do think they are going to give Kentucky all they can handle in the SEC Championship Game. Neutral court teams as an underdog (ARKANSAS) - good offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, after allowing 55 points or less are 99-57 (64%) ATS since 1997. Roll the Razorbacks +14!

50-STAR NCAAB *PERSONAL FAVORITE*

I was all over Oregon as a 7-point underdog against Arizona yesterday in their outright win over Utah and I'll happily back the Ducks as a double-digit dog here against the Wildcats. Oregon has quietly been playing extremely well of late and are simply not getting the respect they deserve against a high profile team like Arizona. Oregon is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following an upset win as an underdog, while the Wildcats are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games when playing their 3rd game in a span of 7 days. Roll the Ducks +11!

50-STAR NCAAB *PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH*

The Utes are way overvalued here against a red-hot Oregon team that has won 6 straight and 10 of their last 11 overall. Utah on the other hand has struggled some down the stretch and simply should not be laying this many points against the Ducks. Oregon has won 3 straight in the series, including a 69-58 win at home back on Feb. 22. Oregon is also 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games played on a neutral site and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. Roll the Ducks +7!

40-STAR NCAAB *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

This is too many points for Arizona to be laying against a red-hot UCLA team that showed they can hang with the Wildcats in a 57-57 loss at Arizona back on Feb. 21. Not only do I expect the Bruins to keep this close enough to cover, I think they have an excellent shot here of winning this game outright. UCLA is 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss, while Arizona is just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week. Roll the Bruins +11

40-STAR NCAAB *SITUATIONAL MONEYMAKER*

The fact that Arkansas-Little Rock lost both regular season meetings against South Alabama and yet are favored, is really all you need to know to back the Trojans. Teams that are favored in the 3rd meeting after losing the first two are covering at a 57% clip over the last 4 seasons. Roll the Trojans -4.5!

50-STAR NCAAB *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

Iowa needed overtime to win at Penn State in the only meeting between these two teams in conference play this year and I believe it has the Hawkeyes showing some great value here as a mere 7.5-point favorite. Iowa has won 6 straight coming into the tournament and 5 of those wins have come by at least 8 points. Penn State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning % above 60% and Iowa is 26-14 ATS in their last 40 after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7. Roll the Hawkeyes -7.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

The fact that La Salle lost both regular season meetings against UMass and yet are favored, is really all you need to know to back the Explorers. Teams that are favored in the 3rd meeting after losing the first two are covering at a 57% clip over the last 4 seasons. Roll the Explorers -1.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

The fact that New Orleans lost both regular season meetings against Nicholls State and yet are favored, is really all you need to know to back the Privateers. Teams that are favored in the 3rd meeting after losing the first two are covering at a 58% clip over the last 4 seasons. Roll the Privateers -1.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *SITUATIONAL MONEYMAKER*

The fact that Lafayette lost both regular season meetings against American and yet are favored in the the championship game, is really all you need to know to back the Ragin' Cajuns. Teams that are favored in the 3rd meeting after losing the first two are covering at a 58% clip over the last 4 seasons. Roll the Ragin' Cajuns -3!

40-STAR NCAAB *ATS KNOCKOUT*

Memphis is in a prime letdown spot after a huge road win over Connecticut last time out. Junior forward, Trahson Burrell, went as far as to say "This feels like a championship for us, to pull this one out at UConn, it's a big one for us." I look for the Tigers to fail to show up against a red-hot Cincinnati team that has won and covered each of their last 4. Memphis is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when listed an underdog and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 against team who are shooting 45% or better from the field. Roll the Bearcats -7!

30-STAR BIG 12 *ATS KNOCKOUT

Oklahoma is actually showing some value here as a 5.5-point favorite, as they are catching Kansas in a great spot. The Jayhawks have nothing to play for and will be missing Ellis and recently loss Alexander to a suspension. Sooners are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home after 15+ games against teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game and are 13-1 SU at home and will have some extra motivation with this being their home finale/senior day. Roll Oklahoma -5.5!

30-STAR CBB *UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG*

As good as Arizona has been playing of late, this is a great spot to fade the Wildcats against a Stanford team that is more than capable of keeping it close. Road underdogs who have failed to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 against an opponent that has covered 8 or more of their last 10 are 33-12 (73%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Roll Stanford +14.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

Value here is with the Huskies, as we have seen an overreaction with this line based on the fact that UConn comes in off a 53-54 home loss to Memphis as a 6.5-point favorite, while Temple enters off 2 straight blowout wins by 10+. The key thing to keep in mind with the Huskies loss to the Tigers, is that it came in a big letdown spot after that huge 81-73 home win over SMU. Huskies are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after a contest where both teams scored 65 or less. Roll Connecticut +3.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *SUPER SITUATION*

I look for the Panthers to come out extremely motivated after losing back-to-back heartbreaking games against Wake Forest (66-69) and Miami (63-67) and come away with an easy win on the road against the Seminoles. Pitt also needs this game to reach the 20-win plateau and are catching the Seminoles riding a 3-game losing streak. The Panthers won 73-64 at home over Florida State earlier this season and are 4-1 in the last 5 overall. Florida State is just 5-13 ATS after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons against team that have won 60% to 80% of their games. Roll Pittsburgh -1!

50-STAR NCAAB *GAME OF THE MONTH*

The Hawkeyes have caught fire down the stretch and will be out for revenge from a ugly loss at Northwestern earlier this season. Iowa is also going to be extremely motivated in their home finale, as they look to send off seniors Aaron White and Gabriel Olaseni with a win. Northwestern has come on strong of late, but did lose by 26-points at Illinois in their last road game.The Hawkeyes are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week and 15-4 ATS in their last 19 home games off an upset win over a conference rival. BET Iowa -11.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *UNDERDOG SMASH*

The Utes are getting way too much respect on the road in a massive letdown spot after losing at home to Arizona in a game that would have put them in a tie for first in the Pac-12 standings. Utah is securely in the NCAA Tournament and I look for them to struggle to come out sharp on the road against the Cougars, who aren't going to take this game lightly against a ranked opponent on their home floor. Utah is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after holding each of their last 2 opponents under 37% shooting and Washington State is a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after a game where they made 88% or more of their free throws. Roll the Cougars +13!

40-STAR Ohio Valley *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

This is the perfect spot to back the Bruins, as they will be out for some serious revenge after losing by 11-points at Eastern Illinois as a 4-point favorite. Belmont comes in having covered each of their last three and find themselves in a must play system. Teams that have covered 3 straight as a favorite and are revenging a loss to an opponent as a favorite are 24-4 (87%) ATS in games played on a neutral site since 1997. Roll the Bruins -5.5!

50-STAR NCAAB *AAC GAME OF THE MONTH*

The value here is clearly with the Pirates, who are a completely different team at home compared to on the road. East Carolina is 11-4 at home compared to just 2-12 on the road. Pirates have routinely been undervalued and as a result are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games. With this being East Carolina's final home game and senior night, I wouldn't be surprised at all if they won this game outright. Roll the Pirates +6!

40-STAR NCAAB *ATS KNOCKOUT*

The Horned Frogs come in having covered the spread in 5 straight games, while Oklahoma State has failed to cover the number in each of their last 4. That along with this being senior night in the final home game of the regular season, makes this an easy play on the Cowboys. Favorites who have failed to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games against an opponent that has covered the spread in 4 or more consecutive games are 82-39 (68%) ATS since 1997 (10-4 this season). Roll the Cowboys -8!

50-STAR NCAAB *ACC GAME OF THE MONTH*

The Demon Deacons only conference loss by more than the spread listed here is a 34-70 defeat at home to Virginia last Wednesday. That recent blowout loss against the Cavaliers and Duke's impressive 19-point win at Syracuse in their last game, has created some huge value here on Wake Forest. This is a huge letdown spot for the Blue Devils, coming off that easy blowout win and a huge game at North Carolina on deck in the regular season finale Saturday. Wake Forest is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 off a home win and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs a team with a winning record, while Duke is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 after covering the spread last time out. Roll the Demon Deacons +17.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *OVER/UNDER TOTAL SMASH*

I believe the books have set the mark too low for this matchup. In the last 13 meetings between these two teams, the OVER has cashed 11 times. Notre Dame comes into this game averaging 79.1 ppg and Louisville is scoring 70.2 ppg. The Fighting Irish have score 85+ in two of their last 3 games and the Cardinals are coming off an 81-point effort at Florida State. While Louisville has held each of their last 3 opponents under 60 points, the OVER is 11-2 in their last 13 after allowing 60 points or less in 3 straight games. OVER is also 10-1 in Notre Dame's last 11 against a team with a winning SU record and 10-1 in the Cardinals last 11 against a team with a winning SU record. Roll the OVER 136!

40-STAR NCAAB *ATS KNOCKOUT*

The Flyers are showing exceptional value here at home against Rhode Island. Dayton will be extremely motivated to close out the regular season with a perfect record at home (15-0) and come in having won 5 of their last 6 overall. The Rams are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games after covering the spread in 4 of their last 5, while Dayton is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 after winning 2 of their last 3 and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games after allowing 60 points or less in their last contest. Roll the Flyers -3.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *TOTAL SMASH*

The books missed the mark on this one. Indiana comes in averaging an impressive 82.9 ppg at home and Iowa is averaging 76.0 ppg during their current 4-game winning streak. Last time these two teams played, they combined for 179 points and while I don't expect to see that kind of scoring, I do think they eclipse 150 points without much problem. OVER is 11-1 in Iowa's last 12 games after playing 5 straight as a favorite and 8-0 in their last 8 road games after playing a road game where both teams scored 75+ points. Over is also 11-4 in their Hoosiers last 15 home games and 6-0 in their last 6 after playing 2 straight as a favorite. Roll the OVER 144.5!

50-STAR NCAAB *BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH*

It's the final home game of the regular season for the Cyclones, plus they are going to be highly motivated to put an end to their first two-game losing streak of the season. Iowa State also had their 21-game home winning streak snapped by Baylor last week, adding even more fuel to the fire in this one. Iowa State is 13-2 ATS in their last 15 off a road loss by 3-points or less and are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. Oklahoma is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team that's won 60% or more of their home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 overall. Roll the Cyclones -5.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

Wake Forest is a much better team than their 3-8 record over their last 11 games would indicate and are showing some big time value here as a home dog against the Panthers. Pitt is just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 road games against a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) and are simply being overvalue here due to the Demon Deacons coming off that embarrassing 36-point loss at home to Virginia. Wake Forest's only losses at home inside conference play have come against the likes of Louisville, Duke, North Carolina and Virginia. Those are without question the 4 best teams in the conference and Pitt isn't close to their level. Roll the Demon Deacons +2!

40-STAR NCAAB *ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE*

The Hawkeyes have won 3 straight and 5 of their last 7. I think we are getting some exceptional value here with Iowa laying just 4-points on the road against a Penn State team that is really struggling at the moment. The Nittany Lions have lost 4 straight, including an ugly 21-point loss at Northwestern in their last contest. Iowa is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 with a total set at 129.5 or less points, while Penn State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after a loss by 15+ points. Roll the Hawkeyes -4!

50-STAR NCAAB *BIG EAST GAME OF THE YEAR*

Value here is clearly with DePaul as a 7-point home dog against the Bulldogs. While the Blue Demons come in having lost 5 straight and 8 of 9 overall, this is too many points for them to be catching at home. Butler is 4-3 on the road inside Big East play, but all 4 wins have come by 4-points or less. In their last 2 away from home, they barely escaped with a 2-point win at Creighton and lost outright 56-73 at Xavier. DePaul is 12-4 ATS this season against conference opponents and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 after 15+ games against a team with a winning record. Butler is just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games after 15+ games against a marginal losing team that's won between 40% and 49%. Roll the Blue Demons +7!

50-STAR BIG 10 *TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

These two teams met just a couple of weeks ago (Feb. 12) at Rutgers and combined for just 112 points with a total of 124.5. The books have simply not adjusted enough here. The fact that these two teams recently played only adds more value to the under, as they will be more familiar with what the other team is looking to do offensively. UNDER is 8-2 in Purdue's 10 home games with a total listed and a perfect 6-0 in Rutgers last 6 road games after scoring 65 points or less in 2 straight games. UNDER is also 35-10 (78%) since 1997 in games where you have a total of 129.5 or less with the home team off an upset conference win against an opponent off a conference loss of 20 or more points. Roll the UNDER 123.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

The value here is clearly with the Fighting Illini, who are more than capable of winning this game outright. We are simply catching a great line here based on how these two teams have fared in their last two games. Iowa has knocked off Rutgers at home by 34-points and won at Nebraska by 28 in their last two, while Illinois has lost by 19 at Wisconsin and 7 at home to Michigan State. We saw Iowa lose at home to Minnesota as a 6.5-point favorite following a 16-point win at home against Maryland and I look for a similar letdown here. Illinois is 21-9 ATS in their last 30 road games after 2 straight losses, while Iowa is a mere 8-17 ATS in their last 25 against a team with a winning record. Roll the Fighting Illini +8!

40-STAR NCAAB *OVER/UNDER TOTAL SMASH*

The books have set the mark on the total too low, as my numbers have this one finishing closer to 135-140 points. Richmond is averaging 68.1 ppg at home, while VCU is scoring 70.1 ppg on the road. The average combined score in the Spiders last 5 games is 131.2 and 142.0 in the Rams last 5. We are simply seeing value here due to Richmond coming off a low-scoring game against George Washington (56-48). The OVER is a perfect 6-0 in the Spiders last 6 games after a contest where both teams scored 65 or fewer points. Roll the OVER 128!

50-STAR NCAAB *SEC GAME OF THE YEAR*

Kentucky is one of the biggest public bets and there's no question the public will be all over the Wildcats here after watching them cover each of their last 3 games. I believe that has forced oddsmakers to inflate this line and thus creating huge value on the Bulldogs. It's also worth noting that this is a prime letdown spot for Kentucky, who closes out conference play with a home game against Arkansas, at Georgia and finally a home game against Florida. Many believe Arkansas has the best chance of stopping the Wildcats perfect season and I just don't see them being emotionally invested on the road against Mississippi State, who has quietly been playing much better. Roll the Bulldogs +19!

40-STAR NCAAB *BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK*

Maryland is a dominant 16-1 at home this season and should not be catching this many points at home, even against a top level team like Wisconsin. The Badgers haven't exactly been tested away from home in true road games and I believe it has them way overvalued here in a game that doesn't really mean a whole lot. Wisconsin has a 3-game lead in the Big Ten with just 4 games left to play, so a loss here doesn't hurt them. Maryland is 29-15 ATS in their last 44 home games against elite teams who are outscoring opponents by 12+ points/game and 38-19 ATS in their last 57 home games when they come in having won 4 of their last 5. Roll the Terrapins +6.5!

40-STAR BIG TEN *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

Ohio State is just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers at least 16 games into the season. Buckeyes are also just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games after playing 3 straight conference games and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games when they come in having won 5 or 6 of their last 7. Value here is clearly with Michigan as a home dog. Roll the Wolverines +8!

50* NCAAB *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

The Tigers come into this game having lost 12 straight, which I believe has them showing some exceptional value here against the Commodores. Vanderbilt has played better of late, but are just 4-9 inside conference play. Commodores are just 14-33 ATS in their last 47 home games after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4 and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games against teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game. Roll the Tigers +13!

40-STAR NCAAB *BOOKIE BUSTER*

Oklahoma State comes into this game lacking any sort of confidence after a blowout loss at TCU and a upset loss at home to Iowa State. I look for the Cowboys struggles to continue against a West Virginia team that is going to come out extremely confident after upsetting Kansas at home. Oklahoma State has not fared well against top level teams like West Virginia, as they are just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games against teams who are outscoring opponents by 8+ points/game. Roll the Mountaineers +4.5!

50-STAR NCAAB *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

Oregon State is a perfect 14-0 at home this season and simply should not be catching 8.5-points at home against the Utes. The Beavers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games against teams who are making 45% or more of their shots and a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams who make 37% or more of their 3-point attempts. Utah has been vulnerable on the road, going 5-4 compared to 15-0 at home. Look for Oregon State to keep this one close and potentially pull off the upset. Roll the Beavers +8.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

While South Alabama is just 9-17 overall on the season, just 2 of those 17 losses have come by 18 or more points. The books are simply overvaluing South Alabama at home based on the overall records of these two teams. Home teams that have allowed 65 points or less in 2 straight games against an opponent off 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are just 55-101 (35%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Roll the Jaguars +17.5!

40-STAR UNC/DUKE *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

This is too many points for the Tar Heels to be catching against their rivals from Duke. North Carolina has been a covering machine on the road against the Blue Devils, going 13-4 ATS in their last 17 trips to Duke. North Carolina is 30-12 ATS in their last 42 games off an upset loss to a conference opponent and 17-3 ATS in their last 20 off an upset loss as a road favorite. Roll the Tar Heels +8.5!

40-STAR DAVIDSON/GW *A-10 GAME OF THE WEEK*

George Washington has failed to cover the spread in each of their last 5 games and are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 overall. That may seem like a good enough reason to back to Davidson, but the Colonials are 10-1 SU at home, which actually has them showing great value here as a mere 3-point favorite. The Wildcats are just 10-27 ATS in their last 37 road games after playing their last game as a road underdog. Roll the Colonials -3!

50-STAR NCAAB *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

The Badgers have been on an absolute tear since their upset loss at Rutgers back on Jan. 11. Wisconsin has rolled off 8 straight wins and each of their last 5 have come by double-digits. This may seem like an obvious spot to back the Badgers against a Penn State team that has gone just 3-10 inside the Big Ten, but the Nittany Lions have a history of playing Wisconsin close. Penn State is a perfect 10-0 ATS in the last 10 meetings in the series and have lost their last three home games against the Badgers by a combined 14 points. Roll the Nittany Lions +10.5!

50-STAR NCAAB *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

The value here is clearly with Texas A&M as a mere 2-point home favorite. The Aggies have already went on the road and beat LSU this season and are a much stronger team at home than they are on the road. Texas A&M is 11-2 at home and one of those losses came at the hands of Kentucky by just 6-points. LSU is 4-2 on the road inside SEC play, but haven't exactly played a tough road schedule. Aggies are 55-36 ATS in their last 91 games after a game where both teams scored 65 points or less and 22-9 ATS in their last 31 home games after a game where they shot 78% or better from the free throw line. Roll Texas A&M -2!

50-STAR NCAAB *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

The books opened this line up with West Virginia as a 1-point favorite, knowing that the public would be all over Kansas as an underdog and it's since moved to the Jayhawks -2. This is the definition of a trap bet and I'll gladly take my chances on the Mountaineers snapping out of their recent funk and delivering one of their best performances of the season at home against the Big 12 leaders. Kansas is just 9-18 ATS over the last 2 years in road games against teams who average 14 or less turnovers/game. Roll the Mountaineers +2!

50-STAR PAC-12 *GAME OF THE MONTH*

I know the Huskies have lost 6 straight, but I'm expecting that streak to come to an end at home against the Sun Devils. Arizona State is coming in off an upset loss at Washington State and will have a difficult time not looking ahead to Wednesday's home showdown against UCLA. The Sun Devils are just 1-5 SU on the road inside Pac-12 play and should not be favored on the road in this one, even with the way Washington has struggled of late. Keep in mind that Washington has won 8 straight in the series and haven't lost at home to the Sun Devils since 2009. Roll the Huskies +2!

40-STAR NCAAB *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

The Dragons should not be catching this many points at home and it's time to take advantage of the books mistake. Drexel is working on a 6-game winning streak and will be highly motivated with revenge on their minds from an ugly 58-86 loss at Hofstra back on Jan. 21. Drexel is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games when they come in having covered the spread in 3 or more straight games. Roll the Dragons +3.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *UNDERDOG ATS ANNIHILATOR*

Connecticut comes in having won three straight and are fresh off a dominant 70-45 win at home over Tulsa. The Huskies have underachieved for most of the season, but are finally starting to play up to their potential. I look for Connecticut to give SMU all they can handle in this one and wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. UConn is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games when playing a team with a winning record after 15+ games and 20-10 ATS in their last 30 after covering the spread last time out. Roll the Huskies +6.5!

50-STAR NCAAB *SEC GAME OF THE MONTH*

The Rebels come into this contest having won 6 straight and typically this would be a spot where you would expect them to be overvalued at home. However, that's not the case, as Arkansas has won 6 of 7 and covered 4 straight. Ole Miss clearly matches up well with the Razorbacks, as they went on the road and dominated Arkansas 96-82 earlier in conference play. Razorbacks are just 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games after scoring 85 or more points in their last game, while Ole Miss is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played on Saturday and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 when playing just their 2nd game in a week. Roll the Rebels -3!

40-STAR NCAAB *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

Maryland hasn't been playing up to their potential of late and failed to cover for the 6th straight game in a mere 2-point home win over Indiana. What's getting overlooked here is the Terrapins are sitting in 2nd in the Big 10 at 8-4 and should not be getting any points against a Penn State team that has just 3 conference wins. I look for Maryland to win here and win easy, as they are hands down the better team in this matchup. Roll the Terrapins +1!

40-STAR TULSA/UCONN *BOOKIE BUSTER*

Tulsa had their perfect record inside the AAC snapped in a 57-68 loss at home to SMU on Saturday and I look for the Golden Hurricane to struggle to bounce back on the road against a hungry Connecticut team that needs to win this game to keep their slim NCAA Tournament hopes alive. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have gone over the total by 48 or more points in their last 7 games combined, that are a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), playing a winning team are 72-32 (69%) ATS since 1997. Roll the Huskies -4.5!

50-STAR BIG 10 *GAME OF THE YEAR*

I believe we are getting some big time value on the Terrapins as a mere 6-point home favorite against the Hoosiers, largely due to the fact that Maryland has failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games. The important thing here is the Terrapins will be 100% focused when they take the floor after an embarrassing 55-71 loss at Iowa on Sunday. They will also be motivated to avenge a 19-point loss at Indiana back on Jan. 22. The Hoosiers have been dominant at home going 5-0 in conference play, but are just 2-4 on the road, with all 4 losses coming by double-digits. This is a statement game for Maryland and I expect them to deliver with a double-digit win at home. Roll the Terrapins -6!

40-STAR NCAAB *BOOKIE BUSTER*

VCU comes into this game off a 71-73 loss at St Bonaventure and I look for the Rams to struggle to bounce back with the kind of performance needed to win here by at least 9 points. VCU continues to be without two of their best players in Treveon Graham and Briante Weber, which isn't being factored enough with this line. LaSalle won 69-61 as a 12-point underdog in their last trip to VCU and I wouldn't be shocked if they pulled off another upset over the Rams. Roll the Explorers +8.5!

40-STAR NCAAB *UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG*

Miami isn't playing the same quality of basketball as they were earlier in the season and as a result are being overvalued on the road against a Wake Forest team that is much better than their 3-8 mark in the ACC would suggest. The Demon Deacons only three conference losses at home have come against Duke, North Carolina and Louisville and have suffered some heartbreaking losses on the road to Syracuse (83-86), Clemson (57-59) and Florida State (76-82). Look for Wake Forest to bounce back in a big way off an ugly 59-73 loss at Georgia Tech, where they shot a miserable 29.7% from the field. Roll the Demon Deacons +2.5!

50-STAR NCAAB *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

Nebraska is just 5-6 inside the Big 10, but they are 5-1 at home with their biggest defeat coming by 5-points. The Cornhuskers upset Wisconsin at home last year and lost by just 6-points at home the year before that. The Badgers are due for a let down after three straight blowout wins and will find it difficult to bring their "A" game after already knocking off the Cornhuskers by 15 at home. Nebraska is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games when listed as an underdog and a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning record after 15+ games. Roll the Cornhuskers +9!

50-STAR DUKE/FSU ACC *GAME OF THE MONTH

Duke is coming off it's best performance of the season in a 90-60 home win over Notre Dame on Saturday, but I think that has the Blue Devils overvalued here on the road against the Seminoles. That wasn't just another game for Duke, as they were out for revenge from a heartbreaking 73-77 loss at Notre Dame back on Jan. 28. With a road game at Syracuse and home game against North Carolina after that, this is a prime spot for a letdown. Florida State on the other hand is going to treat this like the game of their season and I look for them to keep it close at home. Roll the Seminoles +11.5!

40-STAR MICHIGAN/INDIANA *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

Value here is with the Wolverines. Michigan will be motivated off an ugly home loss to Iowa and are catching Indiana in a bit of a slump. The Hoosiers have lost 3 of their last 4 and I'm not quite sold on this team. Out of Indiana's 6 conference wins, 5 have come by 8-points or less, so you can see the value we are getting here with the Wolverines. Michigan is 7-0 ATS over the last 3 years in road games after playing a game as an underdog and have won these by an average score of 72.6 to 59.3. Roll Michigan +7.5!

40-STAR KENTUCKY/FLORIDA *SEC GAME OF THE WEEK*

I don't think there's any doubt that Kentucky is the best team in the country and it all comes down to whether or not they are interested in backing this team against the spread. I know Florida is down, but this game is getting plenty of hype and I look for the Wildcats to come out looking to make a statement in this one. Roll Kentucky -8!

40-STAR UCLA/CAL PAC-12 *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

The Golden Bears should not be a home dog against the Bruins and it's time to take advantage of this inflated line on UCLA. Cal had some struggles early in conference play, but have bounced back with 3 straight wins. The Bruins will be playing their 2nd straight on the road and this has not been a good spot for them. UCLA is 0-4 SU and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when playing their second straight on the road. Roll California +3.5!

50-STAR ATLANTIC 10 *GAME OF THE YEAR*

The Rams were fortunate to escape with a cover at George Mason last time out and now we find them laying just 2.5-points on the road against the Bonnies. The books are essentially giving this one away, as this line is screaming to take VCU. What a lot of people are going to overlook is the that the Rams are without two of their best players in Briante Weber and Treveon Graham. This has upset written all over it! Roll St Bonaventure +2.5!

40* IOWA/MICHIGAN *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

Iowa has went from a 1-point underdog to a 2-point favorite and for good reason. The Hawkeyes are primed for a big time performance off 3 straight losses and the Wolverines are simply getting too much respect due to their 4-0 ATS record over their last 4 games. Michigan is missing key players to injury and don't have the fire-power offensively to keep up with a motivated Iowa team. Roll the Hawkeyes -2!

40-STAR Providence/Georgetown *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

The Friars are showing some great value here as a 6.5-point underdog against the Hoyas. Providence is 10-3 ATS this season against teams with a winning record and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 over the last 2 years vs excellent teams that are shooting 45% or better and holding opponents to 42% or worse. Roll Providence +6.5!

50-STAR BIG 10 *GAME OF THE MONTH*

The Terrapins have lost 3 straight against the spread and I believe it has them showing some exceptional value here at home against an inferior Penn State squad that is getting to much respect after a 63-58 home win over Minnesota and near upset at Illinois (58-60). Maryland is in desperate need of a win and I look for them to deliver with one of their best performances of the season. Roll Maryland -8.5!

40-STAR BIG 10 *BOOKIE CRUSHER*

Illinois should not be laying double-digits at home against Rutgers. The Illini are missing two starters to suspension, including leading scorer Rayvonte Rice (17.2 ppg). Illinois barely managed to beat Penn State 60-58 without Rice on Saturday and could be in line for an upset with their focus likely shifted to this upcoming Saturday's big game at Michigan State. Rutgers is 9-4 ATS last 13 off a SU loss, while Illinois is 0-4 ATS last 4 off a SU win. Roll Rutgers +11!

50-STAR CBB *MISSOURI VALLEY GAME OF THE MONTH*

Evansville laid an egg on the road against a bad Drake team on Saturday, losing 65-70 as a 6.5-point favorite. I believe that loss combined with the fact that Illinois State has won 6 of 8 has the Purple Aces showing big time value here as a 6.5-point dog. Prior to losing on the road against the Bulldogs, Evansville had won 3 straight on the road inside conference play. Purple Aces are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 when they come in having won 3 of 4, while Illinois State is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games after a combined score of 125 or less in each of their last 2 games. Roll Evansville +6.5!

10* California/Washington CBB Top Play

BET: California +7

Value here is with the Golden Bears. Road teams with a marginal winning record (51% to 60%) that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games against a team with a winning record are 56-25 (69%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Cal is also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games against teams who are holding opponents to 64 or less points/game at least 15+ games into the season. Roll California +7!

10* Ole Miss/Missouri CBB Top Play

BET: Ole Miss -3

Value here is with Ole Miss as a small road favorite. Home underdogs who are off 3 straight games where both teams scored 70 or less against an opponent that is coming off 2 straight games where they scored 30 or less in the 1st half are 12-44 (21%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Roll Ole Miss -3

10* Richmond/VCU CBB Top Play

BET: Richmond +9.5

Value here is with the Spiders. Road underdogs in a game involving two average 3-point shooting teams (32% to 36.5%) after 15+ games and off a game where they made 13 or more 3-pointers are 34-8 (81%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Roll Richmond +9.5

10* Kent State/Buffalo CBB Top Play

BET: Buffalo -6

Great system in play backing the Bulls in this one. Favorites that have failed to cover in 4 straight games against an opponent that has covered each of their last 4 are 76-37 (67%) ATS since 1997. Roll Buffalo -6!

10* Long Beach St/Cal State-Fullerton CBB Top Play

BET: Cal State Fullerton +6.5

Value here is with the Titans as a decently priced home dog. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are shooting 42.5% to 45% from the field against an opponent that is only shooting 40% to 42.5%, that are coming off a game where they held their opponent to 33% or worse are just 8-33 (19%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Roll Cal State +6.5!

10* Georgia Tech/Miami CBB Top Play

BET: Georgia Tech +9.5

Value here is clearly with Georgia Tech as a 9.5-point dog against the Hurricanes. Georgia Tech is simply being undervalued due to be winless in ACC play. Miami off a big road win and are in a prime letdown spot with rival Florida State on deck Saturday. Yellow Jackets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against teams who commit 14 or less turnovers at least 15+ games in the seasons. Roll Georgia Tech +9.5!

10* St. John's/Creighton CBB Top Play

BET: St. John's -1

Bluejays are way down this year, which is evident by their 0-8 start in Big East play. I don't see it getting any better for Creighton after losing second leading scorer Isaiah Zierden, who is also the Bluejays top 3-point threat. St John's is 63-39 ATS in road games off a loss, while Creighton is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 60 points or less. Roll St John's -1!

10* Minnesota/Penn State CBB Top Play

BET: Minnesota -1.5

Value here is with the Golden Gophers, who are a much better team than their 2-6 record in Big Ten play would suggest. Penn State on the other hand is every bit as bad as their 1-6 conference mark and I look for Minnesota to have no problem coming away with a win and easy cover. Roll Minnesota -1.5!

10* West Virginia/Kansas State CBB Top Play

BET: Kansas State -1

Great system in play backing a fade of West Virginia in this spot. Teams with a line of +3 to -3 who are coming off a home game where they won outright and lost against the spread, who have won 80% or more of their games against a marginal winning team (51-60%) are 16-40 (29%) ATS since 1997. Roll Kansas State -1!

10* Nebraska/Michigan CBB Top Play

BET: Michigan -4

Value here is clearly with the Wolverines, who have not loss to Nebraska since they joined the Big Ten. Cornhuskers are simply overvalued off a huge win at home over Michigan State, which actually puts them in a horrible spot, as they are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 off a upset win as a home underdog against a conference opponent. Roll Michigan -4!

10* Texas/Iowa State CBB Top Play

BET: Iowa State -4.5

Cyclones are a perfect 10-0 at home and should have no problem covering this small spread against the Longhorns. Also a great spot for Iowa State, as we can expect 100% focus and energy after an ugly loss at Texas Tech as a double-digit favorite on Saturday. Texas is also coming off a loss to Kansas at home, but I look for them to have a harder time bouncing back after laying it all on the line against the Jayhawks. Cyclones are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games when listed as a favorite of 3.5 to 6 points and have won these contests by an average of 10.4 ppg. Lay the points!

10* Virginia/Virginia Tech CBB Top Play

BET: Virginia -17.5

I have no problem laying this number on Virginia as we have a great system in play backing a fade of the Hokies. Home underdogs of 10 or more points who are shooting 45% or better from the field and holding opponents to 42% or worse shooting are are 23-55 (29%) ATS since 1997. Lay the poins!

10* Florida/Ole Miss CBB Top Play

BET: Florida Pick'em

Great system in play favoring a play on the Gators. Road teams that have been beaten by the spread by 48 or more combined points in their last 7 games are 150-92 (62%) ATS in the month of January since 1997. Take Florida!

10* Arkansas/Missouri CBB Top Play

BET: Arkansas -5.5

Two big systems pointing clearly to the Razorbacks in this one. Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off a game where they scored 50 points or less against an opponent that has scored 80 or more in each of their last 2 games are 18-45 (29%) ATS since 1997. Adding to this is that favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that allowed 75+ in two straight games against an opponent that has scored 55 or less in 2 straight are 26-7 (79%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Lay the points!