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NCAA Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-22-23	Nevada v. TCU OVER 149.5		88-75	Win	100	6 h 35 m	Show
Nevada vs. TCU 5:00 PM ET Game# 881-882 Play On: Over 149.5 TCU enjoys playing at an extremely fast pace. The Hrned Frogs have scored 79 points or more in 9 of their 10 games this season. On the other hand, we have a Nevada team which has scored 72 points or greater in 10 of their last games. Both teams are very good at getting to the free throw and also converting on those attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-16-23	Alabama v. Creighton -7		82-85	Loss	-108	10 h 43 m	Show
Alabama @ Creighton 8:00 PM ET Game# 689-690 Play On: Creighton -7.0 No College Basketball analysis today due to time constraints.
12-16-23	UCLA v. Ohio State -125		60-67	Win	100	5 h 39 m	Show
UCLA vs. Ohio State 3:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Ohio State -125 No College Basketball analysis today due to time constraints.
12-16-23	Texas A&M +7.5 v. Houston		66-70	Win	100	4 h 12 m	Show
Texas A&M @ Houston 2:30 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Texas A&M +7.5 No College Basketball analysis today due to time constraints.
12-12-23	Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. South Florida OVER 161		86-104	Win	100	4 h 5 m	Show
Arkansas Pine Bluff @ South Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 306507-306508 Play On: Over 161.0 Arkansas-Pine Bluff has gone over the total in all 8 of their lined games this season and there was a combined average of 173.4 points scored per contest. Pine Bluff is #11 nationally in adjusted offensive tempo while averaging 74.6 possessions per 40 minutes played. Additionally, they're 3rd worst in the country when it comes to adjusted defensive efficiency while allowing 119.0 points per 100 of their opponent's offensive possessions. Pine Bluff has allowed 100 points or more in 5 of 9 games against Division 1 opponents this season. It must be noted, they've also faced the 11th most difficult schedule in college basketball as of today but have still managed to score 86 points or more in 7 of their 11 games. Furthermore, Pine Bluff averages 11 three-point makes per games and coverts on a stellar 38.3% of those long-range attempts. Give me this game to go over the total. South Florida is 47th nationally in offensive time of possession at just 15.7 seconds per possession. South Florida games have averaged a combined 47 free throw attempts per game which is high by college basketball standards. Both teams in this matchup are very good free throw shooting teams. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-09-23	St. Mary's v. Colorado State -5		64-61	Loss	-110	21 h 13 m	Show
St. Mary’s @ Colorado State 6:30 PM ET Game# 697-695 Play On: Colorado State -5.0 St. Mary’s was ranked in the preseason AP Poll Top 25. At this current time, it’s safe to say they were vastly overrated. The Gaels are 4-5 which includes bad losses to Weber State at home, San Diego State by 25, and Xavier by 17. Conversely, Colorado State has lived up to their preseason billing by winning their first 9 games. Additionally, the Rams have covered in 7 of those 9 contests while also posting quality wins over Power Conference opponents like Washington, Colorado, Creighton, and Boston College. The Rams are an extremely efficient offensively while averaging 119.8 points scored per 100 offensive possessions and that’s 6th best in all of college basketball. Give me Colorado State minus points.
12-09-23	Cincinnati +1.5 v. Xavier		79-84	Loss	-115	21 h 12 m	Show
Cincinnati @ Xavier 6:30 PM ET Game# 699-700 Play On: Cincinnati +1.5 The old cliché in rivalry games such as this one is to toss the records out the window. However, it doesn’t erase that fact that Xavier (4-5) enters this matchup losers of 3 straight games and all of which were played at home. There was no shame in losing to #1 Houston by 6. However, 2 of those 3 homes losses came as a double-digit favorite to mid-major conference teams Delaware 87-80 and Oakland 78-46. and neither team is currently rated in the Top 125 of College Basketball according to KenPom. Cincinnati has played a much weaker schedule than Xavier but has started the season 7-0 and is rated #24 by KenPom. The Bearcats have posted double-digit wins in 6 of those 7 contests. Give me Cincinnati.
12-09-23	Colgate v. Vermont UNDER 133		77-71	Loss	-110	17 h 44 m	Show
Colgate @ Vermont 2:00 PM ET Game# 306517-306518 Play On: Under 133.0 Both teams play at an extremely slow tempo while ranking in the bottom 20% in that category. Neither team gets to the free throw line with regularity with Vermont ranking #331 and Colgate #358. Both are terrible when it comes to offensive rebounding, and each is very good on the defensive glass. So, likely each team will have very few chance opportunities. Each is heavily reliant on their 3 point-shooting with 48.2% of Vermont’s shots coming from 3-point range and Colgate 42.3%. Both teams have shown themselves to be more than respectable at defending the 3-point line as well. Both teams are amongst the worst in the country in forcing turnovers. Give me this game to go under the total.
12-07-23	Iowa v. Iowa State OVER 153		65-90	Win	100	8 h 19 m	Show
Iowa @ Iowa State 7:30 PM ET Game# 875-876 Play On: Over 153.0 The pace/tempo of this game will be conducive to a high scoring affair. Iowa is #27 nationally in adjusted offensive tempo. The Hawkeyes also average only 15.0 seconds per offensive possession which ranks 14th nationally. Iowa State is in the top 25% in college basketball when it comes to both categories previously mentioned. Iowa is 14th nationally in offensive efficiency while averaging 118.4 points scored per 100 possessions while Iowa State is in the upper 20% of college basketball at 111.2. Each team is adept at getting to the free throw line with Iowa State averaging 25 attempts per game and Iowa 24. Iowa State has scored 85 or more points in each of their 4 home games this season. Iowa has scored 84 points or more in 6 of their 8 games. This has all the makings of a game to be played in the 80’s. Give me over the total.
12-05-23	San Diego State v. Grand Canyon OVER 142		73-79	Win	100	8 h 50 m	Show
San Diego State @ Grand Canyon 9:00 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Over 142.0 Both teams in this matchup having been stellar in terms of offensive point production despite being a tad better than average when it comes to shooting percentage. Grand Canyon averages 80.3 points scored per game and San Diego State is at 77.8 per contest. Each team has been adept at getting to the charity stripe with Grand Canyon averaging 30 free throw attempts per contest which ranks #2 nationally and San Diego State 24 per game. San Diego State has played 3-0 to the over this season when the total has been between 140.0 to 147.5 and there was a combined average of 168.0 points scored per game. Grand Canyon has played 4-0 to the over this season when there was a total of between 140.0 to 145.5 and there was a combined average of 153.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-04-23	Furman v. Arkansas OVER 158.5		83-97	Win	100	8 h 46 m	Show
Furman @ Arkansas 8:00 PM ET Game# 863-864 Play On: Over 158.5 Furman has played 4-0 to the over this season when the total was 157.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 169.0 points scored per game. Furman prefers an up tempo style of basketball and the statistics provided by KenPom fully backs that statement. Arkansas has played 5-0 to the over at home this season. The Razorbacks contests have averaged a combined 53 free throws per outing and that’s a huge number by college basketball standards, and equates to many points being scored with the clock stopped. Arkansas has also allowed 75 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games. Give me this game to go over the total.
12-01-23	Fresno State v. BYU -14.5		56-85	Win	100	8 h 55 m	Show
Fresno State vs. BYU 9:00 PM ET Game# 885-886 Play On: BYU -14.5 This game won’t be played in Provo but it will take place in Salt Lake City which by all intents and purposes Is a BYU home game. BYU (6-0) is currently ranked #19 in the AP Poll. Nevertheless, I trust the KenPom rankings much more and they have the Cougars at #9. BYU is is extremely good on both ends of the floor. They’re 28th nationally in 3-point shooting percentage while Fresno State is #338 at defending the 3-point shot. Fresno is an uninspiring 2-3 versus Division 1 teams thus far with their only wins coming over Morgan State and New Mexico State who currently have a combined 1-12 record versus Division 1 competition. Give me BYU minus points.
12-01-23	Quinnipiac v. Canisius -3.5		73-93	Win	100	6 h 56 m	Show
Quinnipiac @ Canisius 7:00 PM ET Game# 865-866 Play On: Canisius -3.5 Quinnipiac is 5-1 but their wins have come over Coast Guard, Army, Stonehill, Central Connecticut State, and Albany. Their 4 Division 1 wins came over teams that currently have a combined 7-21 (.250) record. Conversely, Canisius owns quality wins over St. Bonaventure (4-2) and Western Kentucky (5-3). They also gave Syracuse (5-2) all they can handle in a 12-point road loss. Give me Canisius minus points.
12-01-23	Liberty -4 v. College of Charleston		67-76	Loss	-105	5 h 57 m	Show
Liberty vs. Charleston 6:00 PM ET Game# 843-844 Play On: Liberty -4.0 Liberty suffered their first loss of the season last night to #13 FAU. However, keep in mind, that was an FAU team that returned all 5 starters from a team that reached the Final 4 this past April. Additionally, that game was part of the Field of 68 Tournament which is being held on the home floor of FAU. The Flames own a quality win over a Top 100 team in Wichita State. These teams faced one common opponent and that was Vermont. Liberty defeated the Catamounts 71-61 while Charleston lost 77-69 on a neutral floor. Charleston is a mediocre 3-3 to start the season with 1 of those wins coming against a team that currently has a winning record. Libert has played the tougher schedule and is batter both offensively and defensively than Charleston. This is also an experienced Liberty team that went 27-9 a season ago and advanced to the 2nd Round of the NIT where they lost at Wisconsin 75-71 after advancing with a home win over Villanova. Give me Liberty minus points.
11-30-23	Liberty v. Florida Atlantic -7.5		58-83	Win	100	6 h 48 m	Show
Liberty @ FAU 6:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: FAU -7.5 Liberty comes into this matchup with a 6-0 record. However, they’ve faced a much easier schedule than FAU and has posted no victories over major conference teams. This will also be the Flames first true road game of the season. #13 FAU (6-1) sustained a massive upset loss earlier this season when they fell to Bryant as a 23.5-point home favorite. However, since that stunning defeat, the Owls have gone 3-0 with wins over noteworthy opponents the likes of Butler, Texas A7M. and Virginia Tech. During those 3 victories they averaged an impressive 90.3 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 54.3% from the field. Keep in mind, this is an FAU team which made it to the Final 4 a season ago and all 5 of last year’s starters returned for another run at a national championship. Give me FAU minus points.
11-29-23	Colorado v. Colorado State -2.5		83-88	Win	100	7 h 15 m	Show
Colorado @ Colorado State 9:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Colorado State -2.5 Colorado State is a hidden gem at 6-0 and ranked #20. The Rams are coming off an extremely impressive 69-48 upset win over #15 Creighton as a 9.0-point underdog on a neutral floor. Colorado State is averaging 84.9 points scored per game while shooting a blistering hot 53.9% from the field and 39.1% from beyond the 3-point line. The Rams will be out for big time revenge stemming from a 93-65 blowout loss at Colorado last season. Give me Colorado State minus points.
11-29-23	Bradley -3.5 v. Murray State		72-79	Loss	-110	6 h 15 m	Show
Bradley @ Murray State 8:00 PM ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Bradley -3.5 Bradley is 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS to start the season. I know they haven’t exactly been blowing teams out, but they’re solid defensively and faced a respectful strength of schedule thus far. Murray State will enter this contest on a 3-game losing streak with many of their recent failures deriving from poor defensive play. Give me Bradley minus points.
11-29-23	Oakland -7 v. Detroit		65-50	Win	100	5 h 16 m	Show
Oakland @ Detroit 7:00 PM ET Game# 671-672 Play On: Oakland -7.0 Detroit has been horrible to start the season. The Titans are 0-6 with an average loss margin by 17.3 points per game and failed to cover on 5 of those 6 occasions. They’ve been especially brutal on the defensive end of the floor. Oakland is 4-3 and covered all 7 games. Oakland is coming off a terrific upset win over Xavier on a neutral floor in a game they were a 15.0-point underdog. They were very competitive in losses by 6 at Ohio State (5-1), by 11 at Illinois (5-1), and by 8 versus Drake (5-1). Give me Oakland minus points.
11-28-23	Miami-FL v. Kentucky OVER 163.5		73-95	Win	100	6 h 9 m	Show
Miami @ Kentucky 7:30 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Over 163.5 This total is this high for good reason and don’t be shocked to see both teams scoring 90 or more points. Miami is #1 nationally in 3-point efficiency while make 45.4% of their long-range attempts. Kentucky is #4 in that category at 42.5%. Kentucky has gone over the total in each of their previous 4 games with a combined average of 181.3 points being scored per contest. Miami has played 4-1 to the over this season with a combined average of 161.4 points scored per game. Both teams play up tempo when looking at their average offense time of possession with Kentucky at 14.9 second (15th nationally) and Miami 15.2 (22nd nationally. Miami is also one the best free throw shooting teams in the nation while making a terrific 82.6% of their attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.
11-24-23	Davidson +11.5 v. St. Mary's		55-89	Loss	-115	5 h 32 m	Show
Davidson @ St. Mary’s 4:00 PM ET Game# 807-808 Play On: Davidson +11.5 St. Mary’s has vastly underachieved in the early portion of their schedule when considering they were a preseason Top 25 team. The Gaels have lost their last 3 including the previous 2 in blowout fashion versus Xavier and San Diego State. They began their current 3-game skid by losing to Weber State at home as a 15.5-point favorite. Davidson is 3-2 but owns a win over Maryland and lost to currently undefeated Clemson by just 3. Davidson posted a 69-45 home win over Boston U. in their previous game. Davidson has gone an extremely profitable 9-1 ATS over the last 3 seasons following a win by 20 points or more. Give me Davidson plus points.
11-20-23	Howard +4 v. Bryant		61-67	Loss	-110	6 h 55 m	Show
Bryant is coming off a massive 61-52 upset of nationally ranked FAU team and did so as a 23.5-point road underdog. That's an FAU team that returned all 5 starters from last season's Final Four team. However, now Bryant finds themselves as a short home favorite against a 2-3 Howard team. If it looks to goo to be true in sports betting, more times than not it is. Give me Howard plus points.
11-20-23	Purdue -4.5 v. Gonzaga		73-63	Win	100	4 h 4 m	Show
This is an experienced Purdue team that demolished Gonzaga 84-66 on a neutral court last season. The Boilermakers are 3-0 thus far and have outscored all 3 of those Division 1 opponents by a decisive margin of 29.6 points per game. Gonzaga's lone game versus a division 1 team this year was an uninspiring 15-point home win over Yale. Purdue is a terrific shooting and rebounding team. Expect a similar result to the one we witnessed last year. Give me Purdue minus points.
11-17-23	Harvard v. Massachusetts OVER 151		78-75	Win	100	7 h 45 m	Show
Harvard @ Massachusetts 7:00 PM ET Game# 789-790 Play On: Over 151.0 Taking the red-hot sizable road underdog Rockets who’s won 6 in a row versus an ice-cold Clippers team that’s on a 6-game losing streak qualifies as my designated sucker play of the day. Houston has played 7 of their first 9 games at home. During their current 6-0 SU&ATS run all have been played at home. The Rockets are 0-2 SU&ATS on the road and lost by an average of 17.0 points per game. The Clippers played 5 of 6 on the road during their current winless streak. However, at home, Los Angeles has gone 3-1 SU&ATS with an average +16.0 points per game differential. This line opened at 6.0 and at the time of this writing is 7.5 or 8.0 depending on what sportsbook you are looking at. If it looks too good to be true when it pertains to sports betting, it usually is. Give me the Clippers minus points.
11-14-23	Kentucky v. Kansas -6.5		84-89	Loss	-110	8 h 3 m	Show
Kentucky vs. Kansas 9:30 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: Kansas -6.5 There’s a bit of betting value which has diminished on Kansas since they opened as just a 4.5-point favorite. Nevertheless, I don’t think it’s going to matter. Kansas is the more experienced team in this matchup and has more cohesive to their game than Kentucky has at this early stage of the season. This line speaks volumes to me considering both teams are nationally ranked and each is a storied program. Yet, the #1 Jayhawks are a sizable favorite versus #17 Kentucky on a neutral floor to boot. They’re pleading with you to take the underdog here. My answer is no thanks and give me Kansas minus points.
11-14-23	Duke -3.5 v. Michigan State		74-65	Win	100	6 h 35 m	Show
Michigan State vs. Duke 7:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Duke -3.5 Both teams return 4 starters from a season ago and each is currently 1-1. However, Duke loss came at home to #3 Arizona by 5. Michigan State lost their season opener at home to then unranked James Madison and did so as a 16.5-point favorite. The Spartans have averaged 32 free throw attempts per game and made a somewhat mediocre 70% of those opportunities. Duke allowed 17 free throw attempts per game during their first 2 contests so it’s highly unlikely Michigan State will even come close to their season average today. These teams met last season and Duke won by 9 on a neutral floor and covered as a 6.5-point favorite. Give me Duke minus points.
11-10-23	Yale +12.5 v. Gonzaga		71-86	Loss	-115	9 h 54 m	Show
Yale @ Gonzaga 9:00 PM ET Game# 859-860 Play On: Yale +12.5 This line and the ensuing line movement caught my attention in a big way. We have the college basketball powerhouse #11 ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs as just a 12.5-point home favorite versus an Ivy League team. Furthermore, the number opened at 14.5 and was bet down to as low as 12.0 with some razor-sharp money. This will be the season opener while Yale already has a game under the belt in which they came away with a 102-53 win over Vassar who’s a division 2 school Vassar and they shot a sizzling hot 63% in that contest. Granted they’ll be stepping way up in class tonight. However, Yale returns 4 starters from last season’s 21-9 team that lost to Vanderbilt in the NIT. This is also a Yale program which has gone a combined 85-36 over their past 4 seasons under current head coach James Jones and reached the NCAA Tournament twice. Give me Yale plus the points.
11-10-23	Tennessee v. Wisconsin +2.5		80-70	Loss	-109	9 h 52 m	Show
Tennessee @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Wisconsin +2.5 Tennessee may be the most talented and athletic team in this matchup. However, the Badgers have traditionally had a strong home court advantage and return all 5 starters from last year’s 20-15 team which reached the NIT Semifinal. That type of experience coupled with a consistent winning culture will pay dividends against the #8 ranked Volunteers. Give me Wisconsin plus points.
11-10-23	San Diego State v. BYU -125		65-74	Win	100	9 h 52 m	Show
San Diego State @ BYU 9:00 PM ET Game# 863-864 Play On: BYU -125 This line seems a bit fishy to me since we have the unranked BYU Cougars as a favorite versus #17 San Diego State who reached the national championship game this past April. Additionally, the Aztecs are coming off an extremely impressive 2nd half performance during their season opening 83-57 blowout win over CS-Fullerton in a game they led by just 2 at the half. BYU returns 4 starters from a team that went 19-15 a season ago. Not to mention this game will be played before an electric sellout crowd of 17,978 in Provo. They’re begging us to take the underdog in this spot. Nonetheless, I’m not taking the bait. Give me BYU on the money line.
11-08-23	Jackson State +1.5 v. San Diego		61-87	Loss	-120	9 h 11 m	Show
Jackson State @ San Diego 10:00 PM ET Game# 306541-306542 Play On: Jackson State +1.5 This line jumped right off the screen last night and even more this morning. San Diego opened as a 2.5-point home favorite and that line has fallen to 1.5 as of this writing. San Diego plays in the WCC with the likes of nationally ranked Gonzaga and St. Mary’s. They’re led by veteran head coach Steve Lavin who’s had arguably more success as a television personality than a college basketball head coach. San Diego was less than impressive in their 68-64 home win on Monday over Sonoma State that plays at the Division II level. Jackson State returns all 5 starters from a team that began last season 1-12 and then finished 13-7 over their last 20 games. That poor start can be attributed to a an extremely tough non-conference schedule in which they managed to pull at upset as a 12.5 underdog at SMU. They also were extremely competitive in road losses to Michigan by 10, Mississippi State by 10, and Tulsa by 6. Despite that poor start to last season they were still 8-5 ATS during those contests. The opened this season on Monday with a 94-77 road loss to a very good Memphis team in which they covered as a 21.5-point underdog. Give me Jackson State.
04-03-23	San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 132.5	Top	59-76	Loss	-110	9 h 28 m	Show
San Diego State vs. Connecticut 9:20 PM ET Game# 711-712 *Play On: Under 132.5 (10)** The only flaw that UConn has displayed defensively during their 5 NCAA Tournament games is allowing opponents to have an average of 19 free throw attempts per game. If you even want to label that as a flaw. However, San Diego State has been terrible from the free throw line during their 5 NCAA Tournament game while converting on just 63.4% of their free throw attempts. Otherwise, the Huskies have held all 5 of their opponents to 38.8% or worse while giving up a mere 59.2 points per contest. UConn has covered all 5 games in the big Dance. The Huskies have played 8-1 to the under this season when not playing at home and coming off covering each of their previous 3 games. San Diego State is a 7.5-point underdog at the time of this writing. The Aztecs have played 8-0 to the under since 12/17/2021 and there were a combined 125.1 points scored per game. San Diego State is coming off a thrilling 72-71 buzzer beating win over FAU in a game that went over the total of 132.0. That snapped a string of 12 consecutive games going under the total for the Aztecs. As a matter of fact, they haven’t gone over the total in 2 straight games since January 10th. Furthermore, The Aztecs have played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 contests following an over in their previous outing and there was a combined average of 121.6 points scored per game. The Aztecs have also gone under in their last 5 after allowing 70 points or more during its previous contest and there was a combined 118.2 points scored per game. According to Ken Pomeroy, San Diego State is #4 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and UConn is #8. Additionally, UConn is #214 in adjust offensive temp and San Diego State is #270. Give me this game to go under the total.
04-01-23	Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut	Top	59-72	Loss	-110	29 h 38 m	Show
Miami vs. Connecticut 8:49 PM ET Game# 703-704 *Play On: Miami +5.5 (10)** I really like this UConn team. Nevertheless, I believe this is a contest that will go down to the wire, and the Huskies will be hard pressed to cover a relatively high number with all considered. As a matter of fact, Miami has gone 9-1 ATS including 7-3 SU as an underdog this season. Additionally, if the Hurricanes were +3.5 or greater, they improved to 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU for the season. Furthermore, their last 3 wins in the NCAA Tournament all came as an underdog versus #21 Indiana, #2 Houston, and #5 Texas. Those 3 teams finished with a cumulative record of 84-24 (.778). So, it’s not like the Canes had an easy path to reach the Final Four. On the other hand, UConn has yet to be challenged in their 4 NCAA Tournament wins with all of them coming by 15 points or more. Miami is a very difficult team to blow out with 6 of their 7 losses coming by 7 points or fewer, and 4 of those defeats were by narrow margins of 3 points or less. Give me Miami plus the points.
04-01-23	Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132		71-72	Loss	-110	26 h 33 m	Show
FAU vs. San Diego State 6:09 PM ET Game# 701-702 *Play On: Under 132.0 (5)** San Diego State has gone under the total in each of their previous 12 games. Those 12 contests averaged a combined 121.8 points scored per game. During that stretch, the Aztecs held opponents to a mere 57.0 points scored per game, 37.2% shooting from the field, and permitted to make only 23.4% of its 3-point shot attempts. It’s not like San Diego State was an offensive juggernaut throughout those 12 contests as they averaged just 64.8 points scored per game and shot an uninspiring 40.9% from the field and made just 31.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. FAU has seen its last 4 games go under the total whenever the number was 143.0 or less and there was a combined average of 125.0 points scored per game. The Owls allowed just 55.0 points per contest and held their opponents to 32.7% shooting during those 4 games. San Diego State gets a lot of praise for their staunch defensive play and rightfully so. However, FAU is quietly #30 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and that includes #11 in 2-point defensive shooting percentage (44.8%). The Owls are a very good 3-point shooting team, but they’ll be facing an opponent on Saturday that’s #2 nationally in defensive 3-point shooting percentage (27.8%). Give me this game to go under the total.
03-28-23	Utah Valley +3 v. UAB		86-88	Win	100	31 h 1 m	Show
Utah Valley State vs. UAB 9:30 PM ET Game# 661-662 *Play On: Utah Valley State +3.0 (5)** Despite Conference USA having 2 teams (UAB, North Texas) playing in the NIT Semifinals, and another (FAU) making it to the NCAA Tournament Final 4, Utah Valley State strength of schedule for the season grades out tougher than that faced by UAB. UVSU has recorded NIT wins at New Mexico (22-12), at Colorado (18-17), and Cincinnati (23-12) to reach this point. The Wolverines have won non-conference road games this season over Oregon (21-15) and BYU (19-15) while also losing in overtime at Wake Forest (19-14). Furthermore, UVSU is #30 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. UAB has played the 301st toughest non-conference schedule. The Blazers 3 NIT wins have come over Southern Miss, Morehead State, and Vanderbilt. Not quite as strong of opponents that Utah Valley State has faced in the NIT thus far. Additionally, UAB has gone just 2-4 versus currently alive CUSA postseason teams North Texas and FAU. Give me Utah Valley State plus the points.
03-28-23	Wisconsin v. North Texas -125		54-56	Win	100	28 h 30 m	Show
North Texas @ Wisconsin 7:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 *Play On: North Texas -125 (5)** We have an NIT Semifinal matchup in which a team from Conference USA (North Texas) is a slight favorite over a Big 10 opponent (Wisconsin) who’s had a winning tradition over the last 3 decades. The oddsmakers are sure making it inviting to take the underdog with a much larger brand name. Well, I’m not taking the bait. During their 3 NIT wins, North Texas has held opponents to a mere 55.7 points per game and a dismal 33.9% shooting. As a matter of fact, North Texas has allowed 55 points or fewer in regulation time during 7 of their last 8 games. They’re not only outstanding defensively, but they’re even more frustrating to playing against since they’re last nationally in both adjusted offensive tempo and average offensive time of possession. It’s not like the Mean Green will be facing an offensive juggernaut. Wisconsin has scored 64 points or fewer in 7 of their last 11 games and shot 36.2% or worse 5 times. Give me North Texas on the money line.
03-26-23	Creighton v. San Diego State +2.5	Top	56-57	Win	100	23 h 58 m	Show
San Diego State vs. Creighton 2:20 PM ET Game# 657-658 *Play On: San Diego State +2.5 (10)** San Diego State is an elite defensive team with size, length, and athleticism. That will be the difference in the outcome of this game. During their 3 NCAA Tournament wins over Charleston, Furman, and Alabama, San Diego State allowed just 57.7 points per game while those 3 opponents shot a terrible 32.2% from the field. The Aztecs will also be playing with big time revenge stemming from a 3-point loss to Creighton in last year’s NCAA Tournament. Creighton is coming off an 11-point win versus #15 seed Princeton and barely covered as a 10.0-point favorite despite shooting 58%. It will be a huge adjustment for them going from going up against the Ivy League champion to playing stingy defensive team like San Diego State. The Bluejays are averaging 9 three-point makes per game. However, San Diego State has gone 13-1 SU this season versus opponents who were averaging 8 or more 3-point shots made per game. Give me San Diego State.
03-25-23	Connecticut -138 v. Gonzaga		82-54	Win	100	10 h 46 m	Show
Connecticut vs. Gonzaga 8:49 PM ET Game# 653-654 *Play On: Connecticut -138 (5)** Gonzaga is coming off an emotional 79-76 win over UCLA in which they nearly blew a 10-point lead with a little of 2 minutes to play, and they needed a go-ahead 3-point shot with 0:07 left to capture victory. That makes Gonzaga 3-0 versus UCLA since 2021. However, the Bulldogs have gone 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 immediately following a game against UCLA. There are some disturbing tendencies I’ve personally observed during Gonzaga’s first 3 NCAA Tournament games. They have been poor defensively during the last 5 minutes of games. They’ve also started slowly in each of those contests. They were down 13 at the half versus UCLA, trailed by 5 at the intermission versus TCU, and only led by 4 versus #14 seed Grand Canyon. Sooner or later those vulnerable tendencies will catch up to them and I’m predicting that will be the case when facing an excellent UConn team. UConn has been absolutely dominant in their 3 NCAA Tournament wins. The Huskies defeated Iona by 24, #19 St. Mary’s by 15, and #22 TCU by 23. Furthermore, they held those 3 opponents 61.0 points per game and just 36.1% shooting. During those 3 wins, UConn averaged 81.0 points scored per game, shot 52.9%, made a sizzling hot 44.8% of its 3-point shot attempts, and converted on 83.3% of their free throws. Lastly, Connecticut is 14-0 SU and 13-1 ATS in non-conference games this season. Besides their 3 NCAA Tourney wins over non-conference opponents, they also beat #1 Alabama by 15 and Iowa State by 18. Give me Connecticut on the money line.
03-25-23	Florida Atlantic +2 v. Kansas State		79-76	Win	100	7 h 58 m	Show
FAU vs. Kansas State 6:09 PM ET Game# 651-652 *Play On: FAU +2.0 (5)** Kansas State is coming off a thrilling 98-93 overtime win versus Michigan State in Sweet 16 action in what was arguably the best game of the NCAA Tournament to date. Now the 15th ranked Wildcats are just a 2.0-point favorite over an opponent from Conference USA. That point-spread jumped right off the page at me. FAU has been very good defensively in their 3 NCAA Tournament wins while allowing only 63.3 points per game and opponents shot just a combined 38.0% from the field. Although Kansas State has faced the far more difficult schedule compared to FAU, we shouldn’t ignore the fact that the Owls are still 34-3 this season which includes 33-2 in their last 35 games. Play on FAU plus the points.
03-24-23	Xavier v. Texas OVER 148.5		71-83	Win	100	10 h 51 m	Show
Xavier vs. Texas 9:45 PM ET Game# 645-646 *Play On: Over 148.5 (5)** This NCAA Tournament started by seeing 33 of the first 44 games going under the total. That’s an absurd lopsided ration. However, since that time, games have played 9-3 to the over. I look for that over trend to continue in this matchup. Xavier is #7 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, #3 in 3-point shooting percentage (38.9%), and #33 in adjusted tempo which basically mean they like pushing the pace to a faster speed than normal. The Musketeers have scored 78 points or more in 6 of their last 8 games. Xavier has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 whenever the total was 152.0 or less and there was a combined average of 156.3 points scored per game. Texas is #15 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. During their previous 3 contests, Texas averaged 76.0 points scored per game, shot 51.4% from the field and 77.4% from the free throw line. During that stretch, they also averaged 60.3 field goal attempts per game which translated to a brisk offensive pace. They’ll be facing an Xavier team which has had 60 or more field goal attempts in 6 of their last 8 games and will be a willing partner to play an up-tempo game. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-24-23	Princeton v. Creighton OVER 140.5		75-86	Win	100	9 h 21 m	Show
Princeton vs. Creighton 9:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 *Play On: Over 140.5 (5)** This NCAA Tournament started by seeing 33 of the first 44 games going under the total. That’s an absurd lopsided ration. However, since that time, games have played 9-3 to the over. I look for that over trend to continue in this matchup. Princeton has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 whenever the total was 145.0 or less and there was a combined average of 152.8 points scored per game. Conversely, Creighton has played 5-0 to the over in their previous 5 contests whenever there was a total of 147.5 or less and there was a combined 156.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-24-23	Miami-FL v. Houston -7.5		89-75	Loss	-110	7 h 10 m	Show
Miami vs. Houston 7:15 PM ET Game# 643-644 *Play On: Houston -7.5 (5)** I consider this to be a heavy number. What I mean by that is Houston seems to be a much bigger favorite than I anticipated against a very good Miami team who won the ACC regular season title. The oddsmakers are making it extremely alluring to take the underdog in this spot. Nonetheless, I’m not taking the bait. Taking Miami plus the generous number is a sucker bet in my opinion. Give me Houston minus the points.
03-24-23	San Diego State +7.5 v. Alabama		71-64	Win	100	6 h 27 m	Show
San Diego State vs. Alabama 6:30 PM ET Game# 647-648 *Play On: San Diego State +7.5 (5)** Alabama very well might win it all. However, this is a dangerous game for them against a long athletic team like San Diego State who’s capable of beating any team in the country right now. Regardless, I’m not going to go out on a limb and predict an outright upset and graciously take the sizable number being given. Give me San Diego State plus the points.
03-23-23	Gonzaga v. UCLA OVER 145.5		79-76	Win	100	12 h 37 m	Show
Gonzaga vs. UCLA 9:45 PM ET Game# 641-642 *Play On: Over 145.5 (5)** Gonzaga has scored 100 or more points 8 times this season, 82 points or more in 12 of their last 15 contests, and 88 points or more in 16 of 34 games versus Division 1 opponents this season. The Zags have also allowed 80 points or more on 10 separate occasions this season. The Bulldogs have faced UCLA in each of their previous 2 seasons and averaged 88.0 points scored per game while shooting a sizzling hot 57.5%. Gonzaga is coming off an 84-81 win over TCU. Gonzaga has played 4-0 to the over this season whenever the total was 156.0 or less and they allowed 80 or more points in their previous game. Those 4 contests averaged a combined 165.4 points scored per game. UCLA is coming off a 68-63 win over Northwestern. The Bruins have played 5-0 to the over this season whenever the total was 147.0 or less and they allowed 63 points or fewer in their previous game. UCLA has played 9 games as a favorite and with a total of 140.0 or greater and they averaged 80.8 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-23-23	Michigan State -120 v. Kansas State		93-98	Loss	-120	8 h 19 m	Show
Michigan State vs. Kansas State 6:30 PM ET Game# 637-638 *Play On: Michigan State-120 (5)** The first thing worth noting is we have a #7 seed in Michigan State who opened as and continues to be a favorite versus a #3 seed like Kansas State. The oddsmakers are sure enticing you to take the higher seeded underdog. However, it’s seldom that easy when it comes to sports betting. If it looks to good to be true more times than not it is. Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo has led his Spartans team to 25 NCAA Tournament appearances during his 28-year tenure. During that time, Michigan State has an outstanding 53-23 (.697) NCAA Tournament record, reached the Final Four 6 times, made it to 2 National Championship game, and was crowned the NCAA Tournament Champion in 2000. On the other side of the coin is first year Kansas State head coach Jerome Tang. I can’t ignore the huge NCAA Tournament advantage Michigan State will have over Kansas State in this specific area. Kansas State did play in arguably the best conference in the country this season. However, after sending 7 teams to the NCAA Tournament only Kansas State and Texas remain standing. Conversely, Michigan State has played the 5th strongest schedule in College Basketball this season. Give me Michigan State on the money line.
03-23-23	Michigan State v. Kansas State OVER 138		93-98	Win	100	8 h 18 m	Show
Michigan State vs. Kansas State 6:30 PM ET Game# 637-638 *Play On: Over 138.0 (5)** Michigan State is #6 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage while making 38.7 of those attempts. The Spartans have scored 72 points or more in 6 of their previous 8 games. The Spartans will be facing a Kansas State team that ranks #291 nationally in free throw attempts allowed. Michigan State is a very good free throw shooting team which is evidenced by their shiny 75.7% conversion rate. The Spartans have played 6-2 to the over in their last 8 whenever the total was 137.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 150.1 points scored per game during regulation time. Kansas State has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 and with a combined average of 151.4 points scored per game. The Wildcats have scored 73 points or more in 6 of its last 7 games. Similar to Thursday’s opponent, Kansas State is also a very food free throw shooting team at 75.2%. On a negative note, the Wildcats have allowed 74.4 points per game over its last 5 contests. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-22-23	Utah Valley v. Cincinnati		74-68	Win	100	29 h 18 m	Show
Utah Valley State @ Cincinnati 9:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 *Play On: Utah Valley State (Pick) (5) This line jumped right off the screen at me. We have a mid-major conference team like Utah Valley State as a pick against a power conference school like Cincinnati, which is coming off impressive wins in the first 2 rounds of the NIT. The first question I asked myself is, why. Then after delving into both teams’ resumes, I was able to come up with more than satisfactory answers. At this point of the season, you would think Cincinnati would have faced a far tougher schedule than Utah Valley State. Although the Bearcats have played the tougher schedule, there’s not the sizable disparity I would have thought. As a matter of fact, Utah Valley State has quality non-conference road wins this season at Colorado, New Mexico, BYU, and Oregon. They also fell in overtime at Wake Forest, who had a winning season. UVSU has shot 50% or better in 6 of their last 7 games. They’ve also held opponents to 40% or worse shooting during 8 of its previous 10 games. Give me Utah Valley State.**
03-19-23	TCU v. Gonzaga -4		81-84	Loss	-110	12 h 43 m	Show
TCU vs. Gonzaga 9:40 PM ET Game# 851-852 *Play On: Gonzaga -4.0 (5)** Granted TCU comes from the Big 12 which has been widely recognized as the best conference in college basketball this season. However, the Horned Frogs started the season 13-1 and have gone an uninspiring 9-11 since. Furthermore, TCU has gone 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 immediately following a win which speaks to their inconsistent play during the season’s 2nd half. Yes, Gonzaga plays in the West Coast Conference that from top to bottom is much inferior to the Big 12. Nevertheless, the Bulldogs posted non-conference wins this season over NCAA Tournament teams Kent State, Kentucky, #13 Xavier, #1 Alabama, and Michigan State. As a matter of fact, 4 of those 5 opponents are in the Round of 32. The Zags also posted a pair of wins conference rival #19 St. Mary’s. They also faced #5 Texas, #11 Baylor, and #3 Purdue. So, they’re not going to be phased in the least going up against #22 TCU. Gonzaga has shot an extremely impressive 48% or better in each of their previous 14 games and 50% or better during 13 of its previous 16 contests. Give me Gonzaga minus the points.
03-19-23	Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Atlantic -15	Top	70-78	Loss	-110	10 h 57 m	Show
Farleigh-Dickinson vs. FAU 7:45 PM ET Game# 843-844 *Play On: FAU -15.0 (10)** The oddsmakers are begging you to take the sentimental underdog and #16 seed Farleigh-Dickinson in this matchup. I believe we’ll see a similar type of result on Sunday that we saw on Saturday when San Diego State blew out Furman. San Diego State wasn’t going to take the underdog Paladins who upset Virginia in Round 1 lightly, and especially so with a Sweet 16 berth on the line. FAU finds itself in a similar position on Sunday versus a #16 seed who pulled off the massive upset over #1 seed Purdue in Round 1. The upstart FAU Owls is in no position to take any game for granted in the NCAA Tournament with being on the cusp of a first ever Sweet 16 appearance. Ken Pomeroy has FDU ranked #275 in the country, #353 in adjusted offensive efficiency, and #361 regarding strength of schedule. Give me FAU minus the points.
03-18-23	Maryland v. Alabama -8.5	Top	51-73	Win	100	10 h 14 m	Show
Maryland vs. Alabama 9:40 PM ET Game# 805-806 *Play On: Alabama -8.5 (10)** These teams met in the NCAA Tournament last season and Alabama walked away with a 96-77 win. I expect a similar type of result today. For starters, the game will be played in Birmingham which is about as close a home game for Alabama as you can possibly get, and I’m handicapping it as such. Alabama was a perfect 15-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 24.5 points per game. Conversely, Maryland has gone 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 on the road. Their only win came over Big 10 cellar dweller Minnesota. Alabama has been locked in defensively over their previous 5 contests while holding their opponents to a combined 32.7% shooting from the field. On the other hand, Maryland has averaged just 64.6 points scored per game while shooting an uninspiring 42.5% throughout its previous 5 games. Give me Alabama minus the points.
03-18-23	Northwestern +7.5 v. UCLA	Top	63-68	Win	100	31 h 10 m	Show
Northwestern vs. UCLA 8:40 PM ET Game# 815-816 *Play On: Northwestern +7.5 (10)** I’m not going to poke holes in in the #7 UCLA Bruins (30-5) season resume because quite frankly there would be little to talk about. However, I do feel this will be a difficult number to cover. Northwestern possesses a veteran 3-guard veteran backcourt that’s very good and will be vital in us covering this contest. Furthermore, Northwestern has gone an extremely profitable 11-3 ATS this season as an underdog of 2.5 or greater and won 9 of those contests straight up. When tightening those numbers up even more, Northwestern improves to 7-1 ATS and 5-3 SU as an underdog of 2.5 or greater immediately following a SU win. The Wildcats are coming off Thursday NCAA Tournament 75-67 win over Boise State in a game they shot an impressive 49.1%. UCLA is #1 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Nonetheless, Northwestern is pretty good as well with a #18 national ranking in that identical category. Give me Northwestern plus the points.
03-18-23	Arkansas v. Kansas -3.5		72-71	Loss	-102	28 h 46 m	Show
Arkansas vs. Kansas 5:15 PM ET Game# 809-810 *Play On: Kansas -3.5 (5)** Despite Thursday’s NCAA Tournament 73-63 win over Illinois, Arkansas has gone an uninspiring 4-6 throughout its last 10 games. The Razorbacks are a very good defensive teams but they have some shortcomings offensively. This Kansas team is jelling at the most opportune time of the season. They’ve gone 10-2 SU & 8-4 ATS during their previous 12 games. Their only 2 losses during that stretch came versus #5 Texas. As a matter of fact, if you take away those 2 versus Texas than Kansas has shot 50.9% or better in 7 of its last 9 contests. The Jayhawks are extremely balanced while ranking #25 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and #7 defensively. Give me Kansas minus the points.
03-18-23	Furman v. San Diego State -5		52-75	Win	100	23 h 33 m	Show
Furman vs. San Diego State 12:10 PM ET Game# 799-800 *Play On: San Diego State -5.0 (5)** Furman has averaged 10 makes per game from 3-point territory this season. However, since Game 16, San Diego State is 9-0 SU&ATS versus opponents that average 8 or more made 3-point shots per games and won by an average of 9.7 points per contest. San Diego State is more athletic, bigger, and better defensively than Furman. The Aztecs have allowed a mere 54.8 points scored per game and held opponents to a cumulative 35.3% shooting throughout their previous 5 games. The Aztecs are #9 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Furman is #178 in that same category while facing a much softer schedule than San Diego State has faced. Give me San Diego State minus the points.
03-17-23	Kent State +4.5 v. Indiana	Top	60-71	Loss	-110	35 h 3 m	Show
Kent State vs. Indiana 9:55 PM ET Game# 771-772 *Play On: Kent State +4.5 (10)** This line jumped right off the page at me. We have #21 Indiana as just a 4.0-point favorite versus unranked Kent State winners of the MAC Tournament. However, Kent State has proven it can play with the big boys this season. They lost at #2 Houston (31-3) by 5, #9 Gonzaga (28-5) by 7, and at CAA champion Charleston (31-3) by only 2. The Golden Flashes are 22-3 in their last 25 and includes a current 6-game win streak. Indiana went just 5-4 in their last 9 games. The Hoosiers did most of their damage at home this season where they went 15-2. Conversely, they were just 7-9 in away and neutral site games. Give me Kent State plus the points.
03-17-23	Grand Canyon v. Gonzaga -15		70-82	Loss	-110	32 h 3 m	Show
Grand Canyon vs. Gonzaga 7:35 PM ET Game# 799-800 *Play On: Gonzaga -15.0 (5)** Gonzaga played an extremely strong non-conference slate in which they faced 7 teams that are part of the NCAA Tournament field. That included wins over Michigan State, Kentucky, #13 Xavier, and #1 Alabama. They also defeated #19 St. Mary’s twice. On the other hand, Grand Canyon (24-11) has faced only 1 team this season that made the NCAA Tournament and it resulted in a 13-point loss to Nevada. They also sustained 6 losses within their own conference as well. Give me Gonzaga minus the points.
03-17-23	Iona v. Connecticut -9		63-87	Win	100	29 h 18 m	Show
Iona vs. Connecticut 4:30 PM ET Game# 775-776 *Play On: Connecticut -9.0 (5)** Iona led by legendary head coach Rick Pitino is likely to be a popular upset pick in this matchup. I don’t share that sentiment. UConn is the top offensive rebounding team in the country and that doesn’t bode well for Iona who’s #272 in defensive rebounding. Additionally, Ken Pomeroy’s analytics indicate that UConn is #6 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and #19 defensively in that same category. Iona has faced only 1 team all season that is in the NCAA Tournament and it was America East Champion Vermont. Conversely, the Huskies have played 12 games this season versus current NCAA Tournament teams. That includes non-conference wins over #1 Alabama by 15 and Iowa State by 18. Give me Connecticut minus the points.
03-17-23	Kennesaw State v. Xavier -12.5		67-72	Loss	-110	25 h 11 m	Show
Kennesaw State vs. Xavier 12:40 PM ET Game# 787-788 *Play On: Xavier -12.5 (5)** This will be the first ever NCAA Tournament appearance for Kennesaw State so there’s bound to be some nerves and tightness from the team as a whole. Conversely, they’ll be facing an Xavier team that #16 nationally in terms of Division 1 experience and has played a far more difficult schedule. The Musketeers will be in a sour mood after turning in a an extremely disappointing performance in a 65-51 loss to Marquette in the Big East Tournament Final. Xavier is #3 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage while Kennesaw State is #234 defending in 3-point shooting percentage defense. Based on each team’s overall resume, Xavier will dominate the boards in this contest as well. Giver me Xavier minus the points.
03-16-23	Penn State +3.5 v. Texas A&M		76-59	Win	100	31 h 29 m	Show
Penn State vs. Texas A&M 9:55 PM ET Game# 753-754 *Play On: Penn State +3.5 (5)** #17 Texas A&M finished 2nd to Alabama in the SEC regular season standings. Much of their success was due to some staunch defensive play. Nevertheless, they have struggled offensively of late while shooting less than 40% in 6 of their last 9 games. That’s not good news when considering that Penn State has held their opponents to less than 40% shooting during 4 of its previous 6 games. Penn State will enter the NCAA Tournament with a ton of momentum after winning 5 of its last 6 and 8 of their previous 10 games. Their 2 losses came by only a combined 5 points. One of those defeats came by 2 versus #3 Purdue in the Big 10 Tournament Championship game. Furthermore, the Nittany Lions are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 as an underdog and that includes winning 6 of those contests straight up. The great equalizer for a College Basketball underdog is their ability to make 3-point shots at a high percentage. Well, Penn State is #9 nationally when it comes to 3-point shooting percentage. Give me Penn State plus the points.
03-16-23	UL - Lafayette v. Tennessee -11		55-58	Loss	-110	36 h 16 m	Show
UL-Lafayette vs. Tennessee 9:40 PM ET Game# 741-742 *Play On: Tennessee -11.0 (5)** UL-Lafayette owns an impressive 27-5 record and is currently on a 5-game win streak. However, there’s no team in the Sun Belt Conference they can pressure you defensively like the Tennessee Volunteers can do. Tennessee is #2 nationally in defensive efficiency. The Volunteers aren’t a good shooting team but they’re relentless on the offensive glass having pulled in 36.8% of its missed shots and wearing teams down with consecutive possessions. The overall athleticism on both ends of the floor will take its toll on the Rajun Cajuns in the 2nd half and enable them to pull away for a comfortable win. Give me Tennessee minus the points.
03-16-23	Boise State +1.5 v. Northwestern		67-75	Loss	-110	29 h 24 m	Show
Boise State vs. Northwestern 7:35 PM ET Game# 765-766 *Play On: Boise State +1.5 (5)** Boise State is coming off a loss in the Mountain West Conference Semifinal versus Utah State. The Broncos are 7-1 SU this season following a loss and that includes 5-0 in their previous 5. The Boncos played in an underrated conference that has 4 teams in the NCAA Tournament. They also posted impressive non-conference wins over #17 Texas A&M by 15, Colorado by 13, and Washington State by 10. The latter 2 teams are in the NIT field. Northwestern has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Give me Boise State.
03-16-23	Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke		51-74	Loss	-110	34 h 54 m	Show
Oral Roberts vs. Duke 7:10 PM ET Game# 781-782 *Play On: Oral Roberts +6.5 (5)** Duke won the ACC Tournament will enter “The Big Dance” on a 9-game win streak. However, I’m not sold as the ACC this season and many experts share my opinion in that regard. Additionally, the Blue Devils non-conference schedule ranks #102 with regards to degree of difficulty. Oral Roberts enters the NCAA Tournament with a 30-4 record and that includes 27-1 in their last 28 games. They’ve also faced the 13th toughest non-conference schedule in College Basketball. As a matter of fact, 3 of those defeats came at #19 Missouri, at #2 Houston, and at Utah State who received an NCAA Tournament at large bid. They also defeated NCAA Tournament teams Texas Southern by 18 and Liberty by 14. This line tells me all I need to know. Mighty Duke who is sizzling hot right now is only a 6.5-point favorite against the Summit League champion. If it looks too good to be true in sports betting, more times than not it is. This is a textbook example of such. Give me Oral Roberts plus the points.
03-16-23	College of Charleston v. San Diego State -5	Top	57-63	Win	100	24 h 9 m	Show
Charleston vs. San Diego State 3:10 PM ET Game# 737-738 *Play On: San Diego State -5.0 (10)** Charleston seems to be a popular pick when it comes to upsets on March Madness brackets being filled out by the public. After all, they’re 31-3 which includes 16-2 in conference play. However, as opposed to San Diego State, Charleston ranks #304 national in terms of strength of schedule and #232 with regards to its non-conference slate. San Diego State (27-6) is the Mountain West Conference Tournament regular season and conference tournament champion. That’s nothing to make light off since the conference will be represented by 4 teams in the NCAA Tournament. The Aztecs have traditionally been an excellent defensive team. This season is no different since they rank #10 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Aztecs also played the 16th toughest non-conference schedule in the country. The Aztecs will also have a decided advantage when it comes to experience which should always be factored in when handicapping NCAA Tournament games. Give me San Diego State minus the points.
03-16-23	Furman +6.5 v. Virginia		68-67	Win	100	23 h 31 m	Show
Furman vs. Virginia 12:40 PM ET Game# 739-740 *Play On: Furman +6.5 (5)** #14 Virginia advanced to the ACC Championship Game where they fell to the red-hot Duke Blue Devils. Yet, here they are as just a 6.0-point favorite versus an unranked Southern Conference champion Furman Paladins. The oddsmakers are certainly making it very appealing to take the single-digit favorite in this matchup. However, Furman is 27-7 on the season which includes 14-1 in their last 15 games. The Paladins average 10 made 3-point shots per game and are #1 nationally in 2-point shooting percentage (59.1%). Give me Furman plus the points.
03-15-23	Utah Valley +5.5 v. New Mexico		83-69	Win	100	10 h 51 m	Show
Utah Valley State @ New Mexico 10:00 PM ET Game# 717-718 *Play On: Utah Valley State +5.5 (5)** New Mexico got off to an 18-2 start to the season. However, the Lobos went 4-9 since that time. Rick Pitino Jr. coached teams faltering in the 2nd half of a season have become an all too familiar trend. Utah Valley State (25-8) won’t be in awe of stepping up in class. The Wolverines have posted wins at BYU (19-15) and Oregon this season. They also lost in overtime at Wake Forest (19-14). UVSU is #39 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and #3 in blocked shot percentage. Give me Utah Valley State plus the points.
03-15-23	Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -5		72-81	Win	100	9 h 52 m	Show
Virginia Tech @ Cincinnati 9:00 PM ET Game# 715-716 *Play On: Cincinnati -5.0 (5)** Virginia Tech is a terrible 2-9 SU&ATS in true road games this season. As a matter of fact, their only road wins came over Notre Dame and Louisville who were a combined 15-49 this season which also includes 5-35 in ACC action. The Hokies started the season 11-1 and since have gone 8-13. Cincinnati has gone 14-3 SU and 13-4 ATS at home this season. Their only home losses came versus #2 Houston, #13 Xavier, and #24 Memphis. Give me Cincinnati minus the points.
03-15-23	UCF v. Florida OVER 145		67-49	Loss	-110	7 h 52 m	Show
UCF @ Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 713-714 *Play On: Over 145.0 (5)** Simple mathematics comes into play with this pick on the total. UCF has gone 6-0-1 to the over in their last 7 whenever the total was 138.0 to 149.0 and there was a combined average of 158.4 points scored per game. Florida has played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 and with a combined average of 150.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-14-23	Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh OVER 132.5		59-60	Loss	-110	9 h 56 m	Show
Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh 9:10 PM ET Game# 701-702 *Play On: Over 132.5 (5)** Pittsburgh has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 whenever their total was 149.5 or less and there was a combined average of 163.5 points scored per game. Pitt has also played 9-1 to the over this season when there was a total of 130.0 to 139.5 with a combined 148.9 points per game. The panthers defense has been shoddy over their previous 5 contests while allowing opponents to shoot a cumulative 50.3% while also making an alarmingly high 41.3% of its 3-point shot attempts. Pitt has averaged 82.8 points scored per contest throughout their previous 5 games. Mississippi State has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 when there was a total of 137.0 or less and there was a combined 137.4 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-11-23	Arizona +1.5 v. UCLA		61-59	Win	100	10 h 58 m	Show
Arizona vs. UCLA 10:30 PM ET Game# 637-638 *Play On: Arizona +1.5 (5)** This is a game in which UCLA will sorely miss the contributions of guard Jaylen Clark who recently was ruled out for the season due to an Achilles injury. Clark was averaging 13.0 points and 6.0 rebounds per game on the season. UCLA is currently on a 12-game win streak in which they went a profitable 8-3-1 ATS. However, they’re just a 1.0-point favorite in the PAC-12 title game versus an Arizona team in which they finished regular season action 4.0 games ahead of in the conference standings. Give me Arizona.
03-11-23	Duke -3 v. Virginia		59-49	Win	100	8 h 0 m	Show
Duke vs. Virginia 8:30 PM ET Game# 631-632 *Play On: Duke -3.0 (5)** Virginia is the higher seed and ranked team in this matchup. However, Duke is the small favorite which speaks volumes to me. Duke is winners of 8 straight and is unequivocally playing its best basketball of the season at the most opportune time. As a matter of fact, the last Blue Devils loss was 69-62 at Virginia on 2/11. Duke knocked off 2 NCAA Tournament bound teams in #14 Miami (25-7) and Pittsburgh (22-11) in the first 2 rounds of this ACC Tournament. Give me Duke minus the points.
03-11-23	Marist v. Iona -14.5		55-76	Win	100	7 h 56 m	Show
Marist vs. Iona 7:30 PM ET Game# 629-630 *Play On: Iona -14.5 (5)** Marist entered the MAAC Tournament with a 10-19 record. Somehow, they’ve managed to win 3-games in 3 days to earn a berth in the Conference Championship Game. There’s little chance that Iona will take them lightly with an NCAA Tournament bid on the line and a seasoned head coach like Rick Pitino. Iona won the 2 regular season matchups versus Marist by 19 and 27 points. Iona is currently on a 13-game win streak and went 9-45 ATS in those contests. That includes 6-2 ATS as a double-digit favorite during that stretch. Give me Iona minus the points.
03-11-23	Texas v. Kansas UNDER 143.5		76-56	Win	100	6 h 37 m	Show
Kansas vs. Texas 6:00 PM ET Game# 623-624 *Play On: Under 143.5 (5)** Kansas has played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 games. Those 6 contests had an average total of 146.4 and there was only a combined average of 133.8 points scored per game. According to Ken Pomeroy, Kansas ranks #6 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Texas has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4. Those 4 contests had an average total of 147.1 and there was just a combined 129.0 points scored per game. During their last 3 contests, Texas has held opponents to 55.3 points per game and allowed them to shoot an extremely low 33.1% from the field. Ken Pomeroy has Texas #12 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Give me this game to go under the total.
03-11-23	Tulane v. Memphis -6		54-94	Win	100	5 h 60 m	Show
Tulane vs. Memphis 5:30 PM ET Game# 621-622 *Play On: Memphis -6.0 (5)** Tulane won both regular season meetings. Yet, Memphis is the sizable favorite in this AAC Tournament Semifinal. They’re begging us to take the underdog but I’m here to tell you don’t fall for the trap. Memphis has gone 12-3 in their last 15 games. Their only losses during that stretch was a pair of defeats to #1 Houston by 2 and 7 points, and a 1-point overtime loss to Tulane. Give me Memphis minus the points.
03-11-23	Penn State +4 v. Indiana		77-73	Win	100	3 h 16 m	Show
Penn State vs. Indiana 3:30 PM ET Game# 617-618 *Play On: Penn State +4.0 (5)** Penn State has shown a very high compete level over the past 3 plus weeks while going 4-0 in their last 4 and 7-1 during its previous 8 games. Even more telling is they’re 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 as an underdog. Conversely, Indiana has gone 1-4 ATS and 3-2 SU in their last 5 as a favorite. Penn State routed Indiana 85-66 during the only meeting between these teams this season. Since last season, Penn State is 8-1 ATS in games played in March. Give me Penn State plus the points.
03-11-23	UMass Lowell v. Vermont OVER 142		59-72	Loss	-110	18 h 24 m	Show
Vermont @ UMass-Lowell 11:00 AM ET Game# 511-512 *Play On: Over 142.0 (5)** Vermont went under the total in their previous game. The Catamounts have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 147.6 points scored per game. Vermont has shot 50% or better from the field in each of its last 3 and 9 of their previous 13 games. Vermont is also #1 in both 3-point shooting and 2-point shooting percentage during America East Conference games. UMass-Lowell has scored 75 points or more in each of its last 7 games and they shot a combined 50.6% from the field during those contests. Additionally, during that 7-game stretch there was a combined 150.6 points scored per contest. Lowell has the most free throw attempts in America East action this season, and is the conference’s best free throw shooting team at 77.0%. These teams met twice during regular season action and both games went over the total. There was a combined 145 and 170 points scored in those head-to-head battles. Give me this game to go over the total. These are the 2 best teams in terms off offensive efficiency during America East Conference games. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-10-23	Arizona State v. Arizona -7		59-78	Win	100	9 h 49 m	Show
Arizona State vs. Arizona 11:30 PM ET Game# 859-860 *Play On: Arizona -7.0 (5)** Arizona will be out to revenge a late regular season 89-88 home loss to Arizona State in a game the Sun Devils made a 60-foot 3-point shot at the buzzer to win it. Despite winning in each of the last 2 days, Arizona State is still a mediocre at best 7-8 SU and 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games. The Sun Devils have also shot worse than 40% in each of their previous 3 games. That will be problematic against an Arizona team which has scored 78 points or more in 10 of its last 11 and shot 49% or better in 8 of those games. Give me Arizona minus the points.
03-10-23	Clemson +3.5 v. Virginia		56-76	Loss	-115	7 h 2 m	Show
Clemson vs. Virginia 9:30 PM ET Game# 851-852 *Play On: Clemson +3.5 (5)** Clemson has won 4 of its last 5 with their lone loss at Virginia. The Tigers will look to revenge that lone defeat during that successful stretch in which they shot a combined 51.0% and 42.3% from 3-point range. As a matter of fact, Clemson has scored 80 points or more in 4 of its last 5 and 5 of its previous 7 games. Furthermore, Clemson has gone 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in this season when their point-spread is +3.5 to -3.5. Give me Clemson plus the points.
03-10-23	Wichita State v. Tulane OVER 151	Top	76-82	Win	100	8 h 4 m	Show
Tulane vs. Wichita State 9:30 PM ET Game# 827-828 *Play On: Over 151.0 (10)** Wichita State has seen 15 of their last 16 games go over the total. The Shockers have shot 50% or better in their last 4 and 7 of its previous 9 games. Tulane has played 14-4-1 to the over in their last 19 games. The Green Wave have scored 78 points or more in each of their last 5 and 7 of its previous 8 games. These teams played twice during regular season action with each contest going over the total and there were 185 and 163 combined points scored in those contests. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-10-23	Creighton -3.5 v. Xavier		60-82	Loss	-105	7 h 35 m	Show
Xavier vs. Creighton 9:00 PM ET Game# 847-848 Play On: Creighton -3.5 (5*) Xavier struggled to get by DePaul yesterday in a 5-point win in a game they trailed for most of the 2nd half. The Musketeers allowed a usually poor shooting DePaul team to shoot a sizzling hot 61.4% and quite frankly were extremely lucky to walk away with a win. That’s not good news considering Creighton has scored 80 points or more and shot 50% or better in each of its last 3 games. Give me Creighton minus the points.
03-09-23	Arizona State v. USC -4		77-72	Loss	-110	11 h 35 m	Show
USC vs. Arizona State 11:30 PM ET Game# 771-772 *Play On: USC -4.0 (5)** USC has won their last 7 games versus Arizona State which includes both regular season matchups this year. The Trojans have steadily improved as the season moved on while going 18-6 SU in their last 24 including 5-1 during its previous 6. During their 2 regular season wins over Arizona State they held the Sun Devils to an awful 33.8% shooting from the floor. Arizona State heads into the PAC-12 Tournement having gone 6-8 SU and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. Give me USC minus the points.
03-09-23	UNLV v. Boise State -5		76-87	Win	100	8 h 0 m	Show
Boise State @ UNLV 9:00 PM ET Game# 777-778 *Play On: Boise State -5.0 (5)** Despite this Mountain West Conference quarterfinal matchup being played on the home floor of UNLV, Boise State opened as a 3.5-point favorite and has since moved to 5.5. The Broncos have defeated UNLV 7 straight times which includes both regular season matchups this year. Boise State is coming off an 86-73 loss at Utah State in their regular season finale. The Broncos haven’t lost 2 consecutive games since late December and that was the only time it occurred all season. UNLV has shot poorly over their last 6 games while making just 38.4% of its field goal attempts. Give me Boise State minus the points.
03-09-23	Penn State +2.5 v. Illinois		79-76	Win	100	6 h 31 m	Show
Penn State vs. Illinois 6:30 PM ET Game# 739-740 *Play On: Penn State +2.5 (5)** Illinois finished the regular season by going an uninspiring 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Conversely, Penn State has won 5 of its last 6 contests. The Nittany Lions swept the regular season series versus Illinois with decisive 93-81 and 74-59 wins. Penn State has made an average of 10 three-point shots per game throughout its previous 5 contests and converted on an excellent 39.2% of those long-distance attempts. Give me Penn State plus the points.
03-08-23	Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State OVER 134.5		49-57	Loss	-110	9 h 21 m	Show
Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State 9:30 PM ET Game# 699-700 *Play On: Over 134.5 (5)** Oklahoma State has played 4-0 to the over during its previous 4 when the total was 143.5 or less and with a combined 154.8 points scored per game. The Cowboys allowed 80.0 points per game while permitting opponents to shoot 48.1% from the field and 42.1% from 3-point territory throughout its last 5 contests. Oklahoma is coming off a 74-60 upset win over TCU in their regular season finale and that contest went under 144.0 The Sooners have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under and there was a combined 153.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-08-23	Virginia Tech v. NC State UNDER 146.5		77-97	Loss	-110	9 h 19 m	Show
Virginia Tech vs. NC State 9:30 PM ET Game# 657-658 *Play On: Under 146.5 (5)** The last 6 meetings between these ACC rivals have all gone under the total. Virginia Tech has played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 with a combined average of 132.7 points scored per game. NC State has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 when the total was 149.5 or less and there was a combined average of 138.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.
03-08-23	Minnesota v. Nebraska OVER 138		78-75	Win	100	9 h 52 m	Show
Minnesota vs. Nebraska 9:00 PM ET Game# 681-682 *Play On: Over 138.0 (5)** Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 and there was a combined average of 147.0 points scored per game. Nebraska has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 with a combined average of 148.7 points scored per game. Both regular season meetings between these teams went over the total with 145 and 160 points being scored. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-08-23	La Salle v. Duquesne OVER 146		81-70	Win	100	7 h 23 m	Show
Duquesne vs. LaSalle 7:30 PM ET Game# 649-650 *Play On: Over 146.0 (5)** Duquesne has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 with a combined average of 158.4 points scored per game. Since the start of last season, Duquesne has played 6-0 to the over in neutral site contests. Duquesne has seen each of their last 4 meeting with LaSalle all go over the total which includes a 91-74 win over the Explorers this season. Speaking of LaSalle, they’ve played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 whenever the total was 144.0 or greater and there was a combined 163.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-08-23	Ole Miss v. South Carolina OVER 133		67-61	Loss	-110	7 h 53 m	Show
Ole Miss vs. South Carolina 7:00 PM ET Game# 693-694 *Play On: Over 133.0 (5)** South Carolina has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 whenever the total was 139.0 or less and there was a combined 141.5 points scored per game. The Gamecocks are coming off a 61-55 win over Georgia in their regular season finale and that game easily went under the total of 139.5. South Carolina has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 immediately following an under and there was a combined 143.8 points scored per game. Ole Miss has played 10-2 to the over in their last 12 games. Ole Miss lost at home 64-61 to South Carolina in their last regular season meeting on 2/11. The Rebels have played 7-0 to the over since the start of last season when playing with same season revenge and there was 143.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-07-23	Gonzaga v. St. Mary's OVER 138		77-51	Loss	-110	8 h 47 m	Show
Gonzaga vs. St. Mary’s 9:00 PM ET Game# 637-638 *Play On: Over 138.0 (5)** Gonzaga is coming off last night’s 84-53 win over San Francisco and that contest went under 161.0. That snapped a string of 8 consecutive over for the Bulldogs. Gonzaga has shot a red-hot 48% or better in each of their previous 12 games and that includes both regular season meetings versus St. Mary’s. Gonzaga has scored 77 points or more in their last 8 and 11 of its previous 12 games. St. Mary’s plays at a snail’s pace offensively. The Gael’s are #359 nationally out of 363 Division 1 teams while averaging only 62.1 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played this season. However, the Gaels have still managed to score 68 points or more during 13 of its previous 15 games despite that slow methodical offensive pace at which they play at. Both teams are making an excellent 38% of their 3-point shots over each of its previous 5 games. Both regular season meetings went over the total with combined scores of 145 and 148 points. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-07-23	St. Peter's v. Fairfield -2.5		70-52	Loss	-115	7 h 54 m	Show
St. Peter’s vs. Fairfield 7:30 PM ET Game# 623-624 *Play On: Fairfield -2.5 (5)** St. Peter’s is coming off a 73-72 upset win over Siena in their previous game. However, the Peacocks are 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 this season immediately following a win. They have failed to win consecutive games since 12/18/2022. A far cry from a team that advanced to the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament a season ago. St. Peter’s has allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot a combined 50% from the field and 43.4% from beyond the 3-point line. Fairfield won and covered both regular season meeting versus St. Peter’s by scores of 56-52 and 67-55. I look for more of the same type of result in this one. Give me Fairfield minus the small number.
03-07-23	NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston -9.5		58-63	Loss	-115	6 h 43 m	Show
UNC-Wilmington vs. Charleston 7:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 *Play On: Charleston -9.5 (5)** UNC-Wilmington is coming off yesterday’s 6-point upset overtime win over Hofstra. Despite that win, it must be noted that the Seawolves are 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 as an underdog. Charleston passed a stern test last night with a 5-point win over a very good Towson State (21-12) team. This is a Cougars team that can potentially pull an upset or 2 in the NCAA Tournament. This line is as heavy as its sis for good reason. They’re begging you to take the underdog, but I’m not falling for the trap. Give me Charleston minus the points.
03-07-23	New Hampshire v. UMass Lowell -12		64-75	Loss	-115	5 h 46 m	Show
New Hampshire @ UMass-Lowell 6:00 PM ET Game# 561-562 *Play On: UMass-Lowell -12.0 (5)** UMass-Lowell enters this America East Conference Tournament Semifinal home game with a stellar 25-7 (.781) season record. New Hampshire has gone a terrible 0-6 SU&ATS on the road versus opponents with a win percentage of .600 to .800 and lost by an average of 22.6 points per game. UMass-Lowell has gone 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a favorite with an average line of -10.9 and victory margin of 22.0 points per game. Lowell is also 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 overall and outscored their opponents by 19.8 points per game. During that stretch they averaged 84.2 points scored per game, shot 50.5%, made 43.2% of its 3-point shot attempts, and converted on an excellent 77.9% of their free throws. Lowell avenged an earlier season upset loss at New Hampshire with a 92-55 home win on 2/25. Lowell is 16-0 SU and 10-3 ATS this season at home and won by 22.0 points per contest. Give me UMass-Lowell minus the points.
03-06-23	South Alabama +2 v. UL - Lafayette		66-71	Loss	-110	6 h 46 m	Show
South Alabama vs. UL-Lafayette 7:00 PM ET Game# 865-866 *Play On: South Alabama +2.0 (5)** UL-Lafayette swept the regular season series between these team. However, the oddsmakers were undeterred by those results and lists them as a short favorite in today’s Sun Belt Conference Tournament Championship game. South Alabama started the season 7-13, but they’ve gone 11-2 SU&ATS since. During their 3 conference tournament wins, the Jaguars held opponents 62.3 points per game and a combined 38.3% shooting. Furthermore, South Alabama is 6-0 ATS and 5-1 SU in neutral site games this season with their only blemish coming in a 62-60 loss to Towson State (21-11). Give me South Alabama.
03-05-23	Chattanooga v. Wofford OVER 150.5		74-62	Loss	-110	8 h 18 m	Show
UT-Chattanooga vs. Wofford 6:30 PM ET Game# 801-802 *Play On: Over 150.5 (5)** Wofford has played 7-1 to the over this season whenever the total was 144.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 165.0 points scored per game. Wofford will be facing a Chattanooga team that averages an impressive 12 made 3-point shots per game. The Terriers have played 10-1 to the over this season when facing teams that average 8 or more 3-point shot makes per game. Those 11 contests averaged a combined 159.2 points scored per game. Wofford has averaged a substantial 79.7 points scored per game throughout its last 7 contests. Conversely, Chattanooga is averaging 78.8 points scored per game throughout their previous 8 contests. Wofford won their 2 regular season matchups vs. Chattanooga 86-74 and 85-80 with both going over the total. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-04-23	Creighton v. DePaul OVER 147		84-70	Win	100	10 h 19 m	Show
Creighton @ DePaul 9:00 PM ET Game# 703-704 *Play On: Over 147.0 (5)** DePaul has played 6-1-1 to the over in their last 8 whenever the total was 140.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 159.1 points scored per game. The Blue Demons have made an impressive 40.2% of its 3-point shot attempts over its last 5 games. DePaul has allowed 51 points or more in 5 of its last 6 and 8 of their previous 10 games. During its last 5, Creighton has averaged 80.0 points scored per game while making 37.2% of its 3-point shot attempts and made 82.9% of their free throws. Considering DePaul allows 22 free throw attempts per game this season, the Bluejays free throw shooting prowess takes on even more added significance. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-04-23	LSU v. Florida OVER 141.5		67-79	Win	100	7 h 20 m	Show
LSU @ Florida 6:00 PM ET Game# 675-676 *Play On: Over 141.5 (5)** Florida has played 7-1 to the over during its last 8 with a combined average of 153.1 points scored per game. LSU has played 4-0 to the over in its previous 4 and there was a combined average of 156.0 points scored per game. Neither team is playing with any pressure since both are suffering through disappointing seasons. I look for this contest to be a bit more higher scoring relative to this current total than most would expect. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-04-23	UNLV v. Nevada -8.5	Top	69-67	Loss	-105	6 h 10 m	Show
UNLV @ Nevada 5:00 PM ET Game# 667-668 *Play On: Nevada -8.5 (5)** UNLV is coming off a terrible 25-point home blowout loss to Utah State in their previous game. The Rebels have now lost 4 of its last 5 while shooting a terrible 38.7% throughout that stretch. Nevada is coming off an 80-71 upset loss at Wyoming. However, the Wolfpack is 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS following a loss this season. Nevada is also 14-0 at home and that includes 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS when facing conference opponents. The Wolfpack will be also out to atone for a 68-62 loss at UNLV earlier this season. Give me Nevada minus the points.
03-04-23	Stanford v. Oregon OVER 139.5		68-73	Win	100	4 h 40 m	Show
Stanford @ Oregon 4:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 *Play On: Over 139.5 (4)** Since the start of the 2020-2021 season, Oregon has played 13-1 to the over in March with a combined average of 151.8 points scored per game. All those games came with current head coach Dana Altman in charge. The Ducks have made a sparkling 37.3% of their 3-shot point attempts over their previous 5 games. Oregon is #31 nationally and #3 within conference play in adjusted offensive efficiency. Stanford has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 conference away games and there was a combined average of 147.2 points scored per contest. Throughout its previous 5 contests, Stanford has shot a red-hot 49.1% which includes making an excellent 45.5% of their 3-point shot attempts. As a matter of fact, Stanford has been the most accurate 3-point shooting team (37.7%) in PAC-12 games this season. The Cardinal are also next to last in PAC-12 action when it comes to adjusted defensive efficiency. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-04-23	Kansas State v. West Virginia -4		81-89	Win	100	17 h 50 m	Show
Kansas State @ West Virginia 2:00 PM ET Game# 637-638 *Play On: West Virginia -4.0 (5)** This is a textbook trap game. We have #11 Kansas State which is currently on a 4-0 SU&ATS winning run as an underdog against an unranked 17-13 West Virginia team. However, the nationally ranked Wildcats are 1-5 in their last 6 conference road games. The Mountaineers are a solid 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS at home this season. If they want to keep their feint NCAA Tournament hopes alive, then this could be a statement game for the home side. Give me West Virginia minus the points.
03-04-23	Alabama v. Texas A&M +1.5		61-67	Win	100	15 h 52 m	Show
Alabama @ Texas A&M 12:00 PM ET Game# 603-604 *Play On: Texas A&M +1.0 (5)** Alabama is set up to fail in this spot. The Crimson Tide is coming off an extremely emotional 90-85 home overtime win versus bitter in state rival Auburn in their regular season home finale. Additionally, the Crimson Tide clinched the SEC regular season title with that win. This sets up as a textbook flat spot for Alabama. Now 3 days later they take to the road to play a Texas A&M team which has gone a successful 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS in conference home games. Give me Texas A&M plus the points.
03-04-23	Iowa State v. Baylor -7		73-58	Loss	-110	15 h 52 m	Show
Iowa State @ Baylor 12:00 PM ET Game# 605-606 *Play On: Baylor -7.0 (5)** Iowa State was a nice story throughout the first 2/3 of the season. However, they’ve hit a brick wall of late. The Cyclones are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4. Additionally, Iowa State has gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 conference away games and was outscored by an average of 8.5 points per contest. To make matters worse, they recently dismissed their 2nd leading scorer from the team. Baylor has played its best basketball during the 2nd half of the regular season, and especially so at home. Baylor is 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 at home, and all against teams from the best conference in college basketball. Give me Baylor minus the points.
03-03-23	VMI v. Chattanooga OVER 148.5		72-92	Win	100	7 h 26 m	Show
VMI @ UT-Chattanooga 7:30 PM ET Game# 881-882 *Play On: Over 148.5 (5)** UT-Chattanooga has scored 70 points or more in each of their previous 6 games. They’ve also allowed 75 points or more in each of its previous 3 games. Conversely, VMI has gone over in 3 straight contests with a combined average of 159.3 points scored per game. These teams met twice during regular season action which produced a cavalcade of 3-point shot attempts. During those contests there was a combined 133 three-point shot attempts and the teams made 58 of those long-distance hoists. As a matter of fact, 4 of the last 5 games these teams played one another have gone over the total.
03-03-23	East Carolina v. Tulane OVER 155.5		78-81	Win	100	7 h 58 m	Show
East Carolina @ Tulane 7:00 PM ET Game# 845-846 *Play On: Over 155.5 (5)** These teams just played at East Carolina on Wednesday and the home team walked away with an 83-68 win. That contest went under the total of 155.0 by just 4.0 points despite both teams shooting less than 40%. It must be noted, there was a combined 57 free throw attempts in that game which would be high by NBA standards let alone at the NCAA level where games are 8 minutes less. Tulane has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 following an under and there was a combined average of 158.5 points scored per game. Tulane is also #3 nationally in adjusted tempo and #9 in free throw percentage (78.7%). Since last year, these AAC rivals have played 3 times and produced a combined 151, 152, and 168 points scored. Give me this game to go over the total.
03-03-23	Akron v. Kent State UNDER 134		84-89	Loss	-105	6 h 57 m	Show
Akron @ Kent State 6:00 PM ET Game# 853-854 *Play On: Under 134.0 (5)** Akron has gone over the total in each of its previous 2 games. Nonetheless, the Zips have played 4-0 to the under this season immediately following going over in 2 consecutive contests and there was a combined average of just 130.3 points per game. Akron is #2 in adjusted defensive efficiency during conference action and dead last in adjusted offensive tempo. Kent State went over the total in its last game. The Golden Flashes have played 7-1 to the under this season after going under in their previous contest. Kent State is #1 in adjusted defensive efficiency in conference play. These teams met earlier this season and Akron won 67-55 in a game that easily went under the totals of 133.0. There was just a combined 101 field goal attempts in that contest which equated to a very slow paced game. As a matter of fact, the last 6 times these teams met it produced combined scores of 133 or less points being scored on each occasion, and 5 of those 6 went under the total. Give me this game to go under the total.

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