At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over Boise State.  This is a great match-up of two Top 25-ranked teams.  Okie State is led by senior QB Taylor Cornelius, who has masterfully directed the Cowboys' up-tempo offense in their first two games.  Cornelius has passed for 728 yards, with six touchdown passes.  Last week, Oklahoma State rolled up 55 points vs. an outmatched South Alabama squad.  And Okie State is 36-11 ATS off a win, in which it scored 50+ points.  Meanwhile, Boise's covered just 17 of 46 road games vs. foes off a win, if Boise wasn't getting 3.5 (or more) points.  And the Broncos have also just covered 36% on the road vs. foes that scored 42+ in their previous game.  Take Oklahoma St.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets minus the points over Pittsburgh.  Last week, we played against Ga Tech, and got the $$$ when South Florida came back from a double-digit, 4th quarter deficit to upset the Jackets, 49-38.  If there was a silver lining for Paul Johnson's squad, it was that it out-gained South Florida on offense, 602 yards to 426.  Unfortunately, they coughed up 2 interceptions and 1 fumble (while only forcing 1 turnover on defense).  And they allowed 2 kick returns to go for touchdowns.  Johnson stated in his press conference that personnel changes (e.g., using more veterans) would be made to shore up his kick return defense, so that should help.  It's also worth noting that Georgia Tech is 5-0 ATS the last couple of years after a game where it had a negative 2 (or worse) turnover differential.  Last season, Georgia Tech blew out Pitt, 35-17, and out-yarded the Panthers 484 to 235.  This will be a similar beatdown.  Lay the points.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Florida State.  The Orange are 2-0 SU and ATS after smashing Western Michigan and Wagner the last two weekends.  In contrast, Florida State has gotten out of the gate slowly, with an upset loss to ACC Conference foe Virginia Tech on Labor Day, followed by an unimpressive 36-26 win last week, at home, vs. Samford.  The Seminoles have not covered an ACC Conference game in their last nine, which certainly doesn't bode well for them, here.  And neither does the fact that the Orange have piled up 117 points in their first two games, as home dogs of more than 2 points, with a scoring average greater than 29.5 points, are 229-152-4 ATS!  Take Syracuse.  High Noon Hanging!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  Both of these teams finished last season with winning records.  But KC (10-6) earned a trip to the Playoffs, while the Chargers (9-7) barely missed out.  And the fact that Los Angeles lost both regular season games to the Chiefs is the main reason which KC was able to edge out the Chargers for that post-season berth.  I love the Chargers to avenge those two losses, as home favorites of less than 7 points (or PK) have cashed 75.5% ATS when playing with double revenge from two losses to a division rival the previous season, if our home team also had a winning record in that previous season.  Take the Chargers.  NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over BYU.  Last Saturday, the Cougars went into Arizona and upset the Wildcats, 28-23, as an 11.5-point underdog.  BYU now returns home to take on another Pac-12 Conference team in the California Golden Bears, who also won last week -- by 7 -- at home vs. North Carolina.  I look for BYU to have a major letdown on Saturday night, as favorites of less than 16 points have covered just 20.6 percent of the time since 1980 off an upset win (as a dog of +6 or more points) in their season opener.  Additionally, Pac-12 Conference underdogs of +11 (or less) points are a solid 162-115, 58.4% ATS since 1980 in non-conference games, including 67-38 ATS vs. foes off an ATS win.  Take California + the points.  NCAA Football Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio Red Hawks over the Cincinnati Bearcats.  Last week, the Bearcats went into the Rose Bowl, and upset UCLA, 26-17, as a 14-point underdog.  Now, they'll come back to the Queen City to play their rival, Miami-Ohio, at Paul Brown Stadium.  This is the most-played, currently active rivalry between non-conference teams, as this will be the 123rd meeting.  Miami leads the series 59-56-7, but Cincinnati has won the last 12 games in a row.  I look for Miami to snap this long losing streak, as revenge-minded teams have cashed 74.1% since 1982 vs. non-conference foes off an upset win as a 2-touchdown underdog!  Moreover, Cincy has covered just 25 of 63 off a road win, while Miami-Ohio has gone 21-10 ATS off a SU/ATS home loss.  Take the Red Hawks.  NCAA Rivalry Game of the Week!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over TCU.  Last week, in its home opener, TCU smashed Southern U., 55-7, while SMU lost at North Texas, 46-23.  This Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex rivalry has been owned by the Horned Frogs for the last six years, including a 56-36 victory last season.  But even though the Mustangs haven't won outright since 2011, they've covered the point spread for three of the last six seasons (and 10 of the last 15 meetings).  As with many heated rivalries, the underdog has brought home the bacon in this series, as the dog has gone 22-12-1 ATS since 1980.  Even worse for TCU:  double-digit Road Favorites, off a home win in their season opener the previous week, have cashed just 26% since 1980 against revenge-minded foes off a loss!  Finally, SMU falls into a 126-68 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams playing with revenge from a blowout loss by more than 15 points.  Take the Mustangs.  Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders + the points over Vanderbilt.  This will be the final season that Middle Tennessee coach Rick Stockstill will have his son, Brent Stockstill, as the team's starting QB.  And his son is one of 16 returning starters (eight offensive; eight defensive) for the Blue Raiders (in contrast, Vandy returns just 12 starters).  Stockstill's accomplished a lot in his MTSU career as the QB, including setting school records for touchdowns (77), passing yards per game (288.7) and completions (729).  However, one thing he's never done is defeat Vanderbilt.  Last season, the Commodores blew out Middle Tennessee, 28-6, as a 2.5-point favorite.  And they also defeated the Blue Raiders, 47-24, two seasons ago, and 17-13 the year before that.  We'll grab the points with Middle Tennessee in a revenge role on Saturday night, as they fall into a 54-23 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take Middle Tennessee.  NCAA Football Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines over Notre Dame.  When these two midwest rivals last met, the Fighting Irish whitewashed Michigan, 31-0.  I look for Michigan to avenge that defeat, as teams that were shutout in their previous meeting have gone 128-93-6 ATS if they weren't an underdog of 4+ points in the current game.  Moreover, in a season's opening game for both teams, it's been extremely profitable to play on teams that were shutout in the previous meeting, as they've gone 61.6% ATS the past 38 seasons, including a perfect 8-0 ATS since 2012.  Finally, the team that lost the previous meeting in this series has gone 20-7 ATS since 1981, including a perfect 11-0 ATS when priced from PK to +7.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over SMU.  Last year, the Mean Green lost by 22 points to their Dallas Metroplex rival, SMU.  And that was the 3rd straight loss suffered by North Texas to SMU over the last three seasons.  But SMU was favored in each of those games.  And the favorite has actually won and covered four straight in this series.  This season, the Mean Green have been installed as the favorite, and North Texas has cashed 64.7% the past seven years as a home favorite (and 60% the past 18 years).  Additionally, SMU has been very poor as a road underdog or 10 points or less (or PK), as it's covered just 9 of 42 games since 1994, including 0-12 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Finally, North Texas falls into a 34-12 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with double-revenge.  Take the Mean Green.  Perfect 10 Club play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers over Washington.  It's easy to forget just how good the Auburn Tigers were last season, given how they finished (with two straight losses).  But at the end of the last year's regular season, the Tigers were ranked 2nd in the nation, and owned wins over both Alabama (26-14) and Georgia (40-17) -- the two teams that eventually competed in the Championship Game.  Unfortunately for Auburn, it had to defeat Georgia a second time in the SEC Championship game, but fell to the Bulldogs, 28-7.  And it, not surprisingly, had a letdown in the Peach Bowl and lost to Central Florida, 34-27.  But it's a new season, and the Tigers enter it ranked 9th in the AP's Poll, and 10th in the Coaches' Poll.  On Saturday afternoon, they'll play the 6th-ranked Washington Huskies at a neutral (but SEC friendly) site -- Atlanta's Mercedes-Benz Stadium.  The SEC has long been the best football conference in the country, while the Pac-12 Conference hasn't won a National Championship in 14 seasons (the longest, current stretch of failure among the Power 5 Conferences).  With that as a backdrop, it's awfully tough to go against a great SEC team at this price.  Indeed, since 1981, SEC teams that had a win percentage of .700 (or better) the previous season, have gone 46-12 straight-up and 39-18-1 ATS in their opening game, if against a non-conference foe, and priced from +3.5 to -21 points (and 16-5 ATS if their opponent also had a win percentage the previous year of .700+).  Take Auburn.  NCAA Elite Info Play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New England.  The Eagles upset the Vikings as 3-point home underdogs.  And it wasn't even close, as the Eagles won by 31 points (38-7).  Meanwhile, the Patriots failed to cover vs. Jacksonville, as they won by just four (24-20), as a 7.5-point favorite.  That doesn't bode well for New England in the Super Bowl, as teams off a point spread defeat in the Conference Championship round have covered just 25% in Super Bowls since 1980.  Moreover, it's tough to play away from home in the post-season, and lay points to a team -- like Philadelphia -- with the better defense (the Eagles' defense rates 1.0 ppg better than the Patriots' defense).  Indeed, Playoff teams that owned the better defense have covered 73% in this situation over the last 38 years (and 85% if they were getting 3+ points).  Finally, teams (like Philadelphia) off back to back wins in which they weren't favored by 3+ points in either of those victories, have gone 8-0-1 ATS in Super Bowls since 1998.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles to go OVER the total.  The Over falls into several of my best Totals systems, with records of 49-15, 90-62 and 98-58 since 1980.  Also, over the past six Playoff seasons, Bill Belichick's Patriots have gone 'over' the total 9-4-1, including a perfect 5-0 'over' if New England didn't go 'over' in its previous game.  Meanwhile, the Eagles have gone 'over' the total in 16 of their last 20 games away from home, including 10-0 'over' if the Eagles were an underdog of +6 points or less.  Finally, the Patriots have generally gone 'over' the total when Belichick has had two weeks to prepare, as they've gone 'over' 12-2 the past six seasons in this situation, including 6-0 'over' the past three seasons.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Philadelphia/Minnesota game.  The Eagles have played three extremely low-scoring games in a row.  Last week, they defeated Atlanta, 15-10.  Prior to that, they were shut out by Dallas, 6-0, and won 19-10 vs. Oakland.  Those three games went 'under' their respective totals by 15, 35 and 17 points.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'under' in this game, but the Over falls into a 65.3% Totals system of mine which plays on certain teams off Unders to reverse course and play a high-scoring game.  Also, the Eagles have gone 'Over' 81% since 1999 off 3 or more Unders, while Playoff favorites (like Minnesota) off a high-scoring playoff game in which more than 51 points were scored, have gone 'Over' the total 64% since 1997.  Take the Over.  NFL Total of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New England/Jacksonville game.  We played on the Over last week in both the New England/Tennessee game, and the Jacksonville/Pittsburgh game, and got the cash in each.  And we'll come right back with the Over for this game.  The Patriots have now gone 8-0-1 Over in their last nine Playoff games at home or on a neutral field!  And the Jaguars are currently riding a 4-2 Over streak.  Also, since 1988, NFL Playoff teams have gone 'Over' the total 70% of the time after scoring 44+ points in their previous playoff game (and 79% if the Over/Under line was 45+ points).  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Jacksonville.  Last week, we played on both Jacksonville and New England, and easily got the $$$ with both.  As I mentioned last week, in our analysis of the Tennessee/New England game, in the NFL Playoffs, road underdogs of +3.5 or more points are awful off an upset win (now 39-80-1 ATS).  That same angle applies to Jacksonville, here, off its upset win at Pittsburgh.  Moreover, the Jaguars fall into a negative 2-23 ATS Playoff system of mine, as well as a 33-88 ATS angle.  Finally, favorites priced from -2.5 to -9.5 are 37-19 ATS in the Conference Championship round since 1984.  Take the Patriots.  Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the 'over' in the Minnesota/New Orleans game, as it falls into 46-19, 47-15 and 96-57 Totals systems of mine.  The Saints are averaging over 28 points per game this season.  And in the NFL playoffs, teams that average more than 27.45 ppg have gone 'Over' the total 62.26% of the time when the over/under line is more than 43 points.  Additionally, New Orleans is 9-2 'Over' its last 11 when the line was between 42 and 49 points.  And Playoff games where at least one team is rested have gone 'over' the total 57% since 1980.  This will be a high-scoring game.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Jaguars come into today's game off three straight point spread defeats.  That will keep many bettors off Jacksonville.  But not me.  Indeed, since 1984, NFL Playoff teams have cashed 15 of 19 if they were on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, provided they were not favored by 3 or more points.  And if their opponent was off back to back wins, then our system zooms to 11-1 ATS.  Jacksonville also falls into 30-1 and 82-22 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Jags + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Pittsburgh/Jacksonville game.  In the Jaguars' last game, they managed to score just 10 points, in a 10-3 win.  That game's combined point total of 13 points will keep many bettors off the 'Over' here, but that knee-jerk reaction will more than likely be the wrong move.  Indeed, NFL games have gone 'Over' in 46 of 70 games, with Over/Under lines less than 43 points, if one of the teams played a game the previous week which didn't total 14+ points.  Moreover, the Steelers are 26-8 'Over' the total in the Playoffs when the line was less than 47 points, including 13-0 'Over' since Jan. 11, 1998 when they played at home, or on a neutral field.  And the Jags have gone 'Over' the total 44 of 71 when the Over/Under line was 44 or less, and the Jags went 'Under' the total in their previous game.  Finally, the Over falls into a 51-24 Playoff Totals system of mine.  Take the 'Over.'  NFL Elite Info Totals Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the New England/Tennessee game.  The Patriots have played 15 home playoff games over the last 11 seasons.  And just three of those 15 games have gone 'Under' the total!  That bodes well for this being a high-scoring game.  Additionally, the 'Over' falls into a 61-29 Totals system of mine.  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Tennessee.  Last week, the Titans came back from an 18-point deficit to stun the Kansas City Chiefs, 22-21, as an 8.5-point underdog.  Unfortunately, since 1982, in the NFL Playoffs, road underdogs of +3.5 or more points are an awful 39-77-1 ATS off an upset win.  That doesn’t bode well for the Titans on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that the Patriots are 6-0 straight-up and 5-1 ATS at home in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs the past six seasons.  Finally, over the past 26 years, NFL double digit road underdogs, with a win percentage less than .700, have covered just 4 of 24 Playoff games, including 0-7 ATS the past seven seasons.  Take New England.

At 4:35 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over Atlanta.  The Eagles are the #1 seed in the NFC, but stumbled into the playoffs with three straight ATS defeats to end the season, including a 6-0 shutout loss in their final game.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Philly.  But NFL teams have gone 10-0 ATS in their initial playoff game, if they lost against the point spread in their last three regular season games; they weren't favored by 3+ points; and their foe was NOT off back to back ATS losses.  Additionally, the Eagles fall into 76-16, 29-1 and 81-22 ATS systems of mine.  Finally, home underdogs are a solid 24-13 ATS in the Playoffs, while home teams are 12-1 ATS off shutout home losses, when matched up against foes off SU/ATS wins.  Take Philly + the points.  NFL Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Atlanta/Philadelphia game.  The Falcons have gone 'Under' in six straight games.  But this should be a relatively high-scoring game, as NFL teams have gone 'Over' in 141 of 250 games off 5+ 'Unders' when the line was 42 or less points.  Take the 'Over.'

At 8:45 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Georgia.  Back in late November, I recommended a futures wager on the Crimson Tide +425 to win the National Championship, as I thought it was the best team in the country, and I had no doubt it would be eventually selected for the Playoffs ahead of the team which would win the Ohio State/Wisconsin game.  The Crimson Tide easily blew out the team (Clemson) which ranked #2 in my power ratings, and now they'll face a very solid Georgia ballclub.  But, as I wrote in my analysis last week for the 'Bama/Clemson game, Nick Saban (along with Urban Meyer) is one of the two best coaches in College Football.  And he excels in competitively-priced games, with point spreads less than five points.  In that situation, he's a fantastic 36-17 SU/ATS, including a PERFECT 8-0 SU/ATS in the Post-Season!  That bodes well for the Crimson Tide in this Championship game.  As does the fact that the Tide has won the last three meetings vs. the Bulldogs, by an average of 14.33 ppg.  Finally, the Tide has the best scoring defense in the country, as it gives up just 11 ppg.  And, since 1989, favorites of -10 or less points have cashed 64.5% in the Bowls (including a perfect 4-0 this season) if they don't give up more than 19 ppg, and their defense is at least 4.5 points better than their opponent's defense.  Take Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Atlanta.  It's true that the Rams have not made the Playoffs in 13 years, while the Falcons reached the Super Bowl last season.  But I believe Playoff "experience" is vastly over-rated.  Instead, I prefer to back the much better team.  And that's surely the Los Angeles Rams.  LA had a better W/L record (11-5), a better ATS win percentage (.562), a better scoring margin (+6.93), and a better point spread differential (+8.90).  The most significant difference was on the offensive side of the ball, as LA scored 29.8 ppg, while Atlanta managed to score just 22.0 ppg.  And NFL home teams have cashed 63% in the Playoffs over the last 34 years if they weren't favored by 8+ points, and they averaged at least 27.3 ppg.  Moreover, notwithstanding its post-season success last year, Atlanta's still a money-burning 6-14 ATS in the Playoffs its last 20, including 1-9 ATS off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Rams.  NFL High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Tennessee.  The Chiefs' roller-coaster season was bookended with 5 SU/ATS wins at the front, and 4 SU/ATS wins at the end (with a 1-6 SU/ATS stretch in the middle).  I look for them to annihilate the Titans, as Tennessee enters the Playoffs with the 2nd-worst scoring defense of all the Playoff teams.  And Playoff road underdogs of 7+ points, that give up 21.75 (or more) points per game, have covered just 25 percent since 1984!  Even worse:  the Titans defeated Jacksonville, 15-10, last week at home.  But the Titans are an awful 1-15 ATS off a home win by more than three points!  Take Kansas City.  NFL Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, on New Year's Day, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Clemson.  Nick Saban (along with Urban Meyer) is one of the two best coaches in College Football.  And he excels in competitively-priced games, with point spreads less than five points.  In that situation, he's a fantastic 35-17 SU/ATS, including a PERFECT 7-0 SU/ATS in the Post-Season!  I won't fade those numbers.  Moreover, Alabama is 58-26 ATS since 1984 when playing away from home off a point spread defeat.  And teams off upset losses to end their season have cashed 62% in bowl games when not laying 3.5+ points.  Finally, defending National Champions (like Clemson) are an awful 9-26-1 ATS off a SU/ATS win when not laying more than 10 points, including 0-7-1 ATS as an underdog. Take Alabama.  BOWL FAVORITE OF THE YEAR!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Rams and 49ers to go 'under' the total.  These two teams met earlier this season in San Francisco, and the Rams came away with a 41-39 victory.  I look for a much lower scoring game on Sunday, as rematches of games where each team scored 28+ points have gone 'under' the total 61.4% since 1980 when the line was greater than 41 points.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Miami Fla Hurricanes + the points over Wisconsin.  The Hurricanes stumbled down the stretch with back-to-back losses to Pittsburgh and Clemson end their season.  But I love Miami to rebound here, as Bowl teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have cashed 61% since 1980 when not favored by 3+ points.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Iowa State.  The Tigers ended their season with a loss at Central Florida in the American Athletic Conf. Championship game, while ISU fell by a point, at Kansas State.  But even though Memphis lost in the American Athletic Conf. Title game, just playing in that sort of atmosphere generally is of great benefit to teams in the Bowl games.  Indeed, if one plays on a Bowl team which made its Conference Championship game, one would have cashed 55% in the Bowls, including 62% if our team wasn't favored by more than 4 points.  That bodes well for the Tigers this afternoon.  As does the fact that the Tigers will be playing at home, in the Liberty Bowl.  And home teams off losses have cashed 63.1% in Bowl games since 1980.  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Louisville.  The Cardinals and Bulldogs both finished the season with solid 8-4 records, though Miss State owned the better ATS mark (7-5 ATS compared to Louisville's 5-7 ATS).  The Bulldogs, though, were upset in their last game, 31-28, by Ole Miss, while Louisville blew out Kentucky, 44-17.  Unfortunately for Louisville, teams off SU/ATS wins have been dreadful away from home in Bowl games vs. foes off upset losses, when favored by 3+ points, as they've cashed just 20.5% over the last 37 years.  Take Mississippi State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Northwestern.  Kentucky was 7-5 on the season, but finished its regular season with back-to-back losses, at Georgia, and at home vs. Louisville.  However, those two opponents were superior to Kentucky, which as installed as a double-digit underdog in each game, so there was no great shame in losing each of them.  In contrast, Northwestern ended its regular season with two dominant defensive performances:  a 39-0 shutout of the Golden Gophers, and a 42-7 blowout of Illinois, and finished the season with a 9-3 record.  But it must be noted that neither of Northwestern's last two opponents was very good this season.  Illinois was 2-10, and finished the year on an 10-game losing streak (and averaged just 13.1 ppg over its last nine games).  Minnesota was better than Illinois, but it still only won five of its 12 games (and only won two of its nine Big 10 Conference games).  It also ended the season with back-to-back shutout losses, and scored 10 points or less in four of its final five games.  So, all of this puts Northwestern's last two defensive games in a better perspective.  We'll fade Northwestern, as .900 (or worse) Bowl teams have gone 0-15 ATS over the last 21 years if they didn't give up 13+ points in each of their two previous games, and they were not playing an opponent with a better record.  Also, underdogs off back to back losses have covered 69% in the Bowls over the last 38 years vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Kentucky.  NCAA FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Michigan State.  Wazzu has been installed as the underdog in this match-up vs. the Spartans.  But we'll grab the points, as rested Pac-12 Conference teams have gone 21-0 ATS since 1980 vs. non-conference foes off a win, if our Pac-12 team owned a W/L percentage of .600 (or better).  Take Washington State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Naval Academy over Virginia.  There are two things that I try to not do when betting the Bowl games.  One is to go against a Service Academy.  As I mentioned last weekend in my write-up for my NCAA Game of the Week Winner on Army, the Service Academies have excelled in the Bowls.  They're now 32-14 ATS (following Army's win) since 1980.  And the other thing I will rarely do in Bowl games is go against a team playing at home.  This game, of course, is being played in Annapolis, at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.  And that's a big disadvantage for Virginia, which is 7-27 ATS on the road when priced from +1 to -11 points vs. .375 (or better) foes.  Take Navy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Boston College.  The Iowa Hawkeyes' senior class has lost Bowl games each of the past three seasons, so I expect the Hawkeyes to be extremely motivated this afternoon to break their losing streak in the Bowls.  Iowa falls into 135-84, 36-25 and 89-38 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Hawkeyes. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Duke.  The Huskies were upset, 31-24, as a 2.5-point favorite in their final regular season game by Central Michigan.  Meanwhile, Duke stunned Wake Forest, 31-23, as a 10.5-point underdog to end its regular season.  Unfortunately for the Blue Devils, teams have covered just 34.7% in the Bowls since 1980 off an upset win, if they covered by more than 10 points in that upset, and they're now matched up against an opponent off an upset loss.  Additionally, the Huskies are 7-0 ATS since 2012 vs. foes off an upset win.  Take the Huskies + the points.

At 4:30 pm, on Christmas Day, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Texans were walloped by Jacksonville last week, 45-7.  And that was Houston’s fourth straight loss.  But this is a perfect spot to take Houston to bounce back, and I think they’ll easily cover vs. the Steelers.  Last week, Pittsburgh suffered, perhaps, the most brutal loss of the entire season, as they seemingly scored the game winning touchdown vs. New England, but had it overturned on a technicality by the replay officials.  I’ve always found that close losses are more difficult to bounce back from than blowout losses, and the way the Steelers lost will surely affect them emotionally.  The other big factor here is that Houston is at home, and getting points, while the Steelers are laying points on the road.  And home underdogs generally bounce back off blowout losses.  Indeed, for technical support, consider that NFL home underdogs of +4 or more points, off a loss by 28 or more points, are 20-1 ATS their last 21 vs. opponents also off a loss.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars over the Fresno State Bulldogs.  The Bulldogs have had no success in the Bowl games over the past nine years.  They've played in six Bowl games and are a horrid 0-6 SU/ATS.  And they've lost by an average of 19.5 ppg!  Even worse:  since 1980, Fresno State has made 16 bowl games, but it is 0-8 ATS in the Bowls when it wasn't getting 3+ points.  We'll take Houston tonight, as it falls into several of my favorite systems, with records of 112-56, 53-17 and 89-37 ATS.  Take the Cougars.  NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Arizona.  We played on the Giants last week, and got the $$$, even though New York lost outright, 34-29, to the Eagles (but covered as a 7-point underdog).  The Giants have dropped their last four games, straight-up, and are 2-12 on the season.  But I love them to pull the outright upset this afternoon vs. the 6-8 Cardinals, as they fall into a 102-42 ATS system of mine.  Even better:  NFL road teams off 4+ losses, and not getting more than 4 points, have covered 81% since 1980 if they're matched up against a foe whose W/L percentage is more than 25% better.  Take New York.  Underdog Shocker.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over Minnesota.  The Packers lost at Carolina last week, but they're back home at Lambeau Field for this game against their NFC North division rival.  And NFC North division teams are 58-30 ATS off a loss vs. a division foe off a win!  Even better:  Green Bay plays with revenge vs. Minnesota from an upset loss earlier this season.  And teams from the NFC North (or its forerunner, the NFC Central) are 29-6 ATS as underdogs of more than 6 points when playing with revenge vs. a division foe.  Take Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Appalachian State.  These two teams met in last year's Camellia Bowl.  The Mountaineers were favored by a point, and won that game, 31-28.  Thus, Toledo will look to avenge that defeat.  And I think they'll get it, as teams playing with revenge from a loss in the same, or previous season, have generally performed well in Bowl games.  And especially if they didn't lose the previous meeting by 17+ points.  In that situation, they're 13-1-1 ATS since 2008.  Lay the points with Toledo. NCAA Bowl Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Indianapolis.  The Ravens blew out Cleveland, 27-10, last week, while Indy fell to the Broncos, 25-13.  We'll lay the points with the Ravens, as they are 17-0 ATS at home off a win by more than 15 points, when playing an opponent off a loss.  Take Baltimore.  NFL High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over San Diego State.  The Service Academies (Army, Navy and Air Force) have always excelled in the Bowl games, no doubt due to the extreme discipline and preparedness that permeate the programs.  Indeed, dating back to 1980, the three academies are 31-14 ATS in the Bowl games, with Army leading the pack at 5-1, 83% ATS.  And they're a combined 14-3 ATS when getting more than six points.  That bodes well for the Black Knights on Saturday.  As does the fact that the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS their last seven as a favorite in the post-season.   Finally, Army led the nation with 356 rushing yards per game, and also was among the Top 5 in yards per rush, with 6.1.  And over the last 22 seasons, underdogs of more than four points have cashed 100% (10-0 ATS) in the Bowls if they average at least 5.75 yards per rush.  Take Army.  NCAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Central Michigan.  Wyoming ended its season with two straight defeats.  It lost 13-7, at home, to Fresno State.  And then was upset, 20-17, as an 18-point favorite at San Jose St.  But QB Josh Allen didn't play in either game.  He's expected to be back under center this afternoon, and that will greatly help the Cowboys' offense.  Meanwhile, Central Michigan upset Northern Illinois, 31-24, as a 2.5-point underdog in its last regular season game.  Unfortunately, since 1980, teams off upset wins to end their regular season have cashed just 36% in Bowl games away from home vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Wyoming.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs and Atlanta Falcons to go 'under' the total.  This play is purely technical in nature, and based on the season stats of Tampa and Atlanta.  It falls into 116-60 and 169-111 Totals systems of mine (both of which supported our play last Monday on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game).  Interestingly, these two teams have combined for 54, 71 and 55 points in their three previous meetings.  The knee-jerk reaction, then, might be to look for another high-scoring game tonight.  But consider that division games that have combined for 54+ points in each of the three previous meetings have gone 'under' the total 67.6% of the time over the past 27 years.  Finally, Tampa Bay is a solid 19-9 'under' the total its last 28 division games at home (including 8-2 'under' its last 10), while Atlanta is 8-3-2 'under' its last 13 division road games.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Dallas, as Oakland falls into a 124-55 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs.  Dallas does come into this game off back to back blowout wins, as it defeated Washington, 38-14, two weeks ago.  And it smashed the Giants, 30-10, last Sunday.  Unfortunately for the Cowboys, unrested NFL road teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored 30+ points in each game, have gone 121-162 ATS.  That doesn't bode well for the Cowboys at Oakland.  And neither does the fact that, late in the season, NFL home underdogs have excelled, as they've cashed 57.4% off a straight-up loss, at Week 14 forward.  Finally, Dallas is 7-6 SU/ATS this season.  But it's a woeful 24-41 ATS as a road favorite if it owned a winning SU/ATS record.  Take the points with the Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Minnesota.  The Bengals' 4-game point spread win streak was snapped last Sunday by the Chicago Bears, as Cincy lost, 33-7, as a 6-point favorite.  But underdogs of more than 3 points, off a double-digit loss as a favorite of -6 points (or more), have cashed 63.3% over the last 30 years.  And the Bengals also fall into a 140-62 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Finally, Cincinnati is 19-5 ATS as an underdog of more than 6 points vs. non-division foes off a loss (including 9-0 ATS their last nine), while the Vikings have covered just 10 of 37 as a 7-point (or greater) favorite off a loss.  Take Cincy.  NFL Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore.  It's true that the Browns are 0-13 on the season (and 1-28 the past two seasons).  But it's also a team which is still playing hard.  Last week, it fought gamely against a Green Bay team still in the Playoff hunt, and lost in overtime, 27-21.  The week before, it played a Chargers squad that's currently won 7 of 9, yet lost by just nine points, 19-10.  This week, it will take on the Baltimore Ravens, who lost, 39-38, at Pittsburgh last week.  And the fact that Cleveland has yet to win means that it will continue to fight hard for that maiden victory.  Indeed, 0-13 (or worse) teams have gone 8-2 ATS in the season's final three weeks.  Even more impressive is the fact that those teams went 5-5 straight-up, notwithstanding the fact that they were underdogs in each game (with an average point spread of +9.15).  Finally, the Ravens have covered just six of 24 games off back-to-back point spread wins.  Don't be surprised if Cleveland wins, straight-up.  Take the points with the Browns.  NFL Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  Certainly, Philadelphia caught a tough break last week when its 1st string quarterback, Carson Wentz, was lost to injury for the remainder of the season.  So, now, the Eagles will turn to their 2nd string QB, Nick Foles.  Interestingly, the NFC’s top two teams — Minnesota and Philadelphia — both have backup quarterbacks as their starter, so it may be premature to shovel dirt on the Eagles’ grave, as the Vikings are clearly proving that you can have extreme success with a back-up QB.  That being said, I’m still going to take the points with the New York Giants on Sunday.  One reason is that this will be the Eagles’ third straight road game.  And NFL teams are a wallet-busting 71-121 ATS when playing their 3rd straight road game, provided they’re not off back to back losses in the previous two.  That bodes well for the Giants.  As does the fact that home underdogs (or PK) are 169-123 ATS at Week 14 forward, if they’re off a SU/ATS loss.  Take New York.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  The Jets were shutout, 23-0, in an upset loss last week at Denver.  But teams off a 21-point (or worse) upset shutout loss have covered 63% over the past 25 years.  Take the New York Jets.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins minus the points over Arizona.  The Redskins return home off back to back road losses at Dallas, and at the Chargers.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals are off an upset win over Tennessee.  But .260 (or better) teams have gone 48-22 ATS off back to back road losses, when matched up against foes off upset wins.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Chicago/Detroit game.  Both of these teams went 'under' the total last week.  Chicago defeated Cincy, 33-7, and that game went under the posted total of 40.5 by a half-point.  Meanwhile, Detroit and Tampa Bay combined for 45 points, which stayed under that game's total of 48.  The Bears are 9-4 'under' this season, and have also gone 'under' in 31 of 54 division games.  And this game also falls into a 157-94 Totals system of mine.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts Over the total.  The Colts lost in overtime to Buffalo last week, 13-7.  And that was the fifth straight 'Under' played by the Colts.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play this game 'Under' the total as well, especially since Denver was also involved in a very low-scoring game (23-0) last week vs. the Jets.  But consider that NFL teams off 4 straight 'Unders' have gone 'OVER' THE TOTAL 133-86-6 (60.7%) if they scored less than 13 points in their previous game, including 92-46-3 'OVER' if the line was 37+ points!  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game, as it falls into a 90-55 Totals System of mine.  Additionally, both of these teams come into Monday's game off stellar defensive performances.  The Dolphins held Denver to just 9 points last week, while New England surrendered just 3 points to Buffalo.  And NFL match-ups, between two teams that each held their respective previous opponent to less than 10 points, have gone 'Under' 77% of the time since 1980 when the Over/Under line was 45+ points!  Moreover, New England is currently on an 8-game win streak keyed by its defense.  The Patriots' stop unit hasn't allowed any opponent to score more than 17 points throughout this stretch, and has gone 'Under' in six of the eight games.  Take the 'Under.'  Monday Night Football Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over Baltimore.  Pittsburgh was our preseason pick (at 12-1 odds) to win the Super Bowl, and it has done nothing to disappoint thus far.  Mike Tomlin's men are 10-2 straight-up, including 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS here at home.  And Pittsburgh has long had tremendous success at home, especially in this price range, as it is 89-27-1 SU and 72-44-1 ATS when priced between -3.5 and -7 points!  That bodes well for Pittsburgh on Sunday night.  As does the fact that the Steelers are 18-7-1 ATS as a home favorite of -2.5 (or more) points vs. Baltimore, including 10-1-1 ATS if the Ravens were off a point spread win.  Finally, Baltimore comes into this game off a 44-20 blowout win over Detroit.  But the Ravens are a woeful 8-25-4 ATS on the road off a win by more than 18 points, including 0-11 ATS when getting more than 3 points.  Take Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Seattle.  Last week, we had a big play on the Seattle Seahawks as a home underdog vs. Philadelphia.  And Seattle rewarded us with an upset win at home.  Unfortunately, they now have to go on the road.  And winning teams are a dreadful 39-74 ATS on the road vs. other winning teams, if our road team was off an upset win at home in its previous game.  Take Jacksonville.  Good luck as always…Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos over the NY Jets.  Last week, the Denver Broncos were favored by 1.5 points at Miami, but lost, 35-9.  Meanwhile, the New York Jets upset Kansas City, 38-31, as a 4-point home underdog.  Now, Denver has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll grab the points, as NFL home teams have cashed 80% over the past 17 years off an upset road loss if they're now matched up against an opponent off an upset win, and are not favored by 3+ points.  Also, Denver's 27-14-2 ATS its last 43 as home underdogs.  Take Denver.  NFL Elite Info Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Kansas City/Oakland game.  Both of these teams have been playing relatively low-scoring games, of late.  The Raiders have gone 'under' in three straight, while the Chiefs have gone 'under' in three of their last four.  The Chiefs have gone 'under' in 9 of 13 division games at home with Over/Under lines greater than 42, while the Raiders have gone 'under' in 24 of 31 division games on the road with Over/Under lines greater than 42 (including the last 5 in a row).  Take the 'under.'

At 1 pm our selection is on the Carolina Panthers over Minnesota.  This will be Minnesota’s 3rd straight road game.  And NFL teams have gone a poor 71-120 against the spread since 1980 if they were playing their 3rd straight road game, and weren’t off back to back losses in the other two games.  Even worse for the Vikings:  they’ve won eight straight games, and covered their last seven.  But as we saw with the Philadelphia Eagles last week in their upset loss to the Seahawks, road teams that are favored (or PK em) off 7 straight point spread wins have covered just 35% over the last 38 years.  Take Carolina.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Atlanta/New Orleans game, as it falls into 113-60 and 165-110 Totals systems of mine.  Additionally, the Saints have gone 'under' in 30 of 44 division road games since Nov. 17, 2002, including 19-4 'under' when priced as a single-digit underdog (or PK).  And the Falcons have gone 'under' in 16 of 19 games (84.2%) after scoring 21 or less points in their previous game.  Finally, seven of the last nine meetings between these two clubs in Atlanta have gone 'under' (as have 11 of the last 15 when the O/U line was greater than 45 points).  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Pittsburgh.  These two division rivals met earlier this season in the Steel City, and the Steelers blew out the Bengals, 29-14.  Pittsburgh's 9-2 on the season, while Cincy's just 5-6, but we'll fade Mike Tomlin's men on Monday.  And that's because NFL teams with a .750 (or better) record, that won the season's first meeting, have cashed just 30% on the road vs. losing foes.  That bodes well for the Bengals on Monday.  As does the fact that NFL home dogs of 6 or less points are a super 85-48 ATS in the season's final five weeks, if they're within one game of .500 (whether 1 game above .500, 1 game below .500 or exactly .500).  Take the Bengals.  Monday Night Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Carolina.  This NFC South division matchup is between the two teams that currently are atop the standings, as each comes in with an 8-3 record.  The Panthers are on a 4-game SU/ATS run.  Unfortunately, unrested NFL road teams, with a winning record, off 3 SU/ATS wins, are a poor 52-95 ATS vs. foes not off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The Saints blew out Carolina by 21 points in the first meeting this season, and they're 11-2 their last 13 NFC South division contests.  Lay the points.  NFC South Division Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami Hurricanes + the points over Clemson.  Last year, the Tigers won the ACC and National Championships, so they hope to repeat that feat by taking the first step this Saturday night in Charlotte.  The Tigers do come into this game off five straight wins and three straight covers, including a 34-10 victory at South Carolina last week, as a 12-point favorite.  But that 24-point win (and 12-point cover) sets up Clemson in a nasty 0-21 ATS situation which hasn't lost in 37 years.  What we want to do is play against any defending National Champ away from home if it's off back to back wins, not favored by 17+ points, and covered the point spread the previous week by 5+ points.  That doesn't bode well for Dabo Swinney's men on Saturday.  And neither does the fact that Clemson is a wallet-busting 12-32 ATS off 5+ wins since 1984.  Take Miami + the points.  NCAA FB TITLE GAME OF THE YEAR!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves over Troy State.  The Red Wolves put up 67 points last week in a blowout win at Louisiana Monroe.  And I love Arkansas State to end the season strong, as home teams have cashed 79 percent since 1980 in their final game of the season after scoring 52+ points on the road the previous week.  Take the Red Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars + the points over New Mexico St.  The Jaguars were whitewashed, 52-0, in an upset loss to Georgia Southern two weeks ago.  But I look for them to bounce back on Saturday.  Indeed, underdogs priced from +7 to +16 points, off losses by 38+ points, have covered 83% ATS since 1989 in their final game of the season when playing an opponent off a win.  Take the Jaguars.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs over Auburn.  The Tigers upset previously undefeated Alabama last week.  But off that huge upset win, we will fade Auburn in this SEC Title game.  Indeed, since 1980, college football teams have generally had big letdowns away from home following wins over previously undefeated teams (with a 5-0 or better record), provided they weren't favored by 3+ points in that previous game, including an 11-29 ATS mark as a favorite of less than 15 points vs. .500 or better competition.  Since 2002, Auburn's won just five of the 16 meetings between these two SEC clubs, including a 1-6 SU/ATS record away from home.  Take the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday.  ELITE INFO WINNER!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Georgia Southern.  After starting the season 0-9, the Eagles are off back to back upset wins over South Alabama and Louisiana Lafayette.  And they've now been installed as a road favorite in their final game of the season.  Unfortunately for the Eagles, favorites (or PK) off back to back upset wins, are an awful 3-21 ATS in their final game of the season, including 0-7 ATS if they weren't a winning team.  Take the points with Coastal Caroiina.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Oklahoma.  It's often said that defense wins championships.  And, based on my data, there's a whole lotta truth in that saying.  In this match-up, the Horned Frogs own the better defense, and it's not close.  TCU is giving up just 15.6 ppg, while Oklahoma's stop unit is 10 points worse.  And it's not a wise move to lay points in a post-season game to a much better defensive club.  Indeed, College Football teams getting more than a field goal have covered a whopping 68.4% since 1980 if their defense was at least 9.2 points better than their opponent's, including a perfect 9-0 ATS since 2009.  Grab the points with the Horned Frogs.  HIGH NOON HANGING.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Dallas/Washington game.  These two teams met earlier this season and scored 52 combined points in a Cowboys 33-19 victory.  That game continued the trend in this series where the game has gone 'over' the posted total (now 4-0 'over' since 2016).  Indeed, the last two games here at AT & T Stadium each generated 57 points.  And Washington's currently 7-0 'over' the total on the road vs. division rivals.  Of course, it's true that the Cowboys have played four straight 'unders' since that 33-19 game vs. Washington, and have scored just 50 points combined over those four games (including a 28-6 loss on Thanksgiving to the Chargers).  But NFL teams off 4+ unders, that scored less than 13 points in their previous game, have gone 'over' the total 59% since 1980.  Take the 'over.'  NFC East Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Houston.  Baltimore's 5-5 on the season after shutting out Green Bay, 23-0, at Lambeau Field last week, while Houston comes in with a losing record, at 4-6.  The Ravens return home to M&T Bank Stadium after being on the road for their two previous games, but they did blow out the Dolphins, 40-0, in their last game here in Baltimore.  I look for another home victory on Monday, as NFL teams with a better record than their opponent have gone 45-7 SU and 38-12-2 ATS at home on Monday Nights, if they were on the road in their two previous games.  And Baltimore's 22-1 SU and 20-3 ATS as a home favorite since 1995 off a win by more than 18 points.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over New Orleans.  The Saints are off eight straight wins, and have scored 30+ points in each of their last three games, while the Rams come in off a loss to the Vikings.  But the Saints should get blown out this afternoon, as NFL road underdogs off 3+ wins, in which they scored 30+ points in each of those three games, have lost 78% ATS vs. non-division foes in the regular season since 1980.  Even better:  the Rams lost last season to New Orleans, 49-21.  But NFL teams off a straight-up loss, and playing with revenge, have cashed 78% since 1983 if they were favored (or PK), and gave up 44+ points to its opponent in the previous meeting!  Take the Rams.  NFL Payback Payday!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Wisconsin.  This rivalry game -- at 127 meetings, it's the most played in Division 1 -- has been dominated by the Badgers of late, as they've won 13 straight years.  However, don't be surprised if the Golden Gophers stun Wisconsin with an upset win on Saturday.  Both teams, of course, need to win this game.  Minnesota needs one more win to attain eligibility for a Bowl game, while Wisconsin still has hopes of reaching the 4-team College Football Playoff.  Unfortunately for the Badgers, undefeated teams, with a 5-0 or better record, have covered just 35.7% over the last 38 years when priced as a road favorite from -11.5 to -21.5 points against a losing, revenge-minded foe.  Even worse for Wisconsin:  it's just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS its last seven when it was playing on the road with an undefeated record (of 5-0 or better).  And it's just 2-10-1 ATS since 1984 vs. the Gophers when laying 12+ points.  Take Minnesota.  Big 10 Conference Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Virginia Tech.  We played on the Cavaliers last week, and easily got the cash when Virginia covered the point spread "wire to wire" at Miami.  Now, they return home for their final game of the regular season, and they'll take on their cross-state rival from Blacksburg, Virginia Tech.  We'll grab the points with the Cavaliers, as they're 31-19-1 ATS their last 51 as home underdogs, and also 14-0 ATS their last 14 as single-digit underdogs, if they're off a loss, and play with revenge.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 am, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Rockets have won six of their last seven, and have covered five of their last six.  Last week's victory at Bowling Green was one of their most impressive wins of the season, as they blew out the Falcons, 66-37, as a 16.5-point favorite.  Toledo is a super 25-1 ATS as a favorite of 21 or less points, if Toledo is off a win by 17+ points, and it covered that previous game by 6+ points.  Take the Rockets.  MAC Conf. Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the San Diego/Dallas game.  The Chargers erupted for 54 points last week, in a 54-24 blowout of the Buffalo Bills.  They'll now travel to Dallas to take on the Cowboys, and I foresee another relatively high-scoring game on Thursday.  Dallas is giving up over 24 points per game, and the Chargers have gone 'over' in 30 of 46 road games vs. foes that surrender at least 24 ppg.  The last nine Dallas Cowboys games have also AVERAGED 51.33 points.  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Minnesota.  The Vikings have won and covered each of their last five games.  And they've scored 24+ points in the last four of those.  But this win streak sets up our play against Minnesota on this Thanksgiving, as unrested NFL road teams off 4 SU/ATS wins in which they scored 24+ points in each game, have gone just 36% ATS since 1980 vs. .500 (or better) teams.  Even worse for Minnesota:  it's just 22-46 ATS as a road favorite of -3+ points, and has lost the last three meetings (both SU and ATS) in this series.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons + the points over Eastern Michigan, as Bowling Green falls into a 93-56 ATS "stats-based" system of mine.  The Falcons have been installed as double-digit road underdogs, but they're a fantastic 50-30 ATS on the Mid-American Conference road.  And, yes, it's certainly true that Bowling Green was blown out by 29 points last Wednesday at home, vs. Toledo.  However, the Falcons are 12-3 ATS off a conference blowout loss by 21+ points.  Meanwhile, the Eagles upset Miami-Ohio in Oxford last week.  Unfortunately, they're a wallet-busting 19-36 ATS off a straight-up win.  Bowling Green has won 9 of the last 11 straight up in this series, including 2-0 SU/ATS the last two, here, in Ypsilanti.  Take the points with the Falcons.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks over the Atlanta Falcons.  These two teams met in last year's NFL Playoffs, and the Falcons blew out the Seahawks, 36-20, as a 6.5-point home favorite.  But I love the Seahawks to avenge that defeat, as teams playing on Monday Night Football with revenge from a Playoff defeat the previous season have cashed 79% since 1999, including a perfect 9-0 ATS vs. foes with W/L records between .250 and .750.  Additionally, Seattle is 82-28 SU and 67-38-5 ATS at home since 2005, including 5-1-2 ATS on Monday Nights, and 16-8-1 ATS with revenge.  Finally, Atlanta is an awful 0-9 ATS when not laying 3+ points against a winning team, if its foe is playing with revenge.  Take Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over the New England Patriots.  Bill Belichick's men won by 25 points last week.  And that blowout victory has triggered an angle of mine which fades defending Super Bowl champions off 20-point (or greater) wins.  Since 1980, they've covered just 41% in this situation, including 2-13 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -7.5 points away from home.  Take the Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Broncos are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, and have failed to cover the spread by 21 and 18 points in their previous two games.  But it must be noted that the Broncos' last three games were played against three of the very best teams in the league (Philadelphia, New England and Kansas City).  In contrast, Cincinnati has also been playing extremely poorly.  It is 1-3 SU/ATS in its last four games, but has not played an overly difficult schedule.  Indeed, Cincy's only win in its last four games was by a single point vs. Indianapolis, as an 11-point favorite.  And the Bengals' only pointspread cover was also by a single point -- last week at Tennessee.  Denver's recent failures have worked to create terrific betting value in this game, and the Broncos fall into a 105-53 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on ATS losing streaks.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins + the points over New Orleans.  The Saints have won and covered seven straight games.  And Drew Brees & Co. are getting it done both on the offensive side, as well as the defensive.  New Orleans is scoring 29.8 points per game, and giving up just 18.3.  And its defense has been especially stellar the past three weeks.  Last Sunday, New Orleans held the Bills to 10 points.  And it defeated the Buccaneers (30-10) and Bears (20-12) in the two weeks prior to that.  Unfortunately, for New Orleans, single-digit favorites that held each of their last three opponents to less than 13 points have covered just 26% in the regular season since 1980 vs. .363 (or better) foes, including 1-14 ATS their last 15.  Take the Redskins.  NFL Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over the Arizona Cardinals.  Both of these teams are dealing with major injuries at the quarterback position.  Houston's Deshaun Watson is out with a knee injury, while Arizona's Carson Palmer broke his left arm, and 2nd string QB Drew Stanton sustained an injury last week to his knee.  Thus, the Cards will turn to 3rd stringer Blaine Gabbert, while Houston will use erstwhile starter Tom Savage.  We'll take the homestanding Texans, as they fall into 155-85 and 139-61 ATS systems of mine that are based on season statistics.  Also, Houston lost 33-7 last Sunday at the LA Rams.  And NFL home teams off a loss by 23+ points are 82.1% ATS over the past 17 years vs. .416 (or better) non-division foes also off a loss, provided our home team is not favored by 2.5+ points.  Take Houston. NFL Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Jacksonville.  The Browns may be 0-9 on the season, but they've actually been much more competitive against the pointspread of late.  Last week, they reached the 4-yard line with a great opportunity to cover the spread in the game's final minute, but turned the ball over.  Still, they only failed to cover the spread by 3.5 points.  The previous week, they also failed to cover -- by 6 points -- so they were within one score.  And three games ago, they did cover the spread by 2.5 points.  This week, they're getting a sizable amount of points at home, and we'll grab all we can with Cleveland, as winless home dogs of +7.5 or more points have gone 37-16 ATS if their record was 0-7 (or worse).  Take the Browns.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Arizona.  Oregon QB Justin Herbert has been upgraded to 'probable,' which is surely a welcome sight for the team.  After all, without their 1st string QB under center last week, the Ducks struggled to score, and lost 38-3 at Washington.  They'll host the Arizona Wildcats at Autzen Stadium on Saturday.  And Arizona comes into this contest off a 21-point win (49-28) over Oregon State.  Unfortunately for the Wildcats, they fall into a negative 15-45 ATS system of mine which goes against teams off 21+ point wins vs. foes off 21+ point losses.  Moreover, the 'Cats are a poor 6-15 ATS their last 21 as an underdog, and 10-26 ATS on the road after scoring 37+ points in their previous game.  Finally, Oregon is 44-22 ATS in 'win situation' games with a pointspread of 3 or less.  Lay it.  Pac 12 Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Army.  These two teams last faced off against each other in the Heart of Dallas Bowl game, on December 27, at the Cotton Bowl.  Army triumphed, 38-31, in that game.  But I look for the Mean Green to avenge that Bowl game defeat.  Indeed, home teams have cashed 75% over the past 17 years when playing with revenge from a post-season defeat, so long as they're not laying 5.5 or more points.  Take North Texas.  Non-Conf. Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Maryland.  The Spartans will be playing their final home game of the season.  And they've dominated over the past 30 years in their final home games, with a 22-8 SU and 23-7 ATS record!  The Spartans also play with revenge from an upset loss sustained last season in College Park.  MSU was favored by 2.5, but lost to the Terrapins, 28-17.  However, Michigan State's a solid 6-1 ATS its last seven when playing with revenge from an upset loss, while Maryland's an awful 2-11-1 ATS its last 13 (and 0-5 ATS on the road) if it upset its opponent the previous season!  Take Michigan State.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over UAB.  The Gators have had the proverbial "season from hell."  It started off well enough, as the Gators won their first three conference games vs. Tennessee, Kentucky and Vanderbilt.  But an onslaught of injuries and a resignation by their head coach, have made Gator fans want to put this season it the rear view mirror.  Florida's now lost its last five games, and has failed to cover its last four.  Still, I love Florida to get an easy win on Saturday vs. a UAB squad coming into Gainesville off an upset win over Texas San Antonio.  Over the last 30 years, home favorites of more than nine points, off four or more losses, have covered 73.6% vs. foes off a win.  And UAB is a wallet-busting 0-14 ATS on the road vs. .600 (or worse) opponents if UAB defeated a conference foe in its previous game.  Take Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Navy.  Notre Dame's 5-game win streak in this series was snapped last year when the Midshipmen upset the Irish, 28-27, as a 7.5-point underdog.  But I love Brian Kelly's men to avenge that defeat, and especially since they're coming off a 41-8 loss to Miami-Florida last week.  This also will be Notre Dame's final home game of the season, and NCAA favorites of more than 15 points have cashed 78% since 1980 in their final home game, if they were off a 20-point (or worse) defeat!  Lay it.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles + the points over South Alabama.  We played against Georgia Southern last week, and got the cash with Appalachian State, which defeated the Eagles, 27-6, as a 17.5-point favorite.  That loss lowered Georgia Southern's season record to 0-9 straight-up and 2-6 ATS.  But I love the Eagles in this home underdog role, on Saturday.  They catch South Alabama coming off a big upset win at home over Arkansas State, as a 13-point underdog.  And, unfortunately for the Jaguars, teams off home upsets as a 13-point (or greater) underdog have had huge letdowns in their next game as road favorites.  Since 1980, they've covered just 32.1% of their games.  Take the Eagles + the points.  Sun Belt Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Rice.  The Owls are 1-9 on the season, with eight straight losses, and are clearly playing out the string.  Old Dominion, on the other hand, is not playing out the string.  It's 4-6, but it's won each of its past two games, including last week's 37-30 upset win at Florida International, as a 10-point underdog.  I look for Old Dominion to keep its momentum going, at home, on Saturday, as teams (like Rice) that haven't won more than 1 game on the season, have cashed just 32% (at Game 11 forward) vs. conference foes off an upset win.  Take the Monarchs.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Rutgers.  Both of these teams are 4-6 on the season, but going in opposite directions in Las Vegas.  The Scarlet Knights have covered each of the last five games, while the Hoosiers are on an 0-7 ATS skein.  But before you open up your wallet for the "hot" Scarlet Knights, consider that teams off five straight ATS losses have covered 73% vs. foes off five straight ATS wins over the past 22 years!  That doesn't bode well for Rutgers on Saturday.  And neither does the fact that Rutgers has covered just 5 of 20 games vs. Conference foes playing their final home game of the season.  After this home game, the Hoosiers will play Purdue on the road.  And Indiana needs to win both to qualify for a Bowl game.  Take Indiana minus the points.  NCAA Elite Info.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Miami.  In its last game, Miami upset the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and the Hurricanes are now ranked #2 in the Country.  Unfortunately, they likely will have a letdown on Saturday vs. the Cavaliers.  Indeed, undefeated teams, with an 8-0 (or better) record have gone 1-10 ATS off an upset win, if priced between -6 and -21 points.  The Cavaliers are also 5-1 ATS their last six games at Miami, while college football teams are a horrid 12-27-2 ATS as a favorite (or PK) after upsetting the Fighting Irish in their previous game.  Grab the points.  NCAA High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals + the points over Buffalo.  The Cardinals have lost their last seven games, straight-up, and failed to cover the pointspread in their last eight.  And such a losing streak will keep most of the bettors off of them, here, in this game.  But I love them as a home underdog vs. Buffalo, as Mid-American Conference home underdogs, off a SU/ATS loss (and an ATS loss two games back), have cashed 64% over the past 20 years vs. conference foes off a win!  And the Cardinals also fall into a super 68.3% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on long losing streaks.  Take Ball State + the points.  MAC Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Los Angeles Chargers/Jacksonville Jaguars game.  The Jaguars have the league's best defense, and have held five of their eight opponents this season to less than 10 points (including Indy and Cincy in their last two games).   And, yes, it's true that neither of the Jaguars' last two games totaled more than 30 points.  But NFL teams have gone 'over' the total more often than not after playing two straight games that didn't total more than 30 points.  Interestingly, this will be the fourth meeting in the last four seasons between these two teams.  And each of the previous three meetings sailed 'over' the total, with an average of 51.67 ppg.  Moreover, the Chargers haven't scored less than 10 points in any of their last 27 games.  And they've averaged 23.33 ppg over this 27-game span.  So, I believe Philip Rivers & Co. will be able to put up some points on the Jags' #1-rated defense.  The OVER also falls into 82-53 and 99-68 systems of mine.  This will be a relatively high-scoring game.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Month!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils come into Pasadena off a 41-30 win vs. Colorado last Saturday, and are now 5-4 this season.  Meanwhile, Jim Mora's Bruins are 4-5 on the season after getting blown out by Washington (44-23) and Utah (48-17) in their last two games.  But UCLA's five losses have all come away from home, where the Bruins are 0-6 ATS their last six, and 2-11 ATS their last 13.  UCLA is back home on Saturday night, which bodes well for it, as UCLA has won all four of its home games this season!  UCLA is also a solid 44-27, 62% ATS at home when not laying more than 7 points.  Finally, revenge-minded favorites off back to back 21-point losses have cashed 79% since 1980 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take UCLA.  NCAA Roadkill Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Alabama.  Certainly, Alabama deserves its #1 ranking, as it's 9-0, with a 31.11 ppg margin of victory.  On the other hand, the Crimson Tide are below .500 against the spread, which indicates they're a tad overvalued in Vegas.  In contrast, Mississippi State has rewarded its bettors with a 6-3 ATS record to go along with its 7-2 SU record.  And that doesn't bode well for Nick Saban's troops on Saturday, as undefeated teams (at Game 8 forward) have covered just 1 of 15 games as double-digit road favorites vs. opponents with a winning SU and a winning ATS record!  Even better:  Miss State has cashed 83% at home over the past 38 years if they were off a win the previous week, and are now getting double-digits.  Finally, Miss State also falls into 32-1, 47-7, 84-32 and 21-0 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.  SEC Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Clemson.  Last week, we played against Clemson, and got the $$$ with NC State, as a +7.5-point underdog.  And we'll go against the Tigers once again this week, as they fall into a negative 27-65 ATS system of mine.  Florida State is obviously having a "down" year, with a 3-5 record on the season (and 0-6-2 ATS), though it did get into the win column last week with a 27-24 triumph vs. Syracuse.  The Seminoles also received some welcome news this week when they learned that running back Jacques Patrick will be able to get back onto the field on this Saturday (after missing extended time with a knee injury).  We'll grab the points with Florida State, as winless ATS teams, with an 0-4 (or worse) ATS record, are 15-0 ATS since 2001 off a straight-up win if playing a winning opponent.  Take the Seminoles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Virginia.  We played against Louisville in its last game, a blowout loss in Winston-Salem against Wake Forest.  The Cardinals had last week off to recover from that defeat, and that rest should serve them well against an unrested Cavaliers squad which is coming off a huge upset win vs. Georgia Tech.  Unfortunately for Virginia, it's covered just 33% of the time away from home the past 38 years off an upset win, if matched up against an opponent off an upset defeat.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Michigan St.  Ohio State suffered an embarrassing beatdown at the hands of the iowa Hawkeyes last week, as it lost by 31 points, as 21-point favorite.  And that 52-point differential between the final margin of victory and the pointspread was tied for the 20th worst pointspread differential in the past 38 years.  However, I expect Urban Meyer's men to bounce back off that defeat, as Ohio State's 28-9-1 ATS in Big 10 Conference games off a loss.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Baylor.  The Bears opened this season with eight straight losses before finally getting a win -- against woeful Kansas.  But they'll be hard-pressed to make it two in a row, as they will face a Texas Tech squad which looks to make amends from an upset loss last week at home vs. Kansas State.  And the Red Raiders generally bounce back from losses, as they're 70-43 ATS vs. Conference foes.  Take Texas Tech.