Arizona State @ UCLA 9:00 PM ET

Game# 747-748

Play On: UCLA -11.0 (5*)

Arizona State is a trendy pick in this game according to the current public betting trends I’m staring at. The Sun Devils are coming off a huge upset win 89-88 at highly ranked Arizona in their previous contest and did so as a 12.0-point underdog. Additionally, they won that contest courtesy of a 60-foot desperation 3-point shot that went in at the buzzer. It would be hard for me to imagine they can carry over even close to the same emotion on the road versus one of the current favorites to win a national championship. The Sun Devils are 0-6 SU&ATS this season following a game in which there was a combined 155 points or more being scored and they lost by a decisive margin of 16.5 points per game.

UCLA is 15-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 21.3 points per game. The Bruins are on a current 8-game win streak which has saw them by 13.8 points per contest. UCLA won 74-62 at Arizona State earlier this season thus easily covering as a 5.0-point favorite.

Give me UCLA minus the points.

Purdue @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET

Game# 753-754

Play On: Wisconsin +4.5 (5*)

The highly touted Boilermakers aren’t exactly playing their best basketball during the final stretch of regular season action while going 2-4 in their last 6. Additionally, Purdue is 0-3 in their last 3 on the road. Wisconsin is coming off an 87-79 loss at Michigan. However, the Badgers 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss in their previous game. If Wisconsin wants to keep their feint NCAA Tournament hopes alive then a win here is imperative. I’m banking on the fact that even if they fall short, the Badgers will take Purdue right down to the wire in their final regular season home games of the season.

Give me Wisconsin plus the points.

Detroit @ Youngstown State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 791-792

Play On: Over 156.0 (5*)

Detroit has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 and all those contests were played at home. However, the Titans have played 6-0 to the over on the road this season following an under and there was a combined 168.7 points scored per game. Conversely, Youngstown State is coming off a 93-79 win at IUPUI in their previous contest. The Penguins have played following a conference win by 10 or more and there was a combined 163.0 points scored per game.

These are the top 2 three-point shooting teams in Horizon League action. As a matter of fact, Detroit is #7 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage and Youngstown is a more than respectable #22 in that category. Neither team gets to the free throw line a ton because they’re perimeter-based offenses, but when they get there, each has been extremely efficient.

According to KenPom, Detroit is one of the worst defensive teams in the country. Despite an impressive 23-8 season record, Youngstown State is a far cry from a good defensive team ranking #267 in that category. They’re heavily reliant on their offensive prowess to carry the load.

This total is this high for good reason. Give me this game to go over the total.

Texas @ TCU 9:00 PM ET

Game# 703-704

Play On: Texas +3.0 (5*)

TCU is coming off an 83-82 win at Texas Tech. Nonetheless, the Horned Frogs are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and 1-5 SU&ATS during its previous 6 following a win. TCU has won 2 games in a row since 1/24 and has done so just once since 1/4.

Texas is coming off an 81-72 loss at Baylor. Nevertheless, Texas hasn’t lost 2 consecutive games all season. The Longhorns are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS following a loss this season. Texas has also gone 8-0 in their last 8 regular season games against TCU. During their previous 5 games, Texas has made an excellent 41.9% of their 3-point shot attempts while averaging 10 makes per contest.

Give me Texas plus the points.

Penn State @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET

Game# 699-700

Play On: Northwestern -3.5 (5*)

Northwestern is coming off road losses in their last 2 games played. On a positive note, the Wildcats are 3-0 SU&ATS this season following 2 straight losses. The Wildcats are also 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home with wins coming over #5 Purdue, #15 Indiana, and Iowa. Conversely, Penn State is 2-6 in their last 8 Big 10 away games with their only victories coming over Ohio State and Minnesota who have a combined conference record of 5-30.

Give me Northwestern minus the points.

Vanderbilt @ Kentucky 7:00 PM ET

Game# 671-672

Play On: Over 145.0 (5*)

Vanderbilt has gone 3-0 to the over in their last 3 SEC contests and there was a combined 155.7 points scored per game. The Commodores are #4 withing SEC play when it comes to offensive efficiency. However, they’re also next to last in defensive efficiency. The Commodores are averaging 10 three-point shot makes per game throughout their previous 5.

Kentucky is coming off an 86-54 blowout win over Auburn in their previous outing, and that game barely stayed under the total of 141.0. The Wildcats have gone under the total in consecutive games since 12/17/2022 and since that time have played 14-5 to the over. Furthermore, Kentucky has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 following an under with a combined average of 150.4 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Virginia @ North Carolina 6:00 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: North Carolina -3.0 (10*)

This line jumped right off the page at me. We have an unranked North Carolina team which has lost 5 of its last 7 games as a favorite over the #6 ranked team in the country. They’re begging you to take the underdog in this spot. I’m not falling for the bait. 

Give me North Carolina minus the points.

TCU @ Texas Tech 12:00 PM ET

Game# 611-612

Play On: Texas Tech -132 (5*)

TCU is 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6. Yes, 3 of those losses came without star point guard Mike Miles out due to injury. But they’re 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 away with 2 of those coming versus unranked teams in Oklahoma State and Mississippi State.

Texas Tech started conference play by going 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS in their first 8 games. Since then, they 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS. That includes a red-hot 4-0 SU&ATS run in their last 4 where they held 3 of the opponents to less than 40% shooting. Furthermore, they’re 3-0 SU&ATS in their last at home which includes wins over nationally ranked Kansas State, Iowa State, and Texas.

Give me Texas Tech on the money line.

South Alabama @ UL-Lafayette 9:00 PM ET

Game# 885-886

Play On: South Alabama +4.5 (5*)

Yes, I know UL-Lafayette is a perfect 13-0 SU at home this season and already won by 3 at South Alabama earlier this season. However, throughout their previous 5 contests they allowed 75.4 points per game while opponents shot a combined 47.6%, 37.1% from 3-point rank, and permitted an alarmingly high 24 free throw attempts per game.

South Alabama has gone a sizzling hot 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 and outscored their opponents by an enormous average of 23.4 points per game. During this current win streak, the Cougars have only allowed 55.2 points per game and opponents shot a combined 37.1%. Conversely, they’ve also been very good offensively during this winning run while shooting 53.7% and making an excellent 44.5% of their 3-point shot attempts. That recent 3-point shooting prowess can’t be ignored since UL-Lafayette is dead last statistically in 3-point shooting defense at 37.9%. Furthermore, beyond this current unbeaten streak, South Alabama is also an extremely profitable 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9.

Give me South Alabama plus the points.

Towson @ Charleston 7:00 PM ET

Game# 763-764

Play On: Over 148.5 (5*)

Both teams have been red-hot offensively in recent games. Charleston has averaged 89.4 points scored per game and shot 49.1% throughout their previous 5 contests. Additionally, during that exact 85-game span, Charleston has converted on an excellent 43.0% of their 3-point shot attempts and averaged an eye-popping 13 makes per game. Charleston has played 6-0 to the over during its last 6 whenever there was a total of 142.5 to 157.5. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 155.8 points scored per game. The Cougars rank #1 during CAA action in offensive tempo while averaging 71.1 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played.

Towson is the top 3-point shooting team in Colonial Athletic Association action while making 41.1% of their long-distance attempts. Furthermore, throughout their previous 5 contests Towson has averaged 80.0 points scored per game while making an outstanding 44.7% of its 3-point shot attempts which includes 10 makes per outing. Towson has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 whenever the total was 136.0 or greater and a combined average of 154.5 points were scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Iowa @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET

Game# 731-732

Play On: Wisconsin +1.5 (5*)

Iowa is a poor defensive team. As a matter of fact, they’ve allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better in 11 of 16 Big 10 Conference games this season. Furthermore, throughout their previous 5 contests they’ve allowed 75.4 points per game while permitting their opponents to shoot 52.1% and make 40.9% of its 3-point shot attempts.

Wisconsin is coming off a 58-57 home loss to Rutgers. However, the Badgers have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss. The Badgers have made an outstanding 39.9% of their 3-point shot attempts at home while averaging 8 makes per game.

Tulane @ Houston 9:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Over 145.5 (5*)

Tulane is coming off an 84-66 win at South Florida in their previous game and it went under the total of 160.0. However, Tulane has played 3-0 to the over during its last 3 following an under and there was a combined average of 162.0 points scored per game. The Green Wave have also played 9-3-1 to the over versus Conference opponents with an average of 168.7 points scored per game. During their previous 5 contests, Tulane has averaged 88.8 points scored per game and shot 49.8%.

Houston has averaged a robust 76.6 points scored per game during its last 5 while shooting 48.6% from the field and 76.3% from the free throw line. The Cougars have played 11-5 to the over in their last 16 games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

South Alabama @ Texas State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 705-706

Play On: South Alabama -2.5 (5*)

Texas State is just 3-7 SU at home this season when facing Division 1 opposition. They also suffered a home loss versus Division III Mary Hardin-Simmons.

South Alabama has gone 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 games. That includes 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 with a enormous average victory margin of 27.0 points per game. During their current win streak, they shot a combined 55.8% and averaged 79.3 points scored per game. They’re also a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a favorite with an average victory margin of 20.3 points per game. South Alabama will be out to revenge a home upset loss to Texas State earlier this season.

Give me South Alabama on the money line.

Duquesne @ LaSalle 7:00 PM ET

Game# 733-734

Play On: LaSalle +2.5 (5*)

Duquesne is 19-8 but just 8-6 inside their own conference. They we also beneficiaries of playing an extremely soft non-conference schedule. Duquesne is 2-5 SU in their last 7 true road games.

LaSalle is arguably playing their best basketball of the season during this final stretch of regular season action. The Explorers have won 5 of its last 6 and cover in 7 consecutive games. They’ve also gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 at home and won by an average of 10.3 PPG.

Give me Lasalle plus the points.

Bradley @ Valparaiso 7:00 PM ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Over 137.5 (5*)

Bradley has played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 when the total was 128.5 or more. The Braves have shot a red-hot 50.2% and made 43.0% of their 3-point shots attempts throughout its previous 5 games. Valpo has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 whenever the total was between 132.5 and 146.5 with a combined average of 151.2 points scored per game. These teams met earlier this season and Bradley won 88-66 which easily sailed over that total of 130.0.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Indiana @ Michigan State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 451-452

Play On: Michigan State -2.5 (5*)

Despite their stellar 19-8 record, Indiana has gone just 3-6 SU in true road games this season. The 17th ranked Hoosiers also have a huge rivalry game up next at Purdue.

Michigan State has gone 8-1 SU in their last 9 at home with their lone setback coming by 1 against #5 Purdue (24-4). The Spartans will also be out for revenge stemming from 82-69 loss at Indiana earlier this season. This is a classic example of an unranked favorite facing a nationally ranked opponent in late season action. I trust the oddsmakers much more than the so-called College Basketball experts that vote in those Top 25 Polls.

Give me Michigan State minus the points.

Marquette @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET

Game# 635-636

Play On: Creighton -5.5 (5*)

Marquette is a more than respectable 5-3 in Big East Conference away games. However, those 5 wins came over teams with a combined Big East Conference record of 25-59 (.298) this season. The 3 they lost on the road came versus #18 Connecticut, #16 Xavier, and #20 Providence. Now they find themselves in a conference away game versus #19 Creighton. I’m sure by now, you see my rationale.

Creighton has gone 9-1 SU in their last 10. Their lone loss during that stretch came in double-overtime at #20 Providence. The Bluejays are also 8-0 SU in conference home games and won by an average of 14.8 points per game. Among those were wins over 3 conference nationally ranked opponents in Connecticut, Providence, and Xavier.

Give me Creighton minus the points.

Miami @ Virginia Tech 7:00 PM ET

Game# 617-618

Play On: Virginia Tech -2.5 (5*)

My antennas went up when I saw the opening point-spread on this matchup. We have an unranked Virginia Tech team that’s 6-10 in ACC action as a favorite over #13 Miami with a 13-4 conference record. Furthermore, Miami has gone a sizzling hot 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the ranked underdog in this matchup versus an unranked opponent. Many more times than not what appears to look this easy is not. I trust the oddsmakers much more than poll voters.

Give me Virginia Tech minus the points.

Oklahoma State @ West Virginia 7:00 PM ET

Game# 865-866

Play On: Over 144.5 (5*)

Oklahoma State has played 7-0 to the over during its last 7 whenever the total was 129.5 or greater and there was a combined 152.4 points scored per game. Conversely, West Virginia has played 5-0 to the over during its previous 5 whenever the total was 147.5 or less and there was a combined 151.2 points scored per game. The Mountaineers have also gone over in their last 4 at home with a combined 149.5 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

North Carolina @ NC State 1:00 PM ET

Game# 813-814

Play On: NC State -130 (5*)

North Carolina has gone 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5. The Tar Heels started the season 5-0 and were ranked #1 in the country, but they’ve gone an uninspiring 11-10 since. North Carolina has gone a poor 2-6 SU in true road games this season. North Carolina is also 0-6 SU&ATS this season as a pick/underdog.

NC State is coming off a disappointing loss at Syracuse earlier this week that dropped their season record to 20-7. However, the Wolfpack haven’t lost 2 consecutive games all season. Specifically, they’re 6-0 SU following a loss this season with an average victory margin of 18.3 points per game. NC State is also 13-1 at home and that including winning their last 8 in Raleigh. The Wolfpack will also be seeking revenge stemming from an 80-69 loss at North Carolina earlier this season.

Give me NC State on the money line.

Stanford @ USC 10:00 PM ET

Game# 793-794

Play On: Over 141.0 (5*)

USC has scored 77 points or more in each of their previous 4 home games. It’s no coincidence that all 4 of those contests went over the total with a combined average of 150.5 points scored per game. USC is coming off a 97-60 blowout win over California in their previous game.

Stanford is the best 3-point shooting team in PAC-12 action this season. They’ll be facing a USC team that’s next to last during PAC-12 games in 3-point defense and the only team worse is tonight’s opponent. The Cardinal have played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 conference away games and there was a combined average of 144.8 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Nevada @ Utah State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 759-760

Play On: Over 145.0 (5*)

These teams met earlier this season at Nevada and the Wolfpack won 85-70 in a game that went over the total of 146.0. Nevada has played 13-4 to the over in their last 17 games. Furthermore, Nevada has gone over in 5 straight contests whenever the total was 141.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 162.0 points scored per game. Nevada is #36 nationally and #3 in Mountain West Conference game in adjusted offensive efficiency. Nevada is #4 nationally in free throw accuracy at 80.1% and that includes 83.7% in their last 5 games.

Utah State ranks #13 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Aggies are #2 nationally when it comes to 3-point shooting while converting on an excellent 40.2% of those attempts. Additionally, they’ve made an absurd 43.6% of those long-distance tries at home while also averaging 11 made 3-point shots per game. The Aggies are also #22 nationally in free throw accuracy at 76.4%. They’re an even better 83.7% throughout their previous 5 games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Michigan State @ Michigan 8:00 PM ET

Game# 777-778

Play On: Michigan -130 (10*)

Michigan State has gone 1-3 SU&ATS in their last 4 conference away games. Their lone win that sequence came over a struggling Ohio State team that has lost its last 7 and 12 of their previous 13 games.

Michigan lost their last 2 games by 1 to Indiana and by versus Wisconsin. However, the Wolverines haven’t lost 3 consecutive games in a row all season. Michigan is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS this season following losses in each of its previous 2 contests and won by an average of 18.5 points per game and all were versus Big 10 opponents. Michigan is 6-2 SU in conference home games this season with their only losses coming by 5 versus #3 Purdue (23-4) and against #14 Indiana (18-8) by 1. Today’s opponent Michigan State is unranked. The Wolverines are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS this season in conference home games when facing unranked opponents and won by an average of 14.2 points per game.

Give me Michigan on the money line.

Duke @ Syracuse 6:00 PM ET

Game# 719-720

Play On: Syracuse +1.5 (5*)

Duke has gone 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games with their only win coming over a terrible Georgia Tech team. As a matter of fact, Duke is 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in ACC road games this season.

Syracuse has got better as the season has progressed. The Orange come into this contest brimming with confidence after going 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 contests including a home win over #23 NC State in their previous outing. Syracuse has a very respectable 9-6 ACC record and went an extremely profitable 9-3-3 ATS in those contests. It’s worth noting, they lost 5 of those 6 conference games by 7 points or fewer. The Orange have lost each of their previous 7 meetings versus Duke. Yet here the oddsmakers seem undeterred by those results based on this current line.

Give me Syracuse.

Fordham @ VCU 2:30 PM ET

Game# 655-656

Play On: Under 135.0 (5*)

VCU has struggled mightily offensively throughout their previous 5 games. During that stretch they only averaged 61.0 points scored per game, converted on an abysmal 14.9% of its 3-point shot attempts, and made only 63.2% of their free throws. Conversely, during that identical span, VCU allowed 60.2 points per game and limited opponents to a mere 50 field goal attempts per contest. The Rams have also allowed 62 points or fewer in 8 of its last 9 games. VCU will be facing a Fordham team that over their last 5 games has shot an uninspiring 40.2% from the field and 28.8% from 3-point territory. VCU has seen its last 4 conference home games all go under the total with a combined average of only 125.3 points scored per contest. They’ll make it 5 straight unders at home on Saturday.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Iowa State @ Kansas State 2:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: Kansas State -3.0 (5*)

Iowa State is coming off a 70-59 home win over TCU. Unfortunately for them, they gone 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 following a win and scored 61 points or fewer on 3 of those occasions. The Cyclones have also gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 as an away pick or underdog.

Kansas State has proven to own a strong home court advantage so far this season. The Wildcats have gone 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS this season at Bramlage, Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas. Kansas State will be playing with revenge after losing 80-76 at Iowa State earlier this season. Somehow, they managed to lose that game despite shooting 52.1% from the field and 56.2% from 3-point territory. Kansas State comes in on a 2-game losing streak, but both took place on the road. Furthermore, the Wildcats have lost 3 consecutive games all season long and it’s just the 2nd time they’ve lost 2 in a row. Lastly, Kansas State has gone 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS this season as a home pick or favorite of 9.5 or less.

Give me Kansas State minus the points.

St. Joseph’s @ Davidson 12:30 PM ET

Game# 617-618

Play On: St. Joseph’s +4.5 (5*)

Davidson has lost 4 straight and 6 of its previous 7 at home. The Wildcats began the season 6-1 and since then has gone a dismal 5-13.

St. Joe’s is coming off a 76-62 loss at Duquesne. However, they’re 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 15.3 points per game. They’re also 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Give me St. Joseph’s plus the points.

Niagara @ Mount St. Mary’s 7:00 PM ET

Game# 877-878

Play On: Niagara +1.5 (5*)

Mount St. Mary’s is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and 1-6 SU&ATS during its previous 7 games at home. Niagara is coming off a home loss to a very good Iona team coached by Rick Pitino. That loss broke a 5-game Purple Eagles win streak. These teams met on 12/31, and Niagara walked away with a 67-55 win and easily covered as a 2.5-point favorite.

Give me Niagara.

Columbia @ Harvard 7:00 PM ET

Game# 879-880

Play On: Over 136.5 (5*)

Columbia has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6. The average total in those 6 contests was 142.4 and there were a combined 165.0 points scored per game. Columbia is #2 in adjusted offensive tempo in IVY League play.

Harvard has played 3-0 to the over during it’s previous 3. The average total in those 3 contests was 139.7 and there were 162.3 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Dartmouth @ Cornell 6:00 PM ET

Game# 861-862

Play On: Dartmouth +10.0 (5*)

Cornell has gone 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. That includes 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3.

Dartmouth is 4-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog this season and won 2 of those contests straight up. Dartmouth has also gone 5-4 SU in their last 9 and 8-3-1 ATS during its previous 12 games played.

Give me Dartmouth plus the points.

UCF @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET

Game# 799-800

Play On: Over 149.0 (10*)

Earlier this season there would be no possible chance I would bet a UCF game to go over a number that neared or surpassed 150.0. Nevertheless, much has changed between then and now. These teams played a 2-overtime thriller earlier this season which saw UCF pull out a 107-104 win. However, that game was 78-78 at the end of regulation time which still would have sailed over that total of just 135.5.

During their previous 5 contests, Memphis has averaged 90.6 points scored per game, shot 50.2% from the field, and made 38.7% of its 3-point shot attempts. Conversely, UCF has averaged 74.6 points scored per game, made 40.9% of its 3-point shot attempts, and made an average of 11 three-point shots per outing throughout their previous 5 contests. Memphis averages 24 free throw attempts and allows 24 free throw attempts per game this season. UCF is #1 in American Athletic Conference action in free throw percentage at 80.7%. Memphis is pretty good themselves in converting on 75.3% of its free throws in conference games.

UCF has played 8-0 to the over this season immediately following playing in 3 straight conference games and there was a combined 156.9 points scored per contest. The Golden Knights have also played 7-0-2 to the over in their last 9 games overall. Memphis has gone over in their last 3 and there was a combined 174.0 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Middle Tennessee State @ FAU 7:00 PM ET

Game# 757-758

Play On: Over 144.0 (5*)

FAU has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 144.0 or greater and there was a combined 164.5 points scored per game. FAU ranks #1 in Conference USA action when it comes to offensive efficiency while averaging 110.2 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. The Owls also have attempted the most 3-point shots in conference action and its accounted for 46.7% of their points scored during those contests.

MTSU has gone over in 6 consecutive contests and there was a combined average of 158.3 points scored per game. The Blue Raiders are the top 3-point shooting team in Conference USA action while making an exceptional 39.0% of those long-distance attempts. The Blue Raiders haven’t been very good defensively over their last 5 while allowing 79.6 points per game, 48.4% shooting from the field, and 38.0% from 3-point territory.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Indiana @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: Indiana -2.0 (5*)

Northwestern is enjoying a stellar season by their standards and it very well may result in only its 2nd ever NCAA Tournament appearance. However, as good as it’s been they have lost 4 times at home this season with 3 of those coming by 16 points or more. Additionally, Northwestern is coming off an emotional home win in their previous game over then #1 Purdue. For a program that isn’t used to much sustained success, it leads me to think they’ll be flat tonight versus a team they already beat this season.

Indiana will be out to revenge an earlier season 84-83 home loss to Northwestern. Well they’re certainly set up to do so. The Hoosiers are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. They’ve also gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a favorite of 5.5 or less and won by an average of 11.6 points per game.

Give me Indiana minus the small number.

Kentucky @ Mississippi State 8:30 PM ET

Game# 709-710

Play On: Mississippi State -2.5 (5*)

Kentucky is coming off back-to-back losses to Georgia and Arkansas that severely hut their NCAA Tournament invite chances. Conversely, Mississippi State is riding the momentum of a 5-0 SU&ATS run in their last 5 with an average victory margin of 10.0 points per game. Furthermore, during this current win streak, the Bulldogs allowed a mere 58.8 points per game and held those opponents to a combined 38.3% shooting. That’s nothing new considering Mississippi State ranks #4 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Give me Mississippi State minus the number.

Missouri State @ Bradley 8:00 PM ET

Game# 705-706

Play On: Bradley -9.5 (5*)

I laid a heavy number (-10.5) with Bradley on Saturday, and they absolutely crushed Murray State 83-48. I’m coming right back with them again tonight. Bradley already won at Missouri State earlier this season in a 58-40 blowout. Bradley is 12-1 SU and 11-2 ATS this season at home when facing Division 1 teams and outscored them by a decisive margin of 23.4 points per game. The Braves are on a current 6-game win streak and covered each of the last 4 of those contests. Bradley has been red-hot offensively over its last 5 contests while averaging 76.8 points scored per game, shot 51.4% from the field, and an eye-popping 48.6% from beyond the 3-point line. Additionally, they are only allowing 62.0 points per game this season in Missouri Valley Conference games. Conversely, Missouri State has scored an average of 64.1 points per game this season during conference play.

Give me Bradley minus the points.

Kansas @ Oklahoma State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 645-646

Play On: Over 140.0 (5*)

Oklahoma State has gone over the total in their last 6 versus all teams not named Iowa State. The Cowboys had some offensive struggles during the first half of their season, but that hasn’t been the case recently. They’ve scored 71 points or more in each of their previous 6 games and that’s 6 more than their conference season average.

Kansas is coming off a 78-55 blowout win at Oklahoma which stayed under the total of 141.5. However, Kansas has played 7-3 to the over this season following an under with a combined average of 149.2 points per contest, and that includes 4-1 to the over if the total was 144.5 or less. The Jayhawks have scored 77 points or more in each of their previous 5 games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Missouri @ Auburn 7:00 PM ET

Game# 619-620

Play On: Missouri +6.5 (5*)

These teams are on opposite paths recently. Missouri has won 5 of their previous 6 and Auburn is 1-5 during its last 6 games. As a matter of fact, Auburn has lost their last 3 and all against SEC opponents. The last of which came on this past Saturday’s 77-69 home loss to bitter rival Alabama. Conversely, Missouri is coming off a huge 86-85 upset win at Tennessee and did so as an 12.5 point underdog. They say the great equalizer for College Basketball underdogs is their ability to make 3-point shots at a high percentage. Well then, Auburn has made 45% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Hello live underdog!

Give me Missouri plus the points.

Texas @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET

Game# 879-880

Play On: Texas -3.5 (5*)

I cashed in with Texas Tech just 2 days ago as they won by 7 at home versus nationally ranked Kansas State. However, the Red Raiders are still an abysmal 2-10 in Big 12 Conference action.  Texas Tech is 0-5 SU&ATS this season as an underdog of 5.0 or less and they lost by an average of 12.8 points per game.

Texas is a legitimate Top 5 nationally ranked team right now. Texas is coming off a 94-60 blowout home win over West Virginia on Saturday. The Longhorns are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a favorite of 8.0 or less and won by an average of 14.0 points per game. Texas is 4-3 SU in true road games this season. Nevertheless, those 3 losses came versus nationally ranked teams in Tennessee, Kansas, and Iowa State. As of last Monday 2/6, all 3 of those teams were ranked #12 or higher in the AP Poll. That’s unequivocally not the elite level of competition they’ll be facing tonight.

Give me Texas minus the points.

Loyola-Marymount @ Santa Clara 7:00 PM ET

Game# 747-748

Play On: Over 148.5 (10*)

Loyola is #1 in West Coast Conference action on their 3-point shooting while converting on 39.4% of its attempts. Conversely, Santa Clara ranks #336 nationally in 3-point shooting defense while allowing opponents to make 37.5% of its long-distance attempts. Loyola has seen each of its last 4 contests go over the total and there was a combined average of 155.5 points scored per game. They’ll be facing a Santa Clara team which has allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 50% or better. The Greyhounds have also played 8-1 to the over in true road games this season.

Santa Clara is coming off a game that went under the total. They have seen each of their last 4 go over the total following an under in their previous contest with a combined average of 169.5 points scored per game. Santa Clara has converted on a terrific 38.9% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout its previous 5 games played.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Kansas State @ Texas Tech 7:00 PM ET

Game# 765-766

Play On: Texas Tech +1.5 (5*)

So let me get this straight. We have a Texas Tech team that’s 1-10 in Big 12 Conferences action that’s just a 1.5-point underdog, versus a Kansas State team which is 19-5 and ranked #12 nationally. Kansas State is a lock right. Well, it’s seldom that easy when it comes to sports betting. Besides, despite their outstanding season record, Kansas State has lost their 3 road contests and by an average of 10.0 points per game. The last time Texas Tech played at home they overcame a 23-point 2nd half deficit to knock off #11 Iowa State.

Give me Texas Tech.

Indiana @ Michigan 6:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Michigan -2.5 (5*)

Indiana has gone a terrific 13-1 at home this season. However, the Hoosiers are just 2-5 SU in true road games. Despite an uninspiring 14-10 season record, Michigan has gone 5-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite of 4.5 or less and won by an average of 15.0 points per game. The Wolverines also come on with momentum having gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 with an average victory margin of 15.3 points per game. By the way, Michigan is 8-0 in their last 8 regular season meetings versus Indiana with an average victory margin of 18.5 points per game.

Here's the question of the day. How is an unranked Michigan team a favorite Top 20 team like 17-7 Indiana? They’re giving us the winner. Give me Michigan plus the points.

Oklahoma State @ Iowa State 6:00 PM ET

Game# 741-742

Play On: Iowa State -5.5 (5*)

Oklahoma State enters this contest red hot winning their last 4 and 6 of its previous 7. Conversely, Iowa State has gone 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Why is Iowa State the sizable favorite? Because the Cyclones are 12-0 SU and 8-4 ATS at home this season with a massive average victory margin of 22.3 points per game. On the other hand, Oklahoma State has gone 1-4 in their last 5 conference road games.

Give me Iowa State minus the points.

UNLV @ San Diego State 4:00 PM ET

Game# 699-700

Play On: Over 139.0 (5*)

UNLV went under the total in their previous game. The Rebels have played 6-0 to the over this season following an under in their previous game (145.4 PPG). During their previous 5 contests, UNLV has averaged 77.0 points scored per game, shot 40.9% from beyond the 3-point line, and went to the free throw line 26 times per game.

San Diego State has shot 37.6% from 3-point territory this when facing fellow Mountain West Conference teams. The Aztecs went under in their previous 2 games which has only happened once this season. They haven’t gone under in 3 consecutive games all season.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Murray State @ Bradley 2:00 PM ET

Game# 635-636

Play On: Bradley -11.0 (5*)

Murray State has gone 0-5 in their last 5 on the road and lost by a decisive margin of 18.0 points per game. Despite Murray State winning at home 67-58 earlier this season, the oddsmakers are undeterred by that result as evidenced by the current point-spread. As a matter of fact, since that win, Murray State has gone 4-6 SU and 4 of those defeats came by double-digit margins. The Racers have been terrible defensively of late, allowing 82.4 points per contest, 51.2% shooting, and an atrocious 45.0% from 3-point territory throughout its previous 5 games.

Bradley is 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS at home versus Division 1 opponents and outscored them by a substantial average of 20.7 points per game. According to Ken Pomeroy, Bradley possesses the 11th strongest home court in the nation. Throughout its last 5 games Bradley has shot 48.6% and made 42.7% of its 3-point shot attempts.

Give me Bradley minus the points.

Connecticut @ Creighton 2:00 PM ET

Game# 661-662

Play On: Creighton -4.5 (5*)

Creighton enters this game on a 7-game win streak and looks more like the Top 25 team that everyone thought they would be before the season began. They will also be playing with revenge from an earlier season 9 point loss at UConn. On a positive note from that loss was the fact they outrebounded the Huskies by a wide margin of 49-34. UConn has allowed the most free throw attempts of any Big East team during conference action. Conversely, Creighton is the #2 free throw shooting percentage team in conference play while converting on an excellent 77.2% of its attempts. Creight has gone 11-1 at home this season with a +17.5 point per game differential and that includes 7-0 versus conference opponents.

Give me Creighton minus the points.

Kansas @ Oklahoma 1:00 PM ET

Game# 621-622

Play On: Oklahoma +3.5 (5*)

The defending national champion Kansas Jayhawks have lost each of their previous 3 conference away games. However, in their defense those were all against Top 20 caliber competition. Kansas is still a legitimate national title contender. Yet, they’re just a short favorite against an unranked team Like Oklahoma who has lost 6 of their last 7 and 4 of its previous 5 at home. Here’s where the underdog hidden betting value comes from. Ken Pomeroy’s analytics still maintains that Oklahoma has the 10th strongest home court in all of college basketball. Furthermore, since the 2020-2021 season began, Oklahoma is 10-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6.0 or less.

Give me Oklahoma plus the points.

NC State @ Boston College 12:00 PM ET

Game# 611-612

Play On: Boston College +7.0 (5*)

Boston College has come to life in recent weeks. They’re coming off a huge momentum building 82-76 upset win as a 13.0-point underdog at Virginia Tech. Don’t look now, but the Eagles have won 4 of their last 6 and covered in 5 of its previous 7. Boston College is a below average defensive team. But on a positive note they’re the 4th best team in forcing turnovers in ACC play which makes up for some of their deficiencies on that end of the floor.

NC State is far the better team in this matchup. Yet, I still believe this too heavy a number to be laying on the road. The Wolfpack are just 3-4 SU in conference away games. NC State also allows the 2nd most free throw attempts in ACC games. That will be problematic against a Boston College team which is making 77.3% of its free throws in ACC action.

Give me Boston College plus the points.

Arizona State @ Stanford 10:00 PM ET

Game# 829-830

Play On: Stanford -3.0 (5*)

We have a Stanford team which has an uninspiring 10-13 (.435) season record versus an opponent in Arizona State who is 16-8 (.667), and yet it’s the Cardinal who are favorite. However, after looking at the recent trending for each team, it all makes sense. Arizona State started the season 15-3, but since that time has gone a dismal 1-5 since. Conversely, Stanford began the season 5-12, but has since rebounded to win 5 of its last 6 games. Clearly, each team’s compass has been pointed in opposite directions of late. Hence, the team with a losing record being favorite over an opponent that has won 66.7% of its game this season.

Stanford had their 5-game win streak halted in their previous game while suffering an 84-62 blowout loss at Colorado. Any College Basketball favorite like Stanford that’s coming off a road loss by 10 points or more, and they currently possess a winning record, versus an opponent like Arizona State with a winning record, resulted those favorites going 61-27 ATS (69.3%) since the 2018-2019 season began. The average point-spread for the favorites was -3.6.

Give me Stanford minus the points.

Nebraska @Michigan 6:30 PM ET

Game# 661-662

Play On: Michigan -11.5 (5*)

Nebraska is coming off a 72-63 home win over Penn State. However, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a win and lost by a decisive margin of 18.3 points per game. The Cornhuskers are also 0-6 SU&ATS this season as a conference away underdog and lost by 16.3 points per game. Conversely, Michigan is 5-1 SU in conference home games this season with their only loss coming by 5 versus #1 Purdue. The Wolverines are also coming off impressive wins in their last 2 contests by 17 at Northwestern and by 8 at home versus Ohio State.

Give me Michigan minus the points.

Maryland @ Michigan State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 645-646

Play On: Under 131.5 (5*)

Both teams play at a slower offensive pace than most and each is stout defensively. Michigan State has played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 conference home games and there was a combined average of just 124.0 points scored per contest. Maryland has played 7-0 to the under in true road games this season and there was only a combined 126.4 points scored per contest. During their last 6 contests, Maryland has allowed an average of 55.8 points per game. Throughout their previous 3 games, Michigan State has scored a paltry 59.7 points per outing and shot a poor 39.9%. The Spartans also rank an abysmal #333 nationally in free throw attempts.

Give me this game to go over the total.

TCU @ Kansas State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Over 148.5 (5*)

Kansas State is coming off a 69-66 home loss to Texas last Saturday. That game went under the total of 152.0. The Wildcats have played 7-0 to the over in their previous 7 following an under in their last game and there was a combined average of 154.3 points scored per contest. TCU has gone over the total in each of its last 3 contests and with an average of 151.7 points scored per game. These teams met at TCU on 1/14 and the Horned Frogs won 82-68 and the game went over the total of 148.5. There was an enormous 136 field goal attempts in that contest which is well above the College Basketball game average. Furthermore, that contest went over despite the teams going a combined 9-40 (22.5%) on 3-point shot attempts and only 26 free throw attempts.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Duke @ Miami 7:00 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Miami -2.5 (5*)

Duke is coming off a close win versus bitter rival North Carolina on Saturday. Now just 2 days later they travel to Miami to take on a Hurricanes team which has gone a perfect 12-0 SU at home this season. Miami will also be playing with same season revenge stemming from a 2-point loss at Duke on 1/21. Additionally, the Canes nearly walked away with a win despite shooting a season low 34.8%.  By the way, Duke is 0-4 SU&ATS this season during true road games versus opponents with a winning record, and they lost by an average of 11.5 points per contest.

Give me Miami minus the small number.

Texas @ Kansas State 4:00 ET

Game# 666-700

Play On: Over 149.0 (10*)

These teams met earlier this season in Austin and Kansas State walked away with a 116-103 win, and no there wasn’t any overtime. There were a combined 59 free throw attempts in that contest and the team went and made 53 of them for an excellent 89.8% conversion rate. Not to mention, combining to go 24-51 (47.1%) on 3-point shot attempts. I am not predicting those gaudy numbers will repeat themselves in this one, but I do think will see a similar volume of attempts in each category. By the way, these teams have now gone over the total in each of the last 6 times they’ve met.

Texas has played 11-3 to the over in their last 14 games. The Longhorns are coming off a 76-71 home win versus Baylor and that contest barely went under the total of 148.5. Texas has played 6-0 to the over off a conference win this season and there was a combined 162.9 points scored per game. Texas has also played over in their last 4 immediately after an under and there was a combined 162.3 points scored per game.

Kansas State has played 5-0 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 143.5 or greater and it produced a combined 165.4 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 5 games, the Wildcats averaged an enormous 28 free throw attempts per game and made an outstanding 76.1% of those tries. That’s good news considering Texas allows 24 free throw attempts per game in conference play. Kansas State has also made a very good 38% of their 3-point shot attempts in conference play.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Miami @ Clemson 3:00 ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Clemson -1.5 (5*)

Miami has been terrific at home this season. However, they’ve gone 1-4 SU in their last 5 conference away games. The Hurricanes are coming off a 92-83 home win over Virginia Tech. The bad news is Miami is 0-4 SU in their last 4 following a win in their previous game.

Clemson is coming off a 62-54 upset loss at Boston College which dropped their season record to 18-5. The good news for Clemson backers in their Tigers are 4-0 SU this season following a loss in their previous game. It’s also worth noting, the Tigers are a perfect 12-0 at home season and have covered 4 of 5 versus ACC opponents.

Give me Clemson on the money line.

Auburn @ Tennessee 2:00 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Tennessee -9.0 (5*)

Tennessee is coming off a shocking 67-54 upset loss at Florida in their previous game. I used the word shocking because of double-digit margin in which they lost by in a game they were a 4.5-point road favorite. Nonetheless, the Volunteers are a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS following a loss this season with an average margin of victory coming by a massive 28.0 points per game.  I look for Tennessee to play with their hair on fire today and bounce back with a vengeance on their home floor against #25 ranked Auburn.

Give me Tennessee minus the points.

Tulane @ Memphis 2:00 PM ET

Game# 659-660

Play On: Over 159.5 (5*)

These teams are amongst the top College Basketball teams when it comes to how fast a tempo they prefer to play at. Memphis is #18 nationally in adjusted tempo and Tulane is #8. Memphis has averaged 85.5 points scored per game and shot 51.2% throughout their previous 4 games played. On the other side of the table is a Tulane team which has scored 77 points or more in all 5 of its true road games this season. AS a matter of fact, all 5 of those games went over the total with a combined average of 171.6 points scored per game. Memphis went under the total in their previous game. However, the Tigers have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 after going under in their previous contest, and there was a combined 175.3 points per game. These teams have played over the total in each of their last 3 games against one another. That includes an earlier season matchup that saw Tulane come away with a 96-89 home win which easily sailed over the total of 154.0.

Give me this game to go over the total.

TCU @ Oklahoma State 2:00 PM ET

Game# 657-658

Play On: Oklahoma State -4.0 (5*)

TCU is ranked #15 nationally in the most recent AP Poll. Nevertheless, they find themselves as an underdog against a Oklahoma State team with an uninspiring 13-9 season record. That would seem to be an enticing underdog to take right? Not so fast, Oklahoma State has gone 8-1 SU&ATS in their last 9 at home. Speaking of playing at home, the Cowboys are allowing a mere 57.8 points scored per game when playing in Stillwater this season while holding opponent to a combined 36.3% shooting. Oklahoma State is ranked #7 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, #5 in 3-point percentage defense, and #5 in 2-point percentage defense. TCU has gone 1-3 SU in their last 4 true road games.

Give me Oklahoma State minus the points.

Kansas @ Iowa State 12:00 ET

Game# 609-610

Play On: Iowa State +1.5 (5*)

Kansas came off the deck from a 3-game losing streak with impressive win over Kentucky and #7 Kansas State in their previous 2 games. However they’ve lost their previous 2 conference away games. They will be facing #13 Iowa State who has gone a perfect 11-0 at home this season with a susbstantial average victory margin of 23.6 points per game. The Cyclone will also be in a sour mood after blowing a 23-point 2nd half lead in a loss at Texas Tech in their previous outing. Not to mention they’ll be playing with same season revenge stemming for a 2-point loss at Kansas earlier this season.

Give me Iowa State plus the small number.

Princeton @ Cornell 7:00 PM ET

Game# 877-878

Play On: Over 156.5 (5*)

Princeton won their earlier season meeting over Cornell 75-68 and that contest easily stayed under 151.5. Yet the total for today’s game is 5.0 to 6.0 points higher this time around depending on the sportsbook you are looking at. That speaks volumes to me.

Princeton is averaging 81.0 points scored per game and shot 47.8% at home this season. The Tigers are #16 nationally in 2-point offensive field goal percentage at 55.9%. Conversely, Cornell is #353 out of 363 Divion 1 teams in 2-point defense at 56.2%.

Cornell is coming off a an 80-73 win over Brown in a game that barely went under 153.5. Nonetheless, Cornell has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 following an under in their previous contest, and there was a combined average of 158.5 points scored per game. The Big Red have been on fire offensively throughout their previous 5 contests while averaging 86.6 points scored per game and shooting 48.1%. The bad news is they allowed 82.0 points per game and opponents shot 48.8%.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Michigan @ Northwestern 7:00 PM ET

Game# 771-772

Play On: Over 138.5 (5*)

Northwestern has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7. The average total in those 7 contests was 132.2 and there was a combined 146.4 points scored per game. These teams played on 1/15 and Michigan walked away with an 85-78 home win which easily sailed over the total of 134.0. That makes the last 3 meetings between these team all going over the total with a combined average of 152.0 points scored per game. Additionally, the average total in those 3 contests was 139.7.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Northern Iowa @ Drake 9:00 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: Northern Iowa +7.5 (5*)

Drake is coming off a decisive 79-61 win at Belmont in their previous game. However, the Bulldogs have gone 0-8 ATS this season following a double-digit margin win and had a -0.2 point per game differential in those contests. They also suffered 3 SU losses during those 8 games.

Northern Iowa is coming off a 79-71 loss at Indiana State. They’ve won their last 3 following a loss. Since starting the season 3-7, Northern Iowa has gone 9-3.

Give me Northern Iowa plus the points.

Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma 9:00 PM ET

Game# 719-720

Play On: Over 131.0 (5*)

Neither team is an offensive juggernaut, and both play at a slow methodical offensive pace. Thus, the low total. Nevertheless, Oklahoma has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 whenever the total was 127.0 or greater. The average total in those contests was 133.2 and there were a combined 145.0 points scored per game. On the other hand, we have an Oklahoma State team which has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 whenever the total was 127.0 or greater. The average total in those 3 contests was 131.7 and there were a combined 144.7 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

SMU @ Tulane 9:00 PM ET

Game# 721-722

Play On: Over 158.0 (5*)

Despite SMU struggling mightily offensively on many occasions this season, U can justify this high total. As a matter of fact, public betting trends have already indicated to me that the under in this contest is a popular bet. SMU has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 whenever the total was 145.5 or greater and there was a combined 162.4 points scored per game. SMU has allowed 80 points or more in 9 of their 22 games this season. The Mustangs will be facing a Tulane team which has scored 77 points or more in 9 of its last 10 and allowed 76 or greater in 8 of its previous 9. By the way, Tulane has played 8-1-1 to the over throughout their previous 10 games played.

Give me this game to go over the total.

UNLV @ Colorado State 9:00

Game# 637-638

Play On: Colorado State -3.0 (5*)

This line tells me all I need to know. Colorado State is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and 2-8 SU&ATS during its previous 10. The Rams are a disappointing 10-12 this season. UNLV is coming off win in each of their last 2 to improve its season record to 14-7. Yet, it’s Colorado State who’s the favorite. We also must keep in mind that UNLV is 1-3 SU&ATS in conference road games thus far. Additionally, Colorado State won at UNLV earlier this season 82-81 despite committing 20 turnovers and allowing 31 free throw attempts. Neither is likely to come near happening again.

Give me Colorado State minus the points.

Indiana @ Maryland 9:00 PM ET

Game# 643-644

Play On: Maryland -2.5 (10*)

Indiana is coming off a home blowout win over Ohio State. However, it must be noted that Indiana is currently a money line underdog of +130 in this matchup. Since the start of the 2020-2021 season, Indiana is 0-10 SU as a money line road underdog of +200 or less and lost by an average of 11.0 points per game. They were in that situation twice this season and lost at Penn State by 19 and at Kansas by 22.

Maryland is 11-1 SU at home this season with their lone defeat coming against an extremely good UCLA team. Nevertheless, the Terrapins are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season with an average victory margin of 11.2 points per game.

Give me Maryland minus the points.

Texas A&M @ Arkansas 7:00 PM ET

Game# 619-620

Play On: Texas A&M +3.5 (5*)

Texas A&M is a red-hot 9-1 in their last 10 with their lone loss coming at Kentucky by 9 in a game that was much tighter than the final score indicates. During their other 3 conference away game this season the Aggies were 3-0 SU&ATS which included wins over Florida and Auburn. Texas is allowing just 61.6 points per game in SEC games while holding opponents to a mere 37.5% shooting. The Aggies are the better team at this point and they’ve already proven that playing on the road has little to no negative effect on them.

Give me Texas A&M plus the points.

St. Louis @ Fordham 7:00 PM ET

Game# 611-612

Play On: St. Louis -4.0 (5*)

Fordham is about as fraudulent of a 17-4 team as you’ll ever find. The Rams have played the 16th easiest schedule in all of college basketball this season. They are 13-2 at home but just 2-2 when facing conference opponents.

St. Louis enters today riding a red-hot 6-game win streak and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS on the road versus conference opponents. The Billikens have shot 50.7% from the field and made an excellent 42.2% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 contests.

Give me St. Louis plus the points.

Baylor @ Texas 9:00 PM ET

Game# 875-876

Play On: Texas -4.0 (5*)

Despite Baylor enter today riding a 6-game win streak, they shot 37.1% or worse in each of their previous 3 games. Baylor has allowed a lofty 74 points or more in 4 of their 5 true road games. They will be facing a Texas team which has scored 72 points or more in all 12 of their home games this season.

Texas is coming off an 82-71 road loss to Tennessee on Saturday. Texas is 3-0 SU&ATS following a loss this season. The Longhorns are also 11-1 at home this season.

Give me Texas minus the points.

Kansas @ Kentucky 8:00 PM ET

Game# 775-776

Play On: Kansas +2.5 (5*)

This game looks like an absolute trap. Kentucky has won 4 straight including an impressive win at Tennessee. Conversely, Kansas has lost 3 in a row. Yet, Kentucky is just a 2.5-point favorite with a home court advantage which KenPom ranks as the 9th strongest nationally. Despite their recent winless streak, Kansas has faced the toughest schedule in the country, and they remain the defending national champions.

Give me Kansas plus the small number.

Ohio State @ Indiana 8:00 PM ET

Game# 785-786

Play On: Ohio State +5.0 (5*)

This is a similar situation to the Kansas/Kentucky breakdown. Ohio State has lost 6 of its last 7 and that includes going winless in 4 away games. Yet they’re only a 4.0-point underdog against an opponent which has won 4 straight and is a stellar 10-1 at home. They say the great equalizer for a college basketball underdog is their ability to make a good percentage of its 3-point shot attempts. Eev with their recent struggles, the Buckeyes are still 9th nationally in 3-point shooting while connecting on 38.8% of those attempts. Ohio State is also #9 nationally in adjusted offense while averaging 117.2 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. To steal a boxing slgan, we have an underdog puncher’s chance.

Give me Ohio State plus the points.

Syracuse @ Virginia Tech 7:00 PM ET

Game# 763-764

Play On: Syracuse +6.5 (5*)

Virginia Tech is coming off a 3-point home win versus Duke and barely covered as a 2.5-point favorite. That snapped an 0-7 SU&ATS skid. One of those losses came at Syracuse 82-72 in a game they closed as a 2.5-point favorite. The Hokies have allowed 70 points or more in 4 of their last 5 and 6 of its previous 8.

Syracuse has shot 50% or better in 4 of their last 5 while scoring 78 points or more 4 times. Syracuse is 6-4 SU in ACC action and their 4 losses have all come by 7 points or fewer and 3 were by 3 or less. The Orange are a respectable 3-2 in ACC road games this season. Syracuse let one slip away in a 4-point home loss to North Carolina this past Tuesday. However, Syracuse is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 when coming off a loss and won by an average of 10.5 points per game.

Virginia Tech still can possibly get their revenge and get back on a winning track without covering. But this game will go right down to the wire, and I wouldn’t be shocked whatsoever to see an outright upset. Nonetheless, no need to get greedy and give me Syracuse plus the points.

St. John’s @ Creighton 9:00 PM ET

Game #319-320

Play On: Creighton -10.5 (5*)

This seems to be a very heavy number for the favorite Creighton Blue Jays (11-8) versus a St. John’s team who has a better overall record (13-7). However, there’s a huge disparity between these teams in regards strength of schedule. KenPom indicates that Creighton has played the 7th toughest schedule in college basketball while St. John’s ranks a dismal #326 in the category. The obvious difference comes in the level of non-conference opponents each team faced. As a matter of fact, St. John’s has gone just 2-6 in conference games. On the other hand, Creighton is 4-0 in conference home games with an average victory margin of 16.3 points per contest. Furthermore, St. Jon’s is just 1-4 SU in true road games.

Give me Creighton minus the points.

Tulane @ Wichita State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 721-722

Play On: Over 146.5 (5*)

Tulane loves to play up tempo basketball. As a matter of fact, they rank #9 nationally in both adjusted offensive tempo. The Green Wave have played 7-1-1 to the over during its last 9 games. Additionally, they’ve played 4-0 to the over in conference away games this season with a combined 168.3 points scored per contest. The Green Wave average a lofty 23 free throw attempts per game and made 81.5% of those which is #2 nationally.

Wichita State plays at a much slower pace than Tulane but they’ve still played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined average of 146.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Dayton @ Rhode Island 7:00 PM ET

Game# 671-672

Play On: Over 130.0 (5*)

Dayton has shot 50% or better in 4 of its last 5 and 7 of their previous 10 games. The Flyers have made an excellent 38.8% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games.

Rhode Island has gone over the total in each of their last 5 at home and there was a combined average of 148.6 points scored per game. The Rams are averaging a sizable 23 free throw attempts per game in conference action and made a stellar 75.8% of those.

Give me this game to go over the total.

New Mexico @ Nevada 9:00 PM

Game# 873-874

Play On: Over 148.5 (5*)

New Mexico has scored 75 points or more in each of their last 5 and 9 of its previous 10. During that stretch, 7 of those contests went over the total. Conversely, the Lobos have also allowed 75 points or more in 4 of its last 7 games. New Mexico ranks #22 nationally in adjusted offensive tempo. They average 77.7 offensive possession per 40 minutes played.

Nevada has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 whenever the total was 140.0 or greater, and there was a combined average of 154.7. points scored per game. The Wolfpack are very adept at getting to the free throw line and it has accounted for 21.7% of their points scored. A good reason for that is Nevada makes 79.4% of its free throw attempts which ranks 8th nationally. New Mexico actually gets to the free throw line at a higher rate than Nevada, and still converts on a respectful 72.4% of its attempts.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Duke @ Virginia Tech 7:00 PM ET

Game# 865-866

Play On: Virginia Tech -140 (5*)

Virginia Tech has lost 7 consecutive games. Yet, they’re a small favorite versus mighty Duke. The underdog Blue Devils as an underdog against an opponent that’s lost 7 straight would surely be the obvious way to go. However, if it looks to good to be true in sports betting it more likely is. This is another textbook example of such. Duke has lost its last 2 and the latest of which was a home 23-point blowout loss to TCU. The Blue devils are also a dismal 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in true road games. Their only road SU win came by just 1 against a below average Boston College team.

Give me Virginia Tech on the money line.

Maryland @ Purdue 1:00 PM ET

Game# 833-834

Play On: Purdue -12.0 (5*)

Maryland is 0-4 in conference road games and lost the last 3 of those by 14 points or greater. Now they have the unenviable task of playing on the road against one of the nation’s best teams. Furthermore, . KenPom ranks Purdue 19th nationally in strongest home court advantage. Purdue is 18-1 and their lone blemish was a 1.0-point defeat to Rutgers. The Boilermakers are one of if not the most complete teams in all of College Basketball. Purdue is the 3rd nationally in offensive rebounds. That’s not good news for the Terrapins since they rank #202 in defensive rebounding. Look for that to be a huge factor and especially so in the 2nd half when Purdue has consistently worn their opponents out.

Give me Purdue minus the points.

Memphis @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM ET

Game# 837-838

Play On: Cincinnati -2.5 (5*)

On paper you can make a strong case that Memphis is the better team in this matchup and you would probably get very little opposition to that argument. However, games aren’t played on paper. Mephis is a poor 1-4 SU in true road games this season. Cincinnati is 10-2 at home with their lone defeats coming against #1 Houston and nationally ranked Xavier. Additionally, Cincinnati will enter on a 3-game win streak with all coming versus conference opponents and won by an average of 15.3 points per game.

Give me the Cincinnati Bearcats.

Michigan State @ Indiana 12:00 PM ET

Game# 829-830

Play On: Indiana -3.0 (5*)

After going through a recent 3-game losing streak, Indiana has rebounded in their last 2 outings with wins over Wisconsin by 18 and at Illinois by 15. The Hoosiers are very good on both ends of the floor, and in a rivalry game such as this one at home, I look them to prevail by a comfortable margin.

Give me Indiana minus the small number.

San Diego State @ Air Force 10:00 PM ET

Game# 821-822

Play On: Over 131.0 (5*)

Air Force has seen it last 4 go over the total when the number was 124.0 or greater and there was a combined 150.3 points scored per game. The Falcons live a die with their 3-point shooting as over 45% of its field goal attempts have come from beyond the arc. The Falcons shoot a very respectable 36.6% from 3-point territory which is ranked in the upper 14% of all Division 1 College Basketball teams. On the other side of the coin is a San Diego State team which has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the number was 146.0 or less and there was a combined 149.0 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

FAU @ UTEP 9:00 PM ET

Game# 805-806

Play On: UTEP +6.0 (5*)

FAU comes in riding high after winning 17 straight games. Utep is a very deceiving 4-5 SU in their last 9. Why is it deceiving? Because the Miners covered 8 of those 9 games and all 5 losses came by 6 points or fewer. I look for the Miners to be right there down the stretch.

Give me UTEP plus the points.

Virginia Tech @ Clemson 6:00 PM ET

Game# 761-762

Play On: Virginia Tech +2.0 (5*)

Clemson is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8. On the other hand, Virginia Tech has fell of the cliff of late while going 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6. Yet, the Clemson Tigers are just a short favorite. Clemson may end up being the sucker play of the day.

Give me Virginia Tech plus the small number.

Fordham @ Duquesne 2:00 PM ET

Game# 641-642

Play On: Duquesne -7.5 (5*)

Fordham’s 14-4 record is an absolute fraud. They have played the 7th easiest schedule in all of College Basketball. The Rams have been atrocious offensively over their previous 5 games while shooting 36.4% and converted a mere 24.6% of its 3-point shot attempts. Duquesne is a solid 11-2 at home this season. Duquesne have made an excellent 41.5% of their 3-point shots during the previous 5 game.

Give me Duquesne minus the points.

Iowa @ Ohio State 2:00 PM ET

Game# 631-632

Play On: Ohio State -3.0 (5*)

Iowa enters this contest on a 4-0 SU&ATS streak in their last 4. Conversely Ohio State is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5. Yet, it’s the Buckeyes who come up as the favorite. The under is a lock, right? If it looks too good to be true in sports betting than more times than not it is.

Give me Ohio State minus the points.

Texas A&M @ Kentucky 2:00 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: Texas A&M +5.5 (5*)

What’s the College Basketball world coming to. Mighty Kentucky is just a 5.0-point home favorite versus an unranked team. However, in this sports handicapper’s eyes is justified. Kentucky is just 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS in SEC play.

Texas A&M has been outstanding defensively in SEC play while allowing just 57.6 points per game and permitting their opponents to shoot a miserable 35.4%. It’s no wonder they went 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS to start their conference schedule.

Give me Texas A&M plus the points.

Virginia @ Wake Forest 2:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: Wake Forest +3.5 (5*)

Wake Forest is a perfect 10-0 at home this season. The Demon Deacons are also 6-1 SU&ATS in their last 7 overall. Wake is on a red-hot offensive streak over its last 5 averaging 84.2 points scored per game, shot 51%, and made 42.7% of its 3-point attempts. The Demon Deacons come off an 87-77 home win over Clemson. Wake has gone 7-0 SU&ATS at home since the start of last season immediately following scoring 85 points or more and won by an average of 26.2 points per game. Virginia is on a 4-game win streak. However, since the start of last season, Virginia is 0-7 ATS following a 4-game win streak.

Give me Wake Forest plus the points.

Hawaii @ UC-Irvine 10:00 ET

Game# 827-828

Play On: Hawaii +3.0 (5*)

UC-Irvine is an uninspiring 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS at home versus Division 1 opponents this season. As a matter of fact, the Anteaters are coming off a 73-65 home loss as a 2.0 point favorite versus UC-Santa Barbara in their previous outing. Irvine is #4 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage at 39.4%. However, only 32.5% of its field goal attempts are from 3-point territory, and they’ll be going up against a Hawaii team which is #6 nationally in 3-point defense.

Hawaii is 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10. This will mark only the 3rd time this season in which Hawaii has been an underdog. As previously mentioned, Hawaii defends the 3-point line very well. They’re also #14 nationally in 2-point defense as well.

Give me Hawaii plus the small number.

Youngstown State @ Wisconsin-Green Bay 8:00 ET

Game# 791-792

Play On: Youngstown State -14.5 (5*)

There’s no sugar coating it, Green Bay is a horrible team. They enter tonight’s Horizon League game having lost 9 in a row and failed to cover on 6 of those occasions. Green Bay ranks #363 or dead last in the country in defensive efficiency while giving up an average of 117.8 points to per their opponents 100 offensive possessions. They are just as bad offensively where they rank #345 nationally in offensive efficiency.

Youngstown State is sneaky good despite playing a less than impressive strength of schedule. The Penguins have gone an excellent 5-1 ATS as a favorite in true road games this season. They’re also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 overall with 3 of the contests being away games, and they won those road tilts by 18.3 points per contest. Youngstown State is #25 nationally in offensive efficiency, #2 in in 3-point shooting at 40.8%, and #13 from the free throw line at a 78.7% conversion rate which is better than a handful of NBA teams. The Penguins aren’t very good defensively, but against an offensively challenged team like Green Bay they aren’t likely to be exposed in that area.

Give me Youngstown State minus the points.

UNC-Wilmington @ Hofstra 7:00 PM ET

Game# 751-752

Play On: Under 140.5 (5*)

Hofstra has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 with a combined average of just 130.4 points scored per game. During that stretch, Hofstra allowed only 60.0 points per game while holding them to 35.8% shooting.  Throughout those previous 5 contests there was a mere combined average of only 25 free throw attempts per game.

UNC-Wilmington plays at a very slow offensive tempo and is ranked #294 in that category. They are also #337 in average time of possession at 19.3 seconds per. Considering they’ll be facing a Hofstra team that slows down opponents to an average of 18.1 seconds per offensive possession, there’s a good chance they’ll be in the low 50’s or high 40’s in field goal attempts today. Wilmington has held conference opponents to 63.0 points scored per game and 40.1% shooting this season.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Providence @ Marquette 9:00 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: Marquette -7.5 (5*)

This line jumped right off the screen when first seeing it this morning. With all be considered it’s a heavy line which makes it very enticing for most sports bettors to get lured into taking the underdog. I for one isn’t that easily persuaded. These teams met a couple of weeks ago at Providence and the Friars won in double overtime. Marquette has the revenge factor and a home court advantage where they’ve gone 10-1 this season. The Golden Eagles are coming off an 80-76 loss at Xavier in its previous game. Marquette is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS this season immediately following a loss and won by 21.7 points per game. The Golden Eagles are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS this season in conference home games with an average victory margin of 13.3 points per contest.

Give me Marquette minus the points.

TCU @ West Virginia 7:00 PM ET

Game# 691-692

Play On: West Virginia -2.5 (5*)

This line doesn't make a whole lot of sense and when that occurs, I look for valid reasons to go against public perception. TCU is ranked #14 in the latest College Basketball AP Poll. Yet, they come up as an underdog against an unranked West Virginia team which has lost 5 in a row. However, when looking inside the numbers there's hidden betting value which supports to small home favorite. For starters, KenPom has West Virginia as possessing the 2nd strongest home court in all of College Basketball and worth an additional 4.6 points as a result.

West Virginia's analytics clearly convey to me that they're much better than its uninspiring 10-7 record indicates. The Mountaineers are #21 nationally in offensive efficiency, #48 in defensive efficiency, and #38 in forcing turnovers. On a negative note, West Virginia commits a lot of fouls due to their aggressive defensive style. On the other hand, TCU is #203 nationally in free throw percentage. Lastly, West Virginia has traditionally been a good offensive rebounding team under current head coach Bob Huggins and this season is no different. On the other hand, TCU ranks a dismal #265 in defensive rebounding while allowing their opponents to reel in offensive rebounds on 30.9% of its missed shots.

If it looks too good to be true in sports betting, more times than not it is. This is a classic textbook example of such. Give me West Virginia minus the small number.

Wyoming at Air Force 9:00

Game# 651-652

Play On: Over 131.0 (5*)

Both teams play at a below average offensive temp and the total has been adjusted accordingly. However, Wyoming at seen each of their previous 4 go over the total. The average total in those contests was 137.8 and 151.3 points were scored per game. The Cowboys are a terrible defensive team. Air Force may play at a snail’s pace offensively but that doesn’t take away from the fact that they’re a very good shooting team. The Falcons have seen each of their previous 6 at home all go over the total and with a combined 140.0 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Rhode Island @ Richmond 7:00 ET

Game# 621-622

Play On: Richmond -8.0 (5*)

Rhode Island is 0-5 SU in true road games this season. That includes 0-4 ATS in the last 5 while be outscored by 10.5 points per game. Richmond is coming off a 71-63 loss at St. Bonaventure and they’re now 6-3 during its last 3 games. As a matter of fact the Spiders are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 immediately after a loss and won by an average of 16.7 per game. Furthermore, Richmond is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 at home with an average victory margin of 16.5 points per game.

Give me Richmond minus the points.

Kansas State @ Kansas 7:00 PM ET

Game# 631-632

Play On: Over 146.5 (5*)

Kansas is #13 nationally in offensive efficient while scoring 113.1 points per 100 offensive possessions. Kansas State isn’t no slouch in that category ranking #36 at 112.7 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. Kansas State has gone over the total in their last 4 true road games with a substantial combined average of 175.3 points scored per game. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 4-0 to the over in its previous 4 contests when there was a total of 138.0 or greater and there was a combined 170.7 points scored per game.  Both teams play at a slightly above average offensive pace.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Iowa State @ Kansas 4:00 PM ET

Game# 709-710

Play On: Iowa State +8.5 (10*)

There’s no denying how good the defending national champion Kansas Jayhawks are. The Jayhawks are 15-1 with their lone defeat coming versus a Tennessee who is a serious national title contender. However, since the 2020-2021 season, Kansas is 1-8 ATS in January home games with just a +1.3 point per game differential. Kansas is 2-0 at home in conference thus far but those victories over Oklahoma and Oklahoma State came by just a combined 6 points.

Iowa State can be extremely frustrating to play against. They play at a snail’s pace offensively, are #6 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, and #1 in forcing turnovers. This is also a very experienced Cyclones team that won’t be rattled by a hostile environment. Iowa State is coming off an 84-50 home blowout win over a solid Texas Tech team. That win improved their season record to 13-2 and includes 4-0 during Big 12 Conference games.

Give me Iowa State plus the points.

Southern Miss @ Arkansas State 3:00 PM ET

Game# 659-660

Play On: Southern Miss -5.5 (5*)

I’d rather not lay points on the road with such a massive card. Nevertheless, this is an exception to that preference. Arkansas State is a horrible team. They’re 9-9 which is seemingly not associated with a team being objectively being called horrible. In any event, 3 of their wins have come over teams that aren’t Division 1 programs. Arkansas State is #319 in adjusted offensive efficiency and #276 defensively in that same category. Arkansas State should have no excuses why they’ve been so bad since their strength of schedule has been the 14th easiest in the country to this point. The Red Wolves are on a current 4-game losing streak in which they’ve been outscored by an average of 11.3 points per game.

Southern Miss will look to rebound from a 89-67 blowout loss at Marshall. That defeat dropped their season record to a still very good 14-4. Southern Miss followed its previous 3 losses with a win.

Give me Southern Miss minus the points.

UCF @ Tulane 2:00 PM ET

Game# 635-636

Play On: Tulane -2.0 (5*)

UCF is coming off an emotionally draining 107-104 double overtime home win over Memphis who is one of the favorites to win the AAC. Now they travel to New Orleans to take on a better than advertised Tulane team.

The Green Wave are coming off road win in each of its previous games at Temple and at SMU. Tulane is 7-1 at home this season. Tulane is #3 nationally in fewest offensive turnovers committed. Conversely, UCF is #298 in that identical category. They’re also #3 from the free throw line while converting on a superb 81.6% of its attempts.

Give me Tulane minus the number.