10* NCAAB Sharp Money PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON MICHIGAN WOLVERINES -2.5: I love the Wolverines as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against Indiana on Saturday. Perfect time to sell-high on the Hoosiers, who are coming off two huge home wins over Purdue and Rutgers. They are also 7-1 over their last 8 games. Thing is, most of that success came at home (5 of the 7 wins) and one of the road wins was against Minnesota. Last time they played on the road, they lost by 11 at Maryland. This is also a team that has lost on the road by 19 at Penn State, 22 at Kansas and by 15 at Rutgers. 

This might not be a top tier Michigan team, but one that I think is better than it gets credit for. Wolverines are 8-5 in Big 10 play. They come in having won 3 straight. Of their 5 conference losses, three have come by 6 or fewer and one was a 9-point loss at Iowa in OT (should have won in regulation). Their only loss at home in Big Ten play is a 5-point loss to Purdue. This is simply way too good a price to pass up with Michigan. Give me the Wolverines -2.5! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON AUBURN TIGERS +2.5: I really like this spot for Auburn and believe they are going to win this game outright. Neville Arena is not an easy place to win at and I expect the home crowd to be electric with the No. 3 ranked Crimson Tide coming to town. Yes, Auburn has lost 4 of their last 5, but 3 of those losses came on the road by 5 or fewer points. People forget this team was 16-3 to start the year. 

Nothing against Alabama, who is a very good basketball team, but they haven't looked nearly as good on the road as they have at home. Might sound crazy for a team that is 5-0 in SEC road games this year, but the numbers back it up. In their last 2 road games they got annihilated 93-69 by Oklahoma and only beat a bad LSU team by 10. Never led by more than 12 the entire game. I like the Tigers to step up and get a signature win to solidify their Tournament status. Give me Auburn +2.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON PURDUE BOILERMAKERS -8: This might seem like a steep price to lay on Purdue against an Iowa team that comes in having won 3 straight and are 7-2 in their last 9 games. Big thing to note about this 7-2 stretch, is 6 of the 7 wins came at home, where Iowa is just a different team. 

Iowa is shooting 45.8% from the field and 35.2% from deep in all games this season, yet are only connecting on 40.7% from the field and 29.3% from deep away from home. They just aren't a great 3-point shooting team and aren't going to get any easy looks inside against Purdue and 7-4 big man Zach Edey. 

I also love this spot for the Boilermakers. Not only is Purdue going to be motivated coming off a loss at Indiana, but I got to think there's some want back against the Hawkeyes after losing to them in last year's Big 10 Tournament Championship Game. 

Boilermakers really dominated both meetings in the regular-season last year. They won by 10 at Iowa in a game they led by 20 in the 2nd half. They did win by just 7 at home, but in that game by 19 with under 10 minutes to go. They should have no problem winning here by 10 or more. Give me Purdue -8! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS -4: I'll gladly take my chances with Penn State laying 4 at home against the Badgers. Good time to buy low on the Nittany Lions. Penn State is just 5-7 in Big 10 play and have lost 6 of their last 9 overall. Thing is, none of those losses came on their home floor. The 3 wins they did have, all came at home and all were relatively easy wins. They beat Indiana 85-66, Nebraska 76-65 and Michigan 83-61. 

Wisconsin is also trending in the wrong direction. Badgers are just 2-7 in their last 9. Thing is, it hasn't just been a downfall due to playing a bunch of games on the road. They have 3 home losses during this stretch. I have a hard time seeing Wisconsin figure it out on the road against a talented and hungry Penn State squad. Give me the Nittany Lions -4!

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT

PLAY ON KANSAS STATE WILDCATS -4.5: I'll gladly take my chances with K-State covering the 4.5 at home against a TCU team that continues to play without their best player, Mike Miles Jr. There will be no overlooking the Horned Frogs for the Wildcats, who I expect to be extremely motivated to take the floor after losing their last 2. They are now just 6-4 in Big 12 play after starting 6-1. Thing is, the 3 losses came against arguably the 3 best teams in the league in ISU, Kansas and Texas. 

Both teams will be playing this game on short rest, as each will have had just 2 days off following their game on Saturday. I just think it's a much tougher spot for TCU, especially with them missing Miles Jr. Horned Frogs are also playing their 2nd road game in 4 days, where K-State had zero travel with Saturday's game also being at home. Wildcats 11-0 at home before losing by 3 at home to Texas last time out. I don't see them dropping back-to-back games on their home floor. Give me K-State -4.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS -3: I'll gladly take my chances with Michigan State as a mere 3-point home favorite against the Terrapins. It's been a tough go for the Spartans of late. Michigan State is just 2-5 SU over their last 7 games, which I believe has them undervalued in this spot. The Spartans' recent struggles have a lot to do with their schedule. Only 1 of the 5 losses during this stretch came on their home floor and that was a 1-point loss to No. 1 ranked Purdue. 

Maryland on the other hand comes in way overvalued. Terps are riding a 4-game winning streak. Thing is, 3 of the 4 wins came at home and the lone road win was against a Minnesota team that is 1-11 in Big 10 play. Prior to that win over the Gophers, Maryland 0-5 in Big Ten road games. Give me Michigan State -3! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER

PLAY ON SYRACUSE ORANGE -2: I really like the value we are getting with Syracuse at basically a pick'em on the road against Boston College. Homecourt isn't as big a factor in the ACC like it is in the Big 10 and Big 12. It's really all about finding good matchups and spots to back a team. 

It's why I really like Syracuse in this one. The Orange are just 6-6 in ACC play and have lost 3 straight. All 3 came against teams in the Top 60 with two of those being narrow home losses to UNC and Virginia. BC ranks 168th overall at KenPom. The Eagles have won 3 of their last 4, but only one of those was a somewhat decent win. That being a 62-54 home win over No. 70 Clemson last time out. The other two were wins over No. 157 Notre Dame and No. 293 Louisville. THeir only other win this season over a Top 100 team was a 70-65 OT win at home vs Va Tech back in December. 

The matchup heavily favors the Orange. To really attack Syracuse's zone, you got to be able to hit from the outside. BC doesn't like to shoot 3's (335th in 3PA/FGA) and don't make many when they do (342nd in 3P%). Eagles have done a nice job generating offense on the break, but Syracuse has one of the top transition defenses in the ACC. I don't think it will be much better for the Eagles defense. Syracuse has won and covered each of the last 5 meetings in this series. Give me the Orange -2! 

10* NCAAB Big 12 PLAY OF THE YEAR

PLAY ON OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS -3.5: I took one on the chin betting against Oklahoma State in Tuesday's 71-61 win on the road against in-state rival Oklahoma. Cowboys had complete control of that game from the get go. That's now 4 wins in their last 5 games for Oklahoma State with the only loss coming on the road against Texas. 

TCU comes into this game with the better record and are ranked No. 15 in the country (Oklahoma State not ranked at this time). This might seem like a decent price to back them, even with Mike Miles Jr. out. They won without him in their last game at home against West Virginia. I actually think we are getting a discount here on the Cowboys. 

The Horned Frogs would be nowhere near a Top 25 team without Miles Jr. and they didn't exactly dominate the Mountaineers without him, winning by just 4 points on their home floor. They did so, shooting 58.3% from inside the 2-pt line. They were a dreadful 2-10 (20%) from behind the 3-pt line. Oklahoma State's 2PT% defense is one of the best in the country. I just don't think the Horned Frogs are going to be able to generate enough offense without Miles Jr to keep this game close at all. Give me Oklahoma State -3.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS -3: I'll gladly take my chances with Northwestern as a slim 3-point home favorite against Michigan. Northwestern is coming off what looks to be an ugly 70-86 loss at Iowa, but that game really didn't get away from them until the final 10 minutes. It was 56-57 at the 10 minute mark and then Iowa went on a 29-14 run to end the game.

I think it has the Wildcats a bit undervalued here at home against the Wolvines. Northwestern is 10-3 on their home floor this season. Michigan is just 1-5 in true road games with the only win coming against B10 bottom feeders Minnesota. They just lost by 23 on the road to Penn State last time out. 

Northwestern is also out for revenge from a 78-85 loss at Michigan back on Jan. 15. Wildcats couldn't have started slower in that game, falling behind 20-9 in the first 10 minutes. They would storm back and take the lead by half, but just ran out of gas late, much like they did on the road against Iowa. Look for them to start a lot stronger and maintain that edge at home. Give me the Wildcats -3! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER 

PLAY ON OKLAHOMA SOONERS -3.5: I'll take my chances with the Sooners as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against in-state rival Oklahoma State. These two teams played just a couple of weeks ago in Stillwater, with the Cowboys securing an impressive 72-56 win. It was a dreadful 2nd half for Oklahoma in that game, as they led 30-24 at the half. I'm not too concerned about the margin of victory in that one. It really just comes down to home court for me. 

Oklahoma State has really struggled away from home. They are 0-4 in Big 12 road games and 3 of the 4 losses have come by 8 or more points. Oklahoma is just 2-3 at home in Big 12 play, but their losses have come against 3 of the better teams in the league in Texas, Baylor and Iowa State by a combined 6 points. On Saturday they showed just how good they can be at home in a 93-69 thrashing of then No. 2 Alabama. I think there would be some concern of a letdown off a big win like that it if wasn't Oklahoma State as their opponent, especially having already lost to them earlier this season. I think they come out on fire tonight and that letdown probably comes on Saturday in a game at West Virginia. Give me the Sooners -3.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON MARYLAND TERRAPINS -2.5: I'll gladly take my chances with Maryland laying just 2.5 at home against the Hoosiers. Even after going against Indiana at home against Ohio State and losing, I still think it's wise to look to fade these Hoosiers right now. Indiana is being way overvalued on a 5-game winning streak. 

It's hard to sustain that kind of success in the Big Ten, especially on the road against a good team. Maryland is 11-1 at home this season. The only loss coming to UCLA. They are 5-0 at home in Big Ten play. Just way too good a price to pass up. Give me the Terps -2.5! 

9* NCAAB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE

PLAY ON OHIO STATE BUCKEYES +5.5: I will gladly take my chances with the Buckeyes as a slim 5.5-point road favorite against Indiana. I just think this a great spot and price to sell-high on the Hoosiers, who come into this game having won 4 straight. Also a good buy-low spot on Ohio State who has gone just 1-6 over their last 7. 

Buckeyes recent record may suggest they aren't that good, but it's been a bit of bad luck. During this stretch they have a 2-point loss at home to Purdue, 3-point loss at home to Minnesota, 2-point OT loss at Turgers and 3-point loss at Nebraska. You won't find many 11-9 teams that are ranked inside the Top 10 in the country in offensive efficiency (No. 9). Ohio State also is 27th in effective FG% defense. 

Indiana hasn't exactly fared well against top tier offenses. They are 9-0 vs teams that rank outside the Top 150. That makes them 5-6 vs teams in the Top 150 and 2-4 vs teams in the Top 50. They are also just 3-5 vs teams in the Top 100 in defensive effective FG%. Just a few too many points for the Hoosiers to be laying. Give me Ohio State +5.5! 

10* NCAAB Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON KANSAS STATE -4.5: I absolutely love the value and price with K-State as a mere 4.5-point home favorite against Florida. Wildcats should be pretty motivated for this one after losing at Iowa State on Tuesday. Just the third time all season K-State has failed to come out with a victory. The other two also coming in true road games. Wildcats are a perfect 10-0 at home. 

I also think it's a great spot here to sell-high on Florida. Gators come in having won 5 of their last 6, but all 5 wins came against teams ranked outside the Top 50 at KenPom. Florida is 0-7 this season against Top 50 teams. Of those 7 losses, 5 came out of conference, including losses by 9 on a neutral to Oklahoma and by 29 on a neutral to West Virginia, who are both 2-6 in Big 12 play this year (K-State is 6-2). Simply put, the Wildcats should be a much bigger favorite here. Give me K-State -4.5! 

8* NCAAB Public Money ATS MASSACRE

PLAY ON WISCONSIN BADGERS +2: I got no problem backing the Badgers as a 2-point home dog against Illinois. I honestly don't think the Fighting Illini should be favored on the road here. Wisconsin has lost 5 of their last 6, which looks bad, but 4 of those 5 losses were on the road. That includes a 69-79 loss at Illinois, where the Badgers were missing their best player in Tyler Wahl. 

Illinois appears to have gotten things on track with wins in 5 of their last 6, but I'm not so sure. Outside of their win against a Wahl-less Wisconsin, they beat Mich St and Ohio St at home, while also winning at Minnesota and Nebraska. I just think it has them way overvalued on the road against a team like Wisconsin. Note those are the only two true road wins on Illinois' resume. Their other two Big 10 road games resulted in a 5-point loss at Maryland and a 13 point loss at Northwestern. Simply too much value on the Badgers at home. Give me Wisconsin +2! 

8* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT

PLAY ON TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS -2.5: I will gladly take my chances with Texas Tech as a slim 2.5-point road favorite against LSU. The Red Raiders couldn't have drawn up a worse start to Big 12 play. After going 10-2 in non-conference play with their only two losses coming to Creighton and Ohio State, Texas Tech sits winless at 0-8 in Big 12 play. 

I just think it speaks volumes to how good the Big 12 is this year and if you are off just the slightest bit, you are going to lose. It's not like the Red Raiders haven't been competitive. Of their 8 conference losses, 5 have come by 7 or fewer. If they just win 4 of those and are 4-4 in Big 12 play, the narrative on this team is completely different. 

I just think their record and the 8-game losing streak they bring into this game has them way undervalued against a bad LSU team. Tigers were 11-1 in non-conference play, but played the 347th toughest out of conference slate. They are 1-7 in SEC play and really have been competitive of late. Their last 6 losses have come by at least 11 points. I just think Texas Tech is a much better team from top to bottom. Give me the Red Raiders -2.5! 

10* NCAAB Big Ten PLAY OF THE MONTH

PLAY ON MICHIGAN STATE -2.5: I'll take my chances with the Spartans as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against Iowa on Thursday. Iowa is one of several Big Ten teams that I'm looking to back at home and fade on the road. Since Big Ten play resumed in late December, Iowa has gone 3-0 at home and just 1-3 on the road. Two of those road losses weren't close, as they fell by 15 at Nebraska and by 16 last time out at Ohio State. They also trailed by as many as 18 on the road in a 4-point loss at Penn State. 

One of the biggest reasons I believe Iowa has such big home/away splits, is they aren't a good defensive team and can't rely on their shooting to bail them out on the road. I also think there's value here due to the fact that Michigan State comes in having lost 3 of their last 4. Most recently losing by 13 on the road to Indiana. Nothing shocking about their 1-3 stretch. The other two losses were at Illinois and at home by 1 to Purdue. Their only other home loss besides the defeat to the Boilermakers was a loss to Northwestern back in the first week of December. Simply too good a price and spot to pass up. Give me the Spartans -2.5! 

9* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON TEXAS A&M AGGIES +4.5: Give me the Aggies as a 4.5-point road dog against Auburn. Even after Saturday's 67-76 loss at Kentucky as a 5-point dog, Texas A&M is a team I want to be looking to back right now. Aggies had started out a perfect 5-0 in SEC play prior to the loss to the Wildcats, which included road wins over Florida and South Carolina. This team also won by 16 at DePaul and lost by just 4 at Memphis. 

They are not going to be intimidated by playing on the road at Auburn. I'm also not so sure the Tigers are as good as their 16-3 record would lead you to believe. Auburn has played 4 Top 100 teams on their home floor and only dominated in one. They won by just 5 over St. Louis, by 3 vs Florida and by 6 against Miss St. 

I do not like the matchup either for Auburn. I really question where the offense is going to come from for the Tigers. Auburn is one of the worst 3-pt shooting teams in the country, ranking 332nd in 3P%. Aggies will let you shoot 3's. They aren't going to give up anything easy inside. Texas A&M is 18th in the country in 2P% defense. If Auburn struggles like they have from deep all season in this game, they won't just not cover, they will lose outright. Give me Texas A&M +4.5! 

8* NCAAB - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR

PLAY ON NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS +3: I will gladly take my chances with Nebraska as a home dog against the Wildcats. The Cornhuskers are a team that I'm looking to back at home, especially as an underdog. Like a lot of these Big Ten teams, Nebraska is a different animal at home. They are just 10-10 overall, yet come in with a 7-2 record at home. One of those losses coming in OT vs Purdue. 

So while Northwestern has the much better record at 13-5 (4-3 in Big Ten play), I'm not so sure they should be favored in this game. Wildcats could have quite the hole at shooting guard in this game. Their top two options at the position, Ty Berry and Julian Roper, are both listed as questionable with ankle injuries suffered in Monday's win over Wisconsin. I got a hard time believing either plays given they have had just 1 day off. It really makes it tough for Northwestern to take Boo Buie or Chase Audige off the floor and both of those guys played a ton of minutes in the win over the Badgers. I just don't think the Wildcats will have the legs or depth to compete at a high level on the road tonight. Give me the Cornhuskers +3! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT

PLAY ON ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI -3.5: I'll gladly take my chances with the Fighting Illini as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against Ohio State. Really an easy play for me on Illinois after that embarrassing 65-80 loss at home to Indiana last time out. 

It was just an all-around bad showing and this team has had performances like that. The key to me is they have showed the ability to bounce back. Let's also not ignore the fact that in the loss to the Hoosiers, they had no answer for Indiana star big man Trayce Jackson-Davis. He had 35 points on 15 of 19 shooting. 

Ohio State doesn't have a guy like that inside. In fact, there's a good chance they are going to have play this game without one of their better big guys in Zed Key, who injured his knee in their last game against Iowa and is listed as questionable. Either way, I like Illinois to roll in this one. Give me the Fighting Illini -3.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY ON INDIANA HOOSIERS -4: I will gladly lay the 4-points with Indiana at home against Michigan State. The Hoosiers come into this game off impressive back-to-back wins. First it was a 63-45 win at home over Wisconsin. Then it was a shocking 80-65 win at Illinois against an Illini team that had been rolling. Indiana is 9-1 at home this season with the lone loss coming by just 1-point to Northwestern. 

Michigan State snapped a two game skid with a 70-57 win at home over Rutgers in their last game, but have lost 2 of their last 3. Spartans are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games vs good defensive teams that are allowing 42% or worse from the field 15+ games into the season. Hoosiers are 24-10 ATS last 34 at home after 2 straight wins by 15+ points. Give me Indiana -4! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER

PLAY VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES +1.5: Love me Virginia Tech as a short road dog against Clemson. No better time to buy-low on the Hokies, who come into this game having lost 6 straight. They did lose by 10 in each of their last two games against Syracuse and Virginia, but the previous 4 losses were by 5 or fewer points. It's do or die for Virginia Tech at 1-6 in ACC play and this team has a lot of the same feels of the team from last year that started slow and caught fire. 

I also think you got to look at the health situation for these two teams. Hokies just got healthier with the return of Hunter Cattoor, while Clemson could be down starting point guard Chase Hunter (questionable) and shooting guard Alex Hemenway (out). I also just don't think the Tigers are as good as their 15-4 record would lead you to believe. Lot of things have went their way early on that I don't see being sustained. Give me the Hokies +1.5! 

9* NCAAB Underdog ATS ANNIHILATOR

PLAY TCU Horned Frogs +7.5: This to me is just too many points to pass up with TCU, as this just feels like some unwarranted inflation on Kansas because they are playing at home. There's not the talent gap on the floor that this line would suggest. 

Both of these teams like to attack in transition, which would lead you to believe this game is going to be played in the open court. Most times that would favor KU, but Mike Miles Jr and this TCU team thrive in this type of game. I don't see a whole lot of separation on the scoreboard late in this one. I really think TCU has a legit shot here to pull off the upset. Give me the Horned Frogs +7.5! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER: Maryland Terrapins -2.5

I'll take my chances with the Terps as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Wolverines. It's been a rough go for Maryland of late. After starting 8-0 they have gone just 3-6 over their last 9 games and are just 2-4 in Big Ten play. 

The losses have not been pretty of late. Each of their last 4 defeats have come by at least 14 points. One of those an embarrassing 46-81 loss at Michigan. One thing you have to note with Maryland's poor play of late, is the schedule. During this 3-6 stretch, only 1 of those 6 losses came at home and that was to a very good UCLA team. 

Michigan is not even close to being on the same level as the Bruins. Wolverines come in off a big win at home over Northwestern, but are just 1-5 in their last 6 games away from home with the only win coming against a bad Minnesota team. It's just not easy winning on the road in the Big Ten and we can all but guarantee we get a max effort here from Maryland. Give me the Terps -2.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Michigan State Spartans -2.5

I will gladly take my chances with the Spartans as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against Rutgers. It's just so hard to win on the road in Big Ten play and while Rutgers has a win at Purdue, they are just 2-3 in true road games with the other win by just 3-points at Northwestern. Simply put, I think Rutgers is getting way too much respect on the road. 

It would be one thing if Michigan State came into this game on some long winning streak and might not give this game their full attention off a tough loss to Purdue. I don't think that will be an issue. Spartans will be extremely motivated to snap a 2-game losing streak. 

I just don't see a bad Rutgers offense playing on the road, scoring enough to have a legit shot to win this game late. Give me Michigan State -2.5! 

10* NCAAB SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH: Missouri Tigers -1.5

I love Missouri as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against Arkansas. The hype around this Tigers team has taken a significant hit the last couple weeks. After securing impressive double-digit wins in back-to-back games against Illinois and Kentucky, Missouri has lost 3 of their last 4 with the only win being a mere 3-point victory at home vs Vanderbilt. They also weren't exactly competitive in the last two on the road vs Texas A&M (64-82) and Florida (64-73). 

Tigers have had a full 3 days off since the loss to the Gators and I got to think they are chomping at the bit to play this game. Missouri is 10-0 on their home floor and have one of the better home court advantages not just in the SEC but the country. I think it's disrespectful that they are basically a pick'em at home in this game. 

A big reason for that is this Arkansas team has been in the spotlight early on this season. Razorbacks went into their SEC opener 11-1 and ranked No. 9 in the country. One thing to note about their fast start, they didn't secure a single win over a Top 25 team (based on KenPom's current rankings). Their best win a 78-74 OT win over San Diego St. on a neutral site. Arkansas also didn't play a single true road game before conference play. So far they have played 3 road games in the SEC and lost all 3, the last two coming by 13 at Vandy and by 13 at Auburn. Give me Missouri -1.5! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Texas A&M Aggies -3.5

Easy play for me on the Aggies as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against Florida. Texas A&M is playing some of their best basketball of the season coming into this game. Aggies have won 6 straight. A winning streak that stems back to an ugly 62-67 home loss to Wofford in late December. 

It seems like that poor showing has lit a fire under this team. Texas A&M has started out 4-0 in SEC play. They got it started with a 66-63 win at Florida. They then crushed LSU 69-56 and Missouri 82-64 at home, before going on the road an annihilating South Carolina 94-53. 

Some of the value here stems from the Gators coming in on their own 3-game win streak. Florida was very impressive last week, beating LSU 67-56 on the road and Missouri 73-64 at home. No question this Florida team is better than their 10-7 record would lead you to believe. 

With that said, they are getting way too much respect on the road in this one. Texas A&M has a strong homecourt edge, especially when the fans have a team they believe in. The only home loss this season is that shocking defeat to Wofford. 

I also look at the first meeting between these two teams. Aggies had a double-digit lead in the 2nd half of that game, shot just 2 for 16 from behind the 3-point line, dominated the offensive boards and forced 20 turnovers. Gators were lucky to only lose by 3. I think it will be tough for Florida to keep this within single-digits. Give me Texas A&M -3.5! 

8* NCAAB Sharp Money PLAY OF THE DAY: UConn -4.5

I'll take my chances with UConn laying just 4.5 on the road against Seton Hall. This has all the making of a get right game for the Huskies, who have lost 4 of 5 after their perfect 14-0 start to the season. The first 3 losses were to good teams (Xavier, Providence and Marquette) on the road. The most recent was an ugly 74-85 loss at home to St. John's. 

Dan Hurley should have his guys 100% locked in for this showdown with the Pirates. Seton Hall comes in having won 3 straight, but it's came against the 3 worst teams in the Big East in Butler, DePaul and Georgetown. Pirates were 1-4 in conference play before the win streak. 

For me this really comes down to the fact that I don't think the Pirates can score enough to keep this game close. Seton Hall is 229th in the country in effective FG% and are 303rd in TO%. UConn is 11th in defensive efficiency, 12th in defensive effective FG% and 56th in TO%. Huskies make you earn it on defense. They are elite at defending the 3-point shot. They do foul a lot and give up a bunch of free throws. Seton Hall does a good job at drawing fouls, but shoot just 67.1% from the line. 

Seton Hall's defense isn't bad, but they are up against a very good UConn offense that ranks 14th in the country in offensive efficiency and 42nd in effective FG%. They are also 25th in Off. Reb.%. Pirates are 231st in the rate in which they give up offensive rebounds. I expect a comfortable win for UConn in this one. Give me the Huskies -4.5! 

8* NCAAB Public Money ATS MASSACRE: Texas Tech Red Raiders -2

I'll take my chances with Texas Tech laying a mere 2-points at home against Baylor. This line isn't going to make a ton of sense. The Bears come into this game off back-to-back wins are ranked No. 21 in the country. Red Raiders have went from a Top 25 team to a team firmly on the bubble in early January, as they come in having lost 5 straight to open up Big 12 play. 

Losing streaks like this can happen in a conference like the Big 12, even for good teams. The schedule wasn't exactly kind to them during this stretch. Of the 5 games, 3 were on the road and one of the home games was against Kansas. They lost the other home game vs Oklahoma in OT. They also lost by just 3-points at home to the Jayhawks and last time out they lost by just 2 at home to Texas. 

We should be able to bank on an extremely motivated Texas Tech team taking the floor on Tuesday. You also have to factor in one of the best homecourt edges in the country (KenPom has the No. 1 in home court advantage). 

I also look at Baylor and just think they are down a notch from what they have been in previous years. Bears are just 2-3 in Big 12 play and their wins are against W Virginia and Oklahoma State. We saw Baylor lose by 15 in a true road game at Iowa State. They also lost by 26 at Marquette in non-conference play. Give me Texas Tech -2! 

10* NCAAB Big 12 PLAY OF THE MONTH: Iowa State Cyclones -2

I love the Cyclones as a mere 2-point home favorite against Texas on Tuesday. This isn't just another game on the schedule for Iowa State. The Cyclones have had this one circled for a while. Not just cause they hate Texas, but that hatred got a lot stronger when the Longhorns landed stud ISU transfer point guard Tyrese Hunter. 

Cyclones have been a big surprise so far this season. Not many expected them to be this good, but Saturday's mere 2-point loss at Kansas was further proof that this team is for real. ISU's only other losses are to UConn and a road game at in-state rival Iowa. Cyclones are a perfect 9-0 at home and have dominated at home in Big 12 play, beating Baylor 77-62 and Texas Tech 84-50. 

Texas is a very talented team and gotten off to a 15-2 record with a 4-1 mark in Big 12 play, but the loss of head coach Chris Beard is a big one. Longhorns have also been very fortunate in close games in Big 12 play. They could just as easily be 1-4 in league play, as they have a 1-point win at Oklahoma, 4-point win at home vs TCU and a 2-point win at home vs Texas Tech. I just don't think Iowa State is getting near enough respect. Give me the Cyclones -2! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER: Michigan State +4

I'll take my chances with the Spartans as 4-point home dog against the Boilermakers in Monday's Big Ten play. Michigan State comes into this one off a 9-point loss at Illinois on Friday. It wasn't as bad a showing as the final score would indicate. If anything the Spartans gave that game away, as they led 50-41 with just under 14 minutes to play. Prior to that loss Michigan State had won 7 straight overall and 4 in a row in Big 10 play.

Purdue is a great team and most just assume they are in a class of their own in the Big Ten hierarchy. I just don't think people realize how tough it is to win on the road in this conference. Purdue played just 3 true road games this season. They are 3-0 in those games, but they only won by 10 at Florida State, needed OT to win at Nebraska and most recently snuck out a 2-point win at Ohio State. I like the Spartans to win this game outright but I'll gladly take the points as insurance. Give me Michigan State +4! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Iowa Hawkeyes -5

I'll take my chances with the Hawkeyes as a 5-point home favorite against Maryland on the college hardwood Sunday. After starting 0-3 in Big Ten play, Iowa has responded with 3 straight wins to pull even at 3-3. Most recently pulling off an improbable 93-84 OT win at home over Michigan in a game that they trailed 70-77 with 2 minutes to play. 

Iowa continues to be without starting forward Patrick McCaffrey, but his loss is not as big a deal as some make it out to be. It's really opened the door for sophomore Payton Sandfort to take on a bigger role. In the 3 games McCaffrey has missed, Sandfort is averaging 19.7 ppg and if you go back over the last 5 games that Sandfort has played at least 22 minutes, he's averaging 20.2 ppg. 

Iowa is also a different team at home than they are on the road. Hawkeyes are 8-2 at home this year with both losses coming in games where their best player, Kris Murray, wasn't on the floor. Maryland is just 1-3 in true road games with the only win coming against an awful Louisville team back in late November. In their last two road games they lost by 14 at Rutgers and by 35 at Michigan. Give me Iowa -5! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Kansas Jayhawks -7

I'll take my chances with Kansas as a 7-point home favorite against Iowa State. I think most would look at this game and be drawn to back Iowa State and grab the points. Cyclones are 13-2, have won 6 straight, are 4-0 in Big 12 Play and fresh off a 34-point (84-50) beatdown of Texas Tech at home on Tuesday. 

Thing with Iowa State is they rely so much defensively on creating turnovers. I don't think they are going to disrupt the offensive flow of this Jayhawks team. Kansas is one of the best in the country at moving the ball, as they rank 20th in assists/FG made. If you can break the pressure of ISU, there defense tends to give up a lot of wide open 3's. Some of that is them being okay with letting teams shoot from deep. They are 355th on defense in opponents 3PT FG attempts per FG attempt. 

I don't think that's going to work on the road vs this Kansas team. Jayhawks are 23rd in the country in 3PT% shooting. If Kansas shoots to their ability, I don't see the Cyclones being able to keep pace offensively. Give me Kansas -7! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Providence Friars +7

I'll take my chances with the Friars catching 7-points on the road against Creighton Saturday. Providence is being way undervalued in this one. Friars come into this game having won 9 straight. They have wins over both Marquette and UConn during this run. 

Creighton is going in the opposite direction. Bluejays have lost their last two games and are just 3-8 since starting the season 6-0. So while Creighton is a tough team to beat on the road, I just feel that's being baked into this number way too much. 

I think it's going to take everything the Bluejays have just to win this game outright. It's not a good matchup for them. They are a team that likes to shoot a lot of 3's. Friars don't let teams get going from the outside. They rank 28th in opponents % of field goal attempts coming from behind the 3-point line. Providence also makes teams work for a good shot. They are 27th in opponents assists/FG made. Give me the Friars +7! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Nebraska Cornhuskers +15.5

I'll take my chances with Nebraska catching 15.5-points on the road against No. 3 ranked Purdue. The Cornhuskers aren't exactly a team that I want to back a lot on the road in Big Ten play, but this is just way too many points. Some of that value with Nebraska stems from their last game, which they got destroyed 76-50 at home by Illinois. They have also lost by 18 at Michigan State and by 16 at Indiana in their two true road games in conference play. 

I just think it's going to be hard for Purdue to get excited about playing this game, as they have to feel like they just need to show up to win this game. Nebraska isn't just coming into this game thinking they can keep it close. They took the Boilermakers to OT in a 62-65 loss at home back on Dec. 10th. With that said, I think Purdue would have to play pretty bad for Nebraska to win, but we saw the upset happen in a similar spot last night with Minnesota going on the road and beating Ohio State 70-67 as a 14.5-point dog. Give me the Cornhuskers +15.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Iowa Hawkeyes -5.5

I'll gladly take my chances with Iowa as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Wolverines on Thursday. After losing 3 straight and falling to 0-3 in Big Ten play, the Hawkeyes have won two straight. First they knocked off Indiana at home before going on the road and securing an impressive 76-65 road win over Rutgers. 

Iowa is a very tough team to beat on their home floor. They are 7-2 at home this season with both losses coming during a stretch when their best player, Kris Murray, was sidelined with an injury. I don't see Michigan being able to keep pace offensively on the road against this Iowa team with Murray in the lineup. Michigan is coming off a 53-59 road loss to in-state rival Michigan State and were lucky to only lose by 6. They trailed by 14 with just over 8 minutes to play and had just 28 points over the first 30+ minutes of that game. Give me the Hawkeyes -5.5! 

10* NCAAB Big Ten TOTAL OF THE MONTH: Rutgers/Northwestern UNDER 126.5

I love the UNDER 126.5 in Wednesday's Big Ten matchup between Rutgers and Northwestern. These aren't just two of the best defensive teams in the Big Ten, they are two of the best in the country. With two sub-par offenses on the court and two teams that prefer a slower pace, it will be a struggle for either team to get to 60 points. 

Northwestern is No. 10 in the country in defensive efficiency and 22nd in Effective FG%. Rutgers is No. 242 in effective FG% offense. Scarlet Knights are 282nd in 3P% and are facing a Northwestern defense that is No. 2 in 2P% defense. 

Rutgers is No. 3 in defensive efficiency and No. 9 in effective FG% defense. They are No. 7 in 3P% defense and No. 27 in 2P% defense. Northwestern is No. 337 in effective offensive FG%, No. 270 in 3P% and No. 341 in 2P%. 

Add in Rutgers being No. 246 in adjusted tempo and Northwestern being No. 232, I just don't know where the points are going to come from to get this close to this total. Give me the UNDER 126.5! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: Oklahoma State Cowboys +5.5

I'll take the 5.5 points with Oklahoma State as they head to Manhattan Tuesday night to face off against Kansas State. I just think this is the perfect time to sell-high on the Wildcats. K-State comes into this game 14-1 and on a 8-game winning streak. 

I just have to wonder how much gas they have left in the tank. Wildcats opened up Big Ten play on New Year's Eve with a 82-76 OT win at home against West Virginia. Two days later they played that crazy shootout in a 116-103 win at Texas. This past Saturday they played another OT game at home against Baylor, sneaking out a 97-95 win. 

Oklahoma State is 9-6 but have played the 24th toughest schedule to date. They are just 1-2 in Big 12 play with a 2-point loss at Kansas and a 10-point loss at home to Texas. Note that they were tied 44-44 with under 7 minutes to play against the Longhorns and were outscored from their on 12-2. The only other loss by more than 5-points was a true road game against a very good UConn team. Simply too much value here to pass up. Give me Oklahoma State +5.5! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -5.5

I'll gladly take my chances with Rutgers laying just 5.5 at home against Iowa. The Hawkeyes aren't a bad team by any means, but they are definitely down from the caliber a team they have put on the floor the past few seasons.

I played on them at home against Indiana in their last game. I just don't trust them on the road, especially without Patrick McCaffrey. They need a guy like that's scoring against this Rutgers defense, especially away from home. Scarlet Knights are No. 3 in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency and No. 5 in opponents effective FG%. 

Rutgers offense isn't great, but this is an Iowa defense that isn't very good and one that struggles to defend down low. Hawkeyes are 210th in the country in defending 2-pt attempts. I just don't think Iowa's offense will be good enough for them to keep this close. Give me Rutgers -5.5! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER: Iowa Hawkeyes -1

I'll take my chances with Iowa as a mere 1-point home favorite against the Hoosiers. Some might think the Hawkeyes shouldn't be favored in this game. Iowa has lost their last 3 and starter Patrick McCaffery is taking a personal leave of absence. I like this team to respond in a big way in this game. 

Indiana has injury concerns of their own. Trayce-Jackson Davis has missed the last two games and is listed as questionable. They are also without 3rd leading scorer Xavier Johnson (9.9 ppg), who also leads the teams in assists (4.9 apg). 

We saw the Hawkeyes annihilate a very good Iowa State team at home without their best player in Kris Murray. McCaffery was a solid contributor, but not a loss they can't overcome. They still got their 3 best scorers on the floor in Murray, Filip Rebraca and Tony Perkins. This team as a whole just shoots the ball better at home. They are shooting 44.7% from the field and 31.8% from the 3-point line on the season. Those spike to 48.9% and 36.2% at home. Give me Iowa -1! 

8* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER: Missouri Tigers +7.5

I'll take my chances with Missouri as a 7.5-point road dog against Arkansas. The Tigers just continue to get disrespected by the books. Missouri is 12-1 and come into this game off 3 straight Top 50 wins, beating UCF, Illinois and most recently Kentucky. They annihilated the Fighting Illini 93-71 on a neutral floor and crushed Kentucky 89-75 at home. I get playing on the road is tough, but this line is suggesting that Arkansas is the far superior team. 

I'm just not buying it. Yes the Razorbacks are 11-2 and ranked No. 13 in the country, but their only two Top 50 wins are against San Diego State (in OT) and Oklahoma. I not only think the Tigers cover here, but I give them a legit shot to win this game outright. Give me Missouri +7.5! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Oklahoma Sooners -3

I'll take my chances with Oklahoma as a slim 3-point home favorite against Iowa State on Wednesday. We played on and won with the Cyclones in Saturday's 77-62 win over Baylor as a 2-point home dog. ISU is just one of those teams that I think is a great team to back at home and fade on the road. A lot of teams fit this bills in the Big 12 and Big 10. The only true road game the Cyclones have played this season was at in-state rival Iowa and they lost that game 56-75 with the Hawkeyes not having their best player in Kris Murray. 

Now they have to go on the road against a good and hungry Oklahoma team that is coming off a 1-point loss at home to highly ranked Texas. This is a team that has been playing well. They are 9-3 over their last 12 games with the other two losses coming by 4-points at Villanova and by 10 on a neutral court against a very good Arkansas team. Give me the Sooners -3! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money Vegas Insider: Ole Miss Rebels +12.5

I'll take my chances with Ole Miss as a 12.5-point road dog against No. 7 Alabama. I just think this is a few too many points for the Crimson Tide to be laying in this spot. Crimson Tide are off a double-digit road win against Mississippi State to open up SEC play, improving to 11-2. I think this team might be feeling themselves a little too much and will have a hard time not looking ahead to Saturday's huge showdown against Kentucky. 

It makes it that much easier to not give the Rebels enough respect when they come in having lost their last two and are just 2-5 in their last 7 games. They do have a bad loss at home to North Alabama during this stretch, but the other 4 losses are against teams ranked 32nd or better at KenPom and all of those losses came by 11 or fewer points. 

For as good as Alabama has been, their only win in their last 9 games by more than 13 points was a 20-point win at home over Jackson State. They 13-point win was against South Dakota State. I expect the Crimson Tide to win this game, I just think they would need to play their very best to win here by more than the number. Give me Ole Miss +12.5! 

9* NCAAB Public Money ATS MASSACRE: Oklahoma State Cowboys -2.5

I'll take my chances with Oklahoma State laying 2.5-points at home against West Virginia on Monday. Don't be fooled by the records or rankings. Anytime you have an unranked team favored over a ranked team, I tend to look that way. 

The Cowboys may be just 8-5 on the season, but 4 of the 5 losses have come by 5 or fewer points, including a mere 2-point loss at Kansas on Saturday. The only other loss was by 10 in a true road game against a very good UConn team. 

West Virginia is 10-3, but all 10 wins have come against teams ranked outside the Top 45. They lost by 12-points on a neutral site to Purdue and by 10 on the road at Xavier. They are also coming off a OT loss at K-State on Saturday. Having just 1-day of rest, off an OT game and both games being on the road in Big 12 play is a lot to ask the Mountaineers to overcome in this spot. Give me Oklahoma State -2.5! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Villanova Wildcats -2.5

I'll take my chances with Villanova as a small 2.5-point home favorite against Marquette on Saturday. This to me is just too good a price to pass up on the Wildcats at home, especially with Villanova figuring to be extra motivated coming off a loss at UConn. 

Wildcats are just 7-6 overall, but have played one of the tougher schedules in the country, as 4 of their 6 losses are to teams ranked inside the Top 50. They also have a loss on a neutral floor to Oregon and a loss at Temple early in the year. All 6 losses have also come by 8-points or fewer with 3 by 4 or less. 

Marquette is a good team that has been impressive in their 10-4 start with a bunch of quality losses of their own, but are just 1-2 in true road games with the only win coming against a struggling Notre Dame team that also has home losses to Miami and Syracuse. Just not enough respect being given to the Wildcats in this one. Give me Villanova -2.5! 

8* NCAAB - Public Money ATS MASSACRE: Iowa State Cyclones +2

I will gladly take the Cyclones as a 2-point home dog against Baylor on Saturday. Iowa State is off to an impressive 9-2 start, with their only two losses coming against UConn on a neutral floor and a true road game against in-state rival Iowa, where the Hawkeyes couldn't miss from deep (12 of 23, 52.2%). 

Cyclones are a perfect 7-0 at home this season and have one of the best homecourt advantages in the country. They are also extremely well rested for this game, having not played since Dec. 18th. Baylor on the other hand just played a game on Wednesday and while the Bears are off to a strong 10-2 start, they don't have the same dominant feel to them as the last couple of years.

Baylor's only true road game was at Marquette back on Nov. 29th and the Bears were annihilated by the Golden Eagles 96-70. This one figures to be a little closer, but no way should ISU be a dog in this matchup. Give me Iowa State +2! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Clemson Tigers -1.5

I'm backing Clemson as a 1.5-point home favorite against NC State in Friday's ACC action on the college hardwood. The Tigers are off to a strong 10-3 start and have 6 of their last 7 coming into this matchup. Two of their 3 losses were by just a few points, as they lost 58-60 in a true road game against South Carolina and by 3-points on a neutral site against Iowa. I just feel the Tigers are being a bit short-changed here at home, where they are a perfect 7-0 this season. 

NC State is also off to a good start, as they bring an 11-3 record into this game. However, the Wolfpack have only played one true road game to this point, which has certainly aided their strong start. NC State's lone true road game was at Miami and they lost that game 73-80 after jumping out to a 33-17 lead in the first 13 minutes of the game. Wolfpack were outscored 63-40 over the final 27 minutes and change of that game. If they struggle out of the gate in this one, this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me Clemson -1.5! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Nebraska Cornhuskers +4.5

I'm taking Nebraska as a 4.5-point home dog against the Hawkeyes. I don't think getting back Khris Murray will be enough for Iowa to go on the road and beat the Cornhuskers by 5 or more. I think it will be a struggle for the Hawkeyes to just win the game. Iowa is 1-0 in true road games, beating Seton Hall 83-67 back in November. At the time that win was impressive, but it's looking less and less of a quality win with the Pirates now sitting at 7-7, having lost 6 of their last 9. 

Nebraska comes in having lost 3 of their last 4 and are just 7-6 on the season, but have played one of the toughest schedules in the country. They have lost in true road games against St. John's and Indiana. Neutral site games against Oklahoma, Memphis and Kansas State. The only other loss is a 62-65 OT setback at home against Purdue, who many feel is the best team in the Big Ten. 

I just think both of these teams are going to be teams you look to back on their home floor and fade on the road in Big Ten play, especially in games with a smaller line like we have here. Give me Nebraska +4.5! 

9* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Kentucky Wildcats -3

I'll take my chances with Kentucky laying 3 on the road against Missouri. I just feel we are getting some good value here with the Wildcats. Missouri is off to an impressive 11-1 start and last time they took the floor they embarrassed Illinois 93-71 as a 6.5-point dog. Last time we saw Kentucky in a big game was a neutral site matchup against UCLA and they did not look great in a 53-63 loss. 

The one thing to note about Missouri and their 11-1 record, is they rank a mere 318th in strength of schedule. The Tigers only other game vs a team ranked inside the Top 50 resulted in a 67-95 loss at home to Kansas. 

I also really think Kentucky is going to come in motivated and sharp for this game. Wildcats are just 1-3 in games away from home and know they have to get better away from Lexington heading into SEC play. Kentucky also hasn't played in a week and a week of practice can do wonders for a young team like the Wildcats. Give me Kentucky -3! 

9* NCAAB Over/Under TOTAL NO-BRAINER: Villanova/St. John's UNDER 146.5

I will take my chances with the UNDER 146.5. I just think the total here is a bit too high with the game being at Villanova and how slow paced the Wildcats prefer to play. Villanova is 349th out of 363 college DI teams in adjusted tempo. They are 316th in average possession length and 358th in opponents avg poss length (teams don't get quick shots on them).

They are just 6-5 overall, but have lost by just 2 to Michigan State and by 2 in OT to ISU. They have a win at home over a good Oklahoma team. They come in having won 4 straight. This team is going to be ready to go for their Big East Opener. 

St. Johns averages 80 ppg and 10th in tempo and 2nd in avg poss. length. I just don't think Villanova is going to let them play at their pace on their floor. The Red Storm's offensive numbers are also inflated due to them playing the 337th toughest schedule to this point. Give me the UNDER 146.5! 

8* NCAAB ATS ANNIHILATOR: Florida -3

I'll take my chances with Florida as a 3-point favorite against Oklahoma. The game will be played on a neutral court (Spectrum Center) in Charlotte. This is one of those "You have to bet no matter what" the numbers say. KenPom would have Oklahoma a 1-point favorite in this game, yet they are getting 3. These lines aren't typically too far off from KenPoms projections. That tells me the books don't agree with the numbers on this one. They are inviting you to bet the Sooners. These are just the kind of plays you don't want to be on the public side and instead should be betting the other side. Give me the Gators -3! 

9* NCAAB Sharp Money ATS ANNIHILATOR: USC Trojans +1.5

I'll take my chances with USC as a slim 1.5-point home dog against Auburn on Sunday. The Tigers come into this game with a 9-1 record, but their only two wins vs a team ranked inside the Top 100 at KenPom are a 43-42 win on a neutral site against Northwestern and a 65-60 win at home vs St. Louis. Their only other Top 100 matchup resulted in a 73-82 loss at Memphis.

USC had an ugly loss to Florida Gulf Coast in their opener, but have gone 8-2 since with their only losses being a 66-73 OT loss to Tennessee on a neutral floor and a 59-64 loss to Wisconsin on a neutral site. 

Trojans are elite defensively inside. USC ranks 15th nationally in opponent effective FG% at 43.1. They are also No. 4 in the country in 2PT% defense. That should be a huge factor in this matchup, as Auburn can't shoot from the outside. Tigers are 334th nationally in 3PT% offense. They are also just 232nd in offensive effective FG%. 

This will also be Auburn's first true road game of the season and it's a long way from home. The wrong team is favored in this one. Give me USC +1.5! 

10* NCAAB Non-Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH: Kansas State -3.5

I'll take my chances with Kansas State as a 3.5-point home favorite against the Cornhuskers. This will technically be a neutral site game, which I think is factoring into the value we are getting with the Wildcats, as this will certainly feel like a home game for K-State with the game being played at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City. 

This does feel like a better Nebraska team than what we have seen in recent years. They have an impressive 65-53 win over Creighton and just lost in OT at home to Purdue, who many believe is the best team in the Big Ten. With that said, they also lost by 16 on the road to Indiana in their Big Ten opener. They have a 20-point loss on the road to St. John's, 13-point loss on a neutral site against Oklahoma and a 12-point loss to Memphis on a neutral site. 

The Nebraska offense ranks 276th in 3P%, 328th in FT%, they also turn the ball over a lot and do a poor job of getting to the free throw line. I also think it's worth pointing out that the Cornhuskers' opponents this season are shooting a mere 60.5% from the free throw line. The 2nd lowest mark against any team in the country. That's pure luck. There's no defending a free throw. 

K-State who comes in 9-1 with their only loss in a true road game at Butler is simply the better team on both sides of the ball. Two stats that I love with the Wildcats is they are No. 9 defensively in the country in TO% and No. 6 offensively in assists/FG made. This team shares the ball at an elite level and forces the other team into mistakes. Give me Kansas St -3.5! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS SLAUGHTER: Maryland Terrapins -1

I'll take my chances with Maryland as a slim 1-point home favorite against UCLA. I think we are getting great value here with the Terps at basically a pick'em on their home floor. Maryland comes in having lost 2 straight after their perfect 8-0 start. Nothing to be ashamed about either loss, as they lost by 5 on the road to Wisconsin in Big Ten play and then by just 3 on a neutral site to Tennessee. UCLA comes in having won 5 in a row, but will be playing their first true road game outside of the state of California. Bruins two best wins are both in Pac-12 play, beating Stanford and Oregon. They lost their two other top tier matchups, falling 70-79 to Illinois on a neutral site and then 75-80 to Baylor on a neutral site. Give me the Terps -1! 

8* NCAAB - Smart Money ATS MASSACRE: Wisconsin Badgers +4.5

I'll take my chances with Wisconsin as a 4.5-point road dog against the Hawkeyes. I cashed on Iowa as a small home favorite against Iowa State, but I did bet that game before news broke that Iowa's best player, Khris Murray was ruled out. Murray is not going to play again today and I just think without him, they are going to have a much harder time against the Badgers. Iowa really just had one of those nights against their in-state rivals, as they were 12 of 23 (52.2%) from behind the 3-point line. This is not a team outside of Murray that has shot the 3-ball well. It helped the Cyclones seemed willing to give them wide-open looks from deep. The Badgers won't let that happen. Give me Wisconsin +4.5! 

10* NCAAB Prime Time PLAY OF THE MONTH: Arizona Wildcats Pick'em

I'll gladly take my chances with Arizona at a pick'em against Indiana in Saturday's neutral site showdown at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. I'm sure there will be some Hoosier fans that make the trip, but there should be more Wildcats in the building given the short trip. More than anything, I think Arizona is the better team. I'm just not completely sold Indiana is as good as what everyone makes them out to be. In their only two games outside of Indiana, they squeaked out a 2-point win at Xavier and lost by 15 at Rutgers. I could see them being a big play against team away from Assembly Hall in Big Ten play. 

I know Arizona just lost by 15 at Utah in their Pac-12 opener, but they at least have some wins away from home, beating the likes of Cincinnati, San Diego St and Creighton at neutral sites. I also think it's a good matchup for the Wildcats. Indiana relies heavily on Trayce Jackson-Davis to shoulder the load. He's averaging 17.5 ppg. Only one other player averages in double-figures and that's Xavier Johnson at 10.0 ppg. 

I think the Wildcats have the size inside to make it difficult on Jackson-Davis to get easy looks at the hoop. Arizona weakness defensively is the 3-point shot. THey are 246th in Def. 3-PT% and 44th in Def. 2-PT%. I think it will be tough for Indiana to keep pace offensively in what figures to be a game that's played up and down the floor. Give me Arizona PK! 

10* NCAAB Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER: Kansas/Missouri OVER 152.5

I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 152.5 in Saturday's matchup between Missouri and Kansas. This to me feels like a race to 80 points. Missouri may be 9-0 because of their schedule, but don't let that fool you into thinking this isn't a good team. I think they landed a gem at head coach in Dennis Gates from Cleveland State. They got 3 guys who can get buckets with returning leading scorer Kobe Brown (14.3 ppg), Cleveland State transfer D'Moi Hodge (16.7 ppg) and UNI transfer Noah Carter. They also get double-digits from Fordham/Clemson transfer Nick Honor (10.0 ppg) and UMass/Bradley transfer Sean East II (10.0). 

They are No. 12 in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, No. 3 in Eff. FG% and No. 2 in 2-PT%. They play at the 4th fastest game tempo in the country and own the 8th shortest average in time of possession. They are No. 4 defensively in TO%. This team wants to run and gun and keep it movin.

I don't see Kansas playing keep away. I think the Jayhawks will gladly turn this into a track meet. I also think they have the talent int he backcourt to not turn it over crazy. If you avoid the turnover, this Missouri defense has plenty of holes. 

Kansas ranks 51st in least amount of shot clock used. Yes they played a lower-scoring games vs Tennessee, Duke and Wisconsin, but all those teams rank outside the Top 125 in shot clock time used. 

Kansas has played 3 games vs teams who rank in the Top 65 in this stat. They combined for 158 in a 82-76 win over NC State (No. 39), combined for 154 with NC State in a 80-74 win (No. 43) and 156 in a 91-65 win over Seton Hall (No. 63). Give me the OVER 152.5! 

9* NCAAB Early Bird ATS SLAUGHTER: Louisville Cardinals +10.5

I'll take my chances with Louisville at +10.5. I know Louisville is bad, but so is Florida State. The Seminoles are 1-9 with their only win coming at home against Mercer. I just don't think this team should be laying double-digits against any conference opponent. The big thing to note about Louisville is their schedule. The Cardinals' last 5 games have come against Miami, Maryland, Cincinnati, Texas Tech and Arkansas. All of those teams rank in the Top 50 at KenPom. 

In their 3 other losses they were all 1-point defeats to Bellarmine, Wright State and App State. You got to think this team is chomping at the bit to get their first win and they have to feel like they got a chance in this game. If Louisville isn't competitive here, I'm going to jump ship immediately on this team going forward. I just think there's too much value given what we have seen out of the Seminoles. It wouldn't shock me at all if the Cardinals won this game outright. Give me Louisville +10.5! 

9* NCAAB Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Iowa Hawkeyes -3.5

I'll take my chances with Iowa at -3.5. This a full 3-points off the opening line of 6.5. That may have been a bit steep to lay with Iowa, but there's a big difference between only having to win a game by 4 instead of 7. 

I'm also not so sure why everyone is way down on Iowa in this spot. Iowa did not play well in their 62-74 loss to Duke in the Jimmy V Classic at MSG on Tuesday. It was also one of the worst games of the season for Kris Murray, who this team feeds off of offensively. I expect him to be a lot better in this one. 

I also don't think homecourt is getting enough respect here. Over the last 3 years Iowa is 33-5 SU on their home floor. They are 25-13 (66%) ATS in those games. Iowa State is 4-17 SU in road games the last 3 years. Home team has failed to cover just once in the last 6 meetings in the series. Give me the Hawkeyes -3.5! 

9* NCAAB Public Money ATS SLAUGHTER: Nebraska Cornhuskers +13.5

I'll take my chances with Nebraska covering the 13.5 point spread on the road against the Hoosiers. I would be surprised if Indiana didn't win this game, but I think it's asking a lot for the Hoosiers to cover this big number, especially with a matchup against Arizona on deck Saturday. 

This is also a Nebraska team that I think is still being greatly undervalued even after their big 63-53 upset win on the road against Creighton this past Sunday. The Cornhuskers have looked like a different team since getting back their best player in Derrick Walker. He didn't play in either of their losses to St. John's or Oklahoma. The only loss with him on the floor is to Memphis. 

Nebraska is 6-1 ATS last 7 off a cover, 5-2 ATS last 7 on the road and are 10-3 ATS last 13 vs a team with a winning record. Give me Nebraska +13.5! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Duke Blue Devils -2

I'll take my chances with Duke as a mere 2-point favorite against Iowa in their showdown at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday. This is a good but not great Hawkeyes team and I just feel that they are getting a little too much respect here. Iowa is 6-1, but their two best wins are against Seton Hall and Clemson, who look like at best teams that will be on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament. The one above-average team they faced was TCU and they lost that game 66-79. 

I just don't think the Hawkeyes are good enough defensively to slow down this Duke offensive attack. I also think the Blue Devils will be able to get a lot of 2nd chances on offense with how good they are on the offensive glass (#2 in the country in Off. Reb%). Duke is also very good defensively at defending the 3-point shot and without the deep ball falling in at a high rate, I just don't know how the Hawkeyes keep pace in this one. Give me Duke -2! 

10* NCAAB Big Ten PLAY OF THE MONTH: Wisconsin Badgers -1

I'll take my chances with Wisconsin as a mere 1-point home favorite against Maryland. I think this is a good spot here to fade the Terps. Maryland comes into this game 8-0 and fresh off a 71-66 win at home over No. 16 ranked Illinois. That win jumped the Terps from No. 22 in the polls all the way up to No. 13. 

No question this team is better than expected, but winning on the road in the Big Ten is no easy task, especially against a quality team like Wisconsin. Keep in mind that Maryland's only true road game this season was against Louisville, who has yet to win a game this season at 0-8. 

I also think Badgers team isn't getting enough respect for their 6-2 start. Wisconsin's only two losses are by 1-point in OT against Kansas on a neutral floor and by 3 at home to Wake Forest. A game where they led by 5 with less than 5 minutes to play and were right there despite shooting just 43% from the field and allowing the Deacons to shoot 54%. Badgers also have quality wins over Stanford, Dayton, USC and Marquette. Give me Wisconsin -1! 

8* NCAAB Smart Money ATS MASSACRE: Iowa State Cyclones -4

I will gladly take my chances with Iowa State laying just 4-points at home against St. John's. I've really liked what I've seen out of this Cyclones team so far this year. Iowa State is 6-1 with their only loss coming to UConn, who is currently ranked No. 4 at KenPom. That was also a tired Cyclones team playing their 3rd game in 4 days and having just upset Villanova and UNC in their previous two. As for St. John's they are getting a lot of respect right now with their best win is against Syracuse and they needed OT to get it. That's also a Syracuse team that sits at just 4-4 with losses to Colgate and Bryant. Biggest reason the Red Storm are 8-0 is their schedule. St. John's strength of schedule ranks outside the Top 350. This will also be the Red Storm's first true road game of the 2022-23 season and ISU's Hilton Coliseum is one of the toughest places in the country to play. Give me the Cyclones -4! 

9* NCAAB Late Night ATS SLAUGHTER: Maryland Terrapins -1.5

I'll take my chances with Maryland as a small 1.5-point home favorite against Illinois. It's been an impressive start for the Terps under first year head coach Kevin Willard. Maryland is 7-0 and can really define their season with a 4-game stretch that has them facing Illinois, Wisconsin, Tennessee and UCLA. I just feel like they are right there with the top teams in this conference and with how much home court means in the Big Ten, you got to give the edge here to Maryland. This is also a bit of a tricky spot for Illinois, coming off a 73-44 blowout win over Syracuse and having a showdown with Texas at Madison Square Garden on deck next Tuesday. Give me the Terps -1.5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: North Carolina Tar Heels +5.5

I'll take my chances with North Carolina catching 5.5-points on the road against the Hoosiers. I think we are getting a great price on the Tar Heels in this one. UNC had opened the season 5-0 before blowing a 58-51 lead with under 5 minutes to play in a 65-70 loss to ISU. They then lost 101-103 to Arkansas in a thrilling 4OT game on Sunday. 

I just think it has them getting a few too many points here against what I think is an overrated Indiana team. The Hoosiers are 6-0, but 5 of those 6 wins have come against teams ranked outside the Top 250. The one good win they have is over No. 32 Xavier and they barely snuck that one out in a 81-79 win. You also got to look at how well the ACC has been playing in this ACC/Big Ten challenge. Give me the Tar Heels +5.5! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Duke Blue Devils -5

I'll take my chances with Duke as a 5-point home favorite against Ohio State. I like the Blue Devils quite a bit in this spot. Duke should be highly motivated coming off an embarrassing 56-75 loss to Purdue. It was just one of those nights for the Blue Devil from outside, as they were just 2-19 (10.5%) from behind the 3-point line. I look for Duke to respond in a big way on their home floor, while I think this could be a tricky spot for the Buckeyes, who will be playing their first true road game of the season. Ohio State could also be a bit rusty, as they haven't played in a week. Give me Duke -5! 

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Virginia Cavaliers -4.5

I'll take my chance with Virginia laying 4.5 on the road against Michigan. I just have not been impressed with what I've seen out of this Michigan team early on. The Wolverines are 5-1, but the only Top 75 team they have played is Arizona State and they lost that game 62-87. Michigan has also struggled to put bad teams away. They got a 5-point win over Eastern Michigan, a 70-66 OT win at home against Ohio and last time out they beat Jackson State 78-68. The same Jackson State team that lost 51-90 to Indiana a few days later. 

As for Virginia, they are 5-0 with two Top 25 wins away from home. They knocked off Baylor 86-79 on a neutral floor and Illinois 70-61 at a neutral site. The Cavs aren't just winning with their defense this year. Virginia is No. 5 in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency and No. 14 in adjusted defensive efficiency. They are No. 4 in the country in 3P% and No. 2 in FTA/FGA. 

The one weakness Virginia's defense has had is defending the 3-pointer, as they are No. 202 in opponent 3P%. Michigan's not a great 3-point shooting team, ranking just 229th in 3P%. Really the only thing the Wolverines have done well is not turn the ball over, but that's negated by the fact that their defense ranks No. 306 in opponent TO%. I just don't think playing at home will be enough for them to make a game of it. Give me Virginia -4.5! 

8* NCAAB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Baylor/Marquette UNDER 155.5

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 155.5 in Tuesday's Big 12/Big East showdown between Marquette and Baylor. I just think we are seeing an inflated number here due to the fact that these two teams come in having put up big time offensive numbers early on. The Bears are scoring 91.2 ppg and the Golden Eagles are putting up 80.3 ppg. 

What people overlook with these two teams is their defense. Both of these teams rank in the Top 50 in adjusted defensive efficiency. My real concern here is with Marquette and them being able to generate enough offense to push this into the 160s. Golden Eagles are No. 17 in the country in 2P% and No. 229 in 3P%. I just don't know if they are going to be able to attack this Baylor defense inside. 

Keep in mind the one really good defense they played so far was Mississippi State and they managed just 55 points. I know some of that is the Bulldogs dreadfully slow pace, but with a total this high I just think there's too much value to pass up. Give me the UNDER 155.5! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER: Penn State Nittany Lions +1.5

I'll take my chances here with Penn State as a 1.5-point road dog against Clemson. I really like this matchup for the Nittany Lions, who I think are flying a bit under the radar right now. Penn State's only loss this season is a 59-61 setback against a good Virginia Tech team on a neutral floor. A game they nearly one, despite them trailing 9-25 with 8 minutes to play in the 1st half. Penn State does have 3 top 100 wins beating Butler, Furman and Colorado State. 

As for Clemson, the Tigers are 5-2 and just haven't impressed me. Their best win on the season in terms of where their opponents rank is a 67-59 win against No. 213 Cal and that's a Golden Bears team that is currently sitting 0-7 to start the season. Clemson did lose by just 3 to Iowa on a neutral floor, but the Hawkeyes were in control of that game for all but the last 5 minutes. 

Penn State will also have the best player on the floor in this game in Jalen Pickett. I just don't think the Nittany Lions should be a dog in this fight. Give me Penn State +1.5! 

8* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Maryland Terrapins -23.5

I'll take my chances laying the 23.5 at home with Maryland against a bad Coppin State team. The Terps have been one of the big surprise teams early on this season, as they are way better than most anticipated. Maryland came into this season ranked just 56th at KenPom. They now sit at No. 24. In their last two games they have beat No. 45 St Louis 95-67 and No. 48 Miami 88-70. Now they face a Coppin State team that has already lost 3 times by a wide margin. They lost by 23 at No. 159 Charlotte, by 19 at No. 121 Marshall and by 16 at No. 81 Towson. The Eagles are awful on both sides of the ball, ranking 296th in adjusted off. eff. and 289 in adjusted def. eff. Maryland is 23rd in adjusted off. eff. and 34th in adj. def. efficiency. Give me the Terps -23.5! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Memphis Tigers -1.5

I'll take my chances with Memphis as a 1.5-point favorite against Seton Hall. The betting public is all over the Pirates in this game and I'm not sure why. Seton Hall is 3-1, but all 3 wins have come against teams ranked outside the Top 250. The only real legit team they have played is Iowa and they lost at home to the Hawkeyes by a score of 67-83. 

As for Memphis, they are off to a 2-1 start and have played a pretty tough schedule to this point. All 3 of the Tigers' opponents have ranked inside the Top 100 at KenPom. They have a 76-67 win at Vandy and a 62-47 win at home against VCU. The only loss coming by 6 points to a St Louis team that comes in 5-1. Give me Memphis -1.5! 

8* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Michigan Wolverines -22

I'll take my chances with Michigan as a big 22-point home favorite against Jackson State tonight. I just don't see the Tigers being able to keep this one close against what should be a hungry Wolverines team that hasn't exactly played great basketball in their last two games. Michigan was upset last Thursday in an ugly 62-87 loss on a neutral floor to Arizona State and then needed OT to escape with a 70-66 win over a subpar Ohio team on Sunday. 

With this being their last game before a 6-day break, I got to think the Wolverines will be out to make a statement here. They should be able to do just that. Jackson State is ranked 309th in the country at KenPom. The Tigers are No. 332 in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency and No. 272 in adjusted defensive efficiency. Jackson State also likes to play fast, ranking 49th in the country in tempo. 

I just think it's a recipe for disaster wanting to turn this into a transition game against this more athletic Michigan team, who ranks 29th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency. Give me Michigan -22! 

9* NCAAB - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: BYU Cougars -1.5

I'll take my chances with BYU as a slim 1.5-point favorite against USC on a neutral floor. The Trojans started out their season with an ugly 61-74 loss at home to Florida Gulf Coast, who we have seen go on to lose by the likes of 31 to Tennessee. USC has responded with 3 straight wins, but two of those were cupcakes against Alabama St and Mount St. Mary's. The other was a 2-point win against a free-falling Vermont team that is just 1-5 to start the year and has gone from being ranked No. 100 at KenPom to No. 160.

One of the big problems for USC is they are having to go at it without 5-star big man Vincent Iwuchukwu, who they desperately needed to step in and play a big role to fill the void left by Isaiah Mobley. 

BYU's only loss on the season is a 75-82 setback on the road against a very good San Diego State team and they had a lead late (led 67-61 with 6:50 to play) in that game before the Aztecs pulled away down the stretch. Give me the Cougars -1.5! 

8* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Northwestern Wildcats -2

I'll take my chances with Northwestern as a slim 2-point favorite against Liberty in Tuesday's matchup in the Cancun Challenge. The Wildcats have gotten off to an impressive and surprising 4-0 start, as a lot of people threw this team under the bus when guys like Pete Nance (UNC) and Ryan Young (Duke) transferred after last season. 

Wildcats are getting enough offense, led by one of the Big Ten's better players in Boo Buie. They are also locking teams down defensively. Northwestern ranks 21st in adjusted efficiency on defense and No. 11 in effective FG% defense. 

Liberty is 2-2 and have been a bit of a disappointment. Losing to Alabama was to be expected, but it was the way in which they lost by 36 points (59-95). They also lost 72-76 at home to Southern Miss last time out. Defense has not been a strength for them, as they are 311th in the country in effective FG% defense. Give me Northwestern -2! 

9* NCAAB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Nevada Wolf Pack +6 

I'll take my chances with Nevada as a 6-point dog against K-State in Tuesday's action out of the Cayman Islands Classic. The Wolf Pack have really looked strong to start out the 2022 season, as it seems as though Steve Alford has got this team playing up to their potential after failing to do so a year ago. Nevada is 5-0 with a 13-point win over Grand Canyon who is ranked No. 103 and a 9-point win over Tulane who is No. 74. 

They are really locked in defensively, as they are sitting No. 3 in the country in effective FG% defense. They are No. 14 in 3P% defense, No. 3 in 2P% defense and No. 7 in Block%. 

K-State is 4-0 and certainly headed in the right direction under head coach Jerome Tang, but the strong start has come against an easy schedule. Three of their wins have come against teams ranked outside the Top 210 in UT Rio Grande Valley, Cal and UMKC. The other win is against No. 184 Rhode Island, who I'm not sure deserves to be ranked that high. Rhode Island is 1-3 with losses to No. 202 Quinnipiac and No. 190 Texas State. Give me the Wolf Pack +6! 

8* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Mississippi State Bulldogs -2.5

I'll take my chances with Mississippi State as a slim 2.5-point favorite against Marquette on a neutral floor. The Bulldogs have shot up the rankings early on this season. KenPom had this team ranked 53rd going into their season opener against Texas A&M CC and they now sit 27th. They are 4-0 with their only win decided by fewer than 20 points being a 19-point win over Akron.

This team has clearly taken to new head coach Chris Jans and the emphasis that he puts on the defensive side of the ball. The Bulldogs rank 15th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency and 6th in effective FG% defense. They are also 1st in the country in Steal% and 21st in Block%. 

Marquette is off to a 3-1 start with their only loss coming by 5 on the road against Purdue, but this is a team that lost a lot from last year's squad and were a bit lucky to keep that game against the Boilermakers as close as they did. Purdue shot 62% on 2-pt attempts. The only thing that saved Marquette in that game was they piled on 15 offensive rebounds. I just don't see that being the case in this one. I also think Mississippi State's grind it out style could really take the Golden Eagles out of their game as they want to play fast. Give me the Bulldogs -2.5! 

10* NCAAB - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Nebraska-Omaha/Iowa OVER 156.5

I'll take my chances with the OVER 156.5 in Monday's non-conference matchup between Iowa and Nebraska-Omaha. I just don't think this total is near enough, as I really think we could see this Iowa team push the 100 point mark in this one. 

The Hawkeyes have been elite on the offensive end to start the year. They are 3rd in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency. They also love to push the tempo, ranking 37th in adjusted tempo and 8th in average possession length. That offense is going to be up against one of the worst defenses in the country. The Mavericks rank 333rd out of 363 DI schools in adjusted defensive efficiency. We saw Kansas put up 89 on them earlier this year and as good as the Jayhawks are, they are just 24th in Adj OE and 29th in possession length. 

The other big thing difference between Iowa and Kansas is the Hawkeyes aren't nearly as good defensively. There are plenty of easy buckets to be had against this Iowa defense. I also think this is not a game where the Hawkeyes are going to be all that locked in defensively. One, it's hard to play all out on defense when you are scoring at will. Two, it's a bit of a flat spot for their defense coming off that big win over Seton Hall, it being Thanksgiving week and a big game on deck against Clemson looming Friday. Give me the OVER 156.5! 

8* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: DePaul Blue Demons +7.5

I'll take my chances with DePaul catching 7.5-points on a neutral floor against Oklahoma State. I think we are getting some value here with the Blue Demons at this price. This to me just feels like a bit of an overreaction with DePaul after Friday's 61-69 loss to Santa Clara as a 2.5-point favorite. 

The fact that the Blue Demons only lost by 8 points, despite them shooting just 34.4% from the field and finishing -16 in the rebound department says a lot about the potential of this team and let's not forget this team started out 3-0 with a road win over Minnesota before that loss. 

As for the Cowboys, they haven't exactly looked great to start the year. They only beat UT Arlington by 11 as a 20.5-point favorite. They lost outright as a 8.5-point favorite to Southern Illinois and last time out lost outright to UCF as a 6-point favorite. Give me DePaul +7.5!

8* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Seton Hall Pirates -18.5

I'll take my chances with Seton Hall as a 18.5-point home favorite against Wagner. I don't see the Pirates having any problem winning here by 20+ points. Big bounce back spot for Seton Hall after Wednesday's 16-point loss at home to Iowa. That loss looks worse than it is, as the Hawkeyes aren't getting a ton of love from the media. At least not yet. KenPom has that Iowa team ranked No. 15 in the country. 

Prior to the loss to Iowa, the Pirates dominated Monmouth 79-52 and St. Peter's 80-44. Both of those teams are ranked very similar to this Wagner team. The Seahawks are also at a scheduling disadvantage here, as they are playing this game on just 1-day of rest after facing Fairfield on Friday. Seton Hall has been off for a full 3 days and should be extremely motivated to get back on track. Give me the Pirates -18.5!

9* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: St Louis Billikens -3

I'll take my chances with St Louis as a slim 3-point favorite against Maryland as the two teams face off in Connecticut in the Hall of Fame Tip-Off. I just think there's value here with the Billikens at this price. Both teams are off to a 3-0 start, which I think is playing into the short number. Thing is, Maryland has beat up on a bunch of bad teams, beating Niagara, W Carolina and Binghamton. All 3 of those teams rank outside the top 250 at KenPom. 

This is also a Maryland team that figures to struggle against the better teams this year. The Terps lost their two best players (Fatts Russell and Eric Ayala) from last year's team and they went just 15-17 with a 7-13 mark in Big Ten play in 2021. 

As for St Louis, this team is loaded going into the 2022 season. The Billikens returned their top 4 scorers from last year's 23-win team. They have really looked the part early on, beating Murray State 91-68 and most recently Memphis 90-84. Murray State is currently ranked No. 125 at KenPom and Memphis is 29th. Give me the Billikens -3!

10* NCAAB Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: George Mason -3.5

I will gladly lay the 3.5-points with George Mason as they take on Boston College in the Virgin Islands for the Paradise Jam event. The Patriots had a tall task to start the year, opening the season on the road against Auburn. They hung around with the Tigers for a bit, but would eventually lose 52-70. They have since rebounded with wins and covers against Longwood and American. I really think this is a sneaky team in the A-10 this year, as they got 3 legit scorers who can carry the load. 

On the flip side of this, I'm way down on this Boston College team. The Eagles are also 2-1, but their wins are not impressive. They beat Cornell 79-77, who is ranked 205th. They also beat Detroit by a score of just 70-66 and they are ranked 227th. The loss is a bad one, as they fell 64-69 at home to 343rd ranked Maine as a 20.5-point favorite. No question this team was way overvalued coming into the season. They have gone from being ranked 74th at KenPom to 105th. Give me George Mason -3.5! 

8* NCAAB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Sam Houston State +10.5

I'll take my chances with the Bearkats as a 10.5-point dog against Utah in the Fort Myers Tip-Off. I'm just not quite understanding all the love for the Utes in this game. Yes, Utah is 3-0, but they should be given they have played LIU, Cal St. Bakersfield and Idaho St. Those are 3 AWFUL offensive teams. LIU ranks 349th in AdjOE, Cal St Bakersfield ranks 331st and Idaho St sits at 353rd. 

Sam Houston State has beaten two cupcakes (non-DI) opponents in their last two games, but they also went on the road and upset Oklahoma 52-51 as a 16.5-point dog in their opener. 

Utah has not had super senior Marco Anthony, who was their 2nd leading scorer and top rebounder from last year's 11-20 team. He's listed as questionable, so there's a good chance he won't be available for this game. I just think this Bearkats team is better than they get credit for and one that could be in the NCAA Tournament come March. Give me Sam Houston St +10.5! 

9* NCAAB Sharp Money ATS SLAUGHTER: VCU -3.5

I'll take my chances with VCU covering the 3.5-point spread against Pittsburgh. I just think this Panthers team came into this season way overvalued and are still way overvalued. KenPom had Pitt ranked as the 84th best team in the country coming into the year. Now they are 121st. Their two losses have come against Top 50 teams in W Virginia and Michigan, but they weren't competitive in either of those games, losing by 25 to the Mountaineers and by 31 to the Wolverines. Their only win is against Tennessee-Martin, who is ranked 317th and they shot just 37% from the field in that win. 

VCU also lost last night, falling 59-63 to Arizona State. It was a game the Rams had a double-digit lead in with less than 10 minutes to play in the 2nd half. Don't get me wrong it's not a team I'm crazy about, but the Panthers rank 236th in effective FG% on offense and 247th in that same stat on defense. Give me VCU -3.5! 

9* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER: Iowa/Seton Hall OVER 150

I'll take my chances with the OVER 150 in Wednesday's Big East/Big Ten clash that has Iowa going on the road to face Seton Hall. Both of these teams have been impressive out of the gate, going 2-0 SU and 2-0 ATS. Both teams have really looked good offensively. Iowa comes in with the No. 3 ranked offense in the country in adjusted efficiency. One thing Hawkeye's head coach Fran McCaffery knows how to do is get his offense to produce at a high level. Even with the loss of a star in Keegan Murray, this Iowa team is extremely deep and talented. 

As for Seton Hall, the Pirates have been really good offensively too. They put up 79 points in their opener against Monmouth and 80 at home against St Peters last time out. Iowa is definitely a team they should be able to find some easy baskets against. As for the great defensive numbers for Seton Hall, that's more of who they have played. Monmouth is currently ranked 304th in adjusted offensive efficiency and St. Peter's is 252nd. Give me the OVER 150! 

10* NCAAB - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Duke Blue Devils PK

I'll take my chances with Duke as a Pick'em against Kansas in Tuesday's big Top 10 showdown in Indianapolis. I think there's some value with the Blue Devils to start the year, as people are a little hesitant to fully back this team without Coach K on the sideline. I don't see Duke slipping at all this year. Not with the amazing young talent they have brought in. 

As for the Jayhawks, I think they are a bit overvalued coming into the 2022-23 season after winning it all last year. Kansas lost three starters and give key contributors from last year's team, including a couple of first round picks. Yes, they added in some nice transfers and some great freshmen of their own, but I just like what I've seen out of Duke a little more in the first couple games of the season. Blue Devils will be out to make a statement in this one. Give me Duke PK! 

8* NCAAB - Sharp Money ATS SLAUGHTER: Richmond Spiders -3.5

I will take my chances with Richmond as 3.5-point road favorite against Charleston. The Spiders lost some key pieces from last year's 24-win team, but have a lot more talent coming back than people think. I also liked what they did in the transfer portal. They took care of business in their opener, beating UNI 68-55 as a 6.5-point home favorite. 

As for Charleston, they only returned 1 starter from last year's team that went just 17-15 overall and 8-10 in the CAA. The Cougars are also in what I think is a letdown spot, just two days removed from playing UNC on the road. Charleston lost by 16, but they put up a fight in a bit of a track meet, as the Tar Heels won 102-86. This is also a team that has not looked good defensively. They let UNC shoot 60.3% from the field and in their opener against UT-Chattanooga they let them shoot 49.2% from the field. Give me Richmond -3.5! 

8* NCAAB Sharp Money ATS NO-BRAINER: Iowa State Cyclones -18

I will take my chances with Iowa State as a 18-point home favorite against North Carolina A&T. No question the Cyclones lost a lot from last year's Sweet 16 team, but I'm not expecting any kind of regression from ISU this year. I love their head coach TJ Otzelberger, who did a remarkable coaching job last year. People forget that the Cyclones had just 2 wins the previous year. As for the talent lost, they more than made up for it in the transfer portal, adding some of the best players out of the A-10 to combine with the nice pieces they had coming back. We just saw this North Carolina A&T team lose by 41 points at Iowa on Friday. Its really not asking much for ISU to win here by 20+ at home. Give me the Cyclones -18! 

9* NCAAB Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER: Washington State Cougars -105

I'll take my chances with Washington State on the money line as this game is basically a pick'em. I'm following the steam on the Cougars in this one, as this line opened with Boise State as the favorite and has flipped to Washington State favored in some spots. 

I had some lofty expectations for the Cougars coming into the year and they really showed me something in their opener against Texas State. Washington State crushed the Bobcats 83-61, easily covering as a 12.5-point favorite. Super sophomore Mouhamed Gueye was easily the best player on the floor and is the best NBA prospect the Cougars have had since Klay Thompson. He's not alone, as the Cougars got a lot of talent sprinkled across their roster. 

Also worth noting that was no pushover in Texas State. The Bobcats were the team a lot of people had pegged as the team to beat in the Sun Belt this year. 

As for Boise State, I had my concerns with the Broncos after losing 3 starters last year who accounted for 32.5 points/game, which is almost half of what they averaged for a game last year (68.3 ppg). Boise State lost their opener 66-68 at home to South Dakota State as a 6.5-point favorite and I think this could prove to be a real challenge for them. Give me Washington State -105! 

8* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Richmond -7.5

I got no problem laying single digits with Richmond at home against Northern Iowa. Both of these teams are coming off great seasons. The Spiders went 24-13, while the Panthers finished 20-12. Both lose some real key pieces from last year, but the losses will be felt much more for UNI, who has to replace 4 starters, including Missouri Valley Player of the Year A.J. Green. They have just two kids on their roster that are more than a sophomore and both have barely played in their tenure. 

Richmond has just two starters back, but both of those are good players in Tyler Burton and Andre Gustavson. They also have much better young talent ready to step up and unlike UNI they added some good players in the portal. 

Don't be fooled by UNI's 50+ point win over Wartburg in their opener. That's an awful non-DI opponent. Give me Richmond -7.5! 

9* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Florida Atlantic Owls +6.5

I'll take my chances with FAU as a 6.5-point road dog against Ole Miss on Friday. I think the Owls got a shot of winning this game outright. Ole Miss looks to still be in rebuilding mode. They only returned 3 starters from last year's 13-win team and one of those is star sophomore guard Deashun Ruffin, who didn't play in their opener Monday and figures to still be out as he continues to work his way back from ACL surgery last Feb. 

As for FAU, they figure to be one of the top teams in C-USA this year. The Owls have 4 starters back from a team that won 19 games last year. They have a really good backcourt duo with Alijah Martin and Michael Forrest. This is also a team that really gets after you on defense. Ole Miss shot just 37.3% from the field at home in their opener against Alcorn State. Give me FAU +6.5! 

9* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Cincinnati Bearcats -22

I'll take my chances with Cincinnati covering as 22-point home favorites against Cleveland State. I don't think the number here is near enough given the mismatch on the floor and at head coach. The Bearcats only two significant losses from last year were Abdul Ado and Mike Saunders Jr., who combined only averaged 9.7 ppg. They get back their star in senior guard David DeJulius and added in Memphis transfer Landers Nolley II to give them another scorer, something they desperately needed last year. This is also a team that is built on defense, behind second year head coach Wes Miller. 

They should have their way with a Cleveland State team that lost 3 starters, who were really their entire offense. The Vikings 3 starters lost combined to average 39.7 ppg (all 3 in double-figures). Cleveland State also lost head coach Dennis Gates and replaced him with Daniyal Robinson, who has no head coaching experience. I think we saw the writing on the wall for this team in their opener, which they lost outright 68-72 to Notre Dame (OH). Give me the Bearcats -22! 

8* NCAAB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Southern Illinois +9

I'll take my chances with the Salukis catching 9-points on the road against Oklahoma State. I think this Southern Illinois team has a chance to be at or near the top of the MVC this season. It's as deep and as talented as a team the Salukis have had in what is now year four under head coach Bryan Mullins. They got two of the top 3 returning scorers in the MVC back from last year and added in some really nice transfers. Their bench had over 50 points in their opener, which they won 94-63 over Little Rock as a mere 15-point favorite. 

As for Oklahoma State, they didn't impress me at all in their opener, sneaking out a 77-66 win at home against UT-Arlington. Something that really has to raise eyebrows given the Mavericks didn't have a single returning starter from a team that went just 11-18 last season. Keep in mind they only won by 11-points with UT-Arlington shooting just 35.6% from the field. I really think Southern Illinois has a shot in this game. Give me the Salukis +9! 

9* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR: Rider Broncs +13.5

I'll take my chances with Rider catching 13.5-points on the road against the Friars. This to me has the making of a potential upset. Providence lost a ton from last year's team that won the Big East regular season title and went on to advance to the Sweet 16. Just 3 players return who were with the program from last year. They lost 4 guys who averaged 10 or more points per game. Rider on the other hand is an experienced team with 4 starters back and should be a serious player for the top spot in the MAAC this year. I just think given all the new faces for Providence, we could see this team struggle a bit to start the year. This is also a Friars team that was extremely fortunate in close games a season ago, which is very hard to sustain from one season to the next. Give me the Broncs +13.5! 

8* NCAAB Opening Night ATS SHOCKER: George Mason +12.5

I'll take my chances with George Mason as a 12.5-point road dog against No. 15 ranked Auburn. Until they show me otherwise, the Tigers are a team I'll be looking to fade early on this season. This team lost a lot inside with the departures of Jabari Smith and Walker Kessler. Combined the two averaged 29.3 ppg and 15.5 rpg. There's also a chance Johni Broome will be sidelined with an ankle injury. Allen Flanigan, Jaylin Williams and Jalen Harper are all also questionable to play with an illness. As for the Patriots, I think this is a team that could surprise in the A-10 this year. Give me George Mason +12.5! 

10* NCAAB Opening Night PLAY OF THE YEAR: Ohio Bobcats +5.5

I'll take my chances with Ohio as a 5.5-point road dog against Belmont. This is nowhere close to the Bruins team that went 25-8 last year. Belmont lost a ton from last year's team. They get back their top scorer in Ben Sheppard, but the next 8 top scorers have all departed. This team does recruit and develop talent well, but I expect some early season struggles, especially in the betting market. Ohio technically only gets two starters back from last year, but big man Dwight Wilson III is alo returning from a knee injury that kept him out last year. Expect a very competitive game and one Ohio very well may win going away. Give me the Bobcats +5.5! 

50* (CBB) - N Carolina/Kansas CHAMPIONSHIP GAME Vegas Insider (Kansas -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances laying the 4-points with KU against UNC. It was a bad play by me to back Villanova on Saturday. I won't make the same mistake on Monday. As great as UNC has been down the stretch, the Jayhawks are the more talented team and in the much better spot coming out of Saturday's Final Four matchups. 

I get it's the title game, but I just feel it's going to be really hard for Duke to bounce back after that emotional win over Duke. That was one of the more hyped games I can remember and it was a dogfight from start to finish. 

I also don't think enough is being made of Bacot's injury late in that win over the Blue Devils. He's going to play, but he's likely not going to be 100%. He's been a difference maker for the Tar Heels. I just think they really need him to be great to keep this close enough to cover. Give me the Jayhawks -4!

50* (CBB) N Carolina/Duke MAX UNIT Top Play (Duke -4)

I'll gladly take my chances with Duke laying the 4 against UNC. I really like this Tar Heels team, but I think they are going to have a tough time just making a game of it. I know UNC went on the road and beat Duke 94-81 in Coach K's final home game. 

That to me was more a product of the Blue Devils not handling the emotions that came with that game. I think it was of a blessing in disguise, as I think it prepared this team for what was to come in this NCAA Tournament. 

I think we are going to see something more along the lines of when these teams first played. Duke won that game 87-67 in Chapel Hill and it was even worse than the finale score indicates. The Blue Devils are simply the better team and I feel this is a discount with all the love UNC is getting. Duke was -11 in that home finale, which means they would have been around a 7.5-8 point favorite on a neutral. Give me the Blue Devils -4! 

40* (CBB) - Villanova/Kansas VEGAS INSIDER (Villanova +4.5) 

I'll take my chances with Villanova catching the 4.5 against Kansas. Not many are giving the Wildcats a shot here after losing Justin Moore to an Achilles injury in their Elite 8 win over Houston. No question it's a big loss, but it has clearly been baked into this number. Villanova beat UConn by double-digits in the one game Moore missed during the regular season. 

They still got Gillespie running the show and you know they are going to slow this game down as much as they can. I think it's going to be really frustrating for Kansas on the offensive side of the ball, especially if they aren't hitting from deep early. I think it's going to lead to the Jayhawks pressing a bit and ultimately resulting in this game coming right down to the wire. Give me Villanova +4.5! 

40* (CBB) St. Peter's/UNC ATS NO-BRAINER (UNC -8)

I'll take my chances with N Carolina as a 8-point favorite. It's been a remarkable run for the Peacocks. They have made it further than any No. 15 seed before them. I just think the magic stops here. It's hard for these Cinderella stories to keep it going. We kind of saw that yesterday, with Duke and Villanova really dominating from start to finish. 

Some might call UNC a bit of a Cinderella, but this is a team that was extremely undervalued coming into the tournament. Largely due to the lack of respect the entire ACC conference was getting. Tar Heels have been playing great basketball for two months now. 

One big difference between UNC and St. Peter's first 3 opponents is the Tar Heels like to really push the tempo and get their offense going in transition. It's exactly what you need to do against the Peacocks, given how good they are in the half court defense. Those other teams playing at St Peter's tempo really is what allowed them to pull off the upset. UNC is just going to be too much for them to handle on both sides of the ball. Give me the Tar Heels -8! 

50* (CBB) - Miami/Kansas Elite 8 VEGAS INSIDER (Kansas -5.5) 

I'll lay the 5.5 with the Jayhawks against the Hurricanes. I like this Miami team, but I just feel this is a horrible matchup for the Hurricane. Miami's defense has played great in their first 3 games of the tournament against USC, Auburn and Iowa St. Those offenses aren't close to what they will see from Kansas. You also can't ignore this is a Hurricanes defense that is ranked No. 114 in defensive efficiency. 

I also think people sleep on how good this Jayhawks defense is. They are ranked No. 23 in adjusted defense. I also think KU is going to really exploit the Hurricanes on the offensive glass and at the 3-point line. If the Jayhawks can take care of the ball like they have the last two games (7 turnovers vs Creighton & only 10 vs Providence), this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me Kansas -5.5! 

50* (CBB) - Elite 8 (Sat) MAX UNIT Top Play (Houston -2.5) 

I'll take my chances with Houston as a slim 2.5-point favorite against Villanova for the right to go the Final Four. No one seems to want to take a stand with the Cougars. No one has really been talking about them being the team that could win it all and I'm not sure why. 

Houston is now 32-5 with 3 of those 5 losses by 2 or fewer points. They were absolutely dominant in the AAC Tournament, beating Cincinnati by 13, Tulane by 20 and Memphis by 18. In the NCAA Tournament they crushed UAB by 14, beat Illinois by 15 and Arizona by 12. 

It wouldn't surprise me if they made it 7 straight wins by double-digits. I just don't love this Villanova team like some others. I think they have really benefited from a favorable schedule in the NCAA Tournament. They have had to face Delaware, Ohio St and Michigan. Give me the Cougars -2.5!