Purdue vs. Connecticut 9:20 PM ET

Game# 675-676

Play On: Under 145.5

UConn has seen all 5 of their NCAA Tournament games go under the total with a combined average of 139.4 points scored per game. They were terrific defensively during those contests allowing a mere 57.2 points per contests and holding their opponents to 34.7% shooting. The Huskies also allowed just 14 free throw attempts per game during those 5 wins.

Purdue has played 4-1 to the under in the NCAA Tournament and with a combined average of 140.0 points scored per game. The Boilermakers held those 5 opponents to just 60.2 points per game, 39.4% shooting, and permitted them to get to the free throw line an average of only 10 times per game.

Neither one of these teams prefers a fast tempo game. UConn ranks 328th out of 362 Division 1 teams with regards to offensive tempo while Purdue is 211th in that same category. This will be the 4th time since the 2015 NCAA Tournament when two #1 seeds will square off against one another in the championship game. The previous 3 all went under the total and with a combined average of 141.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Alabama vs. Connecticut 8:49 PM ET

Game# 671-672

Play On: Connecticut -11.5

Analytically speaking, this is a horrible matchup for Alabama. The won’t be able to contend with UConn on the boards for one. Secondly, 46.9% of Alabama’s field goal attempts are 3-point shots, and over their previous 5 games UConn has held their opponents to a combined 24.5% shooting from 3-point territory. Additionally, Alabama loves to play at a frenetic offense pace while UConn doesn’t. However, the Huskies are flexible enough to play that style and be extremely effective while doing so. Keep in mind, Connecticut ranks #1 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency with 126.7 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. The Huskies are also #4 in adjusted defensive efficiency while allowing 0.915 points per opponent’s offensive possessions. On the other hand, Alabama has allowed 82 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. Connecticut has held opponents to less than 40% shooting in 25 of their 38 games (65.8%) this season. Alabama has shot less than 40% 5 times this season and went 1-4 SU&ATS during those contests. Their only win in that sequence came in the NCAA Tournament versus Grand Canyon who’s a far cry from what they’re about to face tonight. Give me Connecticut minus points.

Since the 2017 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed like UConn that was a favorite of between 7.0 to 14.0 in a Regional Final, National Semifinal, or Championship game have gone 5-0 SU&ATS with an average victory margin of 18.8 points per contest.  Give me Connecticut minus points.

 NC State vs. Purdue 6:09 PM ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Purdue -9.0

The Cinderella NC State Wolfpack have been a nice story. They were just 17-14 during regular season action. However, once the postseason began, they went 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS which enabled them to reach this point. That includes 7-0 SU&ATS as an underdog. Yet, they find themselves as a 9.0-point underdog in this Final 4 matchup versus #1 seed Purdue. Here’s the caveat, since the 2017 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed that was a favorite of between 7.0 to 14.0 in a Regional Final, National Semifinal, or Championship game have gone 5-0 SU&ATS with a substantial average victory margin of 18.8 points per contest. Although taking the red-hot sizable underdog is seemingly a very alluring option, recent history has shown that by doing so it’s been a losing proposition. Furthermore, from an analytical standpoint, Purdue has sizable advantages in rebounding, 3-point shooting percentage, and assist to field goal made percentage. Give me Purdue minus points.

Seton Hall vs. Indiana State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 681-682

Play On: Indiana State -3.0

This NIT Championship Game will technically be played on a neutral floor. But, for all intents and purposes it might as well be an Indiana State home game based on the huge throng of Sycamore fans at their team’s NIT semifinal game at Hinkle Field House in Indianapolis, Indiana. The drive from their campus in Terre Haute to Indianapolis is just 76 miles and 75 minutes. That must be considered when handicapping this contest.

Regarding the level of competition that each team has faced in the NIT thus far. Indiana State has far and away played a more difficult level of opponents. Both teams were 1 of the last 4 teams left out of the NCAA Tournament by the committee. However, with all things being equal I firmly believe that a mid-major team like Indiana State will be the one with a bigger chip on their shoulder versus their power conference opponent. The oddsmakers seemingly agree with my stance as evidenced by them making Indiana State a favorite in this contest. Give me Indiana State minus points.

Georgia vs. Seton Hall 9:30 PM ET

Game# 663-664

Play On: Georgia +4.5

These teams have taken different paths to get to this point. Seton Hall has won 3 consecutive home games in the NIT to reach the semifinals. All 3 of their opponents were ranked #78 or worse by Ken Pom and they barely escaped with an overtime win over St. Joseph’s in a 1st round game. Conversely, Georgia has won their last 2 on the road at Wake Forest and Ohio State. All 3 of their NIT wins have come over teams that Ken Pom has ranked #58 or better. So not only has Georgia faced the tougher competition to reach this point but they did so with a pair of road wins. Lastly, they say the great equalizer for a College Basketball underdog is their ability to make 3-point shots at a high percentage. Well, Georgia has done exactly that in the 3 NIT contests while making a red-hot 44.1% of their 3-point shot attempts while averaging 10 makes per contest. Give me Georgia plus points.

NC State vs. Duke 5:05 PM ET

Game# 657-658

Play On: NC State +7.5

Duke is coming off a physically and emotionally draining 54-51 win over #1 seed Houston on Friday night. I know it’s the NCAA Tournament and the sense of urgency rises to a whole other level. However, I find it hard to believe that the physical and emotional toll that Duke needed to pull off their upset over Houston has at the very least a small carryover into Sunday’s Regional Final. Besides the fact they’re playing a red-hot NC State team that’s gone 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS this postseason and includes 6-0 SU&ATS as an underdog. Give me NC State plus points.

Tennessee vs. Purdue 2:20 PM ET

Game# 655-656

Play On: Under 148.5

These teams met in the Maui Invitational earlier this season and Purdue walked away with a 71-67 win. That contest went over the total despite Purdue shooting 35% and Tennessee 33% from the floor. However, there was a unordinary 78 free throw attempts combined in that contests which resulted in 50 points scored. It’s highly improbable we will see anywhere near that volume in this contest.

Tennessee is ranked 3rd nationally in defensive efficiency and Purdue is 7th. Tennessee is coming off an 82-75 win over Creighton on Friday. The Volunteers have played 12-3 to the under in away or neutral site games since the start of last season after scoring 80 points or more in their previous contest. Those 15 contests averaged only a combined 132.1 points scored per game. Purdue has committed 10 turnovers or fewer in each of their 3 NCAA Tournament games. Since the start of last season, the Boilermakers have played 7-0 to the under after committing 11 turnovers or fewer in each of their previous 3 games and there was only a combined average of 131.7 points scored per contest. Purdue has allowed 12.0 free throw attempts per game thus far in the NCAA Tournament and Tennessee 14.7 per contest. Tennessee has shot less than 40% in 5 of their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Clemson vs. Alabama 8:49 PM ET

Game# 653-654

Play On: Clemson +3.5

I’ve mentioned numerous times on camera and in text about not overlooking free throws as part of your process when handicapping a game. Alabama is #319 nationally in free throw attempts allowed because of their aggressive defensive nature in an attempt to speed up the pace of games to their liking. Conversely, Clemson is #9 nationally in free throw percentage while making a terrific 78.7% of their attempts this season. Alabama has allowed 27.3 free throw attempts per contest throughout their first 3 NCAA Tournament games.

Alabama is coming off an 89-87 win over #1 seed North Carolina in the Sweet 16. However, since the start of last season, the Crimson Tide has gone a dismal 0-5 SU when coming off a win by 6 points or fewer in an away or neutral site game and lost by 15.2 points per contest. On the other side of the ledger, Clemson has gone 5-0 SU this season in an away or neutral side game when facing opponents like Alabama who average 62 or more field goal attempts per game and with a sizable average victory margin of 19.4 points per outing. Clemson has also gone 7-0 SU this season when in non-conference games when facing teams that made the 2024 NCAA Tournament. Clemson has been outstanding defensively in their first 3 NCAA Tournament game while holding opponents to a mere 34.3% shooting.

Lastly, Alabama is a team that shoots a high volume of 3-point shots. Specifically speaking, the Crimson Tide has seen 46.3% of their field goal attempts this season come from 3-point territory. However, Clemson has held their 3 NCAA Tournament opponents to 14-75 (18.3%) from beyond the 3-point line. Give me Clemson plus points.

Illinois vs. Connecticut 6:09 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: Illinois +9.0

I am not going to waste my time nor yours attempting to poke holes into a UConn team that has few if any to dive into. I have contended from the start that Illinois was the most serious threat to UConn in the East Region. I am just 1 more monumental effort by the Illini from being prophetic with that statement. Nevertheless, we aren’t taking about an NCAA Tournament bracket prediction and more importantly picking a point-spread winner. Illinois is an extremely profitable 6-1 ATS as an underdog this season and won 4 of those 7 contests outright. They also have a superstar player in Terrance Shannon Jr. Who is averaging 30.4 points scored per contest during Illinois current 7-game unbeaten streak. But, the Illini also possess an outstanding supporting cast beyond Shannon. Give me Illinois plus points.

Creighton vs. Tennessee 10:10 PM ET

Game# 641-642

Play On: Tennessee -3.0

After starting the season 4-3, Tennessee went 22-5 in their next 27 games. All 8 of the Vols losses this year came against opponents in the 2024 NCAA Tournament field. Conversely, Creighton (25-9) has sustained 6 losses this season versus teams that weren’t in this year’s NCAA Tournament. Tennessee hangs their hat on their stifling defensive play that analytically ranks #3 nationally. I am very confident that Tennessee’s defensive prowess and them being a more athletic side in this matchup will push them to a win and cover. Give me Tennessee minus points.

Purdue vs. Gonzaga 7:39 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Over 154.5

These are 2 very good offensive teams. Purdue is #3 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency while Gonzaga is #3. Purdue is #1 nationally in 3-point shooting while making 40.1% of their attempts this season. The Boilermakers are also #9 nationally when it comes to free throw attempts. During their previous 5 contests Gonzaga has averaged 78.8 points scored per game, shot 51.9% from the field, and made an excellent 47.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. Throughout their previous 5 outings, Purdue average s80.8 points scored per game, shot 48.8%, and made a superb 41.1% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.

NC State vs. Marquette 7:09 PM ET

Game# 643-644

Play On: Marquette -6.5

NC State is 7-0 SU in their last 7 and that includes winning 5 times as an underdog. Yet here they are as a sizable underdog in the Sweet 16. Truth be told, the Wolfpack caught a luck break in the Round of 32 while facing #14 seed Oakland who upset Kentucky in 1st round action. Even then, they barely escaped with a 6-point win in overtime. However, I firmly believe their Cinderella run ends right here and in a decisive manner. Tyler Kolek returned to the lineup for the NCAA Tournament and teaks what is a very good team without him to a great team with him. During the first 2 rounds of the NCAA Tournament Kolek has averaged 19.5 points scored, 11.0 assists, and 5.5 rebound per game in wins over Western Kentucky and Colorado. Give me Marquette minus points.

Illinois vs. Iowa State 10:10 PM ET

Game# 631-632

Play On: Illinois +1.5

Illinois is #1 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and Iowa State is #1 defensively. So, something must be given. The overused cliche is defense wins championships and there’s data to back up that statement. However, this is an exception to the rule in my mind. The Cyclones are just 69% from the free throw line and that’s a concern when you get this far in the NCAA Tournament and are involved in what is seemingly an even matchup such as this one. Additionally, as good as Iowa State is defensively, they allow opponents to get to the free throw line frequently and rank #230 nationally in the category. Illinois is a solid free throw shooting team at 74.2% and is in the top 20% of college basketball teams when it comes to free throw attempts. Iowa State is one of the best teams in the country when it relates to forcing turnovers. Nevertheless, Illinois has committed turnovers on just 15% of their offensive possessions this season which is very good.

I very seldom refer to players when giving my handicapping analysis. However, Illinois guard Terrance Shannon will be unequivocally the best player on the floor tonight. He’s not only a deadly 3-point shooter but can beat defenders off the dribble and gets fouled quite frequently when doing so. Since the start of the Big Ten Tournament, Shannon is averaging 31.6 points per game, made 41.7% of his 3-point shot attempts, and has a excellent 87.9% conversion rate on free throws. Keep in mind, this is the same Terrance Shannon Jr. that was a key contributor as a freshman on a Texas Tech team that lost the 2020 national championship team in overtime. Give me Illinois.

Clemson vs. Arizona 9:40 PM ET

Game# 635-636

Play On: Under 152.5

Arizona has seen each of their last 5 go under the total. The average total in those 5 contests was 156.7 and there was just a combined 136.8 points scored per game. Throughout those previous 5 contests Arizona allowed 65.4 points per game, oppoents shot 39.9% from the field, and made only 27.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. The Wildcats have allowed 65 points or fewer in their last 4 and 6 of the previous 8 games.

Clemson faced 2 formidable offensive opponents in Baylor and New Mexico during the first 2 games of the NCAA Tournament. They held them to an average of 60.0 points scored per game and a mere 33.8% shooting from the field.  Clemson has seen their last 3 go under with an average total of 148.2 and there was just a combined 133.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

UNLV @ Seton Hall 7:00 PM ET

Game# 621-622

Play On: UNLV +6.5

Seton Hall needed overtime at home to knock off St. Joseph’s in NIT 1st round action. They were much better in their 2nd round 72-58 home win over North Texas. Prior to the NIT, Seton Hall had gone just 6-7 SU in their last 13 games.

UNLV finished the year strong and has carried that over to the NIT with wins vs Princeton and Boston College. The Rebels are 12-3 SU&ATS over their last 15 contests. UNLV has also gone 9-1 ATS in their last 10 as an underdog and won 6 of those 10 games SU. Furthermore, UNLV has gone 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS during their previous 9 games versus teams not making the NCAA Tournament. Give me UNLV plus points.

UNLV @ Seton Hall 7:00 PM ET

Game# 621-622

Play On: Over 143.0

Both teams prefer to play at a slower than average pace by this season’s college basketball standards. However, with that being side this total went from an opener of 140.5 to 142.0 despite a high percentage of betting tickets and money being wagered on the under. UNLV has gone 16-34 (47.1%) from 3-point territory in their first 2 NIT games. Conversely, Seton Hall has made a more than respectful 36% of their 3-point shot attempts in their first 2 NIT games. The Pirates are also #17 nationally in making free throws at an excellent 77.1% and that includes 80% over their previous 5 games. UNLV has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined 148.8 points scored per game and with an average total of 139.0. Seton Hallas has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 when the number was between 135.0 and 144.5 with a combined 153.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

IPFW @ Norfolk State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 627-628

Play On: Norfolk State +1.5

Norfolk State is a beneficiary of playing in the CIT where the higher seeded teams play at home. That’s especially significant considering their 14-0 at home this season. When eliminating their 4 games played at home versus non-Division 1 opponents, Norfolk still outscored their 10 opponents by 12.5 points per game. This will also be the first time all season that Norfolk State is a home underdog. The current total in this contest is 145.5. Norfolk State is 10-1 SU this season when the total was between 140.0 to 149.5 and they outscored those opponents by an average of 7.8 points per game. Norfolk State is also 13th nationally in free throw attempts and they’ve converted a respectable 72.3% of those opportunities. Conversely, IPFW has averaged just 12 free throw attempts per game during their previous 5 contests. Give me Norfolk State.

Texas A&M @ Houston 8:40 PM ET

Game# 835-836

Play On: Texas A&M +10.5

Houston is coming off an impressive 86-46 blowout win over #16 seed Longwood. However, as crazy as this may sound, I thought Texas A&M was even more impressive in Friday’s 98-83 win over Nebraska. The Aggies are one of just a handful of teams in college basketball that’s capable of dealing with Houston’s athleticism and rebounding prowess. The Aggies have now scored 80 points or more in each of their previous 5. Houston has developed the reputation in recent seasons of being an elite offensive rebounding team and they still are. But Texas A&M ranks #1 nationally this season in offensive rebounding and they retrieved 14 of those in their opening round win over Nebraska despite shooting an exceptional 57.4% from the field and 56.5% from 3-point range. The Aggies had 5 players score in double figures and includes 3 that tallied 20 or more. These teams played on a neutral floor earlier this season and Houston won 70-66 but failed to cover as a 7.0-point favorite. Give me Texas A&M plus points.

Northwestern vs. Connecticut 7:45 PM ET

Game# 825-826

Play On: Connecticut -14.0

Connecticut has more size, speed, and athleticism than Northwestern is capable of competing with over an entire 40-minute game which will wear them down in the 2nd half. Northwestern is coming off an overtime win over an FAU team that faltered a bit during the 2nd half of the season and ultimately led to a premature exit from the tournament. They won’t be as fortunate in this matchup as UConn is peaking at the right time. Give me UConn minus points.

Grand Canyon vs. Alabama 7:10 PM ET

Game# 839-840

Play On: Grand Canyon +6.0

If you watched Grand Canyon (30-4) upset nationally ranked St. Mary’s on Friday in Spokane, Washington then you know the Antelopes had overwhelming supports from their fanbase inside the building. That won’t change on Sunday and will serve as a huge emotional lift for the underdog. Grand Canyon was 28-36 (77.8%) from the free throw line in that win. Grand Canyon is #3 nationally in getting to the free throw line and has made 75.4% of those attempts. Conversely, Alabama is #320 nationally in free throw attempts allowed with much attributed to their aggressive defensive style. Grand Canyon’s interior defense was sensational versus St. Mary’s evidenced by 9 blocked shots. Alabama is #347 in the country in getting their shot attempts blocked. Another advantage Grand Canyon will have in on the offensive glass where they rank #32 nationally. On the other hand, Alabama is #236 in defensive rebounding. Give me Grand Canyon plus points.

Clemson vs. Baylor 6:10 PM ET

Game# 833-834

Play On: Over 144.5

Clemson is coming off a surprisingly easy 77-56 win over New Mexico on Friday. The Tigers have played 7-1 to the over this season immediately following a win by 15 or more and there was a combined average of 156.4 points scored per game. From an analytical standpoint, these are 2 of the best offensive teams in the country. Baylor ranks 5th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency while Clemson is #23. Baylor is also the 4th best 3-point shooting team nationally while making 39.4% of their attempts. The Bears are also 25th best in getting to the free throw line while going 74.8% on those attempts. Clemson is 8th nationally in free throw percentage while making 78.8% of their tries. Give me this game to go over the total.

Marquette vs. Colorado 12:10 PM ET

Game# 829-830

Play On: Marquette -3.5

Marquette reached the Big East Conference Tournament Final where they fell to the defending national champion Connecticut. They played in that tournament without star point guard Tyler Kolek who was nursing an abdominal injury. Kolek returned for Marquette’s 87-69 win over Morehead State on Friday and contributed 18 points, 11 assists, and 6 turnovers. With Kolek in the lineup, Marquette is capable of beating anybody. Colorado is coming off a 102-100 win versus Florida on Friday in a game they tried to give away in the last 2 minutes. They’ll have trouble with Marquette’s relentless defensive pressure and will be prone to a plethora of turnovers leading to easy transitions baskets for Marquette. The Golden Eagles have played a much more gueling schedule than Colorado this season and it will pay dividends in this matchup. Give me Marquette minus points. Give me Marquette minus points.

Duquesne vs. Illinois 8:40 PM ET

Game# 797-798

Play On: Illinois -9.5

Duquesne is coming off a huge upset win as a 9.5-point underdog on Thursday versus #6 seed BYU of the vaunted Big 12 Conference. The #11 seed Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament champion is now 16-3 in their last 19 and that includes a current 9-game win streak. However, Illinois presents a whole different challenge than BYU. The Illini are #2 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and are a very good offensive rebounding team. If Duquesne has a weakness defensively it’s their rebounding. Duquesne ranks #222 nationally in defensive rebounding while Illinois is #16 on the offensive glass. Illinois will also have the best player on the court in this matchup Terrance Shannon Jr. who is a huge difference maker. During his 3 games in the Big 10 Tournament and in the NCAA Round of 64 versus Morehead State during an 85-69 win, Shannon has averaged 30.5 points per contest. Lastly, Illinois has gone a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 following a win by 15 or more and as a favorite of 5.0 or greater.  The average margin of victory in those 6 wins and covers came by a substantial average of 28.3 points per game. Give me Illinois minus points.

Virginia Tech @ Ohio State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 805-806

Play On: Ohio State -3.5

Virginia Tech has gone an abysmal 2-9 SU&ATS in true road games this season, and that includes 1-8 SU&ATS as an underdog. The Hokies have played terrible defense down the season’s final stretch while allowing opponents to shoot 50% or better in 7 of their last 10 games. Conversely, during their previous 5 contests, Ohio State has averaged 81.8 points scored per game, shot 49.5% from the field and made an excellent 43.0% of their 3-point shot attempts. For whatever reason the Buckeyes have been playing great basketball since their head coach was fired while going 6-1 SU&ATS during those contests. The Buckeyes are also 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home while outscoring their opponents by 9.0 points per game. Give me Ohio State minus points.

Washington State vs. Iowa State 6:10 PM ET

Game# 799-800

Play On: Washington State +7.0

These teams are mirror images of each other from a stylistic standpoint. Neither prefers a fast-paced game. Both are very good defensively and each are poor free throw shooting teams. It’s widely known how good of a team Iowa State is. Conversely, Washington State doesn’t get enough credit for how good they truly are. Yes, Iowa State plays in the strongest conference in America. However, the PAC-12 sent 4 teams to the NCAA Tournament and they’re a combined 5-0 thus far. This game will be much closer than most anticipate and and an outright upset isn’t out of the realm of possibility. Give me Washington State plus points.

Dayton vs. Arizona 12:45 PM ET

Game# 801-802

Play On: Dayton +10.0

Dayton was listless against Nevada for the first 33 mutes of Thursday’s 1st round game. Then proceeded to put together a furious comeback that saw them overcome a 17-point deficit with 7 minutes to play and walk away with a 3-point win. The Flyers know they need a more consistent effort from start to finish if they hope to upset #2 seed Arizona. I firmly believe they’re more than capable of doing so. The great equalizer for a college basketball underdog and especially so at this time of year is an ability to make 3-point shots at a high percentage. Dayton is #3 nationally in 3-point shooting while converting on 40.2% of those attempts. Additionally, they were 8-21 (42.1%) from beyond the 3-point line in their 1st round win over Nevada. Another undervalued handicapping tidbit is the fact that Dayton is #3 nationally in free throw attempts allowed. Give me Dayton plus points.

Nebraska vs. Texas A&M 6:50 PM ET

Game# 779-780

Play On: Over 147.0

Although Texas A& M is a poor shooting team, they more than make up for it on the offensive glass and ability to get to the free throw line. The Aggies are #1 nationally in offensive rebounding as they’ve retrieved a noteworthy 42.8% of their missed shots this season. The Aggies are also #47 out of 362 division 1 teams in free throw attempts. Texas A&M has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 and 11-2 over during their previous 13 contests. During their current 5-game streak of games going over there was a combined average of 162.0 points scored per contest.

Nebraska has witnessed their last 4 outings going over when the total was 140.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 161.5 points scored per game. Nebraska is currently #38 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Additionally, 44.5% of Nebraska’s field goal attempts have been from 3-point territory and they’ve made a more than respectable 35.8% of those tries. Give me this game to go over the total.

Northwestern @ FAU 12:15 PM ET

Game# 763-764

Play On: FAU -3.0

Northwestern is been plagued by injuries down the stretch which has certainly affected their play. The Wildcats have lost 3 of their last 4. As opposed to FAU, Northwestern played an extremely weak non-conference schedule in which they faced 1 NCAA Tournament team and that resulted in a 66-57 neutral site loss to Mississippi State.

FAU is an experienced team that reached the Final Four last year. They’re coming off a disappointing loss to Temple during their conference tournament. However, FAU has gone 7-0 SU this season. Being that they’re being asked to cover a small number in this contest their resiliency after a win takes on added significance. The Owls are also 7-1 SU on a neutral floor this season including quality wins over NCAA Tournament teams Texas A&M, Charleston, and Arizona. They also defeated NIT teams Virginia Tech by 34 and Loyola-Chicago by 13. The Owls are a combined 43-9 SU since the start of last season which included 20-3 when facing teams that average 18 or fewer free throw attempts per game, and an even better 15-1 SU if it was after Game 14. Give me FAU minus points.

St. Peter’s vs. Tennessee 9:20 PM ET

Game# 727-728

Play On: Tennessee -21.5

St. Peter’s is a terrible offensive team that hangs their hat on their defensive prowess. Even then their defensive analytics are a bit misleading when considering the snail’s pace they play at. The Peacocks are #338 nationally when it comes to offensive tempo. That’s fine if you are playing with a lead, but it’s highly improbable that’ll be the case against one of the country’s best teams on Thursday.

I mentioned how bad St. Peter’s is offensively. Well, Tennessee is #3 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Volunteers have also faced an extremely tougher schedule than their opponent on Thursday and has a ton more experience. I look for Tennessee to excel at forcing St. Peter’s turnovers in this contest and turning them into a sizable amount of points via their transition game. St. Peter’s ranks #324 nationally in committing turnovers while doing so on an alarmingly high 19.6% of their offensive possessions. Give me Tennessee minus points.

McNeese State vs. Gonzaga 7:25 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: Over 149.5

Gonzaga has shot 50% or better in 7 of their last 8 games. The Bulldogs have played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 whenever the total was between 149.0 and 159.0 there was a combined average of 167.6 points scored per game. Gonzaga has scored 86 points or more in their last 8 versus teams not named St. Mary’s.

McNeese State has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 whenever the total was 149.0 or greater and there was a combined 158.2 points per game. McNeese has scored 74 points or more in 13 of their previous 14 games.  They’ve also played 12-1 to the over this season when facing teams like Gonzaga who force 12 or fewer turnovers per contest and there was a combined 153.6 points scored per contest. Don’t underestimate McNeese State as they own non-conference road wins this season over power like Michigan, VCU, and UAB while averaging 81.3 points scored per contest. They’re also 25-1 in their last 26 games played. Give me this game to go over the total.

Akron vs. Creighton 1:30 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Creighton -12.5

Akron won the MAC Tourney by barely escaping with 3 and 1-point wins during the last 2 games. The Zips went 3-5 during their last 8 regular season games against vastly inferior opponents compared to the one they’re about to face on Thursday. Creighton is #13 in adjusted offensive efficiency and # 24 in defensive adjusted defense nationally. Creighton will outclass their MAC opponents in this one and will pull away down the stretch for a relatively easy win and cover. Give me Creighton minus points.

Boise State vs. Colorado 9:10 PM ET

Game# 703-704

Play On: Boise State +3.0

Colorado is 1 of only 4 teams from the PAC-12 in the 2024 NCAA Tournament and was one of the last teams to receive an invitation. Oregon is another PAC-12 team that’s part of the 68-team field and the only reason they made it was them winning their conference tournament. Colorado played just 1 non-conference game this season versus a team that’s in the NCAA Tournament and it resulted in a 5-point loss to Colorado State.

Boise State is one of 6 teams from the Mountain West Conference to make it to the NCAA Tournament. The Broncos have gone a respectable 7-7 this season versus NCAA Tournament teams and that includes a non-conference win over St. Mary’s. Boise State is coming off a quarterfinal loss to New Mexico who was the eventual Mountain West Conference Tournament champion. Nevertheless, Boise State has gone a very profitable 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games immediately following a loss during their previous contest. Give me Boise State plus points.

UC-Irvine @ Utah 11:00 PM ET

Game# 689-690

Play On: Over 149.0

UC-Irvine has scored 76 points or more in each of their previous 8 games. They’ve also played 8-0 to the over in their last 8 whenever the total was 154.0 or less and a combined average of 157.6 points were scored per game.

 Utah is coming off a 72-58 loss in the PAC-12 tournament to Colorado and that contest easily went under the total of 151.0. However, the UTES have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 immediately following an under and there was a combined 165.8 points scored per game. Utah has scored 77 points or more in each of their previous 4 at home. Give me this game to go over the total.

Virginia vs. Colorado State 9:10 PM ET

Game# 671-672

Play On: Colorado State -2.5

Quite frankly, I have no idea how Virginia received one of the final at-large-bids for the NCAA Tournament. They needed overtime to eliminate Boston College in the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament. Then they lost the following game in overtime against #10 seed NC State. Not exactly convincing results for a team on the proverbial bubble. Additionally, this is a Virginia team that scored 49 points or fewer in 4 of their last 8 games while going 4-4 during that stretch.

Colorado State played in a mid-major conference that has 6 teams in the NCAA Tournament. The Rams also posted quality non-conference wins over Colorado and Creighton who are both NCAA Tournament teams. Furthermore, they lost by just 3 to St. Marty’s who’s the #5 seed in the West Region and the Colorado State was missing 2 starters in that contest due to injuries. Give me Colorado State minus points.

Richmond @ Virginia Tech 9:00 PM ET

Game# 679-680

Play On: Virginia Tech -6.0

Richmond is coming off a very successful 24-9 season. However, as the #1 seed in the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament they were upset in the quarterfinals by St. Joseph’s which dashed their hopes of playing in the NCAA Tournament. It was a bitter pill to swallow for the Spiders and teams of this nature more times than not are flat in NIT 1st round games. It’s also worth noting, that Richmond is 0-3 in non-conference true road games and none of those opponents are NCAA Tournament bound.

Virginia Tech is 14-2 at home this season with a terrific point-per game differential of +15.3. Their lone home defeats cames versus North Carolina who is a #1 seed in the West Region of the NCAA Tournament and Duke who’s a #4 seed in the South Region. Virginia Tech also has 2 quality non-conference wins over Iowa State (27-7) and Boise State (22-10). They also lost a narrow 2-point decision to nationally ranked South Carolina (26-7). Give me Virginia Tech minus points.

South Florida vs. Central Florida 9:10 PM ET

Game# 685-686

Play On: Central Florida -6.5

The oddsmakers are speaking loudly to us with this line and the ensuing sharp action screams louder than even that. We have a South Florida team who was the AAC regular season champ that’s 24-7 overall and was recently ranked in the AP Top 25. Yet, they’re an underdog versus a UCF team who’s 17-15 which includes 7-11 during Big 12 Conference regular season action. The difference in this matchup is the level of competition both teams played this season. South Florida has played just 3 games versus NCAA Tournament teams this season and went 1-2 in those contests. Furthermore, none of those 3 games came against non-conference opponents. Conversely, UCF has posted 4 wins this season versus NCAA teams the likes of Kansas, TCU, Texas Tech, and Texas. By the way, all 4 of those wins occurred at home. Give me UCF minus points.

Temple vs. UAB 3:15 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: UAB -7.0

Yesterday, NC State became only the 2nd team in NCAA basketball history to capture a conference tournament championship by winning 5 games in 5 days. Today, Temple tries to duplicate that feat in the AAC Tournament. I will go out on a limb and say that’s highly unlikely. Especially when considering this was a Temple team that went 12-19 overall and 5-13 during conference play before entering the postseason. These teams met just 10 days ago at Temple, and UAB crushed the Owls 100-72. The Blazers earned a double bye after going 12-6 in conference play so it will be only their 3rd game in 3 days. UAB has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 with an average victory margin of 13.5 points per game. Temple’s magical and improbable run ends today with a huge thud. Give me UAB minus points.

UT-Arlington vs. Grand Canyon 11:30 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: UT-Arlington +6.5

UT-Arlington enters this WAC Championship Game on an 8-game win streak which also saw them cover in 7 of those contests with an average victory margin of 14.5 points per contest. UTA will be playing with double revenge after losing both regular season matchups to Grand Canyon by 6 and 7-points. However, when looking inside the numbers of those 2 results I uncovered a real oddity that attributed to Grand Canyon wins. They were awarded an astronomically high 72 free throws combined and converted on an exceptional 81.9% of those opportunities as well. Otherwise, UTA held them to a combined 33.6% shooting from the flor in those head-to-head meetings. UTA has also gone an extremely profitable 17-4-1 ATS versus conference opponents this season. Give me UT-Arlington plus points.

New Mexico vs. San Diego State 6:00 PM ET

Game# 623-624

Play On: New Mexico +2.5

As we’ve witnessed throughout this year’s conference tournament action, teams on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament has succeeded win either winning or covering as an underdog more times than not. Such has been the case for New Mexico. The Lobos have played with a high degree of urgency and desperation during their 3 wins in the MWC Tournament. They’ve turned in superb performances on each occasion and surprisingly have been extremely good defensively, which hasn’t been their forte this season. The Lobos allowed 61.0 points per game while holding Air Force, Boise State, and Colorado State to just 34.0% shooting. Despite of that, Joe Lunardi has New Mexico as the last team in with Missouri Valley Conference regular season champ Indiana State and Virginia lurking behind. So, I fully expect their desperation and urgency to be at a high level in the championship game and not leave it up to the NCAA Tournament committee whether or not they’ll be dancing next week. Furthermore, the Lobos are 6-0 SU&ATS this season on a neutral court with an average victory margin of 18.3 points per game.

San Diego State needed overtime in the quarterfinal round to knock off UNLV and then won decisively over #1 seed Utah State by 16. However, the Aztecs are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 immediately following 2 consecutive wins and were outscored by 7.7 points per game. San Diego State is projected to be a #5 seed in the NCAA Tournament, so they have no uncertainty in that regard. Give me New Mexico plus points.

Nebraska vs. Illinois 3:30 PM ET

Game# 611-612

Play On: Nebraska +4.5

Illinois was very lucky to escape with a 3-point win versus #10 seed Ohio State yesterday. During the last 3 seasons under current head coach Brad Underwood, Illinois has gone a dismal 2-10 ATS immediately following a win by 6 or fewer. The Illini have been poor defensively over their previous 5 contests while allowing 78.4 points per game while opponents shot a combined 47.6% and made an alarmingly high 45.5% of their 3-point shot attempts. That shapes up to be problematic considering Nebraska is 4th withing Big 10 play when it comes to 3-point shooting while converting 38.1% of those long-distance attempts.

Nebraska is enjoying one the best seasons in program history and has been surging down the stretch while going 7-1 SU&ATS during their previous 8 contests. The Cornhuskers turned in a masterpiece in yesterday’s quarterfinals while walloping Indiana 93-66. Nebraska has held their last 3 and 6 of their previous 8 opponents to less than 40% shooting. They went up against Illinois once during regular season action and lost 87-84 in overtime but easily covered as a 10.0-point road underdog. They also went 12-28 (42.1%) on their 3-point shot attempts in that contest while holding Illinois to 9-34 (26.5%). Give me Nebraska plus points.

Ohio State vs. Illinois 6:30 PM ET

Game# 811-812

Play On: Illinois -5.0

Yes, Ohio State has responded well since the firing of their head coach Chris Holtman. The Buckeyes are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5. However, just 1 of those 5 teams had a winning record in league play and that was Nebraska at 12-8. The other 4 teams had a combined record of 30-50 in Nig 10 regular season action.

I truly believe that Illinois is a legitimate contender to reach the Final Four. They finished 14-6 in the Big 10 and was second only to #3 ranked Purdue (28-3). Illinois easily won their only regular season games against Ohio State this season 87-75 and easily covered as a 3.0-point road favorite. Give me Illinois for a top-rated wager.

South Carolina vs. Auburn 3:30 PM ET

Game# 821-822

Play On: Auburn -7.5

I was on South Carolina yesterday with they covered as a favorite versus Arkansas. However, I’m fading them in today’s matchup versus the Auburn Tigers. Auburn has beaten South Carolina in each of their last 7 meeting which includes a 101-61 home win this season. Each of Auburn’s 24 wins this season have come by 11 points or more. South Carolina has vastly overachieved this season on their way to a terrific 26-6 record so far. However, they just don’t match up well against the style of play in which Auburn has exhibited this season. Give me Auburn minus points.

Middle Tennessee State vs. Western Kentucky 3:00 PM ET

Game# 817-818

Play On: Over 149.0

Western Kentucky is #1 nationally when it comes to offensive tempo while averaging 75.2 possessions per 40 minutes played. The Hilltoppers average 80.6 points scored per game in conference play. WKU is also #2 in conference play when it comes to 2-points and 3-point shooting percentage. WKO has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 and with  combined 165.3 points scored per game.

Middle Tennessee State has shot less than 40% in each of their last 5. However, they’ve been able to overcompensate for the poor shooting by getting to the free throw line 25 times per game during that stretch while converting on 75.0% of those opportunities. Conversely, WKU has allowed 25 free throw attempts per game during their previous 5 contests.

The 2 regular season matchups between these teams produced a combined 146 and 153 points being scored. Additionally, those contests averaged a combined 46.5 free throw attempts per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.

New Mexico @ Boise State 11:30 PM ET

Game# 789-790

Play On: Boise State -115 (ML)

I’m fully aware that New Mexico need this game much more when considering they’re clearly a bubble team when it comes to the NCAA Tournament. While barring something unforeseen, Boise State is thought to be a lock to receive an at-large bid regardless of tonight’s result. However, one thing I leaned over the years when it comes to sports betting, just because a team needs a game more than their opponent, doesn’t come close to assuring them a win. This matchup will be a textbook example of such. When you look at the analytical data Boise State is clearly the better team in this contest. This is a battle tested team Broncos team that not only excelled in conference play but also face the 25th most difficult non-conference schedule in all of college basketball. They also beat New Mexico in both regular season matchups by 8 and 10-points respectively. This is one I’m not going to cost myself by overthinking the process. Give me Boise State.

Villanova vs. Marquette 9:30 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: Villanova +4.0

Villanova is coming off a narrow 1-point win yesterday over a 3-29 DePaul team that entered that matchup on a 19-game losing streak. That was a contest in which the Wildcats closed as a massive 24.5-point favorite. It’s been a frustrating season for Villanova fans who have witnessed their team going just 18-14 thus far. Yet, here they are as just a short underdog versus #10 ranked Marquette (23-8) who they’ve already lost to twice this season. They’re begging us to lay the small number on a nationally ranked team versus a seemingly average opponent at best. However, I’m going contrarian here and not taking the bait. Give me Villanova plus points.

Boston College vs. Virginia 9:30 PM ET

Game# 733-734

Play On: Boston College +5.5

Virginia had a double bye in the ACC Tournament after finishing in the top 4 of their league standings. Conversely, Boston College played in each of the previous 2 days while earning impressive wins over Miami by 16 and Clemson by 21with each coming as an underdog. The Eagles will also be out to revenge a late season 4-point home loss to Virginia in a game they looked poised to win for a majority of that contest. Don’t look now but Boston College enters today on a 4-game win streak and brimming with confidence. Conversely, Virginia went a subpar went just 3-4 SU in their last 7 regular season games. The Cavaliers are coming off a 72-57 home win in their previous contest. Nonetheless, Virginia has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during their previous 3 immediately following a win and lost by a substantial average of 23.3 points per game. Give me Boston College plus points.

Arkansas vs. South Carolina 3:30 PM ET

Game# 769-770

Play On: South Carolina -5.5

Arkansas is coming off a 90-85 overtime comeback win yesterday versus SEC cellar dweller Vanderbilt. Despite their 25-6 record, South Carolina has been disrespected on a national scale on many fronts. This Gamecocks team is 11-3 SU and 11-2-1 ATS this season in away and neutral site games. Furthermore, they went 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 SEC road games this season. South Carolina won against Arkansas 77-64 earlier this season in a game they closed as a 3.0-point underdog and was the only contest played between these teams. Give me South Carolina minus points. Give me South Carolina minus points.

USC vs. Arizona 3:00 PM ET

Game# 775-776

Play On: USC +9.5

There’s no denying that Arizona is one of the best teams in the country and a legitimate contender to win a national championship. However, we are talking about a a first-round conference tournament game that means very little to the Wildcats other than whether they’ll be a #1 or #2 seed in the NCAA Tournament. We must also keep in mind, Arizona was unbeaten at home this season, but just 9-6 SU in away or neutral site games while allowing an alarmingly high 80.4 points per contest.  USC is just 15-17, but they’ve gone 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS during their last 4 games which included an upset win over Arizona. The Trojans were also 6-2 SU in their last 8 with their lone defeats coming by 3 points on each occasion. Give me USC plus points.

Seton Hall vs. St. John’s 2:30 PM ET

Game# 745-746

Play On: Seton Hall +4.0

Seton Hall has owned St. John’s since the start of last season while winning all 4 matchups and with an average victory margin of 13.7 points per game. During this season’s 2 regular season matchups St. John’s was held to 63.5 points scored per game and a horrible 26.5% shooting. Seton Hall amassed an alarmingly high 28 offensive rebounds in those contests and went to the free throw line 69 times. The Pirates are #18 nationally and #3 in Big East action in free throw shooting percentage. Give me Seton Hall plus points.

Cal Baptist @ Utah Valley State

Game# 701-702

Play On: Utah Valley State -5.5

These are 2 teams that have been clearly headed in opposite directions. Cal Baptist is 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last 9. Conversely, UVSU has gone 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS during their previous 8 games. UVSU is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 versus Cal Baptist with an average victory margin of 11.8 points per game. Give me Utah Valley State minus points.

Lehigh @ Colgate 7:00 PM ET

Game# 306541-306542

Play On: Under 134.5

Colgate has played 6-0-1 to the under in their last 7 whenever there was a total of 141.0 or less and there was a combined average of 128.9 points scored per game. Lehigh has gone over the total in each of their previous 2 games. However, since the start of last season Lehigh has played 11-2 to the under following 2 consecutive contests going over the total and there was a combined 128.7 points scored per game. Both regular season meetings easily went under with Colgate winning 63-60 and 60-57. Both teams have limited their opponents free throw attempts during conference action with Colgate allowing only 16 per game and Lehigh permitting just 13 per contest. Give me this game to go under the total.

Air Force @ New Mexico 7:00 PM ET

Game# 669-670

Play On: Over 146.0

Since the start of last season, these teams have met 4 times and went over the total on each occasion with a combined average of 156.5 points scored per game. Air Force has played 13-4-1 to the over in conference games this season and New Mexico 12-5-1 to the over. Air Force play’s a a snail’s pace offensively but is #2 during Mountain West Conference action when it come to 3-point shooting at 36.8%. However, it must be noted, they averaged 4.5 field goal attempts more per game than their season average. Conversely, New Mexico prefers a frenetic offensive tempo, and they rank 5th fastest nationally and # during conference action in that category. Give me this game to go over the total.

East Tennessee State vs. Samford 7:00 PM ET

Game# 685-686

Play On:  East Tennessee State +10.0

Samford is an excellent 3-point shooting team with an outstand season record of 28-5. However, they’ll be facing an ETSU team which has gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 and held their opponents to only 28.6% shooting from beyond the 3-point line. ETSU has also gone a very profitable 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS during line games this season immediately following 2 consecutive wins. ETSU lost both regular season meeting versus Samford but did go a combined 19-47 (40.5%) from 3-point territory. ETSU has also made 40.2% of their 3-point shot attempts during their current 5-game win streak. Give me East Tennessee State plus points.

Michigan State @ Indiana 4:30 PM ET

Game# 811-812

Play On: Indiana +4.0

Michigan State is coming off a 4-point home win over Nebraska which snapped a 3-game losing streak. The Spartans are just 3-6 SU during conference road games this season. Indiana has been a big disappointment for most of the season. However, they coming in riding high with a 3-game win streak. This will be the Hoosiers final home game of the season which will assuredly give them a sizable emotional lift. Give me Indiana plus points.

Utah @ Oregon 7:00 PM ET

Game# 699-700

Play On: Over 151.0

This has all the earmarks of a high scoring affair. Utah has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 away with a combined 156.7 points scored per game. During their last 3 games overall, Utah averaged a lofty 87.7 points scored per contest and shooting 50.5% from the floor. They also played at a very fast tempo during those 3 contests while averaging 65 field goal attempts per game. Utah defeated Oregon at home earlier this season 80-77 in a game that sailed over the total of 149.5.

Oregon has scored 75 points or more and shot 49% or better in 4 of their last 5 games. The Ducks have played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 151.0 or greater and an average of 167.5 points were scored per game. Oregon has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 this season when facing an opponent like Utah who averages 77.0 or more points per game with a combined 160.9 points scored a game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Kansas @ Houston 4:00 PM ET

Game# 665-666

Play On: Houston -8.0

Kansas is 2-6 SU in conference away games this season and that includes 1-5 during their last 6. Conversely, Houston has gone a perfect 16-0 SU this season at home with an average victory margin of 27.6 points per game. Furthermore, Houston will be playing with big time revenge stemming from an earlier season 78-65 loss at Kansas. Houston is one of if not the best defensive team in the country but was embarrassed in the loss to Kansas when the Jayhawks shot a blistering hot 68.9% from the floor. I’m here to tell you that was an aberration. Give me Houston minus points.

Richmond @ George Mason 2:30 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: George Mason -130

George Mason will be playing with revenge stemming from a 7-point loss at Richmond earlier this season. The Patriots are coming off a 69-51 win at Rhode Island. George Mason has gone 7-1 SU this season following a win by 10 or more in their previous game. George Mason is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games versus Richmond. Give me George Mason as a money line favorite.

Creighton @ Villanova 2:30 PM ET

Game# 637-638

Play On: Villanova +1.5

Villanova is coming off a disappointing 66-56 loss at Seton Hall. However, the Wildcats are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by 18 points or more on each occasion. Despite going 3-2 in their last 5, Villanova has been excellent defensively while allowing just 62.6 points per contest and their opponents shot just a combined 38.7% from the field. Villanova has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home versus Creighton with an average victory margin of 19.3 points per game. The current total in this contest is 136.5. Villanova has gone 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at home this season when the total was between 130.0 to 139.5. Their only SU loss came to #2 UConn 69-68. The Wildcats are also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home while winning by an average of 20.5 points per game. Give me Villanova plus points.

Arkansas @ Alabama 12:00 PM ET

Game# 603-604

Play On: Arkansas +14.5

I really like how hard Arkansas has competed down the stretch despite them having a ho-hum season. Yes, the Razorbacks are only 3-3 SU in their last 6 but they covered on 5 of those occasions. Arkansas is also a perfect 3-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog this season which included an upset win at Texas A&M and an overtime loss at Kentucky. Alabama has lost their last 2 and 3 of their previous 4. The Crimson Tide is one of the more explosive offensive teams in the nation but they leave much to be desired on the defensive end. Throughout their previous 5 contest, Alabama has allowed 96.8 points per game and opponents have averaged a massive 30 free throw attempts per outing. That can be problematic against an Arkansas team that has averaged 88.8 points per game over their last 5 and went an excellent 85.0% from the free throw line. Give me Arkansas plus points.

California @ Stanford 11:00 PM ET

Game# 769-770

Play On: Over 154.5

Stanford has played 13-2 to the over at home this season with a combined 160.1 points being scored per game. California is coming off an 88-59 loss at Utah which stayed under the total of 154.5. However, the Bears have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under during their previous contest with a combined average of 158.3 points scored per outing. Stanford is #2 in PAC-12 Conference play while making 38.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. On a negative note, the Cardinal have lost 6 in a row and allowed 81.8 points per game while doing so. Conversely, California has allowed 80 points or more in each of their previous 4 conference away games. Stanford is #3 and California #4 when it comes to offensive tempo during conference action. Give me this game to go over the total.

Navy @ Boston U. 7:00 PM ET

Game# 606575-306576

Play On: Navy +4.0

Both teams enter this contest on a 5-game win streak. However, Boston U. is an uninspiring 8-6 SU at home this season. The Terriers are coming off a 94-84 win over Holy Cross. Boston U. is 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS this season in lined games following a win by 10-points or greater. During their current 5 game win streak Navy has covered on each occasion and made 42.0% of their 3-point shot attempts.  They also allowed only 59.8 points per game while holding opponents to 35.8% shooting from the field. Navy is #1 in Patriot League Conference play in free throw attempts and Boston is dead last in free throw attempts allowed. Navy is an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS this season after covering 2 or more games in a row and averaged outscoring their opponents by 7.5 points per game. Give me Navy plus points.

Eastern Illinois vs. SIU-Edwardsville 10:00 PM ET

Game# 719-720

Play On: Over 142.5

SIU-Edwardsville has played 9-0 to the over in their last 9 and with a combined 153.7 points scored per game. Edwardsville hasn’t shot very well in their last 5 but has more than made up for it by playing at frenetic pace by averaging 68 field goal attempts per game. During that same stretch, they allowed 77.8 points per game while opponents shot 41.9% from 3-point territory and averaged 26 free throw attempts per contest. Conversely, Eastern Illinois has made an excellent 41.6% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Eastern Illinois has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined 148.0 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.

Loyola Chicago @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET

Game# 685-686

Play On: Loyola-Chicago -110 (ML)

Davidson has gone a terrible 2-6 SU in conference road games this season. The Wikdcats have also lost their last 3 games overall. Loyola has gone an extremely profitable 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9 outings. The Ramblers are also a sparkling 6-0 SU&ATS during conference away games this season. Give me Loyola-Chicago.

San Diego State @ UNLV 11:00 PM ET

Game# 653-654

Play On: UNLV +2.5

San Diego State has gone 14-0 at home this season. Nevertheless, all 7 of their losing this season have occurred in true road games. As a matter of fact, San Diego State is 0-6 SU&ATS this season during true road games when their point-spread was between +3.5 and -3.5. UNLV enters this contest having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 and 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS during their previous 10 games. The Rebels will also be playing with same season revenge stemming from an earlier season 72-61 loss at San Diego State. Give me UNLV.

Alabama @ Florida 7:00 PM ET

Game# 645-646

Play On: Alabama +2.0

Alabama is 5-0 SU in conference away games this season versus teams not currently ranked and won by an average of 10.4 points per game. Alabama is coming off a conference home loss to Tennessee this past Saturday. The Crimson Tide are 3-0 SU&ATS this season in conference games this season immediately following a conference loss.  The Crimson Tide shot 38.3% from the floor in that loss to Tennessee in their previous contest. It was just the 4th time all season that Alabama shot less than 40% and in their previous 3 immediately after that occurred, they averaged 103.0 points scored per game. Alabama is battle tested while having gone 20-9 against the 2nd toughest schedule in the country. The Crimson Tide have also won the last 4 head-to-head meetings versus Florida. Give me Alabama.

Robert Morris @ IPFW 7:00 PM ET

Game# 661-662

Play On: IPFW -10.5

These teams just squared off in their final regular season game with IPFW posting an 83-65 home win. IPFW has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a favorite and won by an average of 19.7 points per game. Robert Morris enters the first round of the Horizon Conference Tournament on a 6-game losing streak and was outscored by a decisive margin of 18.0 points per contest. Give me IPFW minus points.

Gonzaga @ St. Mary’s 10:00 PM ET

Game# 801-802

Play On: Over 141.0

St. Mary’s has scored 70 points or more in their last 6 abd 12 of their previous 13 games. The Gaels have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 at home with a combined average of 148.4 points scored per game. During their last 5 outings, St. Mary’s has scored 84.0 points per game while shooting a sizzling hot 53.0% and they made an exceptional 45.0% of their 3-point shot attempts.

Gonzaga has scored 86 points or more in each of their previous 7 contests. During their previous 5 contests, Gonzaga has scored 91.6 points per game, shot 58.6% from the field, and made an excellent 41.6% of their 3-point shots. Gonzaga is #4 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and #1 during conference play. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Texas Tech @ West Virginia 6:00 PM ET

Game# 721-722

Play On: Over 151.5

West Virginia is last in defensive efficiency during Big 12 action. The Mountaineers are also #1 during conference play in offensive tempo averaging 69.8 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. The Mountaineers have played 6-1-1 to the over in their last 8 at home with a combined 157.1 points scored per game. Texas Tech has gone over in 5 straight contests when the total was 144.5 or greater and there was a combined 158.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Iowa @ Northwestern 5:30 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: Northwestern -2.0

Northwestern is 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS in conference home games this season which includes notable wins versus Purdue, Michigan State, Illinois, and Nebraska. This is a game the Wildcats can ill afford to lose if they hope to be invited to the NCAA Tournament. Iowa is 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 conference road games and has been among the worst defensive teams during Big 10 Conference action. Give me Northwestern minus points.

Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech 5:30 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: Virginia Tech -120

The Demon Deacons have been a nice story this season and are surely in strong consideration for an NCAA Tournament invite. However, Wake Forest is 0-3 in their last 3 and 1-7 during their previous 8 away games. Virginia is coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games. Nevertheless, the Hokies are 3-0 at home this season immediately following back-to-back losses and won by an average of 10.0 points per game with all coming versus ACC opponents. Virginia Tech will be playing with big time revenge stemming from an earlier season 86-63 blowout loss At Wake Forest. Give me Virginia Tech for a money line wager.

Penn State @ Minnesota 3:15 PM ET

Game# 663-664

Play On: Over 150.5

Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over this season whenever the total was 150.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 168.5 points scored per game. Penn State has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 and there was an average total of 156.7 while a combined 169.0 points were scored per game. Minnesota won 83-74 at Penn State earlier this season and that contest went over the total of 150.5. Minnesota has averaged 79.4 points scored per contest and made a superb 46.6% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Both teams defensive play has left a lot to be desired in recent games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Illinois @ Wisconsin 1:00 PM ET

Game# 619-620

Play On: Over 153.5

Wisconsin has gone over the total in all 7 games this season whenever there was a total of 143.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 160.9 points scored per contest. Illinois has played 8-0 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined 174.0 points scored per game. Illinois has also gone under in their previous 7 on the road with a combined 161 points or more being scored on each occasion. The Illini have also played 16-2 to the over in their last 18 and 20 of their previous 23 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Villanova @ Providence 12:00 PM ET

Game# 601-602

Play On: Providence -2.5

Providence is coming off an embarrassing 91-69 road loss at Marquette on Wednesday. However, the Friars are 4-0 SU in their last 4 conference home games. Conversely, Villanova is a dismal 1-5 SU in their last 6 on the road with their only win coming over Georgetown who has a horrible 2-15 Big East record. Villanova is certainly not terrible, but this is one of the weaker Wildcats teams we’ve seen in recent years. Providence will also be playing with revenge stemming from a 68-50 win at Villanova earlier this season. Give me Providence minus points.

Dayton @ Loyola-Chicago 9:00 PM ET

Game# 887-888

Play On: Loyola-Chicago +1.5

Loyola-Chicago got caught looking ahead to a matchup with nationally ranked Dayton in their previous game and lost at St. Bonaventure 79-64. However, the Ramblers are 6-0 SU versus Division 1 opponents this season following a SU loss and won by an average of 10.1 points per contest. Loyola is also 5-0 in their last 5 conference home games and with an average victory margin of 11.0 points per contest. Dayton is a terrific 22-5 this season. Nevertheless, they’ve gone 1-3 SU in their last 4 on the road. Give me Loyola Chicago.

USC @ Washington State 10:30 PM ET

Game# 841-842

Play On: Washington State -7.0

Washington State is 13-1 SU at home this season and that includes 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 with an average victory margin of 13.4 points per game. The Cougars are also 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 overall. USC is coming off a 72-64 upset win at UCLA. The Trojans are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a win. USC has been dominated on the glass throughout their previous 5 contests with a -16 rebound per game differential. The Trojans are last in PAC-12 action when it comes to defensive rebounding while Washington State ranks 2nd on the offensive glass. Look for that to be a key factor tonight in the Cougars physically wearing down USC as the game progresses while forcing the to defend on multiple Washington State offensive possessions. Give me Washington State minus points.

UTEP @ Jacksonville State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 777-778

Play On: Over 134.5

The first time these teams met this season UTEP walked away with a 79-71 win and that contest easily surpassed the total of 130.5. It was an extremely physical game which is evidenced by a combined 68 attempted free throws. UTEP is coming off unders in each of their previous 2. The Miners have played 4-0 to the over this season in lined games and following back-to-back contests going under with a combined 158.3 points scored per game. UTEP has played at a might faster tempo over their previous 5 outings than their season average indicates with 65 field goals being attempted per game. UTEP has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 when the total 135.5 or less and there was a combined 141.7 points scored per contest. The Miners last 2 road games were extremely high scoring affairs where the suffered losses of 90-80 to Western Kentucky and 96-90 versus Middle Tennessee State. Give me this game to go over the total.

Jacksonville State is coming off a 77-75 conference road win at FIU. During the past 3 season, the Jaguars have played 9-0 to the over following a conference road win and with a combined 157.5 points scored per game. Jacksonville State has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 at home when the total was 139.0 or less. Give me this game to go over the total.

Hofstra @ NC-Wilmington 7:00 PM ET

Game# 773-774

Play On: Hofstra +5.0

Hofstra is 7-1 SU in their last 8 and is now 12-1 SU since last season in February. During their previous 5 contests Hofstra has averaged a lofty 79.2 points scored per game, shot 51.0% from the field, made an excellent 41.3% of their 3-point shot attempts, and went 76.2% from the free throw line. That shapes up to be problematic for a NC-Wilmington team that’s 1-2 SU in their last with opponents shooting 50.0% from the field and made 40.6% of their 3-point shot attempts. Their 2 losses came as a 9.0 and 16.5-point favorite. This will be the only regular season meeting between these teams. Hofstra will be playing with revenge stemming from a conference tournament loss to Wilmington as a 6.5-point favorite. Give me Hofstra plus points.

Virginia @ Boston College 9:00 PM ET

Game# 747-748

Play On: Boston College -110

Despite Boston College being 6-10 in conference action and Virginia being 11-6, it’s the Eagles that come up as a slight favorite in this matchup. Virginia is just 1-3 SU in their last 4 and they scored a pathetic 46 points or fewer during each of the previous 3 games. Boston College is coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games at NC State ans at Florida State. However, you may be unaware of the fact that Boston College hasn’t lost 3 in a row all season and they’re 4-0 SU following back-toback losses. Since the start of last season, Boston College is also 7-1 SU after playing each of their previous 2 games on the road. Give me Boston College on the money line.

Minnesota @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: Over 154.5

Illinois has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 and 15-2 over during their previous 17 games. Minnesota is coming off a 73-55 loss at Nebraska in their previous game which easily went under the total. But, the Golden Gophers have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 after an under and there was a combined 165.0 points scored per game. Additionally, Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over this season in games when the total was 150.0 or greater and there was a combined 160.2 points scored per contest. Both teams have been very good at getting to the free throw line over each of their previous 5 games with Illinois averaging 24 attempts per outing and Illinois 26 which is extremely high by college basketball standards. Through that identical 5-game stretch, Illinois has made a superb 80.5% of those attempts and they allowed opponents 27 free throws per contest as well. Give me this game to go over the total.

Providence @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET

Game# 699-700

Play On: Over 150.0

Marquette has scored 78 points or more in 5 of their last 6 with the lone exception coming during a loss at #2 Connecticut. The Golden Eagles have shot 50% or better in 8 of their last 11 games. Marquette is #2 and Providence #4 when it comes to adjusted offensive tempo during Big East action. Providence has played 4-0-1 to the over in their last 5 with a combined 155.4 points being scored per game. Both teams have shot the ball extremely well from beyond the 3-point line over each of their previous 5 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Nevada @ Colorado State 10:30 PM ET

Game# 659-660

Play On: Colorado State -7.0

This point-spread was an attention getter for me with Colorado State opening as a 5.5-point favorite and quickly moving to 7.5 against a very good Nevada team that won 3 in a row and 6 of their last 7. This is what I deem to be a heavy line and a number that most won’t be willing to lay with the home favorite. I’m not one of those bettors. However, this is a Colorado State team that’s 14-1 SU at home which includes 7-0 during Mountain West Conference action with an average victory margin of 11.4 points per contest. The Rams have tightened the screws defensively over their last 5 outing while allowing just 64.4 points per game and holding opponents to a combined 38.1% shooting from the floor. The Rams will be playing with same season revenge having lost at Nevada 77-64 earlier this season. They’re 2-0 SU&ATS at home this season while playing with same season revenge with wins over Boise State 75-62 and Utah State 75-55. Give me Colorado State minus points.

Texas @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Over 144.5

Texas Tech has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 144.5 or greater and there was a combined 160.3 points scored per game. Texas has has played 6-1 to the over in their last 7 when the total was 144.5 or greater with a combined 149.7 points scored per game. These teams met at Texas earlier this season and the Red Raiders came away with a 78-67 win and it went over the total of 140.5. Texas Tech is #19 nationally and #3 during Big 12 play in adjusted offensive efficiency. On a negative note, the Red Raiders are #11 during Big 12 action in adjusted defensive efficiency and #13 out of 14 teams regarding defensive 3-point shooting percentage. On the other hand, Texas is dead last in Big 12 play when defending the 3-point shot and #29 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Furthermore, during their last 4 on the road, Texas has allowed 79.5 points per gameand opponents have shot a combined 55.0% from the floor. Give me this game to go over the total.

NC State @ Florida State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: Over 151.5

Florida State is coming off a 74-67 loss at Clemson that stayed under the total of 149.5. Nonetheless, the Seminoles have played over the total in 8 consecutive contests immediately following going under in their previous contest and there was a combined 162.6 points scored per game. Florida State is also #1 in offensive tempo during ACC games. On a negative note. Florida State allows the most free throw attempts during ACC action while NC State has made a terrific 77.9% of their free throws during conference games this season. Speaking of NC State, they’ve played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 144.0 or greater with a combined 159.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Kentucky @ Mississippi State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 621-622

Play On: Mississippi State -3.5

I’m of the opinion they’re giving us the winner in this matchup with unranked Mississippi State being a favorite over 6th ranked Kentucky. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the ranked road underdog in this spot. The Bulldogs will be playing with revenge stemming from a 90-77 loss at Kentucky earlier this season. That was a contest in which Kentucky was awarded 17 more free throw attempts than Mississippi State and the Wildcats outscored the Bulldogs by 17 points from the charity stripe. That type of free throw shooting disparity is unlikely to occur again. Kentucky has gone just 2-4 SU in their last 6 conference away games. Conversely, Mississippi State enter this contest on a 5-game win streak and that includes going 4-0 ATS if they were favorite by 9.5 or less with an average victory margin of 17.3 points per game.  Give me Mississippi State minus points.

Minnesota @ Nebraska 6:30 PM ET

Game# 857-858

Play On: Nebraska -6.5

I know Minnesota has been playing very well in recent weeks. However, they’re still just 2-5 SU on the road.  I also can’t ignore the fact that Nebraska is a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS during conference home game this season. The Cornhuskers will also be out to revenge a 76-65 loss at Minnesota earlier this season while outscoring their opponents by an average of 13.2 points per game. Give me Nebraska minus points.

Pepperdine @ San Francisco 10:00 PM ET

Game# 799-800

Play On: Over 149.0

Pepperdine has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 away games. San Francisco has played 10-1 to the over in their previous 11 this season as a double-digit favorite. The Dons are also 8-1 to the over in their last 9 at home. Pepperdine is coming off an 89-70 win at Pacific. Since the start of last season, Pepperdine has played 9-1 to the over immediately following a game in which there was a combined 155 points, or more being scored and there was an average of 161.9 points scored per contest. San Francisco has shot 48% or better in 5 of their last 6 games. Pepperdine has been awful defensively during conference play while allowing 79.6 points per game and opponents are shooting a combined 52.6% from the field. However, Pepperdine has been red-hot offensively throughout their previous 5 while averaging 77.0 points scored per game while making 39.6% of their 3-point shot attempts and 79.3% on their free throws. San Francisco defeated Pepperdine at home earlier this season 80-74 and that contest went over the total of 146.5.

Utah @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET

Game# 791-792

Play On: Colorado -6.5

Utah is a dismal 1-6 SU in conference away games with their only victory coming in last Sunday’s 70-69 at UCLA. Conversely, Colorado is 6-1 SU in conference home games. During PAC-12 play, Utah is the worst team in free throw attempts allowed. On the other hand, Colorado is #1 during conference action in free throw attempts for and also #1 in free throw percentage while making them at a 78.5% clip. Colorado will also be out to atone for an earlier season 5-point loss at Utah. Give me Colorado minus points.

Mississippi State @ LSU 8:30 PM ET

Game# 781-782

Play On: LSU +2.5

Mississippi State is coming off a 12-point home win over their bitter in-state rival Ole Miss. Now they must go on the road to face a 14-12 LSU team and may get caught looking ahead to hosting #17 Kentucky on Monday night. It’s a textbook sandwich and trap game. Furthermore, although Mississippi State has a very good 11-2 home record, the Bulldogs have lost 6 of their last 7 on the road, and the lone win came over a Missouri team which currently is on a 13-game losing streak. Despite their mediocre record, LSU is showing signs of life after upsetting #20 South Carolina on the road and knocking off #17 Kentucky at home during their previous 2 games. I like the home team in this spot that’s riding a wave of momentum versus the high potential of the visiting team being flatter than a pancake. Give me LSU.

Virginia Tech @ Pittsburgh 5:30 PM ET

Game# 717-718

Play On: Pittsburgh -3.0

Virginia Tech is coming off a dominating 75-41 home win over a very good Virginia team. On the other hand, Pittsburgh is coming being routed 91-58 at Wake Forest in their last time out. Yet, it’s Pittsburgh who comes up favorite in this spot. This is a classic example of unsuccessful sports bettors falling prey to a short memory. Taking the underdog in this situation is in my eyes a sucker play. Give me Pittsburgh minus points.

George Mason @ Loyola-Chicago 4:30 PM ET

Game# 701-702

Play On: Loyola-Chicago -3.0

George Mason is coming off their first ever win in program history over a Top 25 opponents when they knocked off #16 Daton 74-70 the last time out. This has all the potential for a letdown spot for George Mason given the emotional high carried away from and during that win. It’s only human nature that George Mason won’t come close to the intensity level and mental sharpness it had during that upset win. Additionally, George Mason is 1-4 in their last 5 conference away games. Although Dayton and Richmond have made plenty of headlines this season in the Atlantic 10 Conference, Loyola-Chicago is a sneaky good team. Loyola enters Saturday’s contest having won 6 in a row, 9 of their last 10, and 13 of their previous 15 contests. Furthermore, tjhey already won at George Mason 85-79 earlier this season. Give me Loyola-Chicago minus points for a Top Play wager.

North Carolina @ Virginia 4:00 PM ET

Game# 669-670

Play On: Virginia +2.5

Virginia is coming off a humiliating 75-41 at Virginia Tech. The good news is the Cavaliers are 5-1 SU immediately following a loss this season and 7-1 SU during ACC home games. Conversely, North Carolina is coming off a 96-81 home win over Virginia Tech. It’s well worth noting, the #10 Tar Heels have gone 0-3 SU in their last 3 following a win. North Carolina is just 3-3 SU in their last 6 overall which included road losses versus unranked teams in Syracuse and Georgia Tech. Give me Virginia plus the points.

South Carolina @ Ole Miss 3:30 PM ET

Game# 667-668

Play On: Ole Miss -2.5

We have unranked Ole Miss as a short home favorite versus #20 South Carolina and in my opinion rightfully so. After a surprising 23-3 start to the season, South Carolina has dropped their last 2 games by 40 at Auburn and then in their previous contest was upset by LSU as a sizable 8.0-point home favorite. Ole Miss has lost 4 of their last 5 but 3 of those contests occurred on the road including a narrow 68-65 defeat at South Carolina. The Rebels are 13-1 SU at home this season with their lone defeat coming against #14 Auburn. South Carolina has been exposed. Give me Ole Miss minus points.

Houston @ Baylor 12:00 PM ET

Game# 607-608

Play On: Baylor +2.5

Houston is coming off a hard fought 8-point home win over #6 Iowa State. The Cougars are 23-3 and ranked #2 nationally. However, all 3 of their loses came in conference away games versus Iowa State, Kansas, and TCU. Baylor is coming off a disappointing 7-point loss at #25 BYU. The Bears return home where they’re 13-1 this season with their lone defeat coming in triple overtime to TCU. Unranked Baylor already owns 3 home wins versus ranked teams over #6 Iowa State, #23 Texas Tech, and #25 Baylor. They also defeated #14 Auburn and #24 Florida on neutral courts earlier this season. This is great spot for the home underdog to make a statement and further improve their season resume. Give me Baylor plus points.

Oregon @ Stanford 11:00 PM ET

Game# 833-834

Play On: Over 149.5

Stanford has played 12-1 to the over this season at home with a combined average of 161.6 points being scored per game. Stanford is #3 in offensive tempo, #1 when in 3-point shooting percentage, and #2 in free throw percentage during PAC-12 action. Oregon is has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 away games and all versus conference opponents. Give me this game to go over the total.

SMU @ FAU 7:00 PM ET

Game# 741-742

Play On: FAU -6.0

Both teams are 10-3 in conference play. However, this is an FAU team built for these big game situations such as these. Thw Owls are an experienced team and one that reached the Final 4 last spring. FAU also own impressive non-conference wins this season over #4 Arizona, Texas A&M, Butler, and Virginia Tech. FAU is coming off a 4-point loss at surging South Florida in their previous game. Nonetheless, the Owls have been resilient this season while going 4-0 SU immediately following a loss and winning by 13.7 points per game. SMU has won 6 straight but 4 of those were at home. The Mustangs are just 3-3 SU this season in conference away games. Give me FAU minus points.

Nebraska @ Indiana 8:30 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: Over 149.5

Nebraska has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 conference away contests and with a combined average of 157.0 points being scored per game. The Cornhuskers have been a terrific 3-point shooting teams in Big 10 play while making a stellar 39.0% of those attempts. Nebraska has made 78.7% of their free throws during conference action while Indiana is allowing 24 attempts per game in Big 10 play. The Hoosiers have seen 3 of their last 4 at home go over the total. The last 3 meetings between these division rivals have all gone under the number including and 86-70 Nebraska home win earlier this season which went over the closing total of 151.5. Give me this game to go over the total.

Charlotte @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: Over 146.0

Memphis games during AAC action have averaged a combined 161.1 points scored per contest. The Tigers are #3 in 3-point shooting percentage, #2 in 2-point shooting percentage, and #1 in offensive tempo during conference play. Memphis allows an alarmingly high 21 free throw attempts per game in conference play. Conversely, Charlotte is #1 in AAC play with regards to free throw attempts and they converted on a very good 75.0% of those opportunities. That’s a lot of projected points for Charlotte to score with the clock stopped. Lastly, Memphis has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with an average total of 151.0 and there was a combined 164.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

George Washington @ St. Joseph’s 7:00 PM ET

Game# 677-678

Play On: Over 159.5

George Washington has lost 8 straight games and allowed 81 points on each occasion. GW is #1 during Atlantic 10 Conference play when it comes to offensive tempo while averaging 70.2 possessions per 40 minutes played. The Colonials are also dead last in adjusted defensive efficiency during conference play while allowing and average of 1.2 points per opponent’s offensive possessions. St. Joseph’s also prefers to play at a fast pace as their #1 in offensive time of possession at 17.1 seconds per. St. Joes has played shoddy defense over their previous 5 contests while allowing 78.4 points per game and opponents made a very worrisome 44.2% of their 3-point shot attempts against them. St. Joes has gone over in 3 straight when the total has been 152.0 or greater and with a combined average of 164.7 points scored per game.

Florida @ Alabama 7:00 PM ET

Game# 679-680

Play On: Alabama -9.0

Florida has gone 7-1 in their last 8 games which included wins over #14 Auburn and #17 Kentucky. Yet, they find themselves as a heavy underdog in this contest and for good reason in my opinion. Alabama is 13-1 SU &12-2 ATS at home this season and outscored their opponents by an enormous average of 26.6 points per game. Furthermore, they’ve gone 6-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season with a substantial average victory margin of 21.1 points per game. Alabama is #1 in SEC play when it comes to adjusted offensive efficiency. Conversely, Florida has allowed 80.2 points per game in SEC action this season. Additionally, Alabama is a much better defensive team than they’re given credit for and especially when considering the torrid offensive pace they play at. Give me Alabama minus points.

San Francisco @ St. Mary’s 11:00 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: Over 132.5

St. Mary’s is notorious over the years of being extremely efficient offensively while playing at a slow methodical pace. Nonetheless, the Gaels have seemed to switch their philosophy over their previous 3 contests while hoisting up a very high 64 field goal attempts per game. During that time they averaged 87.7 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 54.5% from the field. St. Mary’s is also the best 3-point shooting team during West Coast Conference action while making 40.8% of those long-distance attempts.

San Francisco has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 whenever the total was 141.5 or less and there was a combined average of 149.0 points scored per game. During their last 5 outings, San Francisco has averaged 81.4 points scored per game while shooting a stellar 50.9% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total.