At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over New Orleans. The Saints have won their last 10 games.  Even more improbably, they've covered the point spread in their last nine.  Even with 9 ATS wins in a row, they're far away from the 14 straight games that the Patriots covered up until getting blown out by the Bears in the Super Bowl 33 seasons ago.  Tonight, they'll face the Cowboys.  And while Dallas isn't on a 9-game SU/ATS win streak, it is playing well, and is on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  And home underdogs (or PK) on a 3-game (or better) SU/ATS win streak are 49-33-1 ATS since 1980.  Meanwhile, road favorites (or PK) on a 5-game (or better) win streak are 12-22 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up win.  The Saints also fall into negative 24-69, 4-17 and 38-68 ATS systems based on its recent results.  Take Dallas + the points.  NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers snatched victory from the jaws of defeat last week, in Jacksonville.  But the Jags have been in a death spiral, with six straight losses.  Denver, on the other hand, comes into this game off an upset win over the LA Chargers, and have covered four of their last five.  Denver's also 31-17-3 ATS as a home underdog (or PK), including 24-11-1 ATS vs. non-division foes.  Finally, teams (like Pittsburgh) on a 6-game (or better) win streak, have been poor on the road as favorites vs. non-division foes, going 33-54 ATS since 1980.  Take the Broncos.  AFC Conference Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over New Orleans, as Atlanta falls into my best NFL system, which is 216-128 ATS.  That angle is 4-1 this season, though it did lose last week on the Eagles against these Saints.  New Orleans made a mockery of the defending Super Bowl champs last week, with a 48-7 blowout win.  I'll go against the Saints as a double-digit favorite, as NFL teams that scored more than 85 points over their two previous games have cashed just 31% since 1980 vs. foes that weren't off an ATS win, including an awful 0-12 ATS in division contests against revenge-minded opponents.  With Atlanta off an upset loss to Dallas last week, and also playing with revenge from a 43-37 loss to the Saints in September, we'll grab the points with Matt Ryan & Co.  Take the Falcons.  NFL Division Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons 'UNDER' the total.  Both of these teams went UNDER the total last week.  And division games have gone UNDER the total 161-118-2 when both teams went 'under' in their previous game, the line was 43+ points.  Additionally, the 'under' falls into 70-36 and 79-43 Totals systems of mine.  This will be a relatively-low scoring game.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our NFC NORTH DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the 'under' in the Chicago/Detroit game.  These two teams met just 11 days ago in Chicago.  The Bears won a high-scoring contest, 34-22, as a 7-point favorite.  In the NFL, when two teams met two games back, and played a high-scoring game that went 'over' the total, the rematch has gone 'under' the total 58% of the time.  The Under also falls into a 158-97 Totals System of mine.  Take the Bears and Lions UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City.  This is the most anticipated Monday Night NFL game of the season, as it pits the 9-1 Chiefs vs. the 9-1 Rams.  If history is any indication, the homestanding Rams will get the victory.  First, in weekday (Monday/Thursday) games between teams with .715 (or better) records (at Game 7 forward), the favorites have gone 18-2 SU and 16-2-2 ATS since 1987.  And, second, in Monday Night games since 1980, .430 (or better) home teams have gone 95-52-4 ATS off a win, if they were playing a non-division foe.  It's true that the underdog Chiefs have won 4 straight games, while the Rams have lost their last three to the point spread.  But the point spread has also started to catch up with Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs, as they've lost two of their last three to the spread.  And NFL teams, like Kansas City, off 4+ wins, and an ATS loss in their previous game, are an awful 15.7% ATS vs. non-division foes off 3+ ATS losses.  Finally, the Chiefs also fall into negative 2-17 and 27-57 ATS systems of mine that play against certain NFL underdogs off wins.  Take Los Angeles.  Monday Night Football Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New Orleans.  The Eagles were upset by the Dallas Cowboys last Sunday night, as a 7.5-point favorite.  We had a play on the Cowboys, so that result didn't surprise us.  But off that upset loss, we'll look for Philly to bounce back on the road, at New Orleans, on Sunday.  Indeed, defending Super Bowl champions have cashed 82.6% over the last 39 seasons on the road off a loss, if they weren't favored by 2+ points, and their opponent was off a point spread win!  Even better:  if our defending Champs were off an UPSET loss, then our 82.6% ATS angle zooms to a perfect 16-0-2 ATS.  Additionally, the Eagles fall into 154-68, 224-118 and 101-45 ATS systems of mine.  Take Philly. 5* NFL Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Arizona/Oakland game.  Both of these two teams have been hemorrhaging points on defense.  In their last four games, the Raiders have given up 27, 42, 34 and 20 points (30.75 ppg), while Arizona has given up 27, 45, 15 and 26 points (28.25 ppg).  The over falls into 79-56, 110-73 and 159-108 systems of mine.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Arizona.  This match-up is obviously one between two very bad teams.  Oakland is 1-8, after dropping a 20-6 home game to the Chargers, while Arizona is 2-7 following its 26-14 loss at Kansas City.  Certainly, I won't be able to extol any of Oakland's virtues (because there are none).  Instead, I will just submit that it's dangerous in the NFL to lay points with bad teams, like Arizona.  And that's even if their opponent is equally bad, or worse (as is Oakland).  Indeed, since 1980, at Game 8 forward, NFL home favorites of more than 2 points, with a .225 (or worse) win percentage, have covered just 36 of 99 games, including just four of 18 games if their opponent had less than two wins on the season.  The Raiders also fall into a 66-37 and 106-55 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams on 5-game (or worse) losing streaks, as well as 65-29 and 115-68 ATS angles that play on certain teams that failed to score 10 points in their previous game.  Take Oakland.  NFL Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Dallas.  Last week, the Cowboys upset the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles, 27-20, as a 7.5-point underdog.  But off that upset win, let’s fade the Cowboys in Atlanta.  For technical support, consider that teams that pulled upset wins over the defending Super Bowl Champs, and covered the point spread by 14 or more points in that upset win, have gone 6-18 ATS in their next game if installed as a road underdog.  Also, last week, the Falcons were upset as a 5.5-point road favorite by the Cleveland Browns.  But home teams, off upset road losses, have gone 71-43 ATS since 1980 vs. opponents off upset wins.  Take the Falcons minus the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs + the points over the New York Giants.  Tampa Bay scored just three points last week, notwithstanding the fact it went up and down the field, and amassed 501 yards of offense.  Turnovers, of course, were the primary culprit.  QB Ryan Fitzpatrick had three turnovers, which marred a 29-of-41 passing day (for 406 yards).  For the season, Tampa ranks dead last in turnovers, at 25.  The good news, though, for this game is that the Giants rank as the 8th worst team in forcing turnovers, as they've only taken away the ball nine times.  Last week, New York upset the San Francisco 49ers, 27-23, as a 3-point underdog.  But the Giants are a miserable 1-8 ATS off a point spread win.  Take Tampa Bay.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens to go 'under' the total.  The Ravens have issues at the quarterback position for this game, as starter Joe Flacco is out with a hip injury.  Thus, rookie first-round pick, Lamar Jackson, is going to get the nod, with Robert Griffin III to serve as his back-up.  Regardless, though, of who is going to be under center for Baltimore, I love the UNDER.  Baltimore has played six of its last seven UNDER the total.  And 12 of its last 16 home divisional match-ups have sailed UNDER the total.  The Ravens also have gone UNDER in 20 of their last 24 games that were priced between 43.5 and 49.5 points, including 9-1 UNDER if the Ravens were favored in those games by 4+ points.  The Bengals also will be without their best offensive player, A.J. Green.  Take the Ravens/Bengals UNDER the total.  AFC North Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over Tennessee.  The Titans have won their last two games -- both as underdogs -- against the Cowboys and Patriots.  And they've covered their last three in a row (each in the underdog role).  Tennessee is now 5-4 on the season, and will travel to Indianapolis today to take on its AFC South division rival.  The Colts also have been playing well of late, as they're 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS in their last three games, with the primary difference being that they were installed as a favorite (rather than an underdog) in each game.  The Colts are 9-1 SU and 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 as a favorite.  And they're 21-2 SU and 16-5-2 ATS when favored over a division rival.  Finally, NFL road teams are a miserable 25.7% ATS over the last 39 years after covering the point spread as underdogs in each of their last three games.  Take Indianapolis.  AFC South Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Los Angeles Rams/Seattle Seahawks game.  This is the 2nd meeting this season between the Rams and Seahawks.  The first meeting was won in high-scoring fashion by the Rams, 33-31.  But since that game, the Rams have gone 'under' the total in three of their four games, while Seattle has gone 'under' the total in all three of its games. Moreover, in division games with over/under lines of 47 or more points, the games have gone 'under' 69 percent of the time if both teams scored 28+ points in the season's previous meeting.  Finally, nine of Seattle's last 11 road games (and 14 of its last 19 road division games) have gone 'under' the total.  Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers to defeat Carolina.  The Panthers have won their last three games, including back-to-back home wins over Baltimore (36-21) and Tampa Bay (42-28) the past two weeks.  But dating back to December 11, 2005, the Steelers are 18-2 straight-up and 15-6 ATS at home vs. foes on a 3-game (or better) win streak.  Even better:  since 1980, teams off back to back home wins, in which they scored 28+ points, are 4-25 SU and 7-22 ATS in the regular season.  These two franchises have met six times since Carolina entered into the league, and the Steelers have won five, and covered all six.  Take Pittsburgh to defeat Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Dallas.  The Cowboys were upset by the Washington Redskins in their last game, 20-17, as a 1.5-point favorite.  And NFL teams have covered just 73 of 184 Monday Night Football games if they were off an upset loss in their previous game.  Tennessee, meanwhile, is very well rested following its game in London two weekends ago.  And, since 2015, rested NFL teams have gone 14-2-1 ATS after playing in London, including a perfect 9-0 ATS off an ATS win.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams over the New Orleans Saints.  Last week, the Saints avenged their Playoff ouster last year at the hands of the Vikings with a 30-20 road win.  And that was New Orleans' sixth straight win, and fifth straight point spread cover.  But we'll go against the red-hot Saints, as unrested NFL teams off 6 straight wins, and 3 straight covers are an awful 37-71 ATS in games with point spreads of 10 points or less, if their foe is NOT off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And our 37-71 stat devolves to a woeful 0-7-1 ATS if their foe's W/L percentage was .833 (or better).  The Rams lead the league with an 8-0 record.  We played against them last week, and got the $$$ with the underdog Packers.  However, off that ATS loss, we'll jump on Los Angeles, as undefeated teams off an ATS loss have cashed 58% since 1980 vs. winning foes off an ATS win.  Take the Rams. NFL Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos over Houston.  The Broncos are 3-5, but have played a murderous schedule.  Four of their eight games were against teams currently in the Playoffs, and they lost (twice) to the once-beaten Chiefs, and also lost to the undefeated Rams, while defeating 5-3 Seattle.  In contrast, the Texans have played just one team (New England) in their first eight games which would currently be in the Playoffs, and they lost SU/ATS, 27-20, as a 6.5-point underdog.  The Broncos are a fantastic 45-18-4 ATS at home when not favored by more than 2 points.  Take Denver.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons over the Washington Redskins.  The Falcons had high hopes coming into the 2018 season, but got off to a poor 1-4 start due to several close losses by six points or less to Playoff contenders (Eagles, Saints, Bengals).  However, Atlanta was able to right its ship, and won the two games preceding its bye week last week.  So, the Falcons are now 3-4, and sit just one game behind the Seahawks for the final Playoff spot in the NFC.  I love Atlanta to win its 3rd straight game, as rested NFL road teams off back-to-back wins have gone 61-34 ATS if they weren't getting 3+ points.  And the Redskins are an awful 31-71 ATS at home vs. losing teams, if the 'Skins weren't getting 2+ points.  Take Atlanta.  NFC Conference Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs + the points over Carolina.  The Panthers are off back to back upset wins over Philadelphia and Baltimore.  Unfortunately, favorites of 4+ points, off back to back upset wins, have cashed just 19 of 68 vs. .500 (or worse) foes off a SU loss.  Take Tampa Bay.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Chicago.  The Bills obviously are challenged to score points right now.  They scored just six last week vs. the Patriots, and five the week before that, at Indianapolis.  Even worse:  they gave up 25 and 37 to their opponents in those games.  But I've never been one to shy away from playing on poor teams.  And I won't back off the Bills this afternoon.  For technical support, consider that teams that scored 12 combined points, or less, over their two previous games (and lost each), while giving up more than 55 points combined in those two games, have cashed 21 of 25 when getting more than six points.  And Buffalo's also 41-16 ATS off a home loss, if they didn't cover the spread in that defeat, and their opponent is off a SU win.  Take the Bills.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers are the Ravens' biggest rival, so Baltimore always gets up for Pittsburgh.  And this week's game should be especially important to the Ravens, as they're off back to back losses, and now sit outside the Playoff picture (one game behind the Bengals), at 4-4.  Meanwhile, the Steelers have reeled off three straight wins to wrest control of the division lead.  However, since 1980, the Ravens are a fantastic 15-1-1 ATS at home vs. the Steelers, if the Ravens were off a loss, and didn't have a winning ATS record.  Even better:  NFL favorites off back to back losses have cashed 60% since October 25, 1981 vs. foes off 3 wins.  Take the Ravens.  NFL Division Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Buffalo Bills/Chicago Bears game.  The Bills offense is certainly moribund right now.  They've scored just 6 and 5 points in their last two games.  And their 87-point total through eight games is the lowest in franchise history.  Of course, the over/under line reflects Buffalo's ineptitude.  But we're now at the point where there's value in betting on a relatively high-scoring game.  Indeed, over the last 31 seasons, NFL teams that scored less than 12 points combined over their two previous games have gone 'over' the total 97-62.  Take the 'over' in the Bears/Bills game.  NFL Total of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders and San Francisco 49ers to go over the total.  Both of these teams have had defensive issues this season.  Oakland is giving up 31.1 ppg, while the Niners are surrendering 29.5.  Since 1980, in NFL games with lines of 45 or more points, the OVER has cashed 25 of 33 games if both teams had defenses that gave up 29+ points.  Take the over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over New England.  One of the more reliable long-term NFL situations has been to play on double-digit home underdogs against opponents off straight-up wins.  Since 1980, they've gone 87-56-2 ATS.  And though there's nothing wrong with such a record, we can improve it by filtering out double-digit underdogs that were non-competitive in their two previous games (failing to cover each by more than 7+ points).  With that filter in place, our 87-56-2 record zooms to 75-38-2 ATS.  And, yes, it's certainly true that Tom Brady's Patriots have been the standard-bearer in the NFL for the last 18 years.  But New England's been poor lately in the role of a big favorite away from home, as they've cashed just 3 of their last 13 when laying 9 or more points (and just 1 of 9 if it wasn't off a loss).  Take Buffalo.  Monday Night Football Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over the LA Rams.  The Packers had last week off to rest and prepare for the 7-0 Rams.  Immediately before their bye week, the Packers survived a tough game, at home, vs. San Francisco, and won 33-30, as an 8.5-point favorite.  The Packers are just 2-4 ATS this season, but with Aaron Rodgers as their starting QB, they've been extremely profitable.  In his career, the Packers are 94-66 ATS with him under center, including a fantastic 36-20 ATS off a point spread loss (and 9-2 ATS as an underdog).  And Rodgers is also 10-0 ATS if the Packers had a losing ATS record on the season and were playing an opponent off a win.  Take Green Bay.  Perfect 10 Club Play! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Indianapolis/Oakland game.  The Indianapolis Colts' last four games have produced 71, 62, 76 and 42 points.  And they've gone 'over' the total by an average of 15.38 points per game.  Likewise, Oakland's last four games have gone 'over' the total by an average of 2.75 ppg.  Also, the Colts have gone 'over' 28-15-1 in their last 44 road games, while Oakland's gone 'over' 24-12-2 its last 38 home games.  This will be very high-scoring.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Kansas City.  This is the 2nd meeting this season between these AFC West division rivals.  In the first meeting, the Broncos actually had a lead after three quarters, but KC came back to win, 27-23 (and covered the closing line of -3.5).  Impressively, the Chiefs are the 21st NFL team since 1980 to not lose against the spread in any of its first six games.  But what's remarkable about KC's ATS win streak thus far is that they are doing it in spite of a very leaky defense.  Indeed, of the 21 teams that were undefeated ATS through their first six games, the Chiefs have -- by far  -- the worst defense.  KC is giving up 26 points per game...but none of the other 20 clubs had a defense which gave up more than 21.16 ppg!  This doesn't bode well for the Chiefs going forward.  And especially not in their games, like this particular one, where they are favored by a large amount.  For technical support, consider that NFL favorites of -8 or more points, that give up 23.67 (or more) points per game, are an awful 35-77-1 ATS at Game 6 forward since 1980.  Moreover, AFC West division teams playing with same-season revenge have gone 113-71-5 ATS since 1980 vs. division rivals that did not have a losing ATS record, provided our revenger was not favored by more than 6 points.  Denver did everything BUT win in the first meeting, back on October 1st.  However, I expect the Broncos to not let this game slip away this time.  Take the points. AFC West Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants over the Washington Redskins.  The Redskins come into the Meadowlands off back to back upset wins, at home, vs. Carolina and Dallas.  And they’ve now been installed as a road favorite vs. a Giants team on a 4-game losing streak.  Unfortunately for Washington, teams off back to back upset wins are an awful 52-77 ATS since 1980 vs. opponents off back to back losses.  Likewise, teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, as well as an upset win in their previous game, are 28-47 ATS vs. opponents off 4 or more defeats.  Finally, New York is a solid 37-21 ATS at home vs. division rivals off a point spread win.  Take the Giants.  NFL Roadkill Play.

At 9:30 am, early on Sunday morning, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  This game will be played in London, England.  The Chargers are 4-2 on the season, including back to back wins (and covers) in their last two games.  Going in the opposite direction are the Titans, who are 3-3, but off back to back SU/ATS losses.  So, the Titans will be looking to rebound.  And they'll surely be in an ornery mood since they were shutout, 21-0, last week by Baltimore.  The good news, though, for Tennessee fans is that, since 1980, it's been profitable to bet on teams off shutout losses, and especially when priced from +2.5 to +9.5 in non-division games.  Indeed, those teams are 37-8 ATS their last 45!  That's one reason to favor Tennessee in this game.  Another is that the Chargers are a poor 16% ATS away from home since 1980 off back to back SU/ATS wins, if they're playing a non-division foe off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Titans + the points on Sunday morning.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over Arizona.  The Broncos have lost their last four games, and have been installed as a small favorite on the road vs. Arizona.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against the ice-cold Broncos.  But consider that NFL teams off back to back losses have gone 32-6 straight-up and 28-9-1 ATS (including 10-0-1 ATS since 2014) on Thursdays when installed as a favorite (or PK).  Moreover, Denver falls into terrific 211-118 and 306-210 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams in non-division games.  Take the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Kansas City.  The Chiefs enter this game with the conference's best record, at 5-0.  And they're also 5-0 ATS.  Unfortunately, they're likely to leave Foxborough with their first loss.  Key for me is the fact that the Patriots have gone 36-12 ATS vs. foes with a superior won/loss percentage.  Even better:  New England plays with revenge from a 42-27 upset loss to the Chiefs last season.  But the Patriots are 14-0-1 ATS when playing with revenge from an 8+ point upset loss the previous season.  Take New England.  Perfect 10 Club Play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Baltimore.  This is a horrible scheduling spot for the Ravens, who will be playing their 3rd straight road game.  And one of the things I love to do is play against a team in its 3rd straight road game, and especially if it's matched up against an opponent with a winning record.  Since 1980, our road teams are a dismal 53-91 ATS in this situation.  That bodes well for Tennessee as the home underdog, here.   As does the fact that Tennessee was upset as a road favorite last week, given that home underdogs, off an upset loss as a road favorite the previous week, have gone 79-53 ATS since 1980.  Take the Titans

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Broncos were upset on the road last week by the New York Jets, and are now on a 3-game losing streak (and a 4-game ATS losing streak).  But I love them to bounce back against the NFL's best team.  Indeed, home underdogs of +6 or more points have cashed 67.8% over the last 38 years off an upset road loss.  And Denver is 30-17-3 ATS as a home underdog (or PK), including 23-11-1 ATS vs. non-division foes.  Finally, undefeated teams (like the Rams) have cashed just 36.8% when laying more than 6 points away from home.  Take Denver + the points.  NFL Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.  And don't miss my Red-Hot Winners, as we are 20-4 our last 24 selections.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Tampa Bay/Atlanta game. Both of these teams have been involved in very high-scoring games of late, which has helped to move this total to a very high number. The problem for both teams is primarily on defense. The Falcons are off three straight losses, and have surrendered 121 points over their last 3 games, while Tampa is off two straight defeats, and has given up 78 points over those two games. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'over,' but faithful followers know I'm a contrarian at heart. Indeed, NFL teams that gave up 121+ points over their previous three games have gone 'under' the 70.9% over the past 38 years. Last season, for example, the Buffalo Bills gave up 54, 47 and 34 in their previous three games before holding the Chiefs to 10 points, in a 16-10 win (easily going under the 47.5 point total). Likewise, last season, the Broncos had given up 29, 51 and 41 in their previous three games before holding the Bengals to 20, and also going 'under' the total. I look for a similar result, here. Also, Dan Quinn's Falcons have gone 'under' the total in 19 of 29 games off a loss, while the Buccaneers have gone 'under' 31-13-1 off a loss if the line was 46+ points. Take the 'under.' NFL Division Total of the Year. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. And don't miss my NFL Game of the Month, as we're on a 20-4 Run.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers over the Cincy Bengals.  The Steelers leveled their record at 2-2-1 last week when they blew out the Atlanta Falcons, 41-17, while Cincy won its second straight game -- 27-17 at home vs. Miami -- to move to 4-1 this season.  This series has been completely dominated by Pittsburgh.  Indeed, since 1991, the Steelers are 42-14 straight-up, and 36-18-2 ATS, including 6-0 SU and 4-1-1 ATS since Dec. 2015.  And even though Pittsburgh is regarded as having one of the stronger home field in the league, it's actually been better on the road (20-7-2 ATS) vs. the Bengals, than at home (16-11 ATS).  Finally, the Steelers fall into a 60.8% ATS "contrarian" system of mine which plays on certain road teams with a worse win percentage than their opponent, provided they weren't getting more than three points.  Take the Steelers.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Buffalo/Houston game.  The Texans' quarterback, Deshaun Watson has been upgraded to 'probable,' which was all I needed to pull the trigger on this game to go 'over' the total.  Last year, Deshaun Watson made six starts before he suffered a season-ending injury, and the Texans averaged 34.67 points per game.  Not surprisingly, the 'over' was 5-1.  This season, in five starts, the Texans have gone 'over' in two of the five.  Thus, Houston has gone 'over' in seven of his 10 starts.  But it must be noted that, in two of the three 'unders,' the games came extremely close to going 'over,' missing by 2.5 and 4 points.  Overall, his 10 starts have sailed 'over' the total by an AVERAGE of 11.7 ppg.  This will be a high-scoring game.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Cleveland.  The Cleveland Browns were 0-16 last season, and no doubt are improved this season.  But I question whether they have improved enough to be favored over a team like the L.A. Chargers.  Indeed, for my money, the Chargers are flying a bit under the radar.  They're 3-2 on the year, but consider that their 2 losses were to the league's two undefeated teams (Kansas City + the LA Rams).  And the Chargers actually have out-yarded four of their five opponents this season.  Even though they lost to the Chiefs, they actually out-yarded them 541 to 362, but were done in by two turnovers.  For technical support, consider that teams that didn't win 2 (or more) games the previous season have gone 10-22 ATS as a favorite over the past 28 seasons.  Moreover, Cleveland's 10-19-1 ATS its last 30 as a home favorite.  Take the Chargers as a road underdog.  NFL Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins + the points over Carolina.  We played against both of these teams last week, and got the cash with the Giants as a touchdown underdog at Carolina, and also with the Saints as a touchdown favorite vs. Washington.  New Orleans blew out Washington, 43-19, this past Monday.  But that defeat sets up our play, here, as home underdogs (or PK) are 72-49 after losing a game in which they gave up 40+ points if they're playing a foe off a straight-up win.  Take the Redskins to bounce back at home this afternoon. NFC Game of the Week. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over the New York Giants.  The defending Super Bowl champion Eagles were upset, 23-21, at home last Sunday by the Vikings.  And that was their second straight loss, overall.  But those two defeats set up our play tonight, as defending champs have cashed 60% over the last 37 seasons off back to back losses, including 85% ATS on the road if they entered with a losing record.  The Eagles are 2-3, and know that they have to win tonight, if they are to have any hope of securing a Top 2 Conference record, and the all-important bye in the first round of the playoffs which comes with it.  The Giants are an awful 3-10 ATS their last 13 games as a home underdog of +4 or less points.  Take Philly.  NFL High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Washington.  The New Orleans Saints were expected to be one of the NFL's best teams this season, but did get off to a slow start, as they failed to cover the spread in their first two games -- both at home, by the way -- including a straight-up loss to Tampa Bay, as a 10-point favorite.  But then the Saints bounced back with impressive road wins at Atlanta, and at the New York Giants.  Now, they will try to cash a ticket in front of their home faithful, and they will welcome a Redskins team which upset Green Bay, 31-17, in its last game.   I like the Saints here, as Monday Night home favorites, off back to back road games, are 57-32-3 ATS, including 25-7 ATS if their win percentage was .700 or better.  Likewise, Monday Night home teams, off a SU/ATS win, with a winning record on the season, have gone 67-28 ATS vs. non-division foes.  And, finally, the Redskins have had very little success on Monday Night Football, as they've gone 16-36-1 ATS since 1980, including 2-15 ATS if they covered their previous game by more than 11 points.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always.....Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our NFL Total of the Month is on the 'under' in the Los Angeles Chargers/Oakland Raiders game.  This season, the Oakland Raiders' games have averaged 55 points per game (24.25 offense; 30.75 defense), while the Chargers' games have averaged 57.75 points (27.75 offense; 30 defense).  The knee-jerk reaction, then, might be to play the 'over' in this contest, but consider that games with Over/Under lines greater than 41 points, between two teams that each average 22.8 ppg, have gone 'under' the total 194 of 337 games, if one or both of the teams have gone 'over' the total in each of their three previous games, including a perfect 5-0 'under' last season.  The 'under' has gone 24-6-1 the last 31 times the Raiders have visited the Chargers.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore.  The Ravens have won the last five games in this series, but that win streak should end this afternoon.  Indeed, this is a horrid scheduling spot for Baltimore.  Last week, it went into Pittsburgh, and upset its division rival, 26-14, as a 3-point underdog.  Now, it has to play a second straight road game, and also against a division rival.  Unfortunately, NFL teams favored against a division foe are an awful 69-96-5 ATS off an upset win on the road vs. a division foe, including 34-57 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Cleveland.  NFL Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Kansas City.  The Chiefs have been the biggest surprise so far this season, as they're 3-0, and have scored 38, 42 and 38 points in their first three contests.  KC has also covered the point spread by an average of 9.33 ppg (while Denver has failed to cover by an average of -4 ppg).  But such an offensive stretch of games typically leads to a poor performance.  Indeed, since 1980, teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored more than 30 points in each victory, have covered just 79 of 188 games vs. foes off SU/ATS losses, including 0-6 ATS since 2005 on Monday Night Football.  Moreover, the Broncos are 30-15-2 ATS as a home underdog (or PK) since 1981, and also 18-3-1 ATS at home vs. foes with a relative pointspread differential of +8.33 or more points, including 9-0 ATS their last nine when not laying 3 or more points.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Seattle/Arizona game.  The Seattle Seahawks have played their last two games 'under' the total, while Arizona's gone 'under' in each of its last three games.  But we will run the other way, and look for a relatively high-scoring game on Sunday.  Indeed, Seattle has gone 'over' the total EIGHT STRAIGHT times off back to back Unders, while Arizona had gone 'over' the total in seven of its last eight (and 16 of its last 21) games after going 'under' in its last three games.  That's one reason, I like the 'over' in this game.  Another is that the 'over' falls into a Totals System of mine which has cashed 114 of 174 since 1980.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over the Indianapolis Colts.  The Texans are 0-3 straight-up and ATS this season.  But Indianapolis isn't much better, as it's won just once this season.  And one of the things I love to do is play on winless SU/ATS teams, at Game 4 forward, on the road, as underdogs (or PK) vs. losing teams.  Our winless teams have covered 65.5% since 1980 in this situation, so that bodes very well for Houston on Sunday.  Moreover, Houston lost last week, at home, as a 6.5-point favorite.  And road underdogs (or PK) off an upset home loss, as a 6.5 point (or bigger) favorite, have covered 58% over the last 38 years.  Take Houston. NFL Division Game of the Year. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Buffalo.  Last week, the Bills pulled off the biggest upset in 23 years, as they won outright as a 16.5-point underdog at Minnesota.  The last team to achieve such a victory was Washington, back in 1995, when it upset Dallas, 24-17, as a 17.5-point dog.  But what was most impressive wasn't that Buffalo won, it was that it won by 21 points.  Unfortunately, I don't think it will win back-to-back games.  Indeed, since 1980, teams off upset wins as double-digit road underdogs have gone 56-80 ATS in their next game, including 17-33 ATS if they were playing back-to-back road games.  And the Packers have gone 47-25 ATS at home with Aaron Rodgers as their starting quarterback, including 14-2 ATS vs. opponents off a road win.  Take Green Bay.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Miami.  The Dolphins have sprinted out to a 3-0 start this season, while New England is lagging behind with a 1-2 record. But I believe the Dolphins will come back down to earth on Sunday. Indeed, since 2002, there have been 15 undefeated teams, with a record of 3-0 or better that have been installed as an underdog of +5 or more points.  Those 15 teams have gone 1-14 straight-up, and 5-9-1 ATS.  Also, the Patriots have gone 8-0 straight-up, and 7-1 ATS since November 2002 when they were off back to back losses. Finally, home teams have cashed 37 of 54 off upset losses on the road, if their opponent was off three SU/ATS wins.  Take New England.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over the Detroit Lions.  Matt Patricia's Lions upset his former team -- the New England Patriots -- as a 7-point underdog last Sunday night.  However, teams that pull off such big upsets rarely win back to back games in the underdog role.  In fact, since 1980, road underdogs have cashed just 42% off a home underdog outright win as a 7-point (or bigger) dog.  And Detroit's a poor 28-56-3 ATS on the road off a win.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings plus the points over Los Angeles.  The Rams have been the league's best team thus far, but they will be given a stiff test tonight by the Minnesota Vikings.  And the Vikes will no doubt be in an ornery mood after laying an egg last week, at home, vs. the Buffalo Bills.  Indeed, that 21-point loss to Buffalo was the most shocking NFL result in decades, as Minnesota was a 16.5-point favorite.  And no greater NFL favorite had been upset in the last 23 years.  We'll grab the points with Minnesota, as single-digit underdogs have cashed 67.1% in the regular season vs. non-division foes after failing to cover the spread by 26+ points.  Minnesota's also won and covered each of the last five meetings in this series, including a 24-7 blowout last year.  Take the Vikings.  NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Chicago Bears/Arizona Cardinals game.  The Chicago Bears have scored 23 and 24 points in their first two games, while Arizona has given up 24 and 34 in its first two.  Arizona ranks among the bottom 7 teams in defensive efficiency, so I have no doubt the Bears are going to be able to move the ball into the end zone.  Arizona also should bounce back on offense after its shutout loss.  After all, that shutout was against the Rams, who own the league's very best scoring defense, and who were widely projected going into the season to have the #1 defense this year.  And it also was in Arizona's first road game of the year, while this game is at home.  Indeed, since 1980, teams that were shut out in their first road game of the season have rebounded to score, on average, 19.93 points per game, if that next game was at home.  Finally, teams (like Arizona) off back-to-back unders to start the season tend to go 'over' the total in Week 3, including 82-51 since 1980 if the line was less than 40 points, and 26-12 (regardless of the O/U line) the last five seasons.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over the LA Rams.  The Rams were my preseason pick to win the Super Bowl, at 10-1 odds.  And, so far, so good, as they're 2-0, and have the league's #1-ranked scoring defense, and also rank first in overall efficiency and scoring margin.  This week, they'll try to move to 3-0, but will be tasked with a much more difficult opponent than they saw in their first two games.  In Weeks 1 and 2, the Rams faced two below-average teams in the Raiders and Cardinals.  Now, they'll face the Chargers, who are scoring 29.5 points per game, and who rank among the Top 3 in offensive efficiency, and among the Top 10 in overall efficiency.  In this battle between offense and defense, we'll grab the points, as NFL road underdogs (or PK) are 16-0 ATS since 2006, at Game 3 forward, if they score 27.7 points per game, and their foe gives up 15 or less points per game.  Take the Chargers.  NFL Rivalry Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over Indianapolis. We played on the Colts last week, and were rewarded with a 21-9 upset win over Washington by Indy. Can Indy make it two upsets in a row? Unfortunately, it's not likely, as road teams off upset wins have only cashed 37% since 1980 against an opponent coming off an upset loss on the road. Moreover, defending Super Bowl Champions have gone 43-30, 58.9% ATS off a road upset loss since 1980. With Philly off an upset loss at Tampa Bay last week, we'll lay the points with the Eagles on Sunday. NFL Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Atlanta. The Saints enter this game with a 1-1 record, but have yet to cover the point spread. However, they are an underdog here, compared to being a double-digit favorite in each of their first two games. We'll take New Orleans + the points, as underdogs (or PK) have cashed 73% over the past 38 years off back to back ATS losses as double-digit favorites. Additionally, New Orleans falls into 41-21 and 97-49 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams to bounce back off ATS losses. Finally, New Orleans is 38-27 ATS as an underdog, while Atlanta is a money-burning 19-31 ATS as a favorite. Take the Saints. NFL Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Seattle/Chicago game.  The Seahawks and Bears both lost their openers last week.  Chicago fell, 24-23, to Green Bay, while Seattle lost at Denver, 27-24.  Certainly, NFL teams are especially desperate in Week 2 coming off a loss in Week 1, as an 0-2 start to a season is a huge hole out of which to dig, should one aspire to make the Playoffs.  So, it's not surprising that match-ups between 0-1 teams have tilted toward the 'under' 57% of the time since 1980 (and 63% if both teams also happened to go 'over' in Week 1).  Likewise, Monday Night Football match-ups have also gone 'under' 65.2% since 1980 if both combatants are off a loss, and each went 'over' the total in their previous game.  Finally, Chicago's played 19 of its last 30 home games 'under' the total, while Seattle's gone 'under' in seven of its last eight road games off a loss.  Take the 'under.'  MNF Total of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars over New England.  The Jaguars' success last season was largely a result of its 2nd-ranked defense, as it gave up just 268 points in the regular season.  Jacksonville got this year off to a similar start, as it gave up just 15 points in last week's victory over the New York Giants.  This week, the Jags will open their home schedule, and take on Bill Belichick's Patriots, who won against Houston in Week 1. This is a great situation to take Jacksonville, as .500 (or better) home teams with defenses that give up less than 20 ppg, have gone 117-80 ATS since 1980 if they were an underdog (or PK) vs. a non-division foe off a win.  Moreover, these two teams met in last year's Playoffs in Foxboro, and the Patriots won, 24-20, but didn't cover the 7-point spread.  Thus, the Jags will be looking to avenge that defeat on Sunday.  Jacksonville is a super 11-3 ATS its last 14 when not laying more than three points, while New England is a poor 3-10-1 ATS off a win, if it was favored on the road vs. a team with a better defense.  Take Jacksonville. NFL Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over San Francisco.  The Lions were thoroughly embarassed on National TV last Monday Night, when they lost, 48-17, at home to the New York Jets.  However, underdogs generally bounce back after an awful Monday Night Football performance.  Indeed, since 1981, underdogs (or PK) that failed to cover the spread by more than 20 points in a Monday Night game have gone 70.5% ATS, including a perfect 7-0 ATS the last seven.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Los Angeles.  The Chargers blew out the Bills last season, 54-24, as a 7-point favorite.  Couple that with the fact that Buffalo lost, 47-3, at Baltimore last Sunday, and it's easy to see why some might be attracted to the road team, here.  But we are going to run the other way with the Bills, as they fall into 144-66 and 52-13 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams to bounce back off losses.  Also, the Bills were 9-7 last year.  And home teams that were a winning team the previous season, and playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat from a loss that season to their current opponent, have cashed 65.4% since November 1983.  Take the home underdog Bills.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Washington.  Last week, the Redskins opened their 2018 campaign with an upset win at Arizona.  Washington was a 2.5-point underdog in that game, but walloped the Cardinals, 24-6.  Meanwhile, Indy fell at home, 34-23, to the Cincinnati Bengals.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the Redskins off their impressive performance last week.  But be careful, as home favorites off an upset road win to open their season have generally stumbled when matched up against foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Since 1980, they've covered just 34.4% of the time.  That doesn't bode well for Washington this afternoon.  And nor does the fact that Washington has covered just 30 of 101 home games vs. non-winning opposition, if Washington wasn't getting 2 points in the game.  Finally, Indianapolis is 33-13 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 14-2 when the Colts are getting 4+ points.  Take Indy. NFL Underdog Shocker!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over Kansas City.  Last week, the Chiefs went into Los Angeles, and upset the Chargers, 38-28.  Meanwhile, the Steelers stumbled in their opening game -- also against a division foe -- as Pittsburgh tied Cleveland, 21-21, which certainly felt like a loss, as Cleveland was 0-16 last season.  I'm going to go against KC on the road, as AFC West teams have cashed just 34.6% the past 38 years off an upset division win, if they're playing a non-division foe on the road.  Also, these two teams have met three times in the past two seasons, and the Steelers have won all three games, both straight-up and ATS.   Finally, Pittsburgh is 21-6 ATS at home off a division game where it was favored, but did not win.  Take the Steelers.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  Both of these teams finished last season with winning records.  But KC (10-6) earned a trip to the Playoffs, while the Chargers (9-7) barely missed out.  And the fact that Los Angeles lost both regular season games to the Chiefs is the main reason which KC was able to edge out the Chargers for that post-season berth.  I love the Chargers to avenge those two losses, as home favorites of less than 7 points (or PK) have cashed 75.5% ATS when playing with double revenge from two losses to a division rival the previous season, if our home team also had a winning record in that previous season.  Take the Chargers.  NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New England.  The Eagles upset the Vikings as 3-point home underdogs.  And it wasn't even close, as the Eagles won by 31 points (38-7).  Meanwhile, the Patriots failed to cover vs. Jacksonville, as they won by just four (24-20), as a 7.5-point favorite.  That doesn't bode well for New England in the Super Bowl, as teams off a point spread defeat in the Conference Championship round have covered just 25% in Super Bowls since 1980.  Moreover, it's tough to play away from home in the post-season, and lay points to a team -- like Philadelphia -- with the better defense (the Eagles' defense rates 1.0 ppg better than the Patriots' defense).  Indeed, Playoff teams that owned the better defense have covered 73% in this situation over the last 38 years (and 85% if they were getting 3+ points).  Finally, teams (like Philadelphia) off back to back wins in which they weren't favored by 3+ points in either of those victories, have gone 8-0-1 ATS in Super Bowls since 1998.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles to go OVER the total.  The Over falls into several of my best Totals systems, with records of 49-15, 90-62 and 98-58 since 1980.  Also, over the past six Playoff seasons, Bill Belichick's Patriots have gone 'over' the total 9-4-1, including a perfect 5-0 'over' if New England didn't go 'over' in its previous game.  Meanwhile, the Eagles have gone 'over' the total in 16 of their last 20 games away from home, including 10-0 'over' if the Eagles were an underdog of +6 points or less.  Finally, the Patriots have generally gone 'over' the total when Belichick has had two weeks to prepare, as they've gone 'over' 12-2 the past six seasons in this situation, including 6-0 'over' the past three seasons.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Philadelphia/Minnesota game.  The Eagles have played three extremely low-scoring games in a row.  Last week, they defeated Atlanta, 15-10.  Prior to that, they were shut out by Dallas, 6-0, and won 19-10 vs. Oakland.  Those three games went 'under' their respective totals by 15, 35 and 17 points.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'under' in this game, but the Over falls into a 65.3% Totals system of mine which plays on certain teams off Unders to reverse course and play a high-scoring game.  Also, the Eagles have gone 'Over' 81% since 1999 off 3 or more Unders, while Playoff favorites (like Minnesota) off a high-scoring playoff game in which more than 51 points were scored, have gone 'Over' the total 64% since 1997.  Take the Over.  NFL Total of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New England/Jacksonville game.  We played on the Over last week in both the New England/Tennessee game, and the Jacksonville/Pittsburgh game, and got the cash in each.  And we'll come right back with the Over for this game.  The Patriots have now gone 8-0-1 Over in their last nine Playoff games at home or on a neutral field!  And the Jaguars are currently riding a 4-2 Over streak.  Also, since 1988, NFL Playoff teams have gone 'Over' the total 70% of the time after scoring 44+ points in their previous playoff game (and 79% if the Over/Under line was 45+ points).  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Jacksonville.  Last week, we played on both Jacksonville and New England, and easily got the $$$ with both.  As I mentioned last week, in our analysis of the Tennessee/New England game, in the NFL Playoffs, road underdogs of +3.5 or more points are awful off an upset win (now 39-80-1 ATS).  That same angle applies to Jacksonville, here, off its upset win at Pittsburgh.  Moreover, the Jaguars fall into a negative 2-23 ATS Playoff system of mine, as well as a 33-88 ATS angle.  Finally, favorites priced from -2.5 to -9.5 are 37-19 ATS in the Conference Championship round since 1984.  Take the Patriots.  Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Minnesota.  The Vikings come into this game off three wins.  And they held each of their last three foes to 10 or less points.  Now, the Vikes are favored by less than a touchdown vs. the Saints.  Unfortunately, in the NFL Playoffs, home favorites priced from -4 to -7 points are 0-9 ATS over the last 20 seasons if they held each of their previous two opponents to 10 points or less.  It's true that the Saints are off back to back ATS defeats.  But New Orleans is 40-22 ATS as a road underdog of +3 or more points off an upset loss.  And Minnesota has covered just 24 of 73 games vs. foes off back to back ATS defeats, if the Vikings were off a win.  Take the Saints.  NFL High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the 'over' in the Minnesota/New Orleans game, as it falls into 46-19, 47-15 and 96-57 Totals systems of mine.  The Saints are averaging over 28 points per game this season.  And in the NFL playoffs, teams that average more than 27.45 ppg have gone 'Over' the total 62.26% of the time when the over/under line is more than 43 points.  Additionally, New Orleans is 9-2 'Over' its last 11 when the line was between 42 and 49 points.  And Playoff games where at least one team is rested have gone 'over' the total 57% since 1980.  This will be a high-scoring game.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Jaguars come into today's game off three straight point spread defeats.  That will keep many bettors off Jacksonville.  But not me.  Indeed, since 1984, NFL Playoff teams have cashed 15 of 19 if they were on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, provided they were not favored by 3 or more points.  And if their opponent was off back to back wins, then our system zooms to 11-1 ATS.  Jacksonville also falls into 30-1 and 82-22 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Jags + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Pittsburgh/Jacksonville game.  In the Jaguars' last game, they managed to score just 10 points, in a 10-3 win.  That game's combined point total of 13 points will keep many bettors off the 'Over' here, but that knee-jerk reaction will more than likely be the wrong move.  Indeed, NFL games have gone 'Over' in 46 of 70 games, with Over/Under lines less than 43 points, if one of the teams played a game the previous week which didn't total 14+ points.  Moreover, the Steelers are 26-8 'Over' the total in the Playoffs when the line was less than 47 points, including 13-0 'Over' since Jan. 11, 1998 when they played at home, or on a neutral field.  And the Jags have gone 'Over' the total 44 of 71 when the Over/Under line was 44 or less, and the Jags went 'Under' the total in their previous game.  Finally, the Over falls into a 51-24 Playoff Totals system of mine.  Take the 'Over.'  NFL Elite Info Totals Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the New England/Tennessee game.  The Patriots have played 15 home playoff games over the last 11 seasons.  And just three of those 15 games have gone 'Under' the total!  That bodes well for this being a high-scoring game.  Additionally, the 'Over' falls into a 61-29 Totals system of mine.  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Tennessee.  Last week, the Titans came back from an 18-point deficit to stun the Kansas City Chiefs, 22-21, as an 8.5-point underdog.  Unfortunately, since 1982, in the NFL Playoffs, road underdogs of +3.5 or more points are an awful 39-77-1 ATS off an upset win.  That doesn’t bode well for the Titans on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that the Patriots are 6-0 straight-up and 5-1 ATS at home in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs the past six seasons.  Finally, over the past 26 years, NFL double digit road underdogs, with a win percentage less than .700, have covered just 4 of 24 Playoff games, including 0-7 ATS the past seven seasons.  Take New England.

At 4:35 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over Atlanta.  The Eagles are the #1 seed in the NFC, but stumbled into the playoffs with three straight ATS defeats to end the season, including a 6-0 shutout loss in their final game.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Philly.  But NFL teams have gone 10-0 ATS in their initial playoff game, if they lost against the point spread in their last three regular season games; they weren't favored by 3+ points; and their foe was NOT off back to back ATS losses.  Additionally, the Eagles fall into 76-16, 29-1 and 81-22 ATS systems of mine.  Finally, home underdogs are a solid 24-13 ATS in the Playoffs, while home teams are 12-1 ATS off shutout home losses, when matched up against foes off SU/ATS wins.  Take Philly + the points.  NFL Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Atlanta/Philadelphia game.  The Falcons have gone 'Under' in six straight games.  But this should be a relatively high-scoring game, as NFL teams have gone 'Over' in 141 of 250 games off 5+ 'Unders' when the line was 42 or less points.  Take the 'Over.'

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over the Buffalo Bills.  The Jaguars come into this game off back to back losses at San Francisco (44-33), and at Tennessee (15-10).  But the Jaguars are now back home, where they have won five straight games, by an average of 16.6 ppg.  One of the things I love to do when betting NFL Playoffs is take teams with great defenses.  This season, the Jags owned the AFC's best defense, as they gave up just 16.75 ppg.  And home teams with a scoring defense at least 5 ppg better than their opponent have cashed 59.1% in the Playoffs since 1980.  Additionally, NFL Favorites of -3.5 (or more) points are an awesome 12-0 SU/ATS since 1991 off back to back losses!  Finally, the Jaguars also fall into 87-30, 29-0 and 60-22 ATS Playoff Systems of mine.  Take the Jaguars.  5* NFL Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Atlanta.  It's true that the Rams have not made the Playoffs in 13 years, while the Falcons reached the Super Bowl last season.  But I believe Playoff "experience" is vastly over-rated.  Instead, I prefer to back the much better team.  And that's surely the Los Angeles Rams.  LA had a better W/L record (11-5), a better ATS win percentage (.562), a better scoring margin (+6.93), and a better point spread differential (+8.90).  The most significant difference was on the offensive side of the ball, as LA scored 29.8 ppg, while Atlanta managed to score just 22.0 ppg.  And NFL home teams have cashed 63% in the Playoffs over the last 34 years if they weren't favored by 8+ points, and they averaged at least 27.3 ppg.  Moreover, notwithstanding its post-season success last year, Atlanta's still a money-burning 6-14 ATS in the Playoffs its last 20, including 1-9 ATS off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Rams.  NFL High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Tennessee.  The Chiefs' roller-coaster season was bookended with 5 SU/ATS wins at the front, and 4 SU/ATS wins at the end (with a 1-6 SU/ATS stretch in the middle).  I look for them to annihilate the Titans, as Tennessee enters the Playoffs with the 2nd-worst scoring defense of all the Playoff teams.  And Playoff road underdogs of 7+ points, that give up 21.75 (or more) points per game, have covered just 25 percent since 1984!  Even worse:  the Titans defeated Jacksonville, 15-10, last week at home.  But the Titans are an awful 1-15 ATS off a home win by more than three points!  Take Kansas City.  NFL Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Rams and 49ers to go 'under' the total.  These two teams met earlier this season in San Francisco, and the Rams came away with a 41-39 victory.  I look for a much lower scoring game on Sunday, as rematches of games where each team scored 28+ points have gone 'under' the total 61.4% since 1980 when the line was greater than 41 points.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Christmas Day, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Texans were walloped by Jacksonville last week, 45-7.  And that was Houston’s fourth straight loss.  But this is a perfect spot to take Houston to bounce back, and I think they’ll easily cover vs. the Steelers.  Last week, Pittsburgh suffered, perhaps, the most brutal loss of the entire season, as they seemingly scored the game winning touchdown vs. New England, but had it overturned on a technicality by the replay officials.  I’ve always found that close losses are more difficult to bounce back from than blowout losses, and the way the Steelers lost will surely affect them emotionally.  The other big factor here is that Houston is at home, and getting points, while the Steelers are laying points on the road.  And home underdogs generally bounce back off blowout losses.  Indeed, for technical support, consider that NFL home underdogs of +4 or more points, off a loss by 28 or more points, are 20-1 ATS their last 21 vs. opponents also off a loss.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Arizona.  We played on the Giants last week, and got the $$$, even though New York lost outright, 34-29, to the Eagles (but covered as a 7-point underdog).  The Giants have dropped their last four games, straight-up, and are 2-12 on the season.  But I love them to pull the outright upset this afternoon vs. the 6-8 Cardinals, as they fall into a 102-42 ATS system of mine.  Even better:  NFL road teams off 4+ losses, and not getting more than 4 points, have covered 81% since 1980 if they're matched up against a foe whose W/L percentage is more than 25% better.  Take New York.  Underdog Shocker.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over Minnesota.  The Packers lost at Carolina last week, but they're back home at Lambeau Field for this game against their NFC North division rival.  And NFC North division teams are 58-30 ATS off a loss vs. a division foe off a win!  Even better:  Green Bay plays with revenge vs. Minnesota from an upset loss earlier this season.  And teams from the NFC North (or its forerunner, the NFC Central) are 29-6 ATS as underdogs of more than 6 points when playing with revenge vs. a division foe.  Take Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Indianapolis.  The Ravens blew out Cleveland, 27-10, last week, while Indy fell to the Broncos, 25-13.  We'll lay the points with the Ravens, as they are 17-0 ATS at home off a win by more than 15 points, when playing an opponent off a loss.  Take Baltimore.  NFL High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs and Atlanta Falcons to go 'under' the total.  This play is purely technical in nature, and based on the season stats of Tampa and Atlanta.  It falls into 116-60 and 169-111 Totals systems of mine (both of which supported our play last Monday on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game).  Interestingly, these two teams have combined for 54, 71 and 55 points in their three previous meetings.  The knee-jerk reaction, then, might be to look for another high-scoring game tonight.  But consider that division games that have combined for 54+ points in each of the three previous meetings have gone 'under' the total 67.6% of the time over the past 27 years.  Finally, Tampa Bay is a solid 19-9 'under' the total its last 28 division games at home (including 8-2 'under' its last 10), while Atlanta is 8-3-2 'under' its last 13 division road games.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Dallas, as Oakland falls into a 124-55 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs.  Dallas does come into this game off back to back blowout wins, as it defeated Washington, 38-14, two weeks ago.  And it smashed the Giants, 30-10, last Sunday.  Unfortunately for the Cowboys, unrested NFL road teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored 30+ points in each game, have gone 121-162 ATS.  That doesn't bode well for the Cowboys at Oakland.  And neither does the fact that, late in the season, NFL home underdogs have excelled, as they've cashed 57.4% off a straight-up loss, at Week 14 forward.  Finally, Dallas is 7-6 SU/ATS this season.  But it's a woeful 24-41 ATS as a road favorite if it owned a winning SU/ATS record.  Take the points with the Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Minnesota.  The Bengals' 4-game point spread win streak was snapped last Sunday by the Chicago Bears, as Cincy lost, 33-7, as a 6-point favorite.  But underdogs of more than 3 points, off a double-digit loss as a favorite of -6 points (or more), have cashed 63.3% over the last 30 years.  And the Bengals also fall into a 140-62 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Finally, Cincinnati is 19-5 ATS as an underdog of more than 6 points vs. non-division foes off a loss (including 9-0 ATS their last nine), while the Vikings have covered just 10 of 37 as a 7-point (or greater) favorite off a loss.  Take Cincy.  NFL Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore.  It's true that the Browns are 0-13 on the season (and 1-28 the past two seasons).  But it's also a team which is still playing hard.  Last week, it fought gamely against a Green Bay team still in the Playoff hunt, and lost in overtime, 27-21.  The week before, it played a Chargers squad that's currently won 7 of 9, yet lost by just nine points, 19-10.  This week, it will take on the Baltimore Ravens, who lost, 39-38, at Pittsburgh last week.  And the fact that Cleveland has yet to win means that it will continue to fight hard for that maiden victory.  Indeed, 0-13 (or worse) teams have gone 8-2 ATS in the season's final three weeks.  Even more impressive is the fact that those teams went 5-5 straight-up, notwithstanding the fact that they were underdogs in each game (with an average point spread of +9.15).  Finally, the Ravens have covered just six of 24 games off back-to-back point spread wins.  Don't be surprised if Cleveland wins, straight-up.  Take the points with the Browns.  NFL Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  Certainly, Philadelphia caught a tough break last week when its 1st string quarterback, Carson Wentz, was lost to injury for the remainder of the season.  So, now, the Eagles will turn to their 2nd string QB, Nick Foles.  Interestingly, the NFC’s top two teams — Minnesota and Philadelphia — both have backup quarterbacks as their starter, so it may be premature to shovel dirt on the Eagles’ grave, as the Vikings are clearly proving that you can have extreme success with a back-up QB.  That being said, I’m still going to take the points with the New York Giants on Sunday.  One reason is that this will be the Eagles’ third straight road game.  And NFL teams are a wallet-busting 71-121 ATS when playing their 3rd straight road game, provided they’re not off back to back losses in the previous two.  That bodes well for the Giants.  As does the fact that home underdogs (or PK) are 169-123 ATS at Week 14 forward, if they’re off a SU/ATS loss.  Take New York.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  The Jets were shutout, 23-0, in an upset loss last week at Denver.  But teams off a 21-point (or worse) upset shutout loss have covered 63% over the past 25 years.  Take the New York Jets.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins minus the points over Arizona.  The Redskins return home off back to back road losses at Dallas, and at the Chargers.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals are off an upset win over Tennessee.  But .260 (or better) teams have gone 48-22 ATS off back to back road losses, when matched up against foes off upset wins.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Chicago/Detroit game.  Both of these teams went 'under' the total last week.  Chicago defeated Cincy, 33-7, and that game went under the posted total of 40.5 by a half-point.  Meanwhile, Detroit and Tampa Bay combined for 45 points, which stayed under that game's total of 48.  The Bears are 9-4 'under' this season, and have also gone 'under' in 31 of 54 division games.  And this game also falls into a 157-94 Totals system of mine.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts Over the total.  The Colts lost in overtime to Buffalo last week, 13-7.  And that was the fifth straight 'Under' played by the Colts.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play this game 'Under' the total as well, especially since Denver was also involved in a very low-scoring game (23-0) last week vs. the Jets.  But consider that NFL teams off 4 straight 'Unders' have gone 'OVER' THE TOTAL 133-86-6 (60.7%) if they scored less than 13 points in their previous game, including 92-46-3 'OVER' if the line was 37+ points!  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game, as it falls into a 90-55 Totals System of mine.  Additionally, both of these teams come into Monday's game off stellar defensive performances.  The Dolphins held Denver to just 9 points last week, while New England surrendered just 3 points to Buffalo.  And NFL match-ups, between two teams that each held their respective previous opponent to less than 10 points, have gone 'Under' 77% of the time since 1980 when the Over/Under line was 45+ points!  Moreover, New England is currently on an 8-game win streak keyed by its defense.  The Patriots' stop unit hasn't allowed any opponent to score more than 17 points throughout this stretch, and has gone 'Under' in six of the eight games.  Take the 'Under.'  Monday Night Football Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over Baltimore.  Pittsburgh was our preseason pick (at 12-1 odds) to win the Super Bowl, and it has done nothing to disappoint thus far.  Mike Tomlin's men are 10-2 straight-up, including 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS here at home.  And Pittsburgh has long had tremendous success at home, especially in this price range, as it is 89-27-1 SU and 72-44-1 ATS when priced between -3.5 and -7 points!  That bodes well for Pittsburgh on Sunday night.  As does the fact that the Steelers are 18-7-1 ATS as a home favorite of -2.5 (or more) points vs. Baltimore, including 10-1-1 ATS if the Ravens were off a point spread win.  Finally, Baltimore comes into this game off a 44-20 blowout win over Detroit.  But the Ravens are a woeful 8-25-4 ATS on the road off a win by more than 18 points, including 0-11 ATS when getting more than 3 points.  Take Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Seattle.  Last week, we had a big play on the Seattle Seahawks as a home underdog vs. Philadelphia.  And Seattle rewarded us with an upset win at home.  Unfortunately, they now have to go on the road.  And winning teams are a dreadful 39-74 ATS on the road vs. other winning teams, if our road team was off an upset win at home in its previous game.  Take Jacksonville.  Good luck as always…Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos over the NY Jets.  Last week, the Denver Broncos were favored by 1.5 points at Miami, but lost, 35-9.  Meanwhile, the New York Jets upset Kansas City, 38-31, as a 4-point home underdog.  Now, Denver has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll grab the points, as NFL home teams have cashed 80% over the past 17 years off an upset road loss if they're now matched up against an opponent off an upset win, and are not favored by 3+ points.  Also, Denver's 27-14-2 ATS its last 43 as home underdogs.  Take Denver.  NFL Elite Info Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Kansas City/Oakland game.  Both of these teams have been playing relatively low-scoring games, of late.  The Raiders have gone 'under' in three straight, while the Chiefs have gone 'under' in three of their last four.  The Chiefs have gone 'under' in 9 of 13 division games at home with Over/Under lines greater than 42, while the Raiders have gone 'under' in 24 of 31 division games on the road with Over/Under lines greater than 42 (including the last 5 in a row).  Take the 'under.'

At 1 pm our selection is on the Carolina Panthers over Minnesota.  This will be Minnesota’s 3rd straight road game.  And NFL teams have gone a poor 71-120 against the spread since 1980 if they were playing their 3rd straight road game, and weren’t off back to back losses in the other two games.  Even worse for the Vikings:  they’ve won eight straight games, and covered their last seven.  But as we saw with the Philadelphia Eagles last week in their upset loss to the Seahawks, road teams that are favored (or PK em) off 7 straight point spread wins have covered just 35% over the last 38 years.  Take Carolina.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Atlanta/New Orleans game, as it falls into 113-60 and 165-110 Totals systems of mine.  Additionally, the Saints have gone 'under' in 30 of 44 division road games since Nov. 17, 2002, including 19-4 'under' when priced as a single-digit underdog (or PK).  And the Falcons have gone 'under' in 16 of 19 games (84.2%) after scoring 21 or less points in their previous game.  Finally, seven of the last nine meetings between these two clubs in Atlanta have gone 'under' (as have 11 of the last 15 when the O/U line was greater than 45 points).  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Pittsburgh.  These two division rivals met earlier this season in the Steel City, and the Steelers blew out the Bengals, 29-14.  Pittsburgh's 9-2 on the season, while Cincy's just 5-6, but we'll fade Mike Tomlin's men on Monday.  And that's because NFL teams with a .750 (or better) record, that won the season's first meeting, have cashed just 30% on the road vs. losing foes.  That bodes well for the Bengals on Monday.  As does the fact that NFL home dogs of 6 or less points are a super 85-48 ATS in the season's final five weeks, if they're within one game of .500 (whether 1 game above .500, 1 game below .500 or exactly .500).  Take the Bengals.  Monday Night Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Carolina.  This NFC South division matchup is between the two teams that currently are atop the standings, as each comes in with an 8-3 record.  The Panthers are on a 4-game SU/ATS run.  Unfortunately, unrested NFL road teams, with a winning record, off 3 SU/ATS wins, are a poor 52-95 ATS vs. foes not off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The Saints blew out Carolina by 21 points in the first meeting this season, and they're 11-2 their last 13 NFC South division contests.  Lay the points.  NFC South Division Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.