40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Notre Dame -2)

I'll gladly back the Irish here as a short favorite against Va Tech. I just feel like this line represents the Notre Dame team that struggled in ACC play, when they are a much better team right now with Bonzie Colson back in the lineup. I also think we are seeing the Hokies overvalued because of a 9-3 ATS run over their last 12 games. I'm not saying Va Tech won't make a game of this, I just don't think they are good enough defensively to win this game. Give me Notre Dame -2! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS KNOCKOUT (Syracuse -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange laying what I think is a short number here in the opening round of the ACC Tournament. Syracuse comes in off a huge 55-52 home win over Clemson to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive, but the Orange are still firmly on the bubble and need to take out the Demon Deacons. I think that win over the Tigers was huge for the morale of this Syracuse team and I look for them to blow Wake Forest out of the gym today. The Demon Deacons are not a good team. They are a mere 3-13 in their last 16 games with the only road win a mere 6-point win at Pitt, who is hands down the worst team in the conference. Wake is just 3-11 ATS this season as an underdog and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games with a lower total in the range of 130 to 139.5. Give me the Orange -4.5! 

40* BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP ATS KNOCKOUT (Purdue -3) 

It's been a great run here for the Wolverines to get to the Big Ten Tournament title game, but my money is on Michigan struggling to finish off the job against the Boilermakers. I really like this Purdue team and they are rolling right now, having won 5 straight. A stretch in which they have been ridiculously efficient from the field. During this 5-game run the Boilermakers have shot 52.9% from the field, while averaging 82.6 ppg. They have not only played 1 fewer game to get to the title contest, but I also think it's going to be tough for Michigan to bounce back and play as well as they just did yesterday in their upset win over in-state rival Michigan State. Give me Purdue -3! 

50* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE YEAR (NC State -3)

This is every bit a play on the Wolfpack as it is a fade of the Cardinals. NC State comes in off an ugly 75-78 loss at Georgia Tech and that should have them 100% locked in for what will be their final home game of the season. On the flip side of this, Louisville is coming off about as gut-wrenching of a loss as you will see. The Cardinals had a 4-point lead with less than 1 second to play in a near upset of No. 1 Virginia and somehow lost the game 66-67. It's hard enough bouncing back from any kind of close loss, but almost impossible to rebound from a loss like that, especially with only 1 day off between contests. Give me the Wolfpack -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Red Raiders righting the ship at home against the Horned Frogs in their regular-season finale. Texas Tech is in the ultimate bounce-back spot, as they come in having lost 4 straight after opening up 10-3 in Big 12 play. The biggest thing has been the schedule during this run, as 3 of the 4 were on the road and the other was at home against red-hot Kansas. Note that the Red Raiders were competitive in all 4, as each defeat came by 10-points or less with two of the 3 by less than 3 points. TCU comes in having won 4 straight and a favorable schedule has played a big part in that, as 3 of the 4 were at home and the lone road contest was at lowly Iowa State. Let's also not forget that Tech whooped up on the Horned Frogs at TCU earlier this season 83-71 as a 3.5-point dog. I think we see another double-digit win and easy cover. Give me the Red Raiders -6.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Marquette -2)

My money is on the Golden Eagles to take care of business at home against the Bluejays. Marquette has been playing well here down the stretch. They are 4-2 in their last 6 games and 5 of those 6 contests were on the road. I think we are going to get a max effort here from the Golden Eagles on senior day against a top tier opponent. Creighton comes in off back-to-back wins, but both of those wins came at home. The Bluejays are just 5-7 SU and 4-8 ATS in road lined games this season. The other big key here is just how well Marquette matches up with the Bluejays. The Golden Eagles won 80-86 at Creighton in mid February as a 6-point dog and are now 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in the series. The Bluejays are also just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 as an underdog and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a home win by 10 or more. Give me Marquette -2! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Clemson +1.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Tigers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Orange this Saturday. Most will be looking to lay the short number with Syracuse at home on senior day, but I just don't like how this team is playing down the stretch. The Orange come in having lost 3 straight and are just 3-6 SU in their last 9 overall. As for Clemson, I think the Tigers continue to be undervalued because of the season-ending injury to Donte Gratham. This team has continued to play extremely well without him. The only hiccup came when starting point guard Shelton Mitchell got hurt at FSU and missed the next two games. They lost all 3 of those contests, but since Mitchell's return have won 2 straight. To top it off we got a great system in play here. Road dogs off 2 straight wins at home against an opponent off 2 straight road losses by 10 or more are 38-15 (72%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me Clemson +1.5!

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Ohio St -2.5) 

My money is on the Buckeyes laying a short number here against the Nittany Lions. I just don't understand why this Ohio State team doesn't get more respect than they get for going 15-3 in the Big Ten with a 16-point home win over Michigan State and road win at Purdue, the consensus two best teams in the conference. I was on Penn State yesterday in their game against Northwestern, but that was more of because of how bad the Wildcats were playing. I think the Nittany Lions are going to run into a serious problem here, as this Ohio State isn't going to take this game lightly after losing both regular-season meetings. The Buckeyes get their revenge when it matters the most. Give me Ohio State -2.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (UNDER 145)

I'll gladly take my chances here with this huge C-USA showdown between Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky going under the mark set by the books. This game figures to decide the C-USA regular-season title, as just 1-game separates the two teams. The Blue Raiders won the first meeting at Western Kentucky 66-62, as the two combined for a mere 128 points with a total of 140. Given what's at stake and just how good these two teams are defensively, I think we see a very similar scoring output as the last meeting. Give me the UNDER 145! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Louisville +4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cardinals as a home dog against Virginia on Thursday. I just think this is going to be a tough spot for the Cavaliers to match the intensity of Louisville. Virginia has already locked up the regular-season ACC title and a loss here wouldn't keep them from a No. 1 seed. The Cardinals on the other hand are no sure thing to make the NCAA Tournament. They are currently one of the last teams in as a No. 11 seed. A win here would secure a spot and there's every reason to believe they can pull off the upset. Louisville gave the Cavaliers all they could handle in a 10-point loss at Virginia and did so by shooting 50% on the road against one of the best defenses in the country. The Cardinals are even better offensively at home, where they are 11-1 this season. Give me Louisville +4! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Boston College -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Eagles at basically a pick'em at home against the Orange. While Syracuse rolled over BC 81-63 on their home floor earlier this season, the Eagles are simply a different team at home than on the road. Boston College is 13-3 at home this season compared to just 3-10 on the road. Add in the extra incentive here for the Eagles to play well on senior night in their final home game and I think we are getting some big time value. Keep in mind that Syracuse is in a bit of a letdown spot here. They just lost at Duke, which concluded a brutal 3 game stretch where they had to go at Miami, host UNC and go to Duke. They lost to the Blue Devils by 16 and are a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games off a road loss by 10 or more points. Give me the Eagles -1.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUST ATS KNOCKOUT (Georgia -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs at basically a pick'em at home against the Aggies. Georgia comes in playing well, as they have won 3 of their last 4. That's definitely a positive, but the real key here is where the game is being played. The Bulldogs are 11-3 at home this season and will be extra motivated here with this being their final home game of the season. Another key here is Georgia has owned Texas A&M of late. They are 5-1 in the last 6 with the lone loss coming at Texas A&M by 1-point. Aggies are also a mere 1-7 ATS this season in games with a line of +3 to -3. Give me the Bulldogs -1! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St +6.5) 

I'll gladly back the Wildcats here as a big road dog against the Horned Frogs, as I actually think there's a good chance Kansas State wins this game outright. TCU has won and covered their last 3 games, but it's far from an impressive run with two of the wins at home against Oklahoma St and Baylor, with the other a road win at ISU. K-State did lose last time out at Oklahoma, but that's won of the toughest places to play in the country. The Wildcats have only lost back-to-back games twice all season. The first being a 2-game set against West Virginia and Texas Tech. The other being Kansas and West Virginia. K-State has racked up 4 road wins already in Big 12 play. It's also worth noting that even with the recent run they are on, TCU is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a SU win. Give me the Wildcats +6.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Miami +10)

I think the price is right here to take a shot on the Hurricanes as a double-digit dog against the Tar Heels. Miami is a young team that can sometimes come out flat/not give a lesser opponent the respect they deserve, but this team has consistently shown up against the top tier teams in the ACC and I expect nothing but their best effort here, as a win would all but secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament. As for North Carolina, I know they have won 6 straight, but I think the books have finally adjusted here. Keep in mind they were a similarly priced 10.5-point home favorite against Notre Dame just a couple weeks ago and Miami is a far superior team than the Irish right now. While it is senior night, with no shot at winning the ACC and their resume for the Tournament a sure thing, I think they have a hard time not looking ahead to this Saturday's rematch with Duke. Give me the Hurricanes +10! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Va Tech +6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hokies keeping this within the number at home against Duke and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Virginia Tech is a very talented team and are 20-9 overall (just 4 fewer wins than Duke) and own a 13-4 record on their home floor. They did just lose at home to Louisville over the weekend, but I think that was a result of them looking ahead to his game. The Blue Devils defeated Syracuse in their last contest, but now are in a major lookahead spot of their own with a revenge on the line in Saturday's upcoming rematch with UNC. Note this is also a revenge spot for the Va Tech, as they got embarrassed at Duke a couple weeks back by 18 points. Give me the Hokies +6!  

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Temple -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Owls winning by a comfortable margin at home over the Knights.  This is a golden spot to jump on Temple. The Owls suffered a crushing 86-93 loss at Wichita State, where they blew a 56-42 halftime lead. As is often the case with teams, Temple came out flat at home against Houston and got embarrassed by the Cougars 80-59. Not only will the Owls be motivated off that ugly performance at home, but there's added incentive here, as they will be out for revenge from a 39-60 defeat at UCF back in January. Give me Temple -5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan St -7.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Spartans laying what I think is a short number on the road against the Badgers. While Michigan State has already earned a share of the Big Ten regular season title, a loss here would have them sharing the title with Ohio State and losing out on the No. 1 seed in the Big Ten Tournament due to a loss at Ohio State in the only meeting between the two teams. Keep in mind this is a team that still needs to build their resume for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. I think we get the very best the Spartans have to offer. As for Wisconsin, yes they have been playing better of late, but they are completely outmatched here. Note that Michigan State was a 17-point home favorite in the first meeting between these two teams. Based on that line they should be around a 13.5-point favorite on a neutral site and a 10-point favorite on the road. My money is on a double-digit win for the road team. Give me the Spartans -7.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT NO BRAINER (Oregon -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Ducks at home against the Wildcats. Arizona is a complete mess right now. Star point guard Alonzo Trier is no longer eligible because of a failed PED test and now future NBA lottery pick DeAndre Ayton is questionable to play after the recent wire tap that came out with head coach Sean Miller (also not likely to be around for this one) taking a payment. On top of all of this, Oregon has been playing extremely well of late. The Ducks have won 5 straight at home and likely need to win out to feel comfortable about making the NCAA Tournament. Give me Oregon -4! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Florida -2.5) 

My money is on the Gators to knock off the Tigers at home on Saturday. Florida will be in desperation mode here after losing their last 3. The simple fact that they are favored here over the No. 12 team in the country really says it all. Auburn is a comfortable 2-games ahead of the next best team for the outright SEC regular-season title and could be in line for a letdown here after a big home win over their biggest rival in Alabama. Florida is an impressive 34-14 ATS in their last 48 games when they come in having failed to cover 3 straight and are 16-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons with a line of +3 to -3. Give me the Gators -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Kentucky -6)

My money is on the Wildcats making easy work of the Tigers tonight. Not much went right for Kentucky during a recent 4-game losing streak, but the Wildcats got back on track with a 81-71 win at home over Alabama and carried over that momentum with an even more impressive 87-72 win at Arkansas. I like Kentucky's chances of keeping it rolling against the Tigers, who come in having lost their last 2. The Wildcats are 12-2 SU at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 10.3 ppg and I think they have no problem winning here by more than that margin. Give me Kentucky -6! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Notre Dame +1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Fighting Irish pulling out a win on the road against the Demon Deacons. Notre Dame comes in off a close 3-point loss at home to Miami and I feel that has them in a prime bounce back spot. The Irish had won 3 of their previous 4 with the only other loss at UNC. Wake Forest comes in off a win at Pitt, but the Panthers are the worst team in the league. The Demon Deacons are also still a mere 4-12 in ACC play and have gone just 5-8 ATS in lined home games this season. Notre Dame has won and covered each of the last 3 meetings in the series and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Give me the Irish +1! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Oregon -3.5) 

I'll be the first to admit I wasn't high on this Ducks team coming into this year, but Dana Altman has done a tremendous job once again turning Oregon into a contender. I expect a very motivated and locked in Ducks team here at home after losing two hard fought games on the road to USC and UCLA. Oregon had won 5 of their previous 6 before the recent skid, are 5-1 in their last 6 home games and 13-3 at home overall. Arizona State comes in off a crushing home loss to Arizona after two big wins over USC and UCLA and I just don't think the Sun Devils will have enough left in the tank for this one. The Ducks won the first meeting at Arizona State 76-72 as a 7.5-point dog and the Sun Devils are a mere 3-13 ATS in their last 16 when revenging a road loss. Take Oregon! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR (Northwestern -3.5) 

My money is on the Wildcats at home with or without senior Bryant McIntosh. Northwestern comes in having lost 4 straight, so motivation will not be a problem here, but this is also senior night, so there's even more incentive to play well in front of the home fans the final time this season. As for Wisconsin, I'm not buying the recent success of the Badgers, which includes an upset win over Purdue.

That win over the Boilermakers came just after they suffered that crushing 3-point loss at Michigan State, so a letdown was not a surprise for Purdue. Then they pulled a rabbit out of their hat in an OT win at home against Minnesota, rallying from 7 down in the final 6 minutes of regulation. Their only other 2 wins in their previous 11 games were both against bottom-feeder Illinois.

There's just not a lot of incentive for Wisconsin to get up for this game and it will be even harder to focus on this contest with a massive home game against Michigan State on deck. Give me the Wildcats -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St -3) 

I'll gladly lay a mere 3-points at home with Kansas State against the Longhorns. I believe this Wildcats team is one of the more underrated teams in the country. While they are just 8-6 in the Big 12, all 6 of those losses came against the top 3 teams in Kansas, Texas Tech and West Virginia. They have had their way with the rest of the conference and already won on the road at Texas earlier this season. They are 12-0 at home against any team not named Kansas, Texas Tech or West Virginia. I also think we are seeing some unwarranted respect here for the Longhorns off a road win at Oklahoma. The Sooners are in a free-fall right now. Prior to that, Texas had lost 3 straight, including an ugly 16-point loss at TCU. Give me the Wildcats -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (North Carolina -4)

If this were earlier in the season I might consider taking the points with Syracuse, but not right now. It's getting down to it and teams are doing whatever it takes to build up their resume and make sure they are playing well going into tournament time. North Carolina comes in having won 5 straight and two of those were on the road against really good teams, as they knocked off NC State 96-89 and laid it on Louisville 93-76. I think this team is locked in right now and will make easy work of a good but not great Syracuse team. Keep in mind the Orange have lost 2 of their last 3 at home, including an ugly 15-point loss to Virginia. Give me the Tar Heels -4! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO BRAINER (Va Tech -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hokies at home. This isn't just a play on Virginia Tech, but I also think it's a great spot to go against Clemson. The Tigers somehow didn't miss a beat after losing one of their best players in Donte Grantham and were likely due for a regression here soon. Then came the injury to guard Shelton Mitchell, who will still be out for this game because of a concussion. I just think it will be too much to overcome on the road against a very good Hokies team that is playing well and this feels like a game they need to win to secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament (final 3 games are Louisville, Duke and @ Miami). Give me Virginia Tech -4! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Penn St -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Nittany Lions at basically a pick'em on their home floor tonight. Penn State has been very good at home this year, where they are 14-3 with a winning ATS record. This is a game they desperately need to win and we know we are going to get a big time effort here with this being their final home, which means senior night. Michigan is a quality team, but are not nearly as good on the road and could struggle to match Penn State's intensity after laying it all on the line in their last game at home against rival Ohio State, which was their senior night. Give me the Nittany Lions -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -3.5) 

I'm sure that some will be calling this a trap game for the Red Raiders with their big game against Kansas on deck, but the fact of the matter is this game means just as much to Texas Tech, as they try to win the Big 12. If they win here and beat KU at home, they would then be able to lose at West Virginia and still claim the crown. While they did just lose on the road at Baylor, the Bears came into that game playing their best basketball of the season. Prior to that the Red Raiders had won 3 straight on the road, including a 66-47 win over Kansas State. I just don't think Oklahoma State is good enough to pull off the upset and certainly aren't playing well, as they come in just 2-6 over their last 8 games. Give me Texas Tech -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (LSU -4.5) 

I just think the price here is too good to pass up on the Tigers laying a short number at home against the Commodores. LSU has been a pleasant surprise under first year head coach Will Wade, who has been every bit as good as advertised. While the Tigers are just 15-11 overall, they 11-4 on their home floor. They come in having won 4 straight at home in SEC play over the likes of Texas A&M, Arkansas, Ole Miss and most recently Missouri. Vanderbilt comes in having won their last two, which I think is getting them some respect here, but the Commodores are winless at 0-11 away from home this season and all but one of their 7 conference losses have come by more than the number listed here. Give me the Tigers -4.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 157)

I think we see this one fly past the number set here by the books. On one side you have an NC State team that is loaded with scoring options at all 5 positions. Last time out they hung 90 on the road against Wake Forest and come in averaging 87.4 ppg at home this season. BC has scored 80 or more in 4 of their last 6 games, so this is definitely a team that can get it going offensively as well, in large part because they have two of the best guards in the conference. I think they reach that mark tonight against a very poor NC State defense that is giving up 78.4 ppg in ACC play. They are also 7-2 to the OVER at home this season, while the OVER is 9-4-1 in the Eagles 13 conference games. Give me the OVER 157! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Texas A&M -6.5) 

My money is on the Aggies to make easy work of the Bulldogs at home tonight. Texas A&M is going to be 100% locked in for this contest after dropping 2 straight on the road to Missouri and Arkansas. The Aggies return home, where they are 12-2 on the season, winning by an average of 13.2 ppg. A huge factor here that will get overlooked is the health of Mississippi State forward Aric Holman, who has really emerged this season. He's questionable after suffering a knee injury that forced him to leave early in their last game against Ole Miss. With just 2 days off from that game against the Rebels, I have a hard time seeing Holman play and even if he does he won't be 100%. That's a massive loss for the Bulldogs, as they don't have a ton of depth inside and this Aggies team can abuse you with their size. Give me Texas A&M -6.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 141) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Monday's Notre Dame/Miami matchup going UNDER the total here of 141. Both of these teams expected to be sitting better than they are at this point in the season, but each has struggled to cope with the loss of one of their best players. For Miami they lost Bruce Brown. Notre Dame not only lost an NBA talent in Bonzie Colson, but they are also without star freshman D.J. Harvey. Both teams are on the fringe of being considered for the NCAA Tournament and both desperately need this game. I think that will have the defensive intensity all the way up and with Miami's recent shooting struggles and Notre Dame's methodical pace, this game will stay well below the mark. Give me the UNDER 141! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Duke -1.5) 

You have to give Clemson credit for how well they have played after Donte Grantham tore his ACL and was lost for the season. However, I believe that success has them way overvalued here against Duke. That's because the Tigers will now also be without starting point guard Shelton Mitchell. Not only is Mitchell a big part of the scoring, but he's also the guy that runs the show and has been playing over 30 mins a game. Even with Duke expected to be without Marvin Bagley III, I don't see the Tigers being able to hang with the Blue Devils here. Give me Duke -1.5! 

40* NCAAB PRIME TIME TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 156)

I'm expecting plenty of offensive fire-works to push this total well OVER the mark set here by the books. North Carolina comes in having won 4 straight and have scored 82 or more points in all 4 games during this stretch. Louisville has looked great defensively in their last 2 games, but that's come against two of the bottom feeders in the ACC in Georgia Tech and Pitt. The defense hasn't been nearly as good when they have been matchup up with one of the top teams in the ACC. The other key here is pace. Louisville averages just 15.7 seconds of possession when they have the ball, which is the least of any team in the ACC and UNC isn't far behind with the 3rd best mark at 16.4 seconds. Give me the OVER 156! 

50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Kentucky -4.5) 

My money is on the Wildcats snapping out of their funk at home against the Crimson Tide. Kentucky has dropped 4 straight, so we know they are going to be 100% locked in here. Three of those 4 losses came on the road, with the lone loss at home by just two points to Tennessee. Kentucky has owned this series of late, as they are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last 5. This is a statement game for the Wildcats and I expect them to deliver the goods. Give me Kentucky -4.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Iowa +1.5)

I think the wrong team is favored here. Sure it's been an ugly season for the Hawkeyes, but they do have a respectable 8-5 mark at home and have been strong against the bottom-tier teams in the Big Ten on their home floor. Indiana is a mere 3-7 SU on the road this season and are simply getting way too much respect here after winning 3 straight over the likes of Illinois, Minnesota and Rutgers (only road win). Indians is a mere 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games off a home win and 0-6 ATS in this scenario when the win was by 10 or more points. Give me the Hawkeyes +1.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS ANNIHILATOR (Oklahoma -6.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Sooners at home against the Longhorns. This feels like a must-win game for Oklahoma, who comes in having lost 4 straight. Three of those losses came on the road and the Sooners come in at 11-1 on their home floor. I know Texas beat them at Texas earlier this season, but Oklahoma is simply a different team at home and they appear to be catching the Longhorns at the right time, as Texas has lost 3 straight. Longhorns have also dropped 5 straight on the road in Big 12 play. Take Oklahoma! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 145.5)

These two teams combined for just 130 points in their first meeting and I believe it has ceased some value here with the total in the rematch. Butler simply had an off-night offensively in that first meeting, scoring just 60 points on 34.9% shooting. The Bulldogs are averaging 80.3 ppg and shooting 47.7% from the field overall, with an even better 86.7 ppg and 52% from the field at home. Providence just put up 76 in their upset win over Villanova and have now allowed 70+ in 6 of their last 7 games. OVER is 9-1 in Butler's last 10 home games off 3 or more consecutive OVERS and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 home games when revenging a loss as a favorite. Give me the OVER 145.5!

50* HORIZON LEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH (Ill-Chicago -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Flames laying less than 3-points on the road against the Phoenix. Illinois-Chicago is sitting 3rd in the Horizon at 10-4, while Green Bay is near the bottom of the league at 5-10. The Flame are 10-2 in their last 12, but are fresh off a loss at home to lowly Cleveland State. I think that loss will serve them well here, as we should get a max effort here after a lackluster performance. Note that winning on the road hasn't been a problem for Chicago. In fact, both losses during their 10-2 stretch have come at home. They are a perfect 6-0 on the road during this stretch. One of the reasons I think we aren't seeing a bigger spread here is due to the Phoenix having gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 with the most recent being a mere 6-point loss as a 16.5-point dog at Northern Kentucky. Green Bay is just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games on Friday night and are 0-7 ATS when they come in having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Flames -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (USC -4.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Trojans covering this short number at home against the Ducks. While these two teams come in with similar overall and conference records, I've been a lot more impressed with what I have seen from USC. Oregon is simply getting too much respect here after going 5-1 in their last 6 games, but a closer look shows that 4 of the 5 wins came at home and the lone road win was against Pac-12 bottom feeder Cal. USC is 10-3 at home and will be 100% locked in for this one after dropping their last 3, all on the road against top tier teams in UCLA, Arizona State and Arizona. Give me the Trojans -4.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (UNDER 141) 

I think these two teams will have no problem going UNDER the total set here by the books. Washington is one of the top defensive teams in the Pac-12 (lead the conference in defensive efficiency), so don't get too concerned with the 97-points they just allowed in a loss at Oregon State. If anything that will only have them that more locked in on that side of the ball here against the Utes. While Utah isn't a great defensive team, the Huskies feature one of the least efficient offenses in the Pac-12 and the Utes are a team that likes to slow the game way down (12th in Pac-12 in pace of play). Another key here is Utah's offense relies heavily on the 3-point shot and the Huskies are the best in the conference at defending the 3-pointer. Note these two teams already played back in January and only combined for 132 points with a total of 145.5. Give me the UNDER 141! 

50* NCAAB AAC GAME OF THE MONTH (Connecticut -3.5) 

My money is on the Huskies to take care of the Golden Hurricane at home tonight. There's no denying that the UConn program is down, but these are two evenly matched teams in my opinion and there's a decent edge here with the Huskies given the home/away splits. UConn is a respectable 10-3 at home with the losses coming against the likes of Wichita St, Villanova and Cincinnati, three of the best teams in the country. Tulsa is a mere 4-8 on the road compared to 10-2 at home. Hurricane are also just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after failing to cover in their last game, while UConn is 12-1 ATS when raving a loss where they allowed 85 or more points and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games when they come in having failed to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Huskies -3.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 144) 

My money is on St. John's and DePaul playing another high-scoring game and flying over the total set here by the books. These two teams played back on Jan. 6 and combined for 165 points DePaul put up 91 points on the road in that contest. I don't think it was a fluke that they scored so much. 

No team plays at a faster pace in the Big East than the Blue Demons. While the Red Storm are ranked a mere 7th in pace in the conference, they are 2nd in average length of possession on offense, which is actually ahead of DePaul. Simply put both teams like to push the tempo. Even if they have an off-night shooting, the pace still gives us a good shot to go over this total. Give me the OVER 144! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Florida St -4) 

Clemson comes in ranked No. 11 and FSU isn't even in the Top 25, yet it's Florida State that is favored by 4 at home. That right there is a great indicator that the books like the Seminoles in this spot, as the public is pounding Clemson. I couldn't agree more. FSU might not be ranked right now, but they are certainly a Top 25 caliber team. 

I think we get a big time effort here from the Seminoles at home, as they aren't going to take kindly to being an underdog to this team. Especially given that Clemson recently loss one of their best players in Donte Grantham. They are 4-1 without him, but 3 of those were against bottom feeders in Georgia Tech, Wake Forest and Pitt. They also lost by 25 at Virginia. The one impressive win they had was over UNC, but it was at home. FSU is 10-2 on their home floor and I believe are the better team and should be favored. Give me the Seminoles -4! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Vanderbilt +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Commodores pulling out a win at home against the Bulldogs. The fact that this line is even close to a pick'em says it all. Mississippi State is 18-7, 6-6 in the SEC and are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. Vanderbilt on the other hand is just 9-16 overall, 3-9 in the SEC and fresh off a 18-point blowout loss at Arkansas. That alone will have most people backing the Bulldogs here. 

What they will overlook is how much Vanderbilt is at home. In fact, all 9 of the Commodores wins have come at home, as they are a horrific 0-11 away from home. They have won three straight at home over the likes of LSU, TCU and Georgia. Mississippi State is just 2-6 on the road this season. The offense has struggled to show up away from home, as they average just 65.6 ppg on the road, well below their season average of 74.4. Vanderbilt's offense greatly improves at home, where they average 78.3 ppg and are shooting 47% from the field. Give me the Commodores +1! 

50* NCAAB ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 162)

I got no problem backing the OVER here with Duke and Virginia Tech. These are two of the best offensive teams in the country. The Blue Devils lead the nation in offensive efficiency and the Hokies are sitting at 19th. That combined with the fact that Duke also plays at the fastest pace in the country and should dictate the tempo, should have this flying over the total set here.

The Hokies give up 78 on the road and I wouldn't be shocked if they were a bit flat on that side off that big win over in-state rival Virginia. Duke averages 92.6 ppg at home and the only ACC team to keep them under 80 at home is Virginia. The Blue Devils could score 100 here. Give me the OVER 162! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 124)

I think these two teams will have no problem staying under the mark set by the books. Rutgers features one of the worst offenses in the country, as the Scarlet Knights are averaging just 57.9 ppg and shooting a mere 36% from the field in Big Ten play. Northwestern isn't a whole lot better at a mere 63.5 ppg in conference action. The Wildcats are also not nearly as good on the road, where they are averaging 61.7 ppg on the season (average 70.4 ppg overall). The other big key here is tempo. Northwestern ranks dead last in pace of play in the Big Ten. That grind it out style with Rutgers poor excuse for an offense will make this one of the more unentertaining games of the night. Give me the UNDER 124! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Alabama -7) 

I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide making easy work of LSU. Alabama will be playing with a ton of confidence after their dismantling of Tennessee at home on Saturday (won 78-50). The key here is they can't afford a let down here against the Tigers if they want to make the NCAA Tournament (currently projected around a 7 seed). Alabama hasn't had many lapses at home, where they are 11-2 on the season. I believe that home court edge will prove to be the difference against a LSU team that has really struggled on the road. The Tigers have lost each of their last 4 conference road games, with the last 3 all coming by 9 or more points. LSU averages a respectable 78.2 ppg on the season, but only 69.5 ppg on the road. The defense also gets worse, as they give up 77.3 ppg away from home, compared to 73.2 ppg on the season. Alabama only allows 65.7 ppg and is holding opponents to just 39% from the field at home. Give me the Crimson Tide -7! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 148.5)

My money is on a much higher-scoring game than what the books are projecting with this total. A big key to this is I don't think Michigan State is going to be locked in defensively here coming off that emotional win at home over Purdue. Keep in mind prior to that highly anticipated matchup with the Boilermakers they combined for 189 points at Iowa. Minnesota plays at the second fastest pace in the Big Ten and are averaging 81 ppg at home this season. The other key here is they aren't a great defensive team, ranking 12th out of the 14 teams in the conference in defensive efficiency. They have allowed 75 or more in each of their last 4 games and 10 of their last 11. The Spartans are averaging 83.1 ppg on the season and 75.1 ppg on the road. Give me the OVER 148.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas Tech -7) 

The betting public has fallen in love with Oklahoma because of all the nationally publicity this team gets with star fresh Trae Young and the ridiculous numbers he's been putting up. It's had the Sooners overvalued for quite some time (0-5 ATS L5 and 1-8 ATS L9). This might seem like a favorable number to catch Oklahoma, as a near double-digit dog, but I think Young and company are in for a long night. The Red Raiders are the real deal. However, while they are ranked No. 7 in the country, they don't get the publicity of other top teams. They just won by 19 at Kansas State, which was their straight victory by 12 or more. They aren't going to be overlooking Oklahoma, as they lost to the Sooners by 10 in Norman back in early January. Look for Texas Tech's defense to be the difference in this one. Give me the Red Raiders -7! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 134.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here on the UNDER in Monday's Big 12 game between Texas and Baylor. These two teams played back in early January and combined for just 129 points. These are two strong defensive teams and given how much this game means for both of these teams, I think we get a huge effort here from both sides. UNDER is 12-4 in the last 16 games Baylor has played with a line of +3 to -3 and 7-1 in their last 8 off a win. UNDER is also 20-9 in the Longhorns last 29 games when revenging a loss and 12-1 in their last 13 when revenging a same season loss. Give me the UNDER 134.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 127.5) 

I'll take a shot here on Sunday's Big Ten matchup between Michigan and Wisconsin finishing below the total set here by the books. Wisconsin is a team that's ideal for UNDER bettors with their grind it out style of play. The Badgers are one of the worst offensive teams in the country, averaging just 67.4 ppg (63.2 in Big Ten play), but only give up 66.5 ppg due to their slow pace of play. The Wolverines have a little more fire-power, but are still only putting up 68.6 ppg in Big Ten play. Like Wisconsin, they want to grind out possessions and are allowing only 63.4 ppg. Add in the early start time here in a Sunday game and I think we get a very boring and low-scoring affair. Give me the UNDER 127.5! 

50* NCAAB SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 141.5) 

My money is on Saturday's big SEC showdown between Kentucky and Texas A&M finishing UNDER the total. I was on the UNDER in the Wildcats last game against Tennessee and won easily, as the two teams combined for just 120 points with a total of 143.5. I think we see a very similar defensive battle here, as Kentucky has to rely so much on their defense with how limited they are offensively. Texas A&M has been excellent defensively, holding opposing teams to just 39.4% shooting, which is the 8th best mark in the country. Kentucky isn't far behind, as they only allow teams to shoot 40.8% (31st). Both of these teams also rank outside the Top 240 in both 3-point shooting and free throw percentage. I'll take my chances with a total in the 140s given these circumstances every time. Give me the UNDER 141.5!

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan State -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Spartans as a slim 3-point home favorite against Purdue. Michigan State has won 7 straight, but aren't getting a ton of love during this run, as they have gone just 2-4-1 ATS during this stretch. I think a big reason for the Spartans not being as dominant as most would expect, is all the off-court drama they had to deal with during the Nassar deal. That's no longer on the front page of the news and I expect Izzo to have Michigan State locked in for this one. I also think they are catching Purdue in a good spot. The Boilermakers just played a huge game at home against Ohio State on Wednesday and lost in heartbreaking fashion 63-64. Those close losses are tough to bounce back from, especially on the road. Give me the Spartans -3!  

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 160)

I think the OVER is worth a look here in Saturday's ACC action that has in-state rivals NC State and North Carolina going to battle. These two teams played once already this season and combined for 186 points in the Wolfpack's 95-91 win at UNC. It was the 3 straight meeting in the series that saw the two teams combined for at least 163 points. NC State is averaging 87.5 ppg at home and I think they will have plenty of success here as they catch the Tar Heels off that big win over Duke Thursday. On the flip side of this, North Carolina should put up a big number here as they have scored 80 or more in 5 of their last 7 and NC State isn't a great defensive team. Give me the OVER 160! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS SLAUGHTER (Maryland -4.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Terrapins laying a short number at home against Northwestern. Maryland has is just 1-4 in their last 5, but 3 of those came on the road, where they are a mere 3-8 on the season. The lone loss at home during this run was to one of the best teams in the country in Michigan State. Even with that loss the Terps are 13-2 at home, winning by an average of 16 ppg. Northwestern has won 4 of 5, but I think that's helping this number. The Wildcats are just 4-7 on the road, where they are getting outscored by 8 ppg. Maryland is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs a team with a losing road record and 11-3 in their last 14 home games off a loss by 6 points or less. Give me the Terrapins -4.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 139.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Thursday's AAC action between Houston and SMU finishing below the number set here by the books. SMU just recently lost leading scoring Shake Milton (18 ppg) to a hand injury. Keep in mind not that long ago they lost Jarrey Foster, who is second on the team in scoring (13.2 ppg). The Mustangs are a team that likes to grind it out and rely on their defense and come in ranked near the bottom of the country in terms of pace of play. They are going to have to slow things down even more and really lock in defensively if they want to keep it competitive against the Cougars. The big question is can they score enough against a very good Houston defense that is allowing opponents to shoot just 39.5% from the field on the season, which is the 13th best mark in the nation. Give me the UNDER 139.5! 

40* DUKE/UNC PRIME TIME MASSACRE (Over 165)

I think we are in store for a ton of offensive fireworks in tonight's anticipated showdown between Duke and North Carolina. These are two of the most explosive offenses in the country and both love to push the tempo, which I believe is going to have this game flying over the total set here by the books. Duke is averaging 89.6 ppg and UNC has scored 90+ in two of their last 3 games and are averaging 88.7 ppg at home. I just don't think either team is good enough defensively to slow down the other side and it would take a horrific shooting night by both sides for this not to go over the mark. Give me the OVER 165! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 148)

I'll take my chances here with Wyoming and Utah State eclipsing the total set here by the books. Wyoming features an explosive offense that averages 79.1 ppg (60th) and they are an even better 82.3 ppg at home. A big reason for that is they like to push the tempo, which has also led to some shaky defense, as they are giving up 78.4 ppg. I think Utah State has more than enough fire-power offensively to hang with the Cowboys and I wouldn't be shocked if we saw both teams surpass 80 points to fly over this total. Keep in mind these two played in late January and combined for 162 points and have eclipsed the total in each of their last 4 meetings, with all 4 seeing at least 155 points. Give me the OVER 148! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 131)

I think the number here is high enough that there's a really good chance this game stays UNDER the mark. Anytime Virginia is involved in a game you have to expect a low scoring game. The average score in their games this season is just 121 points and it's even lower at 117.4 in conference play. The fact that FSU comes in averaging 91.2 ppg on their home floor is definitely playing into this number. I just don't see the Seminoles coming close to that mark against Virginia, who hasn't allowed more than 64 points in a single ACC game. What people will overlook with FSU is how good a team they are defensively. Opponents are shooting just 40.9% against them, which is the 39th best mark in the country. They should be able to hold their own against the Cavaliers offense, who like to grind each possession on the offensive side of the ball. Give me the UNDER 131! 

50* ATLANTIC 10 GAME OF THE MONTH (Duquesne +8)

I love the price we are getting here with the Dukes as a near double-digit dog against the Flyers on Wednesday. Duquesne comes in at 15-9 and are 6-5 in A-10 play, while Dayton is just 10-12 and 4-6 in conference action. These two teams played once earlier this season on the Dukes' home floor and they won 70-62 as 3.5-point home dog. The books were way off with that line and I don't think they have come close to making the proper adjustments here. Offensively both of these teams come in right around 73 ppg, but it's a whole different story on the defensive side. Duquesne is only giving up 67.3 ppg, which is the 59th best mark in the country. Dayton is allowing 72.9 ppg, which is 201st. Note the defense hasn't been a whole lot better at home like it is for a lot of teams, as they give up 72.4 ppg at home. I actually think there's a decent chance the Flyers lose this game outright. Note they are just 1-4 in their last 5 games with the only win a 1-point victory at home over Davidson. Give me the Dukes +8! 

40* TENN/KENTUCKY PRIME-TIME MASSACRE (Under 141) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Tuesday's SEC showdown between Kentucky and Tennessee finishing below the total of 141. For starters, the UNDER is 15-5-2 in the last 22 meetings overall in the series and is 9-1-2 in the last 12 games played at Kentucky. One of the big strengths of this Volunteers team is their 3-point shooting. They average 8 made 3-pointers a game and are shooting 39.8% from long distance. That plays right into the strength of the Kentucky defense, which is 3rd in the country at defending the 3-pointer, holding teams to just 28.9% from long-distance (even better at 27.1% at home). The other big key here is the Vols are very strong defensively, holding teams to just 40.6% shooting from the field. They matchup well here with a Kentucky offense that doesn't have a lot of outside shooting. Note they only scored 65 points in the first meeting vs the Vols and shot 46% from the field. Give me the UNDER 141! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 122.5)

These two teams played UCF back on Jan. 16th and combined for a whopping 87 points in a 49-38 Cincinnati win. Not a big surprise given how good both of these teams are defensively. The Bearcats are 2nd in the country, allowing just 56.8 ppg and are holding opponents to just 36.6% shooting, which is the 2nd best mark. The Knights are 3rd in the nation, giving up just 60.6 ppg and are holding opponents to just 38.6% shooting (5th). Chances are they will score more than the 87 points they combined for in the first meeting this season, but I don't think we see a big enough spike here to where they eclipse the mark here. UNDER is a ridiculous 40-15 in Cincinnati's last 55 home games vs a team with a winning road record and 9-2 in the Knights last 11 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. UNDER is also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in the series. Give me the UNDER 122.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville -7) 

My money is on the Cardinals to not just win at home Monday against Syracuse, but put a beating on the Orange. Louisville is going to be all business after losing a close one at home against Florida State on Saturday. That was the Cardinals first home loss in ACC play, as their previous 3 had been on the road against the likes of Clemson, Miami and Virginia. Louisville has won and covered all 3 meetings with the Orange over the last 3 seasons and are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home against Syracuse. The Orange come in off a 15-point home loss to Virginia and are just 4-6 in ACC play with their only road win at Pitt, who they have beat twice, which is the worst team in the league. I just don't think they will have enough gas in the tank here, as they used a mere 6-man rotation against Virginia (4 players played 35 or more minutes, 3 played all 40 minutes). Give me the Cardinals -7! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Tulane +2) 

I think this is an ideal spot to go against Temple. The Owls are in a massive letdown spot after their big come-from-behind overtime win at home against No. 16 Wichita State as a 7-point dog. I think it has the Owls overvalued here on the road, where they are just 6-6 on the season. Tulane clearly isn't perceived to be on the same level as Temple, but both of these teams have 4 wins in conference play and the big key here for me i the Green Wave are 9-3 at home this season. They have also won each of their last two games as home dogs, beating Houston 81-72 as a 7-point dog and SMU 73-70 as a 8.5-point dog. It's also important to note we know that Tulane matches up well with the Owls, as they went into Temple earlier this season and won 85-75 as a 10-point dog. Give me the Green Wave +2! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Mississippi State -3) 

I'll gladly lay just 3-points at home with Mississippi State against Georgia. Mississippi State is a team that I think is flying under the radar right now. They followed up a 12-point win at home over Missouri with a 81-76 win at South Carolina as a 4.5-point dog. They are just 4-5 in SEC play, but 4 of the 5 losses have come on the road. Mississippi State is a dominant 14-1 at home this season, where they are winning by close to 15 ppg. Georgia is coming in off a big upset win over Florida, but I just think that was more of the Gators not showing up to play, as Georgia only shot 39.7% in the win. Georgia is also not a great road team, which makes this an easy play for me. Give me Mississippi State -3! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa +9) 

The price is right here to take a shot on the Hawkeyes as a near double-digit dog against the Nittany Lions. While Penn State beat Iowa in Iowa City earlier this season, that was a closely contested game that could have went either way. I think it's a good indicator that the Hawkeyes will be able to keep it competitive, despite their road woes in Big 10 play. Nittany Lions have failed to cover the spread each of the last 6 times they have been a favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and have lost on average by 6.4 ppg in these contests. Give me the Hawkeyes +9! 

50* NCAAB BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Marquette -5) 

I think this is the ideal spot to jump on the Golden Eagles. I think we are getting a good price here on Marquette with them coming in off back-to-back losses and the most recent being a 20-point home loss to Butler as a 2.5-point favorite. A lot of people had the Eagles in that game against Butler, but what they failed to factor in is how hard it is to bounce back from a heartbreaking loss like they had in their 82-85 defeat to Villanova. Marquette has also had problems against that Bulldogs team. The Golden Eagles are 15-5 in their last 20 and 9-1 in their last 10 at home against Providence. Tough spot here for the Friars playing their 3rd straight on the road. Last time out they lost big at Seton Hall and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games off a conference loss by 10 or more points. Give me Marquette -5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Virginia Tech -4) 

I'll jump on the Hokies here as a small home favorite Saturday against Miami. Virginia Tech is coming into this game playing their best basketball of the season. It started with a 80-69 win at home over UNC as a 3.5-point dog. They then when on the road and won and covered against both Notre Dame and Boston College. I expect another huge effort here at home against the Hurricanes, as this would be a big win for the resume. More than anything I just don't feel this is a big enough number given the Hokies are 11-2 at home. Va Tech is also 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after covering 3 straight and are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3-point shots. Hurricanes are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 off a win. Give me the Hokies -4! 

50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH (TCU -4) 

I'll gladly back the Horned Frogs at this price on their home floor against the Red Raiders. TCU is a team on a mission and simply are flying a bit under the radar right now due to their 3-5 record over their last 8 games. The thing is all 5 of those losses came by 5-points or less. and the only home loss they have suffered in Big 12 play was a 4-point defeat to Kansas. Texas Tech has won 3 straight and are off that thrilling win at home over Texas, but this is a team that has not been good on the road in Big 12 play and I think their road woes continue here against a TCU team that is 11-2 on their home floor this season. Give me the Horned Frogs -4! 

50* AMERICAN ATHLETIC GAME OF THE MONTH (Temple +7) 

I'll gladly take the points here with the Owls at home against nationally ranked Wichita State. The Shockers come in off a pair of wins at home, but prior to that they lost at home to SMU and on the road at Houston by 14 points. Wichita St has a target on their back in the first season in the AAC and I expect Temple to lay it all on the line here against the Shockers at home. Temple won 3 of their last 4 with the only loss being a road defeat to Cincinnati, which is nothing to be ashamed about. This is also a team that went on the road and beat SMU and nearly upset the Bearcats on their home floor. This team has also gone 21-9 ATS under Dunphy when matched up with high-scoring teams that average 77+ points/game at least 15 games into the season. They are also 4-1 AATS in their last 5 at home vs a team with a winning road record, while the Shockers are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs a team that's won 60% or more of their home games. Give me the Owls +7! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBUT ATS KNOCKOUT (Alabama -5.5) 

I think the price is right here to roll the Crimson Tide. Alabama is playing as well as they have all season. The Crimson Tide have won 5 of 6, which includes a 7-point win over Trae Young and the Sooners last time out. They also have a win over Auburn during this run, the only team to beat the Tigers in SEC play. Missouri on the other hand has lost 3 straight and are 1-4 in their last 5. The Tigers have not been nearly as good on the road as they have at home and Alabama has big time home court edge. They are 10-1 at home, behind an offensive attack that averages 77.5 ppg and shoots 51% from the field. Give me the Crimson Tide -5.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Georgia Tech +1) 

I think Syracuse is getting way too much respect here as a road favorite against the Yellow Jackets. The Orange have won 3 straight, but two of those are against the worst team in the league in Pitt and the other was a home game against BC. Prior to this run Syracuse had lost 4 straight. With a massive home game against Virginia looming on deck, I think we see the Orange struggle to match the intensity of Georgia Tech, who I don't think will take too kindly to being an underdog at home. Give me the Yellow Jackets +1! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Penn St +13.5) 

I'll take a shot here with the Nittany Lions as a double-digit dog against Michigan State. There's no questioning the talent with the Spartans. I just think all the outside drama going on at the program isn't the easiest thing to play around. This line isn't just requiring them to beat the Nittany Lions, but blow them out. This is a talented Penn State team that's playing well and will give everything they got against a team like Michigan State. Give me the Nittany Lions +13.5! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS DESTROYER (Texas A&M -5.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here to back the Aggies at home in what feels like a must-win game. We also are seeing value here because of the fact that Texas A&M is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. Injuries and suspensions got this team off track, but they are near full strength right now and have been playing much better. They are also still a strong 9-2 at home and are taking on an Arkansas team that is 4-5 on the road this season and just 1-3 away from home in SEC play. Give me the Aggies -5.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (TCU PK) 

These two teams both come in at 3-5 in Big 12 play, but I don't see these two as even teams on the court. I give the edge here to TCU, whose 5 conference losses have all come back by 5 or fewer points. The Cowboys simply aren't on the same level as the Horned Frogs and we are at the points now where TCU can't afford to lose. Oklahoma State also banged up right now and have a big looked ahead game on deck at Kansas. My money is on the Horned Frogs to find away to win one of these close games. Give me TCU! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Ohio St -10) 

The Buckeyes perfect 9-0 start to Big Ten play came to end in a 79-82 loss at home to Penn State as a 10-point favorite. Ohio State lost the game despite shooting 56% from the field, because of a horrible defensive effort, where they allowed the Nittany Lions to shoot 58% on the road. I think that loss will turn into a positive for this Buckeyes team and will at least have them locked in for this game against Indiana. 

I just don't think the Hoosiers can hang here. They are coming off a crushing home loss to rival Purdue, where they had a chance to win that game and have struggled to play well on the road inside conference play. Hoosiers also suffered another injury inside, losing forward Collin Hartman, which only makes the loss of De'Ron Davis that much bigger. Give me the Buckeyes -10! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 131) 

These two teams played at Nebraska back on 1/9 and combined for 122 points with a similar total (132) to what we have here. I don't see why we shouldn't expect a similar defensive battle in the rematch. One of the reasons I think we aren't seeing a lower total is the fact that Nebraska comes in off a game against Iowa where the two teams combined for 182 points. That's more of a result of who they played than anything. Iowa is a team that opens the game way up and offers little to no resistance on defense. Prior to that contest the Cornhuskers hadn't scored more than 74 in 9 straight games. They also have had struggles offensively on the road in Big Ten play, scoring 62 or fewer in 4 of 6 road games. Wisconsin only scored 67 against Iowa and are averaging a mere 62.8 ppg in Big Ten Play. Key here is I think the Badgers play hard defensively at home and that should put us in a great spot to cash this ticket. Give me the UNDER 131!

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Georgia Tech +2.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here with Georgia Tech catching points at home against Clemson. The Yellow Jackets come in having lost 3 straight, but that's more of a result of their schedule taking a brutal turn for the worst. First they had to host Virginia, who might be the best team in the ACC and then had to play back-to-back road games at UNC and Florida St. Prior to that this team had turned a corner and I think we see a big time effort at home today. As for Clemson, they are struggling a bit right now. They have lost 3 of 5 and are just 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7. I think the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me the Yellow Jackets +2.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wake Forest +9) 

I like this spot for the Demon Deacons, as they are getting a big number against a Louisville team that is coming off a crushing loss at Miami in their last game. The Cardinals led most of the way, but couldn't finish the job in a 3-point loss. Those games you let get away that you should have won are the toughest to bounce back from, especially against a mediocre team like Wake Forest and a massive game looming on deck at Virginia. Give me the Demon Deacons +9! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rutgers +8.5) 

This Rutgers team is a lot better than they get credit for and I think they are going to give the Nittany Lions all they can handle this afternoon. Penn State is in a major letdown spot here after their 82-79 win at Ohio State as a 10-point dog, where they won the game on a last second shot at the buzzer. Prior to that win and cover the Nittany Lions had been way overvalued, as they failed to cover each of their previous 4 games and were just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 lined games. Penn State is also 0-6 ATS over the last 3 seasons when listed as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points, while Rutgers is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after failing to cover their last game. Give me the Scarlet Knights +8.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Alabama +2.5) 

*Analysis Coming* 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Georgia +7.5) 

I think the price is right here to back the Bulldogs. Kansas State comes in riding high on a 3-game winning streak, which includes wins over Oklahoma, TCU and Baylor. They have also covered 5 straight. Georgia on the other hand is just 1-4 in their last 5. I believe all of that is playing into this inflated line here. I think the Bulldogs are going to be the more desperate team here, as they really need to win this game, while K-State is likely looking ahead to their home game against Kansas on Monday, where they have serious revenge from a 1-point loss at Kansas a few weeks back. Give me Georgia +7.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS NO BRAINER (Baylor +6.5) 

I think we are getting a big enough number here to take a shot on the Bears. Baylor is simply undervalued right now after going just 2-6 in their last 8 games. While a loss is a loss, 3 of those defeats were by 3-points or less and only 1 was by more than 10 points. Florida is a good team, but did just lose at home to a very mediocre South Carolina squad 72-77 as a 10.5-point favorite. Baylor is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Bears +6.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines as a double-digit dog against the Boilermakers. I just think we are seeing Purdue a little overpriced here due to their long winning streak and high national ranking. I know winning on the road in the Big Ten is no easy task, but we have seen this Wolverine team go on the road and knock off Michigan State by 10-points as a 9.5-point dog. They also have shown they can hang with this Boilermakers squad, losing by just 1-ponit at home to Purdue earlier this month. Coming off as easy as a win as they have had in Big Ten play at Iowa, I think the Boilermakers are on upset alert tonight. Give me the Wolverines +10!

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Connecticut +6) 

I'll take a shot here on the Huskies as a decently priced home dog against SMU. I know the Mustangs recently went on the road and beat Wichita State, but prior to that they were just 1-5 on the road. UConn is down this year, but are 8-2 at home and are going to be extremely motivated here after an ugly showing last time out at home against Villanova. SMU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team that's just won 60% or more of their home games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. Give me the Huskies +6! 

50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Missouri -1.5) 

I think the line says it all here. Auburn comes into this game sitting at 17-2 overall, 5-1 in SEC play and ranked No. 19 in the country, yet are a dog to a Missouri side that is just 3-3 in their last 6 and fresh off an 11-point loss at Texas A&M. No question Auburn has been playing well, but a closer look at the schedule reveals they have had a relatively easy path so far and the books are telling you that with this line. I think we see Missouri come out fired up and catch Auburn sleep-walking a bit here and win this one going away. Give me Missouri -1.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (S. Carolina +10.5) 

I think it's worth a shot here to jump on the Gamecocks as a double-digit dog against the Gators. I believe this is an ideal letdown spot for Florida, whose seniors just won for the first time at Kentucky last Saturday. A game you know the Gators had circled on their calendar for a long time. I think they have a hard time giving South Carolina the respect they deserve. As for the Gamecocks, I think we get an all-out effort here against the leaders of the SEC, especially off that loss at home to Tennessee, which wasn't a big surprise to me given they just upset Kentucky at home in their previous game. South Carolina is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games, while the Gators are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 at home and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home against a team with a winning road record. Give me the Gamecocks +10.5! 

50* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE MONTH (Georgia Tech +10)

The Yellow Jackets are worth a look here as a 10-point dog against the Seminoles. Georgia Tech is just 10-9 overall, but have got off to a strong 3-3 start in ACC play with their only losses coming at Notre Dame and UNC and at home to Virginia. The poor overall record has a lot to do with their top players not being in the lineup. Leading score Josh Okogie has missed 8  games and second leading scorer Tadric Jackson has missed 3. This has been a much different team with these two healthy and as well as FSU has been playing, this is simply too many points for Georgia Tech to be catching in a game they could win outright. Give me the Yellow Jackets +10! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Marquette +7) 

I'll take my chances here with Marquette as a decent sized road dog against Big East rival Xavier. The Golden Eagles will be out for revenge from a crushing 87-91 home loss to the Musketeers earlier this season. Most will just assume Xavier will win by more now that they are the home team, but Marquette won by 11 as a 3.5-point dog in their last trip to Xavier. I also like the fact that the Golden Eagles are fresh for this contest, as they haven't played since last Monday. Xavier on the other hand is playing for the 3rd time in the last week. Marquette is 4-1 ATS last 5 on the road, while the Musketeers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after covering the spread in their previous game. Give me the Golden Eagles +7! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wake Forest +10)

I think it's worth a shot here to back the Demon Deacons as a double-digit home dog against the Blue Devils. Duke is a team that is almost always overvalued and even more so when facing a team like the Demon Deacons, who has a losing record and come in having lost 5 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Not to mention the Blue Devils already beat Wake Forest at home by 18 earlier this month. Most will assume that Duke will just roll here, but I think this is the ideal scenario where the Blue Devils don't take their opponent seriously and end up having to scratch out a win. Keep in mind Duke has a massive game on deck with Saturday's home contest against Virginia. It's also worth noting that last time out the Blue Devils rolled Pitt, so they are feeling good about themselves. It's a spot they have struggled with in the past, as they are just 1-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons in road games after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. Give me Wake Forest +10! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Minnesota -2) 

I love this spot for Minnesota as a short home favorite against Northwestern. The Golden Gophers are just 1-5 in their last 6 games which came after an impressive 13-3 start to the season. A big reason for that is they lost Reggie Lynch to a suspension and Amir Coffey had missed the previous 5 before returning in their last game against Ohio State. With Coffey back in the lineup, I think the Gophers are going to be a tough out for any team at home, where they are 10-3 on the season. I especially like their chances here against Northwestern, who is just 2-6 on the road, where they are giving up 74.1 ppg and allowing their opponents to shoot 50% from the field. Give me the Gophers -2! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Ole Miss -2.5) 

I think it's worth a shot here to back the Rebels as a short home favorite against the Crimson Tide. Ole Miss is just 10-9 on the season, but are 9-3 at home and have been a covering machine here of late, going 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. While they are covering the number, they are just 2-4 SU in their last 6, which continues to have them undervalued. Alabama comes in having won 4 straight, but 3 of the 4 were at home. The Crimson Tide have a losing road record and could have a hard time here not looking ahead to Saturday's huge home game against Trae Young and the Sooners. I think the spot is right to back Ole Miss. Give me the Rebels -2.5!

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Baylor -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bears at home against the Wildcats on Monday. Baylor is just 2-5 in Big 12 play, but a big reason for that is they have had to play 4 of their first 7 conference games on the road. They are 2-1 at home with the only loss being a mere 3-point defeat to TCU. Kansas State has been playing well, but I think this team is in a really tough spot here coming off two huge games at home against TCU and Oklahoma and playing on the road here with just 1 day off. I think we see the Bears jump on the Wildcats early and end up winning here by double-digits. Give me Baylor -5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Nebraska +10.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Cornhuskers making a game of this and keeping it within single-digits against the Buckeyes. Ohio State has been a huge surprise and come in having won 7 straight and are a perfect 8-0 in Big Ten play. It's only a matter of time before this team slips up and I think we could see a flat Buckeyes team coming off their big game this Saturday against Minnesota at Madison Square Garden. Note that was Ohio State's 3rd straight on the road, as they haven't played at home in more than 10 days. 

Nebraska is a team that no one seems to want to give any respect too, but all they do is keep competing at a high level. The Cornhuskers are 7-2 in their last 9 games with the only losses being a 8-point defeat at Purdue and mere 2-point loss at Penn State. If this team can go on the road and keep it within single digits against the Boilermakers, they can do the same against Ohio State. Give me the Cornhuskers +10.5!

40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (NC State +1) 

I think we are getting a great price here on NC State at home against Miami. The Hurricanes are the ranked team and thus are getting the respect on the line, but I don't think Miami should be favored at all here. The Wolfpack are 12-1 at home and seem to thrive at home against top tier teams like the Hurricanes. Miami is also not playing great at the moment. They come in off a crushing loss at home to Duke where they shot just 37.2% from the field and are just 1-3 SU in their last 4 and 2-5 ATS in their last 7. Hurricanes are also just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games in January. Give me the Wolfpack +1! 

40* NCAAB PRIME TIME ATS MASSACRE (Kentucky -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Kentucky as a short home favorite against the Gators in prime time Saturday night. The Wildcats come in off an upset loss at South Carolina. That's only going to have them that much more locked in for this game. I know they might be missing a couple key players, but this team is loaded with talent. Kentucky is a perfect 11-0 at home this season and Florida has had their struggles away from home, including a 6-point loss at Ole Miss in their last road game. Wildcats are also 18-8 ATS in their last 26 home games vs a team with a winning record and have won these games by an average score of 84.5 to 67.7 (+16.8 ppg). Give me Kentucky -3! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (TCU +2.5) 

I believe TCU is a team on a mission after starting out 1-4 in Big 12 play. They improved to 2-4 in their last game, destroying Iowa State 96-73 at home. As much respect as I have for K-State, I don't think they have the talent to stack up here against a locked in Horned Frogs team. On top of that I think this is a bit of a letdown spot for the Wildcats, who are coming off a huge win over Oklahoma at home. TCU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning home record and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 in the series. Give me the Horned Frogs +2.5! 

50* NCAAB SHARP MONEY GAME OF THE MONTH (Northwestern -2.5) 

I think we are getting an exceptional price here to back the Wildcats at home against the Nittany Lions. Northwestern has been a different team at home than they have on the road and are a team that I think hasn't quite played up to their potential. I expect an all-out effort here by the Wildcats at home, as this is simply a game they can't afford to lose. Penn State on the other hand is a team that I think get's way too much respect, especially on the road. The Nittany Lions have failed to cover 3 straight and are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 lined games. Northwestern is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after failing to cover 2 straight games, 13-6 ATS in their lat 19 home games vs a team with a losing road record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 off a SU loss. Take Northwestern! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (ISU +8)

I think we are getting a great price here to back the Cyclones at home against the Red Raiders on Saturday. Iowa State is being way undervalued here by the books due to a 1-5 start in Big 12 play and the fact that they are coming off an ugly 23-point loss at TCU. Prior to that they beat Baylor at home by 10 as a 3-point dog and lost by just 5 at Kansas as a 16-point dog. The Cyclones have one of the better home court advantages in the country and I think they are catching Texas Tech at the right time. The Red Raiders have lost 2 of 3 and are fresh off an ugly showing on the road against in-state rival Texas. I not only think the Cyclones do enough here to keep this within the number, but I like their chances of winning this game outright. Give me ISU +8!